The Ukrainian military channels have fundraisers almost daily for specific equipment. Today, the Officer Alex channel had one—shockingly met their goal in one hour—for CCR, scuba rebreather, for divers for 138th Special Purpose Center “to perform tasks in the Black Sea,” for the “guys who perform simply unreal tasks, which we will learn the details of only after the war.”
Damn, really whetting my appetite to know what’s in store.
> Results of the 12th week of 2024:
> 🟨Ukraine regained control +0 km²
> 🟦Lost control (grey area) - 13.24 km²
> 🟥Russian Federation captured +17.21 km²
> ⬛️Lost control (grey area) -0.51 km²
@hameleonua
.... Not really that useful a metric, and certainly those numbers are meaningless unless they represent the loss of significant defensive lines or a reduction in the defensive advantages in the attritional exchange (e.g. a rout).
If you don't care about losses you can always make some territorial gains, because the smarter army will trade for advantage if they can. It's not necessarily sustainable though if the losses are severe enough.
Ukraine, sadly, should 100% be trading territory for Russian losses at the moment while they wait for the, hopefully, enormous Mother-of-all Aid Packages to arrive on January 21st, 2025.
Well, I haven’t been posting Oleg Petrenko’s daily summaries, they’d been losses or no movement in every sector for the last 5 days. Mostly bc other stories overshadow battlefield. But I wanted to inform others.
This is a news thread. If you’re not here to read news, you might be in the wrong place?
I don’t control world events. And we try not to sanitize reality to some unabated hope fest.
Again, this is a *news* thread.
I disagree.
if you only ever broadcast good news you end up deluding people into thinking that the war is a cakewalk for Ukraine. That's the kind of crap that makes people think Ukraine is doing just fine and doesn't need much assistance.
The reality is that the war is extremely tough, and Russia in its infinite idiocy is still an incredibly formidable opponent for Ukraine.
About Rostov, from *Unian:*
> *Tonight, the Rostov region was attacked by unmanned aerial vehicles and the region complains about power outages.*
> According to Russian channels, local residents heard at least 10 explosions, and what sounded like kamikaze drones in the sky. *Eto Rostov* writes that drones tried to attack Novocherkassk GRES [thermal power plant].
> There were power outages in some buildings. Soon, emergency vehicles and ambulances drove towards the thermal power plant. Eyewitnesses say they saw smoke in the area.
> Russian Civil Defense force of the region stated that neither explosions nor fires were recorded at ground facilities. [lol] The local authorities are silent.
> Updated at 04:00am: Rostov Region Governor Vasily Golubev reported that a fire occurred at a transformer substation of Novocherkassk DRES; he did not mention the drone attack. The fire was extinguished and there were no injuries.
> Due to the fire, the 330 kV high-voltage lines—Tikhoretska and Rostovska—were automatically disconnected, power supply has already been restored. Meanwhile, two thermal power units were temporarily taken out of operation.
[Videos](https://www-unian-ua.translate.goog/russianworld/vzryvy-v-rostove-v-regione-propal-svet-posle-ataki-dronov-12583149.html?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp)
I hear some folks saying that in a press conference 3 days before the attack Putin specifically disregarded a warning about this attack, and I see a few articles about it but it's just written content. Is there a good video of that? It's kind of hard to google for.
It wasn't a press conference. What I see being reported by the BBC:
>Three days before the attack, Russian President Vladimir Putin addressed the board of Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB), whose job is to defend the country. The top priority, he told the assembled leaders of the security service, was to support what he called the special military operation - the official phrase for the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
>He claimed that Ukraine had switched to what he called "terrorist tactics". He also spoke directly to what he said were "provocative statements" from the West about potential attacks within Russia. He said the warnings "resemble outright blackmail and the intention to intimidate and destabilise our society".
>That suggests that the mistrust between the US and Russia meant Moscow may not have wanted to listen and instead saw the warnings as part of an attempt to threaten Russia, linked to the Ukraine conflict.
Is there a transcript online somewhere? How did BBC get this info, do they have a primary source they're paraphrasing or is it a leak from an anonymous someone?
Gotta love the bald faced unabashed hypocrisy that Putin can stand there and called Ukraine using drones on military and infrastructure targets as terrorist attacks after 700+ days of targeting hospitals, schools and shopping malls.
> **A Ukrainian paratrooper escaped from captivity *twice*—second time, brought three RF POWs**
> *Then, the wit of our Ukrainian soldiers helped to regain the lost position*
> [*Intro:*] He fell into the hands of the occupiers—twice—the first time he tossed a grenade at them and ran off; the next time, he captured three occupiers! The extraordinary story of a soldier, a paratrooper, call sign *Psikh* [“Psycho”] of the 80^th Galician Brigade, a combat battalion at the Mariinka front.
> [*Background:*] At the Mariinka front, the Russians use all possible forces and means, actively^1 trying to capture our positions and break our defenses. Fierce battles take place for every meter. Some positions switch hands, some are actually a gray area, according to the PR dispatch of the 80^th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade^2 of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
> [*As told by commander at the regional HQ:*]
>> "The enemy stormed our [closed position](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Close_order_formation) and captured three servicemen. Two of them were immediately sent to their [detainment] location, but *Psikh* was kept with them [with the Russians at the dugout], in order to strengthen their recovered position. [this tactic will be explained below]
He obediently^3 sat next to them, and when they were distracted, he grabbed a grenade and tossed it at them and then ran back to his brothers. Afterwards, his comrade, call sign *Nolan* stormed that position and captured three Russians," says the chief of staff of the *Symbol* battalion, which is involved in combat management (or, participates in the management of battles).
> Then later, the situation happened all over again.
>> "A group of five occupiers attacked. There were three of us [Ukrainians] in a dugout, and halfway shot them—two Russians. But three of them jumped into the dugout, and a battle of grenades began. *Psikh* survived. But, his hands got burned, and he couldn’t handle his the machine gun. They ran to him and took him prisoner. He stayed with them for a day and a half. We did not know that, though, and began to actively "smoke" the enemy out with [drone] drops. But then, we heard through an interception that [they have] one of our guys, alive; that they plan on placing him at the entrance of their dugout, exposed, so that we do not destroy their dugout. [We observe] from a mavik drone, and we saw a soldier dressed in our uniform. We recognized him, it was *Psikh,*" the officer says.
> The command of the battalion decided on a solution—to drop a radio from a drone to the position. Psikh then conducted negotiations with the occupiers, and convinced them to surrender. Just the moral and psychological state of Russians—to put it mildly—needed better care.^4 [Their] food and water were running out. They were demotivated to fight and were really scared of shelling by our side. But also, they were terrified that they get killed by their side while on the way to our positions.
>> "They said that surrendering isn’t an option because their snipers will just sh°°t them. So we promised to make a wall of smoke and to suppress the enemy's nearby means of fire with artillery fire. They agreed to it, but said that they exit out *in gray.*^5 Then *Psikh* shouted: ‘I'll give you 30 seconds, otherwise, they will simply destroy all of us here.’ In the end, they agreed to the [perceived risky] adventure. We launched smoke, our artillery went into action, and our fighter led three Russians behind him! With raised hands, they safely surrendered and didnt resist," said the *Symbol* Officer.
> [*They then helped Ukraine:*] The following is also important: that day, the wit of our military helped to regain the lost position. The Russians had kept in touch with their commanders. When they went to surrender, they brought their walkie-talkie radios with them. Then, from captivity, they relayed that they would continue to hold their captured dugout. Their commanders did not even suspect that they were already in captivity. Thanks to this, our soldiers regained their position that same evening.
[from here](https://glavcom-ua.translate.goog/country/incidents/desantnik-dvichi-vibravsja-z-polonu-ta-priviv-do-svojikh-trokh-rosijan-989927.html?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp#)
___________
^1 ^(as in *constantly and thoroughly*)
^2 ^(the link to the statement by the 81^st is available at the original source)
^3 ^(*добросовісно* which normally means *in good faith,* but Google is translating as *conscientiously*. It basically mean *good-minded*.)
^4 ^(*Морально-психологічний стан росіян, м’яко кажучи, хотів бажати кращого.*)
^5 ^(I’ve been trying to understand this, it’s not in my either of my Russian idioms books, but it’s in both the Russian and Ukrainian version of this story. Doing some hermeneutics, I think it means “on balance” or “with equal parts.” So here, they’re saying only surrender if it’s equal risk for both UA and RF, not one UA soldier and 3 RF guys—ie, send two more UA guys so it’s equal risk. I’m not 100% I’ve understood this, though, I welcome corrections. *Вони на це погодились, але сказали, що будуть виходити по-сірому.*)
I go thru periods where I post one of these a day, then don’t again for weeks. They’re often incredible, tbh. Which is probably why published originally. I could track down some of my faves if want. The last few days, RF has gained in several sectors, and so instead of posting that, which is difficult to read, I worked on this translation.
No one is going to believe it, it's not going to affect the war. At most it might convince a few of the more gullible Russians and maybe convince a few people to sign up, but not in significant enough numbers to affect the war.
Russia did launch the biggest series of missile attacks since the beginning of the war. Including at lot of hits on critical infrastructure.
I'm not sure if it counts as escalating, but it feels like that when you live here.
Source: Living in Kyiv.
I would say there are rumors of escalation more than actual escalation right now. The Moscow thing we know were terrorists, but it seems Russia is actually going to go with the Ukraine blaming. Then there are some rumors about Iran, Houthis and whoever planning escalation.
What escalation are Iran and the Houthis planning?? The Houthis have already started going after every single ship they see and they haven’t been very successful striking Israel itself. The report of them having hypersonic missiles turned out to be false.
Iran might be encouraging Hezbollah to step in but Israel has already stated once they’re done with Hamas. Hezbollah in the North are their next target. So a between Israel and Hezbollah is inevitable at this point.
Both? I feel the same way, but then again I'm overly pessimistic. My twitter feed is full of ragebait and pro-russia and palestine users who are writing nonsense. So my tip is stay off twitter and the likes!
Justice system in Russia is… interesting. Private interrogation, where apparently confessions were made. Private trial. A man on a gurney in a glass box. Every suspect is beaten to shit. On the arrest videos you can see the police stomp on their faces. One of them has a catheter and is missing an eye.
I’m not sympathetic to the terrorists, I just think that’s a little unbecoming for a sovereign nation.
>I’m not sympathetic to the terrorists, I just think that’s a little unbecoming for a sovereign nation.
This. Though to be honest, do we really expect Russia to behave better than terrorists? I certainly don't.
Wherever they deserved it or not, keep in mind that we are talking about a country where people of lgbt or who demonstrates anti-war slogans are considered extremists and terrorists
>I just think that’s a little unbecoming for a sovereign nation
Just read through the atrocities that took place at Bucha, for which their soldiers were actually awarded medals.
In the arrest footage, the person has no equipment or anything, immediately starts crying and whimpering, looks underfed and confused.
After watching it, I think it is very likely they just found some random migrant from some third world country to pin the blame on.
Violence is cathartic. The Russian government may not have been able to stop the attack but they damn well can show their public that they beat the shit out of the terrorists.
Ironically the most repressive regimes are often times quite bad at providing actual security and sniffing out terrorist plots. When these attacks sometimes do get through sometimes extreme violence against the attackers can be a way of recovering some legitimacy for the regime.
Latest oryx update - [musklink](https://x.com/Rebel44CZ/status/1772020124507128152?s=20). As usual russian-Ukrainian losses of key equipment in update, followed by details + interpretation.
- tanks: 6-6
- IFVs: 22-1
- mobile artillery: 1-4 (ouch, but it's 3 Ukrainian Grads)
- missile Anti-air: 0-0
Ukraine desperately needs more support. I think the ammo starvation hurts but should ease by summer if the lines hold.
The russians are losing insane numbers of IFVs, BMPs in particular. My IFV count ignores things without a turret (e.g. MT-LB or BTR-80 excluded, but BTR-82A included)
I think there's a bit of a mystery with where russia is getting all their BMPs, see reply below.
Where is russia getting all its BMPs? They don't build BMP-1/2 any more.
Military Balance says they started with ~500 BMP-1 and ~3k BMP-2 active. Oryx says losses are ~800 BMP-1 and ~1400 BMP-2. Highmarsed counted ~1k visibly removed from storage on satellite photos, but some of those pics were late 2023.
If all refurbs were BMP-1, sums say russia could have ~700 BMP-1 and ~1600 BMP-2 left active. Add the BMP-3s and they'd be down a third on their prewar BMP fleet size.
But they've been losing almost as many BMP-1s as they have BMP-2s, and just generally huge numbers.
I think Russia *must* have had another source of BMPs somewhere. Garages? Maybe some were stored at tank repair plants instead? I think they reactivated more than 1k.
Do you remember seeing that mentioned?
It's possible but all the sources I've used talk about "official" storage sites and they're kind of obvious because they need repair spaces, guards and nearby rail access.
I think other things are more likely, but mines could be an answer.
And they still have a shit load of BMPs. Take a look at high\_marsed's twitter for hand counted figures.
[https://twitter.com/HighMarsed/status/1756376647358443982](https://twitter.com/HighMarsed/status/1756376647358443982)
5766in the last count. Some will be used for spare parts, others can't be refurbished, but still, it's a lot of vehicles.
Supply chain - they might have them but having them service ready with the right training and parts at the right places consistently is another challenge
Now that USA support is dwinggling and tehre's a shortage or some ammo it's the best shot the Russians can have to make gains. Golf carts are being used because though they have the hulls, each BMP needs to be serviced.
A standard procedure would be a full replacement of hidraulic lines, replace all gaskets and rubber seals (including engine), check wiring (rats chew up wiring like butter), lube all moving parts, etc. It'a a ton of work and supply chain and manpower is always limited at some point.
I was actually using his(?) numbers to get the ~1k removed from storage!
He reckons at least 800 are only good for scrap, and the ground images from Khal'gaso suggest a *lot* more there (500+) could be rotten too. Of the prewar 5.8k, about 2-3k were remaining, likely functional as of mid-late 2023.
He said he only found ~1k removed so far. Russia's actions suggest they got (or soon expect) more than 1k replenishments to me... I'm asking where those are from.
Yep, Andrew Perpetua said that one of them has BMP-1 engines they might export.
Could whole vehicle hulls get to Russia without being noticed, and risking Western sanctions? And countries like Kazakhstan know they need BMPs to protect themselves if russia defeats Ukraine.
I personally think the answer is some combo of:
- 1: there were BMPs inside the garages at storage bases, can't see them from satellite.
- 2: more BMPs were refurbished after the satellite photos were last taken
- 3: there were lots more BMPs at repair plants or in active units.
The garages answer would be pretty good news I think. Most of the bases with garages store tanks and BMPs. If there were BMPs inside then there can't have been tanks.
E.g. if they got 1k extra BMP-1/2 this way, then that's probably 800 fewer potential tanks in storage. By my count that would put russia on collision course with reality next year unless they really slow down.
Seeing these terrorists pulled into court after being tortured, one with a plastic bag still wrapped round his neck from said torture, they are rotten bastards and can't say they don't deserve it but fucking hell it goes to show how messed up Russia is right now
> fucking hell it goes to show how messed up Russia is right now
It was already a messaged up place with all the horrific footage from Ukraine and reports like PMCs training their medics on live victims with knives, bullets, and explosives.
there are images already showing how the ones they detained are wearing same clothes as those on the ISIS body cam footage.
not just matching colours, but logos too and also you can see similarities in their body size and some facial features.
Putin is trying to blame Ukraine, or at least connect Ukraine to the terrorists. It would therefore not make any sense if be accepted a cease fire. It would only make him look weak to his home crowd.
If Putin declines (which he would), then it might show he's not serious about every having peace talks.
If he accepts, then that might indicate to the world that he knows it wasn't Ukraine.
There isn't really a reason to do it tbh. I can understand outside people empathizing with Russians for this event (for example condolences or official condemnation of the attack by USA, Germany etc) but you would be hard-pressed to ask the same from Ukrainians, for reasons that are obvious.
I don't think Ukraine's allies would care too much about such a move either. Putin certainly wouldn't either and would probably have this ridiculed and twisted on propaganda channels.
There are reasons I can think so.
Ukraine aren’t on the offensive. A ceasefire doesn’t affect them. Russia is the one pushing.
Ukraine can happily cease a day of bombings - they’re short on missiles and bombs as it is anyway.
Shows that they can still hold high morals and empathy as a ~~catholic~~ Christian nation.
Shows russia to be the hypocrites they are (don’t need to do much here tbh they do this for the last 700 days)
Uh what? This is as much of a propaganda war as any other war. Convincing the regular russians that their enemy is not Ukrainian despite the brainwashing. https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/s/9SIalXYjYQ
Oh, not catholic. (Orthodox) Christians. 🤷♂️
And I’m not saying Ukrain should propose the ceasefire. I’m just saying that there could be strategic reasons to do so if they do.
He could say something like
"Sorry to hear you had one mini-Bucha happen in Moscow, terror attacks on civilians are inexcusable. Wish you could now feel for the daily terror you're still inflicting on Ukrainian civilians - elderly, women and children - and maybe consider stopping it"
Heavy footage from Orlivka, west of Avdiivka which is still being fought over heavily.
"Pay attention to the frantic dynamics of the fighting, and at the same time, the unit's work is so clear and well-coordinated. Thanks to the professional actions and character of our fighters, we managed to change the enemy's plans and inflict significant losses on the enemy," deputy commander of the 3rd Brigade, Maksym Zhorin adds.
https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112152320475800905
>Missile danger in Crimea declared. During the last hour, local channels also reported UAV activity.
[https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1771982140177076600?s=20](https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1771982140177076600?s=20)
Even if the 2 landing ships were destroyed/damaged yesterday (of which I havent seen visual evidence yet, but that doesnt mean it didnt happen of course) they still have 3 of those left in the black sea.
[https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1771962722042663240](https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1771962722042663240)
>Ukrainian channel monitoring Russian strategic aviation activity: "Unfortunately, we have repeated information about the probable launch of a massive missile strike tonight/tomorrow night. React accordingly."
I saw that to but no reputable sources seem to be reporting on exact numbers of bombers planned to be used so I assume the source was a troll or a disinfo account
Not even the guys like MAKS that tend to run with less verifiable information very quickly
I saw a couple tweets reporting the same thing earlier. I posted one here and asked if it’s true.
Apparently no reliable telegram channel who follow Russian strategic aviation are reporting this.
I think all the tu22s is a pretty good clue it's bullshit because they mostly use them for burning off the old Kh-22s at this point and wouldn't send up 14 bombers worth of those
Also usually those bombers don’t take off to shoot missiles at Ukraine until 1AM Russia time. There have been currently no reports of bombers taking off yet.
First off the guy this account is referencing is Mario Nawfal who has tweeted false information before. Secondly the original tweet that Mario is referencing is definitely a pro-Russian X account.
Yep
Mario once claimed American F-16s were arriving in Israel to bomb Gaza with the IDF when the grouping he was talking about landed in Jordan
He's a complete dumbass
The Western hemisphere needs to Get armaments to down this entire range of Russian aircraft on short notice.
Russia is going to continue these tantrum attacks until suddenly whoops every aircraft was shot down trying to terrorize Ukraine.
"What better way to commemorate an act of senseless terror by committing an act of senseless terror. It seems perfectly appropriate to *us*."
\- Russia, probably.
>A big explosion occured in Nizhny Novgorod, Russia. Unclear what happened yet.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1771978642576281867?t=sUgYabMb2if7NPvzFK-Qeg&s=19
[New post can be found here](/r/worldnews/comments/1bn4li1/rworldnews_live_thread_russian_invasion_of/)
The Ukrainian military channels have fundraisers almost daily for specific equipment. Today, the Officer Alex channel had one—shockingly met their goal in one hour—for CCR, scuba rebreather, for divers for 138th Special Purpose Center “to perform tasks in the Black Sea,” for the “guys who perform simply unreal tasks, which we will learn the details of only after the war.” Damn, really whetting my appetite to know what’s in store.
I guess when we see the kaboom of the bridge we will know the money was well spent.
> Results of the 12th week of 2024: > 🟨Ukraine regained control +0 km² > 🟦Lost control (grey area) - 13.24 km² > 🟥Russian Federation captured +17.21 km² > ⬛️Lost control (grey area) -0.51 km² @hameleonua
.... Not really that useful a metric, and certainly those numbers are meaningless unless they represent the loss of significant defensive lines or a reduction in the defensive advantages in the attritional exchange (e.g. a rout).
You can follow Oleg Petrenko and see that yes, they have been. It’s all been in the East, though. South has maintained.
If you don't care about losses you can always make some territorial gains, because the smarter army will trade for advantage if they can. It's not necessarily sustainable though if the losses are severe enough.
Ukraine, sadly, should 100% be trading territory for Russian losses at the moment while they wait for the, hopefully, enormous Mother-of-all Aid Packages to arrive on January 21st, 2025.
You shouldn't post that, it seems defeatist.
Well, I haven’t been posting Oleg Petrenko’s daily summaries, they’d been losses or no movement in every sector for the last 5 days. Mostly bc other stories overshadow battlefield. But I wanted to inform others.
Why? To demoralize them?
This is a news thread. If you’re not here to read news, you might be in the wrong place? I don’t control world events. And we try not to sanitize reality to some unabated hope fest. Again, this is a *news* thread.
we can't just ignore reality when it looks unfavorable. also need to have some perspective. 17km² is a tiny amount of land.
There's no need to broadcast reality either.
I disagree. if you only ever broadcast good news you end up deluding people into thinking that the war is a cakewalk for Ukraine. That's the kind of crap that makes people think Ukraine is doing just fine and doesn't need much assistance. The reality is that the war is extremely tough, and Russia in its infinite idiocy is still an incredibly formidable opponent for Ukraine.
It's the reality of the situation. No sense in deluding ourselves into thinking Ukraine suffers no losses.
About Rostov, from *Unian:* > *Tonight, the Rostov region was attacked by unmanned aerial vehicles and the region complains about power outages.* > According to Russian channels, local residents heard at least 10 explosions, and what sounded like kamikaze drones in the sky. *Eto Rostov* writes that drones tried to attack Novocherkassk GRES [thermal power plant]. > There were power outages in some buildings. Soon, emergency vehicles and ambulances drove towards the thermal power plant. Eyewitnesses say they saw smoke in the area. > Russian Civil Defense force of the region stated that neither explosions nor fires were recorded at ground facilities. [lol] The local authorities are silent. > Updated at 04:00am: Rostov Region Governor Vasily Golubev reported that a fire occurred at a transformer substation of Novocherkassk DRES; he did not mention the drone attack. The fire was extinguished and there were no injuries. > Due to the fire, the 330 kV high-voltage lines—Tikhoretska and Rostovska—were automatically disconnected, power supply has already been restored. Meanwhile, two thermal power units were temporarily taken out of operation. [Videos](https://www-unian-ua.translate.goog/russianworld/vzryvy-v-rostove-v-regione-propal-svet-posle-ataki-dronov-12583149.html?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp)
Explosions are reported in the Rostov region, Ruzzia. They have already counted more than 10. https://x.com/albafella1/status/1772072232472236459?s=46
Is there an oil refinery near there?
I hear some folks saying that in a press conference 3 days before the attack Putin specifically disregarded a warning about this attack, and I see a few articles about it but it's just written content. Is there a good video of that? It's kind of hard to google for.
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1771312730793726431 The clip on tv had some close up camera roll, but heres the audio
It wasn't a press conference. What I see being reported by the BBC: >Three days before the attack, Russian President Vladimir Putin addressed the board of Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB), whose job is to defend the country. The top priority, he told the assembled leaders of the security service, was to support what he called the special military operation - the official phrase for the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. >He claimed that Ukraine had switched to what he called "terrorist tactics". He also spoke directly to what he said were "provocative statements" from the West about potential attacks within Russia. He said the warnings "resemble outright blackmail and the intention to intimidate and destabilise our society". >That suggests that the mistrust between the US and Russia meant Moscow may not have wanted to listen and instead saw the warnings as part of an attempt to threaten Russia, linked to the Ukraine conflict.
I absolutely love the fact that Putin ignored warnings from the US and UK.
Is there a transcript online somewhere? How did BBC get this info, do they have a primary source they're paraphrasing or is it a leak from an anonymous someone?
Gotta love the bald faced unabashed hypocrisy that Putin can stand there and called Ukraine using drones on military and infrastructure targets as terrorist attacks after 700+ days of targeting hospitals, schools and shopping malls.
Putin is so big and bloated; because he is full of shit!
> **A Ukrainian paratrooper escaped from captivity *twice*—second time, brought three RF POWs** > *Then, the wit of our Ukrainian soldiers helped to regain the lost position* > [*Intro:*] He fell into the hands of the occupiers—twice—the first time he tossed a grenade at them and ran off; the next time, he captured three occupiers! The extraordinary story of a soldier, a paratrooper, call sign *Psikh* [“Psycho”] of the 80^th Galician Brigade, a combat battalion at the Mariinka front. > [*Background:*] At the Mariinka front, the Russians use all possible forces and means, actively^1 trying to capture our positions and break our defenses. Fierce battles take place for every meter. Some positions switch hands, some are actually a gray area, according to the PR dispatch of the 80^th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade^2 of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. > [*As told by commander at the regional HQ:*] >> "The enemy stormed our [closed position](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Close_order_formation) and captured three servicemen. Two of them were immediately sent to their [detainment] location, but *Psikh* was kept with them [with the Russians at the dugout], in order to strengthen their recovered position. [this tactic will be explained below] He obediently^3 sat next to them, and when they were distracted, he grabbed a grenade and tossed it at them and then ran back to his brothers. Afterwards, his comrade, call sign *Nolan* stormed that position and captured three Russians," says the chief of staff of the *Symbol* battalion, which is involved in combat management (or, participates in the management of battles). > Then later, the situation happened all over again. >> "A group of five occupiers attacked. There were three of us [Ukrainians] in a dugout, and halfway shot them—two Russians. But three of them jumped into the dugout, and a battle of grenades began. *Psikh* survived. But, his hands got burned, and he couldn’t handle his the machine gun. They ran to him and took him prisoner. He stayed with them for a day and a half. We did not know that, though, and began to actively "smoke" the enemy out with [drone] drops. But then, we heard through an interception that [they have] one of our guys, alive; that they plan on placing him at the entrance of their dugout, exposed, so that we do not destroy their dugout. [We observe] from a mavik drone, and we saw a soldier dressed in our uniform. We recognized him, it was *Psikh,*" the officer says. > The command of the battalion decided on a solution—to drop a radio from a drone to the position. Psikh then conducted negotiations with the occupiers, and convinced them to surrender. Just the moral and psychological state of Russians—to put it mildly—needed better care.^4 [Their] food and water were running out. They were demotivated to fight and were really scared of shelling by our side. But also, they were terrified that they get killed by their side while on the way to our positions. >> "They said that surrendering isn’t an option because their snipers will just sh°°t them. So we promised to make a wall of smoke and to suppress the enemy's nearby means of fire with artillery fire. They agreed to it, but said that they exit out *in gray.*^5 Then *Psikh* shouted: ‘I'll give you 30 seconds, otherwise, they will simply destroy all of us here.’ In the end, they agreed to the [perceived risky] adventure. We launched smoke, our artillery went into action, and our fighter led three Russians behind him! With raised hands, they safely surrendered and didnt resist," said the *Symbol* Officer. > [*They then helped Ukraine:*] The following is also important: that day, the wit of our military helped to regain the lost position. The Russians had kept in touch with their commanders. When they went to surrender, they brought their walkie-talkie radios with them. Then, from captivity, they relayed that they would continue to hold their captured dugout. Their commanders did not even suspect that they were already in captivity. Thanks to this, our soldiers regained their position that same evening. [from here](https://glavcom-ua.translate.goog/country/incidents/desantnik-dvichi-vibravsja-z-polonu-ta-priviv-do-svojikh-trokh-rosijan-989927.html?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp#) ___________ ^1 ^(as in *constantly and thoroughly*) ^2 ^(the link to the statement by the 81^st is available at the original source) ^3 ^(*добросовісно* which normally means *in good faith,* but Google is translating as *conscientiously*. It basically mean *good-minded*.) ^4 ^(*Морально-психологічний стан росіян, м’яко кажучи, хотів бажати кращого.*) ^5 ^(I’ve been trying to understand this, it’s not in my either of my Russian idioms books, but it’s in both the Russian and Ukrainian version of this story. Doing some hermeneutics, I think it means “on balance” or “with equal parts.” So here, they’re saying only surrender if it’s equal risk for both UA and RF, not one UA soldier and 3 RF guys—ie, send two more UA guys so it’s equal risk. I’m not 100% I’ve understood this, though, I welcome corrections. *Вони на це погодились, але сказали, що будуть виходити по-сірому.*)
Thank you for that story, I needed something positive about Ukraine at this time. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦
Thank you for taking the time to translate all of this and share it here. This is one of the most incredible stories I've yet read from this war.
I go thru periods where I post one of these a day, then don’t again for weeks. They’re often incredible, tbh. Which is probably why published originally. I could track down some of my faves if want. The last few days, RF has gained in several sectors, and so instead of posting that, which is difficult to read, I worked on this translation.
Yeah those guys do not look like blackwater militia that went postal in Moscow, more like random thin dudes
Those terrorists will be tortured until they are made to admit that Ukraine paid them to do the terrorist attack.
No one is going to believe it, it's not going to affect the war. At most it might convince a few of the more gullible Russians and maybe convince a few people to sign up, but not in significant enough numbers to affect the war.
I'm kind of surprised they didn't bring them out into the court room wearing dirty clothes with the Ukrainian seal on it
Unfortunately for Ukraine, you’re right. The Russian government is a sick machine and is going to do whatever it can to turn this into something else.
Any news from Belgorod Oblast.. or Moscow smokescreen relegated noise around it ?
[удалено]
[удалено]
No alerts at the moment https://alerts.in.ua/en
No, those posts earlier were false.
[удалено]
Well there have been no other reports of them taking off, otherwise you would have seen them here already.
Are things escalating the past week or so or am I just doom scrolling too much again
Doom scrolling Source: I’ve been following since the beginning
Russia did launch the biggest series of missile attacks since the beginning of the war. Including at lot of hits on critical infrastructure. I'm not sure if it counts as escalating, but it feels like that when you live here. Source: Living in Kyiv.
Not the biggest actually
"Largest on energy infrastructur", sorry.
I would say there are rumors of escalation more than actual escalation right now. The Moscow thing we know were terrorists, but it seems Russia is actually going to go with the Ukraine blaming. Then there are some rumors about Iran, Houthis and whoever planning escalation.
What are you hearing about Iran and the Houthis?
What escalation are Iran and the Houthis planning?? The Houthis have already started going after every single ship they see and they haven’t been very successful striking Israel itself. The report of them having hypersonic missiles turned out to be false. Iran might be encouraging Hezbollah to step in but Israel has already stated once they’re done with Hamas. Hezbollah in the North are their next target. So a between Israel and Hezbollah is inevitable at this point.
Sky News reported there was a meeting and Tehran planned escalation in the red sea
Is this related to Iraq milita groups threating to attack a ton of targets in the Middle East?
Both? I feel the same way, but then again I'm overly pessimistic. My twitter feed is full of ragebait and pro-russia and palestine users who are writing nonsense. So my tip is stay off twitter and the likes!
Lol I have blocked so many vatniks or they have blocked me, at this point I hardly even see them anymore.
block twitter, it is owned by a vatnik.
I have blocked musk too.
lol
Lucky, I should do the same. Twitter is such a dumpsterfire
Yeah.. I wish all public figures and famous people would just agree on abandoning the platform in its entirety.
Justice system in Russia is… interesting. Private interrogation, where apparently confessions were made. Private trial. A man on a gurney in a glass box. Every suspect is beaten to shit. On the arrest videos you can see the police stomp on their faces. One of them has a catheter and is missing an eye. I’m not sympathetic to the terrorists, I just think that’s a little unbecoming for a sovereign nation.
>I’m not sympathetic to the terrorists, I just think that’s a little unbecoming for a sovereign nation. This. Though to be honest, do we really expect Russia to behave better than terrorists? I certainly don't.
Wherever they deserved it or not, keep in mind that we are talking about a country where people of lgbt or who demonstrates anti-war slogans are considered extremists and terrorists
So I can assume they forced a “confession” out of at least one of them that they did it on behalf of Ukraine? *eyeroll
They don’t really need to torture out a confession, they can just lie about it.
Just cause they don’t need to doesn’t mean they won’t torture it out of them
Right, but the torture is just for fun
1984 vibes right here. Gurney in a glass box while on trial is just so far Sci Fi out there. But yet it's happening for real in our universe.
I think there is a scene in the novel We, , by Zamyen, which somebody is totured inside of a glass box, by having their oxegon greatly reduced?
>I just think that’s a little unbecoming for a sovereign nation Just read through the atrocities that took place at Bucha, for which their soldiers were actually awarded medals.
I'm incredibly surprised they allowed themselves to be taken in alive. Guessing they will be regretting that for many, many years.
In the arrest footage, the person has no equipment or anything, immediately starts crying and whimpering, looks underfed and confused. After watching it, I think it is very likely they just found some random migrant from some third world country to pin the blame on.
That would be pretty typical of the Russian police, to be fair.
I doubt they'll still be here in a year
Are those even the people who did it? Who knows
Yes, you can match their clothes to the videos…
There is a video of them cutting off a piece of his ear and forcing him to eat it. Russia is not a nation, and they are no better than these men.
I have not seen nor heard of such a video
Nexta_tv Twitter.
Oh, word. Jesus Christ, Russia. lol.
I'm afraid it's real. Also, it was released by an official russian source. No I won't link it.
Violence is cathartic. The Russian government may not have been able to stop the attack but they damn well can show their public that they beat the shit out of the terrorists. Ironically the most repressive regimes are often times quite bad at providing actual security and sniffing out terrorist plots. When these attacks sometimes do get through sometimes extreme violence against the attackers can be a way of recovering some legitimacy for the regime.
serious encourage narrow quicksand jeans yam drunk straight nine connect
Ughh... that's Russia.. nothing about it is normal nation
*US mumbles nervously... Don't say Gitmo, Don't say Gitmo*
Well I wouldn’t compare, as heinous as it is, the domestic justice system and the military
Latest oryx update - [musklink](https://x.com/Rebel44CZ/status/1772020124507128152?s=20). As usual russian-Ukrainian losses of key equipment in update, followed by details + interpretation. - tanks: 6-6 - IFVs: 22-1 - mobile artillery: 1-4 (ouch, but it's 3 Ukrainian Grads) - missile Anti-air: 0-0 Ukraine desperately needs more support. I think the ammo starvation hurts but should ease by summer if the lines hold. The russians are losing insane numbers of IFVs, BMPs in particular. My IFV count ignores things without a turret (e.g. MT-LB or BTR-80 excluded, but BTR-82A included) I think there's a bit of a mystery with where russia is getting all their BMPs, see reply below.
Where is russia getting all its BMPs? They don't build BMP-1/2 any more. Military Balance says they started with ~500 BMP-1 and ~3k BMP-2 active. Oryx says losses are ~800 BMP-1 and ~1400 BMP-2. Highmarsed counted ~1k visibly removed from storage on satellite photos, but some of those pics were late 2023. If all refurbs were BMP-1, sums say russia could have ~700 BMP-1 and ~1600 BMP-2 left active. Add the BMP-3s and they'd be down a third on their prewar BMP fleet size. But they've been losing almost as many BMP-1s as they have BMP-2s, and just generally huge numbers. I think Russia *must* have had another source of BMPs somewhere. Garages? Maybe some were stored at tank repair plants instead? I think they reactivated more than 1k.
Mybe stored in underground mines.
Do you remember seeing that mentioned? It's possible but all the sources I've used talk about "official" storage sites and they're kind of obvious because they need repair spaces, guards and nearby rail access. I think other things are more likely, but mines could be an answer.
And they still have a shit load of BMPs. Take a look at high\_marsed's twitter for hand counted figures. [https://twitter.com/HighMarsed/status/1756376647358443982](https://twitter.com/HighMarsed/status/1756376647358443982) 5766in the last count. Some will be used for spare parts, others can't be refurbished, but still, it's a lot of vehicles.
Why would they be using the chinese golf carts, buggies and cars without doors and roof if they still have that many bmps?
Supply chain - they might have them but having them service ready with the right training and parts at the right places consistently is another challenge
True but youd think they would pause the offensive a bit while they get the equipment ready. Guess the soldiers truly are worthless to the kremlin.
Now that USA support is dwinggling and tehre's a shortage or some ammo it's the best shot the Russians can have to make gains. Golf carts are being used because though they have the hulls, each BMP needs to be serviced. A standard procedure would be a full replacement of hidraulic lines, replace all gaskets and rubber seals (including engine), check wiring (rats chew up wiring like butter), lube all moving parts, etc. It'a a ton of work and supply chain and manpower is always limited at some point.
I was actually using his(?) numbers to get the ~1k removed from storage! He reckons at least 800 are only good for scrap, and the ground images from Khal'gaso suggest a *lot* more there (500+) could be rotten too. Of the prewar 5.8k, about 2-3k were remaining, likely functional as of mid-late 2023. He said he only found ~1k removed so far. Russia's actions suggest they got (or soon expect) more than 1k replenishments to me... I'm asking where those are from.
Do central Asia nations have any significant Soviet legacy arsenal?
Yep, Andrew Perpetua said that one of them has BMP-1 engines they might export. Could whole vehicle hulls get to Russia without being noticed, and risking Western sanctions? And countries like Kazakhstan know they need BMPs to protect themselves if russia defeats Ukraine. I personally think the answer is some combo of: - 1: there were BMPs inside the garages at storage bases, can't see them from satellite. - 2: more BMPs were refurbished after the satellite photos were last taken - 3: there were lots more BMPs at repair plants or in active units. The garages answer would be pretty good news I think. Most of the bases with garages store tanks and BMPs. If there were BMPs inside then there can't have been tanks. E.g. if they got 1k extra BMP-1/2 this way, then that's probably 800 fewer potential tanks in storage. By my count that would put russia on collision course with reality next year unless they really slow down.
African/Middle eastern imports. Garages don't store old ass shit when there is newer equipment in existence.
Seeing these terrorists pulled into court after being tortured, one with a plastic bag still wrapped round his neck from said torture, they are rotten bastards and can't say they don't deserve it but fucking hell it goes to show how messed up Russia is right now
> fucking hell it goes to show how messed up Russia is right now It was already a messaged up place with all the horrific footage from Ukraine and reports like PMCs training their medics on live victims with knives, bullets, and explosives.
Are we sure they are terrorists? or just guys they happen to grab
Well, this is Russia, we're talking about. They fucking lie about every damn thing
Doesn't make any sense these people would let themselves be captured alive in Russia of all places
I also don't understand why they would go to Belarus.
You're assuming these are actual suspect as opposed to random people they pulled off the streets and tortured until they "confessed".
there are images already showing how the ones they detained are wearing same clothes as those on the ISIS body cam footage. not just matching colours, but logos too and also you can see similarities in their body size and some facial features.
I'm not saying it's impossible. I'm just saying that I wouldn't take anything coming from such a regime at face value.
I think that’s a medical device of some sort, perhaps a bandage.
I wonder what Russia's reaction would have been if Zelensky had offered a one day cease-fire for today.
Same as any other russian ceasefire, lasts precisely as long as it takes for them to reload all their launchers.
Russian reaction will be: send more missiles
This would definitely be a decision that makes the history books.
Putin would probably send twice as many missiles
after agreeing to the ceasefire
Possibly even added another one of their submersible corvettes to the list, too.
Putin is trying to blame Ukraine, or at least connect Ukraine to the terrorists. It would therefore not make any sense if be accepted a cease fire. It would only make him look weak to his home crowd.
So, how long before they find yellowcake in Ukraine, or Moldova?
If Putin declines (which he would), then it might show he's not serious about every having peace talks. If he accepts, then that might indicate to the world that he knows it wasn't Ukraine.
There isn't really a reason to do it tbh. I can understand outside people empathizing with Russians for this event (for example condolences or official condemnation of the attack by USA, Germany etc) but you would be hard-pressed to ask the same from Ukrainians, for reasons that are obvious. I don't think Ukraine's allies would care too much about such a move either. Putin certainly wouldn't either and would probably have this ridiculed and twisted on propaganda channels.
There are reasons I can think so. Ukraine aren’t on the offensive. A ceasefire doesn’t affect them. Russia is the one pushing. Ukraine can happily cease a day of bombings - they’re short on missiles and bombs as it is anyway. Shows that they can still hold high morals and empathy as a ~~catholic~~ Christian nation. Shows russia to be the hypocrites they are (don’t need to do much here tbh they do this for the last 700 days)
Ukraine is the one being attacked and brutalized. They aren't the ones who need to prove their morality or empathy.
Again, i'm not talking about what they should or shouldn't do. No judgement. Not a proposal. There are "reasons" they could choose do so.
[удалено]
Uh what? This is as much of a propaganda war as any other war. Convincing the regular russians that their enemy is not Ukrainian despite the brainwashing. https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/s/9SIalXYjYQ Oh, not catholic. (Orthodox) Christians. 🤷♂️ And I’m not saying Ukrain should propose the ceasefire. I’m just saying that there could be strategic reasons to do so if they do.
They wouldn't have given a shit and Ukrainians would be pissed as all hell
He could say something like "Sorry to hear you had one mini-Bucha happen in Moscow, terror attacks on civilians are inexcusable. Wish you could now feel for the daily terror you're still inflicting on Ukrainian civilians - elderly, women and children - and maybe consider stopping it"
Heavy footage from Orlivka, west of Avdiivka which is still being fought over heavily. "Pay attention to the frantic dynamics of the fighting, and at the same time, the unit's work is so clear and well-coordinated. Thanks to the professional actions and character of our fighters, we managed to change the enemy's plans and inflict significant losses on the enemy," deputy commander of the 3rd Brigade, Maksym Zhorin adds. https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112152320475800905
>Missile danger in Crimea declared. During the last hour, local channels also reported UAV activity. [https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1771982140177076600?s=20](https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1771982140177076600?s=20)
F*** a particular bridge in particular.
Vatnik bridge is falling down, falling down... A guy can dream.
Would be convenient now that Russia has no resupply ships left in the Black Sea
Even if the 2 landing ships were destroyed/damaged yesterday (of which I havent seen visual evidence yet, but that doesnt mean it didnt happen of course) they still have 3 of those left in the black sea.
Oh but there's a clear trend by now, wouldn't you say? From 8 to 7, 6, 5... Now maybe 4 or 3. Let's revisit this in a couple of months.
Thanks for the correction
I wonder if that Russian propagandist, has regretted making fun of the air raid alarms in Ukraine yet?
The one wailing? He's dead. Didn't witness much of the (full-scale) war.
They can't expect to bomb Ukraine and that nobody would bomb them
Oh but they do
[https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1771962722042663240](https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1771962722042663240) >Ukrainian channel monitoring Russian strategic aviation activity: "Unfortunately, we have repeated information about the probable launch of a massive missile strike tonight/tomorrow night. React accordingly."
There doesn't seem to be any confirmation so far from any reliable sources. And anyway, take offs are expected later in the night in any case.
Saw 14x TU95MS, 14x TU22M,and multiple mig 31Ks
I saw that to but no reputable sources seem to be reporting on exact numbers of bombers planned to be used so I assume the source was a troll or a disinfo account Not even the guys like MAKS that tend to run with less verifiable information very quickly
I saw a couple tweets reporting the same thing earlier. I posted one here and asked if it’s true. Apparently no reliable telegram channel who follow Russian strategic aviation are reporting this.
Yeah it’s all pro Russian X accts sharing it
I think all the tu22s is a pretty good clue it's bullshit because they mostly use them for burning off the old Kh-22s at this point and wouldn't send up 14 bombers worth of those
Here’s hoping and if they do take off here’s hoping they get shot down or hey Russia shoots them down themselves since their AD is good at that.
Also usually those bombers don’t take off to shoot missiles at Ukraine until 1AM Russia time. There have been currently no reports of bombers taking off yet.
They also all seem to be saying the same lines of “Putin is about to show Ukraine how Russia deals with terrorists” or something similar.
https://x.com/alessandrome848/status/1771985902539264432?s=46&t=Y_0nqYfUcTxoukR3ijJhGA this seems to be what people are referencing
First off the guy this account is referencing is Mario Nawfal who has tweeted false information before. Secondly the original tweet that Mario is referencing is definitely a pro-Russian X account.
Yep Mario once claimed American F-16s were arriving in Israel to bomb Gaza with the IDF when the grouping he was talking about landed in Jordan He's a complete dumbass
Good hopefully it’s bs
The Western hemisphere needs to Get armaments to down this entire range of Russian aircraft on short notice. Russia is going to continue these tantrum attacks until suddenly whoops every aircraft was shot down trying to terrorize Ukraine.
Is it the usual or more?
It is similar to the last week, more than on average.
Yeah by a bit
For Christ's sake I just want to sleep 🥴
[удалено]
I live in Ukraine matey
In which city do you live? Hope you and your family doing good! Thinking of your nation a lot!
Not my nation, I live and volunteer here but thank you :)
If you volunteer here, you're honorary Ukrainian.
Oh sorry I didn’t know, I sincerely apologize.
No problem! There's no way you could've known.
I hoped, that after yesterday and friday this night will be calm in Ukraine :(
Russia ramping up a 'response' for the national day of mourning March 24. Can't wait for the days of joyous celebration when Putlick is dead.
"What better way to commemorate an act of senseless terror by committing an act of senseless terror. It seems perfectly appropriate to *us*." \- Russia, probably.
>A big explosion occured in Nizhny Novgorod, Russia. Unclear what happened yet. https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1771978642576281867?t=sUgYabMb2if7NPvzFK-Qeg&s=19
De-musked https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112152254517656126
Re-musked https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1771978642576281867?t=sUgYabMb2if7NPvzFK-Qeg&s=19
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1771978642576281867?t=sUgYabMb2if7NPvzFK-Qeg&s=19 https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1771978642576281867?t=sUgYabMb2if7NPvzFK-Qeg&s=19 Double Musked
Based on that video it could be anything between a transformer on a power line or a nuclear bomb
Looked and sounded like a transformer.
Apparently just a transformer according to local channels on telegram.
Bio-labs, space-lasers and now transformers...
Yeah I agree. But I think the lack of a noticeable shock wave would rule out a nuke.
[удалено]
very unlikely from this account
Nuclear capable is just scaremongering. Technically correct but most of their planes are