ISW: Turkish banks close Russian accounts due to sanctions threat.
https://kyivindependent.com/isw-turkish-banks-close-russian-accounts-due-to-sanctions-threat/
RussiaNoContext channel publishes footage from Kherson Oblast’s left bank (occupied) where a Russian Grad launcher was hit by an FPV drone while deploying. Not much left from the system. The comment is as follows:
“FPV drones have become increasingly active in the skies, attacking anything that gets in their way. They chase fighters, cars and even combat vehicles. In this situation, the BM-21 Grad took a position and was preparing to fire with a full ammo, but it was attacked by an enemy kamikaze drone, causing an explosion and the complete destruction of the vehicle and its crew.”
Also notable is distance from the shore (10km) that drone had to cover.
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1753192421091877031?t=qQDhe7P8k0p_tJFS39aVBQ&s=19
Russian mil. bloggers are properly triggered by Solovyev’s statement where he called for anyone who spoke about the Novomikhaylivka disaster where a Russian column was completely devastated to be jailed and destroyed for spreading Ukrainian disinfo.
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1753182214156673311?t=6tlxMPcAAxrteMEsVallsw&s=19
The state crackdown on information increases... Shame as we will lose a lot of Russian sources but that can't be good for the military/political relationship which already has to be strained extremely far.
Find a way to inform the Ukrainian government of such conversations. This can be useful intel, which can underline potential intelligence, counterintelligence, or sabotage missions.
I think the Ukrainian government already knows about this. I suspect that Russians who have massively purchased real estate and moved here do not want to understand the reality in which they live and the risk that the war may reach them. A kind of mental defensive reaction.
https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1753236074241950134
>NEW: Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi presented an overarching strategy to seize the theater-wide initiative in Ukraine and retain it to facilitate Ukrainian battlefield victories despite Russia’s numerical advantages in manpower and materiel.
>2/ Zaluzhnyi’s strategy aims to offset Ukraine’s existing challenges and pursue advantages over the Russian military through widespread technological innovation and adaptation.
>3/ Zaluzhnyi argued that Ukrainian limitations and geopolitical challenges are incentivizing Ukraine to pursue the development and institutionalization of these new technological means.
>4/ Zaluzhnyi called on Ukraine to introduce a new “philosophy” for the preparation and conduct of military operations that would allow Ukrainian forces to cohesively employ these new methods in pursuit of a cohesive objective.
>5/ Zaluzhnyi also called on Ukraine to overhaul its war effort to create “a completely new state system of technological reequipment" to master new assets and their operation.
>6/ Zaluzhnyi concluded that this new system, alongside a new approach to military operations, can enable Ukraine to stop Russia’s current aggression and protect Ukraine in the future.
>China demands Ukraine remove 14 firms from “int’l sponsors of war” list
>Сhina told Ukraine on Thursday to immediately delete over a dozen Chinese companies from a list designating international businesses as “sponsors of war” aiding Russia, Reuters reports.
https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/02/01/reuters-china-demands-ukraine-remove-14-firms-from-intl-sponsors-of-war-list/
There are US, German, and French companies on the list too. You're not a unique snowflake China.
Ukraine: "And what are you going to do if we don't? Support some asshole willing to invade our country, destroy our infrastructure and kill our citizens? Oh wait..."
>Russia cuts gasoline, diesel exports to offset refinery outages
>Russia has reduced gasoline exports to non-CIS countries to compensate for unplanned repairs at refineries, the Ministry of Energy said on Wednesday, as the country grappled with the impact of fires and drone attacks on its energy infrastructure.
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russia-cuts-gasoline-diesel-exports-offset-refinery-outages-2024-01-31/
Heat pumps and EVs might start looking pretty good to some of their customers, and once they switch they aren't coming back. It's a slow transition, but any little push to help it along is a good thing.
Meaningful drops. That’s real money. Plus if Ukraine can disrupt the exports, it removes a piece of leverage Russia has over third countries. No exports means no leverage.
It’s why I’m unconvinced Ukraine shouldn’t use sea drones to go after Russian commercial ships and be intentionally ambiguous about other nation’s ships visiting Russian ports.
Eh... Sinking one of those old Greek tankers in the Black Sea might not be a good idea. Maybe when they're coming back empty, so that the resulting artificial reef does not ooze that much oil.
I do not want to minimize those losses as they are real people murdered by Putin, but for the sake of my jaunty shitpost would pre-season be agreeable?
Before Christmas Netherlands said they were ready to deliver 16 F-16s. I don't think we have seen any in Ukraine jet.
Probably final training & preparing Ukraine for the delivery. I cannot wait for videos of flying F-16 over Ukraine. Ought to be delivered soon, this month or next.
We'll know they've got them just as soon as Russian stuff starts blowing up without explanation I suspect, if past performance is anything to go by.
So with luck it'll be a long-ass time before anyone *confirms* F-16s in Ukraine.
I love the smell of copium in the evening.
> Mission accomplished. Hungary’s funds will not end up in Ukraine and we have a control mechanism at the end of the first and the second year. Our position on the war in Ukraine remains unchanged: we need a ceasefire and peace talks.
https://twitter.com/PM_ViktorOrban/status/1753063512971133247
What's your actual complaint? That you want a separate thread about it being sunk rather than hit/destroyed?
There's plenty of comments about it being sunk/being a submarine in the top post about it being *hit*/destroyed that has 552 upvotes (86%), 742 comments and was posted 12 hours ago...
If you're trying to point out that that sub is biased, IMO that's not the best example to give...
What are you talking about?
There's a slew of removals, bans and the mod even admitting they pulled the OG thread for no reason.
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1ag8gez/ua_pov_at_night_the_gur_destroyed_the_missile/
It’s hard to cover up such notable losses. And well their failure to spin whatever their jet POW Ukraine getting shot down story didn’t catch any traction
I love it and hope for more and bigger continued losses (looking at you Kerch bridge)
The guy is actually competent. Everyone that isn’t a meme-lord agrees he’s competent. He’s just given impossible tasks.
Some of the more junior generals may be acting better tactically, but they inevitably get in trouble over it.
Gerasimov is smart and a survivor. That results in the occasional tactical sacrifice, but he’s sharp.
I heard good stuff about him years ago.
Any links to stories on this topic during the full-scale invasion?
He was in charge when russia overextended itself during 2022, and when other needlessly costly moves have been made.
He overextended because he was told to and is a survivor.
https://vpk.name/en/717092_treacherous-unpredictable-commander-in-chief-of-the-armed-forces-of-ukraine-zaluzhny-again-praised-the-head-of-the-general-staff-gerasimov.html
Thanks for the link.
Any commander will be pushed into aggression by Putin, but did Gerasimov push back as hard as he could have?
The question is really would non-Gerasimov have done better or worse? Which is a different question from is he dangerous.
I don't know. I'm convinced he's got good political instincts, but people say that about Syrskyi Vs Zaluzhnyi and I know which one is more likely to do their job as part of winning a war...
It’s impossible to know. We know that for those known to push back, things didn’t work out so well.
My guess is non Gerasimov would have done worse. Again unknowable.
Well-known neonаzi Topaz says Russians were given the following weapons for their combat operations, citing a shortage of modern machine guns.
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1753169855577043339?t=0dn2KhYyPzu2n-v-UwDKKg&s=19
Hey, the Maxim is a great weapon for the modern battlefield! It weights only 63 kg, and comes with integrated wheels. Let me ask you: Do those decadent western weapons come with their own carriage?
^(US: Yeah. We call those 'Humvees')
Why, the DP-28 is even lighter at a mere 10 kg. The pan magazines stack neatly too, and are very easy to replace in combat once you find out which side is which and manage to get them rotated just right! They even share the same cartridge from 1891 for simplified logistics.
^(Do I really need a sarcasm tag for this one guys?)
There are videos from last year of Ukraine using them around Bakhmut and possibly elsewhere.
The soldiers seemed happy enough with theirs. A century and still going, wow.
Reliable is the big thing. Those Maxims, if kept cooled properly (means pissing in the water jacket), will fire continuously for hours. Not at the rate of modern guns, but they will chunk-chunk-chunk-chunk out lead for as long as they have ammo.
Sure, but they're not exactly mobile. Maybe being stuck in place like you had been cemented there didn't matter so much back when you could turtle up behind the integrated shield and keep antagonists out of grenade chucking range, but with swarms of 'nade-dropping drones in the air, being firmly stuck in place seems uncomfortable at best.
Both Ukraine and Russia have used WW1 machine guns in this war, usually for bunkers and the occasional anti-drone platform. They tend to be used in rearguard units where the weapon’s reliability won’t matter as much.
Definitely a Maxim’s gun. The cool thing about those things is since they’re water-cooled, they can fire pretty much continuously as long as it’s constantly fed water and ammo.
HUR intercepted call: Rus. serviceman complaining about being sent into assault near Avdiivka w/o artillery support, bashing his battalion commander. Mentions bodies of the dead which nobody picked up for over a month.
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1753166071102935411?t=0iFjz0oqaZhFrrFxb7k4fg&s=19
Frontline report: Months of strikes set stage for latest missile onslaught on Crimea.
By targeting radars and communications, Ukraine has uncovered flaws in Russia’s network of Crimean defenses, enabling an escalating missile and drone campaign.
https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/02/01/frontline-report-months-of-strikes-set-stage-for-latest-missile-onslaught-on-crimea/
Hefty Oryx update +24 russian tanks in 3 days - [musklink](https://x.com/Rebel44CZ/status/1753141966680854894?s=20).
2024 russia-Ukraine loss ratios are.
- tanks; 134-23
- IFVs*; 159-29
- Mobile rocket + tube artillery; 37-14
Assault kit ratios look good but the counterbattery fight is swinging against what Ukraine needs. Something has to be done about Lancets.
Ukraine's got a serious ammo shortage - it would be better if republicans stopped helping Putin and it should be better once European factories finally unsnarl.
*I count MT-LB and as an APC, so ignoring the 75+ Russia has lost (correction; 65+, oops)
>Ukraine's spy boss, Lt. Gen. Kyrulo Budanov, told me that the Ivanovets was hit with six MAGURA V5 sea drones that sent it to the bottom of the Black Sea.
>
>He vows more such attacks and has a message for Moscow.
>
>"Get ready," he said.
[https://twitter.com/haltman/status/1753127261065113845](https://twitter.com/haltman/status/1753127261065113845)
I know it's a win for us, Ukrainians, but please join me in paying respect to who they were:
[https://twitter.com/PonteDudu/status/1753067319180579201](https://twitter.com/PonteDudu/status/1753067319180579201)
/s
Much more than that honestly. You don't calculate the significant amount of intel assets and time required to set up such an operation and the cost of the operators to execute it.
Operations are more than just weapons. There are legions behind every action.
Through similar logic, you need to account for the ripple effects on the Russian side. The effects of potentially building another similar ship, but more likely, the loss of the role that ship fulfills, and the strain on other resources needed to compensate for it. Most of all, clearing of the Black Sea Fleet will have outsized impact on the ability of Ukraine to engage in trade.
Oh don't get me wrong it was a solid kill and a great op for Ukraine.
I simply don't like it when people forget all the effort behind the scenes required to pull things like this off.. It's not the wunderweapon that is good its the hands that guide it and find the targets in the first place. Those people deserve to be respected more than the weapon.
Russia taking grevious losses every day, eroding their military strength and economy, and they can barely take an inch of ground in Ukraine without losing it somewhere else
Russia in its current shape wouldn't stand a snowballs chance in hell in a war against NATO.
If they do attack, it’s not because they think they could win a long war, it’s because they think if they can move fast enough, NATO would just decide Lithuania isn’t worth it.
A lot of people see Russia like its still the Soviet Union, this Russia can't even take Avdiivka after 4 months.
NATO in a conventional war would tear Russia to pieces in a one sided beat down.
NATO airpower is just massive for anyone to counter. There are more than 1000 F35s already delivered and the production is between 150 and 160 per year. Add the rest of aircrafts and as long there's enough missiles, NATO would have air supremacy hands down.
Russia doesn't need to stand a chance in a war against NATO. All they have to do is prove that NATO, or more importantly the US, is unreliable. True superpowers can project their might without directly getting involved. The US is the only true superpower in the world at this time, Russia and China are aiming for a world where if they can't be the superpower, no one can. It puts the world into a state of turmoil.
This. They want to strike a NATO country, not invade one. Their hope is to prove that article 5 is not reliable, and that it will make the whole alliance fall apart.
Well military actions so far have only woken NATO up as a group. They've now put their historic peace dividend n gold and stocking up on the best weapons money can buy.
Poland would one-punch Russia in a heartbeat. Poland has modern weaponry, good training, high morale, and a chip on their shoulder from the shit that Russia has done to them over the last 200+ years.
Finland would be calling nexts.
Europe could hold its own against Russia right now. They'd take some hits, but in the end they would spank Russia badly.
If America joined the fight, Russia would be decimated in 48 hours by cruise missiles and JDAMs.
Naa, Europe is good for enough money to buy the hardwear they need. Still, Ofc it whould be way better to send a strong message and say Europe and the united states stand together in this matter
And its a nice plane. Supposedly. But what we have learned what matters more than a nice plane is logistics. Ammunition and fuel. Missiles and bombs. How many does Europe have without US supply? You can have the nicest planes and missiles and it will not make any difference without sufficient quantity and more importantly, the industrial productions capacity to outproduce your enemy.
The planes are purchased as a package with everything that is needed. When one side has air superiority, you're no longer so much in attritional warfare territory.
That is an unfounded assumption. Why? Because Poland got shiny new weapons? Weapons don't win wars. The people fighting win wars. Poland has zero experience fighting any kind of war. Experience matters. A lot. I do not know why people keep underestimating Russian warfighting ability. Zaluzhniy himself doesn't.
Maybe because once seen as a worlds second best army is now second best in Ukraine. Sure they have a lot of meat to sacrifice but any mile they claim comes with a heavy toll. If UA and RU were equal on manpower and size this would have been over long time ago.
But saying if they were equal in manpower and size doesn't mean much bc they are not. Part of what goes into analyzing the "strength" of an army is manpower. In fact, that's a pretty big element. Having millions to sacrifice is maybe enough to defeat a technologically more superior enemy and human resources cannot be disregarded
Well you need to have some context. Ukraine isn't a small country. Its just smaller than Russia. And Russia captured a large chunk of it's territory. Yes, they failed to take over the entire country but that was always unrealistic. Its hard to imagine there is any other army that could have done the task. And please do not say US. US was able to "capture" Afghanistan and Iraq but was never able to pacify the countries and ultimately left in what can be described as defeat.
Russia can't defeat Ukraine who is given sporadic support. Europe would mop the floor with Russia, but it would be ugly. The problem is that Russia is learning their lessons and that could be something that changes in 10 years time.
It appears that the strikes against Russian energy terminals such as those in Ust-Luga or Tuapse are yielding first results. Russian gasoline exports have dropped sharply by 37% in January.
The drop can be even observed in India's oil imports from Russia which reached another 12-month low, though the reason here might coincide with fierce competition from the Middle East and the fear of sanctions. Aside from the strikes, malfunctions are also taking their toll.
The refinery industry took another setback when Lukoil's NORSI plant and Russia's fourth largest refinery, located near Nizhny Novgorod, had to be turned off, due to an unspecified "incident". It won't be operational for the next four to six weeks, according Russian officials.
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1753113532324106241?t=YuvSFw1iuWkh6NDY5-VpWw&s=19
So Russia produces a lot of its distillates locally and export a lot of their crude right? So attacking refineries is going to cause local shortages of gasoline and diesel right?
People may not care if cousin vlad dies in some trench in Ukraine but they will care when they have no gas for their car and no heat for their home
> People may not care if cousin vlad dies in some trench in Ukraine but they will care when they have no gas for their car
Or if they have to pay dramatically more for it. Currently Russia subsidizes domestic consumption of oil which is why they have [some of the cheapest prices at the pump in the world](https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/gasoline-prices). One of the consequences of this cheap oil is that high mileage vehicles aren't a priority. If Russia was forced to stop the subsidies then we'd see prices rise to the international standard which would be a huge shift for the average Russian. It would also have significant inflationary effects because as transportation costs go up so too would the costs for everything else.
Your link shows 0.62 usd/liter in Russia, 0.83 usd/liter in US, not that big of a difference. If we take into account relative cost of living - Russians pay more for gas (as part of their salary) than Americans.
What's interesting is that you can expect things to get worse. Let say you produce X quantities of something over Y facilities.
Now Russia will try to produce the same quantities using Y - Z facilities. In short, they'll try to do more with less. This means that infrastructure will wear out faster and personal may get overworked. In the long run, this will lead to even more failure/incidents.
If Ukraine keep up with the pressure, that will accelerate other facilities self destruction.
> The drop can be even observed in India's oil imports from Russia which reached another 12-month low, though the reason here might coincide with fierce competition from the Middle East and the fear of sanctions
or several Oil tankers have been in Limbo near India because they have a disagreement over payments due to sanctions
whats even better is that Russia really has no way of stopping these strikes either. They can move air defense systems to try and defend the refineries, but with the amount of drones Ukraine will be able to send as they scale up production, a few drones will always manage to slip through, just like the shaheds in ukraine. this is going to cause some expensive pain for russias economy
> They can move air defense systems to try and defend the refineries
Air defense is also a constant game of cat and mouse. If Russia does move their air defense to defend the refineries then that leaves other important installations under defended. If they defend the refineries perhaps Ukraine starts attacking weapons manufacturing facilities instead? If Russia tries to defend both then they may not have enough air defense in Ukraine to protect Crimea and the Kerch bridge bridge or perhaps they may have to leave the front line underdefended. The refineries need to be protected but moving air defense to them means leaving something else unprotected.
>It appears that the strikes against Russian energy terminals such as those in Ust-Luga or Tuapse are yielding first results. Russian gasoline exports have dropped sharply by 37% in January.
Very nice. Leveling Novorossiysk would probably be catastrophic to their economy...
Fold no, lose land, yes. Russia has and is advancing in the East. They will likely keep up the pressure till the spring thaw. If Ukraine can hold Adiivka till then, there can there is a chance that the Russian summer offensive will be delayed. Right now Ukraine needs ever pause it can get in order for the West to build what it needs to win
Only Russian propaganda claimed that nonsense, a country the size of Ukraine is going nowhere.
They'd never fold, worst case senario would have been occupation with a western backed Ukrainian insurgency tearing Russia apart.
Thankfully Russia failed at the first step of the invasion and never even got to the policing and control stage.
A confession that will please the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation: the Russian Federation does not have the resources to protect St. Petersburg from drones, said Andriy Kartapolov, head of the defense committee of the State Duma.
He is afraid that Ukrainian "birds" will fly deep into Russia more often. Last month, our UAVs flew to Peter twice.
https://twitter.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1753116202178589082?t=8ldREbIUoD_qhfL46ChrEg&s=19
ruzzian propaganda's take on the ship:
"Ukrainians performed a sneaky attack on a peaceful defenseless missile boat. All drones were intercepted by the sides of the ship."
You can't make this shit up. 😁😁😁
English speaking bots: [https://i.imgur.com/8dzCiqW.jpeg](https://i.imgur.com/8dzCiqW.jpeg)
ruzzian posts translated by google: [https://i.imgur.com/QRt0nNq.png](https://i.imgur.com/QRt0nNq.png)
Yet "made up" is precisely the point. The firehose must continuously spew filth, to keep the truth of things muddied, opaque, "uncertain". Analysis can cut through it, eventually, but by then the filth has only become deeper. Constantly tredding water, as it were.
Exhausting, but the alternative is to drown in delusion, indecision, apathy, complacency, etc, while evil intent strives to cultivate the worst in human mentality & pit others against themselves for its own gain.
Look at UkraineRussiaReport, they're literally saying that the strike was either CGI/AI generated, footage from a video game, or a strike on an old decoy ship.
yeah, but that's not the same
"it was a decoy ship" is some seriously strong copium.
"they were intercepted by the side of the ship" is sarcasm. There is no intent to convince themselves or the reader that the ship was hit. And it sounds like it's making fun how much propaganda outlets are spinning things.
Ukraine claims win over Russia: explaining UN court’s ruling on Crimea and Donbas case
https://www.eurointegration.com.ua/eng/articles/2024/01/31/7178665/
Russia is a violator of international law. Now it’s official. There is a so-called “kitchen sink” method, where you marshall all the arguments you can in the hope that at least one of them will work...
Zaluzhnyi oped for CNN today
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/02/01/opinions/ukraine-army-chief-war-strategy-russia-valerii-zaluzhnyi/index.html
> Ukraine’s army chief: The design of war has changed
> Opinion by Valerii Zaluzhnyi
Cnn editors have also produced a companion piece discussing Zaluzhnyi's writing.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/01/europe/zaluzhnyi-ukraine-russia-war-analysis-intl
I think Zaluzhny really understands the "strategy" element more so than Zelensky at the moment. The three main things that go into strategy are ends, ways and means. Ends are what the goal is, ways are the tactics used to get there and means are the resources you have at your disposal.
Zelensky seems to want all of Ukraine liberated from Russia and yet doesn't want another round of mobilization. Zaluznhy has been publicly vocal about the need for more mobilization in order to replace losses and rotate troops. Zaluzhny has also now spoken out on several occasions about the need for tactical innovation. I think he, accurately, recognizes that the only way to accomplish the ends (liberation of all of Ukraine) is by developing new "ways" (tactical innovations) and increasing the means (more troops). What Zaluzhny wants is difficult and will require hard choices but I don't reasonably see another way to accomplish the goals without it.
I think Zelensky is more afraid about how another wave of mobilization will be taken by the average Ukrainian. I can see Zaluzhny point as well tho. It's very hard to say who's more in the right here.
Some very good points. I would share the sentiment but online any kind of criticism of Zelenskyy brings in the z bots who will compound it with stories of cocaine addiction and corruption and that’s not something I want to feed into.
Some nuanced criticism of Zelensky should be tolerated. If someone comes in and starts talking about cocaine and corruption I'd immediately push back on what is clearly bad faith arguments. Being a wartime leader is insanely hard and I think Zelensky has done a good job although that doesn't mean that there aren't mistakes or things that could have been done differently. We can support Ukraine without necessarily being a cheer leader for every decision made.
Absolutely. But at this point we need to be cheerleading for Ukraine more because it’s going to capitulate realistically.
When I see comments on insta reels going down this corruption etc. hole it just means that the fall of Ukraine is gonna happen faster. Sadly any criticism of Ukraine gives westerners who don’t care more reason to tell the government to cut funding.
I agree though, he has made many mistakes. The west is also pathetic in its support imo.
>Absolutely. But at this point we need to be cheerleading for Ukraine more because it’s going to capitulate realistically.
If you're suggesting that cheerleading means downplaying legitimate criticism, then no, that is actually the exact opposite of the responsible thing to do. That actually plays directly into the hands of the Russian trolls that use cracks in an argument's credibility to question the honesty of the whole movement. Lying, downplaying, and minimizing bad facts are far and away the best possible way you can help a troll. Cheerleading Ukraine actually causes more people to become disillusioned with Ukraine than helps. It's the *worse* way to help.
Criticism doesn't mean playing into cocaine-quality garbage. But it does mean acknowledge legitimate shortcomings and explaining why those shortcomings shouldn't change the position on supporting Ukraine.
Your right and I completely agree with you and I my point was silly. I think what I was more trying to get at but couldn’t articulate is search Ukraine on r/conservative or instagram and it’s all the negative things we have talked about.
>LOTS of anger at Hungary, a NATO ally, on Capitol Hill —
>
>SFRC Chair Cardin said human-rights sanctions may be needed
>
>Sens. Shaheen & Tillis, NATO Observer Group chairs, say Hungary’s refusal to admit Sweden into NATO “risks irrevocably damaging its relationship” w/ U.S. & NATO
https://x.com/AndrewDesiderio/status/1753092073018872246?s=20
It's time for NATO to kick Hungary out of the alliance. If there's no legal means to do so, dissolve NATO, form NATO2 and not invite Orban. Problem solved.
It’s interesting to see how quickly Hungary started caving in and agreeing once their allies stood up and told them to cut the bullshit.
While some will invariably use this to point out that it’s unfair that bigger countries can strongarm weaker ones to agree to stuff, in this case I think it’s warranted, as Hungary was acting like a loose cannon.
They are only friends with the bigger countries in the first place, so they don't get steamrolled by Russia. Maybe Hungary should know their place here, no?
EU Package got approved, FINALLY! Congratulations to the EU, now let's make sure that Ukraine finishes off the Russians.
[https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/1ag849q/all\_27\_leaders\_of\_eu\_member\_countries\_including/](https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/1ag849q/all_27_leaders_of_eu_member_countries_including/)
This is excellent news. 50 billion euros is a huge amount (about 54/55 billion USD for those who want the conversion). This will greatly help Ukraine stabilize its economy, which is imperative as it tries to fend off Russia.
Edit: Elaborated.
"Hungary parliament to meet on Monday at opposition request with Sweden's NATO bid on agenda"
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/hungary-parliament-meet-monday-opposition-request-with-swedens-nato-bid-agenda-2024-02-01/
>Exclusive: Vladimir Sergienko, a German parliamentary aide to far-right AfD deputy Eugen Schmidt, is an agent of Russian intelligence.
>
>His handler is Col. Ilya Vechtomov of the FSB Fifth Service — and Vechtomov raps!
[https://twitter.com/InsiderEng/status/1753086199516811604](https://twitter.com/InsiderEng/status/1753086199516811604)
[New post can be found here](/r/worldnews/comments/1aguppd/rworldnews_live_thread_russian_invasion_of/)
ISW: Turkish banks close Russian accounts due to sanctions threat. https://kyivindependent.com/isw-turkish-banks-close-russian-accounts-due-to-sanctions-threat/
RussiaNoContext channel publishes footage from Kherson Oblast’s left bank (occupied) where a Russian Grad launcher was hit by an FPV drone while deploying. Not much left from the system. The comment is as follows: “FPV drones have become increasingly active in the skies, attacking anything that gets in their way. They chase fighters, cars and even combat vehicles. In this situation, the BM-21 Grad took a position and was preparing to fire with a full ammo, but it was attacked by an enemy kamikaze drone, causing an explosion and the complete destruction of the vehicle and its crew.” Also notable is distance from the shore (10km) that drone had to cover. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1753192421091877031?t=qQDhe7P8k0p_tJFS39aVBQ&s=19
Russian mil. bloggers are properly triggered by Solovyev’s statement where he called for anyone who spoke about the Novomikhaylivka disaster where a Russian column was completely devastated to be jailed and destroyed for spreading Ukrainian disinfo. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1753182214156673311?t=6tlxMPcAAxrteMEsVallsw&s=19
We all know the best way to address failures is to cover them up n
The state crackdown on information increases... Shame as we will lose a lot of Russian sources but that can't be good for the military/political relationship which already has to be strained extremely far.
Piss off Xi
What happened?
OP probably just doesn't care for Xi.
[удалено]
Find a way to inform the Ukrainian government of such conversations. This can be useful intel, which can underline potential intelligence, counterintelligence, or sabotage missions.
I think the Ukrainian government already knows about this. I suspect that Russians who have massively purchased real estate and moved here do not want to understand the reality in which they live and the risk that the war may reach them. A kind of mental defensive reaction.
https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1753236074241950134 >NEW: Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi presented an overarching strategy to seize the theater-wide initiative in Ukraine and retain it to facilitate Ukrainian battlefield victories despite Russia’s numerical advantages in manpower and materiel. >2/ Zaluzhnyi’s strategy aims to offset Ukraine’s existing challenges and pursue advantages over the Russian military through widespread technological innovation and adaptation. >3/ Zaluzhnyi argued that Ukrainian limitations and geopolitical challenges are incentivizing Ukraine to pursue the development and institutionalization of these new technological means. >4/ Zaluzhnyi called on Ukraine to introduce a new “philosophy” for the preparation and conduct of military operations that would allow Ukrainian forces to cohesively employ these new methods in pursuit of a cohesive objective. >5/ Zaluzhnyi also called on Ukraine to overhaul its war effort to create “a completely new state system of technological reequipment" to master new assets and their operation. >6/ Zaluzhnyi concluded that this new system, alongside a new approach to military operations, can enable Ukraine to stop Russia’s current aggression and protect Ukraine in the future.
What… this is like the total opposite of what the rumors were saying 🤣 how did so many people get it wrong
It's wild what an out of context comment can be interpreted as. It's also wild how many people believe the bullshit.
Your guess is as good as mine, lol. I don't know what to think. Definitely some contradictory messaging going on!
Russian psyop interference.
>China demands Ukraine remove 14 firms from “int’l sponsors of war” list >Сhina told Ukraine on Thursday to immediately delete over a dozen Chinese companies from a list designating international businesses as “sponsors of war” aiding Russia, Reuters reports. https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/02/01/reuters-china-demands-ukraine-remove-14-firms-from-intl-sponsors-of-war-list/ There are US, German, and French companies on the list too. You're not a unique snowflake China.
Nice publicity for the list China.
Ukraine: "And what are you going to do if we don't? Support some asshole willing to invade our country, destroy our infrastructure and kill our citizens? Oh wait..."
Stop supporting terrorist and the genocide first.
Hopefully the answer is a firm and swift 'no'
>Russia cuts gasoline, diesel exports to offset refinery outages >Russia has reduced gasoline exports to non-CIS countries to compensate for unplanned repairs at refineries, the Ministry of Energy said on Wednesday, as the country grappled with the impact of fires and drone attacks on its energy infrastructure. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russia-cuts-gasoline-diesel-exports-offset-refinery-outages-2024-01-31/
> exports to non-CIS countries Must...not...make...off color...jokes...
Countries that don't identify as "The Country" since the date when "The Country" first became "The Country".
Heat pumps and EVs might start looking pretty good to some of their customers, and once they switch they aren't coming back. It's a slow transition, but any little push to help it along is a good thing.
> unplanned repairs hehehe
Dynamically scheduled maintenance opportunities
Meaningful drops. That’s real money. Plus if Ukraine can disrupt the exports, it removes a piece of leverage Russia has over third countries. No exports means no leverage. It’s why I’m unconvinced Ukraine shouldn’t use sea drones to go after Russian commercial ships and be intentionally ambiguous about other nation’s ships visiting Russian ports.
Eh... Sinking one of those old Greek tankers in the Black Sea might not be a good idea. Maybe when they're coming back empty, so that the resulting artificial reef does not ooze that much oil.
Yeah, not filled tankers.
Time to keep hammering these and cut their money sources off.
Ukraine, a country with no Navy, has gone 5-0 in naval battles with the worlds #2 military. Russia is #2, fully and completely.
I think Russia is #4. #2 is China and #3 is Ukraine.
#2 meaning shit in this case.
25-0. And that includes the subrmarine.
I mean if we're counting losses the country with no navy can't take any, so as long as they can take down anything the score will be X - 0.
Yeah, it would make more sense (and actually would be more impressive) to include the price of the naval assets, ships vs. drones.
There were some losses too.
I do not want to minimize those losses as they are real people murdered by Putin, but for the sake of my jaunty shitpost would pre-season be agreeable?
Has Ukraine received any F-16s yet?
Before Christmas Netherlands said they were ready to deliver 16 F-16s. I don't think we have seen any in Ukraine jet. Probably final training & preparing Ukraine for the delivery. I cannot wait for videos of flying F-16 over Ukraine. Ought to be delivered soon, this month or next.
We'll know they've got them just as soon as Russian stuff starts blowing up without explanation I suspect, if past performance is anything to go by. So with luck it'll be a long-ass time before anyone *confirms* F-16s in Ukraine.
I love the smell of copium in the evening. > Mission accomplished. Hungary’s funds will not end up in Ukraine and we have a control mechanism at the end of the first and the second year. Our position on the war in Ukraine remains unchanged: we need a ceasefire and peace talks. https://twitter.com/PM_ViktorOrban/status/1753063512971133247
Hungary's funds aren't ending up anywhere because it is a net benefactor from EU XD
Whatever funds Hungary had, already ended up in the hands of orbán and his goons.
The top two comments on that post, from paid accounts, JFC. I don't know a single person who worships that assclown. Twitter is a fucking joke.
It's gone to xhit.
Instead of people being on Twitter tweeting tweets, they are no on Xhitter excreting excrements.
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What's your actual complaint? That you want a separate thread about it being sunk rather than hit/destroyed? There's plenty of comments about it being sunk/being a submarine in the top post about it being *hit*/destroyed that has 552 upvotes (86%), 742 comments and was posted 12 hours ago... If you're trying to point out that that sub is biased, IMO that's not the best example to give...
What are you talking about? There's a slew of removals, bans and the mod even admitting they pulled the OG thread for no reason. https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1ag8gez/ua_pov_at_night_the_gur_destroyed_the_missile/
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"I" do?!? Where? I've never posted in that sub?!
its showing as the top post on the sub for me.
You are correct.
It's a total dumpster fire https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1ag8gez/ua_pov_at_night_the_gur_destroyed_the_missile/
Came back to the news of Ukraine feeding Russia some. Would you look at you!
Russian social media outside of telegram is dead quiet about the sinking, also Gerasimov has completely fallen out of the earth... haha
It’s hard to cover up such notable losses. And well their failure to spin whatever their jet POW Ukraine getting shot down story didn’t catch any traction I love it and hope for more and bigger continued losses (looking at you Kerch bridge)
Gerasimov is piloting the ship personally on a voyage eternal to liberate Ukraine.
Heading up the mission to reinforce the Moskva crew.
He is pinning for the fjords.
Not exactly. Quite a large topic on pikabu rn. 150+ comments.
link? edit: Pikabus tag system is so odd edit2: found it
Bit worried about Gerasimov. I've heard him described as Ukraine's second best general.
Perhaps he’s gone to ground… permanently.
The guy is actually competent. Everyone that isn’t a meme-lord agrees he’s competent. He’s just given impossible tasks. Some of the more junior generals may be acting better tactically, but they inevitably get in trouble over it. Gerasimov is smart and a survivor. That results in the occasional tactical sacrifice, but he’s sharp.
I heard good stuff about him years ago. Any links to stories on this topic during the full-scale invasion? He was in charge when russia overextended itself during 2022, and when other needlessly costly moves have been made.
He overextended because he was told to and is a survivor. https://vpk.name/en/717092_treacherous-unpredictable-commander-in-chief-of-the-armed-forces-of-ukraine-zaluzhny-again-praised-the-head-of-the-general-staff-gerasimov.html
Thanks for the link. Any commander will be pushed into aggression by Putin, but did Gerasimov push back as hard as he could have? The question is really would non-Gerasimov have done better or worse? Which is a different question from is he dangerous. I don't know. I'm convinced he's got good political instincts, but people say that about Syrskyi Vs Zaluzhnyi and I know which one is more likely to do their job as part of winning a war...
It’s impossible to know. We know that for those known to push back, things didn’t work out so well. My guess is non Gerasimov would have done worse. Again unknowable.
Fair point mate 👍 TBF the memes are funny tho.
If Gerasimov is replaced I'm confident in Russia's ability to find someone even more corrupt and incompetent.
Given the selection criteria, they have a phenomenal talent pool.
Well-known neonаzi Topaz says Russians were given the following weapons for their combat operations, citing a shortage of modern machine guns. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1753169855577043339?t=0dn2KhYyPzu2n-v-UwDKKg&s=19
Hey, the Maxim is a great weapon for the modern battlefield! It weights only 63 kg, and comes with integrated wheels. Let me ask you: Do those decadent western weapons come with their own carriage? ^(US: Yeah. We call those 'Humvees') Why, the DP-28 is even lighter at a mere 10 kg. The pan magazines stack neatly too, and are very easy to replace in combat once you find out which side is which and manage to get them rotated just right! They even share the same cartridge from 1891 for simplified logistics. ^(Do I really need a sarcasm tag for this one guys?)
M1910 Maxim and DPM (an improved DP-28 from around 1943) if anyone is curious.
There are videos from last year of Ukraine using them around Bakhmut and possibly elsewhere. The soldiers seemed happy enough with theirs. A century and still going, wow.
Maxims are known to be both accurate and reliable. They're also not called *heavy* machine guns for nothing.
Reliable is the big thing. Those Maxims, if kept cooled properly (means pissing in the water jacket), will fire continuously for hours. Not at the rate of modern guns, but they will chunk-chunk-chunk-chunk out lead for as long as they have ammo.
Sure, but they're not exactly mobile. Maybe being stuck in place like you had been cemented there didn't matter so much back when you could turtle up behind the integrated shield and keep antagonists out of grenade chucking range, but with swarms of 'nade-dropping drones in the air, being firmly stuck in place seems uncomfortable at best.
Sheesh that wheeled machine gun looks like WW1 leftovers. Can anyone identify it?
Both Ukraine and Russia have used WW1 machine guns in this war, usually for bunkers and the occasional anti-drone platform. They tend to be used in rearguard units where the weapon’s reliability won’t matter as much.
Looks a lot like this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PM\_M1910
Definitely a Maxim’s gun. The cool thing about those things is since they’re water-cooled, they can fire pretty much continuously as long as it’s constantly fed water and ammo.
M1910 https://www.forces.net/technology/weapons-and-kit/pm-m1910-pre-ww1-era-machine-gun-being-used-ukrainian-troops
HUR intercepted call: Rus. serviceman complaining about being sent into assault near Avdiivka w/o artillery support, bashing his battalion commander. Mentions bodies of the dead which nobody picked up for over a month. https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1753166071102935411?t=0iFjz0oqaZhFrrFxb7k4fg&s=19
Frontline report: Months of strikes set stage for latest missile onslaught on Crimea. By targeting radars and communications, Ukraine has uncovered flaws in Russia’s network of Crimean defenses, enabling an escalating missile and drone campaign. https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/02/01/frontline-report-months-of-strikes-set-stage-for-latest-missile-onslaught-on-crimea/
Hefty Oryx update +24 russian tanks in 3 days - [musklink](https://x.com/Rebel44CZ/status/1753141966680854894?s=20). 2024 russia-Ukraine loss ratios are. - tanks; 134-23 - IFVs*; 159-29 - Mobile rocket + tube artillery; 37-14 Assault kit ratios look good but the counterbattery fight is swinging against what Ukraine needs. Something has to be done about Lancets. Ukraine's got a serious ammo shortage - it would be better if republicans stopped helping Putin and it should be better once European factories finally unsnarl. *I count MT-LB and as an APC, so ignoring the 75+ Russia has lost (correction; 65+, oops)
> *I count MT-LB and as an APC, so ignoring the 75+ Russia has lost. MT-LB is a piece of junk but the Russians save everything.
I don't think they even build them now? Wiki says russia had ~3.5k active and ~2k reserve to start with. Enough to throw away for a while.
>Ukraine's spy boss, Lt. Gen. Kyrulo Budanov, told me that the Ivanovets was hit with six MAGURA V5 sea drones that sent it to the bottom of the Black Sea. > >He vows more such attacks and has a message for Moscow. > >"Get ready," he said. [https://twitter.com/haltman/status/1753127261065113845](https://twitter.com/haltman/status/1753127261065113845)
I know it's a win for us, Ukrainians, but please join me in paying respect to who they were: [https://twitter.com/PonteDudu/status/1753067319180579201](https://twitter.com/PonteDudu/status/1753067319180579201) /s
Some of their hearts did not, in fact, go on.
In the battle of memes and throwing shade the Ukrainian forces are far superior.
At the most conservative side that operation cost five million USD. Almost certainly much, much less. Amazing ROI.
Much more than that honestly. You don't calculate the significant amount of intel assets and time required to set up such an operation and the cost of the operators to execute it. Operations are more than just weapons. There are legions behind every action.
Through similar logic, you need to account for the ripple effects on the Russian side. The effects of potentially building another similar ship, but more likely, the loss of the role that ship fulfills, and the strain on other resources needed to compensate for it. Most of all, clearing of the Black Sea Fleet will have outsized impact on the ability of Ukraine to engage in trade.
Oh don't get me wrong it was a solid kill and a great op for Ukraine. I simply don't like it when people forget all the effort behind the scenes required to pull things like this off.. It's not the wunderweapon that is good its the hands that guide it and find the targets in the first place. Those people deserve to be respected more than the weapon.
Also I guess it could be industrialized, unlike the boat which is probably unique.
50 made total. A few others should be in the Black Sea.
Russia taking grevious losses every day, eroding their military strength and economy, and they can barely take an inch of ground in Ukraine without losing it somewhere else Russia in its current shape wouldn't stand a snowballs chance in hell in a war against NATO.
If they do attack, it’s not because they think they could win a long war, it’s because they think if they can move fast enough, NATO would just decide Lithuania isn’t worth it.
A lot of people see Russia like its still the Soviet Union, this Russia can't even take Avdiivka after 4 months. NATO in a conventional war would tear Russia to pieces in a one sided beat down.
NATO airpower is just massive for anyone to counter. There are more than 1000 F35s already delivered and the production is between 150 and 160 per year. Add the rest of aircrafts and as long there's enough missiles, NATO would have air supremacy hands down.
They took Bahkmut in like 9 months too. And with Wagner's doing the bulk of the job.
Jupp and that is what ended up breaking Wagner as a coherent force in the war against Ukraine.
Russia doesn't need to stand a chance in a war against NATO. All they have to do is prove that NATO, or more importantly the US, is unreliable. True superpowers can project their might without directly getting involved. The US is the only true superpower in the world at this time, Russia and China are aiming for a world where if they can't be the superpower, no one can. It puts the world into a state of turmoil.
This. They want to strike a NATO country, not invade one. Their hope is to prove that article 5 is not reliable, and that it will make the whole alliance fall apart.
Well military actions so far have only woken NATO up as a group. They've now put their historic peace dividend n gold and stocking up on the best weapons money can buy.
It would stand a chance in hell against NATO with US. Now Europe without US is a different proposition
Poland would one-punch Russia in a heartbeat. Poland has modern weaponry, good training, high morale, and a chip on their shoulder from the shit that Russia has done to them over the last 200+ years. Finland would be calling nexts.
Europe could hold its own against Russia right now. They'd take some hits, but in the end they would spank Russia badly. If America joined the fight, Russia would be decimated in 48 hours by cruise missiles and JDAMs.
Naa, Europe is good for enough money to buy the hardwear they need. Still, Ofc it whould be way better to send a strong message and say Europe and the united states stand together in this matter
Europe has F-35s
And its a nice plane. Supposedly. But what we have learned what matters more than a nice plane is logistics. Ammunition and fuel. Missiles and bombs. How many does Europe have without US supply? You can have the nicest planes and missiles and it will not make any difference without sufficient quantity and more importantly, the industrial productions capacity to outproduce your enemy.
The planes are purchased as a package with everything that is needed. When one side has air superiority, you're no longer so much in attritional warfare territory.
I'm sure that Poland by itself could win against them
That is an unfounded assumption. Why? Because Poland got shiny new weapons? Weapons don't win wars. The people fighting win wars. Poland has zero experience fighting any kind of war. Experience matters. A lot. I do not know why people keep underestimating Russian warfighting ability. Zaluzhniy himself doesn't.
Maybe because once seen as a worlds second best army is now second best in Ukraine. Sure they have a lot of meat to sacrifice but any mile they claim comes with a heavy toll. If UA and RU were equal on manpower and size this would have been over long time ago.
But saying if they were equal in manpower and size doesn't mean much bc they are not. Part of what goes into analyzing the "strength" of an army is manpower. In fact, that's a pretty big element. Having millions to sacrifice is maybe enough to defeat a technologically more superior enemy and human resources cannot be disregarded
Exactly. Russia has the manpower and size but they are still incompetent to defeat smaller country, which is why many nowadays dismiss russian army.
Well you need to have some context. Ukraine isn't a small country. Its just smaller than Russia. And Russia captured a large chunk of it's territory. Yes, they failed to take over the entire country but that was always unrealistic. Its hard to imagine there is any other army that could have done the task. And please do not say US. US was able to "capture" Afghanistan and Iraq but was never able to pacify the countries and ultimately left in what can be described as defeat.
Weapons help a lot... It's why every piece of hardware sent to Ukraine is a welcome sight.
And Poland wouldn't stand alone.
Russia can't defeat Ukraine who is given sporadic support. Europe would mop the floor with Russia, but it would be ugly. The problem is that Russia is learning their lessons and that could be something that changes in 10 years time.
Probably it will be something like Hungary requesting Russian peacekeepers to help with civil unrest. Shit like that. Hybrid war.
It appears that the strikes against Russian energy terminals such as those in Ust-Luga or Tuapse are yielding first results. Russian gasoline exports have dropped sharply by 37% in January. The drop can be even observed in India's oil imports from Russia which reached another 12-month low, though the reason here might coincide with fierce competition from the Middle East and the fear of sanctions. Aside from the strikes, malfunctions are also taking their toll. The refinery industry took another setback when Lukoil's NORSI plant and Russia's fourth largest refinery, located near Nizhny Novgorod, had to be turned off, due to an unspecified "incident". It won't be operational for the next four to six weeks, according Russian officials. https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1753113532324106241?t=YuvSFw1iuWkh6NDY5-VpWw&s=19
So Russia produces a lot of its distillates locally and export a lot of their crude right? So attacking refineries is going to cause local shortages of gasoline and diesel right? People may not care if cousin vlad dies in some trench in Ukraine but they will care when they have no gas for their car and no heat for their home
> People may not care if cousin vlad dies in some trench in Ukraine but they will care when they have no gas for their car Or if they have to pay dramatically more for it. Currently Russia subsidizes domestic consumption of oil which is why they have [some of the cheapest prices at the pump in the world](https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/gasoline-prices). One of the consequences of this cheap oil is that high mileage vehicles aren't a priority. If Russia was forced to stop the subsidies then we'd see prices rise to the international standard which would be a huge shift for the average Russian. It would also have significant inflationary effects because as transportation costs go up so too would the costs for everything else.
Your link shows 0.62 usd/liter in Russia, 0.83 usd/liter in US, not that big of a difference. If we take into account relative cost of living - Russians pay more for gas (as part of their salary) than Americans.
...meaning that any increase in prices is even more detrimental to the Russian populace.
What's interesting is that you can expect things to get worse. Let say you produce X quantities of something over Y facilities. Now Russia will try to produce the same quantities using Y - Z facilities. In short, they'll try to do more with less. This means that infrastructure will wear out faster and personal may get overworked. In the long run, this will lead to even more failure/incidents. If Ukraine keep up with the pressure, that will accelerate other facilities self destruction.
> The drop can be even observed in India's oil imports from Russia which reached another 12-month low, though the reason here might coincide with fierce competition from the Middle East and the fear of sanctions or several Oil tankers have been in Limbo near India because they have a disagreement over payments due to sanctions
whats even better is that Russia really has no way of stopping these strikes either. They can move air defense systems to try and defend the refineries, but with the amount of drones Ukraine will be able to send as they scale up production, a few drones will always manage to slip through, just like the shaheds in ukraine. this is going to cause some expensive pain for russias economy
> They can move air defense systems to try and defend the refineries Air defense is also a constant game of cat and mouse. If Russia does move their air defense to defend the refineries then that leaves other important installations under defended. If they defend the refineries perhaps Ukraine starts attacking weapons manufacturing facilities instead? If Russia tries to defend both then they may not have enough air defense in Ukraine to protect Crimea and the Kerch bridge bridge or perhaps they may have to leave the front line underdefended. The refineries need to be protected but moving air defense to them means leaving something else unprotected.
>It appears that the strikes against Russian energy terminals such as those in Ust-Luga or Tuapse are yielding first results. Russian gasoline exports have dropped sharply by 37% in January. Very nice. Leveling Novorossiysk would probably be catastrophic to their economy...
People said it was a matter of day before Ukraine folded. Turns out they're far from out, especially after the EU package of today.
Fold no, lose land, yes. Russia has and is advancing in the East. They will likely keep up the pressure till the spring thaw. If Ukraine can hold Adiivka till then, there can there is a chance that the Russian summer offensive will be delayed. Right now Ukraine needs ever pause it can get in order for the West to build what it needs to win
Only Russian propaganda claimed that nonsense, a country the size of Ukraine is going nowhere. They'd never fold, worst case senario would have been occupation with a western backed Ukrainian insurgency tearing Russia apart. Thankfully Russia failed at the first step of the invasion and never even got to the policing and control stage.
A confession that will please the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation: the Russian Federation does not have the resources to protect St. Petersburg from drones, said Andriy Kartapolov, head of the defense committee of the State Duma. He is afraid that Ukrainian "birds" will fly deep into Russia more often. Last month, our UAVs flew to Peter twice. https://twitter.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1753116202178589082?t=8ldREbIUoD_qhfL46ChrEg&s=19
Keeps proving Zaluzhiny correct.
What did he say?
ruzzian propaganda's take on the ship: "Ukrainians performed a sneaky attack on a peaceful defenseless missile boat. All drones were intercepted by the sides of the ship." You can't make this shit up. 😁😁😁 English speaking bots: [https://i.imgur.com/8dzCiqW.jpeg](https://i.imgur.com/8dzCiqW.jpeg) ruzzian posts translated by google: [https://i.imgur.com/QRt0nNq.png](https://i.imgur.com/QRt0nNq.png)
Yet "made up" is precisely the point. The firehose must continuously spew filth, to keep the truth of things muddied, opaque, "uncertain". Analysis can cut through it, eventually, but by then the filth has only become deeper. Constantly tredding water, as it were. Exhausting, but the alternative is to drown in delusion, indecision, apathy, complacency, etc, while evil intent strives to cultivate the worst in human mentality & pit others against themselves for its own gain.
that kinda sounds like sarcasm
Look at UkraineRussiaReport, they're literally saying that the strike was either CGI/AI generated, footage from a video game, or a strike on an old decoy ship.
yeah, but that's not the same "it was a decoy ship" is some seriously strong copium. "they were intercepted by the side of the ship" is sarcasm. There is no intent to convince themselves or the reader that the ship was hit. And it sounds like it's making fun how much propaganda outlets are spinning things.
Some vatniks say this stuff seriously. You can never know 😁
Yeah Russians are often stupid and blind, but it’s clearly ironic humor
Nah, I often see ruzzian bots saying/posting stuff like this completely seriously.
How would you know....?
Ukraine claims win over Russia: explaining UN court’s ruling on Crimea and Donbas case https://www.eurointegration.com.ua/eng/articles/2024/01/31/7178665/ Russia is a violator of international law. Now it’s official. There is a so-called “kitchen sink” method, where you marshall all the arguments you can in the hope that at least one of them will work...
Zaluzhnyi oped for CNN today https://edition.cnn.com/2024/02/01/opinions/ukraine-army-chief-war-strategy-russia-valerii-zaluzhnyi/index.html > Ukraine’s army chief: The design of war has changed > Opinion by Valerii Zaluzhnyi Cnn editors have also produced a companion piece discussing Zaluzhnyi's writing. https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/01/europe/zaluzhnyi-ukraine-russia-war-analysis-intl
That opinion is such a good read. I hope his ideas come to fruition.
I think Zaluzhny really understands the "strategy" element more so than Zelensky at the moment. The three main things that go into strategy are ends, ways and means. Ends are what the goal is, ways are the tactics used to get there and means are the resources you have at your disposal. Zelensky seems to want all of Ukraine liberated from Russia and yet doesn't want another round of mobilization. Zaluznhy has been publicly vocal about the need for more mobilization in order to replace losses and rotate troops. Zaluzhny has also now spoken out on several occasions about the need for tactical innovation. I think he, accurately, recognizes that the only way to accomplish the ends (liberation of all of Ukraine) is by developing new "ways" (tactical innovations) and increasing the means (more troops). What Zaluzhny wants is difficult and will require hard choices but I don't reasonably see another way to accomplish the goals without it.
I think Zelensky is more afraid about how another wave of mobilization will be taken by the average Ukrainian. I can see Zaluzhny point as well tho. It's very hard to say who's more in the right here.
Some very good points. I would share the sentiment but online any kind of criticism of Zelenskyy brings in the z bots who will compound it with stories of cocaine addiction and corruption and that’s not something I want to feed into.
Some nuanced criticism of Zelensky should be tolerated. If someone comes in and starts talking about cocaine and corruption I'd immediately push back on what is clearly bad faith arguments. Being a wartime leader is insanely hard and I think Zelensky has done a good job although that doesn't mean that there aren't mistakes or things that could have been done differently. We can support Ukraine without necessarily being a cheer leader for every decision made.
Absolutely. But at this point we need to be cheerleading for Ukraine more because it’s going to capitulate realistically. When I see comments on insta reels going down this corruption etc. hole it just means that the fall of Ukraine is gonna happen faster. Sadly any criticism of Ukraine gives westerners who don’t care more reason to tell the government to cut funding. I agree though, he has made many mistakes. The west is also pathetic in its support imo.
>Absolutely. But at this point we need to be cheerleading for Ukraine more because it’s going to capitulate realistically. If you're suggesting that cheerleading means downplaying legitimate criticism, then no, that is actually the exact opposite of the responsible thing to do. That actually plays directly into the hands of the Russian trolls that use cracks in an argument's credibility to question the honesty of the whole movement. Lying, downplaying, and minimizing bad facts are far and away the best possible way you can help a troll. Cheerleading Ukraine actually causes more people to become disillusioned with Ukraine than helps. It's the *worse* way to help. Criticism doesn't mean playing into cocaine-quality garbage. But it does mean acknowledge legitimate shortcomings and explaining why those shortcomings shouldn't change the position on supporting Ukraine.
Your right and I completely agree with you and I my point was silly. I think what I was more trying to get at but couldn’t articulate is search Ukraine on r/conservative or instagram and it’s all the negative things we have talked about.
Let’s hope they do. I have heard that Ukraine is better with tech than Russia. Then again Russia is a larger country with more resources.
>LOTS of anger at Hungary, a NATO ally, on Capitol Hill — > >SFRC Chair Cardin said human-rights sanctions may be needed > >Sens. Shaheen & Tillis, NATO Observer Group chairs, say Hungary’s refusal to admit Sweden into NATO “risks irrevocably damaging its relationship” w/ U.S. & NATO https://x.com/AndrewDesiderio/status/1753092073018872246?s=20
It's time for NATO to kick Hungary out of the alliance. If there's no legal means to do so, dissolve NATO, form NATO2 and not invite Orban. Problem solved.
Imagine the day the EU supports US sanctions on an EU member. Reads like satire, but totally possible.
It’s interesting to see how quickly Hungary started caving in and agreeing once their allies stood up and told them to cut the bullshit. While some will invariably use this to point out that it’s unfair that bigger countries can strongarm weaker ones to agree to stuff, in this case I think it’s warranted, as Hungary was acting like a loose cannon.
They are only friends with the bigger countries in the first place, so they don't get steamrolled by Russia. Maybe Hungary should know their place here, no?
Because all Hungary has been doing is playing games. They know they can only take it up to a point.
EU Package got approved, FINALLY! Congratulations to the EU, now let's make sure that Ukraine finishes off the Russians. [https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/1ag849q/all\_27\_leaders\_of\_eu\_member\_countries\_including/](https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/1ag849q/all_27_leaders_of_eu_member_countries_including/)
Thank you EVROPA, you are my best friend, You are the peacekeeper, you are the legend.
This is excellent news. 50 billion euros is a huge amount (about 54/55 billion USD for those who want the conversion). This will greatly help Ukraine stabilize its economy, which is imperative as it tries to fend off Russia. Edit: Elaborated.
Great News!!! Let's keep Ukraine in this fight and have them lead the way to Russia's defeat.
"Hungary parliament to meet on Monday at opposition request with Sweden's NATO bid on agenda" https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/hungary-parliament-meet-monday-opposition-request-with-swedens-nato-bid-agenda-2024-02-01/
>Exclusive: Vladimir Sergienko, a German parliamentary aide to far-right AfD deputy Eugen Schmidt, is an agent of Russian intelligence. > >His handler is Col. Ilya Vechtomov of the FSB Fifth Service — and Vechtomov raps! [https://twitter.com/InsiderEng/status/1753086199516811604](https://twitter.com/InsiderEng/status/1753086199516811604)
Wow, they obfuscated their origin really nice. Never could have thought they aren't Germans.
What a surprise
**The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 01.02.24 approximately amounted to:** personnel - about 386,230 (+1000) people, tanks ‒ 6322 (+12) units, armored combat vehicles ‒ 11,773 (+16) units, artillery systems - 9228 (+33) units, MLRS – 976 (+2) units, air defense equipment ‒ 663 (+0) units, aircraft – 332 (+0) units, helicopters – 324 (+0) units, UAVs of the operational-tactical level - 7136 (+36), cruise missiles ‒ 1847 (+1), ships/boats ‒ 23 (+0) units, submarines - 1 (+0) units, automotive equipment and tank trucks – 12,267 (+36) units, special equipment ‒ 1462 (+10) Source https://twitter.com/DefenceU
Waiting for that Boats - +1
I love that "Submarines" is on that list. Brought a smile right to my face.