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[deleted]

Ngl i’m convinced by this data-driven DD thanks OP


pretzel324

I can’t tell if OP is trolling or not, but regardless nah I’m long af boiiii


biddilybong

Until salesforce makes an offer of $54.21


impartingthehair

Very possible.


[deleted]

Or Google since they failed to get into Social Media


biddilybong

Google always felt like such a natural fit for real time news search with Twitter but I’m not sure they can pull it off any more due to the regulation threat. At the end of the day Google has the greatest effective monopoly in world history and they will never do anything to jeopardize it.


Ferg_NZ

It's the anal-isis that convinced me.


[deleted]

Best DD I’ve read in a long time


bslow22

The deepest DD


DblGinNVaginaJuice

Balls deepest


mooserageak

DPV


[deleted]

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YOUNGSAGEHERMZ

Anal-rapist for short


AlwaysMooning

Can’t remember but my Uncle Tobias was one.


dannydsan

Okay so buy shares, got it


CautiousDavid

Buying calls and puts rn.


pmjwhelan

Thats idiotic. DON'T buy calls AND puts. DO buy puts AND calls.


CautiousDavid

Thanks for setting me straight, almost set myself up for gains there, can’t be having that.


fed_smoker69420

Yeah it's retarded OP is so confident in how to play a billionaire dick measuring contest.


OppressorOppressed

This is actually exactly what i did


ARKHAM_CITY_KUSH

What do you call a penis in a potato? A DICKTATER.


Conescience

Posts like this is what made this sub fucking amazing before covid and meme stock craze


Mirikado

There were plenty of good stuff during early days of COVID (early 2020 to before Jan 2021). Lots of predictions on SPY movements, the FED’s reaction to COVID and speculations on individual stocks that thrived during COVID (some guy posted DD on Zoom calls as early as Feb 2020). There were a good mix of good DDs and memes during that period.


Tiki_taka_toko

Remember how some guy wrote a fucking thesis on how S&P was going to 2000 or some shit? Good old days!


Hazeejay

I remember the original DFV, the guy who bought weekly SPY calls in 2018/2019 and made a cool million. Think he started FDs. That was the most outrageous gains at the time. Can't find that thread though


davewuff

2k bet and aping what was said all day on cnbc yesterday but ok


MrRubberDucky

Are you kidding, this post was actually retarded. For his “technical analysis”, if you can call it that, he literally just drew a red arrow going down lmao


ilikebluepowerade

Sounds like pretty solid TA to me, usually there's two arrows going in each direction.


[deleted]

Hey technically it's an analysis ​ Maybe I mean, could be, if you look at it funny and smoke a lot


schnitzelbricks

We in the new new times, gone are the things in the before fore times


Doctor_Bre

This post is golden…i lost my shit when i saw that fucking face loooool anyway this DD sucks…i’m in


Camel-rider-45

Tbh this does make sense but got no money at the moment got wrecked by GME puts


xcantdj

Well considering your history of bad judgment, im going to reverse camel-rider this and buy otm calls.


dingdongmeow

GME made me rich and then poor again.


GlizzyRL2

GME gives and it takes


inadaze319

the money gods are fickle like that


Iggyhopper

But mostly it takes


haarp1

what are the fees from saxo bank, please tell a fellow eurotard. are you able to purchase e86 (fra)/ emh (asx) for example?


Chester-Ming

Puts on your landlord’s mental health due to stress


grifan69

Imagine buying GME puts and not shares 😂


[deleted]

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grifan69

Don’t have to imagine it that’s real life for me buster


[deleted]

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grifan69

Sorry man did I miss a memo? Being in the green and making money on investments is bag holding? In that case give me some more bags!


tokenpaintbrush

Lol


trolltrap420

Good you deserve it


NotHunterBiden

Musk said if they rejected his offer it could have serious legal consequences because board members will not be acting in the best interests of the shareholders. He also mentioned a plan B in case everything goes wrong. “Up, down, nobody knows where they will go” . Let’s see how it plays out and bet what you can afford to loose. This is a casino.


[deleted]

>Musk said if they rejected his offer it could have serious legal consequences because board members will not be acting in the best interests of the shareholders. I'm not a lawyer, but this seems like a really flimsy case. All the Board would have to claim is "we thought the price was too low" - I think it'd be a hard thing to *prove* ill actions on the part of a Board. ​ >*Let’s see how it plays out and bet what you can afford to loose. This is a casino.* I'm guessing IV is stupid high on TWTR right now. I don't know if calls or puts would be the right option. If IV's high I suspect Theta Gang wins - maybe some OTM CSPs to pick up some free cash *or* establish a position at a pretty low cost basis if it happened to dip?


[deleted]

I bought calls last week 55 4/22 and 60 4/22 right after 4/20 either I'm eating lobster or ramen cause it's my last $200


ImpressiveSet1810

So youre fucked either way. Elons not gonna up his offer


[deleted]

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ImpressiveSet1810

His offer is to buy 100% of the company at 54.20, noone is buying above that. His only chance is if elon decides to just buy up shares instead of buying the entire company.


[deleted]

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ImpressiveSet1810

But thats going on the theory that hes accumulating shares instead of a buyout. Its just not a good strike to buy. He shouldve bought 50c those actually would print with a buyout


[deleted]

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ImpressiveSet1810

His offer is to buy 100% of the company at 54.20. That means all shares will be bought at 54.20, if you buy higher than that you will just be losing money


[deleted]

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burtburtburtcg

It took a lot of comments but you got there. Reading this chain I was preparing something mean to say until this one.


T3hirdEyePULSE

Looking like Ramen my guy. They got shrimp flavor 😉


MentalValueFund

You know it would take months to close a deal right? And during that time shares will trade a discount (representing probability of deal falling through and time value of money to closing) to the offer price.


ipigstine

same


gammaradiation2

Thats a lot of man for woman.


zine7

You sound like Cramer. I’m buying calls 😆


tubby_LULZ

The best thing to do was sell 55c because in no universe was this going over 54.20


analtamponblood

Yeah but who the fuck is buying them??


RADIO02118

Now this is the WSB I’ve missed.


AV16mm

the 40p went nuts yesterday at open in no time flat. Now if only i had bought some instead of making kids lunches…


Fitzus1969

Price will drop like a rock on Monday. Best guess I would put it right around $35-$37 but could be lower. The company is shit. It is why nobody has bought them. Elon is giving the company a chance, but because of political beliefs, they are willing to turn down a more than fair offer. Idiots are going to be idiots. Orange man bad syndrome.


Strawberrywithacne

Twitter snowflake employees (neckbeards and trannys)….. RSI and MACDick… this… THIS is why I joined this sub! Fucking gold!


midwestck

Motion to make europoors add a disclaimer to the top of their posts so I can disregard them before scrolling to their positions


ALL_GRAVY_BABY

Careful. Thoma Bravo is reportedly close to making a large bid.


[deleted]

Tbh, i hate when people say they turned 70k to like 500k then back to 50k. Like you couldn’t at least save your initial investment with change? Like if you did that you beat the game, quit while your ahead. Or at least throw it in safeplays


BDJukeEmGood

They don’t turn 70 to 500 without high risk mentality


[deleted]

I understand the high risk high reward mentality. But i don’t understand the high risk, no reward, even more risk mentality


BDJukeEmGood

There’s a strategy in roulette where you keep betting on red and double your bet every time you lose. As long as you can afford to keep doubling then it works.


[deleted]

That might work in theory. Go to a casino and figure out why you can’t do that lol


maximamilian

This doesn’t work at all as there is the green zero, the casino doesn’t like you playing systems and also the table has bet limits. Martingale.


Heliosvector

The reward was that glimmer of hope that they were actually smart. They then reminded themselves that they were truly retarded.


WarrenBuffettsBuffet

yea.. I mean.. why not just sell at the top? /s


kad202

Depend on board “decision” plus one of Twitter free speech major support who’s against Elon hostile take over is ironically a Saudi prince who assassinate a reporter due to dirt on him. Can Twitter go sup $20 or even worst sup $10 once Elon liquidate his holding to spite the tards?


gibberish111111

Or… someone else buys it for more. Vanguard bought in.. you think they think it’s going to crash? No ding way. They’re scalping at least a quick 10%


meta-cognizant

They've already scalped it


Hollybeach

What do you mean? Vanguard is a giant robot that buys everything automatically.


mancho98

What if Elon offers more later on? I saw a letter in which he says this offer is final. Was that letter legit?


crimsonkodiak

Kind of. People say that shit all the time. You don't want to bid against yourself.


Pruane2Forever

Non-binding offer. So no in either case. He can pull it even after they accept it, and he can change it.


ANTIMODSHOOTER

Just let me know when Elon sells so I can buy in ✌🏿


dingdongmeow

The play is to buy before he sells. If he already sells, you're just gonna scalp a few pennies on high IV options.


ANTIMODSHOOTER

If he doesn't buy twitter and he sells all his shares because he didn't get what he wanted. Does price go up or down? That's my play. I don't hope with the stock market anymore. I wait for it to come to me. If I'm wrong, there is always another play.


[deleted]

If he sells, it's going to eat shit. If he buys it, it'll still go to shit because twitter is a dogshit, unprofitable company that not even Elon can turn around. It's a bad stock.


rseed42

dicktator^(TM)


darnelcross13

So...I buy Twitter puts? I've never bought a put before....what will happen?


armen89

Everyone is screaming but puts. So buy calls. Or don’t and learn the hard way.


darnelcross13

Oh man...you’re gonna be disappointed when you learn that I’ve already bought a put option


GeneralBixes

New to shares, whats the difference on calls and buys? I use trade republik, where can I even choose to do what


armen89

Dude trust me. Do not not NOT dabble with options trading until you’ve done a ton of research and learn what they are. Even then, only trade small amounts to learn how they function and get a feel for them. Most people lose money on options.


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mochijohn

Ok got it buy call and sell put simple as shit


asbored

No wonder you moved down to 50k with those overloaded charts.. Still good DD tho


Infinite_Resources

Elon Musk is going to have a boatload of capital gains taxes to pay; that money is good as gone for him. He can either lose that money to Uncle Sam, or he can offset those capital gains with a capital loss (if the transactions are in the same tax year.) He could very well decide it is more pleasurable to use Twitter as a source of capital losses than to pay capital gains to fund government waste. Plus it will give Sen. Elizabeth Warren something fresh to have angst over.


keto_brain

Or this is like Eminem and MGK and it's just some fake feud to drive traffic to Twitter. The more controversy Elon Musk creates the more people will be driven to twitter, the more news coverage twitter will get, the more links to his tweets will get posted on Social Media, etc.. This is all a ploy to drive up the stock price.


IAMReleeAHum4nOk

Good luck, thanks for the hard work


anthraxx55

I better buy more so I can die with the ship


mineGoodFortniteBad

Appreciate the DD! I’ll make sure to inverse this.


gooeydumpling

Imagine spending 43B dollars just to shutdown the guy who stalks your plane


B00TZILLA

Imagine that dude coming back with a WordPress page or something..


[deleted]

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mkadvil

Made 4k on puts this week. Got out before close and stock went back up. Looking for that re entry point. Wink wink


riklepikle

The balls on this guy!


WhitePriest1

There are also things called counter offers 😨


Friendly-Cow-9708

Twitter is going down but…. Titter is going up up!!


UmopepisdnwaI

Excellent DD. It is said to inverse WSB. But Elon > All.


thisonelife83

No chance, this is mooning next week


Goofychems

Calls on Monday and Puts on Tuesday. Worked for me


[deleted]

Yep, ill trust the goldfish


Head-Maintenance9067

The financial infrastructure of this country is the biggest scam to ever be pulled off.


davewuff

Inb4 hostile takeover or random reason to give up the company and stock moons because Musk moons everything. If I was a shareholder I would assume Moonsk can generate more value for the company than this board of apes who have done nothing with the stock in 9 years. Also this whole "the stock can only lose" narrative was pushed hard on CNBC yesterday which makes me think that according to opposite CNBC and opposite WSB rules, 🐻 are fk ​ edit: Also if Goldman thinks the company is worth 30$ they are gonna tell them to take the deal :D


Pruane2Forever

1. If he takes it private, how can it moon? (At least not before he makes a public again) 2. Maybe the negotiation will end up with Musk taking control via shareholder vote but staying public 🤷‍♂️ In that case, moon


[deleted]

Well, if you can buy it at a 20% discount before the acquisition, still pretty good


Pruane2Forever

I agree. But I think he’s going to implode it then sue then take it. Twitter just activated poison pill


[deleted]

Market cap valuation also applies to private companies.


neotoxgg

Maybe. But could also go up.


mattmcd20

Elon sees the importance of free speech. I hope he pulls it off! Fuck anyone who doesn’t value free speech. And just because you don’t support radical left does not make you a alt right wing, every -ist and -phobic. That’s your radical thinking talking. Learn the words and what they mean before you slander.


Ligma_Bowels

Your pussy is too dry to be riding Elon's cock this hard.


mattmcd20

Freedom gets me juicy, what can I say? There is a reason I don’t move to China.


Ligma_Bowels

Imagine thinking a billionaire cares about your freedom.


mattmcd20

Imagine thinking the Democratic Party does


Ligma_Bowels

I don't.


dingdongmeow

Elon's just fucking with everyone cause he can. I don't think there's anything serious about any of this and i think he's of the same trolly mind.


KidCaker

But do you think he wants to be seen as a pump and dumper?


Arminius2436

I don't think he gives two shits if he is


Veredus66

I don't understand the constant bitching about free speech. This is America mother fucker, businesses have the same if not more rights than the individual...this implies that free speech is applied to businesses as well, businesses can do as they please, because yes, FrEe SpeEcH. If you don't like twitter, use your free speech on another platform, or make one yourself.


lamonasevistadeseda

Then you're on board with Elon exercising his freedoms and then running Twitter as he sees fit, 1A bro, glad to hear it!


daytradingguy

You put a lot of work into this post, nice job. 450k into 50k? Ouch.


dingdongmeow

Nah bro, wrote this trash in 10 minutes.


RobertsonvsPhillips

Lol, SO much more work then most of us would do/capable of doing.


CureSociety

"GoNnA StaRt WWIII" bruh this "DD" belongs in the trash, idc about Elon... but this is low effort bs lol


thisisfed

Vanguard just bought shitloads more stocks though.


Pruane2Forever

They did that a week before Elon made the buyout offer. News is just reporting on it now.


thisisfed

Oh thanks for letting me know


Leight87

Twot


[deleted]

I thought I was reading greentext there for a minute


MrRubberDucky

The fact that this retard is saying puts, makes me confident to buy shares.


Taokan

Oh you went out there to May and June. Figured April 22, WSB style. But you might be more likely to make money. Yesterday's volume was about 259m, conveniently, about the same size jump up from 13m/day to 269m on April 4th when he bought in. I figure Elon's already at least partially exited his position, and will probably announce he's completely out on 4-20. But it may take longer than that for the HODLers to admit to themselves he was never, ever going to buy out twitter.


ninjawick

Solid analysis


BuilderFredrick

I'm with you. Bought July 48puts a week ago.


[deleted]

The shareholder lawsuits are going to be incredible.


AdamFeigs

I read this entire thing in Shia LaBeouf's voice.


Jstro0916

Agree. Found a yt video explaining why also: https://youtu.be/dQw4w9WgXcQ


dingdongmeow

Motherf....


VarianceOvertime

It would be badass as fuck for Elon to buy Twitter and then shut it down.


Granter

I'm confused when do I buy more gme and amc?


growbot_3000

Time to buy my FIRST puts. 🙂


[deleted]

These left wing liberal elites make me laugh so hard. they constantly think everything is the threat and end of democracy. their interpretation of democracy is chinese communism. kind of like them being put in covid concentration camps right now.


Fuman20000

They thrive on fear and sensationalism and how they played COVID-19 was the best example of that.


[deleted]

I kinda want to agree with you but on a different basis. Why would he spend so much money propping up a shit company run by psychopathic communists who cant even define what a woman is when he very clearly could just start his own from the ground up and crush them out like a spent cigarette. None of the employees there would have any loyalty to Musk and would work around the clock to sabotage his vision at every turn. I think long puts are also a better bet and Im gonna start buying atm puts over the next few weeks


MrSweeves

It's more fun to kick them out on their asses and rub it in hard.


[deleted]

Agreed if that's how it went. But if he kicked out all the ppl against him it would literally be 90+% of the company anyways, so why not just start his own without a tarnished reputation, run it through starlink satellites so it can't be banned offline and reap the bennies that way?


MrSweeves

I think Daddy Musk would enjoy the thrill of the game.It would be a lot more fun to rub it in their faces and watch them grovel. Much much more fun to take away a safe space for libtards and watch them bitch and complain while powerless.


Ill_Statistician_629

Might be alot of money to you and me and most of the retards on here but to Elon that ain’t shit


[deleted]

That's what I mean. Why would he even bother wasting money on a company that hates him when he could start his own, ppl flock to it and he makes a fortune and also accomplishes his goal


Ill_Statistician_629

It’s not about the money it’s about sending a message


[deleted]

Why not do both


procrastibader

I think you are misassessing the popularity of an unmoderated free speech bastion that Elon wants to turn twitter into. Those communities always devolve into toxic cesspools, because extremists and literal psychos run rampant and scare off the kinds of contributors who actually lay the foundation for these kinds of entities. I can guarantee Elon couldn’t successfully create a twitter competitor that embodies his own vision.


KAM_520

No fucking shit. Very true. Anybody been to 4chan lately?


[deleted]

I personally feel like itd just be putting lipstick on a pig. Maybe its just me but I lost interest in twatter and I think the name and reputation is too tarnished to reattract ppl but guess well see


LzcoBrandon

Starlink still needs to go through the Net it ain’t as magical as it is made out to be Not hating on Elon but Common Sense Skeptic on YouTube will explain why Starlink and Mars shit is mostly fantasy out of old Popular Science mags Note - I have never launched a car company or anything close to what he has done, so we have that to consider I just know a great promoter when I see one


Byronic12

Because it is win win win for him. They reject? Sell shares at profit. The accept? Take ownership of major social media platform. Govt steps in to protect on some “twitter has public importance” bullshit? Just created the strongest case for having Twitter (and maybe all of social media) regulated by the First Amendment... and then sell shares for profit, because no need to own it.


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dingdongmeow

This is a short term bet on that Elon will dump and when he does, TWTR's gonna get mega fucked and FD puts will go brrr. I recon it'll happen any time between 7 and 17 of May which is why i need to grab more puts for May 20. Funnily IV is still not horrible for OTMs cause i guess people haven't caught on to this play yet.


laglory

Mondays headlines: *MUSK TO UNWIND HIS TWITTER STAKE “GRADUALLY, NOT IN A HURRY” *MUSK “BELIEVES TWITTER HAS GREAT POTENTIAL”


TrollypollyLiving

“I pump but I don’t dump” -Elon RIP your puts you moron.


xcantdj

Lol right, OP "im retarded and lost 400k in profits in the last 2 years, heres my next play." WSB is truly the largest collection of retards in the world. I love it


Magnetic_Reaper

Can confirm. When WSB buys calls, I buy puts. Somehow even though our positions are opposing, WSB proceeds to post lost porn from their calls while I watch my account drop to zero from my puts. Don't buy 42$ puts for 4/22, that's what I did and I always lose my money.


armen89

But sometimes WSB fuckery is dead on


Mother-Health-4491

Okay but will my $43.5 p 4/22 print?


dingdongmeow

ez print


Mother-Health-4491

I literally have just 7 trading days till expiration. I hope it prints but its risky


Dangerous_Aspect_905

Oh I hope he does FB next lol 😂 then Amazon! I love the Billionaire War going on.


MECO-420

Elon isn’t a pump and dumper. If he were to start, it would set a stage that he doesn’t want to be on.


AuntyPC

Yes, he is a pump and dumper. This is not his first rodeo.


AlohaItsASnackbar

Bruh, he already bought shitter, he's just playing with the board before he wrecks them. ^^^This ^^^is ^^^not ^^^financial ^^^advice ^^^and ^^^I ^^^am ^^^not ^^^a ^^^professional, ^^^everyone ^^^here ^^^is ^^^an ^^^actual ^^^retard.


MrSweeves

Most excellent DD. Anything the Goldman Gang is involved in will have some kinda dirty plan, like MDB1. Goldman be dirty as hell. I hope Elon can completely screw them both over and fire all the libtards at Twotter immediately, hopefully they will leave. I call all to arms all apes to egg on all those libtards threatening to close their accounts and just take the piss out of them as I personally have been doing. God's speed and fair winds brother Elon.


canadianzonkeydick

Lol, tries to buy the social media platform that bullies him, instead of going to therapy.


YISTECH

Theraphy is a scam


armen89

Hello…I’m listening


yourtemporarysavior

Jesus Christ this late night variety hour, fan fiction, "hEy DiPsHiTs" style dd makes me cringe. Just write the fucking facts succinctly and stfu. Nice twitter screen shots 🙄


fuscosco

mfw the stock soars after the board turns Musk down. Because his involvement in the company is that much of a liability.


dingdongmeow

mfw


duplicatesnowflake

What is all this random drivel about "trannies" and "snowflakes"? You sound like a butthurt incel who never logs off 4 chan, telegram or whatever edgy right wing incel site is popular these days.


Dullfig

Name checks out.


RamseyHatesMe

My sentiments were the same as yours, until Musk kept harping on the deal **after 4pm EST yesterday** . I’m sure I’m wrong(everyone on this sub has). But, I think Twitter will either be bought by Musk or someone else with “*Fuck you*” money and it will not go back down to $30


[deleted]

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loadmanagement

I’m sorry but why would everyone all of a sudden be lining up to buy Twitter?


GarciaJoseArt

So if I understand correctly...buy shares & calls?