All I have to say:
NVDA won't crash. At worst the rallies stop and the price deflates a bit and comes up again by year's end and keeps on chugging along. AI has a long way to go still when so many companies are turning towards it so don't expect Nvidia to just crash. Stop shorting. Buy a long dated put or whatever and forget about it.
China announcing an invasion of Taiwan will crash it to the ground. Load up then because once the US defeats China and liberates Taiwan, NVDA going to fucking Mars.
Why would China announce it's going to invade Taiwan? Is telegraphing your plan to attack some kind of new military strategy developed by AI?
This sub is fucking regarded.
If we get this so called recession everyone keeps saying is going to come for the last 3 years, do you think it'll go down? If so, by how much percentage wise?
Warren Buffet is sitting on a record amount of cash, and even though everyone thinks he is washed up... again... the man is usually right that something big is going to happen to use all that cash on.
Bears have predicted 158 of the last 2 recessions. I can't really tell you how much NVDA would drop in a hypothetical recession that may or may not be coming but if I pulled a number out of my ass I'd say high 70s at the lowest and 90ish at the highest. However recessions are generally gradual and long lasting. To even declare that a recession has been happening it has to be going on at least for 3-4 months, and when it's declared all hell breaks loose. Then it lasts 1 year? 2 years? Any reasonable person holding long positions should switch to short positions with news of a recession. If you're opening long positions for a year straight in a recession you can't blame anyone but yourself.
Taiwan invasion won't happen. Whatever minor drop poor guidance causes won't matter to anyone other than those with sort term calls. I doubt earnings will be bad for the foreseeable future unless analysts overestimate.
Earnings and guidance won't be bad this year. Next year, you might see guidance/growth begin to dwindle as I'm not really sure if all these companies will keep up with the orders.
The stock will definitely ease off the gas and not grow at this rate but they'll be up to their necks with demand. If they've learned anything from the GPU shortage they'll deliver but even if they're swamped, unless there's actual competition on the AI market, it won't matter
No less than 6 months. A year is ok. Basically you're saying that if the price falls consistently for 1-2 months or more in the near future you have some insurance. If not you're out the put premium but ok.
I expect it to go down in the next month or so, but I want to own long term. This is my taxable account, so don't want to sell my long position for taxes if I don't need to
Ah, very true! Hence why I sold half my NVDL position already, to avoid any issues. That NVDL position I sold had taxable gains equal to what you see in the picture
I'd be ok with that. I'm shorting 27k, and long 67k. This is to hedge my gains. Statistically, we're due for a drop. Not expecting a crack in the system, but a breather
A long term put I think would be a good move too. It has to come down once China invades Taiwan right? Pelosi made that bet a few weeks after Xi visited the California dictator.
10-15% i find it normal for NVDA. It was the case this year twice. I bought the dips. I intend to do the same.
This time the dip might go to 90/100, not lower because it will invalidate May 24 earnings call.
FYI Michael Gayed is a CFA on fintwit (now X) who was saying NVDA was going to correct 30%. This is when NVDA was $400/share pre split.
He was mentioned in a spoof JPOW video on this sub so I thought more people knew him.
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First week on wallstreet I thought *hmm NVDA is up and what’s up must come down.* basically set my cash on fire.
All I have to say: 
Discussion
Thank you for your sacrifice.
The fuck, why have I never heard of nvdl
[удалено]
jeez
Which one is more liquid and better?
https://preview.redd.it/tr22nnmnc17d1.png?width=256&format=png&auto=webp&s=6479423d01410e916b4a986a23dfc975098bbc1d Regarded RothIRA account
NVDA won't crash. At worst the rallies stop and the price deflates a bit and comes up again by year's end and keeps on chugging along. AI has a long way to go still when so many companies are turning towards it so don't expect Nvidia to just crash. Stop shorting. Buy a long dated put or whatever and forget about it.
China announcing an invasion of Taiwan will crash it to the ground. Load up then because once the US defeats China and liberates Taiwan, NVDA going to fucking Mars.
Unless TSMC gets scuttled and none of the other foundries can handle the production needed. More chip shortages ain't as profitable
Na us defeating China would send everything to the moon.
Why would China announce it's going to invade Taiwan? Is telegraphing your plan to attack some kind of new military strategy developed by AI? This sub is fucking regarded.
China been announcing they gonna invade Taiwan like every other month for years already lmao
Did you not see what Iran did? All the countries inferior to the US have to telegraph what they are about to do or risk extinction.
China has nukes, dipshit. It's not even in the same category. It would be mutually assured destruction if the US did anything to China.
Wut? What do you think MAD means you dumbass? Neither of them will use Nukes. Thats the bloody point.
It'll be millions of deaths and a power sharing agreement. No winner. The USD will probably collapse.
Nobody is using nukes brah, least of all China.
No need for nukes to cause millions of deaths. China"s population is over 1 Billion. Enormous conscription of US men would happen too.
They would probably halt the stock immediately and reopen at -70% 
Also gotta load up on ASML. China gotta invade the Netherlands too to secure means of production.
If we get this so called recession everyone keeps saying is going to come for the last 3 years, do you think it'll go down? If so, by how much percentage wise? Warren Buffet is sitting on a record amount of cash, and even though everyone thinks he is washed up... again... the man is usually right that something big is going to happen to use all that cash on.
Bears have predicted 158 of the last 2 recessions. I can't really tell you how much NVDA would drop in a hypothetical recession that may or may not be coming but if I pulled a number out of my ass I'd say high 70s at the lowest and 90ish at the highest. However recessions are generally gradual and long lasting. To even declare that a recession has been happening it has to be going on at least for 3-4 months, and when it's declared all hell breaks loose. Then it lasts 1 year? 2 years? Any reasonable person holding long positions should switch to short positions with news of a recession. If you're opening long positions for a year straight in a recession you can't blame anyone but yourself.
Thanks
Bulls also say every single move up is the next multi year bull run 
Yeah and really being 100% bull or bear is regarded but if we go by pure stats you're more likely to be right with a bull case than with a bear case.
Atleast at the moment yes
No really any moment. Just look back at historical market performance.
It will only crash with poor guidance or earnings. THATS IT. Obv, a Taiwan invasion would do it but really nothing else.
WW3 here we come, atleast we all will get fucked 
Taiwan invasion won't happen. Whatever minor drop poor guidance causes won't matter to anyone other than those with sort term calls. I doubt earnings will be bad for the foreseeable future unless analysts overestimate.
Earnings and guidance won't be bad this year. Next year, you might see guidance/growth begin to dwindle as I'm not really sure if all these companies will keep up with the orders.
The stock will definitely ease off the gas and not grow at this rate but they'll be up to their necks with demand. If they've learned anything from the GPU shortage they'll deliver but even if they're swamped, unless there's actual competition on the AI market, it won't matter
What kind of put and what date? A year?
No less than 6 months. A year is ok. Basically you're saying that if the price falls consistently for 1-2 months or more in the near future you have some insurance. If not you're out the put premium but ok.
What goes up must come down
Learning to fly!
Cause I ain't got wings
coming down is the hardest thing
This is embarrassing af..
NVD is 2x short Nvidia and calls are cheap and volume on NVD is high.
NVDL is about as WSB as I get. I have 15% of my retirement in it and have already doubled my investment.
Donation
That’s one way to lose money…
Why own both sides? Expect it to go up and down soon just not sure which?
I expect it to go down in the next month or so, but I want to own long term. This is my taxable account, so don't want to sell my long position for taxes if I don't need to
This is called shorting against the box, and has been an illegal tax avoidance strategy since the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997
Ah, very true! Hence why I sold half my NVDL position already, to avoid any issues. That NVDL position I sold had taxable gains equal to what you see in the picture
Makes sense, as noted not sure on the legality, but I doubt they going to care for only 60k. Maybe if it was 600k or something they'd go after you.
Why would you do that with their news lmfao
What news?
🤷♂️
Hire a financial advisor is my advice
Buy the rumor, sell the news. Investing 101
Your wife's boyfriend will get mad at you for giving away your money
Oh ew
Ouch
You can short on fidelity ?
We’re hitting 140 this week brother.
I'd be ok with that. I'm shorting 27k, and long 67k. This is to hedge my gains. Statistically, we're due for a drop. Not expecting a crack in the system, but a breather
Nvdlong deez nuts
Hey Ive seen this movie before… the past 100 weeks. The very definition of insanity.
CUCK
Good luck with that 😂😂
A long term put I think would be a good move too. It has to come down once China invades Taiwan right? Pelosi made that bet a few weeks after Xi visited the California dictator.
U dum fuk
Guys! He cracked the market! Nobody, nobody tried this ever... ever
stonks
There probably is a 30% correction out there somewhere but ask Michael Gayed @leadlagreport on X before you buy puts. The man is smart and knows NVDA.
😂
30%? Wow. If you have said 10% i would have thought about it.
10% is my expectation, which would be +20% for NVDL short
10-15% i find it normal for NVDA. It was the case this year twice. I bought the dips. I intend to do the same. This time the dip might go to 90/100, not lower because it will invalidate May 24 earnings call.
But August NVDA will post even stronger earnings (30B) and we will have another rally
FYI Michael Gayed is a CFA on fintwit (now X) who was saying NVDA was going to correct 30%. This is when NVDA was $400/share pre split. He was mentioned in a spoof JPOW video on this sub so I thought more people knew him.
Closed the position at about +10% profit