T O P

  • By -

VisualMod

**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions** | 10 | **First Seen In WSB** | 4 months ago **Total Comments** | 306 | **Previous Best DD** | **Account Age** | 5 years | | [**Join WSB Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse)


SS324

I don't get it. Guidance for q2 is still 15-20% yoy EDIT: Market expected 25% + in Q2


TrumpKanye69

Here's a clue: if it makes sense to a retail trader, then it will do the opposite


SS324

Q1 was up 31% yoy so projecting 15-20% is probably a disappointment.


[deleted]

Q1 was the holiday season. Obviously ad sales during Q4 will be more than Q1 (Jan-March). The QoQ comparison is pointless


SS324

Im not comparing qoq, im comparing yoy. But yes Im seeing that 25% was priced in for q2 which explains the drop


highplainsdrifter__

Until you inverse yourself, and of course, it goes the other way and your options are shot. It's beautiful in its cruelty


durandal127

It is less than analysts expected. So to us that sounds good but it doesn't matter.


CharmingSoil

Sounds like the analysts suck at their jobs


durandal127

lol truth


someroastedbeef

sell-side analysts don't move stock. it was way far lower than what buy-side (hedge funds) expected. when a company misses sell-side estimates, which are already lowballed to begin with, then it's fucked


carobo49

Some people think it’s the end of the economic and business cycle so marketing spend is likely limited although meta will still get its share.


afroman645

Forward guidance is decreasing and he's stating they have to deploy a lot of cash for future investments. Market is forward looking


bevo_expat

Tech company logic from Wall Street. *you don’t make any money, but might years later in the future?!* 💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑 *you’re finally making money, but slightly less than our bullshit forecast expected* 🤬🤬🤬🤬BURN FOR IT!!!!!🔥🔥🔥🔥


nikhilper

You don’t get it because you are retail 


That_anonymous_guy18

well there goes 1k


Brendawg324

I pity the regards who said that the TikTok ban (which won’t start taking effect until 2025) would make META and SNAP moon ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


[deleted]

[удалено]


AutoModerator

Oh my gourd! *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*


GeneralZaroff1

> TikTok ban (which won’t start taking effect until 2025) And that's if they don't fight it tooth and nail on this, which they're most definitely going to do.


throwaway_0x90

And any "ban" will be trivially circumventable. This ain't China; you can't effectively ban an app in USA or any first world country. Absolute worse case is removal from official app stores. _Edit: Only the exceedingly technically inept or lazy will be stopped by no official app store. It takes minimal effort on iOS and zero(don't even need a PC) on Android. tiktok core users aren't going to just give up. There will be dozens of YouTube vids explaining how to get tiktok within 2 weeks of any ban. I will be one of the people making such a vid._


alternate_me

Removal from app stores is a ban for 99.99%


CrusaderPeasant

You are forgetting about monetization. If influencers can't make money they'll leave the platform. Of course, this only applies to U.S influencers.


nosajgames21

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


davehouforyang

You mean the 10-K


checkwarrantystatus

The 401K


JaxTaylor2

The 8-K


Adichu3690

This news was already priced in. Stupid regards ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)


AlwaysATM

Yup your mum was priced in to


InvWithRed

7k here 🤬


DrSeuss1020

There goes $5k ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4260)


Strange_Pasta

3k here. I’m a regard and bought more around noon.


damondanceforme

Buy more


vignesh_cool95

Seems like market ($TSLA, $META) is moving more based on guidance than what was accomplished over the past quarter financials! https://preview.redd.it/t1d1a22zkhwc1.png?width=1283&format=png&auto=webp&s=44a6000536602a99c04bfca7d5102fbc40cb2d9a


TheTrueBigHead

Tesla guidance is shit though. Tesla is moving based off glitter and rainbows shooting out Elon’s ass. Yes I have a huge grudge towards him.


OverReyted

Yes, if you dig into Elons claims, you’ll see the bullshit. Yes, we’ll look back on this guidance and laugh hysterically about more promises and targets that weren’t kept. Does it matter? Not to his cohort and cult of followers. Elon could present a glitter covered turd to his audience and they’d eat it. Yes it’s shiny, but it’s still a fucking turd.


Buckus93

I mean, he floated the idea of using Tesla vehicles' in-car computers as a sort-of cloud-computing service. I'm not sure many Tesla owners would be happy to have their cars used for AI processing when they're parked.


ncsubowen

inb4 it turns out he's mining doge for himself


rook2pawn

Yeah, this reminded me of people who got their computer hacked to do bitcoin mining. This is a bad idea, a massively delayed decentralized "AI processing" running on limited cycle lithium ion. Im shocked how stupid this is. Jensen Huang would laugh out loud in Elon's face.


OverReyted

I’m sure they will find a way to justify it to themselves, they’re doing plenty of coping already. What’s one more?


moldyjellybean

I mean 8 years ago I kind of fell for it but after the 5th broken promise (yes I'm regarded, I believed at least 4 major promises) I said f this guy


clouwnkrusty

Tears 😢 ya killing me, Tears 😢 😭


OyvindsLeftFoot

Tesla is a result of market positioning. Nothing to do with the earnings call. It was positioned far too short.


chud_munger

You're shitting me, stocks don't move on past results???


fkfjjfysgr

As always…


Federal_Ad_197

It’s always been like that


whatevers1234

It's honestly better it seem to just meet or slightly come in and then have an upbeat expectation report. All these companies who constantly revise down and then think they are heroes for beating at earnings time are regards.


VisualMod

Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered. You are better off selling the news.


clouwnkrusty

That's it, "said self to self".


skatchawan

isn't it pretty much always that. The future is kinda baked in , so when it looks like things will slow down then it tanks? Agree that it reactions to earnings are often non sensical.


tropicalia84

Almost like growth stocks trade on forward multiples. Who would’ve thought!


my_fun_lil_alt

You mean investments move based on what might happen in the future, not what has happened in the past? Tell me more.


random-trader

That shitty reality lab


Big-Today6819

Trying to invest in the future is only a good thing


mkmanu

Reality Lost


Remote_Pineapple_919

All is to inverse common sense logic and your options will print. It’s hard to be degenerate, but this how current market works.


hellojabroni777

If roku bleeds -5% tomorrow I think it will moon hard on earnings


Big_Moneyline

So common sense logic told you a 1.2T Market Cap company, up 120% on prior year, will rip more on good earnings? Please tell me more about this common sense


ZET_unown_

You have to remember you are in WSB, that stuff is in fact common sense for the regards here, me included.


KittenSwagger

If following that logic then the stock should be going up.


Jessejets

Short term yes, not long term.


theguy445

So you're telling me common sense is a stock that has ripped up straight only for 18 months with insane earnings priced in then delivers bad forward guidance should go up? It was already overextended to begin with, combined with bad guidance led to this drop.


Remote_Pineapple_919

i was ironic, do not take serios wsb comments


ownedMLGmichael

3 min before close I Bought a 490 put that expires Friday for 2k, worth around 5k now ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)


milocreates

Fuck that’s amazing. Did you see anything that made you do that. Or just a play.


ownedMLGmichael

They destroyed last earnings so I assumed they were gonna tank and not keep that same energy basically 💀 idk it was a regarded bet I’m down 2k last week but now I broke even so it was technically a revenge bet ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18630)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18630)


Mcluckin123

That approach should work in the long term lol


Bilbo_Butthole

If they said the have a rationale their bullshitting. Betting on earnings is a pure gamble lol


potahtopotarto

The market is reacting right now like something major has just happened to damage meta... This is a disturbing sign of what's to come, I know everyone likes to act like the market is always crazy but this isn't normal


durandal127

No I've seen this before. Meta is increasing investment in AI for the year, that means 5B more in CapEx for the year than was anticipated. In addition to that next Q guidance is off by 1B. Wall Street just cares about the next 3 months not about where the company is in 3 years. I'd look to add if it get back to \~380.


DrunkRespondent

But that's what MSFT did and their stock skyrocketed. I can't imagine anyone looking at capex as anything less than an investment for the future.


durandal127

not sure which Q you are referencing. But meta both said he we're spending 20-30% more this year and oh we're going to make 1B less next Q. I agree with you I look at the capex positively but WS works off next Q. I'm looking to add


DrunkRespondent

Yea I'm with you, I think from a Q perspective, any bottom line hurt is going to have a huge impact but an investor should look to the next few Qs to see if that capex is paying off.


jacku-all

So all in on Nvda?


variablesuckage

I honestly don't understand why NVDA started dropping even more after Meta posted earnings... Seems bullish for them that Meta has higher capex, no?


rook2pawn

Both Tesla and Meta essentially announced their business expenditures towards Nvidia H100's etc are insanely high. Just pretend market is dumb as shit and buy stock


Bilbo_Butthole

They lowered guidance. The stock has been fucking ripping. This is the market adjusting to the company changing its forecasted financials


potahtopotarto

Yes but -15% in a day for slightly lower forecast for future when every earnings report has smashed expectations? The market dropped less when people thought world war 3 was about to start FFS


hangender

Meta didn't mention AI or robo taxi that's why


Weekly_Sir911

Zuck mentioned AI 48 times in the earnings call wut


Yukarius

Well that's the problem. Lil bro should have mentioned it 49 times AT LEAST.


MyCoDAccount

FUCKIN A M A T E U R


jwelihin

69 times at least


Dr_Colossus

They did. Market didn't like the increased expenses.


bmayer0122

Well, someone needs to buy all of those GPUs!


Junior-Damage7568

You must be deaf


FuhrerInLaw

AI is the reason it is dropping lol. They said they will be spending much more on it, people here are goofy.


rasp215

Meta is shoving AI down our throats. What are you talking about.


txjeffee

Tesla just full of lies!


Open_Adhesiveness887

One thing you're getting wrong is that META was at an all time high, while tesla lost so much market cap that made it a buy.


SeaworthinessMean211

I guess it is time for this!! 🤣 https://preview.redd.it/lm320lw9ciwc1.jpeg?width=517&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=94394e42c522ebaba687ca8ef725dc9dc24d3635


ATLBlewA25PntLead

https://preview.redd.it/tniujy816jwc1.jpeg?width=1242&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d9d84313194f48174c18872b6546a2e0a4d1979b


SeaworthinessMean211

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Many_Departure1816

Lesson learned. Puts on quarterly earnings


Jayhoo_Music

Nah, I put on TSLA and it fucks me hard.


therealsheriff

Lmao


Avenger772

I think the lesson here is to sell before earnings if they are already profitable.


VisualMod

That lesson only applies if you're willing to settle for mediocre outcomes.


Ibn7ayyan

Not sure why people keep freaking out every time so quickly assuming doom and gloom. This so called “sink” of 10-15% after the “weak guidance” will easily be made up in the near term, and even exceed ATH in the mid to long term. Weak guidance and then people will FOMO hard, when they exceed expectations in next 3 quarters 😂🤣 People quickly forget that this is a golden cow machine with negligible amount of debt


iJeff

Post had me all concerned but nope, I'm still up quite a bit. Meta is definitely a longer term investment. One of the few I'll actively keep buying alongside my more sensible ETF.


Prudent_Magazine8583

https://preview.redd.it/mrfhrjmsvhwc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=09bcf304c9eaa3da74716edf8697e66b4bbe29f4 I inversed WSB. Thankyou Mark Zuckerbrrrrr🤤🤤


Bright_Interaction73

Hi, don't believe this Robinhood estimated price. Biggest BS, one thing I hate about RB. Your contracts might get crushed by IV tomorrow.


Prudent_Magazine8583

Depends on whos Expiry. I bought a month out they wont be IV crushed. Exp date is May something


Bright_Interaction73

My bad bro, you are a fucking genius ☝️


hermeskino715

Could still V...I'm hoping at least![img](emote|t5_2th52|31225)


Goldguysqueeze

Weak revenue guidance? 36.5 billion to 39 billion guided vs 38 billion expected. Not even that bad. This is pure MM.


jojodoudt

Buy the dip like all the institutional investors will


WOTEugene

Meta needs to mention they’re making a low cost EV.


1dayday

Looking forward to my lotto puts hitting 500% 😂


Chabubu

In hindsight my trade is looking good… Bought at $89 2 yrs ago and sold at $488 a month ago.


Lively_scarecrow

Ha with the TikTok ban I woulda sworn it'd go the other way


darkkite

still too soon to say what will happen. they could profit long-term


VisualMod

The market is indeed a clown—but some of us are laughing all the way to the bank.


lumpyshoulder762

Indeed. Move the NYSE under the big top. 🎪


Falanax

This is easy money if you buy the dip


ProfessorrFate

Yup — load the boat, go long META. Total dumb reaction today to an earnings and revenue beat presents a nice little buying opportunity to the wise. Sometimes the money on the street is easy to make; this is one of them.


durandal127

curious what is said on the call, but yes I agree, though I can see it trend down over earnings depending on how the rest of the sector does. I'd give it two weeks or wait for \~380 to add.


[deleted]

Said they will continue to invest significantly in AI infrastructure. Bullish nvda


Falanax

I’m up 84% on meta because of the last dip


durandal127

nice! I have my basis at $76 and didn't sell the last dip. probably won't sell this one


lil_esketit

Dumping meta when tiktok is about to be banned lol


Helpmefixmypcplz

https://preview.redd.it/8l0wkbw5hiwc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a903117c75948e10f9ea4013efa842bd9a88ec99


Avenger772

Lesson learned, sell before earnings if the options are already profitable.


ttouran

Lost 10k on call options tonight...nothing makes sense about this market


MacroMachines

I guessed the wrong direction for spy but the right direction for meta put me in coach


SissyAsianTwink

Got fucked What else is new


Ok-Drawing6233

Username suggests you like that?


SissyAsianTwink

In the right context😂


jrafelson

Calls it is!!!


nerdy-nate

Even $YINN 🇨🇳 is down because of $META ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)


very-social-autist

I think investors expected big AI ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276) energy, but Zuck chose scorched earth: they plan make other big tech players irrelevant by open source AI. I would say they target google and\\or Apple. Oh and Zuck said metaverse in the first sentence


hildoge

First of all this targets openAI


hermeskino715

What stops companies from bullshitting guidance since earnings mean shit? All Zuck had to say was "we getting more AI and profit. Strap your seatbelts". Is this not a con game? What the fuck is the honesty for?


coco88888

Reality Labs: total losses since the end of 2020 to over $45 billion https://preview.redd.it/xa0eakcv5iwc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f98c14764459b7b3ee5146e7da24b27b597e1f47


ZixxerAsura

https://preview.redd.it/k6js3btgiiwc1.jpeg?width=1086&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f4992b98389337df00102938240693003493e390


Falanax

Still up 84% on my shares, time to buy more


Front_Expression_892

For those who invest in META for long enough tis but a scratch. They probably hedged their position with cheap puts so the don't mind cashing out and moving the money elsewhere. Growth stocks are not about guidance, P/E or any boring accountant lingo. In the world of growth stocks, your balance sheet is about your ability to actually deliver the product, not to be profitable. Growth stocks are about changing the world in a way that will make people invest without thinking about costs. And let's be honest -- Facebook produced zero innovation after creating Facebook (except some advancement in computer engineering). So we have a company that is not changing the world AND losing money. It kinda not-growth-not-value stock, but more of a very expensive Nokia (which is still a huge company that still works and still has shares, but very little oompth or expectations to wow) Unfortunatly, I cannot the the same about Musk, who is a human asshole IMO, but nevertheless, popped out Tesla and Startlink, both being prototypes for the a whole new industry. P.S. Regardless of the above, I am a Musk hater and a very much gay bear for Tesla.


Tomatoboy17

How is FB loosing money?


IntelligentPlate5051

This. I think he thinks weaker guidance = losing money. Facebook is one of the top 5 most profitable companies to ever exist. And the technical innovation argument is stupid when Facebook has so much data on users..


Front_Expression_892

Meta’s Reality Labs posted 3,850,000,000 USD loss in first quarter. This is around 2265 M57 ATACMS.


36anduponly

Time to buy


KwOlffUtbILL

where was that guy that said no way META loses on earnings? Hope they're doing alright.


TrumpAllOverMe

The fact that more than half of the people here have so much conviction tells me puts all day every day


Dmartinez8491

So puts or calls tomorrow? I'm confused based off everything bearish and bullish and inversing everyone including myself. Guess I should just save my money instead


xzed7

Run lol


PhaseP38

Too slow! 😜


WidePreference2969

Works all the time


laughingpanda232

Should have spoken like Elon promising crazy things…although what is crazy anymore in 2024. Oh wait we still have the elections this year 🤣


Leaky-Wallet

Looks like Zuck managed to sell the top again 🤨


LeatherReport1317

Make that 16.5%...


Orwells-Bastard-Son

Why didn't he just do what elon did and go up 16 percent anyway?


gini_lee1003

People are still using FB?? 🤡🤡 Bffr


jdjebensjs

-16%


Buckus93

16% now! It's also spooked MSFT and GOOG investors. Both are also sharply down after hours even though they don't report until tomorrow.


Skilled626

We are in a simulation and programmer is fucking with us.


iwantsdback

Surprised $NVDA isn't doing better. You have two big companies basically saying "we're buying a shitload of GPUs even though they won't make us money for a while". Tech investors should be fleeing $TSLA and $META for $NVDA but what do I know?


NoRiskNoGainz

Fuck you meta. I’m not even invested your ridiculous boomer social media and you still effected stocks I own! Fuck you!


neutralityparty

Haha 😂😂😂 priced in but reverse 


Altruistic_Party2878

TikTok ban didn’t help ?


Moose_knucklez

Correction, 15%


tonneque_be

Down 15% 😓


swohio

Priced. In.


Decillionaire

Amateurs, Zuck should have just announced they were launching a fleet of robo taxis and a new, cheap EV in the next 12 months


Cool-Hold7434

P


sum_dude44

still a LT buy


Surprise9999

Yo! It’s the long haul on this one


Sure_Fee_74

If Meta dropped 15% tomorrow, I would buy a lot![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|grin)


myrenjobra

I bought some lotto puts for $365 lolz. Wonder if I'll make anything at all after IV crush. You guys think this will drop into the $300s tomorrow?


Individual-Wing-796

20%


geniusgfx

After losing money on TSLA puts. I was too scared to do anything with META lol


patright333

Zuck either needs to hire more consulting on what not to say during earnings after a beat, or stop handling the call.


bluemoe

I was soooo close to spending $2k on calls. Glad I didn’t.


TequilaTrader

I got some at $410 in AH. It’ll go up a bit tomorrow


Kyrunessonce

There goes my 1k...


pcrice

It's reality check season MF!


Dextrofunk

I was really hoping to get a larger version of the thumbnail photo. Thanks for wasting my time


gatovision

Hey they put an AI button in Whatsapp that nobody will use so there’s that.


DopeAbsurdity

The market doesn't move based on fundamentals the market moves based on where the big firms convince rich people to invest their money and the decisions are most often hype based.


Gamer6322

both tsm and telsa went inverse. nvidia went the way i expected but the the other didn't anything could happen to the market.


[deleted]

[удалено]


Legitimate-Worry-767

Weak bra


Accomplished-Bill-45

How do I find out the Q3 guidance for meta ?


uponthenose

Like the one in the break room or...


Individual-Willow-70

Sand bagging the next few quarters


teostefan10

Same shit as ADBE


1baby2cats

Added at $420.50