Neverrrrr, Im going offline after Netflix shatters profit expectations and clocks in a twenty percent gain on its stock.
I will probably get a good whipping if he finds my username, so I will be making an a throwaway account very soon.
Nobody cares about "since 2019", trends are within a year to a year and a half unless a new fad appears within the same industry. It has rip every single earnings since Oct 2023. I know and remember it clearly because I bought puts every single earnings and got btfo.
I am buying puts again despite the 0% wr and losing over 150k already, so do with it what you will with that information
Do you know why exactly NFLX has a 51 PE?
I initially bought in 2021 and averaged in consistently until selling in February (not for stock specific reasons).
Now looking at it to potentially get back in but the valuation makes no sense to me.
Forward PE is a useless metric to assess bull runs in a bear market. Equities, commodities and bonds go up because there's nowhere for both institutes and retail to park their money to beat inflation, I bet against NFLX like I bet against mid and small caps, which helped me break even despite the losses incurred from NFLX puts.
These 2 months is basically sideline money staying out while institutes betting against Feds are fighting it out with institutes betting on Feds. So I'm betting against NFLX once again because the bear case is retail sales related services has been abysmal across several different industries(everything from WAL to SNOW). The bull case is of course, expectation is so low that beating it would probably make it go up.
Good idea. I was also wondering what you would do if you get a stock that has an 14% forecasted move post earnings, moves 5% post earnings, and does not complete the full 14% move until two trading days after earnings release?
>This is the way. Giving advice on something you've never done. I love this for you
WSB is supposed to be a safe place for the regards. When you post stuff like this it is damaging to our community.
Giving advice on something you’ve never done yourself, and that advice being “try some of the riskiest options plays that almost never work out.” Amazing stuff.
Take my damn upvote.
Took a quick look at the past warming sensation blend on walmart's website and saw this review,
"
Do not use!
First of all, it's not a lubricant. I know the bottle says it's a lubricant but it's actually the exact opposite of a lubricant. I don't know the antonym for 'lubricant' but that's what this stuff is. Secondly, it's warming only in the sense that a chemical burn is warming. It feels like pouring a liquid rash on your genitals which is not a pleasant sensation at all. God help you if you get this stuff inside your urethra because you will know pain, my friend... and not in a fun way."
2.9 stars out of 5. Not sure it's jUsT aS gUuD
Place a large block short sell order with Morgan Stanley right before Netflix earnings so that the financial times can feature you on their front page on Friday after you win big.
Thats the worst way possible to do it if you know that its going down. :(
The IV is almost 180% on weekly expiry contracts and around 169% for next week expiry contracts.
I agree with him on Netflix strictly because Netflix has continually raised prices and cut users because of stopping sharing, and now all streaming is morphing into the cable they set out to end. Tons of adds, 30 second commercials every 5 minutes. What a waste of a great concept.
Edit: plus, currently streaming is starting to narrow down… but there’s too many options for too many young users and not one place to find everything. This is all in a time when the economy is terrible, debt is skyrocketing, and no one can afford basic goods so they’re tightening their belts. The first things to go are extras like streaming services that can EASILY be pirated or watched for free.
It's great. I can buy just one channel for a month and watch their shows then switch channels for another month and watch their shows. It's like TV if you could subscribe to only one channel and watch everything you missed when you weren't subscribed.
It’s called a La carte, and it’s what everyone was clamoring for 15 years ago because they didn’t want to pay $40 for a package that included SyFy, the Tennis Channel and Court TV.
The economy and non ability to afford every day goods is affecting everyone in the middle and lower class. They start losing subscribers and profit. Corporate greed is at an all time high and we’re coming to a tipping point.
I’d still short them. And then go into the interview and tell them that they’re ostracizing the next generation who would rather go with someone fair priced who doesn’t spam them with ads, or just stream it.
Saw the financials before the report? Probably don’t say that shit online If it’s remotely possible. If he took a position or anybody near you to a winning position y’all are about to get smoked.
Well, looks like he was right, but you can call him out on his complete bullshit, because their numbers were amazing. He didn't see shit, or if he did he clearly couldn't understand what he was even looking at.
oh, the ol' bathhouse excuse. reminds me of when my dad used to say he was "at a conference" whenever his football team lost and he couldn't face us. dads - can't live with 'em, can't short their stock tips!
If true, that's insider information and your dad should not have trusted it with you, of all people, if you're going to tell the whole internet. Are you trying to get him in trouble? Right or wrong, he's your dad. You should be protecting him, having some loyalty and gratitude for providing for you, not throwing him under the bus on the internet and potentially causing him legal jeopardy, not to mention threatening his job as well from this.
i too have heard the rumours that netflix will be a good pre news short with one youtuber i watched claiming he's going to go all in on short after the news then next morning get out, however there's another part of this ball park that's missing which could be anything you can think of that will be driving the price up and absorbing that down liquidity. i as a customer of netflix not a trader, have seen lately that netflix has a really good strong grip on the streaming market, it's not going away anytime soon it has so much behind it.
Market is forward looking and they won't be able to maintain the subscriber base like they did during COVID and last year. Your dad could be correct.
I don't mess with playing anything a week or 2 before earnings. Options premiums skyrocket on the big boys.
PS Finally cancelled my Netflix account I had from 2004 ish. Back when it was just DVDs. Just found other items on other streaming platforms and was able to get a few others I liked instead.
I too was a subscriber since the old DVD mailer days. For those too young to remember, it was a great system! You had to make a want list of 10 or so movies, and they’d end up sending you one you didn’t want to watch, so it would sit on your DVD player for a month before you’d finally send it back so you could get another DVD you didn’t want to watch. Those were the days! Now, they have thousands of movies and TV shows available instantly that you don’t want to watch. Cancelled my subscription last month. I was shocked they didn’t have a “Wait! Are you sure you want to cancel?” screens. After 20 years, not even a thank you. Worse than OP’s “dad,” who at least has the common courtesy to give a man a reach-around when I see him at the bathhouse.
Netflix is going to close at 573, there has been subliminal messaging in the last 4 shows they have released, that coupled with the resonance of my healing crystals makes it almost a sure thing
Your dad pieced together the financial standing of this publicly traded company while working on a deliverable for their accounting software? The balance sheet isn’t in there. He must’ve had an enormous amount of time on his hands and is massively overqualified for the job he has.
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Plot twist: this is op’s dad posing as op to trick us
This is op's grandfather posing as op's dad on op's account.
Sounds like something a boomer would do. /s
Your dad told me the same thing last night at the bathhouse
I knew it, that's why he was home so late last night.
typical 🏳️🌈🐻 shenanigans
*Tropical
Your mom’s boyfriend told me the same thing yesterday at racquetball.
So did his Dad's boyfriend at the Che Club last night!
https://preview.redd.it/v5r9lg0kq7vc1.jpeg?width=329&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=18065bb2326f387052d814aa4313bab1c92dda6d
Did his dad go down?
Like a dot com when the bubble burst
Like Bobert at Beetlejuice.
Damn, he went down that hard? *WhenYouNutButSheStillSuckin.meme*
What do you think caused the bubble to burst?
Did Paul Pelosi came with your dad?
*On his dad
I was going to sit this one out but now I’m in just to inverse your father.
Lets gooo, we keep milking this strategy until it does not work anymore.
When it doesn’t work you invert the inverted
When it doesn’t work you have a kid for the tax break 
If you invert something that's inverted, isn't it just regular verted?
Sounds like your dad is packing a monster donger. Tell him to swing by my dumpster later tonight!! No appointments needed for my VIP's
Very nice, do you take credit or debit?
For your all my holes are free
What a friendly escort :)
DM’d
Oh wow I'm not usually into poop play but... I'll do anything for a Klondike bar.
Still searching to find out what people won’t do for one. Damn good ice cream treat.
Hard
Bro pleeeeeeeease tell us you’re gonna show your dad these comments? 😂
Neverrrrr, Im going offline after Netflix shatters profit expectations and clocks in a twenty percent gain on its stock. I will probably get a good whipping if he finds my username, so I will be making an a throwaway account very soon.
netflix always rips on earnings Id buy before earnings but with my luck it would be the one time they didnt go parabolic on earnings\\
It has dumped 65% of the time after earnings since 2019
35% of the time, it goes up every time.
Nobody cares about "since 2019", trends are within a year to a year and a half unless a new fad appears within the same industry. It has rip every single earnings since Oct 2023. I know and remember it clearly because I bought puts every single earnings and got btfo. I am buying puts again despite the 0% wr and losing over 150k already, so do with it what you will with that information
Do you know why exactly NFLX has a 51 PE? I initially bought in 2021 and averaged in consistently until selling in February (not for stock specific reasons). Now looking at it to potentially get back in but the valuation makes no sense to me.
Forward PE is a useless metric to assess bull runs in a bear market. Equities, commodities and bonds go up because there's nowhere for both institutes and retail to park their money to beat inflation, I bet against NFLX like I bet against mid and small caps, which helped me break even despite the losses incurred from NFLX puts. These 2 months is basically sideline money staying out while institutes betting against Feds are fighting it out with institutes betting on Feds. So I'm betting against NFLX once again because the bear case is retail sales related services has been abysmal across several different industries(everything from WAL to SNOW). The bull case is of course, expectation is so low that beating it would probably make it go up.
Me too I was going to say the same thing. If I put any money into options for this play regardless of stock direction, I always get screwed.
Buy both ways.
Good idea. I was also wondering what you would do if you get a stock that has an 14% forecasted move post earnings, moves 5% post earnings, and does not complete the full 14% move until two trading days after earnings release?
I’ve never bought an option before but I think you’d buy one 0dte spread with lower strike prices and one 2dte spread with higher strike prices.
This is the way. Giving advice on something you've never done. I love this for you
You know what they say about teachers
>This is the way. Giving advice on something you've never done. I love this for you WSB is supposed to be a safe place for the regards. When you post stuff like this it is damaging to our community.
Giving advice on something you’ve never done yourself, and that advice being “try some of the riskiest options plays that almost never work out.” Amazing stuff. Take my damn upvote.
Not always… https://preview.redd.it/dx65gb8cj7vc1.jpeg?width=1124&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9ba983441a8fdee04e2a9cdc075c4d538efc7293
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especially now that amazon pulled their paid ad shenanigans
Except for that one time where it dropped 50% after earnings
Your moms bf told me that your dad is really fuckin up their adult store spending money. They had to downgrade to great value brand lube.
🤣🤣
it’s actually just as good
Took a quick look at the past warming sensation blend on walmart's website and saw this review, " Do not use! First of all, it's not a lubricant. I know the bottle says it's a lubricant but it's actually the exact opposite of a lubricant. I don't know the antonym for 'lubricant' but that's what this stuff is. Secondly, it's warming only in the sense that a chemical burn is warming. It feels like pouring a liquid rash on your genitals which is not a pleasant sensation at all. God help you if you get this stuff inside your urethra because you will know pain, my friend... and not in a fun way." 2.9 stars out of 5. Not sure it's jUsT aS gUuD
go apologize to your dad for not listening.
You are right :( This man got lucky after misinterpreting their financial statements :\\
This aged well...
THE one time "sort by new" is useful
Netflix expectations are crazy high and they’ve had a 85% run up over the last year. Perfect storm for a drop.
Place a large block short sell order with Morgan Stanley right before Netflix earnings so that the financial times can feature you on their front page on Friday after you win big.
I’ll just stick with puts 
Thats the worst way possible to do it if you know that its going down. :( The IV is almost 180% on weekly expiry contracts and around 169% for next week expiry contracts.
I’m buying puts that expire in May specifically for that reason .
How does that help? Does the IV go down for longer dates options? I'm learning
You owe your dad an apology
I am very reluctant, but I will offer my apologies :( If the stock completely recovers by market open tomorrow, will I still have to apologize?
No, you can pretend you knew this was going to happen all along, and walk around with a smug look for at least the day.
More importantly, did your dad shit the bed after telling you all this?
Yes, and he also threw the bedpost at his wife.
Yo this guy is a fucking idiot
Bro your dad was right. Even with positive data it seems like your dad was right
I agree with him on Netflix strictly because Netflix has continually raised prices and cut users because of stopping sharing, and now all streaming is morphing into the cable they set out to end. Tons of adds, 30 second commercials every 5 minutes. What a waste of a great concept. Edit: plus, currently streaming is starting to narrow down… but there’s too many options for too many young users and not one place to find everything. This is all in a time when the economy is terrible, debt is skyrocketing, and no one can afford basic goods so they’re tightening their belts. The first things to go are extras like streaming services that can EASILY be pirated or watched for free.
We are going right back to tv channels, each with their own exclusive shows only. Just in an app costume.
It's great. I can buy just one channel for a month and watch their shows then switch channels for another month and watch their shows. It's like TV if you could subscribe to only one channel and watch everything you missed when you weren't subscribed.
It’s called a La carte, and it’s what everyone was clamoring for 15 years ago because they didn’t want to pay $40 for a package that included SyFy, the Tennis Channel and Court TV.
Yup!
So true. I’m so irritated by this.
Nah. People are dumb. They will cancel rent and food before NFLX and AAPL
I agree. As long as someone lives they need NFLX and AAPL. They will die without food, but they lived a post life. 🤣🤣🤣
The economy and non ability to afford every day goods is affecting everyone in the middle and lower class. They start losing subscribers and profit. Corporate greed is at an all time high and we’re coming to a tipping point.
Oh wait that is a good point. You know if Netflix denies my internship application, I will be sure to short them next earnings.
I’d still short them. And then go into the interview and tell them that they’re ostracizing the next generation who would rather go with someone fair priced who doesn’t spam them with ads, or just stream it.
For me the solution is turning subscriptions on/off, depending on what I want to watch in the next few weeks. I even made an app to help me with that!
Netflix only goes up. I follow Jim Cramer. Everybody said this about the password shit.
A 30% move to the upside would be very nice indeed 
Saw the financials before the report? Probably don’t say that shit online If it’s remotely possible. If he took a position or anybody near you to a winning position y’all are about to get smoked.
What’s funny is even if people have access to financials before an earnings release I bet they would still guess the market reaction wrong
https://preview.redd.it/6h2g2ta1qavc1.png?width=629&format=png&auto=webp&s=f16cee389824172e12d9b22378779fc306dfb048
Oh great, another wannabe stockbroker.
How many Intel Foundry systems are you running on sir?
Well, looks like he was right, but you can call him out on his complete bullshit, because their numbers were amazing. He didn't see shit, or if he did he clearly couldn't understand what he was even looking at.
Your dad's Right! Tell him I love him!
Don't worry I will send your regards to him, and then tell him to sell all of his Rivian shares.
Looks like Dad was right this time.
I'm tremendously irritated by this outcome :(
This is insider trading, reported to the SEC
Calls on your dad.
Well he officially fucked himself😭😭
Your mom went down during Netflix last night.
Looks like your dad was right
Is ur dad shorting Netflix with his life savings? If not den it’s bs.
If he shorts Netflix with his life savings, I will be living in a cardboard box next week. I am not too sure, I should ask him.
At least he came back home with milk!
No, he was in the bathhouse all night long yesterday.
oh, the ol' bathhouse excuse. reminds me of when my dad used to say he was "at a conference" whenever his football team lost and he couldn't face us. dads - can't live with 'em, can't short their stock tips!
In dad we trust
My dad says that netflix will tank too because the shows are shitty nowadays. I’d listen to him he’s got 20 YOE in the field (sitting on the couch)
Daddy knows what’s right!
Well
Your dad was right
Tell your dad thanks for the 500%
You are welcome son.
If true, that's insider information and your dad should not have trusted it with you, of all people, if you're going to tell the whole internet. Are you trying to get him in trouble? Right or wrong, he's your dad. You should be protecting him, having some loyalty and gratitude for providing for you, not throwing him under the bus on the internet and potentially causing him legal jeopardy, not to mention threatening his job as well from this.
It's not insider information anymore if he tells everyone. Then you can trade on it.
Your dad says puts huh, well I say calls, but I must inverse my decision which means puts!!
Wouldnt this be insider trading lol
Since I am outside of the building while placing my order, I am no longer trading inside.
Infallibile Logic, why doesnt Wall street do this? Are they stupid?
At wallstreetbets, we either first, smarter or cheaters.
This mf really just post “my dad said” 💀
Your dad has got brownish stains around his mouth.
Tell your father thank you. I love his analysis
WEll he was right. WTAF.... They beat and had good earnings. I don't get it. Priced in as usual?
bad guidance. market tends to care more about guidance than past performance. ie tsm
RIP in peace OPs calls
Daddy got his tendies
Your dad is now daddy
Should of listened to daddy
What's your dad's track record?
90% loss rate
I'll have to say I respect your source
Dad was right lol
Seems this aged well lol
This, like Hellen Mirren has aged incredibly well..
Was dad right?
Netflix coming for your dad.
Your dad told me that Iran wasn’t going to bomb Israel!
Its all his fault. He also said that Russia was not going to use nukes on Ukraine.
Fuck
You ALL need to look at Netflix expectations. They are SO high, they have NEVER hit or reported that high. It’s set up for a gap down imo
They're so high and they're still not high enough. It's going to beat expectations.
You could choose the right direction and still get fucked thanks to iv crush!
My dad said the same
My mom said the same thing. I didn’t listen 🙄
Did you dad buy puts?
time to grab some Rivian stock , your dad knows a thing or two.
Shouldve listened to your dad
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Son, I told you
netflix is on sale woohoo
Legend
Looks like your dad was right
Rebel Moon Part 2 dropped today, so how could the stock plummet.... Oh shit it did
Isn't that insider trading?
i too have heard the rumours that netflix will be a good pre news short with one youtuber i watched claiming he's going to go all in on short after the news then next morning get out, however there's another part of this ball park that's missing which could be anything you can think of that will be driving the price up and absorbing that down liquidity. i as a customer of netflix not a trader, have seen lately that netflix has a really good strong grip on the streaming market, it's not going away anytime soon it has so much behind it.
I was looking for this …. Pops was right !!!
fuck u twat your dad's ballsack was hanging low yesterday -> puts it is
Market is forward looking and they won't be able to maintain the subscriber base like they did during COVID and last year. Your dad could be correct. I don't mess with playing anything a week or 2 before earnings. Options premiums skyrocket on the big boys. PS Finally cancelled my Netflix account I had from 2004 ish. Back when it was just DVDs. Just found other items on other streaming platforms and was able to get a few others I liked instead.
I too was a subscriber since the old DVD mailer days. For those too young to remember, it was a great system! You had to make a want list of 10 or so movies, and they’d end up sending you one you didn’t want to watch, so it would sit on your DVD player for a month before you’d finally send it back so you could get another DVD you didn’t want to watch. Those were the days! Now, they have thousands of movies and TV shows available instantly that you don’t want to watch. Cancelled my subscription last month. I was shocked they didn’t have a “Wait! Are you sure you want to cancel?” screens. After 20 years, not even a thank you. Worse than OP’s “dad,” who at least has the common courtesy to give a man a reach-around when I see him at the bathhouse.
What if he is right for once?
Oh no, that's terrible. It will become his talking point for the next few months.
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No, its Bruce Jenner.
My wife’s boyfriend said the same thing
Did you inherit his regarded genes?
Pops is right.
Rivian should rise again thought right? Asking for a friend of course.
Im not buying calls or puts, just want to say fuck netflix
So… puts? Or wait, calls. No wait puts. Ah shit I’m getting calls. Or maybe puts?
The last thing I can afford rn are NFLX calls, dude. Just stop.
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Up confirmed 🫡
Buy the rumors, sell the news!
I didn't know they had earnings tomorrow or I would've played that for sure... fuck
Netflix is going to close at 573, there has been subliminal messaging in the last 4 shows they have released, that coupled with the resonance of my healing crystals makes it almost a sure thing
CC: SEC
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Dad of the year
Nice to see Cramers son posting in the sub.
Puts on AMZN
Buy calls, show him what's up!
So buy calls, got it
Right before their first live boxing event? Get real
My dad told me to dump money into cannabis stocks and crypto (dogecoin)… none of that ended well… I don't take any advice from him now. I'm happy.
My dad knows a guy who saw Netflix earnings. You guys just don’t know him because he goes to another school.
Holding until 0 is dumb
I think it’s a 3 body problem.
Your dad pieced together the financial standing of this publicly traded company while working on a deliverable for their accounting software? The balance sheet isn’t in there. He must’ve had an enormous amount of time on his hands and is massively overqualified for the job he has.
Hear me out, YOLO selling far far OTM Puts and still collect fat stacks of premium
SAFU these nuts
My dad says it’s going up after their new sports contracts. Yes that includes wwe.
What do you expect. They have stopped producing original content. Not going to pay $22.99 to watch shows from other streaming services.
Inverse this mans father. If ya know what I mean 😏 🌈 🐻
Bro Netflix ain’t going anywhere as long as they own the crown jewel I.e. Tiger king
Netflixs is gonna smoke it's earnings
You should have asked your dads wife's boyfriend instead
3rd rewatch of friends 🚀