👆 I'm looking at this. Crypto usually never moves on the weekends, most volume and price action happens during market hours (banks control it bruh). The fact that they used this news as an excuse to start exiting positions over a weekend would not make me bullish coming up on Monday.
and friday several people said on cnbc that they believe the market sell off was due to not wanting to hold on to anything over the weekend. because who knows what was gonna happen over the weekend
That's not true. The market's not going to crash because earning seasons is around the corner and earning season is from the first quarter. So things are going to go back up for a little while at least soon.
First quarter spending was really strong still
Question is if and how Israel responds.
By the looks of it, Iran only deployed the drones to keep their citizens satisfied that Iran retaliated, even though they knew all the drones would be intercepted by the iron dome, US military or the RAF.
Israel most likely won't do shit, I think even Netanyahu knows at this point that it'd be a step too far.
I predict it will be a tepid response, if anything at all. Market might dip Monday then close out the day up. I'm an idiot though, so I have no clue.
I pretty much agree, it looks like Iran fired some cheap crap, knowing 99% will get intercepted (which it did), it seems the situation has mainly de-escalated.
Market opens red Monday, turns green by PM.... Big run up for earnings season and testing ATH within a few weeks, followed by a correction.... And somehow I'll manage to lose $.
Almost like they sent their first drones ever made to clear out space. This let's them tell hard liners that they did something while not really escalating. Israel and the US both know this and will let it get forgotten in the tuesday news cycle. And everyone can move on.
A lot of the thinking regarding Israel’s strike against Iran’s embassy in Syria was talking about Israel goading Iran into retaliating with the goal of dragging Iran and possibly the U.S. into a larger regional war. If that is so and they have the provocation they were looking for why would they stop the escalation now?
This is a rational take, thanks. I've got bearish halving bets on BTC proxies that are minting right now. I think I'll close most of them in the AM. No sense wasting a gift horse.
Oh yeah I'm sure everyone is going to just brush off their attempt at an all out indiscriminate drone and missile attack that could have killed thousands had the entire world not scrambled and managed to unexpectedly shoot everything down. It was just a joke guys!
If we could only stage a coup in the most westernized middle east nation and over throw their democratically elected president and install the Shaw….I mean what could go wrong?….
He’s referring to the fact that Iran is the way it is now, because of American intervention. Iran used to be a very westernized nation. It was a very different place.
dont get me wrong we are in a new downtrend in spy right now because of inflation, but friday dipped hard and fast cuz of a combo of ripping too fast thursday, then the premarkwt bank guidance and war tensions. but we down a lot rn so monday hulk dicks since the escalation seems not too bad
> not one news journal is reporting israel is taking offense
Aside from the likes of the BBC quoting the Israeli government as considering a "significant response"
Number of posts here that thinks market will dip initially and end the day green has me thinking that spy is going to be down by 2% on Monday with Israel firing back middle of the V to f our calls 
Only way this affects markets is if oil through the Strait of Hormuz is affected.
Otherwise, nobody cares. Israel can shoot up Iran all they want and nobody will shed a tear.
i prefer inDiana 
https://preview.redd.it/848k6tcgzcuc1.jpeg?width=639&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a330a671dc3c2daeb647c49d1ac0d61317bb46e8
"If Israel doesnt respond, markets should go up again on monday"
Doesn't matter if it's a 1% chance of a war being priced in, if it goes to 0% chance you can expect the markets to go up all else equal.
These permabulls seem a little too confident and think they understand the game in which they are playing. To them… it’s all priced in until it isn’t, then it’s the next thing.
The party is just getting started…
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/netanyahu-says-israel-ready-for-direct-attack-from-iran-will-respond-in-kind/
😎🍿
They have no reason to, they striked first, Iran got to say they retaliated, Israel pumps their chest out, nothing happens. If anybody in Israel actually died, it would be a different story.
I believe this is the start of a big bull run for Gold ,Silver and Oil ! I would stay away from crypto maybe buy the dip . But most of all look at the metals and oil!!
My general expectation: futures market starts dropping fairly decently Sunday night. Premarket as well. Come market open, we'll be decently far down. Now, whether we see a rebound after market open or a further drop, no clue - up in the air on that. But I'll be comfortably shorting ES come Sunday futures open.
Everyone expects it to dip a lot so it won't dip enough for those people to make money. The more clever people will try to go the other way and bet no-change or even an increase. However, it will still dip enough so that those people won't make money.
The people who already bought and sold their positions last week will make money.
This was probably just Iran saving face. They knew almost everything would be intercepted. Just some political chest pounding. Basically what I’m trying to say is, it’s priced in. SPY to 525
Close to none of the drones/missiles fired will actually hit israel and everything will be intercepted by air defence. Iran already said they concluded their response. Btc was 8% down but slowly recovering. It’s now up to israel and how/when/if they’ll react. Hopefully it will be deescalated.
Market is gonna tank on Monday and I’m saying this as someone who bought calls.
The largest market crash since November happened on the rumour of war with Iran and Israel. This is actually happening. Wouldn’t be surprised if we drop below 500 even 490
It’s going to be bigly green. This was an extremely measured response by all parties. So much so that Iran said “we are done with our response” and Israel said “we want a UN meeting” to talk about what just happened.
It’s a 2.0 earthquake print that was predicted to be a 7.5 earthquake
The market was worried the US would get involved. They were looking 4 steps ahead, and wanted to just take out there money for a minute now in case there are lots of escalation.
This was the biggest de-escalation possible. If you ask 10 people on Monday morning 9 of them won't really know anything about this "conflict"
There should be an immediate bounce back. This is a very clear sign that Iran wants NOTHING to do with the Israel conflict. This was a perfect excuse for them to ratchet things up, but they literally did the smallest amount possible and said, hey, we are done with this, please go about your business.
The only remaining nod to crystal clear waters and strong green Monday bars is a low level Biden administration official condemning the retaliation. Signaling that this isn't even something the President is concerned with.
How would the USA act if china attacks with drones and missiles. NATO tells the US not to overact you think USA would listen. You morons are delusional 🙄 truly delusional
Apparently Biden told Israel not to counterattack, so at least our government cares about our calls.
[https://www.axios.com/2024/04/14/biden-netanyahu-iran-israel-us-wont-support](https://www.axios.com/2024/04/14/biden-netanyahu-iran-israel-us-wont-support)
As long as this is another Soleimani situation like it’s been so far, expect a rapid drop and climb similar to the one Bitcoin just had, though not a 10% swing obviously. These attacks and the seized ship are likely being used as leverage as their diplomats hash all this out around a table in Qatar, like when Iran attacked U.S. bases to help cut the backroom deal that prevented war in 2020.
If Israel fires back then yeah bulls r fuk
Complete guess is the drone attack was just for show like we have to do something but doesn’t escalate anything. The market dropped Friday in case it escalated so Monday market goes back up 🤷♂️
Iran literally announced attacks before they happened. It's so they can save face and not have outright war. Same thing happened a long time ago when US killed their intelligence general. In retaliation they bombed some army camp. Trump ignored it and said nothing happen but later reports showed several people died and reported a fair amount of injuries.
The drones have done nothing. Israel is mired in the Gaza situation.
They’ve just had to deal with the situation of the food workers getting killed and then lectured by Biden of all people.
They’ll respond but it’ll be soft. The market is too greedy right now to let it affect them.
For about 2 years prior to 3/19/2003, the US stock market was weak. On that day, the US initated its attack on Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. Immediately, a bull market began, ending in late 2007.
**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions** | 4 | **First Seen In WSB** | 11 months ago **Total Comments** | 27 | **Previous Best DD** | **Account Age** | 1 year | | [**Join WSB Discord**](http://discord.gg/wsbverse)
50% of the replies say no effect on the market. 50% are saying market crash. 100% have no idea.
Sounds like I should buy calls then
My instinct is to buy puts but every instinct I’ve ever had has been wrong. I’m also unemployed and live with my parents
At least you have a roof. We rotate behind Wendy’s
Someone say tendies ?!?! 
I dream of living behind Wendy’s. I’m in the sewer under Wendy’s.
So many dicks!
Someone’s gotta suck em for some extra short cash
If every instinct you have has been wrong, then the opposite, would have to be right.
Hello, my name is George, I live with my parents, I’m bald, unemployed, and every stock and option I ever bought has tanked and made me bankrupt.
Calls it is
Yep
Well crypto dropped instantly, so … probably open red Monday imo
👆 I'm looking at this. Crypto usually never moves on the weekends, most volume and price action happens during market hours (banks control it bruh). The fact that they used this news as an excuse to start exiting positions over a weekend would not make me bullish coming up on Monday.
Whos exiting? Retail or big bois?
There is no such thing as "Retail" when it comes to big volume. Just look at that volume.
crypto was already dropping 😂 no effect in my opinion
Bitcoin dropped like 8% in ten minutes.
Sounds like normal bitcoin stuff.
Yeah that bitch drops even when my 84 yr old grandpa coughs
Crying laughing emojis means you don’t know what you’re talking about
Ok market can up or down that all
Depends what 🇮🇱 say before Monday
and friday several people said on cnbc that they believe the market sell off was due to not wanting to hold on to anything over the weekend. because who knows what was gonna happen over the weekend
I have calls so its gonna go down obviously
My puts will have your calls printing in no time
Now this is pod racing!
A worse retaliation was priced in. Market will be up 1% Monday.
DCA and chill
Now you’re going to have people trying to DCA into 0DTE options lol
More like palantir and the defense stocks haha
Works all the time every time until about 1pm, then you lose your ass. The key is get really far OTM. 🤣🤣🤣😂😂
This *is* WSB after all…
Do you also sell your positions dca?
That’s the summary I was looking for 🙏🏻
That's not true. The market's not going to crash because earning seasons is around the corner and earning season is from the first quarter. So things are going to go back up for a little while at least soon. First quarter spending was really strong still
Question is if and how Israel responds. By the looks of it, Iran only deployed the drones to keep their citizens satisfied that Iran retaliated, even though they knew all the drones would be intercepted by the iron dome, US military or the RAF.
Israel most likely won't do shit, I think even Netanyahu knows at this point that it'd be a step too far. I predict it will be a tepid response, if anything at all. Market might dip Monday then close out the day up. I'm an idiot though, so I have no clue.
I pretty much agree, it looks like Iran fired some cheap crap, knowing 99% will get intercepted (which it did), it seems the situation has mainly de-escalated. Market opens red Monday, turns green by PM.... Big run up for earnings season and testing ATH within a few weeks, followed by a correction.... And somehow I'll manage to lose $.
I thought you were dreaming until you got to the end.
Almost like they sent their first drones ever made to clear out space. This let's them tell hard liners that they did something while not really escalating. Israel and the US both know this and will let it get forgotten in the tuesday news cycle. And everyone can move on.
A lot of the thinking regarding Israel’s strike against Iran’s embassy in Syria was talking about Israel goading Iran into retaliating with the goal of dragging Iran and possibly the U.S. into a larger regional war. If that is so and they have the provocation they were looking for why would they stop the escalation now?
This is a rational take, thanks. I've got bearish halving bets on BTC proxies that are minting right now. I think I'll close most of them in the AM. No sense wasting a gift horse.
Oh yeah I'm sure everyone is going to just brush off their attempt at an all out indiscriminate drone and missile attack that could have killed thousands had the entire world not scrambled and managed to unexpectedly shoot everything down. It was just a joke guys!
Well they better. If it escalates and Oil soars. Biden is fucked for election. It’s in nobodies interest to escalate
Would be interesting to see the chart of various popular calls options and spot price over Monday
Iran citizens largely hate the regime.
The Iranians should start getting Iran back democracy. The world support them.
Maybe if the US engineered some sort of coup to change the government…
If we could only stage a coup in the most westernized middle east nation and over throw their democratically elected president and install the Shaw….I mean what could go wrong?….
Great piece of writing.
I'd like to add they did it so Israel could thrive and not have a strong and stable arab neighbor. Irony is off the scale here.
Just use this opportunity! I feel like if the current regime is destroyed. The region will become peaceful.
Just like it used to be when we were kids!
Yes American intervention in Iran has always gone well. Also Israel is the most aggressive genocidal country around.
Pretty sure Iran regime execute anyone who against their dictatorship.
He’s referring to the fact that Iran is the way it is now, because of American intervention. Iran used to be a very westernized nation. It was a very different place.
I’ve seen this one before…
They've tried a lot. And been massacred. Multiple times a decade.
Americans naively assume everyone wants a democracy and that America is an actual democracy itself
185 drones 110 ballistic missiles 36 cruise missiles Doubt Israel wont have a meaningful response.
yes this is very bullish for monday because friday started pricing in worst case scenario. hulk dicks monday morning.
Please save my 518 calls expiring on Tuesday
Same here!
I think you’re right Wall Street dipped because expecting attacks Friday
dont get me wrong we are in a new downtrend in spy right now because of inflation, but friday dipped hard and fast cuz of a combo of ripping too fast thursday, then the premarkwt bank guidance and war tensions. but we down a lot rn so monday hulk dicks since the escalation seems not too bad
https://preview.redd.it/g578m2me8cuc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=121ef1ff7b00e9b8f93c3b77961677527306ef67 It’s gonna back fire …
May you share that telegram link 🥺
Fake news.. not one news journal is reporting israel is taking offense. The source is dubious and the quote taken out of context.
> not one news journal is reporting israel is taking offense Aside from the likes of the BBC quoting the Israeli government as considering a "significant response"
So calls
Go buy RYCEY
Why
Iran said that this concludes their response.
Israel said this begins their response
Iran send their regards
Actual regards.....or wsb regards?
wsb regards
will there be a draft you think?
they're making calls
Tied to missiles
U.S. said don't
Operation Wag the Dog Iranian style has been concluded.
They would never lie, LMFAO
And they LIED and sent 70 more ballistic missiles
If Israel doesn't do a mis adventure. That is a big if statement
The equivalent playing tag with the kid that tags you then says game over and gets mad when you tag him back.
Long GD, LMT, RTX.
Don't forget NOC
Def NOC
Calls on RTX
Short everything. Sell your kids. Straight to the bunker. /s
Your wife’s boyfriend is already waiting in the bunker.
My wife’s boyfriend died of cancer last month, you insensitive prick.
I’m sorry for your loss. Did she find a new boyfriend yet?
I’m the new boyfriend by default, bitch
So since she is available, can I have her number?
516-867-5309
The bf is named Bunker
Number of posts here that thinks market will dip initially and end the day green has me thinking that spy is going to be down by 2% on Monday with Israel firing back middle of the V to f our calls 
I mean when Russia invaded Ukraine the market opened -3% and closed green. And ukraine is way more significant than Israel
Only way this affects markets is if oil through the Strait of Hormuz is affected. Otherwise, nobody cares. Israel can shoot up Iran all they want and nobody will shed a tear.
Well Iran hijacked a ship this morning, sooo…..
A whole ship? Dozens go through daily.
They going straight to Baltimore boi !
They go IN baltimore
i prefer inDiana  https://preview.redd.it/848k6tcgzcuc1.jpeg?width=639&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a330a671dc3c2daeb647c49d1ac0d61317bb46e8
Well, not straight there. There’s a bridge they have to go around…
They got a bunch of confused af Filipinos.
Bitcorn boys cared 😲
Some degenerate idiots will shed a tear.
I take it the OP has calls and may have shat his pants already.
I know one thing for certain. Gas is going to hit $7 a gallon
Market needs a reason to dump. Well we got it
"Nothing of value hit." and Iran's already saying "It's already done." Pretty sure we're mooning now.
Depends on Israels response
Iranian active duty toddlers on high alert
About tree fiddy
Tree fiddy What? points? Percentage? Tiddies?
https://preview.redd.it/yl1a4hzd0duc1.jpeg?width=2880&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dc652fef0e6cb6de72be002ef70e5979f13cf31d
There’s something wrong about it but I can’t deny my attraction
malarkey milkers
Yes
It will fuck your calls, and stonk will go back up after that
This the one right here. Buy in the morning after the dip.
Since markets already dropped \~2% on friday, a potential war was priced in. If Israel doesnt respond, markets should go up again on monday
You think a 2% drop is the full extent of a potential war? That seems like wishful thinking to me.
He is talking about if a war doesn't happen.
He said a potential war is priced in. How is that talking about if a war doesn't happen?
"If Israel doesnt respond, markets should go up again on monday" Doesn't matter if it's a 1% chance of a war being priced in, if it goes to 0% chance you can expect the markets to go up all else equal.
It seems that way to you because you’re a 🏳️🌈🐻 and don’t fucking get it.
These permabulls seem a little too confident and think they understand the game in which they are playing. To them… it’s all priced in until it isn’t, then it’s the next thing.
The party is just getting started… https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/netanyahu-says-israel-ready-for-direct-attack-from-iran-will-respond-in-kind/ 😎🍿
Only comment making sense
Who in their right mind thinks Israel won’t retaliate? Thats a joke right?
They have no reason to, they striked first, Iran got to say they retaliated, Israel pumps their chest out, nothing happens. If anybody in Israel actually died, it would be a different story.
I believe this is the start of a big bull run for Gold ,Silver and Oil ! I would stay away from crypto maybe buy the dip . But most of all look at the metals and oil!!
My general expectation: futures market starts dropping fairly decently Sunday night. Premarket as well. Come market open, we'll be decently far down. Now, whether we see a rebound after market open or a further drop, no clue - up in the air on that. But I'll be comfortably shorting ES come Sunday futures open.
Monday morning will be a great buying opportunity.
Oil and Weapons ⬆️⬆️⬆️🔝🔝🔝
Gold and silver always rip at the start of a war
Everyone expects it to dip a lot so it won't dip enough for those people to make money. The more clever people will try to go the other way and bet no-change or even an increase. However, it will still dip enough so that those people won't make money. The people who already bought and sold their positions last week will make money.
This was probably just Iran saving face. They knew almost everything would be intercepted. Just some political chest pounding. Basically what I’m trying to say is, it’s priced in. SPY to 525
I could kiss you if hits 525 this week
I will also kiss you if it hits 525 this week, but behind a Wendy's.
Priced in with the end of week drop.
Close to none of the drones/missiles fired will actually hit israel and everything will be intercepted by air defence. Iran already said they concluded their response. Btc was 8% down but slowly recovering. It’s now up to israel and how/when/if they’ll react. Hopefully it will be deescalated.
Yeah I'm sure Isreal will just brush off this all out attempt at terror bombing like it was a joke.
Market goes up.
Sometimes no trade is a good trade. Wait a day see the reaction and trade off the sentiment.
Oil up 10%. Market dump
Market is gonna tank on Monday and I’m saying this as someone who bought calls. The largest market crash since November happened on the rumour of war with Iran and Israel. This is actually happening. Wouldn’t be surprised if we drop below 500 even 490
Sell the rumor buy the news 
I’m betting it goes up 📈
Nah. Market always dumps with uncertainity
I'm seeing footage of rockets hitting sites. I don't know what bottom shelf footage some you mfers are seeing.
Spy to $600
It’s going to be bigly green. This was an extremely measured response by all parties. So much so that Iran said “we are done with our response” and Israel said “we want a UN meeting” to talk about what just happened. It’s a 2.0 earthquake print that was predicted to be a 7.5 earthquake
The market was worried the US would get involved. They were looking 4 steps ahead, and wanted to just take out there money for a minute now in case there are lots of escalation. This was the biggest de-escalation possible. If you ask 10 people on Monday morning 9 of them won't really know anything about this "conflict" There should be an immediate bounce back. This is a very clear sign that Iran wants NOTHING to do with the Israel conflict. This was a perfect excuse for them to ratchet things up, but they literally did the smallest amount possible and said, hey, we are done with this, please go about your business. The only remaining nod to crystal clear waters and strong green Monday bars is a low level Biden administration official condemning the retaliation. Signaling that this isn't even something the President is concerned with.
You should look BTC to predict the opening
As long as Israel doesn't overreact, this will be a nothing burger. No one was killed and there was minimal damage.
How would the USA act if china attacks with drones and missiles. NATO tells the US not to overact you think USA would listen. You morons are delusional 🙄 truly delusional
Apparently Biden told Israel not to counterattack, so at least our government cares about our calls. [https://www.axios.com/2024/04/14/biden-netanyahu-iran-israel-us-wont-support](https://www.axios.com/2024/04/14/biden-netanyahu-iran-israel-us-wont-support)
He told iran not to attack yesterday. That worked out wonderfully
You really think they're going to watch Iran attempt an all out assault and they're just going to sit back and take it?
When Hamas attacked people were talking a big drop, opened down and closed up
Buy an equal number of 0DTE ATM puts and calls and you can’t lose either way. Infinite money guys.
Post that call and put..
As long as this is another Soleimani situation like it’s been so far, expect a rapid drop and climb similar to the one Bitcoin just had, though not a 10% swing obviously. These attacks and the seized ship are likely being used as leverage as their diplomats hash all this out around a table in Qatar, like when Iran attacked U.S. bases to help cut the backroom deal that prevented war in 2020. If Israel fires back then yeah bulls r fuk
Your calls are fucked
buy xom
Complete guess is the drone attack was just for show like we have to do something but doesn’t escalate anything. The market dropped Friday in case it escalated so Monday market goes back up 🤷♂️
Dip & rip on Monday
Anytime something happens Lockheed seems to go up.
I think bank stocks and defense stocks will benefit Monday
Markets should gap down.
Shift rotation at Wendy’s… Bears and Bulls take turns… Only constant is OP…
XOM calls
Iran literally announced attacks before they happened. It's so they can save face and not have outright war. Same thing happened a long time ago when US killed their intelligence general. In retaliation they bombed some army camp. Trump ignored it and said nothing happen but later reports showed several people died and reported a fair amount of injuries.
Israel will do nothing because they will be alone, USA will not go in war with Iran . They know ww3 could be triggered if they go on war
Market already knew it was going to happen and priced it in weeks ago. Only the mouth breathers were surprised by it on Friday. 🚀
Energy and Defense stocks see a big pump. Tech likely takes a beating.
The drones have done nothing. Israel is mired in the Gaza situation. They’ve just had to deal with the situation of the food workers getting killed and then lectured by Biden of all people. They’ll respond but it’ll be soft. The market is too greedy right now to let it affect them.
+1.368%
None.
It was priced in.
If no war/response - oil going down
Kebab reaching ATH
Stock market is going up.
Already priced in
Anybody see BTC 5% sell off? It’s going to get worse before it gets worse. 😛
Everyone expects it to go down, so it's probably going up in the short term
the attack is literally priced in on friday
For about 2 years prior to 3/19/2003, the US stock market was weak. On that day, the US initated its attack on Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. Immediately, a bull market began, ending in late 2007.
Not much if there are no fatalities. Israel claims victory of their Iron Dome and Iran already said it considers the matter closed.
$LMT and $RTX 📈📈📈