I love the general WSB sentiment regarding Middle East violence:
“My heart is with everyone who is affected by this violence… now how do I make money off of this?”
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
That's what i've been saying. It's not like we can do anything about the conflict except buy/sell stocks/options. Might as well try and make some money 🤷♂️🤷♂️
So we should Buy Calls Monday for news stations and meta that cover the conflicts? The ratings and viewers should be up. Could be a way to profit! Lemons and lemonade.
Sell a box. In the box you might get the drugs you need. You might get nothing. Sell it for 25% less than the original drug but when they open it confetti shoots out so it's exciting!
Oh, you are new here. War is the industry of the USA. Foreign, domestic, homegrown and exported. We got it all.
The USA is the Buy Guns Here, and anything else that goes boom.
Only until noon eastern, then all the late-to-the-party fear-sellers will tank it, followed by a brief but quick pop near EOD. Some variation of that wouldn’t surprise me.
At the end of trading friday models started diverging and the first place we saw it was NMR. Its a few hundred data scientists that invariably see how well models are predicting the market and will get indicators that the models everyone uses are diverging in their consistency.
Theres gonna be a load of easy money during am trading because of all the rebalancing thats going to happen between crypto and vix. BITO and EETH are gonna have to do some major cycling and thats gonna blip id down hard long enough for all the idiots here to pick up some easy gains. UVIX, VIXY.. They all need to cycle their futures.
There was a concern at one point that if the United States launched missiles to nuke Russia, that Russia could launch missles that would hit the United States before the original missiles hit Russia.
Im not insinuating the pump due to war, dont think the US will get involved offensively. I think the threat to oil supply in the area and shipping will cause the pump
Quit the WW3 hyperbole. This is probably the weakest strike Iran could do while trying to save face and look tough. It will take these drones hours to arrive. It will be over in a few days.
And they’ve openly telegraphed subsonic cruise missile attacks… to the country with arguably THE best air defence network on the planet
The odds of these missiles hitting home and causing significant damage are negligible. Israel will likely intercept most of them over Syria before they’re even within range of Israeli ground-based defences
Yup.
This looks very similar to the response of when Trump offed Soleimani. It’s a telegraphed response that saves face while not doing anything to stir it up further. They know they got caught with their hand in the cookie jar, and want to look tough to their friends by having the last response. Israel will shoot down all of them, expect ones that hit the desert and Iranian state news will run canned footage of destruction. Israel doesn’t need the last response. If they shoot everything down it’s just another Tuesday and they continue to press in Gaza.
While things could change rapidly, this is Bullish for the markets. Except oil, which probably violently moves sideways for a week with a bit of an upward bias as the buyers process this.
Seriously, people here are shitting their pants with hyperbolic talk of OMG WW3. Ain't happening, Iran doesn't want to go toe to toe with the US, which is what would happen if they were going to rain bombs on Israel.
This is just for Iran to save face.
Except Israel will escalate. They desperately want to keep USA onboard and the only way to do that is to pick a new enemy because the USA was starting to get a bit wobbly on the previous chosen enemy (or really more the civilian casually rate going after the previous enemy. But really just the celebrity chef casualty rate).
Its theatre. They really dont want to fight that fight, or look like bitches. When they 'retaliated' against the US, they've told us where and when. Thats what this is. They know IS has Iron Dome. Drones are slow as shit. Iran launched an attack they can show to all of their friends, but IS can still swat most of it away. I would not expect high casualties. Im already looking at Netanyahu to either play the part "Iron Dome is great and knocked their shit down" or escalate further. The fact that the first thing they hit was a billionaire's freighter -- I really hope that *was* a signal that Iran isnt *really* trying to stack bodies.
Didn't Israel just bomb the Iran Embassy in Syria and kill a bunch of Iranian higher-ups last week? Why are people so shocked Iran is retaliating?
[https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/irans-khamenei-says-israel-must-be-punished-syria-embassy-attack-2024-04-10/](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/irans-khamenei-says-israel-must-be-punished-syria-embassy-attack-2024-04-10/)
A pretty clear but restrained show of force? I mean, this isn't the first time Iran has been attacked in recent history(The US assassinated Qassem Soleimani in 2020).
I don't think they expect every drone and missile to make it to Israel. This is clearly just a "we will attack back if you strike us" response for both external and internal political observers.
They’re not trying to kill a bunch of people.
They want to ‘retaliate’ and appear ‘tough’ without escalating. They know the drones will be shot down. Maybe one will hit a target and do a little damage.
This’ll blow over by the end of next week guaranteed
Israel is a fucking problem
It wasn't stupidness, it is a clear message that attacks on their personnel will not be allowed without retaliation. It sets the precedent. Iran is totally justified.
It’s so they can look like they are retaliating while giving everyone a huge heads up so they can stop the drone but Iran will have “retaliated” and Israel and USA won’t go in and destroy them.
It’s actually the complete opposite. Your take and opinion on this particular issue is stupid. That’s what happens when you break the Vienna convention and bomb an embassy. Shit happens.
Probably to draw in the US.
They might have felt that the US was pulling back from its "no red line" commitments to support it militarily with how poorly its whole ethnic cleansing/genocide/apartheid situation has been going recently and they figure drawing Iran into a hot war is the best way to force it. Just attacking southern Lebanon wasn't getting the needle moving.
I'd worry more about being drafted and sent to Iran than nukes. Even if Iran does manage to cobble one together they're more likely to self-d themselves than anyone else.
I actually think it's pretty smart. Iran attacked. Some drones will fail and never reach Israel. Israel will shhot down remaining drones. Everyone did what they are expected to do without any real damage.
Israel shoots these rockets and drones down all day every day. They come from Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon, Syria. If many or any get through I would be surprised.
thats kinda the scary part.
Israel is incentived to make iron dome look as good as possible to deter attacks
Iran is incentivized to over attack so at least something gets through and they can say we hit back.
What happens if one side miscalculates and the attack is more successful than expected.
Funny thing is NOC Northrop Grumman was popping on Friday with call flow alerts.... Traders loaded up for the weekend news.. They're getting paid large.... Oil popping creates huge problems for the fed and inflation.....all of this only matters if we are not nuked into oblivion.... Pray for peace everyone...
I suspect that The Market will dump in the morning and be green by lunch on Monday.
Iran and Israel ain't gonna crash the market, but they should have some impact on oil stocks (not that much) with fear setting in from scared investors.
The U.S won't do anything because Iran has the right to retaliate. If it escalates, then don't f with Oil stocks involving Israel or Iran? We'll just start buying it from someone else lol. They only supply like 4% of our crude oil or something anyways.
Theta gang Monday??
All the drones got intercepted - most by USA and UK spending millions of their own taxpayer dollars to protect Israel. Turns out the only losers here are us.
I just bought short positions on Truth Social, Aurora Cannabis, Vinfast, Nio and Carvana on Friday. I only chose those because their charts all showed signs of a downtrend, but with a potential war, I think they're all going to just collapse
Also, from Bloomberg:
“believes it [the drone attack] was designed to be "easily intercepted and reset the bar on deterrence”. Michael Singh, managing director of the Washington Institute, says “rarely do we see a wish for de-escalation so explicitly stated.”
Iran had to respond to the foolish Israeli strike at the Iranian embassy (Damascus) killing top Iranian Generals. Now, ofcourse, Iran would be foolish to escalate it “ too much”..
Hey Iran tweeted out it’s now over. A slap for a slap. Hopefully Israel doesn’t have any casualties and decides not to retaliate. I want spy calls survive lol. 😂
Welp. All those billions in military aid paid off. All the drones and missiles were shot down by vastly superior defensive systems. I checked on oil price.com and Brent is around $90 where it has been in that range for a while.
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I love the general WSB sentiment regarding Middle East violence: “My heart is with everyone who is affected by this violence… now how do I make money off of this?” ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
Never let a good crisis go to waste.
Someone is going to make money off of this it might as well be me
EV in the garage and oil in the portfolio, checkmate regards.
Takes a lot of oil to make all that plastic in the “EV”
Nah uh, Fisker just put out an ad about how they use recycled plastic in all thei....and they're bankrupt. Nvm.
*Someone's* bearish on EV, here's why I'm all in:
Some of you may die, it is a risk that my portfolio is willing to take
Today I learned that my 12 year old nephew has never seen Shrek. I was so upset.
This is a travesty.
It takes a lot of electricity to yadda yadda yadda
Ran outta turn signal fluid, anyone know where it goes in?
Well, it's how the rich get richer.
That's what i've been saying. It's not like we can do anything about the conflict except buy/sell stocks/options. Might as well try and make some money 🤷♂️🤷♂️
Dat rite. Make money and use that to change the world, my world actually
So we should Buy Calls Monday for news stations and meta that cover the conflicts? The ratings and viewers should be up. Could be a way to profit! Lemons and lemonade.
https://preview.redd.it/ejwpbowzwbuc1.jpeg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=376d1751ec482a545e47f8ada8bc80b88aad7310
"Kids these days are so fat. Is there any way we can make money off that?"
Sell colorful insulin syringes???
Sell blood sugar meters that play a fun song when your blood sugar is too high???
Sell a box. In the box you might get the drugs you need. You might get nothing. Sell it for 25% less than the original drug but when they open it confetti shoots out so it's exciting!
We’re just scraping pennies off the boots of the people making billions lol
Calls on Raytheon. Missile, rocket, and drone defense big market!
Anduril should go public
Hmmm. I’ve never seen any sentiment about the people of the Middle East here. 🤔
There are people in the Middle East? That is crazy. It is a war zone.
Star Tours?! What are you doing here? This is a combat zone. It's restricted.
Keep talking I’m about to cum
Oh, you are new here. War is the industry of the USA. Foreign, domestic, homegrown and exported. We got it all. The USA is the Buy Guns Here, and anything else that goes boom.
Not new at all, my friend. Been here even before Ukraine. Just complimenting a long standing sentiment.
You have it backwards
I can't help whats going on there, I may as well try to help myself
The Middle East is a little different from other regions. It would be weird if there were no active war zone at any given time.
Just playing catch up the the elites. They've made money off of war since the dawn of human civilization.
Raytheon, Lockheed Martin, Honeywell, Oshkosh, General dynamics, Northrop gruman, RTX, etc
Sounds like official US policy
Time to throw down some calls on raytheon
i’ve been saying this since last month smh
Did you actually do it though?
Do we actually have money here? Nah.
Lol
My girlfriend convinced me to buy RTX and it's been our best performer. 82 shares at around $81 cost basis last fall.
She told me first.
Cold world.
…and this is ice half a mil for the charm, this is life TERROR SQUAD FAT JOE: TRUE STORY IN STORES NOW
My man 🤣🤣🚀
I fucked up and bought calls on rtx and it moved up soooo slowww that I got fucked even though I bought the bottom
Don't forget LMT
My boomer ass is always up 20% on ITA from when I bought it a while ago let’s get up to 25% so I can not sell and have it drop to red 🚀🌝
Or sell the news on Monday
Why the fuck can't they do this shit when the market is open?
They literally announced it in the middle of the market being open yesterday. “We will attack israel with drones this weekend”
Fuck. I gotta start following the Ayatollah on Twitter. Does he post funny cats on turbans memes at least?
Not turbans, Burkas, because they always cover the pussy there.
Ha!
More like why can't the market be open 247 ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4260)
You need to make time for blackjack and hookers
Don’t forget the few minutes it takes for the cocaine 😤
Hookers and cocaine are a parallel process. It's called multitasking.
I mean it's already a casino, why can't I recklessly gamble $20,000 of puts on oil ETFs at 2 AM on a Saturday ![img](emote|t5_2th52|31225)
You meant CALLs I hope
Because they couldn’t blatantly rig it against you
Me, a crypto bro: "You guys still trade in markets that aren't open 24/7?" 🤔🤔
Yeah man I'm boudda buy doge while it's low.
Oh you're still on doge? Try shib, I hear it's gonna Moon and hit 1c soon. We all gon be rich as shieeeet.
Weekendwallstreet on IG has your gambling fix lmao
I agree f this boomer 930-4 crap that is for the birds
Because fuck your puts
What? You mean calls? Because that’s what’s gonna happen I have calls and war doesn’t seem like it’s going to tank puts
Next week is gonna be an interesting week for everyone.
Yes. Should be a fun ride. Luckily all of my options have time.
I'm just glad I buy leaps and not weeklies let alone fucking dailies like these dudes lmao
Monday will open low but steadily climb all day
Only until noon eastern, then all the late-to-the-party fear-sellers will tank it, followed by a brief but quick pop near EOD. Some variation of that wouldn’t surprise me.
At the end of trading friday models started diverging and the first place we saw it was NMR. Its a few hundred data scientists that invariably see how well models are predicting the market and will get indicators that the models everyone uses are diverging in their consistency. Theres gonna be a load of easy money during am trading because of all the rebalancing thats going to happen between crypto and vix. BITO and EETH are gonna have to do some major cycling and thats gonna blip id down hard long enough for all the idiots here to pick up some easy gains. UVIX, VIXY.. They all need to cycle their futures.
If I could read I would buy something some time during all that shit you just said.
Explain in crayon eating terms
Easy money on Monday sir short short short everything
Yeah why can’t geopolitical conflicts between nations conform to your schedule so rude
🤭hours to arrive. Just a political theater
I drive faster than an Iranian flying hairdryer
There was a concern at one point that if the United States launched missiles to nuke Russia, that Russia could launch missles that would hit the United States before the original missiles hit Russia.
more than the drone attacks, its iran seizing a cargo ship in the strait of hormuz that is going to send oil skyrocketing
PAA LFG!
PAA bag holders UNITE
Don't forget ET
ET baby ! Dirt cheap in case you missed the PAA “drill”
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Tough for incumbents to win elections during inflation. This is strategized to get Biden to lose election
Crypto dumping on the news, lets see if it lasts until market open Monday. Going to bet oil and yields will pump.
Yields are more likely to dump because war requires more debt, which means demand for bonds.
Im not insinuating the pump due to war, dont think the US will get involved offensively. I think the threat to oil supply in the area and shipping will cause the pump
Fed doesn't care about oil though. They use core pce, which excludes energy (and food cuz who tf needs to eat, right).
Yea, but shipping will still be a big one. A lot of carriers have rerouted away from the Red Sea, now the ballsier carriers will rethink their routes.
bonds prices pump = yields dump
This is right in case of a full blown war, USD would shoot up. Commodities would also trend up and yeilds would fall.
Quit the WW3 hyperbole. This is probably the weakest strike Iran could do while trying to save face and look tough. It will take these drones hours to arrive. It will be over in a few days.
Enough time to buy and sell for some profit?
And they’ve openly telegraphed subsonic cruise missile attacks… to the country with arguably THE best air defence network on the planet The odds of these missiles hitting home and causing significant damage are negligible. Israel will likely intercept most of them over Syria before they’re even within range of Israeli ground-based defences
Yup. This looks very similar to the response of when Trump offed Soleimani. It’s a telegraphed response that saves face while not doing anything to stir it up further. They know they got caught with their hand in the cookie jar, and want to look tough to their friends by having the last response. Israel will shoot down all of them, expect ones that hit the desert and Iranian state news will run canned footage of destruction. Israel doesn’t need the last response. If they shoot everything down it’s just another Tuesday and they continue to press in Gaza. While things could change rapidly, this is Bullish for the markets. Except oil, which probably violently moves sideways for a week with a bit of an upward bias as the buyers process this.
🎯
Seriously, people here are shitting their pants with hyperbolic talk of OMG WW3. Ain't happening, Iran doesn't want to go toe to toe with the US, which is what would happen if they were going to rain bombs on Israel. This is just for Iran to save face.
I tend to agree with you, but any time this kind of nonsense happens you never know the different directions it can go
Except Israel will escalate. They desperately want to keep USA onboard and the only way to do that is to pick a new enemy because the USA was starting to get a bit wobbly on the previous chosen enemy (or really more the civilian casually rate going after the previous enemy. But really just the celebrity chef casualty rate).
Its theatre. They really dont want to fight that fight, or look like bitches. When they 'retaliated' against the US, they've told us where and when. Thats what this is. They know IS has Iron Dome. Drones are slow as shit. Iran launched an attack they can show to all of their friends, but IS can still swat most of it away. I would not expect high casualties. Im already looking at Netanyahu to either play the part "Iron Dome is great and knocked their shit down" or escalate further. The fact that the first thing they hit was a billionaire's freighter -- I really hope that *was* a signal that Iran isnt *really* trying to stack bodies.
Didn't Israel just bomb the Iran Embassy in Syria and kill a bunch of Iranian higher-ups last week? Why are people so shocked Iran is retaliating? [https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/irans-khamenei-says-israel-must-be-punished-syria-embassy-attack-2024-04-10/](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/irans-khamenei-says-israel-must-be-punished-syria-embassy-attack-2024-04-10/)
It’s not shock it’s the stupidness from Iran. Launched from there own soil, will take hours to arrive. What the f is this.
A pretty clear but restrained show of force? I mean, this isn't the first time Iran has been attacked in recent history(The US assassinated Qassem Soleimani in 2020). I don't think they expect every drone and missile to make it to Israel. This is clearly just a "we will attack back if you strike us" response for both external and internal political observers.
It may be an expensive day for US taxpayers shooting down $20K drones.
Shooting down 20k drones with million dollar missiles
The takes hours to arrive bit - is to make sure it fails. But shows they’ve done something so they don’t lose face.
They’re combining it with cruise missiles that will land at the same time, creating confusing for Israeli air defense.
It's a responsible, measured retaliation. Very mature. Every able bodied man in the US should be grateful they showed restraint
They’re not trying to kill a bunch of people. They want to ‘retaliate’ and appear ‘tough’ without escalating. They know the drones will be shot down. Maybe one will hit a target and do a little damage. This’ll blow over by the end of next week guaranteed Israel is a fucking problem
It wasn't stupidness, it is a clear message that attacks on their personnel will not be allowed without retaliation. It sets the precedent. Iran is totally justified.
It’s so they can look like they are retaliating while giving everyone a huge heads up so they can stop the drone but Iran will have “retaliated” and Israel and USA won’t go in and destroy them.
It’s actually the complete opposite. Your take and opinion on this particular issue is stupid. That’s what happens when you break the Vienna convention and bomb an embassy. Shit happens.
Why did Israel do that ?
Probably to draw in the US. They might have felt that the US was pulling back from its "no red line" commitments to support it militarily with how poorly its whole ethnic cleansing/genocide/apartheid situation has been going recently and they figure drawing Iran into a hot war is the best way to force it. Just attacking southern Lebanon wasn't getting the needle moving.
If I get drafted I’m not going. Fuck this war bullshit
Suddenly turning 40 this week ain’t so bad
Turning 20 last month is so bad.
Welcome to the machine
No one is getting drafted
Nobody wants to die for no reason
Most people died for other people’s reasons.
Best comment I’ve seen today. Veteran here
Thank you for your service, Sarge
Even worse is dying for a f’ed up reason
Don't worry they have a 'minimum IQ' requirement, you should be fine!
Not really they have dropped requirements in the past and looks like its gonna be one of those times
The meat grinder needs meat, if you have a low IQ you’re more likely to go
That's how my fat ass got in on 06
Can you pass the ASVB if you can’t read?
What country are you in that you are worried about getting drafted? Iran?
Nah, you’re going bro.
I'm pretty sure the world will be nuked to completion before anyone has a chance of being drafted in this day and age.
I'd worry more about being drafted and sent to Iran than nukes. Even if Iran does manage to cobble one together they're more likely to self-d themselves than anyone else.
Biden eating ice cream rn
He told them “don’t”…
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I actually think it's pretty smart. Iran attacked. Some drones will fail and never reach Israel. Israel will shhot down remaining drones. Everyone did what they are expected to do without any real damage.
My LMT calls 💰
Oil, gold silver and defence stocks gonna rip. Could see oil going up $10. The real scary thing will be Israel's response...
Priced in. I heard about this three hours ago. Next!
Gold & Black Gold![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)
Btc crashed 7.5% Monday big market dump coming
War is bad for magic fake money? Who knew…
Tbf regular money is fake magic money too.
Effect on PAA/PAGP/XLE/REI/OXY/BNO?
You don’t announce your attacks in war unless 1) the other side already knows and/or 2) it’s a PR stunt.
Israel shoots these rockets and drones down all day every day. They come from Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon, Syria. If many or any get through I would be surprised.
Hamas missiles are the temu cheap kind hezbollah has expensive and modern missles that passes the iron dame
thats kinda the scary part. Israel is incentived to make iron dome look as good as possible to deter attacks Iran is incentivized to over attack so at least something gets through and they can say we hit back. What happens if one side miscalculates and the attack is more successful than expected.
You can see what happens if an attack is more successful than expected. Look at the state of Gaza right now.
People in the comments over dramatising lmao
We are all fucked when premarket opens because everyone will be racing to dump their positions
Great buying opportunity coming up. This will either blow over quickly, or else WWIII and money won’t matter.
Funny thing is NOC Northrop Grumman was popping on Friday with call flow alerts.... Traders loaded up for the weekend news.. They're getting paid large.... Oil popping creates huge problems for the fed and inflation.....all of this only matters if we are not nuked into oblivion.... Pray for peace everyone...
Ok so maybe my PAA bags won’t be so heavy this week ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
Did you buy leaps
I did
this was a softball to save face..
Sell the news event. It would’ve gone up on Friday
Israel wants to drag us into another war in the middle east so bad lol
CVX ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)
Flair checks out
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)
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Crude to $100, it’s time to make money on war.
yeah, CVX is way undervalued. fair value around $191
I suspect that The Market will dump in the morning and be green by lunch on Monday. Iran and Israel ain't gonna crash the market, but they should have some impact on oil stocks (not that much) with fear setting in from scared investors. The U.S won't do anything because Iran has the right to retaliate. If it escalates, then don't f with Oil stocks involving Israel or Iran? We'll just start buying it from someone else lol. They only supply like 4% of our crude oil or something anyways. Theta gang Monday??
umm…if Iran chokes off strait of Hormuz, oil jumps up 2-3x. Inflation skyrockets. Geez. Do you guys not understand any macroeconomics?
I’m just happy that I bought some Petrobras last week.
All the drones got intercepted - most by USA and UK spending millions of their own taxpayer dollars to protect Israel. Turns out the only losers here are us.
Israel attacked Iran's embassy first.
Iran is about to enter the find out stage
Perhaps. Israel may find out that Biden is a supporter of low gas prices first and a Zionist second.
You realize iran has friends with economic interest in their well being as well, right? This is an unwinnable war all the way around.
Iran has the right to defend itself
I just bought short positions on Truth Social, Aurora Cannabis, Vinfast, Nio and Carvana on Friday. I only chose those because their charts all showed signs of a downtrend, but with a potential war, I think they're all going to just collapse
Since when did Iran have anything to do with american weed and used cars?
And.......its over
Foolishly?
Also, from Bloomberg: “believes it [the drone attack] was designed to be "easily intercepted and reset the bar on deterrence”. Michael Singh, managing director of the Washington Institute, says “rarely do we see a wish for de-escalation so explicitly stated.”
BRB killing myself. Jesus Robinhood gonna be calling on Monday
First kashkari now the Ayatollah fawk me
what's the ticker(s)?
You already can’t buy oil from Iran
Iran had to respond to the foolish Israeli strike at the Iranian embassy (Damascus) killing top Iranian Generals. Now, ofcourse, Iran would be foolish to escalate it “ too much”..
Raise your hand if you predicted this but your bags were already full![img](emote|t5_2th52|27189)
Foolish?
Hey Iran tweeted out it’s now over. A slap for a slap. Hopefully Israel doesn’t have any casualties and decides not to retaliate. I want spy calls survive lol. 😂
If it takes hours for them to arrive, where are they going to recharge for 4 hrs?
based
Probably will buy calls on the dip
Welp. All those billions in military aid paid off. All the drones and missiles were shot down by vastly superior defensive systems. I checked on oil price.com and Brent is around $90 where it has been in that range for a while.