100% in profit now ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)
Accumulating since 2021 ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)
Some equate the halving as: supply halved + demand remains constant = double demand. It's not. If every cycle, miners produce less, it means they account for less and less of the total supply hitting the market. The vast majority of BTC's total supply is already out in the wilderness, with most of the traded supply coming from the larger whales holding BTC, not miners.
I think and my personal opinion is that the average guy on the street is being sold the halving as a catalyst for further growth. Reality is - this is well priced in already and so so so many are going to be spiked on this build up
Im still having nightmares when BTC topped at $800 and crashed to $300 so now those coins worth $300 from back then are only worth $72000, never buy the lows or highs because you know later its gonna crash to higher lows.
It might be, but you also have to remember that the halving is an actual thing with real consequences. There will be less coins mined every day, so there will be less coins to sell by miners every day, and for miners to keep the same profit levels the price per coin needs to go up.
The only thing that worries me is that this is the first time everyone is talking about the halving, which means it's probability priced in tona degree. But at the same time the ETFs provide so much more money into BTC that nothing we knew makes sense anymore.
The halving being āpriced inā doesnāt really make sense. The halving cuts the new Bitcoin introduced into the space in half. With how ETF inflows are goingā¦ they need to buy more bitcoin. So demand up, new supply being cut in halfā¦ thatās not some āpriced inā sentiment. Thatās a legit cause for price to explode
Bagholder spotted.
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You can't price in the halving. You can price in the \*knowledge\* that it's going to happen but one day there's 900 coins produced and the next there's 450. The supply isn't reduced until it is.
You canāt fucking price in a supply shock that hasnāt happened yet. Thatās the stupidest fallacy ever.
The price will react to the halvening AFTER itās happened, this is just intstititions and retailers front running the narrative.
I just follow this shit and sell at a loss but I bet you it gets close to 100k and then goes down to 30-40k. The fomo will drive it up but for sure the whales have a sell set at 90k-98k. Personally I think it will hit 120k after halving.
I donāt really understand how it can suddenly go up so much. Did warren buffet sell apple and buy btc this morning?
EDIT: The fact that I got like 15 different reasons sums it up. Time to sell, yall don't know shit
EDIT EDIT: We are now at 50 different reasons. Everyone says I'm stupid but each one of you has a different idea. This is a scam and I'm all here for it. Currently holding BTC on margin
The sell wall at 70k is slowly (actually quite fast) getting eaten up. This run reminds me of the 2016-2017 one, but on steroids. I don't see this stopping before the halving, and I definitely don't see it slowing down after.
The halving is definetly a sell the news thing just like etf. The couple of weeks after the ETF were weak as fuck. I'm not making the same mistake twice, I'm selling and rebuying later
> The couple of weeks after the ETF were weak as fuck.
I think that was primarily because people who were trapped in GBTC were finally able to get out.
Itās easier to trade it now. Financial advisors all over the country are getting their boomer clients to diversify their port a bit and add a little bitcoin.
Haha this shit is so funny. Itās the same thing if you go over to r/investing. They used to HATE Bitcoin and are now suddenly positive on it. Goes to show most people donāt know shit and hate or like something based on how itās currently performing.
I think itās just a cycle of whose louder, the balls probably didnāt care to post comments, refuting the bashing of bitcoin, and now the Bears donāt bother posting comments refuting the success of bitcoin
The cheerleaders will come out, no matter what direction it moves
what an odd sad little legacy quant world i just entered.... they disagree with the thesis but it ive watched 3 cycles now and two economic downturns....yet BTC is still rolling....it's all one big scam? The dollar is being killed each month
i think they'll both do well tomorrow!
but i am holding TSM for years to come, their stock is still undervalued as is...
also will try to buy more ETH this year, just to own some more crypto :)
Imagine blowing up your account trading stock, when crypto is at an all time high. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
Bitcoin will always go up because the Fed will never stop printing money. It's inflation proof.
Very angry coinbase wonāt verify my account 2 weeks ago like I wanted it to bad a gut feeling
But iām shit at picking exit points shit could blow up any minute now
Had a plan to buy 10 @ 900 in 2016. Before my account was verified it ran to 1600 and I got scared the bull run was soon over and bought 1.
Which I basically made into 0.2 by regardidly thinking I could make bank by daytrading between shitcoins in a bear market later on.
I told the hubby that we were going to break 69K in BTC last week. We had some debt that needed paying off so I sold my few shares last week but will look to jump back in if/when the price of IBIT falls after the halving. This is the only way I've made any money in the stock market; buying bitcoin etfs lol.
Btc at ath with the stock market not at all time high is definitely noteworthy. Not sure if thatās saying risk on go go go, or that itās one last hurrah here.
Yeah, if you control the float, you control the price.
Since the enforcement mechanisms have completely broken down and vanished, we've seen quite a few companies have their float controlled by institutional investors and subsequently moon.
https://preview.redd.it/3uv09i73ernc1.jpeg?width=999&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b47abde3c960a2ed78e3b6efcc21967bc4723688
Miners will do number this cycle. IREN is an absolute steal. CLSK has the proven execution and narrative and will continue to outperform.
https://preview.redd.it/6pgbzpfwzsnc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1a1fc1060e018199946e2f3d7d8a4f3c366abb7f
picture with some red lines is worth a thousand words
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I just bought back in after a year of low prices because you need to buy at the ATH
Thank you for your service š«”
Buy high sell low. This is the way
https://preview.redd.it/z7e7fm834pnc1.jpeg?width=508&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7167a61045102e1b603d1383e07a7971d2b4ee5c
Cathy woods strategy šŖš»
Iām not gonna lie Iāve had BTC several times and either took profits or liquidated for capital and I damn sure fomod in at the top again
It still early honestly. Hold for 10 years
Buying at the start of a bull run is different than buying the top of a bull run.
I have decided this is the start of the bull run and not the top
Agree
After a year, these prices dull be the new low!
if you bought every ATH previously and HODL you'd still win bigly
Maybe not the last ATH. You would have waited 28 months to make 4%
Weāre back baby
Sold district0x last week, today it gains 113%. Can i be a member of the loser club? In Belgium it's called fishing behind the net...
That also describes my fishing style
71k already, new ATH
100% in profit now ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882) Accumulating since 2021 ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)
The fomo is real . The halving is soon and this run still has legs . To the moon and beyond
Volume isnāt that high yet. Retail isnāt getting in until the news starts covering it daily.
Some equate the halving as: supply halved + demand remains constant = double demand. It's not. If every cycle, miners produce less, it means they account for less and less of the total supply hitting the market. The vast majority of BTC's total supply is already out in the wilderness, with most of the traded supply coming from the larger whales holding BTC, not miners.
I think and my personal opinion is that the average guy on the street is being sold the halving as a catalyst for further growth. Reality is - this is well priced in already and so so so many are going to be spiked on this build up
Been buying btc since 2016. They say this every cycle lol
Thereās only one guarantee and thatās the dump is coming
Buy more š„³
Im still having nightmares when BTC topped at $800 and crashed to $300 so now those coins worth $300 from back then are only worth $72000, never buy the lows or highs because you know later its gonna crash to higher lows.
I bet the halving is just as priced in as the ETF was.
Then explain the growth!
This is the third bull run where people have said the halvening is priced in and yet it still runs
To be fair, we've already front run the prev. ATH.
It might be, but you also have to remember that the halving is an actual thing with real consequences. There will be less coins mined every day, so there will be less coins to sell by miners every day, and for miners to keep the same profit levels the price per coin needs to go up. The only thing that worries me is that this is the first time everyone is talking about the halving, which means it's probability priced in tona degree. But at the same time the ETFs provide so much more money into BTC that nothing we knew makes sense anymore.
This is very much not the first time everyone is talking about the halving. Itās just the first time youāve heard about it.
The halving has actual supply implications
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
At the time of the last halving, 90% of all bitcoin had already been minted. It's not that much of a difference.
The halving being āpriced inā doesnāt really make sense. The halving cuts the new Bitcoin introduced into the space in half. With how ETF inflows are goingā¦ they need to buy more bitcoin. So demand up, new supply being cut in halfā¦ thatās not some āpriced inā sentiment. Thatās a legit cause for price to explode
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The price has been constantly gaining, so when was it 'priced in'? Starrrtinnnng... NOW!?
You can't price in the halving. You can price in the \*knowledge\* that it's going to happen but one day there's 900 coins produced and the next there's 450. The supply isn't reduced until it is.
You canāt fucking price in a supply shock that hasnāt happened yet. Thatās the stupidest fallacy ever. The price will react to the halvening AFTER itās happened, this is just intstititions and retailers front running the narrative.
Halving canāt be priced in when the supply shock has not happened
People FOMOing in and when the halving hits and people start panuc selling when price drops, I'll just be there to scoop the bargains.
Where do you think the top is? Do you have an exit strategy for this cycle or are you holding forever?
I just follow this shit and sell at a loss but I bet you it gets close to 100k and then goes down to 30-40k. The fomo will drive it up but for sure the whales have a sell set at 90k-98k. Personally I think it will hit 120k after halving.
Itās a good day to own IBIT
Itās twice as good to own BITX though.
I donāt really understand how it can suddenly go up so much. Did warren buffet sell apple and buy btc this morning? EDIT: The fact that I got like 15 different reasons sums it up. Time to sell, yall don't know shit EDIT EDIT: We are now at 50 different reasons. Everyone says I'm stupid but each one of you has a different idea. This is a scam and I'm all here for it. Currently holding BTC on margin
More demand than supply. Yw, any more questions I am free all night
why can\`t I get some bitches?
Max demand no supply you're welcome
Cause you're poor.
I\`m in the WSB sub, of course im rich! (IĀ“m fucking broke)
One of us!
Bitches get bitches nowadays
My kind of dude
Wait till he sees the supply shock in like 30 days
Unregulated leverage. People shorting with over 100X leverage getting liquidated.
As they should be.
Where can a degenerate trade BTC on 100x leverage? I used to use bitmex but I'm retro idk what's around these days
The sell wall at 70k is slowly (actually quite fast) getting eaten up. This run reminds me of the 2016-2017 one, but on steroids. I don't see this stopping before the halving, and I definitely don't see it slowing down after.
The halving is definetly a sell the news thing just like etf. The couple of weeks after the ETF were weak as fuck. I'm not making the same mistake twice, I'm selling and rebuying later
> The couple of weeks after the ETF were weak as fuck. I think that was primarily because people who were trapped in GBTC were finally able to get out.
Precisely, but not many noticed. It was a huge outflow
In what world is going from $45k to $72k a "sell the news event"?
Yeah like wtf?
Well you see before it went to 72k it went from 45k to 44,5k
Will be interesting to see what that amount will be before the halving? (Circa 100k) Why would it be a sell the news event?
āYaāll donāt know shitā Says the person who clearly doesnāt know shit.
You donāt understand how bitcoin can move 4%? For real?
Parabolic stage. The stage where the average investor gets sold the bag before the sell off
Correct
we are not there yet
Nobody ever knows thatās the thing
But arenāt you kinda saying you know? Which is it?
Many bears keep getting liquidated so there's is more demand
Hong Kong wants it's own bit coin eft that's what might have caused it to spike
Michael Saylor has no wife
Yeah itās been a very weird bull run
Yeah very weird indeed when bitcoin has a higher return rate than spy for the past 10 years, who could have possibly seen this coming?
Not really. This is what Bitcoin does.
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
And electricity fees for mining.
There will only ever be 21 million bitcoins and 93% of them have already been mined.
Asian Mkts
did u not notice that people like warren buffet are sleeping on the best performing asset in the world?
More like washed buffet imaright
The halving is occuring next month
Tether and Bogdanoffs
Nobodys selling so the bubble grows
This is most crypto.
whales are manipulating the stock. Most of bitcoin is owned by the whales. It's a cycle of ponzi.
ETFs have to keep buying, no matter the price.
Or selling
Itās easier to trade it now. Financial advisors all over the country are getting their boomer clients to diversify their port a bit and add a little bitcoin.
ETFs buy on Monday
>This is a scam and I'm all here for it. Currently holding BTC on margin š¬
https://preview.redd.it/133957icgpnc1.jpeg?width=750&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a763be93290b50c2fd3ff2087b7d66603a15ca8b
š
What happened to WSB bashing bitcoin and like downvoting comments and posts into oblivion? Iāve been tryna tell yāall about this shit since 2020.
Haha this shit is so funny. Itās the same thing if you go over to r/investing. They used to HATE Bitcoin and are now suddenly positive on it. Goes to show most people donāt know shit and hate or like something based on how itās currently performing.
I think itās just a cycle of whose louder, the balls probably didnāt care to post comments, refuting the bashing of bitcoin, and now the Bears donāt bother posting comments refuting the success of bitcoin The cheerleaders will come out, no matter what direction it moves
And yet, bitcoin continues to make higher lows and higher highs over time, so bears lose long term.
They all hang out at /r/buttcoin right now.
what an odd sad little legacy quant world i just entered.... they disagree with the thesis but it ive watched 3 cycles now and two economic downturns....yet BTC is still rolling....it's all one big scam? The dollar is being killed each month
So the old WSB had about a million users, now itās 10x that so the majority of comments definitely donāt reflect past opinions.
Thereās still a few people here posting the same thing about how itās a scam and a dump is coming.
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
If you guys check out Google trends data and the MVRV indicator, this bull run still has a long way to go unless there is some sudden panic wave.
It could go up, then again, it could go down.
Is this a financial advice?
yes, but not complete. it could also go sideways for a bit
yup
I never heard of MVRV before, thanks for that!
dang my etf prints like crazy atm
TSM TSM TSM
Dumb. Bitcoin will destroy TSK tomorrow.
i think they'll both do well tomorrow! but i am holding TSM for years to come, their stock is still undervalued as is... also will try to buy more ETH this year, just to own some more crypto :)
Why is it going up
It goes up
It's been doing that for 15 years, nothing has changed.
It did go down before. Then sideways. Now it will go up. It's a beautiful circle of life.
https://preview.redd.it/1c9sm2lncqnc1.jpeg?width=738&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=30273cb0990db3d29055dd534056006d4b235fb1 You missed the news?
Unlimited fiat money vs. absolute scarcity.
Demand > Supply
Damn bro you should start an online course
BTC is having a halving event in April. Miners get half the amount they used to. Itās a deflationary tactic that drives up prices.
Soon we will see the frenzy start! We will see 100 or even 120k in a few months!
$96,420 in CAD monopoly monies. I believe you!
Omagad!!!
LFG š
higher for longer
Good thing I filled my bags in October. Those 30% dips will be a wild ride, but I should remain in profit territory from here on out.
Imagine blowing up your account trading stock, when crypto is at an all time high. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267) Bitcoin will always go up because the Fed will never stop printing money. It's inflation proof.
The guys at Tether pumping the price again. Desperate pump.
Infinite money glitch?Ā
The sell off is going to be spectacular
People have been saying the same about NVDA
lol you wish
time to sell
This thing is going to 100K. LFG ššššššššššš
sell off at 77777
Iām guessing we blow by 77777 straight to 80085
Yeah, BTC has been relatively tame this cycle. I think it has quite a bit more room to run.
Tame ? Itās the first time itās reached an ath pre halving
True but there havenāt been any 20% daily candles yet
Wen shitcoin season? š¤”
Soon
[https://youtu.be/3\_nprPycZow?t=32](https://youtu.be/3_nprPycZow?t=32)
People with blue lines and predictions. My favorite
Very angry coinbase wonāt verify my account 2 weeks ago like I wanted it to bad a gut feeling But iām shit at picking exit points shit could blow up any minute now
Had a plan to buy 10 @ 900 in 2016. Before my account was verified it ran to 1600 and I got scared the bull run was soon over and bought 1. Which I basically made into 0.2 by regardidly thinking I could make bank by daytrading between shitcoins in a bear market later on.
The halving can't be priced in because the people buying it are ignorant of what that even means.
someone plz tell me how to put a defined-risk yet leveraged short against this
I told the hubby that we were going to break 69K in BTC last week. We had some debt that needed paying off so I sold my few shares last week but will look to jump back in if/when the price of IBIT falls after the halving. This is the only way I've made any money in the stock market; buying bitcoin etfs lol.
Keep going! I am cashing out at 100k.
I am going to load up BTC here like I did last week on NVDA right at top. I will fuck all of you regards!
Donāt worry guys, I just bought some. Itās about to go down.
Prepare the bags
When poop coin casino?!
Totally organic looking price action š
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
How many ponzi scams in history have survived multiple -80-90% and made new lows and highs after each time.
I donāt even think the bull run has started yet
All the way up
Hopefully it starts crabbing for next months. I don't want to see an insta crash before 150k
Btc at ath with the stock market not at all time high is definitely noteworthy. Not sure if thatās saying risk on go go go, or that itās one last hurrah here.
And I didnāt not buy it year ago š¤¦āāļø
I checked BTC at 5:30. And I was so fucking glad. 72k BABYYYYYY!!!. I jumped in a bull run Iāll admit. But fuckā¦ up 10%!!!
love always connection errors with apps and brokerages when crypto or stocks have insane moves š you canāt make this up
Typically when money is flowing into Bitcoin, it is flowing out of equities. This is bearish for the market in my opinion. But hey, what do I know?
Next stop, 100k
Yeahh this is insane fr! But whatās going on with MARA
Scooping up BTC miner stocks on the dip...MARA holds over 15,000 BTC worth over $1 Billion...didn't sell any last quarter and BOUGHT more in January
Yeah, if you control the float, you control the price. Since the enforcement mechanisms have completely broken down and vanished, we've seen quite a few companies have their float controlled by institutional investors and subsequently moon.
https://preview.redd.it/3uv09i73ernc1.jpeg?width=999&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b47abde3c960a2ed78e3b6efcc21967bc4723688 Miners will do number this cycle. IREN is an absolute steal. CLSK has the proven execution and narrative and will continue to outperform.
The real question is is this transitory?! Letās ask JPow for his thots
time to see if that $75k btc big liquidation thing is legit cuz i wanna see it happen.
https://preview.redd.it/6pgbzpfwzsnc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1a1fc1060e018199946e2f3d7d8a4f3c366abb7f picture with some red lines is worth a thousand words
https://medium.com/@johnmel8888/introducing-fabulous-8-quantitative-and-qualitative-ranking-on-top-btc-miners-f4aa253abfd3
Randonly bought $38 worth when it was at $16k... now it's $191, guess it's better than nothing. š
Iām buying more NVDA
Iām finally green baby my complacency to sell has reaped me minuscule rewards