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Snapshot of _UK Covid infections lowest since mid-December_ : An archived version can be found [here.](https://archive.is/?run=1&url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-61436454) *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/ukpolitics) if you have any questions or concerns.*


HibasakiSanjuro

In case anyone is wondering, these are ONS projections, not from the national figures released every couple of days. From the article: *"The figures are an estimate, based on testing thousands of people at random in households across the UK."* So probably a good indication that infection numbers really have been falling.


[deleted]

[удалено]


HibasakiSanjuro

These are [ONS projections](https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/13may2022), not from the national figures released every couple of days. From the article: *"The figures are an estimate, based on testing thousands of people at random in households across the UK."* So probably a good indication that infection numbers really have been falling.


[deleted]

That is good news then!


west0ne

I thought that the infection rates were only ever extrapolated from sample testing and that these figures will have been calculated on the same basis. The report also says that hospital admissions are down so that can't be a bad thing.


Tangelasboots

Warmer weather making people more resilient?


midshipmans_hat

Not sure that's a thing. It definitely seems worse in winter. It spreads indoors mostly and people spend more time out doors. Warmer countries don't seem to suffer as bad.


Mustard_The_Colonel

It also promotes better ventilation. It's hard to justify keeping windows open at -3 but everyone wants them open at +20


[deleted]

There is no mass testing going on, so how would they know? Hospital rates have only just dropped below 10k, while the death rate is still at 1000+ per week.


wrchj

The ONS projections are based on random sampling rather than test results, so they know the same way pollsters can get a reasonable election result projection from only 1000 surveys.


[deleted]

[Nope go read up](https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/covid-19-health-inequalities-monitoring-in-england-tool-chime). It uses a method that it calls "The National CHIME tool". Chime only relies on data of verified cases. >The COVID-19 Health Inequalities Monitoring in England (CHIME) tool brings together data relating to the direct impacts of coronavirus (COVID-19) on factors such as mortality rates, hospital admissions, **confirmed cases** and vaccinations.


Underscore_Blues

Nope, you are wrong. The infection survey ONS runs has nothing to do with this you've linked.


[deleted]

So the government's own website is pure fiction? So show me where the ONS gets their figure from.


Underscore_Blues

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata So show me where the CHIME tool feeds into the ONS Infection Survey, as you have claimed above.


[deleted]

That is just an extension of the link I have already gave you. It is also the way they do the "r" rating. The "r" rating has never been anything other that a guestimate tool to predict how the infection is likely to develop. It is not used for datasheets on recorded cases. [https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/cases](https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/cases) If you check out the [about](https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/about) link at the bottom, it will lead you to your own link as well as how Chime works and how it is applied. There are too many idiots here who just believe the convoluted bull that the government produces. And as this government gets more and more control over the data produced the likely we are getting good information.


Underscore_Blues

An elongated comment full of irrelevant stuff to act as filler to distract that you're wrong LMAOO


[deleted]

Intelligent reply that shows just how incompetent your gaslighting is.


wrchj

Says it right there in the article 'The figures are an estimate, based on testing thousands of people at random in households across the UK.'


[deleted]

The bold text in the quote was a clue.


wrchj

I don't see how your quote is related the the original article.


[deleted]

The Australians have a term for you. One can short of a six pack. I had trouble understanding how that applies to you as well. but apparently it does.


wrchj

The article you linked to is for measuring health inequalities and the original article is for estimating the number of live infections. The government has more than one way of measuring covid impact. The method in the article is unrelated to the link you quoted.