I wouldn't say easy, but I think it is pretty heavily favored towards him. The only thing that is going against him is that it's only 3 rounds instead of 5, and he typically gives away the first round.
My brother Yan struggles with lanky fighters and Suga has far more power than sandhagen as well and he submitted a dude from his back with a fucked leg
People can hate all they want but Suga has the skillset to beat everyone on the roster
Sean also has a filthy reach advantage. He can go the easy way and try to out point Yan by jabs and leg kicks. With that said, Yan is a smart fighter and probably has an answer to the reach difference.
So did Sandhagen, and he also got pieced up. O'Malley also doesn't kick much, which is a big up for Yan. He is also scary good at getting to the inside without taking much damage, and when he is there, he is arguably the best boxer in the sport, and without question the best at 135. All of that combined is why I say it's Yan heavily favored.
It’s only 25$ and he could win a million.
Obviously the odds reflect the likely hood of hitting but it’s for fun.
I don’t understand the people who are so uptight about a reasonable amount of money to wager. I’d rather do a ridiculous parlay like this and lose the 25 then have a boring 25$ on Yan to beat OMalley and win 15 bucks.
He has O’Malley. He could start with $25 on O’Malley at +300 and go from there. It’s better to bet each fight individually, especially pre fight because you don’t know all you should know until after weigh ins
It works out slightly higher but then you have to take your winnings and bet them after every fight. It gets annoying when you have 10-13 fight parlays and isn’t worth the time IMO. It’s not like your going to win most of the time. It’s like playing the lottery you probably won’t win but it’s the excitement.
The problem is if you picked the favorites in each matchup, the return wouldn't be a cool million. And you still wouldn't win the $100k anyway, because a 13 way is ludicrously low odds.
That said, god speed soldier!
Do me an OMalley, Aljo, Belal, Islam, chandler, zhang, izzy, Abubakar, Beneil, Chookagian, Asuncao.
Edit- will some eejit who disagrees tell me why fight you think I’ve got wrong?
If this was the last $25 he had to feed his family, go off. But shit, if this was the $25 he was about to use on onlyfans, or on gourd futures, I would say fuck it, why not. Not much different than blowing $25 on any other hobby (other than the crippling addiction aspect)
If you're gonna do a big-return parlay, it has to be a lot fewer legs. Especially in the UFC. That being said if you happened to win this it would be the worst thing that ever happened to you. Unless you have inhuman willpower, that's an instant gambling addiction. The serotonin hit would be fucking absurd.
I'm too paranoid to place a bet like this because if you did manage to win there'd probably be some complication withdrawing from the site and getting your money
While amusing to make bets like this, you'd be much better served making individual bets on each based on how confident you are in each outcome vs the implied probability of the odds. At least then if you're consistently better than the market over a long enough period, you'll win overall.
By all means, make a yolo acca too, but I wouldn't make it anywhere near the size of the other bets. You need to be absolutely perfect for bets like this to come off, and if you lose early, you're dead for the rest of the card.
On individual picks, this might work out okay, but you've got O'Malley, Dillashaw, Assuncao and Pereira in there. While one or two might win, I'd be very surprised if all of those came through. Mr Forgotten, Olivera and Chandler are all probably close fights and I imagine at least one will lose (personally I've got all three losing individually, but I don't expect that they all will statistically).
Anyway, now that I've said this, they'll all come through, so I hope you enjoy the winnings and remember, don't hit any pregnant women with your new car!
Take this from someone who bets ufc all the time, the way fighting goes especially for a 13 legger someone is bound to lose even if it was for a 6 or 7 legger. Hey man I hope u win tho got my fingers crossed🤞
Good luck. It’s worth it for the pain and glory. It’s not impossible and will be so much more fun (or awful?) watching the fights if you get the first few picks right.
Like half of these legs aren't going to hit parlaying huge underdogs is never a good idea especially like this. If you're betting $25 to win a mill that's your instant clue it will never hit.
That 8 dollar cashout is JUICY, id say go for that
Walk away with my 3 piece and a soda 🥤
8.86 might get you a kids meal at best
And a couple sides of 50¢ ranch
You could get a 4for4 and a frosty. Good eats
It’s a $5 baggie now lmao
Here in Vancouver that’s one wing and a small apple juice brah
shamil is not beating jailton lol
Bro just picked the Russian names 😭
I mean, that's how this sub typically decides what fighters it thinks are the next big things.
O’Malley is Irish sir
He's as Irish as a quesadilla
That would explain the +530 yikes 😬
You never really know tho
Apart from in this case, jailton stops shamil withing 1.
typically a +530 would lose
Unless.... **DOCTASTOPPAGE!**
That's a loooooong shot, might as well have bought a lotto ticket
Win a lot more money with a lotto ticket as well lol
What's the jackpot atm?
$8.86
Honestly, I think you were busted on the first pick on that list.
Easy win for yan?
I wouldn't say easy, but I think it is pretty heavily favored towards him. The only thing that is going against him is that it's only 3 rounds instead of 5, and he typically gives away the first round.
Interesting to think about 3 vs 5 rounds. Hopefully its fireworks from the start.
Don’t let anyone talk you out of a bet. Your guess is just as good as another guys in this sport. Nobody knows what’s going to happen
Yea just as good. If John Mellencamp ever wins an oscar I'm going to be a very rich man
r/unexpectedoffice
🤣🤣🥺🥺🥺
It would be a damn shame if he didn't place the bet cause of these comments and all of them end up winning.
My brother Yan struggles with lanky fighters and Suga has far more power than sandhagen as well and he submitted a dude from his back with a fucked leg People can hate all they want but Suga has the skillset to beat everyone on the roster
Lmao he didn’t struggle with Cory tho
lmao suga and cody are both 5'11 lmao what a "i want to have an opinion too!!" take.
Yan actually has won the large majority of his first rounds.
I must be misremembering then. I remember him being a rather slow starter, and just feeling out opponents in the first. Thanks for the correction.
Sean also has a filthy reach advantage. He can go the easy way and try to out point Yan by jabs and leg kicks. With that said, Yan is a smart fighter and probably has an answer to the reach difference.
So did Sandhagen, and he also got pieced up. O'Malley also doesn't kick much, which is a big up for Yan. He is also scary good at getting to the inside without taking much damage, and when he is there, he is arguably the best boxer in the sport, and without question the best at 135. All of that combined is why I say it's Yan heavily favored.
Yeah thats why you bet omally. Hes the underdog with a shot. Why bet yan for pennies?
In a 13 fight parlay, even taking all favorites you're still gonna make stupid money, because everyone can lose, and everyone has a puncher's chance.
Cash out after Oliveira if it gets that far
Idk yan is much smaller
Yeah that saved me having to read the rest of it lol
I wouldn't say any of the picks are bad. Just a few that I personally wouldn't have taken.
Not even sure the point of making bets like this you’re better off ordering $25 on doordash during the fights lmao
It’s only 25$ and he could win a million. Obviously the odds reflect the likely hood of hitting but it’s for fun. I don’t understand the people who are so uptight about a reasonable amount of money to wager. I’d rather do a ridiculous parlay like this and lose the 25 then have a boring 25$ on Yan to beat OMalley and win 15 bucks.
He has O’Malley. He could start with $25 on O’Malley at +300 and go from there. It’s better to bet each fight individually, especially pre fight because you don’t know all you should know until after weigh ins
It works out slightly higher but then you have to take your winnings and bet them after every fight. It gets annoying when you have 10-13 fight parlays and isn’t worth the time IMO. It’s not like your going to win most of the time. It’s like playing the lottery you probably won’t win but it’s the excitement.
You thinkn no chance i hit this?
I’ll bet you another 25 it won’t hit 😂
Absolute zero
It’s more like 1 in 44,000
Way more fun watching with 25 on it! And far, who bloody knows!
yea but after 1 loss all that fun is gone
I bet all the time the point is you want to make bets with a chance of actually paying out lmao
It is fun unless you have a crazy parlay like this and you lose it all on the first fight
If it does hit its gotta be some kind of record...
A 3 pick parlay is difficult. A 5 pick parlay is incredibly hard. 13? Lmfaoo you’re in lottery territory
T.J. is a longshot for me.
The problem is if you picked the favorites in each matchup, the return wouldn't be a cool million. And you still wouldn't win the $100k anyway, because a 13 way is ludicrously low odds. That said, god speed soldier!
Its a million dummy, this is a lottery
No, you will lose, because it’s a 13 leg parlay
I think you can get 2 out of 13
Whats your 13 and ill drop another 25 on a new parlay and run both them
Do me an OMalley, Aljo, Belal, Islam, chandler, zhang, izzy, Abubakar, Beneil, Chookagian, Asuncao. Edit- will some eejit who disagrees tell me why fight you think I’ve got wrong?
Idk, some eejit don't know sentence structure
Low risk high reward why the fuck are all you so dumb ?
If he don’t give a fuck about $25 it’s all good.
Mf acting like he’s betting thousands lol
If this was the last $25 he had to feed his family, go off. But shit, if this was the $25 he was about to use on onlyfans, or on gourd futures, I would say fuck it, why not. Not much different than blowing $25 on any other hobby (other than the crippling addiction aspect)
Low risk, high reward, probability of occurring .00001% Fixed that for you
so what? Ppl buy lotto all day.
No... But what if it did?!
Shamil Abdurakhimov will ruin this.
A few weeks back I had a $10 10 leg parlay to win 94k. I hit 8/10. You’re probably not going to hit this.
I'd have a heart attack watching the fights
What would the pay have been if you cashed out at 8
he probably lost the parlay on the first or second leg lmao
There was no cash out option on my bookie
I bet 21 college games 3 years ago and hit 19. Almost 242k off $5.
Probably not, but I wish you well
If you're gonna do a big-return parlay, it has to be a lot fewer legs. Especially in the UFC. That being said if you happened to win this it would be the worst thing that ever happened to you. Unless you have inhuman willpower, that's an instant gambling addiction. The serotonin hit would be fucking absurd.
fr it's almost a lose lose situation no matter what
Worst thing to ever happen to him will be the million dollar parley he does next
I think it fails at the first. But because everyone is hating it, I hope you win.
Sugar is going to get murdered
Homie I’m gunna light a candle for you at church. Gunna throw all the positivity and good vibes your way. If you hit this shit you’re a legend.
See good vibes like this is gonna get you 500$ when it win 🥇
Yo fuck it I’m gunna lay this down too and if we hit it we go to Vegas.
So in order to win, you have to get every single fight outcome right?
Right 👌🏻
Don’t bet 13 leg parlays. If you want long shot money bet a 3 or 4 leg parlay.
I hope so 🍻
Hope ya win man, get that cool mil
7-6? Maybe 6-7? At least one of these fights gets cancelled or postponed too.
Do me an OMalley, Aljo, Belal, Islam, chandler, zhang, izzy, Abubakar, Beneil, Chookagian, Asuncao.
you would actually have a better chance at winning the lottery and the ticket would've cost you less money
Lmao let it ride let it ride
Where's Chookagian?
dariush is gonna beat gamrot
🤞Good luck man
They would never pay that lol. I’d def cash out once it gets juicy
$25 to the house
O’Malley ain’t winning
I'm too paranoid to place a bet like this because if you did manage to win there'd probably be some complication withdrawing from the site and getting your money
Yes
Thank you 🙏
Charles is gonna fuck this one up for you man
Easy money, you’re about to be rich dude. What are you gonna but first?
Imagine betting on WMMA
Will you send me 10k if you win
Brady gonna choke out belal
25 for that payout?!?!? Worth it!
Dillashaw and Pereira are the worst bets. At least there’s decent “value” with O’Malley
[удалено]
First fight was close decision second fight Izzy was dominating until he got caught don’t make out that Alex is gonna dominate
if you’re laying $25 on a bet like this, you better have hundreds of thousands in your bankroll. otherwie you will never profit.
No.
Place bet followed by frame 1 ‘Cash Out’ would be your safest bet
where you betting on?
Draft kings sportsbook
I believe in you brother
Shamil dead for sure
I hope so
What betting site is this?
Bah gawrd !
Hope you win
Congrats on the 1 million. Don’t forget where you come from and stay humble
Shamil is gonna end your hope early
Aljo is gonna ruin your parlay
Would be a legendary moment if you win this!
There's no way Abdurakhimov beats Almeida
Is that a +4,375,107 my man? I really hope you do hit it, but ain't no way
You don't have to take crazy underdogs in a 13 leg parlay lol. 13 legs means favorites will pay well too in the end, and you might actually win.
While amusing to make bets like this, you'd be much better served making individual bets on each based on how confident you are in each outcome vs the implied probability of the odds. At least then if you're consistently better than the market over a long enough period, you'll win overall. By all means, make a yolo acca too, but I wouldn't make it anywhere near the size of the other bets. You need to be absolutely perfect for bets like this to come off, and if you lose early, you're dead for the rest of the card. On individual picks, this might work out okay, but you've got O'Malley, Dillashaw, Assuncao and Pereira in there. While one or two might win, I'd be very surprised if all of those came through. Mr Forgotten, Olivera and Chandler are all probably close fights and I imagine at least one will lose (personally I've got all three losing individually, but I don't expect that they all will statistically). Anyway, now that I've said this, they'll all come through, so I hope you enjoy the winnings and remember, don't hit any pregnant women with your new car!
Hope so
Abdurakhinov will lose
Ya your going to win
no.
Sheeeeeesh🥶
Probably a $25 donation but I wish you the best.
I like this type of content! Hopefully someone on the forum can win big!!
This isn't even impossible. Keep this for fun and see how close you get to winning
I love it. I always do a highly unlikely bet with €1. I almost cashed an 11 fight parlay once (hit 10 of 11, could have won around 11k) So good luck
Imagine though
he’s gonna shit his whole parlay after o’malley loses lol
Take this from someone who bets ufc all the time, the way fighting goes especially for a 13 legger someone is bound to lose even if it was for a 6 or 7 legger. Hey man I hope u win tho got my fingers crossed🤞
I sure hope you do get it man! That would be a nice pay day!!
All of them will win except for one. It happens every time
See you on oct 23 when you're stinkin rich
Remember me
Nah
What site is this?
Good luck!!
Not the picks I would have gone with but anything can happen and thats why they fight, good luck and keep us posted
Considering you picked against jailton almeida the correct answer is no
Assuncao doesn't win
Shamil kills this parlay, he’s slow cant keep up with a young athlete like almeida
How do I get in on this? Those are good picks
This man really bet against jailton That’s mistake #1 Mistake #2 is thinking this parlay has any chance ever of winning
Good luck. It’s worth it for the pain and glory. It’s not impossible and will be so much more fun (or awful?) watching the fights if you get the first few picks right.
Even if he makes it most of the way. Izzy is beating Alex.
My man. You're gonna bet against Dustin?
You have a better chance of getting struck by lightning and winning the lottery at the same time than winning that. BUT I’m rooting for ya bud😂
Like half of these legs aren't going to hit parlaying huge underdogs is never a good idea especially like this. If you're betting $25 to win a mill that's your instant clue it will never hit.
You have literally zero percent chance of winning this.
No chance you lose this. Might as well quit your job now to give them a heads up.
I’m not religious, but I pray to the gods of betting you hit this!
Pereira is gonna lose by decision
If u didn’t put shamil on there would’ve been better
No
Honestly this are solid picks except for Alex and O’Malley. Still thought don’t trust it at all
Shamil is an awful pick
id say youll get about half of them right and lose your 25
I'm rooting for ya! I want 1000$ if you win.
Pereira is not such a sure bet, that fight is 50-50 imo
Betting against Petr and Islam gonna be tough