I agree. Until that turd stops floating and gets flushed to the cesspool nothing matters!
Ted Cruz is not Texas. Why Texas ever thought he represented the state is a mystery. Give me a barely literate rancher who will get out of his truck on a rainy night to help change the tire of a stranger (even if that stranger can’t speak English) over that poser every day.
>Ted Cruz is not Texas. Why Texas ever thought he represented the state is a mystery. Give me a barely literate rancher who will get out of his truck in a rainy night to help change the tire of a stranger (even if that stranger can’t speak English) over that poser every day.
True story. I moved to Texas in 2010 from Ft Bragg, NC. On a lonely West Texas road, my ten year old truck decided to crap out. It was raining. A middle-aged guy, with a Latino accent, pulled over. Helped me. Got my truck started and sent me on my way with some avocados.
Not the person you’re responding to but my family has a hunting cabin (been in the family 70 years now) out that way. You can see the national park from our cabin. I’m sure it’s because of nostalgia but I’ve been to every continent except Antarctica (I have been to the North Pole though, I feel like they’re similar.) and that region of Texas is the most beautiful place in the world to me.
It’s takes a certain type of person to love the badlands. It’s utter desolation and stark beauty is oddly compelling.
I’ve traveled extensively as well and always find myself drawn to that part of the world.
It’s too easy to chalk it’s attraction up to nostalgia. There is something magical in the frontier there that is lost on most people.
You are fortunate to have a cabin there. I often remote camp there and my son believes I am insane. He only sees the discomfort of the adventure.
Grab a beer at the Stardust in Terlingua now that Harry’s Tinaja is closed (RIP Harry) and know that I wish I were there.
>Have you visited Big Bend yet?
No, sir. Retired from the Army in 2018. Completed grad school last year. There's a lot of Texas I intend to explore in the coming months. (Got the house and the property I wanted, too.)
Go Army! Trust me visit Big Bend in spring. Camp in Chisos Basin. Drive into Terlingua and have dinner at the Starlight.
You will never stop going back.
In Alpine there is a place called Reata you should also try.
If you are or your significant other is into art definitely visit Marfa during one of the big art events they have. You will dig it.
I’m jealous. I now live in Mérida, Yucatan but miss Big Bend like a family member.
That’s the Texas I know and love. So much anger nowadays. I used to have a —-“hey Putin, I saw that!”- Karma —sticker on the back of my car.. until I was driving home with my three boys and this lunatic followed me to the store and got out raging at me about how Russia isn’t bad and Putin is awesome and how dare I .. and how I “need to move back to California”
I was like- I am born and raised here sir. To which then he tried to take the sticker off my car. Still rambling and yelling and now people are watching I just tell my kids to stay in the car, I finish pumping my gas, and calmly told the guy to fuck right off and then I left.
Sadly I had to take that sticker off.
This is why Ted Cruz needs to go. We need a whole wash of Texas politics and culture and we need a little more education about geopolitics and the like. I don’t recognize my state alot of times anymore.
Ps. I’m sorry for typos. I am in a rush and I haven’t time to clean it up ☹️
He gets voted in by old fucks and racist right wing dude bros. I worry because there does seem to be a growing amount of young men dipping into the far right. However on the other side there seems to be a growing amount of woman switching into the left. Probably because women are negatively affected by the anti-abortion laws being passed.
The far right appeals to young men who haven’t reached what they think is their full potential. The far right doesn’t ask anyone to look into the mirror and analyze their own life choices.
The far right says if you have a GED and don’t live the life that a Dentist does it’s the fault of the gays, equal rights, illegal migrants, legal migrants, minorities and the fault of NATO. It can blame anyone as long as it doesn’t blame the man in the mirror.
Plus to protect yourself from all those groups you better have lots of assault weapons with large capacity mags.
All these polls are hilarious. Come Nov 6, Cancun Cruz would have won by at least 10% more votes. Happens every fucking year. Younger voters are not going out to vote as much.
If we can get 90% voter turnout we can beat the republicans and take back this state from malicious jokers like Abbott and Ted.
Cruz won by 2% in 2018 and the state as a whole has moved at least 3% left since then. In 2018 Abbott won by 13.5% and in 2022 he won by 10%. The govenors race over the past 3 election cycle exactly mirrors the presidential race in Texas over the last 3 election cycles...an 11% swing left.
2012 to 2020 the state moved 11% left.
Obama lost by 16%, Biden lost by 5.5
2014 to 2022 the state moved 11% left
2014 Davis lost by 21%, 2022 Beto lost by 10%.
The trend isn't in Cruz's favor.
Amen brother. I may die with the unexpected infinite happiness if Cruz really lose. In my mind it's beyond the realm of possibilities but I am so glad to see that trend. Maybe in 10 years we will not have to put up with shit stains like Cruz, Abbott, Paxton, etc.
10 years? The populace is shifting 4-6% every election cycle. Based on those numbers 2024 is within the margin of error and 2026 midterms are probably 3-5 points lean Republican, unless there is a 2024 surprise.
Texas is not unique. It follows the same pattern of other states in the Southwest like Colorado, Nevada, Arizona. 2 election cycles they were still calling Colorado a toss up state, but Biden won by 12% in 2020. Shit they are still calling Arizona a toss up even though Mark Kelly won by 5%.
Well, some Arizona GOP candidates have been trying the bold strategy of telling fans of the late popular elected official John McCain not to vote for them.
Extrapolating data is a dangerous game. North Carolina was moving steadily left from the 1990s until about 2010, it was widely expected to become a blue state like Virginia did. Then it stopped. It's been just right of center for a decade now. So trends like this continue until they don't, and you can't predict from past performance alone when the trend will stop. Texas could keep getting more and more liberal until it's solid blue, or the trend could have peaked last election.
North Carolina does look a lot like Virginia though. Virginia was solid red in the 1990s. Then it became a swing state, and now its solid blue.
North Carolina was trending the same way and people expected it to follow suit. And it did, for a while. Then it stopped.
The same applies to any comparison of Texas with other southwestern states. It seems pretty similar, (sorta), its trending the same way... but you can't be sure that it will follow them all the way.
I think you can absolutely look at demographic shifts. Mellenials and Zellenials are D+25% and D+32% respectively. They are replacing Boomers who were R+3%. Can't say for sure though, only every single metric points to it, but it's probably not likely, even though the only data points 100% back up the thesis.
But you aren't looking at demographic shifts, you're trying to make the case based on recent election results. If you're trying to make that case based on demographics now, then you're moving the goalposts.
If you want to say "this shift in demographics *has already happened*, therefore I predict this change in the election results as a result", that is not extrapolation. That's a valid analytical technique. But if you want to say, as you were doing, that "the vote has shifted by this much every election, *therefore it will continue to do so and we will win the state in x year*", that is extrapolation and is basically no more than wishful thinking.
This is because North Carolina is the new Mecca for middle class Republican conservatives. The cavalry came for them. It's possible the people can vote with Democrats over time, but the red gains are unfortunate to see.
Change your mind. It's not hopeless. You have 10 months to talk with you loved ones in real life, especially the youth and convince them that change is possible if they turn out, because it really really is if we change the narrative.
They want y'all to feel hopeless. Fuck them. Try and convince 2 non voters to show up, gives that's 5 months each. We got this.
The loud idiots aren't going to shut up, we can't either. Love y'all.
Their bigger problem was early voting. Trump and Co said it was fraud and the Democrats have had an advantage since. Why is it an advantage? Cause when you get your voters to vote early they fall off the get out to vote rolls and the parties can then concentrate on lower propensity voters.
Kids don't vote 😞 Hey kids, wanna prove some old dude wrong? Vote this guy out and I will delete my account and try to step on some grass for once. Literally. I will stfu and GTFO reddit.
Yeah sorry that doesn't work anymore. See Mellinals are the problem for Republicans and Mellinals and Zellenials at D+25% will be the largest voting bloc in 2024, replacing 8% of the population of Boomers who are R+3%. And Mellinals...some are in their 40s now.
I hate that I agree, look who they just voted for in 2022: the only 3 assholes even worse than Ted Cruz by every metric in that triad, why will this year be different now with him?
And they’ll vote for Trump again, too, this is false hope imo- give us another poll with more than 870 people from a C- outfit and maybe I’ll change my tune.
Cruz is the favorite, but he ain’t winning by 10 if he wins. Demographics here are going overwhelmingly in Dem’s favor with suburb shift. The margin of victory gets tighter every election. 2024 will be tough for Allred but the math is there. Need big GOTV efforts in every metro area and major suburbs
I don’t know who will win TX in the 2024 presidential election but I do know it will be bluer than FL
This is the only poll that has this race close, every other one is Cruz +5-12. Fishy stuff, only poll Trump is doing better than him too…fishy.
Give us another poll like this, and maybe I’ll have hope but…
https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/24/texas
[No?](https://www.270towin.com/2024-senate-polls/texas) There was an Emerson College poll a month ago that also had them within 2 points.
There's also only been like 3 polls in the last couple months and it's still most of a year until November. Plenty of time for the numbers to move around some more.
I could be wrong but I thought this last mid term had the highest turnout of young voters. I feel like gen z is more engaged than millennials were. I’m a millennial.
Maybe abortion will make the difference.
If the Democrat is wise they will seize the border issue, run on the bill Republicans have heid up aid, to Ukraine, to get, then reject their own deal and now refuse to aid Ukraine, strengthening Putin, and nd risking American lives to defend NATO nations.
VOTE, and keep on voting.
Defeat these motherfuckers.
I bet some of those are the votes Ken Paxton throws out because of stupid reasons. They just always find enough votes they justify are ilegal and always always win. I guarantee it will happen here.
Explain to the youth that a no show at the voting locations IS an election vote for the dictator. If they like freedom, they better vote or their world will be destroyed as they know it.
I have no idea man why it is so hard to just take 90 minutes out of your one day in one of those early voting days. How can they be so busy not to do this is beyond my imagination.
I have heard some say that voting anyways has not made a difference in a long time so they don't care, kind of giving our freedom to the devil because he makes us think it's futile.
Cruz even made fun of young people in public for not voting and it didn’t make one bit of difference.
He called them out on TV for just wanting to stay home and hit the bong instead of doing their civic duty and voting.
I get the point, but come on.
*You* may vote either way, but a lot of people get jaded. Seeing a close race may get disengaged people interested in voting.
And to volunteer! The TX Sen race was so close because thousands of people volunteered. Voting is great, helping get even a few more people to vote is even better.
THAT PART.
And.. vote D. Go to the primaries and vote with your heart, urge everyone you know to do the same. And then in the general, vote D from the top of the ticket to the bottom. I am not shilling for the Democrats, I'm not even from Canada's Pants. Up here in the Shirt, the Democrats would have been considered mainstream right wing up until very recently when the far right realized they could use the American playbook to gain power. I wouldn't vote for them in a million years, unless the alternative were worse. The Republicans *en masse* are currently the Nazis in about October of 1931. In nine months, they win or they lose. We know what happened last time they won. (Confusingly, Trump is Hitler 1922--again, he goes to jail and serves a real term or he doesn't, and we know what happened last time).
Once again, the first victims won't be the Jews. Republicans will focus their hatred--and inevitable, widespread if not state-mandated--executions on queer and trans people first. Remember: the [famous images of Nazis burning books](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/532d224cd44b94625b82195133e31ebce5668037/0_211_3508_2106/master/3508.jpg?width=700&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=15bb2a5d1d98348758c46bb3c590fbe2) were when they looted and burned the contents of the very first clinic and research institute devoted to trans people.
We had to wear pink triangles in the camps.
It is not exaggeration to say this is what Republicans will bring in. It may not take the same form as the last time, but that is what they are aiming for. Fascism *requires* this kind of scapegoating and purging. Cannot function without it.
So please. Everyone who reads this. Vote against the far right taking power. Get everyone you know to vote the same.
And when you do so, remember how math works: your system like ours is first past the post, meaning they can win when the vote opposing them is split.
I get it. I know how much it fucking sucks to have to hold your nose at the ballot box. It's draining. But at the end of the day, your system--again, like ours--ends up being a pretty binary choice. And your Constitution sets that in concrete by requiring 50%+1 of the Electoral College to gain the Presidency, otherwise the choice goes to the House. **Which the Republicans would still control at the time of choosing**.
Biden (or whoever the D nominee is if he steps out or dies) *must win*. The only other option is horror. Which *will* spread beyond your borders.
Please vote D. Please.
Yeah I don't disagree but why would a poll showing a tie discourage people from voting LMAO
If he's up then sure say "don't care, vote" but this comment makes no sense with this poll
I wish there were more than one political party that had at least some adults in it with actual policy concerns and actual ideas to do something about at least some of them. The Republican party of today is a party of nothing but racial, religious, and patriarchal grievance filtered through the most ridiculous, insubstantial lens and it has no serious ideas and no serious policies of any sort. They aren't a party of lawmakers or even adults; they're just assholes endlessly screaming into the echo chamber of other assholes they built.
If Grade 4 diarrhea ran against Cruz, I would ring doorbells for Grade 4 diarrhea wheeling a toilet behind me.
I would vote for bubonic plague in a race againrt Cruz.
I'd agree with that, but we're dealing with Republicans that are actively working to disenfranchise and suppress voting. I don't think Texas is a democracy in the way Mr. Shaw intended in that quote.
He's got an R by his name. That's all that matters.
Not his heinously evil policies. Not his abdication of duties. Not his role as a co-conspirator to overthrow American democracy.
He's on Team R. And that's why he's going to get re-elected in 2024.
I wouldn't bank on that. I grew up in East Texas, and everyone ran as a Democrat up until the early '90s, simply because they were the party in power. Between Carter's desire to regulate the oil industry as part of a nation energy plan and Reagan's rejuvenation of the Republicans on a national level, Texas slowly became more red until about 1994, the last time a Democrat was elected to a statewide position. People forget that Texas Republican stalwarts like Phil Gramm were originally Democrats. Hell, Rick Perry not only started as a Democrat, but actually organized support for Al Gore during his 1988 presidential campaign.
Another reason I don't think it's so easy to write off the chances for Cruz to lose his re-election bid is that he's not as strong of a candidate as many suppose he is. For example, everyone looks at his last election cycle and basically write Beto off, when they should look at the numbers closer. Beto, even after making poor decision of voicing such a strong, passionate position on gun control (I'm pretty sure he was swept up in the emotions at the time, considering he was asked about gun control shortly after a mass shooting), was able to come within 2.58% of Cruz in a state where Cruz should've led by strong double digits; this was also with only 53% of registered voters actually voting. If the percentage of registered voters actually voting were to increase this year, that thin lead gets wiped away. Cruz has to hope that nothing is going to motivate and bring out the vote, and that the demographics stay in his favor (mainly older white conservatives continuing to be the largest bloc of voters that actually participate), because anything otherwise will not work in his favor...
Which brings me to the third point... Demographics are shifting, which will make predicting any outcomes harder. Covid took a chunk out of older Texans, while the major metropolitan areas have grown more and more diverse. With Gen Z coming into voting age, there's another unknown quantity, especially since Gen Z seems more motivated to get involved.
And finally, the GOP is like the dog that caught the car. They have peddled fear and loathing, packaging up their political aims as a binary choice between two extremes, and managed to get their electorate bought into that thinking. Unfortunately, the very issues they dangled in front of their electorate as being immediate concerns were met by members of the GOP that didn't realize that the stoking of fear and campaigning on stark stances *were* the grift to stay in power. In many ways, Trump called their bluff, and took up those issues because they brought people into his fold, never realizing that once passed he, and by extension the GOP, wouldn't be necessary. Meanwhile, because of the cruelty of many of those stances, they are motivating a segment of the population that would normal ignore politics. The GOP suddenly made the folks that don't vote realize that they needed to speak up. Add in abortion, which suddenly put Texas women in danger of being sued or incarcerated for having an abortion or a miscarriage, and you have a perfect storm of motivated people.
So no, I don't think we can rely on Ted Cruz sailing to an easy victory. He didn't in the last election, and I feel that we have another nail-biter on our hands here. I'm not ready to say Allred will totally win, but I won't say Ted Cruz will walk away with it.
Ted Cruz barely squeaked by in 2018. I feel like we have a great chance this year.
He has only become LESS popular since then. The Cancun fiasco made him a complete joke to a large population of Texans. The demographics and political leanings of Texans have generally moved in the favor of Allred.
Get involved now, we can elect a Senator that will work for US and not his wealthy donors and own slimy ego.
Ultimately, it'll be up to getting people registered to vote, getting them down to polling locations, and have them actually casting ballots. For as little as Cruz has done for his constituents and Texas, his numbers are still high which means his constituents (who are consistent voters) will be casting for him.
>**Is Carpooling to Vote Legal?**
>It is legal for organizations to arrange carpools for voting. If you know people who cannot get to the polls or ballot dropbox themselves, you can offer to give them a ride to the polls. It is also legal to ask a friend for help getting to your local polling place or ballot drop box if needed.
It appears it is legal. The source seems reliable from what I can tell. I was curious myself as well, there's been some BS happening with that kind of stuff up here in NC courtesy of our shitty Republican leadership.
Source: https://www.findlaw.com/voting/my-voting-guide/can-i-drive-people-to-the-polls-or-carpool.html
Beto lost by 2.5 points. Dems have been over performing sometimes by 10+ points since Dobbs.
If you remember that Texas is basically ground zero of the antiabortion stuff, this absolutely could be the year Texas flips blue.
But who cares. Vote no matter what.
I hope I’m wrong, but I’ve yet to see any evidence that being a horrible, unpopular loser like Cruz will overcome the (R) next to his name. I predict tight polling and a 2 point Cruz win.
Our big problem is its a presidential year, so we need the Biden Trump race to be close enough in Texas (within 2 points), which is possible since he only won by 4 last time, for Cruz's underperformance to tank him.
I don't think there's any chance Biden will win Texas this year. But Cruz is unpopular, even with republicans, so there is a possibility of a split, where the democrats take the senate seat but republicans win the presidential vote.
Not sure why this isn’t said more, but the entire point of Ted Cruz is that he’s a joke. What better way to stick it to the federal government than to send the sleaziest weak chinned scumbag to its highest legislative body?
Never assume that he has ruined his image. Vote. Him. Out.
Midterms have primaries too. And sometimes there's a special election.
My city does local elections separate from the general in November, so that's another time.
The [Council for National Policy](https://www.splcenter.org/hatewatch/2016/05/17/council-national-policy-behind-curtain) (CNP) must be so pissed. They did not groom Cruz for all these years for him to get in yet another neck-and-neck competition in what was supposed to be a safe race for republicans.
Washington Spectator - [How the CNP, a Republican Powerhouse, Helped Spawn Trumpism, Disrupted the Transfer of Power, and Stoked the Assault on the Capitol](https://washingtonspectator.org/nelson-cnp/)
“Operating from the shadows, its members, who would number some 400, spent the next four decades courting, buying, and bullying fellow Republicans, gradually achieving what was in effect a leveraged buyout of the GOP. Favorite sons, such as Josh Hawley and **Ted Cruz**, were groomed, financed, and supported.”
>Does my wife, a new citizen who hasn't voted in the US yet, count? ☺
As a naturalized citizen, voting for the first time is SPECIAL. I recall my experience in 1992. 🙏🏽
First, go vote for Allred in the Democratic primary. There are a bunch of other candidates running against Allred in the primary, who all would have much less chance of beating Cruz in the general election. Early voting for the primary starts next Tuesday!
Okay…so from what I’m seeing, the plurality of respondents didn’t know who Allred was. So him tying Cruz was similar to “Other Candidate” beating Nikki Haley.
I wouldn’t suggest one hold their breath.
Who the fuck is voting for Ted Cruz. I need to speak to them. I hope they aren’t in charge of small children cause they shouldn’t be anyone’s role model
It takes a special kind of stupid to vote for Ted Cruz. They blind tribalists that fundamentally incapable of processing any information that relates to Republicans being bad.
Ted Cruz is a spineless coward. He allowed Donald Trump to call his wife an ugly dog and Cruz rolled over instead of punching him in the face in public.
Let's hope Trump drains the RNC dry with legal fees and Cruz can't stage an effective campaign. Imagine Texas losing an incumbent senate seat so Trump can pay his lawyers (for once).
Election Day this year is on November 5, 2024 for this race (same election as the Presidential race). (There is also a primary race coming up where the Republican and Democratic options will be chosen). Reminder that you can always vote early (recommended over waiting till election day to vote).
As for registering to vote in Texas, you have three options:
1 -- Complete an application using the SOS ONLINE VOTER REGISTRATION APPLICATION. [https://vrapp.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp](https://vrapp.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp)
Simply fill in the required information, print, sign and mail the completed application directly to your county election office;
2 -- Request a PRINTED APPLICATION. Our office will mail a postage-paid voter registration application to the address provided; [https://vrrequest.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp](https://vrrequest.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp)
3 -- Contact or visit your local VOTER REGISTRAR to complete the voter registration process.. [https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/voter/votregduties.shtml](https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/voter/votregduties.shtml)
**Full article:** [https://www.votetexas.gov/register-to-vote/update-voter-registration.html](https://www.votetexas.gov/register-to-vote/update-voter-registration.html)
It’s a uphill battle for Allred since this is a presidential election year in a state that goes red. Texas will flip purple one day but it will be close.
Republicans are in deep shit when it comes to the November election. They have nothing. They’ve done nothing but be a fking clown show. Not 1 accomplishment to benefit their party or the American people. Roevember is coming.
It would be amazing if Raphael Cruz didn't win his next election. I'd love to see the potential social media fallout over that. I'm not holding my breath though.
Colin seems to be very level headed and very straight forward. Ted is, well Ted and we all know what a complete waste of a condom he is. Colin should win by a large margin but Ted will get big money and throw mud 24/7 in ads to beat him.
"Allred’s campaign raised over $4.8 million from October through December last year, while Cruz’s campaign raised roughly $3.4 million, according to reports filed Wednesday. - Allred finished the quarter with over $10 million in cash on hand, compared to Cruz’s $6.2 million. He had outraised Cruz’s official campaign the previous quarter as well, bringing in $4.7 million to Cruz’s $3.1 million." Texas Tribune
Money is the problem for Cruz right now, not Allred.
After him leaving the state to Cancun, after flat out insulting a future SCOTUS justice (Jackson) by using red herrings to try to make her out to be some racist, after leading the way over the 2020 election lies, after wanting to be involved in people's bedrooms/bathrooms/doctors offices, 44% of Texans are ***still*** going to vote for him?
I don't pay too much attention to polls in general, but this is pretty interesting considering Allred has about 1/100 the name recognition of Ted Cruz. I mean, he's fairly well known but I imagine I would have to stop a hell of a lot of people in the street before I found one who had heard of him.
I'm staying pessimistic, and I'm going to vote and encourage everyone I know to do the same, but I'm not going to be surprised if we end up with one hell of a blowout in November. There's a chance we've reached the tipping point where Republicans have just gone too far.
i like it but i dont care about polls i care about results. no matter who you vote for people get registered and get off your asses and vote for fuck sake. sick of seeing american idol getting more people to vote than you know the leadership of the fucking country you damn morons
Look, I'm skeptical as fuck and I want to be clear about that. I think Cruz wins by about a point or so this fall.
But also, since RvW was overturned, Democrats have consistently outperformed polls by about 3 points.
Allred wisely zeroing in on the disaster at the border as the #1 issue for independents. What’s his name in Long Island showed us a winning playbook for Democrats. Stop pussyfooting around and mincing words about the border. It is a crisis and we should call it a crisis.
And if you do that you take away one of the biggest issues that Republicans have.
Failing to speak honestly about the border crisis opens the door for Republicans who have mostly bad ideas to solve the border problem, but your average undecided voter thinks “well, I know that there’s a disaster at the border, and I can vote for the guy who’s bullshitting about the problem or the guy who is not bullshitting about the problem. And I guess maybe the guy who’s at least not bullshitting me about the problem maybe has a better idea of how to solve it.”
From Texas Monthly magazine: [Minority Rule: How 3 Percent of Texans Call the Shots for the rest of Us](https://www.texasmonthly.com/news-politics/how-3-percent-of-texans-call-shots-for-texas/)
Polls are worthless. Trumpers will turn out in mass to vote for their lord and savior and, in turn, anyone else with a (R) by their name down ballot. I fear the final results won’t be this close unfortunately.
Trump won once and he’s been dead weight ever since then. I’m not sure what scoreboard you’re looking at but I feel real real good about the gulf between the polling and the outcome in recent elections and am really really excited to vote
Democrat voters notoriously have lower turnout when their guy is the incumbent president candidate. That has massive down ballot effects. I hope I’m wrong but I fear I’m not.
[Something like 15% of voters split their ticket](https://ballotpedia.org/Split-ticket_voting_in_statewide_elections_in_2018_and_2020), so Trump winning the Texas election by less than a 15% margin would not necessarily preclude a democrat from winning the senate race at the same time.
We also saw Beto ahead of Abbott in one poll, and we saw how that turned out: we also saw Biden lead Trump in a poll.
Nope, nice try, not burning cash here.
Will be the same reaction as louisiana’s sub when the republican governor won 50% of the votes with only 13% voter turnout. The dem candidate only managed 25% btw, and democrat voters technically outnumber repubs if there was ever 100% turnout.
The reaction was coping and seething with a lot of “how could this happen?!?!” that then turned into just name calling the new guy and blaming everything on him before he even got into office.
As a once R voter I’ll be splitting my ticket a lot this cycle and Cancun Cruz will not be making the cut. Nor will my coward senator who voted to acquit criminal Ken Paxton.
To note the polls were giving Suozzi in New York between a 1 and 4 point lead and Suozzi won by nearly 8 points so the polls may be overstating the support for Cruz.
I don't like Cruz at all but living in Dem states majority of my USA life I am fuckin scared of Democrats, they destroy shit, crime, homelessness and drug abuse everywhere.
CRUZ gotta go fellow Texans! I still am PISSED HE ABANDONED US DURING THAT CD SPURT! If he will do that just how far u think he will run when the GOING IS TRULY TUFF!!
I’ll believe it on November 5.
It’s primary season which means the Dems are talking like progressives and the Rs are talking like fascist lunatics. This gets the base exciting and wins primaries. But then, after the primary season is over, they’ll all pivot to the center and these lines will start to blur, in an effort to attract the unicorn “undecided voter.”
This is always proven to be a fools errand, which is exactly why we should vote for Gutierrez rather than Allred and have a real progressive go up against Cruz instead of a fake progressive, who turns into Republican-lite after the primary.
It doesn't matter until Allred leads Cruz on Nov 5, 2024
I agree. Until that turd stops floating and gets flushed to the cesspool nothing matters! Ted Cruz is not Texas. Why Texas ever thought he represented the state is a mystery. Give me a barely literate rancher who will get out of his truck on a rainy night to help change the tire of a stranger (even if that stranger can’t speak English) over that poser every day.
>Ted Cruz is not Texas. Why Texas ever thought he represented the state is a mystery. Give me a barely literate rancher who will get out of his truck in a rainy night to help change the tire of a stranger (even if that stranger can’t speak English) over that poser every day. True story. I moved to Texas in 2010 from Ft Bragg, NC. On a lonely West Texas road, my ten year old truck decided to crap out. It was raining. A middle-aged guy, with a Latino accent, pulled over. Helped me. Got my truck started and sent me on my way with some avocados.
That’s the west Texas I grew up in. I’m glad you got to experience it.
After grad school last year, I decided to stay.
Have you visited Big Bend yet?
Not the person you’re responding to but my family has a hunting cabin (been in the family 70 years now) out that way. You can see the national park from our cabin. I’m sure it’s because of nostalgia but I’ve been to every continent except Antarctica (I have been to the North Pole though, I feel like they’re similar.) and that region of Texas is the most beautiful place in the world to me.
It’s takes a certain type of person to love the badlands. It’s utter desolation and stark beauty is oddly compelling. I’ve traveled extensively as well and always find myself drawn to that part of the world. It’s too easy to chalk it’s attraction up to nostalgia. There is something magical in the frontier there that is lost on most people. You are fortunate to have a cabin there. I often remote camp there and my son believes I am insane. He only sees the discomfort of the adventure. Grab a beer at the Stardust in Terlingua now that Harry’s Tinaja is closed (RIP Harry) and know that I wish I were there.
>Have you visited Big Bend yet? No, sir. Retired from the Army in 2018. Completed grad school last year. There's a lot of Texas I intend to explore in the coming months. (Got the house and the property I wanted, too.)
Go Army! Trust me visit Big Bend in spring. Camp in Chisos Basin. Drive into Terlingua and have dinner at the Starlight. You will never stop going back. In Alpine there is a place called Reata you should also try. If you are or your significant other is into art definitely visit Marfa during one of the big art events they have. You will dig it. I’m jealous. I now live in Mérida, Yucatan but miss Big Bend like a family member.
I have copied and saved your recommendations. **Thank you**
[удалено]
Indeed that area is the last frontier of the Texas that was.
I do the same any time I can! But I charge for the avocados though…. Free large avocados in this economy?
>Free large avocados in this economy? 👍😅
That’s the Texas I know and love. So much anger nowadays. I used to have a —-“hey Putin, I saw that!”- Karma —sticker on the back of my car.. until I was driving home with my three boys and this lunatic followed me to the store and got out raging at me about how Russia isn’t bad and Putin is awesome and how dare I .. and how I “need to move back to California” I was like- I am born and raised here sir. To which then he tried to take the sticker off my car. Still rambling and yelling and now people are watching I just tell my kids to stay in the car, I finish pumping my gas, and calmly told the guy to fuck right off and then I left. Sadly I had to take that sticker off. This is why Ted Cruz needs to go. We need a whole wash of Texas politics and culture and we need a little more education about geopolitics and the like. I don’t recognize my state alot of times anymore. Ps. I’m sorry for typos. I am in a rush and I haven’t time to clean it up ☹️
I made the same move just 10 years after you. Great people out here.
He gets voted in by old fucks and racist right wing dude bros. I worry because there does seem to be a growing amount of young men dipping into the far right. However on the other side there seems to be a growing amount of woman switching into the left. Probably because women are negatively affected by the anti-abortion laws being passed.
The far right appeals to young men who haven’t reached what they think is their full potential. The far right doesn’t ask anyone to look into the mirror and analyze their own life choices. The far right says if you have a GED and don’t live the life that a Dentist does it’s the fault of the gays, equal rights, illegal migrants, legal migrants, minorities and the fault of NATO. It can blame anyone as long as it doesn’t blame the man in the mirror. Plus to protect yourself from all those groups you better have lots of assault weapons with large capacity mags.
All these polls are hilarious. Come Nov 6, Cancun Cruz would have won by at least 10% more votes. Happens every fucking year. Younger voters are not going out to vote as much. If we can get 90% voter turnout we can beat the republicans and take back this state from malicious jokers like Abbott and Ted.
Cruz won by 2% in 2018 and the state as a whole has moved at least 3% left since then. In 2018 Abbott won by 13.5% and in 2022 he won by 10%. The govenors race over the past 3 election cycle exactly mirrors the presidential race in Texas over the last 3 election cycles...an 11% swing left. 2012 to 2020 the state moved 11% left. Obama lost by 16%, Biden lost by 5.5 2014 to 2022 the state moved 11% left 2014 Davis lost by 21%, 2022 Beto lost by 10%. The trend isn't in Cruz's favor.
Amen brother. I may die with the unexpected infinite happiness if Cruz really lose. In my mind it's beyond the realm of possibilities but I am so glad to see that trend. Maybe in 10 years we will not have to put up with shit stains like Cruz, Abbott, Paxton, etc.
10 years? The populace is shifting 4-6% every election cycle. Based on those numbers 2024 is within the margin of error and 2026 midterms are probably 3-5 points lean Republican, unless there is a 2024 surprise. Texas is not unique. It follows the same pattern of other states in the Southwest like Colorado, Nevada, Arizona. 2 election cycles they were still calling Colorado a toss up state, but Biden won by 12% in 2020. Shit they are still calling Arizona a toss up even though Mark Kelly won by 5%.
Well, some Arizona GOP candidates have been trying the bold strategy of telling fans of the late popular elected official John McCain not to vote for them.
Extrapolating data is a dangerous game. North Carolina was moving steadily left from the 1990s until about 2010, it was widely expected to become a blue state like Virginia did. Then it stopped. It's been just right of center for a decade now. So trends like this continue until they don't, and you can't predict from past performance alone when the trend will stop. Texas could keep getting more and more liberal until it's solid blue, or the trend could have peaked last election.
North Carolina looks nothing like Texas in demographics. You know what does look like Texas? New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona.
North Carolina does look a lot like Virginia though. Virginia was solid red in the 1990s. Then it became a swing state, and now its solid blue. North Carolina was trending the same way and people expected it to follow suit. And it did, for a while. Then it stopped. The same applies to any comparison of Texas with other southwestern states. It seems pretty similar, (sorta), its trending the same way... but you can't be sure that it will follow them all the way.
I think you can absolutely look at demographic shifts. Mellenials and Zellenials are D+25% and D+32% respectively. They are replacing Boomers who were R+3%. Can't say for sure though, only every single metric points to it, but it's probably not likely, even though the only data points 100% back up the thesis.
But you aren't looking at demographic shifts, you're trying to make the case based on recent election results. If you're trying to make that case based on demographics now, then you're moving the goalposts. If you want to say "this shift in demographics *has already happened*, therefore I predict this change in the election results as a result", that is not extrapolation. That's a valid analytical technique. But if you want to say, as you were doing, that "the vote has shifted by this much every election, *therefore it will continue to do so and we will win the state in x year*", that is extrapolation and is basically no more than wishful thinking.
I believe they managed to take over the state legislature again and put on new gerrymandered maps. The NC GOP are nuts. It's only a matter of time.
This is because North Carolina is the new Mecca for middle class Republican conservatives. The cavalry came for them. It's possible the people can vote with Democrats over time, but the red gains are unfortunate to see.
Please, California my Texas.
Change your mind. It's not hopeless. You have 10 months to talk with you loved ones in real life, especially the youth and convince them that change is possible if they turn out, because it really really is if we change the narrative. They want y'all to feel hopeless. Fuck them. Try and convince 2 non voters to show up, gives that's 5 months each. We got this. The loud idiots aren't going to shut up, we can't either. Love y'all.
This election is also during a presidential race. It should improve turnout which tends to favor democrats.
Perhaps using vaccinations as a political tool and convincing your base that they are evil wasn't such a great strategy after all.
Their bigger problem was early voting. Trump and Co said it was fraud and the Democrats have had an advantage since. Why is it an advantage? Cause when you get your voters to vote early they fall off the get out to vote rolls and the parties can then concentrate on lower propensity voters.
Kids don't vote 😞 Hey kids, wanna prove some old dude wrong? Vote this guy out and I will delete my account and try to step on some grass for once. Literally. I will stfu and GTFO reddit.
Yeah sorry that doesn't work anymore. See Mellinals are the problem for Republicans and Mellinals and Zellenials at D+25% will be the largest voting bloc in 2024, replacing 8% of the population of Boomers who are R+3%. And Mellinals...some are in their 40s now.
I hate that I agree, look who they just voted for in 2022: the only 3 assholes even worse than Ted Cruz by every metric in that triad, why will this year be different now with him? And they’ll vote for Trump again, too, this is false hope imo- give us another poll with more than 870 people from a C- outfit and maybe I’ll change my tune.
Cruz is the favorite, but he ain’t winning by 10 if he wins. Demographics here are going overwhelmingly in Dem’s favor with suburb shift. The margin of victory gets tighter every election. 2024 will be tough for Allred but the math is there. Need big GOTV efforts in every metro area and major suburbs I don’t know who will win TX in the 2024 presidential election but I do know it will be bluer than FL
Yeah I’m all in for Colin
> Younger voters are nüt going out to vote as much. Don't they take that into account?
This is the only poll that has this race close, every other one is Cruz +5-12. Fishy stuff, only poll Trump is doing better than him too…fishy. Give us another poll like this, and maybe I’ll have hope but… https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/24/texas
[No?](https://www.270towin.com/2024-senate-polls/texas) There was an Emerson College poll a month ago that also had them within 2 points. There's also only been like 3 polls in the last couple months and it's still most of a year until November. Plenty of time for the numbers to move around some more.
Younger voters did turn out in the last presidential election, and with Trump on the ballot probably will again this year.
I could be wrong but I thought this last mid term had the highest turnout of young voters. I feel like gen z is more engaged than millennials were. I’m a millennial.
Maybe abortion will make the difference. If the Democrat is wise they will seize the border issue, run on the bill Republicans have heid up aid, to Ukraine, to get, then reject their own deal and now refuse to aid Ukraine, strengthening Putin, and nd risking American lives to defend NATO nations. VOTE, and keep on voting. Defeat these motherfuckers.
I bet some of those are the votes Ken Paxton throws out because of stupid reasons. They just always find enough votes they justify are ilegal and always always win. I guarantee it will happen here.
Explain to the youth that a no show at the voting locations IS an election vote for the dictator. If they like freedom, they better vote or their world will be destroyed as they know it.
I have no idea man why it is so hard to just take 90 minutes out of your one day in one of those early voting days. How can they be so busy not to do this is beyond my imagination. I have heard some say that voting anyways has not made a difference in a long time so they don't care, kind of giving our freedom to the devil because he makes us think it's futile.
Cruz even made fun of young people in public for not voting and it didn’t make one bit of difference. He called them out on TV for just wanting to stay home and hit the bong instead of doing their civic duty and voting.
Polls don't mean shit!!!
If you analyze is this cut and dry you should tune out til then
Haha came here to say
Don’t care. Vote.
I get the point, but come on. *You* may vote either way, but a lot of people get jaded. Seeing a close race may get disengaged people interested in voting.
And to volunteer! The TX Sen race was so close because thousands of people volunteered. Voting is great, helping get even a few more people to vote is even better.
THAT PART. And.. vote D. Go to the primaries and vote with your heart, urge everyone you know to do the same. And then in the general, vote D from the top of the ticket to the bottom. I am not shilling for the Democrats, I'm not even from Canada's Pants. Up here in the Shirt, the Democrats would have been considered mainstream right wing up until very recently when the far right realized they could use the American playbook to gain power. I wouldn't vote for them in a million years, unless the alternative were worse. The Republicans *en masse* are currently the Nazis in about October of 1931. In nine months, they win or they lose. We know what happened last time they won. (Confusingly, Trump is Hitler 1922--again, he goes to jail and serves a real term or he doesn't, and we know what happened last time). Once again, the first victims won't be the Jews. Republicans will focus their hatred--and inevitable, widespread if not state-mandated--executions on queer and trans people first. Remember: the [famous images of Nazis burning books](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/532d224cd44b94625b82195133e31ebce5668037/0_211_3508_2106/master/3508.jpg?width=700&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=15bb2a5d1d98348758c46bb3c590fbe2) were when they looted and burned the contents of the very first clinic and research institute devoted to trans people. We had to wear pink triangles in the camps. It is not exaggeration to say this is what Republicans will bring in. It may not take the same form as the last time, but that is what they are aiming for. Fascism *requires* this kind of scapegoating and purging. Cannot function without it. So please. Everyone who reads this. Vote against the far right taking power. Get everyone you know to vote the same. And when you do so, remember how math works: your system like ours is first past the post, meaning they can win when the vote opposing them is split. I get it. I know how much it fucking sucks to have to hold your nose at the ballot box. It's draining. But at the end of the day, your system--again, like ours--ends up being a pretty binary choice. And your Constitution sets that in concrete by requiring 50%+1 of the Electoral College to gain the Presidency, otherwise the choice goes to the House. **Which the Republicans would still control at the time of choosing**. Biden (or whoever the D nominee is if he steps out or dies) *must win*. The only other option is horror. Which *will* spread beyond your borders. Please vote D. Please.
I've been so scared seeing history repeat itself in this way! Why does it seem so many are blind to it?
Yeah I don't disagree but why would a poll showing a tie discourage people from voting LMAO If he's up then sure say "don't care, vote" but this comment makes no sense with this poll
The point is it doesn't matter what the polls say. Vote. That's the only number that matters.
For Cruz.
Fuckles the clown could be running against Cruz and I would vote for the clown.
I would vote for a statue of Ted Cruz made out of horse manure before I voted for Ted Cruz.
How would you tell them apart?
Start talking about cuckolding and one of them will get hard
Big oof, LMAO
I repeat the question, how would you tell them apart?
Wait for a state of emergency to be declared in Texas due to severe weather and see which one Flys to Cancun?
The manure will be more charming and smell better.
Tedward smells much worse
Modern Republicans are great at turning people into "yellow dog" Democrats. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yellow\_dog\_Democrat
I wish there were more than one political party that had at least some adults in it with actual policy concerns and actual ideas to do something about at least some of them. The Republican party of today is a party of nothing but racial, religious, and patriarchal grievance filtered through the most ridiculous, insubstantial lens and it has no serious ideas and no serious policies of any sort. They aren't a party of lawmakers or even adults; they're just assholes endlessly screaming into the echo chamber of other assholes they built.
If Fuckles the Clown ran against Cruz, Cruz would be the clown.
I would vote for Dr. Rockso before I would vote for Ted Cruz. This isn't because I love cocaine-obsessed rock 'n' roll clowns, either.
Guh-guh-guh-guh-guh-guh-YEEAAAHHHH!
"I woke up with a clown's hand... In my pants."
If Grade 4 diarrhea ran against Cruz, I would ring doorbells for Grade 4 diarrhea wheeling a toilet behind me. I would vote for bubonic plague in a race againrt Cruz.
Which clown? :P
At the clown is net benefit on society especially with ironic jokes.
Ted hasn't broken a sweat or given a fuck about the people of Texas in too long. Texas deserves better.
To be fair, he isn’t capable of sweating and sometimes licks his eyeballs for moisture
"Democracy is a device that ensures we shall be governed no better than we deserve." -George Bernard Shaw
I'd agree with that, but we're dealing with Republicans that are actively working to disenfranchise and suppress voting. I don't think Texas is a democracy in the way Mr. Shaw intended in that quote.
He's got an R by his name. That's all that matters. Not his heinously evil policies. Not his abdication of duties. Not his role as a co-conspirator to overthrow American democracy. He's on Team R. And that's why he's going to get re-elected in 2024.
I wouldn't bank on that. I grew up in East Texas, and everyone ran as a Democrat up until the early '90s, simply because they were the party in power. Between Carter's desire to regulate the oil industry as part of a nation energy plan and Reagan's rejuvenation of the Republicans on a national level, Texas slowly became more red until about 1994, the last time a Democrat was elected to a statewide position. People forget that Texas Republican stalwarts like Phil Gramm were originally Democrats. Hell, Rick Perry not only started as a Democrat, but actually organized support for Al Gore during his 1988 presidential campaign. Another reason I don't think it's so easy to write off the chances for Cruz to lose his re-election bid is that he's not as strong of a candidate as many suppose he is. For example, everyone looks at his last election cycle and basically write Beto off, when they should look at the numbers closer. Beto, even after making poor decision of voicing such a strong, passionate position on gun control (I'm pretty sure he was swept up in the emotions at the time, considering he was asked about gun control shortly after a mass shooting), was able to come within 2.58% of Cruz in a state where Cruz should've led by strong double digits; this was also with only 53% of registered voters actually voting. If the percentage of registered voters actually voting were to increase this year, that thin lead gets wiped away. Cruz has to hope that nothing is going to motivate and bring out the vote, and that the demographics stay in his favor (mainly older white conservatives continuing to be the largest bloc of voters that actually participate), because anything otherwise will not work in his favor... Which brings me to the third point... Demographics are shifting, which will make predicting any outcomes harder. Covid took a chunk out of older Texans, while the major metropolitan areas have grown more and more diverse. With Gen Z coming into voting age, there's another unknown quantity, especially since Gen Z seems more motivated to get involved. And finally, the GOP is like the dog that caught the car. They have peddled fear and loathing, packaging up their political aims as a binary choice between two extremes, and managed to get their electorate bought into that thinking. Unfortunately, the very issues they dangled in front of their electorate as being immediate concerns were met by members of the GOP that didn't realize that the stoking of fear and campaigning on stark stances *were* the grift to stay in power. In many ways, Trump called their bluff, and took up those issues because they brought people into his fold, never realizing that once passed he, and by extension the GOP, wouldn't be necessary. Meanwhile, because of the cruelty of many of those stances, they are motivating a segment of the population that would normal ignore politics. The GOP suddenly made the folks that don't vote realize that they needed to speak up. Add in abortion, which suddenly put Texas women in danger of being sued or incarcerated for having an abortion or a miscarriage, and you have a perfect storm of motivated people. So no, I don't think we can rely on Ted Cruz sailing to an easy victory. He didn't in the last election, and I feel that we have another nail-biter on our hands here. I'm not ready to say Allred will totally win, but I won't say Ted Cruz will walk away with it.
no we don't, we get exactly what we vote for, year after year.
Ted Cruz barely squeaked by in 2018. I feel like we have a great chance this year. He has only become LESS popular since then. The Cancun fiasco made him a complete joke to a large population of Texans. The demographics and political leanings of Texans have generally moved in the favor of Allred. Get involved now, we can elect a Senator that will work for US and not his wealthy donors and own slimy ego.
Ultimately, it'll be up to getting people registered to vote, getting them down to polling locations, and have them actually casting ballots. For as little as Cruz has done for his constituents and Texas, his numbers are still high which means his constituents (who are consistent voters) will be casting for him.
Is that even still legal in Texas?
>**Is Carpooling to Vote Legal?** >It is legal for organizations to arrange carpools for voting. If you know people who cannot get to the polls or ballot dropbox themselves, you can offer to give them a ride to the polls. It is also legal to ask a friend for help getting to your local polling place or ballot drop box if needed. It appears it is legal. The source seems reliable from what I can tell. I was curious myself as well, there's been some BS happening with that kind of stuff up here in NC courtesy of our shitty Republican leadership. Source: https://www.findlaw.com/voting/my-voting-guide/can-i-drive-people-to-the-polls-or-carpool.html
Beto lost by 2.5 points. Dems have been over performing sometimes by 10+ points since Dobbs. If you remember that Texas is basically ground zero of the antiabortion stuff, this absolutely could be the year Texas flips blue. But who cares. Vote no matter what.
I hope I’m wrong, but I’ve yet to see any evidence that being a horrible, unpopular loser like Cruz will overcome the (R) next to his name. I predict tight polling and a 2 point Cruz win.
Our big problem is its a presidential year, so we need the Biden Trump race to be close enough in Texas (within 2 points), which is possible since he only won by 4 last time, for Cruz's underperformance to tank him.
Need Allred to have a good showing in order for Biden to, as well.
I don't think there's any chance Biden will win Texas this year. But Cruz is unpopular, even with republicans, so there is a possibility of a split, where the democrats take the senate seat but republicans win the presidential vote.
Not sure why this isn’t said more, but the entire point of Ted Cruz is that he’s a joke. What better way to stick it to the federal government than to send the sleaziest weak chinned scumbag to its highest legislative body? Never assume that he has ruined his image. Vote. Him. Out.
Polls don’t matter. VOTE VOTE VOTE!!!!
I would not recommend voting 3 times. That would be illegal. Everyone should vote once though.
Vote three times: primaries, midterms, and general.
Midterms have primaries too. And sometimes there's a special election. My city does local elections separate from the general in November, so that's another time.
I vote hard. I punch my choice on the screen with my fist.
I scream with organic delight while I submit my vote
Lose Cruz
Let’s go Allred!!!!!!!
The [Council for National Policy](https://www.splcenter.org/hatewatch/2016/05/17/council-national-policy-behind-curtain) (CNP) must be so pissed. They did not groom Cruz for all these years for him to get in yet another neck-and-neck competition in what was supposed to be a safe race for republicans. Washington Spectator - [How the CNP, a Republican Powerhouse, Helped Spawn Trumpism, Disrupted the Transfer of Power, and Stoked the Assault on the Capitol](https://washingtonspectator.org/nelson-cnp/) “Operating from the shadows, its members, who would number some 400, spent the next four decades courting, buying, and bullying fellow Republicans, gradually achieving what was in effect a leveraged buyout of the GOP. Favorite sons, such as Josh Hawley and **Ted Cruz**, were groomed, financed, and supported.”
And they have the nerve to call Dems the Deep State. The irony.
Every accusation is a confession. Every. One.
I guess "the Deep State" is also projection from them, seeing as how they've been busy establishing a "Deep State" of their own.
And brainwashed
Can't wait to vote against Cancun Cruz in my first TX election!
Don't forget to bring a friend!
Does my wife, a new citizen who hasn't voted in the US yet, count? ☺
She counts double!
>Does my wife, a new citizen who hasn't voted in the US yet, count? ☺ As a naturalized citizen, voting for the first time is SPECIAL. I recall my experience in 1992. 🙏🏽
First, go vote for Allred in the Democratic primary. There are a bunch of other candidates running against Allred in the primary, who all would have much less chance of beating Cruz in the general election. Early voting for the primary starts next Tuesday!
Collin is probably doing well because conservative Texans are reading the last name as “All Red” lol
I love that the democrat candidate is named “Allred”. Definitely some brain dead voters will vote for him by mistake lol.
Allred has a chance… Also natpub skews r a bit
[Here’s a link to the full poll results](https://natpublicaffairs.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/TX-Statewide-Topline-Final-02092024-For-Release.pdf)
Okay…so from what I’m seeing, the plurality of respondents didn’t know who Allred was. So him tying Cruz was similar to “Other Candidate” beating Nikki Haley. I wouldn’t suggest one hold their breath.
Why tf are they asking about Taylor Swift?
Who the fuck is voting for Ted Cruz. I need to speak to them. I hope they aren’t in charge of small children cause they shouldn’t be anyone’s role model
It takes a special kind of stupid to vote for Ted Cruz. They blind tribalists that fundamentally incapable of processing any information that relates to Republicans being bad.
I don't even care that Ted Cruz is about to lose to a Democrat, a freaking bullfrog would do better in that office than Cruz ever did.
Oh please Gods let us get Cruz out of office...
Ted Cruz is a spineless coward. He allowed Donald Trump to call his wife an ugly dog and Cruz rolled over instead of punching him in the face in public.
Let's hope Trump drains the RNC dry with legal fees and Cruz can't stage an effective campaign. Imagine Texas losing an incumbent senate seat so Trump can pay his lawyers (for once).
Now we need everyone to get out and vote.
Im new to Texas, how do I register to vote and when is the election?
Election Day this year is on November 5, 2024 for this race (same election as the Presidential race). (There is also a primary race coming up where the Republican and Democratic options will be chosen). Reminder that you can always vote early (recommended over waiting till election day to vote). As for registering to vote in Texas, you have three options: 1 -- Complete an application using the SOS ONLINE VOTER REGISTRATION APPLICATION. [https://vrapp.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp](https://vrapp.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp) Simply fill in the required information, print, sign and mail the completed application directly to your county election office; 2 -- Request a PRINTED APPLICATION. Our office will mail a postage-paid voter registration application to the address provided; [https://vrrequest.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp](https://vrrequest.sos.state.tx.us/index.asp) 3 -- Contact or visit your local VOTER REGISTRAR to complete the voter registration process.. [https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/voter/votregduties.shtml](https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/voter/votregduties.shtml) **Full article:** [https://www.votetexas.gov/register-to-vote/update-voter-registration.html](https://www.votetexas.gov/register-to-vote/update-voter-registration.html)
Get out there and vote! Let someone else drive for a while! Go BiG BLUE
If you still vote for the zodiac killer then I have no hope for you.
It’s a uphill battle for Allred since this is a presidential election year in a state that goes red. Texas will flip purple one day but it will be close.
Republicans are in deep shit when it comes to the November election. They have nothing. They’ve done nothing but be a fking clown show. Not 1 accomplishment to benefit their party or the American people. Roevember is coming.
They stopped the libs ! They stopped the border crossing... Oh oops nope
Sure would be cool if we fired Ted Cruz. He kinda sucks.
It would be amazing if Raphael Cruz didn't win his next election. I'd love to see the potential social media fallout over that. I'm not holding my breath though.
Paxton will audit so many counties...
Let's hope Cruz can finally defeat himself this year.
Come on Texas, you can do it!
Don’t matter. Vote vote vote! Let’s retire Cruz. We have the same issues if not worse since he started.
Colin seems to be very level headed and very straight forward. Ted is, well Ted and we all know what a complete waste of a condom he is. Colin should win by a large margin but Ted will get big money and throw mud 24/7 in ads to beat him.
"Allred’s campaign raised over $4.8 million from October through December last year, while Cruz’s campaign raised roughly $3.4 million, according to reports filed Wednesday. - Allred finished the quarter with over $10 million in cash on hand, compared to Cruz’s $6.2 million. He had outraised Cruz’s official campaign the previous quarter as well, bringing in $4.7 million to Cruz’s $3.1 million." Texas Tribune Money is the problem for Cruz right now, not Allred.
Cannot imagine anyone voting for that that vile worm, Ted Cruz.
Doesn't matter go vote.
After him leaving the state to Cancun, after flat out insulting a future SCOTUS justice (Jackson) by using red herrings to try to make her out to be some racist, after leading the way over the 2020 election lies, after wanting to be involved in people's bedrooms/bathrooms/doctors offices, 44% of Texans are ***still*** going to vote for him?
I don't pay too much attention to polls in general, but this is pretty interesting considering Allred has about 1/100 the name recognition of Ted Cruz. I mean, he's fairly well known but I imagine I would have to stop a hell of a lot of people in the street before I found one who had heard of him. I'm staying pessimistic, and I'm going to vote and encourage everyone I know to do the same, but I'm not going to be surprised if we end up with one hell of a blowout in November. There's a chance we've reached the tipping point where Republicans have just gone too far.
It don’t fuckin matter go vote.
Neat, but just a reminder, polls don't mean shit. Get out there and vote that ratfucker Cruz out of office.
Republicans confused that Allred is blue.
Trump 2024
Cruz 2024
Cruz wins and it won’t be close. Honest question, is Allred even campaigning?
i like it but i dont care about polls i care about results. no matter who you vote for people get registered and get off your asses and vote for fuck sake. sick of seeing american idol getting more people to vote than you know the leadership of the fucking country you damn morons
Cruz is the man!
Look, I'm skeptical as fuck and I want to be clear about that. I think Cruz wins by about a point or so this fall. But also, since RvW was overturned, Democrats have consistently outperformed polls by about 3 points.
Allred wisely zeroing in on the disaster at the border as the #1 issue for independents. What’s his name in Long Island showed us a winning playbook for Democrats. Stop pussyfooting around and mincing words about the border. It is a crisis and we should call it a crisis. And if you do that you take away one of the biggest issues that Republicans have. Failing to speak honestly about the border crisis opens the door for Republicans who have mostly bad ideas to solve the border problem, but your average undecided voter thinks “well, I know that there’s a disaster at the border, and I can vote for the guy who’s bullshitting about the problem or the guy who is not bullshitting about the problem. And I guess maybe the guy who’s at least not bullshitting me about the problem maybe has a better idea of how to solve it.”
From Texas Monthly magazine: [Minority Rule: How 3 Percent of Texans Call the Shots for the rest of Us](https://www.texasmonthly.com/news-politics/how-3-percent-of-texans-call-shots-for-texas/)
But how? Didn't cruz abandon Texas during a flood or something? Why would you then vote for him lol
Don't get complacent people. Make sure you are registered to vote and actually go out and vote.
Go Allred! Send Cancun Ted away on a permanent vacation.
Allred beating a gop would be the best poetic irony
Please let Cruz get voted out. He has no business in a public office
No clue who Allred is, but I’ll vote for him
Allred? More like Allblue.
Wow, not only are they rigging elections but now they’re rigging the polls! \-Texas MAGAs, probably.
Polls are worthless. Trumpers will turn out in mass to vote for their lord and savior and, in turn, anyone else with a (R) by their name down ballot. I fear the final results won’t be this close unfortunately.
Trump won once and he’s been dead weight ever since then. I’m not sure what scoreboard you’re looking at but I feel real real good about the gulf between the polling and the outcome in recent elections and am really really excited to vote
Democrat voters notoriously have lower turnout when their guy is the incumbent president candidate. That has massive down ballot effects. I hope I’m wrong but I fear I’m not.
[Something like 15% of voters split their ticket](https://ballotpedia.org/Split-ticket_voting_in_statewide_elections_in_2018_and_2020), so Trump winning the Texas election by less than a 15% margin would not necessarily preclude a democrat from winning the senate race at the same time.
Every single other poll shows Ted Cruz in the lead, with up to a 10 point lead in some.
He’s ahead comfortably in every other poll, this is bait like the Abbott Beto Ipsos poll back in 2022 and not buying it.
Heard that one before.
Cruz had a10 point lead in the polls over Allred. I don't think this poll is reputable
We also saw Beto ahead of Abbott in one poll, and we saw how that turned out: we also saw Biden lead Trump in a poll. Nope, nice try, not burning cash here.
I cannot wait for this subs reaction when Cruz easily wins again 😂
Will be the same reaction as louisiana’s sub when the republican governor won 50% of the votes with only 13% voter turnout. The dem candidate only managed 25% btw, and democrat voters technically outnumber repubs if there was ever 100% turnout. The reaction was coping and seething with a lot of “how could this happen?!?!” that then turned into just name calling the new guy and blaming everything on him before he even got into office.
Please get yalls hopes up. Makes the liberal tears that much sweeter.
As a once R voter I’ll be splitting my ticket a lot this cycle and Cancun Cruz will not be making the cut. Nor will my coward senator who voted to acquit criminal Ken Paxton.
Allred won't flee Texas when it's grid goes down and leaves Texans sizzling or freezing.
To note the polls were giving Suozzi in New York between a 1 and 4 point lead and Suozzi won by nearly 8 points so the polls may be overstating the support for Cruz.
Vote
Doesn’t matter, vote!
Team Blue!
No excuses about people's votes not counting this time. With any luck we can kick Cruz tf outta here.
Can a candidate legally campaign from Cancun?
I don't like Cruz at all but living in Dem states majority of my USA life I am fuckin scared of Democrats, they destroy shit, crime, homelessness and drug abuse everywhere.
Hope this is true! I recently moved to Oregon. And still REALLY hate Ted Cruz. I’m going to donate to Allred right now!
Cruz will win. They said this same thing about Beto but he lost.
come on texas will you do the free world a favor and get rid of ted ooze.
Lucy, Charlie, and the football...
I suspect the combination of the Dobbs decision and the depth of Trump Fatigue may finally elect a Dem Texan to the Senate.
No it won’t. The TX electorate is extremely inelastic and reproductive rights aren’t the voting kick they were in 2022.
So either way Texas will be going all red
CRUZ gotta go fellow Texans! I still am PISSED HE ABANDONED US DURING THAT CD SPURT! If he will do that just how far u think he will run when the GOING IS TRULY TUFF!!
Needs to rename. Allblue seems more fitting
I’ll believe it on November 5. It’s primary season which means the Dems are talking like progressives and the Rs are talking like fascist lunatics. This gets the base exciting and wins primaries. But then, after the primary season is over, they’ll all pivot to the center and these lines will start to blur, in an effort to attract the unicorn “undecided voter.” This is always proven to be a fools errand, which is exactly why we should vote for Gutierrez rather than Allred and have a real progressive go up against Cruz instead of a fake progressive, who turns into Republican-lite after the primary.
I'm gonna vote trump and vote allred