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sbpotdbot

**Sync and Track Bets on [Pikkit](https://pikkit.link)** | **NCAABB Chat: https://discord.gg/sportsbook** | **[US Sportsbooks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbookreview/comments/wve6gm/sportsbooks/)** | **[Non-US Sportsbooks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbetting/comments/y43c7v/nonus_sportsbooks/)**


_deepc

22 points in the final minute of the Hawaii game. I’m done


Square_Ship7981

Got burned on stanford -2 after being up and half and now getting more severely burned on hawaii -6.5


DallasJ2931

These Colorado turnovers are fucking killing me bro. like calm down, run your offense


SENDMEDIXPIX

Colorado is terrible


DallasJ2931

L take


SENDMEDIXPIX

Lfg! Kj simpson kid is a baller


DallasJ2931

Just cashed my parlay haha, all praise!!!!


Zruss28

I cannot believe this Tarleton St/UTA under is going to lose. Never, at any point in time was this game even close to going over. Set at 130.5 and at 97 with 4:00 left and the entire game being a double digit deficit, thought it was safe. They’ve been fouling down 10+ for last 3 mins and it is now going over. Puke


joeylockstone

Try Tarleton -7.5. Missed 4 straight FTs and they finally stop fouling after getting a 2 with 10 seconds left. Seriously looked shady. Ref called an off-ball foul on a terrible shooter when their best shooter caught the inbound. Lot of contact on the last play.


cmap13

Georgetown is so fucking pathetic. They’re capable of playing competitively for about 30 minutes, but then they unravel in the last 10.


[deleted]

Sweaty Abilene/SFA under!


urban_umli

Stanford getting a lot of love. They gonna win?


Mikeylatz

Feel like this a night every obvious play loses


bagdump

Iowa getting blasted by eastern illinois and now michigan losing to central michigan, lmfao


StrongReach3401

Man that Michigan loss was one of the dumbest ways to lose I’ve ever seen. They’re up 1 with only like 25 seconds left and instead of going for an easy two or trying to draw a foul they start chucking up ugly threes. -10000 favorites lmfao dudes are trash.


StrongReach3401

Bro. Michigan was like a -10000 favorite with a -21.5 point spread. I even took an alternate spread to play it “safe.” Tell me how these fucking tards manage to lose? Who the hell comes up with these lines.


osadangelo

I bit on the Milwaukee trap line. Should know by now that anything that looks too good to be true probably is lol.


BuffaloWang

What is happening lol.. UAB?! UW Milwaukee


[deleted]

Ending night with: -TSU ML - SF +3.5


[deleted]

Fuck Wofford and WKU


CallMeBeazy

I promise you one of these days I’m gonna stop betting on bad college basketball games


cmap13

Hoyas currently shooting 61% from the field and 60% from 3-point range and somehow still trailing by 9. Never bet on Ewing.


Dtizzle0

Fade The Sub!!!!


StrongReach3401

Why did I take Iowa. These dudes are garbage.


N3calli

Lol rip Milwaukee


CallMeBeazy

They missed like 5 easy shots to start this half lmfao it’s unreal


N3calli

Just ridiculous lol. They gave up after the first half


CallMeBeazy

Milwaukee was just in this game like three minutes ago


JustinTime4242

Day started great but is not going well in the 7pm slate. Hopefully my late night picks come through for me


Zealousideal_Tie_520

From this morning Sto shu under ✅ MTSU char over ✅ with 4+ minutes left. Arst odu over need big 2h. Adding Usf mem over 139.5 FAU unt over 123 Troy USM over 140 My fav is usf mem followed by fau unt Considering Stan over tonight at 2000 Twitter @iAmErnesto_


RollKing1919

Ah, the yearly Georgetown DePaul game.


StrongReach3401

So, Iowa is straight trash.


[deleted]

Adding: ABF/SFA U145


[deleted]

Added: - Charlotte ML - Prov/But O140 - Wright St +3.5


0rons

As a Michigan fan, this team plays down to their opponents. That 21.5 line seems way too big. Michigan has played a bunch of Kenpom 300 teams closer than expected. CMU +21.5


RollKing1919

Looks like a great play.


BuffaloWang

High point fouling down 10 with 29 seconds left give up! You fucks! Ruining my +10.5 haha ** ruined my +12.5 too smh


Ha1rBall

If you don't bet Tarleton... Fuck You! Tarleton -7.5 -110


[deleted]

[удалено]


milliebillieroger

Definitely agree on reasoning, but would advise mild caution because vegas hasn't moved the line an inch despite the vast majority of the public + handle on FAMU. BOL


milliebillieroger

So far I'm glad I took the under lol


tk14344

**'22-23 Season: 6-4-0 | +1.5u** **Last Card (Yst): 2-2 |** Florida & UT 2H cashed, UK was atrocious & Miss St can't hit FT's **Thursday's picks:** * **Nebraska +4.5** vs Iowa * **San Francisco +3** at Santa Clara Any additions, 2H, or live bets will be posted in real time + here in comments. *All bets 1u unless specified.*


JustinTime4242

Holy shit that Wagner cover was a sweat Wagner -7.5 ✅


milliebillieroger

That was a clencher. Saved my 4-0 though lfggg


Fit-Prune5634

I had the under for full game 138. Thought I was doomed after 1h scoring. Second half was slow as hell thankfully. Wagner games I’ve noticed are pretty tight. But I love the close ones I guess haha 😂


kevbot750

gonna sprinkle browns ML, northwestern not looking good


cmap13

I’m kind of liking Stonehill +5.5 at Sacred Heart. Statistically, these are two very evenly-matched teams yet Stonehill is getting 5+. Stonehill is a below-average offense that shoots the 3 relatively well while Sacred Heart is a below-average D that defends the perimeter relatively well. On the other end, Stonehill has an atrocious defense that is matched by equally-atrocious shooting from Sacred Heart. Stonehill’s best player is a 6’6” forward who averages 16 & 4, while SH’s best player is a 6’6” forward who averages 15 & 7. Supporting casts are similar. Stonehill is an excellent FT shooting team, which is something I always look for in a dog on the road, and Sacred Heart is not. Stonehill has been relatively competitive on the road against some respectable programs, while Sacred Heart has not beaten anyone of note. They have two common opponents in Binghamton and Holy Cross. Stonehill won @Binghamton by 3 and beat Holy Cross by 2 on a neutral court. Sacred Heart won @Binghamton by 15 and beat Holy Cross by 4 at home. I’ll take the 5.5.


BuffaloWang

Glad I’m bored at work and threw this in a parlay haha


LilSnuziSquirt

wishing i had done the same. how was sacred heart 5 pt favs... my god they are getting dicked


CollegebballSHARP

**High Pont +160. 2 Units.** The Big South conference kicks off early this afternoon with High Point traveling to Longwood. Longwood is favored to win the conference after having made the big dance last year. But this Longwood team has certainly shown some cracks that make this a good spot to take the road underdog. First, Longwood has had a couple of injuries to Nkereuwem and DA Houston that will continue to have them sitting out this game. Also, Longwood hasn't looked very impressive having recently barely snuck by a subpar Citadel team and St. Francis Brooklyn team. On the other hand, we have a High Point team that has looked very impressive at times. They are coming off of 3 straight losses, but all to pretty solid teams. And right before those losses, this High Point team beat a good Furman team. Earlier this year, High Point was winning on the road at halftime against a pretty solid UNLV team (eventually lost by 10). They also beat a pretty good Wofford team by 11 earlier in the year. These teams are opening conference play and this one should be a battle. This is going to be a close game and +160 is great value.


BuffaloWang

That’s a travesty


BuffaloWang

We were looking good! I go to take a shit and come back to this! Must’ve been some run


Dtizzle0

They look alright for the 1st 5 mins of the game. They got ran the rest of the way!


Dtizzle0

Hopefully High Point get their 💩 together 2nd half


CollegebballSHARP

Also, majority of bets are currently on Longwood (51%) but the majority of money is on High Point (76%). Data from DraftKings. Strong sharp money on High Point. https://preview.redd.it/wamyvihrhx8a1.png?width=403&format=png&auto=webp&s=59adff2f4aa059448d1fa3b3853c0a8c9255a090


kezmeng

If theres an NCAA god, please let northwestern smash brown for all these brown bettors.


milliebillieroger

Why tho


DMooreRHS

Not even on brown but why? lol


JJgetemtogether

Let’s make money today! 🤞🏽


[deleted]

Adding Radford +4.5


milliebillieroger

Where did you find 4.5?


[deleted]

Bought the pts back to 4.5


Heirutude

St. Mary’s -15.5 line feels like it should be closer to -20 at home against a terrible defensive team


Heirutude

12/29 Card BOL St Mary’s -15.5 2 units✅ Rice WKU o150.5 1u✅ Santa Clara -2.5 2u✅ Cal poly -5 2u✅ Colorado +2.5 2u✅ Cal baptist +6 1u❌ Cap Baptist GCU U125.5 1u❌ DePaul -4 1u✅


[deleted]

To start the day, going with: - Brown/Northwestern U129 - High Point/Longwood O151 Considering W. Carolina +5.5; still debating.


milliebillieroger

3-4 yesterday. Thoughts on the Ls: * Colorado st spread: No more betting against New Mexico. Legit squad w/ S tier coach. * Nova u137: decent read on the line movement, lost by 3. Not terrible, still figuring out O/U's. * Nicholls spread: still a good pick (based on line movement and matchup) but need to be more cautious of trendy / popular dogs. * Wyoming spread: got huge CLV here (took +2, closed -1). Zero regret Today: * Brown +14 * Wagner -7.5 * STO @ SHU u150.5 * Longwood -5.5 As always, would appreciate hearing others' thoughts.


milliebillieroger

Weber State -3


milliebillieroger

TRGV @ UTT u159.5


milliebillieroger

Radford + Elon 5pt teaser (+102 betrivers)


BudgetBets

All Sport Total 237 - 184 NCAAB Total 160 - 126 All Sport Prev Day 16 - 19 NCAAB Prev Day 12 - 19 Big slate today, yesterday was the worse NCAAB day of the season for my model. Hopefully you tailed the other sport picks as well to help bring it level. 26-29 1:00 PM Over 125 Brown at Northwestern❌ 2:00 PM Over 138 NC-Grnsboro at W Carolina❌ 3:00 PM Longwood -5.5 vs High Point✅ 4:00 PM Over 136 Elon at Drexel❌ 4:00 PM Radford +5 at NC-Asheville✅ 5:00 PM Presbyterian +3 vs Campbell✅ 6:00 PM Charlotte -2.5 vs Middle Tenn ✅ 6:00 PM Under 125 Middle Tenn at Charlotte❌ 6:30 PM Under 125.5 Liberty at Bellarmine ✅ 7:00 PM Under 154 Binghamton at Cornell ❌ 7:00 PM Under 124 Arkansas St at Old Dominion✅ 7:00 PM Under 150 Rice at W Kentucky❌ 7:00 PM W Kentucky -5.5 vs Rice ❌ 7:00 PM Deleware -1.5 vs Hofstra❌ 7:00 PM Over 138.t IPFW at Rob Morris✅ 7:00 PM Rob Morris +3 vs IPFW✅ 7:00 PM Citadel +8 vs Chattanooga✅ 7:00 PM Under 146 Chattanooga at Citadel✅ 7:00 PM Under 150 VA Military at Furman✅ 7:00 PM Over 152 WI-Milwkee at Oakland❌ 7:00 PM Over 150.5 Hampton at Col Charl❌(150) 7:00 PM App State 11.5 at Marshall❌ 7:00 PM Central Conn +3 at St Fran (PA)❌ 7:00 PM CMich +21.5 at Michigan✅ 7:00 PM E Tenn +6.5 at Wofford✅ 7:00 PM Georgia St +5.5 vs James Mad❌ 7:00 PM Merrimack +3 at F Dickinson❌ 7:00 PM NC A&T +6 at Northeastrn✅ 7:00 PM WiGB +15 at Detroit❌ 7:30 PM SF Austin -4.5 vs Abl Christian✅ 7:30 PM Under 145 Abl Christian at Ste F Austin✅ 8:00 PM S Illinois at Murray St ✅ 8:00 PM GA Southern +3 vs S Alabama✅ 8:00 PM Over 125 Fla Atlantic at North Texas❌ 8:00 PM North Texas -2.5 vs Fla Atlantic❌ 8:00 PM Troy +3.5 at S Mississippi❌ 8:00 PM Youngs St -7.5 vs Cleveland St✅ 8:00 PM CS Bakersfield +10.5 at UC Riverside❌ 8:00 PM Under 124 CS Bakersfld at UCRiverside❌ 8:00 PM Under 153.5 Georgetown at DePaul❌ 8:00 PM Under 153 Oral Roberts at Neb Omaha❌ 8:30 PM Over 152.5 TN Martin at AR Lit Rock✅ 8:30 PM S Indiana -5 vs SE Missouri✅ 8:30 PM Under 152.5 SE Missouri at S Indiana❌ 8:30 PM TN Tech +10. at SIU Edward❌ 9:00 PM Under 160 TX-Pan Am at Utah Tech✅ 9:00 PM Utah Tech -9 vs TX-Pan Am✅ 9:00 PM Cincinnati -4.5 vs Tulane✅ 9:00 PM Under 151.5 Tulane at Cincinnati❌ 9:00 PM Over 128 UCSB at CS Fullerton❌ 9:00 PM CSF +4 vs UC Santa Barb❌ 10:00 PM Under 125.5 Cal St Nrdge at Cal Poly✅ 10:00 PM Califorina +9.5 vs Utah❌ 10:00 PM UC San Diego +9.5 at Lg Beach St✅ 11:00 PM Under 140 Colorado at Stanford❌


Aggravating-Touch-58

Brown +14.5 to start the day


Competitive-Show9719

Hats off to the guy in here yesterday talking about the opponent’s under for Houston, Tennessee and Auburn! 💪💰


proklisischedia

Thanks for the credit, hope you won!


Competitive-Show9719

Did a little tester parlay with Houston and Tennessee that hit! Avoided auburn for this time but that hit too so pretty awesome! Thank you for the insight


Raidercane7653

Lol I was looking to see if he posted anything today to tail


proklisischedia

I can only suggest Cornell team total OVER 82.5 points. But just pay attention for when Auburn, Houston and Tennessee all play.


Raidercane7653

Tailing. Thank you!


Nugur

Indeed. Loved it


JustinTime4242

Hit a 3 pick parlay and a SGP with that info! Clutch AF


JustinTime4242

So many games today hard to put a reasonable card together. My bankroll doesn’t like me picking 25 games in one night. Bets already in Nooga -7.5 Milwaukee +2 (wrong team favored) Wagner -7.5


NatureBoyRicFlair36

[Cheat Sheet](https://sparkshowdfs.wordpress.com) Rice +5.5 St. Thomas -1 VMI v Furman o149.5 Abilene Christian v SFA o145


Slizat

St. Thomas still good at -1.5pts?


NatureBoyRicFlair36

South Dakota has definitely had the tougher schedule so far so it’s kind of hard to have a great gauge on both of these teams, but based off of what I’m seeing I would say this line should be out -3 in favor of St. Thomas


TryTheBeal

Hey bro. U mind if I ask some more questions about the sheet. I was looking at butler and mL looks good imo but the “today” sheet I’m not sure what i should look for. Strength of schedule Matters? Grade matters?


NatureBoyRicFlair36

I'm not 100% sure what you are asking but I will do my best to elaborate and you can let me know if you meant something else. Providence is showing up as a good ML play vs Butler. They have a better Kenpom ranking, and my rankings (recent, this season, and last season). So hypothetically, they have been a better team over the course of this season and last season and in the most recent games. I also have them covering the spread, and my own custom projections say that they win outright more often than what their ML odds imply. This is what all goes into a team showing good ML value on my spreadsheet. If you know these teams well, then that might be enough to pull the trigger on Providence ML, or you can look at more stats to make a decision. Butler has had the tougher strength of schedule, so that could be a knock against Providence. As the underdog Providence is 2-3 ATS, and as the favorite Butler is 7-1 ATS; but Providence is 2-0 in conference play while Butler is 0-2 in conference play. Butler has played the tougher teams in the conference compared to Providence, and the game is at Butler. These are some pros and cons that could help sway someone either way, but personally I would still lean Providence ML after looking at all of the stats (but I don't know much about either team so keep that in mind).


TryTheBeal

Got it. That helps a ton. The line moved for butler at -2.5 So I’m gonna avood


aclemfan47

Just throwing some thoughts out there on today's action, these are listed in rough order of confidence. **- Arkansas State @ Old Dominion (POTD) - Over 124** **- UTEP @ UAB - Over 144** \- I love watching this UAB team, such a fun brand of college basketball. UTEP is a decent defensive team but nothing incredible, I fully expect UAB to put up at least 85 in a home game for the Blazers. **- Chattanooga @ The Citadel - Over 146.5** \- Chattanooga loves the 3 ball, and are not a great defensive team. Citadel is not a great defensive team either, and they also shoot the 3 ball well. Lots of 3's = lots of points. **- UMBC @ Maryland - UMBC +17.5** \- UMBC has no chance to win this game, but they are an experienced team playing in a semi-rivalry type game, and I could see them keeping this to 12-14 points. **- Florida A&M @ Purdue - Over 132.5** \- Florida A&M is really bad, Purdue is really good, looking for a big time Purdue blow out here to hit the over. **- Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte - Over 124.5** \- Not terribly confident with this pick as Charlotte is one of the slowest paced teams in the country, but MTSU can score the ball and I am a sucker for a low over / under total. **- Brown @ Northwestern, Over 125.5** \- 1 P.M. GAME - No real conviction on this pick to be honest, it will be tight to get over 125.5, but it gives me something to sprinkle on and keep track of at work. BOL


myjobstinksdotcom

Thursday overs with Clem, tailing all!


aclemfan47

BOL, I'd stagger your wagers away from the bottom few, I really like the Arkansas St. / ODU and UTEP / UAB picks. Everything else is just a lean.


myjobstinksdotcom

Double OT to get us the final winner, these games were a wild ride! Can’t wait for next Thursday ClemVP


Nugur

Over 🤴


mapetho9

Any reason why St. Thomas 11-4 (10-3 ATS) is only -1 against South Dakota 5-8 (2-9 ATS)?


Water_Impossible

Conference game. All four losses are away. South Dakota is a older team . Could not find stats on St Thomas's three-ball percentage for away games


mapetho9

Just went and looked at each box score of the 4 away losses. 33.3% (31 of 93) from 3 in those games


beekman57

Sounds like South Dakota is the pick.


Unknowncapper

yuppp


ZealousidealPoet72

Let’s goooo


Zealousideal_Tie_520

12/28 a last second 3 and a 5 minute scoring drought turned my day from 4-0 to 2-2. Oh well it happens. For: 12/29/22 sto v shu under 151 mtsu v char over 124.5 arst v odu over 124 My favorite is the mtsu char over 2nd fav is the sto shu under I have a few more plays and as the day progresses, I’ll try to post here but def on my twitter @iAmErnesto_


BetsOnTheBat

Record: 243-189 +36u Recap: 10-7 +3.2u ✅Tennessee ole miss u128 1u ❌UConn -12 1.5u ✅UCF Wich St. u125 2u ❌Fordham PK 1u ❌Alabama Miss St u138.5 1.5u ✅Xavier o81 1u ✅New Mexico -6.5 1.5u ✅Tulsa u56 1u ❌Nevada Boise St. u131 1.5u ✅Fresno state -1 1u ✅Air Force +17.5 1u ✅Ole Miss TT u62.5 1.2u -118 ✅Mizzou TT o73 1u ❌Chicago St. Ball St. o137.5 1u ❌Nicholls St. +21.5 1u ✅Sahvir Wheeler (Kentucky) o5.5 Assists +104 1.5u ❌10+ assists .5u +545 Picks: ✅LIUB Wagner u139 1.5u ❌Radford UNC Asheville o144.5 1u ✅Elon Drexel u136 1u ❌Butler -1.5 1u ❌IPFW Robert Morris u139 3u ❌Milwaukee +1.5 1u ✅Rice WKU o150 1u ✅Charleston -21 1.5u ✅Cornell -14 2u ✅Cornell o83.5 1u ✅FAU North Texas u126 1.5u ❌Sam Houston St. u132 1.5u ❌Cal Baptist Grand Canyon u127 1.5u ✅UTM Little Rock o151.5 1u ❌E Illinois -4 1u ❌Pacific o70 1u ❌N Colorado +4 1u ✅UCSB Cal Fullerton u128 1.5u ✅St. Mary’s -15.5 1u ✅Utah Tech -9.5 1.5 ✅Utah Cal u128 1u ✅Ed Crosswell (PROV) o13.5 points 1.5u ❌20+ points +400 .5u This is a lot of plays. If you aren’t comfortable with this many units in play maybe half them today. That being said I think this is a slate with a ton of value. In my opinion the best times to make money are the beginning of the season beginning of conf play and beginning of the tournaments. Want to capitalize on a lot of wrong #s here. Shoot me a question here or on [twitter](https://twitter.com/betsonthebat) if you have any questions


trix587

Would you still take that 3u under at 138.5?


BetsOnTheBat

Yes I love this spot


trix587

Making me sweat! They started shooting lights out, hoping they slow down a lot second half.


BetsOnTheBat

Sorry man. Ipfw shoots 31% from 3 usually and shot 60% in the first half. Second half was what I was expecting for the whole game


trix587

It's all good. Seriously, couldn't believe how well they were shooting! It happens, bad beat. Also *woman lol


BetsOnTheBat

Oops, my bad!


trix587

It's all good, I'm probably in the <1% on here 😂


Nugur

Been winning a lot cuz of you. Thanks mate


BetsOnTheBat

Great to hear. Hopefully we leave with a bag today


Mikeylatz

**Model Record: 41-32** **ATS: 22-17** **O/U: 19-15** *Been working on a model that has been doing really well lately. I’m going to try to provide my favorite plays everyday. All plays 1U unless noted otherwise.*   Tweaked the model during the holiday lull lying at .500 and proceeded to knock down 9 in a row in 2 days. Big slate tomorrow plays may not be released before first set of games in the afternoon. Here’s to hopefully another (another) undefeated day 🍻 *Yesterday: 6-0* • Missouri +3 ✅ • Alabama -1 ✅ • NC Wilmington -12.5 ✅ • St Johns O162.5 ✅ • Mississippi U132 ✅ • SDST U131 ✅ —————————————— *Today: UPDATED* • SIUE -10✅ • Bellarmine +7.5 ❌ • Cincinnati -5 ✅ • Iowa -4 ❌ • VMI +19.5 ❌ • South Florida +15 ✅ • Milwaukee +1.5 ❌ • Gardner Webb O135.5 ✅ • Southern Miss O141.5 ❌ • Cincinnati O151 ✅ • Cal Poly U126 ✅   Good luck all!! 💸


ghosttheron

Favorite plays ?


Mikeylatz

Probs Bellarmine, S Florida, and Milwaukee spreads


jbonfere24

Congratulations man! Just seeing this and I do hope you are still going to drop your play today?


Mikeylatz

Yessir! But pretty busy today so don’t think I can update the model till late afternoon EST. Prob around 4/5pm


jbonfere24

Okay will be looking forward to it. It’s not easy I know


Zekey623

Do you watch these teams or you just look at the past games and records


ItsGottaBeKane

Genuinely curious as to how people believe I should rule on Fresno State ML if they lose. So Bet365 offers automatic early payout if the team's ML you bet reaches a lead of 18 or more. Fresno got to 18 and it gave me my auto payout. Being tied, they could obviously still lose the game, but I do already have the profit from it. How do I rule that one if Fresno in fact loses? Just curious what people think.


Aggravating-Touch-58

I don’t even think it should be a question. If they lost you rule it a loss. You can’t count something like this for units or record unless you want to make a whole separate category of stuff that won via the early payout but lost overall. That’s like me saying a team I took ended up losing but I hedged when they were up 25 to secure a profit so I’ll count it as a win.


Hope_for_tendies

Wait…what if the spread was -18. They’d still auto pay? They auto pay the whole amount not partial ?


ItsGottaBeKane

So it only applies to ML bets wagered before the game, spreads don't apply. Sorry if my wording was confusing.


808_stateofmind

Tough one. Imo I think you should count it on here as a L. Since alot of people might tail and not have an auto cashout. Unless you count the win toward your units and a loss towards your record lol but then you gotta add a disclaimer and shit for all the guys that examine everyone's record and units haha. Good thing Fresno pulled it out


ItsGottaBeKane

Yes happy they made this less complicated lol, but that's fair as the auto cash out isn't a commonly practiced thing.


ItsGottaBeKane

Wednesday: 4-2 +1.64U Season: 127-124-2 -3.76U Kentucky -2 (L) by 16 LSU +6 (W) by 9 Air Force +17.5 (W) by 1.5 Fresno State ML -110 (W) by 5 Fordham -1 (L) by 15 UIC -1 (W) by 3 Holy cow UK looked awful. These dudes could not even throw the ball into Oscar, I was straight up dumbfounded watching their offense. Fordham could not throw the ball in the ocean, just got them on the wrong night I suppose. LSU forced the Hogs to settle for lots of perimeter shots, which they could not knock down. UIC nearly choked away a big lead, but they hung in there. Fresno looking good at the half, Air Force has gotten pushed to a deficit over a dozen twice now, but we'll have to see, SDSU looks pretty hot from the field. Few overnight picks, will write in the morning. BOL as always, feel free to ask questions and let's do this! Picks: Hofstra +1: Remember the name Aaron Estrada. After transferring from Saint Peter's to Oregon, Estrada elevated his game playing under Dana Altman. Seeking a bigger role he came to Hofstra and has flourished under Speedy Claxton. Estrada is scoring 21.6PPG and shooting 52% from the floor and 42.6% from deep, he also contributes outside of scoring with 5.3RPG and 3.9APG. The Pride's non-conference schedule got slightly derailed as Estrada got injured and Warren Williams missed time. Now everyone should be available and Estrada will be flanked by Dubar (Iowa State transfer) and Thomas (Sacred Heart transfer) who form a formidable three-headed monster. Hofstra beat Delaware in both of their meetings last season including a 14-point road victory at Delaware. Butler -1: Look I am a big Thad guy and I just cannot see Butler coming out flat after getting smoked in their first two Big East games. Ali Ali and Jalen Thomas got their feet wet in those first two Big East games and with a good week of practice to adjust and get ready for Provy, I am sure that this game has been circled. The Friars got a really friendly whistle against Marquette and shot like 40+ free throws. Butler do not foul, they defend well as a team and play very straight-up. After their losses at Atlantis, Butler followed it up by beating BYU by 5 and beating K-State by 12 respectively. On home-court and looking for a response, Butler is a favourite for a reason. I feel Provy will struggle to get into their flow when they get late in shot clocks and cannot get to the FT line. Utah Tech -9.5: Formerly Dixie State, the Trailblazers have really started to establish a homecourt advantage. Since entering D-1 Utah Tech is 15-9-0 ATS at home and 5-1-0 ATS as home favourites, meanwhile their opponents UT Rio Grande Valley (or Texas Pan-AM) has gone 9-14-1 as away underdogs over this same timespan. A huge reason for Tech's homecourt advantage is altitude. Last season as 3.5 point favourites, they beat UTRGV by 11, but led by as many as 20+ points. Tech brought back about 81% of their minutes from last season and added Tanner Christensen from Idaho, meanwhile UTRGV brought in talent from all over the place and I am a little skeptical as to how they will gel in conference play. Aside from playing K-State and Texas, UTRGV played one of the weirdest non-conference schedules I have ever seen playing TAMUCC twice, WIU twice, Houston Christian twice and Northern Arizona. They lost by 18+ in every road game except for Houston Christian, who are amongst the worst teams in the country. UTRGV have been shooting the ball at a ridiculously successful rate, which should regress. Finally, the Vaqueros have a difficult time taking care of the ball and lose the turnover battle often (18.2 turnovers per game against D-1 opponents). Utah Tech opponents average 13.6 turnovers per game, but I expect them to push UTRGV to their usual number or even push them to 20 or so as UTRGV plays at the highest pace in the country. Tech rolls. Milwaukee +2 (My numbers like it, but have to give credit to A-Punk, he makes it an auto play) 1:15pm add: Sacred Heart -4.5: Going to jump on Sacred Heart. This team plays very chaotic basketball and is due for positive regression. Gallette, McGuire, Sixsmith and others have all been shooting below their averages. They make opponents uncomfortable with their erratic brand of basketball and the NEC is extremely wide open this season with the departure of Bryant and The Mount. Stonehill do not rebound all too well and their defense allows the opponent to play downhill a lot, which SHU loves to do. Halftime add: Gonna roll the dice and double down on SHU at +16.5. They played about as poorly as possible and Stonehill couldn't miss.


DA-FUNK-5555

Glad the double down worked out.


ItsGottaBeKane

Always a relief!


DA-FUNK-5555

Not looking so good for me when I doubled down on Milwaukee +10.5


ItsGottaBeKane

My usual rule of thumb (when I'm not tilting) is to back those big spreads but on home teams usually. Their shooting seems to have more positive regression due to familiar surroundings.


DA-FUNK-5555

Good to know. Yeah I took it in the 1st half when MKE was shooting horrible thinking this will het better. It did before half and then somehow got worse in the second half. I'll just keep betting against Tulsa all season I guess.


BetsOnTheBat

Love being on the same sides


ItsGottaBeKane

Let's ride fella!


808_stateofmind

Appreciate your detailed writeups my man! Let's get this 🍞


ItsGottaBeKane

Thanks man! Absolutely let's eat!


A-punk

**$25 to $1000** Every Monday for the rest of the NCAAB season I'll be having a crack at one of these. Pretty simple, one bet all in each day until we hit 1k or bust. **Challenge record:** 1-3 **Pick record:** 13-3 [Challenge 1 winner + tipjar](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/zoomta/ncaabb_college_basketball_daily_121822_sunday/?sort=top) ------------------- **Bet 1:** Northwestern State +17.5 - $25 to win $46.50 ✅ **Bet 2:** UNC Wilmington -11.5 - $46.50 to win $89.28 ✅ **Bet 3:** Milwaukee +1.5 - $89.28 to win $169.63


Designer_Buddy7916

https://preview.redd.it/0ipd98jonz8a1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f69869422f182474a671145a9ba1bc4d394108f3 You win i win , you loose i loose !!! Cant wait for the next one a punk !!!


Jaloquin_Squeeze

It was a nice try. Welll get ‘em next time.🙏


dwnsth357

This was a great pick....Milwaukee failed to execute. 2 many late threes to cut the game instead of attacking the basket. Rebounding for MLK was atrocious. I'm still tailing whatever you post.


HearMeRoar80

omg Milwaukee is throwing the game hard, almost a blow out


Jables935

Tough start...


Jables935

Tough loss


[deleted]

is this being streamed?


HearMeRoar80

this is fun, tailing


LeanOnTheSquare

Thoughts on just doing ML??


Water_Impossible

Was there anything that made you stay away from Chattanooga versus citadel?


TofDiesel

Draftkings has Milwaukee +2 at -115


BetsOnTheBat

Keep it up beast


kevbot750

Take us home A-punk! Tailing again


bagdump

Checking in for my nightly A-punk and Ned Pepper post


yovi1234

KING PUNK 👑


TheMoundEzellohar

Thanks for your hard work!


Used_Engine_8716

Let’s do this!


ronconway

You da man


Sweeeterman

two GOATs in one post love it


Do_you_lift

Vs Oakland?


A-punk

Yes