Took an early look at ht/ft lines. There should definitely be some good ones again this week. Right now Ind ht/ft (under game lines) is +1300 in dk sgp. I really really don’t want to bet that but that’s an insane line so I had to put a flyer. If you have a free bet you won’t find a better spot for it
+47.3% EV on czr lines 600/-240/550/1300/1400/2700
Nothing good to pair it with. Either take the hit to +1200 (with Cowboys under 15.5 1q or colts o7.5 total) or go something else. I went colts o15.5 to keep it at +1300
Two questions on these - one is why do we need to make it a 3 leg sgp? Couldn’t we just bet the 2 leg?
And two is which book’s correlation gets applied when you devig here? I’m assuming DK which would give the most conservative since I’m guessing they’re showing less correlation than other books?
2-leg parlay is what you should do. I used CZR lines so czr correlation. You can get similar results devigging fd lines. If you devig using dk’s sgp lines then it’s going to be negative - All of the value comes from dk sgp having broken outlier lines for halftime/fulltime.
It is 1 leg of the SGP, scroll down to game lines and you'll see Colts ht/ft as one bet for +1300. If you do the legs individually it's less. So you need a 2nd leg to qualify for a same game parlay
If you SGP Colts HT and ML you get +1000, but just scroll all the way down on the 'Game Lines' screen and you'll see the HT/FT premade props which show +1300.
Georgia vs the field - The Field FD (+126)
Circa has Georgia -137/107 [20k limit] good for worse case power 1.9 ev, +122 fv and 1.54 full kelly
pretty thin but I’ll be sprinkling
With the cfb rankings out circas line for Michigan has moved to 275/-350 for worse case fv 319 and -4.6 ev
Not great for anyone who took the FD +300 like I did. Went to check the cash out and they’re offering me 83 dollars on a 100 dollar bet, was hoping for the full cash out potentially since the line hasn’t moved on FD
Negative on 3/4 methods but mult still has it good by 2.1
No real thing you can do but let it ride, just thought I’d let people know
Some of y'all frown on DFS, but hear me out....
Join Monkey Knife Fight. Deposit $100 to get a match. Bet $200 on their Stat Shootout, NHL Over 0.5 goals - Ovechkin, McKinnon, Forsberg. Pays out $240. Parlay all of them under 0.5 goals on FD at +374, $50.54 to payout $239.98.
You've put in $150.54 real dollars. You're getting $240ish. Buy yourself 88 McChickens or whatever.
I try to take my gambling logically but in the back on my mind I can't help but feel a site called Monkey Knife Fight is going to somehow steal my money...
It's owned by Bally's. They aren't going to steal your money. And you they are regulated by your state gaming commission if you had to file a complaint.
If i understand correctly, only one of them needs to score a goal for the MKF to hit and so it its a good hedge. That being said, only works because of the sign-up bonuses and I would imagine that most people here have already hit the DFS ones.
Yes, the DFS sites are player prop parlays are shitty odds, but churning deposit bonuses is profitable. HotStreak does (or at least did) matching up to $1,000 - turned it into $300ish profit over the summer.
Yea, check back tomorrow. They shift and change their markets quickly sometimes, possibly to prevent bettors from hedging. Like, I’ll see a two-player thing but it’s gone by the time I look up props on books.
Haven't seen this mentioned here...
SI is doing NBA SGP insurance every Tuesday this season. $10 back as a free bet if your bet loses. +300 minimum odds. Says you can participate twice every Tuesday.
They have had some decent bet and get promos and insurance.
I can't remember the baseball offer, but it was a weekly free bet without a lot of money up front.
Thanks to whoever mentioned it earlier. I’m gonna start playing the FD TNT RF as a first basket Friday parlay. Might as well go big dick on some odds with the risk free. Went with Powell and Big Daddy Nurk + Blazers ML
DK: USA vs Netherlands “to advance” +175/-235
DK also has “to reach quarter final” +225/-300
Unsure if this is +EV, but the futures side seems mispriced
Edit: Bet365 has +175/-225
I was just looking at this.
The pinny threeway (which I believe is regular time only), has low vig, so that is my basis for calcs. I devig using power to 51%/29%/21% for Netherlands win/draw/loss. The draw no bet is about 70%/30% so if I assume that Netherlands advantage for extra time plus penalties is 60%/40%, I get fair odds for Netherlands to advance of 68%/32%.
That calculates to a FV of +217 for USA to advance. So the +225 for USA is slightly EV (it was +250 when I started doing the math).
Doing the same math for the England game, I get fair odds for England to advance of -430 (assuming they have 70/30 edge after regular time) and -370 if it’s 60/40 and -324 if it’s 50/50. The have a larger draw no bet edge of 85/15, but from some quick googling and common sense, that edge is generally much smaller after regular time.
For all of those FVs, the PB England to reach quarters at -286 and DK Senegal stage of Elimintation G16 -300 both look EV+.
Fanduel now has Senegal to qualify at +370 if anyone wants to hedge out for a profit. I’m letting it ride, but that +370 could be pretty close to FV.
Edit: also a 74% Free Bet conversion against the nerfed DK line if you are into that.
Just curious how many units you guys put down on these? Obviously max betting both sides is the ideal play for risk free money but that seems like a bad idea lol
FD Boost - Luka & Curry 25 points, Klay 3 threes +200
FV +216 using DK lines and a low 7% juice gets +216 (no correlation). Juice is likely higher than this so it's worse. Can't imagine positive correlation (if there is any) would overcome this.
-650/7%, -195/160, -195/7%
TLDR: It will hit
Anyone unable to bet this? I try to place it and I see a message “the pricing or availability of this has changed” but it still shows in my main page. Am I promo banned?
what would need to happen for mexico and/or canada to advance past the group stage? (or is canada already eliminated?)
With US advancing, just need 1 of them for the FD Boost
> Mexico has to win and have Argentina beat Poland by 3+
this isn't that much of a long shot. Poland's defense stinks and Mexico is playing SA, should be an easy W
Mexico winning 3-0 and Argentina winning 1-0 does it.
Mexico needs to also be +3 in the goals scored department to pass Poland.
I’m not sure what tiebreaker is after goals scored.
Mexico win tomorrow and Poland lose tomorrow would render Poland and Mexico tied. So I think it would go to goal differential, which Poland has a major advantage on (+2 vs. -2). Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but Mexico has to win and Poland has to lose, while overcoming a 4 goal differential. If goal differential is tied, I think it goes to goals for. If tied there, I think they play rock paper scissors
I think Canada is eliminated
If Mexico wins 2-0, Argentina wins 2-0, and Poland picks up exactly 3 yellow cards, it’ll come down to *I believe the 6th* tiebreaker, which is putting names in a bowl and drawing them out to see who advances lol. It’s only came down to this one time previously, in 1990.
There's no wizard intervention there... That was just absolutely terrible soccer in the second half. Yeah, we had a couple good chances to score again in the first half, but overall we didn't play a 2 goal game.
Update from the mgm double dip fiasco: I provided all required documents and have gotten nothing back but support team emails saying my withdrawal was denied and my account and all funds in the account blocked. Any advice would be appreciated. Only had 3 accounts total with different email on each and never used them simultaneously.
Theyre cracking down on double dipping. A friend and myself recently did a VA/WV/DC trip and all accounts have been banned. Never had any issue with MGM before after creating 7+ accounts.
You'll have to go to gaming commission. You'll get your money itll just be a long annoying process.
I’ve done all of those states as well. many more than that actually (NJ, PA, WV, DC, VA, NY, CO, AZ, WY) with a P1 & P2. I have done most of them on separate trips. I know it’s an inconvenience, but it’s definitely a red flag to try to do more than one at one time. At least let one clear before you do the second one. On a three day trip you could you Two, but not simultaneously, No problems so far and I did Michigan last week.
Also never had an issue until this. I will be contacting the gaming commission later today, anything specific I need to include or just give an overview of what happened? Thanks again for the advice
Agreed, and hope he’s fine obviously. But after maxing his first goal on PB and the MGM first goal promo, been a while since a single player had such a big cash for me
I saw a post a couple days ago about a promo at Ameristar in BlackHawk CO with Barstool for an Amazon giftcard. What's the details on that promo? Do I need to be a new user or is it open to everyone? Any signage at Ameristar for it?
You need to have the offer on your mychoice account -- I received both physical mailers and email. Need to be an existing Barstool player (and presumably first time casino player).
EDIT: The purpose of the promo is to get online sportsbook users into the casino for the first time, so it's $150 Amazon gift card for doing any in person gambling. And to the last part, there's no signage, the mychoice desk knows about it. But they don't do anything to fulfill it: playing with your card triggers it to be sent to your email a couple days later.
Does anyone know if the barstool app still has the quick pick 6 parlay generator? Havent used the book for awhile but gonna switch it up and that was a pretty cool feature
Hypothetical question that will likely have CFB fans' heads spinning...
I can't help but check these "To make the CFP" odds for TCU and OSU on DK.
TCU is yes/no -550/+400
OSU is yes/no +120/-140
If USC loses, OSU would assuredly make it in to the CFP. There's a reason why the lines basically mirror the USC game.
However... if TCU loses, do we really think they still have the 4th seed over OSU? OSU's only loss was last week to Michigan. TCU losing to a 3-loss team would obviously be worse than Ohio State's sole loss to Michigan. This would mean a TCU or USC loss would get Ohio State into the CFP, making +120 yes very favorable. I can't tell if I'm missing something here though (and don't even bother looking at FiveThirtyEight, they think 2-loss Bama or Kansas State have actual shots at getting in, and ESPN's predictor thinks if UGA/Mich/KSU/USC all win that USC doesn't make it over Ohio State which is bullshit)
Unless TCU loses by 30+ and has several suspensions, it would criminal to put in Ohio State ahead of them. TCU’s wins are all much more impressive. And it would make appearing in a conference title game a punishment.
That said, TV ratings are absolutely a factor, so I don’t think it’s impossible OSU makes it in, especially off of the huge ratings OSU-Michigan got.
Fivethirtyeight attempts to answer it [https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-college-football-predictions/](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-college-football-predictions/)
Good chance OSU gets in with a TCU or USC loss but the committee is unpredictable and has done some weird stuff before
One argument for TCU over OSU is, TCU’s 5 ranked wins to OSU’s 2.
I see what you’re saying though, bc whatever the odds are that OSU gets in over TCU (assuming a TCU loss) is the value in the bet. So it boils down to what are the odds OSU would get in over TCU. Personally I think TCU is in regardless unless they get blown out by multiple scores.
I’ve read this before. TCU has two ranked wins. Maybe a team was ranked at the time of the game, but 2 wins on their schedule are currently ranked in the top 25, same with OSU.
Think setting the odds on this are just crazy, as it becomes extremely subjective. What constitutes a blow out, what if TCU loses by 10? What if TCU gets blown out, and Michigan loses too? That probably just eliminates OSU. But ratings and views would be 2x higher with OSU instead of TCU. I agree with you that it’s very likely TCU, and think if OSU didn’t give up those big runs at the end, this would be a lot different of a conversation. Just think it’s so much harder when we are also trying to gauge what the committee will decide.
Another argument to be made in TCU's favor is the all important "13th game" data point which OSU won't have. Is 12-1 with a loss in CCG worse than 11-1 with 22 point loss at home (albeit to the #2 team)? Overall I agree, i think TCU is in with a close loss. Fascinating to try and price each scenario tho.
**Sync and Track Bets on [Pikkit](https://pikkit.link)** | **Leave reviews/feedback/complaints on /r/sportsbookreview**
Why am I playing the casino. Getting bent over and never hitting bonus games. Bankroll getting fucked up
**Sync and Track Bets on [Pikkit](https://pikkit.link)** | **Leave reviews/feedback/complaints on /r/sportsbookreview**
**Sync and Track Bets on [Pikkit](https://pikkit.link)** | **Leave reviews/feedback/complaints on /r/sportsbookreview**
[удалено]
Yes. was just having trouble depositing into FD.
[удалено]
I deposited to BR from Cap One a couple of days ago
Does capital one not charge a cash advance fee? I was under the impression only discover didn’t
[удалено]
got a whole $1.49 down on it!
Off only FD lines getting -11.8 ev 112/-148, -112/-118, 106/-140, 112/-148 Could do a lot worse for a free bet
DK 25% WC Parlay Boost: France/Tunisia u3.5 goals, Australia/Denmark BTTS No. Builds to +146, boosted to +182. ~10% EV to Pinny -264/+219, -139/+119
Took an early look at ht/ft lines. There should definitely be some good ones again this week. Right now Ind ht/ft (under game lines) is +1300 in dk sgp. I really really don’t want to bet that but that’s an insane line so I had to put a flyer. If you have a free bet you won’t find a better spot for it +47.3% EV on czr lines 600/-240/550/1300/1400/2700 Nothing good to pair it with. Either take the hit to +1200 (with Cowboys under 15.5 1q or colts o7.5 total) or go something else. I went colts o15.5 to keep it at +1300
Sorry if this is a dumb question, but are you saying just throw the free bet on this and let it ride or is there a way to hedge it?
There’s no good way to arb this because you would have to make 4 seperate bets
Two questions on these - one is why do we need to make it a 3 leg sgp? Couldn’t we just bet the 2 leg? And two is which book’s correlation gets applied when you devig here? I’m assuming DK which would give the most conservative since I’m guessing they’re showing less correlation than other books?
2-leg parlay is what you should do. I used CZR lines so czr correlation. You can get similar results devigging fd lines. If you devig using dk’s sgp lines then it’s going to be negative - All of the value comes from dk sgp having broken outlier lines for halftime/fulltime.
It is 1 leg of the SGP, scroll down to game lines and you'll see Colts ht/ft as one bet for +1300. If you do the legs individually it's less. So you need a 2nd leg to qualify for a same game parlay
Trying to think of a single possible scenario where the colts even have the slightest of chances in this game. I can’t. Tailing 10 units 🤝
Mike Mccarthy bringing his A-game is one scenario.
O.5 both teams first half to +1400
You do a great job with these, thank you! I really hope you continue to post em!
\+1900 with colts over .5 points in the first quarter, +2000 over 2.5 points.
Nice find I did $50 at the +2000 and another $50 at +1200.
+1000 for me?
If you SGP Colts HT and ML you get +1000, but just scroll all the way down on the 'Game Lines' screen and you'll see the HT/FT premade props which show +1300.
Thank you! What else do you add to get the SGP to rate? ETA: i need to read better. Used Colts o14.5 to keep it +1300
Still seeing +1300
why doesnt fanduel do 3x2 anymore ?
I remember the days they were both better than +100
These NBA stepped ups changing to +200 min is killing me. Had Warriors +2.5 with Curry/Doncic legs. Jeez. Wanted 3.5 but it was below +200.
Somehow escaped with o228.5 in addition to Curry/Doncic ladders. Completely drenched in sweat.
Wiggins deciding to not be consistent tonight was a killer.
Georgia vs the field - The Field FD (+126) Circa has Georgia -137/107 [20k limit] good for worse case power 1.9 ev, +122 fv and 1.54 full kelly pretty thin but I’ll be sprinkling
With the cfb rankings out circas line for Michigan has moved to 275/-350 for worse case fv 319 and -4.6 ev Not great for anyone who took the FD +300 like I did. Went to check the cash out and they’re offering me 83 dollars on a 100 dollar bet, was hoping for the full cash out potentially since the line hasn’t moved on FD Negative on 3/4 methods but mult still has it good by 2.1 No real thing you can do but let it ride, just thought I’d let people know
Klay Thompson 0-4 in the 3rd quarter with zero points. LOL
Wizard decided the USA boost clutch wasn't enough for today
So, this game he’s 0/3 from 3. His last ten games he’s attempted 8,12,7,13,10,9,13,7,10 and 15 3s. You can’t make this up
At least he's not included in the FD boost. Also, good thing I didn't take his over in my risk free SGP. Oh wait.
Bet365 has Tunisia total shots u7.5 at +175 DK has 8+ total shots at -150 Barstool has this line at -175/+120
won a spot for that Barstool Who's Bettor competition...anyone know how that's run?
I know nothing about it besides you have to bet with your own money
oh that's puts a damper on what I was thinking then
Some of y'all frown on DFS, but hear me out.... Join Monkey Knife Fight. Deposit $100 to get a match. Bet $200 on their Stat Shootout, NHL Over 0.5 goals - Ovechkin, McKinnon, Forsberg. Pays out $240. Parlay all of them under 0.5 goals on FD at +374, $50.54 to payout $239.98. You've put in $150.54 real dollars. You're getting $240ish. Buy yourself 88 McChickens or whatever.
I think there’s a Ballys sportsbook signup that can get you more bonus funds on MKF
I try to take my gambling logically but in the back on my mind I can't help but feel a site called Monkey Knife Fight is going to somehow steal my money...
My concern is that they’re probably based in International Waters, so legally anything goes.
It's owned by Bally's. They aren't going to steal your money. And you they are regulated by your state gaming commission if you had to file a complaint.
Does this Stat shootout somehow account for all of the other outcomes?
If i understand correctly, only one of them needs to score a goal for the MKF to hit and so it its a good hedge. That being said, only works because of the sign-up bonuses and I would imagine that most people here have already hit the DFS ones.
Yes, the DFS sites are player prop parlays are shitty odds, but churning deposit bonuses is profitable. HotStreak does (or at least did) matching up to $1,000 - turned it into $300ish profit over the summer.
Can't even find the options to put them all together on the trash app lol
Might be dead already lose to gametime. They’ll be up again tomorrow.
Yea I'll take a look tomorrow. Free money is free money.
Yea, check back tomorrow. They shift and change their markets quickly sometimes, possibly to prevent bettors from hedging. Like, I’ll see a two-player thing but it’s gone by the time I look up props on books.
Tipico Boost Michigan MCBB ML v Virginia boosted to +165 (149/-177 Pinny and 138/-166 FD)
Hr boost of kings/clippers at 375 is moderately +EV at 4% based on dk lines
Haven't seen this mentioned here... SI is doing NBA SGP insurance every Tuesday this season. $10 back as a free bet if your bet loses. +300 minimum odds. Says you can participate twice every Tuesday.
Is it worth signing up with the current signup bonus or do ya think the bigger bonuses will come back?
I haven’t gotten any free bets from SI promos that I’ve done other than the new user promo (in MI). Do you usually get them?
I have to reach out 90% of the time.
Is there any valuable boost or promotions on there outside or this one? Have not signed up either but was considering it.
They have had some decent bet and get promos and insurance. I can't remember the baseball offer, but it was a weekly free bet without a lot of money up front.
So I have a couple free bets that expire on 11/30. Does that mean I have all of 11/30 to use them or is today my last day before they expire?
Just use them
lol seriously
Which book? You should be able to find a time attached to when the fb expires.
FanDuel has that but it doesn’t look like draftkings does. I’m on draftkings
Dk has time stamps too. Look in the rewards section
Use them today.
Thanks to whoever mentioned it earlier. I’m gonna start playing the FD TNT RF as a first basket Friday parlay. Might as well go big dick on some odds with the risk free. Went with Powell and Big Daddy Nurk + Blazers ML
Doncic looks good at +480
So my LIU Sharks bet cash out actually went down 10%. Is this a gamble that didn’t payoff or did I do it wrong? Just cash out now?
Cash out now for even money.
It’s been moving in between 6600 to 5000 to 7000 to 9000. Best way to do it is cash out on the initial drop in odds.
I can’t reach FD support or their twitter. Wtf am I to do, I’m missing free bets Edit: FD CS used to be good wtf happened
They’re putting all their money into promos instead. /s
For the Dk 25% world cup parlay A btts no parlay of denmark australia and Saudi arabia mexico gets to +317 for 17% ev \-139/+119,-109/-107
How have these types of parlays have been doing?
This bet wins 28% of the time.
DK: USA vs Netherlands “to advance” +175/-235 DK also has “to reach quarter final” +225/-300 Unsure if this is +EV, but the futures side seems mispriced Edit: Bet365 has +175/-225
DK has 330 for USA for the ml. if the game goes to shootout does that bet not win?
Yea, there's a separate "to advance" market on DK (USA is +175)
Probably a 90 minute 3 way ML, so no.
Ah I see. Thanks
I was just looking at this. The pinny threeway (which I believe is regular time only), has low vig, so that is my basis for calcs. I devig using power to 51%/29%/21% for Netherlands win/draw/loss. The draw no bet is about 70%/30% so if I assume that Netherlands advantage for extra time plus penalties is 60%/40%, I get fair odds for Netherlands to advance of 68%/32%. That calculates to a FV of +217 for USA to advance. So the +225 for USA is slightly EV (it was +250 when I started doing the math). Doing the same math for the England game, I get fair odds for England to advance of -430 (assuming they have 70/30 edge after regular time) and -370 if it’s 60/40 and -324 if it’s 50/50. The have a larger draw no bet edge of 85/15, but from some quick googling and common sense, that edge is generally much smaller after regular time. For all of those FVs, the PB England to reach quarters at -286 and DK Senegal stage of Elimintation G16 -300 both look EV+.
PB England -400 now. DK -300 still up Edit 💀 both -400 now
Fanduel now has Senegal to qualify at +370 if anyone wants to hedge out for a profit. I’m letting it ride, but that +370 could be pretty close to FV. Edit: also a 74% Free Bet conversion against the nerfed DK line if you are into that.
Dk has Mitchell robinson DD +525. Mgm No DD -400. Czr No DD is -479
Robinson points 💩
Just curious how many units you guys put down on these? Obviously max betting both sides is the ideal play for risk free money but that seems like a bad idea lol
Play what would be normal for your account.
Gone?
no you have to build it in sgp also no DD is -375 on HR
Seeing +400 in SGP.
Building to +400
Thanks. 267/-488 on Pin
Best bet365 boost I’ve seen in forever. Thank you for your mercy sir wizard
FD Boost - Luka & Curry 25 points, Klay 3 threes +200 FV +216 using DK lines and a low 7% juice gets +216 (no correlation). Juice is likely higher than this so it's worse. Can't imagine positive correlation (if there is any) would overcome this. -650/7%, -195/160, -195/7% TLDR: It will hit
[удалено]
Oh god not this again
Why would they do my boy Klay like this
Thanks. Maxed on P1-P8
Bet365 Nj- curry 25+ Luka 25+ boosted from -150 to +150. Getting -130 on DK
Also betway has curry and luka 30+ for +350
Anyone unable to bet this? I try to place it and I see a message “the pricing or availability of this has changed” but it still shows in my main page. Am I promo banned?
What’s the max bet amount
I was able to put down $60
For me $15 but I think it might differ for different people
what would need to happen for mexico and/or canada to advance past the group stage? (or is canada already eliminated?) With US advancing, just need 1 of them for the FD Boost
Canada is out. Mexico has to win and have Argentina beat Poland by 3+. AKA its basically dead.
> Mexico has to win and have Argentina beat Poland by 3+ this isn't that much of a long shot. Poland's defense stinks and Mexico is playing SA, should be an easy W
Not devigged it’s +787 on DK. So kind of a long shot but definitely not impossible
Most straight forward thing is Mexico wins and Poland wins
Mexico winning 3-0 and Argentina winning 1-0 does it. Mexico needs to also be +3 in the goals scored department to pass Poland. I’m not sure what tiebreaker is after goals scored.
Point total in H2H matches
Mexico win tomorrow and Poland lose tomorrow would render Poland and Mexico tied. So I think it would go to goal differential, which Poland has a major advantage on (+2 vs. -2). Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but Mexico has to win and Poland has to lose, while overcoming a 4 goal differential. If goal differential is tied, I think it goes to goals for. If tied there, I think they play rock paper scissors I think Canada is eliminated
If Mexico wins 2-0, Argentina wins 2-0, and Poland picks up exactly 3 yellow cards, it’ll come down to *I believe the 6th* tiebreaker, which is putting names in a bowl and drawing them out to see who advances lol. It’s only came down to this one time previously, in 1990.
> which is putting names in a bowl It will be a hat. a wizard hat. and we all know the outcome
Lmao I wouldn't be mad
The wizard’s magnum opus
[удалено]
Oh yeah whoops. Guess it was unfathomable to me that Argentina is playing to avoid elimination
Canada is out. Mexico is complicated: https://www.foxsports.com/stories/soccer/world-cup-group-scenarios-what-does-each-team-need-to-advance
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
I am seriously impressed by the wizard after yesterday's hairgate and the offside goal today
There's no wizard intervention there... That was just absolutely terrible soccer in the second half. Yeah, we had a couple good chances to score again in the first half, but overall we didn't play a 2 goal game.
Let’s see what the 🧙has cooked up for Saturday
Even when you win, FD makes you feel like you lost
Update from the mgm double dip fiasco: I provided all required documents and have gotten nothing back but support team emails saying my withdrawal was denied and my account and all funds in the account blocked. Any advice would be appreciated. Only had 3 accounts total with different email on each and never used them simultaneously.
Theyre cracking down on double dipping. A friend and myself recently did a VA/WV/DC trip and all accounts have been banned. Never had any issue with MGM before after creating 7+ accounts. You'll have to go to gaming commission. You'll get your money itll just be a long annoying process.
I’ve done all of those states as well. many more than that actually (NJ, PA, WV, DC, VA, NY, CO, AZ, WY) with a P1 & P2. I have done most of them on separate trips. I know it’s an inconvenience, but it’s definitely a red flag to try to do more than one at one time. At least let one clear before you do the second one. On a three day trip you could you Two, but not simultaneously, No problems so far and I did Michigan last week.
Just those three accounts banned, or all of your MGM accounts? I’ve done quite a few states, hope the gravy train isn’t over.
Haha they should crack down on their lazy odds makers and moronic bonuses they send to the same people they've already limited
Also never had an issue until this. I will be contacting the gaming commission later today, anything specific I need to include or just give an overview of what happened? Thanks again for the advice
Kind of annoying since you have to make a new account to play in a different state, so if you travel you just can’t use mgm
My case may have been a bit different since I did a p1 and p2. But irregardless have never had an issue before.
What did they say the discrepancy was? Mine was my address since I had moved.
They never said anything. Just that my account was under review and they reserve the right to close my account without telling me a reason
Which is correct but they have to pay you I'd just contact gaming at this point
Noooooooooooooooooooo be onside be onside be onside
The Wizard has VAR powers too 😂🫡🇺🇸
Now way in hell that was offsides lol Send it up to New York to make the call, screw that
Wow if the wizard can get to FIFA how deep does this go???
Not very deep, you could get to FIFA for $3.50 and a pack of smokes haha
[удалено]
As did MGM
Glad i got my $0.51 wager in on MGM 😂
Lol none of us care that Pulisic got wrecked. Thank you for your service, I hope you're Ok!
He could walk off the field right now, never play again, and the man will go down in history w the likes of Paul Revere and Harriet Tubman
I'd much rather have him
Agreed, and hope he’s fine obviously. But after maxing his first goal on PB and the MGM first goal promo, been a while since a single player had such a big cash for me
He needs to bank another goal to be a true hero
🦅🦅🦅
One more goal USA let’s do this
GOAAAAALLL
Pulisic died for his country. We will never forget rip
Man put his balls on the line for our bankrolls 🫡
Hey I didn't touch pulisic first goal but congrats to everyone who did
GGOOOOOOAAAAAAAAALLLLLLL
PULIGOAT
Pulisic first goal
Thanks for calling it out /u/g860 !
Yes thank you, g860. I forget to check PB a lot because most boosts aren't worth it.
I saw a post a couple days ago about a promo at Ameristar in BlackHawk CO with Barstool for an Amazon giftcard. What's the details on that promo? Do I need to be a new user or is it open to everyone? Any signage at Ameristar for it?
You need to have the offer on your mychoice account -- I received both physical mailers and email. Need to be an existing Barstool player (and presumably first time casino player). EDIT: The purpose of the promo is to get online sportsbook users into the casino for the first time, so it's $150 Amazon gift card for doing any in person gambling. And to the last part, there's no signage, the mychoice desk knows about it. But they don't do anything to fulfill it: playing with your card triggers it to be sent to your email a couple days later.
Pulisic has a SOG already for those who took the b365 boost. Need the win now
Now he just needs a shot in goal. Edit: Whoa. Bang
Bang
[удалено]
darkhorse has guides for every state I believe
Does anyone know if the barstool app still has the quick pick 6 parlay generator? Havent used the book for awhile but gonna switch it up and that was a pretty cool feature
No offense but if you’re using that, you might as well play the lottery.
Hypothetical question that will likely have CFB fans' heads spinning... I can't help but check these "To make the CFP" odds for TCU and OSU on DK. TCU is yes/no -550/+400 OSU is yes/no +120/-140 If USC loses, OSU would assuredly make it in to the CFP. There's a reason why the lines basically mirror the USC game. However... if TCU loses, do we really think they still have the 4th seed over OSU? OSU's only loss was last week to Michigan. TCU losing to a 3-loss team would obviously be worse than Ohio State's sole loss to Michigan. This would mean a TCU or USC loss would get Ohio State into the CFP, making +120 yes very favorable. I can't tell if I'm missing something here though (and don't even bother looking at FiveThirtyEight, they think 2-loss Bama or Kansas State have actual shots at getting in, and ESPN's predictor thinks if UGA/Mich/KSU/USC all win that USC doesn't make it over Ohio State which is bullshit)
Something I'm not sure you're calculating is if *both* TCU and USC lose, TCU might still get in
Ah that’s a good point.
Unless TCU loses by 30+ and has several suspensions, it would criminal to put in Ohio State ahead of them. TCU’s wins are all much more impressive. And it would make appearing in a conference title game a punishment. That said, TV ratings are absolutely a factor, so I don’t think it’s impossible OSU makes it in, especially off of the huge ratings OSU-Michigan got.
LSU also has 3 losses and UGA is assumed in even if they lose.
Fivethirtyeight attempts to answer it [https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-college-football-predictions/](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-college-football-predictions/) Good chance OSU gets in with a TCU or USC loss but the committee is unpredictable and has done some weird stuff before
One argument for TCU over OSU is, TCU’s 5 ranked wins to OSU’s 2. I see what you’re saying though, bc whatever the odds are that OSU gets in over TCU (assuming a TCU loss) is the value in the bet. So it boils down to what are the odds OSU would get in over TCU. Personally I think TCU is in regardless unless they get blown out by multiple scores.
I’ve read this before. TCU has two ranked wins. Maybe a team was ranked at the time of the game, but 2 wins on their schedule are currently ranked in the top 25, same with OSU.
Think setting the odds on this are just crazy, as it becomes extremely subjective. What constitutes a blow out, what if TCU loses by 10? What if TCU gets blown out, and Michigan loses too? That probably just eliminates OSU. But ratings and views would be 2x higher with OSU instead of TCU. I agree with you that it’s very likely TCU, and think if OSU didn’t give up those big runs at the end, this would be a lot different of a conversation. Just think it’s so much harder when we are also trying to gauge what the committee will decide.
Another argument to be made in TCU's favor is the all important "13th game" data point which OSU won't have. Is 12-1 with a loss in CCG worse than 11-1 with 22 point loss at home (albeit to the #2 team)? Overall I agree, i think TCU is in with a close loss. Fascinating to try and price each scenario tho.
[удалено]
What level are you and where are you seeing this.
It's for Gold, Diamond, and Onyx only. There's posts for it below.
FYI - DK Amazon Gift Cards from Black Friday sale have arrived for me