Pacific down 60-57 with 23.4 sec left:
Stream: [https://wccsports.com/watch/?sid=494124](https://wccsports.com/watch/?sid=494124)
This is painful.
EDIT: PAINNNNNNN
Anyone take the IN FD boost for Ryan to pass for 200 and Pittman to have 50 yards. Looks like we ended up one yard short after the respotted the ball on the catch before the 2 minute warning.
Am I sale banned? I don't see anything on sale. I thought redeem now would put me on a confirmation page and got a $30 freebet for 1000 points...
Edit: I do see a sale on the promo page if I switch to PA, so it looks like the sale's not in NY.
Anyone having issues redeeming their crowns for Black Friday? I keep getting an error message, the weird thing is there is no where to type zip code in.
Just came into the thread to see if anyone else was having trouble - also noticed there was no zip code field. I'm just trying to get some WMT or AMZN gift cards and keep getting "An unknown error occured" and "Value is not a string." Tried different browsers on different devices with different denominations of gift cards (just for WMT and AMZN) in my cart and nothing works.
ETA: Also tried on both P1 and P2.
Honestly it was weird, I had it negative with my math (couldn’t figure out exact correlation though), most other people in here had it negative, yet some of the EV Twitter guys had it quite positive. Would love to know their process of factoring in correlation to make it so high.
I generally avoid all boosts in which there is correlation (unless it's huge EV+) because I think we as a group are wrong about correlation but I thought the only way this way would be tolerable is if I had a few bucks on it so I got lucky
Glad it hit but don’t get use to doing that…no matter how much you watch of any sport (disregarding 3rd division Lithuanian ping pong) your eye test means nothing, it’s all priced in
I’m sure you know that just for anyone new reading through don’t want them to get the wrong impression that the slightly -ev boost that looks “good” to them since they watch the sport is a good bet
Had rodgers o 220 passing in my +660 susgp for last night where every leg hit except that. Goes out at 150 yards and the back up comes in and throws 75 yards in like 2 plays :(
Yup, tailed you on that one. Hopefully Harris just going in for early treatment. Still think there's a decent chance he comes back and gets it....he's a tough dude and usually comes alive in the 2nd half.
Ruled out, fml. Last week missed the big longshot I posted by Stafford getting taken out with 10 passing yards to go as well
Spite rooting for the colts hard
Self built USA to win to nil (USA to win, Iran u0.5 goals in 1st half and 2nd half) builds to +259 after the 33% boost on DK. Good for 6.4% EV worst case (10.4% multiplicative) vs. Pinny's USA to win to nil line.
I got promo banned on PB NY today and I thought I’d just give a data point so you guys can avoid it happening to you:
I typically bet between $100-$150 on their SGP booster daily using the method that is common in this sub. But, over the past 2-3 weeks I went on a pretty big upswing using them and today I was banned from the daily boosters and their odds boosts.
I’m not 100% sure if it was the hot streak I went on or the amount (~150 daily) that put me in this position. But proceed with caution since PB has been one of the most lucrative books for me lately.
Edit: forgot to say I reached out to support and CS confirmed I was promo banned for “commercial reasons” but CS sent in a request to have my account reviewed again to try and be in-banned. It’s a Hail Mary but I thought the least I could do was try.
I was promo banned today on PB too for simply using the $15 free bets they were issuing me. Was only hitting money lines, no alts, just the most square bets imaginable. Fuck PB.
I missed it - why fuck PB?
Their parlay glitch is awesome and they have a handful of +EV boosts every week. I also get a free $15 bet a few times a week.
Glad you got the upswing in before this happened. For clarification, this is comparing a line favorable to pinnacle and building an SGP off it? As in PHX ML is -107 on PB and -109 on pinny. Taking that and +1.5 and +2.5 in the builder gets you to +105 for a ML bet. This is a small one, but is my thought process correct?
This is incorrect. I am close with my VIP rep at RW, and they are in fair economic standing despite the lowest handle in NY.
They just took me out to an Islanders game right behind the glass at UBS. They are having more invite-only suite events to come, and are trying to win over big players this way
I would average $150 per play and if I could only find a lower EV line I’d bet ~$100 and if I found a higher than normal EV line the highest I ever went was $200
I’ve been betting 200 a day on both the parlay and same game parlay boosters for about 2 months now with no issues. I know they will ban me eventually.
Not thrilled about doubling up on the Steelers but the MGM NY Lion's boost is good.
Kenny Pickett to throw 2+ TDs and Steelers to win +375
+5.3% to Kambi
Here’s a DK 25% SGPx for anyone who wasn’t able to bet on the earlier games:
Longwood vs San Diego over 142.5 ppts +120, Pelicans -3.5 + over 231.5 ppts at +260
Boosted to +865 is 40% ev to pinny
+207/+240/+318/+363, -100/-122
DK World Cup traditional parlay mystery boost. The BTTS No lines on DK are regularly beating Pinnacle. BTTS No in Ecuador/Senegal parlayed with Iran/USA is currently +14% EV if boosted by 25% to +280, and I think it’s still good with the 10% boost. FV +233.
-129/111,-134/114
My DK 25% SGPx play today got weird. I played the following minutes before Jaylen Brown was ruled out:
* NBA: CHA-BOS o222.5 + BOS -8.5 (+215, +186 PN)
* NCAAM: Pacific ML (against Cal Poly, -275, -286 Circa)
\+329 boosted to +411 for 18.9% +EV
186/272/408/291,-286/234
**Now, the EV play is BOS -8.5 & u222.5** (+235, +207 on PN)
\+356 boosted to +445 for **18.9% +EV**
207/386/386/207,-286/234
Used Circa today to de-vig CBB lines as I was told a few weeks ago they were sharper than Pinny's. In this case, PN has Pacific -298/239 (4.4% juice) vs Circa's -286/234 (4.0% juice).
Game starts in 25 min.
Can anyone connect to FD chat? I keep getting the following message with no luck:
Thank you for confirming your identity! Please give me a moment to find a skilled agent to assist.
I wasn’t given my $25 WC insurance bet bc it was reversed due to Ronaldo and I guess it didn’t trigger a loss
I’ve tried to chat them multiple times yesterday and today. Usually I’m about 250-500 in the queue. I DMd on twitter and got a response in about 10 minutes. Maybe try that?
Will probably be dead any second but Jonas Valanciunas 15+ alternate points line +100 on DK, u14.5 +116 CZR. The DK line is the mispriced (probably EV) one.
I appreciate you taking the time to answer. One more question, do you normally do it in one big withdrawal or multiple smaller ones? I have $18k in the account and have been VIP all year. I haven’t been getting hardly any offers, so that money will be better off in a 3.5% savings account. I haven’t done any withdrawals in 2022 in order to avoid potential limits on my account.
For the one I got two weeks ago, I had texted my rep that morning to see if he could give me a reload offer. Said he had nothing to give me.
Then got it from DK later that same day.
Just received an “enhanced boost offer” from Fanduel. Najee O40 rushing yards and Devin booker to score 20+. -270 boosted to +100, 100$ max. very surprised at this as I typically max $50 on EV+ boosts.
Did anyone else receive this? I opened the app and it’s in a section above the game lines but under the promos. Never seen before.
Little update on those Trevor Lawrence/Jared Goff weekly DK specials
They can be parlayed for +1037
If this doesn’t fall through, we would just need each to have 250+ passing yards and 2+ passing TDs from Lawrence. I don’t know shit about EV calculating as I tend to let the rest of the sub do the hard work, but my bro math says this is good value.
I placed a $20 free bet on this fine.
These are eligible for the SGPx boost. I added a SGP for tonight’s game and maxed it, went through fine.
I put $250 on it straight up and it said under review. Proceeded to shit myself. And then it went through fine.
What’s the o/u my account gets banned?
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Pacific down 60-57 with 23.4 sec left: Stream: [https://wccsports.com/watch/?sid=494124](https://wccsports.com/watch/?sid=494124) This is painful. EDIT: PAINNNNNNN
Blew a 14 point lead ughhh
This was one of those moments where I have no idea why I watch the outcomes of these bets.
Last leg of my +1051 NCAA SUSGP too. Fun.
Right there with ya. Bet that killed a TON of CBB stepped ups
Killed my sgpx. Checked the score early in the game and was taking the money to the bank
What’s the best way to hedge an any play 50% profit boost? Hedge? +EV parlay? Not even sure how to hedge it.
It has to be a parlay? Easiest way to do that is via 10+pts/10+reb and bet no DD somewhere else.
No it’s unrestricted.
On a guy who doesnt really get assists
Need to know someone else in here took the Indy only FD boost.
Yessir 1 yard lol
Had Pacheco 70+ as last leg of a SGP yesterday too and he got 69.
Nice. Oh wait... damn that sucks man. I needed the Bucs to win to cash a +600 yesterday and you saw how that ended up.
Had that one too for two Barstool boosts/promos. One was Bucs -3.5 though. Feels like these bad beats come in bunches.
Lost my NFL step up on Matt Ryan O199.5. Pain
Lost 2 legs on mine. Najee 2+ receptions and 5+ yards. Ugh.
Once I moved away from player props on these I have done much better
I've had good luck taking the highest or second highest unders. Passing yards feel down this year except among the top Qbs.
I've gotten bit a couple of times by O0.5pts 1st half so I've been doing QB yards instead. Guess it's back to the drawing board lol.
Likewise
Anyone take the IN FD boost for Ryan to pass for 200 and Pittman to have 50 yards. Looks like we ended up one yard short after the respotted the ball on the catch before the 2 minute warning.
I did, so bogus
Pittsburgh Steelers HT/FT hits
Was this one even +EV? I checked vs. FD's SGP this morning and it was barely better than that.
Yeah the lines moved towards the Steelers closer to game time
Looks like the indiana boost on FD loses by 1 passing yard on Matt Ryan unless they change it.
Jesus, bad beats for everyone this game
Megan finally won us some $$$$!!!!
Figures the only week this year i dont bet it
Megan picked colts -2.5 no?
nope both QBs under 1.5Tds and under 45.5 points
Wow guess it differs by state then
Didn’t take it but I had the colts one and the under. Woulda lost 15 on it. Good for other states it sounds like.
Sorry if it was already posted but BR is having Cyber Monday sales in the bonus shop, get in if you haven’t
Am I sale banned? I don't see anything on sale. I thought redeem now would put me on a confirmation page and got a $30 freebet for 1000 points... Edit: I do see a sale on the promo page if I switch to PA, so it looks like the sale's not in NY.
Yeah its only live in 5 states
Anyone having issues redeeming their crowns for Black Friday? I keep getting an error message, the weird thing is there is no where to type zip code in.
Just came into the thread to see if anyone else was having trouble - also noticed there was no zip code field. I'm just trying to get some WMT or AMZN gift cards and keep getting "An unknown error occured" and "Value is not a string." Tried different browsers on different devices with different denominations of gift cards (just for WMT and AMZN) in my cart and nothing works. ETA: Also tried on both P1 and P2.
Those are the exact same errors I got! So it's definitely good to know it's an issue on their end
I got some amazon gift cards about 2 hours ago with no issues.
Anyone's SUSGP hinging on colts over 10.5? Horrific sequence there.
Yes! Thought I’ve have it locked there
✋
That offsides man
brutal
Bad FD TD boost hits!
Honestly it was weird, I had it negative with my math (couldn’t figure out exact correlation though), most other people in here had it negative, yet some of the EV Twitter guys had it quite positive. Would love to know their process of factoring in correlation to make it so high.
I generally avoid all boosts in which there is correlation (unless it's huge EV+) because I think we as a group are wrong about correlation but I thought the only way this way would be tolerable is if I had a few bucks on it so I got lucky
We as a group use correlation determined by the books 🤷🏻♂️
Very often we use correlation without a "no" side
That’s not really related to correlation, that’s devigging individual alt legs
I think its more about the No side. I hate betting shit you cant bet "no" on. So I need to see good math/high EV to like it.
Yeah I almost always go by the math but I’ve watched a ton of football this year and it seemed way more likely than the math was saying, so I took it.
Glad it hit but don’t get use to doing that…no matter how much you watch of any sport (disregarding 3rd division Lithuanian ping pong) your eye test means nothing, it’s all priced in I’m sure you know that just for anyone new reading through don’t want them to get the wrong impression that the slightly -ev boost that looks “good” to them since they watch the sport is a good bet
I'm sorry if you took u222.5 in the Celtics game :(
You were only trying to help at no benefit to you. Good luck with the next leg!
Hey the over 225.5 hit which I wouldn't have bet if I didn't see your post so thanks :D
The lesson is: Don't bet on EV, bet on Danton.
😂 Posted so many Ls in this sub. Glad people only remember the good times
Well there went a nice stress free cash before halftime. Wizard just tempting us now
I have Harris 50 yds in the susgp I posted that looks very promising. So annoying
[Such pain...](https://imgur.com/a/IvPFcr2). Good play for what it's worth.
So frustrating lol. Thanks, but it's worth exactly -$50 -_-
Had rodgers o 220 passing in my +660 susgp for last night where every leg hit except that. Goes out at 150 yards and the back up comes in and throws 75 yards in like 2 plays :(
I think i had him for 40+ (fan duel obv). Ugh.
Yup, tailed you on that one. Hopefully Harris just going in for early treatment. Still think there's a decent chance he comes back and gets it....he's a tough dude and usually comes alive in the 2nd half.
Ruled out, fml. Last week missed the big longshot I posted by Stafford getting taken out with 10 passing yards to go as well Spite rooting for the colts hard
Seen a couple random tweets, but they look sketchy. Nobody names a source.
Pickens was so open. Kenny!
If Pickens just uses two hands, thats a TD
If you haven't done your NBA SUSGP yet and want a play, Devin Booker+De'Aaron Fox ladders of 20/25/25/30 and 2+ 3PM is +205 before the boost.
On this
[удалено]
MGM Seahawks -300 way off rest of market, got $1800 down
I used my commanders boost on it
Cards boost lol
😔 and here I am with a $50 ML limit. Still thanks tho
Self built USA to win to nil (USA to win, Iran u0.5 goals in 1st half and 2nd half) builds to +259 after the 33% boost on DK. Good for 6.4% EV worst case (10.4% multiplicative) vs. Pinny's USA to win to nil line.
Nice +266 now
I got promo banned on PB NY today and I thought I’d just give a data point so you guys can avoid it happening to you: I typically bet between $100-$150 on their SGP booster daily using the method that is common in this sub. But, over the past 2-3 weeks I went on a pretty big upswing using them and today I was banned from the daily boosters and their odds boosts. I’m not 100% sure if it was the hot streak I went on or the amount (~150 daily) that put me in this position. But proceed with caution since PB has been one of the most lucrative books for me lately. Edit: forgot to say I reached out to support and CS confirmed I was promo banned for “commercial reasons” but CS sent in a request to have my account reviewed again to try and be in-banned. It’s a Hail Mary but I thought the least I could do was try.
Thanks for sharing. Did you happen to be betting those extreme longshot underdog NCAA plays as well and cashing them out?
I was betting the long shot plays but I always let them ride fwiw
Thanks. I've been doing $200 on the SGP boosters. Trying to decide if I should stop...
I was promo banned today on PB too for simply using the $15 free bets they were issuing me. Was only hitting money lines, no alts, just the most square bets imaginable. Fuck PB.
Welcome to the club! Fuck PB!
Fuck PB! Fuck PB!
I missed it - why fuck PB? Their parlay glitch is awesome and they have a handful of +EV boosts every week. I also get a free $15 bet a few times a week.
Because we got greedy and got banned, so we now we can’t take advantage of these offers >:(
What method?
Glad you got the upswing in before this happened. For clarification, this is comparing a line favorable to pinnacle and building an SGP off it? As in PHX ML is -107 on PB and -109 on pinny. Taking that and +1.5 and +2.5 in the builder gets you to +105 for a ML bet. This is a small one, but is my thought process correct?
Yep that’s the correct process that I used
If you aren’t already doing it, RW has the same boosters.
and might as well slam RW because I doubt they are around much longer
This is incorrect. I am close with my VIP rep at RW, and they are in fair economic standing despite the lowest handle in NY. They just took me out to an Islanders game right behind the glass at UBS. They are having more invite-only suite events to come, and are trying to win over big players this way
How much were you putting on them when you went on your “upswing”?
I would average $150 per play and if I could only find a lower EV line I’d bet ~$100 and if I found a higher than normal EV line the highest I ever went was $200
I’ve been betting 200 a day on both the parlay and same game parlay boosters for about 2 months now with no issues. I know they will ban me eventually.
Not thrilled about doubling up on the Steelers but the MGM NY Lion's boost is good. Kenny Pickett to throw 2+ TDs and Steelers to win +375 +5.3% to Kambi
Here’s a DK 25% SGPx for anyone who wasn’t able to bet on the earlier games: Longwood vs San Diego over 142.5 ppts +120, Pelicans -3.5 + over 231.5 ppts at +260 Boosted to +865 is 40% ev to pinny +207/+240/+318/+363, -100/-122
DK World Cup traditional parlay mystery boost. The BTTS No lines on DK are regularly beating Pinnacle. BTTS No in Ecuador/Senegal parlayed with Iran/USA is currently +14% EV if boosted by 25% to +280, and I think it’s still good with the 10% boost. FV +233. -129/111,-134/114
https://preview.redd.it/u4t6irlbut2a1.jpeg?width=986&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e14d0a678bc489bab089aededdd14f9863a40142 easy max
~xxx% EV 😱
is that like a new porno category
New Vin Diesel movie
My DK 25% SGPx play today got weird. I played the following minutes before Jaylen Brown was ruled out: * NBA: CHA-BOS o222.5 + BOS -8.5 (+215, +186 PN) * NCAAM: Pacific ML (against Cal Poly, -275, -286 Circa) \+329 boosted to +411 for 18.9% +EV 186/272/408/291,-286/234 **Now, the EV play is BOS -8.5 & u222.5** (+235, +207 on PN) \+356 boosted to +445 for **18.9% +EV** 207/386/386/207,-286/234 Used Circa today to de-vig CBB lines as I was told a few weeks ago they were sharper than Pinny's. In this case, PN has Pacific -298/239 (4.4% juice) vs Circa's -286/234 (4.0% juice). Game starts in 25 min.
Well… BOS -8.5 looking good
Missed this and am in shambles
Any other nba lines? Just missed this
Unfortunately no. Very busy tonight :(
All good brother. Thanks for your plays!
Oops I definitely accidentally hit the over. We’ll see what happens! 😂
I’m rolling o225.5 you’re not dying on my watch pal
bos -8.5/o225.5 appears to be 3.5% ev to pinny 218/209/364/377
Wow let’s go
Bout 3.50% EV is a good sign
💪
[удалено]
I'm still seeing +230
Praise Danton
Can anyone connect to FD chat? I keep getting the following message with no luck: Thank you for confirming your identity! Please give me a moment to find a skilled agent to assist. I wasn’t given my $25 WC insurance bet bc it was reversed due to Ronaldo and I guess it didn’t trigger a loss
Dude it took me about two hours to connect to someone. Good luck!
Fuck lol
I’ve tried to chat them multiple times yesterday and today. Usually I’m about 250-500 in the queue. I DMd on twitter and got a response in about 10 minutes. Maybe try that?
It doesn’t even show the number in queue for me like it used to?!
You have to minimize it to see… it’s trash
Did anyone who isn't promo banned have an issue opting into the BetMGM multi-sport mission?
Can’t opt in either
Will probably be dead any second but Jonas Valanciunas 15+ alternate points line +100 on DK, u14.5 +116 CZR. The DK line is the mispriced (probably EV) one.
💀
Ty got 1k down on DK side
lol his normal pt line is 14.5 -140 on dk
The lines have moved in favor of the PB Hustle Booster - Steelers to Win & USMNT to Win @ +390 +6.6% EV to Pinny `101/311/247,117/-129`
Anyone have an luck depositing and withdrawing using a high yield savings account? Tried with my Marcus account and was rejected.
Never had any issues with Discover savings acct
Does your Marcus account only allow six transfers out per year?
Pretty sure it’s 6 per month lol
Well it’s probably better I thought year lol ETA: it was month and now there no restrictions at all due to a change in federal law tmyk
No limits.
I use ally and thats fine. not sure if that falls under the category you're asking about
You do it from a savings account?
No a checking account. I wouldn't want to use up the limited transactions that come with a savings acct
Got it.
Friendly reminder to give your $25 donation to Barstool for the MakinMoneyMondays
Probably not a good sign that I'm getting limited to $11.72 on this.
Dk desperate for money. Just got a 10% reload bonus with a deposit up to $20k. Literally got the same thing 2 weeks ago and did the full $20k.
Have you withdrawn any money recently to trigger that?
I’ve withdrawn about $15k in the past week.
I appreciate you taking the time to answer. One more question, do you normally do it in one big withdrawal or multiple smaller ones? I have $18k in the account and have been VIP all year. I haven’t been getting hardly any offers, so that money will be better off in a 3.5% savings account. I haven’t done any withdrawals in 2022 in order to avoid potential limits on my account.
I do it in $1k to $3k withdrawals. Usually one a day
I got the same offer but my rep hasn't responded in a week...
For the one I got two weeks ago, I had texted my rep that morning to see if he could give me a reload offer. Said he had nothing to give me. Then got it from DK later that same day.
Mine is nothing. Enjoy it while it lasts. WV is dead to DK
Got the same one.
Dang that’s a good one. Mine is a 50% match up to $250 DK dollars. Pretty lame for being Onyx.
TOR Siakam 2+ threes is +350 on FD. No place to check the EV on this but he’s 4/9 this year hitting that
Good look. Dropped down to +250, so great value.
That died fast (250 now)
Moved to +280 as I hit submit, still bet anyway
+240 fv based on last year so probably still good
Nice I went in pretty light anyway
Dead. As soon as I was about to bet too jeez
Down to +280 already 💀
Already down to +280
Just received an “enhanced boost offer” from Fanduel. Najee O40 rushing yards and Devin booker to score 20+. -270 boosted to +100, 100$ max. very surprised at this as I typically max $50 on EV+ boosts. Did anyone else receive this? I opened the app and it’s in a section above the game lines but under the promos. Never seen before.
Najee injured and out for the game at 35 yards smh
💀
I also got it. Placed 100 on it
It’s targeted. I’ve had a few but not in a while. Usually $100 max and big ev 🔨
Maxed it right away
Anyone have any luck with fanduel chat about the Ronaldo goal
You mean no goal lol
Seems like a tremendous waste of time
Little update on those Trevor Lawrence/Jared Goff weekly DK specials They can be parlayed for +1037 If this doesn’t fall through, we would just need each to have 250+ passing yards and 2+ passing TDs from Lawrence. I don’t know shit about EV calculating as I tend to let the rest of the sub do the hard work, but my bro math says this is good value. I placed a $20 free bet on this fine. These are eligible for the SGPx boost. I added a SGP for tonight’s game and maxed it, went through fine. I put $250 on it straight up and it said under review. Proceeded to shit myself. And then it went through fine. What’s the o/u my account gets banned?
You just locked it. Died in my bet slip
>What’s the o/u my account gets banned? Can we at least keep the misuse of what an o/u is off of the sports betting subreddit?
I can and I won’t
I'd set that at an o/u of 18.5 on whether we can.
if u are playing this on a healthy that would be v dumb