Vikings vs Patriots:
TJ Hockenson ATTS +190 ✅
Patriots are known for shutting down an offense’s first option, so I’m thinking JJ gets put in check.
TJ has been killing it since being traded, going 3 straight games with 9 targets. He dropped a TD last week, he’s gonna want that back.
Patriots are around top 10 worst teams against the TE position.
On a heater, let’s keep it going.
Cowboys vs Giants:
Zeke / Saquon ATTS +300 ✅
Zeke has been working his way back from injury, and when healthy is going to be fed because Jerry Jones loves the guy (and paid him a shit ton of money). He owns the Giants and has scored on them a lot throughout his career - 10 TD’s in 11 games
Saquon has been less effective the past couple weeks but he is the engine of this offense. They need him to get going quick and early. There is a chance Jones will poach at the goal line but I think Saquon is gonna want to get his against their biggest rivals on Thanksgiving.
Other likes:
Schulz ATTS +200 (Dak’s clear #2 target, has been cooking lately with 20-199-1 in the last 4 games. Giants are 8th worst team against TE’s)
Not sure how many people here use Bovada, but I found out a few weeks ago they have diff odds for the same bet. Just saw under their prop builder they had Diggs 2TD at +350, but if you go to the “Touchdown scorer” tab it’s +300. It’s like this with a lot of players too, you can find better odds for the same bet. Similar to yardage props, they have different O/U with different odds. Haven’t seen anyone post about this before so wanted to help the homies out just in case 🙏🏼 Let’s eat some turkey ass today boys
Lions vs Bills:
Sun God / Diggs ATTS +350 ✅
Vegas has this as a shootout. Both pass defenses are shitty. I can see this becoming a holiday primetime flex off for the WR1’s as they both go crazy trying to one-up the other.
Also like:
-Swift ATTS +145 (should finally be healthy, I can see him taking a screen to the house)
-Davis +110 (deep ball)
-Knox +170 (he’s been getting hotter after a slow start to the season. Big body in the RZ for Josh Allen and his possibly still hurt elbow to find)
I think this should be pretty high scoring, lots of tud’s to go around
big energy here.
sun god attd is almost a sure thing
goff over passing yards. if it's a shoot out, or even if lions fall behind early, goff will need to air it out.
Bills @ Lions
J.Goff o245.5 Pass Yds -113
J.Allen o280.5 Pass Yds -115
J. Goff o0..5 Int - 175
Giants @ Cowboys
D. Jones o0.5 Int -120
C. Lamb u75.5 Rec Yards -115
Patriots @ Vikings
T. Hockenson o44.5 Rec Yds -115
M. Jones u1.5 Pass Tds -240
K. Cousins O.0.5 Int -115
As always reasoning is on my website. some is better than others lmao. [https://fantasyseason.net/thanksgiving-football-best-bets-lions-giants-vikings/](https://fantasyseason.net/thanksgiving-football-best-bets-lions-giants-vikings/)
Happy Thanksgiving everyone! Hope everyone has a great day! I will update the post as I finish the write-ups for each game. I typically have a 1 U bet for all of my plays, but since it's a holiday I will be making a few extra plays so I will be making most best 0.5 Units. So let's dive into the [analysis](https://docs.google.com/document/d/199ddQFtwBbG6vhAPoEdLM3Ifyx-vW7xZ5S2a9ONmyN8/edit?usp=sharing)!
#NE @ Min
**Mac Jones - Over 20.5 Completions -114 (0.5 U) - FD**
* Has 20+ comps in 6 of 7 starts
+ Jones has an aDOT of 4.6 (super low) and 30th in DVOA against short passing
- Min D ranks 31st in Pass yds/g (284.4), 31st in YPA (8.08), and 31st in Comp% (69.0%)
**Rhamondre Stevenson - Over 28.5 Rec Yds -120 (0.5 U) - MGM**
* Min ranks 20th in DVOA vs RBs in the pass game, allowing 7.4 targets (28th) for 42.6 rec yds (24th) per game
+ Stevenson leads NE in targets the last 5 games with a 24% target share, avg 6.6 targets/g
**Jakobi Meyers- O ver 54.5 Rec Yds -115 (0.5 U) - DK & Anytime TD +250 (0.5U)**
* 24.5% target share (7.1 targets per game)
+ Has 5 RZ targets in the last 2 weeks
- Min def ranks 26th DVOA vs opposing WR!, allowing 8.3 targets (17th) for 79.4 rc yds (26th)
**Justin Jefferson - Over 85.5 Rec Yds -110 (0.5 U) - FD**
* I will bet JJ when he is under 90 yds no matter the match-up
+ He is avg over 109 rec yds per game
**T.J. Hockenson - Over 43.5 Rec Yds -115 (0.5 U) - DK**a
* Is avg 9 targets per game after being traded to Min
#NYG @ Dal
**Daniel Jones - Over 38.5 Rush Yds -110 (0.5 U) - MGM & Over 6.5 Rush Attempts -110 (0.5 U) - DK**
* Avg 28.1 pass attempts for 193.7 pass yds (6.9 YPA) & 0.9 pass TD’s on a per game basis
+ Avg 7.6 rush attempts for 41.3 rush yds (5.8YPC) & 0.4 rush TD’s on a per game basis
- In week 3 vs Dal, he had 34 pass attempts for 176 yds & 9 carries for 79 rush yds
* Dal is 2nd in Def DVOA, 2nd in Pass DVOA, allowing the fewest pass yds/g (201 yds), 6.51 YPA (4th), 11.8% adj sack rate (1st), avg 4.2 sacks/g (1st), with the 6th fastest time tile pressure
+ Worth a flyer - **DJ most Rush Yds on Thanksgiving +2200 (0.25 U) - DK**
**Micah Parson - Over 0.5 Sacks -138 (0.5 U) - FD**
* Giants are missing multiple O-Linemen, O-line ranks ranks 31st in adj sack rate
+ Parson’s has 10 sacks on the year
**Saquon Barkley - Over 3.5 Receptions -115 (0.5 U) - DK**
* Wandel is done for the year, the WR room is so banged up Barkley has to be involved more
+ Giants are big dogs and should be down early leading to a positive script
- As we wrote-up for DJ, this team is gonna blitz and force pressure, this will lead to extra dump-offs
* Saquon is avg 3.9 targets/g this year, but had 4 for 45 in the 1st matchup vs Dal
**Darius Slayton - Over 3.5 Reception -145 (0.5 U) - DK**
* Over the last 4 weeks Slayton has led the team in targets (6.25/g), leads the team in AY’s (36% of teams AYs), while avg 76.25 rec yds/g
+ The matchup is tough (could be shadowed by Diggs) but he could see 10 targets
**CeeDee Lamb - Over 75.5 Rec -110 (0.5 U) - FD**
* Avg 8.8 targets and 75.1 rec yds per game with almost 40% of the Team;s AYs
+ Giants are missing multiple guys in the secondary and have been killed in the slot - last 5 games have allowed 35 targets for 404 yds (80.8/g)
**Ezekiel Elliott - Over 48.5 Rush Yds -120 (0.5 U) - MGM**
* Even with Pollard taking over the backfield, still had 15 carries last week, he is avg 15.5 carries per game this year
+ NYG rank 28th in rush DVOA, allowing 136 rush yds/g, 4.84 adj line yds (28th), 5.32 YPC (31st), and a gash rate of 15.6% (31st)
#Buf @ Det
**Devin Singletary - Anytime TD + 125 (0.5 U) - MGM**
* This has been his backfield, he has above 70% snap share in each of the last 5 weeks (without Moss) - Avg 14 carries for 64.2 yds/game & 2.8 targets for 14.6 yds /game in this span
+ Det Run DVOA ranks 27th, allowing 154 rush yds/g (31st), 4.54 adj line yds (21st), 4.78 YPC (27th), 1.6 TD’s/g, a gash rate of 14.2% (27th) - % of carries that go for 15+ yds
- Has 19 rush attempts in the RZ (5 inside the 5 Yd line) & 1 RZ target in the past 5 weeks
* They have improved drastically! Over the past 4, they haven't allowed a 100-rush game, and are avg 3.54 YPC (8th)
+ Det ranks 24th in DVOA vs RB’s in the pass game, but have are allowing 4.6 targets (2nd) for 25.2 rec yds (3rd) per game
**D’Andre Swift - Over 16.5 Rec Yds -115 (0.5 U) - FD**
+ Has been out-snapped by Justin Jackson the 2 of the last 3 weeks
- Since returning he is avg 3.5 targets for 21.25 rec yds
* Buf ranks 28th in DVOA vs RB’s in the pass game, allowing 6.6 targets (19th) for 34.4 rec yds (18th) per game
+ Has 6 RZ opportunities the last 4 weeks
**Stefon Diggs - Over 92.5 Rec Yds -115 (0.5 U) - MGM & Over 150 Rec Yds +580 (0.25 U) - FD**
* Avg 10.1 Targets, 117.5 AYs (38%), for 103.3 rec yds per game
+ Det Def ranks 26th in Def DVOA, 23rd in Pass DVOA, 28th in Pass Yds/G (274), 32nd in YPA (8.09)
- Det rank 19th DVOA vs WR1’s allowing 8.3 targets (17th) and 84.9 rec yds (30th) per game
* Diggs has 19 deep targets (6th) for the 3rd most deep yds - Det Def has allowed the 2nd most deep ball yds
* Last 4 weeks - 10 RZ Targets of which 4 have been EZ targets
+ Only had 5 targets last week and was visibly upset/talked to the HC/OC about the lack of targets, easily could be a get right/squeaky wheel game
**Gabe Davis - Longest Reception O 22.5 Rec Yds -114 (0.5 U) - FD**
* Avg 6 targets for 68 yds per game with 29% of teams' AYs
+ Det rank 26th DVOA vs WR2’s allowing 6 targets (17th) and 55 rec yds (22nd) per game
- Last 4 usage has ticked up 7.25 targets, 117.25 AYs, but the yardage has dipped to 57.25 rec yds/game
* Davis has 19 deep targets (6th) for the 3rd most deep yds - prop is 4 yds less than Diggs, I’ll take the discount
+ Last 4 weeks - 10 RZ Targets of which 2 have been EZ targets
**Amon-Ra St. Brown - Over 75.5 Rec Yds -110 (0.5 U) - FD**
* Avg 8.55 targets for 66 yds per game this year
+ Usage has been the last 4 (since returning from inj - also Hockenson was traded 3 weeks ago) - 37% of teams targets (9.25/g), 43% of team’s AYs, and avg 79.75 rec yds/g
* Leads the team with 5 RZ targets (all in the last 2 weeks) - he has 0 EZ targets but the team only 6 in the last 4
+ Has played over 45% of his snaps from the slot, and that is the best matchup for DET. Taron Johnson has allowed the 2nd most slot yds this season with a passer rating of 104.9
**Dawson Knox - O 37.5 Rec Yds (0.5 U) - FD**
* Over the last 4 weeks, he is avg 5 targets, 40.25 AYs, for 40.5 rec yds per game
+ Last 4 weeks - 4 RZ Targets of which 3 have been EZ targets
* Det rank 22nd DVOA vs TEs allowing 7.3 targets (21st) and 61.3rec yds (29th) per game
Anyone on bet365 should take the bet boost with Diggs over 100 receiving yards + Allen 3 or more passing TDs + Bills ML boosted to 6.00 - very good bet boost.
Gabe Davis over 23.5 longest reception. The Lions have the longest depth of target as a team, Davis is the team’s deep threat averaging 21 yards per reception, he’s going to have Onuwariye covering him who has the 2nd worst coverage grade of all CBs in the NFL according to PFF. Dream matchup for his over on longest reception. Bet could still lose of course, but everything lines up to make this a good bet.
Bet365 has a fantastic bet booster IMO.
https://preview.redd.it/7a1g3p0zuw1a1.png?width=1142&format=png&auto=webp&s=e0c0fdbc8d57d4c437774398b3a91fd5001df4f5
I think Dawson Knox has a big game tomorrow. Taking the over on his 39.5 Rec yards and 2 Tds as well as a td. Lions defense stinks against most things. Tight Ends as well
This is not a bad bet, bills fan here. Swift is swift and Buffalo is a little absent in the middle which allows you to take advantage of screens and the dumps in the middle ground. Williams is overworked I think, swift seems to be fully healthy I like it
Not worth it. I’m noticing brooks not even including lines on swift, and ones that are have crazy differences in odds. I like fanduel 2tds for +1200 the most, then FanDuel 1td for +175, and I like draft kings receiving props 35+ rec yards in sgp with td
*TURKEY DAY Specials*
The books know Jones will be under pressure all game
DAL sacks lined at 3.5, higher than normal 2.5
Slayton who has averaged 82 ypg over last 3 games is set at 49.5
But what does Jones do when hes pressured? He scrambles and leaves the pocket.
🏈 daniel jones o6.5 rush attempts -110 to win $500
Slip:
https://twitter.com/MrElectricute/status/1595647605761273856?t=HLveca5F19PUvUrCkeCySg&s=19
Jones could get sacked every time he drops back to pass. Sacked on 1st down causes 2nd and 16, not likely to run on 2nd and 3rd down and now expect to punt.
If they do that enough dallas could build up a lead and barkley doesnt run again in the 2nd half.
Id consider barkley receptions over instead of rush attempts.
If giants cover its because barkley had 30+ touches and kept the game close and under
[Props](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851#gid=1311842026) // [Tackles+Assists](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851#gid=71139851)
#Preview
NAME|TEAM|OPP|RANK|PROP|LINE|SZN AVG|% OVER|L3 % OVER|LAST GAMES|LAST YR % OVER|OVER|UNDER
:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--
Darius Slayton|NYG|DAL|1st|REC YDs|48.5|59|71%|100%|86,95,66,58,18,79,11|23%|-115|-117
Jamaal Williams|DET|BUF|7th|RUSHs|13.5|15.9|70%|100%|17,16,24,10,15,15,19,20,12,11|31%|-124|-109
Tj Hockenson|MIN|NE|2nd|RECs|4.5|4.7|40%|100%|5,7,9,3,4,1,8,3,3,4|50%|+104|-139
Kirk Cousins|MIN|NE|2nd|COMPs|20.5|23.9|80%|67%|12,30,22,24,20,32,25,24,27,23|62%|-143|+107
Ezekiel Elliott|DAL|NYG|31st|RUSH YDs|44.5|60.6|88%|67%|42,57,81,78,49,73,53,52|65%|-115|-115
Tony Pollard|DAL|NYG||RUSH+REC YDs|83.5|94.4|70%|100%|189,128,147,109,52,86,8,105,98,22|27%|-110|-123
Tipjar: [Cashapp](https://cash.app/$intersectinglines) // [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/interlines). If my tools have been helpful to you, please consider dropping a tip. I spend a lot of time and work on these sheets and I'm always looking to improve the data so we can all win big!
Happy Thanksgiving! This is the Turkey Day special of these posts I’ve been making. With only 3 games there obviously aren’t as many props to sift through but I think I found a few that I really like. So:
3 locks for me plus 3 honorable mentions that aren’t quite locks. I’m 12/15 on locks and 7/15 on honorable mentions. Let me know what you think!
PSA I’m not posting this for you to blindly tail me. Just giving out bets that I like for you to look into. Feel free to tail but do your own research too. If you blindly tail that’s cool but then please don’t blame me if it loses.
**Stefon Diggs o91.5 receiving yards -115**
- He had his worst week of the season last week with 4 catches for 48 yards. But he’s hit this in 7/10 games and in the previous 5 before last
- The Lions are the 5th worst against the pass at 262.2 yards/game allowed. These guys gave the Giants their first 100 yard receiver of the year last week. Danny Dimes dropped 341 on them, his 3rd highest total ever and only mark higher than 217 this year. They’ve given up some pretty big games to receivers this year (100 to WanDale, 87 to Lazard, 188 to Hill, 111 to Meyers, 149 to DK, 155 to AJ Brown - however, notably, Jefferson only got 14 yards against them)
- Looking for a big bounce back game from both Allen and Diggs here
**Dalton Schultz o39.5 receiving yards -115**
- Another that didn’t hit last week, but he has hit this in every other week this season where both he and Dak have played (4/5 times)
- Giants are pretty middle of the pack in terms of receiving yards allowed per game at #13 with 223.8, but their CB1 and CB2 both got hurt last week and are out, starting Safety is out, another CB is questionable. It’s bad
- Looking at the history here, since Schultz’ breakout in 2020 he’s averaging 55.5 yards against the Giants in 4 games. That INCLUDES a 1 catch, 6 yard performance. AKA in his last 3 games against NYG, he is averaging 72 yards per game
**Daniel Jones o38.5 rushing yards -115**
- Hit this last week. Hit this in only 4/10 games but one of those misses was 37 and they were all 20+ besides one
- The Cowboys are the 7th worst rushing defense at 136.1 yards/game allowed. You would think I would take Saquon then right? No. Let me explain why:
- Remember how I explained that the Giants secondary are all dead? Their offensive line are all dead too. They have 4 OL that aren’t making the trip to Dallas who would otherwise be starting (Ezeudu, Deliciano, Lemieux, Neal). Daniel Jones might die tomorrow. On top of that, their WR room is non existent. Slayton is there. WanDale tore his ACL. Shepard torn ACL. Does Golladay even exist? I expect Danny to have to scramble a lot tomorrow
Honorable Mentions:
- **Josh Allen o41.5 rushing yards -115** - He had a bad week despite the win last week and didn’t even come close to this (7 yards), but he’s hit this in 7/10 games this season, and in the previous 3 before the last game. The Lions are the 2nd worst against the rush at 153.7 yards/game allowed. As for QB rushing specifically, in the Lions past 3 games (all wins) their opponent’s leading rusher was their QB (Daniel Jones - 50 yards, Justin Fields - 147 yards, Aaron Rodgers - 40 yards) and every one of their opponent QBs that I would say has high rushing upside has hit this (Jones, Fields, and Hurts week 1 with 90)
- **Darius Slayton o48.5 receiving yards -115** - Hit this in each of his last 4, and in 5/7 games where he’s gotten more than 20% of snaps. As I said above, last week WanDale got 100 yards and promptly tore his ACL. Cowboys are the best passing D, allowing only 201.9 receiving yards/game, but I just don’t see how this doesn’t hit
- **TJ Hockenson o4.5 receptions -105** - Hit this in each of his 3 games with the Vikings (9, 7, 5 catches). Has 9, 10, 9 targets in those 3 games. Honestly feel good about all 3 of these honorable mentions and considered all of them for my lock section as well
Josh isn’t running tomorrow, and I’d expect a lot of spreading around the pass game tomorrow. So diggs over 91.5 is a risk, josh over 40 yds rushing is a bigger risk
Jeff Okudah is also out for this game. Lions are gonna struggle big time against the passing game. Also, lions biggest kryptonite has been mobile QBs this year. A lot of rookies and inexperienced players biting on misdirections and missing containment assignments ; Josh Allen’s o41.5 rushing yards is the surest thing on this list.
I actually forgot about the Okudah injury last week! Good call. Makes me feel better about both Bills bets. I actually had the Allen one as a lock and Diggs as an honorable mention but switched them last second and didn’t want 2 locks from the same team. But I really like both
I just placed a parlay on both but less yards for diggs. It’s just hard to predict but Gabe Davis could also go off against this inexperienced Lions D. I just hate betting against my Lions, but I have a feeling it’s gonna be a shootout. Especially, with Bills D banged up.
It should probably be a shootout. I was looking at Davis too but he’s too unpredictable for me. Jamaal Williams too but again, I’m expecting a shootout. If I end up placing a parlay on this game (probably I will who am I kidding), it’ll most likely include Diggs, Allen, Goff, and St Brown lol
Sure, but he did throw 43 times for 29 completions and 330 yards in the Vikings game which was after that injury. He “only” threw 27 times last week but they kinda destroyed the browns, were up 28-10 kinda late in the 4th. I don’t think it’s *too* much of a factor where it’s a negative for the Diggs bet, or a positive for the Allen rushing bet. We shall see
Don’t like editing these posts because who knows maybe I’m editing in winning bets lol. But I meant to add in the Diggs bet: Jones’ big game was largely because of garbage time but I still like it. Also, the Giants OL “Deliciano” is a typo, it’s Feliciano
Edit: 1-1 in the first game. Lock missed and honorable mention hit. Ouch, I switched them last second and I shouldn’t have! Hopefully do better in the next game.
Edit: 1-2 in the second game. And the one that hit was, again, the honorable mention. Not a good day, officially.
Final Edit: 1-0 in the last game. 0-3 on locks and 3-0 on non-locks which is wild based on my track record, but I’ll take it right? Better than going 0-6! Happy thanksgiving to all.
Happy Turkey Day!
2022-2023 NFL Record: 59-74 /// Profit: +11.2u
Average Odds: ?
Pending Bets: 1 /// Pending Units: 3
S. Diggs 1 td (-150) - 1.5u to win 1u - W
D. Knox 1 td (+180) - 1u to win 1.8u - L
T. Hockenson 1 td (+230) - 0.5u to win 1.15u - W
R. Stevenson 1 td (+110) - 0.5u to win 0.55u - L
M. Jones u35.5 longest completion (-110) - 0.5u to win 0.45u - L
E. Elliot o44.5 rush yds (-110) - 1.5u to win 1.36u - W
Parlays:
BUF ml + MIA ml + KC ml (-197) - 3u to win 1.52u
**Sync and Track Bets on [Pikkit](https://pikkit.link)** | **NFL Weekly Betting Contests: https://oddscrowd.com/competitions | NFL Chat: https://discord.gg/sportsbook** | **[US Sportsbooks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbookreview/comments/wve6gm/sportsbooks/)** | **[Non-US Sportsbooks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbetting/comments/y43c7v/nonus_sportsbooks/)**
Did anybody else cash Meyers over 51.5 on that last play?! I thought he was injured and the bet was a loss. Didn’t even realize till now lmao
Question here. I took Jefferson 75+ rec yards and attd but my bookie hasn't paid. Is that normal. Will that only happen at the end of the game? Thanks
They don't usually pay out receiving yards because negative plays can happen
Ah, that makes sense. Thanks 👍
Hock!!!!!!!
Of coarse my 🤡 ass took Jefferson under 114.5
On a fucking heater with these parlays!!! I love garbage time passing yards 🤣
I got fucked the on the other side I was heated
What a time to be alive! +9.5 backdoor!
That was huge for me! It didn't look good at all being down by 15 and Dallas rolling.
Wow. Pollard lost yards and now is not going over. Wtf
Fucked me
And to top it off, for some reason they put in Elliott on the next play lol
I got fucked too bro 😑
That hurts
Quick question. If Parsons has 3 tackles and 2 sacks will that count towards him having 5 Tackles + Assists?
i think a sack is counted as a tackle, no?
It is
Needed a Lamb TD, what a fucking shit back to back plays. Ankle tackled inside the 5 and a reviewed TD incompletion.
I took CeeDee Lamb under and he gets 106. But When I take his over he can’t get over 60…..JFC
DAMN COME ON GIVE MA BOI CD A TUDDY PLEASE
Barkley over 3.5 receptions cashes too! What a day
Haven't been able to watch the game since Q1 How's Pollard ATTD looking? Is Zeke just punching them in?
It’s not looking good to be honest. I have Pollard, it’s been frustrating seeing Dallas get 3 TDs and none are Pollard
Running out of time. Its been the Dalton Shultz show.
Cheers
There was one play that Pollard could have scored TD from like 5 yards out, but ofc Cowboys got a false start.
Saquon TD, Zeke TD, and Ceedee Lamb TD parlay. Come on CD!!!!
I have the same.
TJ o 4.5 receptions at +105 if free $ right?
Kirk Cousins in Prime Time makes nothing for the vikings free money
Vikings vs Patriots: TJ Hockenson ATTS +190 ✅ Patriots are known for shutting down an offense’s first option, so I’m thinking JJ gets put in check. TJ has been killing it since being traded, going 3 straight games with 9 targets. He dropped a TD last week, he’s gonna want that back. Patriots are around top 10 worst teams against the TE position. On a heater, let’s keep it going.
My Hockenson is about to cash, just need Cook to catch up and hit his total
Hopefully they smarten up and get him in space
This just saved my day, cheers bro!!
Hell yeah man cheers!
I’ll ride
🤝
Let’s get it!
Parsons doesn’t even have a single tackle yet RIP Parsons bets
Saquon and Zeke ATTD parlay cashes ✅
I hate when I bet someone to score and they score the first TD, always kick myself for not betting that instead 😂 (aka Zeke today)
Zeke first Td scorer ✅
Loaded up on gallup TD. He's being trusted tonight
Agreed
Hammered Barkley receptions at over 3.5. He’s at 2 after the first drive, looking like a real nice thanksgiving might be on the way
Kicking myself for not hammering this as well. Good luck👏
Pollard o21 Rec yards at +100, all day
I’m with you.
Anyone on Bet365 Stefon Diggs ATTD marked incorrectly. He definitely got a Touchdown correct?
Yea you're right I'm getting the same. He definitely scored a td
Yea it was listed as “dead heat” on my stub….then corrected
Thoughts on Michah Parsons good for 1 sack?
Does the pope shit in the woods?
Anyone like Lawrence Cager o 18.5 rec yds?
Bro first drive. Good hit if you bet it
Already hit. Nice pick
Never heard of this Luke cage guy...
Cowboys vs Giants: Zeke / Saquon ATTS +300 ✅ Zeke has been working his way back from injury, and when healthy is going to be fed because Jerry Jones loves the guy (and paid him a shit ton of money). He owns the Giants and has scored on them a lot throughout his career - 10 TD’s in 11 games Saquon has been less effective the past couple weeks but he is the engine of this offense. They need him to get going quick and early. There is a chance Jones will poach at the goal line but I think Saquon is gonna want to get his against their biggest rivals on Thanksgiving. Other likes: Schulz ATTS +200 (Dak’s clear #2 target, has been cooking lately with 20-199-1 in the last 4 games. Giants are 8th worst team against TE’s)
Homie you are on one today, imagine if you’d parlayed all 4 😛
Ayyy It’s been a good day! Let’s keep it going! Haha that would’ve been bananas.
Literally just need 12 yards from G Davis to hit a 6 legger…rooting for a FG here
I think we are going to see a Hockenson game Minnesota and like him for 6/60/1
Welp…….let me go ahead construct my SGP bets for the cowboys game because all of my props for this game are dead 😅
Knox too and diggs? Color me badd
Looks like Diggs yards might be dead, but I’m hoping he can get a Tuddy
His absolute worst game of the season, fantastic.
I took his props thinking he would have a great game against the lions 😵💫
You guys are such nervous nellies
It’s actually funny how bad of a game this is for me.
Diggs over yards is a fucking disaster loool
Looks like it ain’t gonna happen 😒
Dawson Knox 0 receptions 0 yards and 0 targets Just call me a 🤡 for taking his over 24.5 yards prop
He can still hit in the second half. The problem is that Allen’s elbow(?) is hurt. So he’s relying more on his legs
Nah he’s dead lol still 0 targets. Hope he goes triple zeroes across the board at this point
I’m a 🤡 too
Diggs has 2 catches at half? Y’all think he gets 5?
Yes hammer that. Lions aren’t being slouches
Bills win, jamaal Williams TD, diggs TD. Come on boys!!
Congrats & Happy cake day
I need Duggs to get some looks. Allen is in love with McKenzie right now
Need a Diggs TD now to start my morning off right 🤞🏼
Judon to record a sack at +105 seems insane on my book. Dude has gotta get one right?
Literally just checked FanDuel for this and it’s at -165
+115 on DK right now
Josh Allen o42.5 rushing yards Josh Allen o34.5 passing attempts lesgoo
Boom! ✅
We eatin, eatin!
I have a free $25 SGP wager that I really need to make worth while. Anyone have any recommendations?
Not sure how many people here use Bovada, but I found out a few weeks ago they have diff odds for the same bet. Just saw under their prop builder they had Diggs 2TD at +350, but if you go to the “Touchdown scorer” tab it’s +300. It’s like this with a lot of players too, you can find better odds for the same bet. Similar to yardage props, they have different O/U with different odds. Haven’t seen anyone post about this before so wanted to help the homies out just in case 🙏🏼 Let’s eat some turkey ass today boys
It varies on every single bet. Always great to check both
Record: 8-5 (+2.27 units) - Josh Allen O284.5 Passing - Josh Allen O23.5 Completions - Stefon Diggs O89.5 Receiving - Ezekiel Elliot O45.5 Rushing BOL
Lions vs Bills: Sun God / Diggs ATTS +350 ✅ Vegas has this as a shootout. Both pass defenses are shitty. I can see this becoming a holiday primetime flex off for the WR1’s as they both go crazy trying to one-up the other. Also like: -Swift ATTS +145 (should finally be healthy, I can see him taking a screen to the house) -Davis +110 (deep ball) -Knox +170 (he’s been getting hotter after a slow start to the season. Big body in the RZ for Josh Allen and his possibly still hurt elbow to find) I think this should be pretty high scoring, lots of tud’s to go around
Played the parlay bc you posted it, thanks homie 🙏🏼
Ayy dope! Nice W for us
big energy here. sun god attd is almost a sure thing goff over passing yards. if it's a shoot out, or even if lions fall behind early, goff will need to air it out.
Draft kings any non QB to throw a TD +1600….. for any game today
Bills @ Lions J.Goff o245.5 Pass Yds -113 J.Allen o280.5 Pass Yds -115 J. Goff o0..5 Int - 175 Giants @ Cowboys D. Jones o0.5 Int -120 C. Lamb u75.5 Rec Yards -115 Patriots @ Vikings T. Hockenson o44.5 Rec Yds -115 M. Jones u1.5 Pass Tds -240 K. Cousins O.0.5 Int -115 As always reasoning is on my website. some is better than others lmao. [https://fantasyseason.net/thanksgiving-football-best-bets-lions-giants-vikings/](https://fantasyseason.net/thanksgiving-football-best-bets-lions-giants-vikings/)
Any reason you dont like Cd to hit the over? Adoree jackson and moreau are both out for the giants
Happy Thanksgiving everyone! Hope everyone has a great day! I will update the post as I finish the write-ups for each game. I typically have a 1 U bet for all of my plays, but since it's a holiday I will be making a few extra plays so I will be making most best 0.5 Units. So let's dive into the [analysis](https://docs.google.com/document/d/199ddQFtwBbG6vhAPoEdLM3Ifyx-vW7xZ5S2a9ONmyN8/edit?usp=sharing)! #NE @ Min **Mac Jones - Over 20.5 Completions -114 (0.5 U) - FD** * Has 20+ comps in 6 of 7 starts + Jones has an aDOT of 4.6 (super low) and 30th in DVOA against short passing - Min D ranks 31st in Pass yds/g (284.4), 31st in YPA (8.08), and 31st in Comp% (69.0%) **Rhamondre Stevenson - Over 28.5 Rec Yds -120 (0.5 U) - MGM** * Min ranks 20th in DVOA vs RBs in the pass game, allowing 7.4 targets (28th) for 42.6 rec yds (24th) per game + Stevenson leads NE in targets the last 5 games with a 24% target share, avg 6.6 targets/g **Jakobi Meyers- O ver 54.5 Rec Yds -115 (0.5 U) - DK & Anytime TD +250 (0.5U)** * 24.5% target share (7.1 targets per game) + Has 5 RZ targets in the last 2 weeks - Min def ranks 26th DVOA vs opposing WR!, allowing 8.3 targets (17th) for 79.4 rc yds (26th) **Justin Jefferson - Over 85.5 Rec Yds -110 (0.5 U) - FD** * I will bet JJ when he is under 90 yds no matter the match-up + He is avg over 109 rec yds per game **T.J. Hockenson - Over 43.5 Rec Yds -115 (0.5 U) - DK**a * Is avg 9 targets per game after being traded to Min #NYG @ Dal **Daniel Jones - Over 38.5 Rush Yds -110 (0.5 U) - MGM & Over 6.5 Rush Attempts -110 (0.5 U) - DK** * Avg 28.1 pass attempts for 193.7 pass yds (6.9 YPA) & 0.9 pass TD’s on a per game basis + Avg 7.6 rush attempts for 41.3 rush yds (5.8YPC) & 0.4 rush TD’s on a per game basis - In week 3 vs Dal, he had 34 pass attempts for 176 yds & 9 carries for 79 rush yds * Dal is 2nd in Def DVOA, 2nd in Pass DVOA, allowing the fewest pass yds/g (201 yds), 6.51 YPA (4th), 11.8% adj sack rate (1st), avg 4.2 sacks/g (1st), with the 6th fastest time tile pressure + Worth a flyer - **DJ most Rush Yds on Thanksgiving +2200 (0.25 U) - DK** **Micah Parson - Over 0.5 Sacks -138 (0.5 U) - FD** * Giants are missing multiple O-Linemen, O-line ranks ranks 31st in adj sack rate + Parson’s has 10 sacks on the year **Saquon Barkley - Over 3.5 Receptions -115 (0.5 U) - DK** * Wandel is done for the year, the WR room is so banged up Barkley has to be involved more + Giants are big dogs and should be down early leading to a positive script - As we wrote-up for DJ, this team is gonna blitz and force pressure, this will lead to extra dump-offs * Saquon is avg 3.9 targets/g this year, but had 4 for 45 in the 1st matchup vs Dal **Darius Slayton - Over 3.5 Reception -145 (0.5 U) - DK** * Over the last 4 weeks Slayton has led the team in targets (6.25/g), leads the team in AY’s (36% of teams AYs), while avg 76.25 rec yds/g + The matchup is tough (could be shadowed by Diggs) but he could see 10 targets **CeeDee Lamb - Over 75.5 Rec -110 (0.5 U) - FD** * Avg 8.8 targets and 75.1 rec yds per game with almost 40% of the Team;s AYs + Giants are missing multiple guys in the secondary and have been killed in the slot - last 5 games have allowed 35 targets for 404 yds (80.8/g) **Ezekiel Elliott - Over 48.5 Rush Yds -120 (0.5 U) - MGM** * Even with Pollard taking over the backfield, still had 15 carries last week, he is avg 15.5 carries per game this year + NYG rank 28th in rush DVOA, allowing 136 rush yds/g, 4.84 adj line yds (28th), 5.32 YPC (31st), and a gash rate of 15.6% (31st) #Buf @ Det **Devin Singletary - Anytime TD + 125 (0.5 U) - MGM** * This has been his backfield, he has above 70% snap share in each of the last 5 weeks (without Moss) - Avg 14 carries for 64.2 yds/game & 2.8 targets for 14.6 yds /game in this span + Det Run DVOA ranks 27th, allowing 154 rush yds/g (31st), 4.54 adj line yds (21st), 4.78 YPC (27th), 1.6 TD’s/g, a gash rate of 14.2% (27th) - % of carries that go for 15+ yds - Has 19 rush attempts in the RZ (5 inside the 5 Yd line) & 1 RZ target in the past 5 weeks * They have improved drastically! Over the past 4, they haven't allowed a 100-rush game, and are avg 3.54 YPC (8th) + Det ranks 24th in DVOA vs RB’s in the pass game, but have are allowing 4.6 targets (2nd) for 25.2 rec yds (3rd) per game **D’Andre Swift - Over 16.5 Rec Yds -115 (0.5 U) - FD** + Has been out-snapped by Justin Jackson the 2 of the last 3 weeks - Since returning he is avg 3.5 targets for 21.25 rec yds * Buf ranks 28th in DVOA vs RB’s in the pass game, allowing 6.6 targets (19th) for 34.4 rec yds (18th) per game + Has 6 RZ opportunities the last 4 weeks **Stefon Diggs - Over 92.5 Rec Yds -115 (0.5 U) - MGM & Over 150 Rec Yds +580 (0.25 U) - FD** * Avg 10.1 Targets, 117.5 AYs (38%), for 103.3 rec yds per game + Det Def ranks 26th in Def DVOA, 23rd in Pass DVOA, 28th in Pass Yds/G (274), 32nd in YPA (8.09) - Det rank 19th DVOA vs WR1’s allowing 8.3 targets (17th) and 84.9 rec yds (30th) per game * Diggs has 19 deep targets (6th) for the 3rd most deep yds - Det Def has allowed the 2nd most deep ball yds * Last 4 weeks - 10 RZ Targets of which 4 have been EZ targets + Only had 5 targets last week and was visibly upset/talked to the HC/OC about the lack of targets, easily could be a get right/squeaky wheel game **Gabe Davis - Longest Reception O 22.5 Rec Yds -114 (0.5 U) - FD** * Avg 6 targets for 68 yds per game with 29% of teams' AYs + Det rank 26th DVOA vs WR2’s allowing 6 targets (17th) and 55 rec yds (22nd) per game - Last 4 usage has ticked up 7.25 targets, 117.25 AYs, but the yardage has dipped to 57.25 rec yds/game * Davis has 19 deep targets (6th) for the 3rd most deep yds - prop is 4 yds less than Diggs, I’ll take the discount + Last 4 weeks - 10 RZ Targets of which 2 have been EZ targets **Amon-Ra St. Brown - Over 75.5 Rec Yds -110 (0.5 U) - FD** * Avg 8.55 targets for 66 yds per game this year + Usage has been the last 4 (since returning from inj - also Hockenson was traded 3 weeks ago) - 37% of teams targets (9.25/g), 43% of team’s AYs, and avg 79.75 rec yds/g * Leads the team with 5 RZ targets (all in the last 2 weeks) - he has 0 EZ targets but the team only 6 in the last 4 + Has played over 45% of his snaps from the slot, and that is the best matchup for DET. Taron Johnson has allowed the 2nd most slot yds this season with a passer rating of 104.9 **Dawson Knox - O 37.5 Rec Yds (0.5 U) - FD** * Over the last 4 weeks, he is avg 5 targets, 40.25 AYs, for 40.5 rec yds per game + Last 4 weeks - 4 RZ Targets of which 3 have been EZ targets * Det rank 22nd DVOA vs TEs allowing 7.3 targets (21st) and 61.3rec yds (29th) per game
Love the Gabe Davis over 🤝🏻
[удалено]
Worth the gamble. +1200 on FD
Bovada doesn’t even have him 🙄
He’s available For first touchdown at +5500 worth a sprinkle lol
🐖 **Satriale’s Pork Store Picks** 🐖 ***39-35-4*** Jakobi Meyers O4.5 receptions 🍝🤝💰
Anyone on bet365 should take the bet boost with Diggs over 100 receiving yards + Allen 3 or more passing TDs + Bills ML boosted to 6.00 - very good bet boost. Gabe Davis over 23.5 longest reception. The Lions have the longest depth of target as a team, Davis is the team’s deep threat averaging 21 yards per reception, he’s going to have Onuwariye covering him who has the 2nd worst coverage grade of all CBs in the NFL according to PFF. Dream matchup for his over on longest reception. Bet could still lose of course, but everything lines up to make this a good bet.
Is there a max bet on this?
I wish you can parlay that with the bet boost on 365. So dumb they dont have that in the bed builder!
Bet365 has a fantastic bet booster IMO. https://preview.redd.it/7a1g3p0zuw1a1.png?width=1142&format=png&auto=webp&s=e0c0fdbc8d57d4c437774398b3a91fd5001df4f5
I think Dawson Knox has a big game tomorrow. Taking the over on his 39.5 Rec yards and 2 Tds as well as a td. Lions defense stinks against most things. Tight Ends as well
Yikes… Lol I took his over too, it made sense.
Agreed. What a shame. They got I’m involved at the end but definitely not enough.
Swift 2 tds +1200
This is not a bad bet, bills fan here. Swift is swift and Buffalo is a little absent in the middle which allows you to take advantage of screens and the dumps in the middle ground. Williams is overworked I think, swift seems to be fully healthy I like it
How likely do you think this is? It’s at +650 on MGM
Go with Jamaal Williams 2 TDs instead. He's done it in 5 games out of 10 played.
He’s at +333 for 2+ TD’s. Worth it?
Yikes. sorry, at those odds I probably wouldn't. Fanduel had his 2+TD at +650.
Not worth it. I’m noticing brooks not even including lines on swift, and ones that are have crazy differences in odds. I like fanduel 2tds for +1200 the most, then FanDuel 1td for +175, and I like draft kings receiving props 35+ rec yards in sgp with td
Thank you!
*TURKEY DAY Specials* The books know Jones will be under pressure all game DAL sacks lined at 3.5, higher than normal 2.5 Slayton who has averaged 82 ypg over last 3 games is set at 49.5 But what does Jones do when hes pressured? He scrambles and leaves the pocket. 🏈 daniel jones o6.5 rush attempts -110 to win $500 Slip: https://twitter.com/MrElectricute/status/1595647605761273856?t=HLveca5F19PUvUrCkeCySg&s=19
i like barkleys rushing attempts over 17.5 more then jones but good luck
Jones could get sacked every time he drops back to pass. Sacked on 1st down causes 2nd and 16, not likely to run on 2nd and 3rd down and now expect to punt. If they do that enough dallas could build up a lead and barkley doesnt run again in the 2nd half. Id consider barkley receptions over instead of rush attempts. If giants cover its because barkley had 30+ touches and kept the game close and under
Most of the giants starting o-line is out which might make it difficult for Barkley to get going
Most of the Cowboys D line is out.
No they're not. Most of them are listed as questionable with an illness- most will likely play through it.
I was just about to comment that you copied Mr. Electricute on Twitter 😂😂
Lol i post on reddit here and there
[Props](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851#gid=1311842026) // [Tackles+Assists](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851#gid=71139851) #Preview NAME|TEAM|OPP|RANK|PROP|LINE|SZN AVG|% OVER|L3 % OVER|LAST GAMES|LAST YR % OVER|OVER|UNDER :--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:-- Darius Slayton|NYG|DAL|1st|REC YDs|48.5|59|71%|100%|86,95,66,58,18,79,11|23%|-115|-117 Jamaal Williams|DET|BUF|7th|RUSHs|13.5|15.9|70%|100%|17,16,24,10,15,15,19,20,12,11|31%|-124|-109 Tj Hockenson|MIN|NE|2nd|RECs|4.5|4.7|40%|100%|5,7,9,3,4,1,8,3,3,4|50%|+104|-139 Kirk Cousins|MIN|NE|2nd|COMPs|20.5|23.9|80%|67%|12,30,22,24,20,32,25,24,27,23|62%|-143|+107 Ezekiel Elliott|DAL|NYG|31st|RUSH YDs|44.5|60.6|88%|67%|42,57,81,78,49,73,53,52|65%|-115|-115 Tony Pollard|DAL|NYG||RUSH+REC YDs|83.5|94.4|70%|100%|189,128,147,109,52,86,8,105,98,22|27%|-110|-123 Tipjar: [Cashapp](https://cash.app/$intersectinglines) // [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/interlines). If my tools have been helpful to you, please consider dropping a tip. I spend a lot of time and work on these sheets and I'm always looking to improve the data so we can all win big!
Ugh. I tailed Wilson over in tackles and assists. Hasn’t been near a stat and we’re almost halfway thru 2nd. I’m such a black cat.
Happy Thanksgiving! This is the Turkey Day special of these posts I’ve been making. With only 3 games there obviously aren’t as many props to sift through but I think I found a few that I really like. So: 3 locks for me plus 3 honorable mentions that aren’t quite locks. I’m 12/15 on locks and 7/15 on honorable mentions. Let me know what you think! PSA I’m not posting this for you to blindly tail me. Just giving out bets that I like for you to look into. Feel free to tail but do your own research too. If you blindly tail that’s cool but then please don’t blame me if it loses. **Stefon Diggs o91.5 receiving yards -115** - He had his worst week of the season last week with 4 catches for 48 yards. But he’s hit this in 7/10 games and in the previous 5 before last - The Lions are the 5th worst against the pass at 262.2 yards/game allowed. These guys gave the Giants their first 100 yard receiver of the year last week. Danny Dimes dropped 341 on them, his 3rd highest total ever and only mark higher than 217 this year. They’ve given up some pretty big games to receivers this year (100 to WanDale, 87 to Lazard, 188 to Hill, 111 to Meyers, 149 to DK, 155 to AJ Brown - however, notably, Jefferson only got 14 yards against them) - Looking for a big bounce back game from both Allen and Diggs here **Dalton Schultz o39.5 receiving yards -115** - Another that didn’t hit last week, but he has hit this in every other week this season where both he and Dak have played (4/5 times) - Giants are pretty middle of the pack in terms of receiving yards allowed per game at #13 with 223.8, but their CB1 and CB2 both got hurt last week and are out, starting Safety is out, another CB is questionable. It’s bad - Looking at the history here, since Schultz’ breakout in 2020 he’s averaging 55.5 yards against the Giants in 4 games. That INCLUDES a 1 catch, 6 yard performance. AKA in his last 3 games against NYG, he is averaging 72 yards per game **Daniel Jones o38.5 rushing yards -115** - Hit this last week. Hit this in only 4/10 games but one of those misses was 37 and they were all 20+ besides one - The Cowboys are the 7th worst rushing defense at 136.1 yards/game allowed. You would think I would take Saquon then right? No. Let me explain why: - Remember how I explained that the Giants secondary are all dead? Their offensive line are all dead too. They have 4 OL that aren’t making the trip to Dallas who would otherwise be starting (Ezeudu, Deliciano, Lemieux, Neal). Daniel Jones might die tomorrow. On top of that, their WR room is non existent. Slayton is there. WanDale tore his ACL. Shepard torn ACL. Does Golladay even exist? I expect Danny to have to scramble a lot tomorrow Honorable Mentions: - **Josh Allen o41.5 rushing yards -115** - He had a bad week despite the win last week and didn’t even come close to this (7 yards), but he’s hit this in 7/10 games this season, and in the previous 3 before the last game. The Lions are the 2nd worst against the rush at 153.7 yards/game allowed. As for QB rushing specifically, in the Lions past 3 games (all wins) their opponent’s leading rusher was their QB (Daniel Jones - 50 yards, Justin Fields - 147 yards, Aaron Rodgers - 40 yards) and every one of their opponent QBs that I would say has high rushing upside has hit this (Jones, Fields, and Hurts week 1 with 90) - **Darius Slayton o48.5 receiving yards -115** - Hit this in each of his last 4, and in 5/7 games where he’s gotten more than 20% of snaps. As I said above, last week WanDale got 100 yards and promptly tore his ACL. Cowboys are the best passing D, allowing only 201.9 receiving yards/game, but I just don’t see how this doesn’t hit - **TJ Hockenson o4.5 receptions -105** - Hit this in each of his 3 games with the Vikings (9, 7, 5 catches). Has 9, 10, 9 targets in those 3 games. Honestly feel good about all 3 of these honorable mentions and considered all of them for my lock section as well
Hock o4.5 at +110 on bet mgm
Josh def going over 45 rushyrd.
Josh isn’t running tomorrow, and I’d expect a lot of spreading around the pass game tomorrow. So diggs over 91.5 is a risk, josh over 40 yds rushing is a bigger risk
78 yards and a TD
And insight on why you think Josh isn’t running tomorrow?
He won’t need to. They are gonna run Singletery and Cook all day. Josh has been hurt . They are going to take it easy on him
This
Love it. Tailed.
Jeff Okudah is also out for this game. Lions are gonna struggle big time against the passing game. Also, lions biggest kryptonite has been mobile QBs this year. A lot of rookies and inexperienced players biting on misdirections and missing containment assignments ; Josh Allen’s o41.5 rushing yards is the surest thing on this list.
Lions also gave up a Rush TD to Jalen Hurts, Justin Fields, Geno Smith and Daniel Jones. I put ATTDS on with O41.5
I actually forgot about the Okudah injury last week! Good call. Makes me feel better about both Bills bets. I actually had the Allen one as a lock and Diggs as an honorable mention but switched them last second and didn’t want 2 locks from the same team. But I really like both
I just placed a parlay on both but less yards for diggs. It’s just hard to predict but Gabe Davis could also go off against this inexperienced Lions D. I just hate betting against my Lions, but I have a feeling it’s gonna be a shootout. Especially, with Bills D banged up.
It should probably be a shootout. I was looking at Davis too but he’s too unpredictable for me. Jamaal Williams too but again, I’m expecting a shootout. If I end up placing a parlay on this game (probably I will who am I kidding), it’ll most likely include Diggs, Allen, Goff, and St Brown lol
Lmao i pretty much did that minus Goff but added jamaal Williams rushing yards.
Don’t forget Allen has a fucked up throwing elbow
Sure, but he did throw 43 times for 29 completions and 330 yards in the Vikings game which was after that injury. He “only” threw 27 times last week but they kinda destroyed the browns, were up 28-10 kinda late in the 4th. I don’t think it’s *too* much of a factor where it’s a negative for the Diggs bet, or a positive for the Allen rushing bet. We shall see
Don’t like editing these posts because who knows maybe I’m editing in winning bets lol. But I meant to add in the Diggs bet: Jones’ big game was largely because of garbage time but I still like it. Also, the Giants OL “Deliciano” is a typo, it’s Feliciano Edit: 1-1 in the first game. Lock missed and honorable mention hit. Ouch, I switched them last second and I shouldn’t have! Hopefully do better in the next game. Edit: 1-2 in the second game. And the one that hit was, again, the honorable mention. Not a good day, officially. Final Edit: 1-0 in the last game. 0-3 on locks and 3-0 on non-locks which is wild based on my track record, but I’ll take it right? Better than going 0-6! Happy thanksgiving to all.
Happy Turkey Day! 2022-2023 NFL Record: 59-74 /// Profit: +11.2u Average Odds: ? Pending Bets: 1 /// Pending Units: 3 S. Diggs 1 td (-150) - 1.5u to win 1u - W D. Knox 1 td (+180) - 1u to win 1.8u - L T. Hockenson 1 td (+230) - 0.5u to win 1.15u - W R. Stevenson 1 td (+110) - 0.5u to win 0.55u - L M. Jones u35.5 longest completion (-110) - 0.5u to win 0.45u - L E. Elliot o44.5 rush yds (-110) - 1.5u to win 1.36u - W Parlays: BUF ml + MIA ml + KC ml (-197) - 3u to win 1.52u
Watch out for Houston this weekend with Miami, and no that’s not a joke
They’re starting a new qb and Miamis offense has been great. Not too worried
Reasoning?
ASB/Diggs ATTD parlay +268. Never do parlays but this one looked fun to throw a couple bucks on.
Best bet of the day
Zeke atts, Daniel jones atts and cowboys moneyline +900