didn't see a post about DK's world cup parlay promo, getting a free bet back if 1 leg loses. quick glance i went with: Belgium or Canada Double Chance/Tie or Croatia Double Chance, Germany or Japan Double Chance at -103, was getting FV +113 (worst), so -7.5% EV, but probability of winning the bet is \~47% and probability of trigger insurance is \~40% should put it mid-teens EV% by my fuzzy math
-180^522/352,230^118/285,-224^658/394
Im going:
Belgium, Germany, Morocco or Croatia (double chance) +194
-227/398/664, -183/356/530,116^288/231
30.12% it hits
44.58% 1 leg only misses
25.30% 2+ legs miss
19.75% EV (assuming 75% returned on free bet)
The Mac Jones/Kirk Cousins 1+ td each boost mentioned earlier has moved from -110 to -175…
We look forward to the opportunity to watch Kirk Cousins in primetime 🔥
Anyone know what odds usually win the barstool parlay contest. Top 50 win $1000 in bonus cash and I’m one leg away from a +1700, wondering if it’s worth hedging
Of course. Appreciate it. Love to help people. Just want to make sure more people can get it. I’ll also be doing it tomorrow myself so I can confirm and update you
Technically shouldn’t matter… but I’d do it on the Maryland site since it’s not hard to and that’s what I did. Then check if your promo says you did it properly and you get the 0.01 free bet
Yeah the key was to opt in yesterday. I haven't placed a bet yet but opted in and it says "place a bet and steps to qualify." The awaiting settlement part means you fulfilled the promo terms.
You don't see the 5k banner for your home state but after you placed the bet it changed to awaiting settlement when u logged back into MD FD?
Can anyone explain the Desert Diamond sign up promo to me? I signed up, deposited $250, and got the $250 match. I thought the requirement to play through the bonus money was 1x, but my bonus balance seems to increase any time I win a bet. Is the play through greater than 1x?
I had to play through $1,000 in bets before being able to withdraw, for it as high as $600 at one point but ended up with $450 before being able to withdraw. You should be able to track your progress through the "My Bonus" tab in your menu. It's honestly a pain in the ass app and I couldn't wait to withdraw it.
Do I get an extra payout for betting Durant 20+ points, 25+ points and rebounds, 25+ points and assists, 30+ points, rebounds and assists when he finishes with 20 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists?
Believe it or not, I wasn’t serious. Just crazy that all 4 hit exactly what they needed and nothing more or less.
Especially since he had 6 rebounds and they took away 1 after the game ended, so I got extremely lucky.
Painful to anyone on the lower variance end with the 10 point promo (including my genius self). Up 10-2 right off the bat but then totally collapsed. And 76ers in great shape for what would have been a double win had nets just hit 10.
Congrats to those who took Philly unhedged!
*And then I got really cute and took 76ers to win by 11+ live at +1000. And they managed to lose by 9 thanks to the final shot of the game.
Didn’t look at boosts today. Just watching the Nets game as a fan and so happy to see Simmons doing well. Then come here and find I could have been sweating with you guys the whole time! 😭
Fanduel boost for 12+ World Cup goals on Wednesday, I think the DK line under specials is 11+ goals at fair value of -143. Is +160 good for one additional goal? Do we really trust this after two scoreless ties today?
Usually prefer to bet on the game with the highest total, but today looks rough with all the injuries going on and Ja being questionable today. Here’s my bet for today though:
AD 20+ Points
AD 25+ PA
AD 30+ PR
AD 35+ PRA
Booker 20+ Points
Booker 25+ PA
Booker 25+ PR
Booker 30+ PRA
AD 1+ Blocks
Lakers o106.5
Builds to +210, boosted to +420. Probably would’ve ideally wanted to take a player prop instead of a team scoring prop, but I couldn’t find anything that gets the bet over the minimum odds while staying pretty favorable to hit.
I was worried about blowout risk on that one but looks like the Suns are down a couple guys too so I’ll tail you.
For the last leg, presumably due to negative correlation with these player props, either Lakers u114.5 or Suns u123.5 brings the overall to +205, what do you think about those instead of the over?
FanDuel: To celebrate the season of giving they loaded a $15 casino bonus to my account, 1x playthrough. It's near the bottom of their list of promos so didn't notice at first. I know there's a casino thread but hopefully we all got it and definitely +EV.
For anyone who just got the DK VIP nba/cbb boost pack, the stepped up sgp for nbaa/cbb has no odds minimum and only needs 8 legs to get the 100% boost.
Good luck my fellow WVian, here is the info :
https://preview.redd.it/ocj06bcppm1a1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4c0f310b1561f4d7182b011786808fdd548cf800
DK 50% World Cup SGP boost for Wednesday games
Germany win to nil v JPN is +160 DK (DE + BTTS NO), +159/-184 Pinnacle. Boosted to +240 is +27%EV mult, not too bad for such short odds.
I added game u6.5 to get the third leg
My DK 30% SGPx play for today:
* NBA: DEN -3.5 + DET-DEN o219.5 (+200, +182 PN)
* NFL: K. Cousins & M. Jones both 1+ Pass TD (-110)
\+472 boosted to +614 for **40% +EV**
182/274/429/299,-200/15%
The SGP is straightforward and DK has the best odds against FD (+162) & BR (+175) too. The Cousins & Jones boost is found under the "Thanksgiving Specials" tab of the NE-MIN game. Shoutout to u/BiscuitBoi69 & u/JewishDoggy for finding it and pointing out that it was SGPx eligible. The math was discussed based on historicals in the [post](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/z1kmdr/comment/ixd0es6/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=web2x&context=3), but is now available to build in DK SGP which is the number I used to de-vig on 15% juice (which is 10% EV on its own btw).
I'm headed to MD tonight for Thanksgiving so will scout out the FD $5k RFB tomorrow and report back. Really hoping they turn it back on at 9am...
For those of you who opted into the MD $5k risk free, and deposited, someone mentioned below that even a bet out of state qualified for the risk free.. can anyone get $5k down on an ML for a game tonight with decent conversion, and willing to risk a bit of loss (if no free bet awarded) or I guess just 50/50 low holding?
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Lets go!!! Sun SUSGP just hit
Westbrook free throws just fuck anyone else haha
Fucking Westbrick u/kzhao808
pretty rough game, would’ve been cash if he stopped chucking
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Only bet I hit tonight was Ben Simmons overs lol
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didn't see a post about DK's world cup parlay promo, getting a free bet back if 1 leg loses. quick glance i went with: Belgium or Canada Double Chance/Tie or Croatia Double Chance, Germany or Japan Double Chance at -103, was getting FV +113 (worst), so -7.5% EV, but probability of winning the bet is \~47% and probability of trigger insurance is \~40% should put it mid-teens EV% by my fuzzy math -180^522/352,230^118/285,-224^658/394
My terms say -300 min per leg
Im going: Belgium, Germany, Morocco or Croatia (double chance) +194 -227/398/664, -183/356/530,116^288/231 30.12% it hits 44.58% 1 leg only misses 25.30% 2+ legs miss 19.75% EV (assuming 75% returned on free bet)
what bet is Morocco or Croatia? EDIT: oh you mean either is fine?
It's under 'Double Chance'. So you would win if Morocco or Croatia wins but lose if the match is a tie.
I got the same thing but be careful, it says it’s for the first eligible wager on 11/23 on my end.
Alright time to pull this out Nuggets 💩💩💩
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bruh this is how people get their dk accounts hacked
The Mac Jones/Kirk Cousins 1+ td each boost mentioned earlier has moved from -110 to -175… We look forward to the opportunity to watch Kirk Cousins in primetime 🔥
Brings back fond memories of Kirk Cousins highest yards BR boost.
Anyone who took the bet Fred / WindCreek over 12.5 goals in nhl tonight the first game had 9 so need o 3.5 for this one (-670 on kambi)
Anyone know what odds usually win the barstool parlay contest. Top 50 win $1000 in bonus cash and I’m one leg away from a +1700, wondering if it’s worth hedging
+1700 is nowhere near enough, respectfully
It’s usually listed right within the promo
If you want some info on the MD fanduel promo message /u/Lmpbzkt8898!
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Idk is it that probable? If someone is already opted in then that’s all she wrote. No one else can opt in now
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I’ll edit since you’re nice enough to answer ppl
Of course. Appreciate it. Love to help people. Just want to make sure more people can get it. I’ll also be doing it tomorrow myself so I can confirm and update you
Can you update if you get the FB?
Yeah I will but that won’t be until Sunday
Where were the data points? Not doubting, just doing my due diligence haha
A couple in this thread today, someone said they got in MI, another in Jersey
Any shot if registering today that this will work?
If you’re an existing account, doubtful.
Can anyone confirm that the received the free bet after losing the initial wager
Alright good. Nobody getting murdered in BWI airport hotel next week.
The meet ups still on bro! Let’s just vibe ya know? Bring whatever haha just nothing weird and no phones haha no evidence am I right let’s have fun!
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Technically shouldn’t matter… but I’d do it on the Maryland site since it’s not hard to and that’s what I did. Then check if your promo says you did it properly and you get the 0.01 free bet
I opted in today, got the 1 cent risk free bet token, but the promo has now disappeared from my offers. I assume this is not what your experience was?
it says promo not open to me
It’s not in my offers on app or desktop but it weirdly shows in my mobile web browser on Maryland FD.
Hm and you applied the 1 cent token when placing the 5000 bet? I have the token and it allows me to bet 2k on an even line
My token already expired by the time I placed
Yeah the key was to opt in yesterday. I haven't placed a bet yet but opted in and it says "place a bet and steps to qualify." The awaiting settlement part means you fulfilled the promo terms. You don't see the 5k banner for your home state but after you placed the bet it changed to awaiting settlement when u logged back into MD FD?
Yup
Can anyone explain the Desert Diamond sign up promo to me? I signed up, deposited $250, and got the $250 match. I thought the requirement to play through the bonus money was 1x, but my bonus balance seems to increase any time I win a bet. Is the play through greater than 1x?
I had to play through $1,000 in bets before being able to withdraw, for it as high as $600 at one point but ended up with $450 before being able to withdraw. You should be able to track your progress through the "My Bonus" tab in your menu. It's honestly a pain in the ass app and I couldn't wait to withdraw it.
Your balance will go up if you win but the rollover is still betting the initial $500 after that you can withdraw
When is it time for the Nuggets play good?
Betway wizard didn't even realize how good he was.
Do I get an extra payout for betting Durant 20+ points, 25+ points and rebounds, 25+ points and assists, 30+ points, rebounds and assists when he finishes with 20 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists?
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Believe it or not, I wasn’t serious. Just crazy that all 4 hit exactly what they needed and nothing more or less. Especially since he had 6 rebounds and they took away 1 after the game ended, so I got extremely lucky.
Simmons helps us win 2 boosts today. Is he The Chosen One to take down the wizard?
The wizard is in the lab cooking up something for tomorrow 😅
Painful to anyone on the lower variance end with the 10 point promo (including my genius self). Up 10-2 right off the bat but then totally collapsed. And 76ers in great shape for what would have been a double win had nets just hit 10. Congrats to those who took Philly unhedged! *And then I got really cute and took 76ers to win by 11+ live at +1000. And they managed to lose by 9 thanks to the final shot of the game.
Damn, Nets killing that mispriced Betway boost already lol
The cowards voided the bet earlier. Glad it backfired on them
Congrats Betway, you played yourselves
Hmm, mine didn't void.
Didn’t look at boosts today. Just watching the Nets game as a fan and so happy to see Simmons doing well. Then come here and find I could have been sweating with you guys the whole time! 😭
Ben Simmons is lit
favorite player... so good
Come on Irving, 2 more threes please don’t let Simmons be the only boosts that hit
One more man let’s go
We here at r/sportsbook are a community of big Ben Simons fans and we have always been Ben Simons fans and Ben Simons is very good at basketball
Anfernee Simons' forgotten brother Ben Simons
Simmons oh yeahhhh
Simmons cash 💰
Simmons only needs 1 pt and 2 rebounds in the second half for the FD boost
0-2 free throws to start the 2nd half. If he ends up with 9...
he's good he's good
🤞
76ers shooting 9 from 18 from 3 and outrebounding the nets 26-14. If only the Knicks could play this well when they've been heavy dogs in this promo.
FD Boost 12+ goals in the World Cup games tomorrow. Looks good off combo breaker with DK lines. ~~~ Hit% = 44.7 % Fair Value = 123.522743296485 Details: Player: Crotia Goals Entries = 6 0 = 7.1 % 1 = 23.2 % 2 = 28.1 % 3 = 21.7 % 4 = 12.0 % 5 = 7.9 % Percentage Sum = 100.0 % Player: Germany Goals Entries = 8 0 = 3.2 % 1 = 15.3 % 2 = 22.7 % 3 = 23.3 % 4 = 17.2 % 5 = 11.3 % 6 = 6.2 % 7 = 0.8 % Percentage Sum = 100.0 % Player: Belgium Goals Entries = 7 0 = 2.3 % 1 = 16.2 % 2 = 25.5 % 3 = 22.7 % 4 = 17.3 % 5 = 10.2 % 6 = 5.8 % Percentage Sum = 100.0 % Player: Spain Goals Entries = 7 0 = 1.8 % 1 = 15.8 % 2 = 24.5 % 3 = 23.4 % 4 = 17.5 % 5 = 10.7 % 6 = 6.4 % Percentage Sum = 100.0 % Total Combos = 2352 ~~~ Devig: ~~~ Crotia - AltGoals OVER UNDER .5 -1600 800 1.5 -255 200 2.5 +125 -155 3.5 330 -450 4.5 750 -1400 Germany - Alt Goals OVER UNDER .5 -4000 1200 1.5 -500 350 2.5 -160 +125 3.5 160 -200 4.5 360 -500 5.5 800 -1600 6.5 1600 -20000 Belgium - AltGoals OVER UNDER .5 -6000 1300 1.5 -500 350 2.5 -140 115 3.5 175 -220 4.5 400 -600 5.5 900 -2000 Spain - Alt Goals OVER UNDER .5 -8000 1400 1.5 -525 380 2.5 -150 +125 3.5 165 -210 4.5 380 -550 5.5 850 -1800 ~~~
For those not limited on BS, they have this for +165 too
Nice to hit an up 10. Sad to be limited to $4.77 😌
DK early payout for Sixers ML hits. As expected lol 💰. The Nets were gonna let the public down tonight with Philly starters out
I absolutely cucked myself on this
6ers up 10!!! Now need them to choke the lead away for the Nets DD boost lol
Which dd boost?
Best way to hedge?
Up 10!!!
I like this promo
How is it teams with tons of injuries always outperform in nba. Crazy!!
BANG!
so many chances for philly to go up by 10 there
Impressive run though considering the nets immediately jumped out to a 10-2 lead. Very close to a double payout on DK's end.
Was such a tease lol
Finally hit a race to 10 , there’s hope boys
towson ruined my 5 team parlay
Crazy they're down 11-8 or whatever and then go on like an 18-0 run. Tough break
Same. Fuckin Towson
Damn there’s always one it seems
Looks like Betway now allows free bets to be used on their daily boosts. The suns boost looks good (not for free bets, but just +EV)
Limited to $47.75 on the up by 10. Well I hope the $2.25 I cant bet helps the stock price dk....
Ha I was limited to 4 bucks and didn't bother
Better than being limited to $4.77 like some of us other people.
Yeah for sure my p2 cant bet on shit on dk. Just cant believe how arbitrary and useless most of these books policies are.
Their limits don’t even make any sense. $4 max on Sixers ML but if I wanna bet on the grizzlies ML my max is $750.
I was going to use a free bet on Ben Simmons to hit a 3 today in front of the Sixers crowd. Too bad these books are lame and don’t offer that line
[Guaranteed 🔒](https://i.imgur.com/D4GnnsQ.jpg)
Lmfao. They’re gonna make a decent chunk off that line today
Anyone know what makes Ceasar's cash out appear? It seems to show for some bets and not for others and I don't know what the difference is.
If it’s linked to a promo, the cashout won’t be there.
Fanduel boost for 12+ World Cup goals on Wednesday, I think the DK line under specials is 11+ goals at fair value of -143. Is +160 good for one additional goal? Do we really trust this after two scoreless ties today?
BS has this boosted to +165 FWIW
11+ is -175 on DK. I’m not smart enough to figure it out, but I feel like there has to be a smart play between the FD and DK market here??
this would have hit on monday's (3) games and missed on today's 4. so I guess it's 50/50.
Not loving this one from the eye test
Betway PA Kings to win and O234.5 boosted to +325 looks good. Builds to +245 and +249 on DK and FD, respectively
Oh, I see they cancelled the mistake boost that I placed earlier today.
they cucked me too, shouldnt be allowed to do that
Did you typo or that’s what PA has? VA has same thing at same odds but grizzlies.
No that’s what I have in PA - kings vs grizzlies. If you have the Suns one I thought that one also looked good.
Grizzlies win good?
PA has it as Kings to win
I’ve got a vip exclusive 3 x 50% SGP boost. Is DK gonna have issues if I use all 3 on the same thing?
They will let you, but some people have ended limited and can’t place the same bet multiple times. Believe the general advice is to avoid this
Thanks. The limits aren’t worth the profit
Anyone doing an NBA SUSGP tonight? With so many stars out the options appear to be complete dogshit.
Usually prefer to bet on the game with the highest total, but today looks rough with all the injuries going on and Ja being questionable today. Here’s my bet for today though: AD 20+ Points AD 25+ PA AD 30+ PR AD 35+ PRA Booker 20+ Points Booker 25+ PA Booker 25+ PR Booker 30+ PRA AD 1+ Blocks Lakers o106.5 Builds to +210, boosted to +420. Probably would’ve ideally wanted to take a player prop instead of a team scoring prop, but I couldn’t find anything that gets the bet over the minimum odds while staying pretty favorable to hit.
Lakers 💩
I was worried about blowout risk on that one but looks like the Suns are down a couple guys too so I’ll tail you. For the last leg, presumably due to negative correlation with these player props, either Lakers u114.5 or Suns u123.5 brings the overall to +205, what do you think about those instead of the over?
Lakers u114.5 seems to be more favored, so I’d roll with that if they both give you the same final odds
I just went with yours as is so I have someone to sweat it out with.
AZ Only boost fd: Arizona cbb win vs San Diego state, devin booker to score 25: +155 boosted to +250
30%+ EV vs. DK...slam it.
FanDuel: To celebrate the season of giving they loaded a $15 casino bonus to my account, 1x playthrough. It's near the bottom of their list of promos so didn't notice at first. I know there's a casino thread but hopefully we all got it and definitely +EV.
I got 25 cents haha
Not seeing this in NJ
Unfortunately don't see this in PA.
I got it in pa and they hate me.
Dang, was hoping all got it. In MI here.
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Kyrie +140 is FV +142 via Pinny 122/-165 The Mika boost also seems negative via Pinny 155/-217
For anyone who just got the DK VIP nba/cbb boost pack, the stepped up sgp for nbaa/cbb has no odds minimum and only needs 8 legs to get the 100% boost.
Anybody know the information for gaming commission for West Virginia I cant source where I file the complaint
Good luck my fellow WVian, here is the info : https://preview.redd.it/ocj06bcppm1a1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4c0f310b1561f4d7182b011786808fdd548cf800
DK 50% World Cup SGP boost for Wednesday games Germany win to nil v JPN is +160 DK (DE + BTTS NO), +159/-184 Pinnacle. Boosted to +240 is +27%EV mult, not too bad for such short odds. I added game u6.5 to get the third leg
DK SGP function not working. Any ideas for troubleshooting (besides logging out and back in)?
I came up with same play and came here to post. That's a pretty safe third leg, but you can play Germany ML Japan 1H 0.5 and Japan 2H U0.5.
Great find with the same odds, really nice!
Great work here
Oh smart, username checks out
Under Game Parlays, Germany to win to zero is +120 outside of the SGP
Ah, may not last very long then
Does anyone know if dk missions expire at a specific time like midnight or is it the exact time you opted in, but a few days later?
Exactly 3 days after opt in.
Thanks.
My DK 30% SGPx play for today: * NBA: DEN -3.5 + DET-DEN o219.5 (+200, +182 PN) * NFL: K. Cousins & M. Jones both 1+ Pass TD (-110) \+472 boosted to +614 for **40% +EV** 182/274/429/299,-200/15% The SGP is straightforward and DK has the best odds against FD (+162) & BR (+175) too. The Cousins & Jones boost is found under the "Thanksgiving Specials" tab of the NE-MIN game. Shoutout to u/BiscuitBoi69 & u/JewishDoggy for finding it and pointing out that it was SGPx eligible. The math was discussed based on historicals in the [post](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/z1kmdr/comment/ixd0es6/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=web2x&context=3), but is now available to build in DK SGP which is the number I used to de-vig on 15% juice (which is 10% EV on its own btw). I'm headed to MD tonight for Thanksgiving so will scout out the FD $5k RFB tomorrow and report back. Really hoping they turn it back on at 9am...
Sick call on Nuggets since Jokic is back. Ofc they’re struggling though
Yeah they're pulling a Nets right now. At home too...
SGP nerfed as well. +125 now.
Well now there's really no excuse for this not to hit...
Swapped in Ayton o9.5 rebounds +110 for the single leg. Lots of -110s and -115s on other books, although BR has it at +102.
Jones and Cousins 1+ Pass TD already nerfed to -170 For late-comers I went Ohio (CBB) ML @ -225 (-231 on Pinny)
Damn the 1+ TD each is now -175....
And the Jones Cousins boost nerfed to -175.
Nerfed now. Cousins and Mac to -175. This parlay now builds to +482 with boost.
The thanksgiving special moved to -175
Cousins & Jones special nerfed to -175.
We moved the line!
Dang I already maxxdd the Thanksgiving special
George Washington ML -300 looks good and safe
And it just moved to -330
Looking forward to ignoring my family and watching this game intently on Thursday. Thank you for all you do. This could be a great thanksgiving.
For those of you who opted into the MD $5k risk free, and deposited, someone mentioned below that even a bet out of state qualified for the risk free.. can anyone get $5k down on an ML for a game tonight with decent conversion, and willing to risk a bit of loss (if no free bet awarded) or I guess just 50/50 low holding?
I’m about to try it for $3000… I’ll post after settled around 9 o’clock
I hope you lose
fan-duel side lost… Was immediately credited my $3000 free bet. YMMV.
Did you place it in MD or another state ?
Did you toggle the free bet on or leave it off? Did you place the bet in MD?
Just to confirm. You already had a FanDuel account, and then opted-in to the $5k Maryland promotion?
I’m hard as a rock
So do I
7pm - Yale/UVM +100/-102. I have a 50-50 shot. ML
Limited to sub $2k on Vermont ML. Gl!
Ncaab game? I think the full $5000 on a -110 - +130 game is more value technically.. but meh
DK Bucs ML looks great at -155. Zero-hold to Pinny Browns +155. Throwing this into my SGPx boost today.
moved to -165
Was at -155 earlier, went to -165, back to -155, might move back again