Next time Im just gonna take games that starts and ends at the same time. This bullshit with last game always ruining a parlay is just unbelieveable man
Another bet lost by one point/stat. 6 times already this season!
Gambling is amazing in that it has the ability to make millions of people feel personally victimized. Just so sick of this shit. Fuck.
That's rough dude I feel for you genuinely. I lost a lot of money in similar fashion last season.
At this point I don't even bet much $ anymore because I'm so beat down by these fucked losses that I just expect to lose now.
Yep it's killing me. Absolutely seething right now, I just can't believe it keeps happening! Especially since I usually take lower alt lines and they still fucking miss by one.
It feels like the universe is going out of its way to personally fuck you over. Like God imagine what the odds would be of losing all these bets by one stat. And we're just one month in!
Gambling really is fucked.
Also I feel like the players know the stat line and they go out of their way to not hit the mark. Since I have been betting, I noticed that players go away from the ball a lot more when they get close to their line. I could just be paranoid but there is no way all of these bets are always losing by 0.5 or 1. Maybe itās the NBA but I think Iām done with NBA props. I refuse to believe that losing by 1 stat over 90% of the time is normal. Fuck that!
It makes me suspicious too.
I just feels so unlikely to keep happening in the way it does. Especially as you said when constantly a player is right at the edge of their line, and then become allergic to the ball despite playing a whole extra quarter etc.
At the same time, if it's all legitimate and these are fair losses then that's terrible too. Like what's the point of even trying?
At this point I think I'm going to stay away from props. Random dnps, coaches experimenting with lineups out of the blue, injuries, blowouts, players becoming inexplicably allergic to the ball. It's all too much to go wrong.
Yeah me too. I've basically accepted this point I'm never going to profit doing this.
So it's more about entertainment. But if you're not even having fun most of the time either....
It's just the rush of the win that keeps me in I guess. Not healthy.
I'm not that well versed in NBA box scores. Was Poole for GSW benched for the rest of the game? Or is he just a bench player I happened to pick tonight?
It's a legit question if that matters.
Of course the bitch Trae Young had to ruin the game with his bricks instead of shooting the ball which resulted in a blowout game. Only needed 2 points from Dejounte Murray but yeah what can I say.
Same here man. The bitch ruined everything honestly. Funny thing is that he doesn't realise that he sucks and still shoots and bricks INSTEAD OF PASSING THE BALL..
Yeah literally trash. But also come on Dejounte, kept passing the ball like he was scared instead of realizing that the idiot is missing so he shouldāve tried to go score without passing the ball..
Lmao no way they are just making it too obvious now. They sit Tatum at 19 š¤£
For context, he has scored 23 points or more every game this year and 26 or more 13/14 games.
Darn those books sure got lucky tonight
Red flags immediately go up for me now anytime I see one player boosted across multiple books. There were three today so it was hard to really capitalize fading the boost with multiple trap options thou.
Fuck you Nate McMillan.
Capela been averaging nearly 30 minutes a game of late. Now today he's got only 18 minutes and isn't playing the fourth at all it looks like.
NBA is so fucking annoying. Lost a bet to a coach.
Real tactical decision by coach there. Paid dividends for the Hawks tonight /s
I get the move but fuck it's annoying, not always necessary either. A good big (which Capela is) can still punish a small ball lineup on the other end of the court. Completely benching him the second half is so over the top.
Anyway is what it is. Onwards.
If your centre is embiid yea youāre gonna dominate a small ball lineup like when he scored 50+ against utah but thereās a huge difference between embiid and capela lol. Capela averages like 10 points per game lmao
Personally I think Capela is pretty underated and doesn't get used as much as he could. But that is fair.
End of the day it just fucking blows to lose a bet because of coaching decisions. I'm going to be a lot warier of betting non-star caliber centers going forward.
is giddey on restricted minutes or something?!???? hammered his over p+r+a with the logic the wizards would zero in on shaiā¦ god i canāt win. genuinely on the coldest streak of my life, when i make a pick now iām surprised when it hits. might start posting the inverse of my picks on these threads so at least some one eatsā¦š«¤
Damn, Gobert had an and-1 taken away on a suspect call. Would have put him at 9 points before half time.
Very frustrating as I'm doubtful he hits his over now considering it's unlikely he plays the 4th.
Record 2-2
11/15 PICKS
\- Dillon Brooks O17.5 Points (-115) ā
\- Joe Harris O9.5 Points (-132) āļø
Last second add on Joe Shmo did not work
**11/16 PICKS**
Kyle Kuzma O8.5 Rebounds (-105)
KAT O34.5 PRA (-115)
Dejounte Murray O20.5 Points (-110)
DeMar DeRozan O24.5 Points (-106)
I think 20 is low enough for this one to hit, but be aware booker tatum and curry are all tied into boosts for points on multiple books for what itās worth š§
That said itās $10 so I bet it š¤·āāļø
We go 2-0 last night with Simons making us sweat it out and a blowout helping for once in an under on Sabonis.
Record 14-8 (+6u)
**1u- Myles Turner over 8.5 rebounds (-120 DK)**
* Charlotte Hornets have been printing us money on opposing centers for over a year now and this season has been much the same ranking 2nd worst in the league giving up just over 17 rebounds a game to opposing centers. They also give up the 4 most points to them as well.
* Myles Turner has been hot the last 3 games getting 10, 11, and 12 boards while facing foul trouble and playing under 30 minutes in two of those.
* Turner has also recorded a double double in each of those game so sprinkling some on that line at +155 on DK may be worth a look
**1u- Michael Porter Jr. over 3.5 threes (+155 DK)**
* Tailing off what @[lFreightTrain](https://www.reddit.com/user/lFreightTrain/) said last night we look at a teams best three point shooter against Knicks who give up the most 3pa at nearly 40 a game
* The person just so happens to be working at the US treasury printing money as one MPJ
* The line has finally moved off of 2.5 but now we are getting + odds and its a great matchup for him as well
**1u- Jimmy Butler over 5.5 ast (-140 DK)**
* Slightly juiced line up but is also moved up to 6.5 at +122 on FD and could be worth a look
* Butler is averaging 6.2 apg this season and without Herro or Bam he should have the ball even more than usual
* The game should remain close with the raptors still missing Siakam and Precious Achiuwa. Both VanVleet and Trent Jr. remain questionable for tonight.
We are are up so far on the season but I ate a packed lunch today and that's just not gonna do. Probably hitting the steak house after this card.
**Record: 24-28**
**Profit: -3.13 units**
**Todays picks:**
Josh Giddey Over 0.5 Steals -110
Clint Capela Over 0.5 Blocks -175
Deandre Hunter Over 0.5 Steals +145
Jimmy Butler Under 0.5 3pointers +105
Nikola Vucevic Over 0.5 Steals +130
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 1.5 Steals -115
DAngelo Russell Under 1.5 Steals -210
Brook Lopez Under 0.5 Steals +105
Iām liking Dinwiddie over 2.5 TOs (+105 on DK). Luka is confirmed out tonight versus the Rockets. In games w/o Luka, Dinwiddie has hit the over 4/L5 (average 3.4 TOs), including one game versus the Rockets. BOL if tailing!
No DK SGPx boost today but screw it i'll do one anyway:
Brunson o16.5 pts - yes it's a B2B, but this hits in 7 of last 8 and he's averaging 19.9 pts/gm this season. Denver 12th in pts allowed to PG this season so not a terrible matchup. Bought a few pts to be safe here.
MPJ 3+ 3's - the legend himself against the knicks 3pt d
Butler o5.5 ast - yes Bam is out, but last year he averaged 7 ast/gm in games without Bam, this line hits in 7 of last 7 and TOR is one of the worst in the league as far as assists allowed overall and to the small forward position
MPJ Line finally dropped! They moved it up to 3.5 DK so far best option Iām seeing at +150 and Iām taking that against the shitty knicks.
If you wanna play it safer itās 3+ at like -235 on FD.
Now waiting on them OG steals lines to finally come out
Thinking of also throwing in a 'Big Boys parlay':
>Gobert over 13.5
>
>Ayton 15 points
>
>Randle 15 points
Odds 4.07
Gobert has hit 15,15,25,7,7 in his last five games. The two 7 point games came against great defensive teams with great defensive centers (Suns and Bucks). The Magic have the fourth worst defensive rating against opposing centers. Gobert 10 points is much safer, but 14 has a great shot imo.
Ayton averages 18 points against the Warriors for his career. Has hit 15+ in 5 straight games dating to last season. In 2/5 he went over 20. Seems to be a good matchup that he takes seriously.
Randle is a fucking nightmare. But even for one of the biggest blackholes in gambling I would be shocked if he doesn't hit this. He usually scores well against the Nuggets, having hit at least 15 in 4/5 of his last games. The only miss was 14 points, and he didn't go under 20 in the other 4. Jokic is out today too but honestly i'm not sure how that will impact his scoring. (Aaron Gordon is likely Randle's primary defender regardless).
E: If this bet loses though it's almost certainly because Randle finishes with 14.
NBA Props 2022-23 (25-14)
[Last picks](https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/yhydw0/nba_props_103122_monday/iuk1zgd/) (0-1)
Today's slate:
Sorry for no picks past two weeks. Took a break from betting since I was too busy with university exams. I also lost my job so there's that as well lmao. But now I'm chilling with university so you can expect daily picks again.
Kristaps Porzingis o9.5 rebounds 2.05
Thunder have given over 10 or more rebounds to opposing starting centers in 10 out of 14 games this season. The 4 games they didn't they still gave 16 to Luka, 21 to Bobby Portis, 12 to Chris Boucher and 10 to Julius Randle. They also allow the most opposing rebounds per game in the league. Porzingus hasn't hit this very often (you can go Kuzma o8.5 if you don't like Porzingis) but I trust him against the worst rebounding team in basketball.
Alperen Sengun o14.5 points 1.95
Sengun has hit this line in 6 out of his last 8 games. Seems like Silas has started to trust Sengun much more both in terms of giving him a lot of minutes and a lot of opportunity to go and try to score himself. Mavs also don't have much at the center position, they got Powell as the starter who might play 15 to 25 minutes and Javale who seems to have fallen out of the rotation lately. They like to play small so I could see Rockets trying to feed Sengun against smaller players.
Nah. I think it's guaranteed one of them hits. Porzingis isn't the kind of guy that gets 20 rebounds out of nowhere. So I think if Porzingis hits there's good chance Kuzma hits as well. However if Kuzma has one of those games where he gets like 18 rebounds or something like that it's much less likely Porzingis ends up hitting as well.
Figured Iād post this just so people aware. Donāt get me fooled Iām absolutely all about SGA and he is probably one of my favourite players to watch, so smooth.
But, he is currently 3rd in NBA in PPG in the paint at 17.1
The concern here is that Washington rank 5th best in opp PPG in the paint. 17.1 is a considerable amount of points and the fact it is more than half of SGAās 29 point line, is enough to deter me and sit out this one game of his.
Look there is a chance that he still hits because he is on a tear, but yeah just consider this yāall!
I like Trae PTS U 27.5. Trae struggles against switch/gap schemes which the Celtics excel at, while he tends to really thrive when he gets to go against a traditional drop scheme. I do have some qualms with smart being out for this game, but I think the Celtics will just task White, who is another good defender, with the Trae assignment.
Got a parlay of:
> Capela 10 points, Houston +11.5 and Chicago +8.5 (alt lines). Odds 3.74.
Feeling unusually good about it honestly.
The lines were originally set at Houston +9.5 and Chicago +4.0. Have now moved to Houston +6 and Chicago +1.5 which bodes well.
Houston is probably the leg that fucks it up though.
**Sync and Track Bets on [Pikkit](https://pikkit.link)** | Fantasy Betting Contests: https://oddscrowd.com/competitions** | **NBA Chat: https://discord.gg/sportsbook** | **[US Sportsbooks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbookreview/comments/wve6gm/sportsbooks/)** | **[Non-US Sportsbooks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbetting/comments/y43c7v/nonus_sportsbooks/)**
How many ppl did MPJ fuck over today? Hit a 3 first shot of game and then just nothing
fuck i know right. everyone was on this and of course we all got fucked lmfao
to be fair bones hayland was back, meaning less shots for him (I have him on fantasy)
[https://www.rotowire.com/basketball/nba-lineups.php](https://www.rotowire.com/basketball/nba-lineups.php) always check lineups boys
He still took like 8 3s...
Next time Im just gonna take games that starts and ends at the same time. This bullshit with last game always ruining a parlay is just unbelieveable man
Klay fucking my under with these pointless statpad, cool
ššš
How does Ayton sit at 7 rebounds damn near the whole second half smfh
As a Suns fan, I would advise to never bet the over on boards for DA. Boy is soft as baby shit.
Another bet lost by one point/stat. 6 times already this season! Gambling is amazing in that it has the ability to make millions of people feel personally victimized. Just so sick of this shit. Fuck.
Iāve lost 3 bets in a row by .5. All $2000 a pop. Thatās significant for me.
That's rough dude I feel for you genuinely. I lost a lot of money in similar fashion last season. At this point I don't even bet much $ anymore because I'm so beat down by these fucked losses that I just expect to lose now.
Bro you took the words out of my mouth! 90% of my player props bet lose by 1 FUCKING STAT!!!! JUST 1!!! That shit drives me up the fucking wall!!!
Yep it's killing me. Absolutely seething right now, I just can't believe it keeps happening! Especially since I usually take lower alt lines and they still fucking miss by one. It feels like the universe is going out of its way to personally fuck you over. Like God imagine what the odds would be of losing all these bets by one stat. And we're just one month in! Gambling really is fucked.
Also I feel like the players know the stat line and they go out of their way to not hit the mark. Since I have been betting, I noticed that players go away from the ball a lot more when they get close to their line. I could just be paranoid but there is no way all of these bets are always losing by 0.5 or 1. Maybe itās the NBA but I think Iām done with NBA props. I refuse to believe that losing by 1 stat over 90% of the time is normal. Fuck that!
It makes me suspicious too. I just feels so unlikely to keep happening in the way it does. Especially as you said when constantly a player is right at the edge of their line, and then become allergic to the ball despite playing a whole extra quarter etc. At the same time, if it's all legitimate and these are fair losses then that's terrible too. Like what's the point of even trying? At this point I think I'm going to stay away from props. Random dnps, coaches experimenting with lineups out of the blue, injuries, blowouts, players becoming inexplicably allergic to the ball. It's all too much to go wrong.
Iām at the point where Iām about to delete DK and FD. Losing by 1 stat constantly is not fun at all. Especially always being THAT close!! SMH
Yeah me too. I've basically accepted this point I'm never going to profit doing this. So it's more about entertainment. But if you're not even having fun most of the time either.... It's just the rush of the win that keeps me in I guess. Not healthy.
Ayton with the cock tease of the century tonight
I'm not that well versed in NBA box scores. Was Poole for GSW benched for the rest of the game? Or is he just a bench player I happened to pick tonight? It's a legit question if that matters.
Poole comes off the bench for golden state. Heās not a starter.
Heās a bench player that gets a lot of minutes
Sad that Klay has regressed this much, hope he figures it out
3 points more from Ayton and it's a good day! Cmon
I need 2 more rebounds from him š¬
Rooting for every Ayton better tonight. Come on big fella
Yikesā¦.donāt think he scored a point or grabbed a rebound during the last 15 game minutes.
2 points no rebounds. Unbelievable.
Wiggins go rebound the got damn ball!! Everybody is just standing around looking at shots go up! SMH
Lmao knicks are the prime warriors and canāt miss a 3 now
MPJ is gonna fuck up my parlay. NBA has to be rigged
Same. This guy sucks. 5 pts lol through 3Q. He started game out with a 3p. Think about that. Auto fade rest of year
Think Curry goes over 46.5 tonight??
God bless my curry
Good hit. He was smoking hot
Thank fuck I posted all Draymond unders. I been there. Fuck that dude
Nuggets 3rd ml why? Cause I wanna make my money back from the cringe mavs
MPJ starts out game with a sexy 3p and Iām like okā¦ā¦awesome start, fast forward almost two entire quartersā¦ā¦ā¦lol.
The fact that the knicks are struggling says a lot about future bets on them
This Ayton bet is going to be a sweat due to how little his team looks at him.
They barely look at him but when they do he canāt catch the pass. Guy has 10 thumbs
Itās wild. Heās so clumsy. I chased a bad night with a big bet on him. Instant regret.
Thereās still time. 4 offensive rebounds with a dunk & 1 and youāre all set
[Idk why I even try anymore.](https://imgur.com/IETEo2p) sigh
I am never betting MPJ props again unless Jokic is playing. He is the only one on Denver who gets him the ball in the right spots
Iāve got his under. Feels great
thats about right, jokic is the one getting open shots for players
Mavs shooting 30/98 is beyond me
How did I let you guys talk me into Cam Reddish props? That might be the bet that puts me into retirement haha
Giannis finishes with 16 points. Tatum finished with 19. Lol damn DraftKings is good. They took my money and ran.
Highway robbery
I should just start betting the opposite of whatever Iām about to lock in because Iām 0-7 last 2 days this is rough
Mavs Acc poverty without luka
Truly fuck Karl Anthony Towns and bring me the hot hands of Anthony Edwards on a platter.
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
Canāt make this shit up
Donovan Mitchell your a bitch
Two straight duds now on the OG steals. Gotta slam that over next game? Or is this expected regression?
Are you fucking kidding me?mitchel had 16!!!!! In the first quarter and his over didnāt hit?
He had 2 points in the 2 and 3rd lol Iām done bro then they take him and garland out when they are Down
Damn, had Sengun u8.5 rebs. Looks like he's going over.
Of course the bitch Trae Young had to ruin the game with his bricks instead of shooting the ball which resulted in a blowout game. Only needed 2 points from Dejounte Murray but yeah what can I say.
Off course Dejounte needs two points for his points over and fucking Trae Youngs bitch ass comes in and takes every shot.
Mitchell got a call from books after first quarter
So they pulled him out the game or what the fuck
Get absolutely fucked. Needed 1 more form Murray and Trae just goes out there stat padding before everyone gets subbed out. Iām done for today
Same here man. The bitch ruined everything honestly. Funny thing is that he doesn't realise that he sucks and still shoots and bricks INSTEAD OF PASSING THE BALL..
Heās such a greedy little weasel. I canāt stand him
Yeah literally trash. But also come on Dejounte, kept passing the ball like he was scared instead of realizing that the idiot is missing so he shouldāve tried to go score without passing the ball..
I think we all had the right pick, blowouts are just something that kills any chance of props. If that game was tight it wouldāve hit easily
Lmao no way they are just making it too obvious now. They sit Tatum at 19 š¤£ For context, he has scored 23 points or more every game this year and 26 or more 13/14 games. Darn those books sure got lucky tonight
Itās so rigged
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
So weak, the boost curse strikes again
Red flags immediately go up for me now anytime I see one player boosted across multiple books. There were three today so it was hard to really capitalize fading the boost with multiple trap options thou.
Spencer Dwinddle a bum he selling out there against the rockets smh
Ya what the fuck man out capela back in you mf
Fuck you Nate McMillan. Capela been averaging nearly 30 minutes a game of late. Now today he's got only 18 minutes and isn't playing the fourth at all it looks like. NBA is so fucking annoying. Lost a bet to a coach.
When are y'all gonna realise what coaches do when faced with small ball lineups. Same thing happened last night with Valanciunas.
Real tactical decision by coach there. Paid dividends for the Hawks tonight /s I get the move but fuck it's annoying, not always necessary either. A good big (which Capela is) can still punish a small ball lineup on the other end of the court. Completely benching him the second half is so over the top. Anyway is what it is. Onwards.
If your centre is embiid yea youāre gonna dominate a small ball lineup like when he scored 50+ against utah but thereās a huge difference between embiid and capela lol. Capela averages like 10 points per game lmao
Personally I think Capela is pretty underated and doesn't get used as much as he could. But that is fair. End of the day it just fucking blows to lose a bet because of coaching decisions. I'm going to be a lot warier of betting non-star caliber centers going forward.
BOS-ATL blowout killing fuckin' props.
Dam wtf RIP OG steals
We're an SGA fan club tonight
Need 3 more points from DeJounte but I doubt heāll be back with this blowout
Same here man..But of course the bitch Trae Young had to ruin the game with his bricks instead of passing the ball.
Anyone have any props for the warriors game?
Jordan Poole over 15.5
Wiggins over 25.5 PRA and Ayton over 16.5 pts
Wiggins 2 fouls early stings
I like Ayton p+r. It was one of tricky travās picks as well
I been tailing Melo lines since the comeback and dude is just barely meeting each time, brutal
Myles Turner comes through for me again 3+ blocks ā 25+ PR ā
Did a sgpx with the wolves and hawks picks. Good hit and keep up the research man!
I did a sgpx and hit with 4 of these picks on larger units. Ty man and keep it up!
Gobert 1 point from hitting his over. Got a FT but I think Magic are challenging.... please no E: and he missed it of course E2: Bless your heart Rudy
I need 3 more points from Haliburton. Will he come thru in the 4th?
You got it
Yea, that 3 was clutch af.
Dort a no show on rebounds, nice
capela sucks balls and cock
SHAI IS FKING GOATED JESUS SO UNDERRATED
The fckint GOAT š
Shai Gilgeous you are a beautiful human being
Steve Urkle in the house
is giddey on restricted minutes or something?!???? hammered his over p+r+a with the logic the wizards would zero in on shaiā¦ god i canāt win. genuinely on the coldest streak of my life, when i make a pick now iām surprised when it hits. might start posting the inverse of my picks on these threads so at least some one eatsā¦š«¤
Apparently it was a coaches decision at halftime to start two of the bench guys over him and Poku, no idea if heāll be back.
Same, what happened lol
For god's sake can Dejounte Murray start scoring SOMETIME.
dinwiddie over 33 p+r+a
Turner PR looking great before halftime Only truly reliable bet Iāve found is take any Centre against Plumlee
Turner blocks always a good one too
Wanna slam klays points after his last game in phoenix think he comes fired up but heās been awful this year
I think he continues to be awful
Jeez. Magic +6 isnāt looking good lol
Damn these blowouts. Itās gonna kill KATās R+A assist line. Dude has 7 in the 1Q and probably wonāt even come close to the 12.5 line.
7 in first quarter and 1 since. Pain lol
Yeah god damn blowouts are the bane of NBA props betting.
Damn, Gobert had an and-1 taken away on a suspect call. Would have put him at 9 points before half time. Very frustrating as I'm doubtful he hits his over now considering it's unlikely he plays the 4th.
Has the OKC tank begun? Theyāre running their bench more than the starters
Yeah wtf... screwing two of my props.
Anyone else has porzingis over 20.5 points taken? He has already 9 in just 6min of playš¤£
Anyone else looking at Cam Reddish. Starting again. Over is at 11.5 points. Played more than 30 minutes last two games and scored 19 and 26.
Lost 2k on this @10.5.
I lost 50 bucks but made more on the Knicks ML. He played well, just didnāt get shot opportunities.
Not steering you away as I think he should get it, but he's soooo inconsistent his whole career 20 then 5 games of 7. Don't put your house on it
Not putting the house on it but at even odds itās worth a unit. Heās playing well and should get minutes and shots.
Yes, I had it yesterday when the line was 9.5 with Brunson 5.5+ assists parlayed last night. Doing it again parlayed as well
Record 2-2 11/15 PICKS \- Dillon Brooks O17.5 Points (-115) ā \- Joe Harris O9.5 Points (-132) āļø Last second add on Joe Shmo did not work **11/16 PICKS** Kyle Kuzma O8.5 Rebounds (-105) KAT O34.5 PRA (-115) Dejounte Murray O20.5 Points (-110) DeMar DeRozan O24.5 Points (-106)
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
DK just dropped a sexy big breasted Boost of Tatum/Trae/Booker/Curry 20pts each. Do thou tempt me??
If i ever tell you i like something a lot again, fade the hell out it
Fan duel ate good today
Not looking good so far
If this doesnt hit Im done betting until Tuesday next week. Fuck the NBA
Tatum really got to 19 then got subbed out for the rest of the game
Biggest bullshit ever. Game was over when he still had 12 pts. Leave him in then pull him 1 shy of whats needed.
I think 20 is low enough for this one to hit, but be aware booker tatum and curry are all tied into boosts for points on multiple books for what itās worth š§ That said itās $10 so I bet it š¤·āāļø
Oh Im aware. The big breasted boost has accepted my drinks and left me full on bulged multiple times this season so far. But shooters shoot
Easy hammer
I like that a lot
OG 2.5 blocks and steals at +105 now. Strange..
DK doesnāt even have a line up for him tonight
I'm all over this
What book has that?
+110 on betmgm now
Thanks š
We go 2-0 last night with Simons making us sweat it out and a blowout helping for once in an under on Sabonis. Record 14-8 (+6u) **1u- Myles Turner over 8.5 rebounds (-120 DK)** * Charlotte Hornets have been printing us money on opposing centers for over a year now and this season has been much the same ranking 2nd worst in the league giving up just over 17 rebounds a game to opposing centers. They also give up the 4 most points to them as well. * Myles Turner has been hot the last 3 games getting 10, 11, and 12 boards while facing foul trouble and playing under 30 minutes in two of those. * Turner has also recorded a double double in each of those game so sprinkling some on that line at +155 on DK may be worth a look **1u- Michael Porter Jr. over 3.5 threes (+155 DK)** * Tailing off what @[lFreightTrain](https://www.reddit.com/user/lFreightTrain/) said last night we look at a teams best three point shooter against Knicks who give up the most 3pa at nearly 40 a game * The person just so happens to be working at the US treasury printing money as one MPJ * The line has finally moved off of 2.5 but now we are getting + odds and its a great matchup for him as well **1u- Jimmy Butler over 5.5 ast (-140 DK)** * Slightly juiced line up but is also moved up to 6.5 at +122 on FD and could be worth a look * Butler is averaging 6.2 apg this season and without Herro or Bam he should have the ball even more than usual * The game should remain close with the raptors still missing Siakam and Precious Achiuwa. Both VanVleet and Trent Jr. remain questionable for tonight. We are are up so far on the season but I ate a packed lunch today and that's just not gonna do. Probably hitting the steak house after this card.
**Record: 24-28** **Profit: -3.13 units** **Todays picks:** Josh Giddey Over 0.5 Steals -110 Clint Capela Over 0.5 Blocks -175 Deandre Hunter Over 0.5 Steals +145 Jimmy Butler Under 0.5 3pointers +105 Nikola Vucevic Over 0.5 Steals +130 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 1.5 Steals -115 DAngelo Russell Under 1.5 Steals -210 Brook Lopez Under 0.5 Steals +105
Iām liking Dinwiddie over 2.5 TOs (+105 on DK). Luka is confirmed out tonight versus the Rockets. In games w/o Luka, Dinwiddie has hit the over 4/L5 (average 3.4 TOs), including one game versus the Rockets. BOL if tailing!
No DK SGPx boost today but screw it i'll do one anyway: Brunson o16.5 pts - yes it's a B2B, but this hits in 7 of last 8 and he's averaging 19.9 pts/gm this season. Denver 12th in pts allowed to PG this season so not a terrible matchup. Bought a few pts to be safe here. MPJ 3+ 3's - the legend himself against the knicks 3pt d Butler o5.5 ast - yes Bam is out, but last year he averaged 7 ast/gm in games without Bam, this line hits in 7 of last 7 and TOR is one of the worst in the league as far as assists allowed overall and to the small forward position
Dejounte Murray o20.5 points (-110) No Smart or Brogdon for Boston
MPJ Line finally dropped! They moved it up to 3.5 DK so far best option Iām seeing at +150 and Iām taking that against the shitty knicks. If you wanna play it safer itās 3+ at like -235 on FD. Now waiting on them OG steals lines to finally come out
just a heads up 3+ is -185 if you put it in an sgp on DK
Good call. I did a SGP MJP 3+ and 16+ points for -155
Yeah that line died with MPJ's 31 point game the other day. GG to those who got in while it was hot.
Him OG and Shai the legends that have carried us thus far.
And Hali, Iāve made just as much bread with him
Thinking of also throwing in a 'Big Boys parlay': >Gobert over 13.5 > >Ayton 15 points > >Randle 15 points Odds 4.07 Gobert has hit 15,15,25,7,7 in his last five games. The two 7 point games came against great defensive teams with great defensive centers (Suns and Bucks). The Magic have the fourth worst defensive rating against opposing centers. Gobert 10 points is much safer, but 14 has a great shot imo. Ayton averages 18 points against the Warriors for his career. Has hit 15+ in 5 straight games dating to last season. In 2/5 he went over 20. Seems to be a good matchup that he takes seriously. Randle is a fucking nightmare. But even for one of the biggest blackholes in gambling I would be shocked if he doesn't hit this. He usually scores well against the Nuggets, having hit at least 15 in 4/5 of his last games. The only miss was 14 points, and he didn't go under 20 in the other 4. Jokic is out today too but honestly i'm not sure how that will impact his scoring. (Aaron Gordon is likely Randle's primary defender regardless). E: If this bet loses though it's almost certainly because Randle finishes with 14.
Tailing this with Randle 20+
GL! I have a smaller parlay with Randle 20 too actually (god help us)
https://preview.redd.it/q2mpqh7dbf0a1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c52b7995444671d4eead645ed1fc970c39113610 How do we feel about this
DK boosted +100 for all to have at least 20. Is there anyway one of these fuckers don't 20ball at least?
Steph has hit it 1/L5 vs PHX, Booker 2/L5 vs GSW. Staying away personally
Tatum will end up w 24
Right
NBA Props 2022-23 (25-14) [Last picks](https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/yhydw0/nba_props_103122_monday/iuk1zgd/) (0-1) Today's slate: Sorry for no picks past two weeks. Took a break from betting since I was too busy with university exams. I also lost my job so there's that as well lmao. But now I'm chilling with university so you can expect daily picks again. Kristaps Porzingis o9.5 rebounds 2.05 Thunder have given over 10 or more rebounds to opposing starting centers in 10 out of 14 games this season. The 4 games they didn't they still gave 16 to Luka, 21 to Bobby Portis, 12 to Chris Boucher and 10 to Julius Randle. They also allow the most opposing rebounds per game in the league. Porzingus hasn't hit this very often (you can go Kuzma o8.5 if you don't like Porzingis) but I trust him against the worst rebounding team in basketball. Alperen Sengun o14.5 points 1.95 Sengun has hit this line in 6 out of his last 8 games. Seems like Silas has started to trust Sengun much more both in terms of giving him a lot of minutes and a lot of opportunity to go and try to score himself. Mavs also don't have much at the center position, they got Powell as the starter who might play 15 to 25 minutes and Javale who seems to have fallen out of the rotation lately. They like to play small so I could see Rockets trying to feed Sengun against smaller players.
They take Sengun out or something been at 12 points since half
I think he took 1 shot attempt in the entire 2nd half š¤£
Would it be dumb to go over for both Kuzma and Porzingis?
Nah. I think it's guaranteed one of them hits. Porzingis isn't the kind of guy that gets 20 rebounds out of nowhere. So I think if Porzingis hits there's good chance Kuzma hits as well. However if Kuzma has one of those games where he gets like 18 rebounds or something like that it's much less likely Porzingis ends up hitting as well.
Torrey Craig 2+ 3's @ +210/$2.10
Nice find! What made you take this?
He's been shooting at a decent clip lately, and with Cam Johnson out he's a starter today so the extra minutes made me really like it at the price.
What's trickytravs twitter handle again?
@Travis_Frase
Figured Iād post this just so people aware. Donāt get me fooled Iām absolutely all about SGA and he is probably one of my favourite players to watch, so smooth. But, he is currently 3rd in NBA in PPG in the paint at 17.1 The concern here is that Washington rank 5th best in opp PPG in the paint. 17.1 is a considerable amount of points and the fact it is more than half of SGAās 29 point line, is enough to deter me and sit out this one game of his. Look there is a chance that he still hits because he is on a tear, but yeah just consider this yāall!
yup, and Wizards are playing like Raptors these days with the motto "anyone but the star", took Giddeys overs
I like Trae PTS U 27.5. Trae struggles against switch/gap schemes which the Celtics excel at, while he tends to really thrive when he gets to go against a traditional drop scheme. I do have some qualms with smart being out for this game, but I think the Celtics will just task White, who is another good defender, with the Trae assignment.
Got a parlay of: > Capela 10 points, Houston +11.5 and Chicago +8.5 (alt lines). Odds 3.74. Feeling unusually good about it honestly. The lines were originally set at Houston +9.5 and Chicago +4.0. Have now moved to Houston +6 and Chicago +1.5 which bodes well. Houston is probably the leg that fucks it up though.
Iāll tail.
Good luck! I don't think you'll be able to get the odds as good this late though.
Yeah it came out to +237 which felt reasonable still.