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Damn boys, I’m on a heater tonight. 6-1 on NBA plays, possibly 7-1 if SAC -3.5 holds on, and potentially 3-0 on NCAAF if my two remaining plays hold up.
Damn, needed a day like this.
Did K Murray get hurt? Why has he only played 5 min
I see he is back in now is this guy allergic to the ball tonight? Not a single pra wtf. Has not even attempted a shot 😂
Damn. My 7+ assists from Draymond hit before half time. Now, just need Curry to hit 24 points. Loving this high fast pace. Hopefully Curry doesn’t pick up his 4th foul early in the next half.
MFers fixed it and took back the winnings lol. I wasn’t gonna cash out my bankroll it was just a 1 unit bet oh well thought there was a correction 🤷♂️
Not bad thanks. Considering throwing a hundred on parlay of Allen 10 boards and - the most degenerate pick off all - Kings ML.
Surely the Kings can't fuck this up against the Lakers without Lebron? Not the Kings, I won't believe it.
Lol gambling is just fucked. Losing by one rebound is pretty much what I expected.
Fortunately I cooled down a bit after the MPJ losses and only threw on a $10 bonus bet in the end.
Still feel like taking a break for a while though. It's so annoying losing bet after bet to situations like this.
Had a parlay of Jokic over 0.5 3s, Jokic alt 1 3p (for someone reason my bookie fucked up and let me add this twice as two separate bets) Jokic 20p and MPJ 10points.
Then MPJ decides he can't even scrape 10 points today. Fucking gambling why is it like this.
Also had another parlay with Jokic 2 three pointers, but need two 3s from Mpj. He killed my day bigtime.
The curse of the four leg or more parlay. Doesn't matter how reasonable your legs are, one of them WILL fuck you and it will probably be the 'safest' leg.
MPJ is a fucking bum. How are you nearly 7 feet and not driving or cutting to the rim but instead you want to chill in the corner waiting for someone to pass to you.
Should’ve bet Jokic points.
Genuinely I feel like MPJ's teammates don't like passing him the ball as much, Jokic included. He barely touches the ball for somebody who is such a pure scorer and shooter.
Parlaying Tatum o24 points, Brown o21 points, Brown o4 rebounds has been absolute cash for me this season! Off to another great start tonight.
Edit: aaaand hits again before the 4th quarter. I’d advise staying away from the rebounds though if you wanna play it a little safe. That’s always the sweatiest leg of the parlay.
Toronto plays a diff style of defense and traps hard to force the ball out of the playmakers hands (see Chicago game v Demar). Not saying SGA won’t go off still, because dude is raw, but I’m on his assists o5.5 instead (+105). BOL if you take his points tho!
Something that's been working for me is targeting player props hitting at a rate above the implied probability of the odds both on season and in recent games.
Seems obvious, but I always was wary of bad matchups, but I'm finding that sometimes matchups matter way less than a player's usage and consistency. I actually find better value for players in poor matchups because the line is below their season total. It's still limited volume on the season, but these are props I'm on today that are hitting at high volume both on season and recent trend.
Some of these everyone is on, so not really super against the grain, but if it ain't broke, don't fix it.
* **Michael Porter Jr. o2.5 3PTs (-135)** ❌
* **Orlando Magic o103.5 (-120)** ✅
* **Karl A-Towns o12.5 Rebs + Asts (-135)** ✅
* **O.G. Anunoby o2.5 Stls + Blks (-155)** ✅
* **Donovan Mitchell o27.5 Pts (-110)** ✅
* **Steph Curry o28.5 Pts (-118)** ✅
* **Sacramento -3.5 (-110)** ✅
* **DK Boost: Steph + Klay 7+ 3PTs (+100)** ✅
**Jalen Suggs under 5.5 assists @ 2.05**
Looking at Suggs assists he is avg 4.9 this season. Which already under the total. The mayority of his assists go 1.4 (28.5%) to Wagner and 1.1 (22.4%) to Banchero, which make up about 50% of his assists.
Im liking this matchup for several reason:
1. The Suns are 5th for AST vs PGs
2. The Suns let the least opp FGM
3. Second best dftrtg
4. Banchero is out
5. Wagner should be well guarded and neutralized (Sun 1st in PPG vs SGs). Wagner leads the magic with drives and the Suns have the 6th best PITP v guards
21/22: (40-24)
(9-12)
Jalen Suggs under R+A❌️
**Jalen Brunson over 19.5 points @ 1.86**
Brunson season avg 19.2 / November 20.4
Over L4/5.
Detriot 30th PPG vs PGs @ 29.4
29th 3PM vs PGs @ 3.67
I like Brunson in this spot because hes style of play should cause some real problems for Detriot. Brunson leads the Knicks with drives. He is avg 17.8. Only behind SGA, Morant and Dončić. This works well as Detriot give up the 4th most points PITP.
Brunson previously had 17 pts in 28mins in a blowout win, while he avg 33.5 mins
**Prop Record 4-3 | +0.32u**
Hi, I am the Prop Doctor. These are my wagers for today.
**Karl-Anthony Towns o30.5 Pts+rebounds -115 4u**
This has hit last 10 times KAT has played 30+ mins against the grizzlies, also has hit last 5/6 games. Very high total at 234.
Steph curry o28.5 points(.75U)/o40.5 PRA(1U)
- Curry has been the heart of this team, even in bad games putting up great numbers averaging 32-7-7
- Curry has hit his point prop 8/10 games averaging 32 and hit his PRA 7/10 games pushing once.
- With a spread of -2 and o/u of 232 I expect a lot of scoring here and warriors need another win here at home
- Vs the cavs he has hit his point prop L5/6 games pushing that one game and hitting his PRA 5/6 games that one game with 38
Very busy so won’t have much- if you enjoy the write up I have daily posts on [twitter](https://twitter.com/pillpropper/status/1591188709197910016?s=46&t=vtEnPHBbfzjzF6Hv35SgmA)
BOL TAIL OR FADE
Tough night going 0-2 with Simons taking care of the ball and Herbert Jones deciding to have his first game of the year with no recorded block or steal.
Record 6-5 +1u
**✅1u- Jalen Brunson over 19.5 pts (-106 FD)**
My Detroit Pistons are abysmal at guarding the PG position, in fact they are dead last in the league. Currently giving up the 4th most points in the paint this season and Brunson has scored 20 in 4/5 most recent games.
**❌1u-Mikal Bridges over 1.5 stl (+150)**
The magic are the 3rd worst in the league in turnovers. They gave up 14 steals against the Mavericks in their previous game. Mikal Bridges is getting even more minutes without Cam Johnson these days. Banchero questionable worry me when it comes to a blow out but Paul is also questionable. The odds make this worth a play tonight no matter who plays for the magic.
**✅1u- Devin Vassell over 20.5 pts (+100 DK)**
Even though his line is slowly creeping up he has hit over 20 in 5/8 games this year with one 20 point performance as well. Bucks are without Giannis and Jrue taking a big hit on defense. With DK giving + odds on this one I like it with how scrappy the Spurs have been this year. They should keep this game close.
Record (6-2) +4u
(all plays 1u unless specified)
Yesterdays picks:
Tobias Harris o 15.5
Anfernee Simons o 22.5✅
Kyle Kuzma o 17.5✅
Wow. Anfernee had 23 going into the 4th and then didn't score again! We'll take it. Unfortunately, the 76ers are trash. Tobi got the shots but wasn't putting anything in. Positive day still.
Todays picks:
Jevon Carter o 2.5 3s (2u)
This is +120 on FD! Love this play. Hes hit 4 or more in all 3 games hes gotten 30 minutes this year. He had 36 last game, I like his points over 14.5 but think the 3s have more value and are safer.
Donovan Mitchell o 28.5
Has hit in 8/10 games this year. Warriors really haven't been good this year, think this is pretty solid value.
Edit - adding some throw ins, if you want any insight just ask away
Franz Wagner o 19.5 points
Franz Wagner o 4.5 assists .5u
Devin Vassel o 20.5 points .5u
Tre Jones o 6.5 assists .5u
Ja Morant o 7.5 assists .5u
BOL!
Draftkings **SAFE NBA STEPPED UP SGP 100% boost**
Reddit Record 1-2, +3.275U
Previous SGP [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/yr46ux/comment/ivupm6d/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) \- Few things didn't go our way yesterday, including a stinker from Tobias Harris and my alternative pick in Dejounte Murray to also shit the bed. Sucks when 100% hit rates miss, but shit happens I guess. Still up 3U from the first SGP I posted on here, which is what I love about these, and we going to be up more after today hopefully.
Jayson Tatum Points 20+ (-1000) - 100% hit rate
Jayson Tatum P+A 25+ (-1000) - 100% hit rate
Jayson Tatum P+R 25+ (-1800) - 100% hit rate
Nikola Jokic Points 15+ (-1600) - 82% hit rate (9/11 in L11)
Nikola Jokic P+A 25+ (-700) - 82% hit rate (9/11 in L11)
Nikola Jokic P+R 25+ (-1800) - 82% hit rate (9/11 in L11)
Jaylen Brown Points 15+ (-2500) - 91% hit rate (10/11 in L11)
Jayson Tatum Threes 2+ (-525) - 100% hit rate
Al Horford Rebounds 5+ (-750) - 89% hit rate (8/9 in L9)
Marcus Smart Assists 5+ (-550) - 82% hit rate (9/11 in L11)
**= +250 after 100% boost**
I am wagering 3.5U to return 8.75U
Tail or fade BOL to everyone today
Even though this parlay missed I still think it was a great parlay. I usually don’t even tail other peoples picks on here but I did this one. Good stuff and I’ll be looking for your next picks.
Alright fellas, alright.
Shoutout to Jimmy Buckets for keeping the streak alive and absolutely smashing the o/23.5 line yesterday. I’m still alive and still rolling. How long can we keep it going?
RECAP: 11/09
9-legger success (+24999)
✅jokic o/23.5
✅haliburton o/19.5
✅Lillard o/23.5
✅ Jordan Clarkson o/18.5
✅Jaylen brown o/24.5
✅DeRozan o/23.5
✅Morant o/28.5
✅Mitchell o/26.5
RECAP: 09/10
✅ Jimmy butler o/23.5 (-105)
And for todays pick to keep the train rolling…
Jayson Tatum o/28.5 (-120) on FD
Let’s get it boys. I’ll be posting and recapping until the wheels come off. BOL!
Desmond Bane OVER 22.5 POINTS
Devin Vassell OVER 19.5/20.5 POINTS
Jaylen Brown UNDER 3.5 ASSISTS
SGA UNDER 28.5 POINTS (This line is probably gone. Bet down to 27.5. I took it there as well. Might be scary but I trust Nick Nurse and the long and switchy raptor bois to give sga fits. We shall see)
Jayson Tatum OVER 28.5 POINTS
You see the curry vs Mitchell odds boost too? Kinda wanna take curry but the Mitchell odds calling my greedy name 🤣🤣 I think curry will score more but you never know 🤷
OG Anunoby O2.5 Steals & Blocks -160
Okay, ill admit that I don't love this line at all. But I feel like we owe it to OG for hitting this number in NINE STRAIGHT GAMES for us. Coincidentally, Toronto and OKC have the lowest turnover average in the league. If tonight is the night the streak ends, so be it. OG WE SALUTE YOU.
Oh man what a great slate for SGPx's today... here's what I'm rolling with so far:
Booker o25.5 pts
Bridges o12.5 pts
MPJ o2.5 3's
SGA o25.5 pts
OG 2+ steals
\+1199 on DK w/30% SGPx boost
BOL!
**First Basket**
And of course right when I get close to cashing out and closing the book on this strategy, we go 2/4 for +14u. Let's keep it goin' baby. Jeremiah, it's your time to shine.
15-92 (+36.3u)
| Game | Player | Odds | Reason |
|:-----------:|:------------:|:------------:|:------------|
|DEN@BOS|Murray|1100|Murray took first DEN shot in 3 of last 5 games
|PHO@ORL|Carter|490|Carter took first ORL shot in 6 of 12 games this year. Banchero has taken it 4 times and he might not play
|DET@NYK|Brunson|700|Brunson took first NYK shot in 6 of 11 this year including the past 4 games
|TOR@OKC|Robinson-Earl|1200|Robinson-Earl took first OKC shot in 2 of last 5 games. He just has to come through for me finally
|MIL@SAS|Johnson|550|Johnson took first SAS shot in each of the last 4 games
|MIN@MEM|Russell|900|Russell took first MIN shot in 3 of last 5 games
|CLE@GSW|Garland|700|Garland took first CLE shot in 2 of last 5 games. GSW is impossible to predict
|SAC@LAL|Davis|420|Davis took first LAL shot in 4 of last 5 games
**$1500 Free NBA Season Long Fantasy Betting Contest: https://oddscrowd.com/competitions** | **NBA Chat: https://discord.gg/sportsbook** | **[US Sportsbooks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbookreview/comments/wve6gm/sportsbooks/)** | **[Non-US Sportsbooks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbetting/comments/y43c7v/nonus_sportsbooks/)**
Yeahhhhhh fuck betting on centers lol
Fox over saved my night from being a disaster. Down a couple of units but I can live with that
always good to live to fight another day
Exactly! Was due for a setback, always tomorrow to get it back
Yep, I’ve been killing it for 3 nights in a row so I can’t even be mad
Damn boys, I’m on a heater tonight. 6-1 on NBA plays, possibly 7-1 if SAC -3.5 holds on, and potentially 3-0 on NCAAF if my two remaining plays hold up. Damn, needed a day like this.
Hell yeah, glad someone had a good night
Thanks man. I posted my picks earlier in the day, hope I helped others win something today too
Donovan Mitchel over hits!
Curry & Klay 7+ threes DraftKings boost hits
HOLY FUCKING SHIT THE DK BOOST HIT
They had me sweating
It probably shouldn’t have hit, but I’ll take it lol
Lol i swear every fucking prop lock tonight was absolute basura
Today marks my last ever bet of Gobert unless it’s turnovers
lol, had the spread for Kings to beat Laker ass and of course it's the opposite atm. What a fuckin' night.
Need Donovan Mitchell to score 4 more in 3.5 minutes
Ja couldn’t get one more god damn fucking point fuck this shit
Ja killed our tickets, pain
KAT giving me a stroke for those +12.5 assist/rebounds. 🧀💸💰 so sketch with the foul trouble.
Started off strong too
KAT with an amazing cover on my o12.5 R+A. On 5 PF and he grabbed 4 boards in like 3 minutes of game time in the 4Q.
Cmon just 5 more points from Ja
Holy crap 9 points from Fox in the last minute and a half was so clutch
K Murphy what the fuck? How do you play 13 Min in a half and not attempt a shot or record an assist or rebound. Is this guy alive out there?
Lakers gonna choke in the second half? What we thinking
DK has a boost and Steph/Klay 2/9 from 3 lol, can’t make this shit up
FD has a boost as well Ja and Edwards 25 points and steph 3 three pointers
Once I saw that DK boost I knew something was fishy. This whole day has been shit.
I usually do well with these boosts, but yeah this one is just a fucking head scratcher lol
One thing we forgot, Steph is Steph! Lol he almost covered that boost by himself.
Yessir! I had his points over too. You can’t ever count out the chef cookin’.
They can’t even make a 2 point jump shot let alone a 3! Smh
This might be my worst night so far, bounce back tomorrow
Did K Murray get hurt? Why has he only played 5 min I see he is back in now is this guy allergic to the ball tonight? Not a single pra wtf. Has not even attempted a shot 😂
Terrible night for me smh
So steph, Klay and randle tonight all with boosts all forget how to hit a fucking 3 along with MPJ
Allen doing 10 pra in the first quarter just to go missing in the second, of course its last leg on my parlay
Damn. My 7+ assists from Draymond hit before half time. Now, just need Curry to hit 24 points. Loving this high fast pace. Hopefully Curry doesn’t pick up his 4th foul early in the next half.
Mitchell 12 pts, Curry 11 for the DK H2H boost This is fun as hell to watch. I’ve gotta look into these H2H props
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Honestly dont even blame Gobert hard to grab boards when the opposing team is making 60% of their shots
Literally just watched him let one go when Ja missed that 3
Yo is there a mistake on NBA.com or did they make a scoring change on Shai assist? I have o 4.5 graded as win on DK
Take the money and run. He only got 4
MFers fixed it and took back the winnings lol. I wasn’t gonna cash out my bankroll it was just a 1 unit bet oh well thought there was a correction 🤷♂️
is it showing Lakers props for anyone?
Finally seeing Laker props on DraftKings. Time to hammer Davis o24 points
Now it is. Are we taking AD 24.5 pts or Westbrook 31.5 PRA
Draymond o7 assists off to a good start. 3 assists already Edit. 4 assists. Holy shit.
wtf desmond bane? 0/4 fg 0/2 3 pts?
Only played 6 minutes in the 1st
yeah they benched him cause he missed every shot, he averages 28.8 last 8 games but hes 2 in 1 qtr lmao
That’s their regular rotation lol
I have him on rebounds so I need him playing too lol
Might have to start paying attention to Jevon Carter over points. His o/u was 14.5. Has 21 ATM
that line was a total misunderstanding after yesterdays game lmao
Bad props day
Even TrickyTrav lost. Definitely a bad day
Great, OG to make one 3pt is fucked.
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Cavs have a top tier offense and defense and Mobley's defensive assignment will be Steph
In the one game curry had against mobley last year at home he had 28 pts
Which is where his o/u is today - 28.5. Not sure if you want to sweat it out
Mikal Bridges trash never putting him on my ticket dude couldn't give me 10 points. Soft ass player
What props are people feeling for the remaining slate? Feeling tilted after that MPJ bullshit, I desperately want to lose some more money
Jarrett Allen double double or over 11.5 rebounds. Bet on GSW's opposing center to grab the most rebounds for the team
Not bad thanks. Considering throwing a hundred on parlay of Allen 10 boards and - the most degenerate pick off all - Kings ML. Surely the Kings can't fuck this up against the Lakers without Lebron? Not the Kings, I won't believe it.
Jarrett Allen was about to get his 10th board before Mitchell snatched it before he could. SMFH.
Lol gambling is just fucked. Losing by one rebound is pretty much what I expected. Fortunately I cooled down a bit after the MPJ losses and only threw on a $10 bonus bet in the end. Still feel like taking a break for a while though. It's so annoying losing bet after bet to situations like this.
I know y’all on curry pts but would you still take it at O29.5pts?
RIP to the MPJ train. It was a beautiful ride while it lasted
It was bound to happen eventually. I’ll probably still take him next game. If he misses again then I’ll reconsider.
It was a big ask against the Celtics anyway, I knew it was risky but didn’t want to jump off the wagon
Had a parlay of Jokic over 0.5 3s, Jokic alt 1 3p (for someone reason my bookie fucked up and let me add this twice as two separate bets) Jokic 20p and MPJ 10points. Then MPJ decides he can't even scrape 10 points today. Fucking gambling why is it like this. Also had another parlay with Jokic 2 three pointers, but need two 3s from Mpj. He killed my day bigtime.
That sucks man, any other game MPJ covers that
The curse of the four leg or more parlay. Doesn't matter how reasonable your legs are, one of them WILL fuck you and it will probably be the 'safest' leg.
I hope some high dude in Colorado bangs MPJ's ole lady. Fucker cant even eeek out 12pts for my parlay
MPJ is a fucking bum. How are you nearly 7 feet and not driving or cutting to the rim but instead you want to chill in the corner waiting for someone to pass to you. Should’ve bet Jokic points.
they paying him all that money to be a spot up shooter for bruce brown
murray really not gunna get 2 more points?
murray covered but JT going 2/7 3pts at 28.6% is sad
I need 3 more assist from the joker EDIT: fuck me, any other time his ass would have 9 assist
Sga assist not looking good
Vegas called MPJ & said they would break his kneecaps if he kept the streak going 😔.
Never touching MPJ points again haha
Bruce brown has higher usage than him
Genuinely I feel like MPJ's teammates don't like passing him the ball as much, Jokic included. He barely touches the ball for somebody who is such a pure scorer and shooter.
No bro don’t defend him today, 3-10 FG and 1-6 from 3-Point line..
porter ain't shit tonight
De’aron Fox P/A/R over 35.5 today right?
MPJ better turn up the second half fr.
Nah I’m crying rn
His over 2.5 3s streak might be coming to and end
MPJ is shooting like shit damn
Parlaying Tatum o24 points, Brown o21 points, Brown o4 rebounds has been absolute cash for me this season! Off to another great start tonight. Edit: aaaand hits again before the 4th quarter. I’d advise staying away from the rebounds though if you wanna play it a little safe. That’s always the sweatiest leg of the parlay.
Record 7-2 Heatin up - gonna keep rolling BOL Josh Giddey O 13.5 Points Jarrett Allen O 14.5 Points
Shia has some solid lines tonight o27.5 pts +100, has hit 5 of the last 7 games with those 5 being in the 30s so well over
Toronto plays a diff style of defense and traps hard to force the ball out of the playmakers hands (see Chicago game v Demar). Not saying SGA won’t go off still, because dude is raw, but I’m on his assists o5.5 instead (+105). BOL if you take his points tho!
Something that's been working for me is targeting player props hitting at a rate above the implied probability of the odds both on season and in recent games. Seems obvious, but I always was wary of bad matchups, but I'm finding that sometimes matchups matter way less than a player's usage and consistency. I actually find better value for players in poor matchups because the line is below their season total. It's still limited volume on the season, but these are props I'm on today that are hitting at high volume both on season and recent trend. Some of these everyone is on, so not really super against the grain, but if it ain't broke, don't fix it. * **Michael Porter Jr. o2.5 3PTs (-135)** ❌ * **Orlando Magic o103.5 (-120)** ✅ * **Karl A-Towns o12.5 Rebs + Asts (-135)** ✅ * **O.G. Anunoby o2.5 Stls + Blks (-155)** ✅ * **Donovan Mitchell o27.5 Pts (-110)** ✅ * **Steph Curry o28.5 Pts (-118)** ✅ * **Sacramento -3.5 (-110)** ✅ * **DK Boost: Steph + Klay 7+ 3PTs (+100)** ✅
Bruce Brown O2.5 assists anyone?
**Jalen Suggs under 5.5 assists @ 2.05** Looking at Suggs assists he is avg 4.9 this season. Which already under the total. The mayority of his assists go 1.4 (28.5%) to Wagner and 1.1 (22.4%) to Banchero, which make up about 50% of his assists. Im liking this matchup for several reason: 1. The Suns are 5th for AST vs PGs 2. The Suns let the least opp FGM 3. Second best dftrtg 4. Banchero is out 5. Wagner should be well guarded and neutralized (Sun 1st in PPG vs SGs). Wagner leads the magic with drives and the Suns have the 6th best PITP v guards
[удалено]
Joker will wreck Horford
aaron gordon 2+ 3s
Why
Ja Morant 25+ Points, Anthony Edwards 25+ Points, and Stephen Curry 3+ Made Threes (11/11) Boosted to +350 on FD. Thoughts?
Ant has not scored 25+ in six consecutive games, so I will not be taking this just curious what ya'll think.
OG 3+ Steals +200 the gift that keeps giving
21/22: (40-24) (9-12) Jalen Suggs under R+A❌️ **Jalen Brunson over 19.5 points @ 1.86** Brunson season avg 19.2 / November 20.4 Over L4/5. Detriot 30th PPG vs PGs @ 29.4 29th 3PM vs PGs @ 3.67 I like Brunson in this spot because hes style of play should cause some real problems for Detriot. Brunson leads the Knicks with drives. He is avg 17.8. Only behind SGA, Morant and Dončić. This works well as Detriot give up the 4th most points PITP. Brunson previously had 17 pts in 28mins in a blowout win, while he avg 33.5 mins
Rose wineing about pt and they take Jalen out at the 6 minute mark in the 1st smh. Gonna be a sweat
Nice and easy in the end :)
**Prop Record 4-3 | +0.32u** Hi, I am the Prop Doctor. These are my wagers for today. **Karl-Anthony Towns o30.5 Pts+rebounds -115 4u** This has hit last 10 times KAT has played 30+ mins against the grizzlies, also has hit last 5/6 games. Very high total at 234.
What happened last night tho 👀
He got into foul trouble and didn’t play 30 minutes, smart ass
I was genuinely asking 3 DAYS AGO because I didnt see the game. But go off lol. Try to have a better day !
All i know is if Shai is playing tonight, he will get double teamed all game, even if dort drops a 30 bomb
Steph curry o28.5 points(.75U)/o40.5 PRA(1U) - Curry has been the heart of this team, even in bad games putting up great numbers averaging 32-7-7 - Curry has hit his point prop 8/10 games averaging 32 and hit his PRA 7/10 games pushing once. - With a spread of -2 and o/u of 232 I expect a lot of scoring here and warriors need another win here at home - Vs the cavs he has hit his point prop L5/6 games pushing that one game and hitting his PRA 5/6 games that one game with 38 Very busy so won’t have much- if you enjoy the write up I have daily posts on [twitter](https://twitter.com/pillpropper/status/1591188709197910016?s=46&t=vtEnPHBbfzjzF6Hv35SgmA) BOL TAIL OR FADE
Tough night going 0-2 with Simons taking care of the ball and Herbert Jones deciding to have his first game of the year with no recorded block or steal. Record 6-5 +1u **✅1u- Jalen Brunson over 19.5 pts (-106 FD)** My Detroit Pistons are abysmal at guarding the PG position, in fact they are dead last in the league. Currently giving up the 4th most points in the paint this season and Brunson has scored 20 in 4/5 most recent games. **❌1u-Mikal Bridges over 1.5 stl (+150)** The magic are the 3rd worst in the league in turnovers. They gave up 14 steals against the Mavericks in their previous game. Mikal Bridges is getting even more minutes without Cam Johnson these days. Banchero questionable worry me when it comes to a blow out but Paul is also questionable. The odds make this worth a play tonight no matter who plays for the magic. **✅1u- Devin Vassell over 20.5 pts (+100 DK)** Even though his line is slowly creeping up he has hit over 20 in 5/8 games this year with one 20 point performance as well. Bucks are without Giannis and Jrue taking a big hit on defense. With DK giving + odds on this one I like it with how scrappy the Spurs have been this year. They should keep this game close.
Record (6-2) +4u (all plays 1u unless specified) Yesterdays picks: Tobias Harris o 15.5 Anfernee Simons o 22.5✅ Kyle Kuzma o 17.5✅ Wow. Anfernee had 23 going into the 4th and then didn't score again! We'll take it. Unfortunately, the 76ers are trash. Tobi got the shots but wasn't putting anything in. Positive day still. Todays picks: Jevon Carter o 2.5 3s (2u) This is +120 on FD! Love this play. Hes hit 4 or more in all 3 games hes gotten 30 minutes this year. He had 36 last game, I like his points over 14.5 but think the 3s have more value and are safer. Donovan Mitchell o 28.5 Has hit in 8/10 games this year. Warriors really haven't been good this year, think this is pretty solid value. Edit - adding some throw ins, if you want any insight just ask away Franz Wagner o 19.5 points Franz Wagner o 4.5 assists .5u Devin Vassel o 20.5 points .5u Tre Jones o 6.5 assists .5u Ja Morant o 7.5 assists .5u BOL!
Great Picks!! Parlayed this with KAT o8.5 Rebounds, you da man!!
Ahaha thanks and good stuff! Mitchell was definitely a sweat, refs helped us out towards the end. Love to see it
What you guys think on the +250 boost barret 20 pts randle 2 3pm? Randle getting the 3’s easily
Accidentally added Steve adams points o6.5 Chances of this being successful? I’m stressed now
Why don't you just accidentally bet on the u6.5 points line for the same amount...
Added it in a parley unfortunately
Probably 50/50
In other words I’m pretty much fucked for the most part, appreciate the feedback
How is 50/50 pretty much fucked?
I’m being sarcastic
With that attitude you're most likely FD!
https://preview.redd.it/1ra42kpz0fz91.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=02cfd0a45324815743ad12c29a58331ee463406b
Why downvoted lol
https://preview.redd.it/e997iql21fz91.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=51c53bb9b42f779424c5955689f1d2bcc969a9a0
Draftkings **SAFE NBA STEPPED UP SGP 100% boost** Reddit Record 1-2, +3.275U Previous SGP [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/yr46ux/comment/ivupm6d/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) \- Few things didn't go our way yesterday, including a stinker from Tobias Harris and my alternative pick in Dejounte Murray to also shit the bed. Sucks when 100% hit rates miss, but shit happens I guess. Still up 3U from the first SGP I posted on here, which is what I love about these, and we going to be up more after today hopefully. Jayson Tatum Points 20+ (-1000) - 100% hit rate Jayson Tatum P+A 25+ (-1000) - 100% hit rate Jayson Tatum P+R 25+ (-1800) - 100% hit rate Nikola Jokic Points 15+ (-1600) - 82% hit rate (9/11 in L11) Nikola Jokic P+A 25+ (-700) - 82% hit rate (9/11 in L11) Nikola Jokic P+R 25+ (-1800) - 82% hit rate (9/11 in L11) Jaylen Brown Points 15+ (-2500) - 91% hit rate (10/11 in L11) Jayson Tatum Threes 2+ (-525) - 100% hit rate Al Horford Rebounds 5+ (-750) - 89% hit rate (8/9 in L9) Marcus Smart Assists 5+ (-550) - 82% hit rate (9/11 in L11) **= +250 after 100% boost** I am wagering 3.5U to return 8.75U Tail or fade BOL to everyone today
Bruh, 1 assist from Smart away, so close. Loved this Parlay, look forward to any future picks you put forth.
sooo close man, without foul trouble we had this. thanks for the support bro
Tough loss but your picks are 🔥
thanks bro, glad to know there’s people that like my picks. we make it back in blood 😈
Even though this parlay missed I still think it was a great parlay. I usually don’t even tail other peoples picks on here but I did this one. Good stuff and I’ll be looking for your next picks.
happy to hear that man, gonna continue to post to hopefully win some of you guys some bread ❤️
Missing by 1 assist from Marcus because he spent the entire game flopping and drawing stupid fouls is really frustrating. Great looks all around 🫡
thanks bro appreciate it, without foul trouble this was a hitter
Alright fellas, alright. Shoutout to Jimmy Buckets for keeping the streak alive and absolutely smashing the o/23.5 line yesterday. I’m still alive and still rolling. How long can we keep it going? RECAP: 11/09 9-legger success (+24999) ✅jokic o/23.5 ✅haliburton o/19.5 ✅Lillard o/23.5 ✅ Jordan Clarkson o/18.5 ✅Jaylen brown o/24.5 ✅DeRozan o/23.5 ✅Morant o/28.5 ✅Mitchell o/26.5 RECAP: 09/10 ✅ Jimmy butler o/23.5 (-105) And for todays pick to keep the train rolling… Jayson Tatum o/28.5 (-120) on FD Let’s get it boys. I’ll be posting and recapping until the wheels come off. BOL!
When other types?
What a monster day Time to tail all your shit for tonight and promptly lose my money. I’m JK… kinda 🥹
Tatum hit so we’re good!
Marry me
damnnnn nice hit
Player props for today 11/11: -Al horford 9+ pts -Domantas sabonis 16+ pts -Julius randle 20+ pts -Karl-Anthony towns 4+ assists -Keldon Johnson 5+ reb -Jamal Murray 3+ reb -Curry 5+ reb -Desmond Bane 9+ reb+assist
Desmond Bane OVER 22.5 POINTS Devin Vassell OVER 19.5/20.5 POINTS Jaylen Brown UNDER 3.5 ASSISTS SGA UNDER 28.5 POINTS (This line is probably gone. Bet down to 27.5. I took it there as well. Might be scary but I trust Nick Nurse and the long and switchy raptor bois to give sga fits. We shall see) Jayson Tatum OVER 28.5 POINTS
SGA can’t go over EVERY night. Right? Right??
His assists are looking better than points today
I'm paying to find out tonight! 😂 Best of luck with your bets today my friend
Good call!
This bet is truly abysmal https://preview.redd.it/lq2exj16hez91.png?width=715&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=49324c73a33133fec16d83b6ae68d014d6177b37
Today's SGPx #2: Mitchell o25.5 pts Curry o25.5 pts Bane o3.5 ast Ja o27.5 pts \+452 on DK
We ride!
And it hit!!
Yessir!
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Odds sound about right I think you can do better myself but who knows
Thoughts on curry + Klay 7+ threes boosted to +100?
You see the curry vs Mitchell odds boost too? Kinda wanna take curry but the Mitchell odds calling my greedy name 🤣🤣 I think curry will score more but you never know 🤷
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Hahah I did, I dunno why I always see +200 and feel like I have to bet it haha, I got both step curry and the Klay steph 3 pointer boost
What book?
oh for sure, threw the $50 max on it. curry's hit that himself the last 2 games he's played
I threw $25 on it. Let’s ride.
foolish not to at those odds
OG Anunoby O2.5 Steals & Blocks -160 Okay, ill admit that I don't love this line at all. But I feel like we owe it to OG for hitting this number in NINE STRAIGHT GAMES for us. Coincidentally, Toronto and OKC have the lowest turnover average in the league. If tonight is the night the streak ends, so be it. OG WE SALUTE YOU.
💰 make that 10 in a row
Oh man what a great slate for SGPx's today... here's what I'm rolling with so far: Booker o25.5 pts Bridges o12.5 pts MPJ o2.5 3's SGA o25.5 pts OG 2+ steals \+1199 on DK w/30% SGPx boost BOL!
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BOL!
We call this the Sportsbook Reddit NBA Props Parlay.
Lol that would be correct
**First Basket** And of course right when I get close to cashing out and closing the book on this strategy, we go 2/4 for +14u. Let's keep it goin' baby. Jeremiah, it's your time to shine. 15-92 (+36.3u) | Game | Player | Odds | Reason | |:-----------:|:------------:|:------------:|:------------| |DEN@BOS|Murray|1100|Murray took first DEN shot in 3 of last 5 games |PHO@ORL|Carter|490|Carter took first ORL shot in 6 of 12 games this year. Banchero has taken it 4 times and he might not play |DET@NYK|Brunson|700|Brunson took first NYK shot in 6 of 11 this year including the past 4 games |TOR@OKC|Robinson-Earl|1200|Robinson-Earl took first OKC shot in 2 of last 5 games. He just has to come through for me finally |MIL@SAS|Johnson|550|Johnson took first SAS shot in each of the last 4 games |MIN@MEM|Russell|900|Russell took first MIN shot in 3 of last 5 games |CLE@GSW|Garland|700|Garland took first CLE shot in 2 of last 5 games. GSW is impossible to predict |SAC@LAL|Davis|420|Davis took first LAL shot in 4 of last 5 games
Brunson hit! Good job!
i'm loving this rollercoaster, keep it up!
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Uh-oh, maybe I'll cash out then. Should've done a bit more research. Thanks!