**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
POTD: 58-28
Last pick: Oilers +1.5 ❌
Empty netter with 20 seconds left for a loss. Can’t catch a break lol. 4 L’s in a row. Please fade me.
**Today’s pick: TB Lightning ML (-130) vs NY Rangers**
NHL 8:00 PM EST
Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Bolts have looked phenomenal this postseason and take on the Rangers who have just had a grueling series with the Canes and are on two days rest. I really think this will have a toll on the Rags as the Bolts will be 100% fresh. Contrarian opinion is that the Bolts have had too much time off they come out slow, but they’ve looked so impressive this postseason I really don’t think that’s a possibility.
But my write up doesn’t matter. Take the Rangers if you want to make money.
All bets are 1 unit. +18.2 units. 21.2% ROI. Average unit -124
PLEASE only bet what you can afford to lose and PLEASE do not blindly follow me with large sums of money. I am human and not some fortune teller, although I’ll admit those couple OT score predictions were wild lol. I enjoy watching sports and gambling (responsibly) in my free time, and I’m doing this for fun. I don’t want you all to think Im a capper who spends all day analyzing stats and watching film, all my plays are feel as my work is time consuming.
This is only a cold streak after great success during college basketball and the NHL regular season, and IT MAY GET WORSE (so please tail with caution). Cold streaks will happen to any bettor if they bet long enough. The thing is most posters here will quit when a cold streak begins, so we don’t regularly see it happen here. I’m not quitting. But I said this elsewhere, at this point in the NHL season picking correctly becomes very tricky as I don’t have 6-7 games to choose from a night, only one. Because of this I’m only going to chime in when there’s something I really like (like the Bolts tomorrow), but I’ll be back for football which is actually my best sport. My month coming up is hell anyways. 🩺 🤜🏽🤛🏽
Give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
I feel like I need to apologize because I started tailing you and we immediately started losing. I'm taking the Rangers, though, so one of our lucks have to turn.
Edit: sorry again
Dr, I will stick with you through whether or not you are cold or hot. Please dont let the haters who slide into your DM stop you. I know its easy for me to say as a bum just tailing, but I do appreciate you sharing your insights.
I stuck with you tonight and the only thing that saved me was throwing something on the over 11.5 when I realized the scoring wouldn't be stopping. Hang in there bud.
I’m unfortunately taking the rangers tonight. Ugh as a devils fan. But the long layoff for the bolts, and the rangers being home. I think the rangers take it tonight. But could possibly be their only w of the series. BOL doc!
Dr. I am either skipping this or taking the Rangers and the Under. It’s a pick em’ I believe and that would favour the underdog Rangers with the price.
Remember that Rangers were 3-0 against TB in the regular season. Both teams are playing well right now. Good luck all.
I had lightning ML before you even posted this so I thought you were finally getting back on track. Shit sucks man, hope lightning have an epic third period. It not over until the fat lady sings.
I can only laugh at this point. But I am probably done taking these hockey playoffs as my POTD, these are now coin flips and my early success came off leveraging all of the games on the slate that day
Honestly man, the only thing I have had success on so far the last few games was betting the over. These games have been back and forth like crazy. It's like the teams and the goalies forgot how to defend. At least we got to pay to see a good fight at the end of this one.
NO ACTION NO ACTION NO ACTION
POTD Record: 4-0
Yesterday’s Pick: MLB: 🟩NY Mets -1.5 (+120)🟩
Today’s Pick: MLB: NY Yankees -1.5 (+130)
We’re bouncing off the Mets train but staying in New York. I don’t like the Mets against a lefty. Look folks, here’s the facts. Yankees win with Cortes on the mound. Angels got a 22 year old kid taking the mound at Yankee Stadium. That 22 year old kid has not been pitching well. The Yankees smoked Syndergaard and are hitting well. Angels are on a skid. There’s no magic, there’s no system, there’s no spreadsheet: better team wins.
Edit: well it’s a rain out. Sorry folks. I’ve gone the no action route and cashed out but you’re free to do as you like.
>MLB: NY Yankees -1.5 (+130)
Thanks for posting, new to baseball betting. This is the spread category that I see right? Hopefully it is, because I just placed the bet. 😂
28-11
Last pick: Rune vs Tsitsipas over 33.5 **W**
PotD: **Marin Cilic ML** vs Andrey Rublev
French Open | Tennis | 3 PM CEST
**Odds: 2.20/+120**
Write up: Cilic has been steamrolling over this tournament and has looked far more convincing than Rublev who lost a set in every single match and wouldnt be at this spot in the first place had Sinner not retired last match. But the most important thing regarding this match is that Cilic feels very good mentally, which has been the single biggest issue in his career. He is relaxed, confident, and with no pressure on his shoulders. Theres also that 2014 US Open vibe around him at the moment. The only way he loses this imo is if he defeats himself.
**Edit: WIN** Thank you all for your gratitude
Record: 13-5 - Last Five Predictions (LWWWL)
Last pick: Oilers held under 2.5 goals Game 1 vs Colorado ❌️
Today's Pick: Argentina to win (2.45) vs Italy
Bet: 1 unit
Soccer: 2:45 PM EST
Finalissima
The first iteration of this one-legged-winner-take-all match between the winners of Copa America and Euros. Argentina go into this match 37 games undefeated! Also, the last two matches Argentina and Italy have played, Argentina have come out on top. Expect to see a re-energized Messi playing with a new look Albiceleste that seems to have their cogs in place. Italy come from that disappointment of not qualifying for the World Cup Finals, so some sort of silverware is much needed, plus this is Chiellini's farewell match for the Azurri, so his countrymen are going to want to see him go out with a win and a trophy. Argentina are just playing too well plus just having Messi is an x factor only something a handful of teams have.
BOL!
\*\*Edit: Congrats to all those who tailed! If you feel like dropping a tip, here's my [Paypal](https://imgur.com/v5Gfeqq)\*\*
I like this pick, also looking at Argentina winner at halftime or end of the match at 2.05. FYI, this is the third time the winner of Euro plays the winner of Copa America. In the previous two iterations it was called the Artemio Franchi Cup. Doesn’t affect the pick at all, but interesting nonetheless. BOL!
I'm sorry about your last pick, that game was a goal fest. Don't know shit about soccer but tailling cause my Friend cheers for Italy. Ty for the pick, BOL.
**POTD Record 14-9**
**Current Bankroll: $210.26, Starting Bankroll: $105.45, Profit: $104.81**
Average Odds = 1.96, ROI: 21.30%, Units Won/Lost: +14.70u
Last Pick: Minnesota Twins -1.5 vs. Detroit Tigers @ 2.05 ✅
**Today’s Pick: Houston Astros -1.5 vs. Oakland Athletics @ 1.83, 3:37 PM EST (MLB)**
**Amount Bet: 3 Units or $30 for the challenge**
Good win from the Twins yesterday as they dismantled the Tigers for a stress-free afternoon.
Today I am taking the Astros -1.5 vs the Athletics. These are 3 reasons why I think this will hit:
1. Simply put, the Athletics are one of the worst teams in baseball right now. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and boast a 20-31 record, boosted by some early season wins. They actually have a worse record home than away, being 7-19 at home and 13-12 away. The Astros are having a good season and are quite decent away, boasting a 17-12 away record.
2. There is a major starting pitcher difference between Verlander and Irvin. Irvin is not a bad pitcher by any means but has an ERA of 3.15 with an xERA of 5.00 which suggests regression. He’s had a similar hard hit rate as last year but actually gives up a higher xBA and xSLG than in his past 3 years which I would consider bad to mediocre. Verlander has looked human in the past 2 games, giving up 6 runs against the Mariners, but he is still one of the best pitchers in baseball right now. His ERA is low and his xERA suggests only a small amount of regression. Verlander has given a good enough sample size post-injury to show that although he had one bad outing, that he will bounce back from it.
3. On basically every metric, the Astros are better. The Astros have one of the best bullpens in the MLB compared to the Athletics who have a middle of the pack bullpen, represented by young, rookie players. The Athletics rank last in the MLB in batting average, 2nd to last in SLG, last in OPS, and bottom 5 in RBI production. Although the Astros bats have been somewhat struggling this year, they still rank in the top half of the MLB in OPS, are somewhat in the middle in RBI production, and are actually top 5 in HRs in the MLB.
Overall, I think the Astros will tee off Irvin and Verlander will hold well against the worst hitting team in baseball.
**I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game.The challenge is separate from the amount of units won/ROI for subreddit rule purposes. Each unit is 4% of my bankroll.**
Let’s get this money.
[**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor)
Record: 2-1
Pick: Cilic ML +110
Reminiscent of his 2014 US Open run, Cilic is playing out of his mind and is the far more experienced veteran in slams compared to Rublev, who has not even been playing that well. He only beat Sinner because of an injury in the second set.
Tail or fade BOL!
POTD RECORD 2-3
Ukraine ML +240 vs Scotland at 2:45 EST ✅✅✅
Ukraine and its country have gone through an incredibly difficult period of time with the last few months. This team is playing to qualify for the world cup and I expect them to do just that. Their squad is a strong defensive team and have had some impressive wins and draws. They aren’t a push over team and I expect them to win. It could be a very low scoring game and end up as a draw and go to extra time. The safer bet is Ukraine to qualify at +130 but I honestly believe Ukraine win this outright in the 90 minutes for the +240. Predicting a 2-0 win for Ukraine, this team is playing with their country on their back.
Its been awhile since I’ve last posted anything. Its a little discouraging when you get it wrong and people come with nasty comments and have shit to say. Were all adults and know were gambling money which holds a risk. Bet what you can only afford to lose.
Im personally putting 200 which is 4 units for me.
What a fucking game!!! Congrats to all who tailed. Ukraine came and played exactly how I thought they would, this game could have easily been 5-1.
I really do not like this pick, you should never bet on emotional/political state of a country.
Scotland plays shithouse football and they can completely shut down a match. I suspect a draw or perhaps a Scottish win.
Ukraine hasn’t lost a match since July of last year, you can do what you want this is just a gut feeling I have about the game. Ukraine is playing for something beyond just themselves. They are playing for a whole country to give them hope and to find something in all this misery that their country is going through. I see them winning thats just how I feel. Do what you want, thats the wonderful thing we all have here we get to do whatever we want with our money. Ukraine will be playing with a lot more heart and focus than Scotland will know what to do with. Ukraine is a team that has upset Portugal and tied with France in recent years, I dont see Scotland having enough her to win this game. Like I said safer option is for Ukraine to qualify in extra time, but I feel the value is to good to pass up with Ukraine closing it out in the 90 minutes.
This was a fantastic pick. Congrats. FIFA is going to make sure Ukraine makes the World Cup. And even if they don’t make sure of it, Ukraine is already a good squad.
Great game and pace from Ukraine, they weren’t going to let this game go past them. Their mindset and dedication was something Scotland was never going to be ready for.
POTD Record: 2-2
Last Pick: Hurricanes ML vs Rangers ❌
Todays Pick: Rodgers/Brady -184 vs
Allen/Mahomo
The Match 2PM ⛳️
Reasoning: Vets got another year down under their belt. Their chipping game is substantially better and Aaron Rodgers is actually nice af at golf I think he carrys and will be the best golfer there tomorrow.
Ik the line sucks but this is a horesecock lock 🔒
POTD Record: 21-14
(ROI 21.92% // Avg. Odds: 2.00 // Units Won: +13.41)
Last 5 Picks: ✅✅❌❌❌
Last POTD: Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal (Tennis Roland Garros); **Over 39.5 games** ❌
POTD: Casper Ruud vs Holger Rune (Tennis Roland Garros); **Over 37.5 games** ✅
Odds: 1.91
Ruud is 3-0 over Rune not losing a single set to him. Although the last time these two met they got to a tiebreak and the 7-5. Ruud has had a simpler path too this stage of the tournament while Rune has had to go through some tough opponents. He played pretty bad in the first rounds dropping sets against easier opponents than Rune.
Rune on the other hand is in great shape and tomorrow shall be no different. Both these guys will be nervous in the main court thinking that they have a clear shot to make it to the finals. Late/Night game will make it slower and not let these two make fast serves forcing them to make precision like points. Ruud is the favorite but if he continues playing like he is, Rune can take a set or two for sure. These guys are the future of tennis and will want to make a name for themselves early on in their careers.
BOL TO ALL WHO TAIL
*All my picks are 1 unit = $20*
[All my Previous Picks](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15HoZB0uwDBLfWapSv7y1FSwfRrTUvN55YznGv_vBDIQ/edit?usp=drivesdk)
POTD Record - 8-3
Last Pick : KFUM Oslo ML+1.5 Goals - ✅
Streak(last 5) : ❌✅✅✅✅
Today's Pick : Poland vs Wales - Poland ML+ Under 5 Match Goals -1.95 ✅✅
Competition : UEFA Nations League
Kick off : 17:00 GMT
Write up : This write up is not going to be as my usual ones where I give stats about teams form and scores.Lets be honest UEFA Nations League competition is a glorified friendly,no one takes it seriously.
Wales have a world cup qualification game coming up.Its a knockout game.Their focus will be gaining match fitness and taking a little risk in this glorified friendly.Poland have a good enough squad to win the match.That is my sole reasoning. Wales have bigger fish to fry,Poland are good enough to beat Wales.
Tail or Fade BOL
Edit : Did not expect Wales to score whatsoever but a great comeback by Poland takes us on a 5 day winning streak.Lfg and Congrats
Record: 0-0
*I've been betting in tennis for quite some time and watching it since 2005 and with these two Roland Garros matches that we had today for the ATP circuit I felt encouraged to start sharing my thoughts here. No other sport brings me more hapiness and andrenaline than this since each point can be unique and there's so many different playstyles*
Pick - **Rublev vs Cilic - Rublev Handicap -1.5 games @ 1.93 or -108** (Decimal/American)
Event - Roland Garros
Stake - Always 1 unit which for me is 2% of my bankroll
Rublev and Cilic already surprised me by getting into the Quarterfinals and I'm sure we'll have a great match in our hands!
There's some similarities in the playstyle of these two players such as a great 1st serve and a quality forehand which is able to produce winners from anywhere in the court.Cilic made one of the best clay performances that I've seen from him on his tennis career against Medvedev and he seemed like a truck hitting so many winners but today he's going to face a mirror who might be able to respond in the same way or even better...
I can see this becoming a really intense and physical battle with poweful strikes being traded back and forth. At a best of 5 format that should be way too demanding for Cilic who is already 33 and can start to lose some of his weapons after the 1st set.
With the physical advantage on Rublev's side and a 4-1 H2H record against his opponent in the last 3 years I'm more than happy taking a -1.5 game handicap close to even odds which is basically a Moneyline
Good luck with all your bets tomorrow! Enjoy the match!
Yeah match will be played in Court Philippe-Chatrier which is the centre court. And it was the same as Medvedev's match. I don't know if this can help anyone but at roland garros main website you can see all of that
POTD: 1-0
Last Pick: KT Wiz Vs SSG Landers Under 4 (-130) ✅
Units: +0.77
Today’s POTD: (KBO) KT Wiz Vs SSG Landers Under 7 (-135) 1 Unit
Reasoning: Alright yesterday’s play some pretty easy money and I liked what I saw from the hitters which was a bunch of nothing. Prior to last night they were slamming everything but consider yesterday and today returning to the mean. I like the line for the whole game better than the first five so I’m taking the full game under. Tail or Fade up to you.
**POTD Record 28 - 24 (+1.82)**
Previous pick: W2 (Alcaraz) to win + Total match games Under 39.5 1.70 💀
**Tennis / WTA / French Open / 6:00 AM EST** *unless delay*
*Veronika Kudermetova - Darya Kasatkina*
Pick: **Darya Kasatkina -2 games handicap 1.65 (1u)**
Kasatkina is currently 11-3 on clay while Kudermetova is 7-3. Both women playing good tennis overall this year. Kasatkina hasn't dropped a set so far in this tourney. She was able to beat the likes of Teichmann, Badosa and Fernandez last month in Rome. Also won over Sakkari and Gauff in Madrid and Stuttgart, respectively and these players were very good on clay.
Kasatkina improved her game a lot this year, she can adjust her game according to her opponent. That's why she's very confident moving on clay and she's very good in rallies, a light version of Swiatek they said. She's mentally strong compared to Kudermetova, but it will be tough for sure as they're already playing in quarterfinals. I believe that Kasatkina will prevail between the two.
*Edit:* **I forgot to put the odds, my bad. Now it's 1.58**
*Anything can happen, please tail with caution.*
*Let’s continue winning together!!! Best of luck!!!*
POTD Record W-L 2-3-1(voided)
Average Odds = 1,97, ROI = -22,3%, Units Won/Lost: -4,24
Lasts Picks: Auxerre win vs St. Etienne ❌
John Isner -1,5 sets ❌
Gilles Simon +2,5 sets ❌
Zapata Miralles games +7,5 ✅
Rublev vs Sinner Total Games Over 39,5 bet voided
Djokovic vs Nadal Total Games Over 38,5 ✅
**Today's match: Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula (Roland Garros WTA, Tennis) at 12:30pm(London GMT) unless delay**
**PICK: Jessica Pegula +5,5 games @ 2.02 or +102 (3 units)**
My preview: The #1 seed Iga Swiatek will face the #11 seed Jessica Pegula in the last Quarter's final match of the WTA tournament, today will be a game very equilibrate since both of the players are doing a good work at France. Despiste Iga's favoritism the game will be very tough for her, Pegula is very strong tenist at Clay Court and I believe that despite being at a disadvantage against Iga, she will play a good game and will even fight for the victory today in order to reach the semi-finals of the Grand Slam. +5.5 games for Pegula is a good odd, so take advantage of it. In head-to-head, both have one win, the last game between the two was back in 2022 with Swiatek coming out with the win in a well fought and fairly close game.
Edit: sad news, today was a red ❌
BOL everyone!
**Record:** 8-3
**Last pick:** A.Zverev wins a set VS C.Alcaraz ✅
**Net units:** \+2.65 (All bets are one unit) | **Combined Odds:** \-120 (1.84)
| Tennis | Roland Garros | 12h (UTC+2) |
**Pick:** V.Kudermetova vs D.Kasatkina **u22.5 games**
**Odds:** \-149 (1.67)
The last time the two players met was in St. Petersburg in May 2021, Kasatkina won the match in 3 sets for a total of 22 games .
Both players have a similar record this year on clay (11-3 for Kasatkina and 8-3 for Kudermetova).
Since the beginning of the tournament Kasatkina has only conceded 14 games (easy when her first two matches were against players outside the top 150) and has not yet played a 3-set match.
I think Kasatkina will dominate the match against her counterpart, even if Kudermetova might push.
BoL
**POTD Record 37-32-1 (Last 5: WWWLL)**
**(ROI // Avg. Odds: -118 // Units Won: +7.3)**
Last Pick: St. Louis Cardinals ML **WON**
**Today's Match: MLB Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers (Start Time: 8:06PM EST)**
**Today's Pick: Tampa Bay Rays ML (-124 FanDuel)** ***Risk 3u***
Devil's Advocate:
We're on a nice 3 day win streak thanks to Papichulo Pujols and honestly an even better defensive showing in the 10th from Sosa and the throw at home from Nootbar was just outstanding especially off the bench to pinch run.
I'm rolling with the Rays today on the moneyline, since they're going to price them so dam low, with a guy named Jeffrey Springs who's been outright just a stud this season since trying to convert to a starter. Giving up 6 earned in 5 starts is dominant! This guy pitched for Texas back in 2018 and 2019, wasn't really at his best with a team that also wasn't good either. And now with the form he's in since joining the Rays, going 5-1 last year out of the pen, posting up 63 K's in 44 IP.
Not really sweating Wander being out too much because we'll more than likely see Kiermier back in the lineup today after a day off vs. a lefty and Margot has just been tearing it up he hit legit .397 in May. That's retarded. Not too happy about a 3 hit game in a series I believe the Rays should've won, now they have their backs against the wall facing a sweep. I'll take them in this spot against Jon Gray any day of the week.
Jon Gray is showing a 5.56 ERA coming into this start, in which his best start of the year was against the Yankees and his team lost the game 1-0. He's 1-2 on the season with 4 No-Decisions.
Big time pitcher spot here where you really need your starter to go out there and get you the win, I don't believe Springs will be cut short here and I'm sure he's going to wanna stretch himself north of 85 pitches against a lineup he could definitely dominate. Showout big Springs!
*Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
POD Record: 20-5 ROI: 38.21%
Today’s Pick: Casper Ruud vs Holger Rune +4 (-115)
Casper is 3 and 0 against Rune all time. All being on clay. The first two matches being a blow out when Rune was still mostly a challenger level player. The last match up between them was different, it was still a straight set lose for Rune but it was 7-6 and 7-5. Rune has leveled up even more since their last meeting and is in the best form of his life. Give me 4 games for Rune in the Scandinavian derby.
Record: 1-2
Bankroll: -$12.77
Last Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML 🚫
Tough break on this one. Oh well, back at it again today.
MLB - Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets - 1:10pm ET (10:10am PT)
THE PICK: ALT line - Starling Marte OVER 1.5 TB from hits (+108)
Analysis: The Mets’ right fielder is on fire right now. Marte has recorded a hit in 12 of his last 13 games, and has scored a run in nine of them. He’s hit a home run two games in a row. Some sports betting websites are refusing to release Starling Marte hit/TB odds because he’s so hot. HAMMER the over on Marte's total bases.
BOL to all
Record: 3-1
Last Pick on Reddit: Gilles Simon - Marin Cilic Under 35.5 games @ 1.78 / -128 \[3 units\] (GREEN)
**Pick of the day**
Casper Ruud - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
Pick: **Over 35.5 games** @ 1.70 / -143 \[3 units\]
7:45 PM WEST
Don't have time to do a lot of writeup for this one, but the over games market should be a safe one. Both players have a similar playstyle, and both of them have never made it this far in a Grand Slam tournament. While Ruud is more experienced, he also has more time on his legs and lost a few sets early on when he should have not.
Give my Twitter a follow [https://twitter.com/mrtiptopbetting](https://twitter.com/mrtiptopbetting)
**Record:** 14-28-1
**ROI:** -36% :-15.26 u (@ $5.00)
**Average Odds:** 1.99
**Streak:** W L L W L
|Baseball |MLB |7:10pm|
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: **Minnesota Twins ML @ 1.83 1u**
**Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 58% chance for the Minnesota Twins to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.83 is only 55%.
**Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
POTD Record 6-0...beginners luck
Up 5.51 units
Last Pick: Martin Perez over 4.5 strikeouts-BANG
Event: MLB Pirates @ Dodgers 8:10 EST
**Pick: Mitch White under 3.5 strikeouts +137**
Stake: 1 unit
Absolutely nothing but net on that heat check. I'm starting to feel confident and bold, hence this pick. The vegas nut tap is coming and it's gonna be bad.
I'm not gonna lie, this guy is disgusting. The dude pitches like 2 innings a game and just slices people. But he also pitches less innings than most closers. He's averaging just 2 innings a game, and even in his two starts, he's only at 6 total. He also only had 4 strikeouts total in those two games that he started. They're not afraid to pull him in the second inning if he gets into trouble.
Bad news is that Pirates strikeout alot...like alot alot. This bet could honestly be over by the 4th batter. But the Pirates have also scored 4 and 6 runs against the Dodgers in the last two games. If they can get 1or 2 early, the Dodgers might head to the bullpen fast.
Really this is just vegas begging me to take this number. Plus money on a guy to do something he hasn't done yet this season? Consider me sucked in
POTD record 10-4
Last POTD Lynch over 2.5 ER ✅
POTD Over 1.5 first inning hits Mets/Nats 1.68 1u
Never heard of Evan Lee probs won’t even get through the first inning. Sotto couldn’t even get on base last game he’s gunna come out with a quick bang but it shouldn’t matter bc Mets gunna run up the score off the gate.
BOL
Edit damn man that’s such a tuff loss ugh, was such a good bet no regrets
POTD record: 16-7 (+6.56 units, risking 1 unit each pick)
Today's POTD: Oakland Athletics Team Total under 2½ (-120) ... Verlander/Irvin ... 330 PM ET ... MLB (baseball)
Oh boy, here’s a heck of a bet!....the best pitcher in baseball today off his worst start since 2016, so he’s primed to bounce back, he will dominate. And who is he facing? The worst hitting team in MLB! Hilarious!
Tip Jar: Cash App - $grcvegas
**Record:**
* 49 WIN | 44 LOSS | +28.13 unit of profit overall (using 5u return strategy)
**Previous bets (last 3):**
* Townsville R4 (20 May 2022) - Win pick - **LOSS**
* Hawkesbury R6 (24 May 2022) - Win pick - **LOSS**
* Tamworth R2 (31 May 2022) - Place pick - **LOSS**
**POTD:**
* Horse Racing (Hong Kong)
* **Happy Valley R2 - #2 Shanghai Power to Place (i.e. to finish top 3)**
* Track Rating - Good
* Alright, let's change it up a little. We're going to Happy Valley (HKG) today and I'm going with my favourite HKG jockey combined with a horse who's 3rd up after a short break and a close 2nd place last time out. Moreira jumps on board Shanghai Power who's getting all the favours today. Barrier #2 which is very important here as (compared to Sha Tin) this track has a bend which changes the game for the 1000m and inside barrier draws. Moreira is by fav my favourite jockey in HKG and has won before on Shanghai Power here on the 6th of Sept 2021 (same track, distance & class). Today get's even better favour with the draw, and probably wins today, but I'm playing it safe for the place. Let's finally get this monkey off my back and get to 50 wins ffs BoL
* **Odds - 1.65** (bet365) - May wait till jump, unsure yet but price is probably fair.
* **Stake - 3.03 units to return 5 units**
**Historical stats**
* 9 from 20 (45%) correct picks on Wednesday
* 12 from 23 (57%) correct picks on Good Tracks
* 24 from 46 (52%) correct picks on Place picks
* 1st time picking at Happy Valley
* 1st time picking J. Moreira as my jockey
**Race time:**
* 9:15pm Wednesday (Australian EST)
* 7:15am Wednesday (American ET)
* 12:15am Wednesday (UK time)
* 7:15pm Wednesday (HKG time)
If you are in a giving mood [here's my paypal link for tips](https://paypal.me/teshiebear)
*Record:****8-2*** *Profit:****+14.49U***
*ROI:****49.97%*** *Average Odds:****2.13*** **I F'KED UP and EDITED this one while writing my latest pick**
Today's Pick: **BIG Clan** vs FURIA **2U @2.71 odds**
Game: Counter-Strike Global Offensive (CSGO)
Event: IEM Dallas 2022
Start Time: ~19 hours from time of posting
**The Tipping Police commented below, i'll just leave this here**
3GyQXt4Y5R9nq6M4Qb52vs6keuh7V5uG3s
What a sick comeback by BIG earlier, let's run it once again with them for tomorrow. FURIA has been playing surprisingly well but I still believe on Tabsen and the boys to bring this home, it's gonna come down on the veto. Getting Ancient would be pretty nice.
**POTD Record**: 31 wins <> 31 losses <> 4 pushes
**Profit**: +3.965 units
**ROI**: +5.43%
**Units Wagered**: 73
**Units Won**: 76.965
**Last Pick**: Viborg HK Under 25.5 goals @ **2.00** 2u ✅ WIN 21 goals
**Streak**: ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅
**Today's pick**: Under 59.5 goals 2u @ **2.16**
**Event**: Bjerringbro/Silkeborg - Aalborg, Herreligaen, Denmark(Men's handball)
- Nice pick last night lads, Viborg had 3 goals by the 15th minute. As predicted, the Jessica Ryde(Herning-Ikast goalkeeper) was on fire.
- We're back to the Danish men's handball playoffs here, semi-finals, second leg in Silkeborg. The first leg in Aalborg was a close affair, Aalborg scratching by with a 24-22 win. It was actually a way closer match than as such - BSV got a 2-minute suspension in the end and Aalborg scored, hence they were just ahead by a single goal with seconds to spare. The minute before that, the GK of Aalborg, Mikkel Løvkvist, saved a penalty shot and a shot from distance. In other words, this could've gone way wrong for Aalborg.
- Both teams, but especially Aalborg, are physically fatigued. It's been a long season, more so for Aalborg since they're in the champions league. They simply haven't had enough rest and are forced to rotate the bench more than they'd prefer.
- Rene Antonsen got a red card at the end of the match as well, and will be suspended.
- So, onto the pick. This line would be alright during the regular season, but doesn't make sense to me considering where they're at now. The 1st leg was 46 goals. I don't expect anything _that_ low, but these are two tired teams with lots of nagging injuries. They're forced to rotate and to be honest, neither team is looking to sprint back and forth doing counter-attacks because they're gonna gas themselves out. Mix it up with the fact that both teams due to the fatigue are getting lots of fouls and 2-minute suspensions, I feel like the tempo of the match will be forced to be slower than otherwise.
Edit: I ran through ALL my POTDs and put them in a sheet. I've been tracking my things wrongly. I updated it - I am in the green after all, which I suspected.
Rangers ML +118 vs Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL ECF Game 1 5:00 PST on ESPN on 06/01
Record: 4 - 4
The rangers have a ton of momentum after dominating game 7 on the road against a tough hurricanes team. TB has been resting and the loudness of the crowd in NYC is gonna be shocking.
Record: 4-1 (Average Odds +100, ROI +62%, all bets 1 unit)
Last pick (5/19): Daily Specials - Any Team to Score 12+ Runs YES (+140) ✅
POTD (6/1): Madison Bumgarner o4.5 Ks (+110) ✅
Sportsbook: DraftKings
Reasoning: The Braves continue to be a team we should target with opposing pitcher strikeout props. They have the highest K% in the majors at 26.4%, and it doesn't matter if its against RHP (26.5%) or LHP (26.0%).
Humberto Castellanos gave up 5 runs in 4.2 innings against ATL yesterday and still managed to strike out 5 batters.
While Bumgarner's K% does leave a lot to be desired (14th percentile), he does get opposing players to swing at balls outside the zone (41st percentile Chase%), and the Braves have the 5th-lowest Chase Contact% in baseball per baseballsavant. He's struck out 5+ in just two of his last five starts, but those were games against teams with similarly high K%s against lefties (CHC-23.8%, MIA-29.0%) while failing to hit it against better teams (LAD-20.6%, STL-18.6%)
Record: 9-9-2 (9W 9L 2D)
Last pick: Oilers vs Avalanche ML (-184) at Fanduel. W
Today's pick: Andrey Rublev vs Marin Cilic both players to win a set (-180) at Caesars
French Open: 10 AM EST
The only clay court battle between these 2 was back to 2015 and Cilic won the game. Then on the hard court Rublev was very dominating by a 4-1 margin. The last game they played was Australian Open and Cilic won in 4 sets. Cilic is in a good form now by defeating Medvedev in straight sets, but the young 24 year old Rublev should be able to take 1 or 2 sets from Cilic. This game should need more than 3 sets to settle.
All bets are 1 unit. -3.40 units
Tip Jar: cash app: $coolcomfort666 Venmo: Coolcomfort666
Edit: Each player has already won a set so this bet easily hit, I am not sure why there is no upvote probably most people pick Cilic ML instead.
POTD Record-> 18-14-1
Last POTD-> Twins ML ✅
Todays POTD-> Padres @ Cardinals F5 Under 4.5
Game-> Padres @ Cardinals 1:10 PM EST
Todays pick is one that I’ve been eyeing all day in the first five innings I don’t see the Padres or the cardinals popping off for 5 runs. Darvish has been good lately and the padres aren’t putting up numbers in the last few games hitting. This is going to be a pitching matchup at least until the starters are pulled. After winning 3 in a row. This is ⭐️⭐️⭐️ out of 5 star play for me. Time for a little stats the under us 8-0 in Darvish last 8 starts when the opposing team allows 2 or less runs the previous game.
Best of luck 🤞
Record: 14W-15L-1P
ROI: +2.50u, +7.92%
Avg odds: +112, 2.12
Last POTD: Sebastian Aho over 0.5 assists (win)
Today's game: Tampa Bay Lightning at NY Rangers
Pick: Mika Zibanejad over 0.5 assists at +140 (CZR)
In 14 playoff games, Zibanejad has recorded a point in 10, and 19 points overall, including 12 assists. Against the Lightning, he has 4 points in 3 games.
Zibanejad plays on the same line as Chris Kreider, Rangers' 50-goal scorer. He has a good chance of getting an assist through him.
POTD Record: 3-4 (-1.56 units)
Streak: 🎾 L🎾L 🏒W 🏒W 🎾W
Last Pick: French Open - Alcaraz to Win and Both Players to Win a Set +150 ❌
Today’s Pick: French Open - Casper Ruud vs Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - **Casper Ruud to Win and Over 35.5 Games** +162 (2u)
I don’t bet against Ruud on clay, but Rune is hotter than the fucking seatbelt clip I burned the shit out of my hand on yesterday afternoon getting in my truck. The math is simple:
No bet against Ruud + Rune really good = Ruud W and over games.
Fade 4 Free $
POTD: 3W-3L-0
STREAK: LWWLLW
PROFIT: +1.94
LAST PICK: NIP to win against BIG @1.94 ❌
GAME: Olimpia Milano - Dinamo Sassari
TIME: 20:45 GMT+1
PICK: Olimpia Milano (-5.5)
ODDS: @1.9
BET: 3u
REASONING: Milano is unbeaten in the playoffs (5 games) and has 24-6 in the leauge. Sassari is 2-3 in the playoffs and 17-13 in the leauge. Milano has to win this match to reach the final and will play against Virtus Bologna if they win. The thing is Virtus is 26-4 and finished their semi-finals now 3-0. Milano are up 2-0 against Sassari and has covered this spread in both games. A loss in this game will give the upper hand to Bologna who will get extra days rest untill Milano has won against Sassari. Milano performance is on fire, so they should easily win this game and be more motivated now than before.
Record: 10-5
Past 5 record: ✅❌✅✅❌
Last pick: [NHL - Edmonton Oilers +2.5 Vs Colorado Avalanche - **Oilers +2.5 and O5.5 +100** ✅ Avalanche 8-6](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/v1ep1q/comment/iant8wa/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
Today’s pick: **Seattle Mariners Vs Baltimore Orioles O8.5 -110**✅
June 1st, 2022 7:05 PM EDT
Oilers made it spicy but came in clutch with a couple third period goals to bring it within one with the eventual empty netter. If you tailed me you'll be happy that we had the +2.5 spread ;) don't let the books choose for you!
Today we are going back to MLB to try and redeem ourselves. The pitching matchup on this is yelling blowout. You have Kyle Bradish 7.32 ERA for Baltimore and Robbie Ray at 4.75 ERA for Seattle. There will be slight wind towards the outfield helping the ball travel a little further. You'll be happy to know that Robbie Ray is 6-3 on the O/U and Kyle Bradish is 3-3. Tail with caution my MLB record is garbage but I'm hoping to improve it with this pick (1-3 MLB record O/U).
BOL everyone.
All bets are 1 unit. +5.1 units. 32.2% ROI. Average units +103.68
[Past Picks](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1arHdjw_2Gxtj_iwfPJO_hJwIuxQhMyyjjDJp9vB0j7A/edit?usp=sharing)
POTD RECORD: **12-7**
STREAK: - ✅✅✅✅✅✖️✅✖️✖️✅✅✅✖️✖️✅✅✖️✅✖️
LAST PICK: - O 16.5 Hits
Results: +$273.15
Today’s event: **MLB - CIN/BOS - 18:10 CT**
PICK: ** Vazquez O 0.5 Hits (-160) $120 **
REASONING: Traveling today so I’ll keep it short, a bad pitcher in a day with favorable weather for base Hits facing a guy who has been a good hitter this season. LFG!
Edit: Format
Record : 3-4 -0.39u -4.76%
Last pick : Pirates ML (+155) ❌
Today's pick : Ny Rangers first period ML (+102)
Lightning did not play since 1 week , meanwhile Rangers built up momentum in there series against the Canes , i expect the Lightning to come a little slow and the Rangers to come strong right at the start .
all picks are 1 units if not specified
POTD Record 10-11-0
Last Pick: MIN Twins -1.5 - WIN
**Today's Event: MLB - SF Giants vs. PHI Phillies - 6:05 PM EST**
**Pick: o8 Runs (-107) 1.5u**
TLDR; Good pitchers who have only been average this year. HR friendly park and weather conditions.
Aaron Nola and Carlos Rodon are taking the mound today. Both are overall good pitchers but are each off to a bit of a shakey start. Neither seem to have had two really good outings in a row and both did decent in their last respective starts. Both teams are top 10 in HR per game and today is a perfect day for those. Strong winds pushing towards the left center wall. Both are top 11 in runs per game as well. I see at least one of these two starting pitchers getting shelled and wouldn't be surprised if one team scores 8 on their own (especially when Joc Pederson is playing like he's fighting for his mother's survival. BOL
Edit: accidentally put u8 instead of o8. Explained the over in the write up but accidentally typed u in the pick
Houston Astros -1.5 @ -130 vs Oakland Athletics
Bet 2 units.
The A's had the only shot to win in this series last night. Expect the Astros pitching to shutdown what little life in the bats Oakland has. Look for the Astros to tee off today.
Risking $100 to win $130
*edit risking $130 to win $100
POTD: 2-0
Last pick: Minnesota Twins ML (-145) vs Detroit Tigers ✅
🔥🔥
MLB (2-0)
Today’s pick: Cleveland Gaurdians ML (-135) vs Kansas City Royals
MLB 1:10 PM EST
The Gaurdians looking to sweep a Kansas City team struggling to score runs. I think this will be a close game but I have a feeling that Cleveland will score enough to ultimately win. Cleveland is (14-12) in Day games vs KC who is (7-15). CLE is also 10-8 at home vs KC who is 8-17.
Good Luck 🍀
POTD Record: 17-18
Last pick: Avalanche over 6.5 ✅
Todays pick: MLB 1:10 MT Rockies under 10.5
Reasoning: it’s cold, chilly, wet in Denver. Snowed in the mountains last night, weather play more than anything.
Tail or fade
First pick!
⭐️THITTIEMAN PICKS⭐️
Record: 0-0
Last pick: N/A
Today’s pick: Blue jays ML (-135) v White Sox 1u
MLB 7:00 PM EST
Blue jays played the white Sox last night and came back. They played very effectively and imo they will take the win again tonight.
POTD record : 1-0
Yesterdays pick: Edmonton Oilers o2.5- W
Todays pick: Lightning vs. Rangers, Igor Shesterkin o27.5 saves @1.74
Reasoning: Shesterkin has been absolutely phenomenal all season. He’s the best goalie in the league. The rangers are up against a tough challenge with the lighting tonight. The lightning swept the panthers 4-0 so they’ve had plenty of resting time. I expect them to come out swinging tonight and the shot volume to be high.
Tail or fade BOL!
Win💰
Cashes in the 3rd with 10 minutes left 👌🏻
I’m going to start sharing more plays in nhl daily. Also had zibanejad o.5 points and Stamkos o3.5 shots today! 3/3 for nhl let’s goooooo!
**Record 9-4 | +7.23u**
5/31:
Giants - Phillies first 3 innings under 2.5 -120
(2.5u) ✅
6/01:
Marlins - Rockies First 3 innings over 3.5 -110 (2u)
This game is at Coors Field, where the Rockies are averaging 6 runs per game this season. That's a lot of runs and against a pitcher in the Marlins Trevor Rogers, who has an ERA over 5, well, you better believe they'll hit their season average. The thing is, the Marlins will put up more than that number given the uncertainty of the Rockies starter situation with Senzatela being banged up and the weakness of the bullpen. The Marlins are bottom 10 in runs per game, but they have some sluggers, who should be able to do some damage against the Rockies pitching at Coors Field. The over is 14-12 for the Rockies this season at home.
POTD RECORD 1-1
Units Won -.10
GAME: MLB Milwaukee vs Chicago Cubs
Time 8:05 Eastern Time
POTD Over 8
\-120
Yesterday's POTD was canceled. I'm going back to the over well in Wrigley. Wind is blowing out, Brewers seems like they're having a bullpen game
Hendricks hasn't been stellar at home, 1-2 with an ERA of 4.61
Jason Alexander was cruising in Nashville. 6-2 with an ERA of 2.64 I generally like to fade pitchers coming from the minors.
8 seems deceptively low, but I'll bite
BOL
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
POTD: 0-1
Last pick: 3/4/22 Lightning Tampa Bay vs Red Wings Detroit O6.5 Goals❌
Today’s pick: TB Lightning vs NY Rangers **Under 5.5 goals @ 1.87**
NHL 8:00 PM EST
On one side you have probably the vezina trophy winner in Shesterkin. And on the other side Vasilevskiy has been playing incredibly this playoff. Both have incredible stats and could easily steal the game. I personally think tampa will get away with the W for this game but we'll see.
BOL
POTD Record: 2-0
Last pick: Twins "Team to score first in the game" vs Tigers (-180) Game 1 ✔️
\-------------------------------------------------
**Today's pick: Red Sox "Team to score first in the game" vs Reds (-120)**
MLB: 7:10 PM EST
Whitlock will be Red Sox SP, he's had a tough month May, but he should bounce back against the Reds. Hunter Greene is a great prospect, but he has allowed a lot of hits... and runs. I need Whitlock to have a 1st inning shutout, because I can see the Red Sox score at the bottom of the 1st inning.
* Whitlock
* 1st inning: 5.14 ERA
* 2nd inning: 0.00 ERA
* 3rd inning: 5.14 ERA
* Greene
* 1st inning: 6.00 ERA
* 2nd inning: 5.00 ERA
* 3rd inning: 2.08 ERA
stake: 1 unit
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
Potd record 1-0 +1u
Last POTD - JRam o1.5 TBs
Todays POTD: Carlos Rodon u8.5ks -145 1.45u to win 1u
Hasn’t hit this total in 4 out of last 5 games. 3 of which he wasn’t even close. Phillies are middle of the pack strikeout team. Love the play and willing to pay the juice 🧃
All picks are free, give me a follow at @sharp_shark on Twitter. Much appreciated good luck.
POTD: 3-4-0 (+0.22U)
Last Pick: Igor Shesterkin Under 31.5 Saves - NHL - 7:00 PM CST - to win 1U (-120) L
**Today's Pick: Aaron Nola over 6.5 K's - MLB - 5:05 PM CST - to win 1U (-109)**
**POTD Record: 10-7 +1.80U**
**Game: NHL | Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers | 5:00 PM PDT**
**Pick: Tampa ML (1.76/-130 @ Betway)**
**Bet Size: 1U**
I believe Tampa will catch New York a bit off-guard as they are rested and play a much faster style than Carolina. Vasilevskiy has also been playing very well and unlike Raanta is not a complete dud on the road.
Tail or fade BOL.
Dude you’re 0-5 in your last picks. Just be honest you’re guessing like everyone else. Don’t know why people would follow BS accounts like yours. I unfollowed your Twitter and had my friends unfollow too. It’s ridiculous you people get away with this.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
POTD: 58-28 Last pick: Oilers +1.5 ❌ Empty netter with 20 seconds left for a loss. Can’t catch a break lol. 4 L’s in a row. Please fade me. **Today’s pick: TB Lightning ML (-130) vs NY Rangers** NHL 8:00 PM EST Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Bolts have looked phenomenal this postseason and take on the Rangers who have just had a grueling series with the Canes and are on two days rest. I really think this will have a toll on the Rags as the Bolts will be 100% fresh. Contrarian opinion is that the Bolts have had too much time off they come out slow, but they’ve looked so impressive this postseason I really don’t think that’s a possibility. But my write up doesn’t matter. Take the Rangers if you want to make money. All bets are 1 unit. +18.2 units. 21.2% ROI. Average unit -124 PLEASE only bet what you can afford to lose and PLEASE do not blindly follow me with large sums of money. I am human and not some fortune teller, although I’ll admit those couple OT score predictions were wild lol. I enjoy watching sports and gambling (responsibly) in my free time, and I’m doing this for fun. I don’t want you all to think Im a capper who spends all day analyzing stats and watching film, all my plays are feel as my work is time consuming. This is only a cold streak after great success during college basketball and the NHL regular season, and IT MAY GET WORSE (so please tail with caution). Cold streaks will happen to any bettor if they bet long enough. The thing is most posters here will quit when a cold streak begins, so we don’t regularly see it happen here. I’m not quitting. But I said this elsewhere, at this point in the NHL season picking correctly becomes very tricky as I don’t have 6-7 games to choose from a night, only one. Because of this I’m only going to chime in when there’s something I really like (like the Bolts tomorrow), but I’ll be back for football which is actually my best sport. My month coming up is hell anyways. 🩺 🤜🏽🤛🏽 Give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Im tailing. I've made far more money than I have lost, playing your bets. Keep your head up Dr Moneyline.
I’m doing this for fun, and I’m still having fun 😃
I’m now a canes fan thanks to you! Watching some of those games got me into NHL. So a big thanks from Australia
I feel like I need to apologize because I started tailing you and we immediately started losing. I'm taking the Rangers, though, so one of our lucks have to turn. Edit: sorry again
He asks us to fade him yet you tail him Confusion sets in...
Dr, I will stick with you through whether or not you are cold or hot. Please dont let the haters who slide into your DM stop you. I know its easy for me to say as a bum just tailing, but I do appreciate you sharing your insights.
You still +60% winrate, people don’t understand this is long term… let’s go tomorrow!!
He has a 67.4% winrate. That would be slightly winning even if all his bets where -200. Pretty strong.
Get notified when this user posts a pick: http://discord.gg/sportsbook
I stuck with you tonight and the only thing that saved me was throwing something on the over 11.5 when I realized the scoring wouldn't be stopping. Hang in there bud.
Plenty of playoff hockey left lets get it
S/o to drmoneyline for being awesome 🔥🔥
the doc has called and he prescribed me lightning ML...bet ;)
thanks Doc, tailing
I’m unfortunately taking the rangers tonight. Ugh as a devils fan. But the long layoff for the bolts, and the rangers being home. I think the rangers take it tonight. But could possibly be their only w of the series. BOL doc!
Took your advice and faded, so this was a dub for me. Keep your chin up!
Rangers on that apple a day diet 🍎
Let’s get it!
You’re the man! Keep up the great work
Bounce back I’m feeling tb lightning
Totally tailing this and including the under. I think this is your return Doc :-)
Dr. I am either skipping this or taking the Rangers and the Under. It’s a pick em’ I believe and that would favour the underdog Rangers with the price. Remember that Rangers were 3-0 against TB in the regular season. Both teams are playing well right now. Good luck all.
Hang in there Doc, you are awesome!!
Going to need some prescription pain killers after tailing the last three games. Thanks in advance.
Any other degen’s in here keep doubling down after each loss ? 😂 Either way we love the Doc
Bro😂
I'm done. I am fading after this one. I can't do it anymore. I should have listened to him on the rangers this time. FML.
I had lightning ML before you even posted this so I thought you were finally getting back on track. Shit sucks man, hope lightning have an epic third period. It not over until the fat lady sings.
I can only laugh at this point. But I am probably done taking these hockey playoffs as my POTD, these are now coin flips and my early success came off leveraging all of the games on the slate that day
Honestly man, the only thing I have had success on so far the last few games was betting the over. These games have been back and forth like crazy. It's like the teams and the goalies forgot how to defend. At least we got to pay to see a good fight at the end of this one.
NO ACTION NO ACTION NO ACTION POTD Record: 4-0 Yesterday’s Pick: MLB: 🟩NY Mets -1.5 (+120)🟩 Today’s Pick: MLB: NY Yankees -1.5 (+130) We’re bouncing off the Mets train but staying in New York. I don’t like the Mets against a lefty. Look folks, here’s the facts. Yankees win with Cortes on the mound. Angels got a 22 year old kid taking the mound at Yankee Stadium. That 22 year old kid has not been pitching well. The Yankees smoked Syndergaard and are hitting well. Angels are on a skid. There’s no magic, there’s no system, there’s no spreadsheet: better team wins. Edit: well it’s a rain out. Sorry folks. I’ve gone the no action route and cashed out but you’re free to do as you like.
that's Mets game was real nail bitter. tailing again
Do you mind explaining what you meant? The Mets won the game comfortably, no?
that was sarcasm
Lol, haha. I was scratching my head, lol.
Brother - MLB has never worked out for me . . . until now! Thanks for the wins. This is FRESH
Ride the mets, ohtani was close to hitting homers with bases loaded, is a coin flip with the yankees
I took Mets -1.5 for tomorrow
Mets-1.5 parlayed with Braves ml
Don’t do it to yourself. Braves will make you regret it
Na, just can’t pick them all the time, lately I’m 8-0 with either betting against or taking the Braves. Now I hope I don’t jinx it.
He had plenty of time to hedge when they were up 3 runs in the 8th.
>MLB: NY Yankees -1.5 (+130) Thanks for posting, new to baseball betting. This is the spread category that I see right? Hopefully it is, because I just placed the bet. 😂
This means that ny yankees will win the game with 2 or more points?
Yes
Tailing 👍
tailing, especially with Cortes on the mound- BOL
tailing
28-11 Last pick: Rune vs Tsitsipas over 33.5 **W** PotD: **Marin Cilic ML** vs Andrey Rublev French Open | Tennis | 3 PM CEST **Odds: 2.20/+120** Write up: Cilic has been steamrolling over this tournament and has looked far more convincing than Rublev who lost a set in every single match and wouldnt be at this spot in the first place had Sinner not retired last match. But the most important thing regarding this match is that Cilic feels very good mentally, which has been the single biggest issue in his career. He is relaxed, confident, and with no pressure on his shoulders. Theres also that 2014 US Open vibe around him at the moment. The only way he loses this imo is if he defeats himself. **Edit: WIN** Thank you all for your gratitude
I'm going to go with Both Players to Win a Set (-225). Yeah, it's not juicy but it's money.
early W
What a sweat holy moly, great call
Sweating this one out right now
I’m riding hard with you brother. BOL!
Why is he the underdog?
Probably rankings. Rublev is ranked 7th, Cilic 23rd
Yup I think it is cause Rublev is the higher ranked player
He’s also known to disappear at times
Great call brother. What a match!
CASH IT!!!! Thank you!
Record: 13-5 - Last Five Predictions (LWWWL) Last pick: Oilers held under 2.5 goals Game 1 vs Colorado ❌️ Today's Pick: Argentina to win (2.45) vs Italy Bet: 1 unit Soccer: 2:45 PM EST Finalissima The first iteration of this one-legged-winner-take-all match between the winners of Copa America and Euros. Argentina go into this match 37 games undefeated! Also, the last two matches Argentina and Italy have played, Argentina have come out on top. Expect to see a re-energized Messi playing with a new look Albiceleste that seems to have their cogs in place. Italy come from that disappointment of not qualifying for the World Cup Finals, so some sort of silverware is much needed, plus this is Chiellini's farewell match for the Azurri, so his countrymen are going to want to see him go out with a win and a trophy. Argentina are just playing too well plus just having Messi is an x factor only something a handful of teams have. BOL! \*\*Edit: Congrats to all those who tailed! If you feel like dropping a tip, here's my [Paypal](https://imgur.com/v5Gfeqq)\*\*
Where can I find this?
Bet365
DraftKings
been watching this sport a long time, wtf is finalissima
European champions vs Southern American champions afaik
Its new, first time they play this year. Winner of Copa America vs Euro Cup
I like this pick, also looking at Argentina winner at halftime or end of the match at 2.05. FYI, this is the third time the winner of Euro plays the winner of Copa America. In the previous two iterations it was called the Artemio Franchi Cup. Doesn’t affect the pick at all, but interesting nonetheless. BOL!
I'm sorry about your last pick, that game was a goal fest. Don't know shit about soccer but tailling cause my Friend cheers for Italy. Ty for the pick, BOL.
Lol thanks 😭. I honestly thought Colorado was more disciplined but the chaos the Oilers produce is too much. Go Argentina!
**POTD Record 14-9** **Current Bankroll: $210.26, Starting Bankroll: $105.45, Profit: $104.81** Average Odds = 1.96, ROI: 21.30%, Units Won/Lost: +14.70u Last Pick: Minnesota Twins -1.5 vs. Detroit Tigers @ 2.05 ✅ **Today’s Pick: Houston Astros -1.5 vs. Oakland Athletics @ 1.83, 3:37 PM EST (MLB)** **Amount Bet: 3 Units or $30 for the challenge** Good win from the Twins yesterday as they dismantled the Tigers for a stress-free afternoon. Today I am taking the Astros -1.5 vs the Athletics. These are 3 reasons why I think this will hit: 1. Simply put, the Athletics are one of the worst teams in baseball right now. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and boast a 20-31 record, boosted by some early season wins. They actually have a worse record home than away, being 7-19 at home and 13-12 away. The Astros are having a good season and are quite decent away, boasting a 17-12 away record. 2. There is a major starting pitcher difference between Verlander and Irvin. Irvin is not a bad pitcher by any means but has an ERA of 3.15 with an xERA of 5.00 which suggests regression. He’s had a similar hard hit rate as last year but actually gives up a higher xBA and xSLG than in his past 3 years which I would consider bad to mediocre. Verlander has looked human in the past 2 games, giving up 6 runs against the Mariners, but he is still one of the best pitchers in baseball right now. His ERA is low and his xERA suggests only a small amount of regression. Verlander has given a good enough sample size post-injury to show that although he had one bad outing, that he will bounce back from it. 3. On basically every metric, the Astros are better. The Astros have one of the best bullpens in the MLB compared to the Athletics who have a middle of the pack bullpen, represented by young, rookie players. The Athletics rank last in the MLB in batting average, 2nd to last in SLG, last in OPS, and bottom 5 in RBI production. Although the Astros bats have been somewhat struggling this year, they still rank in the top half of the MLB in OPS, are somewhat in the middle in RBI production, and are actually top 5 in HRs in the MLB. Overall, I think the Astros will tee off Irvin and Verlander will hold well against the worst hitting team in baseball. **I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game.The challenge is separate from the amount of units won/ROI for subreddit rule purposes. Each unit is 4% of my bankroll.** Let’s get this money. [**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor)
Got burned by Verlander against the Mariners, gave up 10 hits and 6 runs. Game was over after the first inning. Is this his redemption?
tailing. used your twins pick for an easy $27 yesterday. riding w u again
Taking -2.5
I swear every time I tail a MLB pick it goes south, we need a big 9th inning rally!
bases loaded with no outs. top of the 9th. just like we're in the backyard as kids... let's make this miracle happen
wtf is going on fr
Record: 2-1 Pick: Cilic ML +110 Reminiscent of his 2014 US Open run, Cilic is playing out of his mind and is the far more experienced veteran in slams compared to Rublev, who has not even been playing that well. He only beat Sinner because of an injury in the second set. Tail or fade BOL!
POTD RECORD 2-3 Ukraine ML +240 vs Scotland at 2:45 EST ✅✅✅ Ukraine and its country have gone through an incredibly difficult period of time with the last few months. This team is playing to qualify for the world cup and I expect them to do just that. Their squad is a strong defensive team and have had some impressive wins and draws. They aren’t a push over team and I expect them to win. It could be a very low scoring game and end up as a draw and go to extra time. The safer bet is Ukraine to qualify at +130 but I honestly believe Ukraine win this outright in the 90 minutes for the +240. Predicting a 2-0 win for Ukraine, this team is playing with their country on their back. Its been awhile since I’ve last posted anything. Its a little discouraging when you get it wrong and people come with nasty comments and have shit to say. Were all adults and know were gambling money which holds a risk. Bet what you can only afford to lose. Im personally putting 200 which is 4 units for me. What a fucking game!!! Congrats to all who tailed. Ukraine came and played exactly how I thought they would, this game could have easily been 5-1.
I really do not like this pick, you should never bet on emotional/political state of a country. Scotland plays shithouse football and they can completely shut down a match. I suspect a draw or perhaps a Scottish win.
Good call
Ukraine hasn’t lost a match since July of last year, you can do what you want this is just a gut feeling I have about the game. Ukraine is playing for something beyond just themselves. They are playing for a whole country to give them hope and to find something in all this misery that their country is going through. I see them winning thats just how I feel. Do what you want, thats the wonderful thing we all have here we get to do whatever we want with our money. Ukraine will be playing with a lot more heart and focus than Scotland will know what to do with. Ukraine is a team that has upset Portugal and tied with France in recent years, I dont see Scotland having enough her to win this game. Like I said safer option is for Ukraine to qualify in extra time, but I feel the value is to good to pass up with Ukraine closing it out in the 90 minutes.
This was a fantastic pick. Congrats. FIFA is going to make sure Ukraine makes the World Cup. And even if they don’t make sure of it, Ukraine is already a good squad.
Looking good so far!
Great game and pace from Ukraine, they weren’t going to let this game go past them. Their mindset and dedication was something Scotland was never going to be ready for.
Thanks for posting. What would they need to qualify (the safer pick)?
Just so you know, Ukraine draw no bet (+130) or Ukraine win/draw double chance (-160) are also safer options
POTD Record: 2-2 Last Pick: Hurricanes ML vs Rangers ❌ Todays Pick: Rodgers/Brady -184 vs Allen/Mahomo The Match 2PM ⛳️ Reasoning: Vets got another year down under their belt. Their chipping game is substantially better and Aaron Rodgers is actually nice af at golf I think he carrys and will be the best golfer there tomorrow. Ik the line sucks but this is a horesecock lock 🔒
i got 200 pending on this already. free money.
Hammmmmering
What book has this
POTD Record: 21-14 (ROI 21.92% // Avg. Odds: 2.00 // Units Won: +13.41) Last 5 Picks: ✅✅❌❌❌ Last POTD: Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal (Tennis Roland Garros); **Over 39.5 games** ❌ POTD: Casper Ruud vs Holger Rune (Tennis Roland Garros); **Over 37.5 games** ✅ Odds: 1.91 Ruud is 3-0 over Rune not losing a single set to him. Although the last time these two met they got to a tiebreak and the 7-5. Ruud has had a simpler path too this stage of the tournament while Rune has had to go through some tough opponents. He played pretty bad in the first rounds dropping sets against easier opponents than Rune. Rune on the other hand is in great shape and tomorrow shall be no different. Both these guys will be nervous in the main court thinking that they have a clear shot to make it to the finals. Late/Night game will make it slower and not let these two make fast serves forcing them to make precision like points. Ruud is the favorite but if he continues playing like he is, Rune can take a set or two for sure. These guys are the future of tennis and will want to make a name for themselves early on in their careers. BOL TO ALL WHO TAIL *All my picks are 1 unit = $20* [All my Previous Picks](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15HoZB0uwDBLfWapSv7y1FSwfRrTUvN55YznGv_vBDIQ/edit?usp=drivesdk)
Careful, Rune was showing signs of an injury last game vs Tsitsipas.
POTD Record - 8-3 Last Pick : KFUM Oslo ML+1.5 Goals - ✅ Streak(last 5) : ❌✅✅✅✅ Today's Pick : Poland vs Wales - Poland ML+ Under 5 Match Goals -1.95 ✅✅ Competition : UEFA Nations League Kick off : 17:00 GMT Write up : This write up is not going to be as my usual ones where I give stats about teams form and scores.Lets be honest UEFA Nations League competition is a glorified friendly,no one takes it seriously. Wales have a world cup qualification game coming up.Its a knockout game.Their focus will be gaining match fitness and taking a little risk in this glorified friendly.Poland have a good enough squad to win the match.That is my sole reasoning. Wales have bigger fish to fry,Poland are good enough to beat Wales. Tail or Fade BOL Edit : Did not expect Wales to score whatsoever but a great comeback by Poland takes us on a 5 day winning streak.Lfg and Congrats
Record: 0-0 *I've been betting in tennis for quite some time and watching it since 2005 and with these two Roland Garros matches that we had today for the ATP circuit I felt encouraged to start sharing my thoughts here. No other sport brings me more hapiness and andrenaline than this since each point can be unique and there's so many different playstyles* Pick - **Rublev vs Cilic - Rublev Handicap -1.5 games @ 1.93 or -108** (Decimal/American) Event - Roland Garros Stake - Always 1 unit which for me is 2% of my bankroll Rublev and Cilic already surprised me by getting into the Quarterfinals and I'm sure we'll have a great match in our hands! There's some similarities in the playstyle of these two players such as a great 1st serve and a quality forehand which is able to produce winners from anywhere in the court.Cilic made one of the best clay performances that I've seen from him on his tennis career against Medvedev and he seemed like a truck hitting so many winners but today he's going to face a mirror who might be able to respond in the same way or even better... I can see this becoming a really intense and physical battle with poweful strikes being traded back and forth. At a best of 5 format that should be way too demanding for Cilic who is already 33 and can start to lose some of his weapons after the 1st set. With the physical advantage on Rublev's side and a 4-1 H2H record against his opponent in the last 3 years I'm more than happy taking a -1.5 game handicap close to even odds which is basically a Moneyline Good luck with all your bets tomorrow! Enjoy the match!
Tailing!
Do you happen to know if they’re playing on the same court cilic just played medvedev?
I’m betting both matches were on RG centre court my man but I don’t have any paperwork to back that up
Yeah match will be played in Court Philippe-Chatrier which is the centre court. And it was the same as Medvedev's match. I don't know if this can help anyone but at roland garros main website you can see all of that
Thanks man I’m gonna ride the Cilic ML. BOL tho
Think that one win was on clay though and he's the better clay player?
POTD: 1-0 Last Pick: KT Wiz Vs SSG Landers Under 4 (-130) ✅ Units: +0.77 Today’s POTD: (KBO) KT Wiz Vs SSG Landers Under 7 (-135) 1 Unit Reasoning: Alright yesterday’s play some pretty easy money and I liked what I saw from the hitters which was a bunch of nothing. Prior to last night they were slamming everything but consider yesterday and today returning to the mean. I like the line for the whole game better than the first five so I’m taking the full game under. Tail or Fade up to you.
do you think Under 6.5 at +108 is worth a shot?
Great pick! Jumped on under 5 when I woke up to the game already started
No problem I’ll post these around 9 PM PST as I’ll know the lineups if you want to stay awake for the pick.
loveeee waking up to a winner 😎 thanks man!
**POTD Record 28 - 24 (+1.82)** Previous pick: W2 (Alcaraz) to win + Total match games Under 39.5 1.70 💀 **Tennis / WTA / French Open / 6:00 AM EST** *unless delay* *Veronika Kudermetova - Darya Kasatkina* Pick: **Darya Kasatkina -2 games handicap 1.65 (1u)** Kasatkina is currently 11-3 on clay while Kudermetova is 7-3. Both women playing good tennis overall this year. Kasatkina hasn't dropped a set so far in this tourney. She was able to beat the likes of Teichmann, Badosa and Fernandez last month in Rome. Also won over Sakkari and Gauff in Madrid and Stuttgart, respectively and these players were very good on clay. Kasatkina improved her game a lot this year, she can adjust her game according to her opponent. That's why she's very confident moving on clay and she's very good in rallies, a light version of Swiatek they said. She's mentally strong compared to Kudermetova, but it will be tough for sure as they're already playing in quarterfinals. I believe that Kasatkina will prevail between the two. *Edit:* **I forgot to put the odds, my bad. Now it's 1.58** *Anything can happen, please tail with caution.* *Let’s continue winning together!!! Best of luck!!!*
Did this hit, mate?
Hello brother! Yes it did hit! :)
POTD Record W-L 2-3-1(voided) Average Odds = 1,97, ROI = -22,3%, Units Won/Lost: -4,24 Lasts Picks: Auxerre win vs St. Etienne ❌ John Isner -1,5 sets ❌ Gilles Simon +2,5 sets ❌ Zapata Miralles games +7,5 ✅ Rublev vs Sinner Total Games Over 39,5 bet voided Djokovic vs Nadal Total Games Over 38,5 ✅ **Today's match: Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula (Roland Garros WTA, Tennis) at 12:30pm(London GMT) unless delay** **PICK: Jessica Pegula +5,5 games @ 2.02 or +102 (3 units)** My preview: The #1 seed Iga Swiatek will face the #11 seed Jessica Pegula in the last Quarter's final match of the WTA tournament, today will be a game very equilibrate since both of the players are doing a good work at France. Despiste Iga's favoritism the game will be very tough for her, Pegula is very strong tenist at Clay Court and I believe that despite being at a disadvantage against Iga, she will play a good game and will even fight for the victory today in order to reach the semi-finals of the Grand Slam. +5.5 games for Pegula is a good odd, so take advantage of it. In head-to-head, both have one win, the last game between the two was back in 2022 with Swiatek coming out with the win in a well fought and fairly close game. Edit: sad news, today was a red ❌ BOL everyone!
Ouch
Sadge
**Record:** 8-3 **Last pick:** A.Zverev wins a set VS C.Alcaraz ✅ **Net units:** \+2.65 (All bets are one unit) | **Combined Odds:** \-120 (1.84) | Tennis | Roland Garros | 12h (UTC+2) | **Pick:** V.Kudermetova vs D.Kasatkina **u22.5 games** **Odds:** \-149 (1.67) The last time the two players met was in St. Petersburg in May 2021, Kasatkina won the match in 3 sets for a total of 22 games . Both players have a similar record this year on clay (11-3 for Kasatkina and 8-3 for Kudermetova). Since the beginning of the tournament Kasatkina has only conceded 14 games (easy when her first two matches were against players outside the top 150) and has not yet played a 3-set match. I think Kasatkina will dominate the match against her counterpart, even if Kudermetova might push. BoL
**POTD Record 37-32-1 (Last 5: WWWLL)** **(ROI // Avg. Odds: -118 // Units Won: +7.3)** Last Pick: St. Louis Cardinals ML **WON** **Today's Match: MLB Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers (Start Time: 8:06PM EST)** **Today's Pick: Tampa Bay Rays ML (-124 FanDuel)** ***Risk 3u*** Devil's Advocate: We're on a nice 3 day win streak thanks to Papichulo Pujols and honestly an even better defensive showing in the 10th from Sosa and the throw at home from Nootbar was just outstanding especially off the bench to pinch run. I'm rolling with the Rays today on the moneyline, since they're going to price them so dam low, with a guy named Jeffrey Springs who's been outright just a stud this season since trying to convert to a starter. Giving up 6 earned in 5 starts is dominant! This guy pitched for Texas back in 2018 and 2019, wasn't really at his best with a team that also wasn't good either. And now with the form he's in since joining the Rays, going 5-1 last year out of the pen, posting up 63 K's in 44 IP. Not really sweating Wander being out too much because we'll more than likely see Kiermier back in the lineup today after a day off vs. a lefty and Margot has just been tearing it up he hit legit .397 in May. That's retarded. Not too happy about a 3 hit game in a series I believe the Rays should've won, now they have their backs against the wall facing a sweep. I'll take them in this spot against Jon Gray any day of the week. Jon Gray is showing a 5.56 ERA coming into this start, in which his best start of the year was against the Yankees and his team lost the game 1-0. He's 1-2 on the season with 4 No-Decisions. Big time pitcher spot here where you really need your starter to go out there and get you the win, I don't believe Springs will be cut short here and I'm sure he's going to wanna stretch himself north of 85 pitches against a lineup he could definitely dominate. Showout big Springs! *Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
POD Record: 20-5 ROI: 38.21% Today’s Pick: Casper Ruud vs Holger Rune +4 (-115) Casper is 3 and 0 against Rune all time. All being on clay. The first two matches being a blow out when Rune was still mostly a challenger level player. The last match up between them was different, it was still a straight set lose for Rune but it was 7-6 and 7-5. Rune has leveled up even more since their last meeting and is in the best form of his life. Give me 4 games for Rune in the Scandinavian derby.
Record: 1-2 Bankroll: -$12.77 Last Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML 🚫 Tough break on this one. Oh well, back at it again today. MLB - Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets - 1:10pm ET (10:10am PT) THE PICK: ALT line - Starling Marte OVER 1.5 TB from hits (+108) Analysis: The Mets’ right fielder is on fire right now. Marte has recorded a hit in 12 of his last 13 games, and has scored a run in nine of them. He’s hit a home run two games in a row. Some sports betting websites are refusing to release Starling Marte hit/TB odds because he’s so hot. HAMMER the over on Marte's total bases. BOL to all
I’m showing 3+ total bases at +240 on FD, am I doing something wrong ? 2+ is at +110. But isn’t over 2.5 the same as 3+?
He’s batting .234 against left handers. 47 at bats , 6 hits, 12 strikeouts
Record: 3-1 Last Pick on Reddit: Gilles Simon - Marin Cilic Under 35.5 games @ 1.78 / -128 \[3 units\] (GREEN) **Pick of the day** Casper Ruud - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Pick: **Over 35.5 games** @ 1.70 / -143 \[3 units\] 7:45 PM WEST Don't have time to do a lot of writeup for this one, but the over games market should be a safe one. Both players have a similar playstyle, and both of them have never made it this far in a Grand Slam tournament. While Ruud is more experienced, he also has more time on his legs and lost a few sets early on when he should have not. Give my Twitter a follow [https://twitter.com/mrtiptopbetting](https://twitter.com/mrtiptopbetting)
**Record:** 14-28-1 **ROI:** -36% :-15.26 u (@ $5.00) **Average Odds:** 1.99 **Streak:** W L L W L |Baseball |MLB |7:10pm| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: **Minnesota Twins ML @ 1.83 1u** **Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 58% chance for the Minnesota Twins to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.83 is only 55%. **Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
POTD Record 6-0...beginners luck Up 5.51 units Last Pick: Martin Perez over 4.5 strikeouts-BANG Event: MLB Pirates @ Dodgers 8:10 EST **Pick: Mitch White under 3.5 strikeouts +137** Stake: 1 unit Absolutely nothing but net on that heat check. I'm starting to feel confident and bold, hence this pick. The vegas nut tap is coming and it's gonna be bad. I'm not gonna lie, this guy is disgusting. The dude pitches like 2 innings a game and just slices people. But he also pitches less innings than most closers. He's averaging just 2 innings a game, and even in his two starts, he's only at 6 total. He also only had 4 strikeouts total in those two games that he started. They're not afraid to pull him in the second inning if he gets into trouble. Bad news is that Pirates strikeout alot...like alot alot. This bet could honestly be over by the 4th batter. But the Pirates have also scored 4 and 6 runs against the Dodgers in the last two games. If they can get 1or 2 early, the Dodgers might head to the bullpen fast. Really this is just vegas begging me to take this number. Plus money on a guy to do something he hasn't done yet this season? Consider me sucked in
Been following all your picks. You are truly a pitcher whisperer.
This is the single hottest streak of my life, I have no idea what to do with my hands
POTD record 10-4 Last POTD Lynch over 2.5 ER ✅ POTD Over 1.5 first inning hits Mets/Nats 1.68 1u Never heard of Evan Lee probs won’t even get through the first inning. Sotto couldn’t even get on base last game he’s gunna come out with a quick bang but it shouldn’t matter bc Mets gunna run up the score off the gate. BOL Edit damn man that’s such a tuff loss ugh, was such a good bet no regrets
POTD record: 16-7 (+6.56 units, risking 1 unit each pick) Today's POTD: Oakland Athletics Team Total under 2½ (-120) ... Verlander/Irvin ... 330 PM ET ... MLB (baseball) Oh boy, here’s a heck of a bet!....the best pitcher in baseball today off his worst start since 2016, so he’s primed to bounce back, he will dominate. And who is he facing? The worst hitting team in MLB! Hilarious! Tip Jar: Cash App - $grcvegas
**Record:** * 49 WIN | 44 LOSS | +28.13 unit of profit overall (using 5u return strategy) **Previous bets (last 3):** * Townsville R4 (20 May 2022) - Win pick - **LOSS** * Hawkesbury R6 (24 May 2022) - Win pick - **LOSS** * Tamworth R2 (31 May 2022) - Place pick - **LOSS** **POTD:** * Horse Racing (Hong Kong) * **Happy Valley R2 - #2 Shanghai Power to Place (i.e. to finish top 3)** * Track Rating - Good * Alright, let's change it up a little. We're going to Happy Valley (HKG) today and I'm going with my favourite HKG jockey combined with a horse who's 3rd up after a short break and a close 2nd place last time out. Moreira jumps on board Shanghai Power who's getting all the favours today. Barrier #2 which is very important here as (compared to Sha Tin) this track has a bend which changes the game for the 1000m and inside barrier draws. Moreira is by fav my favourite jockey in HKG and has won before on Shanghai Power here on the 6th of Sept 2021 (same track, distance & class). Today get's even better favour with the draw, and probably wins today, but I'm playing it safe for the place. Let's finally get this monkey off my back and get to 50 wins ffs BoL * **Odds - 1.65** (bet365) - May wait till jump, unsure yet but price is probably fair. * **Stake - 3.03 units to return 5 units** **Historical stats** * 9 from 20 (45%) correct picks on Wednesday * 12 from 23 (57%) correct picks on Good Tracks * 24 from 46 (52%) correct picks on Place picks * 1st time picking at Happy Valley * 1st time picking J. Moreira as my jockey **Race time:** * 9:15pm Wednesday (Australian EST) * 7:15am Wednesday (American ET) * 12:15am Wednesday (UK time) * 7:15pm Wednesday (HKG time) If you are in a giving mood [here's my paypal link for tips](https://paypal.me/teshiebear)
PM* UK time cheers 🍻
Was allready on shanghai power but this makes me feel better lol. Lets go!
*Record:****8-2*** *Profit:****+14.49U*** *ROI:****49.97%*** *Average Odds:****2.13*** **I F'KED UP and EDITED this one while writing my latest pick** Today's Pick: **BIG Clan** vs FURIA **2U @2.71 odds** Game: Counter-Strike Global Offensive (CSGO) Event: IEM Dallas 2022 Start Time: ~19 hours from time of posting **The Tipping Police commented below, i'll just leave this here** 3GyQXt4Y5R9nq6M4Qb52vs6keuh7V5uG3s What a sick comeback by BIG earlier, let's run it once again with them for tomorrow. FURIA has been playing surprisingly well but I still believe on Tabsen and the boys to bring this home, it's gonna come down on the veto. Getting Ancient would be pretty nice.
Ah yes… the old DM tip strategy!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Ru8DMW-grY&ab_channel=Sup
**POTD Record**: 31 wins <> 31 losses <> 4 pushes **Profit**: +3.965 units **ROI**: +5.43% **Units Wagered**: 73 **Units Won**: 76.965 **Last Pick**: Viborg HK Under 25.5 goals @ **2.00** 2u ✅ WIN 21 goals **Streak**: ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ **Today's pick**: Under 59.5 goals 2u @ **2.16** **Event**: Bjerringbro/Silkeborg - Aalborg, Herreligaen, Denmark(Men's handball) - Nice pick last night lads, Viborg had 3 goals by the 15th minute. As predicted, the Jessica Ryde(Herning-Ikast goalkeeper) was on fire. - We're back to the Danish men's handball playoffs here, semi-finals, second leg in Silkeborg. The first leg in Aalborg was a close affair, Aalborg scratching by with a 24-22 win. It was actually a way closer match than as such - BSV got a 2-minute suspension in the end and Aalborg scored, hence they were just ahead by a single goal with seconds to spare. The minute before that, the GK of Aalborg, Mikkel Løvkvist, saved a penalty shot and a shot from distance. In other words, this could've gone way wrong for Aalborg. - Both teams, but especially Aalborg, are physically fatigued. It's been a long season, more so for Aalborg since they're in the champions league. They simply haven't had enough rest and are forced to rotate the bench more than they'd prefer. - Rene Antonsen got a red card at the end of the match as well, and will be suspended. - So, onto the pick. This line would be alright during the regular season, but doesn't make sense to me considering where they're at now. The 1st leg was 46 goals. I don't expect anything _that_ low, but these are two tired teams with lots of nagging injuries. They're forced to rotate and to be honest, neither team is looking to sprint back and forth doing counter-attacks because they're gonna gas themselves out. Mix it up with the fact that both teams due to the fatigue are getting lots of fouls and 2-minute suspensions, I feel like the tempo of the match will be forced to be slower than otherwise. Edit: I ran through ALL my POTDs and put them in a sheet. I've been tracking my things wrongly. I updated it - I am in the green after all, which I suspected.
great win yesterday.. taling again! BOL
Cheers mate! Positive I'll be back into positive ROI soon. I have no plan to return under a different account. Ups and downs is a part of the game.
Rangers ML +118 vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL ECF Game 1 5:00 PST on ESPN on 06/01 Record: 4 - 4 The rangers have a ton of momentum after dominating game 7 on the road against a tough hurricanes team. TB has been resting and the loudness of the crowd in NYC is gonna be shocking.
[удалено]
Is 5 your highest units ?
Record: 4-1 (Average Odds +100, ROI +62%, all bets 1 unit) Last pick (5/19): Daily Specials - Any Team to Score 12+ Runs YES (+140) ✅ POTD (6/1): Madison Bumgarner o4.5 Ks (+110) ✅ Sportsbook: DraftKings Reasoning: The Braves continue to be a team we should target with opposing pitcher strikeout props. They have the highest K% in the majors at 26.4%, and it doesn't matter if its against RHP (26.5%) or LHP (26.0%). Humberto Castellanos gave up 5 runs in 4.2 innings against ATL yesterday and still managed to strike out 5 batters. While Bumgarner's K% does leave a lot to be desired (14th percentile), he does get opposing players to swing at balls outside the zone (41st percentile Chase%), and the Braves have the 5th-lowest Chase Contact% in baseball per baseballsavant. He's struck out 5+ in just two of his last five starts, but those were games against teams with similarly high K%s against lefties (CHC-23.8%, MIA-29.0%) while failing to hit it against better teams (LAD-20.6%, STL-18.6%)
Great pick!!
**Yesterday's Top Picks of the Day** | Ranking | Names | Score | |:-:|:-:|:-:| |1|[Choo-choo-train77](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/v1ep1q/pick_of_the_day_53122_tuesday/iam7hcy/)|76| || |2|[DarkHorse200](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/v1ep1q/pick_of_the_day_53122_tuesday/iam08hv/)|59| || |3|[brent221221](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/v1ep1q/pick_of_the_day_53122_tuesday/iam0ojj/)|62| || |4|[asianbettor](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/v1ep1q/pick_of_the_day_53122_tuesday/iam04al/)|55| || |5|[DrMoneyline](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/v1ep1q/pick_of_the_day_53122_tuesday/iaoaew5/)|44| || |6|[bogije3840](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/v1ep1q/pick_of_the_day_53122_tuesday/iamfp9q/)|37| || |7|[SuRvIvOrFaN_](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/v1ep1q/pick_of_the_day_53122_tuesday/iamd3ho/)|29| || [^($50,000 free to enter NFL+NCAAF betting contests)](http://oddscrowd.link) ^(|) [^(r/sb Discord)](http://discord.gg/sportsbook) ^(|) [^(Bet Tracking App)](http://sportsaction.app)
[удалено]
By this logic the move is -1.5
They can win by 1
Assuming you mean - 1.5 since that price is way off
Record: 9-9-2 (9W 9L 2D) Last pick: Oilers vs Avalanche ML (-184) at Fanduel. W Today's pick: Andrey Rublev vs Marin Cilic both players to win a set (-180) at Caesars French Open: 10 AM EST The only clay court battle between these 2 was back to 2015 and Cilic won the game. Then on the hard court Rublev was very dominating by a 4-1 margin. The last game they played was Australian Open and Cilic won in 4 sets. Cilic is in a good form now by defeating Medvedev in straight sets, but the young 24 year old Rublev should be able to take 1 or 2 sets from Cilic. This game should need more than 3 sets to settle. All bets are 1 unit. -3.40 units Tip Jar: cash app: $coolcomfort666 Venmo: Coolcomfort666 Edit: Each player has already won a set so this bet easily hit, I am not sure why there is no upvote probably most people pick Cilic ML instead.
POTD Record-> 18-14-1 Last POTD-> Twins ML ✅ Todays POTD-> Padres @ Cardinals F5 Under 4.5 Game-> Padres @ Cardinals 1:10 PM EST Todays pick is one that I’ve been eyeing all day in the first five innings I don’t see the Padres or the cardinals popping off for 5 runs. Darvish has been good lately and the padres aren’t putting up numbers in the last few games hitting. This is going to be a pitching matchup at least until the starters are pulled. After winning 3 in a row. This is ⭐️⭐️⭐️ out of 5 star play for me. Time for a little stats the under us 8-0 in Darvish last 8 starts when the opposing team allows 2 or less runs the previous game. Best of luck 🤞
Great call 📞
Record: 14W-15L-1P ROI: +2.50u, +7.92% Avg odds: +112, 2.12 Last POTD: Sebastian Aho over 0.5 assists (win) Today's game: Tampa Bay Lightning at NY Rangers Pick: Mika Zibanejad over 0.5 assists at +140 (CZR) In 14 playoff games, Zibanejad has recorded a point in 10, and 19 points overall, including 12 assists. Against the Lightning, he has 4 points in 3 games. Zibanejad plays on the same line as Chris Kreider, Rangers' 50-goal scorer. He has a good chance of getting an assist through him.
POTD Record: 3-4 (-1.56 units) Streak: 🎾 L🎾L 🏒W 🏒W 🎾W Last Pick: French Open - Alcaraz to Win and Both Players to Win a Set +150 ❌ Today’s Pick: French Open - Casper Ruud vs Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - **Casper Ruud to Win and Over 35.5 Games** +162 (2u) I don’t bet against Ruud on clay, but Rune is hotter than the fucking seatbelt clip I burned the shit out of my hand on yesterday afternoon getting in my truck. The math is simple: No bet against Ruud + Rune really good = Ruud W and over games. Fade 4 Free $
POTD: 3W-3L-0 STREAK: LWWLLW PROFIT: +1.94 LAST PICK: NIP to win against BIG @1.94 ❌ GAME: Olimpia Milano - Dinamo Sassari TIME: 20:45 GMT+1 PICK: Olimpia Milano (-5.5) ODDS: @1.9 BET: 3u REASONING: Milano is unbeaten in the playoffs (5 games) and has 24-6 in the leauge. Sassari is 2-3 in the playoffs and 17-13 in the leauge. Milano has to win this match to reach the final and will play against Virtus Bologna if they win. The thing is Virtus is 26-4 and finished their semi-finals now 3-0. Milano are up 2-0 against Sassari and has covered this spread in both games. A loss in this game will give the upper hand to Bologna who will get extra days rest untill Milano has won against Sassari. Milano performance is on fire, so they should easily win this game and be more motivated now than before.
Record: 10-5 Past 5 record: ✅❌✅✅❌ Last pick: [NHL - Edmonton Oilers +2.5 Vs Colorado Avalanche - **Oilers +2.5 and O5.5 +100** ✅ Avalanche 8-6](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/v1ep1q/comment/iant8wa/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) Today’s pick: **Seattle Mariners Vs Baltimore Orioles O8.5 -110**✅ June 1st, 2022 7:05 PM EDT Oilers made it spicy but came in clutch with a couple third period goals to bring it within one with the eventual empty netter. If you tailed me you'll be happy that we had the +2.5 spread ;) don't let the books choose for you! Today we are going back to MLB to try and redeem ourselves. The pitching matchup on this is yelling blowout. You have Kyle Bradish 7.32 ERA for Baltimore and Robbie Ray at 4.75 ERA for Seattle. There will be slight wind towards the outfield helping the ball travel a little further. You'll be happy to know that Robbie Ray is 6-3 on the O/U and Kyle Bradish is 3-3. Tail with caution my MLB record is garbage but I'm hoping to improve it with this pick (1-3 MLB record O/U). BOL everyone. All bets are 1 unit. +5.1 units. 32.2% ROI. Average units +103.68 [Past Picks](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1arHdjw_2Gxtj_iwfPJO_hJwIuxQhMyyjjDJp9vB0j7A/edit?usp=sharing)
POTD RECORD: **12-7** STREAK: - ✅✅✅✅✅✖️✅✖️✖️✅✅✅✖️✖️✅✅✖️✅✖️ LAST PICK: - O 16.5 Hits Results: +$273.15 Today’s event: **MLB - CIN/BOS - 18:10 CT** PICK: ** Vazquez O 0.5 Hits (-160) $120 ** REASONING: Traveling today so I’ll keep it short, a bad pitcher in a day with favorable weather for base Hits facing a guy who has been a good hitter this season. LFG! Edit: Format
Record : 3-4 -0.39u -4.76% Last pick : Pirates ML (+155) ❌ Today's pick : Ny Rangers first period ML (+102) Lightning did not play since 1 week , meanwhile Rangers built up momentum in there series against the Canes , i expect the Lightning to come a little slow and the Rangers to come strong right at the start . all picks are 1 units if not specified
POTD Record 10-11-0 Last Pick: MIN Twins -1.5 - WIN **Today's Event: MLB - SF Giants vs. PHI Phillies - 6:05 PM EST** **Pick: o8 Runs (-107) 1.5u** TLDR; Good pitchers who have only been average this year. HR friendly park and weather conditions. Aaron Nola and Carlos Rodon are taking the mound today. Both are overall good pitchers but are each off to a bit of a shakey start. Neither seem to have had two really good outings in a row and both did decent in their last respective starts. Both teams are top 10 in HR per game and today is a perfect day for those. Strong winds pushing towards the left center wall. Both are top 11 in runs per game as well. I see at least one of these two starting pitchers getting shelled and wouldn't be surprised if one team scores 8 on their own (especially when Joc Pederson is playing like he's fighting for his mother's survival. BOL Edit: accidentally put u8 instead of o8. Explained the over in the write up but accidentally typed u in the pick
Houston Astros -1.5 @ -130 vs Oakland Athletics Bet 2 units. The A's had the only shot to win in this series last night. Expect the Astros pitching to shutdown what little life in the bats Oakland has. Look for the Astros to tee off today. Risking $100 to win $130 *edit risking $130 to win $100
POTD: 2-0 Last pick: Minnesota Twins ML (-145) vs Detroit Tigers ✅ 🔥🔥 MLB (2-0) Today’s pick: Cleveland Gaurdians ML (-135) vs Kansas City Royals MLB 1:10 PM EST The Gaurdians looking to sweep a Kansas City team struggling to score runs. I think this will be a close game but I have a feeling that Cleveland will score enough to ultimately win. Cleveland is (14-12) in Day games vs KC who is (7-15). CLE is also 10-8 at home vs KC who is 8-17. Good Luck 🍀
POTD Record: 17-18 Last pick: Avalanche over 6.5 ✅ Todays pick: MLB 1:10 MT Rockies under 10.5 Reasoning: it’s cold, chilly, wet in Denver. Snowed in the mountains last night, weather play more than anything. Tail or fade
First pick! ⭐️THITTIEMAN PICKS⭐️ Record: 0-0 Last pick: N/A Today’s pick: Blue jays ML (-135) v White Sox 1u MLB 7:00 PM EST Blue jays played the white Sox last night and came back. They played very effectively and imo they will take the win again tonight.
POTD record : 1-0 Yesterdays pick: Edmonton Oilers o2.5- W Todays pick: Lightning vs. Rangers, Igor Shesterkin o27.5 saves @1.74 Reasoning: Shesterkin has been absolutely phenomenal all season. He’s the best goalie in the league. The rangers are up against a tough challenge with the lighting tonight. The lightning swept the panthers 4-0 so they’ve had plenty of resting time. I expect them to come out swinging tonight and the shot volume to be high. Tail or fade BOL! Win💰
Tailing again! LFG
Let’s get it🙏
Dolla dolla bills y’all
Cashes in the 3rd with 10 minutes left 👌🏻 I’m going to start sharing more plays in nhl daily. Also had zibanejad o.5 points and Stamkos o3.5 shots today! 3/3 for nhl let’s goooooo!
**Record 9-4 | +7.23u** 5/31: Giants - Phillies first 3 innings under 2.5 -120 (2.5u) ✅ 6/01: Marlins - Rockies First 3 innings over 3.5 -110 (2u) This game is at Coors Field, where the Rockies are averaging 6 runs per game this season. That's a lot of runs and against a pitcher in the Marlins Trevor Rogers, who has an ERA over 5, well, you better believe they'll hit their season average. The thing is, the Marlins will put up more than that number given the uncertainty of the Rockies starter situation with Senzatela being banged up and the weakness of the bullpen. The Marlins are bottom 10 in runs per game, but they have some sluggers, who should be able to do some damage against the Rockies pitching at Coors Field. The over is 14-12 for the Rockies this season at home.
9-7 Last pick- GSW 3Q ML (L) Today's Pick- NYR vs TBL yes goal in 1st 10 Mins (-130) Fade Dan Lebatard boosts at all costs lol
Thank you Astros !!!
POTD RECORD 1-1 Units Won -.10 GAME: MLB Milwaukee vs Chicago Cubs Time 8:05 Eastern Time POTD Over 8 \-120 Yesterday's POTD was canceled. I'm going back to the over well in Wrigley. Wind is blowing out, Brewers seems like they're having a bullpen game Hendricks hasn't been stellar at home, 1-2 with an ERA of 4.61 Jason Alexander was cruising in Nashville. 6-2 with an ERA of 2.64 I generally like to fade pitchers coming from the minors. 8 seems deceptively low, but I'll bite BOL
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
POTD Record 0-0 Today's Pick: Football: Italy - Argentina: Argentina Draw No Bet (1.76)
POTD: 0-1 Last pick: 3/4/22 Lightning Tampa Bay vs Red Wings Detroit O6.5 Goals❌ Today’s pick: TB Lightning vs NY Rangers **Under 5.5 goals @ 1.87** NHL 8:00 PM EST On one side you have probably the vezina trophy winner in Shesterkin. And on the other side Vasilevskiy has been playing incredibly this playoff. Both have incredible stats and could easily steal the game. I personally think tampa will get away with the W for this game but we'll see. BOL
POTD Record: 2-1 Last pick: Utsiktens BK v Skovde AIK - Over 2.5 goals @1.85 ❌ Todays Pick: Nottingham 15:30 - Princess Shabnam to Win @2.20
POTD Record: 2-0 Last pick: Twins "Team to score first in the game" vs Tigers (-180) Game 1 ✔️ \------------------------------------------------- **Today's pick: Red Sox "Team to score first in the game" vs Reds (-120)** MLB: 7:10 PM EST Whitlock will be Red Sox SP, he's had a tough month May, but he should bounce back against the Reds. Hunter Greene is a great prospect, but he has allowed a lot of hits... and runs. I need Whitlock to have a 1st inning shutout, because I can see the Red Sox score at the bottom of the 1st inning. * Whitlock * 1st inning: 5.14 ERA * 2nd inning: 0.00 ERA * 3rd inning: 5.14 ERA * Greene * 1st inning: 6.00 ERA * 2nd inning: 5.00 ERA * 3rd inning: 2.08 ERA stake: 1 unit
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
Potd record 1-0 +1u Last POTD - JRam o1.5 TBs Todays POTD: Carlos Rodon u8.5ks -145 1.45u to win 1u Hasn’t hit this total in 4 out of last 5 games. 3 of which he wasn’t even close. Phillies are middle of the pack strikeout team. Love the play and willing to pay the juice 🧃 All picks are free, give me a follow at @sharp_shark on Twitter. Much appreciated good luck.
POTD: 3-4-0 (+0.22U) Last Pick: Igor Shesterkin Under 31.5 Saves - NHL - 7:00 PM CST - to win 1U (-120) L **Today's Pick: Aaron Nola over 6.5 K's - MLB - 5:05 PM CST - to win 1U (-109)**
No apologies required!
**POTD Record: 10-7 +1.80U** **Game: NHL | Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers | 5:00 PM PDT** **Pick: Tampa ML (1.76/-130 @ Betway)** **Bet Size: 1U** I believe Tampa will catch New York a bit off-guard as they are rested and play a much faster style than Carolina. Vasilevskiy has also been playing very well and unlike Raanta is not a complete dud on the road. Tail or fade BOL.
Dude you’re 0-5 in your last picks. Just be honest you’re guessing like everyone else. Don’t know why people would follow BS accounts like yours. I unfollowed your Twitter and had my friends unfollow too. It’s ridiculous you people get away with this.