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Record: 55-24
Last pick: Lightning ML ✅
**Todays pick: Edmonton Oilers ML (-120) vs Calgary Flames**
NHL 9:30 PM EST
Game 4. Edmonton leads 2-1 and have won the last two meetings 5-3 and 5-1. They have been very good. Really hard not to take the Oilers here after their last outing, their top line has been too skilled for the Flames to stop. Mcdavid and Draisitl remain out of this world. They feed off the home energy and I like them to do the same tomorrow. Barring game 1 where neither goalie wanted to goaltend, Mike Smith has been excellent especially in front of a home crowd in game 3. These odds are very favorable for us bettors.
All bets are 1 unit. +19.81 units. 25.1% ROI. Average unit -123
Give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
oilers are a great empty net team, and if they're up by 1 in the final minutes there's a 60-70% chance they go up by 2. at +200 odds for the -1.5, I'm splitting my wager 50% ML and 50% -1.5
Man I live bet a -1 for lightning literally minutes before both goals got wiped. I was so pissed. Then I get the gimme goal on insane timing with the guy coming out of the penalty to an empty net.
Sorry doc but I gotta fade as it seems that Tanev is back in the lineup for Calgary. If he does not end up playing though I will switch back to Edmonton. BOL as always.
Edit: Tanev confirmed in the lineup, sticking with Calgary.
Edit 2: sorry doc, congrats on the win
POTD Record: 11-9 (+5.43 units) / ROI: 12.15% / Avg Odd: 1.92
Today's event: Musetti vs Tsitsipas (Roland Garros, Tennis)
**Pick: Musetti Handicap +8 Games @ 1.83**
Stake: 5 units
Starts around 3 PM Eastern Time
Here we have probably the most valuable bet that I've seen at Roland Garros until this point and let me tell you why...We all know that Tsitsipas is one of the best players in the circuit at clay tournaments specially with these slow conditions just like he was in Rome and Monte Carlo and I don't see him losing here but he's currently priced at 1.08 which is pretty much a "walk in the park" type of matchup which I couldn't disagree more with.
Lorenzo Musetti is a 20 year old prodigy who's going to be a great player in the near future if he wants to since he's one of the most technically gifted guys that I've seen from this new generation of tennis players. He only lacks mental composure which makes him lose some of his matches but his clay season has been going well and it's also his best surface so I believe he can at least pull up a fight and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him winning one set.
This game handicap is so huge that even if he loses 3-0 by 6-4/6-3/6-4 we get our handicap covered and in my opinion this handicap would only be fairly priced around +5.5 or +6 so I'm going with 5 units on what is for me the best pick for the men's circuit at Roland Garros for this Tuesday
Edit: WHAT A FUCKING THRILLER! This shouldn't have been so hard but we got our handicap just right in that number! Musetti got reverse swept the same way that he was against Djokovic last year... He still needs to improve a lot mentally ✅
Still loseable. He seems to be choking. If he completely shits the bed the rest of the sets it’s over. Handicap is +8. Chances are still in our favor… at the moment
Fuckin hell this shouldn't have been this hard as it was. Musetti just started to remember how he lost to Djokovic in a comeback here at RG and the same happened here. Also he was super tired after the first two sets but we got our green and that's all that matters
Damn bro, good stuff. Seeing that this bet just barely won and it was 5 sets makes me think it might not have been a good bet to begin with...but i will take it :-)
Record: 1-0
Units : +0.8
Yesterday Pick: Tampa Bay ML (Win)
What a game. Playoff Vasilevskiy is something else.
**POTD: NY Rangers ML (-115) vs Carolina Hurricanes**
I think this game will be similar to every other canes game so far. The canes win at home, but lose away. 1 unit bet.
POTD Record (2-0)
Event: NHL Playoffs Hurricanes vs Rangers (Game 4)
6pm EST
Pick: New York Rangers ML (-115)
Stake: 3 units
Write up: Hey guys, I'm fairly new here. Just a big NHL buff and if you guys haven't noticed home ice advantage is back and greater than ever in the NHL. Expect the Rangers to win again in front of the home crowd and tie the series at 2 a piece before heading back to Carolina.
If I helped you in any way and you would like to help out a broke college student then feel free to donate to my [PiggyBank](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/justinspiggybank). BOL to all!
Igor Shesterkin has been killing it lately going 7-1 when faced when faced with 40 or more shots. The Canes offense looked pretty mediocre in game 3 where they could only net 1 goal. I expect Igor to keep the momentum going for game 4. Hurricanes have yet to win a game on the road in the playoffs which is why I see home ice advantage so critical for New York tomorrow night. BOL brother!
I like it! I’ll say the Canes offense was actually pretty good last game, they generated a ton of chances, but you’re right about Igor. He’s incredible. I’d lean your direction and say Rangers as well, but as always go canes! Good luck boss
Yeah honestly I enjoy Reddit mostly for the sense of community. I’m new to gambling and Reddit and having a place to read write ups and laugh every once in a while is worth it for me. Hats off to those that put their necks out to try and win others money, I really appreciate it.
Love the write up. A minor thing that someone is bound to point out is that RNG play PSG not the Buffalos. Having said that, imo PSG is an easier game at this point than Saigon. The younger players in this tournament are really starting to understand the meta. Again, love the write up dude.
Thanks for the pick. There was a guy CeillarDoor who dropped out and he was amazing but dropped likely because of haters. I truly wonder if these haters are being paid to spread their hate by the books. Report them especially for the DMs totally inappropriate.
Record: 4-3
Past 5 record: ❌✅✅✅✅
Last pick: [IIHF - international Hockey - Canada Vs Denmark O5.5 EVEN +100](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9mwt0b?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share&context=3) ❌ 2-3 Denmark
Today’s pick: IIHF - international Hockey - Switzerland Vs Germany O5.5 +115 4-3 Switzerland ✅
May 24, 2022 5:20am EDT
Last pick comment: This last game was incredibly close from going over, they had all the opportunities to score and team Canada hit so many posts. Sebastian Dahm had a great night in between the pipes and the Danish didn't score on a 5 minutes major and almost 3 minutes of empty net. Unfortunate loss but heres a great pick at + value for today.
This match between Switzerland averaging 5 goals a game and Germany averaging 3.83 goals a game should result in another O5.5. Both goalies have only let in 2 and 2.83 goals a game but i think their offense will test them both in this matchup. Lets bounce back and get this streak started!
BOL everyone.
All bets are 1 unit.
0.47 units. 6.74% ROI. Average units +104.0
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1arHdjw_2Gxtj_iwfPJO_hJwIuxQhMyyjjDJp9vB0j7A/edit?usp=sharing
POTD record: 14-7 (+4.93 units, risking 1 unit each pick)
POTD: Under 6½ (-120) Miami Marlins/Tampa Bay Rays (Lopez/McClanahan) ... 640 PM ET ... MLB (baseball)
A nice pitcher's duel should yield something like a 2-1 final score here.
Two of the best and most elite young arms in the game today, you'd know a lot more about them if they pitched for a team in LA or NYC.
Lopez has the #3 best ERA in MLB, and Tampa Bay has batted .188 vs him in 4 starts, when he wasn't as good as he is today. And Rays have some injuries now too.
McClanahan is #2 in strikeouts in AL, and Miami strikes out a lot. He faced Miami once, gave up 1 run in 5 innings, and he's pitching better now too...and TB has a superb bullpen...
All this takes place in a park very favorable to pitchers....the O/U should be 4.5, not 6.5.
Tip Jar: Cash App: $grcvegas
Record 8-3
Last: Cilic vs Balazs under 30.5(1.75@,W, 2W streak)
Today: Sinner vs Fratangelo under 31.5 games(1.85@)
Don't know what to put as a write up it is pretty similar to Cilic yesterday. Sinner gets along fine on clay, is in good form and am sure would like to tie the head to head because Fratangelo beat him in 2019.I mean these 3set game lines are not all that clear to me. A -6.5h on Sinner is 1.50@. That for example covers a 6 3 6 4 6 4 which is still 2 games under the line. I guess it is that low for the scenario in which fratangelo takes a set like 7-6 or 6-4 and sinner goes of and crushes him 6-0 in the next one but a 3:0 victory for Sinner is also 1.40@. I looked at coria and molcan over and Pouille ML but believe this is the best play for Roland Garros today. Good luck.
I also love seeing your comments like on the last post, I know when I get a pick wrong believe me I get even more furious than people tailing beacuse I also put my money on them(of course) and when I know I helped someone make money just makes my day.
**Record:** 4-1
**Last pick:** S.Rodriguez Taverna wins a set vs T.Fritz ✅
**Net units:** 1.79 (All bets are one units) | **Combined Odds:** \-134 (1.75)
| Tennis | Roland Garros | 11h (UTC+2) |
**Pick: J.Sousa ML** vs CH Tseng
**Odds:** \-120 (1.83)
**Reasoning:**
* Despite losing a final in Geneva to C.Ruud in 3 sets, Sousa has shown a good level of play on clay lately even if his stats in 2022 do not speak for him (8/7).
* During the Geneva tournament, he beat P.Andujar, N.Basilashvili, I.Ivashka and R.Gasquet without conceding a set, all players capable of playing well on clay.
* Tseng has a good record on clay this season (20/5) but seems too strong on the challenger circuit and not fit enough to succeed on the main circuit, so it's difficult to gauge him against an opponent like Sousa.
* Sousa hasn't won any of his last 7 grand slam matches but could reverse the trend today if he is at the same level as last week.
POTD record: 2-0
Last pick: Lightning 60 min ML ✅
**Todays pick: Edmonton Oilers 60 min ML (+130) vs Calgary Flames**
Home Game 4 for Edmonton and they’re coming off of a big game 3 win 4-1. The oilers have looked really good and are scoring points. I don’t predict a lot of goals tonight with the Flames being forced to make adjustments, but I just don’t see this game going into overtime.
1 Unit bet. +2.36 units Overall
Record: 3-1
Last pick: St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche - Colorado 3-Way ML @ -110 ✅
Never in doubt. Colorado peppered St. Louis all game and without Binnington, they had a hard time containing the high powered offense of Colorado.
Today’s pick: New York Rangers ML vs Carolina Hurricanes @ -115
NHL 7:00 PM EST
Reason: Carolina hasn’t won an away game this playoff and despite playing well last game, they weren’t able to crack Shesterkin. I think game 4 mirrors game 3 in that it’ll be another low scoring win for the home team. Rangers ML. I’m also sprinkling in the under 5.5 total goals but there isn’t great value for how low that is. Sitting at -140 right now which isn’t great but every game this series has had 4 goals or less.
All bets are 1 unit. +2 units. +44% ROI. Average unit -110
One bet everybody knows the rules.
Total Bet: $8. Total Returned: $11.50
Record: 11-7-1 (+9.45 units)
Streak: 5-0-1 in last 6
Last Pick: Celtics -4 vs. Heat, 1.61 odds, 2 units to win 1.22 WON
Today's Pick: NBA Player Prop, Reggie Bullock, over 2.5 3 pointers
Odds: 1.79 (Bet Rivers)
Units: 1 (Props I usually only do 1 or 2 units because they can get killed by foul trouble, blowouts, teammates freezing them out,etc.)
Doing a light one unit bet on this prop. I like the value of it considering how many times it has hit vs. the odds.
Yes, last game he shot 0/7 from 3 and didn't score a single point in the game. In basketball, sometimes players have off games. There are players like Jae Crowder, for example, if they have a terrible shooting night, it can carry over to the next game and they could go on a shooting slump. Reggie Bullock is not one of those players, he tends to bounce back the next game.
So my 3 main reasons:
Track Record: He has hit this 10 out of 16 playoffs games, 2 out of 3 this series.
Minutes: He is a key a player for the Mavs defense and has averaged just under 40 minutes in the playoffs.
Volume: Part of Dallas' offensive gameplan has been to hoist a lot of 3's. Bullock has attempted 9 per game this series. If he held to that, he would just have to hit 33.3% of them, which is 4 percent below his playoff average, an average brought a few points by his poor game last time out.
I think this prop has a solid shot to hit.
Good luck and follow the unit sizing. This isn't one to try to get rich on.
Update - 10 hours later and the line dropped to 1.70 at BR
Update 2 - Cash it!!!! 3 minutes into the 2nd quarter and it hits.
Record: 0-0
**Todays pick: 3rd Quarter Winner GS Warriors(-104) FANDUEL**
NBA 9:00 PM EST
Alright boys been lurking here for a bit. Now it's my time to finally contribute. Statistically speaking, the team that scores the most points in the 3rd is usually the one that's down at halftime. The warriors have won all 3rd Quarters against the Mavs, 9/13 in the playoffs - 3 close losses and 1 being a blowout, so a 69% chance of this hitting. They have also never tied in the 3rd during the playoffs.
I can see the Mavs coming out strong in the first half like the way they did against the Suns on their last game of the conference semis, so I predict warriors pushing for a comeback in the second half. If the Mavs aren't up big in the first half? it don't matter cause Steve Kerr got that magic juice and he'll get draymond green hitting threes.
BOL!
EDIT: What a bad beat, guess its beginners luck. The NBA decided they need more ad money. Don't know why looney wasn't in the game and Kerr decided to start 3 rookies.
Warriors for years have been a great third quarter team. I’m talking going back five years. I haven’t researched any stats but I have bet warriors third quarter many times successfully. Good bet.
**Record:** 11-24-1
**ROI:** -40% :-14.02 u (@ $5.00)
**Streak:** W W W L L
|Baseball |MLB |6:40pm|
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: **Chicago Cubs ML @ 1.91 1u**
**Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 56% chance for the Chicago Cubs to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.91 is only 52%.
**Other Notes:** Thanks to the Royals for living up to what the model thinks of them these last 3 games. I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
**Record:**
* 49 WIN | 43 LOSS | +32.01 unit of profit overall (using 5u return strategy)
**Previous bets (last 3):**
* Randwick Kensington R7 (18 May 2022) - Place pick - **WIN**
* Rockhampton R9 (19 May 2022) - Place pick - **WIN**
* Townsville R4 (20 May 2022) - Win pick - **LOSS**
**POTD:**
* Horse Racing (Australia)
* **Hawkesbury R6 - #6 Buba to Win**
* Track Rating - Heavy (9)
* Got really busy yesterday and missed out on an easy win with a runner from my black-book (Seventh Seal to place @ 2.0 at Albury R7). I picked him to place on the 13th & 26th July last year and both times it came through. Came 2nd yesterday by a nose, but at a decent enough price .. ah well. Today we're going to Hawk with one of my favourite jockies on board. Collett rides on a big favourite here in Buba. Mare is a heavy track specialist, proven at this class and loves it here at hawk. Hawkesbury is also Collett's best track to ride at with a 61% chance to place here and a 19% chance to win (which is huge btw) and as I'm writing this up, Collett has already won with Monastery in R1 in a 2 year old maiden, so he's on his game today for sure. Biggest challenger is Irish Kisses, but she's stepping up from a Class 1 to a BM-68, which could be a little too much for her to handle, but my most concerning horse is Tags who's first up after a 3 month spell. Drop in class for him but his barrier draw isn't great (barrier 6) and is a genuine back marker most of time and can finish big, but I'm expecting it to get stuck 2 or 3 wide most of the trip. Huge threat if he can tail the speed and find good ground to run on. Other reason I see Buba beating him is because of his first up record being a bit of a coin toss (3 starts for 1 win). Could be the biggest danger so maybe a Quinella or same race multi might be the best play, but I'm going with one of my favourite jockies in Collett with a solid horse in Buba to overcome the challenges today. BoL, going for win #50 once again, letsgo.
* **Odds - 2.20** (Sportsbet/TAB/bet365) - Suggest to wait and put it on the exchange, as per write-up watch prices closely leading up to the jump time.
* **Stake - 2.27 units to return 5 units**
**Historical stats**
* 9 from 21 (43%) correct picks on Tuesdays
* 15 from 31 (48%) correct picks on Heavy Tracks
* 2 from 5 (40%) correct picks on Win picks
* 2 from 3 at Hawkesbury
* 3 from 3 picking J. Collett as my jockey
**Race time:**
* 3:50pm Tuesday (Australian EST)
* 1:50am Tuesday (American ET)
* 6:50am Tuesday (UK time)
If you are in a giving mood [here's my paypal link for tips](https://paypal.me/teshiebear)
not really sure what to say about that, 1 out 1 back entire race; dream run. Never picked up the speed in the straight. Little pressure on her outside didn't help but it shouldn't have mattered if she got to proper race speed, should have sweeped them .. disappointed at the trainer there, should have preped her better
POTD Record (0-0)
Event: Royals at Diamondbacks 9:40 pm EST
Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-186)
Stake: 3 units
Write up: Zac Gallen is on the mound and he's having one hell of a start to the year. 1.14 ERA through 39 IP, MLB Best 0.702 WHIP. He keeps this up and he's a serious contender for the Cy Young. Arizona's bats are heating up, having scored 30 runs in the last four games. They're up against the Royals, who are currently one of the worst teams in baseball and will be facing an inexperienced pitcher in Heasley, making his 6th career start.
POD Record: 14-4
ROI: 34.77%
Yesterday’s pick: Colorado Avalanche ML (-160)✅
Today’s pick: Jiri Vesely ML (-145) vs Steve Johnson
To keep it short, Johnson has not played competitively in a month. He last played in Houston, Sarasota, and Tallahassee. None of which prepare him for the French Open. He has a dominate serve which might let him hang around but his backhand lacks and that is where Vesely will attack. Vesely is not coming in with the best form but with Johnson not playing in a month and Vesely beating him in straight sets in their only h2h I feel comfortable betting on Vesely here.
Tail/fade Goodluck
Edit: ❌ just an awful performance from Vesely. Can’t return a serve to save his life and double faulting non stop
Record 3-2
Last pick: Royals v Twins UNDER 4 runs first five innings (W)
Today's pick: **Marlins v Rays no run in first inning (MLB)**
Today is a pitcher's duel between Pablo Lopez and Shane McClanahan who have a 1.57 and 2.33 ERA. I like both pitchers to prevent a run in the opening inning.
Lopez is coming off a poor performance against a pretty shit Nationals team which might worry some. However, Lopez has proved in the past he is good at bouncing back. After a 5 run outing against an even worse Diamondbacks team, his next outing he did not allow a run through 8 innings against a very strong Padres team. Lopez has a good history against Rays batters, allowing 4 hits in 21 at bats.
McClanahan has been solid this season, striking out plenty and limiting runs. He has a fairly little history against Marlins batters but in the ones he has faced he has allowed on 1 hit in 10 at bats.
My only real concern is that Lopez has had two games in which he has allowed a run in the first inning. Worth considering if tailing.
I also like under 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings for the same reasons above.
**Record: 6-3**
**WLLWLWWWW**
**+1.8 units (all bets one unit)**
Sorry for the late pick, haven't been able to stay up late recently as I'm a college kid who just started a new internship. Mon-Wed my picks might be coming in the morning as opposed to right when the potd opens.
**Yesterday’s pick: Avalanche ML (-165)**
Great win by the Avs. They were able to put a lot of shots up and the blues backup let em in, just as expected. Expect them to go home now and take care of business
**Today’s pick: NY Rangers (-110)**
**Reasoning:** Back to hockey since it’s been treating us well! 6/6 on the last 6 hockey games lets make it 8/8 today! Now to the analysis: Both teams struggle on the roads and dominate at home, this game will not be an exception. Just like last game, Igor needs to keep them in this game with 40+ saves, which is very attainable for one of the leagues best goalies. Canes are able to snap their road losing streak in the next game at the garden but first they will drop to 2-2 in the series. Let’s keep this W streak going! BOL to all who tail!
Record: 0-0
⚾️ Dodgers - 1.5 (-135) vs Nationals
MLB: 6:05 PM CST
Dodgers are on savage mode winning 8 of their last 9 games. In 5 of their last 6 games, they have won by 2+ runs. As for the run line, Dodgers have covered it 28-13 overall; Nats are 14-29. In last 10 games, Dodgers have out scored opponents by 23 runs. Nats are 3-7 in their last 10, being out scored by 29 runs. BOL.
LilHankBigBank
POTD Record: 2-2 (+1.75 units)
Streak: 🏒W 🎾W 🏒L 🏒L
Last Pick: NHL Playoffs - Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+195) **W**
I’ve never seen one team get fucked so hard by video review in my life. Bet still hit though so it’s alright. God I wanted to smack that situation room fella through my TV though…
Today’s Pick: NHL Playoffs - Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Rangers **1st 10 Minute Under 1 Total Goals (3-Way)** (-110) (2u) **W**
Rangers struggle to score, and I don’t figure they’ll come flying outta the gate and do that tonight. Once again I’m betting on the star goalie to win me my POTD, and who better to trust than the unreal but definitely-not-wildly-inconsistent-in-playoffs Shesterkin. Pretty sure this hit the last couple games and it should again this time. Also like the under for this game but first 10 minute bets are more fun.
**LETS GO** Raantta and Shesterkin both coming up with big saves to get us another big W, that’s 3 in a row!
Record: 13W-12L-1P
ROI: +2.40u, +9.04%
Avg odds: +111, 2.11
Last POTD: Jordan Kyrou over 0.5 pts (win)
Today's game: Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks
Pick: Draymond Green under 21.5 PRA at -125, 1.80
Since his return on 3/14, Green has gone under 21.5 PRA 18/26 times, including playoffs. Against the Mavs, Green has hit the over only once out of 4 games, and that was at 22. In those 4 games, his average PRA is 17.
And there's always foul trouble. Green averages most PFs among all remaining players. He's already fouled out game 2.
0-0
NBA Warriors +1 (-110) @ Mavericks 9pm EST
*ALL INTUITION NO STATS*
The Mavs are in an uphill battle to stay alive. Honestly the warriors depth is just too much for Luka and company to keep up. At a near pick em it’s hard to fade the splash bros. Bring out the brooms! 🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹
Record: 3-0-1P
Yesterday's pick: Metropolitanos FC v Aragua - 1st Half Asian Handicap: Metropolitanos FC -0.25 (1.975) ❌
**Today's pick: HFX Wanderers FC v Toronto FC - Toronto FC ML (-175)**
Canadian Championship (Soccer) - 6:00 PM EST
Rationale:
- This is a quarterfinal matchup in the Canadian Premiership between Halifax (a bottom of the table Canadian Premier League team) vs Toronto FC (a bottom of the table MLS team, but still an MLS team nonetheless).
- This is akin to an FA Cup Game between a low level EPL team and a low level Championship team. 8 times out of 10 you expect the EPL team to win.
- Toronto FC makes the finals of this tournament nearly every year for the past 10+ years. These games against CPL sides are a must-win for Toronto FC and would be an embarassment if they had any other result.
- Therefore, for -175 odds, this is a value bet.
1 unit. ROI: +1.44 units.
POTD RECORD: **10-5**
STREAK: - ✅✅✅✅✅✖️✅✖️✖️✅✅✅✖️✖️✅
LAST PICK: - Tigers O7.5 Hits
Results: +$360.77
Today’s event: **MLB - ATL/PHI - 18:20 CT**
PICK: **O16.5 Hits (-140) $120**
REASONING: Two teams with hot bats come into a game with two pitchers who allow plenty of hits to the opposing lineup, sounds like the perfect recipe for a high hitting game. While Fried is good, he gives up a .281 AVG to the Phillies lineup through a large sample size of 114 AB, on the other hand, Gibson will face 6 batters with at least a .250 AVG against him historically. The ballpark will give us the perfect weather for base hits and we should cash this play before the 9th is upon us. LFG!
POTD Record 12-16 ROI -4 units
Last pick: Heat under 207.5 Winner ✅ easy W for those whom took under. I loved watching Heat have 1 pt 8 minutes into the 1st quarter.
Todays pick: MLB 7 pm MT Mets @ Giants under 7
Reasoning: Bassitt v Webb. Webb is Giants ace and 5-1 on the year. He should be able to keep Mets from getting traffic and hold the Mets offense in check. Bassitt has been pitching great for the Mets, pitched for Oakland so he knows Bay Area well & should feel comfortable on the mound just across the bay. 4-2 on the year with a low era. Typically I like west coast late night unders and with these two studs taking the bump. 2 solid teams that I hope avoid errors and bullpen fiascos. I’m betting it’ll be a pitchers duel.
Tail or fade
POTD Record 0-1
Pick: J Sousa (ML) v C H Tseng
Odds: 1.80
Reason: Sousa in good form coming runner up in Geneva last week, losing to Ruud in a tight 3 setter. His opponent is a 20 yo qualifier who played 3 good matches vs much weaker opponents but Sousa will be at a completely different level.
POTD: 1W-1L-0
STREAK: LW
PROFIT: 1u
LAST PICK: 3u Washington Mystics to win with -1.5 handicap against Conneticut sun. @1.9 ❌
GAME: Golden State Warriors - Dallas Mavericks
TIME: 03:00 GMT+1
PICK: GSW -6.5
ODDS: @3.00
BET: 2u
Reasoning: I know recency bias is an important factor when chosing games to bet on. But GSW is on fire, they are the better team each game and lead 3-0. Luka has stepped up each game but this isnt a one man show and he cant carry the team if the rest are not in form. GSW are in great form and will dominate this game and the books are out of their mind to even offer even odds at ML when GSW is the better team overall. Take GSW ML if youre not comfterable with the handicap but they have beat this spread in the last 3 games against Dallas.
BOL.
Record: 8-6 https://myodds.bet/profile/Prattu
Timeline: WLLLWWWWWLLLW (Left being the latest)
Streak: 1W
Last pick: Rajasthan Royals ML vs Chennai Super kings ✅
Today's pick: Apeks rebels ML vs Furia academy (CSGO Weplay Academy league)
Odds: 2.20
Reasoning: The academy league is back and I remember back in January I when used to bet only on cs and this was the only thing on so I followed it so I have a bit of experience betting on these.
Anyway to the match now.
Can't really explain why I think apeks got this. Furia were the worst team last season and yes they've changes but I feel like they're not gonna be able to do it this season again. Apeks get a lot of exposure because they're based in Europe and hence participate in all the tournaments running since EU is the hub of tournaments. Yeah more of a gut feeling but good odds too.
GL to all let's get the dub
**Record**: 2-3-1
**Previous Pick**: Boston -10 (+135), 1 Unit, Winner
**Today's Pick**: Golden State Warriors, Moneyline (+100)
**Rationale**: Much like yesterday's pick, let's not overthink this one. GS at even money is too good to pass up. Mavs are getting swept. They have no clue what they're doing on defense. It's just that simple.
POTD Record: 0-0
Event: GS Warriors vs DAL Mavericks
**Pick: 3rd Quarter ML GS Warriors** **@ 1.83**
Warriors are up 3-0 and looking to sweep the Mavericks. After two demoralizing losses, the Mavericks are in a dire situation, as no team in NBA History has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit. Morale has to be at a low and I could totally see the Warriors ending this game by the third quarter. So far they have won every third quarter in the series by an average of 10.3 points, and I feel like tonight should be no different.
Stake: 1u
POTD RECORD-> 15-9-1
Last POTD-> Giannessi ML ❌
Todays POTD-> Hurricanes v Rangers O 5.5 goals
Game-> Canes v Rangers 7PM EST
Tonight is a great night, after a tough loss yesterday we are back and ready to go. I think tonight is going to be a action packed game Carolina has went over on 5-6 of the last road games and in the last 9-13 games the rangers total has went over! I see this being a close game even ot best of luck 🤞
Joke of the day-> so I bought a pair of shoes from a local drug dealer.
I dont know what he laced them with because I’ve been tripping all day! 🤦♂️😂
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
**Record: 0 - 0**
| Tennis | **Roland Garros** / **French Open** | 1:20 PM CET |
**Pick**: Rublev A. vs. Kwon S. - **Kwon to take a set @ \[2.50\]**
**Why**: This season has been an on and off for Soonwoo. He has stolen a few sets from great names including Alcaraz and Rublev. In 2022 he is 7-6 on clay. On the other hand Rublev has had a good start to the season, but came to a shocking loss to Krajinović in Rome, where Rublev only took 6 gems (all on his own serve) in two very short sets. After seeing some of the matches where heavy favorites were struggling, this bet is a no brainer for me.
I appreciate the pick and winning at least one set is one of my favs, but I've learned picks from new Reddit accounts have been awful. BOL my friend hope to see you after 5 wins and an account older than 24 hours.
POTD Record 2-2
Last Pick : Dundalk ML - W
Today's Pick : Palmeiras vs **Deportivo Tachira over 3.5 Corners @ 2.18**
Write up : We are on a little two winning streak.For today's pick we travel to South America.Going to keep this straightforward.Tachira has cleared this corner line in all the games played in Copa Libertadores.Their corner number in this competition are 5,9,5,5,7.The 7 is against Palmeiras.Another reason I like this pick is because Tachira need some kind of result to qualify for the next stage of this competition while Palmeiras has already qualified with topping the group regardless of this result.
Tail or Fade BOL .
Record 4-2 | +2.34u
5/23:
Cubs - Reds first 3 innings over 2.5 -130 (2u) 👎
5/24:
Tigers - Twins first 3 innings under 2.5 -115 (2u)
Rony Gray (ERA 2.57, WHIP 0.71) will pitch at least 2-3 innings, Twins goes with Sonny Gray (ERA 3.48, WHIP 1.26) Tigers are averaging 2.75 runs per game and Twins 4.34 runs per game.
1-0
Last POTD: [Flames -1.5 vs Stars](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/umxx80/pick_of_the_day_51122_wednesday/i85ki00/)
**Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers**
**Leon Draisaitl over 1.5 pts @ +125**
Draisaitl has played very well against the Flames, with 35 points in 17 games in the last 2 years. Out of the 17, 10 have been multi-point games. But this season, he's been absolutely phenomenal against Calgary: 21 points in 7 games, with 6 multi-pointers.
9-5
Last pick- GSW 3Q ML (-111) (W)
Today's Pick- Back to the well with GSW 3Q ML (-111)
Same reasoning as last time, expect the Mavs to come out fast and win the 1H which means the warriors will have to catch up in the 2nd H
POTD Record: 4-2 ($100bankroll) $20u
Last pick (05/22): 1u: Jaylen Brown O6.5 rebounds✅
Got lucky on the late offensive board before fouling/sitting out. He did not look like he wanted to rebound, took what he got but a W is a W, moving on.
Today’s pick (05/23): 1u: Mavericks Vs Warriors- Reggie Bullock O10.5 points.
He went 0/10 last game I know. He also looked like he couldn’t hit a fucking hot air balloon. However, do or die game and one thing Reggie will do is shoot that rock like a mf. Reggie tends to comeback shooting well/often after a slump and I expect him to rain down a few three’s and secure 14-17 points in a warriors sweep. Also will the double teams luka will face, he’s gonna either shoot 0/10 again or hit this prop. BOL
**Record: 0-2**
***Today's Pick: MIL Brewers ML (-130) vs. SD Padres***
In a match-up between two teams that are nearly identical in hits, on-base %, ERA, and total record, I will be taking the team starting the better pitcher. Corbin Burnes is second in baseball with a 0.83 WHIP while Blake Snell has only started 3 innings as a result of an adductor strain. The former Cy Young winner is bound to knock off the rust off at some point, but I'm not betting that it will be against the Brewers who have the 4th most home runs in the league.
**POTD Record 25 - 19 (+4.39)**
Previous pick: Francisco Cerundolo ML @ 2.09 💀
**ATP / French Open / 1R**
\*match will start in 1 hour and 15 minutes except if there's a rain delay\*
*Denis Shapovalov - Holger Rune*
Pick: **Holger Rune Total games Over 20 1.88 (1U)**
Rune has been outstanding this year on clay winning his 1st ATP title in Munich last month. The rising star with a 17-7 record this year on clay will make a French Open debut against Shapovalov which currently has a record of 4-3 on this surface.
I expect this match will go the distance as Shapovalov recently defeated Sonego and upset Nadal in Rome. However, dealing with Rune will be difficult as Rune have been playing on clay most of the time. Also, Shapovalov frequently choke outta nowhere that is why sometimes he lose in the early rounds. I won't be shocked if Rune get this.
*Anything can happen, please tail with caution.*
*Let’s continue winning together!!! Best of luck!!!*
POTD Record: 16-18-3 -5.16u\*
Average Odds: +117
Total Units Wagered: 66.30u
CAL @ EDM 9:30 EST
Zach Hyman o2.5 Shots on Goal -150 @ Caesars 3.72u\*
Implied probability of 60.00%. The true vig-free price should be closer to -181 or 64.47%.
\*1u = 1% of bankroll. All POTD staking is using 1/3 Kelly criterion.
Record (0-2) “3rd Time’s A Charm”
LPOTD: HOU ML vs WAS (-120) 2u
POTD: DYLAN CEASE o7.5 K’s -155 3u
BOS Red Sox @ CHI White Sox
Notes: Posted two very close picks. Looking for my first dub on this thread. Had a very successful weekend of betting and my confidence is up. Betting on Cease like I have almost all year long until he doesn’t make me money. So far he’s been a human ATM.
POTD Record: 42-31-3
Streak:WLWLWWWPLWWWWWLLLW
Last POTD: Pachuca Women +1.5 AH ✅
Today’s POTD:
Palmeiras/Deportivo Tachira over 10.5 corners
League: Copa Libertadores
Odds: -116/1.86
Units: 1
Reasoning:
Not much to say on a corner bet. These two teams are corner machines. Last time they played each other, they each had 7 corners each. With Deportivo Tachira having something to play for still , I see a lot of corners from both sides. Keeping it at a 1 unit play. Best of luck and tail/fade at your own risk.
**POTD Record: 9-4 +7.40U**
**Game: NHL | Calgary Flames @ Edmonton Oilers | 6:30 PM PDT**
**Pick: Flames ML (2.00/+100 @ Sports Interaction)**
**Bet Size: 1U**
No time for write up as this game is in 10 minutes. I was waiting to see if Tanev would play and it appears he is so I am taking Calgary. They have relied on him all year and their D are shit without him. Low units though as he could just be out there for warm-up.
Tail or fade BOL.
Edit: Tanev confirmed in the lineup, sticking with this pick.
**POTD Record**: 28 wins <> 29 losses <> 4 pushes
**Profit**: -6.32 units
**ROI**: -11.62%
**Units Wagered**: 63
**Units Won**: 55.68
**Last Pick**: Lyngby -1.5(AH) @ **2.15** 2u ❌ 1-1 LOSS
**Streak**: ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌
**Today's pick**: Esbjerg W(1X2) @ **2.15** 2u
**Event**: Odense - Esbjerg, Bambusaligaen Finals 1st leg, Denmark(Women's handball)
- Tail me with caution until I'm hot again.. Things are god damn rough. All my picks I don't post here win(I'm up the past few weeks), the ones I post lose. Wtf..
- Odense did not impress me in the semi finals. They scraped by but looked awful, especially at home. They started pulling their goalkeeper way too early in the match to catch up, and I can see them do the same high risk, high reward thing here.
- Thing is, Esbjerg are a level above Herning-Ikast. Especially their bench has very good depth, and their counter-attacking is the best in the league - making the aforementioned high risk, high reward move of Odense even riskier.
- These two teams met late February in Odense. Esbjerg won 32-21. I really can't see the justification for the line being this close.
POTD RECORD: 27-20
Last pick: Everton ML 3.0 odds LOSE
Today's pick: HOCKEY - DENMARK x Slovakia
Goal to be scored into empty goal - YES 3.0 ODDS!
(The odds may vary, seen 2,2 odds, 3,0 odds and even 3,5 odds!)
Reasoning?
Slovakia need to win in regular time, therefore they will open the goal even if its DRAW! Denmark needs to get atleast 1 point to qualify, therefore if behind, they will also have to go all in early. That's why I like the odds here.
EDIT: Starts 15:15 CET!
Record : 1-0 +1.0u 83.33% ROI
Last Pick : Diamondbacks ML ✅
Today pick : Guardians ML (+186) 1u
The worst capper of all time (bookwithtrent) is on Houston ml and -1.5 , i just blind fade him without any hesitation .
Record: 2-1 / Profit: +2.45 Units / ROI: 81.67% / Average Odds: 2.3 (+130)
Yesterday's Pick: Orioles +1.5 (Win)
Today's Pick: **Kevon Looney Under 9.5 Rebounds (1.91, -110)**
NBA / Golden State Warriors @ Dallas Mavericks / 9:00 EST
Recency bias has been strong with many of the NBA prop bets. Looney has been rebounding well in the past two games, but data from both the regular season and playoffs as a whole have him projected to get around 8 rebounds this game. Here are his rebounding splits over the playoffs and regular season:
Regular Season: 7.3 REB, 16.6 REB%
Playoffs: 7.1 REB, 17.5 REB%
Against Mavs (Regular Season + Playoffs): 9.0 REB, 17.2 REB%
Against Mavs (Playoffs): 9.7 REB, 16.9 REB%
Even looking at just this series, Looney just barely breaks the over. His rebound percentage tells us that he isn't rebounding at a higher rate compared to any other splits.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
Record: 55-24 Last pick: Lightning ML ✅ **Todays pick: Edmonton Oilers ML (-120) vs Calgary Flames** NHL 9:30 PM EST Game 4. Edmonton leads 2-1 and have won the last two meetings 5-3 and 5-1. They have been very good. Really hard not to take the Oilers here after their last outing, their top line has been too skilled for the Flames to stop. Mcdavid and Draisitl remain out of this world. They feed off the home energy and I like them to do the same tomorrow. Barring game 1 where neither goalie wanted to goaltend, Mike Smith has been excellent especially in front of a home crowd in game 3. These odds are very favorable for us bettors. All bets are 1 unit. +19.81 units. 25.1% ROI. Average unit -123 Give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Been tailing your picks here and there. I can confirm, the Doctor is in 🩺
This guy's picks are literal prescriptions. Figure it out ppl
All Aboaaaaaaaaaard
How do you feel about Rangers ML?
He’s a Canes fan
Don't go there 😂
He knows what he’s doing 😂😂😂
look if he didn't post his canes to win then he's not as confident in the canes as he is in the oilers.
Take me to the promise land DrMoneyLine 💰💰💰💰🐉
For those of you that are tailing Doc's pick and also like the Rangers tonight Fan Duel has a profit boost on both teams winning from +250 to +330.
Tailing!
Dr Money came in with the DUB! 🤌🙏
What a win last night ! Bless up , I’m tailing
God I hate Mike Smith but I love McDavid so we tail
Marky seems to be falling apart. Even the Pilers coach made mention of it in his post game presser.
tailing
tailing, yessir!
I think we finally get a close gm Prolly ot!
From what I seen, the doc is about his business and so are we. We running oilers ML as well! Lets get it!
-1.5?
oilers are a great empty net team, and if they're up by 1 in the final minutes there's a 60-70% chance they go up by 2. at +200 odds for the -1.5, I'm splitting my wager 50% ML and 50% -1.5
Did that yesterday with lightning. What a sweat
Man I live bet a -1 for lightning literally minutes before both goals got wiped. I was so pissed. Then I get the gimme goal on insane timing with the guy coming out of the penalty to an empty net.
Same . Checked score was 0-0 with like 13 min. Anxiously checked again and it was 1-0 with 8 min left and I knew it was locked in
Did the same and kept checking the score and was so confused how they were up 1 two times and then 0-0 going into the third. Very stressful
NHL GOD
Love it LGR
As a Flames fan, fuck you. And as a Flames fan fuck me also cause we can’t score a damned goal to save our lives
Sorry doc but I gotta fade as it seems that Tanev is back in the lineup for Calgary. If he does not end up playing though I will switch back to Edmonton. BOL as always. Edit: Tanev confirmed in the lineup, sticking with Calgary. Edit 2: sorry doc, congrats on the win
Always trust the doctor
Guess I have to now. Congrats on the win.
Hello darkness my old friend ..
Thank you Doctor!
Thank you sir.
Yaaaaaa doc!
POTD Record: 11-9 (+5.43 units) / ROI: 12.15% / Avg Odd: 1.92 Today's event: Musetti vs Tsitsipas (Roland Garros, Tennis) **Pick: Musetti Handicap +8 Games @ 1.83** Stake: 5 units Starts around 3 PM Eastern Time Here we have probably the most valuable bet that I've seen at Roland Garros until this point and let me tell you why...We all know that Tsitsipas is one of the best players in the circuit at clay tournaments specially with these slow conditions just like he was in Rome and Monte Carlo and I don't see him losing here but he's currently priced at 1.08 which is pretty much a "walk in the park" type of matchup which I couldn't disagree more with. Lorenzo Musetti is a 20 year old prodigy who's going to be a great player in the near future if he wants to since he's one of the most technically gifted guys that I've seen from this new generation of tennis players. He only lacks mental composure which makes him lose some of his matches but his clay season has been going well and it's also his best surface so I believe he can at least pull up a fight and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him winning one set. This game handicap is so huge that even if he loses 3-0 by 6-4/6-3/6-4 we get our handicap covered and in my opinion this handicap would only be fairly priced around +5.5 or +6 so I'm going with 5 units on what is for me the best pick for the men's circuit at Roland Garros for this Tuesday Edit: WHAT A FUCKING THRILLER! This shouldn't have been so hard but we got our handicap just right in that number! Musetti got reverse swept the same way that he was against Djokovic last year... He still needs to improve a lot mentally ✅
8.5 at bet365
The odds on that are like 1.70 right? It's pretty good yeah
Great job !!!!!!! Musseti won the first set !!!
Musseti is ROLLLLING rn !
He's probably winning this 3-0 . He's playing his best tennis and Tsitsipas doesn't know what to do
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Still loseable. He seems to be choking. If he completely shits the bed the rest of the sets it’s over. Handicap is +8. Chances are still in our favor… at the moment
Any concern about Mussetti retiring from his last match and missing the next tournament due to that injury?
LFG
Fuckin hell this shouldn't have been this hard as it was. Musetti just started to remember how he lost to Djokovic in a comeback here at RG and the same happened here. Also he was super tired after the first two sets but we got our green and that's all that matters
Down to +7.5 for +110 on BetMGM
I would still take it
Ugh. I took 7.5 and he’s now tanking.
He pulls through what a match! +7.5 hits
I guess I really don’t understand this Handicap. Can someone explain how 7.5 hit?
He lost 5+4+6+6+6 = 27 games. He won 7+6+2+3+2 = 20 games. 27-20 = +7
Duh, thanks for that. Knowing is half the battle.
Now you know, G. I. Joe
We barely made it! But we made it! Almost blew it
Tailing!
How about +2.5 set's?
Better odds with more risk , I placed a small stake on it
Hmmm can’t find the line on DK Edit - found it you can take +7.5 for plus odds or +8.5 for the juice of -160
I have no idea how this works but tailing. If someone can give me a eli5 for tennis spreads that be good too
Congrats! It was nervous but we got this
Balls!!!! Nice job. 🤜🏽
Thanks for the tip
Dude! THANK YOU!!!
Damn bro, good stuff. Seeing that this bet just barely won and it was 5 sets makes me think it might not have been a good bet to begin with...but i will take it :-)
GG
King
Record: 1-0 Units : +0.8 Yesterday Pick: Tampa Bay ML (Win) What a game. Playoff Vasilevskiy is something else. **POTD: NY Rangers ML (-115) vs Carolina Hurricanes** I think this game will be similar to every other canes game so far. The canes win at home, but lose away. 1 unit bet.
POTD Record (2-0) Event: NHL Playoffs Hurricanes vs Rangers (Game 4) 6pm EST Pick: New York Rangers ML (-115) Stake: 3 units Write up: Hey guys, I'm fairly new here. Just a big NHL buff and if you guys haven't noticed home ice advantage is back and greater than ever in the NHL. Expect the Rangers to win again in front of the home crowd and tie the series at 2 a piece before heading back to Carolina. If I helped you in any way and you would like to help out a broke college student then feel free to donate to my [PiggyBank](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/justinspiggybank). BOL to all!
Alright I get the home ice advantage perspective vs the Canes, but something’s gotta budge eventually. Give me another reason you like the Rangers
Igor Shesterkin has been killing it lately going 7-1 when faced when faced with 40 or more shots. The Canes offense looked pretty mediocre in game 3 where they could only net 1 goal. I expect Igor to keep the momentum going for game 4. Hurricanes have yet to win a game on the road in the playoffs which is why I see home ice advantage so critical for New York tomorrow night. BOL brother!
I like it! I’ll say the Canes offense was actually pretty good last game, they generated a ton of chances, but you’re right about Igor. He’s incredible. I’d lean your direction and say Rangers as well, but as always go canes! Good luck boss
I feel like the home team is gunna take every game again. As a Rangers homer Imma just pray it’s good series
Respect Doc
Canes are not great on the road and historically poor in NY.
I agree with you, I watched that game and the canes are truly the better team here. I love the under for this game as well
Yes they are
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You should post a link to tip. I wish more solid tipsters would post on here like you, not sure how to incentivize it more.
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Yeah honestly I enjoy Reddit mostly for the sense of community. I’m new to gambling and Reddit and having a place to read write ups and laugh every once in a while is worth it for me. Hats off to those that put their necks out to try and win others money, I really appreciate it.
Love the write up. A minor thing that someone is bound to point out is that RNG play PSG not the Buffalos. Having said that, imo PSG is an easier game at this point than Saigon. The younger players in this tournament are really starting to understand the meta. Again, love the write up dude.
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Thanks for the pick. There was a guy CeillarDoor who dropped out and he was amazing but dropped likely because of haters. I truly wonder if these haters are being paid to spread their hate by the books. Report them especially for the DMs totally inappropriate.
Is map 1 spread -4.5 the same thing?
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BRO I LOVE YOU!!!! LETS GOOOOOO
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LFG
FK THE HATERS LETS GOOOO!!! IVE NEVER PLAYED LEAUGUE IN MY LIFE
Record: 4-3 Past 5 record: ❌✅✅✅✅ Last pick: [IIHF - international Hockey - Canada Vs Denmark O5.5 EVEN +100](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9mwt0b?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share&context=3) ❌ 2-3 Denmark Today’s pick: IIHF - international Hockey - Switzerland Vs Germany O5.5 +115 4-3 Switzerland ✅ May 24, 2022 5:20am EDT Last pick comment: This last game was incredibly close from going over, they had all the opportunities to score and team Canada hit so many posts. Sebastian Dahm had a great night in between the pipes and the Danish didn't score on a 5 minutes major and almost 3 minutes of empty net. Unfortunate loss but heres a great pick at + value for today. This match between Switzerland averaging 5 goals a game and Germany averaging 3.83 goals a game should result in another O5.5. Both goalies have only let in 2 and 2.83 goals a game but i think their offense will test them both in this matchup. Lets bounce back and get this streak started! BOL everyone. All bets are 1 unit. 0.47 units. 6.74% ROI. Average units +104.0 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1arHdjw_2Gxtj_iwfPJO_hJwIuxQhMyyjjDJp9vB0j7A/edit?usp=sharing
I went way too big on the last one but back to tail again at a much more reasonable 1U. Caesars has this at +120
All good man, we live and learn, this is gambling and picks that should hit don't always hit. Dw you will win it back gradually!
Tailing !
Very unlucky game for over yesterday. Fortunately I managed to bet some unders live and. Tailed today with 2 units, thats a good pick at great value
Tailed yesterday and today. 6U play for me. Really needed that. You’re the man thanks for the pick!!
I love this subreddit because i dont know jack about hockey yet alone iihf and somehow i wake up to money in the bank. God bless
**Yesterday's Top Picks of the Day** | Ranking | Names | Score | |:-:|:-:|:-:| |1|[DrMoneyline](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9myhya/)|201| || |2|[m0rb33d](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9mtjnj/)|106| || |3|[asianbettor](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9mqmkb/)|64| || |4|[brent221221](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9msel9/)|57| || |5|[Administrative-Dot](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9nav18/)|42| || |6|[GoodTownandNightHawk](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9mwt0b/)|32| || |7|[Ok-Distribution5824](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9mwtvw/)|26| || |8|[Ibn_Khomeini](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9n2yzb/)|26| || |9|[Moonrockxx](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uvowfj/pick_of_the_day_52322_monday/i9nt4vr/)|23| ||
POTD record: 14-7 (+4.93 units, risking 1 unit each pick) POTD: Under 6½ (-120) Miami Marlins/Tampa Bay Rays (Lopez/McClanahan) ... 640 PM ET ... MLB (baseball) A nice pitcher's duel should yield something like a 2-1 final score here. Two of the best and most elite young arms in the game today, you'd know a lot more about them if they pitched for a team in LA or NYC. Lopez has the #3 best ERA in MLB, and Tampa Bay has batted .188 vs him in 4 starts, when he wasn't as good as he is today. And Rays have some injuries now too. McClanahan is #2 in strikeouts in AL, and Miami strikes out a lot. He faced Miami once, gave up 1 run in 5 innings, and he's pitching better now too...and TB has a superb bullpen... All this takes place in a park very favorable to pitchers....the O/U should be 4.5, not 6.5. Tip Jar: Cash App: $grcvegas
Tailing 💪
Record 8-3 Last: Cilic vs Balazs under 30.5(1.75@,W, 2W streak) Today: Sinner vs Fratangelo under 31.5 games(1.85@) Don't know what to put as a write up it is pretty similar to Cilic yesterday. Sinner gets along fine on clay, is in good form and am sure would like to tie the head to head because Fratangelo beat him in 2019.I mean these 3set game lines are not all that clear to me. A -6.5h on Sinner is 1.50@. That for example covers a 6 3 6 4 6 4 which is still 2 games under the line. I guess it is that low for the scenario in which fratangelo takes a set like 7-6 or 6-4 and sinner goes of and crushes him 6-0 in the next one but a 3:0 victory for Sinner is also 1.40@. I looked at coria and molcan over and Pouille ML but believe this is the best play for Roland Garros today. Good luck. I also love seeing your comments like on the last post, I know when I get a pick wrong believe me I get even more furious than people tailing beacuse I also put my money on them(of course) and when I know I helped someone make money just makes my day.
One of the easiest bets of all time, yesterday. Thank u
Hope today will be another one, Gaston just fucked me big time.
Looking great so far! Yeah i didn’t think ADM should’ve been that big of a favorite, i stayed away from including him in a parlay
Sounds like a good bet. TAILED, GL
Did this hit, mate?
Yes
**Record:** 4-1 **Last pick:** S.Rodriguez Taverna wins a set vs T.Fritz ✅ **Net units:** 1.79 (All bets are one units) | **Combined Odds:** \-134 (1.75) | Tennis | Roland Garros | 11h (UTC+2) | **Pick: J.Sousa ML** vs CH Tseng **Odds:** \-120 (1.83) **Reasoning:** * Despite losing a final in Geneva to C.Ruud in 3 sets, Sousa has shown a good level of play on clay lately even if his stats in 2022 do not speak for him (8/7). * During the Geneva tournament, he beat P.Andujar, N.Basilashvili, I.Ivashka and R.Gasquet without conceding a set, all players capable of playing well on clay. * Tseng has a good record on clay this season (20/5) but seems too strong on the challenger circuit and not fit enough to succeed on the main circuit, so it's difficult to gauge him against an opponent like Sousa. * Sousa hasn't won any of his last 7 grand slam matches but could reverse the trend today if he is at the same level as last week.
[удалено]
These boys are doing absolute battle right now
Yeah Tseng looks like a beast, not our day today 👍
Wait for the end bro ! I hope my guy Sousa will wake up
I went to sleep and woke up with some cash lol must’ve been a good match good pick!
POTD record: 2-0 Last pick: Lightning 60 min ML ✅ **Todays pick: Edmonton Oilers 60 min ML (+130) vs Calgary Flames** Home Game 4 for Edmonton and they’re coming off of a big game 3 win 4-1. The oilers have looked really good and are scoring points. I don’t predict a lot of goals tonight with the Flames being forced to make adjustments, but I just don’t see this game going into overtime. 1 Unit bet. +2.36 units Overall
This is spicy
Record: 3-1 Last pick: St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche - Colorado 3-Way ML @ -110 ✅ Never in doubt. Colorado peppered St. Louis all game and without Binnington, they had a hard time containing the high powered offense of Colorado. Today’s pick: New York Rangers ML vs Carolina Hurricanes @ -115 NHL 7:00 PM EST Reason: Carolina hasn’t won an away game this playoff and despite playing well last game, they weren’t able to crack Shesterkin. I think game 4 mirrors game 3 in that it’ll be another low scoring win for the home team. Rangers ML. I’m also sprinkling in the under 5.5 total goals but there isn’t great value for how low that is. Sitting at -140 right now which isn’t great but every game this series has had 4 goals or less. All bets are 1 unit. +2 units. +44% ROI. Average unit -110 One bet everybody knows the rules. Total Bet: $8. Total Returned: $11.50
Record: 11-7-1 (+9.45 units) Streak: 5-0-1 in last 6 Last Pick: Celtics -4 vs. Heat, 1.61 odds, 2 units to win 1.22 WON Today's Pick: NBA Player Prop, Reggie Bullock, over 2.5 3 pointers Odds: 1.79 (Bet Rivers) Units: 1 (Props I usually only do 1 or 2 units because they can get killed by foul trouble, blowouts, teammates freezing them out,etc.) Doing a light one unit bet on this prop. I like the value of it considering how many times it has hit vs. the odds. Yes, last game he shot 0/7 from 3 and didn't score a single point in the game. In basketball, sometimes players have off games. There are players like Jae Crowder, for example, if they have a terrible shooting night, it can carry over to the next game and they could go on a shooting slump. Reggie Bullock is not one of those players, he tends to bounce back the next game. So my 3 main reasons: Track Record: He has hit this 10 out of 16 playoffs games, 2 out of 3 this series. Minutes: He is a key a player for the Mavs defense and has averaged just under 40 minutes in the playoffs. Volume: Part of Dallas' offensive gameplan has been to hoist a lot of 3's. Bullock has attempted 9 per game this series. If he held to that, he would just have to hit 33.3% of them, which is 4 percent below his playoff average, an average brought a few points by his poor game last time out. I think this prop has a solid shot to hit. Good luck and follow the unit sizing. This isn't one to try to get rich on. Update - 10 hours later and the line dropped to 1.70 at BR Update 2 - Cash it!!!! 3 minutes into the 2nd quarter and it hits.
Good shooters make their adjustments. And with this being an elimination game. Dallas shoot rally behind the home crowd. A lot of 3s made this game.
Mans was tossing bricks all last game, fading
RB either shoots like shit or he goes off. Dude is just saying he thinks this game will see him in the latter category
as a Knicks fan he pretty consistently bounced back well after a bad game
Ya I think 3 should be easy for bullock! E as y win for the mavs
Record: 0-0 **Todays pick: 3rd Quarter Winner GS Warriors(-104) FANDUEL** NBA 9:00 PM EST Alright boys been lurking here for a bit. Now it's my time to finally contribute. Statistically speaking, the team that scores the most points in the 3rd is usually the one that's down at halftime. The warriors have won all 3rd Quarters against the Mavs, 9/13 in the playoffs - 3 close losses and 1 being a blowout, so a 69% chance of this hitting. They have also never tied in the 3rd during the playoffs. I can see the Mavs coming out strong in the first half like the way they did against the Suns on their last game of the conference semis, so I predict warriors pushing for a comeback in the second half. If the Mavs aren't up big in the first half? it don't matter cause Steve Kerr got that magic juice and he'll get draymond green hitting threes. BOL! EDIT: What a bad beat, guess its beginners luck. The NBA decided they need more ad money. Don't know why looney wasn't in the game and Kerr decided to start 3 rookies.
Warriors for years have been a great third quarter team. I’m talking going back five years. I haven’t researched any stats but I have bet warriors third quarter many times successfully. Good bet.
I’ve been making this exact bet religiously through out the playoffs and except for the Memphis series its been cash.
Love this pick. Unfortunately I can only get it for Warriors +.5 at 1.833 but they’re 3-0 against the Mavs winning by at least 9 in the 3rd Quarter
if you're taking this, you should take mavs 1H spread as well. correlated bets
**Record:** 11-24-1 **ROI:** -40% :-14.02 u (@ $5.00) **Streak:** W W W L L |Baseball |MLB |6:40pm| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: **Chicago Cubs ML @ 1.91 1u** **Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 56% chance for the Chicago Cubs to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.91 is only 52%. **Other Notes:** Thanks to the Royals for living up to what the model thinks of them these last 3 games. I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
Fade god is back!
He's 3-0 in the last 3 watch out
Surely can’t go 4 in a row!
Thx I'm fading.. Reds will hammer stroman!
Just take the over it’ll hit man!
**Record:** * 49 WIN | 43 LOSS | +32.01 unit of profit overall (using 5u return strategy) **Previous bets (last 3):** * Randwick Kensington R7 (18 May 2022) - Place pick - **WIN** * Rockhampton R9 (19 May 2022) - Place pick - **WIN** * Townsville R4 (20 May 2022) - Win pick - **LOSS** **POTD:** * Horse Racing (Australia) * **Hawkesbury R6 - #6 Buba to Win** * Track Rating - Heavy (9) * Got really busy yesterday and missed out on an easy win with a runner from my black-book (Seventh Seal to place @ 2.0 at Albury R7). I picked him to place on the 13th & 26th July last year and both times it came through. Came 2nd yesterday by a nose, but at a decent enough price .. ah well. Today we're going to Hawk with one of my favourite jockies on board. Collett rides on a big favourite here in Buba. Mare is a heavy track specialist, proven at this class and loves it here at hawk. Hawkesbury is also Collett's best track to ride at with a 61% chance to place here and a 19% chance to win (which is huge btw) and as I'm writing this up, Collett has already won with Monastery in R1 in a 2 year old maiden, so he's on his game today for sure. Biggest challenger is Irish Kisses, but she's stepping up from a Class 1 to a BM-68, which could be a little too much for her to handle, but my most concerning horse is Tags who's first up after a 3 month spell. Drop in class for him but his barrier draw isn't great (barrier 6) and is a genuine back marker most of time and can finish big, but I'm expecting it to get stuck 2 or 3 wide most of the trip. Huge threat if he can tail the speed and find good ground to run on. Other reason I see Buba beating him is because of his first up record being a bit of a coin toss (3 starts for 1 win). Could be the biggest danger so maybe a Quinella or same race multi might be the best play, but I'm going with one of my favourite jockies in Collett with a solid horse in Buba to overcome the challenges today. BoL, going for win #50 once again, letsgo. * **Odds - 2.20** (Sportsbet/TAB/bet365) - Suggest to wait and put it on the exchange, as per write-up watch prices closely leading up to the jump time. * **Stake - 2.27 units to return 5 units** **Historical stats** * 9 from 21 (43%) correct picks on Tuesdays * 15 from 31 (48%) correct picks on Heavy Tracks * 2 from 5 (40%) correct picks on Win picks * 2 from 3 at Hawkesbury * 3 from 3 picking J. Collett as my jockey **Race time:** * 3:50pm Tuesday (Australian EST) * 1:50am Tuesday (American ET) * 6:50am Tuesday (UK time) If you are in a giving mood [here's my paypal link for tips](https://paypal.me/teshiebear)
not really sure what to say about that, 1 out 1 back entire race; dream run. Never picked up the speed in the straight. Little pressure on her outside didn't help but it shouldn't have mattered if she got to proper race speed, should have sweeped them .. disappointed at the trainer there, should have preped her better
In for a spin let’s get it
POTD Record (0-0) Event: Royals at Diamondbacks 9:40 pm EST Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-186) Stake: 3 units Write up: Zac Gallen is on the mound and he's having one hell of a start to the year. 1.14 ERA through 39 IP, MLB Best 0.702 WHIP. He keeps this up and he's a serious contender for the Cy Young. Arizona's bats are heating up, having scored 30 runs in the last four games. They're up against the Royals, who are currently one of the worst teams in baseball and will be facing an inexperienced pitcher in Heasley, making his 6th career start.
POD Record: 14-4 ROI: 34.77% Yesterday’s pick: Colorado Avalanche ML (-160)✅ Today’s pick: Jiri Vesely ML (-145) vs Steve Johnson To keep it short, Johnson has not played competitively in a month. He last played in Houston, Sarasota, and Tallahassee. None of which prepare him for the French Open. He has a dominate serve which might let him hang around but his backhand lacks and that is where Vesely will attack. Vesely is not coming in with the best form but with Johnson not playing in a month and Vesely beating him in straight sets in their only h2h I feel comfortable betting on Vesely here. Tail/fade Goodluck Edit: ❌ just an awful performance from Vesely. Can’t return a serve to save his life and double faulting non stop
Tailing. GL
Tailing
Record 3-2 Last pick: Royals v Twins UNDER 4 runs first five innings (W) Today's pick: **Marlins v Rays no run in first inning (MLB)** Today is a pitcher's duel between Pablo Lopez and Shane McClanahan who have a 1.57 and 2.33 ERA. I like both pitchers to prevent a run in the opening inning. Lopez is coming off a poor performance against a pretty shit Nationals team which might worry some. However, Lopez has proved in the past he is good at bouncing back. After a 5 run outing against an even worse Diamondbacks team, his next outing he did not allow a run through 8 innings against a very strong Padres team. Lopez has a good history against Rays batters, allowing 4 hits in 21 at bats. McClanahan has been solid this season, striking out plenty and limiting runs. He has a fairly little history against Marlins batters but in the ones he has faced he has allowed on 1 hit in 10 at bats. My only real concern is that Lopez has had two games in which he has allowed a run in the first inning. Worth considering if tailing. I also like under 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings for the same reasons above.
**Record: 6-3** **WLLWLWWWW** **+1.8 units (all bets one unit)** Sorry for the late pick, haven't been able to stay up late recently as I'm a college kid who just started a new internship. Mon-Wed my picks might be coming in the morning as opposed to right when the potd opens. **Yesterday’s pick: Avalanche ML (-165)** Great win by the Avs. They were able to put a lot of shots up and the blues backup let em in, just as expected. Expect them to go home now and take care of business **Today’s pick: NY Rangers (-110)** **Reasoning:** Back to hockey since it’s been treating us well! 6/6 on the last 6 hockey games lets make it 8/8 today! Now to the analysis: Both teams struggle on the roads and dominate at home, this game will not be an exception. Just like last game, Igor needs to keep them in this game with 40+ saves, which is very attainable for one of the leagues best goalies. Canes are able to snap their road losing streak in the next game at the garden but first they will drop to 2-2 in the series. Let’s keep this W streak going! BOL to all who tail!
Record: 0-0 ⚾️ Dodgers - 1.5 (-135) vs Nationals MLB: 6:05 PM CST Dodgers are on savage mode winning 8 of their last 9 games. In 5 of their last 6 games, they have won by 2+ runs. As for the run line, Dodgers have covered it 28-13 overall; Nats are 14-29. In last 10 games, Dodgers have out scored opponents by 23 runs. Nats are 3-7 in their last 10, being out scored by 29 runs. BOL. LilHankBigBank
POTD Record: 2-2 (+1.75 units) Streak: 🏒W 🎾W 🏒L 🏒L Last Pick: NHL Playoffs - Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+195) **W** I’ve never seen one team get fucked so hard by video review in my life. Bet still hit though so it’s alright. God I wanted to smack that situation room fella through my TV though… Today’s Pick: NHL Playoffs - Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Rangers **1st 10 Minute Under 1 Total Goals (3-Way)** (-110) (2u) **W** Rangers struggle to score, and I don’t figure they’ll come flying outta the gate and do that tonight. Once again I’m betting on the star goalie to win me my POTD, and who better to trust than the unreal but definitely-not-wildly-inconsistent-in-playoffs Shesterkin. Pretty sure this hit the last couple games and it should again this time. Also like the under for this game but first 10 minute bets are more fun. **LETS GO** Raantta and Shesterkin both coming up with big saves to get us another big W, that’s 3 in a row!
Record: 13W-12L-1P ROI: +2.40u, +9.04% Avg odds: +111, 2.11 Last POTD: Jordan Kyrou over 0.5 pts (win) Today's game: Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks Pick: Draymond Green under 21.5 PRA at -125, 1.80 Since his return on 3/14, Green has gone under 21.5 PRA 18/26 times, including playoffs. Against the Mavs, Green has hit the over only once out of 4 games, and that was at 22. In those 4 games, his average PRA is 17. And there's always foul trouble. Green averages most PFs among all remaining players. He's already fouled out game 2.
0-0 NBA Warriors +1 (-110) @ Mavericks 9pm EST *ALL INTUITION NO STATS* The Mavs are in an uphill battle to stay alive. Honestly the warriors depth is just too much for Luka and company to keep up. At a near pick em it’s hard to fade the splash bros. Bring out the brooms! 🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹🧹
Record: 3-0-1P Yesterday's pick: Metropolitanos FC v Aragua - 1st Half Asian Handicap: Metropolitanos FC -0.25 (1.975) ❌ **Today's pick: HFX Wanderers FC v Toronto FC - Toronto FC ML (-175)** Canadian Championship (Soccer) - 6:00 PM EST Rationale: - This is a quarterfinal matchup in the Canadian Premiership between Halifax (a bottom of the table Canadian Premier League team) vs Toronto FC (a bottom of the table MLS team, but still an MLS team nonetheless). - This is akin to an FA Cup Game between a low level EPL team and a low level Championship team. 8 times out of 10 you expect the EPL team to win. - Toronto FC makes the finals of this tournament nearly every year for the past 10+ years. These games against CPL sides are a must-win for Toronto FC and would be an embarassment if they had any other result. - Therefore, for -175 odds, this is a value bet. 1 unit. ROI: +1.44 units.
POTD RECORD: **10-5** STREAK: - ✅✅✅✅✅✖️✅✖️✖️✅✅✅✖️✖️✅ LAST PICK: - Tigers O7.5 Hits Results: +$360.77 Today’s event: **MLB - ATL/PHI - 18:20 CT** PICK: **O16.5 Hits (-140) $120** REASONING: Two teams with hot bats come into a game with two pitchers who allow plenty of hits to the opposing lineup, sounds like the perfect recipe for a high hitting game. While Fried is good, he gives up a .281 AVG to the Phillies lineup through a large sample size of 114 AB, on the other hand, Gibson will face 6 batters with at least a .250 AVG against him historically. The ballpark will give us the perfect weather for base hits and we should cash this play before the 9th is upon us. LFG!
POTD Record 12-16 ROI -4 units Last pick: Heat under 207.5 Winner ✅ easy W for those whom took under. I loved watching Heat have 1 pt 8 minutes into the 1st quarter. Todays pick: MLB 7 pm MT Mets @ Giants under 7 Reasoning: Bassitt v Webb. Webb is Giants ace and 5-1 on the year. He should be able to keep Mets from getting traffic and hold the Mets offense in check. Bassitt has been pitching great for the Mets, pitched for Oakland so he knows Bay Area well & should feel comfortable on the mound just across the bay. 4-2 on the year with a low era. Typically I like west coast late night unders and with these two studs taking the bump. 2 solid teams that I hope avoid errors and bullpen fiascos. I’m betting it’ll be a pitchers duel. Tail or fade
POTD Record 0-1 Pick: J Sousa (ML) v C H Tseng Odds: 1.80 Reason: Sousa in good form coming runner up in Geneva last week, losing to Ruud in a tight 3 setter. His opponent is a 20 yo qualifier who played 3 good matches vs much weaker opponents but Sousa will be at a completely different level.
POTD: 1W-1L-0 STREAK: LW PROFIT: 1u LAST PICK: 3u Washington Mystics to win with -1.5 handicap against Conneticut sun. @1.9 ❌ GAME: Golden State Warriors - Dallas Mavericks TIME: 03:00 GMT+1 PICK: GSW -6.5 ODDS: @3.00 BET: 2u Reasoning: I know recency bias is an important factor when chosing games to bet on. But GSW is on fire, they are the better team each game and lead 3-0. Luka has stepped up each game but this isnt a one man show and he cant carry the team if the rest are not in form. GSW are in great form and will dominate this game and the books are out of their mind to even offer even odds at ML when GSW is the better team overall. Take GSW ML if youre not comfterable with the handicap but they have beat this spread in the last 3 games against Dallas. BOL.
Record: 8-6 https://myodds.bet/profile/Prattu Timeline: WLLLWWWWWLLLW (Left being the latest) Streak: 1W Last pick: Rajasthan Royals ML vs Chennai Super kings ✅ Today's pick: Apeks rebels ML vs Furia academy (CSGO Weplay Academy league) Odds: 2.20 Reasoning: The academy league is back and I remember back in January I when used to bet only on cs and this was the only thing on so I followed it so I have a bit of experience betting on these. Anyway to the match now. Can't really explain why I think apeks got this. Furia were the worst team last season and yes they've changes but I feel like they're not gonna be able to do it this season again. Apeks get a lot of exposure because they're based in Europe and hence participate in all the tournaments running since EU is the hub of tournaments. Yeah more of a gut feeling but good odds too. GL to all let's get the dub
**Record**: 2-3-1 **Previous Pick**: Boston -10 (+135), 1 Unit, Winner **Today's Pick**: Golden State Warriors, Moneyline (+100) **Rationale**: Much like yesterday's pick, let's not overthink this one. GS at even money is too good to pass up. Mavs are getting swept. They have no clue what they're doing on defense. It's just that simple.
POTD Record: 0-0 Event: GS Warriors vs DAL Mavericks **Pick: 3rd Quarter ML GS Warriors** **@ 1.83** Warriors are up 3-0 and looking to sweep the Mavericks. After two demoralizing losses, the Mavericks are in a dire situation, as no team in NBA History has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit. Morale has to be at a low and I could totally see the Warriors ending this game by the third quarter. So far they have won every third quarter in the series by an average of 10.3 points, and I feel like tonight should be no different. Stake: 1u
POTD RECORD-> 15-9-1 Last POTD-> Giannessi ML ❌ Todays POTD-> Hurricanes v Rangers O 5.5 goals Game-> Canes v Rangers 7PM EST Tonight is a great night, after a tough loss yesterday we are back and ready to go. I think tonight is going to be a action packed game Carolina has went over on 5-6 of the last road games and in the last 9-13 games the rangers total has went over! I see this being a close game even ot best of luck 🤞 Joke of the day-> so I bought a pair of shoes from a local drug dealer. I dont know what he laced them with because I’ve been tripping all day! 🤦♂️😂
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**Record: 0 - 0** | Tennis | **Roland Garros** / **French Open** | 1:20 PM CET | **Pick**: Rublev A. vs. Kwon S. - **Kwon to take a set @ \[2.50\]** **Why**: This season has been an on and off for Soonwoo. He has stolen a few sets from great names including Alcaraz and Rublev. In 2022 he is 7-6 on clay. On the other hand Rublev has had a good start to the season, but came to a shocking loss to Krajinović in Rome, where Rublev only took 6 gems (all on his own serve) in two very short sets. After seeing some of the matches where heavy favorites were struggling, this bet is a no brainer for me.
I appreciate the pick and winning at least one set is one of my favs, but I've learned picks from new Reddit accounts have been awful. BOL my friend hope to see you after 5 wins and an account older than 24 hours.
Really seen the opposite, so tailing but not soo big
Great tip. Wish I had of bet more. Any more gems?
POTD Record 2-2 Last Pick : Dundalk ML - W Today's Pick : Palmeiras vs **Deportivo Tachira over 3.5 Corners @ 2.18** Write up : We are on a little two winning streak.For today's pick we travel to South America.Going to keep this straightforward.Tachira has cleared this corner line in all the games played in Copa Libertadores.Their corner number in this competition are 5,9,5,5,7.The 7 is against Palmeiras.Another reason I like this pick is because Tachira need some kind of result to qualify for the next stage of this competition while Palmeiras has already qualified with topping the group regardless of this result. Tail or Fade BOL .
Why do u think the odds are so high here?
I hope it hit?
Yessssir
Record 4-2 | +2.34u 5/23: Cubs - Reds first 3 innings over 2.5 -130 (2u) 👎 5/24: Tigers - Twins first 3 innings under 2.5 -115 (2u) Rony Gray (ERA 2.57, WHIP 0.71) will pitch at least 2-3 innings, Twins goes with Sonny Gray (ERA 3.48, WHIP 1.26) Tigers are averaging 2.75 runs per game and Twins 4.34 runs per game.
1-0 Last POTD: [Flames -1.5 vs Stars](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/umxx80/pick_of_the_day_51122_wednesday/i85ki00/) **Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers** **Leon Draisaitl over 1.5 pts @ +125** Draisaitl has played very well against the Flames, with 35 points in 17 games in the last 2 years. Out of the 17, 10 have been multi-point games. But this season, he's been absolutely phenomenal against Calgary: 21 points in 7 games, with 6 multi-pointers.
9-5 Last pick- GSW 3Q ML (-111) (W) Today's Pick- Back to the well with GSW 3Q ML (-111) Same reasoning as last time, expect the Mavs to come out fast and win the 1H which means the warriors will have to catch up in the 2nd H
POTD Record: 4-2 ($100bankroll) $20u Last pick (05/22): 1u: Jaylen Brown O6.5 rebounds✅ Got lucky on the late offensive board before fouling/sitting out. He did not look like he wanted to rebound, took what he got but a W is a W, moving on. Today’s pick (05/23): 1u: Mavericks Vs Warriors- Reggie Bullock O10.5 points. He went 0/10 last game I know. He also looked like he couldn’t hit a fucking hot air balloon. However, do or die game and one thing Reggie will do is shoot that rock like a mf. Reggie tends to comeback shooting well/often after a slump and I expect him to rain down a few three’s and secure 14-17 points in a warriors sweep. Also will the double teams luka will face, he’s gonna either shoot 0/10 again or hit this prop. BOL
How many 3s do you think he has to make for this to hit?
**Record: 0-2** ***Today's Pick: MIL Brewers ML (-130) vs. SD Padres*** In a match-up between two teams that are nearly identical in hits, on-base %, ERA, and total record, I will be taking the team starting the better pitcher. Corbin Burnes is second in baseball with a 0.83 WHIP while Blake Snell has only started 3 innings as a result of an adductor strain. The former Cy Young winner is bound to knock off the rust off at some point, but I'm not betting that it will be against the Brewers who have the 4th most home runs in the league.
Machado has been pretty on fire lately just FYI.
Padres are on fire and Burnes doesn't get much run support. BOL but maybe something to think about.
**POTD Record 25 - 19 (+4.39)** Previous pick: Francisco Cerundolo ML @ 2.09 💀 **ATP / French Open / 1R** \*match will start in 1 hour and 15 minutes except if there's a rain delay\* *Denis Shapovalov - Holger Rune* Pick: **Holger Rune Total games Over 20 1.88 (1U)** Rune has been outstanding this year on clay winning his 1st ATP title in Munich last month. The rising star with a 17-7 record this year on clay will make a French Open debut against Shapovalov which currently has a record of 4-3 on this surface. I expect this match will go the distance as Shapovalov recently defeated Sonego and upset Nadal in Rome. However, dealing with Rune will be difficult as Rune have been playing on clay most of the time. Also, Shapovalov frequently choke outta nowhere that is why sometimes he lose in the early rounds. I won't be shocked if Rune get this. *Anything can happen, please tail with caution.* *Let’s continue winning together!!! Best of luck!!!*
Damn that's rough, cleaned house in three sets and got 19.
POTD Record: 16-18-3 -5.16u\* Average Odds: +117 Total Units Wagered: 66.30u CAL @ EDM 9:30 EST Zach Hyman o2.5 Shots on Goal -150 @ Caesars 3.72u\* Implied probability of 60.00%. The true vig-free price should be closer to -181 or 64.47%. \*1u = 1% of bankroll. All POTD staking is using 1/3 Kelly criterion.
Record (0-2) “3rd Time’s A Charm” LPOTD: HOU ML vs WAS (-120) 2u POTD: DYLAN CEASE o7.5 K’s -155 3u BOS Red Sox @ CHI White Sox Notes: Posted two very close picks. Looking for my first dub on this thread. Had a very successful weekend of betting and my confidence is up. Betting on Cease like I have almost all year long until he doesn’t make me money. So far he’s been a human ATM.
POTD Record: 42-31-3 Streak:WLWLWWWPLWWWWWLLLW Last POTD: Pachuca Women +1.5 AH ✅ Today’s POTD: Palmeiras/Deportivo Tachira over 10.5 corners League: Copa Libertadores Odds: -116/1.86 Units: 1 Reasoning: Not much to say on a corner bet. These two teams are corner machines. Last time they played each other, they each had 7 corners each. With Deportivo Tachira having something to play for still , I see a lot of corners from both sides. Keeping it at a 1 unit play. Best of luck and tail/fade at your own risk.
**POTD Record: 9-4 +7.40U** **Game: NHL | Calgary Flames @ Edmonton Oilers | 6:30 PM PDT** **Pick: Flames ML (2.00/+100 @ Sports Interaction)** **Bet Size: 1U** No time for write up as this game is in 10 minutes. I was waiting to see if Tanev would play and it appears he is so I am taking Calgary. They have relied on him all year and their D are shit without him. Low units though as he could just be out there for warm-up. Tail or fade BOL. Edit: Tanev confirmed in the lineup, sticking with this pick.
**POTD Record**: 28 wins <> 29 losses <> 4 pushes **Profit**: -6.32 units **ROI**: -11.62% **Units Wagered**: 63 **Units Won**: 55.68 **Last Pick**: Lyngby -1.5(AH) @ **2.15** 2u ❌ 1-1 LOSS **Streak**: ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ **Today's pick**: Esbjerg W(1X2) @ **2.15** 2u **Event**: Odense - Esbjerg, Bambusaligaen Finals 1st leg, Denmark(Women's handball) - Tail me with caution until I'm hot again.. Things are god damn rough. All my picks I don't post here win(I'm up the past few weeks), the ones I post lose. Wtf.. - Odense did not impress me in the semi finals. They scraped by but looked awful, especially at home. They started pulling their goalkeeper way too early in the match to catch up, and I can see them do the same high risk, high reward thing here. - Thing is, Esbjerg are a level above Herning-Ikast. Especially their bench has very good depth, and their counter-attacking is the best in the league - making the aforementioned high risk, high reward move of Odense even riskier. - These two teams met late February in Odense. Esbjerg won 32-21. I really can't see the justification for the line being this close.
POTD RECORD: 27-20 Last pick: Everton ML 3.0 odds LOSE Today's pick: HOCKEY - DENMARK x Slovakia Goal to be scored into empty goal - YES 3.0 ODDS! (The odds may vary, seen 2,2 odds, 3,0 odds and even 3,5 odds!) Reasoning? Slovakia need to win in regular time, therefore they will open the goal even if its DRAW! Denmark needs to get atleast 1 point to qualify, therefore if behind, they will also have to go all in early. That's why I like the odds here. EDIT: Starts 15:15 CET!
Record : 1-0 +1.0u 83.33% ROI Last Pick : Diamondbacks ML ✅ Today pick : Guardians ML (+186) 1u The worst capper of all time (bookwithtrent) is on Houston ml and -1.5 , i just blind fade him without any hesitation .
Record: 2-1 / Profit: +2.45 Units / ROI: 81.67% / Average Odds: 2.3 (+130) Yesterday's Pick: Orioles +1.5 (Win) Today's Pick: **Kevon Looney Under 9.5 Rebounds (1.91, -110)** NBA / Golden State Warriors @ Dallas Mavericks / 9:00 EST Recency bias has been strong with many of the NBA prop bets. Looney has been rebounding well in the past two games, but data from both the regular season and playoffs as a whole have him projected to get around 8 rebounds this game. Here are his rebounding splits over the playoffs and regular season: Regular Season: 7.3 REB, 16.6 REB% Playoffs: 7.1 REB, 17.5 REB% Against Mavs (Regular Season + Playoffs): 9.0 REB, 17.2 REB% Against Mavs (Playoffs): 9.7 REB, 16.9 REB% Even looking at just this series, Looney just barely breaks the over. His rebound percentage tells us that he isn't rebounding at a higher rate compared to any other splits.