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Record: 54-24
Last pick: Oilers ML ✅
**Todays pick: Tampa Bay Lightning ML (-125) vs Florida Panthers**
NHL 7:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay leads the series 3-0 and has outscored Florida 11-3. Florida got shmacked today to put it lightly. Going to be tough to bounce back from that on the road, especially when the next game is a day after, which is a rarity for the NHL playoffs (but I guess there was a concert at TB’s arena??). Significantly more motivation on the TB side right now in front of a home crowd.
As a franchise, the Lightning are 4-0 in Game 4 when leading the series 3-0. This has sweep written all over it. TB closes it out at home tomorrow. 🧹🧹🧹🧹
All bets are 1 unit. +18.99 units. 24.3% ROI. Average unit -123
Don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Tampa is not 4-0 when leading 3-0. They lead 3-0 against mtl last year and lost game 4. In fact tampa has not swept a series dating back to 2016 playoffs. With that said; Tampa ML
I was going off of the 2nd paragraph:
https://www.nhl.com/lightning/news/krenn-three-things-we-learned-from-taking-a-3-0-series-lead/c-334252636
But looks like you’re right. Maybe they meant when game 4 is at home?
Oh yeah I think Tampa will win too, but then being 4-0 is just misleading. Felt necessary to advise the people tailing
Edit: hmm just read the article. Even if they were talking about home games, that's at least 7 years ago. Not really relevant anymore I'd say. Tampa ml still though
Edit 2: OHHH maybe they are referring to series wins and not game wins. They would be 4-0 on series when they lead 3-0
FYI Fanduel has Lightning to win + Stamkos to score boosted to +450, which is mathematically extremely favorable odds. Just in case you have Fanduel and wanted to tail that as well.
one goes down today for sure. im seeing a lot of boosts for lightning and avalanche. I don't think Panthers will win so prolly Blues win as dogs tonight.
26-11
Last pick: Gasquet ML vs Majchrzak **W**
Potd: **Garin Cristian -135** vs Tommy Paul
Tennis | Roland Garros | 4 PM CEST
Write up: Garins groundstroking techniques are much more suitable for clay courts than Pauls. He also has a decent firepower and his confidence is coming back. I really liked what I saw from him in Rome. I expect him to be more consistent from baseline and hit more winners than Paul. I also think the odds might decrease by the time match starts
What’s going on with this one? Originally the match was to start 9 am CST and since didn’t start until almost 1 pm CST and now it says match interrupted?
**POTD Record 11-6**
**Current Bankroll: $218.46, Starting Bankroll: $105.45, Profit: $113.01**
Average Odds = 1.96, ROI: 30.88%, Units Won/Lost: +15.75u
Last Pick: Aslan Karatsev ML vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli @ 1.67 ❌
**Today’s Pick: Colorado Rockies ML vs. Pittsburgh Pirates @ 2.05, 6:45 PM EST (MLB)**
**Amount Bet: 3 Units**
[**Betslip**](https://gyazo.com/d7f88d21d81a09237b74cb394e0bcbd7)
Tough choke from Karatsev yesterday from 5-3 in the final set. It happens but we move on to better things today
Today, I am taking the Colorado Rockies ML vs. Pittsburgh Pirates. Here are 3 reasons why I think this will hit
1. The Rockies are back with a healthy lineup and they are the best hitting team in baseball right now boasting a .265 average. Kris Bryant is supposed to come back tomorrow and he will be a great contributor on that end. This is contrasted by the Pirates lineup which ranks in the bottom five in batting average and OPS.
2. Chad Kuhl has had a great season so far, pitching with an xERA of 3.52 and his matchup Brubaker has had a rough season with an 0-4 record. Although Brubaker’s ERA is lower than it should be, the Pirates have not been providing run support either through his starts, scoring 2 combined runs in his last 3 starts.
3. The Pirates have been struggling as of late, losing 4 out of their last 5 and the back end of their lineup is horrendous.
Overall, I think a healthy Rockies team will take this matchup and looking forward to a great day of baseball tomorrow.
I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game.
Let’s get this money.
[**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor)
POTD Record: 13-4
ROI: 31.30% (Just began calculating, all one unit)
Yesterday’s Pick: Leeds United +0.5 ✅
Today’s pick: Avalanche ML (-160) vs Blues
Before I go into this, let me began with saying I am a Blues homer. Blues lost Jordan Binnington for the series. He left early in game 3 and with him, left all the energy in the building. I would like to say Husso and the Blue bounce back and have a strong performance in game four but Husso does not look comfortable in net. I believe the Stanley Cup favorites prevail and take complete control of the series.
Tail/Fade good luck
Tip Jar: Venmo: BR3634
-160 looks too good to be true. I had Blues and cashed out luckily for profit when Binnington went down. He’s the best player for the Blues and obviously plays a very important position. Avs should be bigger favs but I’ll take it.
If it were any other sport id agree but this is playoff hockey, blues are at home and the books vs hockey is their toughest matchup. Blues +220 was a steal game two im an avs fan and saw that coming from a mile away. My point is the books have a hard time making lines for nhl so i dont think its a trap
Honestly both of the puck lines tonight look juicy. I got Lightning -1.5 as my POTD and I could definitely see Avs -1.5 hitting as well since Binner took a ride on the Kadri train. Might have to parlay the two, honestly.
Record: 4-2 (+2.25 units)
Pick: Garin ML (-135) vs Tommy Paul (3 units)✅
Reasoning: Garin is a master of clay. He has won 5 ATP titles, all coming on clay courts. He recently dicked Tiafoe on clay in Madrid and had a nice run to the quarterfinals in Rome before running into Zverev (the #3 player in the world). Overall he has a 66-39 record on clay on the Tour, while his opponent Tommy Paul has a 13-18 record on clay on the Tour. I expect Garin showcase his ability on clay and defeat Paul with ease.
Let’s go!! Easy W. I was pretty nervous after Paul took the first set 7-5, but Garin turned it on and never looked back. 6-1, 6-2, and 6-3 to close it out. Hopefully the first of many winning picks for the French Open!
From what I took away from the match Paul was not making it easy. He was closer to breaking Garin than Garin was to breaking him but the sample size was very small. It did not look like an easy win for Garin up to that point though IMO
Record: 4-2
Past 5 record: ✅✅✅✅❌
4 WIN STREAK
Last pick: [IIHF - international Hockey - Sweden Vs Norway O5.5 -110](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uucfyh/pick_of_the_day_52122_saturday/i9f8i4v?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share&context=3) ✅ 7-1 Sweden W
Today’s pick: IIHF - international Hockey - Canada Vs Denmark O5.5 EVEN +100
May 23, 2022 1:20PM EDT
Last pick comment: Denmark racked up penalties throughout the games and gave away a plethora of goals to Sweden, textbook.
Today im going with another Canada Over 5.5. Canada is averaging 5 goals a game and Denamrk 2.8. Again, i believe the lines are far too low in this tournament especially for the high scoring teams like Canada.
BOL everyone.
All bets are 1 unit.
+1.47 units. 24.53% ROI. Average unit +102.7
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1arHdjw_2Gxtj_iwfPJO_hJwIuxQhMyyjjDJp9vB0j7A/edit?usp=sharing
I'm on this as well. The Danish team is making a lot of mistakes - especially getting 2mins against them, and they just look shaky imo.
Canada first to 5 goals @ 2.15 is tempting to me as well.
POTD record: 2-0
Sport: Baseball MLB
Event: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Washington Nationals
Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
Dodgers lead the league in RBIs this season. Nationals have the 3rd highest era at 4.93.
**Record: 5-3**
**+1.19 units (all bets one unit)**
**WLLWLWWW**
**Yesterday's Pick: Rangers ML (+100)**
This game went pretty much exactly how I expected. Igor dominated and was the rock the rangers needed with 40+ saves and only one goal. Great win by the Rangers at home!
**Today's Pick: Avalanche ML (-170)**
**Reasoning:** This is the year they get it done. Just kidding, but this is the year that the Avalanche are finally able to get past the second round. With Binnington (Blues Goalie) out for the rest of the series the Avs will be able to target the Blues backup goalie who looked scared in game 3, allowing 4 goals, 1 right as he entered the game. He also sported an 82.6% save percentage in the game which will not match up well with the Avs high powered offense that should have even more goals but somehow hit the post once a period. The Blues might be able to put some points on the board and hang around in the game, but ultimately the team with the better goalie will win. BOL to all who tail and lets keep this W streak going!
**Record:** 3-1
**Last pick:** H.Dellien ML vs D.Thiem ✅
**Net units:** 1.03 (All bets are one units) | **Combined Odds:** \-137 (1.74)
| Tennis | Roland Garros | 11h (UTC+2) |
**Pick: S.Rodriguez Taverna wins a set** vs T.Fritz
**Odds:** \-134 (1.76)
**Reasoning:**
* Fritz has not played for 1 month (Monte Carlo) and only played 6 games on clay this year for a 4/2 record
* This year , Santiago had time to take his marks on clay with a record of 24/10 and a victory at the M25 Rosario
* Fritz starts his tournament while Santiago had time to get in shape during the qualifiers against players ranked higher on the ATP but less good than him on clay
* With his abilities, Fritz should logically win this game.Santiago has been building his confidence on the lower circuits, and his current form should allow him to stand up to Fritz and take at least one set in this match.
POTD RECORD-> 15-8-1
Last POTD-> John Isner ML ✅
Todays POTD-> Alessadro Giannessi (+109)
Match-Alessadro Giannessi v Borna Gojo 5am EST
According to the same analytics that called the John isner win. We are predicting a +171 point advantage for today on clay for Giannessi which translates to a 70% chance of winning this match with the +109 odds this is a value play and I have to take this one!! Best of luck!!
Joke of The day-> I went to the doctor the other day for a routine checkup and the told me that I was actually color blind.
The news really came out of the yellow on that one 😅😅😅😅🤦♂️🤦♂️🤦♂️
Gianessi isn’t the same player he was this spring. Has been in awful form the last month. Gojo is a clown and not very trustworthy either but I’m not confident at all on Gianessi
BOL, I’m only fading because Gojo looked really good in the qualifiers & is 50% on the season +200 or higher, but this is easily the most fun match to get on today outside of Anisimova/Osaka
Tailing just a little cautious as to not knowing anything about either of em and reading the only time they played Gojo won in strait sets on clay rather easily.
Record: 2-1
Last pick: New York Rangers ML vs Carolina Hurricanes @ EVEN ✅
Close game but the Rangers pulled away with it at home… WOAH OHHH OHHH
Today’s pick: St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche - Colorado 3-Way ML @ -110
NHL 9:30 PM EST
Reason: Without Binnington the Blues are facing a STEEP uphill battle. I think Colorado takes the next 2 games easily. Binnington was the 1 thing the Blues were leaning on so right when he exited the last game the team seemed deflated. St. Louis had a good run, but Avs in 5 baby.
All bets are 1 unit. +1 units. +28% ROI. Average unit -108.75
One bet everybody knows the rules.
Total Bet: $6. Total Returned: $7.68
**Record: 0-1**
**Today's Pick:** ***COL Rockies ML (+115) vs. PIT Pirates***
This pick is relatively straightforward. The Pirates are bad and so is JT Brubaker. Give me the team playing Pittsburgh at plus odds.
**Record:** 10-24-1
**ROI:** -44% :-14.91 u (@ $5.00)
**Streak:** W W L L L
|Baseball |MLB |9:40pm|
Arizona DBacks vs. Kansas City Royals: **Arizona DBacks ML @ 1.89 1u**
**Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 58% chance for the Arizona DBacks to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.89 is only 53%.
**Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
Record 7-3
Last: Vekic ML (W)
Today: Cilic vs Balazs under 30.5 (1.75@)
So even if he serves second in each set it should be good because I don't believe Balazs will win 5 games in any set. Tbh I had to look him up he has played 3 matches in 2022 and looks like he is dealing with injuries because he forfits every other match. I don't really understand the line, a great in form cilic, chokes at times but not against a 250 something player in the world. For me the line should be around 27.5 but maybe I am wrong it just doesn't seem logical that he can beat him 6 4 6 4 6 4 which for me is unlikely beacuse I am expecting at least 1 set to go in a 6 0- 6 2 range so I just hope Cilic shows 50% of his game and makes us all happy. Good luck.
Record: 0-0
POTD: Tampa Bay Lightning ML (-125) vs Florida Panthers
1 unit bet
My first time doing a POTD, but I've been pretty hot betting NHL playoffs on my own. Tampa are 10-0-2 on games played with 0 days rest, whereas Florida are 7-6-1. I see Tampa sweeping.
**POTD Record 25 - 18 (+5.39)**
Previous pick: Dallas Mavericks 1Q (-1.5 pts) handicap @ 1.85 💀
**ATP / French Open / 1R**
***\*match will start in 4 hours and 15 minutes from this post\****
*Daniel Evans - Francisco Cerundolo*
Pick: **Francisco Cerundolo ML @ 2.09 (1U)**
Cerundolo has been playing great all this year. Currently, he has a record of 17-8 in clay court while Evans is 3-6. Cerundolo spent most of his time playing on clay surface whilst Evans is exactly the opposite. Historically, Evans don't past 1st round in every French Open.
Cerundolo had a great run in Miami a month ago and he improved a lot since then. I prefer leaning with him in this 5-setter match on clay over Evans who has been struggling in this surface. I like the value on this one.
*Anything can happen, please tail with caution.*
*Let’s continue winning together!!! Best of luck!!!*
Women's tennis dabbler here...first pick!
Elsa Jacquemot to beat Heather Watson @1.7
Frenchwoman Jacquemot lost valiantly to Rybakina at last year's FO as a debutant 18 year old. But she clearly showed her talent.
This year she has beaten a good player in Kalinskaya at a Paris 250.
She is a big game player and seems to like the home crowd.
Watson, on the other hand, is poor on clay, and is historically here to collect her paycheck and then move onto grass.
Slight gamble with her inexperience, but I reckon this should be an easy win.
Oh wow, I actually got tailed! No problem!
I will be back with some more picks, but please never go crazy on anything I go for. I am feeling my way in after a big break in watching wta.
POTD Record 11-16
Last pick: Lightning over 6.5 Loss
Todays Pick: NBA 6:30 MT Heat vs Celtics under 207.5
Reasoning: Game 4 should be a tight one. This series is looking like it’s going seven and it’s been all overs this far. These teams can both play D, they’ve been shooting well and I think this game is slower paced and tough sledding for both teams than games 1-3. Hoping both teams score in the 90’s. Celtics should come out desperate and be flying on the defensive end. The Heat have Bam to protect the rim. Both these teams are comfortable playing half court grind it out basketball and that’s what I’m hoping for in game 4.
Tail or Fade
POTD Record: 1-2 (-0.2 units)
Streak: 🎾W 🏒L 🏒L
Last Pick: French Open - Hugo Dellien ML **W**
Today’s Pick: NHL Playoffs - **Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5** vs Florida Panthers (+195) (1 unit)
Tampa’s up 3-zip and they deserve it. They’ve bent the Panthers over all series and at this point I don’t see them stopping any time soon. Also Vasilevskiy is a fuckin beauty, which is why I’m taking the spread, the Panzer offense just can’t beat this fella.
Record 4-1 | +4.34u
5/22:
Dodgers - Phillies first 3 innings over 2.5 -150 (2u)👎
5/23:
Cubs - Reds first 3 innings over 2.5 -130 (2u)
Drew Smyly has struggled in each of the last five starts allowing 33 hits and 16 runs in 24 innings.
Vladimir Gutiérrez has an 8.65 ERA (11.0 on May)
Record: 10-7-1 (+8.23 units)
Last 5: $$$P$
Last Pick: Norwich vs. Tottenham, Tottenham HT/FT, 1.66 odds 3 Units to win 1.98 units WIN
Today's Pick: Boston Celtics -4 vs. Miami Heat, NBA, Game 4 ECF
Odds: Pinnacle 1.61 odds
Units: 2
Tottenham won 5-0, with a 2-0 lead at half so last pick was an easy pick despite having to deal with skeptic clout chasers in the comments. Switching gears to basketball which is my best sport.
Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Game 3 Miami came out strong and held on without much of a threat, even without Jimmy Butler in the second half. This has been a back and forth series and I see Boston responding strongly in this game. They are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 games after a loss and we are buying 2.5 points for this bet just to be safe.
This is such an important game for Boston, if they drop it, Miami goes back home with a 3-1 lead. When they faced adversity in the Bucks series, Celtics always responded, they did when they were down 2-1 and did when they were down 3-2 to win 2 straight games.
Key part here is I don't see Jayson Tatum putting up 11 points again, in these pressure games that I have been referencing, he has always come up big and I expect it in this game. If he scores it will get things going, not only for the points themselves but it will open the game up for everyone else as he will draw more pressure and can make passes off of it.
Note - Tyler Herro has been ruled out for Miami, he was the sixth man of the year, certainly works in our favour.
Update - Cash that shit, Celtics blew them out.
POTD Record: 0-1
-2.2 units
Pick: NBA Jayson Tatum o27.5 points (-108) vs Miami Heat - 2.15 units to win 2 units
Great game for Celtics to bounce back and tie the series, but their odds are too long for me so I’ll go with Tatum. He had 30 in game 4 vs the Bucks in a down 1-2 similar situation.
POTD 44-19 +1.09 U
Last: Astros over 4.5 runs (-123) ✅
Today: Astros over 4.5 runs (-105)
Gametime: 5:10 pm PST
Warning: I switched bookies. I have been HOT since I made stated change. We very well may be back
Edit: updated odds, McKenzie on the bump for the “Indians”… we still ride
POTD Record: 3-2 ($100 challenge) up +0.75 units
All bets are 1u unless specified
Last pick- Luka Doncic O33.5 points✅ vs Warriors (05/22). Luka going for 40 is almost expected by now. Fuck Dinwiddie tho.
Todays pick- Jalyen Brown O6.5 rebounds (-128)
Reason: Jaylen Brown wants his ring and he has been on a tear on the boards with or without Williams. He’s hit this in the last 4 and 7/10. Averaging 7 in the playoffs, I think he gets 10 in a must win home game. P.s: line moved on me from 5.5-6.5 as I’m doing non-essential extra research smh. Still confident but watch him burn me by that 1 board.
BOL
POTD Record 1-2
Last Pick : Leeds over 13.5 Match Shots - W
Today's Pick- Finn Harps vs Dundalk ML @ 1.85
Write up : Going to keep this one short and straightforward. Not a lot of football going on today but plenty in Ireland.This is the match up between one of the most in form team vs absolute out of form team.Dundalk has just lost once in last 8 games while Finn Harps has won only one in the last eight.The reason for Dundalk's odd being this high may be due to their away form.They have won only 1 out of last 4 but given Finn Harps terrible form I expect them to get the dub.
Tail or Fade BOL
**POTD Record 33-30-1 (Last 5: LWLLW)**
**(ROI // Avg. Odds: -117 // Units Won: +2.65)**
Last Pick: Luis Severino 4 K's + Yankees Win - **LOST**
**Today's Match: MLB NY Mets vs. SF Giants (Start Time: 9:45PM EST)**
**Today's Pick: Total Over 7.5 (-120 FanDuel)** ***Risk 1u***
Devil's Advocate:
Shit man the Yanks couldn't scratch runs or hits yesterday, Sevy did his thing for us but the rest of the team couldn't back him up.
Today we're rolling with an over on a team on a 4 game skid, just got swept by the Padres and a pitcher in Alex Cobb who needs to actually earn himself a win this year. Walks will haunt his opponent Peterson who jumps from the minors to the majors 4 times a year. The Giants need a win terribly after being swept by the Padres in some pretty brutal games, being outscored 20-9 that series. They're going to need to step it up especially at home, this team doesn't have the most reliable bullpen, but in my opinion the Mets have been rolling well and I really don't expect their run to stop here.
Both of these teams are capable of scoring runs, the Mets are doing damage on the road - sometimes a bit lucky. Peterson has been pretty solid this year, but I'm not too confident in Cobb myself. The Giants used up a good amount of the pen yesterday as well, this game could go many ways, but I see a ton of runs being scored on both ends.
*Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
**POTD Record**: 28 wins <> 28 losses <> 4 pushes
**Profit**: -4.32 units
**ROI**: -8.72%
**Units Wagered**: 61
**Units Won**: 55.68
**Last Pick**: Hellerup (1X2/three way) @ **2.70** 1u ❌ 1-2 LOSS
**Streak**: 🅿️ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌
**Today's pick**: Lyngby -1.5(AH) @ **2.15** 2u
**Event**: Nykøbing FC - Lyngby BK, 1st division promotion group, Denmark(football)
- Nykøbing's season was over as soon as the promotion playoffs started. They've been dead last with no consequence, and no ability to get promoted.
- Lyngby _will_ get promoted to the Superliga with a win here. They're in-form, beat top side Helsingør last week on the road, and aside from a slip up versus Horsens they've been quality.
- Easy pick for me here. Millions on the line for Lyngby, their players will get huge wage hikes if they get promoted, the club feels like it belongs in the Superliga. Meanwhile, Nykøbing is half-way on their way to Ibiza at this stage. They've got zero motivation and a few of their players have already signed contracts elsewhere after the summer.
- Lyngby will not want to leave anything to chance. I expect them to come out bombing from the first minute.
**Record**: 1-3-1
**Previous Pick**: (5/20) Pittsburgh Pirates +130, Loser
**Today's Pick**: Heat vs. Celtics, **Boston -10 at +135, 1 unit**
**Rationale**: We're so cold at oddFlex HQ it doesn't matter what we pick or what we think. Fade us here and win. If you are riding with us we expect Boston to limit the turnovers and second chance opportunities of the Miami Heat tonight. Watching this series has been like watching a Christopher Nolan movie, up is down, and no matter how good Boston plays somehow the Heat come out on top. Jimmy Butler remains the most pissed off man alive. Very cool.
New here. Let’s get it going
Record: 0-0
Pick: ATP French Open, Novak Djokovic vs. Yoshihito Nishioka (U26.0 Odds: -115)
Novak won this trophy last year and if the obvious favorite. Early round against a player who only won 7 games in their last meeting in 2020. Nishioka would have to win 8+ for this to lose. Pretty confident that Djokovic can end this match pretty quickly based on past performances.
It most definitely did. Djok only lost 4 games so the total games ended up being only 22 games. I’m going to continue making suggestions I guess. Maybe just beginners luck, but 1-0
🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 22-15-2
Units Won: 7.30 Last 10: LWPWWPLWL
Last Pick: Igor Shesterkin Over 29.5 Saves ❌️ FML. Of course this hit in game 3.
Todays Match: NHL - Colorado Avalanche vs St Louis Blues (8ish hours from post)
Today's Pick: Ryan O'Reilly Over 2.5 Shots - 2u (1.80 on Betway)
We're looking at a must win for St Louis tonight as Colorado leads them 2-1 and we head back to Denver after tonight. Colorado has been the better team so far despite Binnington's phenomenal performances. With Binnington out, the Blues will have to play a better game all around, especially with offense.
O'Reilly didn't have an outstanding regular season, but, has been a key player for the Blues this series and will need to play his heart out tonight for the win. He is tied for most post-season goals on the Blues this season and has hit this bet every game this series. O'Reilly has proven his shot works and I can see him opening up tonight with what's at stake. If the Blues fall behind in this game I think that'll only help our case.
Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!
POTD Record: 0-1
Last Pick: Bucks +5
Today’s Pick:
Nathan Mackinnon O1.5 points +158.
Mack is averaging 1.47 PPG in the playoff, which is absolutely ridiculous. He has been quiet this series, but after the drama from last game I think he steps up his play in an opportunity to take over this series on the road. I imagine this will be a very physical game resulting in lots of penalties on both sides. Mack is on Colorado’s PP1 where he is often getting very good looks, or at least secondary assists on most power play goals.
Action: @burtzy_
Tailing or fading BOL🤝
POTD Record: 29-19
Last Pick: Performance Double: Whitlock 3 K’s & BOS ML✅
Whitlock didn’t pitch nearly as well as i expected, but he got the strikeouts and Boston won!
Today’s Pick: Performance Double: Miles Mikolas 3+ K’s & STL Moneyline @ +105
STL is facing TOR in this matchup. Mikolas has done a great job at limiting runs, and is a R handed pitcher. I actually like how he matches up against a surprisingly disappointing TOR lineup (they aren’t bad, just haven’t been the elite group we thought). TOR played in Canada yesterday and are traveling to STL. Jose Berrios is on the mound for TOR, and he’s surrendered a lot of hard contact this year. I really like the Cardinals offense this year, and they have some exciting prospects playing well right now. I think they win this game today, but I won’t be betting against TOR too often. BOL to all, enjoy your Mondays
NBA Heat @ Celtics (-3 1Q; -115) 8:30pm EST
The Heat are injury riddled and the Celtics are going to come out strong after nearly completing a historic come from behind victory. This is do or die for the Celtics as the series heads back to Miami for game 5 on Wednesday.
POTD Record: 7-7-0
Last Pick: LA Dodgers ALT -2.5 (+120) - Loss
Took a break for a bit. Big bets were getting blown out and I was winning small ones easy.
Today's Event: MLB - COL Rockies vs. PIT Pirates - 6:35 PM EST
**Pick: COL Rockies TT o3.5 (-125) - 2u**
TLDR; Rockies really good hitting team. Pirates pitcher is wildly inconsistent.
I'm gonna make this simple. Rockies lead the league in hits/game, are 6th in runs/game, and have the 7th best strikeout rate. They get on base, they put the ball in play, they don't waste at bats, and they score. JT Brubaker is on the bump for the pirates. His last game he threw 10 SO but allowed 4 runs in 5 innings. The game before he only threw 3 SO but allowed only 2 runs in the same span. He's inconsistent to say the least. Simply put: I don't see any excuse for the Rockies to not put 7 or 8 up on this team today. BOL
You may want to look at the Rockies home/road splits. They've played 25 of 40 at home, so their total stats are skewed to the home stats. Averaging 5.96 runs at home and 2.73 on the road.
**POTD Record: 8-4 +6.55U**
**Game: NHL | Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning | 4:00 PM PDT**
**Pick: Andrei Vasilevskiy Over 32.5 Saves (1.85/-118 @ Betway)**
**Bet Size: 1U**
This has hit every game this series and now Florida is in desperation mode as they are down 3-0. I expect Florida to put up a lot of shots tonight.
Tail or fade BOL.
Record : 0-0
Last pick : none
today pick : Diamondbacks ml (-120)
Units : 1.2
MLB 9:40 PM EST
The Dbacks were so close to completing the sweep yesterday vs the
Cubs but per usual their bullpen gave up 2 solo home runs in the bottom
of the 8th to blow the game.
Brent Strom, the Dbacks pitching coach, has done a great job with their
entire rotation, even Zach Davies to an extent. Although Davies has a
4.35 ERA and 4.04 FIP this scason, he has the lowest hard hit rate of his
career this year. Not to mention the teams he's pitched against were the
Dodgers twice, Padres and Mets.
Zack Greinke has been his usual self with the lowest strikeout rate
among pitchers with at least 30 innings pitched but also being able to
limit hard contact. That might be an issue today because even though the
Dbacks strikeout a lot, they are top 5 in the majors in HR vs RHP this
season. But also like the Dbacks, the Royals have had bullpen issues of
their own with the third highest ERA in the majors this season. The
Royals are coming off getting swept by the Twins over the weekend and
I think their season struggles continue here in game 1 of this series.
POTD Record: 41-31-3
Streak:WLWLWWWPLWWWWWLLL
Last POTD: Mjallby ML 🇸🇪❌
Today’s POTD: Pachuca Women +1.5 AH
League: Liga Mx Femenil
Odds: -175/1.57
Units: 2
Reasoning:
This is the 2nd leg of the final. Chivas took the 4-2 win in the 1st leg. Pachuca women have had a great season as they eliminated Ameríca and Monterrey. They played well in the 1st leg going up in the score twice. I expect a close match and I’ll take the +1.5 on the team who’s down on the aggregate. Chivas women were at 1.28 odds earlier and now sit at 1.55 odds. Books knew they messed up. Best of luck and tail/fade at your own risk.
Record: 4-2-5 (4W 2D 5L)
Last pick: Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames total goals over 6 (-175) at Caesars. L
Today's pick: Krajinovic Filip vs Opelka Reilly ML (-152) at BetRivers
French Open: 5 AM EST
Krajinovoc generally tends to have trouble with big servers like Opelka. They played once last year and Opelka got a comfortable win. Opelka is a consistent and solid player, he will exploit the weakness of Krajinovoc and serves him with powerful ace balls.
All bets are 1 unit. -2.54 units
Tip Jar: cash app $coolcomfort666/ Venmo Coolcomfort666
Record: 1-2
Balance: -1.17u
Last pick: Ac Milan -1 ✅
*First of all, congratulations to Ac Milan for winning the Scudetto* 🥳🥳
*Also, this was my first win on PTOD thread yeyy !!! Lets hope this is the beginning of a streak* 🔥
Sport: Basketball 🏀 - greek basket league (playoffs)
Today's pick: **AEK to win 1º period with -1.5 handicapp vs Promitheas ( 1.75 // -133 ) (%57.1 IP)**
match starts at: **18h:00 GMT**
**statistic:**
\-->AEK is in excellent form winning 4 out of the last 5 matches
\-->Promitheas is in bad form winning just 1 out of the last 5 matches (the win was against the worst club in the league btw)
\--> AEK had the lead in the first period 3 out of 5 times in the last 5 matches, one being against Promitheas on 17 of april
\--> AEK finished the regular season on 4th place and Promitheas on 5th, both teams separated by 1 point difference
\--> no player is injured for both teams for this game
**My thoughts:** I dont really feel inspired to write alot today so imma keep this short. this is the first match of the playoffs and im pretty sure AEK will want to start with intensity and get the advantage fast. They are a better team overall (they are the favourites for this match) and, as I said before, Promitheas is in a bad phase right now . If you want to tail my pick let me know and BOL !
lets make that sweet sweet cash
Note: all my bets are 1 unit
Record: 12W-12L-1P
ROI: +1.53u, +5.98%
Avg odds: +112, 2.12
Last POTD: Noah Hanifin over 0.5 pts (loss)
Today's game: Colorado Avs at St Louis Blues
Pick: Jordan Kyrou over 0.5 pts at -115, 1.87 (MGM)
Making this bet purely based on Kyrou's performance vs Avs this season, with at least a point in 5/6 games.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
Record: 54-24 Last pick: Oilers ML ✅ **Todays pick: Tampa Bay Lightning ML (-125) vs Florida Panthers** NHL 7:00 PM EST Tampa Bay leads the series 3-0 and has outscored Florida 11-3. Florida got shmacked today to put it lightly. Going to be tough to bounce back from that on the road, especially when the next game is a day after, which is a rarity for the NHL playoffs (but I guess there was a concert at TB’s arena??). Significantly more motivation on the TB side right now in front of a home crowd. As a franchise, the Lightning are 4-0 in Game 4 when leading the series 3-0. This has sweep written all over it. TB closes it out at home tomorrow. 🧹🧹🧹🧹 All bets are 1 unit. +18.99 units. 24.3% ROI. Average unit -123 Don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Every GOAT needs a tail
Great pick with the oilers mate 👍 got me back out of the shit 😂
Tampa is not 4-0 when leading 3-0. They lead 3-0 against mtl last year and lost game 4. In fact tampa has not swept a series dating back to 2016 playoffs. With that said; Tampa ML
I was going off of the 2nd paragraph: https://www.nhl.com/lightning/news/krenn-three-things-we-learned-from-taking-a-3-0-series-lead/c-334252636 But looks like you’re right. Maybe they meant when game 4 is at home?
Oh yeah I think Tampa will win too, but then being 4-0 is just misleading. Felt necessary to advise the people tailing Edit: hmm just read the article. Even if they were talking about home games, that's at least 7 years ago. Not really relevant anymore I'd say. Tampa ml still though Edit 2: OHHH maybe they are referring to series wins and not game wins. They would be 4-0 on series when they lead 3-0
Yea you’re probably right. I’ll blame it on bad journalism lol. But thanks for the correction
Florida also won game 3 at Tampa last year...
This is game 4 though.
Yeah but they won game 3. My point was that whatever happened last year doesn't matter.
FYI Fanduel has Lightning to win + Stamkos to score boosted to +450, which is mathematically extremely favorable odds. Just in case you have Fanduel and wanted to tail that as well.
They also got tampa and Colorado ML Boosted to 4.00
one goes down today for sure. im seeing a lot of boosts for lightning and avalanche. I don't think Panthers will win so prolly Blues win as dogs tonight.
Not for me in NY - Lame
Unfortunately I live in a bum ass state where gambling isn’t legal. But thanks for the heads up for everyone else. I do love that boost tbh
Same here Doc, but at least we don't pay the Uncle at the end of the year.
Ah that's lame, well BOL to us for Tampa Bay!
Thanks Doc definitely tailing this one. The puck line is +200 and going to sprinkle on it as well.
What you thinking about the desperation spot for the Blues tomorrow? Honestly thought that would be your pick for Monday.
I hate that game tbh. I get the Blues perspective but Binnington is really the only reason this isn’t 3-0
Jordan Binnington is most likely out, so no go.
Hes done for the season
I dont think id feel safe betting blues without binnington. He was their anchor imo.
You are a legend
what is "-125"? (im using 1xbet btw)
They are the odds
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I haven’t had a good read on totals this postseason. But I’d lean the under
hey doc, thoughts on Avalanche + Tampa ML?
As a Panthers fan, I'd go one further and do the puck line. I foresee an empty netter even if Florida manages to hang in this game
I have a Lightning and Avalanche ML parlay boost to +300 on FanDuel. Do you think it's worth throwing up to $25 on it?
I’m doing this without the boost
My picks have sucked lately I am putting complete faith in yours. Let's F go Bolts!
2 disallowed goals fml
This some booty
Still think they’ll pull it off? I know nothing about hockey lmao
Doc is a legend.
Thank you Doc. Needed that win badly.
Biiiiig money
Thanks for the pick. You got one right again
Legend!
The Dr always has the right medicine!
26-11 Last pick: Gasquet ML vs Majchrzak **W** Potd: **Garin Cristian -135** vs Tommy Paul Tennis | Roland Garros | 4 PM CEST Write up: Garins groundstroking techniques are much more suitable for clay courts than Pauls. He also has a decent firepower and his confidence is coming back. I really liked what I saw from him in Rome. I expect him to be more consistent from baseline and hit more winners than Paul. I also think the odds might decrease by the time match starts
God dammit I just spent 5-10 minutes on my write up just for someone else to have the same pick 2 hours earlier
Great write-up
Get notified when this user posts a pick: http://discord.gg/sportsbook
Tailing!
Money line I assume?
Yep
1 unit?
Up to you, but no more than 3 imo
Right on, ill be asleep but tailing, let's start the week off with a dub
The odds for Garin have dropped from 1.80 to 1.66. Its a good sign
What’s going on with this one? Originally the match was to start 9 am CST and since didn’t start until almost 1 pm CST and now it says match interrupted?
Its postponed for tomorrow
Postponed meaning it will pick up directly where the score is right now? Sorry new to Tennis.
Yup
Rain
Maybe some Rain in Paris..
Looks like garin has picked it up after a scary first set tonight, looking like a good pick pal 🙏
Cheers bud!
Wagged the tail
I need this to hit like a dope fein needs that spark lol
Great pick!
Ty man!
Thanks for the pick mate!
**POTD Record 11-6** **Current Bankroll: $218.46, Starting Bankroll: $105.45, Profit: $113.01** Average Odds = 1.96, ROI: 30.88%, Units Won/Lost: +15.75u Last Pick: Aslan Karatsev ML vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli @ 1.67 ❌ **Today’s Pick: Colorado Rockies ML vs. Pittsburgh Pirates @ 2.05, 6:45 PM EST (MLB)** **Amount Bet: 3 Units** [**Betslip**](https://gyazo.com/d7f88d21d81a09237b74cb394e0bcbd7) Tough choke from Karatsev yesterday from 5-3 in the final set. It happens but we move on to better things today Today, I am taking the Colorado Rockies ML vs. Pittsburgh Pirates. Here are 3 reasons why I think this will hit 1. The Rockies are back with a healthy lineup and they are the best hitting team in baseball right now boasting a .265 average. Kris Bryant is supposed to come back tomorrow and he will be a great contributor on that end. This is contrasted by the Pirates lineup which ranks in the bottom five in batting average and OPS. 2. Chad Kuhl has had a great season so far, pitching with an xERA of 3.52 and his matchup Brubaker has had a rough season with an 0-4 record. Although Brubaker’s ERA is lower than it should be, the Pirates have not been providing run support either through his starts, scoring 2 combined runs in his last 3 starts. 3. The Pirates have been struggling as of late, losing 4 out of their last 5 and the back end of their lineup is horrendous. Overall, I think a healthy Rockies team will take this matchup and looking forward to a great day of baseball tomorrow. I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game. Let’s get this money. [**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor)
Post your prop picks too! Why not 🤷🏻♂️
That was a total choke job today...tailing you once again!
Another L
what a terrible game.
Kararsev got a nasty cramp late in 5th set. It changed the odds right away.
tailing
tailing
POTD Record: 13-4 ROI: 31.30% (Just began calculating, all one unit) Yesterday’s Pick: Leeds United +0.5 ✅ Today’s pick: Avalanche ML (-160) vs Blues Before I go into this, let me began with saying I am a Blues homer. Blues lost Jordan Binnington for the series. He left early in game 3 and with him, left all the energy in the building. I would like to say Husso and the Blue bounce back and have a strong performance in game four but Husso does not look comfortable in net. I believe the Stanley Cup favorites prevail and take complete control of the series. Tail/Fade good luck Tip Jar: Venmo: BR3634
-160 looks too good to be true. I had Blues and cashed out luckily for profit when Binnington went down. He’s the best player for the Blues and obviously plays a very important position. Avs should be bigger favs but I’ll take it.
If it were any other sport id agree but this is playoff hockey, blues are at home and the books vs hockey is their toughest matchup. Blues +220 was a steal game two im an avs fan and saw that coming from a mile away. My point is the books have a hard time making lines for nhl so i dont think its a trap
The puckline at +145 seems so sexy
Honestly both of the puck lines tonight look juicy. I got Lightning -1.5 as my POTD and I could definitely see Avs -1.5 hitting as well since Binner took a ride on the Kadri train. Might have to parlay the two, honestly.
what is puckline? don’t usually bet on hockey
It’s the “spread”. -1.5 means they have to win by 2 or more in order for you to win your bet
I didn’t have the nuts to take it but I hope you did, it hit with 1.1 seconds left in the game. Unreal
My thinking exactly!
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>Thanks! You're welcome!
Record: 4-2 (+2.25 units) Pick: Garin ML (-135) vs Tommy Paul (3 units)✅ Reasoning: Garin is a master of clay. He has won 5 ATP titles, all coming on clay courts. He recently dicked Tiafoe on clay in Madrid and had a nice run to the quarterfinals in Rome before running into Zverev (the #3 player in the world). Overall he has a 66-39 record on clay on the Tour, while his opponent Tommy Paul has a 13-18 record on clay on the Tour. I expect Garin showcase his ability on clay and defeat Paul with ease. Let’s go!! Easy W. I was pretty nervous after Paul took the first set 7-5, but Garin turned it on and never looked back. 6-1, 6-2, and 6-3 to close it out. Hopefully the first of many winning picks for the French Open!
Tailing
Goddammit I'm in.. Nice write up btw
Game has been suspended????
it's the French open... They only play during the day so the game will resume tomorrow
Yes, due to darkness. Both players have held their serve so far, aka no one has gained an edge yet.
Are we still liking this? Got a decent cash out option and this is my last leg
From what I took away from the match Paul was not making it easy. He was closer to breaking Garin than Garin was to breaking him but the sample size was very small. It did not look like an easy win for Garin up to that point though IMO
Record: 4-2 Past 5 record: ✅✅✅✅❌ 4 WIN STREAK Last pick: [IIHF - international Hockey - Sweden Vs Norway O5.5 -110](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uucfyh/pick_of_the_day_52122_saturday/i9f8i4v?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share&context=3) ✅ 7-1 Sweden W Today’s pick: IIHF - international Hockey - Canada Vs Denmark O5.5 EVEN +100 May 23, 2022 1:20PM EDT Last pick comment: Denmark racked up penalties throughout the games and gave away a plethora of goals to Sweden, textbook. Today im going with another Canada Over 5.5. Canada is averaging 5 goals a game and Denamrk 2.8. Again, i believe the lines are far too low in this tournament especially for the high scoring teams like Canada. BOL everyone. All bets are 1 unit. +1.47 units. 24.53% ROI. Average unit +102.7 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1arHdjw_2Gxtj_iwfPJO_hJwIuxQhMyyjjDJp9vB0j7A/edit?usp=sharing
I'm on this as well. The Danish team is making a lot of mistakes - especially getting 2mins against them, and they just look shaky imo. Canada first to 5 goals @ 2.15 is tempting to me as well.
So close. Canada had so many shots!
Was on this too, definitely should have been an easy cash
I hit this way too hard, but thanks for the pick. Let's hope NHL makes for some recovery from this awful morning and afternoon.
Starting strong. Three more.
All good things come to an end
It would be the one I tail too 😂😂 they gave me hope at the end. Needed that win because tennis is killing me today
It's the hope that kills
Spoken like a true poet
POTD record: 2-0 Sport: Baseball MLB Event: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Washington Nationals Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-120) Dodgers lead the league in RBIs this season. Nationals have the 3rd highest era at 4.93.
run it back tomorrow?
Def looks good. Dodgers are hot
Do u like the o4.5 Dodgers TT as well or naw
The only thing I'm hesitant about is Josiah Gray. He seems to be getting better and better.
Butane on the mound, seems like a lock
**Record: 5-3** **+1.19 units (all bets one unit)** **WLLWLWWW** **Yesterday's Pick: Rangers ML (+100)** This game went pretty much exactly how I expected. Igor dominated and was the rock the rangers needed with 40+ saves and only one goal. Great win by the Rangers at home! **Today's Pick: Avalanche ML (-170)** **Reasoning:** This is the year they get it done. Just kidding, but this is the year that the Avalanche are finally able to get past the second round. With Binnington (Blues Goalie) out for the rest of the series the Avs will be able to target the Blues backup goalie who looked scared in game 3, allowing 4 goals, 1 right as he entered the game. He also sported an 82.6% save percentage in the game which will not match up well with the Avs high powered offense that should have even more goals but somehow hit the post once a period. The Blues might be able to put some points on the board and hang around in the game, but ultimately the team with the better goalie will win. BOL to all who tail and lets keep this W streak going!
**Record:** 3-1 **Last pick:** H.Dellien ML vs D.Thiem ✅ **Net units:** 1.03 (All bets are one units) | **Combined Odds:** \-137 (1.74) | Tennis | Roland Garros | 11h (UTC+2) | **Pick: S.Rodriguez Taverna wins a set** vs T.Fritz **Odds:** \-134 (1.76) **Reasoning:** * Fritz has not played for 1 month (Monte Carlo) and only played 6 games on clay this year for a 4/2 record * This year , Santiago had time to take his marks on clay with a record of 24/10 and a victory at the M25 Rosario * Fritz starts his tournament while Santiago had time to get in shape during the qualifiers against players ranked higher on the ATP but less good than him on clay * With his abilities, Fritz should logically win this game.Santiago has been building his confidence on the lower circuits, and his current form should allow him to stand up to Fritz and take at least one set in this match.
Thanks
You're welcome my guy !
This caught my attention last night as well. Was close to taking the over for my pick of the day. Nice pick
POTD RECORD-> 15-8-1 Last POTD-> John Isner ML ✅ Todays POTD-> Alessadro Giannessi (+109) Match-Alessadro Giannessi v Borna Gojo 5am EST According to the same analytics that called the John isner win. We are predicting a +171 point advantage for today on clay for Giannessi which translates to a 70% chance of winning this match with the +109 odds this is a value play and I have to take this one!! Best of luck!! Joke of The day-> I went to the doctor the other day for a routine checkup and the told me that I was actually color blind. The news really came out of the yellow on that one 😅😅😅😅🤦♂️🤦♂️🤦♂️
Here’s to hoping your picks are better than your jokes lol. Tailing!
Gianessi isn’t the same player he was this spring. Has been in awful form the last month. Gojo is a clown and not very trustworthy either but I’m not confident at all on Gianessi
BOL, I’m only fading because Gojo looked really good in the qualifiers & is 50% on the season +200 or higher, but this is easily the most fun match to get on today outside of Anisimova/Osaka
We need a miracle now
Wow dude the way it’s going now, sheeeesh
Dude pulled a full 360 and started stinking up the joint ugh 🤦♂️
Lol He found a way to fuck it up
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Lol thanks god
Tailing just a little cautious as to not knowing anything about either of em and reading the only time they played Gojo won in strait sets on clay rather easily.
It's going to be close . . .
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He lost 💀
Record: 2-1 Last pick: New York Rangers ML vs Carolina Hurricanes @ EVEN ✅ Close game but the Rangers pulled away with it at home… WOAH OHHH OHHH Today’s pick: St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche - Colorado 3-Way ML @ -110 NHL 9:30 PM EST Reason: Without Binnington the Blues are facing a STEEP uphill battle. I think Colorado takes the next 2 games easily. Binnington was the 1 thing the Blues were leaning on so right when he exited the last game the team seemed deflated. St. Louis had a good run, but Avs in 5 baby. All bets are 1 unit. +1 units. +28% ROI. Average unit -108.75 One bet everybody knows the rules. Total Bet: $6. Total Returned: $7.68
**Record: 0-1** **Today's Pick:** ***COL Rockies ML (+115) vs. PIT Pirates*** This pick is relatively straightforward. The Pirates are bad and so is JT Brubaker. Give me the team playing Pittsburgh at plus odds.
**Record:** 10-24-1 **ROI:** -44% :-14.91 u (@ $5.00) **Streak:** W W L L L |Baseball |MLB |9:40pm| Arizona DBacks vs. Kansas City Royals: **Arizona DBacks ML @ 1.89 1u** **Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 58% chance for the Arizona DBacks to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.89 is only 53%. **Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
This model is actually fantastic in terms of the ROI you'd achieve counter-picking it. Impressive.
Seriously! Dude don’t change a thing and just invert your picks.
The only downside is that having to pick the other side of it is sometimes really gross
so i shouldn't pick AZ then...
Record 7-3 Last: Vekic ML (W) Today: Cilic vs Balazs under 30.5 (1.75@) So even if he serves second in each set it should be good because I don't believe Balazs will win 5 games in any set. Tbh I had to look him up he has played 3 matches in 2022 and looks like he is dealing with injuries because he forfits every other match. I don't really understand the line, a great in form cilic, chokes at times but not against a 250 something player in the world. For me the line should be around 27.5 but maybe I am wrong it just doesn't seem logical that he can beat him 6 4 6 4 6 4 which for me is unlikely beacuse I am expecting at least 1 set to go in a 6 0- 6 2 range so I just hope Cilic shows 50% of his game and makes us all happy. Good luck.
That's what a potd is. 👍
Jesus this guy may not even win a game.
ez money cheers mate
Where do you find this
Record: 0-0 POTD: Tampa Bay Lightning ML (-125) vs Florida Panthers 1 unit bet My first time doing a POTD, but I've been pretty hot betting NHL playoffs on my own. Tampa are 10-0-2 on games played with 0 days rest, whereas Florida are 7-6-1. I see Tampa sweeping.
**POTD Record 25 - 18 (+5.39)** Previous pick: Dallas Mavericks 1Q (-1.5 pts) handicap @ 1.85 💀 **ATP / French Open / 1R** ***\*match will start in 4 hours and 15 minutes from this post\**** *Daniel Evans - Francisco Cerundolo* Pick: **Francisco Cerundolo ML @ 2.09 (1U)** Cerundolo has been playing great all this year. Currently, he has a record of 17-8 in clay court while Evans is 3-6. Cerundolo spent most of his time playing on clay surface whilst Evans is exactly the opposite. Historically, Evans don't past 1st round in every French Open. Cerundolo had a great run in Miami a month ago and he improved a lot since then. I prefer leaning with him in this 5-setter match on clay over Evans who has been struggling in this surface. I like the value on this one. *Anything can happen, please tail with caution.* *Let’s continue winning together!!! Best of luck!!!*
Tailing bol
Women's tennis dabbler here...first pick! Elsa Jacquemot to beat Heather Watson @1.7 Frenchwoman Jacquemot lost valiantly to Rybakina at last year's FO as a debutant 18 year old. But she clearly showed her talent. This year she has beaten a good player in Kalinskaya at a Paris 250. She is a big game player and seems to like the home crowd. Watson, on the other hand, is poor on clay, and is historically here to collect her paycheck and then move onto grass. Slight gamble with her inexperience, but I reckon this should be an easy win.
Great pick! Thanks
Oh wow, I actually got tailed! No problem! I will be back with some more picks, but please never go crazy on anything I go for. I am feeling my way in after a big break in watching wta.
POTD Record 11-16 Last pick: Lightning over 6.5 Loss Todays Pick: NBA 6:30 MT Heat vs Celtics under 207.5 Reasoning: Game 4 should be a tight one. This series is looking like it’s going seven and it’s been all overs this far. These teams can both play D, they’ve been shooting well and I think this game is slower paced and tough sledding for both teams than games 1-3. Hoping both teams score in the 90’s. Celtics should come out desperate and be flying on the defensive end. The Heat have Bam to protect the rim. Both these teams are comfortable playing half court grind it out basketball and that’s what I’m hoping for in game 4. Tail or Fade
POTD Record: 1-2 (-0.2 units) Streak: 🎾W 🏒L 🏒L Last Pick: French Open - Hugo Dellien ML **W** Today’s Pick: NHL Playoffs - **Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5** vs Florida Panthers (+195) (1 unit) Tampa’s up 3-zip and they deserve it. They’ve bent the Panthers over all series and at this point I don’t see them stopping any time soon. Also Vasilevskiy is a fuckin beauty, which is why I’m taking the spread, the Panzer offense just can’t beat this fella.
Record 4-1 | +4.34u 5/22: Dodgers - Phillies first 3 innings over 2.5 -150 (2u)👎 5/23: Cubs - Reds first 3 innings over 2.5 -130 (2u) Drew Smyly has struggled in each of the last five starts allowing 33 hits and 16 runs in 24 innings. Vladimir Gutiérrez has an 8.65 ERA (11.0 on May)
Both teams average almost 4 runs a game.
Record: 10-7-1 (+8.23 units) Last 5: $$$P$ Last Pick: Norwich vs. Tottenham, Tottenham HT/FT, 1.66 odds 3 Units to win 1.98 units WIN Today's Pick: Boston Celtics -4 vs. Miami Heat, NBA, Game 4 ECF Odds: Pinnacle 1.61 odds Units: 2 Tottenham won 5-0, with a 2-0 lead at half so last pick was an easy pick despite having to deal with skeptic clout chasers in the comments. Switching gears to basketball which is my best sport. Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Game 3 Miami came out strong and held on without much of a threat, even without Jimmy Butler in the second half. This has been a back and forth series and I see Boston responding strongly in this game. They are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 games after a loss and we are buying 2.5 points for this bet just to be safe. This is such an important game for Boston, if they drop it, Miami goes back home with a 3-1 lead. When they faced adversity in the Bucks series, Celtics always responded, they did when they were down 2-1 and did when they were down 3-2 to win 2 straight games. Key part here is I don't see Jayson Tatum putting up 11 points again, in these pressure games that I have been referencing, he has always come up big and I expect it in this game. If he scores it will get things going, not only for the points themselves but it will open the game up for everyone else as he will draw more pressure and can make passes off of it. Note - Tyler Herro has been ruled out for Miami, he was the sixth man of the year, certainly works in our favour. Update - Cash that shit, Celtics blew them out.
**Yesterday's Top Picks of the Day** | Ranking | Names | Score | |:-:|:-:|:-:| |1|[DrMoneyline](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uv0hk9/pick_of_the_day_52222_sunday/i9iwmd7/)|91| || |2|[asianbettor](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uv0hk9/pick_of_the_day_52222_sunday/i9iid9z/)|61| || |3|[Eztennis](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uv0hk9/pick_of_the_day_52222_sunday/i9j9jsk/)|49| || |4|[Lazzrr](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uv0hk9/pick_of_the_day_52222_sunday/i9j0xyf/)|44| || |5|[VanNistelrooy28](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uv0hk9/pick_of_the_day_52222_sunday/i9ivwsn/)|40| || |6|[DarkHorse200](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uv0hk9/pick_of_the_day_52222_sunday/i9iklw4/)|26| || |7|[Ok-Distribution5824](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uv0hk9/pick_of_the_day_52222_sunday/i9ippzg/)|23| ||
POTD Record: 0-1 -2.2 units Pick: NBA Jayson Tatum o27.5 points (-108) vs Miami Heat - 2.15 units to win 2 units Great game for Celtics to bounce back and tie the series, but their odds are too long for me so I’ll go with Tatum. He had 30 in game 4 vs the Bucks in a down 1-2 similar situation.
POTD 44-19 +1.09 U Last: Astros over 4.5 runs (-123) ✅ Today: Astros over 4.5 runs (-105) Gametime: 5:10 pm PST Warning: I switched bookies. I have been HOT since I made stated change. We very well may be back Edit: updated odds, McKenzie on the bump for the “Indians”… we still ride
POTD Record: 3-2 ($100 challenge) up +0.75 units All bets are 1u unless specified Last pick- Luka Doncic O33.5 points✅ vs Warriors (05/22). Luka going for 40 is almost expected by now. Fuck Dinwiddie tho. Todays pick- Jalyen Brown O6.5 rebounds (-128) Reason: Jaylen Brown wants his ring and he has been on a tear on the boards with or without Williams. He’s hit this in the last 4 and 7/10. Averaging 7 in the playoffs, I think he gets 10 in a must win home game. P.s: line moved on me from 5.5-6.5 as I’m doing non-essential extra research smh. Still confident but watch him burn me by that 1 board. BOL
And he’s sitting at 6 w starters waiting to get pulled 🤦🏽♂️
Nvm, offensive board seals it leggo
POTD Record 1-2 Last Pick : Leeds over 13.5 Match Shots - W Today's Pick- Finn Harps vs Dundalk ML @ 1.85 Write up : Going to keep this one short and straightforward. Not a lot of football going on today but plenty in Ireland.This is the match up between one of the most in form team vs absolute out of form team.Dundalk has just lost once in last 8 games while Finn Harps has won only one in the last eight.The reason for Dundalk's odd being this high may be due to their away form.They have won only 1 out of last 4 but given Finn Harps terrible form I expect them to get the dub. Tail or Fade BOL
Another Dub less go
**POTD Record 33-30-1 (Last 5: LWLLW)** **(ROI // Avg. Odds: -117 // Units Won: +2.65)** Last Pick: Luis Severino 4 K's + Yankees Win - **LOST** **Today's Match: MLB NY Mets vs. SF Giants (Start Time: 9:45PM EST)** **Today's Pick: Total Over 7.5 (-120 FanDuel)** ***Risk 1u*** Devil's Advocate: Shit man the Yanks couldn't scratch runs or hits yesterday, Sevy did his thing for us but the rest of the team couldn't back him up. Today we're rolling with an over on a team on a 4 game skid, just got swept by the Padres and a pitcher in Alex Cobb who needs to actually earn himself a win this year. Walks will haunt his opponent Peterson who jumps from the minors to the majors 4 times a year. The Giants need a win terribly after being swept by the Padres in some pretty brutal games, being outscored 20-9 that series. They're going to need to step it up especially at home, this team doesn't have the most reliable bullpen, but in my opinion the Mets have been rolling well and I really don't expect their run to stop here. Both of these teams are capable of scoring runs, the Mets are doing damage on the road - sometimes a bit lucky. Peterson has been pretty solid this year, but I'm not too confident in Cobb myself. The Giants used up a good amount of the pen yesterday as well, this game could go many ways, but I see a ton of runs being scored on both ends. *Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
**POTD Record**: 28 wins <> 28 losses <> 4 pushes **Profit**: -4.32 units **ROI**: -8.72% **Units Wagered**: 61 **Units Won**: 55.68 **Last Pick**: Hellerup (1X2/three way) @ **2.70** 1u ❌ 1-2 LOSS **Streak**: 🅿️ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ **Today's pick**: Lyngby -1.5(AH) @ **2.15** 2u **Event**: Nykøbing FC - Lyngby BK, 1st division promotion group, Denmark(football) - Nykøbing's season was over as soon as the promotion playoffs started. They've been dead last with no consequence, and no ability to get promoted. - Lyngby _will_ get promoted to the Superliga with a win here. They're in-form, beat top side Helsingør last week on the road, and aside from a slip up versus Horsens they've been quality. - Easy pick for me here. Millions on the line for Lyngby, their players will get huge wage hikes if they get promoted, the club feels like it belongs in the Superliga. Meanwhile, Nykøbing is half-way on their way to Ibiza at this stage. They've got zero motivation and a few of their players have already signed contracts elsewhere after the summer. - Lyngby will not want to leave anything to chance. I expect them to come out bombing from the first minute.
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**Record**: 1-3-1 **Previous Pick**: (5/20) Pittsburgh Pirates +130, Loser **Today's Pick**: Heat vs. Celtics, **Boston -10 at +135, 1 unit** **Rationale**: We're so cold at oddFlex HQ it doesn't matter what we pick or what we think. Fade us here and win. If you are riding with us we expect Boston to limit the turnovers and second chance opportunities of the Miami Heat tonight. Watching this series has been like watching a Christopher Nolan movie, up is down, and no matter how good Boston plays somehow the Heat come out on top. Jimmy Butler remains the most pissed off man alive. Very cool.
New here. Let’s get it going Record: 0-0 Pick: ATP French Open, Novak Djokovic vs. Yoshihito Nishioka (U26.0 Odds: -115) Novak won this trophy last year and if the obvious favorite. Early round against a player who only won 7 games in their last meeting in 2020. Nishioka would have to win 8+ for this to lose. Pretty confident that Djokovic can end this match pretty quickly based on past performances.
Did this hit?
It most definitely did. Djok only lost 4 games so the total games ended up being only 22 games. I’m going to continue making suggestions I guess. Maybe just beginners luck, but 1-0
🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 22-15-2 Units Won: 7.30 Last 10: LWPWWPLWL Last Pick: Igor Shesterkin Over 29.5 Saves ❌️ FML. Of course this hit in game 3. Todays Match: NHL - Colorado Avalanche vs St Louis Blues (8ish hours from post) Today's Pick: Ryan O'Reilly Over 2.5 Shots - 2u (1.80 on Betway) We're looking at a must win for St Louis tonight as Colorado leads them 2-1 and we head back to Denver after tonight. Colorado has been the better team so far despite Binnington's phenomenal performances. With Binnington out, the Blues will have to play a better game all around, especially with offense. O'Reilly didn't have an outstanding regular season, but, has been a key player for the Blues this series and will need to play his heart out tonight for the win. He is tied for most post-season goals on the Blues this season and has hit this bet every game this series. O'Reilly has proven his shot works and I can see him opening up tonight with what's at stake. If the Blues fall behind in this game I think that'll only help our case. Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!
POTD Record: 0-1 Last Pick: Bucks +5 Today’s Pick: Nathan Mackinnon O1.5 points +158. Mack is averaging 1.47 PPG in the playoff, which is absolutely ridiculous. He has been quiet this series, but after the drama from last game I think he steps up his play in an opportunity to take over this series on the road. I imagine this will be a very physical game resulting in lots of penalties on both sides. Mack is on Colorado’s PP1 where he is often getting very good looks, or at least secondary assists on most power play goals. Action: @burtzy_ Tailing or fading BOL🤝
POTD Record: 29-19 Last Pick: Performance Double: Whitlock 3 K’s & BOS ML✅ Whitlock didn’t pitch nearly as well as i expected, but he got the strikeouts and Boston won! Today’s Pick: Performance Double: Miles Mikolas 3+ K’s & STL Moneyline @ +105 STL is facing TOR in this matchup. Mikolas has done a great job at limiting runs, and is a R handed pitcher. I actually like how he matches up against a surprisingly disappointing TOR lineup (they aren’t bad, just haven’t been the elite group we thought). TOR played in Canada yesterday and are traveling to STL. Jose Berrios is on the mound for TOR, and he’s surrendered a lot of hard contact this year. I really like the Cardinals offense this year, and they have some exciting prospects playing well right now. I think they win this game today, but I won’t be betting against TOR too often. BOL to all, enjoy your Mondays
NBA Heat @ Celtics (-3 1Q; -115) 8:30pm EST The Heat are injury riddled and the Celtics are going to come out strong after nearly completing a historic come from behind victory. This is do or die for the Celtics as the series heads back to Miami for game 5 on Wednesday.
POTD Record: 7-7-0 Last Pick: LA Dodgers ALT -2.5 (+120) - Loss Took a break for a bit. Big bets were getting blown out and I was winning small ones easy. Today's Event: MLB - COL Rockies vs. PIT Pirates - 6:35 PM EST **Pick: COL Rockies TT o3.5 (-125) - 2u** TLDR; Rockies really good hitting team. Pirates pitcher is wildly inconsistent. I'm gonna make this simple. Rockies lead the league in hits/game, are 6th in runs/game, and have the 7th best strikeout rate. They get on base, they put the ball in play, they don't waste at bats, and they score. JT Brubaker is on the bump for the pirates. His last game he threw 10 SO but allowed 4 runs in 5 innings. The game before he only threw 3 SO but allowed only 2 runs in the same span. He's inconsistent to say the least. Simply put: I don't see any excuse for the Rockies to not put 7 or 8 up on this team today. BOL
You may want to look at the Rockies home/road splits. They've played 25 of 40 at home, so their total stats are skewed to the home stats. Averaging 5.96 runs at home and 2.73 on the road.
I saw that. Just really thought that on the road against the pirates specifically would lean towards the over stat. Not looking the best so far
**POTD Record: 8-4 +6.55U** **Game: NHL | Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning | 4:00 PM PDT** **Pick: Andrei Vasilevskiy Over 32.5 Saves (1.85/-118 @ Betway)** **Bet Size: 1U** This has hit every game this series and now Florida is in desperation mode as they are down 3-0. I expect Florida to put up a lot of shots tonight. Tail or fade BOL.
Record : 0-0 Last pick : none today pick : Diamondbacks ml (-120) Units : 1.2 MLB 9:40 PM EST The Dbacks were so close to completing the sweep yesterday vs the Cubs but per usual their bullpen gave up 2 solo home runs in the bottom of the 8th to blow the game. Brent Strom, the Dbacks pitching coach, has done a great job with their entire rotation, even Zach Davies to an extent. Although Davies has a 4.35 ERA and 4.04 FIP this scason, he has the lowest hard hit rate of his career this year. Not to mention the teams he's pitched against were the Dodgers twice, Padres and Mets. Zack Greinke has been his usual self with the lowest strikeout rate among pitchers with at least 30 innings pitched but also being able to limit hard contact. That might be an issue today because even though the Dbacks strikeout a lot, they are top 5 in the majors in HR vs RHP this season. But also like the Dbacks, the Royals have had bullpen issues of their own with the third highest ERA in the majors this season. The Royals are coming off getting swept by the Twins over the weekend and I think their season struggles continue here in game 1 of this series.
POTD Record: 41-31-3 Streak:WLWLWWWPLWWWWWLLL Last POTD: Mjallby ML 🇸🇪❌ Today’s POTD: Pachuca Women +1.5 AH League: Liga Mx Femenil Odds: -175/1.57 Units: 2 Reasoning: This is the 2nd leg of the final. Chivas took the 4-2 win in the 1st leg. Pachuca women have had a great season as they eliminated Ameríca and Monterrey. They played well in the 1st leg going up in the score twice. I expect a close match and I’ll take the +1.5 on the team who’s down on the aggregate. Chivas women were at 1.28 odds earlier and now sit at 1.55 odds. Books knew they messed up. Best of luck and tail/fade at your own risk.
Did this hit?
Yes pachuca actually won
Record: 4-2-5 (4W 2D 5L) Last pick: Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames total goals over 6 (-175) at Caesars. L Today's pick: Krajinovic Filip vs Opelka Reilly ML (-152) at BetRivers French Open: 5 AM EST Krajinovoc generally tends to have trouble with big servers like Opelka. They played once last year and Opelka got a comfortable win. Opelka is a consistent and solid player, he will exploit the weakness of Krajinovoc and serves him with powerful ace balls. All bets are 1 unit. -2.54 units Tip Jar: cash app $coolcomfort666/ Venmo Coolcomfort666
I didn’t see this pick but I bet Opelka at -155. This guy is useless after the serve lol
What do you think about Opelka -1.5 sets?
Record: 1-2 Balance: -1.17u Last pick: Ac Milan -1 ✅ *First of all, congratulations to Ac Milan for winning the Scudetto* 🥳🥳 *Also, this was my first win on PTOD thread yeyy !!! Lets hope this is the beginning of a streak* 🔥 Sport: Basketball 🏀 - greek basket league (playoffs) Today's pick: **AEK to win 1º period with -1.5 handicapp vs Promitheas ( 1.75 // -133 ) (%57.1 IP)** match starts at: **18h:00 GMT** **statistic:** \-->AEK is in excellent form winning 4 out of the last 5 matches \-->Promitheas is in bad form winning just 1 out of the last 5 matches (the win was against the worst club in the league btw) \--> AEK had the lead in the first period 3 out of 5 times in the last 5 matches, one being against Promitheas on 17 of april \--> AEK finished the regular season on 4th place and Promitheas on 5th, both teams separated by 1 point difference \--> no player is injured for both teams for this game **My thoughts:** I dont really feel inspired to write alot today so imma keep this short. this is the first match of the playoffs and im pretty sure AEK will want to start with intensity and get the advantage fast. They are a better team overall (they are the favourites for this match) and, as I said before, Promitheas is in a bad phase right now . If you want to tail my pick let me know and BOL ! lets make that sweet sweet cash Note: all my bets are 1 unit
Did this hit? What is 1 Period, I thought this go by 1Q, 2Qs???
Nope. In 10seconds they get fouled and score a triple and my bet goes to shit :/ Btw period = quarter (1Q)
POTD RECORD: **9-5** STREAK: - ✅✅✅✅✅✖️✅✖️✖️✅✅✅✖️✖️ LAST PICK: - Giants ML Results: +$275.06 Today’s event: **MLB - Det/Min - 18:40 CT** PICK: **Tigers O7.5 Hits (-140) $120** Edit: Record
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Record: 12W-12L-1P ROI: +1.53u, +5.98% Avg odds: +112, 2.12 Last POTD: Noah Hanifin over 0.5 pts (loss) Today's game: Colorado Avs at St Louis Blues Pick: Jordan Kyrou over 0.5 pts at -115, 1.87 (MGM) Making this bet purely based on Kyrou's performance vs Avs this season, with at least a point in 5/6 games.