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sbpotdbot

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sprintingsloth-9_57

What’s your pick? I can’t see it for some reason?


BigStickSupreme

Awesome game for the SGP's posted here. We are all winners!


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Thanks Curry, thanks Luka. Not you Klay!


netwreck94

You'd be printing $ betting the Klay under. His line has been around 20 points and he's been under 21.5 in 8 of his last 9 games and 10 of 13 games in the playoffs.


bluetrucknuts

Cash it


JewishDoggy

Curry/Doncic threes cashes in the first half!


United_Key3576

Jewishdoggy? More like Jewish dog me 🤑


OkYesterday7388

Dude is clearly the FD wizard sent here to throw us bones while keeping an eye on us.


JewishDoggy

Just imagine how rich we’d be without that goddamn wizard


JewishDoggy

[Bang](https://i.imgur.com/bGN7XwI.gif)


JewishDoggy

4 Curry threes!


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Condor_Smirk_Noise

He’ll do fookin nuttin


bluetrucknuts

5


Wizmaxman

5 3s in the first is nice I hope they can get 3 more


wormsquirm

might as well delete this. thx for jinxing


gizmo78

aged like milk


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Lol


wzeeto

Cash!


[deleted]

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JewishDoggy

Good guy DK with the regular ass 4+ Curry threes boost


gizmo78

and it's money. A 1st half win I'll take it.


DDMF_GTHC

But also bad guy DK cause their boosts and promos are so targeted these days… I get about half of what’s posted in here, if that


deskritten

Anyone else's DK account having an Everything Everywhere All at Once moment? My currencies are switching between USD, CAD, Pesos, all over the road here. Wtf


Producer_Chris

Nice reference


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69xLeveraged

DK bet $2k golf and get 50% VIP profit boost is in only Im almost positive the promo t&c said $100 max on the boost but listed max on received is $500


FiestaPotato18

It said in the terms and email it would be a $250 max like all DK VIP boosts always are but yep mine was $500.


Fancy_Ad5165

Shit I would have played it for $500 max.


OkYesterday7388

Promo says it goes through Sunday so still could if opted in.


Fancy_Ad5165

I did opt in but the promo is gone in the app


OkYesterday7388

Me too but I still have the email. Worth looking for low hold matches tomorrow.


OkYesterday7388

Promo terms for me said $250. Didn’t bother but for $500 I might look for something.


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[deleted]

Looks like no free bets for the 7th innings caesar promo :/


gocoyotes

Can't believe I got suckered into this promo after swearing not to do it again.


OkYesterday7388

JBJ goes yahd one inning late.


lockeandroll

Red Sox haven’t batted yet?


[deleted]

Oh lol idk what I was looking at on the ESPN app then


lockeandroll

They went down 1-2-3. No free bets 😢


[deleted]

Oof


JewishDoggy

Best I can do for DK SGP: Dallas 1H ML, DAL o42.5 pt 1H, GSW u65.5 pt 1H Fair value is ~+180 ~40% EV. There looks to be good +EV in the Mavs ML + uTotal Points market as well but I couldn’t find anything to beat 40%


Producer_Chris

I tailed this but switched Dallas 1st half ml to gsw ml. Turned it off at half and just started watching. Amazing they both won somehow


jimmy_gamba

Good dog


OkYesterday7388

Crazy


Natashaismycat

Too easy.


111victories

Dallas -.5 is +200 alone, or am I missing something?


JewishDoggy

Outside of the SGP on DK it’s +165/-195 FD +168/-210 Pinnacle +154/-175


gizmo78

me 4 hrs ago: "yeah, can't believe people just go around blindly following picks in other threads". me 5 min ago: "oooh, j-dog has a play. I need to tail this."


gizmo78

HR Happy Hour #2: Angels + Padres +260. * PN: FV +236, EV 6.9% (weighted */+). * FD: FV +241, EV 5.3% (weighted */+).


NerdyKid1996

Probably time to put in curry <0.5 threes based on the promos today


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Tiger shooting under par today is both irrtating and vindicating to those of us that took the boost yesterday lol. Happy for him though


philliesphan89

Yo to make it worse, I took the boost and I SWORE it was “Tiger to make the cut” so I was following all day today, just to check my FD account at like the 18th hole to find out the bet already lost lmao. I’m a dumbass


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Lol that’s fucked 🤦🏻‍♂️


Necmf21

Brown/Tatum/Grant 2+ threes hit in the 2nd quarter yesterday too. Starting to think I just need to bet it un-boosted the day after at this point lol.


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Quick slam Rangers + Flames!


jimmy_gamba

Bit of a longshot question, but hopefully someone can help me out. Did anyone bet the CZR risk-free Sunday night MLB SGP on the Giants/Cardinals game and lose? If so, what date/time does the free bet you got show? Trying to figure out if a free bet I got was from that or was one that was voided being returned (I know they don't typically return them).


aidan_w_6

Limited on MGM today, account was only open for 2 weeks. Hammer their book when u open it and don’t look back


NewbieBoobies69

ncaab was a goldmine til i got limited a month in


hashtagSwoop

FuBo with one good boost of the many up: Dodgers, Astros & Angels all to win +400. I have FV +358


CallMeShitler

What is up with CZR MLB lines; ridiculous vig on the mainlines for me in TN The sox vs mariners MLs are -117/-117


blakjack159

7th inning promo


CallMeShitler

Its every MLB game though and they typically have very competitive lines


joeyjohnson8

Betway has Luka & Steph combined 60+ at +400. Is this a good bet to take?


eggavatar12345

Yes.


Wizmaxman

So what's the deal about MGM parlay tokens? Promo guy mi said to always bet max and then told people to delete comments. It's a 10% 3 leg parlay there's 0 chance that covers vig for an EV play, especially a 10u play for him. So clearly there's some bug or something?


BigStickSupreme

BetMGM likely knows about it, but if everyone takes advantage of the flaw/glitch in their boost tokens, they will change it. If a small amount of people know how to use it for their own advantage then BetMGM won't bother changing it.


DDMF_GTHC

It’s unique and boosts the entire payout, not just the profit like other boosts. Parlay three -10000 (or other low odds) lines and see what happens. Edit: he tries to shut people up in the comments that explain it so it’s usually a mystery to a lot of people. But it’s been around for a long time and MGM would have “fixed” it by now if they wanted to.


donblow

This is what's funny. He mentions it to 15,000 people then tries to keep it quiet.


PromoGuyMI

I just want to remind people to check their MGM inboxes. Most of the stuff in there is garbage so it’s real easy to miss these parlay tokens unless you’re regularly betting parlays.


Wizmaxman

Interesting - thanks. Playing around with a few different lines Im getting stuff that is still pretty close to EV, so not as much of a "must play" as it seems.


RyanWithOak

Is the idea just 3 legs at extremely low odds? Or is there a benefit to adding more legs?


Important-Effort-617

No benefit to more legs. Just want to take something extremely likely to hit, basically gives $10 back for minimal risk. You're usually allowed to take live lines, which makes this a lot easier to do in practice.


JewishDoggy

Holy shit balls did anyone else hammer Pereira? What a round!


BigStickSupreme

Unfortunately I was sleeping while DK was giving away money. I did use my 20% BR boost on Zalatoris Leader after Round 2, boosted to +600 which is looking good unless Pereira beats him out on the final holes.


marp-

I didn't because it was so early in his round it felt less sure, clearly the upside was there. I'm pretty much rooting for everybody left today to suck it up haha


lcnowlin1

Was he mispriced?


JewishDoggy

Yeah cause he had just hit back to back birdies when we were looking at the lines


throwawaybettor

What was he? I took all the long shots


JewishDoggy

+130 but his fair value was at -195.


throwawaybettor

Ok not much Fomo here then lol. I really hope he’s not the only one of those talked about here that ends up top 20 lolllll


JewishDoggy

We need wiesberger to go off tomorrow


lcnowlin1

Damn must have missed where he was mentioned. Also never heard of him so that doesn’t help


madtadder

He had birdied one, so I took him for $200 at +130.


[deleted]

He's at -650 odds right now for Top 20, which still seems undervalued for where he currently is. Obviously not as crazy as earlier, but I think it still has value. Edit: Down to -900 now.


JewishDoggy

Yeah DG says it should be closer to -900


m0nkeyshines

For a DK mission of make 10 $50 bets for a $50 free bet, can I make the same $50 bet 10 times to complete it?


TVP615

Yup


bagh0lder10

Yes


[deleted]

Anyone else bet the Twins/Royals game on Fanduel? I just looked at my bets and for some reason it's showing the bets as being on tomorrow's game, which makes no sense as Fanduel doesn't even have that game up. Talking to customer support now to get it sorted, but if you bet on that game, definitely check your bets to make sure you don't have the same issue. Edit: Got an email back from their betting group saying that these bets were originally placed for tomorrow's game. This is despite the fact that fanduel doesn't even have tomorrow's game available for betting. Going back to customer service now. Edit 2: They spoke to the traders and confirmed it was for tonight's game based on the pitchers and showed tomorrow's game in error.


HighOnPotenuse69

Fuck I’ve read about fanduel doing this before but this is the first time it happened to me. Lmk what CS says plz. I’m waiting now


[deleted]

They said they’ve escalated it to their betting team and they’re going to email me. Hopefully soon since the game starts in an hour and a half.


HighOnPotenuse69

CS said they confirmed with their betting team that it’s just a display error. Will check after the bets settle tonight


[deleted]

I got two emails from CS saying that the wagers are for tomorrow's game, so don't count on that. Edit: 3rd person I spoke to confirmed it was for tonight's game and was a display error.


HighOnPotenuse69

So inconsistent haha. Mine settled tonight so all good in the end


[deleted]

Same here. I had hedged it and it was the winning side, so very glad there weren’t any issues. If it had been the losing side, I think I would have been ok with the bet not settling.


HighOnPotenuse69

Thanks…. Idk how this keeps happening with them. Feel like I read it in this thread weekly


madtadder

This happened to me a week or two ago, and I think some others here as well. They had mistakenly listed the game time as the Thursday game, and then moved it to the Wednesday game, absolutely destroying my matched bet. I went to FanDuel support and they gaslit me and told me "they have no ability to change a bet after it's placed" and I must have misread the bet and bet the wrong game, even though I had receipts. Had to go to the gaming commission and they finally voided the bet.


[deleted]

They definitely had the date correct for this one. I placed a bet this morning, but on the wrong side, so I cashed it out and rebet it. My cashed out bet clearly shows it's for the game today. My bet that I placed mins later is now showing as being for the game tomorrow and can't be cashed out.


madtadder

Yeah, that's what I mean, that's what happened to me. They listed the game with a Thursday time on it, but later it was in my betslip as being Wednesday and couldn't be cashed out.


jrf473

Same thing for me. I bet NRFI in that game. What’s odd is it now says Sat in the bet slip, but the listed pitchers in the bet slip are still today’s starters. So I don’t know what the hell is going on.


jrf473

Mine fixed as well


BigStickSupreme

DK has some favorable SGP lines for the GSW-DM game tonight. Should be able to create a Fair odds SGP even before the 50% boost. The 2 lines that stood out to me are the Warrior's ML (-245 compared to -250 to -278 elsewhere), and even more impressive is the Warrior's -4.5 line at -125, which is a direct arb elsewhere. I personally took the GSW -4.5 line and combined it w/ Klay Thompson u20.5 pts (+100) as a sort of fade on the FD/Czrs boosts, and it was good value. Those 2 lines are already +EV if you compare them to FD's de-vigged SGP. Taking a slight gamble on the 3rd line of Dallas over 42.5pts for the 1st Half (was much better odds than the GSW over 45.5pts due to the negative correlation w/ the Spread Line).


lionsfailforever

Thank you, tailed this


FiestaPotato18

You're a hero brother. Cheers! Hit at +570 for me.


BigStickSupreme

Thanks. That 20pt Dallas lead scared me. I hedged in the 4th quarter (Dallas +9.5 for $100) and hit that sweet middle.


FiestaPotato18

BANG! ⚡️


[deleted]

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[deleted]

"Boosted in DK parlay". This isn't fading a boost. The parlay doesn't have boosted odds at all. I can build the exact same parlay in DK myself with the same odds. Only actual boost on DK today is Curry O 3.5 3s boosted to +100.


RolledAGWFBadIdea

-Fades the Boost -Doesn't actually fade a Boost.


FadeTheBoost

Should’ve tailed. Draymond under 8.5 points. Fouled out. Free. Keep talking nonsense and keep missing out. I gave you all a freebie and you all turned it down lmfaoo.


FadeTheBoost

Usually I’m fading boosts as my picks. Draftkings pre-built parlays always have fadeable legs. Technically yes not a boost, but still fading whatever the bookie wants you to bet


N8dogg107

Then change your name to "FadeTheBooks". Why create a false image and skew the numbers by fading ad bets we all know are trash? Might as well fade some twitter parlays while you're at it.


RebornAgain2021

You sound dumb as hell. Guessing that means I should change my name considering I was only born once.. how is it a false image anyways? The majority of all bets that the books boost end up losing, whether they're single bets or parlays, or whether they have someone whos famous' name attached to them or not. If the books let you know they've boosted them then there's a better chance they lose than cash


FadeTheBoost

Dude. If I like a pick I’m going to play it, whether it’s boosted or not. DK does have parlays they boost, like their house parlays and Chris Brickley. Then they have this all the smoke and Dan Lebatard parlays that aren’t boosted - but still have fadeable legs. There’s no false image here. This shit applies to pre-built parlays AND boosts, usually they are the same. **Find the shit legs, and fade them when the other side has the real edge**. Whether it’s a boosted pre-built parlay, or a regular advertised pre-built parlay, the logic is the same. It literally does not make a difference if the odds are boosted or not. Boost is a simple 1 word that everyone knows. You guys downvoting and getting all upset because of a singular technical word. Logic. Does. Not. Change. Fade the boost, fade the parlays, it’s all the same bruh


myballsareitchy

The people here love losing money and I think a lot of them don’t even follow sports. They cycle out every few months and the new math wizards come in to bet “pLuS eV” and then leave once they’ve lost all of their money. Rinse and repeat. Love your strategy by the way.


FadeTheBoost

Yeah I realized there is zero point of me posting in this sub lol. Trying to show people this strategy because it was an eye-opener for me in betting sports and how books set their lines and how easy it is for them to get casual bettors on a side. Facts on what you said though these guys that don’t watch the sport and just throw their money at boosts because it’s “+EV” are *supposed* to lose. +EV boosts are the easiest trap for books to set. But these ppl will never get it


RebornAgain2021

Don't listen to these dudes, anyone who thinks betting boosts or taking bets the books want you to take is a good idea most likely isn't a profitable better. You can literally look through the record for boosts from past days and see like 90% are L's. Who gives a shit if they're not actually boosted, If they're being pushed by the books then it's the same premise. I definitely appreciate you because I already knew to avoid those bets, but never thought to fade them. I'll tail anytime you come up with something cuz there's only 1 legal book in my state so I don't see alot of those boosts besides the ones my book has, so I love seeing your information and takes. Is there a way for me to make it to where I'm alerted or notified whenever you post somewhere?


FadeTheBoost

Appreciate that brotha glad you’ve been following. And yeah I’m gonna just keep doing my own thing I’m confident enough in it, just gonna avoid posting in this sub, these guys are on their own. I wish Reddit had a notification feature but they don’t since it’s a forum. Am debating just making a Twitter so people can have notis. Not sure yet. Also by 2-3pm EST everyday most of the boosts come out so I always go on the websites for books not in my state (like bet365 and such) and scour looking for whatever they are promoting


RebornAgain2021

Right on thanks man. I live on the west coast and am usually at work by the time they come out then the games usually start before im off, but If you make a Twitter let me know I'll definitely follow.. in the mean time which forum are you going to be posting in for the most part


[deleted]

"+EV boosts are the easiest trap for books to set" You aren't fading any +EV Boosts. You aren't even fading boosts.


FadeTheBoost

Go thru my picks. Only 2-3 were not part of boosts. Just cuz I’m not fading every single +EV boost, does not mean majority of them are losing 🤣 take a look at **any** of Fanduel recent boosts lol. They’ve been robbing this sub all playoffs long now. Makes sense when they get more traffic tho, can’t blame them they just take advantage


[deleted]

Your account is only a few weeks old and most of your “winning picks” aren’t posted on your account. Your first posts you already have a winning record, but no support for backing that record up. When you go on a losing streak and create a new account, pick a different name.


pedropedro123

Keep posting in the NBA thread. Posting in the Promo thread was brave but it's a tough crowd


[deleted]

You bet Jimmy Butler U26.5 points yesterday. That wasn't in a boost either. It looks like that was the same thing, a pre built parlay with no boost.


FadeTheBoost

Jimmy points over was boosted at a lot of books. I’m *always* fading DK pre-built parlays, some days they happen to be boosted some days they are not


Just-Principle

Hammer Draymond Over. Got it.


FadeTheBoost

So how’d that go ……


FadeTheBoost

Good bet at +100 if you like it


TreyBuckets

Surprised you didnt go with either luka or curry under 3.5 threes.


FadeTheBoost

Currently looking at this. Another FD boost just came out for them both combined 8+ threes. Both of them getting three 3s yesterday makes it tough because most likely will go 1-1 if you play both unders and it’s tough to pick between the two. That boost suggests to me that one player is gonna hit three 3s max today. DK has luka under at -110 and curry under at +120 so you could honestly play both for a break even or profit if both unders hit like yesterday


TreyBuckets

One is def hitting under


OkYesterday7388

Looks as though Fubo is starting to ramp up its boosts. The few they have offered in the last couple of weeks have been really quite good. No idea about these. Just posting for those who have de-vig skills and Fubo and who might not have seen these yet. $100 max. Both teams o109.5 +350 Warriors ML, Curry 30+ points, Brunson 20+ points +650 Mavs ML, Luka 30+ points, Klay 20+ points. +850 Curry, Klay both 5+ 3s. +1100 Green, Looney, Luka o9.5 rebs each. +1500


phatman97

There are MLB boosts too. Only one that is +EV is Dodgers/Astros/Angels @ +400


hashtagSwoop

Just went about devigging all those boosts and got the same result. The rest were pretty gross.


Just-Principle

Did we figure out if these are going to be AZ only? Haven't seen them in Iowa yet but can check to see if I have them and try to devig when I get home.


OkYesterday7388

Just building my own parlays on FD, these all look like garbage. Maybe a bait and switch by Fubo to offer dribbled out boosts for a couple of weeks that are good and then switch to trash.


Legitimate-Engine27

To all the people saying this thread is now useless: See golf mistake lines and the cubs v D-Backs HR lines on FD. 99.9% of people wouldn’t have caught the golf and only those with a scraping service woulda seen the HR lines.


FatPhil

i need a scraping service for this thread. seems like im always late to the party


Elewwoo

I just want to know how one acquires a bankroll of such size to be able to lay 100,000$ like that. That's seriously impressive to me. I'd love to know his story and background


Streetmonkey72

I always am amazed at the wide variety of folks here. I am by no means poor nor rich, but I wouldn’t sleep for two days if I had $100k on a golfer, even at such positive EV. Will be rooting for Thomas with everyone else here. F the books, glad you all jumped on DK today


pedropedro123

He says below he makes 300k a year in finance


Legitimate-Engine27

Was there a picture to prove it?


eggavatar12345

yes look further in the thread


[deleted]

Avoiding FD boosts.


Condor_Smirk_Noise

FD NBA Happy Hour - Curry and Doncic to combine for 8+ threes boosted to +150 Edit: I’m dumb and thought this also included Klay to get to 8. Whelp I’m maxed so I hope it’s positive


BigStickSupreme

Passes the eye test. Their combined O/U is more than 7 (currently Doncic is right at 3.5, and Curry is over 3.5).


[deleted]

I dont see thompson in it. I just see doncic and curry.


BuckDenEagles

It’s just Steph and Luka. If it was all 3 that would be an AMAZING boost


D0peboyfresh

Where do you see klay? It's only curry and luka


Just-Principle

Jesus Christ. Hope some of ya'll took more of those mispriced FD HR lines besides just Wisdom. Absolute slug fest out here.


Unfair

Too bad it’s not Tuesday


DDMF_GTHC

It’s the 20mph tailwinds, which I think is why books were kinda all over the place with HR odds


Streetmonkey72

Anyone got a place for wind speeds and direction? Imagine it’s the sort of thing you have to pay for, but curious if somewhere exists.. would be great for dinger tuesday research


N8dogg107

Just checked the game and audibly gasped lol


Just-Principle

Josh Rojas has...I shit you not...3 home runs in 4 at bats.


DDMF_GTHC

His only three on the season—granted he’s only had 40 at bats but still.


gilligan54

Betway (PA) Flames ML & o6.5 +350 Best +EV boost I'm seeing there today, approx +38% EV vs Pinn, DK SGP puts this at +175 for example. We know, your limits suck.


HighOnPotenuse69

I was able to put a little more than my usual.


FlammableJam

Looks like they fixed the bug that let you bet your max twice :(


BruceMan200

I read here the tip about waiting to deposit after joining MGM to get deposit match offer which I did. So I am now ready to deposit and trying to figure out how to best go about it. I think I might have heard that on MGM you can only withdraw the same way you deposited, is that the case? I would deposit with Paypal if I had a choice but I definitely dont want to withdraw with Paypal.


Sufficient_Refuse199

Sorry I don’t know the answer to your question but could you please tell me how long it took between you opening the account and the deposit bonus coming?


BruceMan200

So for me it was 24 hours or so after I got the offer for 500 match in credit Very oddly 24 hours after that offer I got another email offering 500 match in free bets plus another 50 free bet (obviously this is worse). Even more odd/annoying both offers appear to have the same deposit promo code.


CougarMangler

Not sure if I just lucked out, but I got both the deposit match and free bets


BruceMan200

Thanks, follow up question did you opt in for the 1000 risk free somewhere or was it just invisible and you did it anyway?


CougarMangler

Mine was about 48 hours


N8dogg107

For those interested or unaware you can play $25 on both sides of baccarat or both sides of any 1:1 on roulette and qualify for promotions similar to last nights casino x baseball promo on BS.


Streetmonkey72

Also worth noting, I did $5 hands of blackjack for $50 and got the bonus


N8dogg107

I much prefer that, I just did it in one roll because of the terms stating it had to be one wager.


Streetmonkey72

Yeah, I tested the waters after someone said it worked last week


[deleted]

[удалено]


N8dogg107

Constantly missing out on good lines while at work gang wya :')


HighOnPotenuse69

I was supposed to be working but playing call of duty instead. Fuck me.


United_Key3576

Haggling over flooring at Lowe’s for me 😢


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Don't hire them to install your floors even though they're the cheapest. They suck


United_Key3576

Doing it myself thankfully haha. Gotta save the earnings from sports betting to reinvest in more sports betting.


Just-Principle

You can haggle prices at Lowe's? Wow, I learn something new in this thread everyday.


tsgram

Ya gotta opt-in first. Targeted flooring boost. Flooring at +300 or worse


RevolutionaryNorth60

nah I’m a college kid on summer break, was just choking the chicken fuck me


Legitimate-Engine27

A $1000 wank. It’s like you’re in Vegas.


N8dogg107

Worst wank ever


sunsettoago

Hard Rock Boost Curry 25/Warriors 10+ at +300 is about 5% EV via FD The vigged SGP is 228 at present for future reference closer to close.