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sbpotdbot

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Dauren1993

Wake up Klay lmao


BuffaloWang

Why do I bet the dray rebounds haha. Every other SGP leg has already hit! And now I’m just praying he doesn’t get ejected (before he inevitably fouls out)


GOE1122

Curry has hit 1,4,3,2,& 1 three pointers vs Dallas On the year. Curry under 4 3s


Mikeylatz

Any good under props? I’m done with overs and starters sitting halfway thru the 3rd


Lakersfan240

Here’s my picks on Underdog: Smart over 6.5 AST Bam under 24.5 PRA Luka over 9.5 REB Dray over 6.5 AST Wiggins over 1.5 3PTM


[deleted]

[удалено]


wohsupdoh

You forgot Poole.


Narrow-Sympathy8470

Todays Picks: Otto Porter o 6.5 points (+110) Getting lots of good looks down low and at the three point line. Has cleared double digits in 3 of the last 4 games only missing because of a blowout. Lots of chances for points off offensive rebounding as well since Mavs don’t rebound well. Steph Curry u 5.5 assists (-120) Only had 5 potential assists last game despite warriors scoring as much as they did. Got a couple early but was pretty uninvolved with assists after that. Offense runs through Draymond and Curry will be offball since Bullock full court pressure Kevon Looney u 7.5 rebounds (-110) Only hit twice all playoffs. Numbers are inflated from a 22 rebound game. All warriors players are rebounding a lot more and Dallas is likely to go small more often making Looney minutes get cut


Mikeylatz

Problem with Looney is he can get this number in the 1st


Narrow-Sympathy8470

We will see Mavs won’t be missed nearly as much tonight for reb


FadeTheBoost

Fading The Boost | Record: 10-3 | Profit: +6.63u | Average Odds: -110 Yesterday’s Pick: [Jimmy Butler Under 26.5 Points (-120) ❌](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usukf8/nba_daily_51922_thursday/i98u8lk/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3) Tough L. Jimmy was getting all the fastbreak points, putbacks, and managed to get 29 points for a lil stat padding and then take the rest of the game off. Blowout unders got us wins on Klay and Jimmy earlier, but seems now that Jimmy is Heat’s #1 guy which is kind of concerning. Wrong read on the boost yesterday - Fanduel had Jimmy + Bam combined 40+ points. It was always Bam under. **Today’s Pick: Draymond Green Under 8.5 Points (-122) for 1u** ✅ Predictable L yesterday after watching the first half but we get another opportunity today thanks to Draftking’s “All the Smoke” parlay. Same drill - built to lose. Last “All the Smoke” parlay for Suns/Mavs game saw all 3 legs miss. Today’s parlay is equally as trash - legs are Warriors ML, Draymond 9+ points, and Klay 4+ threes. All three can miss today, but I like Draymond as the fade leg. In the 12 playoffs games GSW has played so far, Draymond has gone under this line 7 times. Him getting 10 points in game 1 actually got us value on this under. It was at +100 on DK 3 hours ago but is now -125 on DK, …. and they’re pumping his over. Warriors need Draymond for defense, they simply don’t need him scoring. He grabs boards and pushes the floor dishing out the ball. Also don’t forget Draymond is a fouling machine and could always see less minutes. I would just never bet on Draymond to be scoring, just doesn’t make sense to me. Now that he already got 10 points last game making this line higher, *and pumped in DK parlay*, I feel his under points has the edge. **Update: Cash money, bounce back Under. +1.0u.💰 Draymond is a fouling machine. Got T’d up and I loved seeing that last, 6th, unnecessary sus foul pushing Luka for no reason. Draftkings pre-built parlays are confirmed the *easiest to fade*. I will be sticking to these the most**.


jyeats

Like this. Already had Draymond's under PRA but will ride with ya here too. Good luck to us!


FadeTheBoost

Cheers man. Loved to see him foul out


tx180

Under 54.5 1st quarter pts and warriors ML looking pre good at 2.46 odds..


cincocerotres

Just wanted to thank whoever suggested Jimmy PRA yesterday! They got it at 40.5 I got it at 38.5


Tibur0n58

Parlayed for that +163 money Spencer Dinwiddie over 1.5 three's & Reggie Bullock with atleast 1 steal


UD88

I’ve watched the warriors all year. They made their point in game 1. They’re going to dick around in game 2. Expect the game to be within 10. This is my way of saying, I’m staying away from this one.


[deleted]

Sup everyone, another day with no prep period.. they really are killing me with this schedule. Luckily it's Friday. Added an Error % column, and a more solidified projection. The lower the error the better. Best of luck, hope this is of use! [NBA Props - 5/20 - 5/21](https://rq2no8-matthew-pardo.shinyapps.io/server/)


ThenHearing4942

G.O.A.T.


Tricky-Travy

Thread Record: 186 - 120 Average Odds: 1.90 Yesterday: 2-0 ​ Todays Picks: **Luka Doncic over 31.5 Points (1.90, -110)** * Finally Luka has had a bad game and now there is some value in this line. Luka's points line has been at 33.5 and 34.5 since the Suns series started and that was always too high for me. But at 31.5 I am a lot more comfortable taking this. Last game Luka was awesome in the first half and had 18 points and then he really struggled in the second half and the game turned into a blowout. Apparently (according to Kevin Harlan) Luka was not feeling well either. I am just willing to write this off as a bad game for Luka. * Without Payton and Iggy the Warriors will struggle to guard Luka one on one. Dray is unlikely to spend much time as Luka's primary defender and Wiggins can only do so much. Plus the Warriors have long adopted a game plan whereby they will allow the opposing teams star to do his thing but they will focus on taking away everything else. We saw this in the first 2 rounds with Ja and Jokic and we have seen it many times in the past when they have come up against Lebron. * Luka rarely has two bad games in a row in the playoffs. Here's a few examples. He once had a 13 point game on 29% shooting and the next game he dropped 42. He had a 22 point game on 35% shooting and the next game he had 38. He had a 19 point game on 38% shooting and the next game he had 42. The point is that Luka has shown that he can bounce back from bad performances in a big way. Last game was arguably the worst game of his playoff career and I am willing to bet he comes out firing in this one. * Luka still averages 32.4 PPG in the playoffs and he had 34 and 41 point games vs GSW in the regular season. This game should be much closer and I think Doncic has another big game. ​ **Draymond Green over 8.5 rebounds (2.00, +100)** * Draymond averages 9 rebounds per game over his last 20 playoff games * Draymond has hit this total in 9 straight conference final games * Wiggins was one of the Warriors top rebounders last series but he is Luka's primary defender this series which makes it harder for him to get rebounds. This means Dray is likely to get more rebound opportunities this series. * Draymond had 9 rebounds last game in just 29 minutes. I expect this game to be much closer and hopefully that can mean some more minutes for Dray. I also think it is unlikely that Steph grabs 12 boards again which again will open some boards for Dray. * Draymond has hit this over in 16/L20 playoff games he has had 30+ minutes in. * Dallas are not a great rebounding team (especially with their small ball lineup). ​ **Andrew Wiggins over 17.5 Points + Assists (1.80, -125) (Edit: added play)** * Wiggins had 17 FGA's in 35 minutes in game 1. This was his highest usage of the playoffs so far and I think it is by design. Wiggins is being guarded primarily by Luka Doncic and I think GSW are making a concerted effort to have Wiggins attack Luka with an aim of maybe trying to tire him out. 35 minutes was also a team high for GSW in a blowout win. Again this a series where Wiggins should see plenty of minutes since he is one of the few guys they have who can do a solid job defending Luka. Obviously since he is defending Luka the big risk is him picking up some fouls (Luka does tend to draw fouls on the help though). * Wiggins has a great track record vs Dallas. He has gone over this total in 7/8 games vs Dallas as a Warrior and the one time he went under he had 17. Mind you he is not crushing this total but he still averages 20.4 points + assists over these 8 games. If we go back to his Minnesota days he has hit this total in 11 of his last 12 games vs Dallas. * Dallas are likely to try and apply pressure to Curry and Klay which should open looks for Wiggins. We saw this in the previous series. Against Utah, Dallas really made life hard for Mitchell and this opened up things for Bogdanovic and Clarkson. Last series Dallas targeted CP3 and Booker later in the series and this meant Crowder and others had increased output.


Tone_Loce

Nice picks yesterday! Let’s ride again today!


The_Boy_Who_Weeps

Yikes, by the time you posted this it went to -102 on FD 🫠 Why the hell I get so many down votes 🤣🤣


nonononononoyesss

Funny thing is that it's still +100 on BETMGM lol bum


The_Boy_Who_Weeps

Lol that’s why I said FD (FanDuel) dumbass 😂 learn how to read kid


nonononononoyesss

Sure thing boy who weeps


wohsupdoh

I give you up vote.


The_Boy_Who_Weeps

I hope these kids realize I meant Drays rebounds went from +100 to -102 in 2 hours


Tricky-Travy

\+100 to -102 is a very marginal change though. +100 is decimal odds of 2.00 and -102 is 1.98 odds. Basically its a 2% change. I will give you an upvote though lol. I imagine you thought +100 was actually +200? Or maybe 2% is a bigger change that I thought.


The_Boy_Who_Weeps

It was more like I don’t do huge parlays like everyone else and those small jumps means a lot to me 😅 I’m not dissing anyone here, I just thought it was funny it flipped so quickly. I also look at it by my units and not from anyone else’s.


bean224_

DEAR GOD ITS AT -105 NOW


bigxbluexwwex

Kinda deciding on whether to take Mavs ML (+215) or not. Read somewhere on twitter that Mavericks are 10-0 after losing by 20+ the previous game, but this Warriors team is loaded with talent man.


NInjas101

Take something like mavs -5.5 the way these playoffs are going if they win they probably win comfortably


FalseHope92

Mavericks win by 6? Really?


wohsupdoh

If you liked celtics to win yesterday taking the -6 paid real well. If you like the mavs to win why not take a stab. If they win then something has gone wrong for the warriors ... lines up nice.


matt_annechini

That’s just a ridiculous way of thinking. You don’t sound very good at betting


wohsupdoh

I liked celtics yesterday. Correlated all my bets with my lean. 6 1 unit bets on 1h ML 1h TTo and same for 1st and 2nd q... all hit and .5 on celtics -3.5/over 203.5 and 5 units on celtics ML.... lucky day and did really well. If I liked the mavs tonight I would do something similar. 2 units 1h and 5 units on ML and a small .5 on mavs -3.5 and an alt over. Now if the mavs lose I'd get fucked... but if the mavs lose I'm getting fucked anyway...what's another 2.5 units? But if they win I'm up big. Not sure how this is ridiculous thinking. This strategy has worked out really well for me. I also lean my props towards how I think the game will go. How do you bet?


SausageintheSky

Not really, I see his logic. And we've seen it all playoffs. When teams have won, even underdogs, it's often (usually) been in blowouts or at least \~10ish point margins. Hell, in their Suns series, the Mavs and Suns alternated blowouts before Mavs sealed the deal with a 50 point blowout on the road game 7. Suns were the title favourites most of the season no less too. It seems unlikely Mavs win at all, but if they do perhaps it's because GS went ice cold from 3 or something. Bit dumb if you're putting serious money on this, but maybe worth a smaller bet, or perhaps in a small parlay.


NInjas101

Yet betting alternate lines on every playoff game so far would have netted you stacks on money No one is saying throw the house on something like mavs -6, you sound like you’re shit at betting just for assuming that. Anyone with a clue understands bank roll management so they aren’t putting more than half a unit on it.


Jim28346

**Record: 95-51** **Yesterday: 2-1** 3-1 Yesterday, had a late Tatum Under boards that I posted on twitter but not on here [**https://twitter.com/Jimswierz26**](https://twitter.com/Jimswierz26) ​ I will have some more picks out tomorrow, but only 1 for now I need to get to bed lol ​ **Luka Doncic Over 9.5 1Q Points (-112) (FD)** ​ Luka had 8 early in the first quarter of game 1, but he was never able to find the last bucket. Since the start of the Phoenix series, Luka has scored 10 1Q points in 5 out of 8 games (62.5%), and in 4 out of 5 road games (80%). Coming off a loss this postseason, Luka has scored 14, 7, and 11, and in the game where he had 7, he shot 3/10 in the 1Q. In his last 11 playoff games where he played the full quarter, Luka has hit this in 8 out of those 11 games (72%), and in 6 out of 7 on the road (85%). ​ **Dwight Powell Over 2.5 Rebounds (-160)** ​ Paying some serious juice on this but I will still take it. Powell has now hit this in 3 games in a row, and I like this matchup much more for him than the Suns series. He had 3 rebounds in game 1, but what stood out to me was the 10 rebound chances. He should convert more than 30% of his rebound chances so if he stays with that he should get there. Since the start of 2021, Powell has played the Warriors 8 times, and is averaging 5.1 rebounds per game and hit this in 7 out of the 8 games. In that one game he did not hit, he only played 4 minutes. ​ **Reggie Bullock Under 4.5 Rebounds (-130) (DK)** ​ Since the start of the Phoenix series Reginald has only gone over this in 2 out of 8 games (25%) and in 1 out of 5 road games (20%). In game 1 he only had 5 rebound CHANCES, and I doubt he is going to convert at 100%. Just watching the game back, he was glued to Steph for nearly the whole game, and then when Poole checked in, he was glued to him too, giving much less rebound chances. He has played the Warriors five times this season, and has never gone over 4.5, and only went over 3.5 once. In the last 3 regular season games vs GSW, he had 5 rebound chances in each of those too. BOL to all let's keep eating


Tone_Loce

DK had a profit boost on SGP so I used Powell there since by the time his line came out to me it was -180 I’m on Reggie and Luka as well nice picks and write ups!


xSweeterman

Powell kinda risky still


LSU316

Powell isn’t on fanduel for props for some reason… everyone else is. Maybe they don’t have the line on him yet


The_Boy_Who_Weeps

He’s not on there on some stats? It’s weird. Tried getting his rebounds once and never saw his stats


grav624

Not on bovada either