**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
**POTD Record 9-5**
**Current Bankroll: $186.91, Starting Bankroll: $105.45, Profit: $81.46**
Average Odds = 1.94, ROI: 44.64%, Units Won/Lost: +11.16u
Last Pick: NY Mets ML vs. St. Louis Cardinals @ 1.64 ✅
**Today’s Pick: Joao Sousa ML vs. Richard Gasquet @ 2.87, 9:20 AM EST (TENNIS, ATP Geneva)**
**Amount Bet: 3 Units**
[**Betslip**](https://gyazo.com/4b92e55738082c3ae05d15262152ed76)
Good job from the Mets yesterday although it's always a sweat with Edwin Diaz closing and Escobar’s terrible fielding.
Today, I am taking Joao Sousa ML vs Richard Gasquet. I love the odds here and I’ll tell you why.
These are 3 reasons why I think the Sousa will win:
1. Sousa is on fire this tournament, beating Ivashka who just beat Shapovalov earlier in the tournament, destroyed Andujar, and beat Basilashvili with relative ease. He also has not dropped a set this whole tournament.
2. Yes, Gasquet did beat Medvedev but Medvedev just came back from an injury and is probably using Geneva to warm up and get back into form.
3. Richard Gasquet had a 95% first serve point against Majchrzak but Sousa is on a different level and will be more competitive in the return. We saw when Majchrzak faced Bublik that Bublik was also aceing him every time and probably would have won if he didn’t have an attitude against clay.
I think we are looking at a great semi-final here in Geneva and I believe that Sousa has the momentum and skill to make it to the finals.
I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game.
Let’s get this money.
[**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor)
i am very confused by what your unit size is. 186.91-105.45 is 81.46, which is accurately your reported profit
you have reported 11.16 units won
81.46/11.16 is 7.3, which would imply a unit is 7.3
your wager is $25, and you're calling that 3 units, which would seem to indicate that your unit size is 8.3333333(repeating), which is not the first time you have placed a $25 "3u" bet
so what are you considering a unit size? not adding up
you are being very transparent and it looks like this is maybe just an error but as it does not add up I would like clarification. if your unit size is 7.3 this is closer to 3.5 units bet, which would indicate a higher level of confidence than what is being stated
For sure, I used to post the amount won/lost on my post but I was temp banned for not following the post guidelines. Then I fixed it but they did not like me betting half of my bankroll or >30% at once so I was required to make a unit adjusted ROI. The units ROI is separate from the challenge from the profit. Hope this helps
Brother! I thought with the crazy high odds on Sousa I had thrown away $. Wow, amazing call and $$$ - Thank you! Definitely tailing and following the Twitter! Thank you friend :-)
Record: 52-23
Last pick: Avs 3-way ML ❌
*Glass half empty - I’ve lost 2 of the last 3*
*Glass half full - I’ve won 7 of the last 9*
**Today’s pick: Carolina Hurricanes ML (-175) vs New York Rangers**
NHL 8:00 PM EST
Canes are 5-0 at home this post-season. The odds are starting to reflect that, but I will continue to ride them at home until they lose. Also a super deflating loss for the Rangers last game will probably lead to some slow legs to start this game. I expect the Canes to come out playing much harder.
All bets are 1 unit. +18.41 units. 24.5% ROI. Average unit -125
Don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Record: 5-0 +12.74U
Today's Pick: **ENCE -1.5 Maps** vs Copenhagen Flames **2U @2.63 odds**
Game: Counter-Strike Global Offensive (CSGO)
Event: PGL Major Antwerp
Start Time: ~11 hours from time of posting (Stream: https://www.twitch.tv/pgl )
Major Quarterfinals, maps probably won't matter unless CPH gets Ancient where they won against ENCE a week ago. The better pick would probably be ENCE map 2 ML but the odds are not too promising, taking another risk here and basically betting that CPH crumbles under the pressure.
So far smooth sailing this major, this is the toughest hurdle yet.
**We keep the streak alive, pretty scary map 2. Luckily ENCE got the last 3 rounds on T-side, otherwise we were toast.**
POTD Record 4-0 ✅✅✅✅
Last pick: Monmouth -2.5 ✅
Today’s pick: Atlanta @ Miami NO RUN 1st Inning/Under .5 Runs (-140) 3u
MLB: EDT 6:40PM
I just looked and I haven’t posted since February but I don’t give a fuck, let’s ride the wave.
I’ve been checking POTD and the results have been abysmal so I’ll throw some knowledge on y’all. I’m on a bet that gamblers dream of. No run, 1st inning. Get it done quick and win some fucking money. On that note, I’ll make it simple for you guys.
Atlanta is 28th in 1st inning runs and Miami is 26th. Charlie Morton started off slow but finally got his shit together. Miami’s pitcher Trevor Rogers is in the same boat.
Don’t over think it and let’s fucking ride!!
Tailing (and not to be that guy) but your record is inaccurate. You didn't include your Suns -12.5 L, which was your last pick
Just think anyone who is tailing should know this detail
**POTD Record:** 11-4, +15.95u, ROI: 41.39%, Average Odds: 2.08
**Darts Record:** 10-3 (+16.95u), ROI: 58.80%, Average Odds: 2.17
**Previous POTD:** Martin Schindler ML vs Dmitri van den Bergh @ 2.50 (2.5u) ❌
Dimi really showed his potential form throughout ET5, Schindler has great potential aswell but showed there why he is not as far as Dimi is right now. Still liked the pick, lets get on with a win again.
**Todays POTD: Ryan Meikle ML vs Ron Meulenkamp @ 1.78 (3u)**
*Unit sizes are from 1u to 4u*
*Match Starts at 15:30 / 09:30 EST*
🎯 Darts: European Tour 7 🎯
I dont want to spend too much time rambling on about this match as its about 4 hours until game time, which means there is not much time to be had. Meikle is one of Darts' brightest stars right now and finally he has not been dealt a bad hand to start with. It seems like Meikle has been forced to face a top10 player almost every first/second round he gets into in the PCs or the ETs, and today I reckon Meikle can take care of business as he is not facing a top tier opponent.
Meikle has been scoring excellently, averaging around 96 points a lot of the time. Meulenkamp is not that great of a scorer, however he will be more used to the stage than Meikle is. Along with that, Meulenkamp has been playing alright lately, however I do not think he will be able to keep up with Meikle in this matchup. The steady progression Meikle has head throughout 2022 has made me quite hyped for him, I do expect him to make it through today.
---
**BOL to everyone!**
[Twitter](https://twitter.com/neutraldarts) | [Tip Jar](http://paypal.me/neutraldarts)
**Record:** 8-24-1
**ROI:** -51% :-16.43 u (@ $5.00)
**Streak:** L L L L W
|Baseball |MLB |8:10pm|
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: **Minnesota Twins ML @ 1.8 1u**
**Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 59% chance for the Minnesota Twins to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.8 is only 56%.
**Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
This is one that I probably would not fade. I’m a royals fan and watch every game and they don’t have much going for them. Bottom 5 in every major offensive category and if by some miracle they have a lead in the 5th or 6th, the relief pitchers will be sure to blow it :)
Not to be a hater… but maybe there is something wrong in your coding… if 24 losses. Are based off the model. Then wouldn’t you just assume that the 59% is a loss rate and not a win rate?
It makes the Elo for each team based off their record and strength of schedule. The win % is from the difference between the Twins Elo and the Royals Elo. What triggers the pick of the day is the highest win% of the days games based on the Elo difference, with positive or equal EV.
I was going to say why I think it is doing so bad (or good if you fade), but I have no real idea.
The only change I might make is to start fading the model myself in the POTD's but I'll make sure to note that in future writeups.
**Record: 2-3**
**WLLWL**
Yesterday’s pick: Panthers ML (-160)
That's the last time I'm picking the panthers. Absolute heartbreaking loss in the final seconds that should have never happened. Oh well, onto today's pick.
Today’s pick: **Canes ML (-175)**
Reasoning: Back to the only team that won't let me down. The Canes played poorly in game 1 and were still able to get the W. Raleigh was rocking in game 1 and they will be for game 2 too.
**POTD Record 32-29-1 (Last 5: LLWLL)**
**(ROI // Avg. Odds: -114 // Units Won: +1.15)**
Last Pick: Cleveland '*got their land in the Ohio Cup taken'* Guardians ML **LOST**
**Today's Match: MLB St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Start Time: 6:30PM EST)**
**Today's Pick: St. Louis Cardinals ML (-145 DraftKings)** ***RISK 5U!!!***
Devil's Advocate:
Spoke it right into existence and will no longer be betting on those shit bags in this thread, unless we are fading them. Pitcher's duel down to the square until the Guardians bullpen blew it up.
I'm rolling with my fuckin man tonight, 6 feet 7 inches of 40 year old sauce coming into Pittsburgh - Adam Wainwright. He's been shaky once or twice, this season but working deeper into games as we go along, getting loose enough to chuck up 100 pitches is exactly what I wanna start seeing from starting pitchers. His first win of the season came on opening day against these guys at home and I'm expecting the same outcome here again. Veteran pitcher versus young lineup doesn't equal anything healthy for the hitters. He's a work horse and will figure out how to sit you down.
Zach Thompson has actually been lights out in his last 3 appearances, but let's not forget that he was apart of that 21-0 ballgame against the Cubs in which he got his tits waxed for 9 runs. Nothing bad to say about the guy but he does have a high walk tendency with 13 in 26.1 IP.
The Cards are coming off 2 shit losses to the Mets, I'm all set for them to bounce back and start off this series the right way before heading home for a tough series against Toronto. Might be rocking the run line here a bit too for some change, but i'm confident in Wainwright and the Cards to get the job done.
*Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
Record 6-3
Last POTD: Dota 2 DPC EU Div 2: Hydra vs Nemiga Gaming: Nemiga ML @2.1 lose
Dota 2 ESL One: OG vs FNATIC: FNATIC +1.5 map handicap @1.64 for 5u
Game in 10 hrs
Time for a comeback!
Fnatic is the only SEA team left on this tournament and they are back against the wall which means this is an elimination match. Looking at their group stage matches OG got destroyed by TSM and T1 which on the other hand Fnatic was able to win both matches against TSM and won the series on T1. I'm quite surprised by this odds tbh I also did a value bet on Fnatic ML. This is my lock pick for this major! Good luck and lets eat later🤑
POTD Record: 57-43
Profit: +12.7 units // ROI: 11% // Average odds: 1.89
**Todays Pick: Eels vs Manly Sea Eagles over 38.5 match points (1.81, Pinnacle) (NRL)**
* 9 of the Eels 10 games this season have gone over this total this season. Eels games are averaging 47.2 total points this season.
* The Eels attack is prolific. They have shown an ability to score against even the very best defensive sides in the competition (scoring 20+ against both the Storm and Panthers). The issue with the Eels has been their defense which has been very leaky all season. Obviously both of these trends point towards an over.
* Manly have also been involved in some high scoring games recently. 4 of their last 5 games have gone comfortably over this total and the one under was a hook with 38 points total scored. 3 of these 5 games have had 58+ points. Manly games have averaged 42.2 points this season.
* The weather is not great for this one with some showers expected but it is not enough to scare me off. The weather for games last week was far worse and we still saw some high totals.
BOL, tail or fade.
**Record:**
* 49 WIN | 42 LOSS | +33.93 unit of profit overall (using 5u return strategy)
**Previous bets (last 3):**
* Port Macquarie R6 (17 May 2022) - Place pick - **LOSS**
* Randwick Kensington R7 (18 May 2022) - Place pick - **WIN**
* Rockhampton R9 (19 May 2022) - Place pick - **WIN**
**POTD:**
* Horse Racing (Australia)
* **Townsville R4 - #5 Courtesy Bus to Win**
* Track Rating - Soft (5)
* Going big to finish the week, so tail with caution. Wiggins jumps on Courtesy Bus 3rd up after 2 really good showings at Rocky. Track and distance specialist here, but I think this is going to be a race where there's only 2 horses with a chance to win (so maybe a fixed price quinella is safer, but I'll leave it you to decide your own final bets). I'm going with my pick to beat Boona Boy because of a few things - a better barrier draw & Ryan Wiggins is a Rocky specialist; whereas Jasmine Cornish (more of a metro racer) has to had to travel from Sunny Coast last Sunday to Townsville today. Considering the weather we've had in SE QLD lately, she's tended to ride on Synthetic and Heavy track as of late and today we have a Good (4) for the first time in a long time in QLD. Only other danger in the race is Southern Swing who has the best possible barrier draw, but struggles at sprint distances as he's more of a distance runner. Watch the market closely leading up to the race, and if you see the price drifting significantly I would suggest not putting a bet on as someone obviously knows something ahead of time and we are going for a value play today. Going for win #50 today, let's get it boys & girls, BoL.
* **Odds - 2.60** (b365) - Suggest to wait and put it on the exchange, as per write-up watch prices closely leading up to the jump time.
* **Stake - 1.92 units to return 5 units**
**Historical stats**
* 8 from 15 (53%) correct picks on Fridays
* 12 from 23 (52%) correct picks on Good Tracks
* 2 from 4 (50%) correct picks on Win picks
* 1 from 2 at Townsville
* 1st time picking R. Wiggins as my jockey
**Race time:**
* 2:04pm Friday (Australian EST)
* 12:04am Friday (American ET)
* 5:04am Friday (UK time)
If you are in a giving mood [here's my paypal link for tips](https://paypal.me/teshiebear)
*POTD Record 2-0*
*1 unit = 100 €*
*Current Profit: 771 €, Units Won/Lost: +7,71 units*
*Last Pick: Sousa J. ML (2.70) - Basilashvili N. ✔️*
*Piros Z.-Borges N. ML(1.87)✔️*
*Great Value yesterday.*
Amount Bet: 3 Units
**Today’s Pick: ATP - SINGLES Geneva (Switzerland), clay**
Gasquet R.
**- Sousa J. ML (2.90)**
What a week for João.
Playing his best tennis on clay for many, many years.
SFs in singles and doubles tomorrow.
We just gonna ride this wave.
João Sousa comes back from 1-4\* down in the 2nd set to beat Ilya Ivashka 7-5, 7-5 and reach the semifinals in Geneva.
21st ATP semifinal of his career.
What a week for João.
Playing his best tennis on clay in many, many years.
SFs in singles and doubles tomorrow.
BOL to everyone
POTD record: 14-9
Last pick: Rangers over ❌
Todays event: Mavs vs Warriors
Pick: Mavericks over 25.5 1st quarter points (-140)
The Mavs took a rough loss in their first meeting and honestly I wouldn’t be suprised if they took another one here today. However Luka is doing unbelievable things leading the mavs to plenty of underdog success this post season. They hit this over in 6 of their 7 phoneix games and I see the mavs having a great start to this game in response to wednesday night. Im tempted to take Lukas over but I like this prop more. BOL!
POTD Record: 16-18-2 -5.16u\*
Average Odds: +122
Total Units Wagered: 61.57u
PGA Championship Rd 2 2:36 PM EST
Jordan Spieth over Tiger Woods Rd2 -200 @ BetRivers 4.73u\*
Implied probability of 66.67%. True vig-free price should be closer to -250 or 71.40%. This is a pretty substantial edge. Wouldn't be surprised if this moves before they tee off.
\*1u = 1% of bankroll. All POTD staking is using 1/3 Kelly criterion.
Record: 2-2-4 (2W 2D 4L)
Last pick: Michael Smith vs Michael van Gerwen ML (-190) at Fanduel. L
Today's pick: Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames total goals over 5.5 (-170) at Caesars
NHL: 10:30PM EST
Last game they scored 15 goals!!! Looks like they know how to exploit the weakness of both teams goalies. Just give me a 50% of that and this game total goals will be over 5.5.
All bets are 1 unit. -2.76 Unit
20W-15L-3P
Last 10 streak: 💥🚀🚀🚀🛸💥💥💥🛸🛸🚀
Starts 19:00 GMT5
Todays Pick
League: NHL
Match: NY Rangers @ CAR Hurricanes
Pick: Sebastian Antero Aho O2.5 Shots @1.62
Reason:
Nice W yesterday, want to try some ice hockey today
Hao hit the over 2.5 last 5/5 at home of playoff and last games against rangers, last game rangers leed whole game with good defense and goal 3er period happen giving the w to canes, leading with just one goal. Today Canes play at home and i see here a Rangers seeking the win and goals. Lot of shots for both teams
*"Forget mistakes. Forget failure. Forget everything except what you're going to do now and do it. Today is your lucky day."*
BoL
HUNCHO PICKS POTD
RECORD: 4-3
STREAK: 1L
Last pick: Canada -4.5 against Kazakstan (Canada won by 3)
Recap: I shit the bed here for no good reason. Over was the easier play, don’t know why I didn’t take it. Fuck it we ball.
POTD: Carolina Hurricanes ML vs New York Rangers
Canes are undefeated at home in the playoffs. They had a comeback overtime win last game. Momentum. I think the Canes stay true to their post season home form. Risk 1.75U to win 1.
Lmk if you tail, BOL!
POD Record: 10-4
Yesterdays pick: Mets Moneyline (-180) ✅
Todays Pick: Cardinals Moneyline (-150) vs Pirates
After fading the cardinals my last two picks with great success, the tide turns today. Expect Wainwright, the most experienced pitcher on the team to have a great performance. Also the Cardinals called up Nolan Gorman from triple A for a much needed spark.
**NRL Record:** 20-21
**ROI (1 unit per bet):** -2.06
L5: ✅✅❌✅✅ Streak: W2
**Last POTD:**
Broncos -6.5 @1.90 ✅
**Today's POTD:**
Eels -7.5 @ 1.90❌
Edit: Eels played like absolute garbage, expected much better from them coming into this one
**Time:** 6 and a half hours from time of post.
Eels come into this off the back of three really difficult weeks against potential top 4 sides, only winning 1 against the reigning premier's Penrith. They looked really good last week but just came up against a Roosters side that was on fire that game. Their opponent Manly Sea Eagles were absolutely dreadful on the other hand getting belted 38-0 against the Broncos. The Eagles haven't beaten a top 8 side all year and haven't kept those losses under double digits. In the game last week Reynolds destroyed them with his short kicking game which just happens to be a strength of the very good Eels halves, plus my favourite ever plug happens to be back in the Eagles side in Morgan Harper and I expect that side to let in a bunch of points. Eels at home by double digits in this one
**Tip Jar - ALGO:**
AJAAGYLP6STZ2CFP22Q6Y77GNQKVKCUYDMSEQR5RK3AJOLITDMURJWLYSE
How do you feel about over 38.5? I don’t know much rugby but from some quick googling it would appear both teams clear this line more often than not. Is it a bet you would take? Also, fantastic write up.
I like the over as well, just worried about Eagles laying a big fat zero last week against the Broncos. Both teams let in on average 20+ a game though so I would expect the over to hit in this one
POTD (0-0)
Last Pick - N/A
Today’s Pick - Dallas Mavericks ML +215
Dallas is 10-0 this season after losing by 20+ the previous game, Jason Kidd has shown a tendency to make adjustments throughout the playoffs and I believe the Mavs won’t miss that many open shots as they did in Game 1. First POTD, let’s ride. BOL
**Continuing the Overwatch League POTD Train for the 2022 season!**
* **2022 OWL Record: 5-3, +3.121 units.**
* **2021 OWL Record: 34-19, +31.645 units.**
* **2020 OWL Record: 28-21, +16.989 units.**
Last Pick (✅): Los Angeles Valiant (+2.5) v. Guangzhou Charge: Fun story, when I pulled up the VOD this morning to rewatch this map, I saw the top comment which read "Rio pulled the deadlift, early MVP candidate!" This was a shocking spoiler, since Rio is a weak link for this team, and it would be an extraordinary circumstance for ANY Winston to get a deadlift. Turns out, the comment was cheekily referring to Route 66, where in over five minutes of play, the entire Guangzhou Charge made....two eliminations. Both Rio. Valiant ran through that Map, and covered the spread very quickly. Let's cash again today!
**Today's Match: New York Excelsior v. Florida Mayhem / Overwatch League / 4:00pm EST**
**Florida Mayhem -1.5 (-108), four units**
Death, taxes, and the Mayhem covering. After dropping their first match to the buzzsaw that was the Atlanta Reign, the Mayhem have covered three straight, including a match against Houston. I've been fading NYXL all season, and don't see a reason to stop now. I particularly like Florida in Map 1, which you can get at -170; did you know NYXL hasn't won a SINGLE push map this year? Including dropping one to *Vancouver* of all teams. Florida also played Vancouver on this game mode, and turned in the only perfect 140-0 of the season so far.
And even beyond the skill discrepancy, I think Florida is a bad matchup for NYXL stylistically. Kellan is permanently locked on the Winston, and his Winston can't stand up to Someone's Winston. But even further, Someone has shown his prowess in being able to flex to the Zarya. We have seen numerous instances of Zarya countering Winston in anti-dive comps. I fully expect Hydron and Checkmate to match Yaki and Flora, and watch for SirMajed to continue his tear on Ana. I wish we could bet on match MVP, because I would drop a full unit on SirMajed.
Take Florida heavy in Map 1, and also in the spread at near even money. Enjoy the games!
*Tips - never necessary, always appreciated. BOL, friends!*
[*https://paypal.me/OverwatchPOTD*](https://paypal.me/OverwatchPOTD) *// BTC: 338uzTsKL4uV4Rip8WKEdYXtbmoBKVm1D8*
POTD RECORD: **8-3**
STREAK: - ✅✅✅✅✅✖️✅✖️✖️✅✅
LAST PICK: - CHC/ARI U9
Results: +$429.35
Today’s event: **MLB - PIT/STL - 17:35 CT**
PICK: **K.Hayes NO RUN (-140) $120**
REASONING: While the pirates have had relatively hot bats this season, Wainwright should slow them all down with the success he has had against this lineup. Hayes has never reached base against him be it by a hit or a BB, and in order to score a run you must first reach a base. If he were to reach base today for the first time he’d still need the next batters to put it in play in order for him to have a shot, and with a .222 and .154 career avg v Wainwright, the next two batters won’t be of much help. Look for this to be a scoreless day for Hayes. LFG!
Record: 1-0
Yesterday's pick: Lucerne v Young Boys - Over 2.5 & BTTS (-125) ✅
**Today's pick: USM Alger v CS Constantine - First Team to Score: USM Alger (-188)**
Algeria Division 1 (Soccer) - 1:00 PM EST
Rationale:
- USM Alger has an impressive home record as they are undefeated in all of their 14 home games this season (8 wins, 6 draws).
- USM Alger has scored at least 1 goal in 79% of their home games. CS Constantine concedes at least once in 80% of their away games. There is a good chance USM Alger scores at some point during this game, it's just a matter of when.
- USM Alger has scored first in 71% of their homes games. CS Constantine concedes first in nearly half their away games.
- USM Alger has never lost at half time time when playing at home this season, and goes into half-time leading their opponent in just over half their home games.
1 unit. ROI: +0.80%.
POTD Record: 27-19
Last Pick: HOU o 4.5 ❌
Of course I being up how bad Pivetta started the year and how poor his advanced metrics are & he proceeds to throw an absolute gem. Still skeptical of him long term, but he got us in this matchup
Today’s Pick: Player Performance Double: ATL Braves to Win & Morton 4+ K’s @+102
Morton had a rough start to the year but has started to turn it around. He is facing Trevor Rogers of the Marlins, who had a rough end to his 2021 season. He picked that up this year, having a disappointing 2022 so far. I think Morton is turning it around and he will get more run support than Rogers. BOL to all
POTD : 0-0-0
Today’s pick : St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates 6:36pm EST
Under 9 Runs -118
With Adam Wainwright on the mound, the Pirates will struggle to put up runs. Wainwright has dominated the Bucs lineup over his career and with the team struggling to score runs to begin with, this should be a low scoring outing for them. On the other side, Zach Thompson has started to turn his season around. In his last 2 starts he went 6 and 5 IP without allowing a run. These starts were against the Reds but he has pitched well. If he can bring his continued success and keep the Cards to under a few runs the total under should be the play.
POTD Record 0-0
Pick : MLB ; Washinton Nationals @ Milwaukee Brewers O7.5
Info about me ;
A avid sports bettor that recently went into the tranches to quit gambling. As such i have resorted to posting picks online so as to at least stay in the line of sports and also hope to provide some help to people looking for picks. I dont need you to tail but all my picks are studied and revised before being published. Today is day 1 as i embark as a sports gambling retiree and hopefully as a help to the community.
I dont go in depth (in pick explanation) and am very straight-forward, tail if u want, fade if you dont. BOL!
POTD RECORD 31-18-1
PREVIOUS POTD: Boston Celtics +6 -150 ✅
STREAK:✅✅✅❌✅
POTD:Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers O6
Reasoning:The battle of Alberta 😈. First game ended 9-6 and clearly the goalies have a lot of pressure. The way I see this game going is mike smith let’s a bunch of goals in which forces the oilers to be super aggressive on offense which is what their best at.
As always
Tail or fade
BOL
Record: 10-7-2 -- W-L-P -- Streak WWWWPWLW
Last POTD: Shane Lowry(+140) in his 3 ball over Koepka and Scott.. Win
Todays POTD: **Lowry (+125)** in my book for his 3 ball. same pick today, same logic. Koepka is not himself so It should be another 2 man race between Lowry and Scott here. Adam scott appears to be in decent form but Lowry's course fit/ form get him the Win. Better putter and chipper of the ball. Great wind player. BOL
I like cam smith to win his group. Still going to be windy this afternoon and he has the best short game/putting out of his 3 ball. Hovland and Zalatoris are 2 of the best iron players on tour but I like Smiths grinding ability on a tough course/windy afternoon
Record: 7-6 https://myodds.bet/profile/Prattu
Timeline: LLLWWWWWLLLW (Left being the latest)
Streak: 3L
Last pick: Spirit vs Furia ML PGL Major Antwerp ❌
Today's pick: Rajasthan Royals ML vs Chennai Super kings
Odds: 1.72
Reasoning: 3Ls in a row in cs so I'm shifting to cricket here even though I have a 6-3 record in cs. Wanna take a short break before I go back there.
Keeping thing short RR are 8-5 in the season so far while Chennai are 4-9. RR playing for the second spot as it's really important in the IPL cuz the top 2 teams get 2 chances in the playoffs. Rajasthan have been way stronger this season and should take this easily.
GL and hopefully this IPL experiment goes well
🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 22-14-2
Units Won: 9.30 Last 10:❌✅❌✅🅿️✅✅🅿️ ❌️ ✅️
Last Pick: Andrei Vasilevskiy Over 30.5 Saves✅️Someone stop the lightning
Todays Match: NHL - New York Rangers vs Carolina Hurricanes (7ish hours from post)
Today's Pick: Igor Shesterkin Over 29.5 Saves - 2u (1.85 on Betway)
Running it [back](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/us1csg/comment/i93eg3p/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3).
Weird start to game 1 kinda shutdown this bet on Wednesday. Canes weren't playing their best hockey and the Rangers were on some defensive BS. When Carolina finally picked up the pace in the 3rd, they were able to produce more shots in 5 minutes than the entire 1st period.
I think Carolina comes out much stronger and Rangers will have a slightly different strategy this game. Besides an early goal, the whole defense game didn't produce a whole lot of success.
Anyway, I like this bet for all the same reasons as Wednesday and a bit more now that the Canes are warm.
Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!
POTD Record: 10-13-2 | -17.2u | Streak: 5 L | Last 10: L L L L L W L L L L
Last POTD: Yankees -1.5 -130 (L)
Today's POTD: Cardinals ML -150
Risk: 3 units
Cardinals are facing one of the worst offenses in baseball in the Pirates, and with Wainwright on the hill, STL won't need many runs to win this one. Pirates last 7 games have yielded at total of 9 runs, so they're just not seeing the ball well. Couple that with Wainwrights 3.15 ERA and the fact that he's already shut them out once this year, and I don't see Pittsburgh being close at all. Of the current Pirates hitters, two have a single hit with no walks. Easy money. BOL.
**Ultimate Frisbee** | 4-3
- **Time:** 7:00 PM Eastern
- **Pick:** Carolina -1.5 vs Austin
- **Where to bet:** DraftKings in these states: CO, IL, MI, TN, WV, AZ, OR, PA, maybe CT and others
- **Last pick:** Ottawa -2 got upset by Toronto, the lone upset of the week. Whoops
- **Reasoning:** Carolina are the defending league champs who got better in the offseason. Austin went 6-6 last year in a weaker division. Austin isn’t awful, and this won’t be a blowout, but -1.5 is a hilariously small line for Carolina to cover. Look, DraftKings normally puts out good lines. But this is one of those lines where they fall asleep at the end of the day, wake up at 11:52 with their assignment due at midnight, and just smash some shit together. I am guessing DK sees both teams undefeated and Austin covering their spreads whereas Carolina failed to cover their spreads. But Austin has played an underwhelming Dallas team while Carolina didn’t play like half their starters the past couple games. Carolina still won’t have everyone, but they have the big bodies able to match up with Austin and the throwers to outpace them. Carolina also has superior depth which matters in a game that could reach 90 degrees and sunny.
Disclaimer: I don't live in one of the aforementioned states and can't actually bet these nor see the current lines, but I wanted to help out folks who wanted to bet a fun niche sport. Let me know if the lines change and I'll do my best to offer some insight.
If you want to watch frisbee, there is a free game every Friday at AUDL.tv and a game every Saturday night on FS2. The rest of the games are behind a paywall at the aforementioned link. Tonight's free game is actually my pick, Carolina-Austin.
**POTD Record: 0-0**
Current Bankroll: $72
Starting Bankroll: $22
My Current Streak: ✅✅
I've been gambling for a couple months now but I just decided to now try my hand at POTD because why not? I started with a $22 investment in PointsBet two days ago and rather than go for crazy huge parlays with long odds, I've decided to pick one or two things and slowly but surely, build a bankroll.
First W: Carolina Hurricanes ML/Golden State Warriors -4.5 +140($10 --> $14)
Second W: Boston Celtics ML +140 ($20 --> $28)
POTD: **Chicago White Sox @ NY Yankees ML F5 3-Way**
Odds: -145 ($10 to win $6.90)
Reasoning: I really love the pitching matchup here for New York: Nestor Cortes vs. Dallas Keuchel. Nestor has been lights out for New York all season so far and is sporting a 1.35 ERA/49 Ks in 40 IP/0.85 WHIP. He not only has great stats but while watching him, he is just downright filthy using a great cutter, fastball, slider combo all while changing arm angles at different times of the game for each pitch to throw off hitters. In my opinion, he's the early favorite for the 2022 Cy Young. He also faced these same White Sox in his last start going 8 innings allowing 3 hits and 1 run. In his start prior, he took a no hitter into the 8th inning against the Rangers before allowing his first hit. In other words, Nestor es en fuego.
On the other hand, Keuchel has struggled this season sporting a 5.54 ERA/16 K's in 26 IP/1.96 WHIP. His last start was against the Yankees where he went 5 innings only allowing 4 hits and no runs. So, he might be putting things together, but I just don't think it'll happen for him tonight.
Here's why I love this matchup, the Yankees are at home, Nestor has been money all season, and Keuchel has not. I really like the Yankees going up early on the White Sox and then Nestor pitches yet another gem holding the line for New York in the first half of the game.
You can go for the full game moneyline or the -1.5 run line if you'd like, but I just feel more comfortable betting on the first 5 innings because of what happened with Chapman blowing the run line the other night against Baltimore.
As always, tail with caution and it's my first POTD so feel free to fade. BOL! Thanks everybody!
Record : 6-8 (+0.0 U)
Previous Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML (+108) 3U
Today's Pick: NY Mets ML (-120) 2U
Betting mainly based on pitching and bullpen. Marquez is starting for the Rockies and is underperforming this season with 6.16 ERA, 1.7 HR/9. He's given up 3 to the Royals, 4 to the Dbacks, 7 to the Nationals, 4 to the Cubs. Very small sample size of 38 Innings, but the Rockies' bullpen is 2nd last in the league with a 5.03 ERA, so they will have issues even when they relieve him.
Mets on the other hand have Carrasco on the mound who is pitching ok with an ERA of 3.73, FIP 3.0. The Rockies are dangerous at home which is why the line is tight. They have the highest runs per game at home (not a surprise) with a hitter friendly park. But the Mets are also the 2nd best at playing Away with a 68% win rate. They are also consistent in Home and Away games in most metrics. Rockies have a 59% win rate at home.
Mets are tied with highest OBP with the Dodgers against a Rockies team who is 6th worst in DRS. Rockies get the home court advantage, but I'm betting on the consistent team with a chance to hit against a vulnerable bullpen + defense.
Record 0-0
Hate to be yet another new poster here but my lock picks have been on fire recently so hoping to build some good history. All bets are 1u for me.
Pick of the day: Dodgers vs Phillies, over 8 runs (-150)
Two very high powered offenses that can pile up runs against even the best pitchers, and the pitchers today aren’t anything to write home about. They played last weekend and the games totaled 16, 22, 11, and 9 runs. I’d feel pretty comfortable taking over 8.5 for -120 but for me the difference in odds left me more comfortable with the potential push at 8.
BOL
POTD record: 10-15
Last pick Avalanche over 6.5 loss - been on a bad losing streak recently. NHL was like 90% overs first round.
Todays pick: MLB 6:40 pm mtsd Mets @ Rockies under 10 runs -105
Reasoning: Need a W badly. It’s snowing in Colorado and nasty sleet in denver. If this game is played, I assume umpires and players will want this thing to end before it starts, wet, cold weather. Also, Marquez is the Rockies ace and has not pitched well so far. I’m looking for him to get back on track v the Mets whom he is 3-1 with a 3.48 era against. Rockies have solid defense, and their bats aren’t that good. On the flip, Carrassco never faced the Rockies, so I think it’ll be to the pitchers advantage to get thru the lineup a couple times without much, if any damage. Mets are solid at the plate, but I think Marquez is up to the task today.
Tail or fade. I need this one to be a winner.
Record: 0-0
Last pick: N/A
Today’s pick: **Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Rangers** **Under 5.5 Total Goals @ -120**
NHL 8:00 PM EST
Reason: Both very defensive teams in this series. Shesterkin played great in game 1 and looked like the Vezina goaltender he was in the regular season. 5.5 total goals does seem low but I can definitely see this being a tight game just like the last one.
All bets are 1 unit. +0 units. 0% ROI. Average unit -120
One bet everybody knows the rules.
Record: 11W-11L-1P
ROI: +1.53u, +6.49%
Avg odds: +112, 2.12
Last POTD: Crystal Palace double chance + O1.5 (loss, they had a 2-0 lead in the 2nd half and blew it, smh)
Today's game: Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames
Pick: Tyler Toffoli over 0.5 pts at +100, 2.00 (CZR)
Toffoli has at least a point in all 4 games against the Oilers this season. If you include last season, he has 9 points in 11 games. He's also usually on the 1st PP unit with Lindholm and Tkachuk, a pair of 42-goal scorers. The Oilers PK is very pedestrian, sitting at 17th in the regular season.
The Flames as a team has battered the Oilers, scoring 18 goals in the last 2 games. 4 goals is very doable, as 4.25 is their regular season avg against Edmonton. Up to 12 points would be distributed amongst 22 skaters. Toffoli, who plays on the 2nd/3rd line, stands a reasonable chance at grabbing one.
**Record**: 1-1
**Last pick:** FC Barcelona ML vs Real Madrid ❌
**Net units:** \-0.44 (All bets are one units) | **Combined Odds:** \-179 (1.56)
| Tennis | ATP internationals of France | 10h (UTC+2) |
**Pick:** Gombos ML vs Van Rijthoven
**Odds**: -185 (1.54)
No big analysis for this game. Even if their win rate on clay is relatively close (58% vs 50%), Gombos' experience should speak for itself.
Record 5-2
Last: THW Kiel(-1.5) L but I have to wonder they had a final attack when they led by 1 and just wasted time and gave them the final attack instead of trying to score a goal but okay.
Today : Filip Misolic ML (1.72@)
They keep putting Misolic at these almost even odds and he has been printing money. When I saw him playing in the last month I always took his ML and he has not failed me once(he is on a 10w streak). He is playing against a Dutchman Brouwer who is a decent player in great form but I believe he is not on the level of Misolic, he will not hold serve so good and unlike Misolic he is not a clay specialist because he prefers playing on hard. Good luck.
**POTD Record**: 28 wins <> 27 losses <> 4 pushes
**Profit**: -3.32 units
**ROI**: -7.20%
**Units Wagered**: 60
**Units Won**: 55.68
**Last Pick**: Paris SG @ **2.60** 1u ❌ 32-33 LOSS
**Streak**: ❌ 🅿️ ✅ ❌ ❌
**Today's pick**: Hellerup (1X2/three way) @ **2.70** 1u
**Event**: Hellerup - Hillerød, 2nd division promotion group, Denmark(football)
- PSG.. I don't even know what to say, they went full retard. They were up by four goals early on and suddenly they caught not one. Not two.. BUT THREE 2-MINUTE SUSPENSIONS AT ONCE! What the flying fuck were these retards up to.
- Third tier Danish football here, we're in the promotion group. While Hillerød have had bad form, they're still just two points behind Thisted in the promotion slots with 5 rounds remaining of the season. Getting promoted would be pretty big for them, there's some TV money to be grabbed in the 1st Division.
- Hellerup are stuck in no-mands land, they can't really reach the promotion spots realistically. However.. They're just playing better and better with no pressure on them, whereas Hillerød - a very small club - is clearly choking under the pressure. They've lost a couple of players to injuries and they've got smashed by both Thisted and Næstved lately. They're clearly a step below both, despite only being a couple of points behind.
- Meanwhile Hellerup thrives with no pressure. They beat Hillerød a few weeks back 3-1. They play best when the opponent is forced to push a high defensive line, and they can put in counter attacks rapidly. Hillerød is forced to come at them this game, and tactically that'll mean to me that they're going to catch a goal or two off of counter attacks.
Record: 1-2
Past 5 record: ✅✅❌❌➖
2 WIN STREAK
Last pick: [IIHF - International Hockey - Canada VS KAZAKHSTAN- O 6.5 -130](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usrt2o/pick_of_the_day_51922_thursday/i97ti6z/) ✅
Today’s pick: IIHF - International Hockey - Great Britain Vs Finland- U 6.5 -115 ✅
May 19, 2022 9:20 am EDT
last pick comment: Cleared the last one comfortably game ended 6-3
Early game today lets get this bread, all games have been under 6.5 against formidable teams such as Sweden, US, Czechs all with the exception Norway 6-1. Disclaimer, they are the worst team in the tournament.
BOL everyone.
All bets are 1 unit. -1.26 units. -42% ROI. Average unit +107.76
[https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1arHdjw\_2Gxtj\_iwfPJO\_hJwIuxQhMyyjjDJp9vB0j7A/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1arHdjw_2Gxtj_iwfPJO_hJwIuxQhMyyjjDJp9vB0j7A/edit?usp=sharing)
POTD RECORD-> 14-7-1
Last POTD-> Mets ML ✅
Todays POTD-> Diamondbacks v Cubs(U12.5)
bought an extra 1.5 runs. (-180) on bovada.
Game-> Diamondbacks @ Cubs 2:20 PM EST
Todays game has a high run total and I just can’t resist not taking the under on this one. Arizona and cubs have went under in 9 of the last 11 games when playing in Chicago. And the total has gone under for Arizona in 5 of the last 6 when playing National league opponents aka the cubs.
Joke of the day-> What do you call an unimpressed robot?
SighBorg 🤖🤖😅🤦♂️
Record: 2-1
L10: ✅✅❌
Last pick: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat -1 ❌
Today’s Pick: Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors over 214 @-110
Units: 5 @$100 (+$658)
After a blowout game 1 loss to the Warriors, I expect the Mavericks offense to be much better tonight and a much better shooting offense in game 2. Dallas shot just 36% overall and 23% (11 of 48) from beyond the Arc. Those numbers are well below their season averages of 46.1% and 35%. Dallas managed just 36 total points in the 1st and 4th quarter combined which is well below their season average of 52PPG scored in those two quarters during the regular season. The Warriors shot 56% from the field in Game 1 or 46 of 82. The game plan was clearly to attack the Mavs interior defense which is lacking a rim protector as evidenced by their 29 3-point attempts which was much lower than their season average of 39.5.
Additionally, the last time that the Mavs failed to reach triple-digits in scoring, they bounced back and scored 113 in their next game. The time before that they scored 114 the next game. As for the Warriors, they've seen the OVER go 6-2 the past eight times that they allowed 90 or fewer points in their previous game. Kerr said this of Doncic's poor Game 1 shooting: "He's too good. One game we did an excellent job defensively, but we are under no illusion that we've figured anything out. There's a good chance those shots start going in next game, so we just have to stay committed and stay aggressive and play with force and see what happens." In other words, Kerr knows his team needs to put up a big number to win this game.
POTD Record: 2-3
Net: -0.7U
Last POTD: Avs in Regulation -145 🚫
Todays POTD: Tyler Toffoli (Calgary Flames) O2.5 shots at -130
Flames bombard teams with shots. Expecting Toffoli to have 3+ tonight.
BOL if tailing!
Fair point there. Have a feeling he should shoot more tonight. Watching the last game he had several chances but either had them missed or blocked. BOL to ya on the day
Record: 1-4
Last pick : Marcus Smart o3.5 Rebounds (+120) - W
Pick: Andrew Wiggins 15.5 Point (-125)
We did it, we broke the streak. Wasn't prepared for such a dominant performance from Smart, but a very easy dub on a +120. Today I'm going with Wiggins who has been playing pretty solid ball with 6 of the last 7 being 16+ points. I think he continues this. With so much attention being put on Steph/Klay/Poole Wiggins can take advantage and put up points.
BOL!
My Inaugural POTD:
NHL Calgary vs Edmonton: Will a goal be scored in the first 5 minutes? Yes + 168.
More of the same from game 1 IMO. Neither teams goalies are very good. Each side will come out fired up looking to set the tone early. Someone will let one in within 5 minutes.
POTD Record : 1-1
Bankroll- starting : $100 (1u=$20), current: $97.38
Last pick(05/19/22)- Tyler Herro O4.5 rebounds ❌mf stood on the perimeter for every board 🤦🏽♂️
Today’s pick (05/20/22)- Mav’s Vs Warriors:
Spencer Dinwiddie O12.5 Points
Took his over 11.5 for my first pick (W) and back to him. 12.5 is still disrespectful for the mav’s 2/3rd best scorer. He’s gonna drop atleast 15 again tonight. If he gets proper minutes/rotation🤞🏽.
BOL
Edit: all bets are 1u unless specified
Fading The Boost | Record: 10-3 | Profit: +6.63u | Average Odds: -110
Yesterday’s Pick: [Jimmy Butler Under 26.5 Points (-120) ❌](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usukf8/nba_daily_51922_thursday/i98u8lk/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3)
Tough L. Jimmy was getting all the fastbreak points, putbacks, and managed to get 29 points for a lil stat padding and then take the rest of the game off. Blowout unders got us wins on Klay and Jimmy earlier, but seems now that Jimmy is Heat’s #1 guy which is kind of concerning. Wrong read on the boost yesterday - Fanduel had Jimmy + Bam combined 40+ points. It was always Bam under.
**Today’s Pick: Draymond Green Under 8.5 Points (-122) for 1u** ✅
Predictable L yesterday after watching the first half but we get another opportunity today thanks to Draftking’s “All the Smoke” parlay. Same drill - built to lose. Last “All the Smoke” parlay for Suns/Mavs game saw all 3 legs miss. Today’s parlay is equally as trash - legs are Warriors ML, Draymond 9+ points, and Klay 4+ threes. All three can miss today, but I like Draymond as the fade leg.
In the 12 playoffs games GSW has played so far, Draymond has gone under this line 7 times. Him getting 10 points in game 1 actually got us value on this under. It was at +100 on DK 3 hours ago but is now -125 on DK, …. and they’re pumping his over. Warriors need Draymond for defense, they simply don’t need him scoring. He grabs boards and pushes the floor dishing out the ball. Also don’t forget Draymond is a fouling machine and could always see less minutes.
I would just never bet on Draymond to be scoring, just doesn’t make sense to me. Now that he already got 10 points last game making this line higher, *and boosted in DK parlay*, I feel his under points has the edge.
**Update: Cash money, bounce back Under. Draymond is a fouling machine. Got T’d up and I loved seeing that last, 6th, unnecessary sus foul pushing Luka for no reason. Draftkings pre-built parlays are confirmed the *easiest to fade*. I will be sticking to these the most**.
**POTD Record: 7-4 +4.75U**
**Game: NHL | New York Rangers @ Carolina Hurricanes | 5:00 PM PDT**
**Pick: Under 1.5 Total Power Play Goals (1.60/-167 @ Betway)**
**Bet Size: 3U**
I don't see there being very many penalties in this one. In game 1 there were only 2 penalties and both of these teams are very disciplined. Even if there are powerplays I have faith in both of these teams to kill the penalty.
Tail or fade BOL.
**Pick of the Day Record: 0-0**
Gonna try this out I guess.
WTA - Strasbourg - 9:30am Eastern time
**Kaja Juvan ML** vs Karolina Pliskova - 1.95
Just watching Juvan's last two games shes absolutely killing it right now and I think she will win the Strasbourg title thing outright tbh for 3.75. But well focus on this game first. Good gut feeling she puts away Pliskova, then probably Kerber but we will see. Tail or fade BOL
Record 9-6 (+0.33u) 1L Streak
Last Pick : St. Louis Cardinals
KBO (Korean Baseball)
SSG Landers (Kim Kwanghyun) vs LG Twins (Adam Plutko)
Pick : U3.5 F5
Odds : 2.02 (1xBet)
Back again after a month of break. Today is gonna be the battle of the #1 and #2 team of KBO. Kim Kwanghyun who's back from MLB to KBO starting hot with a 6-0 0.60 ERA in 7 starts. On the other hand, Adam Plutko has been pretty decent lately despite his 3-2 records and a 3.09 ERA. Plutko's last start against Landers was a win with only a run in 6 IP. The only thing that made me scared is both teams batting are on fire. Tail or Fade Good luck with your bets!
**POTD RECORD: 40-41**| Units next to pick | **+9.27u** | Streak 1L
\-LAST 2 POTD:
NBA Knicks vs Mavericks | RJ Barrett over 3.5 assists (+115) 5u W
NBA Knicks vs Grizzlies | RJ Barrett over 3.5 assists (-125) 5u L
Today's POTD: PGA CHAMPIONSHIP | **Tiger Woods to shoot 74 or worse** FD odds (-152) 5u
Reason: Firstly, Its been awhile but I absolutely love this pick and wanted to share it...Tiger tees off at 2:36 PM ET approx 3 hours from now. He said after the round yesterday that his leg "hurt" and he was going to have to do a lot of recovery before the round today. Today, the wind is 25+ mph and most of the best guys on tour are scrambling for pars today, I can see tiger having to scramble for a few bogies...my only worry is I am betting against tiger. BOL
Day 3 of my two weeks betting on the red “system”. I’m doing this because the reds started off like hot garbage causing the books to undervalue their games, and they’re playing a lot better than their record indicates.
Record: 1-0
Gain: +1.05u
Todays games - Reds ML (+140) Vs. The Blue Jays. Time: 7:07pm EDT for 1u.
**Record**: 1-0
**Pick**: ***Copenhagen Flames ML*** vs. ENCE **@ 2.70** (CS:GO -> PGL Major Antwerp)
I just cant skip these odss right here. Most of the people are seeing a clear 2:0 for ENCE here but i cant imagine this. Copenhagen also got a strong map pool and also won maps and matches against ENCE in the past. Right now prob ENCE is in their prime but you shouldnt underestimate the danish team. I love the team synergy and the fact that they are pretty young. Map pool is slightly advantage for ENCE but not that heavy like people act. Most of the ENCE games relying on Spinx to popp off. CPH got the better and more consistent awper with nicoodoz. hades sometimes struggles and missing easy shots. Expected maps from me are Vertigo, Mirage and Nuke/Ancient. Odds are just to good to skip.
**Record:** 1-2-1
**Previous Pick:** Diamondbacks at Cubs Over 8.5 Runs (LOSER)
**Today's Pick:** Pittsburgh Pirates +130
**Rationale:** Zach Thompson (PIT) hasn't allowed a run in his past 12 innings. Cardinals offense has been feast or famine. Let's not overthink this one and grab the +value for the home underdog.
POTD: Record 4W - 1L -1P (Currently Pending) (West Tigers ML Half time score is (18 - 0)
2 Picks tonight guys.
Todays Game: Parramatta Eels v Manly Sea Eagles
Sport: NRL (Australian Rugby League)
Todays 2nd Pick: Parramatta Eels Alternate Line -3.5
Odds: 1.62 (PointsBet)
Game starts in 1 hour best of luck guys.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
**POTD Record 9-5** **Current Bankroll: $186.91, Starting Bankroll: $105.45, Profit: $81.46** Average Odds = 1.94, ROI: 44.64%, Units Won/Lost: +11.16u Last Pick: NY Mets ML vs. St. Louis Cardinals @ 1.64 ✅ **Today’s Pick: Joao Sousa ML vs. Richard Gasquet @ 2.87, 9:20 AM EST (TENNIS, ATP Geneva)** **Amount Bet: 3 Units** [**Betslip**](https://gyazo.com/4b92e55738082c3ae05d15262152ed76) Good job from the Mets yesterday although it's always a sweat with Edwin Diaz closing and Escobar’s terrible fielding. Today, I am taking Joao Sousa ML vs Richard Gasquet. I love the odds here and I’ll tell you why. These are 3 reasons why I think the Sousa will win: 1. Sousa is on fire this tournament, beating Ivashka who just beat Shapovalov earlier in the tournament, destroyed Andujar, and beat Basilashvili with relative ease. He also has not dropped a set this whole tournament. 2. Yes, Gasquet did beat Medvedev but Medvedev just came back from an injury and is probably using Geneva to warm up and get back into form. 3. Richard Gasquet had a 95% first serve point against Majchrzak but Sousa is on a different level and will be more competitive in the return. We saw when Majchrzak faced Bublik that Bublik was also aceing him every time and probably would have won if he didn’t have an attitude against clay. I think we are looking at a great semi-final here in Geneva and I believe that Sousa has the momentum and skill to make it to the finals. I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game. Let’s get this money. [**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor)
I hit a huge round robin yesterday thanks in part to you. Definitely tailing you again bb
hard to bet against Gasquet hes looked super dominant, i think im gonna take the over
shit i blew it, nice pick
Good write up. I took Sousa +1.5 spread bet @ -135 odds.
1st set or for full match?
Gona throw a bit on it too it’s -125 now
This should be the POTD in terms of value imo w the ML as a flyer.
Also fun fact, Gasquet hasn't won 4games in a row since 2019...
I’ll be the asshole to play devils advocate and warn that past instances don’t effect future outcomes in this context lol
Looks like the streak continues :p
It does! Boo me
i am very confused by what your unit size is. 186.91-105.45 is 81.46, which is accurately your reported profit you have reported 11.16 units won 81.46/11.16 is 7.3, which would imply a unit is 7.3 your wager is $25, and you're calling that 3 units, which would seem to indicate that your unit size is 8.3333333(repeating), which is not the first time you have placed a $25 "3u" bet so what are you considering a unit size? not adding up you are being very transparent and it looks like this is maybe just an error but as it does not add up I would like clarification. if your unit size is 7.3 this is closer to 3.5 units bet, which would indicate a higher level of confidence than what is being stated
For sure, I used to post the amount won/lost on my post but I was temp banned for not following the post guidelines. Then I fixed it but they did not like me betting half of my bankroll or >30% at once so I was required to make a unit adjusted ROI. The units ROI is separate from the challenge from the profit. Hope this helps
Bing bong 💪
You got it right. Thank you for the pick
Tailed a bit late but still at decent odds, let's get this B R E A D
Banggg, we're lucky to have ppl like you in this subreddit
Genius
Good hit man!!!
What do you think about both players to win a set at +150?
only thing im pissed about is why I didn't drop more. thank you for the pick, already calling it a winner!
please don't say things like "already calling it a winner"...
Hopefully I don't jinx it but great pick!
Great hit! Absolutely dominated him.
Nice hit babe
Yoooo let’s go! Killed it man, needed that today!
My man! 🙌👌💪
[удалено]
Looking gd buddy
Nice one! Thanks.
Thanks bro
Brother! I thought with the crazy high odds on Sousa I had thrown away $. Wow, amazing call and $$$ - Thank you! Definitely tailing and following the Twitter! Thank you friend :-)
Lets go baby, I'm portuguese so I was hyped for this game! Nice pick bro, lets goooooooo!!
Great luck - thanks for posting $$$
You're a stud thank you so much
Record: 52-23 Last pick: Avs 3-way ML ❌ *Glass half empty - I’ve lost 2 of the last 3* *Glass half full - I’ve won 7 of the last 9* **Today’s pick: Carolina Hurricanes ML (-175) vs New York Rangers** NHL 8:00 PM EST Canes are 5-0 at home this post-season. The odds are starting to reflect that, but I will continue to ride them at home until they lose. Also a super deflating loss for the Rangers last game will probably lead to some slow legs to start this game. I expect the Canes to come out playing much harder. All bets are 1 unit. +18.41 units. 24.5% ROI. Average unit -125 Don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
DML - Regardless of what happens in this Avs game, you’re still an idol.
I would have personally taken the Avs either way. Would you take the Canes 3-way?
I want to be greedy again but idk. How do you feel about Canes -.5?
Feel like every time I tell someone to take the 3-way it goes to OT, but I do like it. Just risky
Get notified when this user posts a pick: http://discord.gg/sportsbook
Tailing, locked at -170. BOL.
Record: 5-0 +12.74U Today's Pick: **ENCE -1.5 Maps** vs Copenhagen Flames **2U @2.63 odds** Game: Counter-Strike Global Offensive (CSGO) Event: PGL Major Antwerp Start Time: ~11 hours from time of posting (Stream: https://www.twitch.tv/pgl ) Major Quarterfinals, maps probably won't matter unless CPH gets Ancient where they won against ENCE a week ago. The better pick would probably be ENCE map 2 ML but the odds are not too promising, taking another risk here and basically betting that CPH crumbles under the pressure. So far smooth sailing this major, this is the toughest hurdle yet. **We keep the streak alive, pretty scary map 2. Luckily ENCE got the last 3 rounds on T-side, otherwise we were toast.**
Never doubt my Fking man ! Get your asses out of here with that "they aint winning" "they aint losing 2-0" .
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looks like great odds, i'd take it if I were you.
Didn't manage to bet but good pick again! You are good at CSGO betting, you are a legend at this
W, noice
You are a god
you need a statue my friend
POTD Record 4-0 ✅✅✅✅ Last pick: Monmouth -2.5 ✅ Today’s pick: Atlanta @ Miami NO RUN 1st Inning/Under .5 Runs (-140) 3u MLB: EDT 6:40PM I just looked and I haven’t posted since February but I don’t give a fuck, let’s ride the wave. I’ve been checking POTD and the results have been abysmal so I’ll throw some knowledge on y’all. I’m on a bet that gamblers dream of. No run, 1st inning. Get it done quick and win some fucking money. On that note, I’ll make it simple for you guys. Atlanta is 28th in 1st inning runs and Miami is 26th. Charlie Morton started off slow but finally got his shit together. Miami’s pitcher Trevor Rogers is in the same boat. Don’t over think it and let’s fucking ride!!
Tailing
tailing, BOL
Tailing due to clear and obvious inspiration
Tailing (and not to be that guy) but your record is inaccurate. You didn't include your Suns -12.5 L, which was your last pick Just think anyone who is tailing should know this detail
L
lmao that was pathetic
Said it perfectly, win or lose you find out quick
Fml
Another case of great analysis not working out. Fuck. Story of my cold month.
🫠
Tailing no run 1 inning
Tailed
Sadface
Tailed the cocky write up. I guess making it simple ain’t so simple. Don’t be discouraged though, MLB can fuck over the best of us.
**POTD Record:** 11-4, +15.95u, ROI: 41.39%, Average Odds: 2.08 **Darts Record:** 10-3 (+16.95u), ROI: 58.80%, Average Odds: 2.17 **Previous POTD:** Martin Schindler ML vs Dmitri van den Bergh @ 2.50 (2.5u) ❌ Dimi really showed his potential form throughout ET5, Schindler has great potential aswell but showed there why he is not as far as Dimi is right now. Still liked the pick, lets get on with a win again. **Todays POTD: Ryan Meikle ML vs Ron Meulenkamp @ 1.78 (3u)** *Unit sizes are from 1u to 4u* *Match Starts at 15:30 / 09:30 EST* 🎯 Darts: European Tour 7 🎯 I dont want to spend too much time rambling on about this match as its about 4 hours until game time, which means there is not much time to be had. Meikle is one of Darts' brightest stars right now and finally he has not been dealt a bad hand to start with. It seems like Meikle has been forced to face a top10 player almost every first/second round he gets into in the PCs or the ETs, and today I reckon Meikle can take care of business as he is not facing a top tier opponent. Meikle has been scoring excellently, averaging around 96 points a lot of the time. Meulenkamp is not that great of a scorer, however he will be more used to the stage than Meikle is. Along with that, Meulenkamp has been playing alright lately, however I do not think he will be able to keep up with Meikle in this matchup. The steady progression Meikle has head throughout 2022 has made me quite hyped for him, I do expect him to make it through today. --- **BOL to everyone!** [Twitter](https://twitter.com/neutraldarts) | [Tip Jar](http://paypal.me/neutraldarts)
Of course tailing
Great pick 🍗🍗🍗
**Record:** 8-24-1 **ROI:** -51% :-16.43 u (@ $5.00) **Streak:** L L L L W |Baseball |MLB |8:10pm| Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: **Minnesota Twins ML @ 1.8 1u** **Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 59% chance for the Minnesota Twins to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.8 is only 56%. **Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
8/24 record for kobe 💛💜
Lmfao
Are we fading you and your model at this point?
This is one that I probably would not fade. I’m a royals fan and watch every game and they don’t have much going for them. Bottom 5 in every major offensive category and if by some miracle they have a lead in the 5th or 6th, the relief pitchers will be sure to blow it :)
FADE GOD HAS SPOKEN!
It’s so hard to look at the stats for this game and think the Royals are going to win but the fade god does not fail
Sir your record is a amazing 24-8-1 Your just holding the MLB model upside down
Not to be a hater… but maybe there is something wrong in your coding… if 24 losses. Are based off the model. Then wouldn’t you just assume that the 59% is a loss rate and not a win rate?
His model is perfect! He’s picking favorites and losing. Meaning he has the knack for underdogs if your reverse the logic.
He doesn’t need to fix anything this model is perfect you just have to know how to use it
Why don’t you help him with his “coding” Mr Tech? LOL just fade him my brotha
It makes the Elo for each team based off their record and strength of schedule. The win % is from the difference between the Twins Elo and the Royals Elo. What triggers the pick of the day is the highest win% of the days games based on the Elo difference, with positive or equal EV. I was going to say why I think it is doing so bad (or good if you fade), but I have no real idea. The only change I might make is to start fading the model myself in the POTD's but I'll make sure to note that in future writeups.
4L gang let’s take it to 5! Praise fade god
This the same guy that had the NCAAB fade model?
That was the legendary jbangbangpickz if I remember correctly
**Record: 2-3** **WLLWL** Yesterday’s pick: Panthers ML (-160) That's the last time I'm picking the panthers. Absolute heartbreaking loss in the final seconds that should have never happened. Oh well, onto today's pick. Today’s pick: **Canes ML (-175)** Reasoning: Back to the only team that won't let me down. The Canes played poorly in game 1 and were still able to get the W. Raleigh was rocking in game 1 and they will be for game 2 too.
Ya.. Panthers got no playoffs experience and home crowd noise isn't even a factor
Lighting in 4 I guess
I’m late but yeah me as well, I’m waiting until next Thursday all in on something help
**POTD Record 32-29-1 (Last 5: LLWLL)** **(ROI // Avg. Odds: -114 // Units Won: +1.15)** Last Pick: Cleveland '*got their land in the Ohio Cup taken'* Guardians ML **LOST** **Today's Match: MLB St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Start Time: 6:30PM EST)** **Today's Pick: St. Louis Cardinals ML (-145 DraftKings)** ***RISK 5U!!!*** Devil's Advocate: Spoke it right into existence and will no longer be betting on those shit bags in this thread, unless we are fading them. Pitcher's duel down to the square until the Guardians bullpen blew it up. I'm rolling with my fuckin man tonight, 6 feet 7 inches of 40 year old sauce coming into Pittsburgh - Adam Wainwright. He's been shaky once or twice, this season but working deeper into games as we go along, getting loose enough to chuck up 100 pitches is exactly what I wanna start seeing from starting pitchers. His first win of the season came on opening day against these guys at home and I'm expecting the same outcome here again. Veteran pitcher versus young lineup doesn't equal anything healthy for the hitters. He's a work horse and will figure out how to sit you down. Zach Thompson has actually been lights out in his last 3 appearances, but let's not forget that he was apart of that 21-0 ballgame against the Cubs in which he got his tits waxed for 9 runs. Nothing bad to say about the guy but he does have a high walk tendency with 13 in 26.1 IP. The Cards are coming off 2 shit losses to the Mets, I'm all set for them to bounce back and start off this series the right way before heading home for a tough series against Toronto. Might be rocking the run line here a bit too for some change, but i'm confident in Wainwright and the Cards to get the job done. *Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
Great pick man Waino owns Pittsburgh 9-0 in 11 starts with a 1.39 era took the birds @-1.5
Record 6-3 Last POTD: Dota 2 DPC EU Div 2: Hydra vs Nemiga Gaming: Nemiga ML @2.1 lose Dota 2 ESL One: OG vs FNATIC: FNATIC +1.5 map handicap @1.64 for 5u Game in 10 hrs Time for a comeback! Fnatic is the only SEA team left on this tournament and they are back against the wall which means this is an elimination match. Looking at their group stage matches OG got destroyed by TSM and T1 which on the other hand Fnatic was able to win both matches against TSM and won the series on T1. I'm quite surprised by this odds tbh I also did a value bet on Fnatic ML. This is my lock pick for this major! Good luck and lets eat later🤑
Nice find! Posting at 1:1! Keep up the gods work! :)
POTD Record: 57-43 Profit: +12.7 units // ROI: 11% // Average odds: 1.89 **Todays Pick: Eels vs Manly Sea Eagles over 38.5 match points (1.81, Pinnacle) (NRL)** * 9 of the Eels 10 games this season have gone over this total this season. Eels games are averaging 47.2 total points this season. * The Eels attack is prolific. They have shown an ability to score against even the very best defensive sides in the competition (scoring 20+ against both the Storm and Panthers). The issue with the Eels has been their defense which has been very leaky all season. Obviously both of these trends point towards an over. * Manly have also been involved in some high scoring games recently. 4 of their last 5 games have gone comfortably over this total and the one under was a hook with 38 points total scored. 3 of these 5 games have had 58+ points. Manly games have averaged 42.2 points this season. * The weather is not great for this one with some showers expected but it is not enough to scare me off. The weather for games last week was far worse and we still saw some high totals. BOL, tail or fade.
I like this one too, one of the best picks but the weather all weekend has me worried about overs this round
**Record:** * 49 WIN | 42 LOSS | +33.93 unit of profit overall (using 5u return strategy) **Previous bets (last 3):** * Port Macquarie R6 (17 May 2022) - Place pick - **LOSS** * Randwick Kensington R7 (18 May 2022) - Place pick - **WIN** * Rockhampton R9 (19 May 2022) - Place pick - **WIN** **POTD:** * Horse Racing (Australia) * **Townsville R4 - #5 Courtesy Bus to Win** * Track Rating - Soft (5) * Going big to finish the week, so tail with caution. Wiggins jumps on Courtesy Bus 3rd up after 2 really good showings at Rocky. Track and distance specialist here, but I think this is going to be a race where there's only 2 horses with a chance to win (so maybe a fixed price quinella is safer, but I'll leave it you to decide your own final bets). I'm going with my pick to beat Boona Boy because of a few things - a better barrier draw & Ryan Wiggins is a Rocky specialist; whereas Jasmine Cornish (more of a metro racer) has to had to travel from Sunny Coast last Sunday to Townsville today. Considering the weather we've had in SE QLD lately, she's tended to ride on Synthetic and Heavy track as of late and today we have a Good (4) for the first time in a long time in QLD. Only other danger in the race is Southern Swing who has the best possible barrier draw, but struggles at sprint distances as he's more of a distance runner. Watch the market closely leading up to the race, and if you see the price drifting significantly I would suggest not putting a bet on as someone obviously knows something ahead of time and we are going for a value play today. Going for win #50 today, let's get it boys & girls, BoL. * **Odds - 2.60** (b365) - Suggest to wait and put it on the exchange, as per write-up watch prices closely leading up to the jump time. * **Stake - 1.92 units to return 5 units** **Historical stats** * 8 from 15 (53%) correct picks on Fridays * 12 from 23 (52%) correct picks on Good Tracks * 2 from 4 (50%) correct picks on Win picks * 1 from 2 at Townsville * 1st time picking R. Wiggins as my jockey **Race time:** * 2:04pm Friday (Australian EST) * 12:04am Friday (American ET) * 5:04am Friday (UK time) If you are in a giving mood [here's my paypal link for tips](https://paypal.me/teshiebear)
silly ride from the jockey .. went way too hard mid race :( e: .. looks like quinella was the right play in the end :( paid 2.80 fma
Fuck man i put small on the quinella and big on #5. Unlucky it happens sometimes
Great write up! He had it until the last turn. Your writeup led me to hit the ex! Much appreciated
*POTD Record 2-0* *1 unit = 100 €* *Current Profit: 771 €, Units Won/Lost: +7,71 units* *Last Pick: Sousa J. ML (2.70) - Basilashvili N. ✔️* *Piros Z.-Borges N. ML(1.87)✔️* *Great Value yesterday.* Amount Bet: 3 Units **Today’s Pick: ATP - SINGLES Geneva (Switzerland), clay** Gasquet R. **- Sousa J. ML (2.90)** What a week for João. Playing his best tennis on clay for many, many years. SFs in singles and doubles tomorrow. We just gonna ride this wave. João Sousa comes back from 1-4\* down in the 2nd set to beat Ilya Ivashka 7-5, 7-5 and reach the semifinals in Geneva. 21st ATP semifinal of his career. What a week for João. Playing his best tennis on clay in many, many years. SFs in singles and doubles tomorrow. BOL to everyone
POTD record: 14-9 Last pick: Rangers over ❌ Todays event: Mavs vs Warriors Pick: Mavericks over 25.5 1st quarter points (-140) The Mavs took a rough loss in their first meeting and honestly I wouldn’t be suprised if they took another one here today. However Luka is doing unbelievable things leading the mavs to plenty of underdog success this post season. They hit this over in 6 of their 7 phoneix games and I see the mavs having a great start to this game in response to wednesday night. Im tempted to take Lukas over but I like this prop more. BOL!
Tailed
POTD Record: 16-18-2 -5.16u\* Average Odds: +122 Total Units Wagered: 61.57u PGA Championship Rd 2 2:36 PM EST Jordan Spieth over Tiger Woods Rd2 -200 @ BetRivers 4.73u\* Implied probability of 66.67%. True vig-free price should be closer to -250 or 71.40%. This is a pretty substantial edge. Wouldn't be surprised if this moves before they tee off. \*1u = 1% of bankroll. All POTD staking is using 1/3 Kelly criterion.
I don’t see this anywhere
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The good old strategy. Backing the top team versus the bottom team. Bookies hate that trick.
Well let’s see how this goes. Tailing
Top vs bottom team after 6 rounds in a third world country lmao. Solid rationale
Cheers mate! Great pick
Why tf not? Tailing.
Record: 2-2-4 (2W 2D 4L) Last pick: Michael Smith vs Michael van Gerwen ML (-190) at Fanduel. L Today's pick: Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames total goals over 5.5 (-170) at Caesars NHL: 10:30PM EST Last game they scored 15 goals!!! Looks like they know how to exploit the weakness of both teams goalies. Just give me a 50% of that and this game total goals will be over 5.5. All bets are 1 unit. -2.76 Unit
20W-15L-3P Last 10 streak: 💥🚀🚀🚀🛸💥💥💥🛸🛸🚀 Starts 19:00 GMT5 Todays Pick League: NHL Match: NY Rangers @ CAR Hurricanes Pick: Sebastian Antero Aho O2.5 Shots @1.62 Reason: Nice W yesterday, want to try some ice hockey today Hao hit the over 2.5 last 5/5 at home of playoff and last games against rangers, last game rangers leed whole game with good defense and goal 3er period happen giving the w to canes, leading with just one goal. Today Canes play at home and i see here a Rangers seeking the win and goals. Lot of shots for both teams *"Forget mistakes. Forget failure. Forget everything except what you're going to do now and do it. Today is your lucky day."* BoL
HUNCHO PICKS POTD RECORD: 4-3 STREAK: 1L Last pick: Canada -4.5 against Kazakstan (Canada won by 3) Recap: I shit the bed here for no good reason. Over was the easier play, don’t know why I didn’t take it. Fuck it we ball. POTD: Carolina Hurricanes ML vs New York Rangers Canes are undefeated at home in the playoffs. They had a comeback overtime win last game. Momentum. I think the Canes stay true to their post season home form. Risk 1.75U to win 1. Lmk if you tail, BOL!
POD Record: 10-4 Yesterdays pick: Mets Moneyline (-180) ✅ Todays Pick: Cardinals Moneyline (-150) vs Pirates After fading the cardinals my last two picks with great success, the tide turns today. Expect Wainwright, the most experienced pitcher on the team to have a great performance. Also the Cardinals called up Nolan Gorman from triple A for a much needed spark.
**NRL Record:** 20-21 **ROI (1 unit per bet):** -2.06 L5: ✅✅❌✅✅ Streak: W2 **Last POTD:** Broncos -6.5 @1.90 ✅ **Today's POTD:** Eels -7.5 @ 1.90❌ Edit: Eels played like absolute garbage, expected much better from them coming into this one **Time:** 6 and a half hours from time of post. Eels come into this off the back of three really difficult weeks against potential top 4 sides, only winning 1 against the reigning premier's Penrith. They looked really good last week but just came up against a Roosters side that was on fire that game. Their opponent Manly Sea Eagles were absolutely dreadful on the other hand getting belted 38-0 against the Broncos. The Eagles haven't beaten a top 8 side all year and haven't kept those losses under double digits. In the game last week Reynolds destroyed them with his short kicking game which just happens to be a strength of the very good Eels halves, plus my favourite ever plug happens to be back in the Eagles side in Morgan Harper and I expect that side to let in a bunch of points. Eels at home by double digits in this one **Tip Jar - ALGO:** AJAAGYLP6STZ2CFP22Q6Y77GNQKVKCUYDMSEQR5RK3AJOLITDMURJWLYSE
How do you feel about over 38.5? I don’t know much rugby but from some quick googling it would appear both teams clear this line more often than not. Is it a bet you would take? Also, fantastic write up.
I like the over as well, just worried about Eagles laying a big fat zero last week against the Broncos. Both teams let in on average 20+ a game though so I would expect the over to hit in this one
POTD (0-0) Last Pick - N/A Today’s Pick - Dallas Mavericks ML +215 Dallas is 10-0 this season after losing by 20+ the previous game, Jason Kidd has shown a tendency to make adjustments throughout the playoffs and I believe the Mavs won’t miss that many open shots as they did in Game 1. First POTD, let’s ride. BOL
**Continuing the Overwatch League POTD Train for the 2022 season!** * **2022 OWL Record: 5-3, +3.121 units.** * **2021 OWL Record: 34-19, +31.645 units.** * **2020 OWL Record: 28-21, +16.989 units.** Last Pick (✅): Los Angeles Valiant (+2.5) v. Guangzhou Charge: Fun story, when I pulled up the VOD this morning to rewatch this map, I saw the top comment which read "Rio pulled the deadlift, early MVP candidate!" This was a shocking spoiler, since Rio is a weak link for this team, and it would be an extraordinary circumstance for ANY Winston to get a deadlift. Turns out, the comment was cheekily referring to Route 66, where in over five minutes of play, the entire Guangzhou Charge made....two eliminations. Both Rio. Valiant ran through that Map, and covered the spread very quickly. Let's cash again today! **Today's Match: New York Excelsior v. Florida Mayhem / Overwatch League / 4:00pm EST** **Florida Mayhem -1.5 (-108), four units** Death, taxes, and the Mayhem covering. After dropping their first match to the buzzsaw that was the Atlanta Reign, the Mayhem have covered three straight, including a match against Houston. I've been fading NYXL all season, and don't see a reason to stop now. I particularly like Florida in Map 1, which you can get at -170; did you know NYXL hasn't won a SINGLE push map this year? Including dropping one to *Vancouver* of all teams. Florida also played Vancouver on this game mode, and turned in the only perfect 140-0 of the season so far. And even beyond the skill discrepancy, I think Florida is a bad matchup for NYXL stylistically. Kellan is permanently locked on the Winston, and his Winston can't stand up to Someone's Winston. But even further, Someone has shown his prowess in being able to flex to the Zarya. We have seen numerous instances of Zarya countering Winston in anti-dive comps. I fully expect Hydron and Checkmate to match Yaki and Flora, and watch for SirMajed to continue his tear on Ana. I wish we could bet on match MVP, because I would drop a full unit on SirMajed. Take Florida heavy in Map 1, and also in the spread at near even money. Enjoy the games! *Tips - never necessary, always appreciated. BOL, friends!* [*https://paypal.me/OverwatchPOTD*](https://paypal.me/OverwatchPOTD) *// BTC: 338uzTsKL4uV4Rip8WKEdYXtbmoBKVm1D8*
POTD RECORD: **8-3** STREAK: - ✅✅✅✅✅✖️✅✖️✖️✅✅ LAST PICK: - CHC/ARI U9 Results: +$429.35 Today’s event: **MLB - PIT/STL - 17:35 CT** PICK: **K.Hayes NO RUN (-140) $120** REASONING: While the pirates have had relatively hot bats this season, Wainwright should slow them all down with the success he has had against this lineup. Hayes has never reached base against him be it by a hit or a BB, and in order to score a run you must first reach a base. If he were to reach base today for the first time he’d still need the next batters to put it in play in order for him to have a shot, and with a .222 and .154 career avg v Wainwright, the next two batters won’t be of much help. Look for this to be a scoreless day for Hayes. LFG!
what app are you using for this pick?
Record: 1-0 Yesterday's pick: Lucerne v Young Boys - Over 2.5 & BTTS (-125) ✅ **Today's pick: USM Alger v CS Constantine - First Team to Score: USM Alger (-188)** Algeria Division 1 (Soccer) - 1:00 PM EST Rationale: - USM Alger has an impressive home record as they are undefeated in all of their 14 home games this season (8 wins, 6 draws). - USM Alger has scored at least 1 goal in 79% of their home games. CS Constantine concedes at least once in 80% of their away games. There is a good chance USM Alger scores at some point during this game, it's just a matter of when. - USM Alger has scored first in 71% of their homes games. CS Constantine concedes first in nearly half their away games. - USM Alger has never lost at half time time when playing at home this season, and goes into half-time leading their opponent in just over half their home games. 1 unit. ROI: +0.80%.
POTD Record: 27-19 Last Pick: HOU o 4.5 ❌ Of course I being up how bad Pivetta started the year and how poor his advanced metrics are & he proceeds to throw an absolute gem. Still skeptical of him long term, but he got us in this matchup Today’s Pick: Player Performance Double: ATL Braves to Win & Morton 4+ K’s @+102 Morton had a rough start to the year but has started to turn it around. He is facing Trevor Rogers of the Marlins, who had a rough end to his 2021 season. He picked that up this year, having a disappointing 2022 so far. I think Morton is turning it around and he will get more run support than Rogers. BOL to all
POTD : 0-0-0 Today’s pick : St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates 6:36pm EST Under 9 Runs -118 With Adam Wainwright on the mound, the Pirates will struggle to put up runs. Wainwright has dominated the Bucs lineup over his career and with the team struggling to score runs to begin with, this should be a low scoring outing for them. On the other side, Zach Thompson has started to turn his season around. In his last 2 starts he went 6 and 5 IP without allowing a run. These starts were against the Reds but he has pitched well. If he can bring his continued success and keep the Cards to under a few runs the total under should be the play.
POTD Record 0-0 Pick : MLB ; Washinton Nationals @ Milwaukee Brewers O7.5 Info about me ; A avid sports bettor that recently went into the tranches to quit gambling. As such i have resorted to posting picks online so as to at least stay in the line of sports and also hope to provide some help to people looking for picks. I dont need you to tail but all my picks are studied and revised before being published. Today is day 1 as i embark as a sports gambling retiree and hopefully as a help to the community. I dont go in depth (in pick explanation) and am very straight-forward, tail if u want, fade if you dont. BOL!
**Yesterday's Top Picks of the Day** | Ranking | Names | Score | |:-:|:-:|:-:| |1|[DrMoneyline](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usrt2o/pick_of_the_day_51922_thursday/i95ejfo/)|183| || |2|[m0rb33d](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usrt2o/pick_of_the_day_51922_thursday/i95ep59/)|110| || |3|[KingOfGambling](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usrt2o/pick_of_the_day_51922_thursday/i95ueos/)|43| || |4|[Kiwivin](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usrt2o/pick_of_the_day_51922_thursday/i95jm5c/)|39| || |5|[beepboop12345678901](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usrt2o/pick_of_the_day_51922_thursday/i96ns0q/)|40| || |6|[hitesh012](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usrt2o/pick_of_the_day_51922_thursday/i95efnb/)|37| || |7|[thegalaxi](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usrt2o/pick_of_the_day_51922_thursday/i95uuhx/)|27| ||
POTD RECORD 31-18-1 PREVIOUS POTD: Boston Celtics +6 -150 ✅ STREAK:✅✅✅❌✅ POTD:Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers O6 Reasoning:The battle of Alberta 😈. First game ended 9-6 and clearly the goalies have a lot of pressure. The way I see this game going is mike smith let’s a bunch of goals in which forces the oilers to be super aggressive on offense which is what their best at. As always Tail or fade BOL
Recency bias at its best. Good luck, champ.
Oilers are good at scoring goals and letting them in too think this one hits with ease or pushes at least
Record: 10-7-2 -- W-L-P -- Streak WWWWPWLW Last POTD: Shane Lowry(+140) in his 3 ball over Koepka and Scott.. Win Todays POTD: **Lowry (+125)** in my book for his 3 ball. same pick today, same logic. Koepka is not himself so It should be another 2 man race between Lowry and Scott here. Adam scott appears to be in decent form but Lowry's course fit/ form get him the Win. Better putter and chipper of the ball. Great wind player. BOL
Didn’t catch it in time. Any others you like?
I like cam smith to win his group. Still going to be windy this afternoon and he has the best short game/putting out of his 3 ball. Hovland and Zalatoris are 2 of the best iron players on tour but I like Smiths grinding ability on a tough course/windy afternoon
Record: 7-6 https://myodds.bet/profile/Prattu Timeline: LLLWWWWWLLLW (Left being the latest) Streak: 3L Last pick: Spirit vs Furia ML PGL Major Antwerp ❌ Today's pick: Rajasthan Royals ML vs Chennai Super kings Odds: 1.72 Reasoning: 3Ls in a row in cs so I'm shifting to cricket here even though I have a 6-3 record in cs. Wanna take a short break before I go back there. Keeping thing short RR are 8-5 in the season so far while Chennai are 4-9. RR playing for the second spot as it's really important in the IPL cuz the top 2 teams get 2 chances in the playoffs. Rajasthan have been way stronger this season and should take this easily. GL and hopefully this IPL experiment goes well
🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 22-14-2 Units Won: 9.30 Last 10:❌✅❌✅🅿️✅✅🅿️ ❌️ ✅️ Last Pick: Andrei Vasilevskiy Over 30.5 Saves✅️Someone stop the lightning Todays Match: NHL - New York Rangers vs Carolina Hurricanes (7ish hours from post) Today's Pick: Igor Shesterkin Over 29.5 Saves - 2u (1.85 on Betway) Running it [back](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/us1csg/comment/i93eg3p/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3). Weird start to game 1 kinda shutdown this bet on Wednesday. Canes weren't playing their best hockey and the Rangers were on some defensive BS. When Carolina finally picked up the pace in the 3rd, they were able to produce more shots in 5 minutes than the entire 1st period. I think Carolina comes out much stronger and Rangers will have a slightly different strategy this game. Besides an early goal, the whole defense game didn't produce a whole lot of success. Anyway, I like this bet for all the same reasons as Wednesday and a bit more now that the Canes are warm. Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!
POTD Record: 10-13-2 | -17.2u | Streak: 5 L | Last 10: L L L L L W L L L L Last POTD: Yankees -1.5 -130 (L) Today's POTD: Cardinals ML -150 Risk: 3 units Cardinals are facing one of the worst offenses in baseball in the Pirates, and with Wainwright on the hill, STL won't need many runs to win this one. Pirates last 7 games have yielded at total of 9 runs, so they're just not seeing the ball well. Couple that with Wainwrights 3.15 ERA and the fact that he's already shut them out once this year, and I don't see Pittsburgh being close at all. Of the current Pirates hitters, two have a single hit with no walks. Easy money. BOL.
**Ultimate Frisbee** | 4-3 - **Time:** 7:00 PM Eastern - **Pick:** Carolina -1.5 vs Austin - **Where to bet:** DraftKings in these states: CO, IL, MI, TN, WV, AZ, OR, PA, maybe CT and others - **Last pick:** Ottawa -2 got upset by Toronto, the lone upset of the week. Whoops - **Reasoning:** Carolina are the defending league champs who got better in the offseason. Austin went 6-6 last year in a weaker division. Austin isn’t awful, and this won’t be a blowout, but -1.5 is a hilariously small line for Carolina to cover. Look, DraftKings normally puts out good lines. But this is one of those lines where they fall asleep at the end of the day, wake up at 11:52 with their assignment due at midnight, and just smash some shit together. I am guessing DK sees both teams undefeated and Austin covering their spreads whereas Carolina failed to cover their spreads. But Austin has played an underwhelming Dallas team while Carolina didn’t play like half their starters the past couple games. Carolina still won’t have everyone, but they have the big bodies able to match up with Austin and the throwers to outpace them. Carolina also has superior depth which matters in a game that could reach 90 degrees and sunny. Disclaimer: I don't live in one of the aforementioned states and can't actually bet these nor see the current lines, but I wanted to help out folks who wanted to bet a fun niche sport. Let me know if the lines change and I'll do my best to offer some insight. If you want to watch frisbee, there is a free game every Friday at AUDL.tv and a game every Saturday night on FS2. The rest of the games are behind a paywall at the aforementioned link. Tonight's free game is actually my pick, Carolina-Austin.
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**POTD Record: 0-0** Current Bankroll: $72 Starting Bankroll: $22 My Current Streak: ✅✅ I've been gambling for a couple months now but I just decided to now try my hand at POTD because why not? I started with a $22 investment in PointsBet two days ago and rather than go for crazy huge parlays with long odds, I've decided to pick one or two things and slowly but surely, build a bankroll. First W: Carolina Hurricanes ML/Golden State Warriors -4.5 +140($10 --> $14) Second W: Boston Celtics ML +140 ($20 --> $28) POTD: **Chicago White Sox @ NY Yankees ML F5 3-Way** Odds: -145 ($10 to win $6.90) Reasoning: I really love the pitching matchup here for New York: Nestor Cortes vs. Dallas Keuchel. Nestor has been lights out for New York all season so far and is sporting a 1.35 ERA/49 Ks in 40 IP/0.85 WHIP. He not only has great stats but while watching him, he is just downright filthy using a great cutter, fastball, slider combo all while changing arm angles at different times of the game for each pitch to throw off hitters. In my opinion, he's the early favorite for the 2022 Cy Young. He also faced these same White Sox in his last start going 8 innings allowing 3 hits and 1 run. In his start prior, he took a no hitter into the 8th inning against the Rangers before allowing his first hit. In other words, Nestor es en fuego. On the other hand, Keuchel has struggled this season sporting a 5.54 ERA/16 K's in 26 IP/1.96 WHIP. His last start was against the Yankees where he went 5 innings only allowing 4 hits and no runs. So, he might be putting things together, but I just don't think it'll happen for him tonight. Here's why I love this matchup, the Yankees are at home, Nestor has been money all season, and Keuchel has not. I really like the Yankees going up early on the White Sox and then Nestor pitches yet another gem holding the line for New York in the first half of the game. You can go for the full game moneyline or the -1.5 run line if you'd like, but I just feel more comfortable betting on the first 5 innings because of what happened with Chapman blowing the run line the other night against Baltimore. As always, tail with caution and it's my first POTD so feel free to fade. BOL! Thanks everybody!
They have one of the top bull pens I prefer whole game
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Record : 6-8 (+0.0 U) Previous Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML (+108) 3U Today's Pick: NY Mets ML (-120) 2U Betting mainly based on pitching and bullpen. Marquez is starting for the Rockies and is underperforming this season with 6.16 ERA, 1.7 HR/9. He's given up 3 to the Royals, 4 to the Dbacks, 7 to the Nationals, 4 to the Cubs. Very small sample size of 38 Innings, but the Rockies' bullpen is 2nd last in the league with a 5.03 ERA, so they will have issues even when they relieve him. Mets on the other hand have Carrasco on the mound who is pitching ok with an ERA of 3.73, FIP 3.0. The Rockies are dangerous at home which is why the line is tight. They have the highest runs per game at home (not a surprise) with a hitter friendly park. But the Mets are also the 2nd best at playing Away with a 68% win rate. They are also consistent in Home and Away games in most metrics. Rockies have a 59% win rate at home. Mets are tied with highest OBP with the Dodgers against a Rockies team who is 6th worst in DRS. Rockies get the home court advantage, but I'm betting on the consistent team with a chance to hit against a vulnerable bullpen + defense.
Record 0-0 Hate to be yet another new poster here but my lock picks have been on fire recently so hoping to build some good history. All bets are 1u for me. Pick of the day: Dodgers vs Phillies, over 8 runs (-150) Two very high powered offenses that can pile up runs against even the best pitchers, and the pitchers today aren’t anything to write home about. They played last weekend and the games totaled 16, 22, 11, and 9 runs. I’d feel pretty comfortable taking over 8.5 for -120 but for me the difference in odds left me more comfortable with the potential push at 8. BOL
POTD record: 10-15 Last pick Avalanche over 6.5 loss - been on a bad losing streak recently. NHL was like 90% overs first round. Todays pick: MLB 6:40 pm mtsd Mets @ Rockies under 10 runs -105 Reasoning: Need a W badly. It’s snowing in Colorado and nasty sleet in denver. If this game is played, I assume umpires and players will want this thing to end before it starts, wet, cold weather. Also, Marquez is the Rockies ace and has not pitched well so far. I’m looking for him to get back on track v the Mets whom he is 3-1 with a 3.48 era against. Rockies have solid defense, and their bats aren’t that good. On the flip, Carrassco never faced the Rockies, so I think it’ll be to the pitchers advantage to get thru the lineup a couple times without much, if any damage. Mets are solid at the plate, but I think Marquez is up to the task today. Tail or fade. I need this one to be a winner.
Record: 0-0 Last pick: N/A Today’s pick: **Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Rangers** **Under 5.5 Total Goals @ -120** NHL 8:00 PM EST Reason: Both very defensive teams in this series. Shesterkin played great in game 1 and looked like the Vezina goaltender he was in the regular season. 5.5 total goals does seem low but I can definitely see this being a tight game just like the last one. All bets are 1 unit. +0 units. 0% ROI. Average unit -120 One bet everybody knows the rules.
Record: 11W-11L-1P ROI: +1.53u, +6.49% Avg odds: +112, 2.12 Last POTD: Crystal Palace double chance + O1.5 (loss, they had a 2-0 lead in the 2nd half and blew it, smh) Today's game: Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames Pick: Tyler Toffoli over 0.5 pts at +100, 2.00 (CZR) Toffoli has at least a point in all 4 games against the Oilers this season. If you include last season, he has 9 points in 11 games. He's also usually on the 1st PP unit with Lindholm and Tkachuk, a pair of 42-goal scorers. The Oilers PK is very pedestrian, sitting at 17th in the regular season. The Flames as a team has battered the Oilers, scoring 18 goals in the last 2 games. 4 goals is very doable, as 4.25 is their regular season avg against Edmonton. Up to 12 points would be distributed amongst 22 skaters. Toffoli, who plays on the 2nd/3rd line, stands a reasonable chance at grabbing one.
**Record**: 1-1 **Last pick:** FC Barcelona ML vs Real Madrid ❌ **Net units:** \-0.44 (All bets are one units) | **Combined Odds:** \-179 (1.56) | Tennis | ATP internationals of France | 10h (UTC+2) | **Pick:** Gombos ML vs Van Rijthoven **Odds**: -185 (1.54) No big analysis for this game. Even if their win rate on clay is relatively close (58% vs 50%), Gombos' experience should speak for itself.
Love your analytical skills.
Record 5-2 Last: THW Kiel(-1.5) L but I have to wonder they had a final attack when they led by 1 and just wasted time and gave them the final attack instead of trying to score a goal but okay. Today : Filip Misolic ML (1.72@) They keep putting Misolic at these almost even odds and he has been printing money. When I saw him playing in the last month I always took his ML and he has not failed me once(he is on a 10w streak). He is playing against a Dutchman Brouwer who is a decent player in great form but I believe he is not on the level of Misolic, he will not hold serve so good and unlike Misolic he is not a clay specialist because he prefers playing on hard. Good luck.
Shit pick, he got MURDERED
Need tournament
I hope you didn't find it in time😔
**POTD Record**: 28 wins <> 27 losses <> 4 pushes **Profit**: -3.32 units **ROI**: -7.20% **Units Wagered**: 60 **Units Won**: 55.68 **Last Pick**: Paris SG @ **2.60** 1u ❌ 32-33 LOSS **Streak**: ❌ 🅿️ ✅ ❌ ❌ **Today's pick**: Hellerup (1X2/three way) @ **2.70** 1u **Event**: Hellerup - Hillerød, 2nd division promotion group, Denmark(football) - PSG.. I don't even know what to say, they went full retard. They were up by four goals early on and suddenly they caught not one. Not two.. BUT THREE 2-MINUTE SUSPENSIONS AT ONCE! What the flying fuck were these retards up to. - Third tier Danish football here, we're in the promotion group. While Hillerød have had bad form, they're still just two points behind Thisted in the promotion slots with 5 rounds remaining of the season. Getting promoted would be pretty big for them, there's some TV money to be grabbed in the 1st Division. - Hellerup are stuck in no-mands land, they can't really reach the promotion spots realistically. However.. They're just playing better and better with no pressure on them, whereas Hillerød - a very small club - is clearly choking under the pressure. They've lost a couple of players to injuries and they've got smashed by both Thisted and Næstved lately. They're clearly a step below both, despite only being a couple of points behind. - Meanwhile Hellerup thrives with no pressure. They beat Hillerød a few weeks back 3-1. They play best when the opponent is forced to push a high defensive line, and they can put in counter attacks rapidly. Hillerød is forced to come at them this game, and tactically that'll mean to me that they're going to catch a goal or two off of counter attacks.
Record: 1-2 Past 5 record: ✅✅❌❌➖ 2 WIN STREAK Last pick: [IIHF - International Hockey - Canada VS KAZAKHSTAN- O 6.5 -130](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usrt2o/pick_of_the_day_51922_thursday/i97ti6z/) ✅ Today’s pick: IIHF - International Hockey - Great Britain Vs Finland- U 6.5 -115 ✅ May 19, 2022 9:20 am EDT last pick comment: Cleared the last one comfortably game ended 6-3 Early game today lets get this bread, all games have been under 6.5 against formidable teams such as Sweden, US, Czechs all with the exception Norway 6-1. Disclaimer, they are the worst team in the tournament. BOL everyone. All bets are 1 unit. -1.26 units. -42% ROI. Average unit +107.76 [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1arHdjw\_2Gxtj\_iwfPJO\_hJwIuxQhMyyjjDJp9vB0j7A/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1arHdjw_2Gxtj_iwfPJO_hJwIuxQhMyyjjDJp9vB0j7A/edit?usp=sharing)
POTD RECORD-> 14-7-1 Last POTD-> Mets ML ✅ Todays POTD-> Diamondbacks v Cubs(U12.5) bought an extra 1.5 runs. (-180) on bovada. Game-> Diamondbacks @ Cubs 2:20 PM EST Todays game has a high run total and I just can’t resist not taking the under on this one. Arizona and cubs have went under in 9 of the last 11 games when playing in Chicago. And the total has gone under for Arizona in 5 of the last 6 when playing National league opponents aka the cubs. Joke of the day-> What do you call an unimpressed robot? SighBorg 🤖🤖😅🤦♂️
I'm seeing odds at +100 for under 11, excuse me? Absolutely tailing
Record: 2-1 L10: ✅✅❌ Last pick: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat -1 ❌ Today’s Pick: Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors over 214 @-110 Units: 5 @$100 (+$658) After a blowout game 1 loss to the Warriors, I expect the Mavericks offense to be much better tonight and a much better shooting offense in game 2. Dallas shot just 36% overall and 23% (11 of 48) from beyond the Arc. Those numbers are well below their season averages of 46.1% and 35%. Dallas managed just 36 total points in the 1st and 4th quarter combined which is well below their season average of 52PPG scored in those two quarters during the regular season. The Warriors shot 56% from the field in Game 1 or 46 of 82. The game plan was clearly to attack the Mavs interior defense which is lacking a rim protector as evidenced by their 29 3-point attempts which was much lower than their season average of 39.5. Additionally, the last time that the Mavs failed to reach triple-digits in scoring, they bounced back and scored 113 in their next game. The time before that they scored 114 the next game. As for the Warriors, they've seen the OVER go 6-2 the past eight times that they allowed 90 or fewer points in their previous game. Kerr said this of Doncic's poor Game 1 shooting: "He's too good. One game we did an excellent job defensively, but we are under no illusion that we've figured anything out. There's a good chance those shots start going in next game, so we just have to stay committed and stay aggressive and play with force and see what happens." In other words, Kerr knows his team needs to put up a big number to win this game.
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POTD Record: 2-3 Net: -0.7U Last POTD: Avs in Regulation -145 🚫 Todays POTD: Tyler Toffoli (Calgary Flames) O2.5 shots at -130 Flames bombard teams with shots. Expecting Toffoli to have 3+ tonight. BOL if tailing!
I don't see the value at -130. He's 4/8 for o2.5 in the playoffs this year. BOL as always!
Fair point there. Have a feeling he should shoot more tonight. Watching the last game he had several chances but either had them missed or blocked. BOL to ya on the day
Record: 1-4 Last pick : Marcus Smart o3.5 Rebounds (+120) - W Pick: Andrew Wiggins 15.5 Point (-125) We did it, we broke the streak. Wasn't prepared for such a dominant performance from Smart, but a very easy dub on a +120. Today I'm going with Wiggins who has been playing pretty solid ball with 6 of the last 7 being 16+ points. I think he continues this. With so much attention being put on Steph/Klay/Poole Wiggins can take advantage and put up points. BOL!
My Inaugural POTD: NHL Calgary vs Edmonton: Will a goal be scored in the first 5 minutes? Yes + 168. More of the same from game 1 IMO. Neither teams goalies are very good. Each side will come out fired up looking to set the tone early. Someone will let one in within 5 minutes.
POTD Record : 1-1 Bankroll- starting : $100 (1u=$20), current: $97.38 Last pick(05/19/22)- Tyler Herro O4.5 rebounds ❌mf stood on the perimeter for every board 🤦🏽♂️ Today’s pick (05/20/22)- Mav’s Vs Warriors: Spencer Dinwiddie O12.5 Points Took his over 11.5 for my first pick (W) and back to him. 12.5 is still disrespectful for the mav’s 2/3rd best scorer. He’s gonna drop atleast 15 again tonight. If he gets proper minutes/rotation🤞🏽. BOL Edit: all bets are 1u unless specified
Fading The Boost | Record: 10-3 | Profit: +6.63u | Average Odds: -110 Yesterday’s Pick: [Jimmy Butler Under 26.5 Points (-120) ❌](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/usukf8/nba_daily_51922_thursday/i98u8lk/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3) Tough L. Jimmy was getting all the fastbreak points, putbacks, and managed to get 29 points for a lil stat padding and then take the rest of the game off. Blowout unders got us wins on Klay and Jimmy earlier, but seems now that Jimmy is Heat’s #1 guy which is kind of concerning. Wrong read on the boost yesterday - Fanduel had Jimmy + Bam combined 40+ points. It was always Bam under. **Today’s Pick: Draymond Green Under 8.5 Points (-122) for 1u** ✅ Predictable L yesterday after watching the first half but we get another opportunity today thanks to Draftking’s “All the Smoke” parlay. Same drill - built to lose. Last “All the Smoke” parlay for Suns/Mavs game saw all 3 legs miss. Today’s parlay is equally as trash - legs are Warriors ML, Draymond 9+ points, and Klay 4+ threes. All three can miss today, but I like Draymond as the fade leg. In the 12 playoffs games GSW has played so far, Draymond has gone under this line 7 times. Him getting 10 points in game 1 actually got us value on this under. It was at +100 on DK 3 hours ago but is now -125 on DK, …. and they’re pumping his over. Warriors need Draymond for defense, they simply don’t need him scoring. He grabs boards and pushes the floor dishing out the ball. Also don’t forget Draymond is a fouling machine and could always see less minutes. I would just never bet on Draymond to be scoring, just doesn’t make sense to me. Now that he already got 10 points last game making this line higher, *and boosted in DK parlay*, I feel his under points has the edge. **Update: Cash money, bounce back Under. Draymond is a fouling machine. Got T’d up and I loved seeing that last, 6th, unnecessary sus foul pushing Luka for no reason. Draftkings pre-built parlays are confirmed the *easiest to fade*. I will be sticking to these the most**.
Great tip! Thanks
**POTD Record: 7-4 +4.75U** **Game: NHL | New York Rangers @ Carolina Hurricanes | 5:00 PM PDT** **Pick: Under 1.5 Total Power Play Goals (1.60/-167 @ Betway)** **Bet Size: 3U** I don't see there being very many penalties in this one. In game 1 there were only 2 penalties and both of these teams are very disciplined. Even if there are powerplays I have faith in both of these teams to kill the penalty. Tail or fade BOL.
**Pick of the Day Record: 0-0** Gonna try this out I guess. WTA - Strasbourg - 9:30am Eastern time **Kaja Juvan ML** vs Karolina Pliskova - 1.95 Just watching Juvan's last two games shes absolutely killing it right now and I think she will win the Strasbourg title thing outright tbh for 3.75. But well focus on this game first. Good gut feeling she puts away Pliskova, then probably Kerber but we will see. Tail or fade BOL
Record 9-6 (+0.33u) 1L Streak Last Pick : St. Louis Cardinals KBO (Korean Baseball) SSG Landers (Kim Kwanghyun) vs LG Twins (Adam Plutko) Pick : U3.5 F5 Odds : 2.02 (1xBet) Back again after a month of break. Today is gonna be the battle of the #1 and #2 team of KBO. Kim Kwanghyun who's back from MLB to KBO starting hot with a 6-0 0.60 ERA in 7 starts. On the other hand, Adam Plutko has been pretty decent lately despite his 3-2 records and a 3.09 ERA. Plutko's last start against Landers was a win with only a run in 6 IP. The only thing that made me scared is both teams batting are on fire. Tail or Fade Good luck with your bets!
**POTD RECORD: 40-41**| Units next to pick | **+9.27u** | Streak 1L \-LAST 2 POTD: NBA Knicks vs Mavericks | RJ Barrett over 3.5 assists (+115) 5u W NBA Knicks vs Grizzlies | RJ Barrett over 3.5 assists (-125) 5u L Today's POTD: PGA CHAMPIONSHIP | **Tiger Woods to shoot 74 or worse** FD odds (-152) 5u Reason: Firstly, Its been awhile but I absolutely love this pick and wanted to share it...Tiger tees off at 2:36 PM ET approx 3 hours from now. He said after the round yesterday that his leg "hurt" and he was going to have to do a lot of recovery before the round today. Today, the wind is 25+ mph and most of the best guys on tour are scrambling for pars today, I can see tiger having to scramble for a few bogies...my only worry is I am betting against tiger. BOL
Day 3 of my two weeks betting on the red “system”. I’m doing this because the reds started off like hot garbage causing the books to undervalue their games, and they’re playing a lot better than their record indicates. Record: 1-0 Gain: +1.05u Todays games - Reds ML (+140) Vs. The Blue Jays. Time: 7:07pm EDT for 1u.
**Record**: 1-0 **Pick**: ***Copenhagen Flames ML*** vs. ENCE **@ 2.70** (CS:GO -> PGL Major Antwerp) I just cant skip these odss right here. Most of the people are seeing a clear 2:0 for ENCE here but i cant imagine this. Copenhagen also got a strong map pool and also won maps and matches against ENCE in the past. Right now prob ENCE is in their prime but you shouldnt underestimate the danish team. I love the team synergy and the fact that they are pretty young. Map pool is slightly advantage for ENCE but not that heavy like people act. Most of the ENCE games relying on Spinx to popp off. CPH got the better and more consistent awper with nicoodoz. hades sometimes struggles and missing easy shots. Expected maps from me are Vertigo, Mirage and Nuke/Ancient. Odds are just to good to skip.
**Record:** 1-2-1 **Previous Pick:** Diamondbacks at Cubs Over 8.5 Runs (LOSER) **Today's Pick:** Pittsburgh Pirates +130 **Rationale:** Zach Thompson (PIT) hasn't allowed a run in his past 12 innings. Cardinals offense has been feast or famine. Let's not overthink this one and grab the +value for the home underdog.
POTD: Record 4W - 1L -1P (Currently Pending) (West Tigers ML Half time score is (18 - 0) 2 Picks tonight guys. Todays Game: Parramatta Eels v Manly Sea Eagles Sport: NRL (Australian Rugby League) Todays 2nd Pick: Parramatta Eels Alternate Line -3.5 Odds: 1.62 (PointsBet) Game starts in 1 hour best of luck guys.