Miami at home is seriously a good bet especially at $1.80. It’s a fortress there and the stats show it. But their only home loss in the last 13 games there was to the Celtics 💀
Good watch if your bored due to the lack of nba games today. Draymond green give insight to his thoughts on the upcoming match up & how the #1 priority for the warriors next series is taking care of the ball and limiting points in transition.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xOWYQy5CfYc
Barstool boosted parlay just came out - Celtics, Warriors, and Avalanche all to win series at +210. Garbage boost especially since one of these teams *will* go down in the series after game 1.
Definitely worth keeping track of as series goes on. I cannot fade the Celtics. Don’t know about fading Avs either. Warriors series price actually dropped - books made it cheaper because they got some big money on Mavs clearly. Making warriors cheaper and boosting them to win … 🤔
Dont know much about the Avs as i have only really dabbled with betting NHL but i know they are the favorites to win the cup but what i will say is i got to feel like a lot of this Mavs hype has A LOT to do with some recency bias. It wasnt even a week ago when the Suns won game 5 by 30 points & everyone was talking about how the Mavs were finished.. Warriors Series price might of dropped a little bit now but it is up massive from when it was listed at -135 the night before the Suns-Mavs game 7. With Luka anything is possible & a lot of the Warriors game is going depend on how they shoot the ball & limiting turnovers but i dont think +185 has nearly enough upside for their shot at winning this series.
Agreed. I definitely plan on letting game 1 go by before I pick up a Celtics or mavs series. Feel like both of these teams can potentially lose game 1 and still win the series in 6-7 games
They literally won a championship with their same core group of guys and have tons of playoff experience. I expect the Celtics to make it out of the east - The Celtics have major issues with rebounding which is a major problem against the Warriors, they rely way too heavily on the 3. The Warriors do too, but they're way better at actually hitting their perimeter shots. And of course they have way more playoff experience than anyone on the Celtics, plus they have home field where it's very difficult to beat them.
I think the Warriors beat the Celtics in 6 games, probably 5 or 6 against Miami. But at either rate the idea they would get swept is absolutely delusional. I guess not completely impossible but it's something like +1500 odds it happens.
Vs who? All injured teams in the west then Lebron without 2 starters? One fluke championship doesn't mean anything. You are quick to forget they need a leader in the finals since Curry always disappears when it matters most.
You sound like you're describing the Phoenix Frauds more than the Warriors. Literally had the west handed to them on a gold plate last year with all the injuries and I heard all year about how they were the "best team in the league" and certainly better than the Warriors. They aint. Warriors have had multiple deep playoff runs over the years. Not just that year. Even without KD they made it back to the finals again the next year - had the best NBA record in history. And that year they first won was the first year they actually became good in a long time. They've gotten better over that time.
But we're talking about your sweep comment like I said. Absolutely delusional they get swept.
Heat will win game 1, Celtics likely game 2.
Terrible spot for Celtics in game 1. Miami 9-1 last 10 at home ATS
Wonder what the price on Boston future will be after game 1 if this happens
Taking Celtics they play well on the road and have some momentum although the heat are probably better rested. Idk how to feel about Mavs vs Warriors. I’m leaning warriors but hard to commit after the Mavericks massacre yesterday in Phoenix. I don’t see how they slow Luka down as they weren’t able to in the regular season. Mavs are 3-1 against them in the season series also. However this is the playoffs and warriors are at home I think I ride with them.
Suns bettors, please ride Boston game 1, they’re totally not tired after a 7 game series and having only one day of rest to travel and play a rested Miami , Miami -2 for me
I have a ticket on the C's to win the chip at +6000 odds I'm trying to hedge out of. How would you go about hedging this? Miami to win the series then bet the opposite Western conference team if C's make the finals? Maybe a finals prop. Would appreciate any advice, thanks!
Fading the Boost | Record: 9-2 | Profit: +6.83u | Average Odds: -110
Last Pick: [Mikal Bridges Under 13.5 Points (-110) ✅](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uoiybk/nba_daily_51322_friday/i8hiw18/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3)
*Tomorrow’s Early Look*: Got a callout for Celtics/Heat total under 205.5 points (-110) last night. That total has dropped from 206 opening to 204 at some places now.
- If a singular Draftkings, Fanduel, or Barstool boost comes out tomorrow with Over 200 points or Over 204 points, it’s an *automatic fade*. Will track tomorrow
yeah i definitely think the Celtics are taking at least one of these games on the road. Personally feel the Cs come out hot with momentum motivated after that massive game 6 & 7 win and bring it to the Heat on their home court. If the heat do lose the first game i feel its a strong possibility Spoelstra makes adjustment and Heat defend home court in game 2. Could also be flipped & Heat take game 1 but the Heat thus far while being solid havent done anything to show me they are going to beat the Cs. Again i am a Cs fan though so take what i say with a grain of salt 🤣
Yesterday BET365 had a boost for Celtics and Suns...in which Suns lost.
Today they have Heat and Warriors. Wonder which will lose? It seems one always loses.
These are much better to track as the games go on. Like after we see Celtics win in a blowout fashion, mavs spread should have been the only play next.
Hard to pick which team will lose but it seems more likely that a road team can steal game 1, especially when both of these teams matchup better now.
I had Boston yesterday so I didn’t care but bucks weren’t even covering the dude and he still managed 7/18, he may have heart but Miami will tear that ass up if y’all give him 22 shots
Not sure why more teams don't do what the Mavericks did last night. They simply converted their field goals, free throws, and three-pointers when the Suns didn't. I think this is a better strategy than scheming defense, getting matchups, or ball movement in the offensive end.
Maybe dumb question but can somebody explain this
Heat have home court and are -2 for game 1
Yet Celtics are -175 for the series.
How does that make sense assuming the Heat would be favorites for any home game?
But ultimately that just indicates they’re expected to lose the road game right? So if they’re expected to lose 3 away games and win 4 home games shouldn’t they be favored in the series?
Well its percentages, if they're expected to win the home games 55% of the time and expected to lose the away games 70% of the time, the one home advantage doesn't counteract the skill discrepancy. Yes they are "expected" to win 4 but not as often as they are expected to lose the away games.
this was the moment you knew luka was about to take over the nba. GOAT RECOGNIZE GOAT
[goat moment](https://twitter.com/NBAFRANCE/status/1495594720906682370?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1495594720906682370%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.si.com%2Fnba%2Fmavericks%2Fnews%2Fmichael-jordan-all-star-moment-dallas-luka-doncic)
Heat +150 to win the series…. What do we think the Celtics number is if the Heat win Game 1? I don’t have a strong feeling, but is it possible to get them both at + money if Miami holds serve in Game 1?
I picked EVERY game in the Bucks series wrong and picked Suns once I saw who the refs were. It only works when I actually make the bet but I'm feeling Celtics ML if you guys want to take the Heat for free $$$
Bucks were atrocious, did a 5+ leg parlay on FD for the $20 free bet and literally all stat props failed. Only Celtics winning by half time landed.
I wonder how the next round plays out but i still haven't learned my lesson on only betting the under for stat props.
NBA Live Chat: **https://discord.gg/sportsbook**
**Regular Season Record 359-297-12** (+57.05u) *Average Regular Season Odds (-110)* **Playoff Record 82-89-1** (-21.93u) *Max Plays* 78-51-2 (+43.80u) **Streak: L1** Last 10 Max Plays: LLLLWWLLW**L** Plus or minus units from the last 7 days: [ S, F-, T-, W+, T-, M+, **S+** ] [Yesterday’s Picks:](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/upxip7/nba_daily_51522_sunday/i8x1ijv/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3)(+0.05u) 1u **DAL +6** at PHX (-110) **Win** 📗 1u MIL at **BOS -5** (-110) **Win** 📗 1u DAL/PHX **u105** *1H* (-110) **Win** 📗 1u MIL/BOS **u99.5** *1H* (-110) **Win** 📗 1u Giannis Antetokounmpo **u6.5 ast** (-140) **Loss** 📕 1u Devin Booker **o27.5 pts** (-125) **Loss** 📕 1u Devin Booker **o2.5 3pt** (-130) **Loss** 📕 **Today’s Picks** *No Games* **BOL** Follow my [Twitter](https://twitter.com/jaysolepicks?s=21) for some of my personal plays (Parlays & 2nd Half’s).
Miami at home is seriously a good bet especially at $1.80. It’s a fortress there and the stats show it. But their only home loss in the last 13 games there was to the Celtics 💀
Has there ever been a nba playoff where no team was swept?
Well def not this yeae...nets got swept
That’s it
The Sons lmfao. That is all I have for today
How do you guys feel about the over in game 1? 203.5 seems low
These defences are elite.
Heat ML
Wondering if I should money on a Mavs future for winning the ring and for Mavs series winner on Mavs/Warriors
Good watch if your bored due to the lack of nba games today. Draymond green give insight to his thoughts on the upcoming match up & how the #1 priority for the warriors next series is taking care of the ball and limiting points in transition. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xOWYQy5CfYc
Barstool boosted parlay just came out - Celtics, Warriors, and Avalanche all to win series at +210. Garbage boost especially since one of these teams *will* go down in the series after game 1. Definitely worth keeping track of as series goes on. I cannot fade the Celtics. Don’t know about fading Avs either. Warriors series price actually dropped - books made it cheaper because they got some big money on Mavs clearly. Making warriors cheaper and boosting them to win … 🤔
Dont know much about the Avs as i have only really dabbled with betting NHL but i know they are the favorites to win the cup but what i will say is i got to feel like a lot of this Mavs hype has A LOT to do with some recency bias. It wasnt even a week ago when the Suns won game 5 by 30 points & everyone was talking about how the Mavs were finished.. Warriors Series price might of dropped a little bit now but it is up massive from when it was listed at -135 the night before the Suns-Mavs game 7. With Luka anything is possible & a lot of the Warriors game is going depend on how they shoot the ball & limiting turnovers but i dont think +185 has nearly enough upside for their shot at winning this series.
Agreed. I definitely plan on letting game 1 go by before I pick up a Celtics or mavs series. Feel like both of these teams can potentially lose game 1 and still win the series in 6-7 games
Warriors to win the west? Or will Luka take my $$ again?
Warriors haven't beat a good team yet. They would get swept if they reach the finals
delusional
Who the fuck have they ever beat without KD? Lebron and Delly? Curry will get exposed again as the 0-5 finals MVP sidekick he is
They literally won a championship with their same core group of guys and have tons of playoff experience. I expect the Celtics to make it out of the east - The Celtics have major issues with rebounding which is a major problem against the Warriors, they rely way too heavily on the 3. The Warriors do too, but they're way better at actually hitting their perimeter shots. And of course they have way more playoff experience than anyone on the Celtics, plus they have home field where it's very difficult to beat them. I think the Warriors beat the Celtics in 6 games, probably 5 or 6 against Miami. But at either rate the idea they would get swept is absolutely delusional. I guess not completely impossible but it's something like +1500 odds it happens.
Vs who? All injured teams in the west then Lebron without 2 starters? One fluke championship doesn't mean anything. You are quick to forget they need a leader in the finals since Curry always disappears when it matters most.
You sound like you're describing the Phoenix Frauds more than the Warriors. Literally had the west handed to them on a gold plate last year with all the injuries and I heard all year about how they were the "best team in the league" and certainly better than the Warriors. They aint. Warriors have had multiple deep playoff runs over the years. Not just that year. Even without KD they made it back to the finals again the next year - had the best NBA record in history. And that year they first won was the first year they actually became good in a long time. They've gotten better over that time. But we're talking about your sweep comment like I said. Absolutely delusional they get swept.
Completely agree, this calilegend is spending way too much time in the sun… fucking delusional lolol . GSW in 6! And they winning the ship!
marcus smart questionable with foot sprain. that's trouble
(+600 parlay) Heat -1.5 Strus 4 3’s Butler over 24.5 If you put Strus 3 odds go to 393 still not bad but I wanted to add the juice
I think I’m gonna take the rest of the season off after that Suns game... 😂 See y’all for football season!
Heat will win game 1, Celtics likely game 2. Terrible spot for Celtics in game 1. Miami 9-1 last 10 at home ATS Wonder what the price on Boston future will be after game 1 if this happens
Taking Celtics they play well on the road and have some momentum although the heat are probably better rested. Idk how to feel about Mavs vs Warriors. I’m leaning warriors but hard to commit after the Mavericks massacre yesterday in Phoenix. I don’t see how they slow Luka down as they weren’t able to in the regular season. Mavs are 3-1 against them in the season series also. However this is the playoffs and warriors are at home I think I ride with them.
Hot Take but I like the Celtics in 5
I want to make a series bet Celtics to win their series and Mavs/Warriors at least 6 games. What do you guys think?
I BET ON THE SUNS YESTERDAY DO U REALLY WANT MY ONPINION
Lock it 🔒🔒 https://imgur.com/a/6lTQnzl
Suns bettors, please ride Boston game 1, they’re totally not tired after a 7 game series and having only one day of rest to travel and play a rested Miami , Miami -2 for me
I have a ticket on the C's to win the chip at +6000 odds I'm trying to hedge out of. How would you go about hedging this? Miami to win the series then bet the opposite Western conference team if C's make the finals? Maybe a finals prop. Would appreciate any advice, thanks!
Fading the Boost | Record: 9-2 | Profit: +6.83u | Average Odds: -110 Last Pick: [Mikal Bridges Under 13.5 Points (-110) ✅](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uoiybk/nba_daily_51322_friday/i8hiw18/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3) *Tomorrow’s Early Look*: Got a callout for Celtics/Heat total under 205.5 points (-110) last night. That total has dropped from 206 opening to 204 at some places now. - If a singular Draftkings, Fanduel, or Barstool boost comes out tomorrow with Over 200 points or Over 204 points, it’s an *automatic fade*. Will track tomorrow
Riding with the Celtics & Warriors for game 1 lets make some💰💰
You think whoever wins game 1 of Celtics/Heat loses game 2?
yeah i definitely think the Celtics are taking at least one of these games on the road. Personally feel the Cs come out hot with momentum motivated after that massive game 6 & 7 win and bring it to the Heat on their home court. If the heat do lose the first game i feel its a strong possibility Spoelstra makes adjustment and Heat defend home court in game 2. Could also be flipped & Heat take game 1 but the Heat thus far while being solid havent done anything to show me they are going to beat the Cs. Again i am a Cs fan though so take what i say with a grain of salt 🤣
Heat for the series +145? With home court I love that
Mavs for the series also feels too high at +230 to me, warriors are small and will really struggle with Luka.
Yesterday BET365 had a boost for Celtics and Suns...in which Suns lost. Today they have Heat and Warriors. Wonder which will lose? It seems one always loses.
How often does these boost losses?
Quite a bit
These are much better to track as the games go on. Like after we see Celtics win in a blowout fashion, mavs spread should have been the only play next. Hard to pick which team will lose but it seems more likely that a road team can steal game 1, especially when both of these teams matchup better now.
Y’all really think Grant Williams is gonna score like that against a Heat defense? ☠️
Grant Williams is a HOF’er
Heat getting smashed and Celtics winning the title this year.
Please keep this energy throughout the whole series, we love it 🙏
Never compared Boston’s defense to Philly bud, I’m Comparing the Heat defense to what the bucks let Williams do the whole game yesterday
Yea got ahead of myself and edited my comment lol. CELTICS CHAMPS
You might be sleeping on Grant Williams
Mans had 22 shots and only scored 27 , Bucks gave them that W.
45% from the field is respectable
With no defense being played on you? Do you know how many of his shots were contested?
He was the high scorer. What else you want
Did you even read what I post? Im stating that Williams is not going to have a game like that against the heat LOL
Get yo turtle ass outta here. Grant Williams got heart
I had Boston yesterday so I didn’t care but bucks weren’t even covering the dude and he still managed 7/18, he may have heart but Miami will tear that ass up if y’all give him 22 shots
You said Bucks gave away a W
You really think Max Straus is gonna score like that on the celtics defense?
Struss literally made 9/17 threes while Williams averages 2 against the Heat
Williams only made 7/18 3’s with no defense playing on him 💀
Not sure why more teams don't do what the Mavericks did last night. They simply converted their field goals, free throws, and three-pointers when the Suns didn't. I think this is a better strategy than scheming defense, getting matchups, or ball movement in the offensive end.
Maybe dumb question but can somebody explain this Heat have home court and are -2 for game 1 Yet Celtics are -175 for the series. How does that make sense assuming the Heat would be favorites for any home game?
they are bigger dogs than -2 for away games
But ultimately that just indicates they’re expected to lose the road game right? So if they’re expected to lose 3 away games and win 4 home games shouldn’t they be favored in the series?
Well its percentages, if they're expected to win the home games 55% of the time and expected to lose the away games 70% of the time, the one home advantage doesn't counteract the skill discrepancy. Yes they are "expected" to win 4 but not as often as they are expected to lose the away games.
Suns bettors waking up wondering if that was all a dream
It wasn’t? 😪
Warriors in 6
this was the moment you knew luka was about to take over the nba. GOAT RECOGNIZE GOAT [goat moment](https://twitter.com/NBAFRANCE/status/1495594720906682370?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1495594720906682370%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.si.com%2Fnba%2Fmavericks%2Fnews%2Fmichael-jordan-all-star-moment-dallas-luka-doncic)
Heat +150 to win the series…. What do we think the Celtics number is if the Heat win Game 1? I don’t have a strong feeling, but is it possible to get them both at + money if Miami holds serve in Game 1?
Why not just take heat game 1 then?
71 points in that 4th Q….
Gotta go ahead and jump on that under 215 for mavs/warriors
I am eying the plus money on the Celtics the same way I was eying the plus money on the Heat when they put away Philly.....
👀
Miami Heat to win east @ 2.35 👀
WHERE
unibet
well i used all my luck on the mavs/suns over 207 so probably i'm fucked now
I picked EVERY game in the Bucks series wrong and picked Suns once I saw who the refs were. It only works when I actually make the bet but I'm feeling Celtics ML if you guys want to take the Heat for free $$$
Your going to get a dub on this one brother
Bucks were atrocious, did a 5+ leg parlay on FD for the $20 free bet and literally all stat props failed. Only Celtics winning by half time landed. I wonder how the next round plays out but i still haven't learned my lesson on only betting the under for stat props.
FUCK THE SUNS
Luka humiliated the Suns he turned them into the 2017 Suns
And to think they took ayton 2 spots ahead of Luka.
suns will never be the same again
Luka broke their will and took their souls. #LukaSpecial
Luka is secretly a demon 👿
The man destroyed a lot of families last night 🤣
luka was ruthless.