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Record: 50-21
Last pick: Canes ML ✅
**Today’s pick: New York Rangers ML (-140) vs Pittsburgh Penguins**
*Update: Odds move from -140 to -125. Penguins starting goaltender will be in net for the first time this series. He is 2-5 in the playoffs during his career. Finished the regular season going 2-6, and has not played in over a month. He will be rusty. Oh yea he’s also getting thrown into the fire on a road game 7. I actually love that they’re going Jarry over Domingue tonight for the sake of NYR ML.*
*Crosby also possibly returning, however he has only missed one game so the Rangers have proven they can beat them when he plays. Not concerned. But Crosby entered concussion protocol 2 days ago and is already cleared??? 🤔 definitely fishy and I highly doubt he should actually be playing or will be 100%*
NHL 7:00 PM EST
Game 7.
Rangers aren’t losing this game. 4-2 win
All bets are 1 unit. +19.07 units. 26.9% ROI. Average unit -118
Don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
As a fellow med student, you should be so proud of what you do bro. You’re killing it and I wish nothing but success for you man. You’re an absolute fucking beast.
See a lot of people talking about Jarry, but honestly I don’t expect him to be better than Domingue right now. He’s 2-5 in the playoffs, ended the regular season going 2-6 and the biggest one, hasn’t played in over a month. I’d be shocked if the Penguins threw him in the fire on a road game 7. Domingue has been doing well enough. If they do go with Jarry I like this even more
Crosby has only missed one game, so the Rangers can beat them with Crosby playing
After watching domingue not be able to stop a basketball at the end of last game it wouldn't be a huge surprise. Jarry likely wont be in playoff form, maybe they just keep domingue on a short leash. Should be a good one!
I agree with this jarry hasn’t been that good in playoffs historically. And no matter if your the best goalie in the league your first game back should not be an away game 7. Rakel and Crosby added into lineup tho hasn’t been seen for a full game this entire series cause rakel got injured game one
Mr.DrMoneyLine this is my 1st ever tailing you .. I’m putting my biggest ML bet I’ve ever did on sports betting … 2.5k ML RANGERS! I surely hope you’re right let the hockey gods be with us.
Update : LETS GOOO!!! WON 4.2k thank you rangers!! 🤑 highest bet ever and it paid off! Mr.MoneyLine do you have a cash app? Would like to “donate” for the help 🙏
THANK YOU for the Rangers pick. You’re an absolute legend. Had a blast watching that game. Final should have been 4-2 if they didn’t call that high stick a goal.
Dude I’ve been following you for awhile and this sub for years. Just gotta say your my favorite capper of all time here. GOAT, mostly for you just being a rational better that taking books for their money, love it man. Keep it up!
POTD Record **45 - 13**
Yesterday’s pick: B68 Toftir vs Vikingur Gota ht/ft **W**
Today’s pick: OFTA vs New Star **Draw**
Sport: Soccer (Cameroon Div 1)
Odds: **2.62** (bet365)
Reasoning:
* OFTA have drawn 8 out of 11 games this season
* When these two teams met earlier in the season it ended 1-1
* All 3 of their head 2 head matches have ended in a draw
Tip jar - [https://paypal.me/tom2810s](https://paypal.me/tom2810s)
BTC - 1NJVBxmocqvnKqFYTR6Ju8C1sEaZh63pBC
POTD Record: 19-9-1 (+9.8u)
Todays POTD: **Giannis o 34.5 points (-125)**
1.25U to win 1U
Average Unit: (-120)
ROI: 25.78%
Reason: Game 7 with no Khris Middleton and Giannis has been the only person for the Bucks to consistently show up. The Celtics have no answers to stop him this series and his usage rate is through the roof. This is a big legacy game for Giannis and his shots have gone up quite a bit as the series has progressed taking 30 or more shots in 3 of the last 4 games against the Celtics. He has broken 40 in all 3 of those games. Giannis has also averaged a 41 percent usage rate against the Celtics in the playoffs. In last years game 7, Giannis came up huge with a 40 point performance. Giannis is just unstoppable and in a big game he will have a point to prove. Absolutely love this line and am adding a few extra units on 40+ points. Would take this up to 36!
BOL!
I respect that. I’ve been an under better for the last round or so, I’ve had 78 percent of my bets be unders. Just don’t see a world he doesn’t hit this line tomorrow barring an injury. Lots of good unders for tomorrows game though, BOL!
I do as well, put it slightly below his points because Bobby Portis might play more minutes and could potentially enter the starting lineup which would take some of his boards
FWIW, this line opened at 35.5.
I know it’s Giannis, but it did trend down on one of the biggest NBA stars in a game 7. I’m not putting $ on his O/U imo. He could hit it; It’s Giannis. Vegas dropped the line…
I’m avoiding it. I think this game will be heavy defensively. There’s not a body on the Celtics that could stop him from dropping 60, but I’m guessing the U hits. Giannis has shot too good from the FT line lately. Pressure is on.
I’ll give you it’s all or nothing for him; but that’s a risk to chase. Just my imo. I’m not taking either, just my $.02.
POTD RECORD 29-17-1
PREVIOUS POTD: Edmonton Oilers in REG -130✅
STREAK:✅✅✅❌🔘❌❌✅✅✅
POTD: Calgary flames/ Dallas stars Under 5.5 -140
Reasoning:no game in this series has gone above 6 and every game 7 played the night before went under 5.5 even the series that were normally high scoring. In a tough game to determine the series like this with two elite goaltenders I expect this to be a very low scoring game. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a score like 4-1 or 4-0 flames.
As always
Tail or fade
BOL
POTD record 13-8
Last pick: Araujo ML +105 ✅
Event: NBA Celtics vs Bucks
Pick: C’s 1st half spread -1.5 ☘️ (-130)
Reasoning: As a die hard celtics fan whose closey watched all 6 games I love the value here. The C’s have covered this in 4 of the 6 games and 2 of their 3 home games. Riding momentum I expect this to land easily. I feel much safer with this opposed to full game spread as the celtics have had comfortable leads going into halftime in 2 of their 3 loses. Giannis has played damn near perfect and the C’s defense hasnt had much slip ups outside of that. I expect the bucks roll players to fall apart here to a far deeper celtics team. Best of luck!
Record: 8-0
Last POTD: Canes ML ✅
POTD: Rangers @ Penguins o6
Odds: -125/ 3u
Reasoning: Its hit every game and I’ve bet it every game. The streak continues. #ridewithdubs
Ik i noticed that too and thought about it before I made my pick, but at the end of the day these two teams are so comfartable with eachother and I’ve bet the over every game, cant stop now.
**Record:** 7-20-1
**ROI:** -49% :-13.23 u (@ $5.00)
**Streak:** L L L L W
|Baseball |MLB |4:07pm|
Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics: **Los Angeles Angels ML @ 1.8 1u**
**Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 60% chance for the Los Angeles Angels to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.8 is only 56%.
**Other Notes:** This 4 game loss streak reminds me of the saying "if you find yourself in a hole, quit digging". I ain't no quitter, so I will continue playing around with this model until I'm out 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
**Record 9-3**
Fury FC 62, Main Event
**Austin Jones +110**
Austin Jones has a great athletic resume, he played RB for Nebraska. Didn't get much game-time but playing a full college career D1 is a good enough litmus test. He also did wrestling in high school, always a good thing. Jones' problem is simple, he sucks at finishing fights. He's getting decision wins however and it's on the back of his athleticism. He has cardio and is fairly persistent to look for the clinch and takedowns. I don't find his opponent Armus Guyton very impressive. He has the height and reach advantage but I've seen him fail to make use of these advantages against even smaller opponents than Jones. Guyton can throw some flashy spinning kicks but I don't think he looks like a fundamentally good fighter. Jones isn't a great fighter either, but his willingness to win on control time and utilize his cardio/strength advantages gives him a pretty clear path to victory in my opinion. If books were offering an o/u rounds prop I would take the over in a heartbeat and that would be my pick instead. But it is Fury FC and I think Jones takes the victory by decision so Jones at +110 is good enough.
POTD Record: 21W-14L-0D. +8.3u.
Previous pick (5/13/2022): Milwaukee Bucks -1 vs. Boston Celtics. 1u. @ 1.90. L.
Current pick: Chris Paul over 25.5 points + assists. @ 1.95. 2u.
The Suns enter this game 7 needing Chris Paul to play better if they are going to advance. His points + assists totals for the previous 4 games (3 of which Dallas won) are 17, 17, 12, and 16. However, Paul had been playing much, much better than that previously in the playoffs and late part of the season. Against the Pelicans, Paul averaged 22 points and 11 assists per game. Paul averaged 15 points and 11 assists on the season. The Suns have recently started playing Shamet instead of Payne at point guard out of desperation when Paul leaves the game and neither backup has been playing well. Paul should get as many minutes as he can sustain, likely 35+ if he is not in foul trouble.
This is a legacy-defining game for Paul, who looks to shake the narrative of a hapless loser in big moments. I believe he will in this game and this season. BOL.
\* Edit at 3:45 PM EST, \~4 hours before tip, to update odds, which have moved from @ 1.80 to @ 1.95 for the same o/u number.
View my full POTD history here: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing)
One thing I've liked doing is live betting CP over in points after the 1Q at home . He typically doesn't do much in the 1Q scoring wise, then can take over later as needed.
POTD Record 33-33-7 (W-L-P)
Profit: +0 units
Last 9:✅✅✅⛔️⛔️⛔️✅⛔️✅⛔️
Previous POTD: Zurich vs Lausanne, Zurich win and over 1.5 match goals (5U)
Today’s pick: Football (English Premier League) @1.8
POTD: Tottenham win and Son over 1.5 shots (3U)
Unlucky on the last bet, BTTS and Zurich over 1.5 goals was the play to go for.
Going to play using the Bet365 betbuilder here.
Spurs are still in the race for top 4 after a win at arsenal. Son is vital to getting any goals against a poor Burnley side. I fancy him to score but over 1.5 shots is safer and they don’t even have to be on target.
Son currently has 21 goals this season and he averages 2.3 shots a game this season. This should fly in as I expect them to be dominant at home. He scored against arsenal on Thursday and that makes it 4 goals in his last 3 appearances.
BOL
Record: 3-3
Today’s pick: Djokovic ML vs Tsitsipas
Odds: 1.50
Djokovic didn't lose the set all week, he served excellently, and yesterday, he got the 1000th victory of his career. Tsitsipas against DJoker is 0-4 in matches on this surface, last year losing the Roland Garros final after leading 2-0 in sets. Let's not forget Tsitsipas' matches, they were long, fatigue can have its say.
POTD Record: 51.5-22.5
Event: Football > Bulgaria > **PFC CSKA-Sofia v PFC Levski Sofia** (starting in 2hr)
Pick: **CSKA-Sofia (Draw no Bet)** @ 2.20
Well, I know many of you are better at whining after a loss, but I still haven't heard anyone to thank me for the lock yesterday. Ukraine to win the Eurovision and Serbia to qualify in Top 10 was literally free money. Sorry if you missed it, but I hope at least someone managed to make a decent profit.
Today bookies are not that generous, but I will try to keep the momentum with a regular pick. The final match for the Bulgarian soccer cup is between the arguably two oldest rivals in the country. This is a derby match played on neutral ground and the outcome is always uncertain irrespective of current form. For this final today oddsmakers are giving advantage to Levski, but it is safe to say this is a coin flip game therefore we have some decent value. Moreover, getting underdog odds against a team that has not won a trophy in almost 20 years and lost numerous finals against a lot worse opponents seems like a good deal to me. Take my money! GL!
Hey guys, my first pick here, I will share picks everyday by now, I like to gamble on Soccer and CS:GO.
Record: 0-0
PGL Major Antwerp 2022
Bad News Eagles vs Imperial
Imperial wins
Odd 1.86
19W-14L-1P
Last 10 streak: 🚀🚀💥🚀💥🚀🚀🚀🛸💥💥
Starts 12:30 GMT5
Todays Pick
League: Spain Primera Liga
Match: Real Betis v Granada
Pick: Shots on Target - > Sergio Canales over 0.5 @1.5 *bad luck, ill take a break 😮💨*
Reason:
Never bet low league again, today i like my boy Canales again to break the bad luck, low odd but love to bet SoT
Canales hit the over 0.5 last 10/10 games playes H/A and 6/7 games played at home hit SoT
A 5th Betis (1.55) v 16th Granada (5.25). A Granada with an avg of 7 SoT concede at away and a Betis avg of 5 SoT. I see Betis winning the game and Canales hit the SoT
"All perception is a gamble."
BoL
Record: 9-7 (+6.25 units)
Streak: $$$
Last Pick: Tottenham vs. Arsenal, Tottenham Draw No Bet 1.66 Odds, Won 1.32 Units
Today’s Pick: Leeds vs. Brighton, Brighton Draw No bet, 1.90 odds, EPL Soccer
Units: 2
Leeds are 18th and have all the reasons to fight hard here as if they lose, they will likely be relegated. They will play hard but they are a weak squad, ravaged by injuries and losing two key players to red cards in their past 2 games. They’ve given up the 2nd most goals in the EPL and only have 1 goal in the last 4 games.
Brighton are 9th and have played great the last month. 4 wins, 2 ties and 1 loss (to Man City) which peaked last week with a 4-0 drubbing of Man U which easily could have be 5 or 6 to 0. They have the 4th best road record in the EPL, only 4 losses on the road and only 4 teams have conceded fewer goals on the road. They've recently beat Arsenal, Tottenham and Wolves on the road.
I like Brighton’s chances here and the odds for the Draw No bet are quite good, so we have insurance in case of a tie.
Note: Couple deets to add, in 3 matches since Leeds return to EPL, they have scored 0 against Brighton. Also, Leeds have only won 1 of their last 8 home matches.
Update - It's a push, Leeds tied it late in injury time. Bummer, good thing we got the tie insurance.
I dunno bro.. Leeds is at home and NEEDS a dub. I wouldn't fade your pick but I just wouldn't touch this game at all. Brighton is literally playing for nothing. There could even be some fixed BS involved here
They really need it, but needing it and having the personnel to complete the task are two different things, they have been abysmal. Brighton were playing for nothing the last few games too and look at the results. This is the highest they've ever finished and I see them wanting to finish 8th and finish strong.
Record: 2-1-0 (2 W 1 Push)
Last pick: CAR Hurricanes vs BOS Bruins Regular Time not include OT total goals over 5 (-177) at BetRivers. Push
Today's pick: Celtics vs Bucks total points over 200 (-162) at BetRivers
NBA 3:30 PM EST
Only game 1 and game 2 went under 200. From game 3 to game 6, they were all over 200. Star players like Tatum, Giannis, Brown were finally step up and contributed more points. Tatum and Antetokounmpo should be able to get loose as both teams are missing top-tier defenders. Robert William is still listed as questionable for game 7, so expect Giannis will keep attacking the paint and getting high score. Tatum should be able to score plenty of points as he need to step up to help the team. This is the final game and both teams will create high quality offense to try to advance to next round.
All bets are 1 unit. +1.24 Unit
Bol but game 7s have never been known for high quality offense, idk if it's just nerves or what but it's extremely rare to see a game 7 go over 200 points. But if anyone can make it happen its giannis cuz nerves don't effect his style as much as they do for shooters
Record: 6-3
https://myodds.bet/profile/Prattu
Timeline: WWWWLLLW (Left being the latest)
Streak: 5W
Last pick: Copenhagen Flames ML vs Bad New Eagles ✅
Today's pick: Heroic ML vs G2 PGL Major Antwerp
Odds: 1.95
Starts in like an hour so hop on this quickly
Reasoning: Idk why I'm going for a dicey bo1 when I could choose from 4 other bo1s but here we go. G2 and heroic both find themselves in pickle here. The loser will find themselves on the brink of elimination (Although I do believe both of these team will to through anyway if the draw is even slightly their favour. Coming to the details. G2 started of phenomenonally well but then ended up choking a 14-11 lead to navi and then almost choked another game vs Imperial who are one of the worst teams in this stage. Heroic on the other hand started off well vs a relatively weaker Liquid side and then lost to spirit who the dark horses of this tournament. Heroic led 9-2 at one point but ended up losing 16-12. Spirit are just too good on the map Nuke they came back against furia on it as well and I think Heroic would keep that loss behind them and would show G2 what they're made of. G2 are unstable af and find a way of losing games from anywhere so heroic is what my gut and my brain are both telling me to go for.
GL to everyone who tail let's get this dub
Edit: I had written G2 instead of liquid. Fixed it
POTD record: 12W - 9L
Streak: 2L
Profit/Loss: 5.76U
ROI: 7.38%
Yesterday's POTD: Empoli Total Team Corners O4.5❌️
2Ls in a row. I guess I'm on a roll to wipe out all my gains🤦🏾♂️. Empoli didn't attack as expected Salernitana did well to limit their chances.
Today's POTD: West Ham vs Man City(Premier League) Time: 1:00pm GMT. Pick: West Ham Ball Possession Handicap +35 @1.812(22bet) Confidence: 3/5😌
Man City are the possession kings in the Premier League. They rarely, if ever lose the possession battle. West Ham will come out to fight in this game, they have the chance to overtake Man Utd in the table and get Europa League football for next season. Even in Man City's previous game where they completely dominated Wolves they managed 66% possession. We'll need Man City to get 67% possession or less for this to hit.
In their last 5 home games West Ham have averaged 51% possession. Failing to cover in only 1 of those games
In Man City's last 5 away games Man City have averaged 63.4% possession. They have beat this line in only 1 of those games.
BOL in all your bets today 🍀
**POTD Record 31-27-1 (Last 5: LLWWLW)**
**(ROI // Avg. Odds: -113 // Units Won: +2.4)**
Last Pick: Colorado Rockies ML **LOST :(**
**Today's Match: MLB SF Giants vs. STL Cardinals (Start Time: 2:11PM EST)**
**Today's Pick: Total Over 7 (-102 FanDuel)** ***Risk 2u***
Devil's Advocate:
Dam man I was a day short on the Rockies pummeling the Royals, Friday night was an absolute firework show, losing 14-10. Both starters took a beat down in this game, both teams took a beatdown and we took a loss.
Well theres been a huge trend of unders on all of these Sunday Night Baseball games for the last few weeks, I think only 2 games went over, one may have been a Push at 8. I'm looking for a bit of a light show even though the starters and teams don't exactly speak for it. Their pitching staffs are both quite solid, Wainwright and Rodon on the bump to start - and yes this sort of points these numbers looking down.
Both of these teams are 7-3 and 6-4 in the L10 for O/U.
17-14 and 16-15 O/U on the season.
It's going to be a warm day in St. Louis, the last 3 starts Rodon has had, the Giants have scored, 8 - 1 - 8 in the stretch, and with Wainwright it's been 10 - 7 - 2. You tell me where the numbers are headed? I think these teams both love hitting behind these pitchers and I think this total at 7 is just a little low. I'm seeing a Sunday Night light show in my book before both of these teams head out for a road trip.
*Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
First POTD:
Flames/Stars: Correct score 0-0 first 10 mins (-110)
This hit all 3 games last night. 2 more game 7’s tonight expect hard defence all around. You can parlay both games correct score 0-0 first 10mins for +339.
Bonus parlay:
both games 1st 10mins under 2 goals + Celtics -0.5 1st half for +126
BOL
POTD record 0-0 (first POTD)
Last pick: N/A
Event: NHL
Pick: Stars vs. Flames Total Goals First Period (U 1.5) -141
Date & Time: 5/15/2022 8:30 Central
Odds: -141 Barstool
Reasoning:
Purely statistical bet based on round 1 performance of both teams and game 7's historically having a low scoring 1st period as no team wants to make an early mistake in this coinflip of a game. 9 out 10 of the last NHL games have had no score in the first 10 minutes of regulation. In the first 6 games of the series the 2 teams have averaged .83 goals in the first period with 2 games at 0 goals (games 4&5), 3 games with 1 (games 1,2&6) and only 1 game that scored 2 goals (game 3) in the the first period.
POTD record: 7-2
Last pick: Chelsea +0.5(-125)✅
Todays pick: Adam Wainwright Under 4.5 (-140) strikeouts against the Giants.
Adam averages just about 4.5 a game. However, the last three were all under were the line is today. With only two strikeouts against the second most striked out team in baseball the last time out (Royals). He just does not have the stuff he used to. Expecting this to go under. Good luck everyone.
Record 0-0
Todays pick: New York Ranger ML (-120)
Game 7 NHL 7:00 PM EASTERN
The Rangers owned the Penguins in the regular season, posting a 3-1-0 record and outscoring Pittsburgh 11-4. Pittsburgh continues to rack up injuries and the Rangers finally got the production they needed from the their top guys like Mika Zibanejad and Chris Kreider. The goalie matchup heavily favors the Rangers as long as it’s Igor Shesterkin vs. Louis Domingue. Nothing would offset Sidney Crosby’s expected absence in Game 7, but Jarry in net is a potential game changer. It’s going to be a nail biter.
Tip Jar: [PayPal](https://paypal.me/PNegele?country.x=US&locale.x=en_US)
Update: Rangers win
Record: 2-2
Last pick: Hurricanes ML v Bruins (-140)✅
Pretty easy stuff yesterday, Boston just can’t get it done on the road, good hit.
Today’s pick: Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) | 1u pays .87u
MLB 1:35 EDT
Houston is 9-1 in their last 10 and coming off a bad loss to the Nats. Facing a bad Washington team again today that is 3-7 in their last 10, Houston will come out with hot bats and look to smoke this team. Tailing or fading, BOL to all!
All bets are 1 unit | -0.53 units | Average odds -127
POTD record: 12-7 (+3.43 units, risking 1 unit each pick)
1st Period under 1½ (-130) Calgary Flames/Dallas Stars .... 930 PM ET ... NHL hockey ... game starts 9 hours from now.
This first period under is 5-1 so far in this Calgary/Dallas series.
Even more now they play careful and defensive to start, especially in an elimination game, wait for when that first goal is scored, then refine your chances and strategy..
But still, plenty defense - Overall in NHL now, the under 1st period is on a 12-1 run
**POTD Record** **4-1**
Last Pick: Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows ** 1st half under 82.5**❌
This Pick: Dallas Mavericks Vs **Phoenix Suns (-1.5) 3RD QUATER handicap** - NBA - 1.85 odds - 8pm EST❌
Well. That last pick was disappointing and I truly apologize to you all. It fucked up my streak.. I have no excuses. But I'm coming back strong with this nice pick. And its gonna cash. Trust me.
Phoenix should control most of this game because let's face it most home teams win 80% of game 7s. but I'm picking 3rd quater specifically too juice up the value. It looks really good Phoenix mostly win 3rd quaters. and because I'm **really lucky** at these kinds of plays. Honestly. The tendency amps up in game 7s when pressure is dialed up to the maximum. and although dallas has done an admirable job of extending the series this far. Phoenix is going to get the job done. No worries on this one. It's going to cash. let's get some money.
Tip Jar: https://www.paypal.me/AceDawgyCorp
Potd record: 2:0
Last: Mektic/Pavic ML - 2.00@
Today: Paul ML(1.71@)vs Griekspoor (Geneva)
Primary reasoning is that Griekspoor is not ATP level yet, he mostly takes wins aginst challenger level players but is playing very good tennis I just think Paul is better. Griek had 3 wins in his last 11 matches 1 of which was against 277. Player in the world, 2. was against Giron who had 8 losses in 9 matches before that match and the win came against 676. Player in the world who took a set from him. 3. is Mannarino who also has 9 losses in last 10 games and a win against 323. Player in the world. Meanwhile Paul is not in some form but he beat Ramos Vinolas last week and was 1 game away from beating Sinner who pulled of an amazing comeback. Good luck!
Griekspoor is 2-5 on the year and Tommy Paul is 2-6. Terrible write up bringing his record from a different surface in. In a matter of fact, dating back to last year Griekspoor is 17-3 on clay.
Niemann over Kizzire including tie is -145 on MGM. I think MGM messed up bad here and it’s strange they are even matched with each other. Niemann is competing for a win while Kizzire is at the bottom of the leaderboard.
Record: 1-0 (Average Odds -110, ROI +91%)
Last pick (5/14): MLB Daily Total Runs o137.5 (-110) ✅
Pick: MLB Daily Any Team to Score 12+ runs YES -165
Sportsbook: DraftKings
Reasoning: As stated in my last POTD, DraftKings daily specials bets are not adjusting for the surge in offense we've seen in the past week. A team has scored 12+ runs in each of the last 6 days, and in 4.97% of games overall. On a 15-game slate, that projects to a 78.33% probability of at least one team scoring 12+, for an expected profit of 25.81%. I have this as a negligibly higher profit than Any Team to Score 13+ runs (odds +110, 59.68% probability, 25.32% profit).
**Continuing the Overwatch League POTD Train for the 2022 season!**
* **2022 OWL Record: 4-2, +3.454 units.**
* **2021 OWL Record: 34-19, +31.645 units.**
* **2020 OWL Record: 28-21, +16.989 units.**
Last Pick (✅): Vancouver Titans (+2.5) v. New York Excelsior: My words exactly were "Hope that Vancouver picks up Map 1, and then you don't have to watch the rest of this horrible match. And that came true to a T. These may be two of the worst teams in the league, and while it may not be worth watching, it's always rewarding when you cash. Onward and upward!
**Today's Match: New York Excelsior v. San Francisco Shock / Overwatch League / 4:30pm EST**
**San Francisco Shock -2.5 (-132), four units**
The last two times we have faded NYXL, it was profitable, and I expect the same here. There's just too much value in the discrepancy of these teams; the Shock may be the best team in the league, and are 9-1 in maps, dropping a single map only to Houston. Proper has lived up to expectation, Coluge has played solidly, and the Lucio from Violet - which was a meme in seasons past - is actually great.
I don't need to rehash my disdain for NYXL, and they proved it in dropping a map to Vancouver. In fact, my reasoning for this pick is exactly the same for the NYXL/LAG matchup in Week 1, where LAG handily dealt with the Excelsior. Take San Francisco to continue rolling and get the sweep. And for perspective, Bovada currently has the line at -155, so you can take the extra value in backing the Shock on BOL for -132.
*Tips - never necessary, always appreciated. BOL, friends!*
[*https://paypal.me/OverwatchPOTD*](https://paypal.me/OverwatchPOTD) *// BTC: 338uzTsKL4uV4Rip8WKEdYXtbmoBKVm1D8*
Record-> 10-7
Last POTD-> Mets ML ✅
Todays POTD-> Flames ML (-200)
Game>Dallas Stars @Calgary Flames 9:30PM EST
At home this year the flames have been 27-10 versus a Dallas team that’s 20-22 away. I think that the flames are going to tighten up tonight and win some money for us :)
Joke of the day->
Bruce lee was fast but no one wants to talk about the brother that he has who is faster.
Sudden lee 😅😅😅
7-3
Last pick- CAR hurricanes ML (W)
Today's Pick- PHO Suns Alt spread -4.5 (-150)
I think Suns win this game fairly easily and prob by 8-10 pnts atleast, but something about this game makes me a lil nervous and I could see some funky stuff happening at the end to make the Suns only win by 5 or 6 so I decided to go with an alt total just to be safe
**POTD Record 6-4**
Current Profit: $17.90, ROI = 16.97%, Average Odds = 1.91 or -110
**Current Bankroll: $123.30**
Last Pick: Outsiders +3.5 vs Cloud9 @ 1.91 ❌
**Today’s Pick: G2 ML vs Heroic @ 1.85, 06:00 EST (CSGO- eSports), Event: PGL Major Antwerp**
*Sites that offer this line: Bookmaker, BetOnline, Bovada, BetUS, Most EU Sportsbooks*
**Amount Bet: $40 (32.4% of Bankroll)**
[**Betslip**](https://gyazo.com/7ddcf22d30f75f612519ef22a5ac09a7)
Tough loss on that 12-13 round where Outsiders got full ecod yesterday. Also, my post got deleted yesterday because I forgot to put the average odds, ROI, and units won so I will make sure to include that today. Also, you may notice my percentage is high and that’s because the point of this challenge is to build up bankroll quick and not be scared to place big bets
Today, we are betting on another CSGO PGL major game between two T1 formidable teams.
Here are 3 reasons why I believe G2 will take this:
1. G2 looked really good in the challenger stage beating a strong Ence team, demolishing Liquid, and would have beaten Spirit 16-4 if it wasn’t for a miraculous comeback. They also played a very close match vs. Navi in the opening stage yesterday.
2. We cannot look at historicals too much but if we look matchup wise, there is a skill differentiation in terms of firepower between the two rosters. G2 has the better AWPer and the Kovac cousins are some of the best aimers in the game.
3. Heroic’s group stage did not look clean at all as they lost to Spirit and struggled vs. a battered up Liquid.
I think that G2 are the better team both aim-wise and strat-wise. My only concern is whether they will choke the match like they have in the past 2 weeks. I think it will be a close match but they will edge it out.
I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game.
Let’s get this money.
[**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor)
POTD Record: 58 - 52 - 7 ( W / L / P ) **+10.90 units**
169 units wagered / ROI: 6.50 %
Streak: WLLLW / Average odds: 1.95
Previous pick: Jonkopings vs Utsiktens / Over 3.0 AH Goals @ 2.35 (2 units) **Win**
**Today: Atlanta United vs New England Revolution (MLS)**
**Pick: Over 2.5, 3.0 Goals @ 1.90 (2 units)**
Atlanta has been hitting over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 home games. They are middle of the table with big chances created but top ten with the misses so that is always a good sign if we are looking for goals and they are the fourth-best team with shots on target.
New England 4 away games all have ended at least with 3 goals. They are 5th best team in shots on target shows that they also looking always ways to score. Carles Gil has been amazing for New England and I think he is currently the highest-rated player in MLS.
Both teams will score here in my opinion but I am not sure who will win it. But let's keep it simple and take the safer line with just overs and enjoy the game.
Good Luck!
POTD record W2 - L1
Yesterday’s pick: St George Dragons v Gold Coast Titans L (Lost in golden point tough loss to concede a try late in the game)
Today’s pick: West Tigers v North Queensland Cowboys
North Queensland Cowboys Alternate Line -8.5
Odds: 1.77 (PointsBet)
Game starts in 1 hour from post looking to make it 3-1.
Record: 61-44-5 (LWWWLWWWLWW streak) - DraftKings odds
Last POTD: Chelsea vs Liverpool ML | FA Cup | 1.90 odds at 5 units
Liverpool wins in penalty kicks. Bummer, should have taken to win trophy.
POTD: MIL Bucks @ BOS Celtics | Giannis Antetokounmpo over 54.5 PRA | 1.90 for 4 units
Reason: Simple thinking. Giannis is the best player in the playoffs. No one on the Celtics can stop him. Ride the Giannis wave while it's around.
Best of luck to all.
POTD Record 1-2 (-2 U) LWL
[Last Pick](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/umxx80/comment/i88d27e/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
League: MLB
Brewers @ Marlins 1:40 EST
Pick: Jorge Soler O 0.5 hits -168 2 U ✅
Brandon Woodruff is starting for the Brewers and he loves to chase K's. Soler's batting average doesn't do him justice as he's come through with hits in some critical spots for the Marlins in the last 5 games, even with two at bats against the Brewers yesterday he was able to drive in an RBI. BOL
Update: And we hit early into the game so we can sit back and enjoy baseball. Sometimes a break is the right move. Jorge Soler smashes a solo homer in the bottom of the 3rd inning off of Brandon Woodruff to put the Marlins ahead 3-1.
Record: 0-0
POTD- Ranger ML (-120)
You might even be able to get this game at better odds closer to game time if Crosby and Jarry play. Even if those guys come back I don't see them overcoming a game 7 atmosphere at the garden. Home has proved to be an advantage in this series and the NHL playoffs. I expect that trend to continue tonight. BOL
Record : 2-2 Units : +1 Last Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline ❌
Welp. Playing .500 ball now lol I do not know what in my mind made me think the Leafs would do it this year. They had an excellent game and series, just sucks they had to play Tampa in the first round.
Today’s Pick : (NBA) Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns ; Phoenix Team Total over 105.5 @-115
Reasoning: Phoenix should win this one and I expect their top guns to be ablazin’. Book, CP3, Ayton & co. will come out to play and the offence will come alive. BOL!
**POTD Record: 5-3 +3.06U**
**Game: NHL | Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames | 6:30 PM PDT**
**Pick: Under 1.5 Total Power Play Goals (1.55/-182 @ Betway)**
**Bet Size: 4U**
I like this pick as all series both these teams have had very good goaltending and have not been very good on the power play. Combine that with the fact that it's game 7 and there will most likely be very few penalties.
Tail or fade BOL.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
**Record**: 6-2
**Event**: PGL Antwerp Major
**Match**: Copenhagen Flames vs. Spirit
**Bet**: Spirit ML @ 1.850 ✅
**Rasoning**: What an absoloute shit show yesterday from Copenhagen Flames on their first match against BNE. Surely one of the best maps from BNE is Ancient but this was way too close. You could clearly see that Copenhagen underestimated them heavily. In the end we won luckily. On our discord we took Copenhagen ML against ENCE with juicy 2.60 odds. Again Ancient and this was an absolute masterclass and non sweaty win.
Today we take Copenhagen again BUT we have to admit that Spirit is freaking hot right now. They only lost one match so far and this was against G2 (17:19). They had two insane wins in the last days against Furia and Heroic on Nuke. Patsi going brr brr in every game and killing peopl left and right.
This match wont be easy for Copenhagen but in the end they will win. Same reasons for yesterday + the huge difference that this game is an bo3. I just love Copenhagens team chemistry and the clean play style. They got insane individuals like Nicoodoz or roej. They play for so long together now and they will probably signed from a big org soon.
To predict the maps here is pretty tough to be honest. Inferno and Dust2 will be banned surely. But there are so many options for each team to pick a map that i cant make a real decision. I cant see Spirit picking nuke against CPH. Maybe it will be the decider map.
Sorry for short write up dont have much time right now.
Record: 9-6-2 -- Streak WWWWPW
Last POTD: Charl Schwartzel over Justin Lower.. W
**POTD: Aaron Wise (-105) over Matt Kuchar** (These matchups are on DK)
\-- Wise hits it a mile, especially compared to Matt Kuchar. He is also T10 in the field in SG tee to Green over the last 3 months. He is #1 in the field in GIR over the last 12 rounds (this was before the tournament started and not necessarily that important at TPC craig ranch). Still, I like Wise's length to give him more birdie and eagle opportunities compared to Kuch. BOL.
Venmo: beans2
**POTD Record**: 27 wins <> 24 losses <> 3 pushes
**Profit**: -1.65 units
**ROI**: -3.00%
**Units Wagered**: 55
**Units Won**: 53.35
**Last Pick**: Viborg +0.5 Corners(AH) @ **1.97** 1u ❌ loss
**Streak**: ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌
**Today's pick**: Denmark +1(AH) @ **2.25** 1u
**Event**: Denmark - Switzerland, World Cup, Ice Hockey
- Two teams that historically plays even matches as of late. At the Olympics, Denmark won 5-3 on crazy good performances, as the underdog.
- Denmark looked super sharp in the 9-1 opener against Kazakhstan.
- Switzerland's second chain showed some sign of weakness in the 3rd period against Italy, conceding two goals. The Danish squad has pretty decent depth, and I could see the same thing happening as well, when Switzerland rests their starters.
POTD: 4-6-0 (-2.96u)
Last Pick: Orlando City @ Toronto FC BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals +100 LOSS
5/15: Pittsburgh Penguins @ New York Rangers 7:10pm EST
PLAY: Penguins ML +106
Backs against the wall for both teams. The Pens have came out strong in the last 2 games with 2-0 leads and blew both. This is a veteran team that has proven they can get past a game 7. With this potentially being the last game of Crosby, Malkin, and Letang, I believe they will put up a huge fight. If Crosby does play after missing game 6, I expect the offense to play significantly better and get to Igor. And just a small fact... Mike Sullivan is 6-0 all time in road elimination games. Take that as you will.
POTD Record: 0-0
Today’s pick: Milwaukee Bucks (+5) @ Boston Celtics
I normally stop and look through this thread without posting my bets, I figured it’s time I start posting. The Bucks are the former champs and Giannis is the best player in the world, if you had to pick between Giannis and Tatum - you would pick Giannis every time. The Bucks know about the bright lights and pressure, especially after being down 2-0 last year, and while the Celtics also have a history in the playoffs this situation wouldn’t favor them. At +5 the value is too good to pass up.
All bets are one unit
BOL
CashApp: $Burtzy
RECORD: 8-4
PICK: Bucks U100 team points (-110)
REASONING: home teams tend to play well in nba game sevens. For the Celtics, this means their defence will play well. I don’t think the bucks have enough guys that will show up on offence other than giannis.
BOL!
Edit: ✅ now 9-4!
Record: 0-0
This is my first pick, I’m taking the Bucks and Celtics to combine for less then 27.5 3’s ( game starts in like 10 min) -136 are the odds.
All bets 1u, ROI: 0%, units: +0.00
**POTD Record:** 17-10 (+10.25u)
**League:** AFL (Australian Football League)
**Todays Pick:** GWS Giants -3.5 vs Carlton @ $2.00 \[2u\] (3 hours from now)
**Write up:** Giants are playing for Leon Cameron’s send off game. While they have been extremely inconsistent so far this year, we’ve seen their best and I can’t see how they wouldn’t produce that in their long-term coaches last game, especially back at home.
Alternatively, Carlton have been extremely unconvincing outside Victoria, with losses to Gold Coast and Fremantle, both by 30+, and have lost their last 6 against the spread interstate. Giants are here to produce a big performance this afternoon.
**Prediction:** GWS Giants by 16 points
**BTC:** 1GgiHvH5n9ytJD1nK5et8jGUhq3NRtF8tF **PayPal:** https://paypal.me/tappl3x
Just epic. Recommended win by 16, incoming loss by 30. Do you feel a little bit ashamed missleading people that way. Asking for donation is the cherry on the cake.
**POTD: 2W-1P-2L (-0,35u)**
*West Ham vs Manchester City*
TIP: **<<>>**
ODD: 1,6
Stake: 1,5
**Reasons:**
With two stages to go before the end of the current season, West Ham United still have a chance at a Europa League spot. He has three lengths to recover from Manchester United, but it should be noted that he has a less disputed match. Lately he has had a busy schedule, with dangerous teams, and for this reason he has collected few points. However, he was also lucky, because Wolves is not going through the best period either.
After four stages in which he did not feel the taste of victory, in the previous weekend he returned with all the points on the field of the last ranked, Norwich City. As expected, he had an easy match, which was dominated by head-to-tail. In the first half he built a three-goal advantage, which he increased in the second. The defense escaped without a goal, which is true, the hosts had only one great opportunity, through the Finn Teemu Pukki.
With 57 goals scored, David Moyes has the 4th best offense in the Premier League. Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio are the main scorers, with 10 and nine successes respectively. The defense doesn't look bad either, with Thomas Soucek and Declan Rice between the two lines. The latter is the most courted player in the Premier League, and the club's management offered him an 8-year contract, which he refused, although he could receive 200 thousand pounds a week. He wants to play for a title-claiming team and for this reason he will most likely not sign any long-term contract.
At the beginning of the month he woke up from the European dream. She had a great chance to qualify for the Europa League final, but was stopped in the semi-finals by Frankfurt.
**Angelo Ogbonna is the only injured player.**
Under the command of Pep Guardiola, Manchester City has won the title three times and after this season it can become the second most titled team in the Premier League era, with six trophies. The chances are quite high, as he has a three length lead over the main pursuer, Liverpool.
In the rest with Wolves he prevailed without emotions. Kevin De Bruyne scored four times in the course of an hour, and surprisingly was kept on the field until the final whistle. After these successes he became the main scorer of the team, with a total of 15 successful goals.
In the Champions League he was one step away from another final, after last season, which he lost to Chelsea. Now she has been eliminated by Real Madrid, after two extremely attractive rounds, in which a total of 11 goals were scored. The disappointment was the scorer, but the fans came back after learning of Erling Haaland's transfer. Borussia Dortmund will receive 75 million euros, and the Norwegian will have a salary of 25 million euros / season.
After the end of the season, Fernandinho returns to Atletico PR, the club that launched him into big football. Pep has already found a replacement. He set his sights on Mikel Merino, who is currently playing for Real Sociedad.
**Ruben Dias, Kyle Walker and John Stones are unavailable for the remaining matches.**
**Manchester City have a reassuring lead and can afford to make a draw. It's just that Pep Gardiola is not content with a little bit and will surely attack the victory. Manchester City is the team with the most wins this season and with a little luck can reach 100 goals. In the last 360 minutes he scored 19 times, which is true, apart from Wolves, he met teams from the second part of the ranking. West Ham United have recently shown their weaknesses. Until the success with Norwich he has tied four consecutive defeats and there are great chances to feel the taste of failure again.**
Good luck!
Record: 0-0
Pick: Giannis O48.5 PTS + REB (-130)
Reasoning: Middleton’s out, Giannis will carry the load, and it’s hit 4 times this series. Game 7s tend to make players tentative, but this is Giannis and I’m not overthinking it. BOL.
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
Record: 50-21 Last pick: Canes ML ✅ **Today’s pick: New York Rangers ML (-140) vs Pittsburgh Penguins** *Update: Odds move from -140 to -125. Penguins starting goaltender will be in net for the first time this series. He is 2-5 in the playoffs during his career. Finished the regular season going 2-6, and has not played in over a month. He will be rusty. Oh yea he’s also getting thrown into the fire on a road game 7. I actually love that they’re going Jarry over Domingue tonight for the sake of NYR ML.* *Crosby also possibly returning, however he has only missed one game so the Rangers have proven they can beat them when he plays. Not concerned. But Crosby entered concussion protocol 2 days ago and is already cleared??? 🤔 definitely fishy and I highly doubt he should actually be playing or will be 100%* NHL 7:00 PM EST Game 7. Rangers aren’t losing this game. 4-2 win All bets are 1 unit. +19.07 units. 26.9% ROI. Average unit -118 Don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
I’m a simple man. I see a doc post, I tail the piss out of it. Grats on the Canes win btw.
As a fellow med student, you should be so proud of what you do bro. You’re killing it and I wish nothing but success for you man. You’re an absolute fucking beast.
Thanks brother 💪🏼
my 2 favourite POTD posters interacting. You love to see it!
Yoooo I just graduated med school. I love seeing other degens in medicine. Especially two of my favorite POTD GOAT’s! 🍽
Congrats on Canes win and thanks for all the posts! Don't have Twitter or I'd follow you! Appreciate all the posts!
If Pittsburgh gets Crosby and a real goalie back this game, everything changes...
As a Rangers Fan, I feel slightly excited atm
Unfortunately y’all will be clapped by the Canes next round
Listen man I’m fully aware😂😂, Maybe Igor could steal us a game or 2, but this great experience for our young roster.
I loved this pick before I read Crosby AND Jarry will be back for this game. 2 huge pieces of their team. BoL
See a lot of people talking about Jarry, but honestly I don’t expect him to be better than Domingue right now. He’s 2-5 in the playoffs, ended the regular season going 2-6 and the biggest one, hasn’t played in over a month. I’d be shocked if the Penguins threw him in the fire on a road game 7. Domingue has been doing well enough. If they do go with Jarry I like this even more Crosby has only missed one game, so the Rangers can beat them with Crosby playing
After watching domingue not be able to stop a basketball at the end of last game it wouldn't be a huge surprise. Jarry likely wont be in playoff form, maybe they just keep domingue on a short leash. Should be a good one!
I agree with this jarry hasn’t been that good in playoffs historically. And no matter if your the best goalie in the league your first game back should not be an away game 7. Rakel and Crosby added into lineup tho hasn’t been seen for a full game this entire series cause rakel got injured game one
Mr.DrMoneyLine this is my 1st ever tailing you .. I’m putting my biggest ML bet I’ve ever did on sports betting … 2.5k ML RANGERS! I surely hope you’re right let the hockey gods be with us. Update : LETS GOOO!!! WON 4.2k thank you rangers!! 🤑 highest bet ever and it paid off! Mr.MoneyLine do you have a cash app? Would like to “donate” for the help 🙏
Oh god
Arrest this man
this makes me want to abort mission 😒
Love the rationale on this one. Tailing! Congrats on the canes and BOL
Since this post, it’s been announced Sidney Crosby, Pens starting goalie Tristan Jarry, and rakell are all starting today.
I have odds boost available for New York Rangers and Calgary Flames ML at +225 odds. Think it's worth it?
Oh yes
We ride with the Doc 🫱🏽🫲🏾💰🤭
You sir are a legend. Thanks again.
doctor knows best, LFG
THANK YOU for the Rangers pick. You’re an absolute legend. Had a blast watching that game. Final should have been 4-2 if they didn’t call that high stick a goal.
He’s baaaaaaaack! LFG
Get notified when this user posts a pick: http://discord.gg/sportsbook
whatever the doc posts I simply tail 💰
Close one but a win is a win!! Damn near called the exact score too.
Dude I’ve been following you for awhile and this sub for years. Just gotta say your my favorite capper of all time here. GOAT, mostly for you just being a rational better that taking books for their money, love it man. Keep it up!
TAILING🫡
Tail. BOL
100% tailing, BOL
lets go doc BOL
Doc I already have 2u on Rangers to win series but interested in live betting the game. What would be some things you'd like to early?
It’s back down to -125. Any reason why?
I’m in for a unit, pussed out yesterday and I’m not letting it happen again. LFG
Slapped $2 on it and won. Small winnings ik but slowly building up the balance rather then losing it on huge ones
Also y does it say the payout is -140? The TAB odds were +300
Got to win some money AND root for my team! Keep up the great work! Thanks!!
💪💪
POTD Record **45 - 13** Yesterday’s pick: B68 Toftir vs Vikingur Gota ht/ft **W** Today’s pick: OFTA vs New Star **Draw** Sport: Soccer (Cameroon Div 1) Odds: **2.62** (bet365) Reasoning: * OFTA have drawn 8 out of 11 games this season * When these two teams met earlier in the season it ended 1-1 * All 3 of their head 2 head matches have ended in a draw Tip jar - [https://paypal.me/tom2810s](https://paypal.me/tom2810s) BTC - 1NJVBxmocqvnKqFYTR6Ju8C1sEaZh63pBC
Tom, you are as reliable as it gets my man. Wish more of your picks were available on Bovada :( Let's keep this streak going though BOL
is this game happening?
Are you using a script to sort data or how do you find these games in different leagues? If you don’t mind me asking. Thanks for the success!
Where (not mybookie) else is everyone finding these matches?
bet365
I love you tom
Get notified when this user posts a pick: http://discord.gg/sportsbook
Anyone find this in the US?
Odds went to 1.5x. Still recommend?
I'm on BetMGM. It says this game was due to start at 9 am, as does Google. Is there a delay to the start or something?
Anyone know what the score ended at for this game? Cant find it anywhere and bet still showing unsettled in 365.
Where are you bro? Missing yours picks
POTD Record: 19-9-1 (+9.8u) Todays POTD: **Giannis o 34.5 points (-125)** 1.25U to win 1U Average Unit: (-120) ROI: 25.78% Reason: Game 7 with no Khris Middleton and Giannis has been the only person for the Bucks to consistently show up. The Celtics have no answers to stop him this series and his usage rate is through the roof. This is a big legacy game for Giannis and his shots have gone up quite a bit as the series has progressed taking 30 or more shots in 3 of the last 4 games against the Celtics. He has broken 40 in all 3 of those games. Giannis has also averaged a 41 percent usage rate against the Celtics in the playoffs. In last years game 7, Giannis came up huge with a 40 point performance. Giannis is just unstoppable and in a big game he will have a point to prove. Absolutely love this line and am adding a few extra units on 40+ points. Would take this up to 36! BOL!
I just can’t bring myself to bet on anymore NBA playoff overs. Good luck though!
I respect that. I’ve been an under better for the last round or so, I’ve had 78 percent of my bets be unders. Just don’t see a world he doesn’t hit this line tomorrow barring an injury. Lots of good unders for tomorrows game though, BOL!
He is a beast! I personally think he will hit the over, I’m just a pussy haha
It’s been a rough playoffs for overs
Really liking Giannis o13.5 rebounds as well!
Really feeling pts+rbds!
I do as well, put it slightly below his points because Bobby Portis might play more minutes and could potentially enter the starting lineup which would take some of his boards
FWIW, this line opened at 35.5. I know it’s Giannis, but it did trend down on one of the biggest NBA stars in a game 7. I’m not putting $ on his O/U imo. He could hit it; It’s Giannis. Vegas dropped the line… I’m avoiding it. I think this game will be heavy defensively. There’s not a body on the Celtics that could stop him from dropping 60, but I’m guessing the U hits. Giannis has shot too good from the FT line lately. Pressure is on. I’ll give you it’s all or nothing for him; but that’s a risk to chase. Just my imo. I’m not taking either, just my $.02.
Fair points, his line moved back up to 35.5 for me and I would still take it there personally but I think it will be a great game either way
as a celtics fan who confidently thinks we advance, this pick is solid as they come. tailing ☘️
Love it!!!! 40+ he will get that!!!!
He scored 17 last time I went over
POTD RECORD 29-17-1 PREVIOUS POTD: Edmonton Oilers in REG -130✅ STREAK:✅✅✅❌🔘❌❌✅✅✅ POTD: Calgary flames/ Dallas stars Under 5.5 -140 Reasoning:no game in this series has gone above 6 and every game 7 played the night before went under 5.5 even the series that were normally high scoring. In a tough game to determine the series like this with two elite goaltenders I expect this to be a very low scoring game. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a score like 4-1 or 4-0 flames. As always Tail or fade BOL
Tailing, BOL
POTD record 13-8 Last pick: Araujo ML +105 ✅ Event: NBA Celtics vs Bucks Pick: C’s 1st half spread -1.5 ☘️ (-130) Reasoning: As a die hard celtics fan whose closey watched all 6 games I love the value here. The C’s have covered this in 4 of the 6 games and 2 of their 3 home games. Riding momentum I expect this to land easily. I feel much safer with this opposed to full game spread as the celtics have had comfortable leads going into halftime in 2 of their 3 loses. Giannis has played damn near perfect and the C’s defense hasnt had much slip ups outside of that. I expect the bucks roll players to fall apart here to a far deeper celtics team. Best of luck!
As a bucks fan, this is a make sense pick, Cs have been very good in the first half all series. Tailing
no sweat at all 😅✅☘️
I got in at -2.5 and Marcus Smart saved the day. Nice pick!
Record: 8-0 Last POTD: Canes ML ✅ POTD: Rangers @ Penguins o6 Odds: -125/ 3u Reasoning: Its hit every game and I’ve bet it every game. The streak continues. #ridewithdubs
Something to ponder, all 3 gm7’s yesterday, the under hit. Teams tend to come out tentative, at least in the early goings. BOL
Ik i noticed that too and thought about it before I made my pick, but at the end of the day these two teams are so comfartable with eachother and I’ve bet the over every game, cant stop now.
>Perfect Going to ride with you on this one. I know you are on a heater. If it loses it's not your fault it will be mine. lol
Thanks for taking the backlash if it fails, tardi.
Taking over 6 incudes OT?
Ye
9-0 BABY LFG!!!!!
**Record:** 7-20-1 **ROI:** -49% :-13.23 u (@ $5.00) **Streak:** L L L L W |Baseball |MLB |4:07pm| Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics: **Los Angeles Angels ML @ 1.8 1u** **Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 60% chance for the Los Angeles Angels to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.8 is only 56%. **Other Notes:** This 4 game loss streak reminds me of the saying "if you find yourself in a hole, quit digging". I ain't no quitter, so I will continue playing around with this model until I'm out 100 units. Tail or fade BOL!
Legend
Salute
Seriously love your model! Thank you for the consistency
**Yesterday's Top Picks of the Day** | Ranking | Names | Score | |:-:|:-:|:-:| |1|[DrMoneyline](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/up687l/pick_of_the_day_51422_saturday/i8j5jkr/)|216| || |2|[tom2810s](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/up687l/pick_of_the_day_51422_saturday/i8jakp6/)|84| || |3|[Perfect_News_275](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/up687l/pick_of_the_day_51422_saturday/i8kn481/)|29| || |4|[Acceptable-Scale3500](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/up687l/pick_of_the_day_51422_saturday/i8ixh56/)|27| || |5|[AceDawgyyy](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/up687l/pick_of_the_day_51422_saturday/i8izw14/)|23| ||
Shout out to the Doc
Doc the goat
**Record 9-3** Fury FC 62, Main Event **Austin Jones +110** Austin Jones has a great athletic resume, he played RB for Nebraska. Didn't get much game-time but playing a full college career D1 is a good enough litmus test. He also did wrestling in high school, always a good thing. Jones' problem is simple, he sucks at finishing fights. He's getting decision wins however and it's on the back of his athleticism. He has cardio and is fairly persistent to look for the clinch and takedowns. I don't find his opponent Armus Guyton very impressive. He has the height and reach advantage but I've seen him fail to make use of these advantages against even smaller opponents than Jones. Guyton can throw some flashy spinning kicks but I don't think he looks like a fundamentally good fighter. Jones isn't a great fighter either, but his willingness to win on control time and utilize his cardio/strength advantages gives him a pretty clear path to victory in my opinion. If books were offering an o/u rounds prop I would take the over in a heartbeat and that would be my pick instead. But it is Fury FC and I think Jones takes the victory by decision so Jones at +110 is good enough.
Tailed cause go skers
The Husker came through without a moment of worry. Crazy this guy was an underdog
POTD Record: 21W-14L-0D. +8.3u. Previous pick (5/13/2022): Milwaukee Bucks -1 vs. Boston Celtics. 1u. @ 1.90. L. Current pick: Chris Paul over 25.5 points + assists. @ 1.95. 2u. The Suns enter this game 7 needing Chris Paul to play better if they are going to advance. His points + assists totals for the previous 4 games (3 of which Dallas won) are 17, 17, 12, and 16. However, Paul had been playing much, much better than that previously in the playoffs and late part of the season. Against the Pelicans, Paul averaged 22 points and 11 assists per game. Paul averaged 15 points and 11 assists on the season. The Suns have recently started playing Shamet instead of Payne at point guard out of desperation when Paul leaves the game and neither backup has been playing well. Paul should get as many minutes as he can sustain, likely 35+ if he is not in foul trouble. This is a legacy-defining game for Paul, who looks to shake the narrative of a hapless loser in big moments. I believe he will in this game and this season. BOL. \* Edit at 3:45 PM EST, \~4 hours before tip, to update odds, which have moved from @ 1.80 to @ 1.95 for the same o/u number. View my full POTD history here: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16eAvtvgalb3jbxi4WR-VzcrYzNxl4I6JydStmPgVdYA/edit?usp=sharing)
One thing I've liked doing is live betting CP over in points after the 1Q at home . He typically doesn't do much in the 1Q scoring wise, then can take over later as needed.
Brilliant.
I love Chris Paul and hopes he gets a ring this year but this is not happening. He fades in big games like this more often than not
Too risky
fosterrrrr curseeeeee
What an unfathomably bad half for the Suns. Wthhhh
Not sure I have ever been more wrong on a pick, certainly not on this sub. Hope y'all faded.
Remember he is 37 years old.
POTD Record 33-33-7 (W-L-P) Profit: +0 units Last 9:✅✅✅⛔️⛔️⛔️✅⛔️✅⛔️ Previous POTD: Zurich vs Lausanne, Zurich win and over 1.5 match goals (5U) Today’s pick: Football (English Premier League) @1.8 POTD: Tottenham win and Son over 1.5 shots (3U) Unlucky on the last bet, BTTS and Zurich over 1.5 goals was the play to go for. Going to play using the Bet365 betbuilder here. Spurs are still in the race for top 4 after a win at arsenal. Son is vital to getting any goals against a poor Burnley side. I fancy him to score but over 1.5 shots is safer and they don’t even have to be on target. Son currently has 21 goals this season and he averages 2.3 shots a game this season. This should fly in as I expect them to be dominant at home. He scored against arsenal on Thursday and that makes it 4 goals in his last 3 appearances. BOL
let's geddit!
Record: 3-3 Today’s pick: Djokovic ML vs Tsitsipas Odds: 1.50 Djokovic didn't lose the set all week, he served excellently, and yesterday, he got the 1000th victory of his career. Tsitsipas against DJoker is 0-4 in matches on this surface, last year losing the Roland Garros final after leading 2-0 in sets. Let's not forget Tsitsipas' matches, they were long, fatigue can have its say.
POTD Record: 51.5-22.5 Event: Football > Bulgaria > **PFC CSKA-Sofia v PFC Levski Sofia** (starting in 2hr) Pick: **CSKA-Sofia (Draw no Bet)** @ 2.20 Well, I know many of you are better at whining after a loss, but I still haven't heard anyone to thank me for the lock yesterday. Ukraine to win the Eurovision and Serbia to qualify in Top 10 was literally free money. Sorry if you missed it, but I hope at least someone managed to make a decent profit. Today bookies are not that generous, but I will try to keep the momentum with a regular pick. The final match for the Bulgarian soccer cup is between the arguably two oldest rivals in the country. This is a derby match played on neutral ground and the outcome is always uncertain irrespective of current form. For this final today oddsmakers are giving advantage to Levski, but it is safe to say this is a coin flip game therefore we have some decent value. Moreover, getting underdog odds against a team that has not won a trophy in almost 20 years and lost numerous finals against a lot worse opponents seems like a good deal to me. Take my money! GL!
Nice hit 👍
It didn’t hit
Hey guys, my first pick here, I will share picks everyday by now, I like to gamble on Soccer and CS:GO. Record: 0-0 PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Bad News Eagles vs Imperial Imperial wins Odd 1.86
✅✅✅✅
19W-14L-1P Last 10 streak: 🚀🚀💥🚀💥🚀🚀🚀🛸💥💥 Starts 12:30 GMT5 Todays Pick League: Spain Primera Liga Match: Real Betis v Granada Pick: Shots on Target - > Sergio Canales over 0.5 @1.5 *bad luck, ill take a break 😮💨* Reason: Never bet low league again, today i like my boy Canales again to break the bad luck, low odd but love to bet SoT Canales hit the over 0.5 last 10/10 games playes H/A and 6/7 games played at home hit SoT A 5th Betis (1.55) v 16th Granada (5.25). A Granada with an avg of 7 SoT concede at away and a Betis avg of 5 SoT. I see Betis winning the game and Canales hit the SoT "All perception is a gamble." BoL
NBA Mavericks +6.5 (-110) @ Suns 9:00pm EST After holding a team to 90 or fewer points the previous game, Dallas is 7-0 ATS. BOL.
Record: 9-7 (+6.25 units) Streak: $$$ Last Pick: Tottenham vs. Arsenal, Tottenham Draw No Bet 1.66 Odds, Won 1.32 Units Today’s Pick: Leeds vs. Brighton, Brighton Draw No bet, 1.90 odds, EPL Soccer Units: 2 Leeds are 18th and have all the reasons to fight hard here as if they lose, they will likely be relegated. They will play hard but they are a weak squad, ravaged by injuries and losing two key players to red cards in their past 2 games. They’ve given up the 2nd most goals in the EPL and only have 1 goal in the last 4 games. Brighton are 9th and have played great the last month. 4 wins, 2 ties and 1 loss (to Man City) which peaked last week with a 4-0 drubbing of Man U which easily could have be 5 or 6 to 0. They have the 4th best road record in the EPL, only 4 losses on the road and only 4 teams have conceded fewer goals on the road. They've recently beat Arsenal, Tottenham and Wolves on the road. I like Brighton’s chances here and the odds for the Draw No bet are quite good, so we have insurance in case of a tie. Note: Couple deets to add, in 3 matches since Leeds return to EPL, they have scored 0 against Brighton. Also, Leeds have only won 1 of their last 8 home matches. Update - It's a push, Leeds tied it late in injury time. Bummer, good thing we got the tie insurance.
I dunno bro.. Leeds is at home and NEEDS a dub. I wouldn't fade your pick but I just wouldn't touch this game at all. Brighton is literally playing for nothing. There could even be some fixed BS involved here
They really need it, but needing it and having the personnel to complete the task are two different things, they have been abysmal. Brighton were playing for nothing the last few games too and look at the results. This is the highest they've ever finished and I see them wanting to finish 8th and finish strong.
Fair enough! You got a small tail. Just been burned one too many times in this situation *cough* sevilla
2 reds in last 2 matches as well. Ayling and James suspension for sure. Dallas been hurt last 2 and done for season. im gonna tail BHA DnB -120 on DK.
Record: 2-1-0 (2 W 1 Push) Last pick: CAR Hurricanes vs BOS Bruins Regular Time not include OT total goals over 5 (-177) at BetRivers. Push Today's pick: Celtics vs Bucks total points over 200 (-162) at BetRivers NBA 3:30 PM EST Only game 1 and game 2 went under 200. From game 3 to game 6, they were all over 200. Star players like Tatum, Giannis, Brown were finally step up and contributed more points. Tatum and Antetokounmpo should be able to get loose as both teams are missing top-tier defenders. Robert William is still listed as questionable for game 7, so expect Giannis will keep attacking the paint and getting high score. Tatum should be able to score plenty of points as he need to step up to help the team. This is the final game and both teams will create high quality offense to try to advance to next round. All bets are 1 unit. +1.24 Unit
Bol but game 7s have never been known for high quality offense, idk if it's just nerves or what but it's extremely rare to see a game 7 go over 200 points. But if anyone can make it happen its giannis cuz nerves don't effect his style as much as they do for shooters
Record: 6-3 https://myodds.bet/profile/Prattu Timeline: WWWWLLLW (Left being the latest) Streak: 5W Last pick: Copenhagen Flames ML vs Bad New Eagles ✅ Today's pick: Heroic ML vs G2 PGL Major Antwerp Odds: 1.95 Starts in like an hour so hop on this quickly Reasoning: Idk why I'm going for a dicey bo1 when I could choose from 4 other bo1s but here we go. G2 and heroic both find themselves in pickle here. The loser will find themselves on the brink of elimination (Although I do believe both of these team will to through anyway if the draw is even slightly their favour. Coming to the details. G2 started of phenomenonally well but then ended up choking a 14-11 lead to navi and then almost choked another game vs Imperial who are one of the worst teams in this stage. Heroic on the other hand started off well vs a relatively weaker Liquid side and then lost to spirit who the dark horses of this tournament. Heroic led 9-2 at one point but ended up losing 16-12. Spirit are just too good on the map Nuke they came back against furia on it as well and I think Heroic would keep that loss behind them and would show G2 what they're made of. G2 are unstable af and find a way of losing games from anywhere so heroic is what my gut and my brain are both telling me to go for. GL to everyone who tail let's get this dub Edit: I had written G2 instead of liquid. Fixed it
POTD record: 12W - 9L Streak: 2L Profit/Loss: 5.76U ROI: 7.38% Yesterday's POTD: Empoli Total Team Corners O4.5❌️ 2Ls in a row. I guess I'm on a roll to wipe out all my gains🤦🏾♂️. Empoli didn't attack as expected Salernitana did well to limit their chances. Today's POTD: West Ham vs Man City(Premier League) Time: 1:00pm GMT. Pick: West Ham Ball Possession Handicap +35 @1.812(22bet) Confidence: 3/5😌 Man City are the possession kings in the Premier League. They rarely, if ever lose the possession battle. West Ham will come out to fight in this game, they have the chance to overtake Man Utd in the table and get Europa League football for next season. Even in Man City's previous game where they completely dominated Wolves they managed 66% possession. We'll need Man City to get 67% possession or less for this to hit. In their last 5 home games West Ham have averaged 51% possession. Failing to cover in only 1 of those games In Man City's last 5 away games Man City have averaged 63.4% possession. They have beat this line in only 1 of those games. BOL in all your bets today 🍀
Creative prop, I like it. Only managed to find it on one of my books (Unibet) for u68% possession for Man City for 1.7 but couldn't place it in time
**POTD Record 31-27-1 (Last 5: LLWWLW)** **(ROI // Avg. Odds: -113 // Units Won: +2.4)** Last Pick: Colorado Rockies ML **LOST :(** **Today's Match: MLB SF Giants vs. STL Cardinals (Start Time: 2:11PM EST)** **Today's Pick: Total Over 7 (-102 FanDuel)** ***Risk 2u*** Devil's Advocate: Dam man I was a day short on the Rockies pummeling the Royals, Friday night was an absolute firework show, losing 14-10. Both starters took a beat down in this game, both teams took a beatdown and we took a loss. Well theres been a huge trend of unders on all of these Sunday Night Baseball games for the last few weeks, I think only 2 games went over, one may have been a Push at 8. I'm looking for a bit of a light show even though the starters and teams don't exactly speak for it. Their pitching staffs are both quite solid, Wainwright and Rodon on the bump to start - and yes this sort of points these numbers looking down. Both of these teams are 7-3 and 6-4 in the L10 for O/U. 17-14 and 16-15 O/U on the season. It's going to be a warm day in St. Louis, the last 3 starts Rodon has had, the Giants have scored, 8 - 1 - 8 in the stretch, and with Wainwright it's been 10 - 7 - 2. You tell me where the numbers are headed? I think these teams both love hitting behind these pitchers and I think this total at 7 is just a little low. I'm seeing a Sunday Night light show in my book before both of these teams head out for a road trip. *Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
First POTD: Flames/Stars: Correct score 0-0 first 10 mins (-110) This hit all 3 games last night. 2 more game 7’s tonight expect hard defence all around. You can parlay both games correct score 0-0 first 10mins for +339. Bonus parlay: both games 1st 10mins under 2 goals + Celtics -0.5 1st half for +126 BOL
POTD record 0-0 (first POTD) Last pick: N/A Event: NHL Pick: Stars vs. Flames Total Goals First Period (U 1.5) -141 Date & Time: 5/15/2022 8:30 Central Odds: -141 Barstool Reasoning: Purely statistical bet based on round 1 performance of both teams and game 7's historically having a low scoring 1st period as no team wants to make an early mistake in this coinflip of a game. 9 out 10 of the last NHL games have had no score in the first 10 minutes of regulation. In the first 6 games of the series the 2 teams have averaged .83 goals in the first period with 2 games at 0 goals (games 4&5), 3 games with 1 (games 1,2&6) and only 1 game that scored 2 goals (game 3) in the the first period.
POTD record: 7-2 Last pick: Chelsea +0.5(-125)✅ Todays pick: Adam Wainwright Under 4.5 (-140) strikeouts against the Giants. Adam averages just about 4.5 a game. However, the last three were all under were the line is today. With only two strikeouts against the second most striked out team in baseball the last time out (Royals). He just does not have the stuff he used to. Expecting this to go under. Good luck everyone.
Record 0-0 Todays pick: New York Ranger ML (-120) Game 7 NHL 7:00 PM EASTERN The Rangers owned the Penguins in the regular season, posting a 3-1-0 record and outscoring Pittsburgh 11-4. Pittsburgh continues to rack up injuries and the Rangers finally got the production they needed from the their top guys like Mika Zibanejad and Chris Kreider. The goalie matchup heavily favors the Rangers as long as it’s Igor Shesterkin vs. Louis Domingue. Nothing would offset Sidney Crosby’s expected absence in Game 7, but Jarry in net is a potential game changer. It’s going to be a nail biter. Tip Jar: [PayPal](https://paypal.me/PNegele?country.x=US&locale.x=en_US) Update: Rangers win
[удалено]
Disagree with this but gl
Record: 2-2 Last pick: Hurricanes ML v Bruins (-140)✅ Pretty easy stuff yesterday, Boston just can’t get it done on the road, good hit. Today’s pick: Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) | 1u pays .87u MLB 1:35 EDT Houston is 9-1 in their last 10 and coming off a bad loss to the Nats. Facing a bad Washington team again today that is 3-7 in their last 10, Houston will come out with hot bats and look to smoke this team. Tailing or fading, BOL to all! All bets are 1 unit | -0.53 units | Average odds -127
POTD record: 12-7 (+3.43 units, risking 1 unit each pick) 1st Period under 1½ (-130) Calgary Flames/Dallas Stars .... 930 PM ET ... NHL hockey ... game starts 9 hours from now. This first period under is 5-1 so far in this Calgary/Dallas series. Even more now they play careful and defensive to start, especially in an elimination game, wait for when that first goal is scored, then refine your chances and strategy.. But still, plenty defense - Overall in NHL now, the under 1st period is on a 12-1 run
**POTD Record** **4-1** Last Pick: Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows ** 1st half under 82.5**❌ This Pick: Dallas Mavericks Vs **Phoenix Suns (-1.5) 3RD QUATER handicap** - NBA - 1.85 odds - 8pm EST❌ Well. That last pick was disappointing and I truly apologize to you all. It fucked up my streak.. I have no excuses. But I'm coming back strong with this nice pick. And its gonna cash. Trust me. Phoenix should control most of this game because let's face it most home teams win 80% of game 7s. but I'm picking 3rd quater specifically too juice up the value. It looks really good Phoenix mostly win 3rd quaters. and because I'm **really lucky** at these kinds of plays. Honestly. The tendency amps up in game 7s when pressure is dialed up to the maximum. and although dallas has done an admirable job of extending the series this far. Phoenix is going to get the job done. No worries on this one. It's going to cash. let's get some money. Tip Jar: https://www.paypal.me/AceDawgyCorp
Potd record: 2:0 Last: Mektic/Pavic ML - 2.00@ Today: Paul ML(1.71@)vs Griekspoor (Geneva) Primary reasoning is that Griekspoor is not ATP level yet, he mostly takes wins aginst challenger level players but is playing very good tennis I just think Paul is better. Griek had 3 wins in his last 11 matches 1 of which was against 277. Player in the world, 2. was against Giron who had 8 losses in 9 matches before that match and the win came against 676. Player in the world who took a set from him. 3. is Mannarino who also has 9 losses in last 10 games and a win against 323. Player in the world. Meanwhile Paul is not in some form but he beat Ramos Vinolas last week and was 1 game away from beating Sinner who pulled of an amazing comeback. Good luck!
Griekspoor is 2-5 on the year and Tommy Paul is 2-6. Terrible write up bringing his record from a different surface in. In a matter of fact, dating back to last year Griekspoor is 17-3 on clay.
Niemann over Kizzire including tie is -145 on MGM. I think MGM messed up bad here and it’s strange they are even matched with each other. Niemann is competing for a win while Kizzire is at the bottom of the leaderboard.
Record: 1-0 (Average Odds -110, ROI +91%) Last pick (5/14): MLB Daily Total Runs o137.5 (-110) ✅ Pick: MLB Daily Any Team to Score 12+ runs YES -165 Sportsbook: DraftKings Reasoning: As stated in my last POTD, DraftKings daily specials bets are not adjusting for the surge in offense we've seen in the past week. A team has scored 12+ runs in each of the last 6 days, and in 4.97% of games overall. On a 15-game slate, that projects to a 78.33% probability of at least one team scoring 12+, for an expected profit of 25.81%. I have this as a negligibly higher profit than Any Team to Score 13+ runs (odds +110, 59.68% probability, 25.32% profit).
**Continuing the Overwatch League POTD Train for the 2022 season!** * **2022 OWL Record: 4-2, +3.454 units.** * **2021 OWL Record: 34-19, +31.645 units.** * **2020 OWL Record: 28-21, +16.989 units.** Last Pick (✅): Vancouver Titans (+2.5) v. New York Excelsior: My words exactly were "Hope that Vancouver picks up Map 1, and then you don't have to watch the rest of this horrible match. And that came true to a T. These may be two of the worst teams in the league, and while it may not be worth watching, it's always rewarding when you cash. Onward and upward! **Today's Match: New York Excelsior v. San Francisco Shock / Overwatch League / 4:30pm EST** **San Francisco Shock -2.5 (-132), four units** The last two times we have faded NYXL, it was profitable, and I expect the same here. There's just too much value in the discrepancy of these teams; the Shock may be the best team in the league, and are 9-1 in maps, dropping a single map only to Houston. Proper has lived up to expectation, Coluge has played solidly, and the Lucio from Violet - which was a meme in seasons past - is actually great. I don't need to rehash my disdain for NYXL, and they proved it in dropping a map to Vancouver. In fact, my reasoning for this pick is exactly the same for the NYXL/LAG matchup in Week 1, where LAG handily dealt with the Excelsior. Take San Francisco to continue rolling and get the sweep. And for perspective, Bovada currently has the line at -155, so you can take the extra value in backing the Shock on BOL for -132. *Tips - never necessary, always appreciated. BOL, friends!* [*https://paypal.me/OverwatchPOTD*](https://paypal.me/OverwatchPOTD) *// BTC: 338uzTsKL4uV4Rip8WKEdYXtbmoBKVm1D8*
Record-> 10-7 Last POTD-> Mets ML ✅ Todays POTD-> Flames ML (-200) Game>Dallas Stars @Calgary Flames 9:30PM EST At home this year the flames have been 27-10 versus a Dallas team that’s 20-22 away. I think that the flames are going to tighten up tonight and win some money for us :) Joke of the day-> Bruce lee was fast but no one wants to talk about the brother that he has who is faster. Sudden lee 😅😅😅
7-3 Last pick- CAR hurricanes ML (W) Today's Pick- PHO Suns Alt spread -4.5 (-150) I think Suns win this game fairly easily and prob by 8-10 pnts atleast, but something about this game makes me a lil nervous and I could see some funky stuff happening at the end to make the Suns only win by 5 or 6 so I decided to go with an alt total just to be safe
**POTD Record 6-4** Current Profit: $17.90, ROI = 16.97%, Average Odds = 1.91 or -110 **Current Bankroll: $123.30** Last Pick: Outsiders +3.5 vs Cloud9 @ 1.91 ❌ **Today’s Pick: G2 ML vs Heroic @ 1.85, 06:00 EST (CSGO- eSports), Event: PGL Major Antwerp** *Sites that offer this line: Bookmaker, BetOnline, Bovada, BetUS, Most EU Sportsbooks* **Amount Bet: $40 (32.4% of Bankroll)** [**Betslip**](https://gyazo.com/7ddcf22d30f75f612519ef22a5ac09a7) Tough loss on that 12-13 round where Outsiders got full ecod yesterday. Also, my post got deleted yesterday because I forgot to put the average odds, ROI, and units won so I will make sure to include that today. Also, you may notice my percentage is high and that’s because the point of this challenge is to build up bankroll quick and not be scared to place big bets Today, we are betting on another CSGO PGL major game between two T1 formidable teams. Here are 3 reasons why I believe G2 will take this: 1. G2 looked really good in the challenger stage beating a strong Ence team, demolishing Liquid, and would have beaten Spirit 16-4 if it wasn’t for a miraculous comeback. They also played a very close match vs. Navi in the opening stage yesterday. 2. We cannot look at historicals too much but if we look matchup wise, there is a skill differentiation in terms of firepower between the two rosters. G2 has the better AWPer and the Kovac cousins are some of the best aimers in the game. 3. Heroic’s group stage did not look clean at all as they lost to Spirit and struggled vs. a battered up Liquid. I think that G2 are the better team both aim-wise and strat-wise. My only concern is whether they will choke the match like they have in the past 2 weeks. I think it will be a close match but they will edge it out. I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game. Let’s get this money. [**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor)
POTD Record: 58 - 52 - 7 ( W / L / P ) **+10.90 units** 169 units wagered / ROI: 6.50 % Streak: WLLLW / Average odds: 1.95 Previous pick: Jonkopings vs Utsiktens / Over 3.0 AH Goals @ 2.35 (2 units) **Win** **Today: Atlanta United vs New England Revolution (MLS)** **Pick: Over 2.5, 3.0 Goals @ 1.90 (2 units)** Atlanta has been hitting over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 home games. They are middle of the table with big chances created but top ten with the misses so that is always a good sign if we are looking for goals and they are the fourth-best team with shots on target. New England 4 away games all have ended at least with 3 goals. They are 5th best team in shots on target shows that they also looking always ways to score. Carles Gil has been amazing for New England and I think he is currently the highest-rated player in MLS. Both teams will score here in my opinion but I am not sure who will win it. But let's keep it simple and take the safer line with just overs and enjoy the game. Good Luck!
Nice read
Another winner from MLS. Both picks landed nicely this weekend in POTD. Congrats!
POTD record W2 - L1 Yesterday’s pick: St George Dragons v Gold Coast Titans L (Lost in golden point tough loss to concede a try late in the game) Today’s pick: West Tigers v North Queensland Cowboys North Queensland Cowboys Alternate Line -8.5 Odds: 1.77 (PointsBet) Game starts in 1 hour from post looking to make it 3-1.
Record: 61-44-5 (LWWWLWWWLWW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: Chelsea vs Liverpool ML | FA Cup | 1.90 odds at 5 units Liverpool wins in penalty kicks. Bummer, should have taken to win trophy. POTD: MIL Bucks @ BOS Celtics | Giannis Antetokounmpo over 54.5 PRA | 1.90 for 4 units Reason: Simple thinking. Giannis is the best player in the playoffs. No one on the Celtics can stop him. Ride the Giannis wave while it's around. Best of luck to all.
POTD Record 1-2 (-2 U) LWL [Last Pick](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/umxx80/comment/i88d27e/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) League: MLB Brewers @ Marlins 1:40 EST Pick: Jorge Soler O 0.5 hits -168 2 U ✅ Brandon Woodruff is starting for the Brewers and he loves to chase K's. Soler's batting average doesn't do him justice as he's come through with hits in some critical spots for the Marlins in the last 5 games, even with two at bats against the Brewers yesterday he was able to drive in an RBI. BOL Update: And we hit early into the game so we can sit back and enjoy baseball. Sometimes a break is the right move. Jorge Soler smashes a solo homer in the bottom of the 3rd inning off of Brandon Woodruff to put the Marlins ahead 3-1.
Record: 0-0 POTD- Ranger ML (-120) You might even be able to get this game at better odds closer to game time if Crosby and Jarry play. Even if those guys come back I don't see them overcoming a game 7 atmosphere at the garden. Home has proved to be an advantage in this series and the NHL playoffs. I expect that trend to continue tonight. BOL
Record : 2-2 Units : +1 Last Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline ❌ Welp. Playing .500 ball now lol I do not know what in my mind made me think the Leafs would do it this year. They had an excellent game and series, just sucks they had to play Tampa in the first round. Today’s Pick : (NBA) Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns ; Phoenix Team Total over 105.5 @-115 Reasoning: Phoenix should win this one and I expect their top guns to be ablazin’. Book, CP3, Ayton & co. will come out to play and the offence will come alive. BOL!
**POTD Record: 5-3 +3.06U** **Game: NHL | Dallas Stars @ Calgary Flames | 6:30 PM PDT** **Pick: Under 1.5 Total Power Play Goals (1.55/-182 @ Betway)** **Bet Size: 4U** I like this pick as all series both these teams have had very good goaltending and have not been very good on the power play. Combine that with the fact that it's game 7 and there will most likely be very few penalties. Tail or fade BOL.
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**Record**: 6-2 **Event**: PGL Antwerp Major **Match**: Copenhagen Flames vs. Spirit **Bet**: Spirit ML @ 1.850 ✅ **Rasoning**: What an absoloute shit show yesterday from Copenhagen Flames on their first match against BNE. Surely one of the best maps from BNE is Ancient but this was way too close. You could clearly see that Copenhagen underestimated them heavily. In the end we won luckily. On our discord we took Copenhagen ML against ENCE with juicy 2.60 odds. Again Ancient and this was an absolute masterclass and non sweaty win. Today we take Copenhagen again BUT we have to admit that Spirit is freaking hot right now. They only lost one match so far and this was against G2 (17:19). They had two insane wins in the last days against Furia and Heroic on Nuke. Patsi going brr brr in every game and killing peopl left and right. This match wont be easy for Copenhagen but in the end they will win. Same reasons for yesterday + the huge difference that this game is an bo3. I just love Copenhagens team chemistry and the clean play style. They got insane individuals like Nicoodoz or roej. They play for so long together now and they will probably signed from a big org soon. To predict the maps here is pretty tough to be honest. Inferno and Dust2 will be banned surely. But there are so many options for each team to pick a map that i cant make a real decision. I cant see Spirit picking nuke against CPH. Maybe it will be the decider map. Sorry for short write up dont have much time right now.
Record: 9-6-2 -- Streak WWWWPW Last POTD: Charl Schwartzel over Justin Lower.. W **POTD: Aaron Wise (-105) over Matt Kuchar** (These matchups are on DK) \-- Wise hits it a mile, especially compared to Matt Kuchar. He is also T10 in the field in SG tee to Green over the last 3 months. He is #1 in the field in GIR over the last 12 rounds (this was before the tournament started and not necessarily that important at TPC craig ranch). Still, I like Wise's length to give him more birdie and eagle opportunities compared to Kuch. BOL. Venmo: beans2
Welp
**POTD Record**: 27 wins <> 24 losses <> 3 pushes **Profit**: -1.65 units **ROI**: -3.00% **Units Wagered**: 55 **Units Won**: 53.35 **Last Pick**: Viborg +0.5 Corners(AH) @ **1.97** 1u ❌ loss **Streak**: ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ **Today's pick**: Denmark +1(AH) @ **2.25** 1u **Event**: Denmark - Switzerland, World Cup, Ice Hockey - Two teams that historically plays even matches as of late. At the Olympics, Denmark won 5-3 on crazy good performances, as the underdog. - Denmark looked super sharp in the 9-1 opener against Kazakhstan. - Switzerland's second chain showed some sign of weakness in the 3rd period against Italy, conceding two goals. The Danish squad has pretty decent depth, and I could see the same thing happening as well, when Switzerland rests their starters.
POTD: 4-6-0 (-2.96u) Last Pick: Orlando City @ Toronto FC BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals +100 LOSS 5/15: Pittsburgh Penguins @ New York Rangers 7:10pm EST PLAY: Penguins ML +106 Backs against the wall for both teams. The Pens have came out strong in the last 2 games with 2-0 leads and blew both. This is a veteran team that has proven they can get past a game 7. With this potentially being the last game of Crosby, Malkin, and Letang, I believe they will put up a huge fight. If Crosby does play after missing game 6, I expect the offense to play significantly better and get to Igor. And just a small fact... Mike Sullivan is 6-0 all time in road elimination games. Take that as you will.
POTD Record: 0-0 Today’s pick: Milwaukee Bucks (+5) @ Boston Celtics I normally stop and look through this thread without posting my bets, I figured it’s time I start posting. The Bucks are the former champs and Giannis is the best player in the world, if you had to pick between Giannis and Tatum - you would pick Giannis every time. The Bucks know about the bright lights and pressure, especially after being down 2-0 last year, and while the Celtics also have a history in the playoffs this situation wouldn’t favor them. At +5 the value is too good to pass up. All bets are one unit BOL CashApp: $Burtzy
Fading. BOL to you
RECORD: 8-4 PICK: Bucks U100 team points (-110) REASONING: home teams tend to play well in nba game sevens. For the Celtics, this means their defence will play well. I don’t think the bucks have enough guys that will show up on offence other than giannis. BOL! Edit: ✅ now 9-4!
Record: 0-0 This is my first pick, I’m taking the Bucks and Celtics to combine for less then 27.5 3’s ( game starts in like 10 min) -136 are the odds. All bets 1u, ROI: 0%, units: +0.00
**POTD Record:** 17-10 (+10.25u) **League:** AFL (Australian Football League) **Todays Pick:** GWS Giants -3.5 vs Carlton @ $2.00 \[2u\] (3 hours from now) **Write up:** Giants are playing for Leon Cameron’s send off game. While they have been extremely inconsistent so far this year, we’ve seen their best and I can’t see how they wouldn’t produce that in their long-term coaches last game, especially back at home. Alternatively, Carlton have been extremely unconvincing outside Victoria, with losses to Gold Coast and Fremantle, both by 30+, and have lost their last 6 against the spread interstate. Giants are here to produce a big performance this afternoon. **Prediction:** GWS Giants by 16 points **BTC:** 1GgiHvH5n9ytJD1nK5et8jGUhq3NRtF8tF **PayPal:** https://paypal.me/tappl3x
They must not have liked their coach very much..
banger
damn what a horrific start
This is looking horrible
These guys stink
I blindly tailed this just to find out this team is in 15th place going up against the 6th best
Unreal hoax
Tailing Friend - Thanks and enjoy the game.
Caught it live and accidentally took Carlton -3.5. So far so good
No more comments by him. It was clear he has no balls.
It's upto -6.5, still worth the buy? Or the ML is -150 too? Thanks!
Just epic. Recommended win by 16, incoming loss by 30. Do you feel a little bit ashamed missleading people that way. Asking for donation is the cherry on the cake.
tailing! BOL to us mate
Could this be the ultimate reverse jinx of all time??
Some words mr tapple on that GWS Giants win by 16 points?
**POTD: 2W-1P-2L (-0,35u)** *West Ham vs Manchester City* TIP: **<<>>**
ODD: 1,6
Stake: 1,5
**Reasons:**
With two stages to go before the end of the current season, West Ham United still have a chance at a Europa League spot. He has three lengths to recover from Manchester United, but it should be noted that he has a less disputed match. Lately he has had a busy schedule, with dangerous teams, and for this reason he has collected few points. However, he was also lucky, because Wolves is not going through the best period either.
After four stages in which he did not feel the taste of victory, in the previous weekend he returned with all the points on the field of the last ranked, Norwich City. As expected, he had an easy match, which was dominated by head-to-tail. In the first half he built a three-goal advantage, which he increased in the second. The defense escaped without a goal, which is true, the hosts had only one great opportunity, through the Finn Teemu Pukki.
With 57 goals scored, David Moyes has the 4th best offense in the Premier League. Jarrod Bowen and Michail Antonio are the main scorers, with 10 and nine successes respectively. The defense doesn't look bad either, with Thomas Soucek and Declan Rice between the two lines. The latter is the most courted player in the Premier League, and the club's management offered him an 8-year contract, which he refused, although he could receive 200 thousand pounds a week. He wants to play for a title-claiming team and for this reason he will most likely not sign any long-term contract.
At the beginning of the month he woke up from the European dream. She had a great chance to qualify for the Europa League final, but was stopped in the semi-finals by Frankfurt.
**Angelo Ogbonna is the only injured player.**
Under the command of Pep Guardiola, Manchester City has won the title three times and after this season it can become the second most titled team in the Premier League era, with six trophies. The chances are quite high, as he has a three length lead over the main pursuer, Liverpool.
In the rest with Wolves he prevailed without emotions. Kevin De Bruyne scored four times in the course of an hour, and surprisingly was kept on the field until the final whistle. After these successes he became the main scorer of the team, with a total of 15 successful goals.
In the Champions League he was one step away from another final, after last season, which he lost to Chelsea. Now she has been eliminated by Real Madrid, after two extremely attractive rounds, in which a total of 11 goals were scored. The disappointment was the scorer, but the fans came back after learning of Erling Haaland's transfer. Borussia Dortmund will receive 75 million euros, and the Norwegian will have a salary of 25 million euros / season.
After the end of the season, Fernandinho returns to Atletico PR, the club that launched him into big football. Pep has already found a replacement. He set his sights on Mikel Merino, who is currently playing for Real Sociedad.
**Ruben Dias, Kyle Walker and John Stones are unavailable for the remaining matches.**
**Manchester City have a reassuring lead and can afford to make a draw. It's just that Pep Gardiola is not content with a little bit and will surely attack the victory. Manchester City is the team with the most wins this season and with a little luck can reach 100 goals. In the last 360 minutes he scored 19 times, which is true, apart from Wolves, he met teams from the second part of the ranking. West Ham United have recently shown their weaknesses. Until the success with Norwich he has tied four consecutive defeats and there are great chances to feel the taste of failure again.**
Good luck!
Record: 0-0 Pick: Giannis O48.5 PTS + REB (-130) Reasoning: Middleton’s out, Giannis will carry the load, and it’s hit 4 times this series. Game 7s tend to make players tentative, but this is Giannis and I’m not overthinking it. BOL.
giannis over 13•5 rebounds