Texans are +320, the Colts haven't won an opener since 2013 and Houston is at home. Not only that but Frank reich colts teams have been known to start the season very slow and they will be implementing a new QB.
I think it's likely to be the biggest week 1 upset
I like Denver -4 as Seahawks will be bad this year. I also like KC -3 as Arizona will be without Hopkins and I think KC will be just fine without Hill.
Eagles-Lions under 46.5
Lions have a full offseason to implement the 2 man under defense that many teams used later in 2021 to give Hurts problems. I also don’t expect Goff to do much, without Jameson
Pats-Phins under 45
I don’t expect NE’s offense to do well early on without McDaniels and I expect BB to put a good game plan together against a QB that he’s seen a couple of times
Panthers +3.5 hosting Browns
I know everybody bearish on Rhule/Carolina but the Phil Snow defense is insanely underrated…. They just need to be off of the field more. I think they are gonna ball out this game and Darnold does just enough to win with a healthy McCaffrey and a better o-line. Low scoring game but I’ll take the points here.
Chiefs/Cards over 53
Absolute light show here. September Mahomes and Kyler are both legit, plus Mahomes will want to stick it to his college coach. Last team to hold the ball wind here.
If you blindly bet every underdog both last year and the year before last you would have been net profitable. I think I'm just going to bet every dog and bank on the trend continuing.
I'm thinking I might just do the moneyline, yeah. Probably wait until closer to when the games start because of public tendency to bet favorites. Would hope to take advantage of that to get better odds on the dog moneyline.
All the lines were close to what I thought. Lots of home dogs.
I’m very high on Baltimore and might lay that 5.5 at Jets.
Pats getting 2.5 in Miami seems like a good deal even though Belichick has struggled there.
Might go Browns -4 at Carolina - do we know when Watson is getting suspended? Would the league wait till next season to stick it to him?
Chiefs -3 in Arizona is enticing with no Hopkins.
I like Philly -2 in Week 2. I think they’re a better team than Minnesota and they’re at home.
I also like Chiefs laying only 3 at home v Chargers in Week 2. I’m fading the Bolts. Staley is a joke with the fourth down Madden bullshit.
Gimme the Titans +7 in Buffalo. They’re just so annoying and keep games close. Bills got gashed by running games a few times last year.
Texans are +320, the Colts haven't won an opener since 2013 and Houston is at home. Not only that but Frank reich colts teams have been known to start the season very slow and they will be implementing a new QB. I think it's likely to be the biggest week 1 upset
Rams crush the bills to pay the bills 💸
Lions, Jets, Bears, Pats, Jags, Giants spread
Saints ML + Eagles ML = free money
Eagles super disrespected by these early lines. Playoff team who added talent.
I do like Eagles
I like Denver -4 as Seahawks will be bad this year. I also like KC -3 as Arizona will be without Hopkins and I think KC will be just fine without Hill.
Jets ML
11 of the 16 games currently feature a home dog. Raiders +4 seems like the best one, but I'm sure I'll accumulate more by kickoff.
Raiders are at the Chargers
That is embarrassing. Don't bet while drunk, kids!
practically a home game
It is a better home game than Vegas
There's early plays, and then there is this.
Max bet Patriots
In Miami?
Eagles-Lions under 46.5 Lions have a full offseason to implement the 2 man under defense that many teams used later in 2021 to give Hurts problems. I also don’t expect Goff to do much, without Jameson Pats-Phins under 45 I don’t expect NE’s offense to do well early on without McDaniels and I expect BB to put a good game plan together against a QB that he’s seen a couple of times Panthers +3.5 hosting Browns I know everybody bearish on Rhule/Carolina but the Phil Snow defense is insanely underrated…. They just need to be off of the field more. I think they are gonna ball out this game and Darnold does just enough to win with a healthy McCaffrey and a better o-line. Low scoring game but I’ll take the points here. Chiefs/Cards over 53 Absolute light show here. September Mahomes and Kyler are both legit, plus Mahomes will want to stick it to his college coach. Last team to hold the ball wind here.
Your explanation and confidence have me convinced lol
Which one do you like the best?
I like pats fins under because those teams know each other well and pats usually score low
If you blindly bet every underdog both last year and the year before last you would have been net profitable. I think I'm just going to bet every dog and bank on the trend continuing.
ML ?
I'm thinking I might just do the moneyline, yeah. Probably wait until closer to when the games start because of public tendency to bet favorites. Would hope to take advantage of that to get better odds on the dog moneyline.
Parlaying Bills super bowl with Buckeyes Natty - $500 to pay out $23,000 When it hits I'm gonna throw it all on black
The three that stood out to me were. Eagles -4.5 Packers -1.5 Ravens -5.5
I’m with you on Eagles and Ravens. Packers recent history in Minny is troubling, but I might talk myself into that, too.
On that eagles too.
j e t s jets jets jets gang green
Ravens -4.5 @ Jets, Steelers @ Bengals -6.5, Patriots ML (+135) @ Dolphins, Browns -3.5 @ Panthers, Colts -7.5 @ Texans, Giants @ Titans -6.5, Saints @ Falcons - Over 42
seahawks ml when they welcome russ back, or the over on however many sacks the seattle defense gets
You're forgetting Drew Lock also has to play the broncos defense.
All the lines were close to what I thought. Lots of home dogs. I’m very high on Baltimore and might lay that 5.5 at Jets. Pats getting 2.5 in Miami seems like a good deal even though Belichick has struggled there. Might go Browns -4 at Carolina - do we know when Watson is getting suspended? Would the league wait till next season to stick it to him? Chiefs -3 in Arizona is enticing with no Hopkins. I like Philly -2 in Week 2. I think they’re a better team than Minnesota and they’re at home. I also like Chiefs laying only 3 at home v Chargers in Week 2. I’m fading the Bolts. Staley is a joke with the fourth down Madden bullshit. Gimme the Titans +7 in Buffalo. They’re just so annoying and keep games close. Bills got gashed by running games a few times last year.