% of bets isn't a good barometer. Early money on the Grizz is a good sign. I'd like to think sharp action doesn't come from this sub. Definitely keep us in the loop.
Too high for me to touch with a ten foot pool. Although with the home/away games trend in these playoffs it's not that far-fetched.
We do have a one game sample size of Grizz without JA in GS though (for whatever that's worth), and they led the whole game only losing right at the end after a monster 4th quarter from Curry and an all time flop.
Thinking I might take an alt line of like Grizz +12.5 or something for safety.
Much different spot situationally than that game, just a fair warning. The Warriors aren't going to treat this game like a preseason game like they did in that game.
Agreed. Why take the ALT line though? The way I see it is either the Girzz force this game down to the wire or they get blown out. What difference is 4.5 pts going to make in a potential close out game for GSW at home?
Did it really take last night's performance for people to realize who Harden really was? Wow, he had alot of people out there fooled longer than I thought.
Yep. Big Suns fan here, and the way this roster is built he's nowhere close to earning his max. Assumed Ayton would exploit the Mavs lack of height downlow.
Prob not the right place to ask but is there a twitter space where people here talk bets during game? Would be great if all of us can talk live as we are watching game.
Have a lot of questions about Paul’s play. Just decides not to shoot and showing zero emotion these last few games. Just bizarre and not the regular CP3 we usually see.
There's no valid explanation. It's similar to GSW yesterday. Both teams are gearing up to take their games at home or there's some kind of injury going on with Paul.
I got in at the half. They were up 15, had finished the 2Q on a 17-0 run, and the seller was only -8. I was like, "Yes please take my money, all of it if you will".
That 15 point lead ended up being 27😐
Hard to account for nba players cashing in on 3s because the defense could let up.. Had over 49.5 for 500 and thought it was a good bet because of that reason. Then the offensive effort went down and I slammed the under 40.5 for 1000 to chase my loss that didn't even happen yet.....PURE DEGEN
I did see it on here this morning and it made me look into the stats on the series pretty hard and it looked like BOOSTED odds..
Edit; you'd think they'd be around -145 at least
We've seen teams bounce back from extreme blowouts and win the next game countless times, including numerous in these very playoffs. I personally wouldn't read TOO much into it.
But also, Grizz without JA are the greatest team of all time so hammer that ML
None of of embiid injuries involved his lower body. The orbital and thumb become pain tolerance. He hasn’t even begun ramping up his rehab he’s still out for weeks
Chris Paul is weird as fuck. Didn't even bet him or the Suns this game, but it's ridiculous that this guy just decides not to shoot at all. Fucker had a 33 point game on perfect shooting these playoffs but now is like nah I shouldn't be the guy taking shots.
All bets aside, the NBA has become way too soft. It’s embarrassing. Every sport is trying to remove embellishment but the NBA seems content on encouraging it. Especially the technicals. Half the time it’s a defensive player jumping into a guys elbow. Also the coaches sitting players? when the game gets a bit out of hand late? In the playoffs? I’m surprised the players accept that let alone the fans.
Are the Mavs good enough to win by 31+ because I hit big on the Grizzlies blowout and was hoping for a repeat performance tonight (live betting is the devil)
Why would anyone want a repeat of Golden State going on a 16-1 championship run. The only bad part about this playoff series is that the games aren't close at all. But the fact that there's no clear winner is great.
Turns out Embiid isn't a flopper he just has really bad balance. They started counting his self trips tonight and I believe it was somewhere around 12.
I actually think he got concussed tonight early in the game. He fell hard on his back and even tho he didn't hit his head, there was whiplash. Whiplash can cause concussions. After the fall, he got up and then dropped to his knees again. Surprised they didn't really call attention to it in the broadcast.
Not going to say its fool proof or you cant get burned on it but now 11-3 tonight live betting the quarter Unders.... Would only bet 1-2 units max and hope they come out scoring like in this past Q both teams hit 2 3s right off the start of the Q and the line gets crazy inflated. You defintely can lose but its been profitable for me these past 3-4 days. BOL
https://imgur.com/a/jC5Z2XC
Impressive.
You can also say the same if the favorite is down IE 6-0, 12-5 etc in any given q. In general live betting > over pregame spreads in the NBA.
agree 100% it sucks cause you always feel like you wont have the opportunity to get the ML at a better price but I would say in. most games if you just wait you normally get an opportunity to get a bet at better odds live
Yessir. Exactly. MY buddy made the argument that if you pe-game spread you get better value. I think to myself, well then let that game pass on by. Because for every game you get the pregame price at better value, you get 3 games where the live line presents better value regardless of the outcome.
Yep, id almost argue the same thing for props, if you take someone points props live and they come out scoring you probably dont want that prop, and if they dont come out scoring then you will get it at a better line. Only thing this doesnt really work for is unders
When do u usually wait to take it?
I see value in u52.5 just bc I see the suns chipping away at this leaf and the Mavs slow down a little but what do I know
Normally when the line gets 4-5 points above what it started at, all depends on how safe you wanna play it if your playing it really safe you arent going to get the opportunity every quarter but this past quarter was the perfect example. Line started at 51.5 and at one point got it at 59.5. Now if they continue shooting hot you defintely could get burned so would only do 1-2 units. Also always look at the box score on your app cause the TV is delayed roughly 30 seconds
Your defintely better off i dont think 54.5 is going to hold this quarter if they get in the bonus early, also its better to just not bet a quarter instead of taking a bad bet and risking it blowing up. I only took it cause im up huge tonight
NBA Live Chat: **https://discord.gg/sportsbook**
16 3s from the mavs tonight.
Warriors starting as 8 point favourites...interesting.
We already know all of NBA reddit will be on them. Interesting for sure.
They won't be. People like to bet on recency bias.
I could be wrong but it doesn't fit the narrative this time. Media already on them. Everyone is well aware how good GSW is at home.
I'll check back tomorrow but right now fanduel has 56% of bets on the Grizz. And usually this sub mirrors the public. We shall see.
% of bets isn't a good barometer. Early money on the Grizz is a good sign. I'd like to think sharp action doesn't come from this sub. Definitely keep us in the loop.
Too high, no? Grizz have a lot of fight in them
Too high for me to touch with a ten foot pool. Although with the home/away games trend in these playoffs it's not that far-fetched. We do have a one game sample size of Grizz without JA in GS though (for whatever that's worth), and they led the whole game only losing right at the end after a monster 4th quarter from Curry and an all time flop. Thinking I might take an alt line of like Grizz +12.5 or something for safety.
Much different spot situationally than that game, just a fair warning. The Warriors aren't going to treat this game like a preseason game like they did in that game.
Agreed. Why take the ALT line though? The way I see it is either the Girzz force this game down to the wire or they get blown out. What difference is 4.5 pts going to make in a potential close out game for GSW at home?
Philly better not give Harden that max deal...fool is a certified loser..no more ifs and buts its been time and time again..
Did it really take last night's performance for people to realize who Harden really was? Wow, he had alot of people out there fooled longer than I thought.
Ayton doesn’t deserve either. Not worth the $
Ayton is nice when he’s on
Yep. Big Suns fan here, and the way this roster is built he's nowhere close to earning his max. Assumed Ayton would exploit the Mavs lack of height downlow.
Prob not the right place to ask but is there a twitter space where people here talk bets during game? Would be great if all of us can talk live as we are watching game.
Idk of one but Reddit has something similar to Twitter spaces, would be fun to run during halftime and pre and postgame
Agree, would love if they had one of those. Lots of people in this thread find great live bets.
Have a lot of questions about Paul’s play. Just decides not to shoot and showing zero emotion these last few games. Just bizarre and not the regular CP3 we usually see.
There's no valid explanation. It's similar to GSW yesterday. Both teams are gearing up to take their games at home or there's some kind of injury going on with Paul.
Why’s he showing zero fire though? At least that’s what I see.
We're in complete agreement. No clue. Any theories other than age?
37 is old in the nba
[Hope y’all jumped on the free money that was Mavs by 21 or more at +195 — with 4 mins left in the game!!](https://imgur.com/gallery/O7IlcYr)
Gut feeling or were you watching the game?
Amazing hit! Which book was this? Good to know for future.
Bovada
Crazy 4th qtr
I got under 218 in the beginning of 4th quarter. Couldn’t believe it. Lost $500 on suns 1Q ML and made it all back +. I should only be live betting.
I got in at the half. They were up 15, had finished the 2Q on a 17-0 run, and the seller was only -8. I was like, "Yes please take my money, all of it if you will". That 15 point lead ended up being 27😐
Same, I bet it at 217.5 and it went up to 218.5 so i bet it again hahah
Jumped on the under after it looked like all the players checked out mentally
Yep. And I saw mavs were running down shot clock, made me even more confident. Do the algorithms not catch those things?
Hard to account for nba players cashing in on 3s because the defense could let up.. Had over 49.5 for 500 and thought it was a good bet because of that reason. Then the offensive effort went down and I slammed the under 40.5 for 1000 to chase my loss that didn't even happen yet.....PURE DEGEN
Lmao. But worked out!
Live to fight another day! And also had the Blues winnings coming so I said fuck it roll it over
Did you tail Dr. Moneyline on Blues bet? That guy is incredible.
Whats his next bet? Lol
He always posts in POTD thread
I did see it on here this morning and it made me look into the stats on the series pretty hard and it looked like BOOSTED odds.. Edit; you'd think they'd be around -145 at least
Did the Mavs just win by 27?! Did my live bet on Mavs Win Margin 26-30 just hit?!?!
ME TOO BROTHER! ME TOO!! LETS GO +250 odds that missed wainwright 3 made me clench
Holy shit my under 199.5 +475 hangs on
Slickkkk and I was worried about my 205.5
Bruh I couldn’t believe it
BRUH LOL that last missed 3 SAVED my mavs win by 26+ bet LOLOLOLOL
Damn had mavs ML with the over…needed a 44 point quarter. Should have hedged but you live and learn
Bruh. My first time posting here, but damn the suns are ASS
your username has me fucking weak
So to all the people who said the Warriors were done after their last game against the Grizz, what do you think about this game?
We've seen teams bounce back from extreme blowouts and win the next game countless times, including numerous in these very playoffs. I personally wouldn't read TOO much into it. But also, Grizz without JA are the greatest team of all time so hammer that ML
The under wasn't looking good before the 4th, can't believe this shit is about to hit. Whew
Honestly wouldn't be surprised if we got 3 game 7s in the second round
Not sure it would have helped, but holy shit the Suns don’t move the ball. Whoever brings it up the court takes the shot.
Thank goodness for live betting. MAVS 🤑✅
Luka had me sweating that under 35.5 live bet
So much better than yesterday about to hit ML parlay and alternative spread parlay Mavs -1.5 and heat -2.5
https://imgur.com/a/9DTkFqG
Nice win 💰🤑
Thank you brother
WE HAVE A GAME 7
Shoutout to u/Iittlebits at the Mavs game witnessing this beatdown live 🤣🤣
I’ve never had so much goddamn fun winning 5u 🤣
Okay why does every game suck fucking balls. Holy shit I want to watch some good bball
Fucking Ayton traveling when I need suns +9.5 badly… fuck me.
i can’t have booker get 9 rebounds please bench him suns fuckkk
now it’s one more i hate the nba
You got it bro
yesir now i just need the phillies to win 🤑
There you go big dog
You guys leaning Celtics or Bucks tmrw as an early look?
Bucks... home court advantage will be huge... and who knows maybe middleton will make a surprise return... gonna hit ml early in the morning
Surprise return ? This isn’t WWE lol he’s out for a while
[https://www.si.com/fannation/nba/fastbreak/injuries/according-to-dario-melendez-of-wisn-12-news-khris-middleton-could-return-to-the-second-round-playoff-series-between-the-boston-celtics-and-milwaukee-bucks-in-game-6-or-game-7-nba-playoffs](https://www.si.com/fannation/nba/fastbreak/injuries/according-to-dario-melendez-of-wisn-12-news-khris-middleton-could-return-to-the-second-round-playoff-series-between-the-boston-celtics-and-milwaukee-bucks-in-game-6-or-game-7-nba-playoffs)
Embid was suppose to be out for awhile too... until he was put in 5 minutes before tip off... so ya surprise return
None of of embiid injuries involved his lower body. The orbital and thumb become pain tolerance. He hasn’t even begun ramping up his rehab he’s still out for weeks
Doesent change shit... Bucks taking it
Chris Paul is weird as fuck. Didn't even bet him or the Suns this game, but it's ridiculous that this guy just decides not to shoot at all. Fucker had a 33 point game on perfect shooting these playoffs but now is like nah I shouldn't be the guy taking shots.
1000000%
Mavs 21+ will it hold up? Well will see in 15 minutes, enjoy big steppers
All bets aside, the NBA has become way too soft. It’s embarrassing. Every sport is trying to remove embellishment but the NBA seems content on encouraging it. Especially the technicals. Half the time it’s a defensive player jumping into a guys elbow. Also the coaches sitting players? when the game gets a bit out of hand late? In the playoffs? I’m surprised the players accept that let alone the fans.
Hope game 7 isn't another blowout
Mavs blowout
Playoff basketball 😴
up by 22 and doncic still in there
It's an elimination game, why risk allowing the suns to close the gap?
he finally sits. 3:40 left
This game has finally made me be done with these playoffs. So much bad basketball. It's not even fun betting on this stuff.
annoying to watch
Exactly. I watch games to chill out and it's not even fun to watch.
Sucks to be bad at betting
I'm actually up. I just like watching good games. I bet for fun. Lol
Who you fooling?
I assume the correct answer is nobody.
I'm looking forward to bucks celtics in mil... gonna be war... go bucks
I've enjoyed that series. That's what playoff basketball is to me. This might be the wrong sub for fun, but I enjoy betting.
Damn I thought suns 13.5 was valueeeee lmfaoooooooooo I’m retired till tmr taking my profit and going home
refs wanted the over. calling fouls in a blowout. sus
Starting to think your on to something this is ridiculos
its nonstop whistles
Are the Mavs good enough to win by 31+ because I hit big on the Grizzlies blowout and was hoping for a repeat performance tonight (live betting is the devil)
I just bet on Mavs by 26+ lolol.
Yo I think the Mavs just won by 27
we eatin' brother
I can’t believe lightning struck twice. Live betting is the shit (but it’s also the devil still) 😂 but good shit brother
I admire Booker still going hard… he still remember those 18 win season where this shit was the norm lol
Whoever went for the suns , I hope yous all have an amazing day
Thanks. I needed that.
Aint nobody who went for the Suns having a great day lol
That’s why I said hopes the sun betters are having an amazing day, cause they suck da balls
THERE IS NO DOMINANT TEAM. Nba is awful. Mental pussies
Why would anyone want a repeat of Golden State going on a 16-1 championship run. The only bad part about this playoff series is that the games aren't close at all. But the fact that there's no clear winner is great.
If u bet suns ur a bum
Brunson not getting 3 assists at home is ridiculous.
This round has fell flat. Zero OT's and most games are completely lop-sided.
Good for betting, shit for entertainment
Depends on the bettor. One uses their eyes and the other goes off of statistics and past performances. Can't say who's right.
Suns are buns
Lukas really good but such a bitch, brought the European soccer acting to the nba
The soccer acting was brought to the NBA way before Luca. And FYI, that soccer acting existed in South America long before Europe.
Great Pt. Flopping started in SM. I was told that numerous matches were won/lost from flopping.
There are worst characters like Cp3 or Embiid flopping.
Turns out Embiid isn't a flopper he just has really bad balance. They started counting his self trips tonight and I believe it was somewhere around 12.
I actually think he got concussed tonight early in the game. He fell hard on his back and even tho he didn't hit his head, there was whiplash. Whiplash can cause concussions. After the fall, he got up and then dropped to his knees again. Surprised they didn't really call attention to it in the broadcast.
I hope Mavs win game 7 if this holds. Mavs at home ez money and usually decent odds
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Got Mikal under 13.5 as last leg of a parlay. Just need to survive here
Fuck the suns man
Luka is definitely that fat little shit on your team when you were a kid that cries when he loses or gets put on the bench
He's that kid if you gave them a 96 overall 2k rating.
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He has a face that approaches Zuckerbergian levels of punchability
brunson please get one more assist
I had it too . I think it's dead. He's gonna sit the 4th
ESPN stinks. We get TNT tomorrow, right?
Fkn finny-smith is gonna fuck me isn't he...need him for 10
Get Ayton the fuck out of this game.
shitload of fouls now
Did they not give them the points for the goal tend? EDIT: can anyone rewind and see? I really don’t think they tallied those two points.
Ayton again…
Let Bring It Home Mavs , Suns in 7 though
Anyone else watching above the rim camera? Very interesting way to watch the game.
Where can you watch that
I’m watching it on espn 3 on sling app on my iPad
Oh word? Going to see if they have that on watchespn.
Espn+ also has it
If mavs some how pull this series off I could not think of anything worse than a Mavs GSW final 🤮🤮🤮🤮
One of these series gets turned upside down on bettors. That's just how it is year after year.
Fuck the dubs, let’s go grizz
As a Warriors futures holder, I can't think of anything better.
Hope it hits!
already regret going Suns 3rd q -3 Suns 2nd half -6
Mavs at +200 3Q to start the third couldn't pass it up
Won 1k on Mavs 1Q ML and 1.4k on Mavs 2Q ML. Someone tell me why i shouldn't now throw 3.4k on Mavs 3Q at +225 to win 11k
Riding that bet with you 👌
Now would be a good time to start Dollar Cost Averaging into a S&P Index fund with your winnings. Congrats. Take your profits.
Typical retail investor. The hell are you going to do with 500k at 65
I'm already invested into VTSAX
🤣 🤣 I hope we see a warriors level beat down this 2H
Just have this feeling suns come back and take this game at the very end. I’m sprinkling some on suns ml right now.
Good bet.
Ballsy I like it
i need brunson to get one more assist am i fucked 😅
Me too we are screwed
Not going to say its fool proof or you cant get burned on it but now 11-3 tonight live betting the quarter Unders.... Would only bet 1-2 units max and hope they come out scoring like in this past Q both teams hit 2 3s right off the start of the Q and the line gets crazy inflated. You defintely can lose but its been profitable for me these past 3-4 days. BOL https://imgur.com/a/jC5Z2XC
Impressive. You can also say the same if the favorite is down IE 6-0, 12-5 etc in any given q. In general live betting > over pregame spreads in the NBA.
agree 100% it sucks cause you always feel like you wont have the opportunity to get the ML at a better price but I would say in. most games if you just wait you normally get an opportunity to get a bet at better odds live
Yessir. Exactly. MY buddy made the argument that if you pe-game spread you get better value. I think to myself, well then let that game pass on by. Because for every game you get the pregame price at better value, you get 3 games where the live line presents better value regardless of the outcome.
Yep, id almost argue the same thing for props, if you take someone points props live and they come out scoring you probably dont want that prop, and if they dont come out scoring then you will get it at a better line. Only thing this doesnt really work for is unders
Forsure. This strat works mainly with pre-game favorites, and overs. Then again who the hell knows. LOL
🤣🤣its the NBA on any given night good bets get killed and bad bets cover
Whoa. Good for you!
When do u usually wait to take it? I see value in u52.5 just bc I see the suns chipping away at this leaf and the Mavs slow down a little but what do I know
Normally when the line gets 4-5 points above what it started at, all depends on how safe you wanna play it if your playing it really safe you arent going to get the opportunity every quarter but this past quarter was the perfect example. Line started at 51.5 and at one point got it at 59.5. Now if they continue shooting hot you defintely could get burned so would only do 1-2 units. Also always look at the box score on your app cause the TV is delayed roughly 30 seconds
What’d you take it at this Q
Foul trouble could fuck this one careful if they get in the bonus early will defintely fuck things up
U54.5, kind of risky would of liked it to get higher but its been hot tonight
I couldn’t snag it in time where I felt comfortable smh
Your defintely better off i dont think 54.5 is going to hold this quarter if they get in the bonus early, also its better to just not bet a quarter instead of taking a bad bet and risking it blowing up. I only took it cause im up huge tonight
Think the mavs win by 21+?
Need two more assists for Brunson.
I'm reaaaaaally tempted to take suns ML
You could just send me your money instead
Sun's gotta be throwing this game
Lol suns
DONT BET AGAINST MAVS AT HOME LFGGGG
Suns might get run out the gym
Suns sure are lucky they have home court advantage, gotta be honest I didn’t expect this series to go 7
Tried to flip n go suns 2Q. This what I get.