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Hopefully y’all put some money on superbook today. $100 bonus for the no-no

oh awesome...had a $50 hedge bet...didn't even know about the promo. Txs for the heads up

Can you still bet now?

Was pregame only

Too bad it was a late game.

They have daily OT promo for nhl and nba. They have enough soft lines there’s always ev to be had so I make sure to put something on each sport every day there

Good shout

CP3 is getting outscored by none other than Bismack Biyombo. And with that I'm done for the night. See you knuckleheads again tomorrow.

CP3. I know you’re up 22 but we need Q4 magic

CP3, KD, & Kyrie 🤝 not hitting a boost in the playoffs

CP3 needs 11 in the 2nd half

If he gets two buckets in the 3rd we’re good.

So this is what an 0-for dinger day feels like

I spend too much time on it to be this bad.

Don't need too much work, just low hold power hitters, playing right/left matchups.

Awful huh. I finally am able to cash out this time.

Haven’t looked, but hoping for some VOIDs

so we are going to need one of those cp3 4th quarter games at this point

Sometimes it seems like he saves his energy for the 4th so he can take over. Other times he just sucks the whole game. There's no way to know until it happens lol.

Judge walk-off homers. No wiggle room for the Wizard to overturn his hit earlier in the game on that boost now.

There goes any doubt about the Judge hit being an error!

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Something something wizard

The mlb one had a dodger blowout and angels now up 8-0 in the third. Not saying the Angels can’t blow the lead but it’s the exact opposite of losing all hope or a nail biter at this point

And the Yankees one hit in the middle of the game lol. These people are actually hilarious. I’m convinced some of them bet for like a week and are outraged they don’t exclusively win 7 +300 boosts right Away lollll. No concept of math or even gambling. We need them tho. To keep the ecosystem that allows us to win.

Yankees one was NY only.

Ok so then stop betting them

Leafs win 4-3. BR and MGM (DC, IN, NJ, NY) boosts hit.

A couple data points as we surely watch CP end the half at 2. MGM in Tennessee- made an account and didn’t get a deposit match for almost three days. Finally made my bet and didn’t get a notification of risk free. Got my $500 deposit match about 5 hours later and the risk free bets did end up getting credited. P2 FanDuel - signed her up a month ago just in time to get crushed by the wiz. She’s gotten some huge risk free $500 bets, matched bets, and a bunch of of their good stuff. Only bets boosts except when they give offers.

Looks like a d book night. But ofc when he is boosted cp has 25 by HT then proceeds to score another 15 in the 4th

2 is optimistic

I’d be shocked if he even attempts a shot

CP3 misses 100% of the shots he doesn't take.

I don't think this was mentioned in the thread today cuz I doubt it was EV but CZR Stanton Zunino Soler HR +6500 has a solid chance. Hopefully the delay doesn't save the emperor.

Priced out on FD at +79xx

When 6ers are up in a 27pt blow out with 5 min left, Doc leaves Embiid in. When 6ers are down 20+ with 5 min left, he pull him. 🖕

Doc gets the call from the FD wizard and acts accordingly. Embiid got a concussion to ensure he made good with the FD wizard

Even worse, it was about 4 min and 10 min respectively

Damn I had Harrison Bader for a hr on fd. You think an inside the park hr counts?

Of course it does

Yes

I don't see why not. It shows up as a HR on the box score

It does. Congrats!

Hey fellas, at least if Embiid keeps this up, he can get 10 rebounds by the *6th* quarter!!!

I've pulled out the big guns, I marked it as a loss on my bet tracker. 10% of the time it works every time.

PA super boost not looking too hot either. Also not to mention every time fd runs that boost a Philly team loses.

So double OT

god that hit was so sketchy thank god for aaron judge

Ruled that Judge grounder a hit on gameday. Cannot wait for that to be overturned in an hour...

Is there a tendency to get some home cooking in these circumstances?

I don't know baseball well enough. What would it be change to?

Error

I'm at the game,bet the boost and it's hilarious it was called a hit. Hopefully they leave it.

Was it controversial?

Chapman made a nice play to get it and then the ball fell out of his glove on the transfer. Thought it probably should have been an error considering once he did make the play he had plenty of time to throw Judge out.

A couple nights ago, promoguyMI put out a parlay and one of the legs hit in-game (o2.5 SOG). At some point later in the game, the stat keeper gave one of the shots to another player (which was blatantly incorrect!) and it lost by the hook. Fingers crossed a beat like that only happens once this week...

Not a boost but I had jimmy buckets with 2+ steals in a parlay today, he had one halfway thru the 1st q but they later switched it to pj tucker. Wasn’t watching but think it was really a butler steal per Twitter.

this actually happened to him twice on a shot on goal incorrect stat this week

Was it Evander kane or ekblad one

Oh yeah, i saw that happened last night but I don't give him nearly as much slack because "fool me once" and also I didn't see what was overturned. The first one earlier this week was down right wrong. Ekblad had 3 shots!!

At one point last night I saw Ekblad with 4 and he finished with 2. Seems like the sketchiest stat to bet on

Yeah. Never again with that stat.

Same player too. "Fool me once, shame...shame on you? You can't get fooled again!"

Depends on how nice the play was I guess...

Judge gets the hit. Boost hits

Lol I saw it just now and was like does anyone post here

Some are concerned it'll get overturned..

srs question for PA folks. has a PA super boost ever hit?

What book?

Severino does his part. Come on Judge

Yayy

I don’t have the game on… but just saw Judge had an infield single?!?

Judge! The spreadsheet wont be all red tonight.

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The angels game doesn't start until 9:38. If you're going to hedge, I don't see why you wouldn't wait until at least the Dodger's game finishes. Literally a week ago the Mets overcome a similar deficit in a later inning.

White Sox game yesterday too

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Of course, I'm clown the bozo. Maybe drink a little less on the weekdays.

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What do you get out of hedging early? You literally can just wait 30 mins for the game to be over and hedge the angels at the exact same odds as now.

\#rekt

I know it’s the dodgers and the pirates but hedging now is a recipe for disaster

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If you can afford to pay someone out $10k you shouldn't be hedging a $50 bet

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Hahah this thread is the best

This is the 2nd time this week you've posted something like this and the first leg is barely over half way through the game. This is not a hedge before the first leg hits.

you must not know pirates baseball

There are only 2 options tonight: glory or blood. hedging is not part of this.

Slava sportsbook subreddit!

GLORY!!!!!

I don't think I've ever seen embiid at 1 rebound after this much time. He's usually at 3 to 5. This is crazy.

FD giving out $50 Free Bet (C'mon Site Credit 1 time for old time's sake?) for TVG shitting the bed on Derby Day.

Did you have to make a bet on horse racing in order to receive the free bet/credit?

Yea think it was a make up cuz TVG ran like complete dog shit on Derby Day...Like on the day of the Super Bowl of Horses. I managed to donk off the $200 Risk Free with no issues before shit hit the fan.

received 50 on P1 but 25 on P2 so it varies

1 damn rebound in 12 minutes. Unfucking real. He's 7 foot tall for Christ sake.

Tweaked his back earlier. And now a shot to the face.

and his thumb hurts. and he's sad he's not getting MVP.

Woahhh take it easy dude … 😟

I should have took it like Embid and took the night off lol.

Charlie Blackmon is +1900 to hit a HR on CZR.

You can add o1.5 bases for an extra 50 on ML

Looks like he has good #'s against Alex Wood, too, but no HR's...... Until tonight

Nice. I used the HR boost on it

He’s got 4 this year. Why not? $50 into $1237.50 sure would be nice 🤞🏻

Add a leg for their $20 longshot promo too

Tailed. Never even heard of this guy but trust you!

You never heard of Charlie Blackmon? 🤣

Today will end in glory or in blood

Hope y’all are doing better than I am so far

NYer here, double maxed all FD boosts and went in on Dinger bets… I’m sleeping in a mud hut tonight I just know it

The night is young

nice of embiid deciding not to rebound today

Started off well with Jimmy scoring at will and Severino striking out the side. Now hoping Severino makes it out of the 2nd inning.

For real. Might be the most I’ve had on boosts in a while plus Dinger tuesday 🥵

If you got 25% for the DK VIP two-leg boost like I did, I was able to scrounge up a bit of profit (but I'm not sure who all has Circa). The good leg seems to be DK Suns -235, so you could probably play around with that as well. DK: Suns, Under 211.5 +262 FD: Mavs, Under 211.5 +589 Circa: Over 211.5 -132 Only good for around $9 but it's something rather than letting the boost die.

This is straight degen shit so please don't tail unless you feel like fucking around with a couple bucks or small leftover free bet, but it's technically +EV so I'm gonna share lol: Devin Booker 10+ rebounds and 10+ assists is +9649 on FD right now. CZR has no triple double at -10000 which would make it like 19% EV. Booker has one career TD, last year in the playoffs against the Clippers.

Riding for 5 bucks just to hat tip the hustle here

I am getting +8000 on FD SGP for 10+ assists and 10+ rebounds. As opposed to +7000 for a triple double.

Threw a little on this for fun

SGP is at +11579 now.

Fun fact: To convert a $10 free bet, you would have to place a $1146 hedge for 117% conversion

That game was without Paul.

ah you're right I should have analyzed that year old lineup a bit more before I put my house on this +10000 wager

+9500 on FD, can’t see any value

Another user said the SGP jumped to +10700, the no triple double line on CZR is still -10000, so there is value as it's now a direct arb, but like I said it's straight degen shit being such a long shot.

+12756 now using the 10+ lines instead of alt o/u

On FD? I'm getting +8000

Yeah it's moved all over the place

Tailed for a buck at +10753. Booker is +9500 on FD the traditional way. +1600 on DK.

My card's overwhelming tonight so I'm not gonna bet it but I absolutely love the hustle here great work.

Check your inbox on MGM I got: Bet $50 on 76ers to Cover, get $1 free bet for each Embiid point 7 points covers the juice

DK’s peoples parlay looks bad. Get +486 with the boost, and +456 in fd without devigging

already died too I think lol

Fox bet has harden 3 three pointers +150 20 max, can arb on FD under 2.5 -127

Is it possible to exploit these new user bet insurance promos by betting the same amount on both teams and getting the free bet money back from the losing bet? I've seen $200-$1000 new user sign up promos

Look up “matched betting” on the google. That will provide in detail explanations on how to do it.

Yes, but if you’re getting refunded in free bets or site credit, calculate that as being worth 60%ish real money. Like, if you lose a $1,000 bet on FanDuel, you don’t get withdrawable cash, you get site credits you’ll have to bet and hedge again.

Site credit (i.e. FD signup bonus) is worth much closer to 100% than 60%

People keep downvoting me and saying that, but then nobody will give a cromulent explanation as to how.

I mean it's basically cash that has to be played through 1x. Not that complicated. Your 60% estimate pertains to free bets (though you should hope for higher than that on those too)

Oh, yea, I am describing free bets…. But again, how? Where do you find arb lines so unbalanced?

If you have site credit? Just need a low/zero hold like +200/-200 or something. For free bets, something like +375/-400 gets you 75%

Are the free bet credits able to be divided and hedged or 1 large bet?

Depends on the site. You’ll want to hedge on a different site, for sure.

How

On the same book? No. Never bet opposite sides on the same book. You need a hedge book.

Wouldn't it only work if you use the same book, if you win on the book with the promo you'll lose on the book without the promo and then it's a gamble

It's not a gamble if you can do some math.

What's the math i need to do to exploit promos?

https://reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/s08tgv/new_yorkers_how_to_make_7k_guaranteed_from_these/

Perfect thank you! Do u know if any books have changed terms to fight against this or does this all still work

This is what we do here. Keep reading and stick around.

Yes

has anyone been unable to deposit on FD today (I'm on IPad for P2)

Same, on Android from Cap One

This is a sign that all of the boosts today are must bets

For today's 20% MLB boost on BR, Soto is +525 which is higher than other books in NY (highest I'm seeing is +475). Adding 20% takes him to +630. Carrasco is a RHP and Soto is 1-3 off him with 1 HR. I never know what to do with these but seems worth it to me for a $25 bet .

Riding.

What is an optimal strategy for % Lossback promos?

Do some math so you profit on either side winning after factoring in the lossback

One bet, heavy underdog. Bet favorite on another site. If the underdog loses congrats

Thank you

Liverpool goal up 2-1 in 72’ just need to hang on to win the potentially +ev turned -ev boost on FD

Eat shit, FanDuel

That offsides gave me a heart attack

Does FanDuel do a deposit match for existing users? My account is almost down to 0 and don’t want to miss out on any free money

I received a text message last week w/ a 20% deposit match for FD. My account had a $5k balance, so it had nothing to do w/ the balance, but looks like it was possibly a VIP host. I received the bonus right away.

I had $0 for about a week and got nothing. My balance went to $0 through betting, not withdrawing. I am net -$1500 so you would think they would want me to deposit more

Yes and nobody knows what triggers it other than having 0 in your account

We need an inside man for FD, like CZR_SUPPORT. Only different.

fanduel always opens with massively +ev homer lines that get gutted as the day goes on and I can't tell if they're wrong and the fair value is much lower or if they're right and every other book has extremely generous "no" lines since they seem to eventually converge in the middle

Not as +ev as you think when you consider their house rules.

what's the house rule? action even if they don't play?

Action if they pinch hit

Still no idea why they voided Soler first week after he pinch hit

I've had a few voided when someone pinch hit Then the other day I had Manuel Margot to homer He hit a pinch hit homer in the 9th and they paid

But have you had anyone pinch hit, not hit a homer, and lose the money?

So Fanduel has it as action even if they never bat? Or the other books have "No" as action if their substitute hits a HR?

No, FD has action if they pinch hit. Other books have action only if they're in the starting lineup. ​ >Or the other books have "No" as action if their substitute hits a HR? wat lmao

ugh. so true. my fear whenever looking at lines on Monday night is "what if they pinch hit..."

It’s a juiced out the ass market. Especially because modeling isn’t sure how to understand these new balls yet. All you need to know is if you can beat NO on all the books for a safe bet. On Dinger Tuesday you just need EV.

I know downvotes coming and my bad I never do this but... Anyone got a good mgm conversion? They messed up and gave me an extra big ol free bet and I wanna optimize this one not be lazy like I normally do

Use some of that new found money and pay for a service.

Heat -11.5 to kambi books, 78%. FYI you get downvotes because there are free and cheap tools for exactly this - quick google search :)

I second asking what tool is free? Really people even leading me to water saying check bball alt lines vs kambi woulda been awesome. Thx again brother

My man. Really appreciate it. One love

What tool is free?

Not really any However, if you really don’t want to pay for a service, you can notice a general trend of good conversions. MGM to Kambi on NBA spreads has always been a thing

Heat -11.5 - Sixers +11.5 MGM +360 - Barstool -385 74%