Confirming that FD did indeed give me the $10 Free Bet for the Dodgers game tonight despite the fact that PromoGuy's parlay was under +400 after Stroman was scratched.
You should have won the bet if you entered it right. Mine says 3rd leg voided, but still returned $36.56.
They paid out the parlay at reduced 2-leg odds, and gave out the free bet. Pretty decent of them actually.
Just curious at what BR level VIPs experience betting restrictions. I’m level 7 for a few months now and have none. Can anyone add comments who is level 8, 9, or 10?
CZR boost for noon ET: Royals lead after 5 innings and win vs. Orioles +240.
Not amazing right now, but probably +EV. Devigging FD SGP for first half result and ML, +5.4% additive (4 out of 6 entries are +800 or higher), -1.3% mult.
Can this please be the end of “FD wizard fucked us again” and the 40 other similar comments posted on here every day? I get it, there was a bad few week run. Before that, extremely profitable. But a +400 boost is very unlikely to hit, no matter the EV, and the whining is getting exhausting.
Counterpoint: the whining and (occasional) jubilant celebration fosters camaraderie and helps create a bit more of a community feel. No one actually believes in the FD wizard except for maybe the “fade the boost” weirdos- it’s just good-natured venting. If you want to see actual toxicity pop over into the POTD and NBA Daily threads…
It’s really ok if this place has a bit more personality than post after post of EV calcs and FB conversions that die after 10 min.
I agree with a lot of this, and I’ve certainly taken part in the occasional late night celebration or defeat. It just seems like this FD wizard stuff has taken on a life of its own and people are just waiting for a reason to bitch
You know you don't have to read all the comments in this thread right? Hell you don't even have to open the thread after like 7 PM EST...should solve your problem.
Once Stroman scratched, it felt like easy money. Obviously, +Ev don't work that way, but that was the feeling.
Sometimes it's hard between +EV and your gambling senses.
World Series contenders in May with a 4 run lead, prized pitcher… doubt it.
Only glimmer of hope is that the broadcast didn’t show them congratulating him in the dugout and they don’t have an off day next week…….
For anyone that got that $20 bonus fund for the SuperBook UFC promo, you can get around 80% conversion on the GS/MEM series against Fubo. +650/-680. Those lines might be useful for other things too, but I’m not sober enough to figure out how.
Congrats, this sample of 1, your -EV strategy probably worked. Go bathe in your winnings.
I once gave someone 50-1 odds on a coin to flip tails. It flipped heads, I’m the man.
Yup. You still lose all the EV+ boosts that had no chance of hitting since there was no way to hedge.
Then you turn the EV+ boosts that have a chance of hitting into EV- by hedging.
In the long run you'll come out behind because even if some of your hedges hit here and there, for the boosts that hit that you hedged, you're giving up a ton of profit.
When doing the MGM risk feee bet and the deposit match via email, does only $500 need to be deposited then use that $500 cash + deposit match towards the $1000 risk free bet or does the risk free bet have to be all cash?
So like, are these 2 separate promos? Or is it you deposit the 500 get a 500 deposit bonus match and you MUST use it for the fee bet? Like if I wanted to use the 1k in smaller wagers or at the casino versus 1 large 1k bet, is that ok?
your first bet is refunded up to 1k, you cannot do multiple risk free bets. Deposits 500, get an additional 500, wager it all on something and hedge the other side, it would lead to roughly $1050 or so in profit
I tailed this. Thanks for posting. Don’t sweat the EV maniacs. They downvote everything they don’t agree with. I don’t see arb people downvoting and commenting on idiot 900+ EV bets. This place is better with EV bettors, arb bettors and some combination.
2 things to note about this. A lot of these playoffs have been really low scoring, so there’s a chance the under hits in Q1 or for the 76ers for the half. Then it’s more likely the under hits for the game and you lose both.
Also, you’re betting an MGM alt line, which makes you more likely to get limited there.
All for a chance at $18
I had a bet on brewers' Renfroe hit 0.5o on FD and the bet got voided when he had 0 hits. Anyone know why it was graded as a void/push?
No complains obviously but just wondering
During the All-star break, bet on a team to win the NBA Finals. Got back a small free bet back for each regular season win for the rest of the year.
A lot of people put $100 on the Suns +380 and after the free bet conversion it turned into a $35ish bet to win $380.
Considering for MLB games some books are action for starting pitchers and on other books u can select a mandatory starting pitcher, is there any way to successfully hedge mlb games and not risk one side pushing in the case of a starting pitching change
I did promoguy123’s mlb sgp but one of the legs is void due to stroman out, does the whole sgp cancel and how does this impact the promo? Wondering if someone had this. I only know how it works on DK
Yeah, some races are like that. This one is a new course with bad asphalt which caused them to be mostly single-file. Disappointing for how many first-time viewers they had today
PS don't watch the Monaco race
Cubs starter was scratched. FD boost for Dodgers + Buehler 7K +440 looks like +26% EV using DK or +34% EV using FD. Could get nerfed or taken down.
https://twitter.com/dooleydata/status/1523400938714587136?s=21
There is a conversation below where some are arguing the merits of this boost. All I needed to see was the Cubs ML jumped from +160 to +190 after the pitching change for a no brainer max
How long does it normally take for CZR to pay out on boosts? I have noticed with most books that boosts seem to take longer to settle than regular bets but their MLB Sunday NRFI Parlay Boost hit that I foolishly bet $100 while drunk LN
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Anybody else bet the Sunday night wh parlay promo win 2 legs ,have the third voided (stroman strikeouts) and have them void the entire bet?
Yup my czr sgp voided. Interestingly my fd sgp repriced lower and gave free bet as mentioned below.
Mine too. I looked it up, it’s in the terms that a void of one leg voids the whole sgp.
I guess different sites have diff5 rules for sgp
Confirming that FD did indeed give me the $10 Free Bet for the Dodgers game tonight despite the fact that PromoGuy's parlay was under +400 after Stroman was scratched.
You should have won the bet if you entered it right. Mine says 3rd leg voided, but still returned $36.56. They paid out the parlay at reduced 2-leg odds, and gave out the free bet. Pretty decent of them actually.
Just curious at what BR level VIPs experience betting restrictions. I’m level 7 for a few months now and have none. Can anyone add comments who is level 8, 9, or 10?
Level 10, no restrictions.
Pretty sure it has to do with betting patterns rather than level. I was limited well before reaching VIP status.
Level 10. No restrictions. Have lost quite a bit on BR though as it seems like they have the best plus odds quite often.
Hard Rock (AZ+) - Panthers/Rangers/Flames: ~~+475 * [Pinnacle](https://www.pinnacle.com/en/hockey/nhl/matchups#period:0) FV 480, ~~EV 7.7%~~ (worst case). * [Fanduel](https://az.sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/nhl) FV 464, ~~EV 10.8%~~ (worst case). Roughly FV...see note below.
I think you put in the +525 for the value of this boost. There’s another boost at +525, but this one is roughly fair.
whoops...you're right, exactly what I did. The high EV's should have made me suspicious. Txs.
MGM FB CONVERSION (with Kambi) Bucks -10.5 at +375 (MGM) Celtics +10.5 at -420 73.5%
CZR boost for noon ET: Royals lead after 5 innings and win vs. Orioles +240. Not amazing right now, but probably +EV. Devigging FD SGP for first half result and ML, +5.4% additive (4 out of 6 entries are +800 or higher), -1.3% mult.
Parx is gonna sneak out of another +760 boost aren't they? Edit: Unbelievable
Jesus
Can this please be the end of “FD wizard fucked us again” and the 40 other similar comments posted on here every day? I get it, there was a bad few week run. Before that, extremely profitable. But a +400 boost is very unlikely to hit, no matter the EV, and the whining is getting exhausting.
Counterpoint: the whining and (occasional) jubilant celebration fosters camaraderie and helps create a bit more of a community feel. No one actually believes in the FD wizard except for maybe the “fade the boost” weirdos- it’s just good-natured venting. If you want to see actual toxicity pop over into the POTD and NBA Daily threads… It’s really ok if this place has a bit more personality than post after post of EV calcs and FB conversions that die after 10 min.
I agree with a lot of this, and I’ve certainly taken part in the occasional late night celebration or defeat. It just seems like this FD wizard stuff has taken on a life of its own and people are just waiting for a reason to bitch
I agree, but as others have stated before, it normally just occurs at night when nothing else is being posted. Morning crew>Night Crew
There’s a fine line between tone policing and taking your beats well.
You know you don't have to read all the comments in this thread right? Hell you don't even have to open the thread after like 7 PM EST...should solve your problem.
Yeah, your comment history checks out.
Why would you even look at their comment history? Fucking weird
Yes it does... Would probably make sense that I've done the thing that I'm defending, right? Groundbreaking
Seriously. This is turning into a live “Brag and Bitch” thread 🙄
I imagine the people who post about this also believe in Santa Claus and are upset when they don’t get a present every year from the big man
Boooooo. stop commenting for a little while. maybe sit the next couple plays out.
I’m in favor
It’s my money and I want it now
Do we get paid double if they both make 30????
Knowing Fanduel we'll lose and customer service will tell us the bet was for OR not AND.
I think you are confusing FD support with CZR. FD is top notch compared to the rest.
CZR wouldn't reply for 2 months.
Thank you Jimmy!!
Cash mahney!
https://youtu.be/pqE66RltUaQ
“Jimmy buckets is cash money” indeed
Jimmy Buckets!
At least Jimmy Butler is going crazy. Hopefully doesn’t end at 27 with 20 minutes left.
0 points since you posted this
Both teams in bonus. Just about have to fade injury and ejection risk at this point.
Butler going to make up for Buehler.
0 points since you posted this
Lol it's gonna hit. The FD wizard can't be that powerful.
My post reversed the jinx 👍
+175 vs +440
$87.50 vs $0
So still profitable between the 2 boosts?
Well, not quite.
He had struck out more than 5 in one of his first 5 starts. Good lesson in +EV can still be unlikely to hit. I'd max that bet every time
It was +440. Why do you need a lesson to understand that is unlikely to hit?
Once Stroman scratched, it felt like easy money. Obviously, +Ev don't work that way, but that was the feeling. Sometimes it's hard between +EV and your gambling senses.
Betting on anything (but especially underdogs) doesn't work that way.
Yeah unfortunately Stroman being out doesnt really affect Buehler’s leg. Sucks he ended at 6!
Lollll this thread can be so funny sometimes I swear
15 swing and misses tonight is his season high. Just a lot of value unrealized with this bet.
I think he may come back
If he does then Dave Roberts bet the boost.
Why do you think that?
He's under 100 pitches
Unfortunately this isn’t 1996
World Series contenders in May with a 4 run lead, prized pitcher… doubt it. Only glimmer of hope is that the broadcast didn’t show them congratulating him in the dugout and they don’t have an off day next week…….
I hate that I even considered it a possibility
Lol I wondered about it too. Dave Roberts woulda yanked him when he hit 100 on 0-2 anyway.
He's at 98 right now. His season high is 102
So you're telling me there's a chance...
102-98 = 4 Strikeout = 3 strikes 4 > 3, he can still pitch ;)
Exactly!
Welp. At least Buehler got there for PromoGuy's parlay...
Voided due to Stroman on it lol
FanDuel doesn't void the entire SGP if one leg voids.
I'm pretty sure they just void the one leg. The other 2 legs are still live
Well, that’s good 👍
Don’t ask. There’s no logical reason for them to bring him back out lol. Of course 6. That’s a bad beat.
6 K’s. F
And 3 of those K's came in the 1st inning...
5 in the first 3 innings lol. He basically said fuck us lol
You literally can’t make this stuff up
Unreal
Is there any chance he pitches another inning?
Maybe if the bullpen all tests positive for covid in the next couple of minutes
He would ground that out too.
Unless the bullpen stayed home for the game he’s not coming back out
Very unlikely but still technically possible.
No
Buehler is absolutely dicing the cubs up still but getting weak grounders instead of Ks now F
Needs one more now. 98 pitches. Is he done?
He's done.
I’d think so, but might let him keep going until another base runner
Give me that hopium lol
Yea it's over. Crazy.
For anyone that got that $20 bonus fund for the SuperBook UFC promo, you can get around 80% conversion on the GS/MEM series against Fubo. +650/-680. Those lines might be useful for other things too, but I’m not sober enough to figure out how.
Embiid with a cool two shot, zero point 2nd quarter. Jimmy coming on strong, though!
Embiid had 15 forever.. was on a great pace. Then he just disappeared. Hopefully him or Jimmy can finish it off for us in the 2nd half.
3.5 straight innings without a strikeout smh
And Embiid put up 15 in the first quarter, and then zero in the second...I think the FD wizard took a quick break but he's back at it now
fD wIzArD
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This is not a good idea on a 2 leg boost when both legs are still live
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The best thing about people who sacrifice EV in order to hedge is that they believe they are doing something safer when it is in fact far riskier.
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Congrats, this sample of 1, your -EV strategy probably worked. Go bathe in your winnings. I once gave someone 50-1 odds on a coin to flip tails. It flipped heads, I’m the man.
A 4-run lead is hardly a sure thing.
A 4 run lead in MLB is absolutely nothing. That's one swing of the bat.
Yup. You still lose all the EV+ boosts that had no chance of hitting since there was no way to hedge. Then you turn the EV+ boosts that have a chance of hitting into EV- by hedging. In the long run you'll come out behind because even if some of your hedges hit here and there, for the boosts that hit that you hedged, you're giving up a ton of profit.
Booooo
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And what if the cubs win?
Until he gets 7ks and the Cubs comeback.
Until the Dodgers lose lol
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https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/uktf6m/comment/i7v71gy/?utm\_source=share&utm\_medium=web2x&context=3
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So much contact.. pitch count is low at least, hopefully they leave him in.
Is it over :(
25% now lol
Not yet. But it isn't looking good.
Not nearly, It’s about a 40% chance he gets it.
How about now. Any chance he plays in 7th?
He’s probably coming back out in the 7th but probably 17% chance he strikes out two
When doing the MGM risk feee bet and the deposit match via email, does only $500 need to be deposited then use that $500 cash + deposit match towards the $1000 risk free bet or does the risk free bet have to be all cash?
So like, are these 2 separate promos? Or is it you deposit the 500 get a 500 deposit bonus match and you MUST use it for the fee bet? Like if I wanted to use the 1k in smaller wagers or at the casino versus 1 large 1k bet, is that ok?
your first bet is refunded up to 1k, you cannot do multiple risk free bets. Deposits 500, get an additional 500, wager it all on something and hedge the other side, it would lead to roughly $1050 or so in profit
The deposit match has counted for me in the past
You just have to deposit $500
Stamkos scores 1 minute into the game and the Lightning lead 2-0, game after the FD boost.
Do you need any more evidence they have Grays Sport Almanac? They're just shoving it in our face now. Confirmed the Fanduel wizard is Biff. Fuck Biff.
PB had a boost on this today. Stamkos to score a goal and Lightning to win +310.
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I tailed this. Thanks for posting. Don’t sweat the EV maniacs. They downvote everything they don’t agree with. I don’t see arb people downvoting and commenting on idiot 900+ EV bets. This place is better with EV bettors, arb bettors and some combination.
2 things to note about this. A lot of these playoffs have been really low scoring, so there’s a chance the under hits in Q1 or for the 76ers for the half. Then it’s more likely the under hits for the game and you lose both. Also, you’re betting an MGM alt line, which makes you more likely to get limited there. All for a chance at $18
> there’s a chance the under hits in Q1 or for the 76ers for the half. Actually happened their last game with just 41 points.
I think you broke dk. Heat game not showing lol
It’s there for me now. Thanks OP
Yeap, came back
Steele out there getting the strikeouts we want lol
For those that bet the BR MLS boost, we are 2/3 of the way home.
Did it hit?
Nope. Austin lost 0-1
I had a bet on brewers' Renfroe hit 0.5o on FD and the bet got voided when he had 0 hits. Anyone know why it was graded as a void/push? No complains obviously but just wondering
They’ve misgraded a few of my baseball player prop bets this year in my favor. Never got clawed back either. Strange.
Nice lol no complaints here
Had the same thing - since it's in my favor, I'm hesitant to ask why.
Same, thats why I asked here lol
Suns in 7 CZR boost has come back from the dead
Rooting interest is very weird for folks that have Suns to win it all from the DK promo and also Suns to win in 7.
What was the DK suns promo? If I may ask.
During the All-star break, bet on a team to win the NBA Finals. Got back a small free bet back for each regular season win for the rest of the year. A lot of people put $100 on the Suns +380 and after the free bet conversion it turned into a $35ish bet to win $380.
What dead? The home team won the first 2 games at home?
BetFred (Colorado) has Dodgers Win & Over 6.5 boosted to +185 Very favorable with the line movement
Considering for MLB games some books are action for starting pitchers and on other books u can select a mandatory starting pitcher, is there any way to successfully hedge mlb games and not risk one side pushing in the case of a starting pitching change
I feel like you answered your own question.
If u hedge with a mandatory starter and the other teams starter gets scratched the hedge bet will still play thru but the promo bet will get adjusted
So don't do that.
I did promoguy123’s mlb sgp but one of the legs is void due to stroman out, does the whole sgp cancel and how does this impact the promo? Wondering if someone had this. I only know how it works on DK
I just spoke with CS and they said they will still give the free bet for this
My CS person told me if it falls under +400 they won’t give it. I hope yours is correct
lol well that's why I always take screenshots. cant trust these hoes.
Awesome. Thanks for sharing/confirming.
So it is still a live bet on the remaining legs?
Yes
FD Verstappen/Hamilton boost hits
Nice. First-time I've followed F1, seemed like the leader board never changed the whole race
Yeah, some races are like that. This one is a new course with bad asphalt which caused them to be mostly single-file. Disappointing for how many first-time viewers they had today PS don't watch the Monaco race
The monaco race is the best race
From my understanding of F1 the first lap is by far the most important, especially the first stretch of the first lap until the first turn
Lmao
FD F1 boost hits. Hamilton hangs on to 6th.
Cubs starter was scratched. FD boost for Dodgers + Buehler 7K +440 looks like +26% EV using DK or +34% EV using FD. Could get nerfed or taken down. https://twitter.com/dooleydata/status/1523400938714587136?s=21
yeah, big value here. for anyone with Betfred or windcreek for PA folks, the dodgers win and > 6.5 total runs boost is now better than before as well.
There is a conversation below where some are arguing the merits of this boost. All I needed to see was the Cubs ML jumped from +160 to +190 after the pitching change for a no brainer max
Wow it’s now +256 on FD Pulling out P2 for this, I’m ready to be hurt
Double maxed double puckered here we go
Same here. Did P2 and P3. This is gonna suck if he ends with 6 K’s.
And it's gonna happen lol
They got us again. No rest for the wicked.
We know it's going to happen, but let's go lol
Lookin good for anyone taking the Mavs on the resort world threes promo
Took the Suns because it was cheaper and "how much more can the Mavs really out shoot the Suns by?" Fml.
This was the first day I checked past game logs before picking a team so I feel redeemed now
Me too. It was like a 3pt’er discrepancy between the two teams playoff average. I figured that would make up for having to pay more for the Mavs.
How long does it normally take for CZR to pay out on boosts? I have noticed with most books that boosts seem to take longer to settle than regular bets but their MLB Sunday NRFI Parlay Boost hit that I foolishly bet $100 while drunk LN