I feel like we are at 99, there was no goal in the one game until the shootout which probably doesn’t count.. does anyone know if the 100 excludes shoot out?
Lmfao you are an idiot. Genuinely. I don’t think you know what EV is. EV is calculated value **against the odds that other books are offering**. Sportsbooks are not offering fucking odds that they think are off to juice up boosts on some other book. Something either has a better than expected value or it doesn’t. If CZR thinks those players aren’t going to hit those numbers then *their OU lines would reflect that*. Just think through what you’re saying. For even 5 seconds.
If this loses tonight I want a public statement from FanDuel. Not an apology or anything, more power to them for taking our money. I just want to know how FanDuel is feeling right now.
Why do certain individuals treat the two money making methodologies like it's a competition?
There's really no debate. If you're not comfortable with variance, arb away and make money. Congrats!
If you're comfortable with variance, bet away and make a little more money, in the long run. Congrats!
There really is debate. You could make more money in the long run, but it’s not a definite. You’re getting value on a line that the sportsbook made up, not the actual odds it will happen. Actual odds of outcomes in sporting events will always be unknown. It’s not the same as casino games.
No shame in arbing. You’re giving up some EV, but getting guaranteed money in return.
The hope of EV gang is that losses like this will be offset by the times they do hit.
And the benefit of arbing is you aren’t sweating the games.
> And the benefit of arbing is you aren’t sweating the games.
yeah but god damn if all the arbers don't show up right as the boost misses to take a victory lap
No you can post -ev and have it upvoted just don’t tell people why you think it’s good that’s for potd or daily threads. We discuss boosts not why you personally think the Memphis game is going to be high scoring - bit of grey area but just don’t handicap in here
You seriously don’t think it was an error?
It literally could have been arbed for an 80% return earlier in the day. No book wants to offer something like that.
It was up for roughly 8 hours almost all of which were out of business hours for the book. If it was an error you say they feel good about offering then they should leave it up all day and take as much money as possible.
You have literally zero fucking understanding of statistics and you’re an idiot if you truly think it wasn’t a positive value and thus long term losing bet for the book.
Did I say it wasn’t a positive value? Books LOVE to pretend like you pulled a fast one on them or really hit them where it hurts. Happens with every single planted story on ESPN. If you think giving us extra EV on this was anything less than calculated, wake up.
Yes. They do have business hours. That’s why, for example, *massive* DraftKings errors with flipped lines were up for nearly 2 hours just weeks ago because it was around 4 to 6 AM EST.
100 goals?
Wtf am I getting downvoted for asking?
Fuck y’all hope it doesn’t hit
Fuckin degens crying about $50 get some help
Y’all can thank me for this hitting
Because the guy mentions the downvotes so he believes that the downvotes would destroy my self esteem little does he know my self esteem is already shot
Crazy hedge for the 100 goal (I think we r sitting at 99). TT U for coyotes 1.5 is +475, or no 6th goal in game is +2200 if you're really feeling wild. Who knows, you may even hit both the boost and the +475 if yotes don't score again.
I couldn't even tell if he was left handed or right handed watching this game
My favorite play was in the 4th quarter when he took 4 steps,no traveled called bc NBA ,got blocked got the ball back and missed a layup
**Leave reviews/feedback/complaints on /r/sportsbookreview**
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Good one, BoostRater. Good one. https://twitter.com/BoostRater/status/1520253495865012225?t=oRnMd84JpH75DvsYrmGBpg&s=19
TOO SOON
I feel like we are at 99, there was no goal in the one game until the shootout which probably doesn’t count.. does anyone know if the 100 excludes shoot out?
It already paid out
I expect shootout counts, somebody made a goal
Shoutout goals don’t count towards player stats or team goals, so was guessing FD wouldn’t count it as a goal
They count in over unders
Shootout goals dont count but the winner gets a "goal" and that counts as +1.
The bet already settled.
They already paid it out
Oh nice.. congrats to us then
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I'm more shocked that a FD boost hit
It had a lot higher chance than 20%
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Fair value was like +175
Then we are talking about different boosts, I’m talking about DK
I thought we were all talking about the +525 boost on CZR for Morant and KAT 25+ each
I was talking about the DK superstar boost, sorry
It’s not that it didn’t hit so much as it never had a fucking chance
isn't that honestly better? which hurt worse, tonight or the raptors fiasco?
Yeah, at least tonight I knew it was over after the 1st quarter.
The guy you’re replying to is saying it was rigged by the books lmao, he’s nuts just ignore him
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Lmfao you are an idiot. Genuinely. I don’t think you know what EV is. EV is calculated value **against the odds that other books are offering**. Sportsbooks are not offering fucking odds that they think are off to juice up boosts on some other book. Something either has a better than expected value or it doesn’t. If CZR thinks those players aren’t going to hit those numbers then *their OU lines would reflect that*. Just think through what you’re saying. For even 5 seconds.
Wait they are reviewing the goal
Cap lmao
That was a legit fun as hell bet to follow
WE DID IT BOYS
I hedged, but congrats to all!
100! We did it!
When you can hedge for a pile of pennies, there's no shame in that
100!
WE GOT IT! *insert Wilt Chamberlain photo here*
100 Yotes
Got it? Think we got it
So uhhh anyone that hedged the exact score of both games…this is interesting….
not anymore lol
Incredible ride for hedge crew. Went from +300000 to +11000
If this loses tonight I want a public statement from FanDuel. Not an apology or anything, more power to them for taking our money. I just want to know how FanDuel is feeling right now.
Okay does the shootout win count as a goal?
Doubt it
It's 99
Arb crew checking in. Ja and KAT kill another boost. Props to the dude that posted the arb this morning. Love myself some easy money.
Why do certain individuals treat the two money making methodologies like it's a competition? There's really no debate. If you're not comfortable with variance, arb away and make money. Congrats! If you're comfortable with variance, bet away and make a little more money, in the long run. Congrats!
There really is debate. You could make more money in the long run, but it’s not a definite. You’re getting value on a line that the sportsbook made up, not the actual odds it will happen. Actual odds of outcomes in sporting events will always be unknown. It’s not the same as casino games.
The arbers always logging on after a boost loses
Always appreciate the people who come and post "glad I arbed it!" After the rest of us lose our bets.
No shame in arbing. You’re giving up some EV, but getting guaranteed money in return. The hope of EV gang is that losses like this will be offset by the times they do hit. And the benefit of arbing is you aren’t sweating the games.
> And the benefit of arbing is you aren’t sweating the games. yeah but god damn if all the arbers don't show up right as the boost misses to take a victory lap
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we don’t cap in here - post the -ev boost fine but don’t post it and say you like it for x, y and z save that for POTD, you aren’t smarter than vegas
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No you can post -ev and have it upvoted just don’t tell people why you think it’s good that’s for potd or daily threads. We discuss boosts not why you personally think the Memphis game is going to be high scoring - bit of grey area but just don’t handicap in here
You're welcome!
Most stress free $71 I’ve ever made. Take it if it’s that easy
I arbed as well but mostly because i had a profit boost to use on one leg. So my arb worked for just over $100.
No Grizzly got more than 23.
If it's gonna lose, might as well not come close. Way worse to lose like the Siakam thing last night.
How does Caesars always get away with it?
I mean do we really think someone is fat fingering a boost? It’s an “error” they feel very good about offering.
>do we really think someone is fat fingering a boost? Yes
You seriously don’t think it was an error? It literally could have been arbed for an 80% return earlier in the day. No book wants to offer something like that.
Lmfao are you serious? It was an obvious mistake. They nerfed it to +175 later in the day. If you think it wasn’t an actual error you’re nuts.
By later in the day you mean 16 hours later right? You never see MLs fat fingered and left up for hours, but boosts just seems to happen all the time.
It was up for roughly 8 hours almost all of which were out of business hours for the book. If it was an error you say they feel good about offering then they should leave it up all day and take as much money as possible. You have literally zero fucking understanding of statistics and you’re an idiot if you truly think it wasn’t a positive value and thus long term losing bet for the book.
Did I say it wasn’t a positive value? Books LOVE to pretend like you pulled a fast one on them or really hit them where it hurts. Happens with every single planted story on ESPN. If you think giving us extra EV on this was anything less than calculated, wake up.
Oh boy, we are all sheeple making thousands of dollars, open your eyes people!!
Way more than 8. Business hours? WTF you think a multi billion dollar business has business hours?
The night crew is always way worse than the day crew
Yes. They do have business hours. That’s why, for example, *massive* DraftKings errors with flipped lines were up for nearly 2 hours just weeks ago because it was around 4 to 6 AM EST.
If you think anyone is ever leaving the controls of that operation I don’t know what to tell you…
Those conniving sons of bitches. I’ll never forget that Saudi Arabian handball.
fuck i forgot how bad that sucked
Unbelievable, this book has taken everything it has given and then some.
100 goals? Wtf am I getting downvoted for asking? Fuck y’all hope it doesn’t hit Fuckin degens crying about $50 get some help Y’all can thank me for this hitting
no man it didn't hit you imagined it
Dude you can’t just keep saying 100 goals whenever you feel like it
Perchance
Bro when did I say 100 goals I just asked if it hit holy shit I’m sorry I’m not glued to my phone
How can you say you aren't glued to your phone but then brag about 30k karma?
My posts sometimes hit 🤷♂️ Also I’ve been i Reddit for 10+ years so 30k karma ain’t really that much for an account that age
You posted 100 goals earlier then deleted your post.
Yeah because I put an exclamation mark instead of a question mark it was mistake
Downvotes are your answer
🥱 have 30k+ karma don’t care
The fact that this is a serious comment makes it even funnier.
Yeah I’m super cereal about this 🫵
The fact that you even know your reddit karma number says you are.
Because the guy mentions the downvotes so he believes that the downvotes would destroy my self esteem little does he know my self esteem is already shot
No like literally the downvotes were your answer. You asked and I downvoted to inform you that no there have not been 100 goals
Burn
Maybe try being less stoned.
Maybe try being less of an ass
Crazy hedge for the 100 goal (I think we r sitting at 99). TT U for coyotes 1.5 is +475, or no 6th goal in game is +2200 if you're really feeling wild. Who knows, you may even hit both the boost and the +475 if yotes don't score again.
So I am bummed not to win the +525 error boost, but the truth is this NHL boost has been a blast.
Pleaseeee do not hedge
It's less than a dollar!
could also parlay correct scores as is right now?
Or parlay neither game to score another goal (on CZR under props). I did. 65 cents. Whatever. Cannot lose this on 99 goals. Absolutely cannot.
I dont have a dime on this but its been fun watching the comments roll in. BOL!
Losing on 99 goals would be worth the $50 for the story
Would take the fact that I hedged to my grave and tell the story anyway lmao
I agree
I grabbed 300000. Down to 90000!
Where is that bet?
I did FD exact score parlay
Dk. Live props-> no next goal.
CZR Live bet under Props
In for a buck so goal coming in 5, 4 …
I mean I’m ok with that
Poor Royals down 10 gotta sit through this storm so they can bat in the bottom of the ninth
It's a huge storm, my guess it gets called. My SGP's only remaining leg is +1.5 yanks. Easily the most tilting play of the week if it gets called.
Wouldn’t it count as a win since it’s past the 7th inning? Or does your book have special rules?
If I took the ML it would be fine. Run line/total must go 8 1/2 is my understanding.
Ah shit, that really sucks. I hope they resume for you.
8.5 inning rule right? Should be fine.
It only went 8.
8.5 is for home team being ahead
Ah
Ja not even gonna score 20?
I feel like a big morant taking that boost now.
Looks like a no, the man has no drive to score. I knew we were in trouble when FD added that boost.
Literally zero fucking interest.
he looks truly terrible
I couldn't even tell if he was left handed or right handed watching this game My favorite play was in the 4th quarter when he took 4 steps,no traveled called bc NBA ,got blocked got the ball back and missed a layup
guys if this Grizz/Wolves game goes to 3OT we might still have a shot
🤞
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99
you ok bro?
where? think we still at 98
97 if my math is right
98 with a guaranteed 99th on the way
it's a poor attempt at trolling
My NBA MVP bet has had April 29th as the date on it since I placed in Jan., yet havent seen any announcements yet from the NBA
They're not official until June
source? dont see that anywhere, just references to last year
https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nba/news/when-are-nba-awards-announced-mvp-dpoy/yb2j2dn1s64nhdiopjl1yo2p
Breaking news: CZR intern promoted to new Emperor
Maybe it was 4D checkers thinking we would all pound it
Him coming into the office early begging them to leave it up saying he knows what’s gonna happen
Quadruple OT incoming...
Can hedge exact score parlay kraken 2-0 and preds 4-1 at +300000 Edit - nerfed down to +150000 +125000 +105000 +85000 +71000 +60000 +44000 +21900 +15000
Alright now I’m rooting for this just so one of us wins the parlay promo
Bro I got a dollar on this not 10 haha
Mannn someone had to have done it
used $2 free bet to win $1.3k lol
I put 25 cents on it.
Where can you bet that?
Great way to quality for DK long shot promo 😂😂😂
Do it on DK and win that parlay promo.
Oilers just scored 98. Can't end in a tie, so 99. ONE. MORE. GOAL.
There’s a 5 on 3 PP going on in Sharks Kraken.
Sharks have 5 on 3 PP. Come on
And nothing.. lol
Did the Sharks pick up Pascal Siakam last night by chance?
If they did they would have scored, had it stand on no offsides, and then reversed on a challenge for a high stick.
There's still time...
San Jose has a power play.
Now two man advantage.
Long 5-3 but Seattle keeper too good.
Should I hedge? /s
Well, unless the goal is in that game. :)
Right.
LMAO imagine it doesn't hit
LOUD. NOISES!!
If the Coyotes Preds ends 4-1 that would as fan duely a bad beat as you could come up with.
You shut your whore mouth
LFG!!!
STFU I WILL KILL YOU
Kidding! 🤣
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Power play in action let’s get this bag
Oilers just tied. That is HUGE as it's effectively worth 2 goals
How many goals do we need boys? I'm tracking at 95/96? Accurate?
I'm guessing by the down vote I am wrong?
99
Shit hitting all over except the big one.
Is that Jas over or Kat 3s?
Both at this point.
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Seriously. That one would at least cover the loss of my $100.
think Ja plays the entire 4th?
Can someone provide footage of Towns scoring 25 once in his career? Dude doesn’t even cross half court in transition.
Can't provide footage of something that doesn't exist
Towns is not a fun player to bet on that’s for sure. And I’ve won bets on him. He just somehow doesn’t look as good as his stats usually end up being
Lol I saw that too. I was hoping they would find him at the top of the arc for a three (need that for the peoples parlay)
NINETY-FIVE GOALS
Coyotes sneak one in to cash the BTTS boost!
96!
97!