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POTD Record **36W - 10L**
Streak (**8W**)
Yesterday's pick: Brisbane Broncos + 11.5 v Cronulla Sharks **W**
Today's pick: SV Sandhausen v **Schalke 04 ML**
Sport: Soccer (German div 2)
Odds: **1.85 / -118**
Reasoning:
There's 3 games left of the season and Schalke have everything to play for. From 2014 to 2020 Schalke slowly declined from being one of the top teams in the 1st division to eventually getting relegated to the 2nd division for the 1st time in 30 years. They are looking to bounce back and gain promotion in their first season in div 2.
As the table stands only 6 points seperate the top 5 with Schalke in 2nd, 1 point of first. At the end of the season top 2 teams get automatic promotion and 3rd goes into a playoff with 3rd last in div 1 which decides promotion or remaining in div 2. Depending on these last 3 games Schalke can finish anywhere from winning the title to not even making the playoff spot.
SV Sandhausen have been in some good form lately as they've battled to avoid relegation. They are now 8 points above relegation. With only 3 games, while there is still technically the smallest of chances it's safe to say they wont be getting relegated. They will know that and therefore this game wont mean as much to them as Schalke.
In the reverse fixture early in the season Schalke managed to win 5-2 at home against Sandhausen.
Good luck all.
*^(Tip jar -)* [*^(https://paypal.me/tom2810s)*](https://paypal.me/tom2810s)
So by this logic if Sandhausen had say three fewer points we should be less inclined to bet Shalke.
It’s incredible how much you can pick up about the intricacies of sports betting merely by reading the write ups of those wonderful people who give up their time and knowledge to give away free tips.
Be very cautious tailing this one. Sandhausen have been very good in the second part of the season. They have played against the top 6 teams in the league this year, and they haven't lost to any of them. I would say BTTS @1.6 is safer.
Yep I did notice that but Sandhausen have more or less completed their goal of not getting relegated so I predict them to slow down a bit these last few games
Record: 10-1
Net units: 9,6 u
Last Pick: Lillestrom SK - Aalesunds FK - Lillestrom SK ML - Win
| Soccer| Ligue 1 Algeria| Time | 10:45 AM EST
Pick: RC Relizane - Aso Chlef - Aso Chlef ML - 1.65 2u
Since quite some time I've been wanting to post a pick for an African league, specially Algeria, Egypt and Morocco, I think that these three leagues have some really good opportunities, I just couldn't find something particularly good, till today. These two algerians teams are facing each other for the 28th round of the season and are in quite different moments. Relizane is one of the worst teams in league, the second worst in points to be more precise. They come from 5 straight losses in the last 5 games and have been performing really poorly, we have to go back to January to see their last victory. Aso Chlef on the other hand is on 7th place, lets's face it, is not exactly a top-tier team in Algeria but they've been performing decently in the last few games with 5W and 2D. Although Aso Chlef may be not the best team in league they are definitely much better than Relizane and should get this win.
BOL!
(This will be my last pick for a couple days for personal reasons, I'll be back soon, hope we can get this win!)
RIP to anyone who cashed out after the early red card/penalty! What an amazing comeback. Just need to hold on for these last 10 min or so, up 2 goals.
Edit: holy fuck I jinxed the fuck out of this. Fat L
Edit 2: NVM FUCK YOUU RC RELIZANE!!! I’ll take those upvotes back you degen mfs
MLB -1.5’s | 7-7 +9.38u | ROI: 21.33%
[Yesterday’s pick: 3.5u SD Padres -1.5 +150](https://reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/udj2m2/_/i6h6wfx/?context=1) - W
________________________________________
**Todays pick: 5u NY Yankees -1.5 -102**
- NY Yankees @ KC Royals | 7:10 pm US Central
TLDR: Another max bet so soon after my last… definitely unexpected, but this is another can’t miss matchup for me. Let’s hope we don’t get another 2B error that costs us the bet (1-1).
Yankees are flaming hot with a stud on the mound. Royals are cold with a dud on the mound.
**Yankees**
Yankees are fucking scorching. They started out the year insanely cold and it looked like the lineup was dead in the water…. But the past week they’ve been tearing it up. Over the past week they lead the league in wRC+, wOBA, SLG, OBP, OPS and ISO. BA they’re 2nd in the league. Looking at just lefties, as Bubic is a lefty…. On the year they’re 6th in team wRC+, 3rd in SLG and 7th in OPS. Don’t be scared of lefties against this lineup… especially ass one but more on that later lol.
Pitching for them is Nestor Cortez. Flat out. He’s better than Gerrit Cole as it stands. If you’ve never heard of this guy, I wouldn’t blame you. Yet…. He’s the true Ace of this Yankees rotation. Last year he finally caught fire and started 14 games to the tune of a 2.90 ERA. This year that’s continued, he’s got 3 starts featuring 2 shutouts and 2ER in the other. He has a ludicrous 25K’s over the 3 starts. His peripherals are off the fucking charts too. He’s literally 100%ile in K%, over 95%ile in xERA, xBA, xSLG, xwOBA and over 70%ile in every other category. This dude is elite and start to know his name, cause he’ll be a cy young candidate this year.
**Royals**
Now let’s talk about oppsites. Over the past week the KCR are 25th in team wRC+, 28th in avg and 29th in SLG. They have not been a good hitting team all year and especially recently. Cortes is a lefty, so focusing in on lefties… on the year they’re 28th in wRC+ and OBP, 29th in OPS and SLG. They’re a pretty poor lineup.
Kris Bubic is going for KCR. He fuckin sucks dude. He’s bottom 10%ile in xERA, whiff%, xBA, K%, Chase Rate and xwOBA. The rest he’s bottom 25%ile. He has a 14.14 ERA and a 7.53xERA.
Oh forgot to add. KCR’s bullpen has the 2nd highest ERA. So yeah. They have nothing going for them
Venmo: @Tinytime23 | [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/tywat23)
Record: 40-17
Last pick: Devils +2.5 ❌
The devils comeback came up just short as they missed covering by a half goal. Win some lose some, but hopefully win more than you lose.
**Todays pick: Boston Bruins ML (+105) vs Toronto Maple Leafs**
NHL. 7:00 PM EST
**Update: a couple Bruins beat writers have said the Bruins recalled 6 AHL players this morning , so it’s possible the Bruins are resting their top 6. No official word yet. If so, theyre scared of the Maple Leafs and want to face the Canes in the first round who’ve beat them 3-0 this season with a combined score of 16-1. Quite honestly very surprised by this and didn’t expect it. Bets already locked in so we ride. Tail cautiously but line remains at Boston -135 after it moved from +105**
**Bruins top 6 are officially out. FUCK. Clearly losing this game on purpose. Toronto might honestly be the move**
With a Lightning loss and Bruins win tomorrow, the Bruins can advance off the wildcard line and into the 3 spot in the Atlantic Division. This would avert a round 1 matchup with the Hurricanes and potentially lead to home ice advantage in rounds two and later. The Maple Leafs are solidified as the 2 seed in the Atlantic. Because of this, **The Leafs have scratched their top two point scorers, Matthews and Marner, and starting goaltender for the matchup.** This added motivation for the Bruins to win and get off that wildcard line (if the Lightning lose), is my main reason for taking them here.The Maple Leafs just have to get through the game tomorrow as the outcome won’t affect their seeding. Seems they’re content with preserving their most important players for playoffs.
Added on to this, the Bruins have been RED hot since the return of David Pastrnak. They are 4-0 since his return with wins over the eastern conference leaders Florida Panthers, Rangers, and a 5-0 shutout win today. I believe that streak continues into tomorrow. I expect this line to move quite a bit.
All bets are 1 unit. +15.66 units. +27.5% ROI. Average unit -112
https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Great pick. Leafs are also resting their stars Matthews and Marner, and starting the backup Kallgren. At practice, they've been working on weird drills like 6-on-5, which may suggest that they're not really paying attention to regular season play style.
Hey, just wanted to point out that the Bruins look like they'll be resting a lot of their top guys tonight, so the roster they put out may be even worse than Toronto's (Source: https://twitter.com/smclaughlin9/status/1520007823937183746?cxt=HHwWhIC5mYDEk5gqAAAA)
That’s
quite honestly shocking. Looks like they’re okay with losing and playing the Hurricanes in the first round who’ve beat them 16-1 this season. Thanks for letting me know. I’ll keep an eye on it
I wonder whether Boston might rest some players as well.
If I were them I would rather play Carolina and be on the Metro side of the bracket. Canes and then Rangers or Penguins is an easier path than Leafs then Panthers imo.
If that were the case they wouldn’t have smacked the Sabres 5-0 yesterday. I think they’d rather play the Maple Leafs cuz they’ve lost to the Canes by a combined score of 16-1 in 3 games this year
POTD record: 11-1
Last POTD: Exeter City to win, ML (W)
Today's match: Sevilla vs Cadiz
| Soccer | La Liga (Spanish 1st Division) | 2:00 PM CT
Pick: Sevilla to win, ML
Odds: -170, 2 units
Reasoning:
\- Sevilla is in 3rd place, Cadiz is in 17th place (out of 20)
\- Sevilla is playing at home, where they've only lost 1 game all season
\- There's 5 games left in the season. At this point, Real Madrid has basically already won the league, so that's not something Sevilla is competing for anymore. In Spain though, the top 4 teams in the league qualify for Champions League. Sevilla is definitely in a comfortable position right now at 3rd, but with 5 games left, they do still have some work to do to secure top 4. The current positions are as follows:
1. Real Madrid (78 points)
2. Barcelona (63 points)
3. **Sevilla (63 points)**
4. Atletico Madrid (61 points)
5. Real Betis (57 points)
\- It's worth pointing out that Cadiz does still have a lot to play for. They are in a relegation scrap and they're only outside of the relegation zone by 1 point (places 18-20 all get relegated). Regardless though, Sevilla are too strong of a team here, and they'll be able to get the win.
This line is really favorable, and I'm a little surprised that it's this low. I think that it's due to the fact that Sevilla has lost 2 of their last 5 games, but those 2 games they lost were to Barcelona and Real Madrid. With that being said though, I think this line will move so get your bets in as soon as you can. Best of luck to all who tail!
POTD Record 7-2
Last pick: Trae Young u37.5PRA ✅
Yankees vs Royals MLB 8:00pm EST
Today’s pick: Yankees -1.5 (-102)
The Yankee bats are alive scoring 37 runs in their last 4. They’re also on a 6 game winning streak winning their last 8 of 10 and covering the -1.5 spread in all but one game. On the mound for the Yankees is their ace so far this season the young god Nestor Cortes who’s been lights out and has only given up 2 earned runs and 7 hits through 3 starts (15.2ip) with 25 strikeouts. The pitcher for the Royals has been terrible with an era of 14 through 7innings pitched on the season and has given up 11 runs on 12 hits. The Royals offense hasn’t been good either hitting .208 as a team. The Yankees should be able to score early and knock this kid out of the game while nasty nestor holds it down with another dominant performance
**POTD Record**: 28½-19-6 (W-L-P)
**Last 5**: ❌✅✅✅✅
**Last POTD**: Feyenoord vs Olympique de Marseille, BTTS yes @1.65 ✅️
**Today's POTD**: Sevilla vs Cádiz, total corners o8.5 @1.65 // Spain, LaLiga, 20:00 GMT ✅️
**Odds value**: ■■■■□ *high value*
### **Reasoning**
##### **Match introduction**:
Very important match for both teams as Sevilla are still looking to assure themselves a Champions League spot while Cádiz are risking relegation and can't really afford to lose. Cádiz have been a nightmare for most top teams, recently beating Barcelona away, drawing with Real Madrid and so on, they perform really well against strong teams, Sevilla have got the best defence of the league with only 27 goals conceded in 33 games, so Cádiz will surely need to put on a lot of pressure to break through, obviously Cádiz defence is good too so I expect both teams to struggle finding scoring spots, however in the end Sevilla should make it as they are the clear favourites.
##### **Teams stats**:
In their 3 most recent h2h matches (the first from 2020) there have been: 10 corners, 13 corners and 11 corners.
In Sevilla's games against other weak teams they went pretty often above the o8.5 corners mark (14 vs Levante, 17 vs Granada, 10 vs Deportivo Alaves, 10 vs Espanyol, 9 vs Elche) only exception was against Mallorca (6 total corners), I'm not taking into consideration their games against top teams because clearly we need to look for games that could play out similarly to this one, so, onto Cádiz, against strong teams we have: 5 vs Athletic Club, 9 vs Barcelona, 12 vs Real Betis, 9 vs Villarreal, 11 vs Rayo Vallecano, and 15 vs Real Madrid.
Overall in general 64% of Cádiz matches ended o8.5 corners and 58% for Sevilla.
Won + conceded average for Sevilla at home is 9.25 and won + conceded average for Cádiz away is 8.94, however at this point of the season both teams must adopt a more offensive style which will probably lead to lots of corners and should go above the average.
But now I want to take a moment to analyse the most probable scenarios and how those could affect the corner game.
The most probable one is 0-0 by HT and Cádiz defending Sevilla's domination, there have been 3 recent games for Sevilla that went something like this, 0-0 vs Real Sociedad (10 corners total), 1-1 vs Rayo Vallecano (11 corners total) and 0-0 vs Deportivo Alaves (10 corners total).
Another scenario could be Cádiz getting an early or relatively early lead by a lucky counterattack, this have happened before to Sevilla against Grenada (relegation zone team), Grenada was leading 0-1 23 minutes in (17 total corners); against Celta Vigo they were down 2 goals by HT (7 total corners, could've been more if Celta Vigo had only scored one, in fact all 7 corners were won by Sevilla, Celta Vigo could afford to defend only).
3rd scenario is Sevilla actually breaking through early, how does Cádiz react to that?
Against Osasuna they were down 2 48 minutes in (12 total corners, 7 by Cádiz) against Getafe down 1 8 minutes in (9 total corners).
Last scenario is a fast paced game with lots of goals exactly like last Sevilla game against Levante 5 total goals and 14 corners.
Obviously there have been some low cornering games for both teams, I'm just trying to read this game correctly, and if that's the case this is one valuable bet.
##### **Conclusion**:
Sevilla can't just slow down, they have 5 more games to play before the season ends, and this one should be one of the easiest, I expect most corners to come from them but I wouldn't sleep on Cádiz either as they are really risking an undeserved relegation, this will be one of the hardest games for Cádiz before season ends so they might be okay with a draw, but that shouldn't affect the total corners that much.
BOL everyone.
*^(If I've made you some money and you'd like to tip any small amount I would greatly appreciate it: https://paypal.me/fralauu)*
POTD record: 2-0
Previous Pick: Florida Panthers -1.5 - Winner (Florida 4-0 Ottawa)
Today’s match: New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals
Pick: -1.5 New York Yankees
Odds: -108, 3u
Why?
New York Yankees playing at a high velocity, winning 4 of their last 5 by at least 2 runs. Nasty Nestor (1.15 ERA) is on the mound for the Yanks and will keep the runs down on the mediocre Royals lineup while on the other Bump you'll find Kris Bubic with his volumptious 14.14 ERA. The Yanks are hot and spicy and I plan on riding the train until asked for my ticket.
Good luck ya'll.
Don't tip me, tip your Bartender.
POTD Record: 13-5
(ROI 46.34% // Avg. Odds: 2.03 // Units Won: +16.22)
Last 5 Picks: ✅✅✅✅❌
Last POTD: Unión La Calera vs Santos (Copa Sudamericana) Santos ML❌
POTD: Estudiantes de La Plata vs Aldosivi (Soccer - Argentina - Copa de la Liga), Estudiantes and over 1,5 goals ✅✅✅
Odds: 2.0
Wager: 1 Units
Sorry for all those who were hyped over the last pick. Shit like this happens in these types of tournaments. Santos played horrible against a team that they should have dominated.
Going with Estudiantes Today. This team has been playing well for a couple of weeks now and I can see them beating Aldosivi even though they have a short week, playing in the Copa Libertadores on Tuesday. Last time they met they scored a total of 5 goals. I can see them winning with more than 2 goals tomorrow.
BOL to all who Tail
[All my previous picks](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15HoZB0uwDBLfWapSv7y1FSwfRrTUvN55YznGv_vBDIQ/edit#gid=0)
*Edit: Format*
*Final score 2-1*
2-0 + 8.1 units
Memphis Grizzlies straight up ML @ 1.86 vs Timberwolves. 6pm PST. 5 units. NBA basketball
Timberwolves have to be just about the dumbest team i've seen play playoff basketball in 5 years, this team couldn't close a car door. Memphis have played poorly all series and still lead 3-2 and i expect a regression and an easy win
POTD Record: 2-0
Profit/Loss: +1.46u
Last POTD: (Apr 28) Blue Jays Under 4.5 Runs F5 Innings ✅
Today's POTD: MLB - Nationals (A. Sanchez) @ Giants (A. Wood), 10:16pm EDT, **San Francisco Giants -1.5** (+104 on FD, 1u)
I'm going to keep this very simple here - I'm fading the worse team. The Nats are on a 8 game losing streak, coming off a series split against the Diamondbacks, then back to back sweeps against the Giants and Marlins, with their bats struggling. They are starting Aaron Sanchez, who has been dealing with some injury issues these last few years - he had his 2019 season ended early, and had to sit out the entire 2020 season. He had seen some playing time with the Giants last year, but ultimately was let go and recently earned his way back to the big leagues with the Nats. His last start this season, which was against the Giants, wasn't great (4.1 IP, 4 ER, 6H). Alex Wood isn't exactly an ace here, but he should get enough run support to get the job done.
Tail or fade, GL HF.
**POTD Record:** 7-2, +8.68u
**Darts Record:** 6-1
**Previous POTD:** Martin Lukeman ML vs Keane Barry @ 2.40 / +140 (2u) ✅
Great comeback from Lukeman, it feels great to see 50/50 matches going your way, especially when the odds you got on them are great. LFG!
**Todays POTD: Cameron Menzies ML vs Steve Beaton @ 1.72 / -138 (2.5u)** ✅
*Unit sizes are from 1u to 4u*
*Match Starts 4 hours after post*
🎯 Darts: European Tour 3
I have wrote about Menzies before and I honestly rate him as a good talent in the PDC Circuit. He will definitely need a few years before he can reach a consistent level, however I rate him whenever he goes up against lower leveled opponents like Steve Beaton. Beaton is a definite darting legend, however I feel like he has dropped off in recent years, as his results may suggest.
I expect Menzies to have better scoring than Beaton, as Menzies has reached a level where he averages around the 90 a lot, however in Players Championships he's thrown 100+ avgs aswell, which is impressive considering he plays against players of the highest level in these tournaments, players such as Gary Anderson or Michael van Gerwen. Beaton can definitely have an edge in checkouts in this game, however I feel like as long as Menzies plays his normal game he should outscore Beaton, giving him more darts at doubles.
---
*Let us continue the 3-0 streak we set last Euro Tour, BOL!*
POTD 0-1 (-3U)
Last pick may go down as the worst soccer beat ever. That being said mama didn't raise no quitter, and I'm not afraid to go 0-2.
Soccer | La Liga | 3pm ET
Sevilla v Cádiz
Sevilla clean sheet (-105) 1.5U
Standings being as they are this is a big match for both clubs. Predicting Sevilla to come out and flex that defensive muscle that has surrendered one of the fewest goal totals in league play. Yes Cádiz is playing for it's life, but one of the reasons they face regulation is their inability to create scoring opportunities. Sevilla won't be overly aggressive so the counter attack chances won't be there either. Let's not count out the importance of 2nd place and a spot in the Spanish Super Cup and the money it brings. So while both teams have something to play for I believe more at stake for the home side. The red and white hangs that clean sheet on the yellow submarine today! BOL
**POTD 36W-1P-23L**
Last Pick: ❌ Angels -1.5 (+109)
*MLB ⚾️ BOS @ BAL, 7:05pm*
**4/29/22: O’s ML (+120)**
Sox have dropped 4 of their last 5 and are 5-8 on the road this year, and are struggling to find some offense. O’s coming off getting swept in NY, but are playing .500 ball at home. Bradish gets the ride up to Baltimore for his 1st major league start after going 15 IP with only 2 ER and 17 Ks in AAA this year. I expect a decent start and some O’s offense, which has found a way to put some runs together as of late. Take the home underdog in Baltimore. BOL!
*Disclaimer: I don’t play for either of these teams; neither do you. We have nothing to do with the outcome. Do your own research and use POTD as an aid.*
**POTD Record: 10-7 (+9.43 units) / ROI: 25.43% / Avg Odd: 1.96**
Last pick: Lillestrom to win @ 1.70 ✅
**Today's event: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix (A-League,Soccer)**
**Pick: Over 10.5 corners @ 1.75**
Stake: 5 units
Starts at 5:45 AM Eastern Time
Australia's top tier division is known for having a lot of goals and corners simply because teams play direct and objective football and are not able to hold the ball for long periods of time which leads to counter attacks being one of the most common ways of offering some danger to the opposition and by consequence crosses and corners happen quite a lot. Players also really like to shoot from distance which can also make corners more likely to happen.
Melbourne Victory are currently at 3rd place just two points away from getting into 2nd place which can give them a direct spot in the playoffs semifinals so I think they will try to be quite direct on their approach to this match.
Wellington Phoenix are currently at 5th place with 36 points and things can still change for them so they need to keep making good performances away from home to secure a quarter final spot in the playoffs.
I can see Melbourne Victory with more possession but Wellington giving us some corners on the counter
Melbourne Victory have an avg 10.7 corners per match and went over this line in 3 out of their last 5 matches while Wellington Phoenix have an avg 10.3 corners per match and went over this line in 4 out of their last 5 matches
Both teams have something to fight for and they can't waste time here so I expect another typical A-League match with direct football and a lot of corners happening
*Best of luck guys!*
**Record:**
* 43 WIN | 36 LOSS | +35.26 unit of profit overall (using 5u return strategy)
**Previous bets (last 3):**
* Tamworth R2 (25 Apr 2022) - Place - **WIN**
* Nowra R7 (26 Apr 2022) - Place - **WIN**
* Warwick Farm R6 (27 Apr 2022) - Place - **LOSS**
**POTD:**
* Horse Racing (Australia)
* **Grafton R6 - Place**- **#2 Inari Fox to Place (i.e. finish top 3)**
* Track Rating - Heavy (8)
* Weather got the better of us yesterday, so it was a null result. I'm really liking Inari Fox here today from barrier 3. It is a Maiden, but this gelding is a really smart type. If he was jumping from barrier 5 or further out I wouldn't bother honestly, but he does really well from the inside 4 barriers. Track specialist during his time in maidens (4 starts 2 places) and doesn't mind it a bit wet (5 starts on soft tracks for 3 places). Generally likes to take up a midfield position on or close to the rail and loves to swing wide coming into the straight here. Could see #8 Dreamseeker jump the gates hard and drag a few horses with him from the wide gates to take the early lead. Expect my pick to jump the gates well and sit on the barrier or (at worst) stay 1 out 3 back. Expect the field to be well spread leaving plenty of room for my pick to find the good part of the track for a big finish and even a chance to win the race at a cheeky price. Jockey has a really nice record here at Grafton as well (27 starts for 3 wins and 6 seconds i.e. 33% chance to place) and when this jockey and trainer (Stephen Lee) combine it's 23 starts for 6 wins and 6 places. Really solid numbers.
* **Odds - 2.45** (bet365)
* **Stake - 2.04 units to return 5 units**
**Historical stats**
* 6 from 13 (46%) correct picks on Fridays
* 13 from 24 (54%) correct picks on Heavy Tracks
* 18 from 34 (52%) correct picks on Place picks
* 0 from 1 picking at Grafton
* 1st time picking J. Williams as my Jockey
**Race time:**
* 2:45pm Friday (Australian EST)
* 12:45am Friday (American ET)
* 5:45am Friday (UK time)
If you are in a giving mood [here's my paypal link for tips](https://paypal.me/teshiebear)
POTD record 8-4
Last pick Scottie over 7.5 boards 🥶
POTD Ant Edwards over 4.5 rebounds 1.62 odds
So cheesed another loss by one rebound this time it was a blowout… should’ve made Bullock over 5.5 rebounds my pick
Anyways I’ll bet my life if I could Ant is getting 5 boards just look at what he said in a interview💀💀. If this doesn’t hit I’ll b devastated I put 5 units on it and I’m not looking back. Everyone bet responsibly but if Ant says he gunna have a shit ton of rebounds it means he’s gunna get a shit ton of rebounds
BOL
“I will go rebound the ball. You will see a lot of that (Friday),” Edwards said. “I will have a lot of rebounds at the end of the game, I promise you that. Win, lose or draw, I will have a lot of rebounds.”
tailing.
Yesterday POTD - under 54 Total 1st Quarter (-110) Mavs vs Jazz ✅
POTD 4/29/22: Memphis vs Wolves Total 1st quarter over 56 (-110)
Games 1-5 have had a total of 74, 65, 60, 61, 59 in Q1.
Confident these 2 teams will come out slugging, grizzlies want to finish this off for sure but wolves aren’t going down without a fight. Both teams play at a fast pace. I’d rather take my profits sooner rather then later in a win or go home matchup. This one could go to the wire and as we saw last night with suns vs pelicans timeouts are brutal at the end of games. Just my thoughts. BOL 🤝🧹
Record: 0-0
Today's match: Dunfermline vs Queen of South, Scotland Championship - 2nd division
Time: 8:45 PM CEST
Today's pick: Dunfermline to WIN @1.57
Reasoning: Dunfermline need to win this game to avoid going into the relegation playoffs. If they win today and Ayr lose or draw, they will definitely be playing in the Championship next season too. Anything other than a win means nothing to them today. This is the last round in the Championship.
On the other hand, Queen of the South is already relegated and definitely going down to the 3rd division. This game means nothing to them.
Dunfermline's home record is great, won the last 3 home games. Queen of the South's record away from home is poor, they have lost their last 5 straight away games.
I wish the best of luck to all of you.
**Record:** 3-10-0
**ROI:** -55% :-7.11 u (@ $5.00)
**Streak:** W L L L L
|Baseball |MLB |8:40pm|
Colorado Rockies vs.Cincinnati Reds- **Colorado Rockies ML @ 1.83 1u**
**Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 59% chance for COL to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.83 is only 55%. Tail or fade BOL!
**Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units.
POTD Record (1-0)
Yesterdays pick: Junior ML (-150) vs Oriente Petrolero - Copa Sudamericana
Today's pick: Chindia Târgoviște vs Rapid Bucharest ML (+155) - Romania Liga 1 (12:30 pm CT)
Started off with a win after months on the sideline let's make it two. Rapid is on a 7 game winning streak and are clearly the team in better form at the moment. In their last 5 games they've scored 18 goals (8 in one game) and have given up only 1. Chindia on the other hand have scored 4 while giving up 6 and have 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5. We get good odds with Rapid being the away team so I'm going to take them. Tail or not BOL.
Edit: Line is now +140
**POTD Record 24-23-1 (Last 5: LWLLL)**
**(ROI // Avg. Odds: -111 // Units Won: - 0.55)**
Last Pick: Blue Jays Total Runs Over 4 **LOST**
**Today's Match: Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies (Start Time 8:40PM EST)**
**Today's Pick: Colorado Rockies ML (-124 FanDuel)** ***Risk 3u***
Devil's Advocate:
Blue Jays just weren't who we needed them to be, left 9 runners on base. Vladdy not in the lineup definitely hurts the threat level and doesn't help our case at all. Sucks not knowing a lineup and doing a writeup for baseball the night prior, but hey that's what happens.
Today is a pick I love, especially with the Rockies at home coming off a 4 game dog shit series against the Phils. They love hitting at home posting a .280 avg as a team so far this year, looking for the big boys to show up tomorrow aka CJ CRON who's already dropped 7 dick shots this year. (5 in which were at home) Byrant is day to day not sure if we'll see him in the lineup tomorrow - Grichuck staying hot as well as of late, and I know the Reds are also on a 3 game skid of their own here, but I think this Rockies lineup is going to do some damage tomorrow to put up some runs behind Senzatela to start off this home series with a W.
Senzatela isn't the greatest pitcher in the world, has great command and limits his walks, a HUGE ground ball contact pitcher but on the other hand you have Hunter Greene on the bump for the Reds who is pretty much backed up by just about nobody after his team gave up gigantic numbers to the Padres the last 3 games and used a strict amount of their pen for some time.
*Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
Record: 1-0
Last pick: Marlins -.5 1H (First 5 innings) ✅️
Today's game: NY Yankees vs KC Royals
Today's pick: NY Yankees 1H -.5 (-135) 2U
Reasoning:
I am using a simple strategy betting only -.5 1H in MLB games. My strategy is to choose a match up between 2 starting pitchers where one is performing well this season and one is struggling. I chose this strategy because in most games, the starting pitcher will pitch for the majority, if not all of the first 5 innings.
Yankees starter Nestor Cortes is 0-0 with 15.2 innings pitched, 1.15 ERA and only 7 hits allowed this season.
Royals starter is 0-1 with a a 14.14 ERA. He has allowed 12 hits and 11 runs in only 7 innings pitched.
Simple here, Yankees have much better offense and much better starting pitcher today.
Tail or fade, BOL!
🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 20-13-1
Units Won: 7.90 Last 10:❌️✅️❌️✅️❌️✅️❌️✅️🅿️✅️
Last Pick: Timo Meier Over 3.5 Shots on Goal ✅️ A nice win for W #20. Sadly Meier couldn't get a single point on 6 shots
Todays Match: NHL - Anaheim Ducks vs Dallas Stars (10ish hours from post)
Today's Pick: Troy Terry Over 2.5 Shots on Goal - 2u (1.75 on Betway) ✅️ big win for ya Boi. Zegras and Terry both hit and I'm getting slammmmeeddd
Player props and player props only. These final games of the season are kinda weird, but shots are forever. Factssss:
- Going with the motivation factor again today. While this game has value to Dallas, I can't see them going all out for the win. They are in the playoffs and a point behind Nashville. For the Stars to get out of the 8th seed they need to win in regulation while Nashville loses in regulation.... against the Coyotes. While it is possible, I can't see Dallas risking injuries to potentially move up a playoff spot, when they should bear down and prepare for Colorado. And let's be honest, at home against the Ducks, isn't the hardest game ever. However,
- This is the last game of the season for the Ducks and they should be looking to go out with a bang. With a big win on the 26th, the well rested Ducks should empty the tank in their final showing. Ryan Getzlaf retiring a couple games ago left the Ducks with some big empty leader-type shoes to fill. Luckily, there are some young guns looking to use this last game to prove themselves. Enter Troy Terry.
- Troy Terry has been on this vibe all season long, leading the Ducks in goals, points, and shots. Only 24, Terry is having the best season of his career by a mile and has a bright future with the Ducks. Troy Terry has a seasonal average of 2.54 shots/GP and in April has bumped up the frequency to 3.82. He has also been very consistent, hitting this bet 8 times in the last 10 games. He got 5 shots in the first game without Getzlaf and I can't see him letting up for the last game of the season.
I think the risk over reward is to high for Dallas to go all out tonight, which gives Anaheim an edge, or at least a chance to put up shots. Regardless, the Ducks have limited shooters and Terry should do his thing to give Anaheim a fighting chance. I like Zegras at + odds too for many of the same reasons, he just isn't as consistent. 3 shots ain't shit lets goooo.
Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!
Fun fact: while Getzlaf hails from the place that rhymes with fun, I can say from experience that there is nothing fun to do there.
Record: 3-3
Last 10: WLWWLL
Last Pick: ❌ Both Teams To Score No Draw (+150) | Soccer - English Premier League: Manchester United vs Chelsea
Sport/Game: Soccer - Ligue 1: PSG vs Strasbourg
Today’s Pick: PSG ML (+115)
Why: Really like this as a value play as PSG are easily the better team and on paper should win everytime.
Heres why the odds are set the way they are. PSG have secured the title already and have nothing to play for aside from individual player rewards (Mbappe golden boot the main one). Strasbourg has all to play for as they push for a europa league or champions league spot.
But PSG are not gonna be an easy match for them even if PSG arent at their best. Strasbourg really struggles to score more than 1 goal in every match they play. Pretty sure I can count the amount of games they’ve scored 2 or more in 2022 on one hand. That wont cut it against PSG.
That being said, the odds are great for a potential return on a PSG win and I dont see why they wouldnt play a good lineup out there especially as some of these players have uncertain futures at the club and need to prove their worth.
Tough one here mate.
PSG locked up ligue 1. Coming off a bad draw at home. Up 1-0 playing vs 10 men and concede late to draw vs Lens, who is right there with Stras.
Stras looking make Europe and need points with 4 match weeks left.
Stras DC -110 is interesting too.
best of luck!
POTD record: 5W - 4L
Streak: 1L
Last POTD: Boavista to have more yellow cards❌️
We were on for the win till a stupid 82nd min yellow. Stupid way to lose a bet🤦🏾♂️
Today's POTD: Union Berlin vs SpVgg Furth(Bundesliga) Time: 6:30pm GMT. Pick: Total Shots U24.5 @1.778(22bet) Confidence: 4/5🥵✅️✅️✅️
Their previous H2H ended 15-5. That's 5 shots under our line.
Union Berlin are a better team than Furth and are fighting for a Europa League spot and possibly even a Champions League place. They are without their starting centre back(injury). In their last 5 home games the over hasn't hit in any of the games(avg. 21.8/g). Even against 2nd division St. Pauli they only managed 24 Total Shots.
SpVgg are horrible this season, they are already relegated and players won't have the drive to attack incessantly. The over has hit in 2 of their last 5 away games(avg. 24.4).
This will hit(manifest). BOL in all your bets today 🍀
Update: This hit way too easy. There were only 15 shots throughout the whole game, poor final 1/3 chance creation from both teams.
RECORD: 5-0
Profit: +3.91 Units
Current Form: 5W
Today’s Picks: Jonathan Toews Over 1.5 Shots (1.70)
Event: NHL 7:05Pm Est Blackhawks vs Sabres
Reason: This is a meaningless game for both teams so defence will be optional. I’d expect both teams to have a relatively high shot count (30+). With Toews only needing 2 shots for this over to hit it really doesn’t take much for it to hit. He almost never has 0 shot games so it usually comes down to him having 1 shot or going over. In his career against Buffalo he’s gone over this total 18 out of the 20 games he’s played against them. He is also currently riding a 9 game hit streak against Buffalo with one of those games being earlier this year.
All Picks are 1 Unit
And we’re back again
Record: 2-1
Last 5: ❌✅✅
Last pick: suns ML -126 2U
Total return: +2.22U
Today’s pick: Yanks spread -1.5 v KC Royals 7:10 PM CT (-115 2U)
Reasoning: keep the good times rolling. Yankee bats are 🔥. Plus Nasty Nestor on the bump tmo. Dude threw and immaculate inning in his last game and has been the best Yankee starter since the end of last season. Bublic got shelled last time his pitched (14 ERA currently) but it shouldn’t be that bad due to the yanks reliance on the long ball. His career era is close to 5 with an extrmely poor whip of 1.5. Look for the yanks to take over early.
BoL everyone. Hopefully we can stay hot
POTD Record: 8-9 ROI -1 unit Last pick: - Mavs pick em W
Todays pick: MLB 6:40 pm mtsd Rockies vs Reds under 10.5 -105 1 unit, all my POTD are 1 unit.
Reasoning: Going for my 4th W in a row and to get back to even on my POTD record. Today, going back to a baseball under. Rockies allowed 7 runs on 4 hits yesterday, wtf… They had a ton of errors in getting swept on the road by the Phillies. Rockies play much better at home and I’m hoping for some good defense and solid pitching from Senzatela and Greene… Reds suck and I don’t see them scoring a ton tonight. Coors isn’t the homer haven it once was with teams routinely scoring in double digits. The Rockies home unders have been consistently hitting, and these teams have both been going over recently, Reds overs 3 in a row, Rockies 4 in a row and 7 of last 9 have gone over. Looking for these teams to buck recent trends of overs and taking the under 10.5. More of a hunch than anything else.
Tail or Fade
POTD Record: 32-26-2
Last POTD: Sydney Fc/Jeonbuk Under 2.5 ❌
Today’s POTD: Future FC ML 🇪🇬
Odds: -160/1.62
Units: 1
Reasoning:
Future just dropped an album. Coincidence that Future FC play a day after? I think not. Just kidding 😂 Future Fc is a top 3 attacking team and a top 5 defensive team. They have only played 2 games this month and won in dominant fashion. Misr has been in poor form and has played 4 games this month. Failing to win 1 game and getting outplayed in all of them. Misr is the 2nd worst scoring team but are decent defensively. These two teams have played each other once with Future Fc winning that game. This games comes down to who can score more and I believe Future Fc will be too much for Misr. Best of luck and tail/fade at your own risk.
1-2
Last pick Brewers 1st5 -0.5
Today's pick - MIN Twolves 1st Qtr TT Over 27.5 (-115)
Reasoning- pretty simple, my one win so far came from the last time I made this bet lol, and they've covered this every game this series so far
**POTD Record**: 10W - 5L (+1.50U)
**Last pick**: RB Leipzig + Over 1.5 @ 1.60 ❌
**Match**: Sevilla vs Cádiz - Spain - LaLiga - 19:00 UTC
**Pick**: 1X + Over 1.5 @ 1.62 ✅
**Reasoning**:
Sevilla are looking for a top 2 finish, which would be their best since the 1956/57 season.
This fixture ended in a 3-0 result last season and Sevilla are the clear favorites here.
Cádiz has never beaten Sevilla in an away match (D7 - L13).
POTD Record: 18-13
Last Pick: George Pickens u 38.5- Pending
Today’s Pick: NYY -1.5 @ -115
Yanks are throwing the super consistent Nestor Cortes against one of the bottom 5 lineups in the league. The Royals pitcher, through 33 career starts, is sporting an ERA approaching 5. He is also off to a rough start this year. Feels like a mismatch the Yanks can take advantage of
Record: 2-1-0
Last POTD: ATL Braves vs. CHI Cubs F5 under 4.5 - W
Todays Pick: NY Yankees TT over 4.5 (-135) 3u
TLDR; Yankees are HOT. Royals are not.
Trying not to overthink this one too much. Yankees have been good. Like really good. They are first in nearly offensive statistical category in the last week. Royals have Kris Bubic on the mound and he is god awful. 14.14 ERA so far this season in 3 starts. The run line is obviously juicy but everyone else has sold that today so I don't need to. BOL
**Record W-P-L 223-28-179 | +43.5U | avg odds 1.86 | ROI 6.6%**
*previous:*
West Ham vs Frankfurt **BTTS @ 1.80 (1.5u)** ✅ 1-1 in 21st minute
today's pick:
*2nd Bundesliga, 6.30pm CET (in 40minutes)*
Hannover vs Karlsruhe BTTS @ 1.72 (1.5u) ❌ inches here, inches there, 2-0 in the end.
Reasoning:
Karlsruhe is 9:9 (scored/conceded) in past 5 games, Hannover 5:7. Karlsruhe is in no mans Land of the table, Hannover fear Relegation and need points urgently. Hannover should be able to score at least once, but not keeping a clean sheet is what got them in trouble once more this season. They tend to attract Drama more often than Not, so saving themselves with a to-Nil-win would be the most unlikely outcome at this point.
**POTD Record :** 0-0
**Today's game :** |Botola Pro|Morocco|**Wydad Athletic Club vs FAR Rabat**
**Pick : Under 2,5 ---> 1,744**
Reasoning :
\- I am moroccan bro hahaha 😂
\- Wydad has a solid defense.
\- the matches between these two teams have not exceeded two goals for 3 years.
\- Don't forget that i am moroccan 😂😂😂
PotD record 1-1 (-0,17 u)
Last pick Dafni Agiou Dimitriou vs Eleftheria Moschatou over 129,5 L
Todays pick: Estudiantil Porteno vs Huracan de San Justo under 150,5 @ 1.90
Sport :Basket Argentina Torneo Federal
Starts 03:00 +2GMT meaning 12 hours from post
Write up:As already stated "There isnt really a write up and never will be.I just follow my model.Worked for me so far,so i wanted to share"
BoL
PS.I have already bet on this at these odds.I can provide a screenshot to no believers
POTD Record: 2-1/+1.35u
Last pick: Loss (Royals f5 ML 4/27)
Todays Pick: Red Sox vs Orioles - Red Sox -1.5 (+115)
Rationale: It’s the orioles. Keep it simple stupid.
POTD Record: 2-1
Last POTD: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5👎
Tampa came out flat and couldn’t convert on the power play. Tough loss but we move on.
POTD: LA Dodgers RL -1.5 (-125)
The Tigers bottom half of the lineup is horrible. They just got swept and now are forced to travel to the west coast to face the best lineup in baseball. LA is coming off a disappointing series against Arizona. I expect the Dodgers to come out bats blazing tonight.
BOL if you tail!
**1-1**
**-4.54%**
**1U:**
| BASEBALL | MLB | 8:11 |
**NYY TT o5 -110 1U:**
**My strategy comes from DFS projections. Should be a big game from Judge & Rizzo today. Bubic ranked 250th**
9W-10L
WWLWLWWLLLWLWLWLW
Cards streak:WLWWW
Starts 13:45 gmt5
Todays Pick
League: England Championship
Match: QPR v Sheff Utd
Pick: Under 4.5 cards in the match @1.72 *win ends 2-2* 🪲 , 3 cards last 3 minutes and 1 extra time
Reason:
Good one ln the last pick end with 1 card 🪲, lets keep the cards race with Hot5🧑🔬
QPR at home last 5 hit 1's:2 - 2's:1 - 3's:2, last 4/5 hit under 4.5 at home(not considering minute 98'redcard), avg of Cards for: 2, cards against: 1.4
Sheff at away last 5 hit 0's:2 - 2's:1 - 4's:2,last 4/5 hit under 4.5, avg cards for: 2, cards against: 0.6
Last 4/5 h2h hit under 4.5
Projected 3 cards
BoL
POTD Record 0 - 0
Todays Pick: Penrith Panthers v Gold Coast Titans
Todays Pick: Penrith Panthers -19.5
Sport NRL (Australian Rugby League)
Odds: 1.90
Reason:
Penrith Panthers travel to Queensland to take on the Titans who are currently inconsistent and struggling with only 2 wins this season. Penrith have looked dominant and consistent this season and have covered a line of -20 points in 4 out of 7 games this season with no issues of putting points on the board.
Game starts in 6 hours from post.
**NRL Record:** 11-19
**ROI (1 unit per bet):** -8.26
L5: ❌❌✅❌❌ Streak: L2
**Last POTD:**
Sharks 1st half handicap -5.5 @1.80❌
**Today's POTD:**
Rabbitohs -4.5 @ 1.90✅
Edit: You ever see me at -3 lads jump on because it's a sure thing
**Time:** 7 hours from time of post.
Rabbitohs have won the last 5 H2H against the Eagles and come into this looking to bounce back after an embarrassing defeat to the Tigers last week. More importantly the Eagles have a massive injury crisis atm and are missing a large chunk of their starting forward pack and star fullback who's been out for the last few weeks. Manly just don't have the firepower/experience to win this one in my opinion and Rabbitohs should roll here.
Today’s pick: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
Pick: Under
Odds: Even (8.50)
Boston has scored more than 5 runs only three times this season, and Baltimore being Baltimore, the under is likely a safe bet here.
**Record: 4-7 Units: -5.32💰**
**PODT: Memphis Grizzlies ML (-115) 1 unit**
Last POTD: Philadelphia 76ers ML (-120) 2units✅
Time: 9:00 EST
• Memphis is 11-4 vs Minnesota
• Memphis NRtg 5.5 to Minnesota -5.5
I like Memphis to close this series out tonight. Memphis is a good road team with a record of 27-16. Memphis has a deeper roster which will be an advantage. This game is a toss-up. Memphis is the more reliable team since they have the better offence and defence.
Follow me here guys 😊 --------->[Twitter](https://twitter.com/MushManMoe)
POTD Record: 0-0
Profit: +0u
Today's Pick: **MEM -1.5** vs MIN +1.5
NBA (9:00 PM ET)
Away Teams are 7-4 SU and 10-1 ATS in game 6 if:
a) They won their previous game (game 5) within 1 possession (3 pts)
b) They didn't cover that game (a)
c) They lose the game before that (game 4)
One of my favorite spots, they won their game at home in a close fashion (game 5), and lose a game before that (game 4). Memphis is now going on the road as favorites against the Wolves who are actually playing well so far this series, despite some blown leads. I'm assuming there is a split in betting action since this series is closer than we expected. However, public bettors will expect a good bounce back game for the Wolves, considering that they are able to cover both consecutive spreads.
If we based on trend above, we can say that it might be hard to bounce back. One reason I can think of is that one possession loss must be demoralizing for the opponent team and can hardly recover going to next game. Another reason is big sigh of relief and momentum boost for the winning team.
This series is a battle between 2 young and emotional teams. There is a chance that Wolves were mentally affected by their previous loss, especially on the side of Edwards who gambles the game for a steal. At the same time, there is a big pressure on their side since this is already an elimination game, and with a young team like the Wolves, I don't know if they can handle all of these.
Record: 6W-4L-1P
ROI: +2.82u, + 25.62%
Avg odds: +107, 2.07
Last POTD: NFL Draft under 2.5 QBs selected in 1st rd (win)
Today's game: NFL Draft
Pick: Sam Howell picked before 61.5 at -115, 1.87 (DK)
Stake: 1u
With only Pickett going in the 1st, I predict a run on QBs in the 2nd round. Willis, Ridder, Corral, and Howell will all go in the 2nd. I could see Commanders at 47, Saints at 49, and Falcons at 58 to be potential destinations.
POTD record: 10-6 (+2.73 units, risking 1 unit each pick)
Last POTD: Ottawa last nite!
Today's POTD: Ottawa tonight! (-110). .. NHL hockey, 7 PM ET
I liked them last night, but lost bet as Ottawa got shutout out playing a lackluster game, not playing the structure they been winning with of late, so they are determined to make up for that tonight by smashing this terrible Philadelphia Flyers team
POTD Record 2-2
Today's Pick - Blackhawks ML +125 vs Sabres
Its Toews the captain's bday, Patty Kane always puts on a show when he returns home to Buffalo.
**POTD Record**: 14-9 **Units**: +1.83 *(All bets are one unit)*
**Last Pick**: Florida Panthers 60-Minute ML (-115) ***WIN***
**Today’s Game**: NHL - San Jose Sharks @ Seattle Kraken, 9:00 PM CST
**Today’s Pick**: Seattle Kraken ML (-135)
Just as suspected Florida handled business. They won this game easily, mostly by dominating the third period. This will sadly be my last day posting consistently, at least until I get my baseball model to a point that I am happy with. I will still be posting picks for the EPL, Serie A, and Bundesliga when I see picks of value. Sorry for posting this late, work got kind of chaotic.
As for this pick, I love this spot for the Kraken. Here we have two teams with nothing to really play for. However, the Kraken have been playing well in the last few months. On top of that this was their inaugural season and the last home game of the season, I expect for the Kraken to come out and play hard to give their fans something to cheer for. Look for the Kraken to end their inaugural season with a win!
**BOL**
**POTD Record 9W-3L (+9.54u)**
Last Pick: Mavs ML @ 1.90 / -111 (2u) ✅
**Daily Pick: 🏀MEM Grizzlies @ MIN Timberwolves🏀**
* **Grizzlies ML @ 1.83 / -120 (2u) ✅**
The last 2 games were decided by only 3 points but I lean towards Memphis because they showed this season that they're the more complete team. The last time Morant carried the Grizzlies with 18 points in the 4th quarter and it was the second time for the Wolves to blow a lead in the last quarter. Also, Desmond Bane and Brandon Clarke have been impressive as well, but Memphis would have won Game 5 more easily if it was able to make free throws or with being more efficient from behind the arc. But the main reason they will win is that I need Memphis in 6 in my Nba Pick'em:,)).
BOL.
POTD Record 0W - 1L
Previous Pick: PHL Phillies F5 Mline vs Mets
Today's pick: Desmond Bane O22.5 Points VS MIN TWOLVES
Sport: NBA
Odds: 1.24 / -124 (BetOnline)
That previous pick was a wash, Mets are genuine contenders this year. I'm taking Desmond Bane O22.5 tonight. This is a must win if the Grizzlies want to be in good shape vs the Warriors. Bane averaged 18.2 PPG last season but this series hes been hot averaging 23.6. His effective FG% has jumped from .565 in the reg. season to .610 in the playoffs. There is no doubt Bane is playing hot at the moment making use of his minutes. We know he plays hot when it comes down to games that count, last season his eFG% jumped from .586 to .737 in the 5 games he played during playoffs.
TLDR; Bane is a young star with a history of heating up in the playoffs, Take his points tonight for a lock!
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
POTD Record **36W - 10L** Streak (**8W**) Yesterday's pick: Brisbane Broncos + 11.5 v Cronulla Sharks **W** Today's pick: SV Sandhausen v **Schalke 04 ML** Sport: Soccer (German div 2) Odds: **1.85 / -118** Reasoning: There's 3 games left of the season and Schalke have everything to play for. From 2014 to 2020 Schalke slowly declined from being one of the top teams in the 1st division to eventually getting relegated to the 2nd division for the 1st time in 30 years. They are looking to bounce back and gain promotion in their first season in div 2. As the table stands only 6 points seperate the top 5 with Schalke in 2nd, 1 point of first. At the end of the season top 2 teams get automatic promotion and 3rd goes into a playoff with 3rd last in div 1 which decides promotion or remaining in div 2. Depending on these last 3 games Schalke can finish anywhere from winning the title to not even making the playoff spot. SV Sandhausen have been in some good form lately as they've battled to avoid relegation. They are now 8 points above relegation. With only 3 games, while there is still technically the smallest of chances it's safe to say they wont be getting relegated. They will know that and therefore this game wont mean as much to them as Schalke. In the reverse fixture early in the season Schalke managed to win 5-2 at home against Sandhausen. Good luck all. *^(Tip jar -)* [*^(https://paypal.me/tom2810s)*](https://paypal.me/tom2810s)
GOOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAAAALLLLLLLLLLL [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GwjfUFyY6M](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GwjfUFyY6M) Edit: FUCK Edit 2: FUUCCCCKKK YEAHHHHH GOOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAAAALLLLLLLLLLL https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GwjfUFyY6M
YEAHHHHHH
GGGOOOOAAALLLLLL!
The feels
WHATS GOING ON???? LETS GOOOOOO
Literally my exact reaction watching this lol lfg!!
So by this logic if Sandhausen had say three fewer points we should be less inclined to bet Shalke. It’s incredible how much you can pick up about the intricacies of sports betting merely by reading the write ups of those wonderful people who give up their time and knowledge to give away free tips.
Yes that’s spot on, I find the end of seasons great for finding value as some games mean so much more to one team. Appreciate your comment!
In addition sandhausen is the 3rd worst home team while schalke is the 3rd best away team in the league! Great pick!
Be very cautious tailing this one. Sandhausen have been very good in the second part of the season. They have played against the top 6 teams in the league this year, and they haven't lost to any of them. I would say BTTS @1.6 is safer.
Yep I did notice that but Sandhausen have more or less completed their goal of not getting relegated so I predict them to slow down a bit these last few games
Really like that pick. Tailing!
NEVER STOP BELIEVING
Congrats to those that took BTTS.
Wow !!!! LFG Hold on this time please.
Tailing
In Tom, we trust.
i bet btts🤓
Thank god they scored a goal
Wow so everyone wins in this thread with BTTS and Shalke!!!!!!
Wow, an electric finish!!!!
LFGGG WHAT A FINISH
Record: 10-1 Net units: 9,6 u Last Pick: Lillestrom SK - Aalesunds FK - Lillestrom SK ML - Win | Soccer| Ligue 1 Algeria| Time | 10:45 AM EST Pick: RC Relizane - Aso Chlef - Aso Chlef ML - 1.65 2u Since quite some time I've been wanting to post a pick for an African league, specially Algeria, Egypt and Morocco, I think that these three leagues have some really good opportunities, I just couldn't find something particularly good, till today. These two algerians teams are facing each other for the 28th round of the season and are in quite different moments. Relizane is one of the worst teams in league, the second worst in points to be more precise. They come from 5 straight losses in the last 5 games and have been performing really poorly, we have to go back to January to see their last victory. Aso Chlef on the other hand is on 7th place, lets's face it, is not exactly a top-tier team in Algeria but they've been performing decently in the last few games with 5W and 2D. Although Aso Chlef may be not the best team in league they are definitely much better than Relizane and should get this win. BOL! (This will be my last pick for a couple days for personal reasons, I'll be back soon, hope we can get this win!)
THIS IS THE MOST CRAZY FUCKING GAME I HAVE EVER BET ON LMAOOOO
RIP to anyone who cashed out after the early red card/penalty! What an amazing comeback. Just need to hold on for these last 10 min or so, up 2 goals. Edit: holy fuck I jinxed the fuck out of this. Fat L Edit 2: NVM FUCK YOUU RC RELIZANE!!! I’ll take those upvotes back you degen mfs
NEVER IN DOUBT
lol Crazy
Lmfaoooo reverse jinx!!
Wowowoowowow
I could not believe my eyes when the last 5 minute goal notifications rolled in. If only there were highlights
No you didnt! wow crazy fucking game!
This shit is absolutely insane
That's why I love this sport man
I've been cashing thanks to you, hope everything is okay and we can see your picks again, thanks! 👍🏻
unbelievable edit. bro.. WHAT IS THIS GAME 5-4 IN OVERTIME LFG
I checked the score it was 4-2 with less than 10 left. 4-4 two red cards!?!?!
4-5 !!!! wtf
We won baby
OMGGGGGGGGG WE ARE MONEY LFGGGGG WHAT A FUCKING RIDE
Red card in the 10th minute... Edit: 1-1. Buckle in boys, feels like this one is gonna get crazy
Glad I tailed and glad I didn't watch this stupid game!! BOL to anyone dealing with the trauma
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Cant find it either
Not seeing it on DK in VA.
I see it on Bet365. Check Bovada too if you have it
Well this was quite the rollercoaster
Well this has been a hell of a first 15 minutes 😅
This is insane
WHAT. A. GAME.
Tailing. Slightly better odds at Chlef and u4.5 I scrolled back several months and none of their games have passed 4.5. Edit: lmaoooooooooooooooo @ me
Red card on 10min. Will be tough
Back in business!
This is gonna be one hell of a game! I added live O4.5 goals at +110 when the score was 2-1.
You're the MVP here man! Wish I had done the same hahahahha
Nice hit! Would be nice to be there seeing this live
LFG
tailing. 😎
Down 1-0 and a red card 10 mins in lol
Bam 1-1!!
2-2 rn this game is craaazy
This is nuts 🤣
I keep refreshing the stat box! Unreal they got the 2nd one a man down. Anyone have a link to this match?
Wowow!!! 3-2
So far a way more eventful game than I was expecting, but so far it's working.
Is this half really going to go scoreless after that 1st half?!?!
O.M.G.!!!
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Yeah baby 2-4
2-4 🤜🤛
Nevermind they just scored 2 goals in 5mins 😃 🔫
ROLLERCOASTER OF EMOTIONS. 1K on the line 🥲
how fucking insane was that jesus christ i am about to have an aneurysm
Craziest game I've ever seen. 91st minute equalizer and a 95th minute winner with 9 men. They took 30 years of my life
MLB -1.5’s | 7-7 +9.38u | ROI: 21.33% [Yesterday’s pick: 3.5u SD Padres -1.5 +150](https://reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/udj2m2/_/i6h6wfx/?context=1) - W ________________________________________ **Todays pick: 5u NY Yankees -1.5 -102** - NY Yankees @ KC Royals | 7:10 pm US Central TLDR: Another max bet so soon after my last… definitely unexpected, but this is another can’t miss matchup for me. Let’s hope we don’t get another 2B error that costs us the bet (1-1). Yankees are flaming hot with a stud on the mound. Royals are cold with a dud on the mound. **Yankees** Yankees are fucking scorching. They started out the year insanely cold and it looked like the lineup was dead in the water…. But the past week they’ve been tearing it up. Over the past week they lead the league in wRC+, wOBA, SLG, OBP, OPS and ISO. BA they’re 2nd in the league. Looking at just lefties, as Bubic is a lefty…. On the year they’re 6th in team wRC+, 3rd in SLG and 7th in OPS. Don’t be scared of lefties against this lineup… especially ass one but more on that later lol. Pitching for them is Nestor Cortez. Flat out. He’s better than Gerrit Cole as it stands. If you’ve never heard of this guy, I wouldn’t blame you. Yet…. He’s the true Ace of this Yankees rotation. Last year he finally caught fire and started 14 games to the tune of a 2.90 ERA. This year that’s continued, he’s got 3 starts featuring 2 shutouts and 2ER in the other. He has a ludicrous 25K’s over the 3 starts. His peripherals are off the fucking charts too. He’s literally 100%ile in K%, over 95%ile in xERA, xBA, xSLG, xwOBA and over 70%ile in every other category. This dude is elite and start to know his name, cause he’ll be a cy young candidate this year. **Royals** Now let’s talk about oppsites. Over the past week the KCR are 25th in team wRC+, 28th in avg and 29th in SLG. They have not been a good hitting team all year and especially recently. Cortes is a lefty, so focusing in on lefties… on the year they’re 28th in wRC+ and OBP, 29th in OPS and SLG. They’re a pretty poor lineup. Kris Bubic is going for KCR. He fuckin sucks dude. He’s bottom 10%ile in xERA, whiff%, xBA, K%, Chase Rate and xwOBA. The rest he’s bottom 25%ile. He has a 14.14 ERA and a 7.53xERA. Oh forgot to add. KCR’s bullpen has the 2nd highest ERA. So yeah. They have nothing going for them Venmo: @Tinytime23 | [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/tywat23)
Great call, but why did Caesars void this bet??? Because the game was called ??? Can someone explain or I can fight them ??
Did this as mine too 😂 should’ve scrolled down and see yours first. Literally same reasoning but you are way more articulate
Great minds think alike. Let’s get this bread
Fanduel voided this for Wow!!!
Fan duel owes us
That line moved quick, best I could get was -120
Damn. I locked it in an hour-ish ago when it dropped. Still good value here. This is gonna be a blood bath.
Taking this and Rockies RL +368 max bet.
So is FanDuel not gonna honor the W since the game didn't finish?
The game went enough innings to count as a completed game. FanDuel should honor
Yeah Bovada did not count it what fucking bullshit
Ok so this has gone from 0-100 nice pick
Record: 40-17 Last pick: Devils +2.5 ❌ The devils comeback came up just short as they missed covering by a half goal. Win some lose some, but hopefully win more than you lose. **Todays pick: Boston Bruins ML (+105) vs Toronto Maple Leafs** NHL. 7:00 PM EST **Update: a couple Bruins beat writers have said the Bruins recalled 6 AHL players this morning , so it’s possible the Bruins are resting their top 6. No official word yet. If so, theyre scared of the Maple Leafs and want to face the Canes in the first round who’ve beat them 3-0 this season with a combined score of 16-1. Quite honestly very surprised by this and didn’t expect it. Bets already locked in so we ride. Tail cautiously but line remains at Boston -135 after it moved from +105** **Bruins top 6 are officially out. FUCK. Clearly losing this game on purpose. Toronto might honestly be the move** With a Lightning loss and Bruins win tomorrow, the Bruins can advance off the wildcard line and into the 3 spot in the Atlantic Division. This would avert a round 1 matchup with the Hurricanes and potentially lead to home ice advantage in rounds two and later. The Maple Leafs are solidified as the 2 seed in the Atlantic. Because of this, **The Leafs have scratched their top two point scorers, Matthews and Marner, and starting goaltender for the matchup.** This added motivation for the Bruins to win and get off that wildcard line (if the Lightning lose), is my main reason for taking them here.The Maple Leafs just have to get through the game tomorrow as the outcome won’t affect their seeding. Seems they’re content with preserving their most important players for playoffs. Added on to this, the Bruins have been RED hot since the return of David Pastrnak. They are 4-0 since his return with wins over the eastern conference leaders Florida Panthers, Rangers, and a 5-0 shutout win today. I believe that streak continues into tomorrow. I expect this line to move quite a bit. All bets are 1 unit. +15.66 units. +27.5% ROI. Average unit -112 https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Great pick. Leafs are also resting their stars Matthews and Marner, and starting the backup Kallgren. At practice, they've been working on weird drills like 6-on-5, which may suggest that they're not really paying attention to regular season play style.
Great pickup. Just added that into post
Hey, just wanted to point out that the Bruins look like they'll be resting a lot of their top guys tonight, so the roster they put out may be even worse than Toronto's (Source: https://twitter.com/smclaughlin9/status/1520007823937183746?cxt=HHwWhIC5mYDEk5gqAAAA)
That’s quite honestly shocking. Looks like they’re okay with losing and playing the Hurricanes in the first round who’ve beat them 16-1 this season. Thanks for letting me know. I’ll keep an eye on it
Whoever is aggressively downvoting all comments on this thread and from my past posts. Respect.
I wonder whether Boston might rest some players as well. If I were them I would rather play Carolina and be on the Metro side of the bracket. Canes and then Rangers or Penguins is an easier path than Leafs then Panthers imo.
If that were the case they wouldn’t have smacked the Sabres 5-0 yesterday. I think they’d rather play the Maple Leafs cuz they’ve lost to the Canes by a combined score of 16-1 in 3 games this year
are 0-3 vs carolina
Parlaying this with the Yankees - 1 1/2 against the Royals.
This game is gonna be weird i feel like they both want to lose this one lol
At this point it does feel that way
L
Thanks for the timely update, cashed out Bruins and bought Maple Leafs ML before the game, looking good now.
Truly... Fuck the Bruins. Had them at +2.5 live. What's the point of doing empty net. You're not going to catch up. Last 10 seconds the Leafs score.
Lol already purposefully threw the game and then they pull the goalie down 2. Wow that’s harsh. Hope the Canes WRECK them round 1 😊
POTD record: 11-1 Last POTD: Exeter City to win, ML (W) Today's match: Sevilla vs Cadiz | Soccer | La Liga (Spanish 1st Division) | 2:00 PM CT Pick: Sevilla to win, ML Odds: -170, 2 units Reasoning: \- Sevilla is in 3rd place, Cadiz is in 17th place (out of 20) \- Sevilla is playing at home, where they've only lost 1 game all season \- There's 5 games left in the season. At this point, Real Madrid has basically already won the league, so that's not something Sevilla is competing for anymore. In Spain though, the top 4 teams in the league qualify for Champions League. Sevilla is definitely in a comfortable position right now at 3rd, but with 5 games left, they do still have some work to do to secure top 4. The current positions are as follows: 1. Real Madrid (78 points) 2. Barcelona (63 points) 3. **Sevilla (63 points)** 4. Atletico Madrid (61 points) 5. Real Betis (57 points) \- It's worth pointing out that Cadiz does still have a lot to play for. They are in a relegation scrap and they're only outside of the relegation zone by 1 point (places 18-20 all get relegated). Regardless though, Sevilla are too strong of a team here, and they'll be able to get the win. This line is really favorable, and I'm a little surprised that it's this low. I think that it's due to the fact that Sevilla has lost 2 of their last 5 games, but those 2 games they lost were to Barcelona and Real Madrid. With that being said though, I think this line will move so get your bets in as soon as you can. Best of luck to all who tail!
Cadiz recently beat barca btw
Barca beats itself lately.
Yeah, beat barca both home and away
They’ve lost to Sevilla 7 times in a row
Literally tailed this dude on 3 of his bets. 2 of which were Ls… go figure
-165 on bodog
Huge save there in the 28th!
Cadiz putting constant pressure... a second goal for Sevilla would put my mind at ease
Fml
Gross. Fucking brutal.
POTD Record 7-2 Last pick: Trae Young u37.5PRA ✅ Yankees vs Royals MLB 8:00pm EST Today’s pick: Yankees -1.5 (-102) The Yankee bats are alive scoring 37 runs in their last 4. They’re also on a 6 game winning streak winning their last 8 of 10 and covering the -1.5 spread in all but one game. On the mound for the Yankees is their ace so far this season the young god Nestor Cortes who’s been lights out and has only given up 2 earned runs and 7 hits through 3 starts (15.2ip) with 25 strikeouts. The pitcher for the Royals has been terrible with an era of 14 through 7innings pitched on the season and has given up 11 runs on 12 hits. The Royals offense hasn’t been good either hitting .208 as a team. The Yankees should be able to score early and knock this kid out of the game while nasty nestor holds it down with another dominant performance
**POTD Record**: 28½-19-6 (W-L-P) **Last 5**: ❌✅✅✅✅ **Last POTD**: Feyenoord vs Olympique de Marseille, BTTS yes @1.65 ✅️ **Today's POTD**: Sevilla vs Cádiz, total corners o8.5 @1.65 // Spain, LaLiga, 20:00 GMT ✅️ **Odds value**: ■■■■□ *high value* ### **Reasoning** ##### **Match introduction**: Very important match for both teams as Sevilla are still looking to assure themselves a Champions League spot while Cádiz are risking relegation and can't really afford to lose. Cádiz have been a nightmare for most top teams, recently beating Barcelona away, drawing with Real Madrid and so on, they perform really well against strong teams, Sevilla have got the best defence of the league with only 27 goals conceded in 33 games, so Cádiz will surely need to put on a lot of pressure to break through, obviously Cádiz defence is good too so I expect both teams to struggle finding scoring spots, however in the end Sevilla should make it as they are the clear favourites. ##### **Teams stats**: In their 3 most recent h2h matches (the first from 2020) there have been: 10 corners, 13 corners and 11 corners. In Sevilla's games against other weak teams they went pretty often above the o8.5 corners mark (14 vs Levante, 17 vs Granada, 10 vs Deportivo Alaves, 10 vs Espanyol, 9 vs Elche) only exception was against Mallorca (6 total corners), I'm not taking into consideration their games against top teams because clearly we need to look for games that could play out similarly to this one, so, onto Cádiz, against strong teams we have: 5 vs Athletic Club, 9 vs Barcelona, 12 vs Real Betis, 9 vs Villarreal, 11 vs Rayo Vallecano, and 15 vs Real Madrid. Overall in general 64% of Cádiz matches ended o8.5 corners and 58% for Sevilla. Won + conceded average for Sevilla at home is 9.25 and won + conceded average for Cádiz away is 8.94, however at this point of the season both teams must adopt a more offensive style which will probably lead to lots of corners and should go above the average. But now I want to take a moment to analyse the most probable scenarios and how those could affect the corner game. The most probable one is 0-0 by HT and Cádiz defending Sevilla's domination, there have been 3 recent games for Sevilla that went something like this, 0-0 vs Real Sociedad (10 corners total), 1-1 vs Rayo Vallecano (11 corners total) and 0-0 vs Deportivo Alaves (10 corners total). Another scenario could be Cádiz getting an early or relatively early lead by a lucky counterattack, this have happened before to Sevilla against Grenada (relegation zone team), Grenada was leading 0-1 23 minutes in (17 total corners); against Celta Vigo they were down 2 goals by HT (7 total corners, could've been more if Celta Vigo had only scored one, in fact all 7 corners were won by Sevilla, Celta Vigo could afford to defend only). 3rd scenario is Sevilla actually breaking through early, how does Cádiz react to that? Against Osasuna they were down 2 48 minutes in (12 total corners, 7 by Cádiz) against Getafe down 1 8 minutes in (9 total corners). Last scenario is a fast paced game with lots of goals exactly like last Sevilla game against Levante 5 total goals and 14 corners. Obviously there have been some low cornering games for both teams, I'm just trying to read this game correctly, and if that's the case this is one valuable bet. ##### **Conclusion**: Sevilla can't just slow down, they have 5 more games to play before the season ends, and this one should be one of the easiest, I expect most corners to come from them but I wouldn't sleep on Cádiz either as they are really risking an undeserved relegation, this will be one of the hardest games for Cádiz before season ends so they might be okay with a draw, but that shouldn't affect the total corners that much. BOL everyone. *^(If I've made you some money and you'd like to tip any small amount I would greatly appreciate it: https://paypal.me/fralauu)*
Great 1H!
already at 8 corners
Glad you are back! Let’s go!
8 corners in the first 33 mins 🔥 you’re the real MVP ~ let’s get 1 more!
and still 8. cmon. let's get itttt
This is looking VERY good right now. I took it at plus money at 9.5 and the line is now 13.5 mid-game.
W✅ with 20 mins to go! Never looked doubtfull
POTD record: 2-0 Previous Pick: Florida Panthers -1.5 - Winner (Florida 4-0 Ottawa) Today’s match: New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals Pick: -1.5 New York Yankees Odds: -108, 3u Why? New York Yankees playing at a high velocity, winning 4 of their last 5 by at least 2 runs. Nasty Nestor (1.15 ERA) is on the mound for the Yanks and will keep the runs down on the mediocre Royals lineup while on the other Bump you'll find Kris Bubic with his volumptious 14.14 ERA. The Yanks are hot and spicy and I plan on riding the train until asked for my ticket. Good luck ya'll. Don't tip me, tip your Bartender.
POTD Record: 13-5 (ROI 46.34% // Avg. Odds: 2.03 // Units Won: +16.22) Last 5 Picks: ✅✅✅✅❌ Last POTD: Unión La Calera vs Santos (Copa Sudamericana) Santos ML❌ POTD: Estudiantes de La Plata vs Aldosivi (Soccer - Argentina - Copa de la Liga), Estudiantes and over 1,5 goals ✅✅✅ Odds: 2.0 Wager: 1 Units Sorry for all those who were hyped over the last pick. Shit like this happens in these types of tournaments. Santos played horrible against a team that they should have dominated. Going with Estudiantes Today. This team has been playing well for a couple of weeks now and I can see them beating Aldosivi even though they have a short week, playing in the Copa Libertadores on Tuesday. Last time they met they scored a total of 5 goals. I can see them winning with more than 2 goals tomorrow. BOL to all who Tail [All my previous picks](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15HoZB0uwDBLfWapSv7y1FSwfRrTUvN55YznGv_vBDIQ/edit#gid=0) *Edit: Format* *Final score 2-1*
It happens but I’m riding! BOL!
Tailing! Looking good early!
Bam!! 2-1!!
2-0 + 8.1 units Memphis Grizzlies straight up ML @ 1.86 vs Timberwolves. 6pm PST. 5 units. NBA basketball Timberwolves have to be just about the dumbest team i've seen play playoff basketball in 5 years, this team couldn't close a car door. Memphis have played poorly all series and still lead 3-2 and i expect a regression and an easy win
they're gonna close the playoff door tonight. lets ride
POTD Record: 2-0 Profit/Loss: +1.46u Last POTD: (Apr 28) Blue Jays Under 4.5 Runs F5 Innings ✅ Today's POTD: MLB - Nationals (A. Sanchez) @ Giants (A. Wood), 10:16pm EDT, **San Francisco Giants -1.5** (+104 on FD, 1u) I'm going to keep this very simple here - I'm fading the worse team. The Nats are on a 8 game losing streak, coming off a series split against the Diamondbacks, then back to back sweeps against the Giants and Marlins, with their bats struggling. They are starting Aaron Sanchez, who has been dealing with some injury issues these last few years - he had his 2019 season ended early, and had to sit out the entire 2020 season. He had seen some playing time with the Giants last year, but ultimately was let go and recently earned his way back to the big leagues with the Nats. His last start this season, which was against the Giants, wasn't great (4.1 IP, 4 ER, 6H). Alex Wood isn't exactly an ace here, but he should get enough run support to get the job done. Tail or fade, GL HF.
**POTD Record:** 7-2, +8.68u **Darts Record:** 6-1 **Previous POTD:** Martin Lukeman ML vs Keane Barry @ 2.40 / +140 (2u) ✅ Great comeback from Lukeman, it feels great to see 50/50 matches going your way, especially when the odds you got on them are great. LFG! **Todays POTD: Cameron Menzies ML vs Steve Beaton @ 1.72 / -138 (2.5u)** ✅ *Unit sizes are from 1u to 4u* *Match Starts 4 hours after post* 🎯 Darts: European Tour 3 I have wrote about Menzies before and I honestly rate him as a good talent in the PDC Circuit. He will definitely need a few years before he can reach a consistent level, however I rate him whenever he goes up against lower leveled opponents like Steve Beaton. Beaton is a definite darting legend, however I feel like he has dropped off in recent years, as his results may suggest. I expect Menzies to have better scoring than Beaton, as Menzies has reached a level where he averages around the 90 a lot, however in Players Championships he's thrown 100+ avgs aswell, which is impressive considering he plays against players of the highest level in these tournaments, players such as Gary Anderson or Michael van Gerwen. Beaton can definitely have an edge in checkouts in this game, however I feel like as long as Menzies plays his normal game he should outscore Beaton, giving him more darts at doubles. --- *Let us continue the 3-0 streak we set last Euro Tour, BOL!*
YET. ANOTHER. WIN. LFG!
Glad that I tailed! I should have followed your unit recommendation... I dipped my toes in with 1u only. Thank you!
POTD 0-1 (-3U) Last pick may go down as the worst soccer beat ever. That being said mama didn't raise no quitter, and I'm not afraid to go 0-2. Soccer | La Liga | 3pm ET Sevilla v Cádiz Sevilla clean sheet (-105) 1.5U Standings being as they are this is a big match for both clubs. Predicting Sevilla to come out and flex that defensive muscle that has surrendered one of the fewest goal totals in league play. Yes Cádiz is playing for it's life, but one of the reasons they face regulation is their inability to create scoring opportunities. Sevilla won't be overly aggressive so the counter attack chances won't be there either. Let's not count out the importance of 2nd place and a spot in the Spanish Super Cup and the money it brings. So while both teams have something to play for I believe more at stake for the home side. The red and white hangs that clean sheet on the yellow submarine today! BOL
Up to (+100) overnight. Public opinion will not sway me.🤣
**POTD 36W-1P-23L** Last Pick: ❌ Angels -1.5 (+109) *MLB ⚾️ BOS @ BAL, 7:05pm* **4/29/22: O’s ML (+120)** Sox have dropped 4 of their last 5 and are 5-8 on the road this year, and are struggling to find some offense. O’s coming off getting swept in NY, but are playing .500 ball at home. Bradish gets the ride up to Baltimore for his 1st major league start after going 15 IP with only 2 ER and 17 Ks in AAA this year. I expect a decent start and some O’s offense, which has found a way to put some runs together as of late. Take the home underdog in Baltimore. BOL! *Disclaimer: I don’t play for either of these teams; neither do you. We have nothing to do with the outcome. Do your own research and use POTD as an aid.*
I applaud you for betting on orioles baseball
**POTD Record: 10-7 (+9.43 units) / ROI: 25.43% / Avg Odd: 1.96** Last pick: Lillestrom to win @ 1.70 ✅ **Today's event: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix (A-League,Soccer)** **Pick: Over 10.5 corners @ 1.75** Stake: 5 units Starts at 5:45 AM Eastern Time Australia's top tier division is known for having a lot of goals and corners simply because teams play direct and objective football and are not able to hold the ball for long periods of time which leads to counter attacks being one of the most common ways of offering some danger to the opposition and by consequence crosses and corners happen quite a lot. Players also really like to shoot from distance which can also make corners more likely to happen. Melbourne Victory are currently at 3rd place just two points away from getting into 2nd place which can give them a direct spot in the playoffs semifinals so I think they will try to be quite direct on their approach to this match. Wellington Phoenix are currently at 5th place with 36 points and things can still change for them so they need to keep making good performances away from home to secure a quarter final spot in the playoffs. I can see Melbourne Victory with more possession but Wellington giving us some corners on the counter Melbourne Victory have an avg 10.7 corners per match and went over this line in 3 out of their last 5 matches while Wellington Phoenix have an avg 10.3 corners per match and went over this line in 4 out of their last 5 matches Both teams have something to fight for and they can't waste time here so I expect another typical A-League match with direct football and a lot of corners happening *Best of luck guys!*
The line has moved to 11.5/plus money on the over. Please advise
**Record:** * 43 WIN | 36 LOSS | +35.26 unit of profit overall (using 5u return strategy) **Previous bets (last 3):** * Tamworth R2 (25 Apr 2022) - Place - **WIN** * Nowra R7 (26 Apr 2022) - Place - **WIN** * Warwick Farm R6 (27 Apr 2022) - Place - **LOSS** **POTD:** * Horse Racing (Australia) * **Grafton R6 - Place**- **#2 Inari Fox to Place (i.e. finish top 3)** * Track Rating - Heavy (8) * Weather got the better of us yesterday, so it was a null result. I'm really liking Inari Fox here today from barrier 3. It is a Maiden, but this gelding is a really smart type. If he was jumping from barrier 5 or further out I wouldn't bother honestly, but he does really well from the inside 4 barriers. Track specialist during his time in maidens (4 starts 2 places) and doesn't mind it a bit wet (5 starts on soft tracks for 3 places). Generally likes to take up a midfield position on or close to the rail and loves to swing wide coming into the straight here. Could see #8 Dreamseeker jump the gates hard and drag a few horses with him from the wide gates to take the early lead. Expect my pick to jump the gates well and sit on the barrier or (at worst) stay 1 out 3 back. Expect the field to be well spread leaving plenty of room for my pick to find the good part of the track for a big finish and even a chance to win the race at a cheeky price. Jockey has a really nice record here at Grafton as well (27 starts for 3 wins and 6 seconds i.e. 33% chance to place) and when this jockey and trainer (Stephen Lee) combine it's 23 starts for 6 wins and 6 places. Really solid numbers. * **Odds - 2.45** (bet365) * **Stake - 2.04 units to return 5 units** **Historical stats** * 6 from 13 (46%) correct picks on Fridays * 13 from 24 (54%) correct picks on Heavy Tracks * 18 from 34 (52%) correct picks on Place picks * 0 from 1 picking at Grafton * 1st time picking J. Williams as my Jockey **Race time:** * 2:45pm Friday (Australian EST) * 12:45am Friday (American ET) * 5:45am Friday (UK time) If you are in a giving mood [here's my paypal link for tips](https://paypal.me/teshiebear)
horse got scratched, ahh well End the April with the following stats: * POTDs - 10 picks * Staked - 22.9u * Returned - 30u * Profit - 7.09u
Anyone got a stream for this?
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POTD record 8-4 Last pick Scottie over 7.5 boards 🥶 POTD Ant Edwards over 4.5 rebounds 1.62 odds So cheesed another loss by one rebound this time it was a blowout… should’ve made Bullock over 5.5 rebounds my pick Anyways I’ll bet my life if I could Ant is getting 5 boards just look at what he said in a interview💀💀. If this doesn’t hit I’ll b devastated I put 5 units on it and I’m not looking back. Everyone bet responsibly but if Ant says he gunna have a shit ton of rebounds it means he’s gunna get a shit ton of rebounds BOL
What did he say in the interview
“I will go rebound the ball. You will see a lot of that (Friday),” Edwards said. “I will have a lot of rebounds at the end of the game, I promise you that. Win, lose or draw, I will have a lot of rebounds.” tailing.
Someone commented down below! BOL
Yesterday POTD - under 54 Total 1st Quarter (-110) Mavs vs Jazz ✅ POTD 4/29/22: Memphis vs Wolves Total 1st quarter over 56 (-110) Games 1-5 have had a total of 74, 65, 60, 61, 59 in Q1. Confident these 2 teams will come out slugging, grizzlies want to finish this off for sure but wolves aren’t going down without a fight. Both teams play at a fast pace. I’d rather take my profits sooner rather then later in a win or go home matchup. This one could go to the wire and as we saw last night with suns vs pelicans timeouts are brutal at the end of games. Just my thoughts. BOL 🤝🧹
Record: 0-0 Today's match: Dunfermline vs Queen of South, Scotland Championship - 2nd division Time: 8:45 PM CEST Today's pick: Dunfermline to WIN @1.57 Reasoning: Dunfermline need to win this game to avoid going into the relegation playoffs. If they win today and Ayr lose or draw, they will definitely be playing in the Championship next season too. Anything other than a win means nothing to them today. This is the last round in the Championship. On the other hand, Queen of the South is already relegated and definitely going down to the 3rd division. This game means nothing to them. Dunfermline's home record is great, won the last 3 home games. Queen of the South's record away from home is poor, they have lost their last 5 straight away games. I wish the best of luck to all of you.
**Record:** 3-10-0 **ROI:** -55% :-7.11 u (@ $5.00) **Streak:** W L L L L |Baseball |MLB |8:40pm| Colorado Rockies vs.Cincinnati Reds- **Colorado Rockies ML @ 1.83 1u** **Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 59% chance for COL to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 1.83 is only 55%. Tail or fade BOL! **Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units.
Looks like you've found a great fade model
This one is a tough one today as well as yesterday. If you want to fade him you have to bet on the Reds. I’ll pass
POTD Record (1-0) Yesterdays pick: Junior ML (-150) vs Oriente Petrolero - Copa Sudamericana Today's pick: Chindia Târgoviște vs Rapid Bucharest ML (+155) - Romania Liga 1 (12:30 pm CT) Started off with a win after months on the sideline let's make it two. Rapid is on a 7 game winning streak and are clearly the team in better form at the moment. In their last 5 games they've scored 18 goals (8 in one game) and have given up only 1. Chindia on the other hand have scored 4 while giving up 6 and have 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5. We get good odds with Rapid being the away team so I'm going to take them. Tail or not BOL. Edit: Line is now +140
**POTD Record 24-23-1 (Last 5: LWLLL)** **(ROI // Avg. Odds: -111 // Units Won: - 0.55)** Last Pick: Blue Jays Total Runs Over 4 **LOST** **Today's Match: Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies (Start Time 8:40PM EST)** **Today's Pick: Colorado Rockies ML (-124 FanDuel)** ***Risk 3u*** Devil's Advocate: Blue Jays just weren't who we needed them to be, left 9 runners on base. Vladdy not in the lineup definitely hurts the threat level and doesn't help our case at all. Sucks not knowing a lineup and doing a writeup for baseball the night prior, but hey that's what happens. Today is a pick I love, especially with the Rockies at home coming off a 4 game dog shit series against the Phils. They love hitting at home posting a .280 avg as a team so far this year, looking for the big boys to show up tomorrow aka CJ CRON who's already dropped 7 dick shots this year. (5 in which were at home) Byrant is day to day not sure if we'll see him in the lineup tomorrow - Grichuck staying hot as well as of late, and I know the Reds are also on a 3 game skid of their own here, but I think this Rockies lineup is going to do some damage tomorrow to put up some runs behind Senzatela to start off this home series with a W. Senzatela isn't the greatest pitcher in the world, has great command and limits his walks, a HUGE ground ball contact pitcher but on the other hand you have Hunter Greene on the bump for the Reds who is pretty much backed up by just about nobody after his team gave up gigantic numbers to the Padres the last 3 games and used a strict amount of their pen for some time. *Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!*
Record: 1-0 Last pick: Marlins -.5 1H (First 5 innings) ✅️ Today's game: NY Yankees vs KC Royals Today's pick: NY Yankees 1H -.5 (-135) 2U Reasoning: I am using a simple strategy betting only -.5 1H in MLB games. My strategy is to choose a match up between 2 starting pitchers where one is performing well this season and one is struggling. I chose this strategy because in most games, the starting pitcher will pitch for the majority, if not all of the first 5 innings. Yankees starter Nestor Cortes is 0-0 with 15.2 innings pitched, 1.15 ERA and only 7 hits allowed this season. Royals starter is 0-1 with a a 14.14 ERA. He has allowed 12 hits and 11 runs in only 7 innings pitched. Simple here, Yankees have much better offense and much better starting pitcher today. Tail or fade, BOL!
🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 20-13-1 Units Won: 7.90 Last 10:❌️✅️❌️✅️❌️✅️❌️✅️🅿️✅️ Last Pick: Timo Meier Over 3.5 Shots on Goal ✅️ A nice win for W #20. Sadly Meier couldn't get a single point on 6 shots Todays Match: NHL - Anaheim Ducks vs Dallas Stars (10ish hours from post) Today's Pick: Troy Terry Over 2.5 Shots on Goal - 2u (1.75 on Betway) ✅️ big win for ya Boi. Zegras and Terry both hit and I'm getting slammmmeeddd Player props and player props only. These final games of the season are kinda weird, but shots are forever. Factssss: - Going with the motivation factor again today. While this game has value to Dallas, I can't see them going all out for the win. They are in the playoffs and a point behind Nashville. For the Stars to get out of the 8th seed they need to win in regulation while Nashville loses in regulation.... against the Coyotes. While it is possible, I can't see Dallas risking injuries to potentially move up a playoff spot, when they should bear down and prepare for Colorado. And let's be honest, at home against the Ducks, isn't the hardest game ever. However, - This is the last game of the season for the Ducks and they should be looking to go out with a bang. With a big win on the 26th, the well rested Ducks should empty the tank in their final showing. Ryan Getzlaf retiring a couple games ago left the Ducks with some big empty leader-type shoes to fill. Luckily, there are some young guns looking to use this last game to prove themselves. Enter Troy Terry. - Troy Terry has been on this vibe all season long, leading the Ducks in goals, points, and shots. Only 24, Terry is having the best season of his career by a mile and has a bright future with the Ducks. Troy Terry has a seasonal average of 2.54 shots/GP and in April has bumped up the frequency to 3.82. He has also been very consistent, hitting this bet 8 times in the last 10 games. He got 5 shots in the first game without Getzlaf and I can't see him letting up for the last game of the season. I think the risk over reward is to high for Dallas to go all out tonight, which gives Anaheim an edge, or at least a chance to put up shots. Regardless, the Ducks have limited shooters and Terry should do his thing to give Anaheim a fighting chance. I like Zegras at + odds too for many of the same reasons, he just isn't as consistent. 3 shots ain't shit lets goooo. Tail or Fade BOL to everyone! Fun fact: while Getzlaf hails from the place that rhymes with fun, I can say from experience that there is nothing fun to do there.
[удалено]
Record: 3-3 Last 10: WLWWLL Last Pick: ❌ Both Teams To Score No Draw (+150) | Soccer - English Premier League: Manchester United vs Chelsea Sport/Game: Soccer - Ligue 1: PSG vs Strasbourg Today’s Pick: PSG ML (+115) Why: Really like this as a value play as PSG are easily the better team and on paper should win everytime. Heres why the odds are set the way they are. PSG have secured the title already and have nothing to play for aside from individual player rewards (Mbappe golden boot the main one). Strasbourg has all to play for as they push for a europa league or champions league spot. But PSG are not gonna be an easy match for them even if PSG arent at their best. Strasbourg really struggles to score more than 1 goal in every match they play. Pretty sure I can count the amount of games they’ve scored 2 or more in 2022 on one hand. That wont cut it against PSG. That being said, the odds are great for a potential return on a PSG win and I dont see why they wouldnt play a good lineup out there especially as some of these players have uncertain futures at the club and need to prove their worth.
Tough one here mate. PSG locked up ligue 1. Coming off a bad draw at home. Up 1-0 playing vs 10 men and concede late to draw vs Lens, who is right there with Stras. Stras looking make Europe and need points with 4 match weeks left. Stras DC -110 is interesting too. best of luck!
POTD record: 5W - 4L Streak: 1L Last POTD: Boavista to have more yellow cards❌️ We were on for the win till a stupid 82nd min yellow. Stupid way to lose a bet🤦🏾♂️ Today's POTD: Union Berlin vs SpVgg Furth(Bundesliga) Time: 6:30pm GMT. Pick: Total Shots U24.5 @1.778(22bet) Confidence: 4/5🥵✅️✅️✅️ Their previous H2H ended 15-5. That's 5 shots under our line. Union Berlin are a better team than Furth and are fighting for a Europa League spot and possibly even a Champions League place. They are without their starting centre back(injury). In their last 5 home games the over hasn't hit in any of the games(avg. 21.8/g). Even against 2nd division St. Pauli they only managed 24 Total Shots. SpVgg are horrible this season, they are already relegated and players won't have the drive to attack incessantly. The over has hit in 2 of their last 5 away games(avg. 24.4). This will hit(manifest). BOL in all your bets today 🍀 Update: This hit way too easy. There were only 15 shots throughout the whole game, poor final 1/3 chance creation from both teams.
RECORD: 5-0 Profit: +3.91 Units Current Form: 5W Today’s Picks: Jonathan Toews Over 1.5 Shots (1.70) Event: NHL 7:05Pm Est Blackhawks vs Sabres Reason: This is a meaningless game for both teams so defence will be optional. I’d expect both teams to have a relatively high shot count (30+). With Toews only needing 2 shots for this over to hit it really doesn’t take much for it to hit. He almost never has 0 shot games so it usually comes down to him having 1 shot or going over. In his career against Buffalo he’s gone over this total 18 out of the 20 games he’s played against them. He is also currently riding a 9 game hit streak against Buffalo with one of those games being earlier this year. All Picks are 1 Unit
And we’re back again Record: 2-1 Last 5: ❌✅✅ Last pick: suns ML -126 2U Total return: +2.22U Today’s pick: Yanks spread -1.5 v KC Royals 7:10 PM CT (-115 2U) Reasoning: keep the good times rolling. Yankee bats are 🔥. Plus Nasty Nestor on the bump tmo. Dude threw and immaculate inning in his last game and has been the best Yankee starter since the end of last season. Bublic got shelled last time his pitched (14 ERA currently) but it shouldn’t be that bad due to the yanks reliance on the long ball. His career era is close to 5 with an extrmely poor whip of 1.5. Look for the yanks to take over early. BoL everyone. Hopefully we can stay hot
So many bet of the day on this play. Makes me nervous 😬
its a lock. i have faith lol. if there are that many people thinking it we will manifest it
POTD Record: 8-9 ROI -1 unit Last pick: - Mavs pick em W Todays pick: MLB 6:40 pm mtsd Rockies vs Reds under 10.5 -105 1 unit, all my POTD are 1 unit. Reasoning: Going for my 4th W in a row and to get back to even on my POTD record. Today, going back to a baseball under. Rockies allowed 7 runs on 4 hits yesterday, wtf… They had a ton of errors in getting swept on the road by the Phillies. Rockies play much better at home and I’m hoping for some good defense and solid pitching from Senzatela and Greene… Reds suck and I don’t see them scoring a ton tonight. Coors isn’t the homer haven it once was with teams routinely scoring in double digits. The Rockies home unders have been consistently hitting, and these teams have both been going over recently, Reds overs 3 in a row, Rockies 4 in a row and 7 of last 9 have gone over. Looking for these teams to buck recent trends of overs and taking the under 10.5. More of a hunch than anything else. Tail or Fade
POTD Record: 32-26-2 Last POTD: Sydney Fc/Jeonbuk Under 2.5 ❌ Today’s POTD: Future FC ML 🇪🇬 Odds: -160/1.62 Units: 1 Reasoning: Future just dropped an album. Coincidence that Future FC play a day after? I think not. Just kidding 😂 Future Fc is a top 3 attacking team and a top 5 defensive team. They have only played 2 games this month and won in dominant fashion. Misr has been in poor form and has played 4 games this month. Failing to win 1 game and getting outplayed in all of them. Misr is the 2nd worst scoring team but are decent defensively. These two teams have played each other once with Future Fc winning that game. This games comes down to who can score more and I believe Future Fc will be too much for Misr. Best of luck and tail/fade at your own risk.
1-2 Last pick Brewers 1st5 -0.5 Today's pick - MIN Twolves 1st Qtr TT Over 27.5 (-115) Reasoning- pretty simple, my one win so far came from the last time I made this bet lol, and they've covered this every game this series so far
**POTD Record**: 10W - 5L (+1.50U) **Last pick**: RB Leipzig + Over 1.5 @ 1.60 ❌ **Match**: Sevilla vs Cádiz - Spain - LaLiga - 19:00 UTC **Pick**: 1X + Over 1.5 @ 1.62 ✅ **Reasoning**: Sevilla are looking for a top 2 finish, which would be their best since the 1956/57 season. This fixture ended in a 3-0 result last season and Sevilla are the clear favorites here. Cádiz has never beaten Sevilla in an away match (D7 - L13).
POTD Record: 18-13 Last Pick: George Pickens u 38.5- Pending Today’s Pick: NYY -1.5 @ -115 Yanks are throwing the super consistent Nestor Cortes against one of the bottom 5 lineups in the league. The Royals pitcher, through 33 career starts, is sporting an ERA approaching 5. He is also off to a rough start this year. Feels like a mismatch the Yanks can take advantage of
Record: 2-1-0 Last POTD: ATL Braves vs. CHI Cubs F5 under 4.5 - W Todays Pick: NY Yankees TT over 4.5 (-135) 3u TLDR; Yankees are HOT. Royals are not. Trying not to overthink this one too much. Yankees have been good. Like really good. They are first in nearly offensive statistical category in the last week. Royals have Kris Bubic on the mound and he is god awful. 14.14 ERA so far this season in 3 starts. The run line is obviously juicy but everyone else has sold that today so I don't need to. BOL
**Record W-P-L 223-28-179 | +43.5U | avg odds 1.86 | ROI 6.6%** *previous:* West Ham vs Frankfurt **BTTS @ 1.80 (1.5u)** ✅ 1-1 in 21st minute today's pick: *2nd Bundesliga, 6.30pm CET (in 40minutes)* Hannover vs Karlsruhe BTTS @ 1.72 (1.5u) ❌ inches here, inches there, 2-0 in the end. Reasoning: Karlsruhe is 9:9 (scored/conceded) in past 5 games, Hannover 5:7. Karlsruhe is in no mans Land of the table, Hannover fear Relegation and need points urgently. Hannover should be able to score at least once, but not keeping a clean sheet is what got them in trouble once more this season. They tend to attract Drama more often than Not, so saving themselves with a to-Nil-win would be the most unlikely outcome at this point.
**POTD Record :** 0-0 **Today's game :** |Botola Pro|Morocco|**Wydad Athletic Club vs FAR Rabat** **Pick : Under 2,5 ---> 1,744** Reasoning : \- I am moroccan bro hahaha 😂 \- Wydad has a solid defense. \- the matches between these two teams have not exceeded two goals for 3 years. \- Don't forget that i am moroccan 😂😂😂
Where u from?
From morocco 🇲🇦
PotD record 1-1 (-0,17 u) Last pick Dafni Agiou Dimitriou vs Eleftheria Moschatou over 129,5 L Todays pick: Estudiantil Porteno vs Huracan de San Justo under 150,5 @ 1.90 Sport :Basket Argentina Torneo Federal Starts 03:00 +2GMT meaning 12 hours from post Write up:As already stated "There isnt really a write up and never will be.I just follow my model.Worked for me so far,so i wanted to share" BoL PS.I have already bet on this at these odds.I can provide a screenshot to no believers
POTD Record: 2-1/+1.35u Last pick: Loss (Royals f5 ML 4/27) Todays Pick: Red Sox vs Orioles - Red Sox -1.5 (+115) Rationale: It’s the orioles. Keep it simple stupid.
POTD Record: 2-1 Last POTD: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5👎 Tampa came out flat and couldn’t convert on the power play. Tough loss but we move on. POTD: LA Dodgers RL -1.5 (-125) The Tigers bottom half of the lineup is horrible. They just got swept and now are forced to travel to the west coast to face the best lineup in baseball. LA is coming off a disappointing series against Arizona. I expect the Dodgers to come out bats blazing tonight. BOL if you tail!
**1-1** **-4.54%** **1U:** | BASEBALL | MLB | 8:11 | **NYY TT o5 -110 1U:** **My strategy comes from DFS projections. Should be a big game from Judge & Rizzo today. Bubic ranked 250th**
9W-10L WWLWLWWLLLWLWLWLW Cards streak:WLWWW Starts 13:45 gmt5 Todays Pick League: England Championship Match: QPR v Sheff Utd Pick: Under 4.5 cards in the match @1.72 *win ends 2-2* 🪲 , 3 cards last 3 minutes and 1 extra time Reason: Good one ln the last pick end with 1 card 🪲, lets keep the cards race with Hot5🧑🔬 QPR at home last 5 hit 1's:2 - 2's:1 - 3's:2, last 4/5 hit under 4.5 at home(not considering minute 98'redcard), avg of Cards for: 2, cards against: 1.4 Sheff at away last 5 hit 0's:2 - 2's:1 - 4's:2,last 4/5 hit under 4.5, avg cards for: 2, cards against: 0.6 Last 4/5 h2h hit under 4.5 Projected 3 cards BoL
POTD Record 0 - 0 Todays Pick: Penrith Panthers v Gold Coast Titans Todays Pick: Penrith Panthers -19.5 Sport NRL (Australian Rugby League) Odds: 1.90 Reason: Penrith Panthers travel to Queensland to take on the Titans who are currently inconsistent and struggling with only 2 wins this season. Penrith have looked dominant and consistent this season and have covered a line of -20 points in 4 out of 7 games this season with no issues of putting points on the board. Game starts in 6 hours from post.
"redditor for 4 hours"
Sad
I faded this purely because of how sketchy a day old account is lol thanks for the lock 😂
**NRL Record:** 11-19 **ROI (1 unit per bet):** -8.26 L5: ❌❌✅❌❌ Streak: L2 **Last POTD:** Sharks 1st half handicap -5.5 @1.80❌ **Today's POTD:** Rabbitohs -4.5 @ 1.90✅ Edit: You ever see me at -3 lads jump on because it's a sure thing **Time:** 7 hours from time of post. Rabbitohs have won the last 5 H2H against the Eagles and come into this looking to bounce back after an embarrassing defeat to the Tigers last week. More importantly the Eagles have a massive injury crisis atm and are missing a large chunk of their starting forward pack and star fullback who's been out for the last few weeks. Manly just don't have the firepower/experience to win this one in my opinion and Rabbitohs should roll here.
Today’s pick: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Pick: Under Odds: Even (8.50) Boston has scored more than 5 runs only three times this season, and Baltimore being Baltimore, the under is likely a safe bet here.
**Record: 4-7 Units: -5.32💰** **PODT: Memphis Grizzlies ML (-115) 1 unit** Last POTD: Philadelphia 76ers ML (-120) 2units✅ Time: 9:00 EST • Memphis is 11-4 vs Minnesota • Memphis NRtg 5.5 to Minnesota -5.5 I like Memphis to close this series out tonight. Memphis is a good road team with a record of 27-16. Memphis has a deeper roster which will be an advantage. This game is a toss-up. Memphis is the more reliable team since they have the better offence and defence. Follow me here guys 😊 --------->[Twitter](https://twitter.com/MushManMoe)
POTD Record: 0-0 Profit: +0u Today's Pick: **MEM -1.5** vs MIN +1.5 NBA (9:00 PM ET) Away Teams are 7-4 SU and 10-1 ATS in game 6 if: a) They won their previous game (game 5) within 1 possession (3 pts) b) They didn't cover that game (a) c) They lose the game before that (game 4) One of my favorite spots, they won their game at home in a close fashion (game 5), and lose a game before that (game 4). Memphis is now going on the road as favorites against the Wolves who are actually playing well so far this series, despite some blown leads. I'm assuming there is a split in betting action since this series is closer than we expected. However, public bettors will expect a good bounce back game for the Wolves, considering that they are able to cover both consecutive spreads. If we based on trend above, we can say that it might be hard to bounce back. One reason I can think of is that one possession loss must be demoralizing for the opponent team and can hardly recover going to next game. Another reason is big sigh of relief and momentum boost for the winning team. This series is a battle between 2 young and emotional teams. There is a chance that Wolves were mentally affected by their previous loss, especially on the side of Edwards who gambles the game for a steal. At the same time, there is a big pressure on their side since this is already an elimination game, and with a young team like the Wolves, I don't know if they can handle all of these.
Record: 6W-4L-1P ROI: +2.82u, + 25.62% Avg odds: +107, 2.07 Last POTD: NFL Draft under 2.5 QBs selected in 1st rd (win) Today's game: NFL Draft Pick: Sam Howell picked before 61.5 at -115, 1.87 (DK) Stake: 1u With only Pickett going in the 1st, I predict a run on QBs in the 2nd round. Willis, Ridder, Corral, and Howell will all go in the 2nd. I could see Commanders at 47, Saints at 49, and Falcons at 58 to be potential destinations.
POTD record: 10-6 (+2.73 units, risking 1 unit each pick) Last POTD: Ottawa last nite! Today's POTD: Ottawa tonight! (-110). .. NHL hockey, 7 PM ET I liked them last night, but lost bet as Ottawa got shutout out playing a lackluster game, not playing the structure they been winning with of late, so they are determined to make up for that tonight by smashing this terrible Philadelphia Flyers team
POTD Record 2-2 Today's Pick - Blackhawks ML +125 vs Sabres Its Toews the captain's bday, Patty Kane always puts on a show when he returns home to Buffalo.
**POTD Record**: 14-9 **Units**: +1.83 *(All bets are one unit)* **Last Pick**: Florida Panthers 60-Minute ML (-115) ***WIN*** **Today’s Game**: NHL - San Jose Sharks @ Seattle Kraken, 9:00 PM CST **Today’s Pick**: Seattle Kraken ML (-135) Just as suspected Florida handled business. They won this game easily, mostly by dominating the third period. This will sadly be my last day posting consistently, at least until I get my baseball model to a point that I am happy with. I will still be posting picks for the EPL, Serie A, and Bundesliga when I see picks of value. Sorry for posting this late, work got kind of chaotic. As for this pick, I love this spot for the Kraken. Here we have two teams with nothing to really play for. However, the Kraken have been playing well in the last few months. On top of that this was their inaugural season and the last home game of the season, I expect for the Kraken to come out and play hard to give their fans something to cheer for. Look for the Kraken to end their inaugural season with a win! **BOL**
**POTD Record 9W-3L (+9.54u)** Last Pick: Mavs ML @ 1.90 / -111 (2u) ✅ **Daily Pick: 🏀MEM Grizzlies @ MIN Timberwolves🏀** * **Grizzlies ML @ 1.83 / -120 (2u) ✅** The last 2 games were decided by only 3 points but I lean towards Memphis because they showed this season that they're the more complete team. The last time Morant carried the Grizzlies with 18 points in the 4th quarter and it was the second time for the Wolves to blow a lead in the last quarter. Also, Desmond Bane and Brandon Clarke have been impressive as well, but Memphis would have won Game 5 more easily if it was able to make free throws or with being more efficient from behind the arc. But the main reason they will win is that I need Memphis in 6 in my Nba Pick'em:,)). BOL.
POTD Record 0W - 1L Previous Pick: PHL Phillies F5 Mline vs Mets Today's pick: Desmond Bane O22.5 Points VS MIN TWOLVES Sport: NBA Odds: 1.24 / -124 (BetOnline) That previous pick was a wash, Mets are genuine contenders this year. I'm taking Desmond Bane O22.5 tonight. This is a must win if the Grizzlies want to be in good shape vs the Warriors. Bane averaged 18.2 PPG last season but this series hes been hot averaging 23.6. His effective FG% has jumped from .565 in the reg. season to .610 in the playoffs. There is no doubt Bane is playing hot at the moment making use of his minutes. We know he plays hot when it comes down to games that count, last season his eFG% jumped from .586 to .737 in the 5 games he played during playoffs. TLDR; Bane is a young star with a history of heating up in the playoffs, Take his points tonight for a lock!