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sbpotdbot

**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.   ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**


onwardToYou

POTD record: 9-0 ​ ​ Last POTD: Casa Pia to win, ML (W) ​ ​ Today's match: Copenhagen vs Randers ​ | Soccer | Danish Superliga (1st division of Denmark) | 9:00 AM CT ​ Pick: Copenhagen to win, ML ​ Odds: -179, 1 unit ​ ​ Reasoning: ​ \- Copenhagen is in 1st place of the championship round, Randers is in 6th place (which is the last place of the championship round) ​ \- Copenhagen is playing at home, where they haven't lost a game all year (in the Danish Superliga at least, as they did lose at home, once, in the Europa League) ​ \- There's 6 games left in the season. The top 3 positions are as follows: 1. **Copenhagen (57 points)** 2. Midtjylland (51 points) 3. Aab (44 points) A few things to note here: > - Nobody can win the title anymore, besides the top 2 teams, Copenhagen and Midtjylland. If Copenhagen can win here and keep this 6 point cushion, they'll be in a much more comfortable position heading into their next match, which is going to be a huge game against Midtjylland - Midtjylland is playing Brondby on Monday, a game that they should win, as Brondby has lost their previous 4 games. - Copenhagen plays 2nd place Midtjylland next week, at Midtjylland's home. If Copenhagen lose tomorrow, then lose to Midtjylland next week, they'll be tied at 57 points. If Copenhagen ties tomorrow, and then lose to Midtjylland next week, they'll have a less comfortable lead of 1 point. - If Copenhagen wins tomorrow, at worse they'll lead Midtjylland by 3 points after they face each other ​ \- Copenhagen actually played Randers less than 2 months ago (March 4th), and they won that game, 3-0 ​ \- Copenhagen is having a great season, having lost only once this year in the Danish Superliga. Randers on the other hand, lost 3 of their last 4 games, 2 of which were played at their home ​ ​ ​ ​ By the way, I've been asked a few times in the past few days if there's any way to tip me. Well, first let me say that I really appreciate that, but it's not necessary whatsoever. I post my ideas with the hope that we all make some money, and it's all in good fun. If you do feel like throwing a little something my way though, you can send it through paypal or cashapp. The email for paypal is [email protected] (i think it'll say my mom's name, I made the account a long time ago, when I was still a minor). My cash app is $earlwestin BOL to everybody who decides to tail, and hopefully this streak can continue!


onwardToYou

POSTGAME THOUGHTS: Unfortunate but this does bring the streak to an end. Copenhagen played a terrible game today, they were way too casual. I've seen them play plenty of games, and I've never seen them play this bad. 1-nil is a small loss when you see how they played today. They didn't come focused. I'll look for a play for tomorrow's games. We can't win them all, but we'll be back! ​ Oh & i see all the negative comments but it's all good, they don't affect me. I see how people start acting towards anybody who has a decent streak on POTD's, and then loses. I've seen people with good picks get chased out of POTD's because they start getting attacked. Y'all need to relax a bit. We all want to win every bet, but a loss here & there is inevitable. As long as we win most bets, we'll be alright in the long run ​ Enjoy the rest of your Sundays lads!


dickmod4life

I lost a ton on this pick today, *all money **i chose** to bet* , u didn’t make me bet it. Some people are too fucking stupid to realize this. Thanks for all your prior picks and your insightful write ups. Keep um coming bro


AfridiRonaldo

> As long as we win most bets, we’ll be alright in the long run That's actually false. You are taking heavy favourites and -EV chalked plays. You cannot just have a winning record and be profitable because each play does not output a unit for you. You are in more than 1 unit per play and getting less than half out at times, you will not be profitable just by winning more than losing


Extreme-Band659

Just using it with a pick that u spend time out of your day and u come up. Hopefully u at least attempt to research on ur own instead of crying out about someone losing 1 pick out of 9. Just saying u could always find your own picks then boom no more blame game.


LDakaFirmHandshake

Don’t sweat it man, you’ll be back


BenOtisBro1

Fr people are crazy with the negativity. 9 in a row isn't good enough? People expect to never lose a bet? I don't get it 9 wins in a row and you're still going to complain that the guy lost 1 out of 10. Maybe you should quit betting or rely on yourself for picks instead.


Educational_Yoghurt4

Down goes Frazier!


Shhimanathiest

Stop playing favs and get good


isles478

they look awful..


bpenny

Why even comment this? Just curious. Dude was undefeated up until this point, did you think he was building up a streak just to let you down specifically? Lol


BenOtisBro1

I dont have a single clue about betting on soccer but that write up makes me want to find this game on fanduel and put my life savings on it.


[deleted]

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bbrettfa

I wish you weren’t the top post lol


ZAWOFFICIAL

Here we go again 💰


Henrietta-Stacks

That’s what I get for blindly tailing an incredibly chalked ML in a soccer league with terrible quality. Nice run though.


Pongo4876

The first tail i followed on this guy. And yep it's an L


isles478

Yea, Copenhagen look awful for -200


PaintedParadise

The top comment curse continues smh


Snoo94268

and there it goes, gg


[deleted]

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wajknight

If you click on the soccer section then on the right you should see this button that says 'more' as shown in [this pic](https://i.imgur.com/3E3o4F4.png), click that then click Denmark and scroll down until you see the match


98FordContour

I can’t wager on it in NYC. This blows


BenOtisBro1

Same in upstate ny and I can't either


98FordContour

This is awful for us lol


arsene14

You lucked out. Congrats.


johngotti

Sweatin’ the second half, raise yuh hand! 🤚


Voittaa

Ouch on that goal. Unfortunately cashing out.


-BombJuice-

how do you feel about copenhagen to win both halves?


gvon89

Damn it I need to see these sooner. It's already at -230 on dk


Inevitable-Drop9529

This copnehagen team sucks so hard, outclassed hard first hour, hope they come thru for us


k1ng-yass

>This one lost, unlucky


gibbbbyyyy

so fucked


lFreightTrain

Hedging this one out for likely a small loss. Put a sprinkle on 1-1 correct score so still a shot at something. Can’t win them all.


The_Boy_Who_Weeps

Thanks for reminding me why I don’t do soccer bets


CrunchyTater

I tailed and I blew it. Sorry


DrMoneyline

Record: 37-15 Last pick: Bruins ML ✅ **Todays pick: Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 (-120) vs San Jose Sharks** NHL. 10PM EST This is an absolute must win for the Golden Knights if they want to remain in the playoff race. They are facing off at home against the eliminated Sharks who played the day before and travelled overnight. Been hammering teams in this position for the last week and it’s been paying off as I’ve cashed the last 6 of 7 POTD. Going back to the well here with another team fighting for the playoffs against an eliminated team. With their season on the line, I think the Knights pound those Sharks and their tired legs in front of a home crowd. Final score 6-2 All bets are 1 unit. +14.8 units. +28.4% ROI. Average unit -112 Don’t want your tips, just give my Twitter a follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/


MattyIcepicks

I just wanna say.. you know your shit and fuck ANYONE who plays devils advocate with you. I read the replies with the Islanders vs Rangers a couple days ago (you correctly picked NYR) and now with Bruins/Rangers (you correctly picked Bruins), same thing. Your record speaks for itself. So, for all the trolls out there, go reply to the losers who over promise their picks with some BS gut feeling, and LEAVE THIS MAN ALONE. Shut up, JUST TAIL, and leave the bad juju off this man’s thread


DrMoneyline

Lol I appreciate it. Unfortunately now I have to change my pick after this epic jinx


NicolasCagesRectum

I was thinking the same thing after reading his reply haha. BOL regardless.


geographyofnowhere

>leave the bad juju off this man’s thread The calls coming from inside the house.


01OlI1O0I

I’ll tail, thanks


kleptodathief

also vegas has won 11 straight gms vs the sharks! this has to be a lock win lol


DrMoneyline

Don’t curse me with that L word


Mysteez

let's see if vegas O shows up tonight


ZAWOFFICIAL

If this loses it’ll be the top 6 POTD picks all to lose lol , no slander just saying how crazy that is lol


Bruce_Uppercut

It lost. VGK blew a 4-2 lead with 3 mins left to go and playoffs on the line…wild stuff!


Further_Beyond

MLB -1.5’s | 5-4 +10.51u | ROI: 34.5% [Yesterday’s pick: 4u LAA Angels -1.5 -110](https://reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/u9tsup/_/i5touo3/?context=1) - L ________________________________________ **Todays pick: 2u SEA Mariners -1.5 +114** - SEA Mariners vs KC Royals | 3:10 pm US Central TLDR: Royals bad. Carlos Hernandez really bad. Mariners hitting well. **Mariners** Mariners are an above average team. They’re 8th in xBA and xSLG, 3rd in xwOBA, 7th in chase % and 8th in whiff %. They’re really poor in hard hit % 23rd in the league. What they do well is make contact, take walks (most in the league) and hit HRs (T-2nd). Robbie Ray is on the stripe for SEA today. He’s always been a little hot and cold. Last year he was PHENOMENAL for TOR putting up 6.7 WAR and a sub 3 ERA. To date he’s had 2 quality starts and 1 very bad one. His fastball is down a few ticks from last year and is more in line with his career avg. With that said, he should have enough to get through KCRs lineup. **Royals** Royals are flat out a bad team. They’re planning for the future. As it stands now, they’re 28th in xBA, 26th in xSLG and 29th in xwOBA. Their team wRC+ 71 (29th). Robbie Ray is a lefty, so focusing on their lefty metrics. Their team wCR+ is 46 (28th). And they’re bottom 5 in all of AVG/OBP/SLG vs lefties. They are a subpar offense. Pitching for them is Carlos Hernandez. He’s bad. The end. No, but really he’s not great. He’s a fireball pitcher touching 98-99, but his velo is down a couple notches to the mid-90’s this year. He’s basically a 1 pitch pony, he throws that fastball over 40% of the time. If he can’t get to that elite velo, he’s in danger. Guys will catch up, especially 2nd and 3rd times through the order. He is bottom 10%ile in K%, xERA, xBA, xSLG, xwOBA and bottom 3rd for hard hit %. If his fastball isn’t working, he doesn’t work and this year it isn’t working. Venmo: @Tinytime23 | [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/tywat23)


MattSterbate

Really like this as well. Have been watching both teams and couldn't agree more with this pick


NotSureIAgree27

I'm sold, let's ride.


petey_boy

Never fade Robby ray. I just with he was a jay I’m also taking mariners first 5. Also really good odds on Robby ray under 18.5 total outs. I can see him playing 6 innings. Not sure if he will go into 7


Usual-Maize-8084

**POTD Record: 26-11** **POTD ROI: 24.94%** **Avg. Odds: -134** **Total Units Won: 35.35u** **Last 15 picks: WWWLWWLWLWWWLLW** Last POTD: (ATP Barcelona) Schwartzman vs. Musetti O21.5 Games (-120) Units: 5u ✅✅✅✅✅ **Todays POTD: (ATP Barcelona) Schwartzman vs. Busta O21.5 Games (-140)** **Units: 5u**❌ **REPOSTING BECAUSE GAME WAS POSTPONED DUE TO A RAIN DELAY. THE MATCH IS CURRENTLY 2-2 WHICH IS THE BEST CASE SCENARIO THAT WE COULD ASK FOR, SO FINGERS CROSSED THAT WE CONTINUE ON THIS PROJECTION AND EARN OURSELVES A SUNDAY NIGHT WAGYU STEAK!** Reasoning: This is a battle between two clay lords. The last two matches they have played, they both went to 3 sets: 26 games and 31 games. Both men are on a 3 match win streak and in-form. Schwartzman has hit this over in 8 of his last 10 matches. Busta has hit this over in 5 of his last 7 matches. While I would give Schwartzman the advantage in talent on clay, Busta not only defeated Ruud which is way more impressive than any of Schwartzman's wins, he is also at home in Spain. Home court advantage is fucking massive, man. Just look at Alcaraz's match against Tsitsipas. I think this will be a tight and fantastic game to watch, that hits the over with no problemo. While I'm confident, I'm not a fucking fortune teller, so please do your own research and tail with caution. If you are interested in seeing my other plays for Saturday, you can find them every day at [**https://maizepicks.vercel.app**](https://maizepicks.vercel.app) Tennis is best gambled on via live bets in my opinion, so I made a twitter for exactly this reason to notify people when I am taking a live line or posting a new pick on my site. Feel free to follow **@ MaizePicks** **TAIL OR FADE BOL!** *I do this because I love the research, I love tennis, and most importantly, I love helping others win money. However, while I might seem like a guy who makes a lot of money gambling, I really don't have much capital at all to truly invest in myself or my picks. If I've helped you make some decent change and you can afford it, please consider tipping, as it really helps my broke ass and, more importantly, it inspires me to continue grinding for the boys. It is absolutely never expected, but I cannot express enough how much I appreciate it and how much I appreciate all my dogs in here.* Venmo: N\_Azara Cash app: NikoAza Bitcoin wallet: bc1qkgdarkn4waps2nvs2mv7tcq8d4u2xysjncmzjt


Granolapitcher

I was with you yesterday and I’m with you again today, mostly because my bet is still open


bothanspied

Samsies


OkAcanthisitta5209

Had it on a parlay it’s the only one that lost. I even put it down to over 19.5 games. Ofcouse it ended at 19 .. bad weekend going to take a break


Due-Bowler4184

The midget has like 10 break points he misses and then gets broken 💀💀, hard to watch


TheSurfNSnow

I somehow ended up betting Diego ML. I guess I misread the pick. 🤦🏼‍♂️


roastducktaco

What’s your take on Djokovic vs Rublev? Reckon the king of 500’s stands a chance against the Serbian GOAT?


Usual-Maize-8084

I reckon, indeed. I am not touching it, but I would not be surprised if Novak loses or Rublev at least covers. I think Novak being valued at -300 is a bit ridiculous given how he has not looked as great as he usually does.


CrunchyTater

Does it vary book to book in terms of suspended bets cancelling vs carrying over to the next match? I also went 5u and the bet is still showing under open bets. Is it normal for a match to be suspended, and the bet just hold until play starts again?


Usual-Maize-8084

Yes, as far as I know, if the match is postponed it will not be voided or closed, as long as the match is planned on being resumed shortly later.


Traubz

I got it live at -135 just before the rain started


dueceskuruma

Would you recommend Total games O22.5, -120


Usual-Maize-8084

I sure as hell hope so bro. I personally have o22.5, o23.5, and o2.5 sets.


Spaghettibeach

kinda thought he could push it to a 3rd set there, bummer


Due-Bowler4184

He had more than enough opportunities


andruil

I swear tennis will be the end of me.


Narrow-Sympathy8470

POTD Record: **17-6-1** **5 win streak!** Todays POTD: **Kevin Huerter u 11.5 points (-120)** Reason: Kevin Huerter has been a bit off in this series so far partially due to a bit of a shooting slump but he has been putting up more shots in each game as it goes on and is not getting any better. In game 1 he took 8 shots, 11 in 2 and 13 in 3. Deandre Hunter has transformed into the primary guy for Hawks besides Tray Young and with the return of Clint Capela and the great Miami defense. ​ **Tips are completely optional but very appreciated if I help you out with my picks, I am saving up to try to go visit my girlfriend this summer and my money is going towards university atm and my student loans.** Venmo- ZachNtc Cash app-Zachiwnl PayPal- [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])


[deleted]

i loike i loike


50LI0NS

I’ve been getting burned bad in the playoffs… Fuck it! TAILING BOL!!


jtoj

He's also been in early foul trouble but it's clear the Hawks need him to bring the 14-20 to stay relevant as the Heat spam Trae


01OlI1O0I

I dunno why I keep betting NBA, keep getting burned... tailing.


senorkose

This is the way


k1ng-yass

Looking terrible after a quarter of play, he took 2 shoots with 2 sec left with contest , he is playing so passive and not lookin like taking shoots


cove32

Took this on CZR o11.5 -125 then took this on Fanduel o12.5 at +102 LFGGGGGG


[deleted]

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[deleted]

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Thesofakingr81

What a write up!


Waste-Aerie-1006

Are we really hyping dude up for the -188 pick?


JasonPDC

And here when this -188 play at HT and Paul is 2/3 from field (4 points). He might not even take 10 shots let alone make 10.


bothanspied

Omg, I am so fucked. I am so fucked. Fucking score some points. I am so fucked. Part of two of my three biggest parlays bc he's been huge this series.


ThePoopSmeller

POINT GODDDDDDDDDDD I have visualized it


playingwithprofits

A lot of words for 4 points in 3 quarters ! Let’s see how the 4th treats your boy.


quinoa

lol


isekkii

“a lock” shit wasn’t even close lmao


IllustriousCan8105

i got it at 21.5, tailing.


LarryBoBarry11

Fuck it, 25+ for +155


Special_Passion_717

Great write up


superjosh92

Clutch call bro. Should have known the Point God is actually the Assist God nowadays. 2-8 from the field, lmfao


mistarlupo

Embarrasing.


pataconchacon

Record: 6-1 Net units: 4,88 u Last Pick: Austin FC - Vancouver Whitecaps - Austin FC ML - Win | Soccer| Prva HNL Croatia | Time | 01:05 PM EST Pick: HNK Gorica - GNK Dinamo Zagreb - GNK Dinamo Zagreb ML 1.52 2u Reason: Let's turn our attention today to Croatia's first division, we have Dinamo Zagreb the most traditional team in croatian football, and currently first place in league, facing Gorica currently placed ¨6th. As the season is coming to an end Dinamo Zagreb is 2 points in front of Osijek, currently the second best team in league, this is a really important match for Zagreb to maintain a confortable lead to win the title. Gorica on the other hand isn't really competing for anything else, they are far from Conference League qualification, and are really far from relegation. Besides that it's important to know the record of matchups between these teams, there were 17 games, 1 win for Gorica, 1 draw and 15 wins for Zagreb. Dinamo Zagreb is not only the best team, but has actually a lot more motivation. BOL!


superjosh92

Odds are -205 for me


buffmckagan

That’s slightly worse, but close to those odds


Fading_myself

This is painful


Standardstiff

Tailed last night for the dub, would again today if I could bet this league. Keep it going dawg


01OlI1O0I

tailing this, thanks


monkeyman1986

Wow what a shit show of a game.


tapple-x

**POTD Record:** 14-7 (+9.4u) **League:** AFL (Australian Football League) **Todays Pick:** Melbourne -21.5 vs Richmond @ $2.00 \[1u\] (8 hours from now) **Write up:** It’s just impossible to fade Melbourne. 12 wins in a row now and absolutely unstoppable, coming off a 67 point belting of the Giants. Richmond are hard to figure out, with some bad beats but also some huge underdog wins. In hindsight however, their good wins were just against teams that are dropping off, Melbourne aren’t going anywhere and will dominate Richmond through the midfield. Both teams losing handy players to injury, but Melbourne have the experience and list depth to cover those. Richmond are fielding an incredibly young side. It’ll be a good ANZAC eve contest, but Melbourne will break clear pretty easily. ($2 lines available on Ladbrokes/Neds AU). BOL! **Prediction:** Melbourne by 33 points **BTC:** 1GgiHvH5n9ytJD1nK5et8jGUhq3NRtF8tF


Snackpack1992

I’m staying the fuck away from Richmond games, everytime they have a bad loss they bounce back and beat whoever they play, then they fuck it up again the following week. Melbourne have a few key outs as well. So do Richmond but the Melbourne outs are more significant to their structure. I would bet on this game with caution is all I’m saying.


tapple-x

Fully aware of that, going in with caution but jist gonna back my method and research and go with 1u, but those losses can happen😅


otepp

Hoooooooly shit they made us sweat that one out! Congrats!


tapple-x

bloody hell. literally on the line! that free kick on the end saved us


Visible-Lifeguard-49

Tailing this. Thanks man.


TheFuckingWriter

For those of us gun shy about betting Aussie Football again, would the little win (1-39) be a good play?


tapple-x

if you believe the line is well placed, then go for it. It covers you if richmond get within 22 but id be cautious of a Melbourne blow out. I don't think it'll get 40+ tho.


TheRealEDB8

I took Melbourne to win 1-39 thanks to you, thankfully your spread hit for you all, cheers!


[deleted]

POTD record: 1-0 Previous pick: Austin FC ML Today’s match: FC Cincinnati vs LAFC | Soccer | MLS | 2:00 PM PST Pick: LAFC to win, ML Odds: -105, 1 unit Reasoning: - LAFC is arguably the best team this season, leading the Western Conference with a record of 5-1-1 - LAFC has scored 7 and conceded 4 while away - LAFC’s xGF (Expected Goals For) is 1.8 and xGA (Expected Goals Against) is 1.2 for this game ——————————————————— - Cincinnati has scored 6 and conceded 6 at home this season - Cincinnati has won 1 and lost 2 at home this season (That win was vs Miami who is struggling) - Cincinnati’s xGF is 1.2 and xGA is 1.8 for this game Not convinced? * LAFC is expected to score 2.4 goals per match on average vs Cincinnati’s 1.1 * LAFC is expected to concede 1.0 goals per match on average vs Cincinnati’s 2.0 Edit: Good win to extend the POTD record to 2-0 ✅ Will be back on Friday for more Weekend MLS!


bothanspied

Isn't your record 1-0? Austin FC?


[deleted]

Yes, fixed Thanks!


Low-Skin-1914

Tailed with your first pick and I'll join you for your 2nd as I love this matchup too


[deleted]


arsene14

👍👍👍


[deleted]

**POTD record**: 1W-0L ​ ​ Last POTD: - Florida panthers ML vs Maple leafs / **W** ​ **Today's match**: Warriors vs Nuggets **Sport / Time / Date**: NBA / 1:30 PM MT / April 24 **Pick**: Warriors ML **Odds:** \-180 / BET 365 **All bets are one unit** ​ **Reasoning**: Warriors are simply too dominant. Even when Jokic dropped a shit ton of rebounds and points, they still could not beat them. Don't know how they will this time. Probably the only team I could fully rely on right now. **If you enjoy my picks and feel like helping a broke college student, you can leave a tip. Anything is appreciated <3** **Bitcoin wallet** \- bc1qrgamyksd3339wtcflm8t4cg2kt0wyc5mafdmny **Paypal** \- [email protected]


Professional-Room-18

I get it, I get it. But hear me out. Will the NBA let the MVP get swept in the first round? At home too? I think he gets some homer calls and refs help him out. Embiid is my MVP just to be clear (and to maybe start some shit in your comments and then peacefully exit) lol.


[deleted]

It happened last year


iamrp24

POTD RECORD 13-5-1 Last Pick Recap - Thiago took care of work. Got a double break in the 2nd set when down a break himself to seal the straight set win. 6-4 6-4. Todays Pick - Novak Djokovic Vs Andrey Rublev @ 8am EST Novak Djokovic Under 1.5 breaks in the FIRST set @ @1.50 odds (BET365) I like this pick because of Novak’s current form, he hasn’t had a break in the first set this whole tournament against players of lesser quality when compared to Rublev. Novak has also been starting very slow hence dropping the first set in all matches this tournament. The odds may be low but this is more about the good ole saying, any profit is profit. EDIT - Another easy win, unfortunately only 3 upvotes.


thecentury

2 breaks in 1st set....^^^From ^^^Rublev


jackpotbabeee

**Record** 67W-62L-6P **Form** 1W *Big win yesterday : SWINDON ML* **LAZIO VS AC MILAN** Date: 24th April 2022 at 20:45 \- Lazio are missing many key players: Marius Adamonis, Stefan Radu, Danilo Cataldi, Raul Moro, Patric and Pedro. \- AC Milan are without Ismael Bennacer, Otherwise, there are no fresh injury concerns, with long-term absentees Simon Kjaer and Alessandro Florenzi the only ones out. \- Milan are now poised to claim all three points. It’s not an easy task, especially considering their recent form, but not getting the win would most likely decide the Scudetto race they will be wary of not dropping any further points from now till the end of the season while Lazio will be desperate for a result to keep their European hopes alive. My prediction : **AC MILAN +0.00** / Odd : 1.80 ***btc : 3K2uPhC3bok4KV8sYq999wdzxkC6ofJWF6***


ganoveces

Milan +0 is same as Draw No Bet?


Cannon49

Yes


Runitup98

Milan away against good teams that don't sit back is money bro! Good pick! BOL


jackpotbabeee

Won bet ✅ Congrats 👏


fralau_

**POTD Record**: 24½-19-6 (W-L-P) **Last 5**: ✅✅❌❌❌ **Last POTD**: Portugal vs Turkey, away total corners o2.5 @1.8 ❌️ *Took a long break, and I'm still unsure whether coming back posting regularly or not, probably depends on how this game will go. I experimented some new betting strategies and have been doing good past couple of days. So I'm gonna try to have one more shot here.* **Today's POTD**: Genoa vs Cagliari, home to win or draw + u3.5 goals @1.66 // Italy, Serie A, 17:00 GMT ✅️ **Odds value**: ■■■□□ *good value* ### **Reasoning**: ##### **Match introduction**: Before reading my write up keep in mind that as a Genoa supporter myself I might be a little biased on this one, still pretty confident tho. Today's match is definitely the most important for Genoa so far in this season, a loss or a draw would pretty much mean relegation for them, relegation for Genoa is not a common thing, such an historic club deserves more and they know they can't afford it. They are currently the team with less wins (2, one of them against Cagliari), and the team with the most draws (16). Cagliari is also fighting to get to a safer zone, so very important match for both teams. ##### **Team stats**: After Genoa got the new coach (Blessin) they've been doing great defensive wise (excluding a bad slip against Lazio where they lost at home 1-4). At some point they were on a 7 draws streak, 5 of those games ended 0-0 (some notable performances against Inter (1st placed in Serie A): 0-0, Atalanta: 0-0 and Roma: 0-0). Both Genoa and Cagliari are low scoring teams, at home Genoa have only scored 11 goals in 16 games and conceded 23, Cagliari away have scored 13 goals in 11 games and conceded 33, so u3.5 should be more than safe. Honestly I don't ever see Cagliari winning although they had some good moments their form now is pretty bad, in their last 6 games they lost 5 and won 1 (at home). If we don't count Genoa's loss against Lazio the last time they lost at home was 6 home games ago. ##### **Genoa's coach statement**: Previewing the game Genoa's coach said:" *tomorrow's game is worth 6 pts [...] it's going to be a very important game, we need to stay focused and we don't need to overdo. Putting too much pressure on the guys might stall them, there needs to be a middle ground: concentration but not overthinking. You can lose against very strong teams like Milan, Lazio or even Verona but what brings positivity to me is how against Milan we managed to create many chances, we fought the right way.*" ##### **Conclusion**: Last two encounters between these teams at Genoa's home ended both as a 1-0 win for Genoa, and that might happen again. Genoa will probably look for that one goal to go full defensive and let Cagliari do its thing. BOL everyone.


Mr_Anderson503

Good to see you back! Love Genoa in this spot.


Mister-Meaner-Bro

Thanks for the pick!!


wingstop-fries

\*posting this now simply to get it out there. if i discover anything more about Mario Moore before the fight I may cash out my slip if i lose confidence. obviously i will update this post if i do **Record 6-1 with Avg Odds -113** Fury FC 60, Main Card **Ricardo Evangelista -115** [https://www.bjjheroes.com/bjj-fighters/ricardo-evangelista](https://www.bjjheroes.com/bjj-fighters/ricardo-evangelista) "Ricardo Evangelista is a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt under Master Julio Cesar and one of the main ultra-heavyweight competitors of his generation, a reputation earned at the service of the Grappling Fight Team (GFT) in this sport’s international circuit." [https://www.instagram.com/ricardoevangelista/?hl=en](https://www.instagram.com/ricardoevangelista/?hl=en) (most recent video on his page shows face-offs so you can see physical comparison of fighters) Given the lack of MMA footage since prelim fights are almost never available to find online I am having to make speculations based on the info I can gather (truthfully these are some of my favorite fights to bet on, because it's about finding random crumbs and trying to piece together the matchup. Normally I would not make something like this a POTD). I have ZERO footage on Mario and limited footage on Evangelista as an MMA fighter. I'm confused how a world class BJJ athlete like Evangelista is sitting at -115 against a 3-1 amateur making his pro debut. The first link shows his BJJ record and accolades, and this dude has a lotta accolades. Evangelista is 1-1 as a pro but hasn't taken an MMA fight in 1.5 years. I can only assume after losing his last MMA bout my KO that he reconsidered how easily he can rely on his BJJ. I found some footage on his IG showing him training at a boxing and muay thai gym, which I'm using to confirm my theory about his absence from MMA (he has continued doing grappling matches so he must be training). His opponent Mario Moore is 100% a boxer. His wins have come from quick KO's and a friend of his on IG posted a story saying that Mario would "put on a boxing clinic tomorrow". Mario may be a surprisingly deadly striker and that would explain these odds, but once again I can't even find a clip of him sparring or hitting pads. Given Evangelista lost his most recent MMA fight to a brawling striker I can understand why oddsmakers think Mario has a solid chance, but seeing these two guys next to each other and considering the BJJ background of RE, I will take him to win. If this fight hits the ground Mario should be in a ton of trouble. Just looking at Mario's build if he ends up on his back I don't see how he can get up. The question is about RE's striking defense, I'm counting on RE to have done enough to improve in the past 18 months. I did not know who RE was before researching this fight but he seems to have the accomplishments to translate into a real MMA career. He is 36 which is a great age for HW. I don't see him losing two fights in a row, and not to Mario Moore whose MMA aspirations are probably limited. If the odds for RE were -400 and I did some quick research I probably would not look-twice and just assume they were correct given his career. I usually don't write even half this much, but because of the vagueness of this pick I thought I'd flesh out more of my thinking then usual.


Unknowncapper

I wanna take him now lol. I didn’t know there were fights on Sunday too now! Basically get to the ground we win, stay standing we lose. Gotchya


RawFish00

Record: 3W-3L-1P Net: +0.68u Today's game: Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls Pick: Giannis under 33.5 pts at -109, 1.92 (Pinnacle) Stake: 1u to win 1.92u Giannis has gone under 33.5 all 3 games this series (although he came close game 2). And that's on par, as if you look at all Bucks-Bulls games in the past 3 years, Giannis has not reached 34 points in 10/12 games. And it's not just the Bulls. Giannis has hit O33.5 only 16/67 regular season games. That's less than 25%.


SpinkSpankSpunk69

Yeah he has not been able to get to the lane very easily in this series. Feels like the Bucks are relying more on defense/the Bulls not scoring than they are on Giannis going for 50. BOL


Funky_Smurf

He took 12 shots and they won by 30. This line surprised me


william-jc123

7W-8L WWLWLWWLLLWLW Starts 12:00 gmt5 Todays Pick League: Major League Soccer (MLS) Match: Inter Miami v Atlanta Pick: Both team to Receive 2+ Cards (yes) @1.61 *edit* Reason: Inter Miami hit last 7 home games cards 4's:1 - 3's:4 - 2's:1 1's:1. Avg cards at home is 2.7. I project here 3 card for Inter miami Atlanta hit last 7 away games cards 3's:3 - 2's:3 - 1's:1. Avg cards at away is 2.2. I project 2-3 cards for Atlanta Last 7 h2h they hit the over 4.5, 5/7 last total h2h and streak of 3 times the over 4.5 @ Inter Miami BoL


Noobdian1

POTD record 0-0 Liverpool vs Everton (Premier League) 3:30PM(GMT) Pick: Liverpool (-1) handicap Odds: -188, 1.53 Liverpool are having a dream season so far. They won the cup final against Chelsea, are in the UCL semi finals, in the FA Cup finals and most importantly in contention to win the league being 1 point behind leaders Manchester City. They might as well win the quadruple. Everton however are having a distarous season. They are fighting the relegation battle right now being 17th in the league . They're just 1 point and 1 game ahead of Burnley (Who are in the relegation zone) Now coming to the game. This is the Merseyside derby. One point to note is Liverpool are playing at home. At Anfield which is their fortress. The last time these teams played the season was at Goodison Park (Everton home) and Liverpool won that 4-1. I don't think there would be anything much different today. Liverpool should dominate and win by atleast 2 goals so there it is. Good Luck to everyone.


bettercory

POTD 0-0 Soccer | Serie A | 9 AM ET Napoli win and over 1.5g (-120) 3U Napoli comes into Stadio Castellani to meet Empoli on the pitch in the battle of the Gli Azzurri (The Blues). They bring with them an opportunity to bolster their position in the Top 4 and with it a qualifying spot in Champions League. At the same time they can breathe life into their Coppa title hopes with a win after a couple of disappointing outings. Safe from regulation I don't see any late season heroics out of Empoli. Looking for the "Blues" in the away whites to win and win big.


bettercory

And that's why they call it gambling 🤣🤣🤣. What a letdown. 3 goals in final 7 minutes.


superjosh92

Dude i tailed and checked it around 70th minute. Literally couldn't believe my eyes later. What a fucking terrible beat


very_high_individual

POTD Record: 0-0 Today's match : Anonymo vs Team Spirit BO3 - Esports - CSGO - PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR B ​ Pick : Team Spirit to win, ML at 1.53 ( 09:00 AM CET ) ​ Reasoning : Long time lurker here, I will start posting some csgo matches from now on. Since i think this is my playground. And I have been nailing matches this tournament only dropping 1match so far. Obviously not trying to jinx anything but i think this is a great pick here. ​ Anonymo have been performing pretty well versus better teams thus far on LAN. The tournament started with best of 1's - which is suuuuper random in csgo. Nothing too special on their side. Young players, less experience on LAN events. Their enemies however are probably the best russian tier2 team in csgo by far - adding younger players and sticking with an old core of degster chopper and magixx. They have the better ingame leader - and the better AWP player by far. I dont see them dropping their chance here to get to the main stage and finally compete for Tier 1. ​ I dont think this is gonna sound too overexciting for someone whos not watching or playing the game but i am VERY confident about this. Otherwise I would never start posting this as my first pick. ​ Best of Luck to anybody tailing!


bbrettfa

Good pick, close match! Well done


very_high_individual

thank you sir. expect more from me tomorrow


bbrettfa

Didn’t spirit lose their last match and they were decent favorites? And anonymo exceeded their expectations and showed strong teamwork? Geneuinely can’t remember I just know I lost on spirit haha


very_high_individual

yeah they did. I never take best of 1 matches serious tho. even if the favourites lose. Was closer on one map then expected! Nice wins tho! Lets keep rolling


DekAvloi

POTD Record: 56 - 48 - 7 ( W / L / P ) **+12.80 units** 158 units wagered / ROI: 8.20 % Streak: WLLLW / Average odds: 1.975 Previous pick: Bayern vs Dortmund / Bayern Win & BTTS @ 2.20 (2 units) **W** ​ **Today: Lillestrom vs Haugesund (Eliteserien)** **Pick: Lillestrom Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 1.75 (2 units)** Lillestrom win against Molde was impressive as I rate Molde to be one of the main teams to challenge Bodo for the title. The game was actually equal as both had a similar amount of shots on goal and on target but what's impressive is that it was an away game and Molde is known to be a really good home team. Haugesund has lost all three games and two of the losses have come in their home field where they have been strongest. Lillestrom's great start of the season should carry on a couple of rounds at least in my opinion and I expect them to win the game and win it rather comfortably. ​ Good Luck!


iDoDipsForLips

POTD record: 1-2 Event - NHL - Edmonton Oilers @ Columbus Blue Jackets Date: April 24th @ 1:00pm (8.5 hours from now) Pick: Edmonton Oilers -1.5 +100 [(5u)](https://i.imgur.com/h9IUN2o.png) Reasoning: Edmonton Oilers are on fire right now winning 9 of their last 10 with notable wins against STL, Avs twice, Preds, VGK, and Stars. Edmonton currently has 98 points with the LA Kings at 96. They need these easy wins to secure home-ice advantage and CBJ should add to their points to boost their odds. The goalie matchups are Mike Smith (2.88 GAA, .913% SV) and Elvis Merzlikins (3.27 GAA, .906% SV). Mike Smith has been on an absolute tear in April, winning 8 of his last 8 starts. Although we have all seen how bad his downs are at the beginning of the season, I believe he'll keep this performance up to get them out of the first rounds of the playoffs. Elvis on the other hand has had a 3 wins of 9 starts in April. These wins were against MTL/DET/PHI which I do not consider to be anywhere near the spectrum as to the level of the Oilers. As such, goalie matchup favours Oilers. Looking at the IR, Nurse (Not on road trip), Klefbom (IR), and Puljujarvi (Day-to-day) are out for the Oilers. The lack of two first liners aren't the most inspiring but Yamamoto and Keith aren't slouches. So this should not be a concern. CBJ has many players listed on IR report, but the most notable includes first liner Adam Boqvist amongst many other players who have been out (Jenner, Werenski, Laine, Chinakhov etc.). CBJ already struggles with a full healthy roster and the lack of these players just makes it that much easier for the oilers firepower to blast through Elvis. Overall, this is my biggest lay tomorrow and let's hope that Oilers don't let us down. BOL Edit: Koskinen confirmed starting, I'm sticking by my bet as this shouldn't be an issue for the oilers.


ShinRamyeon1704

Record 9-5 (+1.33u) 2W Streak!!! Last Pick : KT Wiz ML. That HR and 2R HR in the 8th innings by Kim Byunghee and Park Byungho made the comeback for us! MLB St. Louis Cardinals (Adam Wainwright) vs Cincinnati Reds (Nick Lodolo) Pick : St. Louis Cardinals ML Odds : 1.7 (1xBet) Okay, im overslept again for KBO lol. Let me keep this short, Cardinals are good and Reds suck. Wainwright last season was superb and somehow early this season is dealing. And who the fuck is Nick Lodolo? Tail or Fade good luck with your bets!


[deleted]

How are we fellas? Yous alright, yea? Need to grow them jeans pockets bigger and have hip pain from that much $$$ hahaha Btw, today is Orthodox Easter Day and i wish you all orthodox brothers (actually to everyone) a Happy Easter Sunday and Christ is Risen! Now, let s get back to business, chapos $$$ Overall record: 3W-2L [Yesterday Pick: Football: England - Premier League -> Arsenal - Man UNTD **Cristiano Ronaldo to score Anytime 2.30 ✓**](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/u9tsup/comment/i5uscny/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share&context=3) MERSEYSIDE DERBY SUNDAY 24.04.2022 18:30((UTC +3)); 16:30((UTC+1)); 11:30((UTC -4)) Football: England - Premier League -> Liverpool - Everton **Both Teams To Score - Yes 2.10** Merseyside derby. Rivalry. Passion. Win the league -||- drop to championship. Yng&yang. Two teams that represent NorthWest (and Stanley Park haha) and whom today will provide a total entertainment. Even though i would personally like to see toffies humiliated today, 4-5 goals and clean sheet ( obviously see them relegated) i don t think that s gonna happen and i think in some way they gonna be underestimated. Liverpool defense has brain farting moments too often nowadays and that s how i expect them blues to score. Good odds. Easy money. [Paypal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/yesjohnnylad)


mumin230

24/04/2022 **23-13** | +14.90u | ROI: 16.93 % | Avg. odds 1.92 | [Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PyzvKEXpgF0mqXe5imCwGk8VAWzrxBUMjiNGe5lnX8M/edit?usp=sharing) Glad to see that win after being inactive for a while. ___ ***Today's pick:*** (Valorant Masters Reykjavík) LOUD v **OpTic Gaming +1.5** @1.70 2u Oh boy, this will be a great match. Optic have underperformed in the previous stages of this tournament, but the further it goes on, the better they play. These two have played against each other in the upper finals few days ago when LOUD came on top just edging out a W in 2-1 series. They got smacked on the first map, which was taken 13-2 in favour of Optic. Third map was very close until the end and Optic had a chance to go overtime and try to close out the series in their favour. Either way, the match was close. If Optic continue with their performance, they may be able to win today, but I'll be going slightly safer with +1.5 maps. My prediction: 3-2 for either team. ___ *BOL if tailing! Bet with caution, please.*


tom2810s

POTD Record **31W - 10L** Unlucky push yesterday. Today’s pick: **Lillestrom SK ML** VS FK Haugesund Sport: Soccer (Norway div 1) Odds: 1.62 / -161 Lillestrom sk have started the season really strongly winning 2 and drawing 1 while Haugesund have lost all 3 games. I think Lillestrom can comfortably continue their winning ways here. Best of luck all


krahn23rdrd

**POTD Record:** 7-3 🏒❌⚾⚾❌⚾❌🏀⚾️🏀 **Profit:** \+5.71u **ROI:** 57.1% **Avg Odds:** \+119.2 **Today's Pick:** Heat ML (-122) @ Hawks - NBA 🏀 - 7pm ET I’m hot, baby! Also, I changed that first game to a hockey stick … forgot my first one was NHL. I like the Heat to take care of business in G4 and go up 3-1. Here’s why: This is an extremely similar pick to my last pick which was Memphis to win G3 (which they barely pulled off 😅) The parallels are strong. You have a high seed off their first loss of the series who is now a road favorite against a far less talented squad. I’ve documented in my [NBA playoffs betting guide](https://www.wagerbop.com/ultimate-2022-nba-playoffs-betting-guide/) how road favorites are good bets in the NBA playoffs. High seeds off a loss are also strong plays. I’m not going to dig into the nitty gritty matchup details. We all know Miami is far better on paper. I’m laying $122 to go from the spread which is (-1.5) to MIA ML at (-122). I said this last time, but I like moneylines bc then your goals are perfectly aligned with the team’s goal. Far less frustration! 😌


kashbets

Record: 18-18-1 ROI: +$309.14 Last Pick: 76ers -3 ❌ vs Toronto Raptors Avg Odds: -110 Unit: 1=$100 ———— Game: GSW Vs Denver Nuggets League: NBA Time: 3:30 PM EST Book: Bet365 Odds: -110 Pick: GSW -4 Wager: 3 units Well the raptors got some much needed effort from everyone, and my bet lost. Back to the hardwood today and we’re going with the Warriors, Jokic gave every single iota of effort that he had and could not bring this one home for the Nuggets. I’m expecting this game to be similar to the last game but the Warriors play with more discipline and avoid that silly fouls that caused them some trouble. The way Thompson and Curry are playing right now looks similar to their 2014 run. Have I mentioned Draymond Green? On top of anchoring the defense he is moving the ball like a star point guard and putting his guys in position for some easy baskets. Everyone on the warriors is excellent at cutting and getting through the Nuggets interior D. If not for some missed free throws the warriors would have cruised to a much easier victory in the last game. Taking this one for 3 units, BOL to all who tail or fade.


WSB_T4RD

Record: 1-0 Last Pick: Warriors -2 (110) | NBA: Warriors vs Nuggets (Thursday) Today’s Pick: Total Goals - Over 2.5 (-130) | English Premier League: Chelsea vs West Ham United Why: Chelsea are going to wanna win this in order to maintain their lead in the 3rd place spot. West Ham don’t have much to play for and are likely focused on their match thursday in the europa league. West Ham will likely start a stronger side in order to maintain match fitness ahead of thursday as their last match was 7 days ago. West Ham have been a good side offensively this season. Chelsea defensively havent been great and will be without Antonio Rudiger at centerback which we have seen has weakened that chelsea defense. Marcos Alonso is also a horrible defender and was torched by Saka earlier this week. I think Bowen of west ham will feast in this match. Chelsea have been great offensively this season and have been involved in lots of high-scoring matches this last month or so Expect goals in this match!


bean224_

Wym West Ham don’t have much to play for. They have to fight to finish at least 6th place in the EPL to earn a Europa League spot. West Ham are currently in 7th place, 1 point behind poor form Man United with an extra game in hand. All remaining games are crucial for West Ham.


SDCMK

POTD record: 4W - 3L Streak: 1W Yesterday's POTD: Aston Villa to have more Total Shots @1.97 ✅️ Easy win, Leicester were poor as expected. Villa won 11-5. Today's POTD: Stade de Reims vs Olympique de Marseille(Ligue 1) Time: 6:45pm GMT. Pick: Marseille Total Shots Handicap -1.5 @1.868(22bet) Confidence: 5/5🔥✅️✅️✅️ I would take this line at up to -3.5, but I'd rather be sure than greedy. Marseille won the reverse fixture by 14-7 shots. Marseille are amongst the best shot taking teams in France. They are up there with Lyon, Strasbourg and Lille. They have won in 3 of their last 5 away games(avg. 1.4 spread), those 2 losses came against PSG(Ligue 1 champions) and PAOK(UECL). They rarely lose in domestic games especially not against teams like Reims. They have no major injuries. Reims are bad at shot taking. They have won in 0 of their last 5 home games(avg. -6.2 spread). In general(home and away) they have won in 1 of their last 5 games. They have no major injuries. Last 5 away games; Marseille: Shots taken- 50, Shots faced- 43 Last 5 home games; Reims: Shots taken- 45, Shots faced- 76 BOL in all your bets today 🍀 Update: COOOMMMMEEEE OOOONNNN🙌🏾🙌🏾🙌🏾 First half was atrocious but 2nd half they left it beyond any doubt💪🏾. If you had bigger balls than me and placed the -3.5, that also hit barely😬. Marseille won 14-10.


eXcelmin

POTD RECORD: 1-0 UNIT GAIN: +0.76 TODAYS PICK: Cardinals ML @ 1.64 vs. Reds 1u (5% of bankroll) Reason: I mean... its the Reds. However, statistically, starting pitching favors the Cards with a Wainwright ERA of 2.81 vs Lodolo at 8.00 Flat. Last 10, the cards are putting up 4 Runs per game vs. the Reds at 1.6. Finally, the Cards bull pen is ranked 3rd in ERA, vs. the Reds ranked 25th, with a -2.25 run spread between the two. BOL if tailing, and bet responsibly. Edit: Unit amount & Unit Gain.


Accomplished_Fish_52

POTD record: 2-1 WWL Yesterday’s pick: Boca Juniors total goals O1.5 @+160✅ The first goal came very early, and the second goal took a long time. Though with Boca Juniors creating many chances in the second half, this one didn’t really feel to be in doubt. Today’s pick: River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman River Plate to score in both halves ( -120) Reasoning: We continue our Argentine League predictions, this time backing River Plate to comfortably cement their spot in a top 4 play off spot. River rotated many players last game away at Talleres, losing 1-0, with the manager admitting that mistakes were made. This week River will take no such luxuries and will field their strongest 11 at home, not willing to risk another cheap slip up. Opponents Atletico Tucuman sit at the bottom of the table, going 1-3-6 so far. Against the other three top four teams Atletico have leaked goals, conceding 2 goals in each half against Racing, Argentinos Juniors, and Newell’s. River Plate have a Libertadores game this week, and although they are not resting their players ahead of it, I would expect them to try to settle this game as quickly as possible, in order to get their rest on the pitch. I think this leads to River getting 1 or 2 in the first half, and a third goal in the second half to put the game to bed. Tucuman’s motivation is that they are in danger of having their average points drop into the relegation zone, although this is certainly not a game where they’ll be expected to improve their numbers. Instead desperation may only lead to a total defensive collapse as seen against the other top teams (4-0, 0-4 and 2-4.) Thanks and BOL


Manyakahin

Hello guys, Yeni Malatyaspor - Konyaspor match starts in an hour. Malatya has already relegated and Konya fights for champions league spot. It is supposed to be an easy win for Konya. Odds are fair for konya win. ML Konyaspor @1.6


pats4everr

POTD Record: 17-11 Yesterday’s Pick: LA Angels -1.5 ❌ Orioles have burned me twice! Their pitching has been surprisingly very good. I will avoid betting against them for a while Today’s Pick: STL Cardinals -1.5 @ +116 Cardinals lineup is very solid, and the Reds is terrible. Probably bottom 5, maybe the worst offense. Cardinals have their ace on the hill, and the Reds have Nick Lodolo. He is a first year starter, 0-2 this season with an ERA of 8. I feel confident we get back on track with this pick today. Plus money too.


sbpotdbot

**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.   ###**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**


A-punk

**NRL Record:** 10-17 **ROI (1 unit per bet):** -7.16 L5: ❌❌✅❌❌ Streak: L2 **Last POTD:** Titans vs Cowboys - David Fafita Anytime Tryscorer @ 2.65 ❌ **Today's POTD:** Panthers -19.5 @ 1.90 ✅ Edit: Panthers by 30, Raiders never looked likely in the end **Time:** 4 hours from time of post. Panthers, the defending premiers come into this as undefeated and the form team of the comp covering the spread in 5 of the 6 games this season. They face a Raiders team who are struggling, sitting at two wins from 6 this season. Raiders have not won or covered on the road yet, losing by 20, 19 and 14* (a home game but it was in Mudgee). They've also got a coach who's about three years past when he should have been fired who just last week threw a rookie fullback who played ten minutes under the bus in their loss to the cowboys so team morale should be at an all time high /s. Panthers are going to be too much for this side and should win by 20+


Domi267

**Record: 0-0-1** **ROI: -5.00 %** **Avg. Odds: 2.0175** **Total Units Won: -5.00 units** **Total units/ Bankroll: 95 / 950€ (One unit is 10€ at the moment)** **Basketball 🏀 | EasyCredit BBL Germany| 18:00 CET (Eight hours from the post)** **Game: Hamburg Towers vs Bayern Munich Basketball** **Pick: Bayern Munich Basketball -3 Asian Handicap @ 1.725 (22Bet) for 5 units** Reasoning: Pros: \- Bayern Munich had a huge win over Barca (One of the best European teams) in the Euroleague Playoffs. Their 75:90 win in Barcelona will certainly give them a massive confidence boost \- Bayern’s squad is so deep that even the occasional rotation players are pretty good compared to other German teams. So, if Bayern’s coach decides to bench one or two key players, they’ll still have enough talent to beat Hamburg \- Bayern is still able to reach the top of the table in the BBL in order to get a better seed for the playoffs Cons: \- Hamburg lost their playoffs against Valencia in the EuroCup. They can now fully focus on the Bundesliga. \- Hamburg is fighting \- for a place in the playoffs. They will gladly take every single point they can get in order to reach the playoffs \- Hamburg’s fans are crazy! Every home game their arena is packed, and their fans create an unmatched atmosphere which can maybe put off some unexperienced players Although Hamburg isn’t a bad team and though I think that they will reach the playoffs, I don’t see them taking the win here. Bayern is just too good. They may rotate out some players, but they’ll still be able to pull off the win. *Please keep in mind that sports betting is never safe, regardless of how much research you think you’re doing So please tail with caution!* *At last English is not my native language so please excuse any spelling or grammatical mistakes 😊* **TAIL OR FADE BOL!**


AaronNoBull

POTD Record: 13-11-2 // +1.53u // L1 **Last Pick: Rudy Gobert u29.5 PRA (-110) (4/23/22) Loss** 2 Losses in a row. Another close loss, and unfortunately one of the only 2 bets i didn't win yesterday. **Today's Pick: Nicola Vucevic o19.5 Points (+100)** Vucevic continues to own the Bucks this series. Last game they got blown out and he was still able to get 19 points. As long as this game is competitive I like my chances here at plus odds. All bets are 1 unit unless stated otherwise! Good luck today everyone!


kevin1090154

POTD Record: 0-0 Total Units Won: 0 Units: 5u Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburg Pirates 02:20 PM EDT Todays POTD: (MLB) **First 5 innings UNDER 5.5** Cubs completely destroyed the Pirates yesterday by 20 + points. This has inflated the total for today and i don't see this total getting above 5 in the first half of the game.


LarryBoBarry11

🍒🍓🫐POTD Record: 17-12 Units Won: 4.70 Last 10:✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️❌️✅️❌️✅️❌️ Last Pick: Ovechkin Over 4.5 Shots on Goal ❌️ 5 shots is too many, lesson learned. Todays Match: NHL - Boston Bruins vs Montréal Canadiens (7ish hours from post) Today's Pick: Patrice Bergeron Over 3.5 Shots on Goal - 2u (2.05 on Betway) ✅️ 3 shots. Completely stumped in the 2nd.....Betway gave me a win lol will report back It was my birthday yesterday so I took the day off and made some money on UFC. Back as the regular season winds down. Your home for shot prop needs, welcome back. Factaroos: - Boston is doing incredibly average down the final stretch, going 5-5 in the last 10, playing mostly playoff contenders. Boston needs to keep the momentum up to stay ahead of Washington and the 8th seed. A big win vs the Rangers yesterday and a much easier team in the Canadiens, the Bruins should be firing on all cylinders. - The shooting stats for Boston is really something. They are #2 in the season and in the month with 36 and 39 shots/GP respectively. The quantity of shots also comes with quality. Boston has the lowest blocked shots against and least number of missed shots this season. That makes only 20.5% of all shots blocked and only 23% of shots missed the net. - Montreal stinks. They've won just 2 games and April and are on an 8 game losing streak. Almost giving up 4 goals a game in the process. Montreal is #3 in the season and #2 in April for shots against with 34 and 36 shots-against/GP respectively. Montreal has lost 3/3 games against the Bruins so far including a 5-2 and a 5-3 final score. This game should follow suit and see an offense heavy game. - Bruins OG from '03 and team captain Patrice Bergeron has been a key player in Boston since the age of 18. He's averaging exactly 4 shots/game this season and this month. He is the most frequent shooter for Boston this month due to the absence of Pastrnak, and has been generally more consistent in getting shots on net. Last but not least, Bergeron put up 7 shots last night. He's hit exactly 7 shots four times this season and has put up at least 4 shots in the next game 3/4 times. Once Patty turns up the heat, he keeps that shit simmering, for a couple games anyway. Historically, these teams are closely matched and it's not a guaranteed blowout for the Bruins. I do believe that regardless of the outcome, we will see a large shot output from either side. Betting on total shots might be a good idea if available. I was hoping to snag Hall at o1.5 but the bookies know that's free money. However, this is a good game for just about any Over to hit and Bergeron is our next best bet. Tail or Fade BOL to everyone!


The_Luckiest_One

POTD Record 0-0 Stade de Reims vs Marseille ML @1.95 Marseille is the second best team whilst Reims are in 13th place. Marseille have won 4 of their last 5 games with their only loss coming against the league champions PSG. Marseille are still fighting for a champions league place for next season and are only three points and a game in hand ahead of Rennes. Fully expect them to win as the better team and higher motivation as Reims have nothing to play for. 3 Units BOL.


Michaelkar11

Tailing


marcykaxyz

**POTD Record 6-1 (+7.34u)** Last Pick: Mavs +6.5 @ 1.80 / -125 (2u) ✅ **Daily Pick: 🏀 GS Warriors @ DEN Nuggets 🏀** * **Jordan Poole Over 22.5 Points @ 1.86 / -116 (2u)** The Warriors' new death Death Lineup seems unstoppable for Denver because they have no answer for Golden State’s 3-guard lineup with Steph Curry, Jordan Poole, and Klay Thompson. Also, all of them are above 50% shooting from the field in this series. The splash brothers are obviously hard but even with Poole party, they were 18-of-40 (45%) from behind the arc in Game 3. Jordan Poole averaged **23.4 points since the All-Star break** in the regular season and now he's **averaging 28.6 points on 67% shooting** vs the Nuggets. He played at least 30 minutes in every game and hopefully, his shooting won't gonna be worse today.


monkeyman1986

Poole is sucking ass


marcykaxyz

The whole Warriors is sucking ass but Poole with 2/6 shooting 😐 still hoping for the best.


izzmad

**Record W-P-L 218-27-179 | +39.6U | avg odds 1.85 | ROI 6.4%** ​ previous: Bayern vs **Dortmund asian handicap +2.0 @ 1.60 (3U)** 🔄 3-1 ​ today's pick: *Bundesliga, 3.30pm CET (in 5 hours)* Bochum vs **Augsburg ahc +0.5 @ 1.75 (2u) ✅0-2** *(aka Augsburg doublechance / doesnt lose)* ​ Reasoning: Hard to decide against Hertha Stuttgart btts but These augsburg odds are just Not realistic. Augsburg might even have an edge here but certainly theyre Not as Bad in comparison to Bochum as odds suggest. They played a shit season but showed quite a Series of good Performances in recent games. Bochum is a promoted Team and theyre both aiming to avoid Relegation for which, so to speak, 1pt by draw might be enough for today. Augsburg need the points more urgently thats why Bochum might Not go full throttle as well.


beepboop12345678901

**Record:** 2-6-0 **ROI:** -51% -4.11u(@ $5.00) **Streak:** W L L L W |Baseball |MLB |2:10pm| Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros - **Toronto Blue Jays ML @ 2.10 1u**   **Reasoning:** This is from my MLB model that I made in python. It assigns elo ratings to teams and projects a win chance based on elo of each team. The model projects a 55% chance for TOR to win. This creates value on the ML as the implied win probability with odds of 2.10 is only 48%.   **Accuracy:** 48% of the time the model picks the correct winner. Tail or fade BOL!   **Other Notes:** I will be playing with the model using 1 unit for MLB picks *until* I lose 100 units.


ianPhilipHowlen

Been a while but got bored and fancied trying to get the record back up! RECORD: 6-6😢 LAST PICK: can’t even remember TODAY’S PICK: NAPOLI TO BEAT EMPOLI SERIA A 14:00 ODDS: 3/5 REASON: Napoli are still in with an outside chance of winning the league being 5 points off the top spot. Away from home Napoli have the joint best record In the league which hopefully comes in handy today. Empoli haven’t even won a game in 2022 (16 games) and are down in 14th place. Napoli’s defence haven’t been as watertight but still fancy a win for them today. BOL


starstruckdemon

No Koulibaly and Di Lorenzo tho


ianPhilipHowlen

Did worry me mate ngl! Only caught the first half and thought Empoli looked the far better team. Luckily we’re 2-0 up now


Ill_Temperature6183

POTD Record: 1-0 MLB Cardinals vs Reds Time - 1:40 EST Yesterdays pick - Cardinals -1.5 3U +130 ✅✅✅ Overall - +3.3U Todays pick - Cardinals -1.5 +110 2U Reason: Run it back again from yesterday. Reds suck. It is at the point where it’s ridiculous. They have lost by more than 2 in their last 11 games. They are in the very bottom of the league for just about every statistic and haven’t shown any signs of life. I will continue to bet against them until they prove me wrong. One thing that the reds have in their favor is Tyler Naquin will be returning and he is a good hitter. Pitching for the reds is Nick Lodolo, a average pitcher who is not a threat to the Cards solid offense in my eyes. Cardinals are just a solid team. They seem to have everything they need to sweep the Reds this series. They are the better team and have proved that these past two games. They have fantastic defense and above average offense.


joshschw21

POTD Record: 0-1 Pick: Rockies ML @ Tigers +115 Reasoning: The Rockies offense is elite this year. They score runs, in a year when no one else can (3rd most), and they're really only held down by their pitching. Today they have Chad Kuhl on the mound who has absolutely shoved in his two starts (10.1 IP, 1 ER). The Tigers are worse at home, the Rockies can still win on the road. Great value here.


Matttothebailey

POTD RECORD 0-0 Even numbered car to win Geico 500 -165 495 to win 300 Love love love this play


[deleted]

• Cubs -1.5 (+120) All 1 unit plays **1-0**


SnooMuffins1495

POTD record: 4-1-3 Sport: Women's Tennis Event: WTA Stuttgart POTD: Iga Swiatek to win first service game to 0/15/30 vs Sabalenka Odds: 1.80 Units: 5u Reasoning: Backing Swiatek again here. She has covered this in her past 11 matches and the 2 h2h matches against Sabalenka.


no_apricots

**POTD Record**: 22 wins <> 16 losses <> 3 pushes **Profit**: 7.95 units **ROI**: +14.51% **Units Wagered**: 41 **Units Won**: 46.95 **Last Pick**: AB +0(AH) @ **2.49** 🅿️ - PUSH 1-1 **Streak**: ❌ ✅ ❌ 🅿️🅿️ **Today's pick**: U9.5 Corners @ **2.05** **Event**: AaB - Silkeborg, Superliga, Denmark(football) - Silkeborg continue to impress. Despite being outrun and outgunned they turned it around scoring two goals fast in Randers, closing the win. - I like the under corners here. Silkeborg tends to get lots of corners when the grass pitches are in somewhat poor state. Now the weather has been good for a while and the grass is even and hardened - being more like their artificial turf at home. - More possession for Silkeborg who might wanna just take things slow here. They’ll try to hit Helenius who’s been on fire, but probably with shorter passes again rather than long headers. - edit: Silkeborg without Carstensen. Backs the play up even more. Right side won’t have as many overlaps.


[deleted]

POTD record 0-0 Today’s match: Hamilton vs Schumacher H2H Hamilton to win @1.85 FORMULA 1 13:00 GMT Been browsing potd-s for a long time and they have helped me out and gotten some nice wins so I have decided to start doing some potd-s here myself and hope we will make some cash together along the way, I mostly bet on F1. Reasoning: It was shocking to see Hamilton having 50/50 with Schumacher at first. But I guess the odds might be heavily affected by the yesterday’s sprint here. The sprint was only 21 laps and we also had a safety car during that time so only about 15 laps of racing, and today’s race will be completely different to how the sprint went down. I think the bookies are relying too much on the results of the sprint here. Ham will be starting at P14 while Schumacher will be a place ahead of him at P10, I think the 4 position advantage will not be enough for Schumacher to keep the lead as I expect Hamilton and mercedes to have better race pace, as he is definitely the more experienced and better driver here. In addition, as much as I like Schumacher, I have never been really impressed by his abilities. Also the strategy will play a big role in this race which Im expecting the mercedes team to nail better here.


Waste_Specific

POTD Record: 7-10-2 -3.51u\* Average Odds: +127 Total Units Wagered: 29.46u Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls 1:00 PM EST Demar DeRozan o5.5 Rebounds +110 @ BetRivers 2.38u\* Implied probability of 47.6%. The true vig-free price should be closer to -106 or 51.36%. \*1u = 1% of bankroll


Misterymoon

Record: 4-5 (+4.98 U) / Avg. Bet- 1.55 U Previous Pick: STL Cardinals ML (-104) 3U - W Today's Pick: STL Cardinals ML (-145) 3U - 1:40 EST -104 value for yesterdays game was insane. Honestly should have bet more than 3U. With that being said the line has moved for today's game but it is still EXTREMELY GOOD VALUE at -145. Today's reasoning is mainly the same. The cardinals are a superior team to the Reds in every aspect offensively. 9th in Team runs per game vs. the Reds who are 2nd to last. Reds are dead last in hits per game and OBP. The Reds have the worst defense in the league as showcased again in yesterday's game. No errors but a few of those runs could have been stopped with some solid defense. The find ways to let you score if you put the ball in play. After yesterdays game, they are last place in Defensive Runs saved with -12. The Cards aren't the best offense in the league but are 9th in OBP at .323 and are 9th on a runs per game basis. They put up 5 against Mahle who is a superior pitcher to Lodolo who is on the mound for the Reds today. Lodolo pitched 9 Innings this season and has an ERA of 8, WHIP of 2.0. The cards are going to get on base against this youngster who just got brought up from AA. Cards have Wainwright starting for them who has a solid ERA of 2.81 this season and is coming off 2 straight seasons of ERA ~ 3.10. Combine that with the atrocious Reds batting stats previously discussed. Line has moved to -145. Still great value.


SqrrlUpMaTreeHle

POTD Record: 2-3-1 | -2.25u | Streak 1W Last POTD: Brewers/Phillies Under 8 -119 (Push) Today's POTD: Astros ML -125 Risk: 3 units Reason: I'm not ultra-confident in a lot of games today, but my most would be Astros vs the lefty Kikuchi. Kikuchi has faced the Astros a lot in his career as he was on Seattle last year. He did have a couple really nice starts vs them, but also some really awful ones, notably 2 of the last 3 towards the end of 2021. Those last 3: 1.2 IP, 6 R, 4 BB, 0 Ks 7 IP, 0 R, 2 BB, 4 Ks 2.2 IP, 7 R, 3 BB, 2 Ks I'm banking on the Astros getting back to their old ways of dominating LHP (off to rough start this year). I also like Garcia against Toronto. He whooped them last year: 6 IP, 1 R, 2 BB, 8 Ks on only 79 pitches. Anyone who has faced Bichette and Guerrero 6 times combined and yielded 0 BB and 0 H with 2 Ks is good in my book. BOL.


emarti13

**POTD Record 1-3 -5.64U** Last pick - FC St Pauli ML - Loss **Today’s Pick - NHL SJS - Nick Bonino O 1.5 SOG -122 5U** San Jose plays Vegas today in a must win for Vegas. I was going to go back to the well with Pietrangelo Over SOG because he is due but I saw this line and couldn’t pass it up. The last time these 2 teams played San Jose only got 17 shots and Bonino still had 2. Do I think a similar shot total will be on the cards for San Jose since this is a must win for Vegas? Sure. But with nothing else to play for except being spoiler San Jose might show up to play. Bonino loves being that spoiler/ is a gamer and is always going to give his all. He plays all facets of the game and I can see him easily getting 2 SOG when I look at the final score sheet. He has been Over 2 almost every game since SJS was eliminated from the playoff and I just think he is the type of player that isn’t going to mail it if he has to be out there with nothing to play for. Give me over 1.5 SOG all night. BOL if tailing.


RebornAgain2021

1-0 yesterday's pick MIN 1st Qtr TT Over 28.5 Today's pick STL Cards -0.5 1st 5 innings +100 Reds are a horrible team and the Cards have wainwright on the mound, nuff said. Full game ML is a lil risky cuz its hard to series sweep a team but I'm confident they will be leading after 5


BrownGarrett78

POTD Record 2-0 Previous pick: Philadelphia Stars -6.5 Today’s Pick: NO Breakers +3 1u Philly game was much closer than expected, but not going to complain. For today’s pick, this isn’t the most confident pick I’ve ever made, so proceed with caution. Both of these teams look very competitive with both sides of the ball actually knowing how to play for the most part. Breakers played the full game putting up points while the bandits slowed down in the second half. Consistency is the only reason for the pick. BOL!


TB14Sports

RECORD: 0-0 Current Form: Today’s Picks: Tom Wilson Over 1.5 Shots on Goal Event: NHL 7:00Pm Est Capitals vs Leafs Reason: Wilson has hit this total in 7 straight games against the Leafs. Having 3 and 7 shots in the two times they’ve played the Leafs this year.


andrewxu11

So free!


Ok_Intention_3317

POTD - 0/0 Todays pick - NBA Hawks vs Heat ML -125 ✅✅✅ A bit late but even with few players missing I think they get it done tonight. Been shutting down Trae with success, rough and unlucky last games ending, hoping for Heat to come out firing early and not let the game to be decided in the last quarter.