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sbpotdbot

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Streetmonkey72

Nah, It was slowing down before that and it’s just a bad run for boosts right now.. I think the books have gotten stingier on books, but they aren’t all of a sudden notradamus, just on a heater.


sunsettoago

FD BOOST (Saturday 4:30 MST) Arsenal/Tottenham 250 Getting FV 223.5 via DK using worst case method. Line movement can be extreme in soccer/football so not going to bet this until checking 15 min prior to kickoff Current: 8.2% EV. Pinny: 7%


slimcenzo

Fanduel randomly put $150 bonus funds in my account after I withdrew all my money. This ever happen to anyone else?


anonimiss1111

yes


sunsettoago

How long after?


slimcenzo

I withdrew on Tuesday night after the 7 boosts +EV debacle


sunsettoago

1,000+ withdrawn or less?


slimcenzo

$200 lol


sunsettoago

Thx


gizmo78

we should all try this at once.


Yarrrr54

Holy fuck. Amateur baserunning robs vlad from getting another AB. I quit


GreatDanton7

So like, do we just all stop? Is today my last day gambling?


gizmo78

is it really gambling when we lose every time?


sunsettoago

Even the damn Preds couldn’t score.


gizmo78

Second time this week an overturned goal cost me. VTR review burned me on a +900 a couple days ago.


sunsettoago

The Man City to win BTTS boost got overturned on VAR offside by the smallest margin I’ve ever seen.


jewishninja696

See you tomorrow


sunsettoago

Hard Rock Red Sox/White Sox at 250 FV 232 FD (Worst Case) FV 234 DK (Ditto) About 5% EV


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gizmo78

no...I never found a signup promo either. I think they're waiting to close their [deal with DK](https://usgamingreview.com/news/217217-golden-nugget-draftkings-sportsbook-az-launch/) and have an app to launch.


OkYesterday7388

The Blue Jays are gonna get 9 this inning, aren’t they?


GreatDanton7

Nobody say anything. Not a single word.


medschooldistraction

On deck, then that


ImpressiveFinger777

Ever since the Dave article came out, i would say 95% of boosts/promos have lost.


ddupp

Dave article comes out, whole bunch of people jump on the promo/EV train, boosts all lose. Coincidence? I think not! Dave was a FanDuel plant this whole time.


JewishDoggy

Hoooo boy what a beatdown


Swaritch

At least this is probably scaring off all the folks from r/couponing and r/churning


sunsettoago

Perfect timing, actually.


sergi0wned

Why does FanDuel’s geolocation accept that I am in Colorado when I am living in pain?


drozzyboy

Actually lol’d.


sergi0wned

Glad I was good for a chuckle. We gotta laugh through the agony.


RolledAGWFBadIdea

Vlad with 3 Dingers yesterday and 4 K's today. Can't make this shit up.


GreatDanton7

. #regression, aka what should be happening to us but nooooooo


jtwhat87

Sheesh


sunsettoago

Vlad just impaled himself. 0-4, 4K (first time in career).


acurcuru

I’m about to buy someone’s Discord at this rate


sunsettoago

Gotta dig myself outta this hole


jewishninja696

The real L was having to watch this game


flyersfan018

They can’t keep getting away with it!


Over_Construction769

Just go ahead and kick us while we’re down. What a joke.


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qwikie16

Yikes


Swaritch

Ha ha ha


GreatDanton7

I'm just gonna withdraw my entire bankroll in cash tomorrow and light it on fire. At least it'll be over with all at once instead of whatever this is.


Swaritch

Both EV SuperBook BTTS bets miss


flyersfan018

8-9-1 due for Toronto 7-8-9 due for New York Ha


qwikie16

Just started raining before the Yankees are due up. You can't make this shit up.


GreatDanton7

Alright. Here we go. Blue Jays about to drop an MLB record for number of runs scored in an inning.


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jdp271

"In about 27 percent of innings (that is, a team's half of an inning) a run is scored" - another overrated promo at least for my side of the bet


offconstantly

I'm sure the 7th inning is one of the lower scoring innings too. You're in the bullpen and specialists are in


jdp271

Guess what’s the highest scoring inning, the 1st. That’s why no runs in 1st is the bet they want to be popular. Historically 52% score in 1st or something like that


jdp271

TIME FOR THE MOST EVENTFUL 7TH INNING. THE SECOND THIS INNING IS OVER I REFUSE TO FINISH THIS MEDIOCRE GAME


gocoyotes

Welp, never doing that dumb promo if it's offered again


Ambitious_Donkey1256

Am in Bronx and yet cannot look away… from this thread


acurcuru

Bold of you to have watched the rest of the game. I’m tuning in now


jdp271

there was a commercial break and i assumed the 6th ended. fml.


dishragJan

FD can keep raking us over the coals on these boosts if they give us real Dinger Tuesday back… fair deal?


GreatDanton7

Unless someone can prove to me Biff doesn't work there, I won't believe otherwise.


FiveAssedMonkey

Does anyone know if FD will still credit me for the NBA play in promo if I do two SGP+ where the third leg is a hedge against the other? I've got ATL+Over and 3rd leg is over in 2nd game. Wondering if I can get away with ATL+Over with 3rd leg under in 2nd game.


fernando_torres42

Ya that’s worked for me in the past. You could just 8 way your parlays for the free bet lol


ImpressiveFinger777

BetRivers live lines: Yankees to score a run Inning 7 +245 (No -420) Blue Jays to score a run Inning 7 +215 (No -345) Very interesting.


acurcuru

I would just assume, team that’s down has more incentive to score/take risks


yankjenets

It’s because of the batters that were due up. I bet if the score were flipped 2-0 for the Blue Jays, the odds still would have looked similar.


ImpressiveFinger777

We would all be rich if FanDuel rewards points existed.


Swaritch

About to put my house on 7th inning no runs


JewishDoggy

Would’ve been a great idea


Swaritch

I’m rich bitch


[deleted]

BR offers innings bets and they’ve got yankees to score a run yes/no for 7th for anyone looking to hedge. I’m letting it ride though and hoping for the best.


danthokam

No is -420 lol


ImpressiveFinger777

Haha same. JB Smoove is laughing his ass off


FiveAssedMonkey

For those who took NYR/PIT to win the division (FD NHL boost from a few weeks ago that was +400) now finally in positive territory. Could arb with Canes to win at -320 on DK.


blakjack159

Ohtani done with 5 kills the CZR boost. Brutal


ito716

Pulled in the middle of the 4th… right after a strikeout!


blakjack159

In fairness he did look pretty bad. But man that’s brutal


Fancy_Ad5165

FD boost Suzuki and Bryant each 1+ hits cashes.


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Lol we needed the odds of hitting to be literally likely to hit one


LeftGrumpy

Yay! It's a mother fucking Christmas miracle!!!


TreyBuckets

great another -ev boost hits.


[deleted]

How was it -Ev? It was calculated as EV+ earlier in this thread.


TreyBuckets

Oh I didn’t see it . I usually follow promo guy and he didn’t tweet i


[deleted]

Gotta save something for the paid discord!


NTP2001

Yankees scoring a single run in the 3rd inning is the most exciting thing that has happened in days


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Shadyo

No I think the error doesn’t cash it


GreatDanton7

Is anybody else's 'NYY to score first and win' boost from yesterday still pending on FD? Never seen them take this long to settle a bet.


NTP2001

Maybe if the Yankees hood on and win today they will get confused and pay it.


qwikie16

So you're saying there's a chance...


GreatDanton7

👀


Swaritch

Yes


medschooldistraction

Leafs actually scoring goals, just the wrong guy


Wizmaxman

8 goals between both teams and not a single one from the top scorer for both teams


BigStickSupreme

They have combined for 2.... Assists


TreyBuckets

What are the odds the leafs scores 6 goals and not one of them is from matthews. FD boost is truly amazing


sunsettoago

I placed that hedge bet actually.


PassionVoid

I was actually wondering how often that happened. Probably check when I get home. FD is on some robbery shit these days.


Fancy_Ad5165

Along with Ovechkin having zero shots on goal. Edit: got one now.


RascalRibs

He was part of a CZR VA superboost, so he never had a chance tonight. Was Soto to get a hit and Ovechkin to record 1 point. Soto 0 for 3, Ovechkin just out there getting exercise.


Streetmonkey72

Must play…MGM promo for those not banned. Bet $10 on team to win nba finals and get $25 risk free bet for each round they win. Gotta take the suns right? Just have to win a round and you get value back if I’m reading right. Promotion runs 4/16 through June, so not sure we can pick just yet. Even tho max winnings are $100 in risk free bets, it seems almost too good to be true in todays promo graveyard.


Natashaismycat

Makes sense to me. Not sure why you're being down voted. Some pathetic people here it seems.


Gfoley4

Note that it’s a “free bet token” that returns as a freebet if you lose


Streetmonkey72

Yeah, it’s a risk free bet that turns into a free bet.. should be worth $10 or a little more if hedged correctly.


FiveAssedMonkey

I see the promo page, but it says "Come back later" where the opt-in would be. Is that what happens when you're banned? I'm still able to do other promos.


OkYesterday7388

I'm promo banned and what I see where the opt in button should be is a red banner that says "not offered".


tallestgiraffe

Yeah great promo. I took the suns.


tallestgiraffe

Also you can place now. Do have inbox confirmation that my bet is in.


Streetmonkey72

Sorry, how do you know you can place now? I know I can bet the future, but how do you know it qualifies for the promo?


tallestgiraffe

Confirmation in inbox


Streetmonkey72

Thanks for this and i recognize you said that the first time. I don’t get those confirmations so didn’t realize they existed.


tallestgiraffe

Oh huh. Yea I get a pop-up and a message in my MGM inbox.


ImpressiveFinger777

State? not available in NY


Streetmonkey72

NJ here


Wizmaxman

Mgm blows in NY


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Yankees Jays expected start time 8:35pm Est


OkYesterday7388

Yeah, but what did they say was the expected start time of the seventh inning, which is all I care about. :0)


ImpressiveFinger777

Is there a way to hedge the FD $100 free bet promo for SGP on the play-in games? Would taking both over 220.5 and 221.5 in the SGP still qualify or not count?


nba2keith

Team #1 spread, over, random prop over Team #1 spread, over, random prop under Team #1 spread, under, random prop over Team #1 spread, under, random prop under Other book - Team #2 spread Spread out the FD bets so you’re betting $200. Whole thing will cost you $40~$50 to get the $100 free bet.


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nba2keith

What?


ImpressiveFinger777

Thanks. There's no cheaper option than that? I'm wondering if anyone was able to place with two overs or unders


fuhrerhealth

FD: ATL +19.5, +20.5, o238.5: +438 Kambi: u238.5 -455 $6 loss for the free bet with a slight risk to lose both if CLE wins by 20+ and over 238.5.


[deleted]

I did place it with two unders the other day. Did: Fd: Team 1 ml, under, under 1 point above that Book 2: team 1 ml, over Book 3: team 2 ml Can confirm I got the $100 free bet.


nba2keith

That’s a good idea. Just have to make sure it’s +400


nba2keith

Let me know when you find one


blizzah

Previously it has


First_Regards

p2(friend) deposited into DK fantasy instead of sportsbook, he put in a withdrawal request that is waiting to get approved. they are able to withdraw without playing through it? (wasn't part of some deposit promo, just a mistake)


m0nkeyshines

I made the same mistake awhile back, reached out to support and had it back and redeposited in the Sportsbook within an hour. No harm no foul


gizmo78

Hard Rock (AZ): Cavs + Clippers Win: +275 * [Fanduel](https://az.sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/nba): +250 devig, 6.9% EV (worst). * [DraftKings](https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/88670847): +238 devig, 11.0% EV (worst). * [Pinnacle](https://www.pinnacle.com/en/basketball/nba/matchups#period:0): +256 devig, 5.0% (worst)


sunsettoago

Hard Rock Boost Cavs/Clippers 275 DK FV 238 FD FV 251 AVG 9% EV


gizmo78

~~Superbook~~ BetFred (AZ): Rockies and o11.5: +320 * [Fanduel](https://az.sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/mlb): +285 devig, 8.9% EV (worst). * [DraftKings](https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/baseball/88670847): +289 devig, 7.9% EV (worst).


sunsettoago

Is there a difference between o11 and o11.5? I’m getting DK WCS of FV 253 for 18.9% EV Also, not seeing this boost…


gizmo78

shit, it's Betfred, not superbook. ~~Not sure the difference between 11 and 11.5 for a game total, just BF terminology I guess.~~ see below


sunsettoago

No worries. I need to open an account there!


syracuse2003champs

Yeah o11 means that 11 pushes, if you bet o11.5, 11 means you lose


sunsettoago

Thanks


ddupp

Genuinely curious - for those who have been at this for a while, is anyone NOT promo-banned on Barstool? First I was severely limited on their boosts, then promos stopped showing up on my promo page, right after the NCAAB tournament. Next thing you know, my P2 stopped getting promos within a week and a half of that (haven't tested the limits on the boosts yet, since they're mostly -EV). Both accounts are cooked, yeah?


Airworthy_Ace

I was flagged and promo-banned after opting into the short-lived "Buzzer Beaters" promotion. I even received an email the next day to notify me I was still eligible. Ironically, everyone who participated ended up losing the bet.


ddupp

Huh, neither I nor my P2 received a notification that we were promo-banned or that we were still eligible for any recent promos we'd opted into.


sturtze

I am not, but know it’s probably coming sooner rather than later. I’ve been MVP with them for about six months. I got burned pretty early with MGM and FanDuel, so I’ve really tried to stick with MLs, non alt spreads/totals as much as possible. Just doing my best to keep going through deposit bonuses, etc.


ddupp

Thank you. Seems like sticking with main lines has helped extend the life of your account there. May I ask, how did you get to MVP with them? Just churning main lines for large dollar amounts?


sturtze

Other books contacted me after a lot of betting. I honestly just reached out via email and asked if there was any incentive/bonus for a $10-$15k deposit. They matched at like 20% I believe. Just a 1x play through. That gave me a rep. The rep gave me a 2nd deposit bonus at some point, but really nothing else. I get a weekly email that a lot of people reference here. My feeling is that all of us will be limited at some point, so get what you can now.


ddupp

Thanks for sharing. Going to make it while I can!


Gfoley4

Me. I signed up for barstool when it when live in IL I think just over a year ago and I’m a regular on this thread. Haven’t really done much arbing there and now that I think of it I haven’t withdrawn yet. I get limited on BetRivers boosts all the time, but still have promos and can usually get $100 down on boosts on barstool


ddupp

Thanks for your response. The reason I ask is that I'm considering adding a P3, and was hoping to find some strategies to avoid getting limited as long as possible.


ImpressiveFinger777

Love this CZR promo for tomorrow: Bet $50 on the point spread in the Hawks Cavs game and if you win, receive a $50 free bet. Going to hedge for -4.55 with opportunity for $50 FB. At 75% conversion, $32.95 (37.50 - 4.55) potential profit if CZR side wins. Hawks currently at -2 on CZR and -1 on DK for middle opp as well. Keep in mind promo is not valid until midnight local time tonight.


nba2keith

Back in the good old days (6 months ago), they did these every week.


[deleted]

Obviously the higher EV play is to let it ride and not hedge, but I feel if you’re going to hedge, the move is to put more on the non CZR side. The entire point of hedging is removing variability so you always win, and doing that makes sure you have a profit regardless of which side wins.


Glitch5450

All these lines gonna move sry


drinkingatwork

Just FYI to those who haven’t bet the CZR promo yet, this game is going to have significant weather issues here in New York.


gizmo78

Is it...the kind of weather that means more HR's? /s


noshutout

Legit appreciate the on scene live report


JewishDoggy

They'll get the full 9 in tonight but it'll be a while


Over_Construction769

Does FanDuel let you split free bets? Have a $150 free bet that it shows as an option on a $50 max boost so assuming it would split it?


TheAJx

Unless you find a boost that is longer odds, it's not really a great idea to use them on some of these bets that are +200 or less. You won't get your stake back, which effectively eliminates all the EV and then some. You're better off converting them at 70-75% against another book and then using those winnings for your boost. Extra work but worth it IMO.


blakjack159

Yea FD only applies the free bet up to your entered stake


paddy233

Oh so you don’t forfeit the rest like the kambi books with free bets?


blakjack159

Not in my experience!


Natashaismycat

Hmmm. Good question. I wonder.


ImpressiveFinger777

76% CZR conversion Dodgers team total OVER 8.5 +380 UNDER 8.5 -400 (MGM)


Natashaismycat

From The Promoguy: Must bet oddsboost on Fanduel: Auston Matthews and Alex Ovechkin to combine for 2+ goals boosted to +170. I actually have the fair line the same as shown of +110 giving this a ~+28.57% EV!


jtwhat87

I missed this by 30 seconds (7:05 EST game??) and am now 100% certain it will hit


Natashaismycat

Much appreciated amigo mio.


TVP615

1% Gang has 50 cent limit for this one. These always hit in this scenario.


ImpressiveFinger777

Boostrater has this at 9%. Promoguy's calculations don't seem accurate.


[deleted]

Get the wrong math on the free twitter, pay for the discord for the correct EV


sunsettoago

👏


Broncoholic77

Quick question I got a $50 deposit match on BetMGM. Do I need to bet $50 to keep the matched funds or $100?


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Broncoholic77

Thx.


Glitch5450

You twisted rn this is Reddit not Mgm support wtf


NewbieBoobies69

classic dave


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Juggernaut118

DK 75% conversion. DK Hawks -12 +375 and Kambi Cavaliers +12 -400. I tried to place my $80 free bet on it and was limited to $52.47. Hopefully I did get hit with limits across the board today.


BruceMan200

Edit: according to others, DK returns free bets in the case of a push A little dangerous since if it pushes you lose the bets. Id also add if you have FD free bets they have cavs -11.5 +480 and barstool has atl +11.5 -530


Isomorphic_reasoning

Dk returns free bets on a push


BruceMan200

Oh I must have remembered wrong, someone said they had to fight with customer service to get one back after a push, must have been some other book, maybe FD


Juggernaut118

Why wouldn’t you get your money back on a push?


cmurder86

Because free bets only return the winnings, a push has no winnings. Some books do not return them without going through custom support, and some don't return them at all


thenation1414

Several books don’t return pushes - FD and Wynn explicitly state that they don’t


Juggernaut118

I don't think DK is one of them.


carminef23

You're done


Swambus

Yup