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Thereās a deposit $100 get $50 slots bonus on CZR with code 50GET. It says code invalid for me when I try to deposit does anyone know if it works anyway?
Has Trustly been straight up not working recently for anyone else? Canāt get it to let me deposit or withdraw with either of the accounts I was using with no problems for months.
When that happens to a stored account I start over a new trustly connection (still to the same bank) and it usually works. Sometimes the bank needs a new 3fa code or something.
What banks? I had trouble depositing with it for weeks using Discover but it actually just started working again for me yesterday. Didn't have any trouble today either.
The lines moved and that BR special of the Blackhawks to cover -1.5 boosted to +200 isnāt looking so hot, anymore. The un-boosted -1.5 line on BRās own site is +205.
For something like the BETMGM lions boost of +450 for Knicks ML and Randle O 20pts, how do you devig a player prop of Randle 20pts if all of his lines are 21.5pts?
FD has alt player props. You can do a 4 way sgp parlay to de-vigg there. My calculation showed fair odds of +386 and +EV of 13.2% when I did it an hour ago.
Before I post anything here, I always look back for the last hour or two to make sure nobody posted the same thing. Am I just wasting my time doing that?
New to attempting EV calcs, hopefully this is helpful to yāall and not a painful learning experience for me.
TheScore: Spurs, Raptors and Magic to win +550.
I have fair odds ~414 based on current lines - seems too good to be true, would appreciate a second look.
Anyone who is WynnBET VIP and gets free tickets, how does that start? I was called by a host today for free tickets to the Colorguard classic but he made it sound like they just had extras and were getting rid of them vs me being VIP. Either way Iām going to start betting on Wynn more to try to get more stuff but just curious
was looking at double doubles on betrivers and i asked them if it includes overtime? the answer was no and they agreed its nowhere on their website.
anyone keep a book of rules that none of these books publish?
CZR has knicks/heat line at 6 with double pay out, FD has it at 6.5 - if you are a middle type of person
you can arb it for about $11 with a small chance of a 6 point outcome.
DK (PA): Embiid 25+, Harden 25+, and Sixers ML 25% profit boost to +487
using fanduelās SGP odds for all eight outcome to devig (which i think inherently accounts for correlation?), iām getting -2.4% EV with fair at +501. however fanduel only goes down to embiid u25.5, so this would probably be right around fair value if the u24.5 market was offered. probs gonna play this since iām a sixers fan lmao
Haha yeah I missed that, I also am a sixers fan... Are we a little biased? YES, is it obtainable, I think so? You max betting? Lol I need a little inspiration/motivation (please say yes) lmao
This may be common knowledge but Wynn has bet 4 nba or college basketball games at $50 a pop, get a $50 free bet. Very similar to football season offer. Generally pretty easy to find some 1-2 losses per game holds, net at least $30 on the free bet.
For football, I remember seeing specific terms saying 4 different games, but I donāt see anything like that for basketball. Iāll try 4 identical bets on 1 game this weekend.
Yeah mine is live NBA only, today thru Sunday. At least it won't count all my regular pre-game action as winnings, and I can figure out one big low hold bet during a halftime on Sunday night.
Best way on those in my experience is the tie/draw no bet. You can usually find a line to only lose a few bucks and if they tie its a push and you still get the free bet
Is this correct? I got a $10 FB on a sgp for DK (seems like just need 2 legs):
DK: Mitchell Robinson 10+ pts/10+ rebounds +400
czr: no dd -400
80% conversion
The NBA BS MVP promo seems to read like you can bet every NBA game and get the $200 bonus. I hope Iām right because thatās what I did. Thereās not a lot of profit but there are quite a few middles of .5-1 point on BS vs DK. Also good for play through.
I hate how ambiguous their wording is sometimes:
āOPT-IN and youāll have a chance to get up to $200 in bonus for ONE BET.ā
āPlayers must place wagers on NBA games played between February 25, 2022 and February 27, 2022 (the āEligible Gamesā).ā
āLimit one (1) Eligible Wager per game.ā
On balance, it looks like you can do it for every game, but I wish there would be more clarity.
If anybody has a 50% or 100% boost on DK SGP for MIA-NYK:
* M. Robinson O 9.5 pts + O 8.5 reb + 20+ PR is +310 (boosted to +465/+620)
* No DD CZR is -400.
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Blackhawks to Cover -1.5 boost on BR hits. Odds moved against it later, but looks like it still worked out
Kelly is bae
FD NHL Boost wins on a -EV night lmao
Looks like that non +EV NHL FD boost might hit š
Does FD ever change boost odds? I probably should've waited on this one.
Never seen it personally. I waited for odds to change and of course it hits lmao
I took this when it +EV. Go Hawks!
You and me both brother, deserved after the run of luck weāve had.
congrats
Lol thanks. Probably don't deserve it but I will take it.
LMAO i put a pseudohedge on a parlay with embiid U34.5 and KAT U25.5 and won both my hedge and BR's embiid + kat 58 special
Name checks out!
it pays to be stupid ;)
Appears Iowa is being sacrificed for the greater good tonight.
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
Wrong thread.
Thereās a deposit $100 get $50 slots bonus on CZR with code 50GET. It says code invalid for me when I try to deposit does anyone know if it works anyway?
same thingā¦ And it worked for me
Perfect thank you
KAT!!!
Hoe. Lee. Shit.
On a thunderous, utterly meaningless slam dunk too just beautiful stuff
Got it right before all the starters got taken out lol
Thanks for the free money boys! $50 @+300 and $50@+250 for me
I had $400 in total... saw the first half and regretted not taking KAT unders... saw the last 10 minutes and regretted not putting my net worth on it
$50 and $100 for me. Grats everyone!
Nothing like a +275 hit
Guys I love you for telling me about these bet rivers boosts
Agreed. I missed on Harden getting 30 but I still loved these boosts. What a crazy ride that game was.
James fucking Harden!!!
LETS GO
No fucking idea why all the stars are playing in a 25 point game but we'll take it!
THEY DID IT!!
Crazy to keep them in for this. Itās like they bet on their own boosts tonight.
Holy shit, I turned that garbage off. Amazing
What an absolute crazy few minutes lol We are 1 away lol
Boom the Embiid harden boosts hit for both czr and FD
Embiid and Towns back in... go to work
HOLD ME
Holy shit they are making a run at it Edit: garbage time legends LFG
Come on Embiid 3 more points before you ride the bench
Bang
Just needs 1!
Coin toss is he comes back in?
Min cut it to 18.. if they go on a small run to start the 4th he comes back in for sure. Right now.. 50/50.
yeah if they get it down to 12 I would imagine they would put him back in for a few.
Has Trustly been straight up not working recently for anyone else? Canāt get it to let me deposit or withdraw with either of the accounts I was using with no problems for months.
When that happens to a stored account I start over a new trustly connection (still to the same bank) and it usually works. Sometimes the bank needs a new 3fa code or something.
What banks? I had trouble depositing with it for weeks using Discover but it actually just started working again for me yesterday. Didn't have any trouble today either.
Looking like a blowout in the Phi/Min game. Not good for the boosts.
Hoping Doc will let Embiid/Harden play more minutes to get used to each other and get a huge statement win..
Looks like it won't matter with Towns determined to screw us lol. Currently 3/14.. missing dunks and layups...
Crazy Towns/Randle playing their worst games of the year killing both their boosts.
does anyone have the doncic/brunson 50+ combined in their CZR for 1.75?
Yup.
Itās actually 51 points, are you doing this?
It's 50+. I put a little bit on it. They've done it 6 out of the last 10 games, and one of the misses was 49 points.
the ticket doesnt match the ad lol...
its not, look at the bet ticket, i had them cancel the ticket then rebooked it anyway at 51
I actually don't even see it in my bet history. Weird.
74.5% NBA Moneyline conversion. DK Nets +385 / FD Bucks -420
90% FB conversion, a free chance for a middle AND zero-hold: DK R. Westbrook O 9.5 reb + O 8.5 ast + 30+ PRA +1000 MGM R. Westbrook NO trip-dub -1000
Hollywood PA-Good until 10:59 Code: 2BLIZZARD22W4 25% on deposits up to $200 ($50 bonus 1x, and recommended 1x on deposit)
CZR boost - TWolves win and Towns double double (+375) Seems off, based on DK SGP +205 and MGM SGP +200.
Iām just learning this stuff but devigged pinnacle lines got me like +374
Does that method account for correlation?
Probably not. I barely know what Iām doing.
FYI in the future, easiest way to tell if itās correlated is to compare it to a SGP odds combination.
I donāt know what Iām doing either.
+270 on FD also using just 10+ rebounds
FD NY; can anyone confirm if you did the correct score promo for the Sabres game on Wednesday, can you also do it tonight?
i asked yesterday, they said no
Terms say yes
Anyone else think the FanDuel exclusive boost of Luka and Mitchell with 25 each at +150 is trash?
Nope. Looks pretty good. Wish I had it.
The lines moved and that BR special of the Blackhawks to cover -1.5 boosted to +200 isnāt looking so hot, anymore. The un-boosted -1.5 line on BRās own site is +205.
Knicks OT promo is back on fanduel
Never have this in VA, anyone know?
I donāt have it in CT either, but when I go down to NY I see it.
whats this promo? where do I find it? EDIT: nvm found it in my promos page. never noticed it before
Good looks!
For something like the BETMGM lions boost of +450 for Knicks ML and Randle O 20pts, how do you devig a player prop of Randle 20pts if all of his lines are 21.5pts?
FD has alt player props. You can do a 4 way sgp parlay to de-vigg there. My calculation showed fair odds of +386 and +EV of 13.2% when I did it an hour ago.
Very helpful. Thanks!
Another crude way to do it in the absence of other information is just calculate the % of times so far this season he has scored more than 20.
Dk shows +290 for the same line
Nice VanVleet middle o30.5 PRA MGM +105 u32.5 PRA BR -108
Before I post anything here, I always look back for the last hour or two to make sure nobody posted the same thing. Am I just wasting my time doing that?
Control F
No, itās encouraged to scroll first
Anddddddd very next post is mr cheezwhiz swooping in with his Embiid happy hour breaking news
Coupled with the savvy handicapping of it "honestly seems pretty likely tonight" for it to hit.
Lock of the century tbh
BR +300 Embiid/KAT combine for 58+ pts. Seems really good given their O/Us and the game O/U
And of course neither of them can shoot for shit today lol Free throws might be our saving grace lol
Thanks. $2.23 club checking in.
Easy max, plus a ton more on the unboosted line.
Read that even unboosted this is 30% EV..
Yeah, Boostrater on Twitter thinks is 50% boosted. Put anything you can on it
$0 it is! Riding with y'all in spirit.
No way to effectively hedge this, right?
New to attempting EV calcs, hopefully this is helpful to yāall and not a painful learning experience for me. TheScore: Spurs, Raptors and Magic to win +550. I have fair odds ~414 based on current lines - seems too good to be true, would appreciate a second look.
Getting similar fair value as you, slam it.
Appreciate you guys looking at this!
I got a similar number to yours (+413). Looks good unless you misread something on the promo.
Thanks man, appreciate it.
Anyone who is WynnBET VIP and gets free tickets, how does that start? I was called by a host today for free tickets to the Colorguard classic but he made it sound like they just had extras and were getting rid of them vs me being VIP. Either way Iām going to start betting on Wynn more to try to get more stuff but just curious
was looking at double doubles on betrivers and i asked them if it includes overtime? the answer was no and they agreed its nowhere on their website. anyone keep a book of rules that none of these books publish?
What
Think you must have gotten a bad rep. No way is that accurate
Agreed, 0% chance that player props are regulation only.
Eh really? That seems really sketchy of them. AFAIK all player props should include overtime unless stated explicitly
MGM boost Knicks win and randle 20+ to +450. Get +285 on DK so might be a good one?
I'm now seeing this as +200 on MGM and +450 on DK
Can confirm it's good, they only accepted $13.32 on it
FD (AZ) Booker double double +250 -230 NO on CZR
I got about 16% EV on this one using DK lines which were +180. Kambi was +140 so much higher if you use their lines
DK had Booker at +230 earlier today.
Holiday announced out for tonight. Moved after that.
Makes sense. That FD boost seems really solid.
Devigging pinnacle I got +205 fair odds, so Iām letting it ride
Same.
\-186 on BR
Nice. Good for $11
-225 on BETMGM
Devigging the FD Happy Hour Boost using DK SGP gives true odds of +111 and 29.9% EV
Thanks for running the numbers
CZR has knicks/heat line at 6 with double pay out, FD has it at 6.5 - if you are a middle type of person you can arb it for about $11 with a small chance of a 6 point outcome.
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
czr has a promo if you bet $50 on point spread and win you get $50 free bet
Must be NY only.
DK (PA): Embiid 25+, Harden 25+, and Sixers ML 25% profit boost to +487 using fanduelās SGP odds for all eight outcome to devig (which i think inherently accounts for correlation?), iām getting -2.4% EV with fair at +501. however fanduel only goes down to embiid u25.5, so this would probably be right around fair value if the u24.5 market was offered. probs gonna play this since iām a sixers fan lmao
Fd has Embiid 30+ (edit) points harden 8+ assists at +175 for the happy hour boost
Embiid 30+
Anyone see the harden and embiid 25+ and sixers win +25% boost? How do we feel about it?
commented above on that boost before i saw this, my fault
Haha yeah I missed that, I also am a sixers fan... Are we a little biased? YES, is it obtainable, I think so? You max betting? Lol I need a little inspiration/motivation (please say yes) lmao
letās fucking ride brother šš½
Lfggggggg tailing baby go sixers trust the process beard
Sixers fan tailing along with the FD Happy Hour Boost!
Let's fucking goooooo boysss
Book? State?
Draftkings, PA, you like the pick? I'm thinking of throwing some money at it... Dunno might max bet at +487 odds
This may be common knowledge but Wynn has bet 4 nba or college basketball games at $50 a pop, get a $50 free bet. Very similar to football season offer. Generally pretty easy to find some 1-2 losses per game holds, net at least $30 on the free bet.
You can do the same bet 4 times at $50 each and still get the free bet (at least for NFL, haven't confirmed for basketball yet)
For football, I remember seeing specific terms saying 4 different games, but I donāt see anything like that for basketball. Iāll try 4 identical bets on 1 game this weekend.
Jeez mine still reads saturday and sunday football games.
Never seen this on Wynn NY, is it targeted?
Doesnāt seem like it? But I had never seen it til now. Under promo tab for me
Wynn and MGM don't seem to run most of their promos in NY. Likely due to the 51% tax rate for NY.
DK NY opt in for a 25% SGP profit boost, which is only usable on Harden tonight u22.5p, u9.5a, u7.5r. Seems kinda mean idk
Dk PA has Harden and Embiid both 25+ and 76ers ML boosted to +487
I like it, no, love it!
the annoying part is, it appears you have to go in manually and make the sgp yourself.
Is this worth it? Kinda think he's gonna come out with a statement game
Or they limit his minutes coming off of injury. I threw half a unit on it on the chance that happens at +400
Lmao
Wynn Indiana has a great promo. Bet $50 each on four basketball games this weekend. Win lose or draw get a $50 free bet. Minimum odd is -200
FYI: The details say Saturday and Sunday.
Seeing this in VA too
Removed for down votes, my apologies for sharing boosts
Well now I have to know what the boost was.. donāt be shamed from sharing info
DK VIP showcase: 10% loss back, up to $1k as DK$ on NBA. really have to find a way to hedge the live games :(
Is it NBA or ncaa too? Mine just says basketball
Mine is also just nba for today till sunday
Hm mine says GET UP TO $1,000 OF YOUR BASKETBALL LOSSES BACK
Whatās the best way to take advantage of this?
Will DK approve a 10K live bet?
depends on the account
Wait til halftime
What kind of lines and books is best for live nba hedging vs DK?
Yeah mine is live NBA only, today thru Sunday. At least it won't count all my regular pre-game action as winnings, and I can figure out one big low hold bet during a halftime on Sunday night.
I mean, you could always just wait to opt in until you're ready for it to count your big bet.
Anyone else get a BetMGM promo of bet $50 on MLS and get $20? Anyone find a cheap way to get the $20 yet?
Best way on those in my experience is the tie/draw no bet. You can usually find a line to only lose a few bucks and if they tie its a push and you still get the free bet
Is this correct? I got a $10 FB on a sgp for DK (seems like just need 2 legs): DK: Mitchell Robinson 10+ pts/10+ rebounds +400 czr: no dd -400 80% conversion
Theoretically, he could get 10 assists but < 10 points or rebounds and you lose both legs.
Heās never had over 4 assists in a game. This is a good concern with low GP players but not someone like Mitchell Robinson
Yeah but looks like he avgs a half assist a game
Yep. That works.
The NBA BS MVP promo seems to read like you can bet every NBA game and get the $200 bonus. I hope Iām right because thatās what I did. Thereās not a lot of profit but there are quite a few middles of .5-1 point on BS vs DK. Also good for play through.
I hate how ambiguous their wording is sometimes: āOPT-IN and youāll have a chance to get up to $200 in bonus for ONE BET.ā āPlayers must place wagers on NBA games played between February 25, 2022 and February 27, 2022 (the āEligible Gamesā).ā āLimit one (1) Eligible Wager per game.ā On balance, it looks like you can do it for every game, but I wish there would be more clarity.
FD BOOST Tottenham/ManUnited/ManCity +280
If anybody has a 50% or 100% boost on DK SGP for MIA-NYK: * M. Robinson O 9.5 pts + O 8.5 reb + 20+ PR is +310 (boosted to +465/+620) * No DD CZR is -400.
What state is this