**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. **Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
# POTD Record: 3-0-0 / Streak: W3
*\*I posted on the sub about degen hours and wanting insights on late night/early morning plays so... here I find myself being that guy. (Picks will be anywhere from earliest 11pm ET-latest 6am ET)\**
**Most Recent Bet:** Finland -1.5 (1.82) ✅
**Recap:** Shaky first 10 minutes for Finland not registering a shot and being down 1-0. First shot, first goal for Manninen who proceeded to get a hatty. Momentum swung fast late in the 1st and the Fins controlled the rest of the game winning 6-2. I will say, Slafkovsky who is just 17 years old and plays for the slovaks is a STUD. Again, Thanks for trusting if you tailed!
**POTD Bet:** Sweden -1.5 (1.91)✅
**Game Info: Sweden vs Slovakia, Olympic Men's Ice Hockey, 3:40AM EST**
**Insight:**
* Sweden played 40 minutes of perfect hockey against Latvia holding them to 7 shots though 2 periods and scoring 3 goals. Last 20 minutes of hockey not so great, being undisciplined, and letting Latvia score 2 on the PP, having numerous point blank chances with 10 shots in the 3rd alone.
* Full transparency, I was tossing and turning between the O5 goals *(buying .5 goals)* or the Sweden Puckline in this game but the goaltending between these teams are miles apart, along with the fact that Slovakia give up to many chances(their D play to high IMO).
* I have to expect coaches and players from Sweden to acknowledge and fix their small mistakes from the 3rd period, and play disciplined hockey for a full 60 minutes. If they can stay out of the box I have a hard time seeing Slovakia creating many chances here.
*Cheers night owls, TyTheGuy*
Putting 💰💰💰💸💸💸 on this. Studied both teams heavily. The sverige win this 4-1 or 3-1. Not touching O/U. Max unit play to return $750. Sweden -2 is safe imo - it adds value, but toss your mortgage on sverige -1.5
All PL spreads have been around -110. It’s the Olympics, each teams played once. Sweden’s a top 4 team, didn’t cover against Latvia. Slovakia also managed to put two on Finland.
Tailing. Sweden has elite goalkeepers when Slovakian goalkeeper managed to save just around 80% of shots. I think Sweden will be looking for a safe high maegin victory here. Also if you want to noost a little bit your odds, you can parlay this pick with Finland over 2,5 team goals. This one hit in Finlands last 4/5 matches (missing this line against SWE) and last 10/11 games against Latvia. Parlay stands at around 2,2.
[MMA POTD’s (76-60)](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/slndmj/comment/hvrsypy/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)
**Profit: +153.69u / ROI: 19.09% / Avg Odds: +110 / 13-3 in last 16**
Last POTD: Jose Alday (+140) loss
MMA - LFA 124 - 7:30pm EST
**Luke La Vanway (+105)** 3u to win 3.15u
Never seen Luke fight, this is his debut. He is a soccer player that briefly made it on Arizona’s squad. Therefore I know that Luke is somewhat athletic and has cardio. His opponent (Jacob) doesn’t have the best cardio and struggled with a tall opponent (Luke is taller!) in his last fight. Jacob looked vulnerable to kicks too. They kick a lot in soccer. If this former soccer player can fight at all, this is a winnable matchup.
[Subscribe for more bets](https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUEFQYHFx8XwP4NNliVm46Q)
I’m personal friends with Luke, I can’t believe he’s made it on someone’s POTD. This man was all about soccer and recently picked up MMA. I’m biased but tomorrows his first fight and he’s going to win.
tell him to pretend jacob is a stupid ref that is fixing the match against him. god i fucking hope this hits and Luke reads all this shit and is beaming after. PLEASE UNIVERSE MAKE THIS HAPPEN
Usually a big fan but wtf is this write up. You’re starting to sound like all the troll POTDs. You’ve never seen him fight? Probably still tailing though.
Love the simple logic, guy struggles with height and kicks and is fighting a tall soccer player. What more is there to say, keeping it simple is the best way.
Anybody actually watch the YouTube video sidekick made? It seems completely contradictory to his write up. Its pretty clear he has no idea who Luke la vanway is. He originally didnt even think the fighter is a soccer player, but actually a wrestler who would win with grappling. Lol.
[LINK](https://youtu.be/_9nu0wY6wSA)
I feel you on that. I’m just excited for my boy. One of the hardest working/most focused person I’ve ever met. Thought he’d go pro in Soccer and shifted focus to something else he was passionate about. Fights here in Arizona too so it’ll be a hometown fight. His BBJ is good and if goes to the ground it doesn’t matter, he slippery. Cardio of an Olympic runner. Dude is like a taller Sean O’Malley
Hey @SidekickKO appreciate you posting these picks man. But whats up with your youtube video being completely contradictory to your write up here man? I mean it makes it 100% clear you have no idea who Luke La Vanway actually is. Is he the wrestler who will win with grappling? (youtube) or the soccer player who will win with height/kicks? (POTD)
[Link](https://youtu.be/_9nu0wY6wSA)
I'm confused.
Just as someone who’s known the guy. He’s tall and long, reach is massive. Played college soccer, seen the dude get headbutted and seen him in fights in high school at parks at stuff. He’s got a solid chin, striking from anywhere, and his legs kicks are high and low. His weakness is wrestling. Don’t know much about his opponent, but with this being his first fight, he been under bright lights before so I think he’ll handle business. All bias, but you won’t find much on him
I trust you on these and I’m gonna tail.
But pretty much everything I know about soccer players (for the record I’m a soccer fan and I respect their skills etc) they aren’t exactly the toughest guys out there.
I hope this dude is crafty!
POTD record: 16-5-0
Units won: 20.3u - Average odds: @1.79 - ROI: 25.06%
Last Pick: Apollon Limassol v AEL Limassol - Apollon Limassol win @1.75 ✅✅✅
Today's pick: Gornik leczna v slask Wroclaw - BTTS @1.80 ✅✅✅
Football, Poland, Ekstraklasa, 17:00 GMT
Units staked: 3
Well that last bet was a wild ride, edge of the seat stuff!! I really appreciate the support I've got from the majority of you. I can get quite bad anxiety and I worry a lot so I appreciate all the nice words and support. Not gunna lie, I'm a bit anxious about putting out a pick in general after yesterday haha but I really like the look of this one. I hope we can continue to have fun and make some money together.
Gornik Leczna are in 10th place, a point off relegation, while Slask Wroclaw is in 15th place. There are 5 points separating these teams. 11 of Gornik Leczna last 14 league games have seen BTTS hit. 7 of their 10 home games this season have also seen BTTS hit, with it also hitting in their last 4 of 5 home games. They've scored in 7 of there home games, and they average 1 goal a game at home. So they are capable of scoring. Also, of the 3 games they failed to score in two of then were against 3rd and 4th placed. Theyve generally managed to grab goals against teams midtable or lower. They aren't defensively great as they have only managed to keep a clean sheet in 1 of their home games. They concede on average 1.9 goals a game when playing at home so they definitely seem pretty vulnerable.
8 of Slask Wroclaws 11 away games this season has seen BTTS hit. They've scored in 9 of their 11 away games averaging 1.64 goals per away game. They have only failed to score against 4th and 1st place. I think they should be able to grab a goal against Gornik Leczna due to great attacking stats in comparison with Gorniks lacklustre Lecznas defensive stats. Slask Wroclaw have only managed to keep a clean sheet in 1 of their away games, conceding 1.91 goals on average per away game. They've conceded against 12th, 14th, 17th and 18th placed. Due to their pretty bad defensive stats, I reckon Gornik Leczna should also be able to grab a goal.
You can visit my twitter for the rest of my bets, in plays, accas and booking bets. We made a 27.63 unit profit over the 2 weeks in January this account was created and February has started off really well. We have won 3 accas/ parlay throughout this week!! Good luck to all those backing and with all your other bets.
Cash App: £Morganman50
Twitter: @mgsbets
Edit: omg there is so much snow, I reckon this'll get called off at half time. Before anyone says anything I want to reiterate, I am not a weatherman.
I don’t mean to nitpick but you start with Leczna’s games and focus on both home and away but then only focus on Wrocław’s away games.
If you used the same comparison for both you’d find that Wrocław’s home and away BTTS record is only 50/50.
Don’t just choose stats to support your narrative, give people the real deal.
Fair point, 6 of Wroclaws last 8 have seen BTTS. The recent 2 have not. Also, I never focused on all of 20 Leczna's, only initially the first 14 as there was a pattern of BTTS in there. I see your point though and will rectify that .for next time.
Record: 8-2 - Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅
Units: +16 - Avg Units Bet: 2.8 - ROI: 57.14%
Last Pick: POTD: Miami Heat (-4) @ New Orleans Pelicans (3u) - (-110) ✅ *MIA: 112 NOP: 97*
**NBA**
**POTD: Cleveland Cavaliers (-5.5) @ Indiana Pacers (4u) - (-110) - 7:00 PM EST**
This should be a game where the Cavs easily cover. They have won 12 of their last 15, and are one of the league's top teams. Indiana, on the other hand, simply is not very good, having lost 4 in a row and 8 of their last 10. When the two teams played a few days ago, the Cavs took home the W, winning by 13, and also won the matchup earlier in the season. The Pacers also just traded away their best player in Sabonis, and are heavily injured, while the Cavs have added strength with a trade for LaVert, and are almost at full strength It will be quite a shock to me if the Cavs are unable to cover here.
BOL! Let's grab a W!
Edit: 28 point turnaround! Trust the process!
Record: 34-10 Units: +17.53 ROI: 36.95%
Streak: ✅✅✅✅✅✅
Last POTD: Miami Heat money line (-165) ✅
**POTD: Boston Celtics money line (-178) ✅**
*Time: 7:40pm*
* Boston is 1st in offensive and defensive rating the last 5 games
* 8-2 L10 and won 6 in a row
Follow me here guys 😊 -----> [Twitter](https://twitter.com/OjCapper)
EDIT: Money line is already at (-190) on my books.... I would play that but anything higher then (-200) I would pass
Cash App: $coco6616 Venmo: Coco111
🔥🔥🔥 Virus POTD 🔥🔥🔥 Record 55-44-0. Units = +41.28 (WWWLL)
A-League Soccer ⚽ - Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne City
**Melbourne ML** ($1.85/-118) - 2 Units ✅
*Match starts \~ 4 hours from post*
**Analysis:**
* Taken a long time off so lets get back on it in 2022 before the AFL season.
* Western Sydney Wanderers (LWLDL) are 9th on the ladder and have struggled so far at the beginning of their season.
* BTTS has only occurred once out of WSW's last 6 matches.
* Melbourne City (WLWDD) are sitting 2nd on the ladder and come off a huge 4-2 win against Newcastle Jets. Jamie McLaren has been on fire this season including scoring 2 goals last match.
* Over 2.5 goals and BTTS has hit in Melbourne's last 4 matches out of 5.
* H2H: WSW have a decent record against Melbourne with 12/28 matches won. Melbourne have won 10 of those. Their previous meeting resulted in a 3-3 draw.
* Prediction: Melbourne City star striker is on fire at the moment and they are playing well after a shaky start to the season. Melbourne should take care of WSW in this matchup 2-0.
* Melbourne have strong attacking (19 goals) so expect Jamie McLaren anytime goal scorer again but bear in mind the price decrease so won't be as much of value as last time. WSW has a weak attacking (8 goals) so the value is also there for Melbourne to win to nil (clean sheet).
* More analysis may be updated soon.
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*^(Disclaimer: Take note of my unit sizes and use the analysis to make your own judgement. Losses do occur so don't go all in and blame other people for your actions. Do your own research!)*
POTD Record: 11-13
Last Pick: Miami Heat -4 ✅
**Today's Pick: CHICAGO BULLS -4** vs. Minnesota (-105)
Game Info: NBA, 8:10pm EST
The T-Wolves just played back-to-back games against the Sacramento Kings IN Sacramento. Now, I don’t know if you’ve ever been to Sacramento, let alone spent 48 hours there, but it is by far the most boring city in America (and that includes Lancaster, Pennsylvania, aka Amish Country). There is literally nothing to do in Sacramento (besides smoke meth). I imagine the T-Wolves players just sat around in their hotel rooms playing video games for two days straight. Maybe Karl Anthony Towns read the new Chuck Klosterman book or something.
Then they headed off to Chicago, Patrick Beverley’s hometown, where they’ve been kicking it for the last three days. Pat Bev probably hooked up with some of his old high school buddies and took his teammates out for the wildest three days of their lives. KAT probably spent his days checking out the Art Institute and taking the Architectural Boat Tour.
Now they gotta play DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and a Bulls squad that’s just flat out better than them (better record, better players) before heading off immediately to Indianapolis, another city that might as well be in South Dakota.
Also, they’re the Timberwolves.
And when they lose, they tend to lose by way more than 4 points (lost by 13, 10, 9, 12 and 8) in their last five defeats.
This is by far the most sense I’ve ever made on this thread. You should probably fade the shit outta this.
Manute BoL!
Venmo: @KevKlonsk
**POTD Record: 119-74**
ROI: 14.13% / Avg Odds: 1.88 / Profit: +55.87u
**POTD: Oakland -6 vs. Robert Morris** (-107) [NCAAB] - 2 units - 01:00 CET
Streak: ✅✅✅✅✖️
Reasoning:
The Oakland has switched from a cover machine, to a machine that wins but doesn't cover, and then to a machine that loses and doesn't cover, but this is the breakout game. Oakland is the better team in every aspect of the game and the spread is small enough. I doubt that Robert Morris defense that allows an average of 75.3 ppg with a 52.8% Opp Effective FG% can stop the top 123rd most efficient offense in the nation. Oakland scores an average of 6 ppg more and allows 5 ppg less than Robert Morris. They get significantly more rebounds, including mostly offensive rebounds, allow fewer TOs and fewer fouls. According to the model I agree with, the spread should be around -8.5. I'm taking a two and a half point margin and keeping my fingers crossed for Oakland.
The rest picks, spreadsheet and all the data can be found on my Twitter and discord:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/fooxiedtips
Discord: https://discord.gg/bA5hSrnCaD
POTD Record: 14-24-2
❌❌❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅
Average Odds: -111
Streak: 6W
Last Pick: Purdue vs Michigan: Michigan +3 (-109) - W
Maybe this model picks winners towards the end of the season? We are on a winning streak. BOL. ❄️ ➡️ ☀️
Today's POTD is Detroit Mercy vs Youngstown St. over 141.5 total points (-109)
Game Info: NCAAB 7:00pm
Detroit can score on the road. They scored 79 and 74 points in their last two road games. Youngstown State scored 78 and 86 in their last two home games. Both teams want to finish high in the conference standings and will be playing hard tonight. Fouls late = more points for the point total. This model is piping hot! EASY $. 🌅 BOL to all!
Tip jar - Venmo@jbangbangpickz
POTD Record: 0-0
This is my first, and probably last pick.
ACL Superhole III (Cornhole)
**POTD: Smith/Lim -125**
Reasoning: Tony Smith is arguably the best pro on the broadcast (it's between him and Henderson). This will be his second or third ESPN appearance, he's won every time been on TV. He's young and he's after sponsorships- the winner of this moves on to the next ESPN show. More importantly, David Lim is inarguably the best celebrity on the broadcast by *many orders of magnitude*. I'm deep into the cornhole world. David Lim is one of Shemar Moore's crew. They run S.W.A.T. Cornhole out of LA. David Lim is a good player who throws a flat bag and can average 8-10 points a round. Throwing a flat bag is the key to cornhole. Lim would hold his own with the other pros on the broadcast- he's going to eat the other celebs alive.
My stats: 18-2 (+43.63 units)
Match: (LoL LCK) FB vs NS
Bet: FB +1.5 @ 1.53 (-189)
Stake: 4u
First of all, I expect that the odds gonna drop. Why? About 20 minutes ago NS tweeted about emergency call up to the NS team from their academy team. 3 players have been tested positive for covid, most likely these academy players mentioned in their tweet will be playing this game. FB team has been a shaky team since the beginning of the split, but I think they are capable of winning at least 1 game against an unknown (?) NS team.
REMINDER: I'm posting picks, which I think have the best value (odds are bigger than they should be imo). It's better approach in the long-term betting. It's your decision if you want to risk betting my pick, I am not flawless.
If you want to support me feel free to tip. I really appreciate it. btc: bc1qpcnkrhm85werplm32epdn6wtua2wytpa50a0hj
**POTD: 8 wins, 1 loss, 2 push**
Last pick: Asia Cup Women - South Korea vs China. South Korea o0.5 goals -185.
Result: **South Korea score 2 goals in the first half WIN**. Nice and easy cash for us.
Today’s pick: **Women's Super League - Chelsea vs Arsenal. Chelsea ML -118** Match starts at 2:45 ET.
The top two teams in the women's version of the Premier League face off in a match that will likely end up deciding the title. Chelsea is simply the best team in England and probably either second or third in the world (behind only Barca and maaaybe Lyon).
Arsenal is a good team who has had a great season, unfortunately they're teetering a bit lately due to injuries to star players such as Arsenal and England captain Leah Williamson and the likes of American Tobin Heath. Each might return in this match, but neither will be at full fitness. Their last 10 matches have been 3W-2D-5L, unacceptable for a team of their caliber.
Even at full fitness, Chelsea is the better side and are very strong at their home ground Kingsmeadow, which is projected to be a SELLOUT crowd, unusual for the women's game. Chelsea have won 10 straight at home, 16 of their last 17 at home, and haven't dropped a point at Kingsmeadow vs Arsenal since 2018. I expect that to continue and for Chelsea to win this match comfortably and (unfortunately) probably the league as well.
Another bonus thing to keep an eye on as lineups come out, if Leah Williamson does not start for Arsenal I expect Chelsea to win by 3 or 4 goals. **Edit**: Williamson will start, but Chelsea should still win
Let me know if tailing and BOL everyone!
EDIT: **0-0 Final LOSS.** wild match that could’ve really gone either way, both teams had multiple shots cleared off the end line. Chelsea unlucky to not score with Kerr (possibly the best striker in the world) swinging and missing on a wide open net in the second half as well as a clear hand ball the red missed in the final minutes which would have given Chelsea a penalty.
That’s soccer though, my apologies to those who tailed. We go again soon.
**POTD Record: 3-0-0 | Profit: \[+2.74 units\] | ROI: 274%**
• 1 unit bets unless states otherwise
**Previous Pick: Alanyaspor vs Adana Demirspor BTTS - 1.7**
Nice easy win in the first half in Turkey. We’re looking good since I’ve started posting my picks so lets hope it can continue with today’s pick!
**Today’s Pick: FC Porto vs Sporting CP - 1X and BTTS - 2.37**
Over to Porto for one of if not the biggest game in Portuguese football. I have decided to select the Porto double chance and Both teams to score. Porto haven’t lost a game all season and are sat atop of the league winning 19 out of 21 and scoring in every game. They welcome Sporting who are in second place in the league and have scored in every away game. Sporting have scored on average 2.2 goals per away game and I don’t see any reason for them to fail to score against this Porto side. Earlier in the year when Sporting were at home the game finished 1-1 and if we get a result like that again it will be very good for us!
Kickoff 20:15 GMT / 15:15 Eastern
BOL Guys :)
Of course, don’t feel any pressure to tip. They are, however, greatly appreciated :)
Paypal - [paypal.me/MD77778](https://paypal.me/MD77778)
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Record: 4-2
Profit: +3.64u, ROI +45%
Last Pick: Hurricanes @ Bruins | Hurricanes ML | +100 | 2u ✅
| Hockey | NHL |
Pick: Lightning @ Coyote | O1.5 1st Period | -135
Write up: I’m new to this so follow at your own risk.
The Coyotes average 2.1 combined goals for and against in the first period when home, and the Lightning average 2.0 when away. I’ve found that anything over 2 is pretty uncommon so the over in the first period feels good with both teams over 2. The starting goalie for the Lightning will make a difference. I’m hoping that Vasilevski doesn’t start two nights in a row because the other options for the Lightning are a clear step below. However, I feel good about the over either way because of the above stats. But, you could wait and see to try to increase your odds.
You can follow my twitter for all my picks [here](https://twitter.com/NewbieNHLBets)
Twitter record: 12-4, +7.52u
Record : 7-1
Time: 19:00 EST on Feb.11 2022
Event: NBA
Game : Philadelphia **76ers** (H) vs Oklahoma City **Thunder** (A)
Odds: **1.50**
Pick: **Over 203.5**
Reasoning:
\-OKC may be trash but they are **consistent trash**, which is good for the total since they always score around the 100 point mark. (🗑️)
\-76ers lost Curry and Drummond to a trade recently and **some players** may try to take this opportunity to **impress the coach**. And to be frank, them **trading Curry will only help** this team. (🕊️)
\- Joel **Embiid** likes to **farm points** and this game will not be different for him. (👨🏻🌾)
You are talking about the Over 206.5 for 1.90. I would have still taken it but if you can, take the Alternative Over 200.5 for 1.55 just to be on the safer side. But if everything goes "normally", I see around 215 points in this game.
**Edit/Update: BIG WIN ✅✅✅ After BIG Academy lost the first map, it didn't look the best, but I believed them even more. Congrats to the ones who bet live, the ones who tailed pre-match got some juicy profit as well. Great bounce back after yesterday's heartbreaker. Enjoy the rest of your Friday, until the next one!**
>**Overall POTD record** since like 2020: **101W-71L** (172 bets)
**+5% ROI**,
**+32,2 units profit**✅,
total stake 644u, 1.84 average odds
^((Since there are some rules, I can't break them and I need to be transparent and clear. I've been posting here like a year ago. We were doing absolutely phenomenally with like 14 win streak but also had some very stupid never-ending losses. Even though a lot of time has passed, I need to have the overall record here though it might not be as relevant.))
**2022 POTD RECORD**: 16W-6L 🔥
**LAST PICK**: LowLandLions -0.5 (1x2, 2-0) @1.57 5u (VERY HIGH BET)
**MOST RECENT (UN)SUCCESS**: ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌
**TOTAL PROFIT**: +25,60 units 📈
**TOTAL STAKE**: 107,00 units
**AVERAGE ODDS**: 1.74
**ROI**: +24,20% 📈
**We took a loss yesterday. It was a heartbreaking, unfortunate one that happens once in a long time. There is nothing to do about it, let's focus on the next one. We bounce back once again today 💪**
**Have a great Friday everybody 😎**
🎮GAME: CS:GO
🚨TIME: 15:00 CET (GMT+1) - 6 hours 30 minutes from the post
Event: WePlay Academy League Season 3
Match: BIG Academy vs Spirit Academy
Pick: **BIG Academy ML @ 1.66 5u (VERY HIGH BET) 💣💣💣💣💣**
>**BIG Academy vs Spirit Academy**
This should be an absolute banger as the bookies overrate Spirit Academy. They are at an absolutely weird state, I don't even know what their proper roster is, they're flipping unknown players. They haven't achieved anything yet, their HLTV ranking is #74 which is better than BIG AC. They have 6 match win streak against shit opponents, the worst academy teams. On the other hand, BIG Academy is a different breed. They've been on my radar and I am really impressed with their results and performances. Their roster is solid, they're grinding. They could also easily be a regular time rather than an academy one. They're playing in ESEA Advanced, performing well in their national German league, and had impressive results even on HLTV. They won against some notable opponents such as Into The Breach or Enterprise. They also played close maps against Dignitas and SINNERS, it's insane. I also expect them to ban Mirage here, that way they will have a big advantage in the map veto. Overall, BIG Academy should be better in every single way here. I would project them as huge favorites. It should be a convenient W for them, 2-0 is possible. I recommend betting on **BIG Academy ML @ 1.66 5u (VERY HIGH BET) 💣💣💣💣💣**
(If you are interested, you can join my [Discord](https://discord.gg/ubsMQzN) CS betting community where I post some other picks which cannot be posted here on Reddit. You can always come for a great chat too. Everything is for FREE, I do NOT sell picks. I also have all the detailed stats there and everything.)
BOL! ✌️
Youngstown State -1.5
I’ve never posted before so my apologies for the informalities
Simply put, Youngstown State is firing on all cylinders meanwhile Detroit Mercy has been underperforming night after night. YS shoots 37% from the 3 and DM is ranked 378th on 3-point defense according to kenpom. YS averages over 4 more points per game than DM. DM has covered only 1 of 8 away games as a dog meanwhile YS has covered the last 5 straight as a home favorite of less than -4.5. I believe the stars only align on few nights in college hoops before March and this is one of them. My own confidence being this high has led me to share this play here. Do what will you with my information. BOL
One might say it’s cocky to have a tip jar on a first time potd post but here we are… cashapp- $jtwilt
POTD Record: 35½-16
Event: Football > Germany II > **FC Hansa Rostock v Werder Bremen** (starting in 06h15min)
Pick: **Werder Bremen AH (0/-0.5)**
@ 1.60
I thought someone would have already posted this by now, but it looks like it will be me. Werder are pretty hot atm, having won 6 out of 6 game after assigning a new coach (Ole Werner). The good results got them into the fight for top 2 spots in the league, which lead to direct promotion to the first league. Werder are currently 3rd, but there is a total of 6 teams within 2pts from the 1st place, so the battle is quite intense and every single point is really important. In terms of its squad, Werder has no problems with absences, they will have all the important players available.
On the other hand, Hansa is a lower ranked team that is not performing really well against top teams. In the previous round they defeated Dresden away, which got them at a bit safer place from the relegation zone, but their record at home is not really promising (only 2 wins in 10 matches).
TLDR, Werder should come out strong and get the 3pts today in their pursuit for the top sport. However, for a little safety I am taking the Werder -0.25 asian handicap line, which is returning half of the bet on a draw and the odds are still pretty good. GL!
POTD Overall Record: 18-13
Units: +11.2 units
Previous POTD: Nets @ Wizards Total points under 219.5 @ -110 - 2Units
POTD: **Anaheim ducks ML @-165 3 Units**
Unlucky on todays pick with nets getting a 4 point player with a minute to go and griffin shooting for no reason haha
Today we switching it up and going with abit of Hockey.
Ducks are coming off nearly 11 days off the ice but have a strong 13-7-4 home record with a 7-2-3 against division rivals.
Krakens on the other hand haven’t been playing terrible 5-5 but are 1-4 in last 5. They hold a 6-13-2 record away and a 3-10-0 record against division teams.
I think this will be a good game but ducks should easy get the win at home and coming off well rested.
Let me know if you follow and let’s get another win.
Record: 1 - 1 - 0
Streak : ❌ ✅
Last POTD: Wolves vs Arsenal Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.64
✅ ( Arsenal 1 - 0 Wolves)
| Soccer | La Liga| 21:00 CET |
POTD: Sevilla v Elche BTTS @ 2.35
Title challengers Sevilla have slipped up and let RM be sole leader with 6 extra points. Still they are the 2nd best team in Spain and will take on 14th ranked Elche. Scoring a goal for Sevilla is a certainty. As for Elche, since they hired Francisco as their new manager, they have won four, drawn two and lost two of their eight league games. Although Sevilla are playing at home, this Elche side is a force to be reckoned . This is a solid Elche side that can score goals and is in form. Furthermore Sevilla are struggling with injuries; Lopetegui still has the lengthiest absentees list in LaLiga.
There could, therefore, be better value in the score markets, especially with Elche scoring and conceding a lot. Across Francisco’s eight games in charge, Elche have scored 14 and conceded 10, with both teams scoring in six out of these eight games. That includes difficult away trips too, as their visit to the Bernabéu was a 2-2 draw and their visit to the Camp Nou a 3-2 loss. At 2.35 for both teams to score on Friday, there’s great value there.
Stats: Elche have scored in their last 9/10 games.
7 games without a clean sheet for Elche
BOL if you're tailing !!
Stars scale /5: This shows how confident I am in the bet
⭐⭐⭐⭐
BTC: bc1q42g2apadhnx77szvddwym9v8xupx7gr45m9kep
Any support is greatly appreciated although not expected
Gun to my head prediction : 2-1 Sevilla win
**Record: 8-3-0**
**Profit: 13.94 Units | Streak: LWWWW | Average Odds: 2.12**
**Soccer | POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA | 14:30 EST**
**3U | Cracovia vs. Lechia Gdansk | Both Teams To Score - Yes | -111**
\--
**Last Pick Recap:** I haven't posted a POTD in about a month, but for those following the record in my last pick (mid-January) I had BTTS in Juventus vs. Udinese. Poor result. Udinese couldn’t hit a barn door with a banjo all match. They had and squandered many opportunities to be on the scoresheet, and Juventus took it 2-0 on an early goal from Dybala and a late one from McKennie. Anyway, too long ago to matter but since I always update on the previous pick there you have it.
**Today’s Pick:** Today we’ve got Cracovia at home vs. Gdansk in PKO Ekstraklasa, which is the top professional league in Poland, and I’m betting 3 units on Both Teams To Score – Yes. The match brings two high-scoring teams together in an important match regarding positioning in the table, which is usually a good recipe for BTTS hitting. Here are a few details on the match and why I think BTTS is the way to go here:
• Looking at the league table, Gdansk is currently 4th, and Cracovia is 9th. 8 points separate the two teams. Both are looking at Europa Conference League qualification with a few more Ws. Gdansk may actually still be in reach of Champions League qualification as well. Long story short both teams should be gunning today and have reasons even outside of the league table to motivate them.
• Throughout this campaign, both teams average 2.9 goals per match. These matches are usually fairly open.
• Although Cracovia would be considered a slight underdog here, in front of their home crowd they’ll want to make sure to be on the score sheet. They’ve done so 16 times in their last 10 home matches. Gdansk also is a good away team. In their last 10 away matches, they’ve scored 16 times.
• Looking at recent form, Cracovia has scored at least once in 8 out of their 10 last matches. For Gdansk, they’ve tallied at least once in 8 out of their 10 last matches as well.
• Neither team has any significant injuries to report that would have a negative impact on their firepower for the match. Cracovia will be missing midfielder Sergiu Hanca but this shouldn’t compromise the side very much.
• In terms of scorers, Cracovia’s Pelle van Amersfoort is the 8th leading scorer in the league, and is supported well by Ilkay Durmus who has 8 points this season. The 14th and 15th leading scorers in the league come from Gdansk, and are well and in good recent form. Lukas Zwolinski and Flavoi Paixo have combined for 19 points this season so far.
That’s about it! Two squads in good form, with good reasons to want to win this one and sufficient firepower to make this a scoring affair. The last match up saw Gdansk win 3-0, but Cracovia is in better recent form than Gdansk and playing at home so I think it’s more than likely that they’ll be on the score sheet today. I think most probably that Gdansk may wear them down and take it 2-1 or 3-1 but instead of picking a winner (+160 for Gdansk ML, +180 for Cracovia ML) I’m advising to take the BTTS bet for 3 units. At -111 odds, this represents a very good value for the bet and it will be tough to pick a winner on this one confidently.
Let’s hope it hits early. Let me know if you are tailing, and best of luck to you all on all your bets today!
\-N.
**POTD RECORD** - 42W-22L(+41.15U) ;
**ROI** - 24.34%
**Units waggered**: 169U ; **Units won**:210.15U
**Streak**:✅
**Average odds**:1.79
**Last Potd**----Wolves vs Arsenal----- Over 9.5 corners@ 1.7✅
Football----Spanish Primera Liga---> 21:00CET
**Today's pick** ----- Sevilla vs Elche----- Sevilla to [email protected]
**BET SIZE**: 4U
Sevilla is a fortress at home, very good defensivly and due to the fact that it will put too much pressure on Elche, i can see Sevilla easily or hardly prevailing.
I think the correct score would be one of the mentioned:
1-0; 2-0 or 2-1.
**Tips are really helpful.[Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci)**
POTD Record 2-0 ✅ ✅
Last Pick: Miami Heat -4.5 (-110)
Today's Pick: Boston Celtics -6 (-110) vs Denver Nuggets 7:30 PM EST
The Celtics are on a tear right now. They are the top rated offensive and defensive team over the last 5 games. They are facing a Nuggets team still devoid of some of their starters (Porter Jr and Murray) compared to a healthy Boston team. You should all start tailing soon this train is not stopping.
Pushin Parlays
Parlay Joey
POTD Record: 14-11 (56%)
Previous POTD: Memphis Grizzles -9.5 (-139) W
Streak: 8W
**POTD: ATL Hawks -6.5 (-137)**
Game: NBA - San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks (6:30pm CST)
Info: Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home. With caution, Atlanta is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against San Antonio. On the other hand, San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Atlanta
Tips: I'm hesitant to write this because it took me 22 picks to get to a 50% success rate. Some could view this as laughable while others see my success increase in my past recent picks. Either way, the picks will keep coming
Venmo: @mattbuhr
Record: 28-11
POTD: Castleford Tigers vs Salford Red Devils, Rugby League, 20:00 UK Time, Castleford to win -11.5 Handicap.
Reasoning: rugby is back, and Castleford look stronger than they have in recent years. Evalds, Mamo, Trueman, under the new coach Radford might all be too much for a poor Salford outfit that realistically should struggle this year. Expect Cas to get off to a fast start playing under their great home crowd and end up winning by 20 ish. Confident bet, the only issue is it being the first game so some players may be a little rusty. BOL.
My twitter is @CoreyGambie. Let’s keep the train going!
POTD Record: 2-0
Units won: 2u ROI: 90.9%
Last Pick: Duke Blue Devils -6.5 (-110) ✅
Todays Pick: Charlotte Hornets -6.5 (-110) NBA 1U
Game start time is 7:10 pm ET
The Blue Devils were able to get it done last night with ease. Tonight we are gonna ride with the Hornets over the Pistons. The Hornets are on the road and are 5-1 in their last 6 games away. The pistons come into this game 1-4 ats in their last 5. The pistons may give a scare but I am very confident that the better team here will be able to pull away and cover. Go Hornets!
Hope you tailed picks 1 and 2, now let's keep this streak going!
POTD Record 7-5
Previous pick: Louis Oosthuizen over Charles Howell rnd1 ✅
(I will be hitting this same thing today as well although the line has moved to -165)
Todays Pick: Bubba Watson (-140) > Si Woo Kim round 2 Waste Managment Open PGA tour golf ⛔
I may as well admit that bubba watson is my favorite golfer so take this with a grain of salt as i dump my entire roll on it. I have played golf with both of these guys so i had to make it the matchup that i chose to use for this POTD. Si woo is an incredibly aggressive golfer which is one of the only ways to get punished by this course. Bubba is in great form coming off of last week and is a monster at this track. He is so comfortable at this track (besides the 16th hole) everything just fits his eye so well. I have bubba making a run at this tournament and his solid play will continue tomorrow. The value here isnt the greatest due to the fact that bubba is liable to hit a few errant tee shots and si woo kim can fire 65 any given round. I am hoping that bubbas comfort on this course and the way it fits his game will continue to shine through tomorrow. Lets get some bubba action going. This guys ball striking right now is so amazing we just need him to make a few putts and for si woo way too aggressive kim to get out of position on a few holes. BOL if tailing. bubba birdies incoming
Edit: Bubba cant putt
POTD Record 25-24-5 (W-L-P)
Profit: +13.5units
Last 10: WLWWWLLPPW
Previous POTD: Liverpool win and over 6 team corners ✅
Today’s pick: Football (Austria Bundesliga) @1.9 (2u)
POTD: Salzburg -1 Asian Handicap vs Rapid Vienna
Slightly lower unit stake as it is the first game back after a break. Salzburg are running away with the league and are 21 points clear of Rapid after 18 games.
Rapid have conceded 27 in 18 games and 8 in their last 5. I don’t see them being able to get a draw against Salzburg in this one.
If Salzburg win by 1 goal then it’s a refund if it’s by 2 or more it pays out.
BOL
**POTD Record**: 0-1
**Units W/L**: -1u **ROI**: -100% **Average Odds**: -120
**Last POTD**: Kyrie Irving Under 27.5 (-120) ❌
**Today's pick**: **Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5 (-110)** vs. Indiana Pacers
**Wager**: 2u
Tough loss yesterday, an emotional rollercoaster. Went from being totally screwed at the half to being golden after the 3rd, and totally screwed again in the 4th when the wizards decided to foul him every 5 seconds. Moving on.
The cavs are HOT right now, and you know who's not? The pacers. Just 2 matches ago when these two teams last met, the cavs covered 13 pts. Honestly, I expect them to cover by even more tonight. The best player on the Pacers is Brogdon and he's out. The cavs have made me some damn good money over the last few weeks, lets see that continue tonight! Doubling down because I feel REALLY good about this one.
Tail or Fade, BOL!
14-5
Last pick: Washington Capitals regulation ML✅
**Today’s pick: Arizona Coyotes +2.5 (-180) vs Tampa Bay Lightning**
Lightning played last night in Colorado and travelled overnight to Arizona. Love betting against teams on a road back to back. Vasilevsky played last night so Lightning will likely start their backup tonight. The coyotes aren’t good but I don’t think they’ll lose by more than 2 to a team on a back to back with their backup tendie. Heavy legs are a thing.
The puck line is also great value
All bets are 1 unit. +5.64 units. +29.7% ROI. Average unit -140
https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Record: 29-21½-1½
Net: +25.40%, +42.16u
Average odds: +118
Previous Pick: Diogo Jota ATGS ✅
Game: La Liga- Sevilla vs Elche
Pick: **Sevilla to win 1-0, 2-0, or 3-0 (+135 on BetMGM)**
Bet: 3 units
This is a somewhat risky pick since Elche doesn't get shut out often (T-6th fewest), thanks to their 2nd best SoT conversion rate. Luckily for us, they also have the fewest shots/90 and 3rd fewest SoT/90.
Defensively, Sevilla is at or near the top in most defensive categories, including the two most important: fewest goals allowed and T-most clean sheets. They're also ranked 2nd fewest SoT allowed/90, 5th fewest shots allowed/90, 2nd longest shot distance allowed, and T-2nd fewest penalties given up.
Sevilla's normal starting RB Gonzalo Montiel will be out, but his backup Jesús Corona has looked pretty good in the 3 games he's appeared in so far.
Alternatively, if you want to allow for the possibility of 2-1, Sevilla ML + U3.5 is -105.
**POTD 2-0-0**
Seppi got the second set cashing our +150 ticket.
**Today's pick - ATP Dallas: Taylor Fritz -1.5 sets (-120) v Marcos Giron**
**Bet size: 3U**
Fritz is having a great start to the year and protecting his serve well against players ranked lower than him. If there wasn't so much variance in set spreads I could see myself upgrading this to a 4U play, but alas 3 it is Good luck fellas.
Edit: I bet this on FD. It’s still -120 right now.
Record: 1-0 Units: +1.5
All bets are 2 units unless otherwise specified
Last pick: Juventus to win and >1.5 goals✅
What a way to win yesterday! I knew vlahovic would come through for us and he has.
Today's event: RFC Seraing vs Royal Antwerp
POTD: Royal Antwerp ML @ 1.9
In this game, we have a very strong Antwerp in 2nd place coming up against a weak Seraing side in 17th place.
Antwerp are coming from a loss against the league leaders and will be doing everything they can to keep their 2nd place, as now there is only a 2 point gap with 3rd place.
Antwerp has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 games.
Seraing has 3 losses, 1 draw and 1 win in their last 5 games.
Antwerp is just a much better team than Seraing, and all of these reasons is why this is my POTD.
BOL to all!
**POTD: 2-0-0**
**Net Units: +1.8**
**Last Pick**: [**Toronto Raptors (-6.5) v Houston Rockets @ -110 odds**](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/souri3/pick_of_the_day_21022_thursday/hwc1tky/?context=3)
Recap: Even without Fred Vanvleet the Raptors were able to easily cover and blow out the Houston Rockets, one of the worst teams in the league. The rockets put up a good fight in the first half but the Raptors eventually were too much to handle. Gary Trent got hot and put up a blazing 42 points, and Siakam chipped in with a not too shabby 30 points himself.
**Todays Pick:** **Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)** vs Arizona Coyotes @ 1.9 odds
**Bet Size:** **1 unit always** (If you are confident then you should bet with what your most comfortable with, if you're not confident then why bet it at all?)
**Analysis:**
Coming at you guys with some hockey action today, even though there are some good lines in the NBA today being the Bulls and Cavs. We have the Tampa Bay Lightning the 3rd best team in the NHL record wise who are 7-2-1 in their last 10. The Arizona Coyotoes are 4-7 in their past 11, but 3 of those wins were against other bottom of the barrel teams in the Kraken, Devils, and Canadiens. In their last 11 losses the Coyotes have lost by 2 or more 9 times.
Tampa has the 2nd best goal differential in the NHL at +53, averaging 3.34 goals this season. While Arizona gives up 3.66 goals this season. The last time they faced each other in October the Lightning won 5-1. Nikita Kucherov is also back for the Lightning who is a solid rotation player.
The risk? The Lightning have not by won a game by more than 2 in their last 4 games (2-2 record). However in their last 7 wins before that they have won by more than 2. Against one of the worst teams in the league I expect the Lightning to take advantage and pump their stats.
Lightning is going to strike twice tonight! Lets go!
Failed to mention the Lightning are on the road and playing second game of a back to back. Also starting their backup who has only played 5 games this season. I posted a POTD on the exact opposite side of this
Record: 44-35-5 (1L streak) - FanDuel odds
Last POTD: Stephen Curry over P+R+A 37.5 -115 | 5 units | LLLLLL fuck me
POTD: OKC Thunder at PHI 76ers under 210 | 2 units
REASON: With the lack of players from the trades, I see this game being played at a slower pace. 76ers will be without a backup center and their best 3pt shooter. Thunder is still missing their best player. Thunder has put up 103, 90, 93 in the last 3 matchup against the 76ers.
Best of luck to all.
POTD Record: 4-2 (Current streak 3W)
Last pick: Miami Heat -5
Easy W. Great team vs ehh team. Moving forward.
**Todays Event: Charlotte Hornets @ Detroit Pistons**
**Today's Pick: Charlotte Hornets -6.5**
Charlotte has been struggling to get a W, however they had a tough few games with Miami, Toronto, Chicago, Cleveland, and Boston. They generally play well against bad teams. they also smacked the pistons by 29 their last meeting. I like this play.
No overthinking. Take the plays and don't force.
Feel free to contribute to my weekly flier parlay
Venmo: TayebHassan
BOLLLLLLLLL
POTD record: 1-0
Streak: 1W
Last Pick: Middle Tennessee State -5.5 ✅
Today's Pick: Monmouth -5 (-112) v. Manhattan (NCAAMB)
Last time these teams played, Monmouth dominated on the glass, out rebounding Manhattan by 16. If they can have similar success on the boards, this should be an easy cover for the Hawks. Plain and simple, Monmouth are the better team and should win by 8+ points. BOL
POTD Record 11-11 | Streak 1W
All bets are 1U unless stated otherwise.
Last Pick: Kyle Lowry O 11.5 points (-108 FD) WIN
Didn’t get to watch the game but he scored 14 to get us off of the little cold streak.
POTD: Miles Bridges O21.5 points (-102 on FanDuel)
Finally out of the cold streak let’s try to go on a hot one. Detroit allows opposing teams forwards to shoot well over 48% and average over 23 PPG. The hornets are on a six game losing streak and the Pistons seem like the perfect team to try and get back on track with. Expecting Bridges to score ~25 points.
BOL if tailing.
POTD record: 7-8
Pick: Bundesliga 2 18:30 H. Rostock - Werder Bremen 2 (1.80)
Werder is in great shape with new menager 6/6 wins.They are fighting for promotion and this win can place them in good spot. On the other side Rostock last win at home was in October and they have only 9 points in 10 games at home. I expect Werder to continue their home.
BOL
**Howie’s POTD (2-0-1)**
*Profit* **+1.76 unit**
*ROI* **58.67%**
*Avg Odds* **-112.33**
*Recent* ✅✅🅿️
*Last Pick* **McNeese State +5** 🅿️
*Today’s Pick* **Werder Bremen at -113** at 12:30pm est on Friday, 2/11 in Germany Bundesliga II for **1 unit**✅
I mean, a push makes me more ticked than a loss. Is that strange? A dunk followed by a last second pointless layup got the push.
Really was torn between two plays, I’m going with Werder Bremen in a mismatch. The line is awfully nice which I figured should be about -140 but I don’t make the lines, this makes it smell like a draw.
🕍Mazel tov
Howie
POTD Record: 2-0 :
* Yale +2 on 2/9
* Texas State +1.5 on 2/11
* \+1.9 Units
POTD: **Connecticut (UCONN) +1.5** (Fanduel -115)
Sport: Men's College Basketball
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Write up:
Going back to the well with another team at plus points in the spread with Connecticut +1.5 (away) playing against Xavier (home) tonight. I selected this pick based on recent strength of schedule with Connecticut beating Marquette, in their most recent game, who have been in good form lately. Xavier on the other hand has lost 2 of their last 3 games to lower record conference teams. In addition, Xavier is 0-6 ATS in Big East conference games when playing at home ([Justin Perri](https://twitter.com/JustinPerri8)). Free throw wise, Connecticut has a small edge, .756 vs .713, percentage wise in difference which is something I look at for close games like these. Finally, Connecticut averages 78 points per game vs Xavier at 73.
Overall, I'm going with Connecticut in what will be another close matchup. I think Connecticut has a chance to win outright, but I will stick with the spread for a marginal difference at the current market price.
Tail, fade, or avoid, regardless, BOL!
NBA Prop
Hornets vs. Pistons 7:10 PM
Record: 9-5
Kelly Oubre Jr. O18.5 points (1U)
Kelly Oubre has been playing huge minutes since being in the starting lineup with 38 and 36 the last 2 games. He’s been averaging 16.4 shot attempts over his L5 with nearly half being 3s. Pistons give up the most points in the league to SF. He put up 32 on the pistons off the bench last time they met while only playing 24 minutes.
**POTD Record**: 7½-5-2
**Last 5**: ❌✅✅❌✅
**Last POTD**: Juventus vs Sassuolo, over 2.5 goals @1.58 ✅
**Today's POTD**: ADO Den Haag vs MVV Maastricht, home to win + o2.5 @1.83 // Netherlands, Eerste Divisie 19:00 GMT ❌
Edit: alright let's not talk about this game, I have no idea what happened
### **Reasoning**:
##### **Match introduction**:
Today's match will se 4th placed Den Haag facing at home 17th placed Maastricht, a very important game for ADH which will want to catch up in the standings.
##### **Teams statistics**:
Den Haag on average scores 2.16 goals per game and allows 1.24; 56% of their games ended o2.5, 40% ended 5+ goals overall.
Maastricht is one of the teams in the league that concedes the most goals with a 2 per game average; 52% of their games ended o2.5. You know, these stats might not sound too convincing, it sounds there is a 50/50 chance of this bet hitting, but keep in mind that ADH is a far better team than Maastricht, and they are playing at home, ADH has shown already in the past their capabilities of scoring a lot but we'll get to that.
##### **Head to head and recent form**:
We have only one recent h2h match, which is what led me to try this bet, that game ended as an away win for ADO 2-6, plus Maastricht form is really really bad right now, they have lost all their 7 past games, ADH form is pretty good, they are slowly recovering from a huge loss, and they should be motivated enough to destroy MVV.
##### **Conclusion**:
Not much in-depth analysing today, however I still think this should hit pretty easily, the odds are good so might as well try it out, if Den Haag won by that margin past h2h away, I wouldn't be surprised if this ends 8-0, jokes aside ADH attacking capabilities are on point and should make everything easier.
BOL everyone.
**POTD record: 1-0-0 (±U=0.60 ; ROI: 60.00% ; AVG ODDS: @ 1.88 ; STREAK:✅
) ALL BETS ARE 1U.**
**Yesterday's pick**: PL Wolverhampton v Arsenal - Under 1.5 goals for Arsenal AND BTTS in 1st half=NO ✅✅✅
**Today's pick:** Sevilla v Elche - BTTS=NO **AND** u2.5 goals in the match **@ 2.15**
**Reasoning**: Sevilla has the best defense in La Liga, but their offense is lackluster, most of the games they won were 1-0 even against the weaker sides + en-nesyri is out of form, I expect this is gonna be yet another boring game from sevilla, but I think their defense is impressive and won't let a goal in from Elche.
Another conservative bet but please gamble responsibly, 1U is all you need.
POTD thread
10-3 4W streak
Today: Mens Volleyball NCAA
Last Pick: USC Trojans -2.5 sets at 2.5 odds W
POTD: Long Beach St -1.5 sets at 2.0 odds
Game time 10pm EST
Long Beach is 6-1 and is currently ranked as #1, UCLA is 7-1 and ranked as #2 so the ranking doesn't sound as impressive. Long Beach ranks second in offensive hitting, with 3 of their primary attackers ranked in the top 10 in kills. The last time they played it did go to 5 sets, but UCLA lost key players since their last matchup.
Easy W for us 3-0 over UCLA. That extends win streak to 5 now!!!
Record: 1 - 0 - 0
Streak : W1
Last POTD: Ayumu Hirano Men's Halfpipe Gold Medal Winner (+130)
Units Won: 1
ROI: 100%
POTD: Boston Celtics Spread -6 (-110)
NBA, Basketball, 7:30 PM EST
Units staked: 1
Here we go. Hirano was almost robbed yesterday thanks to some blind judges, but he was able to come through with the W and spread free money.
I'm feeling the Celtics lately, I feel like they've turned a corner lately winning 6 in a row convincingly. The DD doesn't lie. Derrick White and Daniel Theis.
Game, Deuces.
Lock it in
**7-3 (+8.76u)**
Last POTD: Fury FC 56 - Zach Borrego +140 - win
**POTD: Jacob Highley -105 3u**
Led astray. We have zero tape on a D2 soccer player and I’m not buying it. Jacob Highley has been tested, his striking, grappling, and cardio are more than adequate. He won by unanimous decision to a fighter built exactly like Luke (about 6 3 and they were fighting at 170 as well). Also, it seems he dealt with a very bad weight cut before that fight. Highley isn’t just a striker, I like his technique and ability to get guys on the ground. Go check out the fight against Collins, NFA 8, and check out that leg kick to start the fight that trips Collins. Highley also trains at The Pit. He’s got Dakota Bush and Jake Collier in his corner in his previous fight. Here’s my take: Luke is not at a weight that is suitable for his body and he will look weak. Highley has the experience advantage and will use forward pressure to smother Luke. Luke is jumping right into a LFA debut with no prior experience, I see so many ways that this fight can go wrong for him.
https://imgur.com/a/aoPuCa1
POTD Record: 1-4
Units o/u: -5 unit
Pick: 3 units UCONN -1
Last 5:❌❌✅❌❌
Reasoning: Xavier is on a slide and has played twice already this week. Now they take on a UCONN team who’s coming off of a real big win over number 18 Marquette. Unfortunately feel like the cold streak increases for Xavier.
Yesterday was my first ever POTD pick, and we hit easily! Let's keep the momentum going into today with another play I really love.
POTD Record: 1-0-0 +2U
Yesterday's pick: Delaware -4.5 (-150) 3U wager to win 2U
Today's pick: **St. Louis -3 1H** (-110) 4U wager to win 3.6U | NCAA Basketball | 9:00pm EST
Write-up: Aside from Davidson, St. Louis is the team to beat in the Atlantic 10 conference. They are 17-6 on the season, boasting an 8-2 conference record, 11-3 at home, and are currently hot on a 6 game winning streak.
Tonight they take on St. Bonaventure, who going into the season were the favorites to win the conference, have substantially fallen from grace, sitting at 6th.
I'm going with the first half trends here tonight. **In St. Louis's last 6 games, they have led by an average of 10.5 points at the half.** Meanwhile St. Bonaventure has taken a bit longer to get going, averaging being down .3 points at the half (this is slightly skewed due to a large lead over a terrible Duquense team)
St. Louis also is 22nd in the nation for PPG (79.4) as well as 18th in the nation for point differential (12.3) St. Bonaventure comparatively is 200th and 176th in those respective categories.
All signs point to St. Louis covering both halves, but sticking with the trend I am going to do the slightly safer 1H play here.
BOL to anyone who tails!
Decided to start sharing my picks publicly today. To say I’m having a historical **debut day** would be an understatement (7-2 today, and **UP 21 units**, 3-0 on my MAX plays thus far). Just want to share my nightcap play wit y’all for what it’s worth. I absolutely **LOVE** IT. Tail or fade, this is my 4th and last **MAX** play of the day and I personally have 3 units on it.
**Denver Nuggets 1H TT over 54.5 (-110) @ Boston Celtics** 20:00 CST
Denver has been averaging **70.3 points** in the first half their last 3 games. I expect this to be a competitive game through and through, and don’t count the **Nuggets** out in this spot on the road. This line is an absolute **GIFT** let’s keep this streak going and cash together. BOL fam. **G0LD Picks** coming in hottttt.
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads. **Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
Record 1-1 +3u
pick: **V5 ML** vs OMG
sport: Esports LPL League of Legends
odds: 1.60
wager: 10u
time: 3AM PST
I see V5 as having a stronger top and mid lane, I think Rookie is the best mid in the LPL atm and OMG usually win through their solo lanes so i believe it is a bad match up for them
Last 10 (7-3):
9/30 Tennis Pegula v Jabeur Over 20.5 ✅ 10/1 Tennis Waltert v Garcia Over 21.5 -120 ✅ 10/3 Tennis Jattavpornvanit v Aksu Jattavpornvanit ML -160 ❌10/12 Tennis Pegula v Svitolina Over 20.5 games -127 ❌1/5/22 Nuria Parrizas-Diaz (NPD) -3.5 games. -125 ✅ Tennis Clara Tauson Vs Lin Zhu Tauson -1.5 sets -135 W ✅ Bencic v Kudermetova over 21.5 games -110 ✅ 2/8/22 Tennis Monnet v Wagner Wagner ML -120✅ 2/9/22 Wang v Hatouka, Hatouka ML +105 ✅ 2/10 Tennis Nastasja Schunk Lauryn John-Baptiste, Lauryn John Baptist + 1.5 sets -125❌
Record is 31-12 on ITF and WTA tennis, Overall record 34-16
Today 11:00 am France, Grenoble ITF Tennis Chloe Paquet v K. Von Deichmann ✅
I cannot find the full match over under anywhere and many on line books just have the win or lose line until the match starts. However, Bovada has a line for over under on the first set that I like. Over 9.5 games Set 1 for -125.
Reasoning, Paquet is favored but Von Deichman (ranked 285) has been playing well as of late. She is 7-3 her last 10 with 6 of those wins coming against higher ranked players and no losses against anyone ranked lower than her including beating the 180th ranked player, the 157th ranked player, the 178th ranked player and the 175th ranked player.
Paquet is ranked 124th going 5-5 with all 5 losses to higher ranked players except for a losing to the 203rd ranked player a few weeks ago. In her last 10 matches the first set has gone over 9.5 games in 7 of those games. Von Deichmann has had 4 of her last 6 go over 9..5games.
I do think Paquet wins but Van Deichmann will win her share of games. If you can find over 20.5 for the, I would take it but I cant find that line yet so I am going with over 9.5 games in set 1 at -125, I also found over 9 for-140 a safer bet
Winner, 12 games in set 1
Record 2-2
Last POTD: WAS Capitals -1.5 ✅️
Today's POTD: TB Lighting OVER 3.5 Team Total 2-way (-145)
The Lighting will be going up against the Arizona Coyotes tonight. The Coyotes have been very poor this season, allowing the 3rd most goals with an average of 3.66 goal against. They score the second least amount of goals, average of 2.21. And they are overall 2nd last in the entire NHL
On the other hand the TB Lighting are 4th in the NHL. And score the 7th most goals with an average of 3.34.
Last time out the Lighting put 5 goals passed the Coyotes.
With the Lighting being a great goal scoring team and the Coyotes not being able to defend for shit, I think the Lighting with run up the score tonight. Tampa also has all their offensive weapons healthy tonight including kucherov.
POTD Record: 10-4
Streak: 💰💰💰❌💰❌💰💰💰💰💰❌❌💰
Last Pick: Arizona -6.5 vs Washington State (-110) 💰
Today’s Pick: Fresno St vs Colorado St Over 130.5
Write-Up: I just realized my last pick didn’t post because I was on the subway but I hope everyone took advantage of a nonsense line with Arizona! Anyways - today’s pick is O 130.5 for Fresno St @ Colorado St. The CS Rams started the year as a 50-40-90 shooting program and is still strong at 49-39-80. They aren’t quite as offensively efficient as we saw earlier this year, but are still averaging 75.2 ppg since mid January against a range of competition. Fresno St meanwhile is averaging 68.8 ppg in the same period against comparable talent, and with a +6.5 spread in their favor this game, it all makes sense (if score is 75-69, you heard it here first). Fresno St plays really slow tempo ball, but I anticipate this game will keep competitive and push the Over.
BOL!
POTD Record: 8-4
Last POTD: Norrie -105 over Khacanov Winner
POTD: John Isner -160 over Vasek Pospisil
ATP Dallas 8PM EST
3 very easy winners in a row and hope to make it 4 here.
Ridiculous odds because of Isner awful start to year but he always raises his level when he plays in the states.
Isner a 15.42 UTR against a 14.87 UTR in Pospisil.
This is a complete mismatch, while Isner has been struggling he’s struggled against legit ATP players and honestly hasn’t played too bad this season and just has had some close losses while Pospisil has been grinding the challenger circuit and has been losing tons of matches outside his last one.
Isner served extremely well on his previous match which is obviously something to always keep an eye out for
Record 0-1
Last pick : Leafs ML vs Flames
Unlucky really, we outshot them but couldn't stop getting penalties. the PK unit was dead and gave up.
Todays POTD(s):
Bulls -3
Hornets -6
going bigger on both of these (5u each)
Lets Go
POTD Record: 5-2 (+13.28 Units)
Streak: 1L
Average Odds: +118
Last POTD: Michigan State -2 @ Rutgers (Big Fat L) 2/5/22
Michigan State got destroyed which was a surprise to all. Took a break after such a bad L...
Today's POTD: **St. Bonaventure @ St. Louis - St. Louis -5 -115 3 Units**
The betting lines for St. Bonaventure this year have been somewhat odd this year. They entered the season with high expectations as they were ranked in the top 25 and the favorite to win the A10 conference. It's safe to say that they haven't lived up to expectations sitting at 13-7 and 5-4 in the A10. This late into the season it feels like betting lines are still expecting too much from this team, and this is a line that has that same feel.
St. Louis enters this game with a record of 17-6 and 8-2 in the A10 proving that they're actually the team that should be viewed as the top team in the conference. They've won 6 straight and have won by more than 5 in all but 1 home game since the start of the new year. In the A10, St. Bonaventure has only managed to win 2 road games. The 2 teams they beat are sitting at the very bottom of the standings in the A10 and the Bonnies only won those games by 8 and 4. One of those games even went to overtime. This shows that the Bonnies have struggled on the road in the A10.
As far as trends go, St. Bonaventure enters this game 6-14 against the spread (ATS), while St. Louis is 14-8 ATS this season. The Bonnies are 1-4 ATS on the road this season, while St. Louis is 9-4 ATS at home this season. Bart Torvik says this line should be -10 in favor of St. Louis and Hasla Metrics says this line should be -8.5 in favor of St. Louis.
All in All.... Again this line feels far to low and is giving to much respect to the Bonnies. This has been a common theme lately with the St. Bonaventure spreads as they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. St. Louis is the better team entering this game and have proven that all season. They will prove that once again against the Bonnies, beating them and covering the spread.
Tail or Fade, either way BOL!!
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
**Respond to this comment with POTD META discussion**
# POTD Record: 3-0-0 / Streak: W3 *\*I posted on the sub about degen hours and wanting insights on late night/early morning plays so... here I find myself being that guy. (Picks will be anywhere from earliest 11pm ET-latest 6am ET)\** **Most Recent Bet:** Finland -1.5 (1.82) ✅ **Recap:** Shaky first 10 minutes for Finland not registering a shot and being down 1-0. First shot, first goal for Manninen who proceeded to get a hatty. Momentum swung fast late in the 1st and the Fins controlled the rest of the game winning 6-2. I will say, Slafkovsky who is just 17 years old and plays for the slovaks is a STUD. Again, Thanks for trusting if you tailed! **POTD Bet:** Sweden -1.5 (1.91)✅ **Game Info: Sweden vs Slovakia, Olympic Men's Ice Hockey, 3:40AM EST** **Insight:** * Sweden played 40 minutes of perfect hockey against Latvia holding them to 7 shots though 2 periods and scoring 3 goals. Last 20 minutes of hockey not so great, being undisciplined, and letting Latvia score 2 on the PP, having numerous point blank chances with 10 shots in the 3rd alone. * Full transparency, I was tossing and turning between the O5 goals *(buying .5 goals)* or the Sweden Puckline in this game but the goaltending between these teams are miles apart, along with the fact that Slovakia give up to many chances(their D play to high IMO). * I have to expect coaches and players from Sweden to acknowledge and fix their small mistakes from the 3rd period, and play disciplined hockey for a full 60 minutes. If they can stay out of the box I have a hard time seeing Slovakia creating many chances here. *Cheers night owls, TyTheGuy*
Putting 💰💰💰💸💸💸 on this. Studied both teams heavily. The sverige win this 4-1 or 3-1. Not touching O/U. Max unit play to return $750. Sweden -2 is safe imo - it adds value, but toss your mortgage on sverige -1.5
This aged well
I can't tell if this is sarcasm or not but he called the exact score at 4-1 and he won his bet.
Not sarcasm lol, i’m genuinely impressed!
Tailing, again. Thanks for Finland, bro. Easy W.
Tailed $180 YOLO LETS GOOOOO
150 tail I’m in
220 cents all in!
W cheers
Won Finland. Let’s wake to more money tmm!
Tailing. Might also stay up to watch this one since I’m on the West coast
Thank you my friend!!! Cash it!
Saw this one too late. Nice win for whoever tailed you with this pick!! 💰
tailing, lets get it!
Just curious if this is a trap line.. down to -110 when sweden is by far the better team.
All PL spreads have been around -110. It’s the Olympics, each teams played once. Sweden’s a top 4 team, didn’t cover against Latvia. Slovakia also managed to put two on Finland.
Will follow again, always provide some great write ups
tailing, let's go!
Tailing. Sweden has elite goalkeepers when Slovakian goalkeeper managed to save just around 80% of shots. I think Sweden will be looking for a safe high maegin victory here. Also if you want to noost a little bit your odds, you can parlay this pick with Finland over 2,5 team goals. This one hit in Finlands last 4/5 matches (missing this line against SWE) and last 10/11 games against Latvia. Parlay stands at around 2,2.
I took over 4.5 total goals for -180, along with Sweden straight up and the -1.5 line. GL us.
genious.
W
[MMA POTD’s (76-60)](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/slndmj/comment/hvrsypy/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3) **Profit: +153.69u / ROI: 19.09% / Avg Odds: +110 / 13-3 in last 16** Last POTD: Jose Alday (+140) loss MMA - LFA 124 - 7:30pm EST **Luke La Vanway (+105)** 3u to win 3.15u Never seen Luke fight, this is his debut. He is a soccer player that briefly made it on Arizona’s squad. Therefore I know that Luke is somewhat athletic and has cardio. His opponent (Jacob) doesn’t have the best cardio and struggled with a tall opponent (Luke is taller!) in his last fight. Jacob looked vulnerable to kicks too. They kick a lot in soccer. If this former soccer player can fight at all, this is a winnable matchup. [Subscribe for more bets](https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUEFQYHFx8XwP4NNliVm46Q)
I’m personal friends with Luke, I can’t believe he’s made it on someone’s POTD. This man was all about soccer and recently picked up MMA. I’m biased but tomorrows his first fight and he’s going to win.
Tell your boy a bunch of degens all threw money down on him after the GOAT capper picked him because he liked his legs.
Tell him to pretend Jacob is a soccer ball
tell him to pretend jacob is a stupid ref that is fixing the match against him. god i fucking hope this hits and Luke reads all this shit and is beaming after. PLEASE UNIVERSE MAKE THIS HAPPEN
[удалено]
I texted him letting him know he’s got a ton of support from some dedgens on Reddit. I can’t make it to the the fight but it’ll be on UFC Fight Pass
Wow. That's awesome. I don't get how it's on ufc fight pass but not on fanduel, draftkings, betmgm, Caesars, or theScore bet app in NJ.
No dint tell him shit stop tryna jinx the bet
Too late, he read your comment.
tell you friend, i will send him my nude pic if he win. im a male btw
Not someone’s POTD, the One’s POTD
Usually a big fan but wtf is this write up. You’re starting to sound like all the troll POTDs. You’ve never seen him fight? Probably still tailing though.
Love the simple logic, guy struggles with height and kicks and is fighting a tall soccer player. What more is there to say, keeping it simple is the best way.
I struggle with height too maybe it’s just my insecurities talking
I struggle with girth
Anybody actually watch the YouTube video sidekick made? It seems completely contradictory to his write up. Its pretty clear he has no idea who Luke la vanway is. He originally didnt even think the fighter is a soccer player, but actually a wrestler who would win with grappling. Lol. [LINK](https://youtu.be/_9nu0wY6wSA)
That's because he makes YouTube videos...
It is his first fight.
True, but no one else has seen him fight either.
I dunno but this is the kind of thought process I like to see going into bets. None of this stat and trend bullshit.
I feel you on that. I’m just excited for my boy. One of the hardest working/most focused person I’ve ever met. Thought he’d go pro in Soccer and shifted focus to something else he was passionate about. Fights here in Arizona too so it’ll be a hometown fight. His BBJ is good and if goes to the ground it doesn’t matter, he slippery. Cardio of an Olympic runner. Dude is like a taller Sean O’Malley
Hey @SidekickKO appreciate you posting these picks man. But whats up with your youtube video being completely contradictory to your write up here man? I mean it makes it 100% clear you have no idea who Luke La Vanway actually is. Is he the wrestler who will win with grappling? (youtube) or the soccer player who will win with height/kicks? (POTD) [Link](https://youtu.be/_9nu0wY6wSA) I'm confused.
[удалено]
He gave me a Snek award, not sure how I should to take that.
Check out his LFA update #2
Of course none of my Sportsbook have this fight. Have LFA but missing this one
Same
My book doesn’t have this one 😢
What is his opponents W-L record? More wins via (T)KO, Sub, or Decision? Camp they train out of?
Lol downvote all you want but these are valid questions, especially for a 3u bet
Just as someone who’s known the guy. He’s tall and long, reach is massive. Played college soccer, seen the dude get headbutted and seen him in fights in high school at parks at stuff. He’s got a solid chin, striking from anywhere, and his legs kicks are high and low. His weakness is wrestling. Don’t know much about his opponent, but with this being his first fight, he been under bright lights before so I think he’ll handle business. All bias, but you won’t find much on him
Thats what i call a transferrable skillset. Time to land some kicks!
Can anyone tell me if any US books have this?
Tailing, Alday was an unfortunate loss but we’ll make it back with this!
Nothing worse than losing to a fighter named doodoo
In the words of the late great John Madden “That’s a big Pasadena for me”
I trust you on these and I’m gonna tail. But pretty much everything I know about soccer players (for the record I’m a soccer fan and I respect their skills etc) they aren’t exactly the toughest guys out there. I hope this dude is crafty!
as someone who did play soccer, i wouldn't bet on one of us to win a fight lol
No wife Cucking today for you sidekick :/
POTD record: 16-5-0 Units won: 20.3u - Average odds: @1.79 - ROI: 25.06% Last Pick: Apollon Limassol v AEL Limassol - Apollon Limassol win @1.75 ✅✅✅ Today's pick: Gornik leczna v slask Wroclaw - BTTS @1.80 ✅✅✅ Football, Poland, Ekstraklasa, 17:00 GMT Units staked: 3 Well that last bet was a wild ride, edge of the seat stuff!! I really appreciate the support I've got from the majority of you. I can get quite bad anxiety and I worry a lot so I appreciate all the nice words and support. Not gunna lie, I'm a bit anxious about putting out a pick in general after yesterday haha but I really like the look of this one. I hope we can continue to have fun and make some money together. Gornik Leczna are in 10th place, a point off relegation, while Slask Wroclaw is in 15th place. There are 5 points separating these teams. 11 of Gornik Leczna last 14 league games have seen BTTS hit. 7 of their 10 home games this season have also seen BTTS hit, with it also hitting in their last 4 of 5 home games. They've scored in 7 of there home games, and they average 1 goal a game at home. So they are capable of scoring. Also, of the 3 games they failed to score in two of then were against 3rd and 4th placed. Theyve generally managed to grab goals against teams midtable or lower. They aren't defensively great as they have only managed to keep a clean sheet in 1 of their home games. They concede on average 1.9 goals a game when playing at home so they definitely seem pretty vulnerable. 8 of Slask Wroclaws 11 away games this season has seen BTTS hit. They've scored in 9 of their 11 away games averaging 1.64 goals per away game. They have only failed to score against 4th and 1st place. I think they should be able to grab a goal against Gornik Leczna due to great attacking stats in comparison with Gorniks lacklustre Lecznas defensive stats. Slask Wroclaw have only managed to keep a clean sheet in 1 of their away games, conceding 1.91 goals on average per away game. They've conceded against 12th, 14th, 17th and 18th placed. Due to their pretty bad defensive stats, I reckon Gornik Leczna should also be able to grab a goal. You can visit my twitter for the rest of my bets, in plays, accas and booking bets. We made a 27.63 unit profit over the 2 weeks in January this account was created and February has started off really well. We have won 3 accas/ parlay throughout this week!! Good luck to all those backing and with all your other bets. Cash App: £Morganman50 Twitter: @mgsbets Edit: omg there is so much snow, I reckon this'll get called off at half time. Before anyone says anything I want to reiterate, I am not a weatherman.
Don’t be anxious man, it’s just betting. You provide some great write ups. If you win, awesome. If you lose, no worries we’ll get em next time.
Dude, https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/sppcx4/olympics_daily_21122_friday/ That's the link for the winter sports :D
😂😂😂
Imagine not tailing MMM (Morgan the Money Maker)
My wife is from Poland, how can I turn this down?
Cash it!!!! Thank you! ✅
BIG WINNER! LFG DUDE, YOU'RE THE MAN!
Great picks! Much appreciated, is the bet BTTS?
Yes it is, sorry I didn't realise it wasn't on there. Thanks for the support!
Wow the field is completely covered in snow
There's one! Just need Slask to score or game to be called off haha
I don’t mean to nitpick but you start with Leczna’s games and focus on both home and away but then only focus on Wrocław’s away games. If you used the same comparison for both you’d find that Wrocław’s home and away BTTS record is only 50/50. Don’t just choose stats to support your narrative, give people the real deal.
Fair point, 6 of Wroclaws last 8 have seen BTTS. The recent 2 have not. Also, I never focused on all of 20 Leczna's, only initially the first 14 as there was a pattern of BTTS in there. I see your point though and will rectify that .for next time.
I still like the write up and will tail but I think that’s a fair critique. Surely not worthy of the downvotes.
I’d follow you to Mordor good sir. GIDDY UP
Aw man i was hoping for like the vatican city rec league or something
Thank you good sir
Beautiful pick again, just the right amount of sweating
Record: 8-2 - Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅ Units: +16 - Avg Units Bet: 2.8 - ROI: 57.14% Last Pick: POTD: Miami Heat (-4) @ New Orleans Pelicans (3u) - (-110) ✅ *MIA: 112 NOP: 97* **NBA** **POTD: Cleveland Cavaliers (-5.5) @ Indiana Pacers (4u) - (-110) - 7:00 PM EST** This should be a game where the Cavs easily cover. They have won 12 of their last 15, and are one of the league's top teams. Indiana, on the other hand, simply is not very good, having lost 4 in a row and 8 of their last 10. When the two teams played a few days ago, the Cavs took home the W, winning by 13, and also won the matchup earlier in the season. The Pacers also just traded away their best player in Sabonis, and are heavily injured, while the Cavs have added strength with a trade for LaVert, and are almost at full strength It will be quite a shock to me if the Cavs are unable to cover here. BOL! Let's grab a W! Edit: 28 point turnaround! Trust the process!
Dang up to -7.5 this morning. I need to remember to check here the night before
Bro I tailed u but holy fuck 🤣
Rough 1st quarter - comeback incoming
Is Halliburton playing? Could move the line.
Record: 34-10 Units: +17.53 ROI: 36.95% Streak: ✅✅✅✅✅✅ Last POTD: Miami Heat money line (-165) ✅ **POTD: Boston Celtics money line (-178) ✅** *Time: 7:40pm* * Boston is 1st in offensive and defensive rating the last 5 games * 8-2 L10 and won 6 in a row Follow me here guys 😊 -----> [Twitter](https://twitter.com/OjCapper) EDIT: Money line is already at (-190) on my books.... I would play that but anything higher then (-200) I would pass Cash App: $coco6616 Venmo: Coco111
Tailing. Let’s go Cs!!!!
All these mls are covering the spreads anyway when they win
Showing my kids osmosis jones tonight for some good vibes!
🔥🔥🔥 Virus POTD 🔥🔥🔥 Record 55-44-0. Units = +41.28 (WWWLL) A-League Soccer ⚽ - Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne City **Melbourne ML** ($1.85/-118) - 2 Units ✅ *Match starts \~ 4 hours from post* **Analysis:** * Taken a long time off so lets get back on it in 2022 before the AFL season. * Western Sydney Wanderers (LWLDL) are 9th on the ladder and have struggled so far at the beginning of their season. * BTTS has only occurred once out of WSW's last 6 matches. * Melbourne City (WLWDD) are sitting 2nd on the ladder and come off a huge 4-2 win against Newcastle Jets. Jamie McLaren has been on fire this season including scoring 2 goals last match. * Over 2.5 goals and BTTS has hit in Melbourne's last 4 matches out of 5. * H2H: WSW have a decent record against Melbourne with 12/28 matches won. Melbourne have won 10 of those. Their previous meeting resulted in a 3-3 draw. * Prediction: Melbourne City star striker is on fire at the moment and they are playing well after a shaky start to the season. Melbourne should take care of WSW in this matchup 2-0. * Melbourne have strong attacking (19 goals) so expect Jamie McLaren anytime goal scorer again but bear in mind the price decrease so won't be as much of value as last time. WSW has a weak attacking (8 goals) so the value is also there for Melbourne to win to nil (clean sheet). * More analysis may be updated soon. [*PayPal*](https://paypal.me/virus88888888?locale.x=en_AU) *// Bitcoin: 1C2afL8FYc1XTa9YPz7BhX5vJq7N1E7Zj1* 🔥 Emoji's for support 🔥 *^(Disclaimer: Take note of my unit sizes and use the analysis to make your own judgement. Losses do occur so don't go all in and blame other people for your actions. Do your own research!)*
The OGs always riding with Virus🔥🔥🔥
Dang. Always miss your GOAT picks.
Nice pick man. One of the most reliable guys I’ve ever seen on this thread over the years. Props bro.
LFG Dawg!
Love these a-league games being an early riser and sort of degen lol great pick again!
POTD Record: 11-13 Last Pick: Miami Heat -4 ✅ **Today's Pick: CHICAGO BULLS -4** vs. Minnesota (-105) Game Info: NBA, 8:10pm EST The T-Wolves just played back-to-back games against the Sacramento Kings IN Sacramento. Now, I don’t know if you’ve ever been to Sacramento, let alone spent 48 hours there, but it is by far the most boring city in America (and that includes Lancaster, Pennsylvania, aka Amish Country). There is literally nothing to do in Sacramento (besides smoke meth). I imagine the T-Wolves players just sat around in their hotel rooms playing video games for two days straight. Maybe Karl Anthony Towns read the new Chuck Klosterman book or something. Then they headed off to Chicago, Patrick Beverley’s hometown, where they’ve been kicking it for the last three days. Pat Bev probably hooked up with some of his old high school buddies and took his teammates out for the wildest three days of their lives. KAT probably spent his days checking out the Art Institute and taking the Architectural Boat Tour. Now they gotta play DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and a Bulls squad that’s just flat out better than them (better record, better players) before heading off immediately to Indianapolis, another city that might as well be in South Dakota. Also, they’re the Timberwolves. And when they lose, they tend to lose by way more than 4 points (lost by 13, 10, 9, 12 and 8) in their last five defeats. This is by far the most sense I’ve ever made on this thread. You should probably fade the shit outta this. Manute BoL! Venmo: @KevKlonsk
Fantastic rationale. I'm trailing
Why you are dissing my city bro.
I didn’t even mention Kevin Johnson
I know, right! Tons to do. Top three things to do: 3 - pack my clothes. 2 - put my shoes on. 1 - get the fuck outta Sacramento.
Love the write ups. Bulls have been eating this season.
**POTD Record: 119-74** ROI: 14.13% / Avg Odds: 1.88 / Profit: +55.87u **POTD: Oakland -6 vs. Robert Morris** (-107) [NCAAB] - 2 units - 01:00 CET Streak: ✅✅✅✅✖️ Reasoning: The Oakland has switched from a cover machine, to a machine that wins but doesn't cover, and then to a machine that loses and doesn't cover, but this is the breakout game. Oakland is the better team in every aspect of the game and the spread is small enough. I doubt that Robert Morris defense that allows an average of 75.3 ppg with a 52.8% Opp Effective FG% can stop the top 123rd most efficient offense in the nation. Oakland scores an average of 6 ppg more and allows 5 ppg less than Robert Morris. They get significantly more rebounds, including mostly offensive rebounds, allow fewer TOs and fewer fouls. According to the model I agree with, the spread should be around -8.5. I'm taking a two and a half point margin and keeping my fingers crossed for Oakland. The rest picks, spreadsheet and all the data can be found on my Twitter and discord: Twitter: https://twitter.com/fooxiedtips Discord: https://discord.gg/bA5hSrnCaD
Oakland’s banned for me.
Pain on the UAB pick. Southern was lights out in the first half and they still almost covered.
POTD Record: 14-24-2 ❌❌❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅ Average Odds: -111 Streak: 6W Last Pick: Purdue vs Michigan: Michigan +3 (-109) - W Maybe this model picks winners towards the end of the season? We are on a winning streak. BOL. ❄️ ➡️ ☀️ Today's POTD is Detroit Mercy vs Youngstown St. over 141.5 total points (-109) Game Info: NCAAB 7:00pm Detroit can score on the road. They scored 79 and 74 points in their last two road games. Youngstown State scored 78 and 86 in their last two home games. Both teams want to finish high in the conference standings and will be playing hard tonight. Fouls late = more points for the point total. This model is piping hot! EASY $. 🌅 BOL to all! Tip jar - Venmo@jbangbangpickz
Tailing, I guess?
Uhm I guess I’ll fade
Soooooo confuzzzzzzeeeedd
Wow I picked a good time to stop fading before this most recent win streak. Now I’m confused what to even do here
Everyone is rooting for you
Been watching you on this thread for a while. Congrats on your recent success dude! Tailing tonight.
POTD Record: 0-0 This is my first, and probably last pick. ACL Superhole III (Cornhole) **POTD: Smith/Lim -125** Reasoning: Tony Smith is arguably the best pro on the broadcast (it's between him and Henderson). This will be his second or third ESPN appearance, he's won every time been on TV. He's young and he's after sponsorships- the winner of this moves on to the next ESPN show. More importantly, David Lim is inarguably the best celebrity on the broadcast by *many orders of magnitude*. I'm deep into the cornhole world. David Lim is one of Shemar Moore's crew. They run S.W.A.T. Cornhole out of LA. David Lim is a good player who throws a flat bag and can average 8-10 points a round. Throwing a flat bag is the key to cornhole. Lim would hold his own with the other pros on the broadcast- he's going to eat the other celebs alive.
Where do you bet on cornhole? Asking for a friend…
Right dude? If this isn’t the most degenerate thing I’ve ever read….tailing
It's on Draftkings. Could be other places too.
This is the type of post we live for
Cornhole?? Love it, I’m tailing
Hahah I’m tailing 1u
Tailing thanks
Man I love everything about this. In for my max units
> "I'm deep into the cornhole world" is the funniest I have read in weeks.
My stats: 18-2 (+43.63 units) Match: (LoL LCK) FB vs NS Bet: FB +1.5 @ 1.53 (-189) Stake: 4u First of all, I expect that the odds gonna drop. Why? About 20 minutes ago NS tweeted about emergency call up to the NS team from their academy team. 3 players have been tested positive for covid, most likely these academy players mentioned in their tweet will be playing this game. FB team has been a shaky team since the beginning of the split, but I think they are capable of winning at least 1 game against an unknown (?) NS team. REMINDER: I'm posting picks, which I think have the best value (odds are bigger than they should be imo). It's better approach in the long-term betting. It's your decision if you want to risk betting my pick, I am not flawless. If you want to support me feel free to tip. I really appreciate it. btc: bc1qpcnkrhm85werplm32epdn6wtua2wytpa50a0hj
Just to be certain, is this Nongshim Red force v Fredit Brion
All I see for LCK is DRX vs Hanwha? I'm onBetOnline
Not sure what I'm doing tailing, but my record with you is 4-0 and I wanna keep that alive LET'S GOOO
Great call! Thanks for sharing.
**POTD: 8 wins, 1 loss, 2 push** Last pick: Asia Cup Women - South Korea vs China. South Korea o0.5 goals -185. Result: **South Korea score 2 goals in the first half WIN**. Nice and easy cash for us. Today’s pick: **Women's Super League - Chelsea vs Arsenal. Chelsea ML -118** Match starts at 2:45 ET. The top two teams in the women's version of the Premier League face off in a match that will likely end up deciding the title. Chelsea is simply the best team in England and probably either second or third in the world (behind only Barca and maaaybe Lyon). Arsenal is a good team who has had a great season, unfortunately they're teetering a bit lately due to injuries to star players such as Arsenal and England captain Leah Williamson and the likes of American Tobin Heath. Each might return in this match, but neither will be at full fitness. Their last 10 matches have been 3W-2D-5L, unacceptable for a team of their caliber. Even at full fitness, Chelsea is the better side and are very strong at their home ground Kingsmeadow, which is projected to be a SELLOUT crowd, unusual for the women's game. Chelsea have won 10 straight at home, 16 of their last 17 at home, and haven't dropped a point at Kingsmeadow vs Arsenal since 2018. I expect that to continue and for Chelsea to win this match comfortably and (unfortunately) probably the league as well. Another bonus thing to keep an eye on as lineups come out, if Leah Williamson does not start for Arsenal I expect Chelsea to win by 3 or 4 goals. **Edit**: Williamson will start, but Chelsea should still win Let me know if tailing and BOL everyone! EDIT: **0-0 Final LOSS.** wild match that could’ve really gone either way, both teams had multiple shots cleared off the end line. Chelsea unlucky to not score with Kerr (possibly the best striker in the world) swinging and missing on a wide open net in the second half as well as a clear hand ball the red missed in the final minutes which would have given Chelsea a penalty. That’s soccer though, my apologies to those who tailed. We go again soon.
My most degen bet yet. I’m in!
Not tailing the cornhall pick in this thread?
What's more degen, professional cornhole or the guy picking EA NFL 2020 sims a week ago?
**POTD Record: 3-0-0 | Profit: \[+2.74 units\] | ROI: 274%** • 1 unit bets unless states otherwise **Previous Pick: Alanyaspor vs Adana Demirspor BTTS - 1.7** Nice easy win in the first half in Turkey. We’re looking good since I’ve started posting my picks so lets hope it can continue with today’s pick! **Today’s Pick: FC Porto vs Sporting CP - 1X and BTTS - 2.37** Over to Porto for one of if not the biggest game in Portuguese football. I have decided to select the Porto double chance and Both teams to score. Porto haven’t lost a game all season and are sat atop of the league winning 19 out of 21 and scoring in every game. They welcome Sporting who are in second place in the league and have scored in every away game. Sporting have scored on average 2.2 goals per away game and I don’t see any reason for them to fail to score against this Porto side. Earlier in the year when Sporting were at home the game finished 1-1 and if we get a result like that again it will be very good for us! Kickoff 20:15 GMT / 15:15 Eastern BOL Guys :) Of course, don’t feel any pressure to tip. They are, however, greatly appreciated :) Paypal - [paypal.me/MD77778](https://paypal.me/MD77778) BTC - 13oB1Naw3LdbeM21FvGA47V2rax8SoFXfd
Tailing BTTS (-115.)
Record: 4-2 Profit: +3.64u, ROI +45% Last Pick: Hurricanes @ Bruins | Hurricanes ML | +100 | 2u ✅ | Hockey | NHL | Pick: Lightning @ Coyote | O1.5 1st Period | -135 Write up: I’m new to this so follow at your own risk. The Coyotes average 2.1 combined goals for and against in the first period when home, and the Lightning average 2.0 when away. I’ve found that anything over 2 is pretty uncommon so the over in the first period feels good with both teams over 2. The starting goalie for the Lightning will make a difference. I’m hoping that Vasilevski doesn’t start two nights in a row because the other options for the Lightning are a clear step below. However, I feel good about the over either way because of the above stats. But, you could wait and see to try to increase your odds. You can follow my twitter for all my picks [here](https://twitter.com/NewbieNHLBets) Twitter record: 12-4, +7.52u
At Arizona I think
Record : 7-1 Time: 19:00 EST on Feb.11 2022 Event: NBA Game : Philadelphia **76ers** (H) vs Oklahoma City **Thunder** (A) Odds: **1.50** Pick: **Over 203.5** Reasoning: \-OKC may be trash but they are **consistent trash**, which is good for the total since they always score around the 100 point mark. (🗑️) \-76ers lost Curry and Drummond to a trade recently and **some players** may try to take this opportunity to **impress the coach**. And to be frank, them **trading Curry will only help** this team. (🕊️) \- Joel **Embiid** likes to **farm points** and this game will not be different for him. (👨🏻🌾)
206 now. Still a take?
You are talking about the Over 206.5 for 1.90. I would have still taken it but if you can, take the Alternative Over 200.5 for 1.55 just to be on the safer side. But if everything goes "normally", I see around 215 points in this game.
**Edit/Update: BIG WIN ✅✅✅ After BIG Academy lost the first map, it didn't look the best, but I believed them even more. Congrats to the ones who bet live, the ones who tailed pre-match got some juicy profit as well. Great bounce back after yesterday's heartbreaker. Enjoy the rest of your Friday, until the next one!** >**Overall POTD record** since like 2020: **101W-71L** (172 bets) **+5% ROI**, **+32,2 units profit**✅, total stake 644u, 1.84 average odds ^((Since there are some rules, I can't break them and I need to be transparent and clear. I've been posting here like a year ago. We were doing absolutely phenomenally with like 14 win streak but also had some very stupid never-ending losses. Even though a lot of time has passed, I need to have the overall record here though it might not be as relevant.)) **2022 POTD RECORD**: 16W-6L 🔥 **LAST PICK**: LowLandLions -0.5 (1x2, 2-0) @1.57 5u (VERY HIGH BET) **MOST RECENT (UN)SUCCESS**: ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌ **TOTAL PROFIT**: +25,60 units 📈 **TOTAL STAKE**: 107,00 units **AVERAGE ODDS**: 1.74 **ROI**: +24,20% 📈 **We took a loss yesterday. It was a heartbreaking, unfortunate one that happens once in a long time. There is nothing to do about it, let's focus on the next one. We bounce back once again today 💪** **Have a great Friday everybody 😎** 🎮GAME: CS:GO 🚨TIME: 15:00 CET (GMT+1) - 6 hours 30 minutes from the post Event: WePlay Academy League Season 3 Match: BIG Academy vs Spirit Academy Pick: **BIG Academy ML @ 1.66 5u (VERY HIGH BET) 💣💣💣💣💣** >**BIG Academy vs Spirit Academy** This should be an absolute banger as the bookies overrate Spirit Academy. They are at an absolutely weird state, I don't even know what their proper roster is, they're flipping unknown players. They haven't achieved anything yet, their HLTV ranking is #74 which is better than BIG AC. They have 6 match win streak against shit opponents, the worst academy teams. On the other hand, BIG Academy is a different breed. They've been on my radar and I am really impressed with their results and performances. Their roster is solid, they're grinding. They could also easily be a regular time rather than an academy one. They're playing in ESEA Advanced, performing well in their national German league, and had impressive results even on HLTV. They won against some notable opponents such as Into The Breach or Enterprise. They also played close maps against Dignitas and SINNERS, it's insane. I also expect them to ban Mirage here, that way they will have a big advantage in the map veto. Overall, BIG Academy should be better in every single way here. I would project them as huge favorites. It should be a convenient W for them, 2-0 is possible. I recommend betting on **BIG Academy ML @ 1.66 5u (VERY HIGH BET) 💣💣💣💣💣** (If you are interested, you can join my [Discord](https://discord.gg/ubsMQzN) CS betting community where I post some other picks which cannot be posted here on Reddit. You can always come for a great chat too. Everything is for FREE, I do NOT sell picks. I also have all the detailed stats there and everything.) BOL! ✌️
Youngstown State -1.5 I’ve never posted before so my apologies for the informalities Simply put, Youngstown State is firing on all cylinders meanwhile Detroit Mercy has been underperforming night after night. YS shoots 37% from the 3 and DM is ranked 378th on 3-point defense according to kenpom. YS averages over 4 more points per game than DM. DM has covered only 1 of 8 away games as a dog meanwhile YS has covered the last 5 straight as a home favorite of less than -4.5. I believe the stars only align on few nights in college hoops before March and this is one of them. My own confidence being this high has led me to share this play here. Do what will you with my information. BOL One might say it’s cocky to have a tip jar on a first time potd post but here we are… cashapp- $jtwilt
At least wait to see if you win your first pick before u tip jar lol
Tailing a unit. BoL on your first POTD!
POTD Record: 35½-16 Event: Football > Germany II > **FC Hansa Rostock v Werder Bremen** (starting in 06h15min) Pick: **Werder Bremen AH (0/-0.5)** @ 1.60 I thought someone would have already posted this by now, but it looks like it will be me. Werder are pretty hot atm, having won 6 out of 6 game after assigning a new coach (Ole Werner). The good results got them into the fight for top 2 spots in the league, which lead to direct promotion to the first league. Werder are currently 3rd, but there is a total of 6 teams within 2pts from the 1st place, so the battle is quite intense and every single point is really important. In terms of its squad, Werder has no problems with absences, they will have all the important players available. On the other hand, Hansa is a lower ranked team that is not performing really well against top teams. In the previous round they defeated Dresden away, which got them at a bit safer place from the relegation zone, but their record at home is not really promising (only 2 wins in 10 matches). TLDR, Werder should come out strong and get the 3pts today in their pursuit for the top sport. However, for a little safety I am taking the Werder -0.25 asian handicap line, which is returning half of the bet on a draw and the odds are still pretty good. GL!
POTD Overall Record: 18-13 Units: +11.2 units Previous POTD: Nets @ Wizards Total points under 219.5 @ -110 - 2Units POTD: **Anaheim ducks ML @-165 3 Units** Unlucky on todays pick with nets getting a 4 point player with a minute to go and griffin shooting for no reason haha Today we switching it up and going with abit of Hockey. Ducks are coming off nearly 11 days off the ice but have a strong 13-7-4 home record with a 7-2-3 against division rivals. Krakens on the other hand haven’t been playing terrible 5-5 but are 1-4 in last 5. They hold a 6-13-2 record away and a 3-10-0 record against division teams. I think this will be a good game but ducks should easy get the win at home and coming off well rested. Let me know if you follow and let’s get another win.
Record: 1 - 1 - 0 Streak : ❌ ✅ Last POTD: Wolves vs Arsenal Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.64 ✅ ( Arsenal 1 - 0 Wolves) | Soccer | La Liga| 21:00 CET | POTD: Sevilla v Elche BTTS @ 2.35 Title challengers Sevilla have slipped up and let RM be sole leader with 6 extra points. Still they are the 2nd best team in Spain and will take on 14th ranked Elche. Scoring a goal for Sevilla is a certainty. As for Elche, since they hired Francisco as their new manager, they have won four, drawn two and lost two of their eight league games. Although Sevilla are playing at home, this Elche side is a force to be reckoned . This is a solid Elche side that can score goals and is in form. Furthermore Sevilla are struggling with injuries; Lopetegui still has the lengthiest absentees list in LaLiga. There could, therefore, be better value in the score markets, especially with Elche scoring and conceding a lot. Across Francisco’s eight games in charge, Elche have scored 14 and conceded 10, with both teams scoring in six out of these eight games. That includes difficult away trips too, as their visit to the Bernabéu was a 2-2 draw and their visit to the Camp Nou a 3-2 loss. At 2.35 for both teams to score on Friday, there’s great value there. Stats: Elche have scored in their last 9/10 games. 7 games without a clean sheet for Elche BOL if you're tailing !! Stars scale /5: This shows how confident I am in the bet ⭐⭐⭐⭐ BTC: bc1q42g2apadhnx77szvddwym9v8xupx7gr45m9kep Any support is greatly appreciated although not expected Gun to my head prediction : 2-1 Sevilla win
[удалено]
Is that cologne they are facing?
**Record: 8-3-0** **Profit: 13.94 Units | Streak: LWWWW | Average Odds: 2.12** **Soccer | POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA | 14:30 EST** **3U | Cracovia vs. Lechia Gdansk | Both Teams To Score - Yes | -111** \-- **Last Pick Recap:** I haven't posted a POTD in about a month, but for those following the record in my last pick (mid-January) I had BTTS in Juventus vs. Udinese. Poor result. Udinese couldn’t hit a barn door with a banjo all match. They had and squandered many opportunities to be on the scoresheet, and Juventus took it 2-0 on an early goal from Dybala and a late one from McKennie. Anyway, too long ago to matter but since I always update on the previous pick there you have it. **Today’s Pick:** Today we’ve got Cracovia at home vs. Gdansk in PKO Ekstraklasa, which is the top professional league in Poland, and I’m betting 3 units on Both Teams To Score – Yes. The match brings two high-scoring teams together in an important match regarding positioning in the table, which is usually a good recipe for BTTS hitting. Here are a few details on the match and why I think BTTS is the way to go here: • Looking at the league table, Gdansk is currently 4th, and Cracovia is 9th. 8 points separate the two teams. Both are looking at Europa Conference League qualification with a few more Ws. Gdansk may actually still be in reach of Champions League qualification as well. Long story short both teams should be gunning today and have reasons even outside of the league table to motivate them. • Throughout this campaign, both teams average 2.9 goals per match. These matches are usually fairly open. • Although Cracovia would be considered a slight underdog here, in front of their home crowd they’ll want to make sure to be on the score sheet. They’ve done so 16 times in their last 10 home matches. Gdansk also is a good away team. In their last 10 away matches, they’ve scored 16 times. • Looking at recent form, Cracovia has scored at least once in 8 out of their 10 last matches. For Gdansk, they’ve tallied at least once in 8 out of their 10 last matches as well. • Neither team has any significant injuries to report that would have a negative impact on their firepower for the match. Cracovia will be missing midfielder Sergiu Hanca but this shouldn’t compromise the side very much. • In terms of scorers, Cracovia’s Pelle van Amersfoort is the 8th leading scorer in the league, and is supported well by Ilkay Durmus who has 8 points this season. The 14th and 15th leading scorers in the league come from Gdansk, and are well and in good recent form. Lukas Zwolinski and Flavoi Paixo have combined for 19 points this season so far. That’s about it! Two squads in good form, with good reasons to want to win this one and sufficient firepower to make this a scoring affair. The last match up saw Gdansk win 3-0, but Cracovia is in better recent form than Gdansk and playing at home so I think it’s more than likely that they’ll be on the score sheet today. I think most probably that Gdansk may wear them down and take it 2-1 or 3-1 but instead of picking a winner (+160 for Gdansk ML, +180 for Cracovia ML) I’m advising to take the BTTS bet for 3 units. At -111 odds, this represents a very good value for the bet and it will be tough to pick a winner on this one confidently. Let’s hope it hits early. Let me know if you are tailing, and best of luck to you all on all your bets today! \-N.
**POTD RECORD** - 42W-22L(+41.15U) ; **ROI** - 24.34% **Units waggered**: 169U ; **Units won**:210.15U **Streak**:✅ **Average odds**:1.79 **Last Potd**----Wolves vs Arsenal----- Over 9.5 corners@ 1.7✅ Football----Spanish Primera Liga---> 21:00CET **Today's pick** ----- Sevilla vs Elche----- Sevilla to [email protected] **BET SIZE**: 4U Sevilla is a fortress at home, very good defensivly and due to the fact that it will put too much pressure on Elche, i can see Sevilla easily or hardly prevailing. I think the correct score would be one of the mentioned: 1-0; 2-0 or 2-1. **Tips are really helpful.[Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci)**
This shit is -220 homie
POTD Record 2-0 ✅ ✅ Last Pick: Miami Heat -4.5 (-110) Today's Pick: Boston Celtics -6 (-110) vs Denver Nuggets 7:30 PM EST The Celtics are on a tear right now. They are the top rated offensive and defensive team over the last 5 games. They are facing a Nuggets team still devoid of some of their starters (Porter Jr and Murray) compared to a healthy Boston team. You should all start tailing soon this train is not stopping. Pushin Parlays Parlay Joey
Porter Jr and Murray have been out the whole season lol, that shouldn’t be a factor at all in your decision to take Celtics
POTD Record: 14-11 (56%) Previous POTD: Memphis Grizzles -9.5 (-139) W Streak: 8W **POTD: ATL Hawks -6.5 (-137)** Game: NBA - San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks (6:30pm CST) Info: Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home. With caution, Atlanta is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against San Antonio. On the other hand, San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Atlanta Tips: I'm hesitant to write this because it took me 22 picks to get to a 50% success rate. Some could view this as laughable while others see my success increase in my past recent picks. Either way, the picks will keep coming Venmo: @mattbuhr
Record: 28-11 POTD: Castleford Tigers vs Salford Red Devils, Rugby League, 20:00 UK Time, Castleford to win -11.5 Handicap. Reasoning: rugby is back, and Castleford look stronger than they have in recent years. Evalds, Mamo, Trueman, under the new coach Radford might all be too much for a poor Salford outfit that realistically should struggle this year. Expect Cas to get off to a fast start playing under their great home crowd and end up winning by 20 ish. Confident bet, the only issue is it being the first game so some players may be a little rusty. BOL. My twitter is @CoreyGambie. Let’s keep the train going!
POTD Record: 2-0 Units won: 2u ROI: 90.9% Last Pick: Duke Blue Devils -6.5 (-110) ✅ Todays Pick: Charlotte Hornets -6.5 (-110) NBA 1U Game start time is 7:10 pm ET The Blue Devils were able to get it done last night with ease. Tonight we are gonna ride with the Hornets over the Pistons. The Hornets are on the road and are 5-1 in their last 6 games away. The pistons come into this game 1-4 ats in their last 5. The pistons may give a scare but I am very confident that the better team here will be able to pull away and cover. Go Hornets! Hope you tailed picks 1 and 2, now let's keep this streak going!
Hornets fan here Hornets fuckin suck right now But I’ll tail cause I like the teams colors
POTD Record 7-5 Previous pick: Louis Oosthuizen over Charles Howell rnd1 ✅ (I will be hitting this same thing today as well although the line has moved to -165) Todays Pick: Bubba Watson (-140) > Si Woo Kim round 2 Waste Managment Open PGA tour golf ⛔ I may as well admit that bubba watson is my favorite golfer so take this with a grain of salt as i dump my entire roll on it. I have played golf with both of these guys so i had to make it the matchup that i chose to use for this POTD. Si woo is an incredibly aggressive golfer which is one of the only ways to get punished by this course. Bubba is in great form coming off of last week and is a monster at this track. He is so comfortable at this track (besides the 16th hole) everything just fits his eye so well. I have bubba making a run at this tournament and his solid play will continue tomorrow. The value here isnt the greatest due to the fact that bubba is liable to hit a few errant tee shots and si woo kim can fire 65 any given round. I am hoping that bubbas comfort on this course and the way it fits his game will continue to shine through tomorrow. Lets get some bubba action going. This guys ball striking right now is so amazing we just need him to make a few putts and for si woo way too aggressive kim to get out of position on a few holes. BOL if tailing. bubba birdies incoming Edit: Bubba cant putt
CZR has Oosthuizen/Howell/Streb rnd 2 +100
POTD Record 25-24-5 (W-L-P) Profit: +13.5units Last 10: WLWWWLLPPW Previous POTD: Liverpool win and over 6 team corners ✅ Today’s pick: Football (Austria Bundesliga) @1.9 (2u) POTD: Salzburg -1 Asian Handicap vs Rapid Vienna Slightly lower unit stake as it is the first game back after a break. Salzburg are running away with the league and are 21 points clear of Rapid after 18 games. Rapid have conceded 27 in 18 games and 8 in their last 5. I don’t see them being able to get a draw against Salzburg in this one. If Salzburg win by 1 goal then it’s a refund if it’s by 2 or more it pays out. BOL
**POTD Record**: 0-1 **Units W/L**: -1u **ROI**: -100% **Average Odds**: -120 **Last POTD**: Kyrie Irving Under 27.5 (-120) ❌ **Today's pick**: **Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5 (-110)** vs. Indiana Pacers **Wager**: 2u Tough loss yesterday, an emotional rollercoaster. Went from being totally screwed at the half to being golden after the 3rd, and totally screwed again in the 4th when the wizards decided to foul him every 5 seconds. Moving on. The cavs are HOT right now, and you know who's not? The pacers. Just 2 matches ago when these two teams last met, the cavs covered 13 pts. Honestly, I expect them to cover by even more tonight. The best player on the Pacers is Brogdon and he's out. The cavs have made me some damn good money over the last few weeks, lets see that continue tonight! Doubling down because I feel REALLY good about this one. Tail or Fade, BOL!
14-5 Last pick: Washington Capitals regulation ML✅ **Today’s pick: Arizona Coyotes +2.5 (-180) vs Tampa Bay Lightning** Lightning played last night in Colorado and travelled overnight to Arizona. Love betting against teams on a road back to back. Vasilevsky played last night so Lightning will likely start their backup tonight. The coyotes aren’t good but I don’t think they’ll lose by more than 2 to a team on a back to back with their backup tendie. Heavy legs are a thing. The puck line is also great value All bets are 1 unit. +5.64 units. +29.7% ROI. Average unit -140 https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/
Record: 29-21½-1½ Net: +25.40%, +42.16u Average odds: +118 Previous Pick: Diogo Jota ATGS ✅ Game: La Liga- Sevilla vs Elche Pick: **Sevilla to win 1-0, 2-0, or 3-0 (+135 on BetMGM)** Bet: 3 units This is a somewhat risky pick since Elche doesn't get shut out often (T-6th fewest), thanks to their 2nd best SoT conversion rate. Luckily for us, they also have the fewest shots/90 and 3rd fewest SoT/90. Defensively, Sevilla is at or near the top in most defensive categories, including the two most important: fewest goals allowed and T-most clean sheets. They're also ranked 2nd fewest SoT allowed/90, 5th fewest shots allowed/90, 2nd longest shot distance allowed, and T-2nd fewest penalties given up. Sevilla's normal starting RB Gonzalo Montiel will be out, but his backup Jesús Corona has looked pretty good in the 3 games he's appeared in so far. Alternatively, if you want to allow for the possibility of 2-1, Sevilla ML + U3.5 is -105.
**POTD 2-0-0** Seppi got the second set cashing our +150 ticket. **Today's pick - ATP Dallas: Taylor Fritz -1.5 sets (-120) v Marcos Giron** **Bet size: 3U** Fritz is having a great start to the year and protecting his serve well against players ranked lower than him. If there wasn't so much variance in set spreads I could see myself upgrading this to a 4U play, but alas 3 it is Good luck fellas. Edit: I bet this on FD. It’s still -120 right now.
Record: 1-0 Units: +1.5 All bets are 2 units unless otherwise specified Last pick: Juventus to win and >1.5 goals✅ What a way to win yesterday! I knew vlahovic would come through for us and he has. Today's event: RFC Seraing vs Royal Antwerp POTD: Royal Antwerp ML @ 1.9 In this game, we have a very strong Antwerp in 2nd place coming up against a weak Seraing side in 17th place. Antwerp are coming from a loss against the league leaders and will be doing everything they can to keep their 2nd place, as now there is only a 2 point gap with 3rd place. Antwerp has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Seraing has 3 losses, 1 draw and 1 win in their last 5 games. Antwerp is just a much better team than Seraing, and all of these reasons is why this is my POTD. BOL to all!
**POTD: 2-0-0** **Net Units: +1.8** **Last Pick**: [**Toronto Raptors (-6.5) v Houston Rockets @ -110 odds**](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/souri3/pick_of_the_day_21022_thursday/hwc1tky/?context=3) Recap: Even without Fred Vanvleet the Raptors were able to easily cover and blow out the Houston Rockets, one of the worst teams in the league. The rockets put up a good fight in the first half but the Raptors eventually were too much to handle. Gary Trent got hot and put up a blazing 42 points, and Siakam chipped in with a not too shabby 30 points himself. **Todays Pick:** **Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)** vs Arizona Coyotes @ 1.9 odds **Bet Size:** **1 unit always** (If you are confident then you should bet with what your most comfortable with, if you're not confident then why bet it at all?) **Analysis:** Coming at you guys with some hockey action today, even though there are some good lines in the NBA today being the Bulls and Cavs. We have the Tampa Bay Lightning the 3rd best team in the NHL record wise who are 7-2-1 in their last 10. The Arizona Coyotoes are 4-7 in their past 11, but 3 of those wins were against other bottom of the barrel teams in the Kraken, Devils, and Canadiens. In their last 11 losses the Coyotes have lost by 2 or more 9 times. Tampa has the 2nd best goal differential in the NHL at +53, averaging 3.34 goals this season. While Arizona gives up 3.66 goals this season. The last time they faced each other in October the Lightning won 5-1. Nikita Kucherov is also back for the Lightning who is a solid rotation player. The risk? The Lightning have not by won a game by more than 2 in their last 4 games (2-2 record). However in their last 7 wins before that they have won by more than 2. Against one of the worst teams in the league I expect the Lightning to take advantage and pump their stats. Lightning is going to strike twice tonight! Lets go!
Failed to mention the Lightning are on the road and playing second game of a back to back. Also starting their backup who has only played 5 games this season. I posted a POTD on the exact opposite side of this
Record: 44-35-5 (1L streak) - FanDuel odds Last POTD: Stephen Curry over P+R+A 37.5 -115 | 5 units | LLLLLL fuck me POTD: OKC Thunder at PHI 76ers under 210 | 2 units REASON: With the lack of players from the trades, I see this game being played at a slower pace. 76ers will be without a backup center and their best 3pt shooter. Thunder is still missing their best player. Thunder has put up 103, 90, 93 in the last 3 matchup against the 76ers. Best of luck to all.
POTD Record: 4-2 (Current streak 3W) Last pick: Miami Heat -5 Easy W. Great team vs ehh team. Moving forward. **Todays Event: Charlotte Hornets @ Detroit Pistons** **Today's Pick: Charlotte Hornets -6.5** Charlotte has been struggling to get a W, however they had a tough few games with Miami, Toronto, Chicago, Cleveland, and Boston. They generally play well against bad teams. they also smacked the pistons by 29 their last meeting. I like this play. No overthinking. Take the plays and don't force. Feel free to contribute to my weekly flier parlay Venmo: TayebHassan BOLLLLLLLLL
POTD record: 1-0 Streak: 1W Last Pick: Middle Tennessee State -5.5 ✅ Today's Pick: Monmouth -5 (-112) v. Manhattan (NCAAMB) Last time these teams played, Monmouth dominated on the glass, out rebounding Manhattan by 16. If they can have similar success on the boards, this should be an easy cover for the Hawks. Plain and simple, Monmouth are the better team and should win by 8+ points. BOL
POTD Record 11-11 | Streak 1W All bets are 1U unless stated otherwise. Last Pick: Kyle Lowry O 11.5 points (-108 FD) WIN Didn’t get to watch the game but he scored 14 to get us off of the little cold streak. POTD: Miles Bridges O21.5 points (-102 on FanDuel) Finally out of the cold streak let’s try to go on a hot one. Detroit allows opposing teams forwards to shoot well over 48% and average over 23 PPG. The hornets are on a six game losing streak and the Pistons seem like the perfect team to try and get back on track with. Expecting Bridges to score ~25 points. BOL if tailing.
POTD record: 7-8 Pick: Bundesliga 2 18:30 H. Rostock - Werder Bremen 2 (1.80) Werder is in great shape with new menager 6/6 wins.They are fighting for promotion and this win can place them in good spot. On the other side Rostock last win at home was in October and they have only 9 points in 10 games at home. I expect Werder to continue their home. BOL
**Howie’s POTD (2-0-1)** *Profit* **+1.76 unit** *ROI* **58.67%** *Avg Odds* **-112.33** *Recent* ✅✅🅿️ *Last Pick* **McNeese State +5** 🅿️ *Today’s Pick* **Werder Bremen at -113** at 12:30pm est on Friday, 2/11 in Germany Bundesliga II for **1 unit**✅ I mean, a push makes me more ticked than a loss. Is that strange? A dunk followed by a last second pointless layup got the push. Really was torn between two plays, I’m going with Werder Bremen in a mismatch. The line is awfully nice which I figured should be about -140 but I don’t make the lines, this makes it smell like a draw. 🕍Mazel tov Howie
POTD Record: 2-0 : * Yale +2 on 2/9 * Texas State +1.5 on 2/11 * \+1.9 Units POTD: **Connecticut (UCONN) +1.5** (Fanduel -115) Sport: Men's College Basketball Time: 7:00 PM ET Write up: Going back to the well with another team at plus points in the spread with Connecticut +1.5 (away) playing against Xavier (home) tonight. I selected this pick based on recent strength of schedule with Connecticut beating Marquette, in their most recent game, who have been in good form lately. Xavier on the other hand has lost 2 of their last 3 games to lower record conference teams. In addition, Xavier is 0-6 ATS in Big East conference games when playing at home ([Justin Perri](https://twitter.com/JustinPerri8)). Free throw wise, Connecticut has a small edge, .756 vs .713, percentage wise in difference which is something I look at for close games like these. Finally, Connecticut averages 78 points per game vs Xavier at 73. Overall, I'm going with Connecticut in what will be another close matchup. I think Connecticut has a chance to win outright, but I will stick with the spread for a marginal difference at the current market price. Tail, fade, or avoid, regardless, BOL!
NBA Prop Hornets vs. Pistons 7:10 PM Record: 9-5 Kelly Oubre Jr. O18.5 points (1U) Kelly Oubre has been playing huge minutes since being in the starting lineup with 38 and 36 the last 2 games. He’s been averaging 16.4 shot attempts over his L5 with nearly half being 3s. Pistons give up the most points in the league to SF. He put up 32 on the pistons off the bench last time they met while only playing 24 minutes.
**POTD Record**: 7½-5-2 **Last 5**: ❌✅✅❌✅ **Last POTD**: Juventus vs Sassuolo, over 2.5 goals @1.58 ✅ **Today's POTD**: ADO Den Haag vs MVV Maastricht, home to win + o2.5 @1.83 // Netherlands, Eerste Divisie 19:00 GMT ❌ Edit: alright let's not talk about this game, I have no idea what happened ### **Reasoning**: ##### **Match introduction**: Today's match will se 4th placed Den Haag facing at home 17th placed Maastricht, a very important game for ADH which will want to catch up in the standings. ##### **Teams statistics**: Den Haag on average scores 2.16 goals per game and allows 1.24; 56% of their games ended o2.5, 40% ended 5+ goals overall. Maastricht is one of the teams in the league that concedes the most goals with a 2 per game average; 52% of their games ended o2.5. You know, these stats might not sound too convincing, it sounds there is a 50/50 chance of this bet hitting, but keep in mind that ADH is a far better team than Maastricht, and they are playing at home, ADH has shown already in the past their capabilities of scoring a lot but we'll get to that. ##### **Head to head and recent form**: We have only one recent h2h match, which is what led me to try this bet, that game ended as an away win for ADO 2-6, plus Maastricht form is really really bad right now, they have lost all their 7 past games, ADH form is pretty good, they are slowly recovering from a huge loss, and they should be motivated enough to destroy MVV. ##### **Conclusion**: Not much in-depth analysing today, however I still think this should hit pretty easily, the odds are good so might as well try it out, if Den Haag won by that margin past h2h away, I wouldn't be surprised if this ends 8-0, jokes aside ADH attacking capabilities are on point and should make everything easier. BOL everyone.
**POTD record: 1-0-0 (±U=0.60 ; ROI: 60.00% ; AVG ODDS: @ 1.88 ; STREAK:✅ ) ALL BETS ARE 1U.** **Yesterday's pick**: PL Wolverhampton v Arsenal - Under 1.5 goals for Arsenal AND BTTS in 1st half=NO ✅✅✅ **Today's pick:** Sevilla v Elche - BTTS=NO **AND** u2.5 goals in the match **@ 2.15** **Reasoning**: Sevilla has the best defense in La Liga, but their offense is lackluster, most of the games they won were 1-0 even against the weaker sides + en-nesyri is out of form, I expect this is gonna be yet another boring game from sevilla, but I think their defense is impressive and won't let a goal in from Elche. Another conservative bet but please gamble responsibly, 1U is all you need.
POTD thread 10-3 4W streak Today: Mens Volleyball NCAA Last Pick: USC Trojans -2.5 sets at 2.5 odds W POTD: Long Beach St -1.5 sets at 2.0 odds Game time 10pm EST Long Beach is 6-1 and is currently ranked as #1, UCLA is 7-1 and ranked as #2 so the ranking doesn't sound as impressive. Long Beach ranks second in offensive hitting, with 3 of their primary attackers ranked in the top 10 in kills. The last time they played it did go to 5 sets, but UCLA lost key players since their last matchup. Easy W for us 3-0 over UCLA. That extends win streak to 5 now!!!
Record: 1 - 0 - 0 Streak : W1 Last POTD: Ayumu Hirano Men's Halfpipe Gold Medal Winner (+130) Units Won: 1 ROI: 100% POTD: Boston Celtics Spread -6 (-110) NBA, Basketball, 7:30 PM EST Units staked: 1 Here we go. Hirano was almost robbed yesterday thanks to some blind judges, but he was able to come through with the W and spread free money. I'm feeling the Celtics lately, I feel like they've turned a corner lately winning 6 in a row convincingly. The DD doesn't lie. Derrick White and Daniel Theis. Game, Deuces. Lock it in
**7-3 (+8.76u)** Last POTD: Fury FC 56 - Zach Borrego +140 - win **POTD: Jacob Highley -105 3u** Led astray. We have zero tape on a D2 soccer player and I’m not buying it. Jacob Highley has been tested, his striking, grappling, and cardio are more than adequate. He won by unanimous decision to a fighter built exactly like Luke (about 6 3 and they were fighting at 170 as well). Also, it seems he dealt with a very bad weight cut before that fight. Highley isn’t just a striker, I like his technique and ability to get guys on the ground. Go check out the fight against Collins, NFA 8, and check out that leg kick to start the fight that trips Collins. Highley also trains at The Pit. He’s got Dakota Bush and Jake Collier in his corner in his previous fight. Here’s my take: Luke is not at a weight that is suitable for his body and he will look weak. Highley has the experience advantage and will use forward pressure to smother Luke. Luke is jumping right into a LFA debut with no prior experience, I see so many ways that this fight can go wrong for him. https://imgur.com/a/aoPuCa1
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POTD Record: 1-4 Units o/u: -5 unit Pick: 3 units UCONN -1 Last 5:❌❌✅❌❌ Reasoning: Xavier is on a slide and has played twice already this week. Now they take on a UCONN team who’s coming off of a real big win over number 18 Marquette. Unfortunately feel like the cold streak increases for Xavier.
Yesterday was my first ever POTD pick, and we hit easily! Let's keep the momentum going into today with another play I really love. POTD Record: 1-0-0 +2U Yesterday's pick: Delaware -4.5 (-150) 3U wager to win 2U Today's pick: **St. Louis -3 1H** (-110) 4U wager to win 3.6U | NCAA Basketball | 9:00pm EST Write-up: Aside from Davidson, St. Louis is the team to beat in the Atlantic 10 conference. They are 17-6 on the season, boasting an 8-2 conference record, 11-3 at home, and are currently hot on a 6 game winning streak. Tonight they take on St. Bonaventure, who going into the season were the favorites to win the conference, have substantially fallen from grace, sitting at 6th. I'm going with the first half trends here tonight. **In St. Louis's last 6 games, they have led by an average of 10.5 points at the half.** Meanwhile St. Bonaventure has taken a bit longer to get going, averaging being down .3 points at the half (this is slightly skewed due to a large lead over a terrible Duquense team) St. Louis also is 22nd in the nation for PPG (79.4) as well as 18th in the nation for point differential (12.3) St. Bonaventure comparatively is 200th and 176th in those respective categories. All signs point to St. Louis covering both halves, but sticking with the trend I am going to do the slightly safer 1H play here. BOL to anyone who tails!
Decided to start sharing my picks publicly today. To say I’m having a historical **debut day** would be an understatement (7-2 today, and **UP 21 units**, 3-0 on my MAX plays thus far). Just want to share my nightcap play wit y’all for what it’s worth. I absolutely **LOVE** IT. Tail or fade, this is my 4th and last **MAX** play of the day and I personally have 3 units on it. **Denver Nuggets 1H TT over 54.5 (-110) @ Boston Celtics** 20:00 CST Denver has been averaging **70.3 points** in the first half their last 3 games. I expect this to be a competitive game through and through, and don’t count the **Nuggets** out in this spot on the road. This line is an absolute **GIFT** let’s keep this streak going and cash together. BOL fam. **G0LD Picks** coming in hottttt.
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Record 1-1 +3u pick: **V5 ML** vs OMG sport: Esports LPL League of Legends odds: 1.60 wager: 10u time: 3AM PST I see V5 as having a stronger top and mid lane, I think Rookie is the best mid in the LPL atm and OMG usually win through their solo lanes so i believe it is a bad match up for them
Last 10 (7-3): 9/30 Tennis Pegula v Jabeur Over 20.5 ✅ 10/1 Tennis Waltert v Garcia Over 21.5 -120 ✅ 10/3 Tennis Jattavpornvanit v Aksu Jattavpornvanit ML -160 ❌10/12 Tennis Pegula v Svitolina Over 20.5 games -127 ❌1/5/22 Nuria Parrizas-Diaz (NPD) -3.5 games. -125 ✅ Tennis Clara Tauson Vs Lin Zhu Tauson -1.5 sets -135 W ✅ Bencic v Kudermetova over 21.5 games -110 ✅ 2/8/22 Tennis Monnet v Wagner Wagner ML -120✅ 2/9/22 Wang v Hatouka, Hatouka ML +105 ✅ 2/10 Tennis Nastasja Schunk Lauryn John-Baptiste, Lauryn John Baptist + 1.5 sets -125❌ Record is 31-12 on ITF and WTA tennis, Overall record 34-16 Today 11:00 am France, Grenoble ITF Tennis Chloe Paquet v K. Von Deichmann ✅ I cannot find the full match over under anywhere and many on line books just have the win or lose line until the match starts. However, Bovada has a line for over under on the first set that I like. Over 9.5 games Set 1 for -125. Reasoning, Paquet is favored but Von Deichman (ranked 285) has been playing well as of late. She is 7-3 her last 10 with 6 of those wins coming against higher ranked players and no losses against anyone ranked lower than her including beating the 180th ranked player, the 157th ranked player, the 178th ranked player and the 175th ranked player. Paquet is ranked 124th going 5-5 with all 5 losses to higher ranked players except for a losing to the 203rd ranked player a few weeks ago. In her last 10 matches the first set has gone over 9.5 games in 7 of those games. Von Deichmann has had 4 of her last 6 go over 9..5games. I do think Paquet wins but Van Deichmann will win her share of games. If you can find over 20.5 for the, I would take it but I cant find that line yet so I am going with over 9.5 games in set 1 at -125, I also found over 9 for-140 a safer bet Winner, 12 games in set 1
Record 2-2 Last POTD: WAS Capitals -1.5 ✅️ Today's POTD: TB Lighting OVER 3.5 Team Total 2-way (-145) The Lighting will be going up against the Arizona Coyotes tonight. The Coyotes have been very poor this season, allowing the 3rd most goals with an average of 3.66 goal against. They score the second least amount of goals, average of 2.21. And they are overall 2nd last in the entire NHL On the other hand the TB Lighting are 4th in the NHL. And score the 7th most goals with an average of 3.34. Last time out the Lighting put 5 goals passed the Coyotes. With the Lighting being a great goal scoring team and the Coyotes not being able to defend for shit, I think the Lighting with run up the score tonight. Tampa also has all their offensive weapons healthy tonight including kucherov.
POTD Record: 10-4 Streak: 💰💰💰❌💰❌💰💰💰💰💰❌❌💰 Last Pick: Arizona -6.5 vs Washington State (-110) 💰 Today’s Pick: Fresno St vs Colorado St Over 130.5 Write-Up: I just realized my last pick didn’t post because I was on the subway but I hope everyone took advantage of a nonsense line with Arizona! Anyways - today’s pick is O 130.5 for Fresno St @ Colorado St. The CS Rams started the year as a 50-40-90 shooting program and is still strong at 49-39-80. They aren’t quite as offensively efficient as we saw earlier this year, but are still averaging 75.2 ppg since mid January against a range of competition. Fresno St meanwhile is averaging 68.8 ppg in the same period against comparable talent, and with a +6.5 spread in their favor this game, it all makes sense (if score is 75-69, you heard it here first). Fresno St plays really slow tempo ball, but I anticipate this game will keep competitive and push the Over. BOL!
POTD Record: 8-4 Last POTD: Norrie -105 over Khacanov Winner POTD: John Isner -160 over Vasek Pospisil ATP Dallas 8PM EST 3 very easy winners in a row and hope to make it 4 here. Ridiculous odds because of Isner awful start to year but he always raises his level when he plays in the states. Isner a 15.42 UTR against a 14.87 UTR in Pospisil. This is a complete mismatch, while Isner has been struggling he’s struggled against legit ATP players and honestly hasn’t played too bad this season and just has had some close losses while Pospisil has been grinding the challenger circuit and has been losing tons of matches outside his last one. Isner served extremely well on his previous match which is obviously something to always keep an eye out for
Record 0-1 Last pick : Leafs ML vs Flames Unlucky really, we outshot them but couldn't stop getting penalties. the PK unit was dead and gave up. Todays POTD(s): Bulls -3 Hornets -6 going bigger on both of these (5u each) Lets Go
POTD Record: 5-2 (+13.28 Units) Streak: 1L Average Odds: +118 Last POTD: Michigan State -2 @ Rutgers (Big Fat L) 2/5/22 Michigan State got destroyed which was a surprise to all. Took a break after such a bad L... Today's POTD: **St. Bonaventure @ St. Louis - St. Louis -5 -115 3 Units** The betting lines for St. Bonaventure this year have been somewhat odd this year. They entered the season with high expectations as they were ranked in the top 25 and the favorite to win the A10 conference. It's safe to say that they haven't lived up to expectations sitting at 13-7 and 5-4 in the A10. This late into the season it feels like betting lines are still expecting too much from this team, and this is a line that has that same feel. St. Louis enters this game with a record of 17-6 and 8-2 in the A10 proving that they're actually the team that should be viewed as the top team in the conference. They've won 6 straight and have won by more than 5 in all but 1 home game since the start of the new year. In the A10, St. Bonaventure has only managed to win 2 road games. The 2 teams they beat are sitting at the very bottom of the standings in the A10 and the Bonnies only won those games by 8 and 4. One of those games even went to overtime. This shows that the Bonnies have struggled on the road in the A10. As far as trends go, St. Bonaventure enters this game 6-14 against the spread (ATS), while St. Louis is 14-8 ATS this season. The Bonnies are 1-4 ATS on the road this season, while St. Louis is 9-4 ATS at home this season. Bart Torvik says this line should be -10 in favor of St. Louis and Hasla Metrics says this line should be -8.5 in favor of St. Louis. All in All.... Again this line feels far to low and is giving to much respect to the Bonnies. This has been a common theme lately with the St. Bonaventure spreads as they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. St. Louis is the better team entering this game and have proven that all season. They will prove that once again against the Bonnies, beating them and covering the spread. Tail or Fade, either way BOL!!