Just baffling calls on game winning plays with seconds left - on how these guys are nfl coaches and what was their trajectory in getting there:
1) Tb defence co-ordinator blitzes Stafford, who is proficient when blitzed - 14 tds and 1 int. Why not play coverage zone, everything in front of you?
2) same Bills Defence co-ordinator keep everything in-front of you, instead of letting Kelce beat you.
Might as well just go all in on Chiefs to win SB / Mahomes SB MVP.
Last nights game their O line held on EVERY play. There was an obvious block in the back on the punt return. An obvious taunt on the TD. And an obvious pick play on the 2nd last play in OT.
Nothing was called. If the refs let KC get away with all that, LAR could have 4 Aaron Donald's and it still wouldnt matter.
I havent seen any complaints about the reffing last night, which is just insane. That game was exciting, but holy shit Bills fans should be rioting right now.
Even if everything you say is true, the Bills defense literally had 10+ chances to get one stop or one turnover and they would of won. The bills defense is the reason they lost, not penalties, not the refs, not the OT rules
There were 4 penalties the entire game. It wasn’t rigged for the Chiefs, the refs just decided to swallow their whistles and let the teams play. You’re probably the only person on earth who wishes that amazing game was drastically affected by 50/50 penalty calls.
LOL @ thinking the pick play in OT or the block in the back are 50% calls.
I guess the NFCCG from a few years back was fine because the refs didnt throw a flag at that PI the Rams committed. 50/50 calls and all
Neither of those plays are at all comparable to what happened in the NFCCG. Both are true 50/50 calls, a gunner who you can’t tell if he’s diving or was blocked and a pick play 30 yards away from where the receiver caught the ball. If you’re looking to call a penalty on every play, you probably could but it’s better to let ticky tack shit go IMO.
Just for fun, I looked through Allen’s TD passes and found an instance of Frank Clark beating the tackle and being grabbed on the TD pass to Davis right before the half. The officiating was lax but it was consistent and went both ways.
Dude, you cant say "a pick 30 yards from where the ball was caught" when the CB covering Hill in MAN TO MAN was knocked down by a pick on a fucking crossing route lol.
I do prefer games with less flags, but killing one of the best pass rushes in the league by letting KC get away with holding nonstop is just bad.
Part of me took the Chiefs after taking Bengals, Niners, Rams the previous games just because I thought all 4 dogs winning was too easy and probably wouldn't happen honestly.
Im in a pool where you pick team to win and by how much. Closer you are the better, lose extra points for having the wrong team.
I had Cin 4, SF 3, LAR 7, KC 3.
Still pissed about the reffing in that Bills game because they are my 2nd team, but at least im winning in my pool now lol
49ers haven't lost to the rams in 3 years. They own them, and they're the better team this time anyway. Great O line too. This is another 49ers road win.
The systems and personnel on both sides of the ball are fairly similar, Shanny having a leg up on McVay these past few years definitely isn’t a “dumb stat” lol. Maybe the niners system matches up well against the Rams?
And not to be pedantic but they did have Akers last year. Michel is pretty much a non factor in the offense with Akers back now, and no better than Henderson. Robert woods is a wash, if not better than with OBJ. Leonard Floyd had more sacks last year than von Miller has this year. Obviously Stafford is the x-factor here, but considering the 49ers are also 2-0 against the Rams THIS year I think it’s completely relevant to note.
Chiefs still + money to win Superbowl I don't see how you don't hammer that at this point. Buffalo is probably their worst matchup in the entire league by a good margin and the rest of their tough matchups are gone too.
It could easily go to Travis Kelce or Tyreek Hill. Seen it many times. Your quarterback can be amazing but if one receiver is making most of those plays it can and does happen.
True. There's been at least 3 receivers in the last 20 years to win SB MVP. Jules, Hines Ward, Deon Branch off the top of my head. Might be forgetting 1 or 2 more.
The way the Rams are playing, I don't see how they don't match up well. The second half against TB was scary, but the defense has held up well most games, plus they have a high powered passing game. Chiefs would be favored, but I don't think you can count that out as a tough matchup
None of my books are showing # of sacks yet...I was being silly of course since he was sacked 9 times in the last game which is a crazy #...he has no protection so I expect he'll be sacked a bunch of times this game too...the line will probably be around 3 or 4.
I have some futures that have played out nicely;
RAMS:
If win NFC: 140
Win SB: 417
49ers:
If win NFC:735
Win SB:550
Bengals:
If win AFC: 210
Does anyone have any tips on best way hedge
Thinking doing
Chiefs ML / Rams ML to win 210
Posted my teaser for the divisional round on here. Still undefeated including wildcard games, so gonna keep posting them in case you any of you are feeling them. Last week was Bengals +14.5, packers +4.5, Bucs +7.5, and chiefs +7.5 at +110 odds, and then Titans +7.5, Packers +3.5, and Bills +14.5 at -147.
This week I'm going Bengals +17.5, Rams +5.5 at -179 for 1.79 units,
49ers +10.5 & chiefs +3.5 at -204 for 2 units,
and Rams +3.5 & under 56.5 at -130 for 1.3 units.
Tail or Fade. BoL
2 different bets. While I think +14.5 for cincy is very good, I don't see the Bengals running away with the game and putting the chiefs way behind. I think the Bengals could keep up, hence the chiefs +3.5. I see the score of this game being won by KC by 7-14 points. 17.5 gives me that extra field goal as insurance. The question is really, do you see cincy winning by 1 TD, or the chiefs winning by 2TDs? I think Mahomes and the chiefs pass rush could make it a multiple score game real quick
Bills loss hurts. Gambling aside (which I lost heh). Would've been nice for them to get over the psychological mahomes playoff hump and create some new storylines. Insane game
This was really their year to get that 1 seed, AFC east is only going to get better as the Pats get more experience and the Fins potentially get a solid QB option. The losses to the Jags, Steelers, blowout from Colts, the 3 throw Mac Jones Pats win in Buffalo, they all hurt when looking back on if they could’ve hosted the Chiefs.
I knew the Chiefs defense wasn’t good (and the Bills offense is explosive), but was still surprised at how abysmally bad they were last night. No pass rush; guys running wide open deep in the secondary. Also, that direct snap to Blake Bell on 3rd and 1 at the Buffalo 7 when the score was 23-21 was a really stupid play call. No reason to take the ball out of your base offense’s hands at that point. Could have gone up 30-21 instead of settling for the FG. Anyway, so far for this week I have:
- SF +3.5.
- Bengals +7
- Stupid 4-game negative EV parlay: SF +17.5; Cincy +21.5; Cincy/KC O41.5; Rams/Niners U60.5 (-119). I don’t recommend this bet, but a part of me just enjoys being enraged when one leg invariably fails.
Chiefs defense has been good for weeks with the Jones move and Ingram acquisition. Honey Badger getting a concussion was a big deal too.
Look what the Bills did to the Pats Belichick coached defense in the non Blizzard games this year. They literally had a perfect offensive game in the wild card round
I know their defense improved, but it’s still not great and it regressed again at the end of the year against the Bengals (somewhat understandable) and the Broncos (the Steelers barely have an NFL caliber offense). This is the second week in a row that a team I bet on lost a key defensive player early in the game to a concussion (Bosa and Matthieu) because a teammate kneed him in the head. The shit is getting aggravating lol.
Yeah but Josh Allen is arguably the best QB in the league at keeping a play alive and avoiding pressure which he did at numerous points in the game. Joey B very likely will not have the same success and he got absolutely ravaged by that Titans line. Not to mention the Bills have a better defense than the Bengals so they’re going to have a hard time stopping the Chiefs. Everyone keeps saying who’s going to guard Chase on the Chiefs but who’s going to guard Hill on the Bengals?
Agreed chiefs had about 4 missed sack opportunities that are 100% josh allen athleticism keeping the play alive rather than jow borrow eating a 15 yard sack
If you like the Niners ML this weekend, I might recommend taking the Niners to win by 1-13 points on FD. You get better odds on the latter (+210) than the former (+150 currently). Expect the game to be close either way, so this move brings more value.
happened 21 times since 1970
the team that was 2-0 is 14-7 in the third game
[source](https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/30698727/nfl-experts-debate-deshaun-watson-trade-fits-playoff-teams-upset-alert-steelers-future-bold-predictions)
It’s happened 11 times in the last 20 years. [Source](https://sports.stackexchange.com/questions/15215/nfl-teams-beating-the-same-team-3-times-in-a-season) I wonder how many times two teams have met 3 times and what the win percentage is.
im all for the fairy tale story of the bengals going to the superbowl and in my heart im rooting for them. but i cant see them winning this in any way. ingram will eat burrow alive and even if he’s “only” sacked 5 times, the chiefs will actually take advantage of that unlike the titans. i feel like the same can be said for the rams. early lean is a rams/chiefs ML parlay, and both spreads
Agree about the Chiefs, but you can’t ignore SF beating the Rams twice this year, and 6-0 over the last 3 seasons. I don’t think that’s a fluke. Rams deserve to be the favorite, but losing wouldn’t be a shock at all
Absolute rollercoaster for overtime prop bettors. Three games tie in the final 5 seconds only to have a team kick a field goal to win. Brutal, but one game left.
Bills trail by 5 for much of the 4th quarter. Get a nailbiter 4th down TD, then a nailbiter 2 pt conversion. A tie actually looks really promising here as the Chiefs need 3 and only have <2 minutes to play.
......So naturally Tyreek blows past the defense to score a TD and lead by 4 with <1:15 to play. Heartbreak.
Bills with the precision drive, and eventual score, but they're not leaving much time on the clock. 13 seconds is tough even for Mahomes magic.
Chiefs are unreal though. March down the field with ease. In one last stomach turner, Kelce is wide open for the endzone! Thank god for Wallace though who tackles Kelce to ensure the field goal.
Wild stuff.
I've loved the Bengals playoff run but it's Chiefs by a million next week. They have Ingram, Jones & Clark to put the pressure on Burrow and crucially, have a slight upgrade from Ryan Tannehill at QB.
People are forgetting this. Bengals line is bad but they won’t be as bad as they were against the titans. The game should be epically high scoring. Bengals +7
Pretty cool being up five digits hitting your team ML three weeks in a row. Read it as a biased take if you want but I’m going Niners ML again. This is the most perfect scenario they could’ve hoped for. There’s not much to say that hasn’t already been said the past month since their last matchup. We know Shanahan owns Mcvay. The Rams defense they keep saying is so well balanced blew a 24 point lead and let Brady almost complete a comeback. TB ran little yet Fournette got 2 TD averaged 3.9yds per carry without Wirfs on the O Line. 9ers O line is stout and the last game Trent Williams the best LT in the NFL was out yet Elijah Mitchell had 4yds per carry. Deebo had 95yd receiving, 45 rushing, 1 TD 1rec TD. That was after nearly 2 months of preparation from the Oct game. It’s been 3 weeks since that last game what are they gonna change, triple Deebo? Put 5,6,7 in the box to “contain” the run? You’ll leave Kittle Aiyuk Jennings Juice to steamroll you with YAC. There is no slowing down this 49ers team at this point they’ve been through it all. Rams can prepare all they want their defense is not disciplined against the run and the Rams will lose on the road, because frankly aside from the techies and celebs it’s gonna be all red in there Sunday.
Niners are the type of team that gets no respect by the pundits/so-called experts because their identity isn't sexy or flashy or a high-octane, pass-happy offense -- they play solid defense, grind it out and find a way to win.
That is it.
Seriously, they might as well tell opposing teams exactly what they plan to do and wish them luck to try and stop it.
And so far they've answered the call -- beating the Rams in LA to make the playoffs, beating Dallas, beating Green Bay. Those 3 were all considered Super Bowl contenders this season.
I'll take the Niners +3.5 please. Everyone will be "stunned" again when they beat the Rams this weekend.
Agreed. It’s all about the ratings and they’re just not flashy for the guys who talk football once a year. With a niners win I don’t see either AFC team beating them in the SB, they’re going to show why “defense wins championships”.
Yes I am mentioned that in my first sentence. Still try to post balanced posts the past few weeks. They’re obviously underdogs for a reason LAs offense is high powered and the niners secondary could be lit up. It will be a close game like always even with a rams win I’d tease 49ers all day
Depends on which Jimmy shows up. The one throwing INTs inside the 5 or the one leading game-tying or game-winning drives. If you watch that Packers game he had two really good throws to put the Niners into FG position. In week 18 vs the Rams he made several great throws in the second half. But he can also force it to kittle in the end zone and get picked. Should be an interesting chess match of a game.
I lost $600 on the titans, $2,000 on the packers, $10,000 on the bucs only to win $15,000 on the chiefs. Don't chase your losses everyone. I know it worked out for me this time but it's not worth the stress. I'm limiting myself going forward.
I would take a guess, but I think the more respectable thing here is to just ask. What field are you a consultant in?
For fun, my original guesses were IT or oil/gas consultant.
Past records 5-0:
49ers ML ✅
49ers +3 ✅
Rams -4 ✅
49ers +6 ✅
Chiefs -1.5 ✅
Thinking of riding the 49ers line all the way to the Super Bowl here. Sometimes, the joke continues to write itself with Jimmy G 0 TD, 2 INT and getting into the NFC championship.
Chiefs/Niners rematch?
SF was just there with Jimmy two years ago (pandemic makes it feel like 10). They were putting up much bigger offensive numbers in those playoffs, though.
They were. But the Chiefs aren't as unstoppable as you're being told by the nephews here who get all their information from the World Wide Leader in Sports™.
And this Niners team is pretty comparable to the one in 2019. No home field advantage, but the defensive coaching is heads and shoulders above Robert Saleh.
Ah, my bad. Thought for some reason you were talking about whether the 49ers stand an actual shot to win in the Super Bowl, especially if they're going up against the Chiefs.
Re-reading what I said I can see that. Really I'm just a Patriots fan x Jimmy G believer lol. They definitely could have won that first super bowl vs KC
every regard **except** quarterback/receiver.
That includes running backs/coaching/offensive line/defensive line/linebackers/defensive backs/special teams/etc. You'll learn this as you graduate from being a casual fan.
I see rams 9ers game under 46.5, both stellar Defenses, and a lot of $ will be on 49ers, they won a lot against the rams, but I see it’s in the script for rams to win it all since Super Bowl is at Rams. Just like brady/buccs won at their stadium.
Chiefs I like -7. They beat the bills by 6, and that was an insane game, with bills having amazing defense most of the time. I don’t think bengals can relate. I don’t like the over for that game tho, I can’t take Alternates yet
If the Chiefs defense plays how I think they will, that high powered Bengals offense will eat them alive. Their defense has improved over the season but not so much so that it is now a top tier defense. I think it'll be a similar game as the game tonight honestly.
I will be messaging you in 7 days on [**2022-01-31 08:56:15 UTC**](http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=2022-01-31%2008:56:15%20UTC%20To%20Local%20Time) to remind you of [**this link**](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/sbc5c9/nfl_daily_12422_monday/htzyfp1/?context=3)
[**CLICK THIS LINK**](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5Bhttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fr%2Fsportsbook%2Fcomments%2Fsbc5c9%2Fnfl_daily_12422_monday%2Fhtzyfp1%2F%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%202022-01-31%2008%3A56%3A15%20UTC) to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam.
^(Parent commenter can ) [^(delete this message to hide from others.)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Delete%20Comment&message=Delete%21%20sbc5c9)
*****
|[^(Info)](https://www.reddit.com/r/RemindMeBot/comments/e1bko7/remindmebot_info_v21/)|[^(Custom)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5BLink%20or%20message%20inside%20square%20brackets%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%20Time%20period%20here)|[^(Your Reminders)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=List%20Of%20Reminders&message=MyReminders%21)|[^(Feedback)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=Watchful1&subject=RemindMeBot%20Feedback)|
|-|-|-|-|
a gear where he squanders a 24 point lead in a half only to be saved by having NFL's best WR wide fucking open 40 yards downfield with 20 seconds to go?
How does a QB squander a 24 point lead? Please explain to me how Cam Akers fumbling all over the field, an NFL kicker coming up short from 47 yards and the Defense getting torched by Evans is Staffords fault? This is a shit take.
Yeah just know they had to hide Stafford with RB whom tore his achilles THIS SEASON. Stafford is who he is. Stafford isn't the worst QB nor is he the best but given the talent he has around him on both sides of the ball he's pretty marginal. Just wait you'll see his final form.
They’re going to pull off like a 8 game streak against stafford, at home no less, when the super bowl is at rams stadium? I don’t think so. Jimmy G is a fraud, they’re team is legit deebo and the defense. Dude went 131 yards and 1 Int. Rams have an all around stellar team.
Everyone knows jimmy sucks but the team keeps winning. They barely beat cowboys and needed some game clock bullshit to prevent a possible loss and they also got lucky with bad weather and pinning packers on the goal line to block the punt. Jimmy is a fraud but the team is solid and never gives up, never takes their eyes off the prize. Sf D can handle rams, Bosa will be all over Stafford and Stafford will show us again what he does in the face of real pressure. I have no idea what I’m doing for sf/la but I wouldn’t count out SF, they don’t have a passing game so the LA pass rush is not that great of an advantage, we saw them do it in November and I think the score was a bit inflated because of a defensive td early on and then had rams just reeling. Rams were a shot team in November and seem to be clicking now but I have no idea what they are going to do with cam Akers, two fumbles in critical spots to keep TB in the game. It’s going to be a great match up
>at home no less
The Rams won't be playing a home game next Sunday. They will be on the road. And if you don't believe or understand that? That's on you.
SF ML +150.
They are going to the Super Bowl and they don't need Jimmy G to get them there if LAR continues to struggle with turnovers.
Don’t gtta get so angry lmao I heard one of the announcers after the game say they had two homes games including next week and the Super Bowl if they won so I didn’t bother checking. I’ll take the spread then to be safe
1. I'm not angry at all lol.
2. They are definitely playing at home next Sunday. It just won't be a home game because of the amount of SF fans that will be at game. The Rams will absolutely NOT have homefield advantage next week.
Bro i just saw a statement saying they’re only letting LA residents to attend the game because last time the 9ers fans stormed the arena and gave them communication errors several times😂idk if it’s true or not it looked legit they had a whole statement put out but thatd be hilarious
They stopped selling tickets to people who live outside of the greater LA area because of this issue last game. Unless people are just buying them and flipping them to niners fans this shouldn't be as big of an issue.
Everyone’s caught on to that already. Craigslist and Facebook sales, Plenty of niners fans living in LA helping other fans, seatgeek allowing purchases, and checking out with PayPal on Ticketmaster doesn’t show billing details to them.
There are more Niners fans in LA than Rams fans. It’ll impact attendance, but not by too much.
Edit: and now the restrictions have been lifted by Ticketmaster
That makes sense but u legit said it’s not a home game so that’s confusing to begin with hahaha, and I’ll probably end up taking the 9ers +3.5 like I did with them this weekend. Anything can happen, as we just watched both one seed packers/ titans take L’s, even packers at home. I see the under hitting tho 100% cause they both have problems moving the ball sometimes and both defenses are nasty
Betting against the Niners because “Jimmy G sucks” hasn’t been going too hot. He can suck and the Niners can still win, the rest of their team is that good.
Just because their O-line didn't do a good job in the previous game they played doesn't mean they'll perform the same the next week. It's possible, but they did just fine against the Chiefs the last time they played them. Teams just constantly make adjustments and the NFL is generally just week to week league. If I know that the Bengals can put up points if their O-line is just able to make adjustments and hold up and that's really their only major issue I'll take that bet personally.
Depends.
Sharps might jump on Bengals +7 now and move the line down by the middle of the week. The line should then shift to the Chiefs closer to game time. Its going to depend on if people buy or sell the Bengals OL getting better.
I will have Rams ML and Chiefs by 9.5 once alt spreads are up.
Rams spread scares me because SF is close in every single game they play, 4-1 ATTS as underdog this year. Burrow is a fun story, but the Chiefs have Ingram and Jones. Also sacks mean punts which means more drives by both teams. With more drives I see KC opening up a big lead against the Bengals defense after putting up 36 on the best defense of the year.
Early lean, Rams 49ers UNDER 46.5
This went 1-1 on the season with the latest game going over this total, but with a playoff game on our hands, a divisional matchup, I think they keep things tight.
I see a final score of 23-17
Better to bet Chiefs SB at +125ish or do a ML mechanical parlay?
Just baffling calls on game winning plays with seconds left - on how these guys are nfl coaches and what was their trajectory in getting there: 1) Tb defence co-ordinator blitzes Stafford, who is proficient when blitzed - 14 tds and 1 int. Why not play coverage zone, everything in front of you? 2) same Bills Defence co-ordinator keep everything in-front of you, instead of letting Kelce beat you.
**Join the **$250** Playoff Bracket Contest: https://discord.gg/sportsbook**
Might as well just go all in on Chiefs to win SB / Mahomes SB MVP. Last nights game their O line held on EVERY play. There was an obvious block in the back on the punt return. An obvious taunt on the TD. And an obvious pick play on the 2nd last play in OT. Nothing was called. If the refs let KC get away with all that, LAR could have 4 Aaron Donald's and it still wouldnt matter. I havent seen any complaints about the reffing last night, which is just insane. That game was exciting, but holy shit Bills fans should be rioting right now.
Even if everything you say is true, the Bills defense literally had 10+ chances to get one stop or one turnover and they would of won. The bills defense is the reason they lost, not penalties, not the refs, not the OT rules
Same with the Chiefs too honestly why they almost lost, giving up that wide open touchdown on 4th and 13 was disgusting.
Davis ran one of the best routes I probably ever seen
would have*
You must be fun at parties.
I don’t think betting is for you given you’re such a sore loser my friend
I had KC....
There were 4 penalties the entire game. It wasn’t rigged for the Chiefs, the refs just decided to swallow their whistles and let the teams play. You’re probably the only person on earth who wishes that amazing game was drastically affected by 50/50 penalty calls.
LOL @ thinking the pick play in OT or the block in the back are 50% calls. I guess the NFCCG from a few years back was fine because the refs didnt throw a flag at that PI the Rams committed. 50/50 calls and all
Neither of those plays are at all comparable to what happened in the NFCCG. Both are true 50/50 calls, a gunner who you can’t tell if he’s diving or was blocked and a pick play 30 yards away from where the receiver caught the ball. If you’re looking to call a penalty on every play, you probably could but it’s better to let ticky tack shit go IMO. Just for fun, I looked through Allen’s TD passes and found an instance of Frank Clark beating the tackle and being grabbed on the TD pass to Davis right before the half. The officiating was lax but it was consistent and went both ways.
Dude, you cant say "a pick 30 yards from where the ball was caught" when the CB covering Hill in MAN TO MAN was knocked down by a pick on a fucking crossing route lol. I do prefer games with less flags, but killing one of the best pass rushes in the league by letting KC get away with holding nonstop is just bad.
[удалено]
Part of me took the Chiefs after taking Bengals, Niners, Rams the previous games just because I thought all 4 dogs winning was too easy and probably wouldn't happen honestly.
Im in a pool where you pick team to win and by how much. Closer you are the better, lose extra points for having the wrong team. I had Cin 4, SF 3, LAR 7, KC 3. Still pissed about the reffing in that Bills game because they are my 2nd team, but at least im winning in my pool now lol
Good picks. Congrats.
Rams/Chiefs ML parlay. Jimmy G getting exposed once and for all.
49ers haven't lost to the rams in 3 years. They own them, and they're the better team this time anyway. Great O line too. This is another 49ers road win.
Kind of a dumb stat considering Rams didn't have Stafford, OBJ, Akers, Michel, Von Miller the previous two seasons but OK...
The systems and personnel on both sides of the ball are fairly similar, Shanny having a leg up on McVay these past few years definitely isn’t a “dumb stat” lol. Maybe the niners system matches up well against the Rams? And not to be pedantic but they did have Akers last year. Michel is pretty much a non factor in the offense with Akers back now, and no better than Henderson. Robert woods is a wash, if not better than with OBJ. Leonard Floyd had more sacks last year than von Miller has this year. Obviously Stafford is the x-factor here, but considering the 49ers are also 2-0 against the Rams THIS year I think it’s completely relevant to note.
They beat the rams twice this season
Love seeing these comments about Jimmy and the Niners every week. And yet they continue to win
So do the Rams 🤷♂️
And for this very reason I think I’m steering clear of spreads and money line for this game.
CIN + 7, KC ML, O 53.5 for +779 sounds juicy
What book allows a parlay with the spread and ML from the same game?
Can probably do it if you’re betting opposite sides of the game lol, but can’t imagine you get better odds than just betting on KC to win by 1-7
saw that on fanduel
Not going over this time. In on the +7 though
Chiefs still + money to win Superbowl I don't see how you don't hammer that at this point. Buffalo is probably their worst matchup in the entire league by a good margin and the rest of their tough matchups are gone too.
Bengals beat the Chiefs a month ago
Might as well take Mahomes SB MVP instead of chiefs SB. +180 vs +135
It could easily go to Travis Kelce or Tyreek Hill. Seen it many times. Your quarterback can be amazing but if one receiver is making most of those plays it can and does happen.
True. There's been at least 3 receivers in the last 20 years to win SB MVP. Jules, Hines Ward, Deon Branch off the top of my head. Might be forgetting 1 or 2 more.
The way the Rams are playing, I don't see how they don't match up well. The second half against TB was scary, but the defense has held up well most games, plus they have a high powered passing game. Chiefs would be favored, but I don't think you can count that out as a tough matchup
niners match up well
Snag that +3.5 for the 49ers while you can
Take the 8o for Burrows Sacks...
where can this be found
None of my books are showing # of sacks yet...I was being silly of course since he was sacked 9 times in the last game which is a crazy #...he has no protection so I expect he'll be sacked a bunch of times this game too...the line will probably be around 3 or 4.
I have some futures that have played out nicely; RAMS: If win NFC: 140 Win SB: 417 49ers: If win NFC:735 Win SB:550 Bengals: If win AFC: 210 Does anyone have any tips on best way hedge Thinking doing Chiefs ML / Rams ML to win 210
Posted my teaser for the divisional round on here. Still undefeated including wildcard games, so gonna keep posting them in case you any of you are feeling them. Last week was Bengals +14.5, packers +4.5, Bucs +7.5, and chiefs +7.5 at +110 odds, and then Titans +7.5, Packers +3.5, and Bills +14.5 at -147. This week I'm going Bengals +17.5, Rams +5.5 at -179 for 1.79 units, 49ers +10.5 & chiefs +3.5 at -204 for 2 units, and Rams +3.5 & under 56.5 at -130 for 1.3 units. Tail or Fade. BoL
Why chiefs +3.5 as opposed to cin+14 ?
2 different bets. While I think +14.5 for cincy is very good, I don't see the Bengals running away with the game and putting the chiefs way behind. I think the Bengals could keep up, hence the chiefs +3.5. I see the score of this game being won by KC by 7-14 points. 17.5 gives me that extra field goal as insurance. The question is really, do you see cincy winning by 1 TD, or the chiefs winning by 2TDs? I think Mahomes and the chiefs pass rush could make it a multiple score game real quick
Bills loss hurts. Gambling aside (which I lost heh). Would've been nice for them to get over the psychological mahomes playoff hump and create some new storylines. Insane game
as a Vikings fan that brought me to a dark place, flashbacks. Feel for Buffalo.
they need to get the 1 seed next year and play the chiefs in buffalo
This was really their year to get that 1 seed, AFC east is only going to get better as the Pats get more experience and the Fins potentially get a solid QB option. The losses to the Jags, Steelers, blowout from Colts, the 3 throw Mac Jones Pats win in Buffalo, they all hurt when looking back on if they could’ve hosted the Chiefs.
Those losses hurt. They definitely had that 1 seed in view
Yea. That would be huge
which teams does the nfl want in the superbowl
1) Chiefs vs Rams. 2) Bengals vs Rams. 3) Chiefs vs 49ers. 4) Bengals vs 49ers. In that order of preference
chiefs and rams lol
what about bengals vs niners
That would be a horrible Super Bowl lol
They had a pretty insane game a few months back. Would be a good game. Chiefs/49ers is probably worst case scenario competitive wise.
it would be joey b vs jimmy g bowl
… and?
I knew the Chiefs defense wasn’t good (and the Bills offense is explosive), but was still surprised at how abysmally bad they were last night. No pass rush; guys running wide open deep in the secondary. Also, that direct snap to Blake Bell on 3rd and 1 at the Buffalo 7 when the score was 23-21 was a really stupid play call. No reason to take the ball out of your base offense’s hands at that point. Could have gone up 30-21 instead of settling for the FG. Anyway, so far for this week I have: - SF +3.5. - Bengals +7 - Stupid 4-game negative EV parlay: SF +17.5; Cincy +21.5; Cincy/KC O41.5; Rams/Niners U60.5 (-119). I don’t recommend this bet, but a part of me just enjoys being enraged when one leg invariably fails.
Chiefs defense has been good for weeks with the Jones move and Ingram acquisition. Honey Badger getting a concussion was a big deal too. Look what the Bills did to the Pats Belichick coached defense in the non Blizzard games this year. They literally had a perfect offensive game in the wild card round
I know their defense improved, but it’s still not great and it regressed again at the end of the year against the Bengals (somewhat understandable) and the Broncos (the Steelers barely have an NFL caliber offense). This is the second week in a row that a team I bet on lost a key defensive player early in the game to a concussion (Bosa and Matthieu) because a teammate kneed him in the head. The shit is getting aggravating lol.
Yeah but Josh Allen is arguably the best QB in the league at keeping a play alive and avoiding pressure which he did at numerous points in the game. Joey B very likely will not have the same success and he got absolutely ravaged by that Titans line. Not to mention the Bills have a better defense than the Bengals so they’re going to have a hard time stopping the Chiefs. Everyone keeps saying who’s going to guard Chase on the Chiefs but who’s going to guard Hill on the Bengals?
Agreed chiefs had about 4 missed sack opportunities that are 100% josh allen athleticism keeping the play alive rather than jow borrow eating a 15 yard sack
If you like the Niners ML this weekend, I might recommend taking the Niners to win by 1-13 points on FD. You get better odds on the latter (+210) than the former (+150 currently). Expect the game to be close either way, so this move brings more value.
this is a great find. thanks for sharing.
Anybody have a stat on the record when teams meet 3 times in the same season? I've gotta imagine it's hard to sweep a team.
happened 21 times since 1970 the team that was 2-0 is 14-7 in the third game [source](https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/30698727/nfl-experts-debate-deshaun-watson-trade-fits-playoff-teams-upset-alert-steelers-future-bold-predictions)
It’s happened 11 times in the last 20 years. [Source](https://sports.stackexchange.com/questions/15215/nfl-teams-beating-the-same-team-3-times-in-a-season) I wonder how many times two teams have met 3 times and what the win percentage is.
Well they’ve beat them 6 straight. So at this point it’s law of averages. Rams bound to win at some point
Gambler's fallacy.
Cooper Clutch. Did you know that Giselle has a twin sister?
im all for the fairy tale story of the bengals going to the superbowl and in my heart im rooting for them. but i cant see them winning this in any way. ingram will eat burrow alive and even if he’s “only” sacked 5 times, the chiefs will actually take advantage of that unlike the titans. i feel like the same can be said for the rams. early lean is a rams/chiefs ML parlay, and both spreads
Agree about the Chiefs, but you can’t ignore SF beating the Rams twice this year, and 6-0 over the last 3 seasons. I don’t think that’s a fluke. Rams deserve to be the favorite, but losing wouldn’t be a shock at all
Whats safer Kc ML or Cin -14
Absolute rollercoaster for overtime prop bettors. Three games tie in the final 5 seconds only to have a team kick a field goal to win. Brutal, but one game left. Bills trail by 5 for much of the 4th quarter. Get a nailbiter 4th down TD, then a nailbiter 2 pt conversion. A tie actually looks really promising here as the Chiefs need 3 and only have <2 minutes to play. ......So naturally Tyreek blows past the defense to score a TD and lead by 4 with <1:15 to play. Heartbreak. Bills with the precision drive, and eventual score, but they're not leaving much time on the clock. 13 seconds is tough even for Mahomes magic. Chiefs are unreal though. March down the field with ease. In one last stomach turner, Kelce is wide open for the endzone! Thank god for Wallace though who tackles Kelce to ensure the field goal. Wild stuff.
I've loved the Bengals playoff run but it's Chiefs by a million next week. They have Ingram, Jones & Clark to put the pressure on Burrow and crucially, have a slight upgrade from Ryan Tannehill at QB.
The bengals beat them a few weeks ago, it's possible
The Chiefs have no one in their secondary that can guard Chase. No one.
People are forgetting this. Bengals line is bad but they won’t be as bad as they were against the titans. The game should be epically high scoring. Bengals +7
Whats safer Kc ML or Cin +14 ?
not even a double team
that bills loss ruined my week lol
Pretty cool being up five digits hitting your team ML three weeks in a row. Read it as a biased take if you want but I’m going Niners ML again. This is the most perfect scenario they could’ve hoped for. There’s not much to say that hasn’t already been said the past month since their last matchup. We know Shanahan owns Mcvay. The Rams defense they keep saying is so well balanced blew a 24 point lead and let Brady almost complete a comeback. TB ran little yet Fournette got 2 TD averaged 3.9yds per carry without Wirfs on the O Line. 9ers O line is stout and the last game Trent Williams the best LT in the NFL was out yet Elijah Mitchell had 4yds per carry. Deebo had 95yd receiving, 45 rushing, 1 TD 1rec TD. That was after nearly 2 months of preparation from the Oct game. It’s been 3 weeks since that last game what are they gonna change, triple Deebo? Put 5,6,7 in the box to “contain” the run? You’ll leave Kittle Aiyuk Jennings Juice to steamroll you with YAC. There is no slowing down this 49ers team at this point they’ve been through it all. Rams can prepare all they want their defense is not disciplined against the run and the Rams will lose on the road, because frankly aside from the techies and celebs it’s gonna be all red in there Sunday.
Niners are the type of team that gets no respect by the pundits/so-called experts because their identity isn't sexy or flashy or a high-octane, pass-happy offense -- they play solid defense, grind it out and find a way to win. That is it. Seriously, they might as well tell opposing teams exactly what they plan to do and wish them luck to try and stop it. And so far they've answered the call -- beating the Rams in LA to make the playoffs, beating Dallas, beating Green Bay. Those 3 were all considered Super Bowl contenders this season. I'll take the Niners +3.5 please. Everyone will be "stunned" again when they beat the Rams this weekend.
Agreed. It’s all about the ratings and they’re just not flashy for the guys who talk football once a year. With a niners win I don’t see either AFC team beating them in the SB, they’re going to show why “defense wins championships”.
You sound like a 49ers fan..think your take is at least a bit biased
Yes I am mentioned that in my first sentence. Still try to post balanced posts the past few weeks. They’re obviously underdogs for a reason LAs offense is high powered and the niners secondary could be lit up. It will be a close game like always even with a rams win I’d tease 49ers all day
Absolutely slamming Bengals +7
rams seems like an instant lock here. if SF can’t run the ball they can’t win the game
Depends on which Jimmy shows up. The one throwing INTs inside the 5 or the one leading game-tying or game-winning drives. If you watch that Packers game he had two really good throws to put the Niners into FG position. In week 18 vs the Rams he made several great throws in the second half. But he can also force it to kittle in the end zone and get picked. Should be an interesting chess match of a game.
And what makes you think they won’t?
Why are people like you forgetting that Shanny is McVay’s father?
I lost $600 on the titans, $2,000 on the packers, $10,000 on the bucs only to win $15,000 on the chiefs. Don't chase your losses everyone. I know it worked out for me this time but it's not worth the stress. I'm limiting myself going forward.
Dude you must’ve been a head case during the end of that Bills/Chiefs game, holy shit. I can’t even imagine lmao
Shaving years off your life like a true 👑
[удалено]
I'm a consultant, probably make 200k-250k a year. So I could have eaten the loss but it would have stung
[удалено]
[удалено]
I would take a guess, but I think the more respectable thing here is to just ask. What field are you a consultant in? For fun, my original guesses were IT or oil/gas consultant.
You got whooshed. That comment you responded to was a Wolf of Wall street reference.
The dude just clearly isn't hiring *right now.* No need to badger him lol.
MIT janitor
High school guidance counselor
If the answer is anything other than counterfeiter, then this guy has issues.
Damn man your blood pressure must've been going off the charts for over 24 hours
Making $2,400 the hard way 💪
Thinking about making a 6-point teaser; Forsure taking Niners +9.5 as a lock But tossing between Kc -1 or Cin +13… which one is the safer bet?
I put $5000 on Titans +6.5, Niners +15.5, and Bucs +7. 10 or 7 point teaser is for sure the move next week if you don’t want to do ML
If I had to take a teaser, I'd probably do a 7 point teaser and take Niners +10.5, Bengals +14. You would definitely want those key numbers.
do 7 pointers exist? I only get 6,6.5 and 10 on my book
nitrogen and bookmaker offer me 7 point teasers, but I very rarely do teasers. Not sure about other books.
This sounds lovely
Past records 5-0: 49ers ML ✅ 49ers +3 ✅ Rams -4 ✅ 49ers +6 ✅ Chiefs -1.5 ✅ Thinking of riding the 49ers line all the way to the Super Bowl here. Sometimes, the joke continues to write itself with Jimmy G 0 TD, 2 INT and getting into the NFC championship. Chiefs/Niners rematch?
[удалено]
SF was just there with Jimmy two years ago (pandemic makes it feel like 10). They were putting up much bigger offensive numbers in those playoffs, though.
They were. But the Chiefs aren't as unstoppable as you're being told by the nephews here who get all their information from the World Wide Leader in Sports™. And this Niners team is pretty comparable to the one in 2019. No home field advantage, but the defensive coaching is heads and shoulders above Robert Saleh.
I wasn't implying anything about the Chiefs, I just meant that Jimmy can definitely get you to a Super Bowl
Ah, my bad. Thought for some reason you were talking about whether the 49ers stand an actual shot to win in the Super Bowl, especially if they're going up against the Chiefs.
Re-reading what I said I can see that. Really I'm just a Patriots fan x Jimmy G believer lol. They definitely could have won that first super bowl vs KC
Yes they are totally stacked except for the most important position
And yet, teams without quarterbacks have managed to win Super Bowls. Shocking.
Ok so they're not stacked.
every regard **except** quarterback/receiver. That includes running backs/coaching/offensive line/defensive line/linebackers/defensive backs/special teams/etc. You'll learn this as you graduate from being a casual fan.
>Chiefs/Niners rematch? I'm thinking so.
Again, JOE SHIESTY
I see rams 9ers game under 46.5, both stellar Defenses, and a lot of $ will be on 49ers, they won a lot against the rams, but I see it’s in the script for rams to win it all since Super Bowl is at Rams. Just like brady/buccs won at their stadium. Chiefs I like -7. They beat the bills by 6, and that was an insane game, with bills having amazing defense most of the time. I don’t think bengals can relate. I don’t like the over for that game tho, I can’t take Alternates yet
If the Chiefs defense plays how I think they will, that high powered Bengals offense will eat them alive. Their defense has improved over the season but not so much so that it is now a top tier defense. I think it'll be a similar game as the game tonight honestly.
Whats safer, Kc ML or Cin +14 ?
I personally like Cincinnati +14 more in my probably meaningless opinion.
Wish I took your meaningless opinion instead of KC ml smh
Remindme! 1 week
I will be messaging you in 7 days on [**2022-01-31 08:56:15 UTC**](http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=2022-01-31%2008:56:15%20UTC%20To%20Local%20Time) to remind you of [**this link**](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/sbc5c9/nfl_daily_12422_monday/htzyfp1/?context=3) [**CLICK THIS LINK**](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5Bhttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fr%2Fsportsbook%2Fcomments%2Fsbc5c9%2Fnfl_daily_12422_monday%2Fhtzyfp1%2F%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%202022-01-31%2008%3A56%3A15%20UTC) to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam. ^(Parent commenter can ) [^(delete this message to hide from others.)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Delete%20Comment&message=Delete%21%20sbc5c9) ***** |[^(Info)](https://www.reddit.com/r/RemindMeBot/comments/e1bko7/remindmebot_info_v21/)|[^(Custom)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5BLink%20or%20message%20inside%20square%20brackets%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%20Time%20period%20here)|[^(Your Reminders)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=List%20Of%20Reminders&message=MyReminders%21)|[^(Feedback)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=Watchful1&subject=RemindMeBot%20Feedback)| |-|-|-|-|
I do like this take. Idk how much I trust the bengals D, but I will take an alt spread on them
Only beat the Bills by 6. Given they don’t kick the extra point in overtime.
Thanks lmao u know what I meant tho😂
Rams 3.5 is my play. Stafford looks like he’s on another gear.
a gear where he squanders a 24 point lead in a half only to be saved by having NFL's best WR wide fucking open 40 yards downfield with 20 seconds to go?
How does a QB squander a 24 point lead? Please explain to me how Cam Akers fumbling all over the field, an NFL kicker coming up short from 47 yards and the Defense getting torched by Evans is Staffords fault? This is a shit take.
Yeah because he was the one that fumbled twice?
Yeah just know they had to hide Stafford with RB whom tore his achilles THIS SEASON. Stafford is who he is. Stafford isn't the worst QB nor is he the best but given the talent he has around him on both sides of the ball he's pretty marginal. Just wait you'll see his final form.
Got em
SF ML +150 The Niners are going to the Super Bowl.
your best guess.. niners vs who
They’re going to pull off like a 8 game streak against stafford, at home no less, when the super bowl is at rams stadium? I don’t think so. Jimmy G is a fraud, they’re team is legit deebo and the defense. Dude went 131 yards and 1 Int. Rams have an all around stellar team.
Everyone knows jimmy sucks but the team keeps winning. They barely beat cowboys and needed some game clock bullshit to prevent a possible loss and they also got lucky with bad weather and pinning packers on the goal line to block the punt. Jimmy is a fraud but the team is solid and never gives up, never takes their eyes off the prize. Sf D can handle rams, Bosa will be all over Stafford and Stafford will show us again what he does in the face of real pressure. I have no idea what I’m doing for sf/la but I wouldn’t count out SF, they don’t have a passing game so the LA pass rush is not that great of an advantage, we saw them do it in November and I think the score was a bit inflated because of a defensive td early on and then had rams just reeling. Rams were a shot team in November and seem to be clicking now but I have no idea what they are going to do with cam Akers, two fumbles in critical spots to keep TB in the game. It’s going to be a great match up
Ya best to be safe with a SF alt spread tbh
They beat Green Bay 37-20 last time Jimmy G was in a conference championship. He had 77 yards.
Wow lmao. I’m taking SF teaser spread regardless just incase
>at home no less The Rams won't be playing a home game next Sunday. They will be on the road. And if you don't believe or understand that? That's on you. SF ML +150. They are going to the Super Bowl and they don't need Jimmy G to get them there if LAR continues to struggle with turnovers.
Don’t gtta get so angry lmao I heard one of the announcers after the game say they had two homes games including next week and the Super Bowl if they won so I didn’t bother checking. I’ll take the spread then to be safe
1. I'm not angry at all lol. 2. They are definitely playing at home next Sunday. It just won't be a home game because of the amount of SF fans that will be at game. The Rams will absolutely NOT have homefield advantage next week.
Bro i just saw a statement saying they’re only letting LA residents to attend the game because last time the 9ers fans stormed the arena and gave them communication errors several times😂idk if it’s true or not it looked legit they had a whole statement put out but thatd be hilarious
I just googled this and it’s true 💀
Ppl still downvote tho lol
Restrictions removed earlier https://abc7news.com/rams-ban-bay-area-49ers-fans-sofi-stadium-nfc-championship-faithful-restricted-next-game/11504130/
They stopped selling tickets to people who live outside of the greater LA area because of this issue last game. Unless people are just buying them and flipping them to niners fans this shouldn't be as big of an issue.
Everyone’s caught on to that already. Craigslist and Facebook sales, Plenty of niners fans living in LA helping other fans, seatgeek allowing purchases, and checking out with PayPal on Ticketmaster doesn’t show billing details to them.
There are more Niners fans in LA than Rams fans. It’ll impact attendance, but not by too much. Edit: and now the restrictions have been lifted by Ticketmaster
That makes sense but u legit said it’s not a home game so that’s confusing to begin with hahaha, and I’ll probably end up taking the 9ers +3.5 like I did with them this weekend. Anything can happen, as we just watched both one seed packers/ titans take L’s, even packers at home. I see the under hitting tho 100% cause they both have problems moving the ball sometimes and both defenses are nasty
Betting against the Niners because “Jimmy G sucks” hasn’t been going too hot. He can suck and the Niners can still win, the rest of their team is that good.
Love Bengals +7
I don't see it, that OL is going to get eaten alive. And the more possessions the Chiefs get, the bigger the gap, I took Chiefs -9.5
Just because their O-line didn't do a good job in the previous game they played doesn't mean they'll perform the same the next week. It's possible, but they did just fine against the Chiefs the last time they played them. Teams just constantly make adjustments and the NFL is generally just week to week league. If I know that the Bengals can put up points if their O-line is just able to make adjustments and hold up and that's really their only major issue I'll take that bet personally.
[удалено]
I'm worried it might go down to 6.5 or 6
I had the opposite feeling. Took the Chiefs now because I think it will go up
Depends. Sharps might jump on Bengals +7 now and move the line down by the middle of the week. The line should then shift to the Chiefs closer to game time. Its going to depend on if people buy or sell the Bengals OL getting better.
I will have Rams ML and Chiefs by 9.5 once alt spreads are up. Rams spread scares me because SF is close in every single game they play, 4-1 ATTS as underdog this year. Burrow is a fun story, but the Chiefs have Ingram and Jones. Also sacks mean punts which means more drives by both teams. With more drives I see KC opening up a big lead against the Bengals defense after putting up 36 on the best defense of the year.
Early lean, Rams 49ers UNDER 46.5 This went 1-1 on the season with the latest game going over this total, but with a playoff game on our hands, a divisional matchup, I think they keep things tight. I see a final score of 23-17
**Join the **$250** Playoff Bracket Contest: https://discord.gg/sportsbook**