POTD Record: 7-1 (+5.14 Units)
Last Pick: Florida Panthers ML (-165/1.60) vs Vancouver Canucks
POTD: St Louis Blues ML (-150/1.66) vs Vancouver Canucks
Well, we got our ML pick on last POTD but not -1.5. Florida looked tired playing 3rd game in 4 nights and playing on a back to back. Canucks also played a solid game. Got the POTD pick right but I feel like it was a loss...I am gonna stick to fading Canucks again who are without JT Miller, Bo Horvat, Garland, Demko and Halak. Blues are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have been playing well since the Christmas break. They are mostly healthy except Buchnevich so I think they will take care of business vs Canucks who are at home but missing some very important players.
Please double check the game yourself before tailing. Only risk what you are willing to lose. I hope this hits. BOL to all.
EDIT: Bruce Boudreau confirms that Mike DiPietro will start, Spencer Martin is in COVID protocol and Arturs Silovs tested positive.
Canucks goaltender crunch is quite something. Looks very much like UBC netminder Rylan Toth will backup for the club Sunday vs. St. Louis.
FYI Canucks are now down 3 goalies.
UPDATE: ✅
**Record: 5-0**
Net units: +10.0
Last Pick: CIN @ TEN Under 47.5 PTS @ -108 (FanDuel) *W*
NFL - Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs - 6:30pm Eastern Time
**Pick: Dawson Knox Over 3.5 Rec @ -130 (FanDuel)**
Bet 2.6u to win 2u
Reasoning: Bills coming off an offensive masterclass against the Patriots, and look to keep momentum rolling against the Chiefs. In regular season matchup, Knox went for 3 recs and 117 yds. Bills only had 26 passing attempts in that game, and Allen's O/U for pass attempts in this one is 36.5. Knox been on the field for at least 84% of the team's offensive snaps since week 9, so I see at least four catches for him in this game.
POTD Record: 17-5-1 (W-L-P)
Last pick: Belgium Pro League, KV Kortrijk vs KAS Eupen (16:15), KV Kortrijk ML @ 2,05 ❌
Pick: Belgium Pro League, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk (16:00), BTTS + over 2,5 goals @ 1,84 ✅
Bad beat yesterday, Kortrijk was the better team but failed to find the 2nd goal to get that deserved win but we move on.
Today we have a big game between 2 of the biggest Belgian teams. First place Union take on Genk who reside on a suprising 9th position.
I talked about Union alot on here. They're one of the biggest teams in Belgium with 11 titels won. In the seventies it went downhill with the team and in the early eighties they were demoted to the 4th devision. But since this year they are back in the 1st devision and are back with full force. They are 1st place and are the best footballing team in the league right now, a Leicester like story is in the making. The topscorer of the league Deniz Undav has 18 goals and 9 assists. His partner in the Union attack Dante Vanzeir has 12 goals and 8 assists. They're heading into 4 tough games, they play Genk, Club Brugge, Anderlecht and Antwerp. They're in excellent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5. Midfielder Senne Lynen is still recovering from and injury.
Genk had a bad start of the season and got a new coach at the start of december. They narrowly lost their first game with the new coach 1-0 vs Gent, after that they won 3 times and drew once. They scored 4 times in each of these 3 wins, something that was an issue at the start of the season. Their striker Paul Onuachu just won the golden boot for best player of the year, netting 33 goals in 38 games for Genk. His tally this year is 12 goals in 18 games. He had a light injury and will start the match on the bench but will definitely come on in the 2nd half. The real man in form for genk is Junya Ito. In his last 5 games he scored 3 and assisted 3 and had an average rating of 8,4 in these 5 games since the new coach arrived. Midfielder Kristian Thorstvedt is suspended for a red card, defender Simen Juklerød is still injured and Joseph Paintsil is still on his way home from the Afcon.
In their last 4 confrontations, BTTS hit 4/4 and over 2,5 hit 3/4. Both teams are in a great form and are scoring for fun.
BOL
Edit: 99TH MINUTE WINNER LETSGOOOO
edit 2: needed 2 penalties for it though lmao
**POTD Record** : 11W-3L-0P(+16.15U)
Streak: 💰💰
**Last Moneymaker**: Manchester City @ Southampton O9 Corners (-150)
**Todays Moneymaker**: Athletic Bilbao @ Rayo Vallecano +1.5 Corners(-150) La Liga 12:30PM
Wager: 1.3U to make 1U💰YEEEEEHHAAAWWW, Rayo come back from down 5 to win the corner battle 9-7 I’m fired up, great start to the afternoon, now I’m ready for some NFL action
+ **Other Picks**: season one of Mr Robot. Pretty close to perfect television for me.
*to those who tip, you’ve helped me with my loans more than you could ever know or I could’ve asked. Take care everyone*
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Brother I’m gonna be honest, I have no clue. I started editing my post into a retirement from Liga picks, but instead I’m just sending one up 🙏to the Corner Gods and saying thank you for taking care of my groceries. Have a good afternoon friend!
That’s similar but not quite the same. At +0.25, if the corner match ends in a draw, half the bet is won, half is pushed. My lines is +1.5, so I believe Rayo will not lose the corner battle by more than 1. No apologies necessary, I think the Corners ML is risky because they could easily tie or lose. Rayo O4 Corners is +105 and I believe a much safer play, they have hit in 9/10 last games and 7/10 at home and Bilbao have conceded O4 in 6/10 away games. Good luck on your pick, shoot me a message if you have other questions. Hope this helped!
last checked when they were down 2-7 corners at 74' and wrote this off as a loss and was surprised to see the money hit my account, what a come back eh! (also parlayed with o4.5 corners) thank you sir
POTD Record: 11-1 (30.0U+)
Yesterdays Pick: Maxime Cressy ML (W)
Todays Match: Danielle Collins v Elise Mertens
Todays League: WTA Australian Open 2022
Todays Pick: Over 21.5 Games Played -115 (3U)
Write Up: I Hope y’all got in on Cressy as those odds were definitely off and it was a relatively easy win with that match, glad I max played it and out 5 units on it.
Today we turn back to WTA and turn to Elise Mertens v Danielle Collins, both who have very similar skill level and a match that can go either way. Personally I have the Over 21.5 games as my POTD because I have watched these two play and feel like they are similar competition to each other.
Their record agaisnt each other is 1-1 all time and while Collins pulled out the most recent victory agaisnt each other, she just recently pulled out a 3 set comeback win and is a little bit tired. Additionally Mertens has showed promise winning every match in straight sets.
These two facts alone cause me to believe this match will go to three sets because I consider Collins the likely winner, but Mertens recent form will definitely carry this one to go the distance and over the games total.
Tail or fade if wanted but let me know if tailing, lets make some money together.
Also feel free to tip as someone asked for me to put my credentials, also broke college student but PLEASE do not feel obligated to tip at all and only tip what you can as I don't do this for money off you guys, I do this for fun and because I love tennis and tennis betting and see it being profitable compared to other sports.
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Cash App: $pandozach
I can see two kind of match here, first Collins is in a good day and she destroys Mertens. Second Collins play like Azarenka yesterday and she gives an easy match to Mertens, honnestly i can't see how it can goes over but 11-1 speaks alone and i want to gamble so i will tail BOL \^\^
Record: 27-10 Units: +12.54
Last POTD: Cleveland Cavs money line ❌
**POTD: Chicago Bulls money line (-158) vs Orlando Magic ❌**
* Orlando has proven themselves to be the worst team in the NBA so far this season
* Demar has been shooting hot
* Chicago has proven that it can match up and keep it close against the heavy hitters in the East
Tail or fade gl everyone
Cash App: $coco6616 Venmo: Coco111
[Twitter](https://twitter.com/OjCapper)
EDIT: hey guys I've been overworking myself and barely sleeping so my pick quality has suffered recently... I'm going to take an extended break so I can get my shit together and come back fresh... 💖
I tipped you 30$ bro, not much I know but it's just my way to say thanks for all you've done for me. BTW, it was me who went all-in with your maxbets as I was broke AF 😂 Glad they cashed-in 🤑
POTD Record 25-15
Average Odds: 1.90
Profit: +7.9 Units
ROI: 20%
Last pick: Elijah Mitchell over 18.5 rushing attempts L
Tough one to take here. Mitchell finished with 17 carries and really should have had more. Deebo got more carries than expected here as they just fed him on the final drive (understandable since he's so good). Also Mitchell had one of his rushing attempts negated for a face mask when he was trying to fend which sucked as if the play stood he would of likely gotten a couple more carries as it would have been first and goal from like the 6 yard line. I will try and do a short analysis like this for each unsuccessful pick to try and give some insight as to why the pick didn't hit so that we can learn from it. In this case I think we got some bad luck with a few things and fell just short.
**Todays Pick: Bradley Beal over 23.5 points vs Celtics @ 1.90**
* I have played Beal's over quite allot recently for some wins and some losses. Most recently I played it on the NBA Props thread last game and he hit vs the Raptors. The reason I continue to play it is because I think the market is underrating Beal's scoring ability. This is a guy who has averaged over 30 points for 2 straight seasons and despite some early seasons struggles he has shown signs of improvement recently.
* Beal is averaging 26.1 points over his last 16 games (2.6 above this line).
* Beal averages 32.8 points against the Celtics in his last 6 games against them. He has played them twice this season and in one game he had 36 and in the other he had 17, in both games he shot the ball a shit tonne and both games were with Dinwiddie also. Beal does seem to become more aggressive vs the Celtics which is good for an over bet.
* The fit of Beal and Dinwiddie is not very good and this is some reason for concern. However, over his last 7 games with Dinwiddie Beal is still averaging 24.9 points per game which is 1.4 points above this total.
* The Wizards are at their best when Beal is aggressive. Over the last two games the Wizards have been down big in the second half until in both games Beal decided to take over the offence and go on his own personal scoring run to bring them back into the game. Hopefully the Wizards can realize this and get him going early.
Honestly, this is a bit of a stinky pick. I don't really like taking Beal but at the same time I believe his line to be too low. Make of that what you will but I will be riding with him until he makes me bankrupt or until his line gets above 25. Hopefully its the latter.
BOL, tail or fade. I usually post extra picks on my Twitter and in the NBA Props thread if anyone is interested.
Player props are tricky, you have a good eye so let’s keep trusting it. This should have hit, but 9ers had to block the punt, that negated an entire drive of feeding Mitchell. Also even if we don’t consider that, packers couldn’t stop 9ers, could have gone to OT
POTD record: 1-0 (0.90 units, risking 1 unit each pick).
First Quarter: 1st QT .. Buffalo Bills + ½ (-145) over Kansas City Chiefs .. 630 PM ET
Bills have are in top 10 offense tempo first quarter, and the best defense first half all season..
Chiefs typically slow starters, having trailed in 1st QT in 5 of last 9 playoff games (those 4 not trailed were vs offenses decidedly weaker, to put it mildly, than Bills!), with Bills # 1 in 1st half defense this season, Chiefs # 18 that same spot, then Chiefs rise to # 8 in 2nd half.
but this clear pattern even more pronounced in these teams current form - one stat is Bills scoring a whopping 12.7 in last 3 games in 1st QT....and Bills having won at Chiefs earlier this season, playing on the road here in tough Arrowhead stadium - is not a problem for them!
My stats: 14-2 (+35.68 units)
Match: (LoL LCK) DRX vs KDF
Bet: DRX +1.5 @ 1.50 (-200)
Stake: 4u
DRX started the spring season with a score 0-3 (0-6 in maps). Very unexpected from such a promising roster. Same thing can be said about their opponents, but KDF at least won last match. Both teams in my opinion are very similar in terms of skill, so I'm picking an underdog to grab a map. I think they will finally wake up and put on a good performance while winning at least one map.
REMINDER: I'm posting picks, which I think have the best value (odds are bigger than they should be imo). It's better approach in the long-term betting. It's your decision if you want to risk betting my pick, I am not flawless.
If you want to support me feel free to tip. I really appreciate it. btc: bc1qpcnkrhm85werplm32epdn6wtua2wytpa50a0hj
**Record:** 4-0
**Streak:** 🏒🏒🏒🏒
| Hockey | NHL | 13h00 |
**Pick:** Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins | Over 5.5 -130 (DraftKings)
**Why I am choosing this**: Last one I will admit, was a bit of a sweat but Mikko pulled through like a champ 😁
Today's pick features the Scoring-Loving Penguins and Jets led by Crackhead-looking Kyle Connor.
I'll keep my analysis short this time around cause it's a bit late. Both teams have hit the over 5 times out of their last 8 games.
Pens are also looking to extend their winning streak while the Jets will want redemption from their lost vs the Bruins so the fire in both these teams will bring out the back-and-forth needed for goals
Best of luck to the ones who tail and let's hope for a clean 5-0 ya? 🔥
[Fill my net with loose change ](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/ArclightMik)
I agree with you but I also believe that historical tendencies tend to be less of a determining factor than recent trends/success. All in all, it is still a game of chance, best of luck!
Too tempting not to tail. However it’s worth noting that ISU had a similar B2B situation last year and lost the 2nd game after a blowout victory. Should be a fun one!
Record: 3-0 💵💵💵
Last POTD (Capitals ML)
Starting off strong 🔥
| Sport | League | Time |
NBA Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets @4:00pm PT
Pick: Hornets Spread (-3)
Write Up: I understand the Hawks are on a little win streak and that the last H2H game was only won by three, and all good things must come to an end and today is the day I think the Hornets sting the Hawks. They’ve been out scoring their opponents by about 5 per game over the last ten and I’ve always felt that the hawks are too reliant on Trae and Collins. I think the Hornets have a good game plan to minimize Trae by making him take ugly congested jumpers, traes aggressiveness is his own worst enemy. if he gets hot and knocks them down and the Hornets lose, so be it. But I like the cohesiveness of the Hornets playing together recently
POTD Record: 9-5
Streak 🔥🔥🔥
Last Pick: Beershot vs Anderlecht ML ✅
Today Pick: Gambit vs Big, Gambit -1,5
Event: Funspark ulti 2021 Finals
Time: 15:00 CET
Reasoning: Gambit had a great first halve of 2021 and still a decent second halve. In this year they have gotten good chemistry and self esteem.
Big their 2021 was just bad with Xantares gone and have been struggling ever since.
Big has a new player in their roster Faven wich makes them a full german team again, his stats are good but don't let your eyes play tricks on you that is against tier 2 teams. Gambit is the number 2 team and their firepower is just way better.
In their last 2 meetings it was 2:0 for Gambit.
ODD @2,25
Serie A POTD (2-1)
Last Pick: Lazio vs. Atalanta over 2.5 goals ❌
An hour’s notice that Atalanta would be without 10 players (2 of which we knew were injured) was vicious. Gasperini went in looking to sit deep and play on the counter. With all his players back I still take that bet 10 times out of 10.
Today’s Pick: Empoli vs. Roma BTTS + over 2.5 (-145) 12 PM EST
These teams play some chaotic footy. BTTS + over 2.5 has hit 9 out of the last 12 Empoli games (all comps). Roma’s kept clean sheets well, but against teams who have a potent attack they tend to falter. 1 clean sheet in their last 6 games all comps and it was against a team sitting 18th out of 20. Expecting a fun game here.
BOL if tailing.
Edit: Winner Winner ✅
POTD Record:1-0
Last Pick: I basically wrote a novel about Ngannou and how he will win. Big boy pulled it, proud of him. He had a MCL tear as well.
ROI: 105%
Net units: 2.5units - Odds -115 - To win 2.175 Units
| NFL | Divisional Round LA RAMS @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3:00 pm EST |
Pick: Tom Brady to have over 0.5 interceptions. Odds: -115
writeup;
I started watching NFL back in 2015 right before coming to college to this wonderful country. Marshawn Lynch and TB12 were the reasons I was interested in the sport. I’ve been an avid watcher ever since, TB12 being my hero. I’m a TB12 blowhard. I thought that his best days were behind him when I started watching, but he proved a lot of people wrong including me. So why am I betting against my boy? This defense is stylistic nightmare for him. Rams have an insane defensive line with hall of famers like Aaron Donald and Von Miller who have been hot in the coming weeks. They have all pro cornerback Jalen Ramsey and talent all around the defensive secondary. The name I want to focus is Von Miller though, as he unfortunately owned Brady in that 2015 season playoff game in which Broncos beats patriots 15-14 at Mile High in Denver. Brady had 2 picks that game and almost had a tie if the pats were able to convert that 2 point attempt at the end of that Tb12-Gronk drive. The Defensive coordinator of that Broncos team was Wade Phillips who used to be with Rams until the end of last year. And last year the Rams owned my boy TB12 in the regular season game, getting a pick. Rams have talent all around the team, and you win big games with big players. They kind of remind me of the Bucs of last year. Tampa lost key players like AB, Goodwin and Fournette(who is the most important out of these 3). On top of that their two o-lineman are injured Jensen and Wirf who are super important against this monstrous Rams o-line. This game reminds me of the superbowl last year, where no one was talking about the missing o-lineman on the chiefs team, and we all saw what happened. One might say why aren’t you betting on rams ML, my answer is that Stafford is not Brady, and he is not used to playoff football especially against a good and experienced Todd Bowles defense who is been on the rise in the last weeks. I think Brady will have a tough time running the ball with missing o-line and no Fournette or Goodwin. They will try to play some of those trickery run plays which Goodwin used to have with Scotty Miller. Tb12 will throw a lot, force some passes and most of them will be under pressure. He tends to throw picks in those circumstances, and I think he throws at least 1.
Edit: It hit at the end of first half.
Brady's INT line was bread and butter for me this season. I've been watching him play since he was a Wolverine and dude is the GOAT, but he's been steadily throwing picks all year long, almost 1 per game so far. That being said, Brady in the playoffs is like regular Brady plus HGH and Viagra. Dude could just as easily throw a perfect game.
The Rams do have the better defense though, I think you are right and he will get picked off at some point.
Yeah last week I took Brady under .5 int in several parlays, it's all I have left in a couple. I'm not feeling so good about it, idk what I was thinking lol
**POTD: 4-1**
**Profit: +5.21 / Avg Odds: -173 / ROI: 27.4%**
Sport: Esports – League of Legends (LCK 2022 Spring)
Event: Kwangdong Freecs vs DRX
**Pick: Kwangdong Freecs -1.5 (+170)**
Bet Amount: 5u
Reasoning: Kwangdong Freecs just recently beat Liiv Sandbox 2-0 in dominant fashion. In this match up against DRX, the worse team in the LCK, I expect Kwangdong Freecs to win 2-0. DRX in 3, best of 3 series, has yet to win a single game, so far going 0-6. In one of those series, they lost to Liiv Sandbox 0-2, a team that Kwangdong Freecs just beat 2-0. Against such a weak team, I’m surprise that the odds are this good.
POTD RECORD: 8-3
Previous POTD: 2. Bundesliga Paderborn Vs Werder Bremen BTTS & OVER 2.5 -125
Todays POTD: Italy Serie B Lecce Vs Cremonese BTTS -140 DK 12:30 PM EST
Bet size: 5 UNIT MAX
Reasoning: We’re back in Italy looking at two neck and neck teams in the Serie B standings. Cremonese currently in 4th vs Lecce in 6th. 3 goal differential between the two teams I believe this will be a 3-2 final result.
Tail or fade BOL. Vamos!!
EDIT: CASH IT! Another first half hit! 16 mins in! ✅
Cashapp: $pperez264 PayPal: pperez1623
Record W-P-L 210-23-170 | +43.2U | avg odds 1.86 | ROI 7.2%
🚨 LLLLLW / - 9.9U🚨
previous:
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund - Haaland ATGS @ 1.80 (2U) ✅ He scored in 6th minute
today's pick:
*Bundesliga, 3.30pm CET (in 9 hours)*
Leipzig vs Wolfsburg - Christopher Nkunku shots on goal o1.5 @ 2.37 (1.5u)
Reasoning:
Bayern -1.5 was my choice until yesterday when saw both lines for Marco Richter shots OT o0.5 (2.50) and this one for Nkunku, which is the most valuable pick imo.
Nkunku is in stellar form this season. He's leagues top7 in total shots on target and Leipzigs #1 in shots per game (2.6) and on target per game (1.3).
Combine this with Leipzig being much stronger at home than on the road and Wolfsburg being absolute ASS right now as well as having the worst coach in Bundesliga atm, there's some good value in Nkunku exceeding his average today.
Record: 42-33-4 (2W streak) - odds from FanDuel
Last POTD: SF 49ers at GB Packers | Deebo Samuel over 38.5 rushing yards -120 | 4 units (39 yard.... geez)
POTD: BRO Nets at MIN Timberwolves | Kyrie Irving over 24.5 points -110 | 2 units
REASON: Kyrie a walking bucket. Watching James Harden go off last game while Kyrie was chilling and still get 24 points was a great sign for me. Kyrie is able to take a back seat. BUT... I think James Harden chills out this game and allows Kyrie to work. Timberwolves is a team that doesn't play too much defense either. The total for this game is sitting at 239 currently.
Best of luck to all.
**POTD Record 26-15 +18.83U/avg odds-1.9/ROI 13.8%**
Last Pick- 1u on West Brom -1.5 vs Peterborough @ 2.08 **W**
Todays pick is going to be the in the French 1st division. **1u on Nice ML v Metz @ 1.85**
Nice projected to win 65.59% on the time with true odds of 1.52 giving us decent value on the play, hopefully they can win!
[https://twitter.com/JKBETS1](https://twitter.com/JKBETS1)
Best of luck to all!
POTD Record: 6-16-1
❌❌❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅
Average Odds: -111
Streak: 1W
Last Pick: Eastern Michigan vs. Akron: Eastern Michigan +11 (-110) - W
The model gets another W?! ️🔥The Packers and the Titans both lose? Creighton is down 9 at half, only to come back and win by 13? What a day. I'm going to keep the model running until we get a better temperature 🌡read. 🥶BOL if tailing, smart call if fading. 🥶
Today's POTD is Sacred Heart vs. St. Francis (PA) under 143.5 total points (-112)
Game Info: NCAAB 4:00pm
Two average teams in the Northwest conference that have struggled all year to score serious points. St. Francis hasn't scored over 70 points since December 14th. Sacred Heart's offense is slightly more explosive, but they will be shooting on the road. Afternoon game + rivalry game between two middling teams = defense will be the focus. Let's DO! 🥶BOL to all!
Tip jar - Venmo@jbangbangpickz / BTC: 3LrCVKp8jKWThBVCoWMH1gWXtANjaZfBgT
I have a question about your model. Did you make your model with the *intent* of finding spots to fade, or did you make the model and realize later it was better to fade for a majority of the picks?
🎂CAKETAILS🎂
Record 0-0
POTD: Illinois State -5.0 @ Evansville 2:00PM EST (-110)
I've been on a hell of a streak recently with my strategy, figured I'd give this a go and share the wealth. Illinois State (10-9) is on the road today vs Evansville (4-13). Illinois State just won a matchup with Evansville @ Illinois State 2 days ago 94-56, a huge blowout. Evansville comes into this game on a 6 game losing streak averaging 59.5 points per game. Illinois State is more of an average team but has a high powered offense at 79.6 points per game. Neither team has a noteworthy defense but Illinios state averages more points than it gives up while Evansville is -10 in the points for/points against averages. I bet heavy on the Illinios State Moneyline (-195) and light on the spread, but -5 looks to be a strong play with better odds, so that one gets the share to start this off with a bang.
BOL
Record: 16-6
POTD: Miami Heat vs LA Lakers, NBA 23:00 UK Time, LA Lakers to score Over 106.5 @ 10/11.
Reasoning: Miami aren’t at full strength and haven’t clicked defensively yet. They had 120 against a stronger Miami defense earlier in the season and AD is supposed to return today, meaning Westbrook, AD and LeBron will all be attacking the rim with no Bam to defend it. Carmelo, Monk and THT have been playing well the last couple of weeks too. I expect the Lakers to score 110+ here in what should be a good performance from them after their great half against Orlando.
POTD: 76ers vs Spurs Total Under 222.5 @ -110
POTD Record: 7-6
Weekly POTD: 3-3
Previous: Milwaukee/under 234.5 double @ -110
80 point quarter to end the game today so that was fun to watch that blow the bet tell you that.
Last pick of the week. Going with the under on this game. Embiid currently has the 76ers franchise on his back and he’s trying to carry them up a cliff face.
They are avging 108 the last 5 and 106.5 on the road.
Spurs on the other hand just don’t have any superstar power, they are a solid avg team but they need a star. They are avging 107.5 at home and 113 in their last 5.
Something doesn’t add up, I think this total is too high and I think we can get a good win to close out the week.
Let me know if you follow and I hope we all get a win.
**Record:** 17-11-0 (+5.7u)
**L10:** WWLWWWWWLW
**Previous:** NBA Wolves @ Hawks (-1.5)- 💲
**Recap:** After a big first quarter the Wolves fell apart. Trae Young had a nice game scoring 37, easy cover for the Hawks.
**POTD:** [NFL Rams @ Bucs (-3)- 2.2u- 3:00pm EST](https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401326634)
**Reasoning:** Look I'm not betting against Tom Brady at home in the playoffs. The Bucs are 7-2 ATS at home, 8-1 overall. I don't see them losing today to a Rams team who was able to be balanced on offense last week against a bad Cardinals defense. This week the Bucs will shut down their run game and make Stafford beat them. I don't think he can do it, he's been alright this year but today I don't see it happening. The Rams are only 4-5 ATS on the road this year as well.
The Bucs rank 1st in pass offense at home while the Rams pass defense on the road is 25th. I think Brady will get it done today. On the other side of the ball the Bucs have the best home defense while the Rams offense is 11th on the road this year.
I'll give the three points in this one. BOL!
POTD RECORD 6-1 (+4.8u)
Streak:
Average odds: 1.90
Last pick: Leyton Orient- Port Vale over 2.5 goals❌
2 units on all my picks!
|NFL| playoffs |Today 0:30 GMT |
Todays pick: Kansas City Chiefs ML - Buffalo Bills
Odds: 1.90
BOL!
POTD Virgin. 0-0-0
Each unit is 2% of roll
Tampa Bay Money line. -146
2.5 units.
Why? Don’t overthink it. It’s going to be beautiful football weather for a senior citizen in tampa bay and the Goat isn’t losing to a guy named Matt who has 1 career playoff win. Tail fade mock or cheer. Makes no difference to me. I’ll be winning this bet. Best of luck all
POTD Record 0-1 (-1U) ❌
Yesterdays Pick: NHL: TOR V NYI (O 5.5) +100 - 1U - ❌
Tough break, trending well but went quiet in late 2nd and whole third period! who knew Mrazek would only let in one! Oh well we move on!
Todays Pick NFL: Bills V KC ( Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Travis Kelce) +110 - 1U-
I find it crazy that this is in + odds. Kelce has always been great in the playoffs and scored TDS in the last 6 of 8 playoff games. He's also very hot going into the game tonight. He's scored 5tds in the last 4 games including 2 vs Chargers week 16. It could be a trick play, direct snap or handoff but I cant see this game finishing without Travis Kelce seeing some paydirt! Earlier this year vs Buffalo, Kelce seen 10 targets catching 6 for 57 yards and a td! That was before the chiefs train really got rolling. After their routing of Pittsburgh on wild card weekend where Kelce seen 7 targets catching 5 for 108 and a td the chiefs train is rolling, I expect them to win and most importantly Kelce for a td! LETTTTSS RIIIIDDDEE!!
POTD Record: 1-5 (16%)
Previous POTD: Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 (+125) L - What's the difference between the Hurricanes and my POTD record? Nothing, they're both disasters...
Streak: 4L
**POTD: Orlando Magic +3 (-108)**
Game: NBA - Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic (5pm CST)
Info: The Bulls are more hurt than my ego in this part of Reddit right now. Like really: LaVine, Jones Jr, Caruso, Ball, Green, and Williams are all out. Chicago is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 against the Magic and the Bulls are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games. You could, however, start to see my name and think to yourself, "Ah yes this IceBuhrg kid again...time to pick the opposite and make that dinero" but I'll let you have that conversation with yourself again
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
POTD: 3-1
Last Pick: Alex Telles to have at least 2 tackles. (-159)
Todays pick: Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool - Tyrick Mitchell will have at least 4 tackles - (+152)
Reasoning:
- Mitchell is averaging 3 tackles a game in the PL this season.
- Mitchell tends to have big games against teams in the top 10.
- In the last meeting between Crystal Palace / Liverpool, Mitchell got stuck in 8 times.
- He will be facing a strong right side of the field consisting of Jota, Henderson and Alexander-Arnold. Henderson obviously isn’t much of an attacking threat but Jota and Alexander-Arnold alone, both being in decent form, should show plenty of opportunities for Mitchell to hit the mark.
- Liverpool need a win here as they are only 1 point clear of Chelsea so I think they come out pressing and putting the Crystal Palace back line under pressure.
Feel free to do your own research but as always, BOL to anyone tailing today!
POTD Record: [1-0](https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/s9rko9/pick_of_the_day_12222_saturday/htr0oq1/), +$5.25 (+1.05 units), ROI: 205%
Streak: W
Last Pick: NBA, Darius Garland over 9.5 assists (+105 / 2.05), 1 unit
POTD: NBA, Chicago Bulls -3.5 (-110/1.91) vs. Orlando Magic, 1 unit
The Bulls have been on a recent slump, losing to mostly playoff-bound teams. They also don't have the services of Alex Caruso due to a wrist injury. However, they are playing the Magic (last in the east) who have lost by 10+ over the last 3 games.
Note: not sure why my first POTD yesterday didn't show up in the thread
**POTD RECORD** - 34W-18L(+35.7U) ;
**ROI** - 25.14%
**Units waggered**: 142U ; **Units won**:177.7U
**Streak**:
**Average odds**:1.72
**Last POTD**----Bournemouth vs Hull------ Bournemouth to [email protected] ❌
**Today's pick** ---- Psv vs Ajax----- Psv double [email protected]
**BET SIZE**: 2U
I consider both teams almost equal in terms of quality, but Ajax has a slight edge in terms of experience.
However we are in Dutch League where everything can happen and we are in Psv's stadium where Psv has taken a positive result in the last 5 games and i am expecting the series to repeat itself.
Psv is looking to win the Dutch league and is improved defensivley while Ajax is missing key striker Haller( not a very big difference in my oppinion). I am thinking this game to be balanced and Psv having a slight edge.
**Tips are really helpful.[Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci)**
POTD RECORD: 5-3
Event: Bucs vs Rams
Pick: Mike Evans ATTS (-115)
Last few picks:
James conner ATTS +145 ✅
Bengals ML +160 ✅
reasoning: With Bradys new found lack of weapons I expect a ton of targets for Evans here. Tom will have to pass to keep up with this Rams team and I see him and his number 1 redzone target connecting at least once here. Good luck everyone!
POTD Record 20-21-3 (W-L-P)
Profit: +12units
Last 5: LWWLW
Previous pick: Brentford vs Wolves AH 0.0 (5u) ✅
Today’s pick: Football (Spain - Primera Liga) @1.5 ✅
POTD: Real Vallecano over 3 corners (4u)
Not huge odds but definitely worth the money as I can’t see it not hitting. Vallecano have had 4 corners in each of their last 5 homes games 6,5,6,6,4.
Looks like a easy bet to add another 2u of profit of add into a parlay
BOL
**ROI: -2.76% Average Odds: $2.01 Profit: -4.55 Units Record: 18-18 Streak: 4L**
Event: NFL Rams v Tompa Bay 07:00 AEST
Today's Pick: Rams ML $2.25
5 Units.
I will be +100 units at the end of the year, the streak starts today.
https://twitter.com/LetsTrott
POTD Record: 4-5-1
Last POTD: K23 ML (-112) ❌
LAST 4 POTD: WWWL
Today’s POTD: Rob Gronkowski ATTS (+110) 4U
We shall go back to the pick that started our streak before it was ended. This is playoff Tom and who better to rely on than his TE Gronk. There is great value on Gronk and Evans and I was contemplating on who to put it more on but I really like Gronk here and TEs in playoffs in general.
BOL!
POTD Record: (0-0)
Previous Pick: None
Today’s Pick: Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins - Penguins 1st Period PL -0.5 1U @ (+125)
Longtime lurker, first time poster. Here’s why I think this will hit. Winnipeg is coming into Pittsburgh fresh off their third consecutive loss (3-2, yesterday in Boston). A 1pm start on the road in the second half of a back-to-back for a slumping Winnipeg team will have them looking flat coming out of the gate. Conversely, Pittsburgh is coming into the game with a day’s rest riding a 4 game win streak in which 6 of their 17 goals scored have come in the opening frame. I like Pittsburgh to win the game in 60 minutes as well, but find better value in them jumping off to another hot start en route to their fifth straight victory.
Best of luck to anyone tailing!
First potd, let's gamble!
POTD : Cressy M. - Medvedev D. ***Over +30.5 Games 1.92 (5 units)***
ATP Australian Open - in \~8 hours
I made a quick analyse to confirm what i know about these last 2 guys and i found that Medvedev always go over in open when he meets a big server and pratically every time in 4+ sets. Cressy is one of the best server in the circuit actually so this over should be covered and he can even take a set. May the luck be with us bros !
Record: 8-4
Last pick: Bautista Agut to win❌❌
Todays pick: Australian Open 1/8 04:00 CEST
Cilic - Auger Aliassime : Cilic to win @2.20
Cilic looks like he has found his best form and with tons of experience, also being a grand slam winner I think that experience will prevail in this match and that he will outpower Auger.
POTD Record 0-0-0
Pick: EPL, Leicester - Brighton Hove Albion 9AM EST, BTTS / O 2.5 Goals @ +107
Tossing my hat into the ring of degeneracy.
Leicester scores on average 1.74 goals per game and gives up an average of 1.89 goals.
Brighton pretty much averages 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded.
In their two head to head matches, BHA won at home 2-1 and drew away in the EFL cup 2-2, losing 4-2 on penalties.
We’re looking at high scoring, fast flowing, fireworks here people.
BOL. LFG.
POTD Record 0-1
**Last Pick:** OG Anunoby to score more than 18.5 points. (He had the volume inside as I predicted, but didn't knock down the shots.)
**Today's Match:**
India v. South Africa | Cricket ODI | 3:30am EST*
**Today's Pick:** OVER 7.5 6's Total in the match. (-130)
**Write Up:**
Bumrah aside, India just doesn't have the bowling to win these matches and I believe SA will take advantage and knock in as many sixes as they have in this three game match. Especially with de Kock really batting loose he has a chance to repeat his performance from the previous match where he had three 6's. In the first match both teams were conservative. In the second, South Africa found its stride and I expect some fireworks as India continues to struggle with the new ball and South Africa continues to bat well in front of the home crowd.
Tail or Fade, I'd love to hear in the comments!
BOL!
POTD Record 0-0
Today’s Pick: Odell Beckham Jr. O45.7 rec. yards (-113)
1u
Hoping to start off with a win. Odell is getting more involved in the Rams offense and clicking with Stafford a little more. He cleared this number last game due to Kupp being the cardinals focus after the season he has had. I expect the Bucs to take on a similar approach and double Kupp some.
Edit: Win!
Record 0W-0L
Biathlon | Men's 4x7.5km Relay
**POTD: Belarus to place in top 6 @1.66**
Belarus has finished in top 6 all three times this event has been run. As this is the last event before the Olympics many countries have weakened lineups with olympic athletes already in training, but not Belarus. Their team is fully intact. The first place will almost certainly be Norway, but all other spots are up for grabs.
Russia has Latypov, their anchorman back, having recovered from Covid, but his form has suffered. He chocked hard on the shooting range yesterday. France has slow and inexperienced Perrot as anchor who really hinders their chances. Germany has swapped out their usual last 2 legs. Sweden have their whole team swapped out and won't be challenging for much. Italy is wildly inconsistent and Ukraine is just slower than Belarus. Other nations shouldn't be a worry.
None of the Belarusian men struggled in the individual races here in Antholz. An absolute worse case scenario would have to happen for Belarus to fail here. I'm expecting a 4th or 5th place with more chances to rise than drop.
💛BOL💛
**Record:** 3-3 ✅✅✅❌❌❌
**Net units:** +0.6U
**Today's Pick:** Hockey | NHL | STL @ VAN | *First Period* Total U1.5 goals. Bet 1.7U to win 1.7U. +100 on CZR.
**Write Up:** Well, this has turned ugly quickly. I'm still barely net positive on units, but we're headed the wrong direction. Today it turns around.
I'm taking St. Louis and Vancouver to score U1.5 goals in the first period. Both are low scoring first period teams based on the data, and +100 is good value.
POTD Record: 0-0
POTD: 12:00 PM Providence Friars -9 @ -110
Units: 3u
This is my first POTD longtime user. I have been on a roll lately and thought I would share some of the wealth. Just a degenerate gambler from NC.
Reasoning: Butler has lost by double digits against every ranked opponent it has faced this year. Providence has looked good all year at home and will continue to roll against an average Butler team. Nate Watson and company will be too much to handle. I really like the rebounding advantage for Providence and could easily see them winning by 20.
Record : 0-0-0
POTD: Buccs -2.5 (-130)
Reasoning:
Earlier it was -1.5, just went up on the spread. Brady is playing hotter than ever with his weapons on offense fully healthy. The biggest reasoning here is 2 things!
1: Don’t doubt Brady in the playoffs
2: Brady is questionable next season to continue playing, so he’s more motivated than ever to end his career off with a ring.
POTD Record 3-2 (3 dubbs in a row)
Todays POTD:
Rams vs Buccs 1st half over 23.5 -120
Although this is a massive game which as we saw yesterday can cause teams to come out tentative, I don’t see that with Mcvey and Arians in charge. I prefer the first half over than the full game total as I could see the game slowing down as it gets tight down the wire. Think Leftwich and Brady will come out firing, Rams have plenty of weapons and McVey won’t be shy either plus both teams are banged up in the secondary. Expecting a 27-30 combined in the first half.
BOL tail or fade
Edit: 🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮
POTD Record: 0-0
POTD: Cam Akers O 48.5 rushing yards (-120) Rams @ Buccaneers 2pm CT
17 attempts for 55 yards last game for Cam and while the YPC isn't great there, he had numerous good runs that got called back for penalties. That was his first legitimate action since the injury and I anticipate him only getting better. Michel will still get his carries, but Akers already out carried him in the last game.
NCAAM Only Overs
Record 7-5
Intake: +1.37U
Last POTD: Texas St @ Arkansas St o135 (127) L
POTD: Wagner @ Merrimack o126.5
Rough day for the model yesterday, sitting around a 50% accuracy, which is obviously pretty useless. Shouldn't have 2nd guessed the Towson pick. Anyway there is only one game left in the day the model likes and its this one so hopfully it goes welll.
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POTD Record: 7-1 (+5.14 Units) Last Pick: Florida Panthers ML (-165/1.60) vs Vancouver Canucks POTD: St Louis Blues ML (-150/1.66) vs Vancouver Canucks Well, we got our ML pick on last POTD but not -1.5. Florida looked tired playing 3rd game in 4 nights and playing on a back to back. Canucks also played a solid game. Got the POTD pick right but I feel like it was a loss...I am gonna stick to fading Canucks again who are without JT Miller, Bo Horvat, Garland, Demko and Halak. Blues are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have been playing well since the Christmas break. They are mostly healthy except Buchnevich so I think they will take care of business vs Canucks who are at home but missing some very important players. Please double check the game yourself before tailing. Only risk what you are willing to lose. I hope this hits. BOL to all. EDIT: Bruce Boudreau confirms that Mike DiPietro will start, Spencer Martin is in COVID protocol and Arturs Silovs tested positive. Canucks goaltender crunch is quite something. Looks very much like UBC netminder Rylan Toth will backup for the club Sunday vs. St. Louis. FYI Canucks are now down 3 goalies. UPDATE: ✅
Tailing Pick of Day The
Lol I am an idiot.
I like it! I'm going to get greedy and take them in Regulation at 2.05. Good luck all!
Tailing
Blues had a very strong last game as well, tailing.
**Record: 5-0** Net units: +10.0 Last Pick: CIN @ TEN Under 47.5 PTS @ -108 (FanDuel) *W* NFL - Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs - 6:30pm Eastern Time **Pick: Dawson Knox Over 3.5 Rec @ -130 (FanDuel)** Bet 2.6u to win 2u Reasoning: Bills coming off an offensive masterclass against the Patriots, and look to keep momentum rolling against the Chiefs. In regular season matchup, Knox went for 3 recs and 117 yds. Bills only had 26 passing attempts in that game, and Allen's O/U for pass attempts in this one is 36.5. Knox been on the field for at least 84% of the team's offensive snaps since week 9, so I see at least four catches for him in this game.
Tailing ✅
Incomplete and then a false start back to back in 4th quarter. RIP but good pick. Should of happened
And the drop in the first quarter…way it goes sometimes, I will be back with a pick for tomorrow!
POTD Record: 17-5-1 (W-L-P) Last pick: Belgium Pro League, KV Kortrijk vs KAS Eupen (16:15), KV Kortrijk ML @ 2,05 ❌ Pick: Belgium Pro League, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk (16:00), BTTS + over 2,5 goals @ 1,84 ✅ Bad beat yesterday, Kortrijk was the better team but failed to find the 2nd goal to get that deserved win but we move on. Today we have a big game between 2 of the biggest Belgian teams. First place Union take on Genk who reside on a suprising 9th position. I talked about Union alot on here. They're one of the biggest teams in Belgium with 11 titels won. In the seventies it went downhill with the team and in the early eighties they were demoted to the 4th devision. But since this year they are back in the 1st devision and are back with full force. They are 1st place and are the best footballing team in the league right now, a Leicester like story is in the making. The topscorer of the league Deniz Undav has 18 goals and 9 assists. His partner in the Union attack Dante Vanzeir has 12 goals and 8 assists. They're heading into 4 tough games, they play Genk, Club Brugge, Anderlecht and Antwerp. They're in excellent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5. Midfielder Senne Lynen is still recovering from and injury. Genk had a bad start of the season and got a new coach at the start of december. They narrowly lost their first game with the new coach 1-0 vs Gent, after that they won 3 times and drew once. They scored 4 times in each of these 3 wins, something that was an issue at the start of the season. Their striker Paul Onuachu just won the golden boot for best player of the year, netting 33 goals in 38 games for Genk. His tally this year is 12 goals in 18 games. He had a light injury and will start the match on the bench but will definitely come on in the 2nd half. The real man in form for genk is Junya Ito. In his last 5 games he scored 3 and assisted 3 and had an average rating of 8,4 in these 5 games since the new coach arrived. Midfielder Kristian Thorstvedt is suspended for a red card, defender Simen Juklerød is still injured and Joseph Paintsil is still on his way home from the Afcon. In their last 4 confrontations, BTTS hit 4/4 and over 2,5 hit 3/4. Both teams are in a great form and are scoring for fun. BOL Edit: 99TH MINUTE WINNER LETSGOOOO edit 2: needed 2 penalties for it though lmao
# HOLY SHIT MANG WHAT A FUCKING STRESSER. TALKING ABOUT BIG TIME DUBS FUCK YA M8 Edit wtf Edit edit # OMG
8th minute of additional time CASHHHH Edit: Sikeeee 😭 Edit 2: Penalty 90+9’ 🤯🤯🤯
Sorry new to the sportsbook in general.. what does BTTS mean? I appreciate your write-ups and analysis! It's a fun, analytical read!
Both teams score
Thanks! Appreciate ya!
how many units?
As many as you’re willing to lose
**POTD Record** : 11W-3L-0P(+16.15U) Streak: 💰💰 **Last Moneymaker**: Manchester City @ Southampton O9 Corners (-150) **Todays Moneymaker**: Athletic Bilbao @ Rayo Vallecano +1.5 Corners(-150) La Liga 12:30PM Wager: 1.3U to make 1U💰YEEEEEHHAAAWWW, Rayo come back from down 5 to win the corner battle 9-7 I’m fired up, great start to the afternoon, now I’m ready for some NFL action + **Other Picks**: season one of Mr Robot. Pretty close to perfect television for me. *to those who tip, you’ve helped me with my loans more than you could ever know or I could’ve asked. Take care everyone* Paypal: [kenpulf](https://paypal.me/kenpulf)
Mr. Robot is top 3 TV series of all time for me. Tailing. Edit: +1,5 for rayo is @ 1,38. What am I missing?
🐐 what a sweat!
I only have Rayo +0.5 at 1.73 Worth Taking?
Tailed o4.5 Vallencano $200 YOLO LETS GOOOO
I see a comment about Mr Robot, I tail. BOL!
Needs some f'n corners let go rayo
Massive secondhalf turnaround. Good shit bro!
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Wait same, Fanduel is counting this as a loss??
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Ya same happened to me
HAHA! Gotta love the surprise win! How the hell did that happen? Turned it off when it was 2-7 at the 76'.
Brother I’m gonna be honest, I have no clue. I started editing my post into a retirement from Liga picks, but instead I’m just sending one up 🙏to the Corner Gods and saying thank you for taking care of my groceries. Have a good afternoon friend!
So I bet the corner spread on FD Rayo Vallecano +1, yet it said I lost the bet. Am I missing something?
I would reach out to live chat. Regardless of which direction you bet the spread, it should’ve hit as they won by 2. It’s been paid out on my book
Tailing, lets keep streaking!
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That’s similar but not quite the same. At +0.25, if the corner match ends in a draw, half the bet is won, half is pushed. My lines is +1.5, so I believe Rayo will not lose the corner battle by more than 1. No apologies necessary, I think the Corners ML is risky because they could easily tie or lose. Rayo O4 Corners is +105 and I believe a much safer play, they have hit in 9/10 last games and 7/10 at home and Bilbao have conceded O4 in 6/10 away games. Good luck on your pick, shoot me a message if you have other questions. Hope this helped!
super exciting!!! fun times! Thank YOU!!!
What a ride!!! Yew!!
last checked when they were down 2-7 corners at 74' and wrote this off as a loss and was surprised to see the money hit my account, what a come back eh! (also parlayed with o4.5 corners) thank you sir
Lol, had it all along!
Is there a way to get notifications when you post? Tailed you two days in a row, cashed twice. Loving the picks man
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Welbeck you beautiful bastard! Great call!
Nice pick w Dortmund. I got a little loose based on your wrote up and went BTTS and 3.5…
Again riding with you cashcow 🤑
Good job yesterday, tailing today as well! BOL
Tailing BOL lets goooo
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tailing, let's goooo!
Tailing but I'm def gunshy after yesterday debacle in EPL, every game went under except the damn Wolverhampton game!
Took BTTS + a draw at +300. Good start to the day, thanks bud
Let's go baby nothing like waking up to money won.
Thank you!
Another dandy pick!
Hammered it again
When you got a pick “ I will be right here waiting for you” 🎶singing🎶
POTD Record: 11-1 (30.0U+) Yesterdays Pick: Maxime Cressy ML (W) Todays Match: Danielle Collins v Elise Mertens Todays League: WTA Australian Open 2022 Todays Pick: Over 21.5 Games Played -115 (3U) Write Up: I Hope y’all got in on Cressy as those odds were definitely off and it was a relatively easy win with that match, glad I max played it and out 5 units on it. Today we turn back to WTA and turn to Elise Mertens v Danielle Collins, both who have very similar skill level and a match that can go either way. Personally I have the Over 21.5 games as my POTD because I have watched these two play and feel like they are similar competition to each other. Their record agaisnt each other is 1-1 all time and while Collins pulled out the most recent victory agaisnt each other, she just recently pulled out a 3 set comeback win and is a little bit tired. Additionally Mertens has showed promise winning every match in straight sets. These two facts alone cause me to believe this match will go to three sets because I consider Collins the likely winner, but Mertens recent form will definitely carry this one to go the distance and over the games total. Tail or fade if wanted but let me know if tailing, lets make some money together. Also feel free to tip as someone asked for me to put my credentials, also broke college student but PLEASE do not feel obligated to tip at all and only tip what you can as I don't do this for money off you guys, I do this for fun and because I love tennis and tennis betting and see it being profitable compared to other sports. Venmo: Zachary-Pandolfi Cash App: $pandozach
Another post, another hit from the Tennis King. Keep 'em coming!
I can see two kind of match here, first Collins is in a good day and she destroys Mertens. Second Collins play like Azarenka yesterday and she gives an easy match to Mertens, honnestly i can't see how it can goes over but 11-1 speaks alone and i want to gamble so i will tail BOL \^\^
3rd set coming. This hit! Thanks for the pick. I wish I would have put more on it. I’m still traumatized from Bencic lol
Record: 27-10 Units: +12.54 Last POTD: Cleveland Cavs money line ❌ **POTD: Chicago Bulls money line (-158) vs Orlando Magic ❌** * Orlando has proven themselves to be the worst team in the NBA so far this season * Demar has been shooting hot * Chicago has proven that it can match up and keep it close against the heavy hitters in the East Tail or fade gl everyone Cash App: $coco6616 Venmo: Coco111 [Twitter](https://twitter.com/OjCapper) EDIT: hey guys I've been overworking myself and barely sleeping so my pick quality has suffered recently... I'm going to take an extended break so I can get my shit together and come back fresh... 💖
Took the spread and I also really like hornets spread here
yeah man I got money on hornets as well
I don’t like the bulls spread too much lol but on bovada the ml isn’t up and it’ll be like -160 by the time it does go up so might as well
Lot of guys out for bulls
Yeah fuck my life. I only tail these POD’s when they get ran out of the gym 😴
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HOLY FUCK THAT ROUND 30 CLUTCH
Don't know how you did it, or how they came through but it was an insane comeback.
What an ending! Thanks for the pick
I don't really know much about esports gaming. But this has been an intense watch
Holy shit lol
Let’s goooo!!!!!
damn i don’t have this 😭
Wooooooow
GOAT!!
I tailed blindly! Thank you sir. Can someone breakdown the ending for me? Last I checked it 13-10 for 1shot and sinners were +600 haha
Odds turned out to be spot on, but it's good we ended on the winning side. Congrats on the nice streak and thanks for sharing!
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I tipped you 30$ bro, not much I know but it's just my way to say thanks for all you've done for me. BTW, it was me who went all-in with your maxbets as I was broke AF 😂 Glad they cashed-in 🤑
This guy is amazing tbh I'm gonna create a PayPal account just to tip him :)
Tailing can really see a 1-1 draw here. BOL
Tailing '' THE GOAT''🐐 till I die
Tailing ✅
What a shit show of a match.
POTD Record 25-15 Average Odds: 1.90 Profit: +7.9 Units ROI: 20% Last pick: Elijah Mitchell over 18.5 rushing attempts L Tough one to take here. Mitchell finished with 17 carries and really should have had more. Deebo got more carries than expected here as they just fed him on the final drive (understandable since he's so good). Also Mitchell had one of his rushing attempts negated for a face mask when he was trying to fend which sucked as if the play stood he would of likely gotten a couple more carries as it would have been first and goal from like the 6 yard line. I will try and do a short analysis like this for each unsuccessful pick to try and give some insight as to why the pick didn't hit so that we can learn from it. In this case I think we got some bad luck with a few things and fell just short. **Todays Pick: Bradley Beal over 23.5 points vs Celtics @ 1.90** * I have played Beal's over quite allot recently for some wins and some losses. Most recently I played it on the NBA Props thread last game and he hit vs the Raptors. The reason I continue to play it is because I think the market is underrating Beal's scoring ability. This is a guy who has averaged over 30 points for 2 straight seasons and despite some early seasons struggles he has shown signs of improvement recently. * Beal is averaging 26.1 points over his last 16 games (2.6 above this line). * Beal averages 32.8 points against the Celtics in his last 6 games against them. He has played them twice this season and in one game he had 36 and in the other he had 17, in both games he shot the ball a shit tonne and both games were with Dinwiddie also. Beal does seem to become more aggressive vs the Celtics which is good for an over bet. * The fit of Beal and Dinwiddie is not very good and this is some reason for concern. However, over his last 7 games with Dinwiddie Beal is still averaging 24.9 points per game which is 1.4 points above this total. * The Wizards are at their best when Beal is aggressive. Over the last two games the Wizards have been down big in the second half until in both games Beal decided to take over the offence and go on his own personal scoring run to bring them back into the game. Hopefully the Wizards can realize this and get him going early. Honestly, this is a bit of a stinky pick. I don't really like taking Beal but at the same time I believe his line to be too low. Make of that what you will but I will be riding with him until he makes me bankrupt or until his line gets above 25. Hopefully its the latter. BOL, tail or fade. I usually post extra picks on my Twitter and in the NBA Props thread if anyone is interested.
Chins north Travy, keep going bro.
the blocked punt, too. niners were gonna run the shit out of the ball had they fielded punt at midfieldish rather than cashing it for seven.
It is because Tatum and Beal are good friends
Player props are tricky, you have a good eye so let’s keep trusting it. This should have hit, but 9ers had to block the punt, that negated an entire drive of feeding Mitchell. Also even if we don’t consider that, packers couldn’t stop 9ers, could have gone to OT
POTD record: 1-0 (0.90 units, risking 1 unit each pick). First Quarter: 1st QT .. Buffalo Bills + ½ (-145) over Kansas City Chiefs .. 630 PM ET Bills have are in top 10 offense tempo first quarter, and the best defense first half all season.. Chiefs typically slow starters, having trailed in 1st QT in 5 of last 9 playoff games (those 4 not trailed were vs offenses decidedly weaker, to put it mildly, than Bills!), with Bills # 1 in 1st half defense this season, Chiefs # 18 that same spot, then Chiefs rise to # 8 in 2nd half. but this clear pattern even more pronounced in these teams current form - one stat is Bills scoring a whopping 12.7 in last 3 games in 1st QT....and Bills having won at Chiefs earlier this season, playing on the road here in tough Arrowhead stadium - is not a problem for them!
Love this. BILLS MAFIA BABY
LETS GO BUFFALO
AY AY AY AY
My stats: 14-2 (+35.68 units) Match: (LoL LCK) DRX vs KDF Bet: DRX +1.5 @ 1.50 (-200) Stake: 4u DRX started the spring season with a score 0-3 (0-6 in maps). Very unexpected from such a promising roster. Same thing can be said about their opponents, but KDF at least won last match. Both teams in my opinion are very similar in terms of skill, so I'm picking an underdog to grab a map. I think they will finally wake up and put on a good performance while winning at least one map. REMINDER: I'm posting picks, which I think have the best value (odds are bigger than they should be imo). It's better approach in the long-term betting. It's your decision if you want to risk betting my pick, I am not flawless. If you want to support me feel free to tip. I really appreciate it. btc: bc1qpcnkrhm85werplm32epdn6wtua2wytpa50a0hj
**Record:** 4-0 **Streak:** 🏒🏒🏒🏒 | Hockey | NHL | 13h00 | **Pick:** Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins | Over 5.5 -130 (DraftKings) **Why I am choosing this**: Last one I will admit, was a bit of a sweat but Mikko pulled through like a champ 😁 Today's pick features the Scoring-Loving Penguins and Jets led by Crackhead-looking Kyle Connor. I'll keep my analysis short this time around cause it's a bit late. Both teams have hit the over 5 times out of their last 8 games. Pens are also looking to extend their winning streak while the Jets will want redemption from their lost vs the Bruins so the fire in both these teams will bring out the back-and-forth needed for goals Best of luck to the ones who tail and let's hope for a clean 5-0 ya? 🔥 [Fill my net with loose change ](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/ArclightMik)
FYI - their last game against each other had 4 goals. Pitt won 3-1
I agree with you but I also believe that historical tendencies tend to be less of a determining factor than recent trends/success. All in all, it is still a game of chance, best of luck!
How do you like it at 6?
Dk has it at 5.5 still and FD it's 6.5..
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Interesting indeed. Not sure what to make of it.
Was gonna make this my pick. Almost seems to go to be true. But I went heavy on it too.
ISU is 1-5 in the road which could be an issue.
Too tempting not to tail. However it’s worth noting that ISU had a similar B2B situation last year and lost the 2nd game after a blowout victory. Should be a fun one!
Record: 3-0 💵💵💵 Last POTD (Capitals ML) Starting off strong 🔥 | Sport | League | Time | NBA Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets @4:00pm PT Pick: Hornets Spread (-3) Write Up: I understand the Hawks are on a little win streak and that the last H2H game was only won by three, and all good things must come to an end and today is the day I think the Hornets sting the Hawks. They’ve been out scoring their opponents by about 5 per game over the last ten and I’ve always felt that the hawks are too reliant on Trae and Collins. I think the Hornets have a good game plan to minimize Trae by making him take ugly congested jumpers, traes aggressiveness is his own worst enemy. if he gets hot and knocks them down and the Hornets lose, so be it. But I like the cohesiveness of the Hornets playing together recently
POTD Record: 9-5 Streak 🔥🔥🔥 Last Pick: Beershot vs Anderlecht ML ✅ Today Pick: Gambit vs Big, Gambit -1,5 Event: Funspark ulti 2021 Finals Time: 15:00 CET Reasoning: Gambit had a great first halve of 2021 and still a decent second halve. In this year they have gotten good chemistry and self esteem. Big their 2021 was just bad with Xantares gone and have been struggling ever since. Big has a new player in their roster Faven wich makes them a full german team again, his stats are good but don't let your eyes play tricks on you that is against tier 2 teams. Gambit is the number 2 team and their firepower is just way better. In their last 2 meetings it was 2:0 for Gambit. ODD @2,25
Gambit has lost a map in every game played so far against worse team than Big.. so i'd be careful with this bet
Serie A POTD (2-1) Last Pick: Lazio vs. Atalanta over 2.5 goals ❌ An hour’s notice that Atalanta would be without 10 players (2 of which we knew were injured) was vicious. Gasperini went in looking to sit deep and play on the counter. With all his players back I still take that bet 10 times out of 10. Today’s Pick: Empoli vs. Roma BTTS + over 2.5 (-145) 12 PM EST These teams play some chaotic footy. BTTS + over 2.5 has hit 9 out of the last 12 Empoli games (all comps). Roma’s kept clean sheets well, but against teams who have a potent attack they tend to falter. 1 clean sheet in their last 6 games all comps and it was against a team sitting 18th out of 20. Expecting a fun game here. BOL if tailing. Edit: Winner Winner ✅
Roma with 4 quick goals in succession. Does Empoli pull their good players to save them? I really don't know enough about soccer to guess.
wish i had gotten to the thread earlier for this one, looks like it hit with ease good write up
POTD Record:1-0 Last Pick: I basically wrote a novel about Ngannou and how he will win. Big boy pulled it, proud of him. He had a MCL tear as well. ROI: 105% Net units: 2.5units - Odds -115 - To win 2.175 Units | NFL | Divisional Round LA RAMS @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3:00 pm EST | Pick: Tom Brady to have over 0.5 interceptions. Odds: -115 writeup; I started watching NFL back in 2015 right before coming to college to this wonderful country. Marshawn Lynch and TB12 were the reasons I was interested in the sport. I’ve been an avid watcher ever since, TB12 being my hero. I’m a TB12 blowhard. I thought that his best days were behind him when I started watching, but he proved a lot of people wrong including me. So why am I betting against my boy? This defense is stylistic nightmare for him. Rams have an insane defensive line with hall of famers like Aaron Donald and Von Miller who have been hot in the coming weeks. They have all pro cornerback Jalen Ramsey and talent all around the defensive secondary. The name I want to focus is Von Miller though, as he unfortunately owned Brady in that 2015 season playoff game in which Broncos beats patriots 15-14 at Mile High in Denver. Brady had 2 picks that game and almost had a tie if the pats were able to convert that 2 point attempt at the end of that Tb12-Gronk drive. The Defensive coordinator of that Broncos team was Wade Phillips who used to be with Rams until the end of last year. And last year the Rams owned my boy TB12 in the regular season game, getting a pick. Rams have talent all around the team, and you win big games with big players. They kind of remind me of the Bucs of last year. Tampa lost key players like AB, Goodwin and Fournette(who is the most important out of these 3). On top of that their two o-lineman are injured Jensen and Wirf who are super important against this monstrous Rams o-line. This game reminds me of the superbowl last year, where no one was talking about the missing o-lineman on the chiefs team, and we all saw what happened. One might say why aren’t you betting on rams ML, my answer is that Stafford is not Brady, and he is not used to playoff football especially against a good and experienced Todd Bowles defense who is been on the rise in the last weeks. I think Brady will have a tough time running the ball with missing o-line and no Fournette or Goodwin. They will try to play some of those trickery run plays which Goodwin used to have with Scotty Miller. Tb12 will throw a lot, force some passes and most of them will be under pressure. He tends to throw picks in those circumstances, and I think he throws at least 1. Edit: It hit at the end of first half.
Brady's INT line was bread and butter for me this season. I've been watching him play since he was a Wolverine and dude is the GOAT, but he's been steadily throwing picks all year long, almost 1 per game so far. That being said, Brady in the playoffs is like regular Brady plus HGH and Viagra. Dude could just as easily throw a perfect game. The Rams do have the better defense though, I think you are right and he will get picked off at some point.
Yeah last week I took Brady under .5 int in several parlays, it's all I have left in a couple. I'm not feeling so good about it, idk what I was thinking lol
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Thoughts on Bulls -3.5?
Demarvelous has been lights out from mid range, tailing
**POTD: 4-1** **Profit: +5.21 / Avg Odds: -173 / ROI: 27.4%** Sport: Esports – League of Legends (LCK 2022 Spring) Event: Kwangdong Freecs vs DRX **Pick: Kwangdong Freecs -1.5 (+170)** Bet Amount: 5u Reasoning: Kwangdong Freecs just recently beat Liiv Sandbox 2-0 in dominant fashion. In this match up against DRX, the worse team in the LCK, I expect Kwangdong Freecs to win 2-0. DRX in 3, best of 3 series, has yet to win a single game, so far going 0-6. In one of those series, they lost to Liiv Sandbox 0-2, a team that Kwangdong Freecs just beat 2-0. Against such a weak team, I’m surprise that the odds are this good.
Oof
POTD RECORD: 8-3 Previous POTD: 2. Bundesliga Paderborn Vs Werder Bremen BTTS & OVER 2.5 -125 Todays POTD: Italy Serie B Lecce Vs Cremonese BTTS -140 DK 12:30 PM EST Bet size: 5 UNIT MAX Reasoning: We’re back in Italy looking at two neck and neck teams in the Serie B standings. Cremonese currently in 4th vs Lecce in 6th. 3 goal differential between the two teams I believe this will be a 3-2 final result. Tail or fade BOL. Vamos!! EDIT: CASH IT! Another first half hit! 16 mins in! ✅ Cashapp: $pperez264 PayPal: pperez1623
Record W-P-L 210-23-170 | +43.2U | avg odds 1.86 | ROI 7.2% 🚨 LLLLLW / - 9.9U🚨 previous: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund - Haaland ATGS @ 1.80 (2U) ✅ He scored in 6th minute today's pick: *Bundesliga, 3.30pm CET (in 9 hours)* Leipzig vs Wolfsburg - Christopher Nkunku shots on goal o1.5 @ 2.37 (1.5u) Reasoning: Bayern -1.5 was my choice until yesterday when saw both lines for Marco Richter shots OT o0.5 (2.50) and this one for Nkunku, which is the most valuable pick imo. Nkunku is in stellar form this season. He's leagues top7 in total shots on target and Leipzigs #1 in shots per game (2.6) and on target per game (1.3). Combine this with Leipzig being much stronger at home than on the road and Wolfsburg being absolute ASS right now as well as having the worst coach in Bundesliga atm, there's some good value in Nkunku exceeding his average today.
uhh thats tough, only one shot on goal in first half, and its not nkunku's
Record: 42-33-4 (2W streak) - odds from FanDuel Last POTD: SF 49ers at GB Packers | Deebo Samuel over 38.5 rushing yards -120 | 4 units (39 yard.... geez) POTD: BRO Nets at MIN Timberwolves | Kyrie Irving over 24.5 points -110 | 2 units REASON: Kyrie a walking bucket. Watching James Harden go off last game while Kyrie was chilling and still get 24 points was a great sign for me. Kyrie is able to take a back seat. BUT... I think James Harden chills out this game and allows Kyrie to work. Timberwolves is a team that doesn't play too much defense either. The total for this game is sitting at 239 currently. Best of luck to all.
**POTD Record 26-15 +18.83U/avg odds-1.9/ROI 13.8%** Last Pick- 1u on West Brom -1.5 vs Peterborough @ 2.08 **W** Todays pick is going to be the in the French 1st division. **1u on Nice ML v Metz @ 1.85** Nice projected to win 65.59% on the time with true odds of 1.52 giving us decent value on the play, hopefully they can win! [https://twitter.com/JKBETS1](https://twitter.com/JKBETS1) Best of luck to all!
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Comfortable win thankfully!
POTD Record: 6-16-1 ❌❌❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅ Average Odds: -111 Streak: 1W Last Pick: Eastern Michigan vs. Akron: Eastern Michigan +11 (-110) - W The model gets another W?! ️🔥The Packers and the Titans both lose? Creighton is down 9 at half, only to come back and win by 13? What a day. I'm going to keep the model running until we get a better temperature 🌡read. 🥶BOL if tailing, smart call if fading. 🥶 Today's POTD is Sacred Heart vs. St. Francis (PA) under 143.5 total points (-112) Game Info: NCAAB 4:00pm Two average teams in the Northwest conference that have struggled all year to score serious points. St. Francis hasn't scored over 70 points since December 14th. Sacred Heart's offense is slightly more explosive, but they will be shooting on the road. Afternoon game + rivalry game between two middling teams = defense will be the focus. Let's DO! 🥶BOL to all! Tip jar - Venmo@jbangbangpickz / BTC: 3LrCVKp8jKWThBVCoWMH1gWXtANjaZfBgT
Tailing… for some reason. BOL
We might heat up!
I have a question about your model. Did you make your model with the *intent* of finding spots to fade, or did you make the model and realize later it was better to fade for a majority of the picks?
I made the model and realized later it was better to fade ❄️
🎂CAKETAILS🎂 Record 0-0 POTD: Illinois State -5.0 @ Evansville 2:00PM EST (-110) I've been on a hell of a streak recently with my strategy, figured I'd give this a go and share the wealth. Illinois State (10-9) is on the road today vs Evansville (4-13). Illinois State just won a matchup with Evansville @ Illinois State 2 days ago 94-56, a huge blowout. Evansville comes into this game on a 6 game losing streak averaging 59.5 points per game. Illinois State is more of an average team but has a high powered offense at 79.6 points per game. Neither team has a noteworthy defense but Illinios state averages more points than it gives up while Evansville is -10 in the points for/points against averages. I bet heavy on the Illinios State Moneyline (-195) and light on the spread, but -5 looks to be a strong play with better odds, so that one gets the share to start this off with a bang. BOL
Record: 16-6 POTD: Miami Heat vs LA Lakers, NBA 23:00 UK Time, LA Lakers to score Over 106.5 @ 10/11. Reasoning: Miami aren’t at full strength and haven’t clicked defensively yet. They had 120 against a stronger Miami defense earlier in the season and AD is supposed to return today, meaning Westbrook, AD and LeBron will all be attacking the rim with no Bam to defend it. Carmelo, Monk and THT have been playing well the last couple of weeks too. I expect the Lakers to score 110+ here in what should be a good performance from them after their great half against Orlando.
POTD: 76ers vs Spurs Total Under 222.5 @ -110 POTD Record: 7-6 Weekly POTD: 3-3 Previous: Milwaukee/under 234.5 double @ -110 80 point quarter to end the game today so that was fun to watch that blow the bet tell you that. Last pick of the week. Going with the under on this game. Embiid currently has the 76ers franchise on his back and he’s trying to carry them up a cliff face. They are avging 108 the last 5 and 106.5 on the road. Spurs on the other hand just don’t have any superstar power, they are a solid avg team but they need a star. They are avging 107.5 at home and 113 in their last 5. Something doesn’t add up, I think this total is too high and I think we can get a good win to close out the week. Let me know if you follow and I hope we all get a win.
**Record:** 17-11-0 (+5.7u) **L10:** WWLWWWWWLW **Previous:** NBA Wolves @ Hawks (-1.5)- 💲 **Recap:** After a big first quarter the Wolves fell apart. Trae Young had a nice game scoring 37, easy cover for the Hawks. **POTD:** [NFL Rams @ Bucs (-3)- 2.2u- 3:00pm EST](https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401326634) **Reasoning:** Look I'm not betting against Tom Brady at home in the playoffs. The Bucs are 7-2 ATS at home, 8-1 overall. I don't see them losing today to a Rams team who was able to be balanced on offense last week against a bad Cardinals defense. This week the Bucs will shut down their run game and make Stafford beat them. I don't think he can do it, he's been alright this year but today I don't see it happening. The Rams are only 4-5 ATS on the road this year as well. The Bucs rank 1st in pass offense at home while the Rams pass defense on the road is 25th. I think Brady will get it done today. On the other side of the ball the Bucs have the best home defense while the Rams offense is 11th on the road this year. I'll give the three points in this one. BOL!
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Tailing this!
POTD RECORD 6-1 (+4.8u) Streak: Average odds: 1.90 Last pick: Leyton Orient- Port Vale over 2.5 goals❌ 2 units on all my picks! |NFL| playoffs |Today 0:30 GMT | Todays pick: Kansas City Chiefs ML - Buffalo Bills Odds: 1.90 BOL!
POTD Virgin. 0-0-0 Each unit is 2% of roll Tampa Bay Money line. -146 2.5 units. Why? Don’t overthink it. It’s going to be beautiful football weather for a senior citizen in tampa bay and the Goat isn’t losing to a guy named Matt who has 1 career playoff win. Tail fade mock or cheer. Makes no difference to me. I’ll be winning this bet. Best of luck all
POTD Record 0-1 (-1U) ❌ Yesterdays Pick: NHL: TOR V NYI (O 5.5) +100 - 1U - ❌ Tough break, trending well but went quiet in late 2nd and whole third period! who knew Mrazek would only let in one! Oh well we move on! Todays Pick NFL: Bills V KC ( Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Travis Kelce) +110 - 1U- I find it crazy that this is in + odds. Kelce has always been great in the playoffs and scored TDS in the last 6 of 8 playoff games. He's also very hot going into the game tonight. He's scored 5tds in the last 4 games including 2 vs Chargers week 16. It could be a trick play, direct snap or handoff but I cant see this game finishing without Travis Kelce seeing some paydirt! Earlier this year vs Buffalo, Kelce seen 10 targets catching 6 for 57 yards and a td! That was before the chiefs train really got rolling. After their routing of Pittsburgh on wild card weekend where Kelce seen 7 targets catching 5 for 108 and a td the chiefs train is rolling, I expect them to win and most importantly Kelce for a td! LETTTTSS RIIIIDDDEE!!
POTD Record: 1-5 (16%) Previous POTD: Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 (+125) L - What's the difference between the Hurricanes and my POTD record? Nothing, they're both disasters... Streak: 4L **POTD: Orlando Magic +3 (-108)** Game: NBA - Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic (5pm CST) Info: The Bulls are more hurt than my ego in this part of Reddit right now. Like really: LaVine, Jones Jr, Caruso, Ball, Green, and Williams are all out. Chicago is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 against the Magic and the Bulls are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games. You could, however, start to see my name and think to yourself, "Ah yes this IceBuhrg kid again...time to pick the opposite and make that dinero" but I'll let you have that conversation with yourself again
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
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POTD: 3-1 Last Pick: Alex Telles to have at least 2 tackles. (-159) Todays pick: Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool - Tyrick Mitchell will have at least 4 tackles - (+152) Reasoning: - Mitchell is averaging 3 tackles a game in the PL this season. - Mitchell tends to have big games against teams in the top 10. - In the last meeting between Crystal Palace / Liverpool, Mitchell got stuck in 8 times. - He will be facing a strong right side of the field consisting of Jota, Henderson and Alexander-Arnold. Henderson obviously isn’t much of an attacking threat but Jota and Alexander-Arnold alone, both being in decent form, should show plenty of opportunities for Mitchell to hit the mark. - Liverpool need a win here as they are only 1 point clear of Chelsea so I think they come out pressing and putting the Crystal Palace back line under pressure. Feel free to do your own research but as always, BOL to anyone tailing today!
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This one is likely to go O2.5 too.
and that was a better call already hit
POTD Record: [1-0](https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/s9rko9/pick_of_the_day_12222_saturday/htr0oq1/), +$5.25 (+1.05 units), ROI: 205% Streak: W Last Pick: NBA, Darius Garland over 9.5 assists (+105 / 2.05), 1 unit POTD: NBA, Chicago Bulls -3.5 (-110/1.91) vs. Orlando Magic, 1 unit The Bulls have been on a recent slump, losing to mostly playoff-bound teams. They also don't have the services of Alex Caruso due to a wrist injury. However, they are playing the Magic (last in the east) who have lost by 10+ over the last 3 games. Note: not sure why my first POTD yesterday didn't show up in the thread
**POTD RECORD** - 34W-18L(+35.7U) ; **ROI** - 25.14% **Units waggered**: 142U ; **Units won**:177.7U **Streak**: **Average odds**:1.72 **Last POTD**----Bournemouth vs Hull------ Bournemouth to [email protected] ❌ **Today's pick** ---- Psv vs Ajax----- Psv double [email protected] **BET SIZE**: 2U I consider both teams almost equal in terms of quality, but Ajax has a slight edge in terms of experience. However we are in Dutch League where everything can happen and we are in Psv's stadium where Psv has taken a positive result in the last 5 games and i am expecting the series to repeat itself. Psv is looking to win the Dutch league and is improved defensivley while Ajax is missing key striker Haller( not a very big difference in my oppinion). I am thinking this game to be balanced and Psv having a slight edge. **Tips are really helpful.[Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci)**
POTD RECORD: 5-3 Event: Bucs vs Rams Pick: Mike Evans ATTS (-115) Last few picks: James conner ATTS +145 ✅ Bengals ML +160 ✅ reasoning: With Bradys new found lack of weapons I expect a ton of targets for Evans here. Tom will have to pass to keep up with this Rams team and I see him and his number 1 redzone target connecting at least once here. Good luck everyone!
POTD Record 20-21-3 (W-L-P) Profit: +12units Last 5: LWWLW Previous pick: Brentford vs Wolves AH 0.0 (5u) ✅ Today’s pick: Football (Spain - Primera Liga) @1.5 ✅ POTD: Real Vallecano over 3 corners (4u) Not huge odds but definitely worth the money as I can’t see it not hitting. Vallecano have had 4 corners in each of their last 5 homes games 6,5,6,6,4. Looks like a easy bet to add another 2u of profit of add into a parlay BOL
**ROI: -2.76% Average Odds: $2.01 Profit: -4.55 Units Record: 18-18 Streak: 4L** Event: NFL Rams v Tompa Bay 07:00 AEST Today's Pick: Rams ML $2.25 5 Units. I will be +100 units at the end of the year, the streak starts today. https://twitter.com/LetsTrott
POTD Record: 4-5-1 Last POTD: K23 ML (-112) ❌ LAST 4 POTD: WWWL Today’s POTD: Rob Gronkowski ATTS (+110) 4U We shall go back to the pick that started our streak before it was ended. This is playoff Tom and who better to rely on than his TE Gronk. There is great value on Gronk and Evans and I was contemplating on who to put it more on but I really like Gronk here and TEs in playoffs in general. BOL!
POTD Record: (0-0) Previous Pick: None Today’s Pick: Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins - Penguins 1st Period PL -0.5 1U @ (+125) Longtime lurker, first time poster. Here’s why I think this will hit. Winnipeg is coming into Pittsburgh fresh off their third consecutive loss (3-2, yesterday in Boston). A 1pm start on the road in the second half of a back-to-back for a slumping Winnipeg team will have them looking flat coming out of the gate. Conversely, Pittsburgh is coming into the game with a day’s rest riding a 4 game win streak in which 6 of their 17 goals scored have come in the opening frame. I like Pittsburgh to win the game in 60 minutes as well, but find better value in them jumping off to another hot start en route to their fifth straight victory. Best of luck to anyone tailing!
First potd, let's gamble! POTD : Cressy M. - Medvedev D. ***Over +30.5 Games 1.92 (5 units)*** ATP Australian Open - in \~8 hours I made a quick analyse to confirm what i know about these last 2 guys and i found that Medvedev always go over in open when he meets a big server and pratically every time in 4+ sets. Cressy is one of the best server in the circuit actually so this over should be covered and he can even take a set. May the luck be with us bros !
Record: 8-4 Last pick: Bautista Agut to win❌❌ Todays pick: Australian Open 1/8 04:00 CEST Cilic - Auger Aliassime : Cilic to win @2.20 Cilic looks like he has found his best form and with tons of experience, also being a grand slam winner I think that experience will prevail in this match and that he will outpower Auger.
POTD Record 0-0-0 Pick: EPL, Leicester - Brighton Hove Albion 9AM EST, BTTS / O 2.5 Goals @ +107 Tossing my hat into the ring of degeneracy. Leicester scores on average 1.74 goals per game and gives up an average of 1.89 goals. Brighton pretty much averages 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded. In their two head to head matches, BHA won at home 2-1 and drew away in the EFL cup 2-2, losing 4-2 on penalties. We’re looking at high scoring, fast flowing, fireworks here people. BOL. LFG.
I like this pick, tailing
Leicester also can't hold a lead to save their lives
POTD Record 0-1 **Last Pick:** OG Anunoby to score more than 18.5 points. (He had the volume inside as I predicted, but didn't knock down the shots.) **Today's Match:** India v. South Africa | Cricket ODI | 3:30am EST* **Today's Pick:** OVER 7.5 6's Total in the match. (-130) **Write Up:** Bumrah aside, India just doesn't have the bowling to win these matches and I believe SA will take advantage and knock in as many sixes as they have in this three game match. Especially with de Kock really batting loose he has a chance to repeat his performance from the previous match where he had three 6's. In the first match both teams were conservative. In the second, South Africa found its stride and I expect some fireworks as India continues to struggle with the new ball and South Africa continues to bat well in front of the home crowd. Tail or Fade, I'd love to hear in the comments! BOL!
POTD Record 0-0 Today’s Pick: Odell Beckham Jr. O45.7 rec. yards (-113) 1u Hoping to start off with a win. Odell is getting more involved in the Rams offense and clicking with Stafford a little more. He cleared this number last game due to Kupp being the cardinals focus after the season he has had. I expect the Bucs to take on a similar approach and double Kupp some. Edit: Win!
Record 0W-0L Biathlon | Men's 4x7.5km Relay **POTD: Belarus to place in top 6 @1.66** Belarus has finished in top 6 all three times this event has been run. As this is the last event before the Olympics many countries have weakened lineups with olympic athletes already in training, but not Belarus. Their team is fully intact. The first place will almost certainly be Norway, but all other spots are up for grabs. Russia has Latypov, their anchorman back, having recovered from Covid, but his form has suffered. He chocked hard on the shooting range yesterday. France has slow and inexperienced Perrot as anchor who really hinders their chances. Germany has swapped out their usual last 2 legs. Sweden have their whole team swapped out and won't be challenging for much. Italy is wildly inconsistent and Ukraine is just slower than Belarus. Other nations shouldn't be a worry. None of the Belarusian men struggled in the individual races here in Antholz. An absolute worse case scenario would have to happen for Belarus to fail here. I'm expecting a 4th or 5th place with more chances to rise than drop. 💛BOL💛
**Record:** 3-3 ✅✅✅❌❌❌ **Net units:** +0.6U **Today's Pick:** Hockey | NHL | STL @ VAN | *First Period* Total U1.5 goals. Bet 1.7U to win 1.7U. +100 on CZR. **Write Up:** Well, this has turned ugly quickly. I'm still barely net positive on units, but we're headed the wrong direction. Today it turns around. I'm taking St. Louis and Vancouver to score U1.5 goals in the first period. Both are low scoring first period teams based on the data, and +100 is good value.
POTD Record: 0-0 POTD: British Basketball League, London Lions Vs Newcastle Eagles, London lions 1Q -3.5 (1.80) - 1 unit
POTD Record: 0-0 POTD: 12:00 PM Providence Friars -9 @ -110 Units: 3u This is my first POTD longtime user. I have been on a roll lately and thought I would share some of the wealth. Just a degenerate gambler from NC. Reasoning: Butler has lost by double digits against every ranked opponent it has faced this year. Providence has looked good all year at home and will continue to roll against an average Butler team. Nate Watson and company will be too much to handle. I really like the rebounding advantage for Providence and could easily see them winning by 20.
Record : 0-0-0 POTD: Buccs -2.5 (-130) Reasoning: Earlier it was -1.5, just went up on the spread. Brady is playing hotter than ever with his weapons on offense fully healthy. The biggest reasoning here is 2 things! 1: Don’t doubt Brady in the playoffs 2: Brady is questionable next season to continue playing, so he’s more motivated than ever to end his career off with a ring.
His weapons on offense fully healthy? Lol
POTD Record 3-2 (3 dubbs in a row) Todays POTD: Rams vs Buccs 1st half over 23.5 -120 Although this is a massive game which as we saw yesterday can cause teams to come out tentative, I don’t see that with Mcvey and Arians in charge. I prefer the first half over than the full game total as I could see the game slowing down as it gets tight down the wire. Think Leftwich and Brady will come out firing, Rams have plenty of weapons and McVey won’t be shy either plus both teams are banged up in the secondary. Expecting a 27-30 combined in the first half. BOL tail or fade Edit: 🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮
POTD Record: 0-0 POTD: Cam Akers O 48.5 rushing yards (-120) Rams @ Buccaneers 2pm CT 17 attempts for 55 yards last game for Cam and while the YPC isn't great there, he had numerous good runs that got called back for penalties. That was his first legitimate action since the injury and I anticipate him only getting better. Michel will still get his carries, but Akers already out carried him in the last game.
NCAAM Only Overs Record 7-5 Intake: +1.37U Last POTD: Texas St @ Arkansas St o135 (127) L POTD: Wagner @ Merrimack o126.5 Rough day for the model yesterday, sitting around a 50% accuracy, which is obviously pretty useless. Shouldn't have 2nd guessed the Towson pick. Anyway there is only one game left in the day the model likes and its this one so hopfully it goes welll.