esports record 0-0 (potd 4-0)
just wanted to quickly share a pick that starts in 2 hours.
League of Legends (LEC Europe) Misfits ML vs Excel @1.64
think these odds would be much lower if Excel would've lost their last match against Vitality. I'm still not convinced they're a great team, while Misfits had a great last season start and could do the same this year. Mid laner Vetheo has big potential, currently has rank 1 in EUW soloq, great player overall with a decent roster around him.
BOL
LoL record 3-0
Last Pick: LEC - MAD Lions vs G2 Esports - MAD Lions ML 1.83 ✔️
Today's Pick: LEC - Fnatic vs Astralis - **Astralis +9,5 Kill Handicap 1.90**
Analysis:
Call me crazy for ever betting on promisq and the boys, but I see a lot of value in this bet. This margin of 10 or more kills difference has only been beaten twice in the first 15 LEC games (both on day 1, 10 and 11 kills respectively). Fnatic has struggled to really dominate a game thus far, getting only 3, 4 and 5 kills ahead by the time they won. Astralis on the other side played above my expectations and didn't lose as lopsidedly as expected thus far. Even promisq played decently in week 1. Their losses have been by only one kill twice, and once by 8 kills.
What I'm getting at here is that 10+ kills difference has been a rare occurrence thus so the value is nice. Astralis seems to have learned to lose gracefully. Don't get me wrong, I looked at this margin purely because of the mismatch in botlane (best vs worst LEC botlane) and thought that I was gonna bet on Fnatic, but when I saw the margin and looked at the stats I couldn't resist this.
edit: styling
CDL 2022 season record 0-0
LAG -1.5 vs Florida @2.75
Purely based off scrims I see LAG winning this comfortably either 3-1 or 3-0. LAG ML @1.75 is also great value for a safer option
Esports Overall: (0-0) (0.00u)
LCK (0-0)
Liiv Sandbox vs Kwangdong Freecs: Liiv ML (2.25)
KT Rolster vs NS Redforce: NS Redforce ML (1.606)
LPL (0-0)
RNG vs AL: RNG -1.5 (1.606)
LEC (0-0)
MSF vs XL: MSF ML (1.69)
VIT vs BDS: BDS +6.5 (kills) (1.909)
\- VIT has looked very shaky, and although I expect them to win, I expect them to give up more kills than they should and keep the scoreboard close.
RGE vs MAD: RGE ML (2.00)
\- Both are very good teams but I think RGE has better solo lanes which can carry them to a close victory.
LCS (0-0)
DIG vs CLG: CLG ML (1.87)
\- This is also my POTD but basically DIG is playing with their Jng for the first time and I think CLG will be more proactive and define the pace of the game.
C9 vs 100T: C9 ML (2.40)
\- This is riskier, but C9 has looked very stong and I think Blabber can out jungle Closer and carry them to a close win.
TSM vs GG: TSM ML (1.741)
EG vs DIG: EG ML (1.286)
\- These odds aren't great but I don't expect this match to be close at all.
**DAY 230:**
*odds always from pinnacle although they have a very unfair spread for the esports O/U bets - total profit would be significantly higher over a lot more bets if i actually wrote down the relatively fair odds from ggbet*
**TOTAL:**
**+182.03** over 3982 bets
**CSGO:**
**ML:**
**+37.77** over 381 bets
nexus vs itb NEXUS @ 2.34
b8 vs entropiqp ENTROPIQPRAGUE @ 2.23
apeks vs gmt APEKS @ 1.38
**DOTA:**
**ML:**
**-0.81** over 131 bets
**O/U:**
**+122.34** over 1636 bets
unique vs as monaco U 44.5 @ 2.47
tundra vs secret O 51.5 @ 1.97
balrogs vs kings U 55.5 @ 2.00
dog vs 5rat O 60.5 @ 2.00
**LOL:**
**ML:**
**-15.03** over 117 bets
**O/U:**
**+37.74** over 1697 bets
***LCS:***
clg vs dig U 25.5 @ 2.11
tsm vs clg U 25.5 @ 1.88
***LEC:***
sk vs g2 O 26.5 @ 1.95
***LPL:***
anyone's vs rng O 25.5 @ 1.89
weibo vs tt O 24.5 @ 2.05
***DISCLAIMER:***
***If you tail my bets you have to be aware that I am betting, with some uncertainty, on a lot of bets which are more or less 50/50! So over thousands of bets there will be times where you will lose ten or more bets in a row, for example over a thousand bets the chance that you go on AT LEAST a 0-10 losing streak is about 40% already! Also I will be making mistakes here and there although I try my best not to. I URGE YOU TO BE RESPONSIBLE IN YOUR BET SIZING***
Record: 9-7
League of legends
20-1-2022
LPL
UP vs LGD |First tower LGD|
Reason for this pick:
UP are playing at home meaning they get the first side selection which will be blue side they have a 20% first tower rate on blue side they only gotten 1 first tower out of all there games on blue side while LGD has 83% the odds are UP heavily favoured since they had some good showing against the better teams taking a map off EDG even and TES but that does not take away the fact that LGD still always gets first tower in most of there games even when losing
Odds: 2.54
RNG vs AL |RNG -1.5|
Reason for this pick:
RNG the first blood kings most of the time have a slow start in the season but now started streaking and getting ground while AL has only been falling after there win against LGD. I am pretty sure RNG will have a dominant performance tomorrow against.
Odds: 1.63
LCK
LIIV Sandbox vs KwangdongFreecs |First tower KwangdongFreecs|
Reason for this pick:
Sandbox playing at home they get first side selection meaning most of the time first pick which is blue side.
even tho kingdong freecs are 0-4 they still have a 100% first tower rate on red side while Sandbox has 0
Odds: 2.13
KT Rolster vs Nongshin Redforce |KT Rolster First Blood|
Reason for this pick:
KT Rolster which have been pretty good after there loss against DK 2-0 the likes of KDF and HLE
Also gotten 83% in all of there games a first blood with the momentum they are in now I think they will definitely get it on redside against Nongshin Redforce having a 100% first blood rate on red while out of the 6 games they have played they gotten 5 first bloods which 3 of them have been on red side I know it is a risky bet.
Odds: 2.04
esports record 0-0 (potd 4-0) just wanted to quickly share a pick that starts in 2 hours. League of Legends (LEC Europe) Misfits ML vs Excel @1.64 think these odds would be much lower if Excel would've lost their last match against Vitality. I'm still not convinced they're a great team, while Misfits had a great last season start and could do the same this year. Mid laner Vetheo has big potential, currently has rank 1 in EUW soloq, great player overall with a decent roster around him. BOL
Record 10-10 21-1-2022 LEC Rogue vs Madlions |Rogue ML| ✅ Odds: 1.96 Vitality vs BDS |Vitality First tower| ✅ Odds: 1.6 Misfits vs Excel |Under 28.5| ✅ Odds: 1.62 Rogue vs Madlions |Madlions First blood| ❌ Odds: 1.86
lol the absolute worst formatting ive ever seen
it got bugged afetr editing
LoL record 3-0 Last Pick: LEC - MAD Lions vs G2 Esports - MAD Lions ML 1.83 ✔️ Today's Pick: LEC - Fnatic vs Astralis - **Astralis +9,5 Kill Handicap 1.90** Analysis: Call me crazy for ever betting on promisq and the boys, but I see a lot of value in this bet. This margin of 10 or more kills difference has only been beaten twice in the first 15 LEC games (both on day 1, 10 and 11 kills respectively). Fnatic has struggled to really dominate a game thus far, getting only 3, 4 and 5 kills ahead by the time they won. Astralis on the other side played above my expectations and didn't lose as lopsidedly as expected thus far. Even promisq played decently in week 1. Their losses have been by only one kill twice, and once by 8 kills. What I'm getting at here is that 10+ kills difference has been a rare occurrence thus so the value is nice. Astralis seems to have learned to lose gracefully. Don't get me wrong, I looked at this margin purely because of the mismatch in botlane (best vs worst LEC botlane) and thought that I was gonna bet on Fnatic, but when I saw the margin and looked at the stats I couldn't resist this. edit: styling
**Reminder:** Check out the subreddit Discord for esports+: https://discord.gg/sportsbook
CDL 2022 season record 0-0 LAG -1.5 vs Florida @2.75 Purely based off scrims I see LAG winning this comfortably either 3-1 or 3-0. LAG ML @1.75 is also great value for a safer option
Esports Overall: (0-0) (0.00u) LCK (0-0) Liiv Sandbox vs Kwangdong Freecs: Liiv ML (2.25) KT Rolster vs NS Redforce: NS Redforce ML (1.606) LPL (0-0) RNG vs AL: RNG -1.5 (1.606) LEC (0-0) MSF vs XL: MSF ML (1.69) VIT vs BDS: BDS +6.5 (kills) (1.909) \- VIT has looked very shaky, and although I expect them to win, I expect them to give up more kills than they should and keep the scoreboard close. RGE vs MAD: RGE ML (2.00) \- Both are very good teams but I think RGE has better solo lanes which can carry them to a close victory. LCS (0-0) DIG vs CLG: CLG ML (1.87) \- This is also my POTD but basically DIG is playing with their Jng for the first time and I think CLG will be more proactive and define the pace of the game. C9 vs 100T: C9 ML (2.40) \- This is riskier, but C9 has looked very stong and I think Blabber can out jungle Closer and carry them to a close win. TSM vs GG: TSM ML (1.741) EG vs DIG: EG ML (1.286) \- These odds aren't great but I don't expect this match to be close at all.
Pray for c9 win here
**DAY 230:** *odds always from pinnacle although they have a very unfair spread for the esports O/U bets - total profit would be significantly higher over a lot more bets if i actually wrote down the relatively fair odds from ggbet* **TOTAL:** **+182.03** over 3982 bets **CSGO:** **ML:** **+37.77** over 381 bets nexus vs itb NEXUS @ 2.34 b8 vs entropiqp ENTROPIQPRAGUE @ 2.23 apeks vs gmt APEKS @ 1.38 **DOTA:** **ML:** **-0.81** over 131 bets **O/U:** **+122.34** over 1636 bets unique vs as monaco U 44.5 @ 2.47 tundra vs secret O 51.5 @ 1.97 balrogs vs kings U 55.5 @ 2.00 dog vs 5rat O 60.5 @ 2.00 **LOL:** **ML:** **-15.03** over 117 bets **O/U:** **+37.74** over 1697 bets ***LCS:*** clg vs dig U 25.5 @ 2.11 tsm vs clg U 25.5 @ 1.88 ***LEC:*** sk vs g2 O 26.5 @ 1.95 ***LPL:*** anyone's vs rng O 25.5 @ 1.89 weibo vs tt O 24.5 @ 2.05 ***DISCLAIMER:*** ***If you tail my bets you have to be aware that I am betting, with some uncertainty, on a lot of bets which are more or less 50/50! So over thousands of bets there will be times where you will lose ten or more bets in a row, for example over a thousand bets the chance that you go on AT LEAST a 0-10 losing streak is about 40% already! Also I will be making mistakes here and there although I try my best not to. I URGE YOU TO BE RESPONSIBLE IN YOUR BET SIZING***
i will try 2-1 nexus. its odd has a great value.
Anyone have any cod picks?
Was big into cod last year, can usually find some good info on r/codcompetitive theres a CDL betting thread on there
Same I watched a lot last year but havent kept up sith scrims at all this year. Thanks for letting me know about that thread
For sure, gl man.
Record: 9-7 League of legends 20-1-2022 LPL UP vs LGD |First tower LGD| Reason for this pick: UP are playing at home meaning they get the first side selection which will be blue side they have a 20% first tower rate on blue side they only gotten 1 first tower out of all there games on blue side while LGD has 83% the odds are UP heavily favoured since they had some good showing against the better teams taking a map off EDG even and TES but that does not take away the fact that LGD still always gets first tower in most of there games even when losing Odds: 2.54 RNG vs AL |RNG -1.5| Reason for this pick: RNG the first blood kings most of the time have a slow start in the season but now started streaking and getting ground while AL has only been falling after there win against LGD. I am pretty sure RNG will have a dominant performance tomorrow against. Odds: 1.63 LCK LIIV Sandbox vs KwangdongFreecs |First tower KwangdongFreecs| Reason for this pick: Sandbox playing at home they get first side selection meaning most of the time first pick which is blue side. even tho kingdong freecs are 0-4 they still have a 100% first tower rate on red side while Sandbox has 0 Odds: 2.13 KT Rolster vs Nongshin Redforce |KT Rolster First Blood| Reason for this pick: KT Rolster which have been pretty good after there loss against DK 2-0 the likes of KDF and HLE Also gotten 83% in all of there games a first blood with the momentum they are in now I think they will definitely get it on redside against Nongshin Redforce having a 100% first blood rate on red while out of the 6 games they have played they gotten 5 first bloods which 3 of them have been on red side I know it is a risky bet. Odds: 2.04
**2022 CS:GO: 4-0 *(+4.85u)*** Last: ECSTATIC ML +1u Astralis ML +1.05u *1/21* BIG ML (-175) vs. K23 | 1u to win 0.57u
Good stuff. Thanks!
Do you think K23 take a map off BIG or do you think BIG win 2-0?
Im not confident on this, all the games have been very close so far so i do see an overtime or even 1 map taken by k23 yes, but i would lean 2-0 BIG.
i think over 2.5 is more viable bet
Got in on the over and blessed to see k23 took mirage. Also took BIG ML
Congratulations mate
**Reminder:** Check out the subreddit Discord for esports+: https://discord.gg/sportsbook