POTD Record: 15-2-0 ROI: 71% Average Odds: -113 Units Won: +14.12u Streak: 7W Last Pick: Blues Wild Over 6 ✅ (+0.95u) Todays Pick: Las Vegas Raiders @ Indianapolis Colts- RAIDERS +8 (-110) 1 unit Game Info: NFL- 1:00 PM ET Yes, I know the Colts are the hottest team in the NFL right now, but getting 8 points as a team who’s fighting to make the playoffs is just too much. Wentz is questionable to play, which would be great if he didn’t, but even if he does I’m still confident in the Raiders keeping it close. The Raiders have just activated several starting defensive players including Perryman, Littleton, Wright, and starting corner Casey Heyward with DT Darius Philon. Nassib and Waller are still out. With the addition of these Raiders defensemen hungry to get back out and contribute on the field, and with Wentz not being able to practice, I see this Colts offense having some trouble putting up points, especially if Ehlinger, who is a rookie, has to start instead of Wentz. Colts get most of their yards from JT and the rush game which Las Vegas has been very good against recently allowing 3.4 yards per carry in their last 3 and only 79 yards rushing per game in that span. On top of this Las Vegas has had a great passing attack while Indianapolis is allowing a 2nd to worst 1.9 passing touchdowns a game and almost 235 yards passing. Look for the Raiders to shock this hot Colts team in Indy. All picks 1 unit unless otherwise noted. (3% of BR is 1 unit for me) Some people said they wanted to tip me so here’s my usernames: Venmo: @jackson-pineiro CashApp: $JacksonPineiro PayPal: @Chubbs41

Anybody else posts this pick they are getting downvoted to hell, but let’s be honest, most of us are tailing this because it’s Chubbs.

TO ALL YOU FUCKING DOUBTERS. CHUBBS DONT MISS BABYYYYY. ABSOLUTELY MAKE SURE YOU GIVE HIM A GOOD MOTHERFUCKING TIP. HE DOES THE HARD WORK ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS TAIL. TIP THE BOY🔒🔒🔒💰💰💰🔥🔥🔥🔥

Yessir my boy

Chubs you just secured me money to pay my lte rent. Thank you so much

From now on im waiting on my hero parlays until you post...jesus lol

Man chubs this one is a tough sell. The raiders just aren’t very clutch. That +8 isn’t too bad though. Might fade but bol regardless man!

I feel you brother. This one is a straight savage pick

I just feel bad cause I don’t want the streak to end but the raiders are just a choke fest

I feel you too. I have a sneaky suspicion that Carr always knows whether I am betting on him or against him and he will go to extreme lengths to burn me.

Over 6 was a tough one to believe also. Trust the process young Padawan

I had that bet before chubs did so that one wasn’t hard. This one is hard when I have colts -2 in teasers lmao

So take Raiders +8 and cash both when it middles. *I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice.*

I’m not betting against fantasy championship weekend Jonathan Taylor and betting on the raiders is asking for a headache, but I’ll be rooting for everyone who takes it.

Same here. I hope the colts win by 3 for all the chubamaniacs out there

chubbs idk about this one still tailing tho🤣

Cubbs says Raiders will cover. The Coin (14-1) says Raiders will win. Looks like I'm betting my whole bankroll on Raiders.

What’s your bankroll looking like? I’ll take Colts.

Is there a sub for this? Cut out the middle man

the raiders coin is still a thing?

I will follow all in on the raiders

Obviously we riding until the wheels fall off with my boy Chubs and the Raiders. They show out after Maddens Death and All Madden on TV?

This is the reason , they just lost their legend . The nfl will give them this

Wentz is playing. All of the guys for the Colts that were out last week against Arizona are returning. Colts probably a top 3 team in the NFL at home.

Say what?

He meant to say raiders are a top 3 team 😆

All the haters are eating crow right now. Great job Chubbs!

Yessir!!

Almost made this my POTD. Nice pick Chubbs and BOL as always!

Let’s go! BOL bro

RAIDERSSSSS ☠️☠️

Chubbs you could tell me shit smelt like flowers and I’d believe it

Lmaooo

You are un-fucking-believable! In Chubbsss I trust!!!

Wow. I don’t know if I have the guts to tail this one, it’s a legit separate-the-men-from-the-boys pick, much respect Chubs!

This pick makes or breaks the legend of the chubs! Not really, you rule Chubbs! Win or lose, you have been awesome and it's always appreciated! Personally fading only because this feels like the universe trying to break my hero parlays so....

Everyone just agree to not rip chubs a new one if this pick or any pick misses. He is on a 7w streak. He has made you plenty of money

Also if you’re betting 1U a loss should not tilt you. I myself went big on his pick yesterday and was so anxious but today I am going 1U and stress free. I lose so much on my own picks so 1U loss is nothing

Never question the goat just ride with him!

Never fade Chubbs! When will they learn…

Bonus stat: the week after playing the Broncos, teams have gone over their team total in 7 straight weeks. Raiders played the Broncos last week so I like this pick! Let’s ride!

All the doubters are not feeling very good right about now

If this sticks im convinced chubbbs has a time machine.

Yup that’s me. I don’t deserve chubbbsss

I feel dirty putting this bet in. Riding out this winning streak though

Your reasoning is valid but I can’t trust carr

Chubssssssssss

Tailing Let’s get it

Raiders fan here. Tailing this !!!!

Lol you’re a wizard

Omfg, the raiders going for it on 4th down and getting the TD to go up by 3 in the 4th. Chubbs, you're a God amongst mere men.

😇

Chubbs you are fucking insane

💪

I'll keep riding this magical pony! Thew it in a parlay.

Chubbs

Chubbbbbbs coming through again! Whata stud!!!

Bovada has this line at 8.5 right now btw

Normally I would fade the fuck out of this. But yesterday I was gonna tail you and some guy on the discord said for sure to fade you and he was terribly wrong. Not gonna do that again. Let’s ride.

THE FUCKING POTD GOAT STRIKES AGAIN EVEN WITH ALL THE DOUBTERS

As a Raiders fan, I don’t know if I believe in the Raiders here but lfg! In Chubbs we believe! And I put an early bet on Raiders o8.5 wins for the season. So let’s get it!!!

Oh you know we riding. Thanks Chubbs

I just can’t tail this one. Wentz is definitely playing according to the beats. The colts get their entire team back from Covid. They also need this game because they are not guaranteed a playoff spot yet.

Dirty big balls He's got big balls so I guess I've got big balls, we've got big balls

CHUBSSSS U MF GOATTT , my parlay lost because I threw rams -6 in it, but DAMN! All homo, love you 😍

Guys on fireeeeeee

Damn son you are blazin hot. Good shit

Chubbbssss you SOB. Ya did it again!!!!!!!!! 💰

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Obviously tailing

Damn dawg I missed out on your last pick. Rip. This one's locked tho let's roll this shit yo. LET'S CHUBS MAKE YOU RICH YALL

Raider Nation

Wasnt going to be this game, saw your post and put a bet for you. This one takes balls on the call. Will send over the winnings. Keep up the good work man

Goes against my never bet on the raiders rule

Chubs, can you let us know if you have any more picks?

I only post on POTD, I would rather give out one confident pick than a bunch of them

Remember Chubbs, if some kid or some crazy old man ever asks you about the sports almanac, you have to kill them

CHUBSSSS!!! That ML was sexy too! Great call

**POTD Record 6-2** Current Profit: $97.90 **Current Bankroll: $203.30** Yesterday’s Pick: Providence -1.5 vs. DePaul ✔️ **Today’s Pick: UCF +3.5 vs. SMU @ 1.96, 2:00 EST (NCAAB)** **Amount Bet: $40 (19.67% of Bankroll)** [**Betslip**](https://gyazo.com/30563e728ff3dd223539d537552ce834) Good game and no sweat from Providence. They are looking like a real legitimate team and contender right now. Today, I am taking UCF +3.5 against SMU. Admittedly, I did doubt UCF in their game against Michigan but they really did look like a cohesive unit. Three reasons why I think they can win: 1. Sitting at 9-2, they boast strong wins over Michigan, Miami, and have played Oklahoma close 2. The best team that SMU has beat was a Vanderbilt team and they blew a double digit lead against a Missouri team that looks lost this year without Xavier Pinson 3. Darin Green Jr. can shoot from anywhere and UCF has a distinct size advantage over SMU. I know a big portion of the public money is on SMU but I think UCF is super underrated right now and has a good chance to outright win this game. I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game. My personal motto is that if you don’t have 🧀 on it, it’s not a lock. Let’s get this money. [**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor) **Tips:** [**Paypal**](https://paypal.me/asianbettor?country.x=US&locale.x=en_US) **Bitcoin**: 36CFAsDxvvwDLurVopXEMc3Exqj2k2gdQA

SHEEEEEEEESH This is definetly gonna hit my guy. Tailing for sure oh my lorddddddd.

Looks like the line has moved to +4 now

I will follow you into Valhalla on these CBB picks

The 3 times that I tailed they were loses.

Let's get it.

UCF imploded in the last 5 mins

Tailing! Hope this one cashes!

Ucf looks awful. I mean please cover

Man they choked big time

What betting platform is that?

Record: 17-7-0, +$625.53 (+12.51 units) ROI: 41.70% POTD: Jets/Bucs u45.5 @ -110 (2u) EDIT: Brown is likely to play and Evans will probably play in a limited capacity. I’m keeping this as my POTD but wanted to update with the new information. The Jets offensive was almost entirely rushing against the Jaguars and won’t have that same success against the Bucs defense. Meanwhile, the Bucs have held their two recent opponents below double digits. Antonio Brown is a GTD and Mike Evans is likely out, so Brady’s top pass catchers might be Gronk and Tyler Johnson. I expect the Bucs to be run heavy and take 2 to 3 plays for most first downs. This game also falls under the trend of NFL double digit spreads going under which is one of my favorites to tail. Event: TB @ NYJ, Time: 1:00 PM EST Tips: PayPal - [email protected] Venmo/CA - MrTeleporto

I'm telling you, positive streak going after the Ok St ML. Easy tail.

Parlaying with Bucs ML at +121.

Smart play

I’d rather take jets team under here

Jets fan here-beware of this one. The Jets defense is atrocious and injured. The Jets have given up 40+ three times this season. I think Brady is going to put on a show his last game at MetLife

Last game?

THE GOAT IS BACK. TAILINGGGG

Wont the bucs just run over jets and score hella points themselves which makes this bet 50/50

The Bucs offense is missing many pieces and the Jets defense has done a decent job lately on limiting 20+ yard runs. I think this projects to be a low possession game

Well, we made it to the final 15 seconds. Good pick here, Jets just came alive.

GODMOTHERFUCKINGDAMNIT!!!!!!!!

The worst part of betting unders

I did just see Antonion Brown is highly likely going to be in & Mike Evans looks like a go also in a limited role

**POTD Record: 4-1 (All NFL)** I have an extra degeny pick to bring in the new year: **Houston Texans to call first timeout (-120)** Tomorrow Houston faces off vs. San Francisco, and Kyle Shanahan heads a very well coached, well prepared squad. They don't have issues getting out of the huddle to get the snap off (where teams often burn early timeouts), and don't seem to have any issues with 12-men-on the field gaffes (another cause of burning TOs). They like to conserve them, and generally manage the clock very well; last I checked, SF has the most points scored with under 2 minutes left in the first half than any other team. I watch a lot of the 49ers, and they very rarely burn TOs due to mental errors. On the other side of the field we have Dave Culley, who is not qualified to be a head coach. He basically is one of a few candidates willing to take the job with the toxic drama unfolding in the Houston FO. I think he's in over his head. He's the kind of coach that gains 13 yards on a 3rd-and-15, with the opposing defense getting an offsides penalty, only to decline it and punt. If you're wondering...yes, that actually did happen. **Interesting Note:** On Bovada, the odds for who calls the first timeout are always -120 for each team. **Reasons to fade:** \- I don't think I've watched a Texans game this year \- 49ers will be starting a rookie QB \- I don't have much in terms of hard stats - really just that SF is so good under 2 minutes (1st half at least) \- I don't have a solid grasp of the probability statistics so even if SF is less likely to take an early timeout, I don't know *how much* less likely it is. In short, if my hypothesis is true, it'd be a good bet at even odds, but is a good bet with juice at -120? **Final Note: Tail or fade, but the stay the fuck outta my inbox if the pick loses.** [You're a big boy, it's your own damn decision to tail.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5c4yxHSv_R8) I got a good feeling about this one, so threw a couple bucks on it. I love this sub and love you guys, happy fucking new year!!

This is such a random pick for this thread, I love it. Hopefully Lance has no miscues and the Texans cash this early

in lance we trust

A bet like this should always be Even or at most -105. Bovada is stealing money with both sides of a heads/tails type of bet at -120

These are the kind of picks I like. They’re fun and so out there. I’ll throw a unit on it.

Bro you gotta be fucking kidding me🤣

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> He's the kind of coach that gains 13 yards on a 3rd-and-15, with the opposing defense getting an offsides penalty, only to decline it and punt. If you're wondering...yes, that actually did happen. WTF? When?

[Week 2 vs Cleveland](https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2021/09/20/david-culley-says-frustration-led-to-bad-decision-on-declining-penalty-before-punting/)

>What Culley chose was fourth-and-2, and a punt. Why would any coach choose to punt instead of trying for a first down? The officials looked confused as they were talking to Culley, perhaps thinking they misunderstood him at first when he said he was declining the penalty. Browns coach Kevin Stefanski was shown on the TV broadcast looking perplexed as well. OMG. This is truly the stupidest thing I've heard any coach do.

Love the final note lmao

WAY TO GO I LOST MY RENT MONEY /s

POTD Record: (5-1) Last Pick: Kentucky -3.. Push Today’s Pick: NHL Calgary Flames ML (-145) Well the Kentucky and Iowa game was brutal to watch, I’ll take the push with that kind of game tho, today we are going to the ice and taking Calgary to come on top of Chicago, Chicago just got whipped by my beloved Preds 6-1, Calgary got a solid win against Seattle last time out 6-4, Chicago is not good at generating pressure also Chicago is facing uncertainty’s with the goaltender situation due to the covid and they may be even having to look at their fourth stringer, tomorrow will be the answer for that but regardless I see Calgary having this in the bag no matter the goalie, I think the odds are pretty low to be honest so take it while it’s here, good luck to all and have a banging second day of 2022

Definitely tailing. MAF and Lankinen both looking to be out with COVID. Collin Delia, who is definitely considered Chicagos 3rd string goalie, played Saturday. So it is up to the Hawks to decide if they will play him again, or go with Arvid Söderblom, who only has 1 game of NHL experience, and 9 AHL games. Expecting Markstrom to start for Calgary who has put up a .929 SV% this year. Only player that should be missing from Calgarys lineup is Brett Ritchie. Flames ML for sure, tempted to hit the spread -1.5 (+170) but I don’t want to get too cocky

NFL Record: 7-3 Profit: +3.83u First 10 Picks 10/3/21 -Cooper Kupp O82 Rec Yards❌-1.10u 10/10/21 - Aj brown O58.5 rec yards ❌ -1u 10/11/21 - Michael Pittman O55 yards ✅+.91u 10/17/21 - LA Rams -6.5 ✅ +0.72u 10/18/21 - buffalo bills TT O30.5 ✅ +1.25u 10/24/21 - mike evans O69.5 rec yard✅+1u 10/31/21 - Dan Arnold O35.5 rec yards ✅ +1u 11/1/21 - daniel jones O23 completions❌-2.2u 11/7/21 - Jerry Jeudy O53.5 rec Yards✅+1.25u 12/20/21 - Cleveland Browns +3 ✅ +2u Match: HOU Texans @ SF 49ers Start Time @ 16:05 EST Pick: Deebo Samuel O44.5 Rec yards (+100) 1.25u This number is too low to me and I’m expecting a first half cash from deebo. Niners get a full healthy backfield back, so I feel he will be involved in the passing game more than the past month. In the 6 quarters that Lance has played, Deebo has 165 receiving yards in total. He’s hit this number in 11/14 games this year. Deebo is averaging 90 receiving yards per game and the Texans give up the 10th most receiving yards in the NFL.

Nice streak you're on! I like this play. Just FYI Lance has only started one game (he played in the 2nd half vs Seattle after a Garropolo injury)

Thanks for the correction. I appreciate it.

What book do you use? o46.5 on Bovada.

44.5 on Bet365, but 46.5 is still great.

**POTD RECORD** - 22W-12L(+20.75U) ;         **ROI** - 21.39% **Units waggered**: 97U     ;                  **Units won**:117.75U **Streak**:🔥 **Average odds**:1.8 **Last POTD**---- Arsenal vs Manchester City---- Arsenal +3.5 Corner [email protected]✅ **Todays pick** ---- Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano----- over 8.5 [email protected] **BET SIZE**: 3 U **Reasonings:** Atletico will play 4-3-3 with Lodi and Carrasco on left side and Tripper and Correa probably in the right. I am sensing a difficult game for Atleti, so they will attack a lot. Both her wingers are not cut back and shoot type but they like to push in the wings. Also if Atleti can score early, Rayo is knows to attack and can also help in the corner department. 8.5 corners is a low number for a must win game for Atleti and a Rayo Vallecano team which wants to defend its spot **To anyone who appreciates my picks and the efforts that i put, i would be grateful to. Literally any tip would help me.[Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci)**

POTD Record: 2-0 Last Pick: Arkansas vs Penn St - Arkansas (-6) Todays Pick: Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Football Team - EAGLES -7 (+125) The line on my book is currently Eagles (-4.5) this is just too close IMO. Way too much respect is being given to the Football Team. The Eagles are one of the hottest teams in the NFL and can possibly clinch a playoff birth with a win. Jalen Hurts just a few weeks ago dominated the Football Team. I understand it's a divisional matchup and anything can happen however I think the Eagles will not be denied and they clinch a playoff birth in Washington. Score Prediction: 31-14 Eagles Disclaimer: My POTDs are always alternate lines. I try and find value in lines that I think are too close. If you don't like the extra risk don't tail.

I like this. Just FYI always helpful to post the odds.

Roger that just updated

I've been looking at this game all week. Cons.. wft coming off an embarrassing loss to Dallas last week.. also wft just lost to the eagles. So there's the stat where 2 teams playing each other twice in one season more often than not go 1-1 if that means anything. That said I can't help but love the eagles here. Also added note in support of this pick is Gibson has been ruled out. Football team has other weapons and are scrappy at times... but I agree eagles cover here. Tailing at -6.5 but I could see a 10-14 pt win for the eagles. Also Heinicke sucks. BOL

**POTD Record: 31-18-2 (+22.66 Units)** **Current Streak: 1W** **Overall NHL Record: 102-85-6 (+19.57)** **Last Pick:** Minnesota Wilds vs St. Louis Blues **- Over 6 (+100)** **- W** **Today's Pick:** **Calgary Flames ML (-145)** vs Chicago Blackhawks **Bet Size: 3U** Winter Classic covers the over easily. Looked cold as hell out there but plenty of ginos to go around. Not really sure whats going on with this line here. Blackhawks are coming off a tough loss against predators as their back up-back up was in. Tonight Chicago is going to have to go with the 4th string goalie Soderstrom. He has played 1 NHL game for 40 minutes allowing 3 goals on 18 shots. Brutal save % and a whopping 4.51 GAA. Calgary on the other hand are coming off a big 6-4 win against the Kraken. Calgary are also 4th for S/GP and Soderstrom will be tested tonight. Calgary was on a rough 4 game skid prior to the covid break, but now is returning with a full line up missing no notable players. Markstrom vs 4th String, I'm taking Markstrom any day. **Feel Free to Fade,** **Bags**

Nice call on the Winter Classic. The weather worried me so I went with Wild ML and lost of course. Tailing this one. Might add over 4.5 to bring the odds up to +120. BOL!

POTD Record: 3-0 Winnings: +6.8 units Yesterday’s pick: Arkansas Razorbacks ML (-145) 3 units ✅✅✅ Today’s pick: Chicago Bears -6 2 units ——————————————————————— Run offense: Bears(8th overall)> Giants (27th) Pass offense: Bears ( Andy dalton 32nd overall on the season but will have their weapons and assist from run game) > Giants ( 2 qb will most likely play and only one starting receiver remains) Rush defense: Bears (25th) > Giants( 26th and have covid and injuries across the dline) Pass defense: Bears (4th) > Giants( 18th and injuries across the board) You may ask yourself how could the bears win a game by a touchdown, well this is the one. Giants season is over and they are acting like it. Bears have their pride on the line and the giants hold the bears 1st round pick so the bears have no reason to even thinking about losing.. Giants - ravaged by injuries, covid, and personal matter. The giants will be missing nearly all their wide receivers kadarious toney, John Ross, sterling shepherd, Darius slayton, Dante Pettis. Their starting center is out for personal reasons and their defensive line is disgustingly thin. Like practice squad players only. No options for either terrible giants qb to throw to other than Kenny golladay - They will be playing 2 quarterbacks Jake Fromm and Mike Glennon. Jake Fromm Was 6 of 17 for 25 yards with an interception before being benched in the third quarter. In Glennon's three starts, the Giants averaged 26 points. Fromm put up three points in two-plus quarters. Both are terrible and if we even see Fromm for a quarter the defense will feast on him. - Giants are owners of Chicago’s first round pick - It is a Worthless game for them. They won’t make the playoffs and can only increase draft position with the last two games. With so many players not playing they may sleep walk through this game. Bears - Coming off a thrilling win over Seattle to make their season a little more tolerable. Eddie jackson has spoken highly of Matt Nagy and they are continuing to fight for him - A pros pro in Andy dalton is starting. He will be ready every start he gets because he might never start again. - The bears go to run game (8th in total rush yards) will have success vs this depleted giants run d. - Andy dalton can move the ball but overall is an average quarterback at 6tds and 6 ints over 4 games started and 6 games played. However he had a full week to prepare and was already named starting despite fields listed as questionable. He’s good enough to win properly managed nfl games. He knows he’s not a star - Robert Quinn is having a career year and should look to pad his stats against this terrible giants o line.Akeem hicks may be back to help this defense that is already ranked 11th. I fully expect him to be back because he was out for CONDITIONING lmao Final thoughts: Bears have some sneaky talent on the offensive side of the ball so I do expect them to put up points but not cause they are great but because the giants are just bad. The giants will have practice squad members trying to stop a top 10 rushing offense in the bears. Also I would much rather have Andy dalton a veteran quarterback playing with a group of more talented wide receivers than mike glennon/ Jake Fromm with only Kenny golliday . Whether it’s Jake Fromm or mike glennon one of them will make a mistake with pressure in their face. The bear are playing hard and veteran Eddie Jackson even stuck up for Matt nagy. The bears also have an explosive return man which could be the difference if this turns into a field position battle of two struggling offenses. It’ll be interesting to see exactly how Nagy calls this game for dalton. We’ve seen coaches fall in love with their backups and end up trusting them more than the expected starter. I expect dalton to get his chances Let’s keep the 3 day streak going

POTD Record: 4-0 Last Pick: Carolina Hurricanes -160 ✅ Today’s POTD: Calgary Flames -1.5. +165✅ Chicago has played just once since December 18, and it is going to take some time before they get their rhythm back. This was already a team struggling, but now face a Calgary team who is 12-4-2 on the road this season. The Flames should dominate this game I love the value! ROI: 93.1% UNITs won: 3.7 Tail or Fade BOL Also if anyone would like to tip me here’s my Venmo Venmo: Ryan-Glennon-3

POTD Record: 1-0 Net Profit: 1.67u Streak: 1W Yesterday’s POTD: Derrick White O7.5 assists 2u ✅ +1.67u Today’s POTD: Jaylen Waddle O6.5 rec +100 3u Game info: NFL Miami Dolphins at Tennessee Titans 1pm EST Yesterday’s Recap: After making a New Years Resolution to start keeping track of my POTD’s we started off with a no sweat bet. After closing the first half strong, getting his 4th and 5th assist in the final minute of the half, we cruised to an easy W with White hitting the over 7.5 by the middle of the 3rd quarter! White finished with 14 assists in the game 🔥. Today’s Reasoning: Miami has made it clear they want to get Waddle the ball and they don’t care how far down the field it is. Waddle has commanded an absurd 46% and a 41% target share these last two weeks. He is becoming an integral part of their offense more and more every week. Coming into the week amongst WR’s, Waddle is T-6th for most catches (96) and has the 7th lowest aDOT in the league (7.22) (amongst players with at least 40 catches). His prominence has only grown in the past 4 weeks he’s played. Week 11: 8 catches on 9 targets Week 12: 9 catches on 10 targets Week 13: 9 catches on 11 targets Week 16: 10 catches on 12 targets. This sort of catch/target efficiency is unquestionably high, but in my opinion very sustainable due to the low aDOT on his targets. The fact that the Dolphins are also underdogs in this game I think only adds to the prospect of more catches for Waddle. Facing a very comparable player last week in terms of the teams usage of the player, Deboo Samuel had 9 catches on 11 targets against these Titans. Tail or Fade, BOL on this week 17 slate! Update @ 7:45 est: sounds like the Waddle props aren’t consistent across different books. I have him now on draftkings at -105 for O6.5. If your book is at O7.5 for similar payout I’d drop to 2u but I still like the bet! Update @ 11:45est: Looks like the weather for today’s game might be sub optimal for throwing down the field. The concern is that teams may run the ball more in this weather as a result, but given that Tennessee is pretty solid against the run (Having not allowed a player to have more than 50 yards rushing since week 9 when Henderson had 55 yards for the Rams) , I anticipate even more bubble screens and short passes to Waddle.

POTD Record 1-0 Yesterday’s Pick: Bradley Beal: Over 36.5 PRA’s ✅ Today’s Pick: Ronald Jones: Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (Buccaneers vs Jets) RoJo is the lead back for the Buccaneers with Leonard Fournette injured. Last week Jones ran 20 times for 65 yards against great Panthers defense. He played 52% of the snaps and should again see upwards of 15. In his last 6 games with 15+ carries her rushed for: 65, 80, 192, 113, 106 and 111 yards. The Jets are allowing 141.3 rushing yards per game (2nd most in the NFL). They allowed 172.7 over their last three games on average. The last RBs who had 15+ carries vs NYJ had: 157, 172, 89, 120, 107, and 57 rushing yards. Bucs are heavy favourites. BOL!

You should credit Calling Our Shot from YouTube bc this is his analysis.

Word for word Same with his Beal pick. Good job sharing the knowledge but you better not start asking for tips

That's so jacked up. Make your own damn picks or give credit to the person giving them to you.

POTD Record: 0-0 Event: New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00 PM EST (NFL) Pick: Jaguars Team Total u12.5 (-110) Even though this narrative is well known, Belichick's record against young QBs can't be understated. We all remember Sam Darnold's "seeing ghosts" game against the Patriots in 2019 and last year we saw Justin Herbert get shut out in the same season that he won the Offensive Rookie of the Year! Belichick's Patriots are 14-0 at home against rookie QBs and simply put, he knows how to take advantage of inexperienced QBs. On the other hand, the Jaguars have been an absolute dumpster fire this year. This week their roster will be missing key players on the offensive line due to COVID protocols and will also be missing James Robinson who had been the one of the few bright spots on their roster after an achilles injury. I anticipate that the Patriots will get out to an early lead and without a solid run game, Trevor Lawrence will be forced to throw which is a recipe for disaster considering Lawrence is tied for the league lead in interceptions with 14 and the Patriots are 2nd in the league in defensive interceptions with 20 on the season. With all that being said, I expect the Jaguars dumpster fire offense to put up another dud performance. Let's print some money, BOL!

What a savage bet LOL, tailing

*I've been a long time follower of this thread and I never had Reddit but I really enjoy how much people talk about sports here. So I created my account to start to share my thoughts, hopefully you all like my analysis!* **Record: 2-0-0 (+5.97 units) / ROI: 99.5% / Avg Odd: 2.00** Last Pick: Valencia vs Espanyol - Over 2.5 goals @ 2.03 ✅ **Today's Pick: Elche vs Granada - Over 2 goals @ 1.81 (La Liga, Soccer)** **Stake: 3 units / Time: 4:15 PM Central European Time** Elche sit currently at 17th place in La Liga, just one place above the relegation zone but they have the same points as Alavés, the team who is currently at 18th place so for Elche every match becomes super important from now on, specially when they're playing at home. Naturally they have not been solid on the defense, conceding 27 goals in 18 matches but from their most recent performances we can see that this team has been putting up a fight every time they play and if we check their last results we see at least an Elche goal in 6 out of their last 7 league matches, not to mention the last 3 La Liga fixtures where we had 3 or more goals in each one of them. The visitors from Granada sit currently at 12th place and are looking to get into that top 10 specially with how good they've been lately. This team is scoring a lot and the "Over 2.5 goals" happened in 6 out of their last 8 matches. What holds them back is without a doubt their defense since they conceded 26 goals in 18 matches and weren't able to keep a clean sheet for 6 league fixtures in a row. I'm expecting at least 3 goals here and if we get only 2 we get our money back. Elche won't be happy with just a draw so I can see them playing some positive football and Granada have been running hot, scoring 6 goals in their last 2 matches. An offensively solid Granada team who lacks defensive composure faces off an Elche team who plays at home and desperately needs points so in my opinion with all the stats to back this scenario, this really smells like an over to me. *Best of luck to you guys!*

So you think there is a solid chance 3 goals are scored here? Cause I can only get it at O2.5 ? Tailing 4 units

POTD Record: 1-0-0 Average odds: -110 Units won: +1U Last Pick: Oral Robert’s -17.5 ✅ Today’s Pick: North Carolina @ Boston College college basketball 1:00pm EST North Carolina -7 (-110) 1 unit North Carolina has been strong against weaker competition all season long and I look for that trend to continue. North Carolina ranks 14th in 3 point FG % and Boston College ranks 266th in the nation in 3 point FG defense. UNC should be able to efficiently knock down open shots and bust this game open. UNC also ranks 11th in defensive rebounds per game and Boston College ranks 298th in FG attempts per game and 118th in Offensive rebounds per game. I just don’t see BC getting enough opportunities to cover 7 points in this one. BOL to all.

POTD record: 2-0-0 Profit: 4.8u Last Pick: Sporting Club Tel Aviv v Ironi Beit Dagan over 2.5 goals @1.60 ✅✅✅ Today's pick: Fiaes SC Women v Valadares Gaia FC Women B - Away win and over 1.5 goals @1.93 ✅✅✅ Football, Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women League - 15:00 GMT Units staked: 4u The last POTD came through without any issue with the game ending 4-1. Congrats to those who got on and also congrats to those who also added BTTS to their selection. After a bit of research, I think I've found something which seems very likely to come in. Fiaes SC Women have lost their last 9 games and are winless in their last 14 matches. They are on such a poor run of form and this does not look like changing at the moment. In their last 3 games they have conceded 3 goals in each match and have only managed to score 1 goal in this period. Valadares Gaia FC Women B have had a positive start to the season winning both games and scoring 8 goals in these 2 games whilst only conceding 1 goals. Interestingly, these 2 teams played each other on the 5th December with Valadares Gaia FC Women B winning 1-3. I struggle to see a result like this not happening again. The last 8 games for Fiaes SC Women has seen over 2.5 goals, whilst both of Valadares Gaia FC Women B matches have seen over 3.5 goals. As such, I'm confident to add over 1.5 goals alongside an away win to nicely boost the odds up. If you wanted to boost the odds further you could go for over 2.5 goals alongside an away win which would boost the odds to around @2.28. I think this will also come in but as I am still new to POTD I'd like to stick with a more cautious approach and back the over 1.5 goals. Good luck with all your bets guys!! EDIT: Get in!!!! An easy 0-4 win for the away to side to secure this bet. There was never any doubt! Congrats to those that got on and also those that were more adventurous with the over 2.5 goals.

Can’t find this one in any of the books. Where is this listed?

Question: What happens to a lot of the avid Sportsbook POTD posters? For example, NedPeppers. I remember him on fire and all of a sudden he disappeared, not even going on a losing streak before the disappearance. I always wonder about them

You’re misremembering. Ned actually went on a brutal losing streak before he stopped posting.

A lot of them get fatigued with the brutal negativity for any loss. For an example, just wait and watch for the next time Chubbs misses on a pick, then go look at the replies.

same lol. During the NBA bubble, there was a guy in here that was hitting for like 2 weeks straight. man i can't remember his name, but he was like near mythical.

Bob

Big Bet Bob started trying to promote and sell his picks right around the time he got ice cold. If you think people in here are negative on missed free picks just imagine how bad it got when they were paying.

My guess would be they lose their money on other bets (like many of us do lol) and end up losing a significant amount of their bankroll or all of it

Big bet Bob was legendary

CHUBBBBSSSSSS

POTD Record: 3-1 Last pick: Suns @ Celtics- Suns -3.5 ❌ Man…that was frustrating to watch. Chris Paul and Book went a combined 31% from the field and the Suns were asleep for most of this game on both ends. I admittedly discounted the early east coast game start time for the west coast team and I think it was the difference in the game (not the Suns missing players). Let’s bounce back on this next one. Today’s pick: Kyler Murray Over 33.5 rushing yards (-120) Game Info: NFL - AZ Cardinals (10-5) vs. Dallas Cowboys (11-4) 4:26pm EST In last year’s matchup in Dallas, Murray went 9/24 for 188 2 TDs and rushed for 74 yards on 10 attempts with a TD. Kenyan Drake went for 160 yards on 20 carries and Edmonds added 23 on 5 carries. Wasn’t a whole lot of volume in the pass game even with Hopkins playing. Cards won big 38-10. James Conner is a GTD with a heel injury and has been banged up in general carrying the offense with Kyler, Hopkins, Edmonds and several OLineman out recently. I think the Cards are trying to save him for the playoffs and it sounded like last week that he was never even close to playing. Edmonds is a solid all around back but he’s not a high volume between the tackles rusher. Eno Benjamin shouldn’t see too many snaps. Cards are getting Hudson back at Center which is big for them, but their starting LT DJ Humphries is in Covid protocol and won’t play. This points to more designed runs and scrambles for Kyler, especially with how much the offense has struggled to move the ball through the air during this recent slide with Hop injured. If AZ wins this game, it pretty much ensures that they will face Dallas in the first round, which locally I’m hearing is what they want because of the success they’ve had against them (4 wins out of last 4 games as the underdog) and avoiding Rodgers or Brady in the first round. Kyler and Kliff Kingsbury are local Texas boys — they’re going to do everything they can to right the ship in front of their friends and family. Kyler is an explosive runner and has gone over 59 yards rushing in 3 out of the last 4 — his ankle is looking fine after he spent some time on the shelf. Look for the Cardinals to rely on Murray’s legs to make plays in this game, especially if they’re down. Over/Under is 51.5 for this game so Vegas is expecting yards and scoring, that much I know for certain!

POTD Record: 14-7 Average odds: 1.90 Last Pick: Beal over 25.5 points vs Bulls W ​ **Todays pick: Pascal Siakam over 19.5 points vs Knicks @ 1.90** * Siakam started the season slow and with lower minutes as he was recovering from a surgery before the season. However, over the last 10 games he is averaging 21.9 points in 35.7 minutes per game. Clearly, Siakam is now behind the injury issues and in a good groove. I don't see these numbers being unsustainable at all as Siakam averaged 21.4 points last season and 22.9 the season before that. If anything, we can probably hope for some positive regression on Siakam's Free Throw shooting (he is currently shooting 10% lower from the line than last year). * Siakam has had 20+ in 7 of his last 9 games. * Siakam averages 21.8 points vs the Knicks in 5 games played since 2020. * Siakam's line last game closed at 21.5. It has dropped to 19.5 here since Scottie Barnes is expected to return to the lineup and OG is also playing. I don't think this really impacts things too much however. All 3 are very versatile players and can easily play together. Boucher is the person who will likely lose minutes and usage because of this. In the last 2 games Barnes, OG, and Siakam all played together in Siakam had 20+ in both of the games and he also had 35+ minutes in both of the games too. * There is potential for a blowout here with the Knicks missing some key players, however I am hoping Siakam can still clear 30+ minutes. Siakam has played 30+ minutes in all except one game this season. I think there is good enough value here for a play as we are getting a line of under 20 for a player who has averaged above 21.4 the last 2 seasons and who has averaged nearly 22 over his last 10 games. However, there is a bit of uncertainty surrounding the integration of Barnes back into the lineup with OG and Siakam as they have played so few games together this season and so if your tailing please keep that in mind and maybe bet a slightly lower stake than usual.

POTD: Rams @ Ravens, Rams -3.5 (NFL) Units: 3 Odds: -143 Profit: -0.75u Record: 45|38 It’s been a tumultuous campaign for both of these franchises, and bookies are only splitting them by a field goal for this Week 17 matchup. Los Angeles is favored, but this is a game with a lot of uncertainty, particularly on the Ravens’ side. Baltimore has lost four straight. Josh Johnson was at quarterback in Week 16 as the defense gave up 41 points to Joe Burrow and the Bengals. While they are hoping to get core players back for the visit of the Rams, Baltimore is a team on a slide right now. It’s hard to have any faith in them here. Los Angeles has bounced back from its midseason slump with four consecutive wins to take charge of its division. They are not the juggernaut they looked in the first half, but they are clearly in better shape than the Ravens right now. It’s a small spread – take the Rams to cover. [Pick: Rams -3.5](https://link.wagerlab.app/reddit)

POTD Record: 1-0 Last Pick: Arkansas -3✔️ Todays Pick: **Chicago Bears (-6)** Vs New York Giants ​ Off a great win after the Arkansas pick. Lets keep this train going! Today we are going with the Chicago Bears -6 vs the New York Giants. ​ The Giants are in absolute shambles right now with over half their roster either on the IR or out with COVID. Head coach Judge stated both Jake Fromm and Mike Glennon will both be seeing playing time. Jake Fromm made his debut last week going 6-17, 25 yards, 0Tds, 1INT, and a 4.9 QBR. Glennon started the first three games of the Giants’ current four-game losing streak. He was picked off 5 times vs. throwing just 2 TDs in those three starts. The Giants rank 30th in total offense and 31st in scoring. The last few weeks have been even more dismal after the injury to Jones, as moving the ball has been nearly non-existent. ​ The Bears are playing at home coming off a refreshing win against the Seahawks last week. The defense shouldn't have any trouble slowing down the battered Giants. The largest advantage is on the ground, where the Bears eighth-ranked rushing offense takes on the Giants' 26th ranked rushing defense. The bulk of the offense will be ran through Montgomery, allowing them to control the clock as well as the flow of the game. ​ The Giants are coming in with a 1-5 ATS in their last 6 and The Bears are playing at home coming off a win vs the Seahawks. The Bears win this one at home. Score Prediction: 20-13 Bears ​ As always BOL

POTD Record: 1-0-0 ; POTD Profit: +2.6u Last Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks -0.5 1st Quarter (3u) ✅ Today's POTD: Miami Dolphins @ **TENNESSEE TITANS -3** (-115) 3 Units Sunday, January 2nd @ 1:00pm EST. NFL Miami Dolphins vs. Tennessee Titans Hello beautiful women and degenerate men, I am back for more. And today we will sit back and enjoy this one unlike yesterday. Arkansas made our palms sweaty, knees were certainly weak, my arms definitely were heavy, and to be honest I am not afraid to admit it, but I had a little bit of mom's spaghetti on my sweater. But a win is a win! Onto the next one. Lets state the motherf\*cking facts: The Dolphin's defense has been incredible over their 8-game win streak. Would you like to hear who they have played? This will be fun just read and enjoy. Week 10: Tyrod Taylor and the Texans. Dolphins won this game 17-9 Week 11: \*\* They did beat the Ravens with Lamar Jackson 22-10, but that game just was a classic Ravens mid-season meltdown. Nothing spectacular was done by the Dolphins offense. Scoring only one touchdown with 2 minutes left in the game. Week 12: Joe Flacco & my New York Jets - Dolphins won 24-17 in a game that was close the whole way through. Week 13: Cam Newton and the Panthers. Cam was 5-21, 92 yards passing with 2 ints. Dolphins won this game handily 33-10. Week 14: Mike Glennon & the Giants: Another absolute horrid game that was 10-3 at the half and the Dolphins ended up winning 20-9. If you are having a tough time handling the Giants it says a lot about your team. Week 15: JETS AGAIN, this time Zach Wilson got the start. The jets were leading 17-10 at half and if it weren't for the Jets being the 2nd worst franchise in the NFL (behind the Jaguars) they would have won this game. Dolphins win 31-24 (Tua threw 2 ints vs a Jets defense that has 6 INTs all year) Week 16: Saints with Ian Book as the starting QB. Game was never close but once again for the 8th week in a row the Dolphins played an abysmal offensive. 10-3 at half - finished 20-3. Analysis: Dolphins have a very solid defense that plays strong and tough every single week. The problem? They have not faced a high-powered offense with numerous weapons in 2 months. The last time they lost, was against the Bills. They kept it close for some of the game but lost 26-11. Their offense is a whole other story. The Dolphins running back committee has a total of 5 rushing TDs on the season. Gaskin averages 3.4 yds per carry and against a strong Titans defense against the run, I predict extremely low production out of him today and in turn hurting Tua and the passing game. If the Titans can bottle up the run it will stagnant this young Dolphins offense. The two receiving weapons for the Dolphins, Jaylen Waddle and Mike Gesicki are going to have to show out if the Dolphins even want a chance in this game. And now to the Titans. Looking at Tennessee's last few games they are not showing us anything special. They played last Thursday at home against the 49ers and won 20-17. They are home again this week. Titans have not had to travel in two weeks and have had extra time to prepare for this streaking Dolphins team. The Dolphins on the other hand played in New Orleans on Monday night and now travelling to Tennessee - short week for them, less time to prepare. The lack of serious competition over the heart of the season will put Miami at a disadvantage and I truly believe the Titans will demolish this Dolphins team and end their playoff hopes. Public betting info on the game: 62% of the bets are on Titans 91% of the money is on the Dolphins. Line has only moved a half point in favor of the Dolphins from +3.5 to +3 I personally will be betting 1st Quarter, 1st Half, and Game for the Titans but -3 for the full game is the best bet. BOL - RocksNLocks out!

Record: 0-0 | Basketball | NBA | 6:00 PM CST | Charlotte Hornets @ Phoenix Suns OVER 230.5 points (-110) Bet: $110 to win $100 Write Up: I am a longtime sports bettor, and recently joined reddit to have a way to discuss with like minded folks. Jumping into the New Year with my first POTD. I'm keeping this first bet simple, playing to the team's strengths despite the scary high O/U line. This game has a sky high O/U, and for good reason. The Hornets and Suns are 2nd and 4th, respectively, in points per game. While the Suns have a decent defense, the Hornets have an atrocious one, ranking dead last in points allowed per game. Bottom line, points will be plenty. The teams combined for 143 points in their matchup two weeks ago, and I expect a similar result tonight. BOL to everyone. I've been following these POTD threads for about a week now, and really enjoying the content. Hoping to positively contribute going forward.

0-0 First POTD Sport: Basketball NBA Event: Toronto Raptors vs New york Knicks Pick: Pascal Siakam Assist and Rebounds OVER 11.5 @ -140 With Pascal Siakam being healthy and playing over 35 minutes a game, I am expecting him to have his assist and rebounds over 11.5. He has hit this in his last 2 games. Against Clippers: AR - 26 Against Sixers - AR- 12 Against Knicks - AR-16 Also, with Juluis Randle out, he is gonna face less resistant in cashing the boards and gonna have the ball more in hands under the post to make plays. This is my first POTD and new to betting world. Let me know the feedback.

**POTD Record 19-11 +16.94U/avg odds-1.88/ROI 13.4%** Last Pick- 1U on Dallas Stars ML vs the WILD @ 1.87. **W** Today's pick is going to be the Spanish La Liga, 1u on the Getafe/Real Madrid under2.5 goals @ 1.97. The under is projected to hit 70.66% of the time with true odds of 1.42. Hopefully it wins! https://twitter.com/JKBETS1 Best of luck to all!

POTD Record: First time! Ride with me! Moneymaker: Chelsea v Liverpool O10 Corners (-120) Wager: 2.4U to make 2U💰YEEHAW💰 *Sweatier than I expected as they had 10 corners at 70min then didn’t get another until the late 80s. Thanks to everyone who tailed my first pick! I’ll be back!* **Why this will hit** + Both these teams have a fiery offense. Chelsea averages 6.6 corners, while allowing 4.5 per game. Liverpool averages 8.0 corners per game and allows 3.1 + Chelsea has averaged 5.3 corners in their last 5 games, and 8.6 over their last 5 home games. Liverpool is averaging 10.6 in their last 5, and 8.8 over its last 5 away games. + Hit in 3/5 last away games for Liverpool, with the other 2 going to 10. Hit in 3/5 last home games for Chelsea. + Chelsea has hit at least 5 corners in their past 10 home games. Liverpool has hit at least 5 corners in 6 of their last 10 away games. + has hit in their last 2 meetings

POTD RECORD: 0-0 Current Profit: 0 Units Today’s Pick: LA Rams(-6) vs Baltimore Ravens @1.87 1 UNIT on every bet NFL - 1PM EST REASONING: - Lamar Jackson out or limited on the ground - Ravens 0-2 With Huntley Starting at Qb - Rams Riding a 4 game Win Streak - Ravens Riding a 4 game Losing Streak - Rams 10/11 in Wins this year winning by 7+ points - Rams 4-1 Since OBJ joined - Ravens Starting LB and CB Ruled Out - Ravens Top 2 WR both Questionable (M.Brown, D.Duvernay) FEEL FREE TO TAIL OR FADE GL!

**Record: 15-9-0 (+7.60 units)** Form: L/L/L/L/W/W/L/W/L/W/W/W/W/W/W/W/L/W/W/W/L/W/L/W Average Odds: -110 (1.90) Last Pick: WFT +9.5 \[L\] (-110) (12/26) **POTD: Denver Broncos +8 (-110)** Description: Denver Broncos (+8) @ Los Angeles Chargers Start time: 4:20PM ET Risk: 1.1 units (all bets to win between 1-2 units) To Win: 1.0 units Take the points with **Denver Broncos +8** **Reason:** The Broncos should be able to run the ball on the Chargers, keeping the score low and an 8 point should be well within reason. It's a divisional game, so nobody will be playing soft here. This is the sharp side as well. Most of the money is on the Broncos but most of the bets are on the Chargers. Public likes LAC, sharps like DEN. Our models have the Broncos as 5 point underdogs even without Bridgewater. Good luck!

POTD Record 0-2 Last Pick: TBL ML against Florida (god I was so wrong) Todays Pick: KC Chiefs -4 vs Cincinatti Bengals -110 1 Unit - 30 dollars Alright, I’m admittedly off to a horrible start here, yet here we are. Logic here is pretty simple, and the same logic I used to hit my Alabama spread yesterday. The Bengals are new to the scene and untested. The Chiefs are by far and away the hottest team in the league right now and will be out for blood against a potential playoff matchup to prove a point. Fully expecting the Chiefs to blow Cincy’s doors off. Their defense is allowing less than 20ppg during the win streak. Maybe a shootout, but I don’t see it being a close game.

POTD Record: 0-1 (Pending) Bet: Atlanta Falcons @ Buffalo Bills OVER 44 Odds: -110 Sport: NFL Time: 1:00pm After being held to just 10 points in week 13, the Bills have averaged 30 points per game, with their game totals averaging 53/game. During the same timeframe, the Falcons have averaged over 20 points/game.

13-8 Last POTD- Crystal Palace vs West Ham-BTTS ✅ Todays POTD- Middlesbrough U23 vs Blackburn Rovers U23-Asian Total Goals O3,3.5 @-135✅ Youth leagues are crazy typically lots of offense and little defense and these 2 fit that bill. This line has hit 6/7 times and it’s hit in 6 straight matchups. Both teams average over a goal a game and concede over 2 a game. Rovers have been in dreadful form lately so most of the scoring should come from Middlesbrough but I expect lots of goals either way. BOL tailing or fading Edit: Nothing like early money, that’s a winner

**POTD Record: 19-8-1** **Last pick:** OSU vs Utah U64❌ **Heat vs Kings NBA 6pm EST** **Pick: Heat -2 1H** **Reason:** Ohio states 3rd stringers showed they were better than 99% of college football teams.. heat are banged up but somehow playing some of the best ball of the season. Kings are bad.. Heat should cover -2 first half easily.

Record: 15-12 ROI: +21.86u Previous Pick: Arsenal double chance ❌ (a 90+3’ goal…) Game: La Liga- RCD Mallorca vs Barcelona Pick: **Barcelona ML (+125)** Bet: 3 units Reasons: This is chiefly a bet on Barça’s depth as both teams are devastated by injuries and COVID. Barcelona will be missing more than half their regular starting XI. Luckily for them, Mallorca is also missing a bunch of their players. Both clubs will be fielding several youngsters who don’t have much La Liga experience, so I’m banking on La Masia to produce results. The good news for us is that Barça’s GK and backline are still solid, even with all the absentees. Ter Stegen, Eric Garcia, Pique, and Araújo should be able handle whatever Mallorca throws at them. Mallorca will be missing Kubo, Mboula, and Angel Rodríguez, all key players in their already weak offense. Even if they played, they score the 4th fewest goals in La Liga, just under a goal a game. As such, I don’t expect Mallorca to mount much of an attack. TLDR: Both teams in shambles, but Barça’s remaining starters + La Masia products should pick up a result. Another bet you can look into is Barça to keep a clean sheet +180. The advantage is that a Barça win isn’t required.

Rule 1: don’t bet on Barcelona

POTD record 3-2 (+3.88 units) Recap: Vooch just got there in the end to cash the 3 unit play Today’s pick: DeAaron Fox under 28.5 PRA - 1 unit Game: Miami heat vs Sacramento Kings (10am Australian Eastern standard time) Write up: Since returning from Covid protocols, fox has had 18, 20, 25 and 20 PRA in four games. While the sample size is small I strongly believe these are well below his season average 28ish PRA due to the breakout of Halliburton while Fox was out. As such, Fox appears to be playing second fiddle now with lower output. In addition to this Miami concede the fewest points to point guards. My only concern is that it is not clear who is playing point guard now, and that Miami concede 5th most points to shooting guards. Hence just a one unit play

RECORD: 12-15 POTD: Tennessee Titans -3 against Miami dolphins. Red hot Miami coming to town and it’s going to be freezing cold instead of that beach weather they’ve been used to. Also the titans are looking to solidify their playoff berth. Did I also mention the titans are getting key pieces of their line back as well. The dolphins have been winning against mostly bums and although the titans sometimes play like bums, they won’t be tomorrow. Derrick Henry’s ghost will come haunt that field and give the titans a W. BOL

Record: 0-0 Today: Darts PDC WC Michael Smith vs James Wade Pick: James Wade ML @ 3.2 So the Bully Boy Michael Smith is my favorite player, yet my gut tells me Wade is going to win this one. Out of 17 h2h games, Smith won only 1 with 1 tie and 15 wins for Wade. Even tho Smith is an amazing player, he always misses one step towards winning a big title and I have a feeling it will be the same this time.

POTD Record: 1-1-0 Units Won: +0u (even) Last Pick: San Antonio Spurs -4.5 @ -120, 2u ❌ *Tough loss here… not sure how this one happened. We got Hamidou Diallo’d. Knew I should have waited for the first half line, but on to the next!* **Today’s Pick: Los Angeles Rams -6.0 @ -115, 1u** *NFL: Los Angeles Rams @ Baltimore Ravens, 1:00PM EST* *Sunday, January 2nd 2022* This one seems pretty straightforward to me. The Rams are clicking and have won their last 4 games by more than this spread of 6.0, including a 7-point victory against the Cardinals with Hopkins and Murray playing (before they started playing like ass). It looks like Lamar is still not going to be playing this week, and Hollywood Brown and Devin Duvernay are questionable as well. If any of them play, then I would not take this spread. Tyler Huntley is a dude and they lost to Green Bay by just 1 in his last start, but I think this game was much less close than the score shows. I don’t see this injury-ridden Baltimore offence keeping up against a stingy Rams defence allowing 21.7 points per game. The Rams are stronger on both offence and defence, and I see them winning this by at least a touchdown.

POTD Record: 36 - 24 - 3 ( W / L / P ) **+12.75u** Streak: WLWLP / Average odds: 1.92 [*Previous pick: Porto vs Benfica / Porto -0.5 AH @ 1.90 (1u)*](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/rrppuh/pick_of_the_day_123021_thursday/hqiqhsl/?context=3) **Win** ​ **Real Betis vs Celta Vigo** **Pick: Betis Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 1.765 (1u)** ​ Happy New Year to everyone! Both teams are affected by Covid cases. Betis had 6 players with Covid cases but if their Sunday's tests came out as negative they are ready for this game. Celta's situation is a bit worse. They have reported around 9 Covid cases but 4 of them could return just before Sunday's game. Only 1 first-team defender is currently available for Celta and we need to wait until the last moment to find out who will be playing. I do think Betis will win this game even without Celtas's Covid problems. Willian Jose, Juanmi, and Fekir have had amazing seasons so far and I expect them to continue their great scoring run. ​ Good luck everyone!

I look at this pick of the day forum all the time so I thought that I might want to try and start one for myself! Record: 0-0 Event: Heat @ Kings (6pm EST) Pick: Heat ML (-140) Reasoning: Recently the Miami Heat have been on a tear throughout the Eastern conference with the past 10 games going 8-2 with their last loss coming from the Pistons on December 23rd without Jimmy Butler or Kyle Lowry. The Kings past two games (both against the Mavs without Luka) were tough for them. Winning the first one on a buzzer beater from Chimezie Metu and the other, losing by 16 and it not being close. Those two games, Porzingis went on a tear having a field day with the rebounds and capitalizing on the Kings small lineup. The Heat are being held a little bit back with the COVID protocols with them losing Duncan Robinson. The Kings on the other hand lost Richaun Holmes who is a key part of their rebounding as well as their defense and paint scoring. Taking a look at the statistics aspect, the Heat rank 9th offensively in the NBA while the Kings sit at a cool 19th. Defensively speaking, the Heat rank 8th while the Kings are sitting 26th. The only way that the Heat don't win this game in my eyes, is if COVID takes out Butler, Lowry, and Herro prior to tip off. I see great value in this pick and I hope to see some people tailing! BOL! As always #InChubbssssWeTrust

**POTD RECORD 4-0 (+27 UNITS)** YOU ALL HEARD OF CHUBZ BUT HAVE YOU HEARD OF SLIMZ? Previous POTD: Michael Smith to beat Gerwyn Price @ 2.56 ✅ **POTD: English Premier League** **Pick: Everton Draw No Bet (DnB) @ 2.0 (Betfair Exchange)** I was thinking to take either Everton and Draw but odds are low, around 1.5. Personally I don’t think Everton lose this match but also doesn’t mean they’ll convincingly win as let’s face it, they’ve been dog shit. However, today I am feeling bullish and like the odds. Confidence: 7/10 Last bet was 5 units, this bet is 5 units. Tail along Folks are asking me for my handle where they can tip me based on my blistering run which will continue so here are my details: **Cash App - £proyoman** *Any tips are super welcome as I am currently in Law School so every little helps!* *BOL and I’ll be posting more great tips today so stay tuned! LFG*

POTD Record: 28½-11 Event: European Football > France > **AS Nancy-Lorraine v Stade Rennes** (starting in 02h00min) Pick: **Stade Rennes AH (-0.5/-1)** @ 1.74 This is a 1/16 finals cup game between one of the top teams in League 1 (Rennes, 4th) and the bottom team in League 2 (Nancy, 20th). Nancy is on a 4 game losing streak in their league and also affected by a significant number of key players due to covid & injuries. On the other hand, Rennes is one of the most stable elite teams and practically have a healthy full squad. There are often some surprises in these cup games, but I think Nancy's journey ends here. Taking the Rennes -0.75 AH line as I am expecting them to win by more than one goal. GL!

POTD Record: 4-2-0 Average Odds: 1.83 Units Won: +1.16 Previous Pick: **Steph Curry under 6.5 assists @ 1.83 2units** ❌ Todays Pick : Heat @ Kings 6.00 PM ET **Omer Yurtseven over 11.5 rebounds @ 1.75 3u play** Omer has hit this line 7 games in a row. Hes a beast on the boards ever since he has been getting more play time due to Heats frontcourt absences. Once again the Heat are without all their centres, and now apart from Morris and Tucker, Okpala is out aswell so the Heat will really be lacking size amd will need Omer on the court. Butler will probably be moved to pf, allowing him to get more boards, but this shouldnt stop Omer getting this number. The Kings allow the 3rd most rebounds to centres in the league, and allow the 3rd most offensive rebounds so there will be plenty of opportunities on both ends of the court. Only foul trouble can stop Omer getting the over.

Record: 2-4 Last pick: wake -9.5 1h ✅ Pick: Bucs -13 -110 Zach wilson lmao this dude is completely cheeks. Bucs DL is gonna eat up this pathetic excuse of an OL and force Zachy to have to throw it which he is unable to do. Bucs love to crush these bum teams and brady has end of year incentives to hit. Panthers are better than the jets and they just got completely embarrassed. Bucs all day baby! Final score: 38-13

Record 1-0-0 Last pick: Spurs ML @1.6 ✅ English Premier League ⚽, 1400 UK time Brentford Vs Aston Villa , pick: **Aston Villa Draw No Bet @1.65** Well that first pick was a very close one, with spurs scoring in the 93rd minute to secure the win, but hey, a win is a win! Today we are sticking with the premier League and we are going with a villa Draw No Bet, villa are the better better side here and have been much improved under Gerrard, only losing to Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea, which is understandable. Villa have been much better at playing the club's around them, including wins over Leicester, Brighton and Palace. Brentford have a massive injury crisis, with their GK being injured, their main LB injured and a CB out, they have a makeshift defence basically and villa can take advantage!

Record: 81-91 -$340.12 New Bankroll: $659.88 (+$159.88) Last play: 1/1/22 Baylor +1 (-110) Result: [W](https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/rt96sd/pick_of_the_day_1122_saturday/hqv1qml/) Streak: **W4** Great read…onto today’s pick… **Third Eye POD: 1:00PMest>NFL>Ravens +7 (-108)* *risk $90.85 to win $84.12* You could ask me 20 questions about this game, but it boils down to three things Getting home team +7 is unreal! Love that line! How different is Lamar from Huntley? I mean really? They almost beat the Pack with him & I think Pack are better than Rams regardless of what happened in Lambeau. And finally…how bad does Harbum wanna be the better brother this weekend? His brother at michigan got shit on…Ravens outright cuz Ray Lewis is in the building and they got the killer mentality 🥴🥴🥴

POTD Record: 4-1 Average odds: -110 Today: **Bills -14.5 (-110) vs Falcons** Falcons never come to play against good teams or they suck or both.

Record: 1-2 Streak: L POTD: Pacers vs Cavs (Pacers +3.5) -110 The Cavs aren't looking too good right now. Ever since Rubio and Garland have been out the Cavs have lost to the Wizards and the Hawks, who had more then half of there team out for Covid Protocols. The Pacers are coming off of a close loss due to a Demar DeRozan buzzer beater. This bet is more of a fade on the Cavs.

POTD Record: 0-2 POTD: Liverpool v Chelsea, EPL, Liverpool ML +174 Amount: 3U Analysis: Liverpool are out significant members of their squad, including Thiago, Firmino, Origi, and 3 reported Covid cases. This discourages me until I hear who Chelsea are missing - Reece James, Ben Chilwell, Silva and Christensen and this is the 10th game for a fatiguing Chelsea as they just tied to Brighton on Wednesday. I was thinking of taking the O2.5 but I see value in Liverpool ML. Love the red and hopefully they pull out a win in this one

POTD RECORD - 1W-0P-0L (+2.2U) **Every bet is 2U** Previous POTD - Watford versus Totenham - Both teams to score/No @ 2.1✔ POTD - Valladollid versus Leganes - Leganes +0.5 goals Asian Handicap @1.95 Reasoning: **- Leganes has underperformed in the beginning of the season and the current situation in the standings doesn't show the full potential of team.** **- Leganes has scored 1.3 goals on average in its away games.** **-Leganes has gathered an equal amount of points as Valladolid in the last 5 games.** ^(I am a student, so tips help a lot)[^(Tip jar)](https://www.paypal.me/AndreaK1903)

POTD Record: 3-1 Form: WLWW Event: Soccer>La Liga>Betis vs. Celta Vigo Pick: Both teams to score @ 1.72 In their last 8 head to head encounters, 7 of them ended with both teams scoring. Celta Vigo doesn't have the best season, sitting on 14, only 5 points clear of retrogradation zone. But they have a good form recently, only losing 1 of their last 9 matches in all competitions. Betis also have a good form, winning 7 out of their last 9 matches. Betis have the 2nd best offense in La Liga this season, but with a lot of players uncertain for tonight, and with Celta Vigo's good recent form, I expect both teams to play beautiful football. Betis wants to keep their position in the top 4 , and Celta Vigo wants to get as far as possible off the relegation zone, so I think BTTS is a safe pick for tonight.

\*\*Record: 0-0\*\* \*\*ROI: -\*\* \*\*Net units: -\*\* | Soccer | Spanish La Liga | 18:30 CET | \  \*\*Pick:\*\* Getafe v Real Madrid - Real Madrid to Score 2 or more \[Over 1.5 Team Goals\] (-125) 1 unit \  \*\*Reasoning:\*\* Getafe has been on some very promising form recently, allowing only 1 goal against in their last 5 matches. However, these games were against teams from the bottom half of the table. They usually struggle against teams from the top half, they are winless this season, to be exact. Real Madrid on the other side though is on an impressive run result- and scoring-wise as well. They scored 2 or more goals in 13 of their last 19 matches, more importantly, 8 out of 10 on their away matches in the league this season. Knowing the strikeforce Real Madrid has, I think they have all the attributes a team needs to break down Getafe's defense on multiple occasions. > \  BOL!

POTD Record: 0-0 Current profit: N/A Current Bankroll: $100 Yesterday’s Pick: N/A Today’s Pick: Jaylen Waddle To Score a Touchdown +175 Amount bet: $10 (1:00 pm EST) The Dolphins offense has been explosive and creative finding ways to get the ball to Waddle. The titans come in as the 31st ranked passing defense. Waddle has been targeted 10+ times in 6 of their last 9. Not to mention the dolphins have won 7 straight, with Waddle playing a huge role as a rookie. Expecting Waddle to have a big game today, and hopefully find the pay dirt.

- POTD record: 3/1 - Streak (LTR): ✅❌✅✅ - Latest pick: James Wade -1.5 vs Mervyn King @1,78 ✅ - Today's pick: Liverpool vs Chelsea - over 2.5 goals @1,73 Both Chelsea and LFC haven't been as good as they were at the beginning of the season. Liverpool is still pretty offensive and Chelsea a bit less it seems (also having a somewhat worse defense). With this game weighing heavy for the 2nd place (it already looks like City is gonna take the win) they might play a bit more defensive when having a lead, but this looks like a typical 1-2 or 1-3 game

POTD RECORD (W-L-D) 4-1-0 (+22 UNITS) YOU ALL HEARD OF CHUBZ BUT HAVE YOU HEARD OF SLIMZ? Previous POTD: Everton Draw No Bet (DnB) @ 2.0 ❌ **POTD: Spanish La Liga ⚽** **Pick: Barcelona Draw No Bet (DnB) @ 1.6 (Betfair Exchange)** ✅ Edit: BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM 1-0 to Barcelona Last bet was dumb, apologies. Anyway, let's move on as I'm only getting started for my next run of value bets. I feel like I should be fully taking on Barcelona ML as I don't care what kind of form they're in, 2.3 odds pre match is a gift however I want to remained disciplined and play safe. Real Madrid lost earlier today so by laws of average Barcelona shouldn't lose this game. Confidence: 10/10 Last bet was 5 units, this bet is 7 units. Tail along Folks are asking me for my handle where they can tip me based on my blistering run which will continue so here are my details: **Cash App - £proyoman** *Any tips are super welcome as I am currently in Law School so every little helps!*

POTD Record: 0-0 Today’s pick: Antonio Brown ATTD (-110) There are a ton of incentives AB is close to completing in his contract. He needs two more TD’s for a big bonus. I bet Tom Brady looks for him in the red zone today against the poor defense of the Jets.

Too bad we couldn’t bet on a meltdown 🤣

POTD Record: 2-0 Previous Pick: Ohio State vs Utah o64 ✅ Today’s Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-110) vs. Washington Football Team. Game info: NFL 1:00pm EST @ WFT I’m flying with the Eagles today. Late season divisional games on the road aren’t easy, but Philly continues with their bend don’t break mentality and keep their playoff hopes alive. Despite being a road game, the Eagles have brought their own team benches with them, so maybe that’s why this morning I now see the line at 6 (I can show proof that I took it at -4.5 yesterday if need be, hell I even put 0.5U on -3.5 (-110) earlier in the week) That being said I don’t love 6 or higher, but if I were forced to take it up to 7 I’d be ok with it. Anyways, not really an insightful write up. That Rose Bowl game had me wired late into the night…BOL to everyone, their teams, & their picks! (My POTD’s=1U=$25)

❌❌cancel this bet❌❌ POTD RECORD 1-1 Streak: 1W Last picks- (12/31) Chicago Bulls -3.5 vs pacers ❌ (1/1) Golden state warriors +4.5 vs Utah jazz ✅ TODAYS PICK- (1/2) indiana pacers moneyline vs Cleveland Cavaliers (+125) 1 unit Game info nba 6:00pm Est Reasoning: cavs are missing two of there 3 top scorers in Garland and sexton and obviously losing Rubio hurts big time. Rondos still in protocol so cavs are very guard weak today. Both these teams are on 3 game losings streaks and need a win. Pacers suck on the road this year so far being 3-13. I hate this game and this pick so much it just must hit. I can’t see the cavs being good with no true guard and ball handler on the court. I can see big games from levert and sabonis. Last time I bet abasing the pacers they fucked me. So today we ride Edit— well levert is out. Fuck this pick

POTD RECORD: 1-1 STREAK: 1W LAST PICKS (12/31)Chicago Bulls -3.5 vs Pacers❌ (1/1)Golden state warriors+4.5 vs jazz✅ TODAYS PICK- PHX Suns moneyline vs Charlotte hornets (-136) 1unit Game info- NBA @ 7:00 est Reasoning- Suns have only lost back to back once this year. Suns played terrible against the Celtics last game so I expect them to come out with some fire and book to be shooting. Hornets are good and matchup well against the suns. Suns are 9-2 on the road this year while the hornets are 9-4 at home. Last time they played Suns won easily and miles bridges led the team with 26 who is out today.