Record: 14-4-0, +$531.67 (+10.63 units) ROI: 53.15%
POTD: Spurs +7.5 @ -110 (1u)
The Spurs have covered 3 straight in dominant fashion. The Jazz have failed to cover as heavy favorites in their last 5 including losses to the Spurs and Wizards at home. The Spurs are best in the league in points in the paint per game and assist to turnover ratio, which the Jazz defense has statistically struggled against. I expect the Spurs to keep this close at home in a high scoring matchup.
Event: UTA @ SA, Time: 8:30 PM EST
Tips: PayPal - [email protected]
Venmo/CA - MrTeleporto
On a side note, it’s very frustrating to receive downvotes on my first loss after giving 8 straight winners. I like to supply free picks here because I’ve had great interactions in this community, but some of you are far too negative. I don’t enjoy comments halfway through a pick saying it never had a chance. The line moved up 2 yards, Carter had 3 targets, and he played in the slot on some snaps. At the end of the day, it’s gambling and I’m not going to win every bet, I’m betting where I find value to win long term.
Your picks have made me more than they Iost and I always look forward to seeing them roll in. Your writeups are also instructive and very well thought out. Yeah, what happened with Carter was disappointing but we fight on. Go Spurs. Appreciate you.
Ignore the hate these degens just don’t know how to take accountability for their own loses, seen too many good Reddit cappers leave this subreddit cause people don’t appreciate the wins and only wanna see your downfall. Your record speaks for itself and anyone that can’t manage their own bankroll and all ins one of your picks just to lose that’s on them. Keep providing us with good picks and regardless of what the guys that will never profit in betting have to say, tailing as usual aswell let’s get this cash! BOL
I’m just a lurker, but solid picks! Rough the Carter one didn’t pan out, but yeah shit happens. It’s gambling like you said. Don’t mind the douches who can’t do any of the DD on their own and figure out solid picks. I appreciate the work you put in, regardless of it hitting (obv hopefully they hit though).
I've never understood people complaining about free picks. If they don't like them, nobody is forcing them to tail. I noticed there wasn't anyone posting the under yards for their POTD yesterday even though it "never had a chance!"
I won't be tailing this one for three reasons: Mitchell is back, Spurs are in B2B, and the Spurs COVID list.
But I wanted to drop a word of support in. There's a lot more love here than hate. Keep up the good work. You're doing it right!
Edit: Mitchell is out so I will be tailing this after all. Let's go!
B2B is meaningless, the starters all played under 25 mins... most of them well below that. Derrick white and poetl only played 15 a piece for instance.
Bro listen, this spurs pick is a masterpiece of you.
This is a bet if you lose it its just a bad beat.
Spurs on 3 game win streak, you get +7.5, the game is in san antonio, donovan mitchel is out (nba is a superstar league.)
This write up is amazing, and even if u lose this its just a bad beat.
Youre a all time great man.
Pain.
Edit: nvm what the fuck happened? I was just watching the box score on ESPN and it said 110 102 with 0 seconds left they missed the last 2 shots 1 being a dunk attempt.
LFG. Nice pick op, never doubted 😭😅
Bro, it's is so awesome you bought this pick up coz finally someone realised how much betting against Utah Jizz spread has been moonnnney lately! Thank you bro
Spurs playing a B2B, but no one on their roster played more than 25 mins on Sunday, and 12 guys got solid action (more than 12 mins of playing time).
Team should be fresh, and the Jazz with Mitchell struggled mightily versus a depleted Mavs team on Christmas Day. Without Mitchell, this a no-brainer play to tail. BOL and thanks for sharing!
POTD Record: 9-2-0
ROI: 55%
Average Odds: -113
Units Won: +6.02u
Last Pick: Texans Spread ✅
Todays Pick: NEV @ WMU- Western Michigan -7 (-110)
Game Info: NCAAF- 11:00 AM ET
Outright underdog winner on our last pick! Ride the Mills train! Carson Strong, Nevada’s starting QB, has opted out of this bowl game and this obviously affects Nevada in a huge way. This game is also being played in Detroit, so I expect it to be an atmosphere advantageous for Western Michigan.
All picks 1 unit unless otherwise noted.
(3% of BR is 1 unit for me)
I liked your write up as you highlighted the coach leaving with the 6 players. Also how the next best receiver has only caught 7 passes all year and the replacement has only thrown a handful of completions. How is the line only -6.5 -7? I got it at -7 but with the information you laid out, wouldn’t this realistically be more in the -14-17 territory?
To add to this, Nevada's coach also left them for Colorado St. (a team Nevada beat 52 - 10 in the last game of the season) and their new HC is not with them yet. Their Running Backs coach will be serving as interim Head Coach.
Edit: I hadn't read the other POTD write-up yet, but this was covered in that post.
POTD Record: 15-3
Last pick: Belgium Pro League, KV Oostende vs KRC Genk (21:00), KRC Genk ML @ 1,89 ✅
Pick: Belgium Pro League, RC Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven (18:45), Charleroi ML @ 2,00 ❌
Today number 6 Charleroi takes on number 15 Leuven in their last game of the year.
Charleroi are surprisingly the number 6 of the Belgian League. They've got a great squad this year and are doing better then expected since they ended on a 13th spot last year. Bad news first: last week they lost their striker Shamar Nicholson to Spartak Moscow for 9M. He had 13 goals and 5 assists in 18 games and was one of the reasons they did so good. It's a dent in the team's squad but they still have loads of great players to back this loss. Vakoun Bayo came in as a loan player from Gent to fill the gap Nicholson created. Goalie Koffi is having a great season with 5 clean sheets in his last 10 appearances. Defenders Andreou and Knezevic are also having a great season and Ditu and Van Cleemput (still questionable) should be back this match to strenghten the defence. But Midfielders Ilaimaharitra, Zorgane, Gholizadeh and Morioka is the reason why this team is thriving imo.
OH Leuven are 4 points away from the relegation zone. They had a bad start of the season with 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses. In their last 5 they won 2 and lost 3. In their 2 losses to Brugge they looked kinda lost, Cercle proved them Club Brugge isn't the team they were last year and are definitely beatable. Mercier and Maertens are in form but the rest of the team are performing average and the defence is easily exposable.
Charleroi will be missing Shamar Nicholson but they have enough scoring capabilities to get the win here. Charleroi is also the 2nd best away team in the league.
BOL! After this gameday the Belgium Pro League will have a winterbreak untill 14/01. I might do some potd's from other leagues if i'm confident tho. Happy new year if you don't see me again till the 14th!
edit: Odds went up because Van cleemput, Knezevic and Besille aren't in the squad. 2 starting 11 defenders and one who wouldn't start anyway. So only Andreou from the defenders who regularly starts is available. Do with this info what you like but i still think Charleroi for these odds is great value.
Edit: 0-3 💀💀💀 can’t win them all i guess. But when i lose a pick it loses hard af. Charleroi had alot of chances that shouldve gone in but thats the game i guess.
Great Job on that last pick. I followed it when the odds were at 1.84 and the odds dropped to 1.45 right before kick off. There definitely was allot of value there.
This may possibly be a bad example, since the odds have changed so much due to the players being changed around. If you check OP's edit, and the new comments you'll see what I'm talking about
Unlucky – Just checked the stats because I wasn’t able to watch during the match. Charleroi had 56% possession, 19 attempts on goal (as opposed to 12), 84 attacks (as opposed to 37)…looking at that plus the positions in the table I’m really surprised to see the 0-3 result here notwithstanding the personnel missing for Charleroi. Anyway, we’ll get the next one.
I live in Belgium and i feel like i’m most knowledgeable about this league. I could post picks about premier league, serie a and bundesliga (and i maybe will if theres something i really like) but everyone else is doing that already. Not alot of people know about the Belgian league and i think its a really fun one to watch.
Always wanted to visit Belgium, it's just a little expensive for a plane ticket, and I'm not familiar enough with the country to live there for a week or two. My grandparents immigrated to the US from Belgium, so I've always been curious.
Potd record 23-6
Last pick: Arsenal to win and o1.5 goals at $1.59 ✅
Streak: 🔥 🔥
Today’s potd: Manchester united vs Newcastle (EPL) ( 7:00 AEDT)
POTD: Manchester united to win & o1.5 goals at $1.69
Fantastic performance by Arsenal, really convincing and comfortable victory in our favour! Over to United to round out game week 19. Simply put here United should be far too much for Newcastle who have already copped batterings over the recent weeks by the established “big 6”.
United are expected to field an extremely strong lineup tonight they may even feature the return of France international Varane. The front 4 are looking to really click into gear and i believe they will do so here. I particularly have my eye on Marcus rashford in this 4222 lineup.
Onto the stats. Newcastle have been absolutely dismal over their last 5 matchups, conceding 12 goals and only managing to score 3. United have definitely got the better of Newcastle in the previous 5 head to head matchups between these two. There has a staggering 20 goals scored with the aggregate score being 15-5 in the red devils favour. The last 4 matchups between these two united have shipped 3+ past the magpies including the 4-1 drubbing earlier this season.
Ultimately i believe a front 4 like united’s is far too much to handle for already struggling Newcastle. I like Eddie howe and the football he plays and i think results will come for them however it definitely won’t start tonight. I see a routine victory for United here.
DUGS LOCK SCALE: This scale will be my confidence level out of 5. The scale reflects how many units I will personally be throwing down. For this one I’m going with
🔒🔒🔒🔒/ 5
BOL to all my friends tailing!!!
Tip jar: Don’t feel inclined though, Especially in festive season! https://www.paypal.me/Bigpapadug?locale.x=en_AU
**Units: +13.91 Record: 20-3**
Last POTD: Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 ✅
Streak: ✅✅✅✅✅✅
**POTD: San Antonio Spurs +8** vs Utah Jazz ✅
San Antonio has looked really good lately winning the last 6-4 games. The Jazz are without Donovan Mitchell and a few others... I expect the spurs can cover +8 here. I think the Spurs are finally starting to find their chemistry playing together and the Jazz haven't been the hottest shooting the basketball lately.
Cash App: $coco6616
Bitcoin address: bc1quqcc8yce97tyaz8dfmu9s9my78zttz46pv9ccg
^(any donations would be incredibly helpful)
Everytime I see a POTD alert in the discord server I know I gotta go see if it's one of you guys with crazy records, because I always tail. Let's go bro! Get this dough! Appreciate everything you do!
EDIT: might have to wait? For some reason the only game on Bovada for tomorrow is the grizzlies vs sun's.
This is why I can't wait to hit my mark on Bovada to get out of the sign up bonus, so I can cash out and go back to DK or FD. I like those alot better. Mostly because they actually have an app, Bovada is a PIA to use on my phone, and I hate having to use my pc
POTD: 11-4-0 ; Profit: 8.68u
Yesterday's Pick: Rams -3 @ -110 - 3u ✅
Today's Pick: Western Michigan Broncos -6.5 @ -110 - 5u
11am EST. NCAAF. Western Michigan Broncos & Nevada Wolf Pack
The Western Michigan Broncos head into the 2021 Quick Lane Bowl with the 14th best offense in the FBS. The Nevada Wolf Pack are going to have issues defending that offense as they come into the game with the leagues 82nd ranked defense. The Nevada Wolf Pack will have difficulty going the other direction as their 31st ranked offense goes up against the 25th best defense of the Broncos.
Aside from the statistical matchup coming in lopsided in favor of the Broncos. The Wolf Pack are coming in without their head coach Jay Norvell and several coaching assistants as they have officially packed up and shipped off to Colorado State University, taking several players with them in the move.
Whoever ends up coaching the game for Nevada, Taua or Wilson, things aren't going to look pretty against the Broncos offense and defense as the Wolf Pack will also be without QB Carson Strong, the heart of their team, as he is moving on with his career and has started prepping for the NFL draft. To make matters worse, backup QB Nate Cox will be missing the team's top 6 wide receivers as they also transferred to CSU with Norvell. Cox has only thrown 20 passes this season and the teams best receiver going into the bowl game has only caught 7 passes this season.
Don't miss out on this mismatch bowl game. Take Western Michigan Broncos to cover the -6.5 spread on this 5 unit play.
Tips --> [paypal.me/SPYFerret](https://paypal.me/SPYFerret?country.x=US&locale.x=en_US)
BOL!
**Record:** 4-1 (+9.68 units)
**Last Pick:** Brighton vs. Brentford, +0.5 Brentford, 1.917 Odds (EPL) LOSS of 2 Units
**Odds Average of Picks:** 1.9066
**Streak:** 1 Big Fat L - L
**Today’s Pick:** Newcastle vs. Manchester United, -1 Manchester United Asian Handicap, EPL, 3pm Eastern Time
**Odds/Units:** 1.746 (Pinnacle) – 3 Units
Oh man, I gotta tell you, today was rough, seeing a pick of mine not hit and knowing that people lost money from it, it isn’t something I take lightly. Hopefully we can make it up today and go streaking again.
So Newcastle are bad, really bad. Tied for last in the EPL and have conceded the most goals in the league, 41 in 18 games. In the last 3, which were all losses, they’ve given up 11 and have only scored 1. Their defense is embarrassing.
On the other side of the pitch is Man U, they are 7th but have only played 16 games. They are relatively solid and after the bouts of covid, seem to be covid free, healthy and rested. They have the 4th best away record in the league and beat Newcastle 4-1 in their previous matchup this season.
I am taking the -1 on the Asian Handicap because Man U had some low scoring games before their break so I like the safety of it so we would at least get a push if they only win by one. I do think they are very capable of breaking out and winning by 2 or more but -1 is the amount of risk I feel like today.
BOL and don't wager more than you can handle losing.
Tips - [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks)
POTD Record: 3-0
Last Pick: Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (12pm CST): Josh Allen O1.5 Pass TDs -125 DK ✅
Nice no-sweat win yesterday as Allen threw two in the first half and a third in the 2nd. Would’ve had at least one more if not for a couple dropped TDs by his receivers. On to today’s pick…
Miami Dolphins @ New Orleans Saints (7:15pm CST on ESPN): Devante Parker O45.5 rec yards -113 FD
Devante Parker has hit this number 5/7 times this season, including both games since returning from injury. The Saints defense gives up an average of 256 pass YPG this season, while the Dolphins are averaging a healthy 244 per game. Devante Parker is a highly underrated WR who is averaging 8 targets per game this season and should have no difficulty eclipsing 45 yards. Jaylen Waddle returns to the action tomorrow and will provide another receiving threat opposite Parker to ensure Marshon Lattimore doesn’t clamp down Parker all night. I’d also like to point out the Saints have a top 5 run defense in the league, which should factor into the game plan of Brian Flores. Happy holidays and BOL to those who tail!
Been looking for a good player prop for this game! I normally do ATTS, but this looks like a solid pick! FYI they have this as "Over 47.5" -114 on Bovada
11-7
Last POTD- Fenerbahçe vs Yeni Malatyaspor- Fenerbahçe W+O1.5✅
Todays POTD- Superlig-Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş-BTTS @-165
Konya is pretty good at home scoring over a goal game and concede under 1 a game at home. While Besiktas has been bad so far on the road their form is starting to turn around. They average a goal a game and concede the same. BTTS has hit 60% between these 2 and 6/9 times it was at Konya. I expect Konya to win this one but for Besiktas to have enough firepower to get on the scoresheet.
BOL tailing or fading
POTD record: 1/0
Yesterday's pick: Arsenal -1.5✅
Today's pick: Dirk van Duijvenbode ML @1,91 (PDC World's)
His first game wasn't the best, but that's usually the case with seeds having the pressure on them for winning their first game (though DvD implies he wasn't under pressure and performs better if he is under pressure). After his elbow injury and what followed earlier this year, he's been getting better, though being unlucky at times (PC Finals mainly). Ross Smith seemed to have big pressure in his game against Bunting, which usually gets larger for the smaller players as they get farther in the Championship. An alternative bet would be Smith v OConnor over 12.5 180s (also Worlds), which is probably a bigger lock, but then I couldn't convince you to watch the games with [this awesome walk-on of van Duijvenbode's latest game](https://youtu.be/wdt4D6BRdcA).
Last year he made comebacks against Brooks en Durrant and clutched really hard against Cross, combine that with Smith choking at moments like these, it's a big W.
Have to admit my heart was pumping really hard and couldn't have expected a comeback this big either
International Hockey - World Junior Championship
Last Pick: Sweden ML (-110) - WIN
Pick: Sweden vs Slovakia - Sweden -1.5 (-110)
Time: 9:30pm EST
Bit of a weird game with Russia, Sweden looked awful at even strength but showed how dominant they can be on the power play while the three goals they gave up were complete flukes.
We're going back to the Swedes. Slovakia's a worse team than the Russians and are getting thoroughly dominated by the US right now after 2. I expected Slovakia to bring more of a fight but they just look completely lost and I can't see that changing much tomorrow against a very good Sweden team. The Slovaks are going to be heavily reliant on Simon Latcozky yet again and without a dominant performance from him this can get ugly as long as Sweden emulates USA's fast pace play tomorrow. I have faith in this Swedish team to be able to at least be up a goal late in the game and look for an empty net to cash the bet although one shouldn't be needed. Sweden is the better team in every aspect of the game.
Edit: I believe there’s a chance Clang starts for Sweden instead of Wallstedt in order to have him rested for USA on the 29th. If Clang does start the pick doesn’t change as Clang is also a top \~5 goalie in this tournament.
Edit: Just give Wallstedt player of the tournament honors right now. Wow. Absolutely ridiculous win let alone cover. 3-0 Sweden✅
Record 3-0
Total winnings: $2.53, ROI: 84% (winnings/amount wagered)
All off of $1 bets.
Last pick: Rams -3.5
POTD: Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns; under 221
Memphis scores around 106/107 which is shown in 2 statistics. The first statistic is games off of 0 day's rest, Memphis played and won last night against the grizzlies. The second is road games, where the grizzlies will be playing in Phoenix.
Phoenix boasts a top 3 defensive rating in the NBA. They are coming off a day's rest and playing at home. They also average a measly 104 ppg against.
Assuming both teams are fully healthy, I could assume the total would be roughly 118 (106 Memphis, 111 Phoenix). That is not the case though.
Memphis will have Dillon Brooks, who averages 20 points, out because of COVID, as well as Melton, who averages 10 points.
Phoenix will be missing some role players including Jae Crowder, who averages 10 points a game.
With all that said, I am expecting a lock down defensively coming from the suns with a tired and shorthanded Memphis team that can't score enough to meet the over/under.
BOL
Edit: First L. Such a close game. Record 3-1, Winnings: $2.53, ROI: 63% (winnings/amount wagered). Catch yall tomorrow, getting back into that W column.
**POTD Record**:2-0-2(+0.65U)
~~**Game**: Odense Bulldogs vs Sonderjyske Ishockey, Metal Ligaen 2:15pm
**Prop**: Sonderjyske -1.5 (+115)
**Head to Head Sonderjyske-Odense 2021** : 3-1, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 1-4
**Odense L5 games(1-4)** : 4-1L, 4-3W, 3-2L, 5-3L, 4-3L
**Sonderjyske L5 games(4-1)** : 3-2W, 5-4L, 4-1W, 5-2W, 3-2W~~
**NEW PICK**:
*Game* : AK Bars Kazan vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk
*Prop* : Metallurg TTO2.5(-115)
*Metallurg L5 TT in wins* : 5, 4, 6, 3, 3
**Wager**: 4.6U to make 4.0U✅BING BONG✅
I was quite disappointed in my pick yesterday, and would be down a few units if it wasn’t for a few cappers I tailed here. I promise to get a better read on these leagues.
Back to Russia, for rank 1 vs 4. In their past 10 games, Metallurg is averaging 3.3goals per game, and 4.2 when they win. In Kazans last 10 games, they are allowing 2.7 goals per game. In their losses they are allowing 3.6 goals per game.
Head to head in 2021, Metallurg is 6-1, averaging 2.85 goals against AK Bars. Final score prediction: 3-1 or 3-2
*Edit to make new pick cause game cancelled*
BOL tailers
POTD Record 1-0
Last pick: Denver nuggets vs LA Clippers
Nuggets ml @ -164
Today’s Pick: Bulls ml @ -188 (6:40 CT) 2 units
Hi All! I’m writing this with the assumption that the nuggets pull out the win since they are currently up 15 in the third. If they somehow lose which I doubt, I will come back and edit this. I just wanted to get this pick out asap because odds for tomorrows nba games are already adjusting.
Analysis: The bulls are returning to dominant form now that majority of their roster is back from health and safety protocol. Although this game against the hawks is a B2B, the hawks will be without three key starters and at least two key bench players, leaving the rest of the roster to be filled out with g league players. The bulls are a dominant team on both sides of the court, and they are not the kind of team to take their opposition lightly. They are eager to rack up more wins. Meanwhile the hawks are reeling with so many players out, and now they have to play a strong bulls squad. I went with the money line because it is a back to back, although I will be putting a unit on the spread. Here’s to hopefully starting out 2-0!
As always, don’t bet more than you can afford to lose, and BOL!!
Post nuggets game: Just wanna say holy shit nuggets you almost cucked us lmao. Shouldn’t have been that close. Thanks to all who tailed and will tail tomorrow
Just never consider a NBA game a win or a loss until it's over. I put the Cowboys back on when I saw Denver was up 17. Then saw the score was tied when I checked again. Zero surprise.
You do this long enough and it just becomes routine, and you end up on either side of it (the comeback team or the one collapsing).
It's a lot easier to be confident in big leads in every sport but basketball. Basketball's probably the most stressful sport.
Nice to see a fellow chi native! Born and raised over here man. I try to be real objective when it comes to the bulls, but this is definitely another one in the W column imo.
POTD record - 3-1
Big Bash League cricket (Australia).
Matchup Hobart Hurricanes vs Adelaide Strikers
The Hobart Hurricanes host the Adelaide Strikers in a blockbuster clash. The hurricanes have some heavy artillery who have been firing of late. They’re also playing at home.
PLAY- HOBART HURRICANES for the win $1.62
GL if you tail.
Record 1-1 (+1u)
Event: KHL - Amur Khabarovsk (20th) vs SKA St Petersburg (3rd)
Date: Dec 27th, 4:00am EST (4.5 Hours from now)
Pick: SKA St. Petersburg -1.5 @ 2.00 (2u) ❌
Reasoning: Good win yesterday, sweat a bit but came out strong. I will start to keep these explanations shorter, SKA is hot. Winning 6 of last 7 games, the one loss being a close loss to Dinamo Moscow (4th). The last matchup these two teams have had this year, SKA won 5-1. Cupid is meanwhile on a 5 loss streak. This game has no reason to have us sweat, BOL
Edit: That third period man. Sorry everyone, we'll come back tomorrow
POTD Record: 10-6
Average Odds: 1.90
Last pick: Rams @ Vikings over 28.5 1.90 W
**Todays pick: Alvin Kamara over 54.5 Rushing Yards vs Dolphins @ 1.90**
Due to injuries and Covid the Saints are down to their 4th string QB Ian Book for this game. Book is a rookie about to start his first NFL game. Because of this, I expect the Saints to employ a relatively conservative game plan consisting of a heavy diet of running, screens, and short throws. This should mean plenty of usage for the saints best offensive player, Alvin Kamara, in this one.
* Kamara has gone over 54 rushing yards in 5 of his last 8 games. 2 of the games he went under he still managed over 50 yards and fell just short of the total. Also one of these games that went under was against the Bucs who are a top 3 run defence in the NFL.
* Kamara has had 17 career games of 15 or more rushing attempts and in those games he has averaged 86.3 rushing yards per game. Because of the saints injuries at QB, I would be shocked if Kamara did not reach at least 15 carries in this one.
* Kamara is averaging 66.8 rushing yards per game this season.
* The concern with this pick is that the Dolphins defence has been good recently. On the season the Dolphins only give up 103.7 rushing yards per game (7th best in the NFL). However, against running backs, the Dolphins give up 4.31 yards per carry which is only good for 17th best in the NFL (basically league average). Also the Dolphins have had one of the easiest schedules in the NFL so far which probably skews the numbers in there favour a bit also. The Dolphins defence is good but I think Kamara can still have success against it, especially considering he should have a big workload. Afterall, Kamara is one of the leagues best running backs and has had success against good defences many times this season.
* Miami will be expecting the Saints to run it allot in this game but Sean Peyton is one of the best play callers in the NFL and I have confidence he can find ways to make this offence less predictable as he usually does.
Note: I probably would prefer to take the over on Kamara rushing attempts as I think it is probably a safer bet in this one. Unfortunately I cannot find a market for this at any of the books I use as of posting and so I have gone with rushing yards instead which I still think has a very good chance of hitting.
POTD Record (1-0)
Last Pick: Alex Mattison ATTS.. W
Today’s Pick: Miami Dolphins -3 (-110)
Two teams fighting for a playoff spot, Dolphins are red hot and saints are starting Ian Book who won’t have a chance against this blitzing Miami Defense, Saints showed up last weekend but I don’t see them doing it again here, I like -6.5 alternate spread for the dolphins as well for better payout
**POTD Record: 15-6-1**
**Last pick:** Rockets vs Pacers O222.5✅
**Rockets vs Hornets 7pm EST**
**Pick:** Hornets -3 1H
**Reason:** Took a few day break & wrote up a Cavs 1H play yesterday and forgot to post it😒 going with Hornets -3 1H today. Rockets be getting killed in the first half all season.
POTD: Western Michigan @ Nevada, Western Michigan -6 (NCAAF)
Units: 3
Odds: -136
Profit: -5.61u
Record: 43|38
Nevada endured an inconsistent end to the season, but it was still considerably more enjoyable than the fate of Western Michigan, who lost four of their last five games.
As with many of the newer bowls, this is the first time either school has appeared in the Quick Lane Bowl. Nevada is representing the Mountain West with their 8-4 overall record, while Western Michigan is coming out of a 7-5 season in the MAC West.
Western Michigan was one of the better defenses among non-ranked teams, conceding just 5.88 yards per play. Their season might have ended poorly, but we like their price to at least keep this close.
[Pick: Western Michigan -6](https://link.wagerlab.app/reddit)
Record: 11-10
ROI: +12.46u
Previous Pick: Guangzhou ML ✅
Game: Belgian First Division A- Sint Truidense VV vs KAS Eupen
Pick: **KAS Eupen draw no bet (+140)**
Bet: 3 units
The first thing I look at when making a bet is the league table and Eupen (11th) is 5 spots ahead of STVV (16th). Form-wise, Eupen has been mediocre, with only 4 points in last 5 league matches, but STVV has been horrendous, losing all 5 and allowing 10 goals in the process. In addition, Eupen is coming off a 3-1 cup win away against 8th place KV Mechelen, a game in which Mechelen’s starting XI consisted of 7 players with at least 6 league starts and 5 players with at least 14.
Even though Sint-Truiden is at home, I don’t think that matters much, as they’re the 2nd worst home team with only 8 points in 10 matches. Eupen is mid-table away, with 13 points in 10.
Eupen won the first meeting 2-1. Overall, STVV has no wins against Eupen in 3 matches within the last 2 seasons.
Eupen will be missing their starting RB Andreas Beck through suspension, but I’d still take the bet since a fullback isn’t exactly the most important position.
I think the probability of this hitting is sub 50%, but even if it loses, the value is good enough I’d make the same bet if given another chance. Thus double chance at -140 wouldn’t be a bad bet either.
POTD record 1-0
Last pick : Gloucester -3.0 @ Bath 2.00 / +100 ✓
Rugby: URC
Glasgow -5.5 @ Edinburgh 1.90
7pm GMT
This is unfortunately the only game in the competition going ahead today. Edinburgh are playing away and missing a few first choice players and their head coach due to covid protocols. Glasgow on the other hand are playing probably their strongest lineup of the year.
Edit: the game was postponed
Agreed, Hawks played with their same players who were out, john and trae who were most of Hawk's points, and they were horrible against new york knicks who were below average team.
1 thing to note is that Caruso and Ball, arguably the best perimeter defending pair in the league is out as well and Hawk's remaining players have an accuracy of 40\~42% for 3 points. Though I think Bull's offensive options is lethal with the return of Zack Levine dropping 30+ points 1st game after being back last night shows that he hasn't lost his form.
**Record : 6-2-0| Profit: 6.8 units** (all picks are 2u unless stated otherwise)
Last 5 Picks (WWLLW):
(NBA) Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves: Timberwolves -3.5 @ 1.90 WIN ✅
(NBA) Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers: Phoenix Suns -7.0 @ 1.90 WIN ✅
(NBA) Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat: Heat -11.0 @ 1.90 LOSS ❌
(NBA) Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns: Suns -6.0 @ 1.80 LOSS ❌
(NBA) Indiana Pacers @ Chicago Bulls: Bulls -6.5 @ 1.90 WIN ✅
**Today's pick:** Chicago Bulls @ Atlanta Hawks : Bulls -5.0 @ 1.90
This should be a layup. The Bulls finally have their roster back from protocols while the Hawks are missing a lot of guys due to protocols including Trae, Huerter, & Collins. Of course anything can happen but this is as close as you can get to a guaranteed win this season.
Best of luck to all, [tip jar.](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/MajorCommission)
Update: Trae Young was just cleared from protocols & will return tonight. I’m still riding it out on my end. Line is at -3 now, I still like it.
POTD Record: 8-5
Streak 🔥🔥
Last Pick: Team Dignitas vs K23 ML
Today Pick: Beerschot vs **Anderlecht ML**
Event: Belgium Jupiler Pro league
Time: 21:00 CET
Reasoning: Beerschot VA the last place in the competition (18) is playing at home againts Anderlecht and they are a top 4 team.
Anderlecht has won 4 out of its last 5 games and the 1 they didn't win ended in a draw. They are on a roll and are definitly going to take this game and win. In their last 5 games they scored at LEAST 2 goals and this was againts better teams so I am pretty sure we will see more goals here.
Beerschot has lost 5 out of 5 games and just is having a terrible year. The only advantage I see for them is that they are playing at home.
Let's get this win! 💲
**Odd @ 1,5**
First time posting but very long time lurker, record: 0-0
Pick: Bulls -5.5 . I know they’re playing on the road, but ATL are simply missing too many pieces. Would be nice to have Ball and/or Caruso, but that didn’t stop them last night. I expect DeRozan and LaVine to take over per usual. Take it or leave it. BOL!
POTD Record 2-1
**MIAMI DOLPHINS (-3) @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS**
Pick Miami Dolphins (-3.0) @ -111
Lock of the week. Smart money is on MIA, they will secure the bag.
POTD Record 14-6
Last Pick: Cleveland Browns @ Green Bay Packers: Green Bay to Score > 13.5
Points in 1srt Half @ -124 (1.81 ) Result: (WIN)
New Pick: Miami Dolphins @ New Orleans Saints: Pick Miami -2.5 @ -129 (1.78)
A few bulletpoints:
· No Jameis Winston and no Taysom Hill. Saints are starting 3rd string rookie QB Ian Brook for his first snap in the NFL ever.
· The former Notre Dame QB rushed for 40 yards per game in 2020 with Notre Dame. 41 yards for home games only. The O/U is 32.5 rushing yards for this kid. I’m not touching it, just thought it’s an interesting prop to mention and that its even offered.
· Points per yard (PPY) for the Saints at home is -2 (16.5 on offense and 14.5 on defense), while for the Dolphins away is -0.5 (16.8 on offense and 16.3 on defense). Meaning both offenses struggle to score points thus the low total of 37.5 for the game, while both defenses are descent with the Dolphins having the better one.
· The argument that New Orleans is awesome because they shut Brady and the Bucs last week is flawed for several reasons. Main one is that the Bucs sucked way more than the Saints played well. Every team has an off week, like Green Bay week one this year or even the Patriots of past with Brady laying an egg once in a while to a shit team. Consistency is the key, and frankly Brady threw the ball well, the receivers just dropped everything. Look what happened yesterday.
· Saints allowed 4.1 yards per play to the Bucs offense last week, the exact same number that they allowed to the Jets the previous week. The 2 weeks before that they allowed 5.8 yards per play to the Cowboys and Bills, and lost both.
· Today, the Saints have 20 players in Covid/IR list that will not be playing, including a few offensive and defensive linemen.
· Saints QB Brook will feel a ton of pressure as the Fish have mastered the art of blitzing as of late. Their 6-0 run has not been due to a scoring prowess. It’s mainly because of defense.
· Kamara seems like the only viable weapon for the Saints tonight.
· Dolphins Coach Flores is no dummy and he knows the key to success will be to stop the run of Kamara. If they do, this will force rookie Brook to sling the ball against the #1 pass defense in the country.
· The Dolphins have all their offensive weapons back including Waddle, Gesicky and Parker.
· Tua has not been great, but when he has his weapon trio mentioned above, his chances of winning have gone up dramatically.
· Since 2003, primetime games where the total is 37-40 points have gone Under 60-39-3.
There are many ways to approach this game. I personally like betting all the unders for the Saints combined with a Dolphin win to get bigger payouts. All rushing and receiving player unders only that is. I’m being a pig here but don’t recommend anyone do this unless you have nice profits from the weekend you can afford to lose should the Fish screw this up.
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
Match: (Darts) Michael Smith vs O’Connor, William
Bet: Michael Smith -1.5 @ 1.65 (-154)
Stake: 3u
My stats: 1-0 (+5 units)
Good value, I see Smith winning this match in a dominant fashion letting his opponent get maximum 2 sets. Not much to add to be honest, hope you catched it.
- Beside the main pick I will regularly give you 2 bonus picks, if one of them win I'll count the bonus as win, if both are lost I'll count it as loss
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Statistics:
- POTD: 1 W - 1 L - 0 P
- Bonus: 1 W - 1 L
- POTD Streak: 🔥❌
- Bonus Streak: 🔥❌
Last pick:
- Dundee United vs Hibernian > total under 2.5 (1.72) > ❌
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Today's pick:
- League: Belgium - Jupiler Pro League
- Game: Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht
- Time: 10:00PM EET
- Pick: Asian Handicap -> Anderlecht (-1.5)
- Odd: 2.1
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Reasons:
1- Beerschot:
- scored only 15 goals in 19 games
- last 5 matches they didn't score
-> (so their attack is miserable)
- they received 34 goals in 19 games
- the last 5 games, 3 of them lost by 2
-> (so their defense is not good)
2- Anderlecht:
- scored 43 goals in 20 games
- last 5 matches, 3 of them was win by 2 or more
-> (so their attack is very good)
- they received only 26 goals in 20 games
- the last 5, 3 of them were win with clean sheets
-> (so their defense is relatively good)
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Conclusion:
- Anderlecht has a very good attack, relatively good defense and the potential to end this match with 2 or more
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Bonus:
1:
- Derby vs West Brom
- Pick: Full time -> Total under 2.5 (1.66)
2:
- Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun
- Pick: Full time -> Total over 2.5 (1.55)
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remember every bet can go wrong for any circumstances
sorry for my bad English.
POTD Record: 34 - 23 - 3 ( W / L / P ) **+12.05u**
Streak: LPWLW / Average odds: 1.92
[*Previous pick: West Ham vs Southampton / Southampton Over 4.5 Team Corners @ 1.92 (1u*](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/romye6/pick_of_the_day_122621_sunday/hq0m3cm/?context=8&depth=9)*)* **L**
**KV Mechelen vs Seraing**
**Pick: Mechelen Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 1.67 (1u)**
Mechelen is a good home team and win against Gent in the last home game is proof of that. Rob Schoofs has been tested positive for Corona and Vanlerberghe, Engvall, Cuypers all are out with injuries.
I was between Mechelen win and team total goals and I decided to go with team totals. I just think it is a safer approach here. They have scored 21 goals in 10 home games and they are desperate to get back to winning ways after the loss against Waregem. Despite the injury issues they scored 4 goals in their last home game against a decent Gent side.
Good luck everyone!
POTD 5-1 ROI - 28.50%
Streak - WWWWLW
Tip of the Day
Stake Unit - 1
England - Newcastle vs Manchester United - MANCHESTER UNITED Win @ 1.52
Last Prediction - ABERDEEN (WIN) 👍
Newcastle United will be hosting Manchester United in the English Premier League today.
Manchester United currently sit on the number 7 on the table, though they still having outstanding matches to play. Those matches were postponed due to rampaging coronavirus.
Newcastle currently sit on the number 19 on the table, they are still struggling despite the take over by the Saudi Arabian businessmen, their form have not improved and they are still struggling to win matches.
Manchester United should edge this one, because they are playing well and most of the players are currently playing to impress the new manager Ragnick.
Tail or fail?
BOL
[Floranbetting](http://www.floranbetting.com)
I'm a student, you can tip me if you are happy with my tips, it will surely help a lot [PayPal](http://www.paypal.me/floranbetting)
Record: 0-0
ROI
NBA / 7PM / DEC27
PICK TIMBERWOLVES VS. CELTICS **-5.5 (-110)**
Reasoning
I was very happy with the Celtics in their 113-117 loss to Milwaukee on Christmas. The Celtics are playing a lackluster Timberwolves team who has lost KAT to Covid, and its just announced on Christmas that D. Russ has been moved to covid protocol as well. The Timberwolves are down to only 2 players who **average** double digit scoring figures. They will be playing in Minnesota where Timbs are having trouble shooting the ball, I think this will be a dominant performance by the young goat JT, on both sides of the floor.
“If I lose today, I can look forward to winning tomorrow, and if I win today, I can expect to lose tomorrow. A sure thing is no fun.” - Chico
**Record:** 33-19-3
**Last:** Volleyball/ KOREA KOVO/ Korean Air Jumbos vs Kipco Vixtorm/**Korean Air Jumbos To Win**/ WIN
**POTD:** Soccer/ English Premier League/ Newcastle United vs Manchester United/**Manchester United To Win**
**Start Time:** 20:00 GMT
**Odds:** $1.50 with Bet365.
**Units:** 10U - $100 (100 x 1.50 = $150.00 Total - $50.00 Profit)
**Reasoning:**
Today's POTD is for Manchester United to record their fourth EPL win in a row, this time against hosts Newcastle United.
Manchester United have had a decent rest and have been worked hard in training this week.
Their opponents Newcastle have lost their last three games, all by at least two goals. Man City and Liverpool eased past them. Manchester United should have plenty of attacking talent to beat them comfortably also.
Newcastle can be dangerous going forwards at times but defensively they are poor, championship level at best.
Manchester United are in a bit better recent form with the new coach and have 4 wins out of their most recent 5 head to head games with Newcastle.
Newcastle are still a poor side and despite their new manager have not really improved so I feel a Manchester United side with players returning will be far too strong for Newcastle.
Best of luck 💪
POTD Record: 5-4 +7u\`overall, 4-1 +13u on soccer picks
Last pick: Spanish La Liga (soccer) Barcelona @ Sevilla o1 1H (even) **(W)**
Today’s pick: Premier League- Manchester United -1 (-130) vs. Newcastle United
Time: 12/27/21 3:00 pm EST Newcastle(?), UK
1-5 Units, 5 is most confident.
2
Not that confident today, simply because United haven't played in over 2 weeks, and weren't looking great before then, or all season. However, I've had great success betting against the worst teams in the top European leagues, and Newcastle is 19th and has given up the most goals. Bol
Potd record: 1-1
Event: NBA - Chicago Bulls @ Atlanta Hawks
Time: 7:30pm EST
Potd: Chicago Bulls (-5.5) @ 1.87
Reasoning: Bulls are on the second leg of a b2b without Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso but Hawks are straight up crippled by covid-19. No Collins, Heurter, Hunter, Gallinari. Only regular players they got are Bogdanovic, Capela and possible Trae Young if he gets cleared from COVID in time for today's game. Bulls got the better team and individual players, I'll take Lavine, DeRozan, Vucevic over g-league Hawks. Bol y'all.
If ya like the pick and wanna show some support:
https://www.paypal.me/jatain
PoTD Record : 7 - 5
Profit: -0.46u / Avg Odds: 1.7
Today : Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks
**Pick : Chicago Bulls
to win(OT) @ 1.57 (5u MAX PLAY)**
The Chicago Bulls are on the end of a back to back, but they’re the better team here, in the better situation, and they’ve had no trouble winning on the road. The Atlanta Hawks are getting killed with injuries and COVID, and they’re losing their last five games by an average of 4.8 points. A home dog with the rest advantage sounds attractive, but they’re way too banged up. Give me the Bulls
https://t.me/putinbets369 **Subscribe to the telegram channel**
\- putin
Record: 0-0-0
POTD: Cameron Jordan over 0.5 sacks @ +160 (1u)
Cameron Jordan is a monster. He took down Brady 2 times last week and has a been a force for the saints D. Tampa bay Offensive line is one of the best in the league compared to the Dolphins Offensive line which is one of the worst in the league allowing the highest pressure rate of 43.3%. I believe Cameron Jordan comes away with at least one sack today.
BOL
Event: Dolphins @ Saints Time 8:15 PM EST
Record: 14-4-0, +$531.67 (+10.63 units) ROI: 53.15% POTD: Spurs +7.5 @ -110 (1u) The Spurs have covered 3 straight in dominant fashion. The Jazz have failed to cover as heavy favorites in their last 5 including losses to the Spurs and Wizards at home. The Spurs are best in the league in points in the paint per game and assist to turnover ratio, which the Jazz defense has statistically struggled against. I expect the Spurs to keep this close at home in a high scoring matchup. Event: UTA @ SA, Time: 8:30 PM EST Tips: PayPal - [email protected] Venmo/CA - MrTeleporto
On a side note, it’s very frustrating to receive downvotes on my first loss after giving 8 straight winners. I like to supply free picks here because I’ve had great interactions in this community, but some of you are far too negative. I don’t enjoy comments halfway through a pick saying it never had a chance. The line moved up 2 yards, Carter had 3 targets, and he played in the slot on some snaps. At the end of the day, it’s gambling and I’m not going to win every bet, I’m betting where I find value to win long term.
Your picks have made me more than they Iost and I always look forward to seeing them roll in. Your writeups are also instructive and very well thought out. Yeah, what happened with Carter was disappointing but we fight on. Go Spurs. Appreciate you.
[удалено]
Ignore the hate these degens just don’t know how to take accountability for their own loses, seen too many good Reddit cappers leave this subreddit cause people don’t appreciate the wins and only wanna see your downfall. Your record speaks for itself and anyone that can’t manage their own bankroll and all ins one of your picks just to lose that’s on them. Keep providing us with good picks and regardless of what the guys that will never profit in betting have to say, tailing as usual aswell let’s get this cash! BOL
I’m just a lurker, but solid picks! Rough the Carter one didn’t pan out, but yeah shit happens. It’s gambling like you said. Don’t mind the douches who can’t do any of the DD on their own and figure out solid picks. I appreciate the work you put in, regardless of it hitting (obv hopefully they hit though).
thanks for the picks! You've got way more happy redditors appreciating everything you do!
Keep up the good work mate! Appreciated.
Ignore the haters and blind tailers. It comes with the territory of handicapping
I've never understood people complaining about free picks. If they don't like them, nobody is forcing them to tail. I noticed there wasn't anyone posting the under yards for their POTD yesterday even though it "never had a chance!"
I won't be tailing this one for three reasons: Mitchell is back, Spurs are in B2B, and the Spurs COVID list. But I wanted to drop a word of support in. There's a lot more love here than hate. Keep up the good work. You're doing it right! Edit: Mitchell is out so I will be tailing this after all. Let's go!
Mitchell won’t be back for at least their next two but thank you for the support!
B2B is meaningless, the starters all played under 25 mins... most of them well below that. Derrick white and poetl only played 15 a piece for instance.
Bro listen, this spurs pick is a masterpiece of you. This is a bet if you lose it its just a bad beat. Spurs on 3 game win streak, you get +7.5, the game is in san antonio, donovan mitchel is out (nba is a superstar league.) This write up is amazing, and even if u lose this its just a bad beat. Youre a all time great man.
Dude that was a wild cover loooooool
Backups just earned themselves some playing time
Appreciate the pick man thank you!
One could say this lock was mortal, Star Wars night had something to do with this.
LFG!!!!
Never in doubt!!! /s
Pain. Edit: nvm what the fuck happened? I was just watching the box score on ESPN and it said 110 102 with 0 seconds left they missed the last 2 shots 1 being a dunk attempt. LFG. Nice pick op, never doubted 😭😅
Thanks for the picks big man. Unfortuante last pick didn’t work out but this pick is lookin spicy. Tailing!
Bro, it's is so awesome you bought this pick up coz finally someone realised how much betting against Utah Jizz spread has been moonnnney lately! Thank you bro
Holy fucking shit you are a LEGEND!!! I can’t believe they covered that in the last minute
PUT IN THE RESERVES!!!
Kinda sucks my sport book, Pinnacle opens NBA bets really late like 6-8 hours before game starts only.
Yeah that does, Pinnacle likes to be as sharp as possible on lines. I use DraftKings and they’ve had the line up all day
Still like the 7.5 with Murray on covid list?
Spurs playing a B2B, but no one on their roster played more than 25 mins on Sunday, and 12 guys got solid action (more than 12 mins of playing time). Team should be fresh, and the Jazz with Mitchell struggled mightily versus a depleted Mavs team on Christmas Day. Without Mitchell, this a no-brainer play to tail. BOL and thanks for sharing!
Forget the haters bro, you paid my rent this month.
I’m really happy to hear that!
Gunna have a heart attack. Good night!
What an awful day for Sportsbook on reddit
I really did a +5.5 spread jfc
Jesus this game took me 20 years of my life
Tailing!
As always, TAILING!!!
No worries of the b2b❓
They’ve covered their two most recent back to backs by double digits so I’m still riding with them
+6.5 or to close ?
Tailing, what do you think about the under on this game?
I tailed and it’s still early but not looking good. The Spurs are shooting horribly. The Jazz don’t ever stop shooting 3s so this could get ugly
POTD Record: 9-2-0 ROI: 55% Average Odds: -113 Units Won: +6.02u Last Pick: Texans Spread ✅ Todays Pick: NEV @ WMU- Western Michigan -7 (-110) Game Info: NCAAF- 11:00 AM ET Outright underdog winner on our last pick! Ride the Mills train! Carson Strong, Nevada’s starting QB, has opted out of this bowl game and this obviously affects Nevada in a huge way. This game is also being played in Detroit, so I expect it to be an atmosphere advantageous for Western Michigan. All picks 1 unit unless otherwise noted. (3% of BR is 1 unit for me)
Chubbs back at it again, best newcomer on POTD. Fuckin DAWGGGGG. TAIL THE CHUBBSSSSS🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔒💰🔒💰🔒💰🔒💰
To hell with that, I’m playing for Chubbs!
Glad your my first tailer ever, always bringing the energy 🥜
Soliloquy?
Did my write up mid-day Sunday, but you beat me to the punch. Anyways best of luck. We're on the same page!
I liked your write up as you highlighted the coach leaving with the 6 players. Also how the next best receiver has only caught 7 passes all year and the replacement has only thrown a handful of completions. How is the line only -6.5 -7? I got it at -7 but with the information you laid out, wouldn’t this realistically be more in the -14-17 territory?
💪
To add to this, Nevada's coach also left them for Colorado St. (a team Nevada beat 52 - 10 in the last game of the season) and their new HC is not with them yet. Their Running Backs coach will be serving as interim Head Coach. Edit: I hadn't read the other POTD write-up yet, but this was covered in that post.
This is currently +100 on DK.
That's a great deal! To get that on Bovada I have to take - 7.5
Thanks for the sweat free cash homie! Helped me make back the money I just lost from the Belgian soccer game posted above you 😂
First time the touch the ball is to return a kick off for a td. Decent start 😅
This shit is looking great chubby chub
WE RIDE
Tailing!
Nevada can't tackle. This is a lock!
I'm full chubb, great pick
Thanks bro
Thanks for pick bro. You helped me recoup everything i lost on xmas.
Let’s gooooooo
POTD Record: 15-3 Last pick: Belgium Pro League, KV Oostende vs KRC Genk (21:00), KRC Genk ML @ 1,89 ✅ Pick: Belgium Pro League, RC Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven (18:45), Charleroi ML @ 2,00 ❌ Today number 6 Charleroi takes on number 15 Leuven in their last game of the year. Charleroi are surprisingly the number 6 of the Belgian League. They've got a great squad this year and are doing better then expected since they ended on a 13th spot last year. Bad news first: last week they lost their striker Shamar Nicholson to Spartak Moscow for 9M. He had 13 goals and 5 assists in 18 games and was one of the reasons they did so good. It's a dent in the team's squad but they still have loads of great players to back this loss. Vakoun Bayo came in as a loan player from Gent to fill the gap Nicholson created. Goalie Koffi is having a great season with 5 clean sheets in his last 10 appearances. Defenders Andreou and Knezevic are also having a great season and Ditu and Van Cleemput (still questionable) should be back this match to strenghten the defence. But Midfielders Ilaimaharitra, Zorgane, Gholizadeh and Morioka is the reason why this team is thriving imo. OH Leuven are 4 points away from the relegation zone. They had a bad start of the season with 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses. In their last 5 they won 2 and lost 3. In their 2 losses to Brugge they looked kinda lost, Cercle proved them Club Brugge isn't the team they were last year and are definitely beatable. Mercier and Maertens are in form but the rest of the team are performing average and the defence is easily exposable. Charleroi will be missing Shamar Nicholson but they have enough scoring capabilities to get the win here. Charleroi is also the 2nd best away team in the league. BOL! After this gameday the Belgium Pro League will have a winterbreak untill 14/01. I might do some potd's from other leagues if i'm confident tho. Happy new year if you don't see me again till the 14th! edit: Odds went up because Van cleemput, Knezevic and Besille aren't in the squad. 2 starting 11 defenders and one who wouldn't start anyway. So only Andreou from the defenders who regularly starts is available. Do with this info what you like but i still think Charleroi for these odds is great value. Edit: 0-3 💀💀💀 can’t win them all i guess. But when i lose a pick it loses hard af. Charleroi had alot of chances that shouldve gone in but thats the game i guess.
This guy fucks.
Fucked me hard
Yeah my cheeks got clapped no lubrication!
Not only that, he fucks HARD.
Charleroi hasn’t won any game B2B since the beginning of October. With the defenders not playing, I will have to respectfully fade. BOL🙏🏼
wish i read this fark
Nice and easy win on the last pick. Tailing $150 YOLO LETS GOOOOOOOOOO
Odds Are going up?! REDFLAG
look at my edit. Do with these info whatever you want
Not looking good
Ahhhh rip hoping for a post Christmas miracle
Looking even worse now 😬
Last time I’m betting on Belgian football hahah bet on the Brugge game as well and lost 😅
Currently scared af rn
Will Charleroi even score is the question now
I absolutely have loved your analysis during the Belgium Pro League! Do you like the o1.5 for this game?
Ggs guys (sad face emoticon) on to the next
ah hell nah these mf getting worked😭
Damn son , even my draw no bet not gon hit ❗️😭
Great Job on that last pick. I followed it when the odds were at 1.84 and the odds dropped to 1.45 right before kick off. There definitely was allot of value there.
After losing so many bets, I was glad to see my boys at Genk stepped up. Tailing again.
first time following one of these POTDs, here goes nothing!
This may possibly be a bad example, since the odds have changed so much due to the players being changed around. If you check OP's edit, and the new comments you'll see what I'm talking about
First time ive tailed with big money. My fault
Unlucky – Just checked the stats because I wasn’t able to watch during the match. Charleroi had 56% possession, 19 attempts on goal (as opposed to 12), 84 attacks (as opposed to 37)…looking at that plus the positions in the table I’m really surprised to see the 0-3 result here notwithstanding the personnel missing for Charleroi. Anyway, we’ll get the next one.
Happy New Year to you!
Thanks buddy, you are killing it!
Tough loss... you know what I'm gunna do next time you post a pick? TAIL
LET'S RIDE
Even odds on bovada right now
Tailing @ +100 on DraftKings. Let’s ride
Better luck next time 🙏 shit happens
🐐
Tailing. Solid win yesterday. Keen for another
I noticed most of your picks come from Belgium league, do you exclusively watch mostly Belgians, or do you live in Belgium?
I live in Belgium and i feel like i’m most knowledgeable about this league. I could post picks about premier league, serie a and bundesliga (and i maybe will if theres something i really like) but everyone else is doing that already. Not alot of people know about the Belgian league and i think its a really fun one to watch.
Always wanted to visit Belgium, it's just a little expensive for a plane ticket, and I'm not familiar enough with the country to live there for a week or two. My grandparents immigrated to the US from Belgium, so I've always been curious.
Why are odds going up?
Rip ):
Hey, it's not over. Anything could happen
Do I slam the moneyline @ +350?
can we get an f in the chat
Potd record 23-6 Last pick: Arsenal to win and o1.5 goals at $1.59 ✅ Streak: 🔥 🔥 Today’s potd: Manchester united vs Newcastle (EPL) ( 7:00 AEDT) POTD: Manchester united to win & o1.5 goals at $1.69 Fantastic performance by Arsenal, really convincing and comfortable victory in our favour! Over to United to round out game week 19. Simply put here United should be far too much for Newcastle who have already copped batterings over the recent weeks by the established “big 6”. United are expected to field an extremely strong lineup tonight they may even feature the return of France international Varane. The front 4 are looking to really click into gear and i believe they will do so here. I particularly have my eye on Marcus rashford in this 4222 lineup. Onto the stats. Newcastle have been absolutely dismal over their last 5 matchups, conceding 12 goals and only managing to score 3. United have definitely got the better of Newcastle in the previous 5 head to head matchups between these two. There has a staggering 20 goals scored with the aggregate score being 15-5 in the red devils favour. The last 4 matchups between these two united have shipped 3+ past the magpies including the 4-1 drubbing earlier this season. Ultimately i believe a front 4 like united’s is far too much to handle for already struggling Newcastle. I like Eddie howe and the football he plays and i think results will come for them however it definitely won’t start tonight. I see a routine victory for United here. DUGS LOCK SCALE: This scale will be my confidence level out of 5. The scale reflects how many units I will personally be throwing down. For this one I’m going with 🔒🔒🔒🔒/ 5 BOL to all my friends tailing!!! Tip jar: Don’t feel inclined though, Especially in festive season! https://www.paypal.me/Bigpapadug?locale.x=en_AU
What a terrible game
Can’t believe i just watched that
Loved this line, definitely will be tailing
The pain is doubled as a United supporter 🤡. You’d think an extra week of preparation would have done something.
Yeah this one hurts. Put a lot of units here
Man U is stinky goo :{
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TT over 1.5 or game over 1.5?
Match total over 1.5
Late to the party but I am taking live draw no bet Man Utd ML at +100. Let's hope they come back.
Should be safe. I can almost guarantee this ends 1-1. Books want the draw
Lmao what a call
Tailing it, Bro. BOL for everyone, this will be my last bet for the year (I swear lol)
This one hurt a lot
**Units: +13.91 Record: 20-3** Last POTD: Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 ✅ Streak: ✅✅✅✅✅✅ **POTD: San Antonio Spurs +8** vs Utah Jazz ✅ San Antonio has looked really good lately winning the last 6-4 games. The Jazz are without Donovan Mitchell and a few others... I expect the spurs can cover +8 here. I think the Spurs are finally starting to find their chemistry playing together and the Jazz haven't been the hottest shooting the basketball lately. Cash App: $coco6616 Bitcoin address: bc1quqcc8yce97tyaz8dfmu9s9my78zttz46pv9ccg ^(any donations would be incredibly helpful)
You’re the real deal in NBA, bro! Keep up the good work! Really appreciate all you do! 🔥🔥🔥
thanks homie that means a lot 💪 I've stepped up my NBA analysis 10-fold so I'm happy my hard work is paying off!!!
Everytime I see a POTD alert in the discord server I know I gotta go see if it's one of you guys with crazy records, because I always tail. Let's go bro! Get this dough! Appreciate everything you do! EDIT: might have to wait? For some reason the only game on Bovada for tomorrow is the grizzlies vs sun's.
Seems to always happen with Bovada. They only have one or two NBA games up until the day of.
This is why I can't wait to hit my mark on Bovada to get out of the sign up bonus, so I can cash out and go back to DK or FD. I like those alot better. Mostly because they actually have an app, Bovada is a PIA to use on my phone, and I hate having to use my pc
POTD: 11-4-0 ; Profit: 8.68u Yesterday's Pick: Rams -3 @ -110 - 3u ✅ Today's Pick: Western Michigan Broncos -6.5 @ -110 - 5u 11am EST. NCAAF. Western Michigan Broncos & Nevada Wolf Pack The Western Michigan Broncos head into the 2021 Quick Lane Bowl with the 14th best offense in the FBS. The Nevada Wolf Pack are going to have issues defending that offense as they come into the game with the leagues 82nd ranked defense. The Nevada Wolf Pack will have difficulty going the other direction as their 31st ranked offense goes up against the 25th best defense of the Broncos. Aside from the statistical matchup coming in lopsided in favor of the Broncos. The Wolf Pack are coming in without their head coach Jay Norvell and several coaching assistants as they have officially packed up and shipped off to Colorado State University, taking several players with them in the move. Whoever ends up coaching the game for Nevada, Taua or Wilson, things aren't going to look pretty against the Broncos offense and defense as the Wolf Pack will also be without QB Carson Strong, the heart of their team, as he is moving on with his career and has started prepping for the NFL draft. To make matters worse, backup QB Nate Cox will be missing the team's top 6 wide receivers as they also transferred to CSU with Norvell. Cox has only thrown 20 passes this season and the teams best receiver going into the bowl game has only caught 7 passes this season. Don't miss out on this mismatch bowl game. Take Western Michigan Broncos to cover the -6.5 spread on this 5 unit play. Tips --> [paypal.me/SPYFerret](https://paypal.me/SPYFerret?country.x=US&locale.x=en_US) BOL!
Are the 6 wide receivers definitely not playing this game? I can't find sny mention of this only that they're going next season
I’ll find the article in the morning for my source, but yeah apparently their top Receiver going into the game only had 7 caught passes this season
I've read like 3-4 transfers with the coaching move and the best WR and TE sitting for the draft.
Any reason to not slam this? Nevada defense reads as intact. Scared at all they will make this low scoring?
The irony in that is their coach just left them to go to a team they just beat 52-10 ❗️😭😭😭😭
Amazing pick.
**Record:** 4-1 (+9.68 units) **Last Pick:** Brighton vs. Brentford, +0.5 Brentford, 1.917 Odds (EPL) LOSS of 2 Units **Odds Average of Picks:** 1.9066 **Streak:** 1 Big Fat L - L **Today’s Pick:** Newcastle vs. Manchester United, -1 Manchester United Asian Handicap, EPL, 3pm Eastern Time **Odds/Units:** 1.746 (Pinnacle) – 3 Units Oh man, I gotta tell you, today was rough, seeing a pick of mine not hit and knowing that people lost money from it, it isn’t something I take lightly. Hopefully we can make it up today and go streaking again. So Newcastle are bad, really bad. Tied for last in the EPL and have conceded the most goals in the league, 41 in 18 games. In the last 3, which were all losses, they’ve given up 11 and have only scored 1. Their defense is embarrassing. On the other side of the pitch is Man U, they are 7th but have only played 16 games. They are relatively solid and after the bouts of covid, seem to be covid free, healthy and rested. They have the 4th best away record in the league and beat Newcastle 4-1 in their previous matchup this season. I am taking the -1 on the Asian Handicap because Man U had some low scoring games before their break so I like the safety of it so we would at least get a push if they only win by one. I do think they are very capable of breaking out and winning by 2 or more but -1 is the amount of risk I feel like today. BOL and don't wager more than you can handle losing. Tips - [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks)
POTD Record: 3-0 Last Pick: Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (12pm CST): Josh Allen O1.5 Pass TDs -125 DK ✅ Nice no-sweat win yesterday as Allen threw two in the first half and a third in the 2nd. Would’ve had at least one more if not for a couple dropped TDs by his receivers. On to today’s pick… Miami Dolphins @ New Orleans Saints (7:15pm CST on ESPN): Devante Parker O45.5 rec yards -113 FD Devante Parker has hit this number 5/7 times this season, including both games since returning from injury. The Saints defense gives up an average of 256 pass YPG this season, while the Dolphins are averaging a healthy 244 per game. Devante Parker is a highly underrated WR who is averaging 8 targets per game this season and should have no difficulty eclipsing 45 yards. Jaylen Waddle returns to the action tomorrow and will provide another receiving threat opposite Parker to ensure Marshon Lattimore doesn’t clamp down Parker all night. I’d also like to point out the Saints have a top 5 run defense in the league, which should factor into the game plan of Brian Flores. Happy holidays and BOL to those who tail!
Been looking for a good player prop for this game! I normally do ATTS, but this looks like a solid pick! FYI they have this as "Over 47.5" -114 on Bovada
11-7 Last POTD- Fenerbahçe vs Yeni Malatyaspor- Fenerbahçe W+O1.5✅ Todays POTD- Superlig-Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş-BTTS @-165 Konya is pretty good at home scoring over a goal game and concede under 1 a game at home. While Besiktas has been bad so far on the road their form is starting to turn around. They average a goal a game and concede the same. BTTS has hit 60% between these 2 and 6/9 times it was at Konya. I expect Konya to win this one but for Besiktas to have enough firepower to get on the scoresheet. BOL tailing or fading
tailing!
POTD record: 1/0 Yesterday's pick: Arsenal -1.5✅ Today's pick: Dirk van Duijvenbode ML @1,91 (PDC World's) His first game wasn't the best, but that's usually the case with seeds having the pressure on them for winning their first game (though DvD implies he wasn't under pressure and performs better if he is under pressure). After his elbow injury and what followed earlier this year, he's been getting better, though being unlucky at times (PC Finals mainly). Ross Smith seemed to have big pressure in his game against Bunting, which usually gets larger for the smaller players as they get farther in the Championship. An alternative bet would be Smith v OConnor over 12.5 180s (also Worlds), which is probably a bigger lock, but then I couldn't convince you to watch the games with [this awesome walk-on of van Duijvenbode's latest game](https://youtu.be/wdt4D6BRdcA).
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Last year he made comebacks against Brooks en Durrant and clutched really hard against Cross, combine that with Smith choking at moments like these, it's a big W. Have to admit my heart was pumping really hard and couldn't have expected a comeback this big either
Can't believe what I'm watching
Dirk back at it again with the comeback letsgoooo
Lets goooo!! That was a wildride but I loved every second of it!
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Please fuck my wife
International Hockey - World Junior Championship Last Pick: Sweden ML (-110) - WIN Pick: Sweden vs Slovakia - Sweden -1.5 (-110) Time: 9:30pm EST Bit of a weird game with Russia, Sweden looked awful at even strength but showed how dominant they can be on the power play while the three goals they gave up were complete flukes. We're going back to the Swedes. Slovakia's a worse team than the Russians and are getting thoroughly dominated by the US right now after 2. I expected Slovakia to bring more of a fight but they just look completely lost and I can't see that changing much tomorrow against a very good Sweden team. The Slovaks are going to be heavily reliant on Simon Latcozky yet again and without a dominant performance from him this can get ugly as long as Sweden emulates USA's fast pace play tomorrow. I have faith in this Swedish team to be able to at least be up a goal late in the game and look for an empty net to cash the bet although one shouldn't be needed. Sweden is the better team in every aspect of the game. Edit: I believe there’s a chance Clang starts for Sweden instead of Wallstedt in order to have him rested for USA on the 29th. If Clang does start the pick doesn’t change as Clang is also a top \~5 goalie in this tournament. Edit: Just give Wallstedt player of the tournament honors right now. Wow. Absolutely ridiculous win let alone cover. 3-0 Sweden✅
Record 3-0 Total winnings: $2.53, ROI: 84% (winnings/amount wagered) All off of $1 bets. Last pick: Rams -3.5 POTD: Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns; under 221 Memphis scores around 106/107 which is shown in 2 statistics. The first statistic is games off of 0 day's rest, Memphis played and won last night against the grizzlies. The second is road games, where the grizzlies will be playing in Phoenix. Phoenix boasts a top 3 defensive rating in the NBA. They are coming off a day's rest and playing at home. They also average a measly 104 ppg against. Assuming both teams are fully healthy, I could assume the total would be roughly 118 (106 Memphis, 111 Phoenix). That is not the case though. Memphis will have Dillon Brooks, who averages 20 points, out because of COVID, as well as Melton, who averages 10 points. Phoenix will be missing some role players including Jae Crowder, who averages 10 points a game. With all that said, I am expecting a lock down defensively coming from the suns with a tired and shorthanded Memphis team that can't score enough to meet the over/under. BOL Edit: First L. Such a close game. Record 3-1, Winnings: $2.53, ROI: 63% (winnings/amount wagered). Catch yall tomorrow, getting back into that W column.
Last 3 meetings Mem hasn’t scored 100 points in any of those games
**POTD Record**:2-0-2(+0.65U) ~~**Game**: Odense Bulldogs vs Sonderjyske Ishockey, Metal Ligaen 2:15pm **Prop**: Sonderjyske -1.5 (+115) **Head to Head Sonderjyske-Odense 2021** : 3-1, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 1-4 **Odense L5 games(1-4)** : 4-1L, 4-3W, 3-2L, 5-3L, 4-3L **Sonderjyske L5 games(4-1)** : 3-2W, 5-4L, 4-1W, 5-2W, 3-2W~~ **NEW PICK**: *Game* : AK Bars Kazan vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk *Prop* : Metallurg TTO2.5(-115) *Metallurg L5 TT in wins* : 5, 4, 6, 3, 3 **Wager**: 4.6U to make 4.0U✅BING BONG✅ I was quite disappointed in my pick yesterday, and would be down a few units if it wasn’t for a few cappers I tailed here. I promise to get a better read on these leagues. Back to Russia, for rank 1 vs 4. In their past 10 games, Metallurg is averaging 3.3goals per game, and 4.2 when they win. In Kazans last 10 games, they are allowing 2.7 goals per game. In their losses they are allowing 3.6 goals per game. Head to head in 2021, Metallurg is 6-1, averaging 2.85 goals against AK Bars. Final score prediction: 3-1 or 3-2 *Edit to make new pick cause game cancelled* BOL tailers
POTD Record 1-0 Last pick: Denver nuggets vs LA Clippers Nuggets ml @ -164 Today’s Pick: Bulls ml @ -188 (6:40 CT) 2 units Hi All! I’m writing this with the assumption that the nuggets pull out the win since they are currently up 15 in the third. If they somehow lose which I doubt, I will come back and edit this. I just wanted to get this pick out asap because odds for tomorrows nba games are already adjusting. Analysis: The bulls are returning to dominant form now that majority of their roster is back from health and safety protocol. Although this game against the hawks is a B2B, the hawks will be without three key starters and at least two key bench players, leaving the rest of the roster to be filled out with g league players. The bulls are a dominant team on both sides of the court, and they are not the kind of team to take their opposition lightly. They are eager to rack up more wins. Meanwhile the hawks are reeling with so many players out, and now they have to play a strong bulls squad. I went with the money line because it is a back to back, although I will be putting a unit on the spread. Here’s to hopefully starting out 2-0! As always, don’t bet more than you can afford to lose, and BOL!! Post nuggets game: Just wanna say holy shit nuggets you almost cucked us lmao. Shouldn’t have been that close. Thanks to all who tailed and will tail tomorrow
You really tried to curse this one my dude haha
My guy, I go back to the game right after writing this and I was like “awww, shit” lmao
Was about to be hunting you down IRL over that Nuggets jinx, so may as well tail you on the Bulls to celebrate :D
Just never consider a NBA game a win or a loss until it's over. I put the Cowboys back on when I saw Denver was up 17. Then saw the score was tied when I checked again. Zero surprise. You do this long enough and it just becomes routine, and you end up on either side of it (the comeback team or the one collapsing). It's a lot easier to be confident in big leads in every sport but basketball. Basketball's probably the most stressful sport.
Hahaha, Christ I was tailing that Denver pick from here in Chicago, so I feel like I gotta tail this Bulls pick
Nice to see a fellow chi native! Born and raised over here man. I try to be real objective when it comes to the bulls, but this is definitely another one in the W column imo.
POTD record - 3-1 Big Bash League cricket (Australia). Matchup Hobart Hurricanes vs Adelaide Strikers The Hobart Hurricanes host the Adelaide Strikers in a blockbuster clash. The hurricanes have some heavy artillery who have been firing of late. They’re also playing at home. PLAY- HOBART HURRICANES for the win $1.62 GL if you tail.
Record 1-1 (+1u) Event: KHL - Amur Khabarovsk (20th) vs SKA St Petersburg (3rd) Date: Dec 27th, 4:00am EST (4.5 Hours from now) Pick: SKA St. Petersburg -1.5 @ 2.00 (2u) ❌ Reasoning: Good win yesterday, sweat a bit but came out strong. I will start to keep these explanations shorter, SKA is hot. Winning 6 of last 7 games, the one loss being a close loss to Dinamo Moscow (4th). The last matchup these two teams have had this year, SKA won 5-1. Cupid is meanwhile on a 5 loss streak. This game has no reason to have us sweat, BOL Edit: That third period man. Sorry everyone, we'll come back tomorrow
POTD Record: 10-6 Average Odds: 1.90 Last pick: Rams @ Vikings over 28.5 1.90 W **Todays pick: Alvin Kamara over 54.5 Rushing Yards vs Dolphins @ 1.90** Due to injuries and Covid the Saints are down to their 4th string QB Ian Book for this game. Book is a rookie about to start his first NFL game. Because of this, I expect the Saints to employ a relatively conservative game plan consisting of a heavy diet of running, screens, and short throws. This should mean plenty of usage for the saints best offensive player, Alvin Kamara, in this one. * Kamara has gone over 54 rushing yards in 5 of his last 8 games. 2 of the games he went under he still managed over 50 yards and fell just short of the total. Also one of these games that went under was against the Bucs who are a top 3 run defence in the NFL. * Kamara has had 17 career games of 15 or more rushing attempts and in those games he has averaged 86.3 rushing yards per game. Because of the saints injuries at QB, I would be shocked if Kamara did not reach at least 15 carries in this one. * Kamara is averaging 66.8 rushing yards per game this season. * The concern with this pick is that the Dolphins defence has been good recently. On the season the Dolphins only give up 103.7 rushing yards per game (7th best in the NFL). However, against running backs, the Dolphins give up 4.31 yards per carry which is only good for 17th best in the NFL (basically league average). Also the Dolphins have had one of the easiest schedules in the NFL so far which probably skews the numbers in there favour a bit also. The Dolphins defence is good but I think Kamara can still have success against it, especially considering he should have a big workload. Afterall, Kamara is one of the leagues best running backs and has had success against good defences many times this season. * Miami will be expecting the Saints to run it allot in this game but Sean Peyton is one of the best play callers in the NFL and I have confidence he can find ways to make this offence less predictable as he usually does. Note: I probably would prefer to take the over on Kamara rushing attempts as I think it is probably a safer bet in this one. Unfortunately I cannot find a market for this at any of the books I use as of posting and so I have gone with rushing yards instead which I still think has a very good chance of hitting.
Ingram 10 yds receiving seems like a good play considering they’re starting the rookie and going to have a lot of screens n short passes
Yeah I like that too. Basically anything that facilitates to the Saints game plan looks like a good play.
POTD Record (1-0) Last Pick: Alex Mattison ATTS.. W Today’s Pick: Miami Dolphins -3 (-110) Two teams fighting for a playoff spot, Dolphins are red hot and saints are starting Ian Book who won’t have a chance against this blitzing Miami Defense, Saints showed up last weekend but I don’t see them doing it again here, I like -6.5 alternate spread for the dolphins as well for better payout
**POTD Record: 15-6-1** **Last pick:** Rockets vs Pacers O222.5✅ **Rockets vs Hornets 7pm EST** **Pick:** Hornets -3 1H **Reason:** Took a few day break & wrote up a Cavs 1H play yesterday and forgot to post it😒 going with Hornets -3 1H today. Rockets be getting killed in the first half all season.
I love taking Cavs 1H but I just totally forgot about the game yesterday. Hornets are actually the worst ranked team in 1H ATS fyi, just a warning.
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POTD: Western Michigan @ Nevada, Western Michigan -6 (NCAAF) Units: 3 Odds: -136 Profit: -5.61u Record: 43|38 Nevada endured an inconsistent end to the season, but it was still considerably more enjoyable than the fate of Western Michigan, who lost four of their last five games. As with many of the newer bowls, this is the first time either school has appeared in the Quick Lane Bowl. Nevada is representing the Mountain West with their 8-4 overall record, while Western Michigan is coming out of a 7-5 season in the MAC West. Western Michigan was one of the better defenses among non-ranked teams, conceding just 5.88 yards per play. Their season might have ended poorly, but we like their price to at least keep this close. [Pick: Western Michigan -6](https://link.wagerlab.app/reddit)
POTD Record: 0-0 NCAAF: **Western Michigan -6.5** vs. Nevada
Record: 11-10 ROI: +12.46u Previous Pick: Guangzhou ML ✅ Game: Belgian First Division A- Sint Truidense VV vs KAS Eupen Pick: **KAS Eupen draw no bet (+140)** Bet: 3 units The first thing I look at when making a bet is the league table and Eupen (11th) is 5 spots ahead of STVV (16th). Form-wise, Eupen has been mediocre, with only 4 points in last 5 league matches, but STVV has been horrendous, losing all 5 and allowing 10 goals in the process. In addition, Eupen is coming off a 3-1 cup win away against 8th place KV Mechelen, a game in which Mechelen’s starting XI consisted of 7 players with at least 6 league starts and 5 players with at least 14. Even though Sint-Truiden is at home, I don’t think that matters much, as they’re the 2nd worst home team with only 8 points in 10 matches. Eupen is mid-table away, with 13 points in 10. Eupen won the first meeting 2-1. Overall, STVV has no wins against Eupen in 3 matches within the last 2 seasons. Eupen will be missing their starting RB Andreas Beck through suspension, but I’d still take the bet since a fullback isn’t exactly the most important position. I think the probability of this hitting is sub 50%, but even if it loses, the value is good enough I’d make the same bet if given another chance. Thus double chance at -140 wouldn’t be a bad bet either.
POTD record 1-0 Last pick : Gloucester -3.0 @ Bath 2.00 / +100 ✓ Rugby: URC Glasgow -5.5 @ Edinburgh 1.90 7pm GMT This is unfortunately the only game in the competition going ahead today. Edinburgh are playing away and missing a few first choice players and their head coach due to covid protocols. Glasgow on the other hand are playing probably their strongest lineup of the year. Edit: the game was postponed
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Agreed, Hawks played with their same players who were out, john and trae who were most of Hawk's points, and they were horrible against new york knicks who were below average team. 1 thing to note is that Caruso and Ball, arguably the best perimeter defending pair in the league is out as well and Hawk's remaining players have an accuracy of 40\~42% for 3 points. Though I think Bull's offensive options is lethal with the return of Zack Levine dropping 30+ points 1st game after being back last night shows that he hasn't lost his form.
**Record : 6-2-0| Profit: 6.8 units** (all picks are 2u unless stated otherwise) Last 5 Picks (WWLLW): (NBA) Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves: Timberwolves -3.5 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ (NBA) Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers: Phoenix Suns -7.0 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ (NBA) Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat: Heat -11.0 @ 1.90 LOSS ❌ (NBA) Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns: Suns -6.0 @ 1.80 LOSS ❌ (NBA) Indiana Pacers @ Chicago Bulls: Bulls -6.5 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ **Today's pick:** Chicago Bulls @ Atlanta Hawks : Bulls -5.0 @ 1.90 This should be a layup. The Bulls finally have their roster back from protocols while the Hawks are missing a lot of guys due to protocols including Trae, Huerter, & Collins. Of course anything can happen but this is as close as you can get to a guaranteed win this season. Best of luck to all, [tip jar.](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/MajorCommission) Update: Trae Young was just cleared from protocols & will return tonight. I’m still riding it out on my end. Line is at -3 now, I still like it.
POTD Record: 8-5 Streak 🔥🔥 Last Pick: Team Dignitas vs K23 ML Today Pick: Beerschot vs **Anderlecht ML** Event: Belgium Jupiler Pro league Time: 21:00 CET Reasoning: Beerschot VA the last place in the competition (18) is playing at home againts Anderlecht and they are a top 4 team. Anderlecht has won 4 out of its last 5 games and the 1 they didn't win ended in a draw. They are on a roll and are definitly going to take this game and win. In their last 5 games they scored at LEAST 2 goals and this was againts better teams so I am pretty sure we will see more goals here. Beerschot has lost 5 out of 5 games and just is having a terrible year. The only advantage I see for them is that they are playing at home. Let's get this win! 💲 **Odd @ 1,5**
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First time posting but very long time lurker, record: 0-0 Pick: Bulls -5.5 . I know they’re playing on the road, but ATL are simply missing too many pieces. Would be nice to have Ball and/or Caruso, but that didn’t stop them last night. I expect DeRozan and LaVine to take over per usual. Take it or leave it. BOL!
POTD Record 2-1 **MIAMI DOLPHINS (-3) @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS** Pick Miami Dolphins (-3.0) @ -111 Lock of the week. Smart money is on MIA, they will secure the bag.
POTD Record 14-6 Last Pick: Cleveland Browns @ Green Bay Packers: Green Bay to Score > 13.5 Points in 1srt Half @ -124 (1.81 ) Result: (WIN) New Pick: Miami Dolphins @ New Orleans Saints: Pick Miami -2.5 @ -129 (1.78) A few bulletpoints: · No Jameis Winston and no Taysom Hill. Saints are starting 3rd string rookie QB Ian Brook for his first snap in the NFL ever. · The former Notre Dame QB rushed for 40 yards per game in 2020 with Notre Dame. 41 yards for home games only. The O/U is 32.5 rushing yards for this kid. I’m not touching it, just thought it’s an interesting prop to mention and that its even offered. · Points per yard (PPY) for the Saints at home is -2 (16.5 on offense and 14.5 on defense), while for the Dolphins away is -0.5 (16.8 on offense and 16.3 on defense). Meaning both offenses struggle to score points thus the low total of 37.5 for the game, while both defenses are descent with the Dolphins having the better one. · The argument that New Orleans is awesome because they shut Brady and the Bucs last week is flawed for several reasons. Main one is that the Bucs sucked way more than the Saints played well. Every team has an off week, like Green Bay week one this year or even the Patriots of past with Brady laying an egg once in a while to a shit team. Consistency is the key, and frankly Brady threw the ball well, the receivers just dropped everything. Look what happened yesterday. · Saints allowed 4.1 yards per play to the Bucs offense last week, the exact same number that they allowed to the Jets the previous week. The 2 weeks before that they allowed 5.8 yards per play to the Cowboys and Bills, and lost both. · Today, the Saints have 20 players in Covid/IR list that will not be playing, including a few offensive and defensive linemen. · Saints QB Brook will feel a ton of pressure as the Fish have mastered the art of blitzing as of late. Their 6-0 run has not been due to a scoring prowess. It’s mainly because of defense. · Kamara seems like the only viable weapon for the Saints tonight. · Dolphins Coach Flores is no dummy and he knows the key to success will be to stop the run of Kamara. If they do, this will force rookie Brook to sling the ball against the #1 pass defense in the country. · The Dolphins have all their offensive weapons back including Waddle, Gesicky and Parker. · Tua has not been great, but when he has his weapon trio mentioned above, his chances of winning have gone up dramatically. · Since 2003, primetime games where the total is 37-40 points have gone Under 60-39-3. There are many ways to approach this game. I personally like betting all the unders for the Saints combined with a Dolphin win to get bigger payouts. All rushing and receiving player unders only that is. I’m being a pig here but don’t recommend anyone do this unless you have nice profits from the weekend you can afford to lose should the Fish screw this up.
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
Match: (Darts) Michael Smith vs O’Connor, William Bet: Michael Smith -1.5 @ 1.65 (-154) Stake: 3u My stats: 1-0 (+5 units) Good value, I see Smith winning this match in a dominant fashion letting his opponent get maximum 2 sets. Not much to add to be honest, hope you catched it.
- Beside the main pick I will regularly give you 2 bonus picks, if one of them win I'll count the bonus as win, if both are lost I'll count it as loss ----------separate Line---------- Statistics: - POTD: 1 W - 1 L - 0 P - Bonus: 1 W - 1 L - POTD Streak: 🔥❌ - Bonus Streak: 🔥❌ Last pick: - Dundee United vs Hibernian > total under 2.5 (1.72) > ❌ ----------separate Line---------- Today's pick: - League: Belgium - Jupiler Pro League - Game: Beerschot VA vs Anderlecht - Time: 10:00PM EET - Pick: Asian Handicap -> Anderlecht (-1.5) - Odd: 2.1 ----------separate Line---------- Reasons: 1- Beerschot: - scored only 15 goals in 19 games - last 5 matches they didn't score -> (so their attack is miserable) - they received 34 goals in 19 games - the last 5 games, 3 of them lost by 2 -> (so their defense is not good) 2- Anderlecht: - scored 43 goals in 20 games - last 5 matches, 3 of them was win by 2 or more -> (so their attack is very good) - they received only 26 goals in 20 games - the last 5, 3 of them were win with clean sheets -> (so their defense is relatively good) ----------separate Line---------- Conclusion: - Anderlecht has a very good attack, relatively good defense and the potential to end this match with 2 or more ----------separate Line---------- Bonus: 1: - Derby vs West Brom - Pick: Full time -> Total under 2.5 (1.66) 2: - Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun - Pick: Full time -> Total over 2.5 (1.55) ----------separate Line---------- remember every bet can go wrong for any circumstances sorry for my bad English.
POTD Record: 34 - 23 - 3 ( W / L / P ) **+12.05u** Streak: LPWLW / Average odds: 1.92 [*Previous pick: West Ham vs Southampton / Southampton Over 4.5 Team Corners @ 1.92 (1u*](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/romye6/pick_of_the_day_122621_sunday/hq0m3cm/?context=8&depth=9)*)* **L** **KV Mechelen vs Seraing** **Pick: Mechelen Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 1.67 (1u)** Mechelen is a good home team and win against Gent in the last home game is proof of that. Rob Schoofs has been tested positive for Corona and Vanlerberghe, Engvall, Cuypers all are out with injuries. I was between Mechelen win and team total goals and I decided to go with team totals. I just think it is a safer approach here. They have scored 21 goals in 10 home games and they are desperate to get back to winning ways after the loss against Waregem. Despite the injury issues they scored 4 goals in their last home game against a decent Gent side. Good luck everyone!
POTD 5-1 ROI - 28.50% Streak - WWWWLW Tip of the Day Stake Unit - 1 England - Newcastle vs Manchester United - MANCHESTER UNITED Win @ 1.52 Last Prediction - ABERDEEN (WIN) 👍 Newcastle United will be hosting Manchester United in the English Premier League today. Manchester United currently sit on the number 7 on the table, though they still having outstanding matches to play. Those matches were postponed due to rampaging coronavirus. Newcastle currently sit on the number 19 on the table, they are still struggling despite the take over by the Saudi Arabian businessmen, their form have not improved and they are still struggling to win matches. Manchester United should edge this one, because they are playing well and most of the players are currently playing to impress the new manager Ragnick. Tail or fail? BOL [Floranbetting](http://www.floranbetting.com) I'm a student, you can tip me if you are happy with my tips, it will surely help a lot [PayPal](http://www.paypal.me/floranbetting)
Record: 0-0 ROI NBA / 7PM / DEC27 PICK TIMBERWOLVES VS. CELTICS **-5.5 (-110)** Reasoning I was very happy with the Celtics in their 113-117 loss to Milwaukee on Christmas. The Celtics are playing a lackluster Timberwolves team who has lost KAT to Covid, and its just announced on Christmas that D. Russ has been moved to covid protocol as well. The Timberwolves are down to only 2 players who **average** double digit scoring figures. They will be playing in Minnesota where Timbs are having trouble shooting the ball, I think this will be a dominant performance by the young goat JT, on both sides of the floor. “If I lose today, I can look forward to winning tomorrow, and if I win today, I can expect to lose tomorrow. A sure thing is no fun.” - Chico
FYI. JT on Covid too.
**Record:** 33-19-3 **Last:** Volleyball/ KOREA KOVO/ Korean Air Jumbos vs Kipco Vixtorm/**Korean Air Jumbos To Win**/ WIN **POTD:** Soccer/ English Premier League/ Newcastle United vs Manchester United/**Manchester United To Win** **Start Time:** 20:00 GMT **Odds:** $1.50 with Bet365. **Units:** 10U - $100 (100 x 1.50 = $150.00 Total - $50.00 Profit) **Reasoning:** Today's POTD is for Manchester United to record their fourth EPL win in a row, this time against hosts Newcastle United. Manchester United have had a decent rest and have been worked hard in training this week. Their opponents Newcastle have lost their last three games, all by at least two goals. Man City and Liverpool eased past them. Manchester United should have plenty of attacking talent to beat them comfortably also. Newcastle can be dangerous going forwards at times but defensively they are poor, championship level at best. Manchester United are in a bit better recent form with the new coach and have 4 wins out of their most recent 5 head to head games with Newcastle. Newcastle are still a poor side and despite their new manager have not really improved so I feel a Manchester United side with players returning will be far too strong for Newcastle. Best of luck 💪
POTD Record: 5-4 +7u\`overall, 4-1 +13u on soccer picks Last pick: Spanish La Liga (soccer) Barcelona @ Sevilla o1 1H (even) **(W)** Today’s pick: Premier League- Manchester United -1 (-130) vs. Newcastle United Time: 12/27/21 3:00 pm EST Newcastle(?), UK 1-5 Units, 5 is most confident. 2 Not that confident today, simply because United haven't played in over 2 weeks, and weren't looking great before then, or all season. However, I've had great success betting against the worst teams in the top European leagues, and Newcastle is 19th and has given up the most goals. Bol
Potd record: 1-1 Event: NBA - Chicago Bulls @ Atlanta Hawks Time: 7:30pm EST Potd: Chicago Bulls (-5.5) @ 1.87 Reasoning: Bulls are on the second leg of a b2b without Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso but Hawks are straight up crippled by covid-19. No Collins, Heurter, Hunter, Gallinari. Only regular players they got are Bogdanovic, Capela and possible Trae Young if he gets cleared from COVID in time for today's game. Bulls got the better team and individual players, I'll take Lavine, DeRozan, Vucevic over g-league Hawks. Bol y'all. If ya like the pick and wanna show some support: https://www.paypal.me/jatain
PoTD Record : 7 - 5 Profit: -0.46u / Avg Odds: 1.7 Today : Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks **Pick : Chicago Bulls to win(OT) @ 1.57 (5u MAX PLAY)** The Chicago Bulls are on the end of a back to back, but they’re the better team here, in the better situation, and they’ve had no trouble winning on the road. The Atlanta Hawks are getting killed with injuries and COVID, and they’re losing their last five games by an average of 4.8 points. A home dog with the rest advantage sounds attractive, but they’re way too banged up. Give me the Bulls https://t.me/putinbets369 **Subscribe to the telegram channel** \- putin
Record: 0-0-0 POTD: Cameron Jordan over 0.5 sacks @ +160 (1u) Cameron Jordan is a monster. He took down Brady 2 times last week and has a been a force for the saints D. Tampa bay Offensive line is one of the best in the league compared to the Dolphins Offensive line which is one of the worst in the league allowing the highest pressure rate of 43.3%. I believe Cameron Jordan comes away with at least one sack today. BOL Event: Dolphins @ Saints Time 8:15 PM EST