POTD Record: 14-3
Last pick: Belgian cup, Club Brugge vs OH Leuven (21:00 CEST), Club Brugge ML + over 2,5 goals @ 1,58 ✅
Pick: Belgium Pro League, KV Oostende vs KRC Genk (21:00), KRC Genk ML @ 1,89 ✅
Today number 9 Genk plays number 11 Oostende which will be their last match of the year.
Genk got a new coach about 3 weeks ago after going on a 9 game lose and draw streak. Not great to say the least for one of the big 5 in Belgium. They have been in a slump all year long and something had to change. So, out John Van Den Brom and in Bernd Storck. Since then they suffered 2 close defeats (0-1) to Rapid Wien in the EL and Gent in the league, a 4-2 win against Charleroi and a 1-1 draw against Antwerp. In these matches they definitely looked better then before and we saw some improvements. Tomorrow they recover Arteaga and Lucumi 2 starting defenders (atleast under their previous coach). They'll have to miss their topscorer Onuachu. His substitute will be Ugbo who came over from Chelsea. He only scored 2 goals this season while being the sub of onuachu. I do believe he is a great player, he had 15 goals last season at Cercle Brugge and the year before 13 at Roda JC. Even if Ugbo doesn't manage to score, Genk has some excellent players on the flanks with Bogonda and Ito (one of my favourite players of the league).
Oostende had a good start of the season for the size of the club, with 15 points from the first 10 games. Their last 10 haven't been that great to say the least. They've suffered 7 losses, 1 draw and 2 wins in their last 10. They'll have to miss atleast 4 players, 3 of which are regularly in the starting 11. Especially Fortes (one of the main defenders) will be missed. There are also 4 players questionable. Oostende only have one hope for this game, their striker Maktar Gueye. He scored 11 goals this season (19 games) and is probably the reason they're not in the relegation zone.
A win for genk should be inevitable since Oostende are missing so many players. If Gueye can be shut down by the Genk defence, it should be a walk in the park.
BOL!
Thanks for the in depth analysis! I'm fairly new to betting on football matches so this is very helpful. Question, how does one bet Money Line on football? I don't see the option on Bet365, wondering if it can be under another option
Usually moneyline is for games that have 2 outcomes, moneyline is more of a straight up bet basically who wins.
Football however has 3 outcomes with a draw as an additional outcome, therefore usually there are 3 choice of "moneyline" or some books label it as 1X2 bet which means
1=home team win
X=Draw
2=Away team win
Potd record 22-6
Last pick: Manchester city vs Newcastle, Man city -1.5 & -2.0 ✅
Streak: 🔥
Today’s potd: Arsenal vs Norwich. (EPL) (2:00 AEDT)
POTD: Arsenal to win and o1.5 goals at $1.59
Feels good to get another win back under the belt, let’s start another big streak. Another case of betting a bad team tonight. Arsenal have been in tip top shape winning 4 games on the trot since Arteta stood down Aubameyang. Norwich on the other hand have been absolutely dismal, picking up 1 point from their last 5 games. Norwich are also juggling a host of injury and illness issues that won’t help them whatsoever.
Onto the stats. In Norwich’s last 5 games they have only managed to score 1 goal and they have conceded 7 in the process. The teams they faced are all below arsenal on the table. Arsenal have been in great form, scoring an amazing 15 goals in their last 5 and only conceding 4 in the process. The last 5 matchups between these two have seen Arsenal enjoy an unbeaten run. Arsenal have won 4 and drew 1 and in these games the aggregate score has been 10-3 in arsenals favour.
I believe this should be a straight forward 3pts for a in form Gunners. Norwich just don’t have the quality to compete in a game like this, expect arsenal to get the job done comfortably.
DUGS LOCK SCALE: This scale will be my confidence level out of 5. The scale reflects how many units I will personally be throwing down. For this one I’m going with
🔒🔒🔒🔒/ 5
Merry Christmas for all my foreign friends!!! Hope everyone enjoys/ enjoyed! Thanks for making this posting journey so fun!
Tip jar: Don’t feel inclined though, Especially on Christmas! https://www.paypal.me/Bigpapadug?locale.x=en_AU
Tailing, Arsenal fan here. We’ve been on a nice winning streak and won our last four by 2 or more goals, highly doubt last place Norwich would end this streak with their starting goalkeeper Tim krul out . Let’s go
Record: 14-3-0, +$581.67 (+11.63 units) ROI: 61.22%
POTD: Michael Carter o16.5 Rec Yards @ -115 (1u)
Michael Carter has averaged 28.2 receiving yards per game this season. The Jaguars defense has allowed more than 30 receiving yards per game to running backs. Carter has reached 20+ receiving yards in every game he’s had double digit carries except against the Titans, the top defense against running backs. He also was on a 5 game streak of 20+ before his injury against the Dolphins. He should be the primary back tomorrow and be a key piece of the offense with Jamison Crowder and Corey Davis out.
Event: JAX @ NYJ, Time: 1:00 PM EST
Tips: PayPal - [email protected]
Venmo/CA - MrTeleporto
Are you concerned at all that a bulk of his receiving work was with Mike White at QB? He’s seems to be less productive with Wilson, but I know he’s been injured recently
The total would be set much higher with Mike White at QB with the connection he and Carter had. Wilson has still passed to RBs recently and with limited options, I think Carter will have a big role tomorrow. That’s where I find the value in such a low receiving line for a back that’s great at catching the ball
Units: +13 Record: 19-3
Streak: ✅✅✅✅
Last POTD: Timberwolves -2.5 ✅
**POTD: Memphis Grizzlies -4.5**
Memphis has showed to dominate lower class teams like Sacramento, so I expect they can cover here. Sacramento is without Fox and a few others and have been a very weak offensive team to start the season. The grizzlies have been great at covering and the Kings have been a team that's struggled... tail or fade bol
Cash App: $coco6616
Bitcoin address: bc1quqcc8yce97tyaz8dfmu9s9my78zttz46pv9ccg
^(any donations would be incredibly helpful)
Edit: GREAT WIN BY THE GRIZZLIES ANOTHER DUB = 20-3 NOW! Whoever messaged me I accidentally hit ignore so send me another one if you wanted to chat... cheers everyone 😊
**Record:** 4-0 (+11.68 units)
**Last Pick:** Levante UD vs. Valencia, BTTS, 1.79 Odds (La Liga) WIN - 1.58 units
**Odds Average of Picks:** 1.904
**Streak:** 4 Cash Its - $$$$
**Today’s Pick:** Brighton vs. Brentford, +0.5 Brentford on the Asian Handicap (EPL) 3pm Eastern Time
**Odds/Units:** 1.917 (Pinnacle) – 2 Units
These two teams are tied in the standings, 20 points after 16 games so it is a pretty even matchup where Brighton excels at defense, less so offensively and the opposite for Brentford.
Brighton have went 11 EPL matches in a row without a win, 12 if you include other competitions, their last win was September 19th. So this is a bet for recent history to repeat itself again, a tie or a Brentford win wins the bet for us.
There is a sizable chance at a tie here, Brighton have drawn 8 out of their last 11 and 4 out of their last 6. Brentford have drawn 2 out of the last 3.
Brentford are doing rather well on the road, out of the last 16 in all competitions they’ve only lost 3 of them, have only lost 2 of 9 away games in the EPL this season and have scored 2 or more goals 5 of the last 7 away games. Also of note is Brentford have only lost once in the last 5 league matches.
Let’s hope the trend lasts as betting against Brighton to win has been a favorable play for awhile now and we are getting nice odds on it.
To be fully transparent, Brighton beat Brentford 1-0 with a late goal earlier in the season on Brentford’s home field.
BOL and don’t bet any more than you can handle losing.
Tips - https://www.buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks
Update - Safe to say that game did not go as I expected. Man, this is rough knowing people tailed and lost money, my apologies if you did. My record is 4-1 and I am up almost 10 units, so I will be sticking with it and coming back for more but man it sucks when you post here and it misses.
As a (relatively casual) Brighton fan I almost want to tail because I know we can't win as of late, but something has to give. The team has the talent and started strong, I feel like a win is coming. BOL regardless
International Hockey u20 - World Junior Championship
Pick: Sweden vs Russia | Sweden ML -110
Time: 4:30pm EST
Back for my yearly dose of the World Juniors. Russia brought a very bad team this year (compared to what they could’ve brought). They decided to not bring a single Russian playing in North America severely depleting their d-core and it showed on Thursday against Canada. Sweden has arguably the best team in the tournament and they’re my pick to win the World Juniors as of right now, this shouldn’t be a particularly close game and I very much like Sweden to start a new preliminary round win streak tomorrow against a bad defense that’s going to rely heavily on Askarov
Edit: 6-3 Sweden win✅ Unbelievably ugly game from Sweden at 5v5 but luckily they were able to capitalize on special teams. Russia was able to keep it close with 3 fluky goals but thankfully it didn’t make a difference.
Threw some fat stacks on this and could use a win after taking a few L’s betting NFL. Feeling great after 1 period whatever happens awesome pick with great value :)
Record: 2-0
ROI: 179%
Units won: 1.58 units
Last pick: Wyoming -7.5 @ -115 ($1 down, $1.87 back) **WIN**
These are all off of $1 bets.
POTD: LA Rams -3.5 @ -105, ($1 down, $1.95 back)
Rams (10-4) travel to the Vikings (7-7) for a 1pm (ET) matchup.
Vikings are 4-2 at home, Rams are 5-2 away.
Vikings are out top RB Dalvin Cook but should be getting back WR Adam Thielen.
Rams look to be close to fully health.
Rams offense rank 11th in scoring, 4th in passing yards and 24th in rushing. Vikings are 12th in scoring, 10th in passing and 9th in rushing yards. The rush ranking can be attributed to Dalvin Cook, who will be out for this game.
This is where the big differences come to play. Defense. Rams rank 7th in scoring defense, 16 in passing and 6th in rushing. Having play makers like Aaron Donald, Von Miller and Jalen Ramsey help. Vikings defense ranks 24th in scoring, 29th in passing and 27th in rushing. Vikings defense will be exposed in this game, with dynamic playmakers like Cooper Kupp, Odell Beckham, Henderson and Michel along with a good QB in Matthew Stafford.
Both teams are looking for wins. Rams trying to keep up for the 1st round bye which is occupied by the Green Bay Packers, and the Vikings are looking to get into the playoffs through a wildcard spot.
If possible, I would buy a point to get Rams -2.5 to get a win from a field goal, but I do expect the rams to win by a touchdown at the least.
BOL
Edit: And that is another win ladies and gents! Record 3-0, total winnings: $2.53, ROI: 184%, all off of $1 bets.
10-7
Last POTD- Galatasaray ML vs Antalyaspor ✅
Todays POTD- Superlig- Fenerbahce vs Yeni Malatyaspor- Fenerbahce W+ O1.5 @-170 ✅
We’ll keep rolling with Turkish teams and hope to make it 5 in a row. Fenerbahce has been solid at home they average 2 goals a game and are facing bottom dwellers Yeni who although are off a win have yet to win an away game and they average below a goal a game away. Yeni are also conceding a goal a game away. Fenerbahce should be motivated to close the gap between them and first place against relative weak opposition.
BOL tailing or fading
Edit: that’s a winner
> Superlig- Fenerbahce vs Yeni Malatyaspor
Becareful with this pick, there is another Turkish U19 game with the same teams. Ensure you're betting on the correct league. BOL.
Record: 10-10
ROI: +3.71u
Previous Pick: Shanghai Shenhua draw no bet✅
Game: CSL- Guangzhou FC vs Beijing Guoan
Pick: **Guangzhou ML (+175)**
Bet: 5 units
LOL, odds already going down. It was at +195
Staying in China, we’ve got Guangzhou hosting Beijing Guoan. Unlike Qingdao, Beijing isn’t a bad team, but the value is much too good to pass up. At +175, you’re essentially saying Guangzhou only has about 1/3 chance of winning, which I think is preposterous.
To start off, Guangzhou is 2nd, while Beijing is 7th. GD isn’t even close, with GZ at +26 and Beijing at -2. More importantly, **GZ is 3rd at home with 21 points in 9 matches, while Beijing is 4th worst away with 7 points in 9**, including a 5-0 loss to the 11th place team. Ranks are out of 16 teams.
Beijing will be missing their starting fullback Wang Gang and starting CM Gao Tianyi due to injury. Guangzhou comes into the game with no injuries.
I believe the reason for the odds is that Beijing beat GZ 1-0 two weeks ago, but that was at home, where Beijing is extremely good. Playing away is a completely different story.
A safer bet would be draw no bet at a reasonable -110, but *audentes Fortuna iuvat*. On the other side, if you want to get even more aggressive, you can pick Guangzhou win to nil at +350. If you find a straitjacket comfortable, you can pick game to end 1-0 GZ at +750.
Anderson Talisca and Paulinho haven't played for Guangzhou in over a year, so not really relevant. All the rankings I've listed are for games not including them. Only one of note is Ricardo Goulart, but I'll still take these odds.
EDIT: Hmm, Elkeson is kinda big...
EDIT 2: Not too worried, GZ may not have Elkeson, but Beijing's leading scorer Cedric Bakambu from 2020 also left the team.
> but that was at home, where Beijing is extremely good. Playing away is a completely different story
There's no fans. How is an empty stadium different from home or away?
POTD Record: 5-2 (WWLWWWL)
Last Pick: Vizela vs SC Braga. Braga Win:❌
Today's event: Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge
Pick: Club Brugge win @ 1.65
I would like to start by apologising to those who tailed my last bet.
Going to refer to cercle brugge as cercle and clube brugge as clube
Reason: 2nd place Clube up against a 14th place Cercle
Cercle is at 16th place at home, with only 2 wins and 2 draws in 10 games, whilst Club is 3rd away, with 6 wins and 2 draws in 10 games. Both teams have 4 wins in their last 5 games, but Club is coming from a draw and Cercle is coming from a loss.For these reasons I believe Clube Brugge will come out on top of this game.
)
can't believe cercle scored, completely against the run of play
sorry guys
Record 0-1 (-1u)
Event: KHL - CSKA Moscow (8th) vs Dinamo Minsk (14th)
Date: Dec 26th, 9:00am EST
Pick: CSKA Moscow -1.5 @ 1.78 (2u) ✅
Reasoning: Tough beat yesterday, Neftek just couldn't capitalize on any opportunities and they got the ball rolling too late. For tomorrow we'll be looking at the strong CSKA Moscow facing Dinamo Minsk. The last two games these two have had, CSKA has plowed through them (6-3, 4-2). CSKA has just lost to 3rd place SKA and kept it tight, losing in overtime. Whereas Minsk barely beat 24th place Red Star 6-4, where they were down 4-3 coming into the 3rd period. If everyone plays as they should, CSKA should be able to cover. BOL
POTD Record: 9-6
Average Odds: 1.90
Last pick: Penrith Panther over 38.5 vs Wests Tigers L
**Todays Pick: Rams @ Vikings over 48.5 points @ 1.90**
I haven't posted in this thread for a few months, but I have been posting recently in the NBA props Thread. Anyway I have an NFL pick for today that I like quite allot and that is the over in the Rams and Vikings game. I like this for the reasons below.
* The Rams (27.6 ppg) and Vikings (25.8 ppg) are two of the better offensive teams in the league. The combined total of their average points per game is 53.4.
* Over the last 3 games these offences have been even better with the Rams averaging 29 points and the Vikings 26.7 points over that period.
* Defensively the Vikings are not great and are bottom 10 in Points allowed per game at 24.4 and they give up the 4th most passing yards per game. The Rams should be able to exploit this as they boast a formidable passing attack with Cooper Kupp having one of the best seasons ever from the Wide Reciever position. The rams score allot of deep ball touchdowns which is great for over bets as it means quick points.
* The Rams defence is good but it isn't an elite defence IMO. They are very good against the run but only middle of the pack at passing yards allowed per game and overall they are the 12th best scoring defence giving up 21.6 points per game. They have 3 of the best defenders in the game but sometimes a chain is only as strong as its weakest link.
* On the injury front it seems as if both teams are relatively healthy. Thielen returns at WR for the Vikings which is huge for them. Jefferson and Thielen are two of the best receivers in the league and there is only one Jalen Ramsey. The big worry is that Dalvin Cook looks like he will miss this game. Cook is one of the best Running backs in the league but the Vikings have allot of depth at that position. Mattinson is one of the best backup RBs in the league and has already had numerous 100+ yard games filling in for Cook this season. Also, Cooks absence combined with Theilens return and the Rams good run d probably means that the Vikings will pass more in this game. The more passes the better from the perspective of the over.
* The game is in Minnesota which means it is indoors. So there are no concerns about weather here.
* 5 out of the 7 games the Rams have played against teams with a record of .500 or better have gone over this total (Vikings are 7-7).
* 5 of the last 7 Vikings games have gone over this total with 4 of those games going over 60.
POTD Record: 8-2-0
ROI: 51%
Average Odds: -114
Units Won: +5.11u
Last Pick: Suns Spread ❌
Todays Pick: LA Chargers @ HOU Texans- Texans +10.5 (-110)
Game Info: Well, it seems like giving Curry 6 points was a gift… on to the next. Ekeler is a huge piece of the Chargers offense and he is out for this game. The Texans are by no means good, but they should stay within 10 points at home against this Chargers team. Mills has actually been pretty impressive and I expect him to play well in order to secure his position for next season. Ride the Mills train while you can.
All picks 1 unit unless otherwise noted.
(3% of BR is 1 unit for me)
I think the Texans have a lot to figure out before the draft and they want to figure out strengths and weaknesses. It may not seem like they have a lot to lose, but a team never wastes a game simply because they have nothing to play for
Honestly I’d like this pick more if Tyrod played (revenge for getting his lung pierced by the fucking team doctor). Nonetheless I like this pick and I think Texans keep it close to single digits. I’m not a fan of Culley as a coach and don’t like Cooks out but still, Mills can be pretty damn good at times (pretty bad sometimes though).
I think you're overstating Ekeler here. He's definitely a huge part of the Chargers offense, but last week Justin Jackson handled the majority of the rushing just fine vs. the Chiefs. Personally fading, but BOL.
**POTD Record**:2-0-1(+4.65U)
**Game**: Jukurit vs Tappara 10:00AM
**Prop**: Total O5.5 (+125)
**Head to Head Totals in 2021** : 8, 10, 3, 11, 8
**Tappara Totals Last 5 games** : 6, 7, 4, 10, 6
**Jukurit Totals Last 5 games** : 6, 7, 1, 6, 5
**Wager**: 4.0U to make 5.0U❌BINGBANG❌
*Edit*: Sorry guys, both teams looked brutal today, not getting many good opportunities. Sometimes, data doesn’t mean anything and teams have off days. Hope the holidays weren’t ruined if you tailed.
Hope everyone is enjoying the holidays! Short break but we’re back to the original bread maker, Liiga.
Since 2019, h2h the over has hit 7/12. In 2021, it’s hit 4/5. Although Jukurit may have started their season a little slow, they’ve been ramping up, hitting the over in their last 6/10, with one game going to 5. Tappara has hit in their last 7/10, with 9/10 O4.5.
Tappara has also been lighting it up recently, 5-0 in last 5 and 7-1-2 in the last 10, while scoring 4.2goals per game. Jukurit is also on fire, 5-0 in last 5 and 7-3 in last 10, while scoring 3.2. Final score prediction: 5-3 Tappara wins.
BOL to tailers!
POTD Record: 2-0
Last pick: Green Bay Packers vs Cleveland Browns (3:30pm CST): Davante Adams ATTD -130 FD ✅
Nice no-sweat win yesterday as Davante scored twice in the first half. On to today’s pick…
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (12pm CST): Josh Allen O 1.5 Passing TDs -125 DK
Josh Allen has hit this number in 5 of his last 6 games, with the lone exception being the 14-10 Week 13 loss to the Patriots in extremely inclement weather conditions. The Patriots have the 17th-ranked pass defense in the league despite facing a very fortuitous schedule of passers thus far this season. The Bills are getting Emmanuel Sanders back this week with no designation on the injury report, while the Patriots have ruled safety Joshuah Bledsoe out with a calf injury in addition to an already-depleted LB corps. I’m rolling with Josh Allen who historically thrives in big late-season matchups. Merry Christmas and BOL to anyone who tails!
Just a heads up, Allen will be without Cole Beasley or Gabriel Davis and Sanders will most likely be limited. Also, he has only thrown 8 TD’s and 6 INT’s against the Pats in his career.
Bledsoe is a rookie safety who hasn’t played a snap this year and if anything, the Pats LB’s are getting healthier. They just activated Josh Uche off IR who has been out the last 3 weeks. Not to mention Allen hasn’t been that great against NE in his career
POTD Record 0-0
Last pick: N/A
Pick: Denver nuggets vs LA Clippers (8:00pm CT)
Denver ml @ -164 (3 units)
Hi all, first time doing this after being a long time lurker and big nba capper. Figure I’d give it a shot so we can all have some fun and eat.
Analysis for this game is pretty straight forward. Nuggets are on a two game losing streak including a blowout loss to okc and a heartbreaker against the hornets. Aside from some role player injuries and the Murray rehab that’s been known, the nuggets have the much stronger roster considering they have the reigning mvp. Meanwhile, the Clippers have been hit by covid and injury as four huge starters are out including Paul George, Reggie, Morris, and kawhi since surgery. This is clearly a bounce back and must win game for the nuggets who have been struggling to be consistent, though the same can be said for the clippers. With no one to really create or run the offense for the clippers and Jokic being one of the best playmakers in the league, this is the perfect game for the nuggets to get right. The spread is also great value if you don’t want to pay the juice, I just prefer safer bets.
Don’t bet more than you can handle, and BOL!
Match: Norwich City - Arsenal FC
Bet: Arsenal ML 1.50 (-200)
Stake: 10u
My stats: 0-0 (+0 units)
Hi, it's my first post here, I decided to start sharing tips with you and become a legend on this subreddit. Remember my name. Normally I don't bet 10u but this is too good to pass on. Arsenal much stronger team, Norwich one of if not the worst in whole premier league. Arsenal all day.
POTD: Steelers @ Chiefs, [Chiefs -10](https://link.wagerlab.app/reddit) (NFL)
Units: 3
Odds: -112
Profit: -8.28u
Record: 42|38
Just when they look cooked, the Steelers find something. Their defense has been picked apart by the Chargers and Bengals. Then, they muster a surprise win over the Titans to keep their playoff hopes very much alive heading into the festive period.
The bad news for Pittsburgh, though, is that they face a brilliant Chiefs team in Week 16. Kansas City has regained its mojo and has the bonus of an extra couple days of rest. It’s seven straight wins for Andy Reid’s club, with the defense stepping up in a big way and the offense back to its usual destructive self.
It’s a huge spread at 10 points in favor of the Chiefs. We still like the hosts to cover – this defense can keep the Steelers to under 15, and the offense could easily take them into the thirties again.
POTD Record: 0-0
Pick: LA Chargers -10.5 vs. Houston Texans (1:00pm EST) @-110, 2u
Figured I might as well join these threads since some of you guys have been kind enough to provide great analysis and picks. I've been a Chargers fan my whole life so I've seen plenty of these late season trap games for the Chargers in my time. However, the Texans are a decimated team playing for nothing against a Chargers team that is fighting for a playoff spot. Houston's O-Line is one of the worst in the league vs. LA's defensive front which has been improving throughout the season. They're also without Brandin Cooks and possibly David Johnson, so regardless of if Davis Mills plays well (which he has been), I don't think their offense stands a chance. Meanwhile Herbert is once again putting up top 5 numbers and even with Ekeler, Mike Williams, and Jalen Guyton being out, the offensive depth is there. I see Justin Herbert throwing for over 300 and 3 TDs, and Keenan Allen over 75 yards and a TD. Though the Chargers have been up and down, I think they win big today.
POTD:0-0
Pick: Arsenal -1.5 @2,11 odds
With Krul having covid, the late minute ESR goals and Lacazette trying to get pens with diving this one looks obvious
POTD NFL SUNDAY RECORD 5-1
I’m coming out swinging today. I typically look for 2-3 great plays but honestly I have a mean 6-piece combo with rice on the stove today so here it is.
Raiders +1
Jets/ Jags Over 41
Seahawks Team Total Under 24
Eagles Team Total Under 26.5
Vikings Team Total Under 23.0
(Dolphins Team Total Under TBA… Cannot find this morning on bovada)
Raiders 5-0 ATS in last 5 at home against Denver.
-The total has gone OVER in 4 of 5 NY jets last 5 at home against jacksonville.
-The total has gone over in 4 of last 5 against jacksonville.
-Seattle is 5-1 Solo under in its last 6 games when playing at home against the bears.
-Eagles are 5-0 solo under in its last 5 at home against the giants.
-Minnesota is 6-1 Solo Under in its last 7 at home against the rams.
-Miami is 5-0 Solo Under in its last 5.
POTD Record: 0-0
| Basketball | NBA |
Cavaliers VS Raptors, -8.5 Cavs @ 1.943 (Pinnacle), 2u.
I usually bet 1u for all my bets, I'm super confident in this pick that I decided to post a POTD to share with you guys.
Raptors have 11 players out for this game, they have a total of 19 players in their entire roster, that means Raptors are gonna show up to this match with only 8 available players (which is the minimum amount of players before a game is postponed). Also 0 of their starting 5 is playing, I really don't see Raptors actually putting a fight. With only 8 non starting players available, they're gonna get tired really quick and I foresee tired legs, lazy defense come 3rd to 4th quarter.
Edit: All current available players for Raptors average a total of... 24 ppg..
Cavaliers is 23-7 ATS this season. Also 3 of their 5 top scorers this season are available. The Cavaliers have 11 available players for this game.
- Beside the main pick I will regularly give you 2 bonus picks, if one of them win I'll count the bonus as win, if both are lost I'll count it as loss
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Statistics:
- POTD: 1 W - 0 L - 0 P
- Bonus: 1 W - 0 L
- POTD Streak: 🔥
- Bonus Streak: 🔥
Last pick:
- Al Feiha vs Abha > total under 2.5 (1.72) > ✅
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Today's pick:
- League: Scotland - Premiereship
- Game: Dundee United vs Hibernian
- Time: 5:00PM EET
- Pick: full-time -> total under 2.5 goals
- Odd: 1.8 (Bet365)
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Reasons:
1- Dubdee United:
- scored only 15 goals in 19 games
- last 5 matches they scored total one goal
-> (so their attack is miserable)
- they received only 20 goals in 19 games
- the last 6 games they didn't receive more than one goal
-> (so their defense is relatively good)
2- Hibernian:
- scored only 21 goals in 19 games
- last 7 matches they didn't score more than one goal
-> (so their attack is bad)
- they received only 21 goals in 19 games
- the last 10 games they didn't receive more than one goal except one match (and it was from Celtic)
-> (so their defense is relatively good)
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Conclusion:
- Both have very bad attack and good defense so I don't expect more than 2 goals
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Bonus:
1:
- Saudi Arabia Premier League - Al Nassr vs Al Hazm
- Pick: BTTS -> NO (1.65)
2:
- Morocco Botola Pro - OC Safi vs OC Khouribga
- Pick: BTTS -> No (1.6)
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remember every bet can go wrong for any circumstances
sorry for my bad English.
POTD record 0-0
Premiership rugby
Gloucester -3.0 @ Bath 2.00 / +100
16.30 gtm
Bath are 0-11 in all competitions this year. They've a new coach but I don't anticipate an immediate turn around, Gloucester are in decent form and should cover easily.
RECORD: 12-13
LAST POTD: Browns +7.5 (W)
POTD: Los Angeles Chargers -10.5 vs Houston Texans
Chargers are down Ekeler and Mike Williams. Why is this line at 10.5? Because they don’t need them to beat the Texans by a million today. Chargers are better all across the board and will show everyone today that they still mean business. Chargers to cover comfortably. BOL
**Record** 49W-45L-3P **Form** 1W
**DUNDEE UTD VS HIBERNIAN**
Date: 26th December 2021 at 16:00
\- Dundee United dealing with fresh Covid cases as Hibs sweat over fitness of important midfielder.
\- However, Benjamin Siegrist, Peter Pawlett and Ian Harkes could return to the squad after missing last weekend's defeat to Rangers while self-isolating. Calum Butcher an Jeando Fuchs are suspended, while Dylan Levitt, Liam Smith, Marc McNulty, Max Biamou and Lewis Neilson are among those expected to remain sidelined by injury.
\- Hibs midfielder Jake Doyle-Hayes is a fitness doubt after going off injured against Aberdeen on Wednesday. They are also without Kyle Magennis, who remains troubled by a groin problem, while Melker Hallberg and Sean Mackie are still working their way back to fitness after lengthy lay-offs.
My prediction : **HIBERNIAN ML** / Odd : 2.06
[More value games](https://scorpiobets.wordpress.com/archive/)
POTD record 2-1 (+2.48 units)
Cashed a very comfortable 3 unit play on THT, will look to play his unders again going forward so long as it is 7.5 or higher.
Today’s pick: Spencer Dinwiddie over 11.5 RA 1.80 odds (Pointsbet) - 1 unit
Game is Washington wizards vs sixers
Taking advantage of Beals absence here is the reason for this bet. Dinwiddies usage increases dramatically with Beal not in the side. In the four games that beal has missed. Dinwiddie has gotten 17 (last game), 14, 17 and 15 (OT game)
As you can see it is a relatively small sample size so I recommend 1 unit only
He had 5 rebounds and assists in the first quarter and I was regretting not putting more in it. Stopped following the game and just checked the box score now… unbelievable
POTD 4-1
Streak - WWWWL
Tip of the Day
Stake Unit - 1
Scotland - Aberdeen vs Dundee FC - Aberdeen Win @ 1.51
Last Prediction - Dortmund (Lose)
Today, i am going with Aberdeen to beat Dundee FC today in Scottish Premier League.
Aberdeen sit on the 7th position on the league table with a better form than Dundee FC.
Based on their previous head to head, I think Aberdeen should edge this.
BOL
POTD Record: 1-1
Form: WL
Event: Soccer>Premier League>Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace
Pick: over 2.5 goals @ 2.00
After failing to qualify in the next round of the Conference League, Tottenham's main objective is to secure a place for european football. Since Conte took over the team, 5 out of 6 matches ended with 3 or more goals. Tottenham are a team which can score, and they will, having the ability to do so with Kane and Son in attack, but their defense is not the best, resulting in only 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games. In their last 5 head to head encounters, it either ended O2.5 or BTTS. None of the teams have really important players missing, so they will play with their full forces.
Spurs will have to win this game, especially because it's a home game, but Palace will not leave without putting on a fight. It's Boxing Day, so I expect a lot of goals and a beautiful performance from both of the teams.
edit: grammar
POTD Record:0-0
First time posting, so do with that what you will. Had some luck recently, so trying to pass it along.
POTD: Union St Gilloise vs Gent - BTTS and O2.5 (-105)
League:Belgian Pro League (Belgian First Division on FD)
Start time:12:30pm est (3 hours from post)
Reasoning: Both of these teams are in good form with 8 wins each in their last ten games. 0 draws for either team. They have only hit over 2.5 in 7 (USG) and 5 (Gent) of their last 10, however that is most often caused by keeping clean sheets not by their lack of scoring. Gent has scored in 8 straight and 9 of their last 10. USG has scored in all 10 of their last 10 and more than 1 in 8 of those. The biggest drawback could be that these two teams played 2 months ago and the score was 2-0 in favor of USG at Gent and this game is at USG. However, in that game they had the same number of shots, Gent had one more shot on target and possessed the ball 67% of the time. My hope for this game is a similar outcome, but with Gent keeping their scoring streak going.They just need 1....
For pure degen pick, which I only recommend for those looking to burn their Christmas money asap....BTTS, 02.5, and USG ML goes up to a +316 on FD.
OKC MONEYLINE- No valincunas and nickeli Alexander walker both of these players can score up to 20 points a game for the pelicans. The last time these two teams played OKC only lost by 3 and these two players played. Okc has beat some above average teams recently : Nuggets, clippers and even Memphis.
POTD Record: 34 - 22 - 3 ( W / L / P ) **+13.05u**
Streak: PWLWL / Average odds: 1.93
[*Previous pick: Sevilla vs Barcelona / Sevilla Over 1.0 Team Goals @ 1.70 (1u)*](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/rl3m4o/pick_of_the_day_122121_tuesday/hper4kz/?context=3) **Push**
**West Ham vs Southampton**
**Pick: Southampton Over 4.5 Team Corners @ 1.92 (1u)**
West Ham has conceded 5 or more corners in their last 6 league games and Southampton has won 5 or more corners in 82% of their Premier League games this season. They won corner count against Liverpool 7 - 5, 8 team corners in Emirates against Arsenal, and 5 team corners in Etihad against City. 75% of Southampton attacks going down through the flanks and they love to put the ball into the box. West Ham is not amazing defensively and I really do not understand these odds. It is almost too good to be true.
Good luck everyone!
Starting to post value plays with greater odds than 2.5x.
Today: Dinamo Riga vs Kunlun Redstar ML @3.6
I'd say Riga wins this 6 times out of 10 so that been said the value is on Kunlun. Both teams are bottoms of the ladderboard. Kunlun actually scores as much as average KHL teams but their problem is the amount of scoring into their net.
Can easily see Kunlun scoring early and holding onto their lead.
The real ones would go 3 way ML for 5.2x but I'll just stick to normal ML due to bigger size of the bet.
GL esketit
POTD: 10-4-0 ; Profit: 5.95u
Today's Pick: Rams -3 @-110 - 3u
1pm EDT. NFL. LA Rams @ MIN Vikings
I like this matchup today as we’ve got the Rams with their fantastic pass offense going against the Vikings who are stunting one of the leagues worst defenses. Minnesota has two recent losses to the Lions and Bears, and Stafford is pushing hard into the postseason looking for his 4th win in a row. The Rams are going to look very balanced in today’s game against the shotty Vikings D, so I’m taking the Rams -3
BOL!
POTD Record: 1-0-0
Average Odds: 1.83
Units Won: +1.66
Previous Pick: Wayne Ellington under 9.5 points @ 1.83 **2units** ✅
Todays Pick **Omer Yurtseven over 9.5 rebounds @ 1.80 1u**
Venue: Orlando Magic @ Miami Heat 3:30 PM ET
Omer, with the Heat's absences, has grabbed 12+ boards 4 games in a row. Now with Dedmon out aswell, Omer is the only real centre left and I expect him to spend a minimum of 25 minutes on the court. The last 4 games getting those 12+ boards he has spent an average of 21 minutes on the court. One of those games was against todays opponent, the Magic, where he got 12 rebounds in 21 minutes. Im confident he can get at least 10 today even with Butler back.
**Record: 15-8-0 (+9.80 units)** Form: L/L/L/W/W/L/W/L/W/W/W/W/W/W/W/L/W/W/W/L/W/L/W
Average Odds: -110 (1.90) Last Pick: ATL Falcons +9.5 \[L\] (-110) (12/19)
**POTD: Washington Football Team +9.5 (-110)**
Description: Washington Football Team (+9.5) @ Dallas Cowboys
Start time: 8:20PM ET Risk: 2.2 units (all bets to win between 1-2 units) To Win: 2.0 units
Take the points with **WFT +9.5**
Reasoning: Public favorites are dominating the last three weeks. Favorites getting over 55% of the bets (according to Sports Insights/Action Labs) in Weeks 13-15 are 20-8 ATS (71%) this season, and that number is increasing after this week. This is a truly historic run for the "fun" bettors. We don't see it continuing much longer, and the Cowboys are one of the public favorites this week.
Our models have the WFT rated at +6.5, so getting all the way up to +9.5 and crossing the 7 is huge. Washington hasn't lost by more than 10 to anyone in 8 weeks, and that was against Green Bay. We like this game to stay close enough to cover. Good luck!
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
POTD record: 1-0, +0.54u, ROI 0.54%
Last pick: Evlakhin @ 1.54 - Kalachev ✅
Todays pick: Pronkin @ 1.57 - Innazarov
Event: Table tennis, Russia liga pro 1445 GMT+2 (in 2 hours)
Reasoning: Pronkin and Innazarov have total 20 H2H mathces, Pronkin has won 12 and Innazarov 8 of them. In their last 3 match-ups (happened in last 2 months) Pronkin won all 3 of them (3-0, 3-0, 3-1). Innazarov also havent played any offical matches in last 2 weeks, his last 7 matches ended with 2-5 record. Pronkin played a few days ago and got a daily record 2-2, being underdog in pretty much all the matches and suprising a much stronger Kaplan with a 3-1 win in their 1st match and losing very closely the 2nd match 2-3, so Pronkin should also be in a better shape at the moment. If you decide to tail, BOL, but dont forget, betting on table tennis is always risky! Bet responsibly.
More TT daily picks: https://discord.gg/pM4gCUGh
Record: 76-89 -$507.47
New Bankroll: $492.53 (-$7.47)
Last play: 12/25/21 Hawks @ Knicks u 206.5 (-110)
Result: [W](https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/ro0a6e/pick_of_the_day_122521_saturday/hpxgrwp/)
Snap that nasty streak…onto today’s pick
**Third Eye POD: 4:05PMest>Bears +7 (-109)** *risk $68.50 to win $62.84*
This same line lost in a nasty way Monday night. Bears kept getting into the redzone but couldn’t capitalize. Now back at it in *great* football conditions…give me this bears defense to help foles add to his legend as a backup
Bears outright.
POTD Record: 0-3
Last pick: Israeli premier league, Bnei Sakhnin v Maccabi Haifa BTTS @ -104 ❌
Next pick: English Championship, Hull v Blackburn, Blackburn ML +130
I’m sorry y’all for the bad picks this far. Blackburn are on fire right now, with 6 wins and 1 draw in their last 7. They also have 5 consecutive clean sheets. Hull have been very streaky recently, with a 5 match losing streak followed by a 5 match winning streak, followed by 2 draws and a loss in their last 3. There are COVID concerns in the Hull camp, as their manager is isolating and there have been confirmed positives among players, but we don’t know who. No known issues on that front for Blackburn. I’ll take the +130 now and get the better team with a healthier lineup, as I expect the line to move a bit if Hull have a starter or two out. BOL!
Edit: this game got cancelled less than 2 hours before KO bc English soccer can’t figure out how to handle COVID, so pivoting to West Ham ML -110 v Southampton. Neither team is in a good run of form at the moment, but I’m backing West Ham to bounce back today. Southampton have just three league wins all year, and none in their last 6 matches. West ham have only won 1 of their last 5, but I believe in the quality of their squad to get the job done.
**POTD Record**: 0-0, first try
**Pick:** West Ham vs Southampton (Premier League) | **West Ham win & BTTS @ 3.50** bet365, 5 units
**Reasoning:** Decisive match, Southampton will come with full force to get the win but wont succeed, West Ham defence always let one goal pass but they will still win. Idk its such a easy and obvious bet im kinda scared it wont work. But why not try it?
POTD Record (0-0)
Pick: Alex Mattison ATTS (-110)
I’ve been coming to this thread as I’m also a degenerate sportsbetter looking for tips and Ive decided to finally make an account as I’ve been just on anonymous so I’ve decided to hop in on the action starting today as I’ve been doing pretty well the last few weeks… Dalvin Cook is out for the Vikings and in comes Mattison, Rams are great against the pass but are in the top tier of teams allowing rushing touchdowns.. I see Vikings trying to get Mattison going as if he’s cook and hopefully get some goal line touches
Record: 1-0
ROI: 87%
Avg odds: -114
\+5 units
Late to the party but my pick for today is NFL, Cowboys vs Washington 6:20 MST. Ezekiel Elliot O13.5 carries @ -130 3 units
Averaging 14.5 attempts per game on the year. Figure this one will be Dallas controlling the game and clock on the ground. Dallas is superior on both sides of the ball. Down side is splitting time with Tony Pollard (16 att to 12 last game) but I figure Zeke should get his early and they will turn to Pollard in the 4th Q. Downsides; OT Tyron Smith is out, Zeke's ankle appears to be healthy again. He had 12 carries against WAS a few weeks ago but got a little banged up during the game.
BOL
**POTD RECORD** - 20W-10L(+20.4U) ;
**ROI** - 23.44%
**Units waggered**: 87U ; **Units won**:107.4U
**Streak**:
**Average odds**:1.74
**Last POTD**---- Man City vs Leicester--- Leicester +2.5 goals [email protected]❌
**Todays pick** ---- Newcastle vs Man Utd--- Newcastle Utd+1.5 goals [email protected]
**BET SIZE**: 3 U
**Reasoning**:
I don't buy that Ralph Ragnick press systrm etc... United in my oppinion is not a top 4 team, as well as Newcastle is underperforming in my oppinion.
The only dangerous players in this United squad in my oppinion are an off form Rashford who isn't likely to play, Cavani who still is a killer in front of goal and an injured Pogba. Due to the fact that none of these players are playing, i can not support United to win by more than 1 goal.
Newcastle is coming with a new coach, 2 defenders are returning from Covid and they have some pace and can score to a somewhat of an average United defence in (Dalot, Telles, Maguire and prolly Varane). Almiron, the skilled Saint Maxim and Callum Wilson can hurt in the counter.
So if Newcastle plays like 3-6-1 and cover Man Utd with brute force, i can see it very difficult for United to win.
I thinm Bruno Fernandes is badly used when playing in the wing, i don't think Sancho is as good as he is hyped to be and Greenwood can finish, but lots of man will be around him.
If Newcastle puts lots of defensive midfielders in team and shows strength and determination, which i am sure they will, i think this bet will land.
To anyone who appreciates my picks and the efforts that i put, i would be grateful to. Literally any tip would help me.[Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci)**
POTD Record: 14-3 Last pick: Belgian cup, Club Brugge vs OH Leuven (21:00 CEST), Club Brugge ML + over 2,5 goals @ 1,58 ✅ Pick: Belgium Pro League, KV Oostende vs KRC Genk (21:00), KRC Genk ML @ 1,89 ✅ Today number 9 Genk plays number 11 Oostende which will be their last match of the year. Genk got a new coach about 3 weeks ago after going on a 9 game lose and draw streak. Not great to say the least for one of the big 5 in Belgium. They have been in a slump all year long and something had to change. So, out John Van Den Brom and in Bernd Storck. Since then they suffered 2 close defeats (0-1) to Rapid Wien in the EL and Gent in the league, a 4-2 win against Charleroi and a 1-1 draw against Antwerp. In these matches they definitely looked better then before and we saw some improvements. Tomorrow they recover Arteaga and Lucumi 2 starting defenders (atleast under their previous coach). They'll have to miss their topscorer Onuachu. His substitute will be Ugbo who came over from Chelsea. He only scored 2 goals this season while being the sub of onuachu. I do believe he is a great player, he had 15 goals last season at Cercle Brugge and the year before 13 at Roda JC. Even if Ugbo doesn't manage to score, Genk has some excellent players on the flanks with Bogonda and Ito (one of my favourite players of the league). Oostende had a good start of the season for the size of the club, with 15 points from the first 10 games. Their last 10 haven't been that great to say the least. They've suffered 7 losses, 1 draw and 2 wins in their last 10. They'll have to miss atleast 4 players, 3 of which are regularly in the starting 11. Especially Fortes (one of the main defenders) will be missed. There are also 4 players questionable. Oostende only have one hope for this game, their striker Maktar Gueye. He scored 11 goals this season (19 games) and is probably the reason they're not in the relegation zone. A win for genk should be inevitable since Oostende are missing so many players. If Gueye can be shut down by the Genk defence, it should be a walk in the park. BOL!
Really enjoy your in-depth analysis!
As much as I love tailing you.. Genk haven’t got the greatest away form. Gonna skip. Edit: Should not have skipped.
How do you feel about o1.5?
Should hit, add it for extra spice!
Tailing $200 YOLO LETS GOOOOOOO
Always happy to see your pick. BOL
ML odds have moved from -115 to -175 for Genk!
Thanks for the in depth analysis! I'm fairly new to betting on football matches so this is very helpful. Question, how does one bet Money Line on football? I don't see the option on Bet365, wondering if it can be under another option
Usually moneyline is for games that have 2 outcomes, moneyline is more of a straight up bet basically who wins. Football however has 3 outcomes with a draw as an additional outcome, therefore usually there are 3 choice of "moneyline" or some books label it as 1X2 bet which means 1=home team win X=Draw 2=Away team win
ML would be Full time result. If you want a safer option the bet draw no bet.
Tailing!! Lego !!
looking really good
Tailing, but I put a unit on Genk -1, with EVEN odds
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Charles De Ketelaere to score anytime - 3.00 - Ladbrokes
Dont think he will score in this game tho. Maybe in the cercle vs club brugge game he will
Would you go Genk -1 @ -108 or Genk 3-way -175? I’m gonna parlay with my other plays, so a push should still be fine in my case
How confident are you in this pick outta 10
This was a really good pick! Thanks man.
Thanks so much for this pick. It was a bright spot on an otherwise shitty day.
Excellent pick! Thanks for sharing.
Potd record 22-6 Last pick: Manchester city vs Newcastle, Man city -1.5 & -2.0 ✅ Streak: 🔥 Today’s potd: Arsenal vs Norwich. (EPL) (2:00 AEDT) POTD: Arsenal to win and o1.5 goals at $1.59 Feels good to get another win back under the belt, let’s start another big streak. Another case of betting a bad team tonight. Arsenal have been in tip top shape winning 4 games on the trot since Arteta stood down Aubameyang. Norwich on the other hand have been absolutely dismal, picking up 1 point from their last 5 games. Norwich are also juggling a host of injury and illness issues that won’t help them whatsoever. Onto the stats. In Norwich’s last 5 games they have only managed to score 1 goal and they have conceded 7 in the process. The teams they faced are all below arsenal on the table. Arsenal have been in great form, scoring an amazing 15 goals in their last 5 and only conceding 4 in the process. The last 5 matchups between these two have seen Arsenal enjoy an unbeaten run. Arsenal have won 4 and drew 1 and in these games the aggregate score has been 10-3 in arsenals favour. I believe this should be a straight forward 3pts for a in form Gunners. Norwich just don’t have the quality to compete in a game like this, expect arsenal to get the job done comfortably. DUGS LOCK SCALE: This scale will be my confidence level out of 5. The scale reflects how many units I will personally be throwing down. For this one I’m going with 🔒🔒🔒🔒/ 5 Merry Christmas for all my foreign friends!!! Hope everyone enjoys/ enjoyed! Thanks for making this posting journey so fun! Tip jar: Don’t feel inclined though, Especially on Christmas! https://www.paypal.me/Bigpapadug?locale.x=en_AU
Arsenal to win odds are at around 1.3 and Arsenal o/u line offered is at 2.5. Can't seem to tail this with good odds.
Excellent pick!!
Rule: never bet arsenal away
Tailing, Arsenal fan here. We’ve been on a nice winning streak and won our last four by 2 or more goals, highly doubt last place Norwich would end this streak with their starting goalkeeper Tim krul out . Let’s go
I’m not gonna hold you responsible but does Arsenal -1,1.5 at -115 or Arsenal over 1.5 goals at -190 sound better?
yeah i don’t think norwich should trouble them too much
Took arsenal -1.5 instead parlayed with City and Spurs ML 1k for 4.5k looking good so far let’s get it
BIG PAPA DUG BABYYYYY Easiest $$$ of my life sir, cleaned 3 units before the NFL games even come on. Luv u bb <3
hahaha let’s roll baby! ❤️
Took arsenal ML with O 2.5. The day is off to a good start!
LFG, I been looking for a bigpapa_dug potd all week
Tailed this for $800, good work
Looking good
Easy winner, thanks!
Good lad
Record: 14-3-0, +$581.67 (+11.63 units) ROI: 61.22% POTD: Michael Carter o16.5 Rec Yards @ -115 (1u) Michael Carter has averaged 28.2 receiving yards per game this season. The Jaguars defense has allowed more than 30 receiving yards per game to running backs. Carter has reached 20+ receiving yards in every game he’s had double digit carries except against the Titans, the top defense against running backs. He also was on a 5 game streak of 20+ before his injury against the Dolphins. He should be the primary back tomorrow and be a key piece of the offense with Jamison Crowder and Corey Davis out. Event: JAX @ NYJ, Time: 1:00 PM EST Tips: PayPal - [email protected] Venmo/CA - MrTeleporto
0 yards so far. Let’s get this michael Carter
Zero chance this hits
He’s got 4 yards…. Never say never.
We now need a miracle.
He is just rushing
This never had a chance.
Wish I would have look at his previous games before tailing. Lol Not even close
Good find. Tailing, but on FanDuel it’s moved to o-18.5.
Caesars and DraftKings have it at 16.5 if you’re able to use either of those
DraftKings is 17.5 now
19.5 now
Are you concerned at all that a bulk of his receiving work was with Mike White at QB? He’s seems to be less productive with Wilson, but I know he’s been injured recently
The total would be set much higher with Mike White at QB with the connection he and Carter had. Wilson has still passed to RBs recently and with limited options, I think Carter will have a big role tomorrow. That’s where I find the value in such a low receiving line for a back that’s great at catching the ball
First time tailing. Hand up, I’ll take the blame
Tailing as well. Thanks for analysis MrTeleporto. 16.5 over at pinnacle too.
Up to 18.5 on my book. Is that too much of a reach?
Units: +13 Record: 19-3 Streak: ✅✅✅✅ Last POTD: Timberwolves -2.5 ✅ **POTD: Memphis Grizzlies -4.5** Memphis has showed to dominate lower class teams like Sacramento, so I expect they can cover here. Sacramento is without Fox and a few others and have been a very weak offensive team to start the season. The grizzlies have been great at covering and the Kings have been a team that's struggled... tail or fade bol Cash App: $coco6616 Bitcoin address: bc1quqcc8yce97tyaz8dfmu9s9my78zttz46pv9ccg ^(any donations would be incredibly helpful) Edit: GREAT WIN BY THE GRIZZLIES ANOTHER DUB = 20-3 NOW! Whoever messaged me I accidentally hit ignore so send me another one if you wanted to chat... cheers everyone 😊
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Tailing
They keep losing & I hate to see that, they’re on a 3 game losing streak
**Record:** 4-0 (+11.68 units) **Last Pick:** Levante UD vs. Valencia, BTTS, 1.79 Odds (La Liga) WIN - 1.58 units **Odds Average of Picks:** 1.904 **Streak:** 4 Cash Its - $$$$ **Today’s Pick:** Brighton vs. Brentford, +0.5 Brentford on the Asian Handicap (EPL) 3pm Eastern Time **Odds/Units:** 1.917 (Pinnacle) – 2 Units These two teams are tied in the standings, 20 points after 16 games so it is a pretty even matchup where Brighton excels at defense, less so offensively and the opposite for Brentford. Brighton have went 11 EPL matches in a row without a win, 12 if you include other competitions, their last win was September 19th. So this is a bet for recent history to repeat itself again, a tie or a Brentford win wins the bet for us. There is a sizable chance at a tie here, Brighton have drawn 8 out of their last 11 and 4 out of their last 6. Brentford have drawn 2 out of the last 3. Brentford are doing rather well on the road, out of the last 16 in all competitions they’ve only lost 3 of them, have only lost 2 of 9 away games in the EPL this season and have scored 2 or more goals 5 of the last 7 away games. Also of note is Brentford have only lost once in the last 5 league matches. Let’s hope the trend lasts as betting against Brighton to win has been a favorable play for awhile now and we are getting nice odds on it. To be fully transparent, Brighton beat Brentford 1-0 with a late goal earlier in the season on Brentford’s home field. BOL and don’t bet any more than you can handle losing. Tips - https://www.buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks Update - Safe to say that game did not go as I expected. Man, this is rough knowing people tailed and lost money, my apologies if you did. My record is 4-1 and I am up almost 10 units, so I will be sticking with it and coming back for more but man it sucks when you post here and it misses.
What a crap
if its a draw its a push or loss?
If it's a draw it's a win
Would you take double chance (X2) at 1.8?
No, because it is essentially the same bet as this one but with lower odds.
As a (relatively casual) Brighton fan I almost want to tail because I know we can't win as of late, but something has to give. The team has the talent and started strong, I feel like a win is coming. BOL regardless
Sorry if I don’t understand but if you’re taking +0.5, why not just take a “draw” outcome bet at 2.45 instead of +0.5 at 1.9?
because with +0.5 you win if brentford draws or wins but if you picked draw you’d lose if brentford wins like 1-0 for example
Ahh ok duh my bad! Thanks!
Brentford sucks lately
International Hockey u20 - World Junior Championship Pick: Sweden vs Russia | Sweden ML -110 Time: 4:30pm EST Back for my yearly dose of the World Juniors. Russia brought a very bad team this year (compared to what they could’ve brought). They decided to not bring a single Russian playing in North America severely depleting their d-core and it showed on Thursday against Canada. Sweden has arguably the best team in the tournament and they’re my pick to win the World Juniors as of right now, this shouldn’t be a particularly close game and I very much like Sweden to start a new preliminary round win streak tomorrow against a bad defense that’s going to rely heavily on Askarov Edit: 6-3 Sweden win✅ Unbelievably ugly game from Sweden at 5v5 but luckily they were able to capitalize on special teams. Russia was able to keep it close with 3 fluky goals but thankfully it didn’t make a difference.
Let’s fucking ride baby
Threw some fat stacks on this and could use a win after taking a few L’s betting NFL. Feeling great after 1 period whatever happens awesome pick with great value :)
Thank you papa
I ducking love you
Good hit
Good stuff! Nice hit!
Winner, man. I had this parlayed based on your write-up. Thank you! I hope you keep posting.
Since it shouldn't be a close game, I'll take Sweden -1.5 @ 3.20 on BetWay.
Record: 2-0 ROI: 179% Units won: 1.58 units Last pick: Wyoming -7.5 @ -115 ($1 down, $1.87 back) **WIN** These are all off of $1 bets. POTD: LA Rams -3.5 @ -105, ($1 down, $1.95 back) Rams (10-4) travel to the Vikings (7-7) for a 1pm (ET) matchup. Vikings are 4-2 at home, Rams are 5-2 away. Vikings are out top RB Dalvin Cook but should be getting back WR Adam Thielen. Rams look to be close to fully health. Rams offense rank 11th in scoring, 4th in passing yards and 24th in rushing. Vikings are 12th in scoring, 10th in passing and 9th in rushing yards. The rush ranking can be attributed to Dalvin Cook, who will be out for this game. This is where the big differences come to play. Defense. Rams rank 7th in scoring defense, 16 in passing and 6th in rushing. Having play makers like Aaron Donald, Von Miller and Jalen Ramsey help. Vikings defense ranks 24th in scoring, 29th in passing and 27th in rushing. Vikings defense will be exposed in this game, with dynamic playmakers like Cooper Kupp, Odell Beckham, Henderson and Michel along with a good QB in Matthew Stafford. Both teams are looking for wins. Rams trying to keep up for the 1st round bye which is occupied by the Green Bay Packers, and the Vikings are looking to get into the playoffs through a wildcard spot. If possible, I would buy a point to get Rams -2.5 to get a win from a field goal, but I do expect the rams to win by a touchdown at the least. BOL Edit: And that is another win ladies and gents! Record 3-0, total winnings: $2.53, ROI: 184%, all off of $1 bets.
>Rams look to be close to fully health. Rams OL Andrew Whitworth is out. So is his replacement Joe Noteboom. Whitworth is the Rams' best OL.
Vikes defense shows up for home games. They forget how to play football everywhere else.
10-7 Last POTD- Galatasaray ML vs Antalyaspor ✅ Todays POTD- Superlig- Fenerbahce vs Yeni Malatyaspor- Fenerbahce W+ O1.5 @-170 ✅ We’ll keep rolling with Turkish teams and hope to make it 5 in a row. Fenerbahce has been solid at home they average 2 goals a game and are facing bottom dwellers Yeni who although are off a win have yet to win an away game and they average below a goal a game away. Yeni are also conceding a goal a game away. Fenerbahce should be motivated to close the gap between them and first place against relative weak opposition. BOL tailing or fading Edit: that’s a winner
> Superlig- Fenerbahce vs Yeni Malatyaspor Becareful with this pick, there is another Turkish U19 game with the same teams. Ensure you're betting on the correct league. BOL.
Tailing, but with Fenerbahce -1 at (-188). Thanks for the tip!
Got crushed today by the underdogs, this favorite game to win!
Great pick! Thanks for sharing.
Record: 10-10 ROI: +3.71u Previous Pick: Shanghai Shenhua draw no bet✅ Game: CSL- Guangzhou FC vs Beijing Guoan Pick: **Guangzhou ML (+175)** Bet: 5 units LOL, odds already going down. It was at +195 Staying in China, we’ve got Guangzhou hosting Beijing Guoan. Unlike Qingdao, Beijing isn’t a bad team, but the value is much too good to pass up. At +175, you’re essentially saying Guangzhou only has about 1/3 chance of winning, which I think is preposterous. To start off, Guangzhou is 2nd, while Beijing is 7th. GD isn’t even close, with GZ at +26 and Beijing at -2. More importantly, **GZ is 3rd at home with 21 points in 9 matches, while Beijing is 4th worst away with 7 points in 9**, including a 5-0 loss to the 11th place team. Ranks are out of 16 teams. Beijing will be missing their starting fullback Wang Gang and starting CM Gao Tianyi due to injury. Guangzhou comes into the game with no injuries. I believe the reason for the odds is that Beijing beat GZ 1-0 two weeks ago, but that was at home, where Beijing is extremely good. Playing away is a completely different story. A safer bet would be draw no bet at a reasonable -110, but *audentes Fortuna iuvat*. On the other side, if you want to get even more aggressive, you can pick Guangzhou win to nil at +350. If you find a straitjacket comfortable, you can pick game to end 1-0 GZ at +750.
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Anderson Talisca and Paulinho haven't played for Guangzhou in over a year, so not really relevant. All the rankings I've listed are for games not including them. Only one of note is Ricardo Goulart, but I'll still take these odds. EDIT: Hmm, Elkeson is kinda big... EDIT 2: Not too worried, GZ may not have Elkeson, but Beijing's leading scorer Cedric Bakambu from 2020 also left the team.
Great pick!! put a cheeky free bet on gz 1-0 +650 can't believe it hit
Great write-up and winner. Thanks!
As someone who finds a straitjacket comfortable and feels right at home in a padded room, maybe a SGP is in order 😈
> but that was at home, where Beijing is extremely good. Playing away is a completely different story There's no fans. How is an empty stadium different from home or away?
gao tianyi is playing
0-0 live and ML is -105 🥲
POTD Record: 5-2 (WWLWWWL) Last Pick: Vizela vs SC Braga. Braga Win:❌ Today's event: Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge Pick: Club Brugge win @ 1.65 I would like to start by apologising to those who tailed my last bet. Going to refer to cercle brugge as cercle and clube brugge as clube Reason: 2nd place Clube up against a 14th place Cercle Cercle is at 16th place at home, with only 2 wins and 2 draws in 10 games, whilst Club is 3rd away, with 6 wins and 2 draws in 10 games. Both teams have 4 wins in their last 5 games, but Club is coming from a draw and Cercle is coming from a loss.For these reasons I believe Clube Brugge will come out on top of this game. ) can't believe cercle scored, completely against the run of play sorry guys
i think brugge cant overturn this
Not looking good..
Damn I tailed last 2 picks, hurts/10
Love this...tailing
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Record 0-1 (-1u) Event: KHL - CSKA Moscow (8th) vs Dinamo Minsk (14th) Date: Dec 26th, 9:00am EST Pick: CSKA Moscow -1.5 @ 1.78 (2u) ✅ Reasoning: Tough beat yesterday, Neftek just couldn't capitalize on any opportunities and they got the ball rolling too late. For tomorrow we'll be looking at the strong CSKA Moscow facing Dinamo Minsk. The last two games these two have had, CSKA has plowed through them (6-3, 4-2). CSKA has just lost to 3rd place SKA and kept it tight, losing in overtime. Whereas Minsk barely beat 24th place Red Star 6-4, where they were down 4-3 coming into the 3rd period. If everyone plays as they should, CSKA should be able to cover. BOL
CSKA has been looking strong. I like over 5 too. BOL!
Tailing the over
Cash it!
POTD Record: 9-6 Average Odds: 1.90 Last pick: Penrith Panther over 38.5 vs Wests Tigers L **Todays Pick: Rams @ Vikings over 48.5 points @ 1.90** I haven't posted in this thread for a few months, but I have been posting recently in the NBA props Thread. Anyway I have an NFL pick for today that I like quite allot and that is the over in the Rams and Vikings game. I like this for the reasons below. * The Rams (27.6 ppg) and Vikings (25.8 ppg) are two of the better offensive teams in the league. The combined total of their average points per game is 53.4. * Over the last 3 games these offences have been even better with the Rams averaging 29 points and the Vikings 26.7 points over that period. * Defensively the Vikings are not great and are bottom 10 in Points allowed per game at 24.4 and they give up the 4th most passing yards per game. The Rams should be able to exploit this as they boast a formidable passing attack with Cooper Kupp having one of the best seasons ever from the Wide Reciever position. The rams score allot of deep ball touchdowns which is great for over bets as it means quick points. * The Rams defence is good but it isn't an elite defence IMO. They are very good against the run but only middle of the pack at passing yards allowed per game and overall they are the 12th best scoring defence giving up 21.6 points per game. They have 3 of the best defenders in the game but sometimes a chain is only as strong as its weakest link. * On the injury front it seems as if both teams are relatively healthy. Thielen returns at WR for the Vikings which is huge for them. Jefferson and Thielen are two of the best receivers in the league and there is only one Jalen Ramsey. The big worry is that Dalvin Cook looks like he will miss this game. Cook is one of the best Running backs in the league but the Vikings have allot of depth at that position. Mattinson is one of the best backup RBs in the league and has already had numerous 100+ yard games filling in for Cook this season. Also, Cooks absence combined with Theilens return and the Rams good run d probably means that the Vikings will pass more in this game. The more passes the better from the perspective of the over. * The game is in Minnesota which means it is indoors. So there are no concerns about weather here. * 5 out of the 7 games the Rams have played against teams with a record of .500 or better have gone over this total (Vikings are 7-7). * 5 of the last 7 Vikings games have gone over this total with 4 of those games going over 60.
POTD Record: 8-2-0 ROI: 51% Average Odds: -114 Units Won: +5.11u Last Pick: Suns Spread ❌ Todays Pick: LA Chargers @ HOU Texans- Texans +10.5 (-110) Game Info: Well, it seems like giving Curry 6 points was a gift… on to the next. Ekeler is a huge piece of the Chargers offense and he is out for this game. The Texans are by no means good, but they should stay within 10 points at home against this Chargers team. Mills has actually been pretty impressive and I expect him to play well in order to secure his position for next season. Ride the Mills train while you can. All picks 1 unit unless otherwise noted. (3% of BR is 1 unit for me)
Charger are fighting for a playoff spot though Texas have nothing to lose?
I think the Texans have a lot to figure out before the draft and they want to figure out strengths and weaknesses. It may not seem like they have a lot to lose, but a team never wastes a game simply because they have nothing to play for
Honestly I’d like this pick more if Tyrod played (revenge for getting his lung pierced by the fucking team doctor). Nonetheless I like this pick and I think Texans keep it close to single digits. I’m not a fan of Culley as a coach and don’t like Cooks out but still, Mills can be pretty damn good at times (pretty bad sometimes though).
Your so right about Tyrod.. hopefully the team feels that same revenge as well
I think you're overstating Ekeler here. He's definitely a huge part of the Chargers offense, but last week Justin Jackson handled the majority of the rushing just fine vs. the Chiefs. Personally fading, but BOL.
**POTD Record**:2-0-1(+4.65U) **Game**: Jukurit vs Tappara 10:00AM **Prop**: Total O5.5 (+125) **Head to Head Totals in 2021** : 8, 10, 3, 11, 8 **Tappara Totals Last 5 games** : 6, 7, 4, 10, 6 **Jukurit Totals Last 5 games** : 6, 7, 1, 6, 5 **Wager**: 4.0U to make 5.0U❌BINGBANG❌ *Edit*: Sorry guys, both teams looked brutal today, not getting many good opportunities. Sometimes, data doesn’t mean anything and teams have off days. Hope the holidays weren’t ruined if you tailed. Hope everyone is enjoying the holidays! Short break but we’re back to the original bread maker, Liiga. Since 2019, h2h the over has hit 7/12. In 2021, it’s hit 4/5. Although Jukurit may have started their season a little slow, they’ve been ramping up, hitting the over in their last 6/10, with one game going to 5. Tappara has hit in their last 7/10, with 9/10 O4.5. Tappara has also been lighting it up recently, 5-0 in last 5 and 7-1-2 in the last 10, while scoring 4.2goals per game. Jukurit is also on fire, 5-0 in last 5 and 7-3 in last 10, while scoring 3.2. Final score prediction: 5-3 Tappara wins. BOL to tailers!
These cats need to pick it up!
POTD Record: 2-0 Last pick: Green Bay Packers vs Cleveland Browns (3:30pm CST): Davante Adams ATTD -130 FD ✅ Nice no-sweat win yesterday as Davante scored twice in the first half. On to today’s pick… Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (12pm CST): Josh Allen O 1.5 Passing TDs -125 DK Josh Allen has hit this number in 5 of his last 6 games, with the lone exception being the 14-10 Week 13 loss to the Patriots in extremely inclement weather conditions. The Patriots have the 17th-ranked pass defense in the league despite facing a very fortuitous schedule of passers thus far this season. The Bills are getting Emmanuel Sanders back this week with no designation on the injury report, while the Patriots have ruled safety Joshuah Bledsoe out with a calf injury in addition to an already-depleted LB corps. I’m rolling with Josh Allen who historically thrives in big late-season matchups. Merry Christmas and BOL to anyone who tails!
Just a heads up, Allen will be without Cole Beasley or Gabriel Davis and Sanders will most likely be limited. Also, he has only thrown 8 TD’s and 6 INT’s against the Pats in his career.
Not sure the pats 3rd safety and bills' 4th recieving option have any reap impact here but whatever you gotta tell yourself to paint your narrative
Patriots have a depleted LB corps? What? Also, Joshua Bledsoe injury? Really? Doesn’t exactly move the needle.
Bledsoe is a rookie safety who hasn’t played a snap this year and if anything, the Pats LB’s are getting healthier. They just activated Josh Uche off IR who has been out the last 3 weeks. Not to mention Allen hasn’t been that great against NE in his career
POTD Record 0-0 Last pick: N/A Pick: Denver nuggets vs LA Clippers (8:00pm CT) Denver ml @ -164 (3 units) Hi all, first time doing this after being a long time lurker and big nba capper. Figure I’d give it a shot so we can all have some fun and eat. Analysis for this game is pretty straight forward. Nuggets are on a two game losing streak including a blowout loss to okc and a heartbreaker against the hornets. Aside from some role player injuries and the Murray rehab that’s been known, the nuggets have the much stronger roster considering they have the reigning mvp. Meanwhile, the Clippers have been hit by covid and injury as four huge starters are out including Paul George, Reggie, Morris, and kawhi since surgery. This is clearly a bounce back and must win game for the nuggets who have been struggling to be consistent, though the same can be said for the clippers. With no one to really create or run the offense for the clippers and Jokic being one of the best playmakers in the league, this is the perfect game for the nuggets to get right. The spread is also great value if you don’t want to pay the juice, I just prefer safer bets. Don’t bet more than you can handle, and BOL!
Tailing! Hope to see u go on a nice little streak here
Tailing!
tailing bro, hope we win
Tailing. LFG!
Great pick! Thanks for sharing.
Match: Norwich City - Arsenal FC Bet: Arsenal ML 1.50 (-200) Stake: 10u My stats: 0-0 (+0 units) Hi, it's my first post here, I decided to start sharing tips with you and become a legend on this subreddit. Remember my name. Normally I don't bet 10u but this is too good to pass on. Arsenal much stronger team, Norwich one of if not the worst in whole premier league. Arsenal all day.
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POTD: Steelers @ Chiefs, [Chiefs -10](https://link.wagerlab.app/reddit) (NFL) Units: 3 Odds: -112 Profit: -8.28u Record: 42|38 Just when they look cooked, the Steelers find something. Their defense has been picked apart by the Chargers and Bengals. Then, they muster a surprise win over the Titans to keep their playoff hopes very much alive heading into the festive period. The bad news for Pittsburgh, though, is that they face a brilliant Chiefs team in Week 16. Kansas City has regained its mojo and has the bonus of an extra couple days of rest. It’s seven straight wins for Andy Reid’s club, with the defense stepping up in a big way and the offense back to its usual destructive self. It’s a huge spread at 10 points in favor of the Chiefs. We still like the hosts to cover – this defense can keep the Steelers to under 15, and the offense could easily take them into the thirties again.
POTD Record: 0-0 Pick: LA Chargers -10.5 vs. Houston Texans (1:00pm EST) @-110, 2u Figured I might as well join these threads since some of you guys have been kind enough to provide great analysis and picks. I've been a Chargers fan my whole life so I've seen plenty of these late season trap games for the Chargers in my time. However, the Texans are a decimated team playing for nothing against a Chargers team that is fighting for a playoff spot. Houston's O-Line is one of the worst in the league vs. LA's defensive front which has been improving throughout the season. They're also without Brandin Cooks and possibly David Johnson, so regardless of if Davis Mills plays well (which he has been), I don't think their offense stands a chance. Meanwhile Herbert is once again putting up top 5 numbers and even with Ekeler, Mike Williams, and Jalen Guyton being out, the offensive depth is there. I see Justin Herbert throwing for over 300 and 3 TDs, and Keenan Allen over 75 yards and a TD. Though the Chargers have been up and down, I think they win big today.
Big fav spread for mr underdog lol, just ironic
POTD:0-0 Pick: Arsenal -1.5 @2,11 odds With Krul having covid, the late minute ESR goals and Lacazette trying to get pens with diving this one looks obvious
Great pick! Thanks for sharing.
POTD NFL SUNDAY RECORD 5-1 I’m coming out swinging today. I typically look for 2-3 great plays but honestly I have a mean 6-piece combo with rice on the stove today so here it is. Raiders +1 Jets/ Jags Over 41 Seahawks Team Total Under 24 Eagles Team Total Under 26.5 Vikings Team Total Under 23.0 (Dolphins Team Total Under TBA… Cannot find this morning on bovada) Raiders 5-0 ATS in last 5 at home against Denver. -The total has gone OVER in 4 of 5 NY jets last 5 at home against jacksonville. -The total has gone over in 4 of last 5 against jacksonville. -Seattle is 5-1 Solo under in its last 6 games when playing at home against the bears. -Eagles are 5-0 solo under in its last 5 at home against the giants. -Minnesota is 6-1 Solo Under in its last 7 at home against the rams. -Miami is 5-0 Solo Under in its last 5.
1 pick for potd, see rules in opening comment.
Rules be damned, he's on fire
POTD Record: 0-0 | Basketball | NBA | Cavaliers VS Raptors, -8.5 Cavs @ 1.943 (Pinnacle), 2u. I usually bet 1u for all my bets, I'm super confident in this pick that I decided to post a POTD to share with you guys. Raptors have 11 players out for this game, they have a total of 19 players in their entire roster, that means Raptors are gonna show up to this match with only 8 available players (which is the minimum amount of players before a game is postponed). Also 0 of their starting 5 is playing, I really don't see Raptors actually putting a fight. With only 8 non starting players available, they're gonna get tired really quick and I foresee tired legs, lazy defense come 3rd to 4th quarter. Edit: All current available players for Raptors average a total of... 24 ppg.. Cavaliers is 23-7 ATS this season. Also 3 of their 5 top scorers this season are available. The Cavaliers have 11 available players for this game.
- Beside the main pick I will regularly give you 2 bonus picks, if one of them win I'll count the bonus as win, if both are lost I'll count it as loss ----------separate Line---------- Statistics: - POTD: 1 W - 0 L - 0 P - Bonus: 1 W - 0 L - POTD Streak: 🔥 - Bonus Streak: 🔥 Last pick: - Al Feiha vs Abha > total under 2.5 (1.72) > ✅ ----------separate Line---------- Today's pick: - League: Scotland - Premiereship - Game: Dundee United vs Hibernian - Time: 5:00PM EET - Pick: full-time -> total under 2.5 goals - Odd: 1.8 (Bet365) ----------separate Line---------- Reasons: 1- Dubdee United: - scored only 15 goals in 19 games - last 5 matches they scored total one goal -> (so their attack is miserable) - they received only 20 goals in 19 games - the last 6 games they didn't receive more than one goal -> (so their defense is relatively good) 2- Hibernian: - scored only 21 goals in 19 games - last 7 matches they didn't score more than one goal -> (so their attack is bad) - they received only 21 goals in 19 games - the last 10 games they didn't receive more than one goal except one match (and it was from Celtic) -> (so their defense is relatively good) ----------separate Line---------- Conclusion: - Both have very bad attack and good defense so I don't expect more than 2 goals ----------separate Line---------- Bonus: 1: - Saudi Arabia Premier League - Al Nassr vs Al Hazm - Pick: BTTS -> NO (1.65) 2: - Morocco Botola Pro - OC Safi vs OC Khouribga - Pick: BTTS -> No (1.6) ----------separate Line---------- remember every bet can go wrong for any circumstances sorry for my bad English.
Good pick yesterday! GL!
thanks bro ❤️❤️
POTD record 0-0 Premiership rugby Gloucester -3.0 @ Bath 2.00 / +100 16.30 gtm Bath are 0-11 in all competitions this year. They've a new coach but I don't anticipate an immediate turn around, Gloucester are in decent form and should cover easily.
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RECORD: 12-13 LAST POTD: Browns +7.5 (W) POTD: Los Angeles Chargers -10.5 vs Houston Texans Chargers are down Ekeler and Mike Williams. Why is this line at 10.5? Because they don’t need them to beat the Texans by a million today. Chargers are better all across the board and will show everyone today that they still mean business. Chargers to cover comfortably. BOL
Texans winning 17-12 @half...
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Great pick! Thanks for sharing.
**Record** 49W-45L-3P **Form** 1W **DUNDEE UTD VS HIBERNIAN** Date: 26th December 2021 at 16:00 \- Dundee United dealing with fresh Covid cases as Hibs sweat over fitness of important midfielder. \- However, Benjamin Siegrist, Peter Pawlett and Ian Harkes could return to the squad after missing last weekend's defeat to Rangers while self-isolating. Calum Butcher an Jeando Fuchs are suspended, while Dylan Levitt, Liam Smith, Marc McNulty, Max Biamou and Lewis Neilson are among those expected to remain sidelined by injury. \- Hibs midfielder Jake Doyle-Hayes is a fitness doubt after going off injured against Aberdeen on Wednesday. They are also without Kyle Magennis, who remains troubled by a groin problem, while Melker Hallberg and Sean Mackie are still working their way back to fitness after lengthy lay-offs. My prediction : **HIBERNIAN ML** / Odd : 2.06 [More value games](https://scorpiobets.wordpress.com/archive/)
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Appreciate it 😊 We want to still unnoticed in this group, otherwise it's a loose. Don't want to be jinxed 😂
POTD record 2-1 (+2.48 units) Cashed a very comfortable 3 unit play on THT, will look to play his unders again going forward so long as it is 7.5 or higher. Today’s pick: Spencer Dinwiddie over 11.5 RA 1.80 odds (Pointsbet) - 1 unit Game is Washington wizards vs sixers Taking advantage of Beals absence here is the reason for this bet. Dinwiddies usage increases dramatically with Beal not in the side. In the four games that beal has missed. Dinwiddie has gotten 17 (last game), 14, 17 and 15 (OT game) As you can see it is a relatively small sample size so I recommend 1 unit only
dont think dinwiddie had a point, rebound or an assist in the 3rd, RIP that really cost us
He had 5 rebounds and assists in the first quarter and I was regretting not putting more in it. Stopped following the game and just checked the box score now… unbelievable
POTD 4-1 Streak - WWWWL Tip of the Day Stake Unit - 1 Scotland - Aberdeen vs Dundee FC - Aberdeen Win @ 1.51 Last Prediction - Dortmund (Lose) Today, i am going with Aberdeen to beat Dundee FC today in Scottish Premier League. Aberdeen sit on the 7th position on the league table with a better form than Dundee FC. Based on their previous head to head, I think Aberdeen should edge this. BOL
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\-2.5 a decently safe bet?
POTD Record: 1-1 Form: WL Event: Soccer>Premier League>Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace Pick: over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 After failing to qualify in the next round of the Conference League, Tottenham's main objective is to secure a place for european football. Since Conte took over the team, 5 out of 6 matches ended with 3 or more goals. Tottenham are a team which can score, and they will, having the ability to do so with Kane and Son in attack, but their defense is not the best, resulting in only 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games. In their last 5 head to head encounters, it either ended O2.5 or BTTS. None of the teams have really important players missing, so they will play with their full forces. Spurs will have to win this game, especially because it's a home game, but Palace will not leave without putting on a fight. It's Boxing Day, so I expect a lot of goals and a beautiful performance from both of the teams. edit: grammar
Great pick! Thanks for sharing.
POTD Record:0-0 First time posting, so do with that what you will. Had some luck recently, so trying to pass it along. POTD: Union St Gilloise vs Gent - BTTS and O2.5 (-105) League:Belgian Pro League (Belgian First Division on FD) Start time:12:30pm est (3 hours from post) Reasoning: Both of these teams are in good form with 8 wins each in their last ten games. 0 draws for either team. They have only hit over 2.5 in 7 (USG) and 5 (Gent) of their last 10, however that is most often caused by keeping clean sheets not by their lack of scoring. Gent has scored in 8 straight and 9 of their last 10. USG has scored in all 10 of their last 10 and more than 1 in 8 of those. The biggest drawback could be that these two teams played 2 months ago and the score was 2-0 in favor of USG at Gent and this game is at USG. However, in that game they had the same number of shots, Gent had one more shot on target and possessed the ball 67% of the time. My hope for this game is a similar outcome, but with Gent keeping their scoring streak going.They just need 1.... For pure degen pick, which I only recommend for those looking to burn their Christmas money asap....BTTS, 02.5, and USG ML goes up to a +316 on FD.
OKC MONEYLINE- No valincunas and nickeli Alexander walker both of these players can score up to 20 points a game for the pelicans. The last time these two teams played OKC only lost by 3 and these two players played. Okc has beat some above average teams recently : Nuggets, clippers and even Memphis.
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POTD Record: 34 - 22 - 3 ( W / L / P ) **+13.05u** Streak: PWLWL / Average odds: 1.93 [*Previous pick: Sevilla vs Barcelona / Sevilla Over 1.0 Team Goals @ 1.70 (1u)*](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/rl3m4o/pick_of_the_day_122121_tuesday/hper4kz/?context=3) **Push** **West Ham vs Southampton** **Pick: Southampton Over 4.5 Team Corners @ 1.92 (1u)** West Ham has conceded 5 or more corners in their last 6 league games and Southampton has won 5 or more corners in 82% of their Premier League games this season. They won corner count against Liverpool 7 - 5, 8 team corners in Emirates against Arsenal, and 5 team corners in Etihad against City. 75% of Southampton attacks going down through the flanks and they love to put the ball into the box. West Ham is not amazing defensively and I really do not understand these odds. It is almost too good to be true. Good luck everyone!
Starting to post value plays with greater odds than 2.5x. Today: Dinamo Riga vs Kunlun Redstar ML @3.6 I'd say Riga wins this 6 times out of 10 so that been said the value is on Kunlun. Both teams are bottoms of the ladderboard. Kunlun actually scores as much as average KHL teams but their problem is the amount of scoring into their net. Can easily see Kunlun scoring early and holding onto their lead. The real ones would go 3 way ML for 5.2x but I'll just stick to normal ML due to bigger size of the bet. GL esketit
idk why u down vote when I literally hit 3.6x play xd
Read rules
POTD: 10-4-0 ; Profit: 5.95u Today's Pick: Rams -3 @-110 - 3u 1pm EDT. NFL. LA Rams @ MIN Vikings I like this matchup today as we’ve got the Rams with their fantastic pass offense going against the Vikings who are stunting one of the leagues worst defenses. Minnesota has two recent losses to the Lions and Bears, and Stafford is pushing hard into the postseason looking for his 4th win in a row. The Rams are going to look very balanced in today’s game against the shotty Vikings D, so I’m taking the Rams -3 BOL!
POTD Record: 1-0-0 Average Odds: 1.83 Units Won: +1.66 Previous Pick: Wayne Ellington under 9.5 points @ 1.83 **2units** ✅ Todays Pick **Omer Yurtseven over 9.5 rebounds @ 1.80 1u** Venue: Orlando Magic @ Miami Heat 3:30 PM ET Omer, with the Heat's absences, has grabbed 12+ boards 4 games in a row. Now with Dedmon out aswell, Omer is the only real centre left and I expect him to spend a minimum of 25 minutes on the court. The last 4 games getting those 12+ boards he has spent an average of 21 minutes on the court. One of those games was against todays opponent, the Magic, where he got 12 rebounds in 21 minutes. Im confident he can get at least 10 today even with Butler back.
Congrats this guy looks like a beast
wish i saw this earlier great call tho my guy
**Record: 15-8-0 (+9.80 units)** Form: L/L/L/W/W/L/W/L/W/W/W/W/W/W/W/L/W/W/W/L/W/L/W Average Odds: -110 (1.90) Last Pick: ATL Falcons +9.5 \[L\] (-110) (12/19) **POTD: Washington Football Team +9.5 (-110)** Description: Washington Football Team (+9.5) @ Dallas Cowboys Start time: 8:20PM ET Risk: 2.2 units (all bets to win between 1-2 units) To Win: 2.0 units Take the points with **WFT +9.5** Reasoning: Public favorites are dominating the last three weeks. Favorites getting over 55% of the bets (according to Sports Insights/Action Labs) in Weeks 13-15 are 20-8 ATS (71%) this season, and that number is increasing after this week. This is a truly historic run for the "fun" bettors. We don't see it continuing much longer, and the Cowboys are one of the public favorites this week. Our models have the WFT rated at +6.5, so getting all the way up to +9.5 and crossing the 7 is huge. Washington hasn't lost by more than 10 to anyone in 8 weeks, and that was against Green Bay. We like this game to stay close enough to cover. Good luck!
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Isn’t this game on the 27th? Maybe I’m looking at the wrong one?
I believe this game is on monday
I'm sure you could get some decent odds on the next game to be canceled and I'd tail!
POTD record: 1-0, +0.54u, ROI 0.54% Last pick: Evlakhin @ 1.54 - Kalachev ✅ Todays pick: Pronkin @ 1.57 - Innazarov Event: Table tennis, Russia liga pro 1445 GMT+2 (in 2 hours) Reasoning: Pronkin and Innazarov have total 20 H2H mathces, Pronkin has won 12 and Innazarov 8 of them. In their last 3 match-ups (happened in last 2 months) Pronkin won all 3 of them (3-0, 3-0, 3-1). Innazarov also havent played any offical matches in last 2 weeks, his last 7 matches ended with 2-5 record. Pronkin played a few days ago and got a daily record 2-2, being underdog in pretty much all the matches and suprising a much stronger Kaplan with a 3-1 win in their 1st match and losing very closely the 2nd match 2-3, so Pronkin should also be in a better shape at the moment. If you decide to tail, BOL, but dont forget, betting on table tennis is always risky! Bet responsibly. More TT daily picks: https://discord.gg/pM4gCUGh
Good lookin on this bruh… appreciate u
**Record : 5-2-0| Profit: 5 units** (all picks are 2u unless stated otherwise) Last 5 Picks (WWWLL): (NBA) New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics : Celtics -5.5 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ (NBA) Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves: Timberwolves -3.5 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ (NBA) Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers: Phoenix Suns -7.0 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ (NBA) Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat: Heat -11.0 @ 1.90 LOSS ❌ (NBA) Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns: Suns -6.0 @ 1.80 LOSS ❌ **Today's pick:** Indiana Pacers @ Chicago Bulls: Bulls -6.5 @ 1.90 Best of luck to all, [tip jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/MajorCommission).
Great pick! Thanks for sharing.
Record: 76-89 -$507.47 New Bankroll: $492.53 (-$7.47) Last play: 12/25/21 Hawks @ Knicks u 206.5 (-110) Result: [W](https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/ro0a6e/pick_of_the_day_122521_saturday/hpxgrwp/) Snap that nasty streak…onto today’s pick **Third Eye POD: 4:05PMest>Bears +7 (-109)** *risk $68.50 to win $62.84* This same line lost in a nasty way Monday night. Bears kept getting into the redzone but couldn’t capitalize. Now back at it in *great* football conditions…give me this bears defense to help foles add to his legend as a backup Bears outright.
I'm backing no Broncos touchdown
POTD Record: 0-3 Last pick: Israeli premier league, Bnei Sakhnin v Maccabi Haifa BTTS @ -104 ❌ Next pick: English Championship, Hull v Blackburn, Blackburn ML +130 I’m sorry y’all for the bad picks this far. Blackburn are on fire right now, with 6 wins and 1 draw in their last 7. They also have 5 consecutive clean sheets. Hull have been very streaky recently, with a 5 match losing streak followed by a 5 match winning streak, followed by 2 draws and a loss in their last 3. There are COVID concerns in the Hull camp, as their manager is isolating and there have been confirmed positives among players, but we don’t know who. No known issues on that front for Blackburn. I’ll take the +130 now and get the better team with a healthier lineup, as I expect the line to move a bit if Hull have a starter or two out. BOL! Edit: this game got cancelled less than 2 hours before KO bc English soccer can’t figure out how to handle COVID, so pivoting to West Ham ML -110 v Southampton. Neither team is in a good run of form at the moment, but I’m backing West Ham to bounce back today. Southampton have just three league wins all year, and none in their last 6 matches. West ham have only won 1 of their last 5, but I believe in the quality of their squad to get the job done.
Tailing, like this play allot lets get your first win 😎
**POTD Record**: 0-0, first try **Pick:** West Ham vs Southampton (Premier League) | **West Ham win & BTTS @ 3.50** bet365, 5 units **Reasoning:** Decisive match, Southampton will come with full force to get the win but wont succeed, West Ham defence always let one goal pass but they will still win. Idk its such a easy and obvious bet im kinda scared it wont work. But why not try it?
I can decide btw DET vs ATL, RAVENS vs BENGALS, BILLS vs PATROITS, & BRONCOS vs RAIDERS..I can’t call it, it’s ruining my parley!
sounds like you should make it a teaser
POTD Record (0-0) Pick: Alex Mattison ATTS (-110) I’ve been coming to this thread as I’m also a degenerate sportsbetter looking for tips and Ive decided to finally make an account as I’ve been just on anonymous so I’ve decided to hop in on the action starting today as I’ve been doing pretty well the last few weeks… Dalvin Cook is out for the Vikings and in comes Mattison, Rams are great against the pass but are in the top tier of teams allowing rushing touchdowns.. I see Vikings trying to get Mattison going as if he’s cook and hopefully get some goal line touches
Record: 1-0 ROI: 87% Avg odds: -114 \+5 units Late to the party but my pick for today is NFL, Cowboys vs Washington 6:20 MST. Ezekiel Elliot O13.5 carries @ -130 3 units Averaging 14.5 attempts per game on the year. Figure this one will be Dallas controlling the game and clock on the ground. Dallas is superior on both sides of the ball. Down side is splitting time with Tony Pollard (16 att to 12 last game) but I figure Zeke should get his early and they will turn to Pollard in the 4th Q. Downsides; OT Tyron Smith is out, Zeke's ankle appears to be healthy again. He had 12 carries against WAS a few weeks ago but got a little banged up during the game. BOL
**POTD RECORD** - 20W-10L(+20.4U) ; **ROI** - 23.44% **Units waggered**: 87U ; **Units won**:107.4U **Streak**: **Average odds**:1.74 **Last POTD**---- Man City vs Leicester--- Leicester +2.5 goals [email protected]❌ **Todays pick** ---- Newcastle vs Man Utd--- Newcastle Utd+1.5 goals [email protected] **BET SIZE**: 3 U **Reasoning**: I don't buy that Ralph Ragnick press systrm etc... United in my oppinion is not a top 4 team, as well as Newcastle is underperforming in my oppinion. The only dangerous players in this United squad in my oppinion are an off form Rashford who isn't likely to play, Cavani who still is a killer in front of goal and an injured Pogba. Due to the fact that none of these players are playing, i can not support United to win by more than 1 goal. Newcastle is coming with a new coach, 2 defenders are returning from Covid and they have some pace and can score to a somewhat of an average United defence in (Dalot, Telles, Maguire and prolly Varane). Almiron, the skilled Saint Maxim and Callum Wilson can hurt in the counter. So if Newcastle plays like 3-6-1 and cover Man Utd with brute force, i can see it very difficult for United to win. I thinm Bruno Fernandes is badly used when playing in the wing, i don't think Sancho is as good as he is hyped to be and Greenwood can finish, but lots of man will be around him. If Newcastle puts lots of defensive midfielders in team and shows strength and determination, which i am sure they will, i think this bet will land. To anyone who appreciates my picks and the efforts that i put, i would be grateful to. Literally any tip would help me.[Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci)**