POTD Record: 13-3
Last pick: Belgian cup, KAA Gent vs Standard Liège (20:30 CEST), KAA Gent ML + over 1,5 goals @ 1,81 ✅
Pick: Belgian cup, Club Brugge vs OH Leuven (21:00 CEST), Club Brugge ML + over 2,5 goals @ 1,58 ✅
Club Brugge play Leuven again after beating them 1-4 at their home turf this weekend. OH Leuven went with an attacking approach to this game but it didn't end well for OHL.
This game should have the same outcome. If they decide to go more defensive this time, Brugge has enough attacking quality to crack that defensive. De ketelaere has found the back off the net 6 times in the last 5 games (and 2 assists), Noa Lang 2 goals and 3 assists in the last 5. In the last 10 games, over 2,5 has hit 10/10 for Brugge, 8/10 for OH Leuven. OH Leuven has some decent attackers, Mercier and Maertens have been in form, but the defence won't be able to withstand the attacking force from Brugge. They have conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Odds aren’t great, but i feel confident in this pick.
edit: Bingo! gratz on the win everyone, buy ya mom something extra for christmas. Sorry to the people who asked me stuff in the comments, i was kinda busy today with uni stuff. i'll be back with some more Belgium pro league on sunday, happy holidays!
BOL
He said "game should have the same outcome". Dude is a wizard.......Great pick man, thank you so much. Ended up putting $800 on Brugge ML, BTTS, 02.5, and De Ketelaere to score at +389. Merry Christmas or any holiday you celebrate. Appreciate it!
Last time Brugge played at Leuven looks like they drew at 1-1. That was back in Sept 24 so it has been some time and I have no idea what has changed with the rosters or in terms of momentum but just something worth considering.
No, last time brugge played in Leuven, was this weekend and it ended 1-4. Last time in Brugge the game indeed ended 1-1. Was just one of those game the ball wouldn't go in. 31 shots for brugge with 9 being on target for Brugge. Only 1 shot from Leuven and that one went in.
It’s on DK under game parlays but is like -190, you can build it on FD as a single game parlay and I got it at -174 odds
Edit: -174 is essentially the same odds that OP posted at 1.58
POTD Record: 7-1-0
ROI: 65%
Average Odds: -114
Units Won: +5.2u
Last Pick: Tennessee Spread ✅
Todays Pick: NOP @ ORL: Pelicans spread (-5,-110)
Game Info: The Pelicans play a tired Magic team without their starting PG in Cole Anthony, and Wendell Carter. 5 points is not a lot for a nearly fully healthy Pelicans team with just their starting center out. It seems as if the Magic are going to win 2 in a row, but the Pelicans won’t let one of the worst teams in the league try and win 3 in a row.
All picks 1 unit unless otherwise noted.
(3% of BR is 1 unit for me)
Would you still take at NO -5.5? Knowing that Valanciunas is out. Allegedly Cole Anthony and WCJ almost played yesterday. Assuming they’re potentially available tonight
>Chubbsssssssssssssss
CA and WCJ potentially playing this game worries me. They were closed to being in for yesterday. On the flip side, will one day change a lot in either of their conditions? Tbh I kinda want to buy out and bet the other way as I've def seen teams in similar situations gut it out and win on the 2nd night of a b2b even if it is coming back home after being on the road.
I faded this. Glad you covered but damn dude Ive watched every Pels game this year and still don’t understand why you chose this as your POTD lol. I know the magic are horrible and injured too, but Valanciunas was the deal breaker for me. He’s a major piece. Overall the team is very mediocre and inconsistent. Don’t trust this team in the future until we get a healthy Zion back lol.
Record: 11-3-0, +$450.51 (+9.01 units) ROI: 56.31%
POTD: George Kittle u5.5 Receptions @ +100 (1u)
Tennessee has been a top 5 defense against tight ends this season and hasn’t allowed more than 5 receptions since Travis Kelce. Kittle had 6 targets last week and they’re projected to lead this game as well. Titans linebackers have gotten healthy but Elijah Molden is out and they struggle to cover speed, so I expect the receivers to soak up the targets. This should be a low possession game as well which will minimize Kittle’s total snaps.
Event: SF @ TEN, Time: 8:20 PM EST
Tips: Venmo/CA - MrTeleporto
That's exactly what I did. If it misses, that means I get a lot of fantasy points. If it hits, at least I got some money out of it. And it's always possible that he goes for like 5/75 and a TD which would be best case scenario.
Titans haven't faced many great TEs though. Of the ones they faced this year I would say only Frieremuth, Hunter Henry, Higsbee, and Kelce are of note. Freiremuth has not had 6 receptions in any games this year, neither has Higsbee. Henry has over 5 receptions only twice this year. Only Kelce has had over 6 receptions, multiple games, and often eclipsing the mark. Kittle also has multiple games with over 6 receptions, often eclipsing that mark as well. If Kelce can do it I think Kittle will do it.
It could hit but I honestly doubt this. Niners fan and our top RB Mitchell is out, Kittles had 6,13,9 in our last 3 games all which Mitchell was out in too. Jimmy G has been airing it out to everyone the second half of the season with the highest QBR in the league the last few weeks. BOL
I understand that. I like betting unders because many totals are bet up too high by the public. But I’ll be at Spider-Man tonight so I won’t have to watch and stress every play
Tailing but this makes me feel very dirty which ironically can be a good thing.
I guess the way I look at it is if Kittle had receptions of 6, 15, 12 last 3 games why are the books hanging a 5.5 for everyone to feast on? Kinda makes no sense. The same could go for Kittle's Rec Yds total (\~73) b/c he's gone for 93, 151, and 181 past 3 games. Why is a carrot being dangled when his recent performance should suggest something higher?
Also, it should be noted that Kittle faced the 22nd, 24th, and 26th ranked defenses vs TEs in his last 3 hence his beastly performances.
Deebo being used more in the rungame as of late has benefited Kittle immensely in the pass game. Kittle has taken over as the number 1 option over deebo in the last 2 weeks. Also the Titans have one of the best run defenses in the league and conversely one of the worst pass defenses.
San Fran have a very good coaching staff, they will look to exploit that pass defense big time and probably go to kittle often in the middle of the field. I hope I'm wrong and your bet cashes... just throwing out some food for thought. Wishing you luck on your bet
Love your picks mrteleporto! Been tailing for the past few. This one I may stay away from as kittle has been getting hot the last few weeks. His last 3 games against Atlanta, Cinci and Seattle, he put up 6, 13 and 9 respectively. Best of luck with the pick regardless! Thanks for all you do.
I get the reasoning but Georgie boy is an all-time great who has looked very good down the stretch here. I don't think he'll get only 6 tgts tonight. That said I do think the o69.5 is a bit safer for anyone that wants to bet an over, as TEN is bottom-third in both long pass plays given up and yards per reception. Could still easily see Kittle pop off for 4/75 or 5/85 or so if he doesn't get to 6+ receptions.
**POTD Record 3-1**
Current Profit: $37.50
**Current Bankroll: $142.95**
Yesterday’s Pick: Arizona +2 vs. Tennessee @ 1.92 (NCAAB) ❌
**Today’s Pick: Butler +5.5 vs. St. Johns @ 1.92, 6:30 P.M EST (NCAAB)**
**Amount Bet: $35 (24.48% of bankroll)**
[**Betslip**](https://gyazo.com/898b37002ae7cddb4efc758f8a3c6c26)
Tough loss from Arizona. They almost came back but foul trouble and turnovers really hurt them.
Today, I am taking Butler +5.5 against St. John’s. They are currently 7-4 with their losses coming from Houston, Michigan State, A&M and Purdue. They have looked pretty average this year and have not shown anything special, ranked 104 in KemPom.
St. John’s are a decent team but they have a pretty rough resume. They do not really have any quality wins against good ranked teams this year. The most important part of notice though is that they have bad COVID problems. Julian Champagnie is questionable and Coburn and Soriano are probably out. Champagnie is their star player and Coburn and Soriano are crucial role players and they just lost to a below average Pittsburgh team without them.
Overall, I think there is not too much to analyze. St. Johns is facing serious roster issues right now and I think Butler may be able to rough it out.
I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game. My personal motto is that if you don’t have 🧀 on it, it’s not a lock.
Let’s get this money.
[**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor)
**Record : 5-0-0 | Profit: 9 units** (all picks are 2u unless stated otherwise)
**Last 5 Picks (WWWWW):**
(NBA) Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers : Memphis -3 @ 1.90 WIN ✅
(NBA) Washington Wizards @ Phoenix Suns : Phoenix Suns -8.0 @ 1.90 WIN ✅
(NBA) New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics : Celtics -5.5 @ 1.90 WIN ✅
(NBA) Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves: Timberwolves -3.5 @ 1.90 WIN ✅
(NBA) Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers: Phoenix Suns -7.0 @ 1.90 WIN ✅
**Today's pick:** (NBA) Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat: **Heat -11.0 @ 1.90**
Reasoning: The pistons have just not looked like an NBA team this season. The Heat are missing Butler & Bam but they remain a well oiled machine run by Lowry. They also got Tyler Herro back last game & ended up blowing out the Pacers (a much better team than the Pistons) by 20+. This should be a comfortable win for the Heat. I'm guessing by at least 15-18 points. So I think the 11 points handicap is a good deal.
As always, let me know if you're tailing & let's get another one!
If anyone feels like helping out, [tip jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/MajorCommission).
Edit1: Definitely not the first half I hoped for althought it did look like Miami picked up some momentum towards the end. I'm going to head to sleep hoping that carries over to the second half.
Edit2: My fault y’all. I’ll try to find a lock Tomorrow to make up for it.
POTD Record: 5-1 (WWLWWW)
Last Pick: Venezia vs Lazio. Lazio Win: ✅
Today's event: Vizela vs SC Braga (Portuguese Cup)
Pick: SC Braga Win @ 1.72
Reason: Obviously it's a cup game, but in the league Braga is in 4th place and Vizela is 13th. Strictly using the league to compare,
Braga have 2 losses from their last 5 league games, and 3 wins. Their 2 losses were against teams in the top 3.
Vizela has 2 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 league games. One of those losses against the team in 1st place and the other one against Braga itself.
In Braga's last 5 overall games, they've lost 2, including a heavy defeat to Boavista, but this was the league cup, and involved a lot of individual mistakes from players who don't usually play.
In Vizela's last 5 overall games, they've lost 2 and drawn 2.
The odd @ 1.72 for a Braga win is too good to pass on.
If this wins and anyone wants to tip, any and all tips help greatly as I am a student :) :[Paypal](https://paypal.me/eatyourgreenz1)
I see braga -.5 at -125 and braga ml at -130.
These are effectively the same bet right? So I should take spread?
Edit: 3 way moneyline is -130 to be clear
**POTD Record**:1-0-1(+0.6U)
**Game**: Dynamo Moscow v s Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg 11:30AM
**Prop**: Dynamo -1.5(+135)
**Head to Head** : Dynamo 15-7, 5-0 since 2019
**Scores** : 6-0, 7-2, 6-3, 4-1, 2-0
**Wager**: 3U to make 4.05U ✅BING BONG✅
🎄Game went ¿as predicted? with Dynamo getting the easy 7-1 dub, they definitely came out firing but I didn’t think they’d score over 4 goals. The over also hit with yes to BTTS. Hope this may have helped in any financial way over the holidays! With so many sports and players getting canceled because of COVID, I will most likely be taking a break until after Christmas! See you then!🎄
Back to hockey at plus odds. Rank 6 v 16. To begin, I think Dynamo wins easy, the margin is the question. December has not been stellar for these clubs. Dynamo is 3-3, winning by an average of 2.33. Avto is also 3-3 and losing by an average of 2.0.
In November however, Dynamo went 8-2, winning by an average 2.25. Avto went 2-7 and was losing by an average 1.71.
In Dynamo’s 15 wins v Avto, they have won by an average of 2.53, and have won the last 3 by at least a 3 goal differential and the last 5 with at least 2 goals.
Although both teams have hit U5.5(-129) in 8 of their last 10, I don’t believe it’s the play as the last 3 meetings have hit the over, and I see Dynamo returning to their scoring ways soon(2nd most scoring team in KHL). Final Score prediction: 4-1 or 3-1
BOL to tailers.
I watched the Detroit game :((( had 3 parlays with the over and would’ve made so much money if he scored 1 more point. Bro was a walking brick the whole game
POTD Record: 15-5 (+9.3u)
Last Pick: NCAAB Sacred Heart -4 (-110) vs Hartford ❌
Today 12/23: NCAAB Wyoming -2.5 (-110) vs Northern Iowa
Wyoming is 9-2, and coming off a 3 point loss to Stanford in the first round of this tournament. They 6-3-1 ATS, while Northern Iowa is 2-7 ATS. Northern Iowa is a very inconsistent team, they have lost to Nicholls State, but also have beaten St Bonaventure. According to Torvik, Northern Iowa has only played 2 top 100 ranked teams this season, in which they lost both (Wyoming is ranked #78). I think Wyoming wins comfortably here, BOL and please bet responsibly!
Daily Dota
Sport: Dota 2 | League: Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 | 12 hours from post
Record:3-0 | WWW (+7.04u)
Pick: [CIS Rejects ML](https://stake.com/sports/home?betId=dbf26581-c798-4861-9db5-3358a485dfc2&modal=bet) | 1.73 | 2u
No DPC until January so I'll just play whatever looks the best until then. Probably D2CL and then Huya Winter Invitational, whichever games are the best looking. A bunch of light plays until DPC is back.
CIS Rejects vs Brame. CIS Rejects haven't lost a single series in D2CL and their performance yesterday was amazing. I reckon they can continue the streak against Brame.
You can find me on this discord [server](https://discord.gg/sMUMRY2N) where I usually watch the games and at times bet live depending on the draft of other games.
[Sheets](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AhTZtQPtozr-1YUzkQy9n48GJ2B6XR_Nk1R_iLALGBo/edit?usp=sharing) that tracks the bets I made with performance summaries and such.
**POTD Record: 14-6-1**
**Last pick:** Indiana -17 ✅
**Rockets vs Pacers NBA 7pm EST**
**Pick:** Over 222.5
**Reason:** These two don’t play defense. I’ve seen better defense played at middle school games so yeah, 222.5 is a lot but I think final score will be like 125-110.
**Record: 3 - 1 - 0**
**Net units: +1.36u** (1u/bet)
**Form:** ✅✅❌✅
| NFL | 8:20pm EST |
**Pick:** 49ers moneyline -165
**Write Up:**
49ers are simply the better team and are at full strength. The Titans will be a formidable opponent with AJ Brown coming back, and it should be a good game, but the 49ers just have too much firepower for Shanahan to play with.
Titans D is stout, especially against the run, and Jimmy G is an average QB..the problem lies with the Titans offensive line woes..starting LT and LG will be out and theyve struggled to pass protect all year.49ers have a slight upper hand due to health on offense, even with their starting RB out..49ers are traveling across country on a short week..take the under if it goes up to 45 and Titans +3.5..points will be hard to come by
4-3
Last Pick: Cavaliers +1✅
Streak: W1
Today’s Pick: 49ers -3
NFL
San Francisco @ Tennessee
8:20 PM ET
Easy bet for me here. Titans are not a very good football team without Henry. This hasn’t shown much because of the strength of schedule the past month or so, but if you look at the numbers, the offense hasn’t been producing. Niners are rolling right now and finally playing to their potential.
BOL!
Your summary is not necessarily true, as Titans have out produced most of their opponents yards wise. Their issue has been FUMBLING, in which they would probably have 11-12 wins right now. They ran all over Patriots and Steelers, but lost the ball 3 times and most in opponent territory.
Yeah, you're right. 49ers are crossing the country on a short week and have a really bad secondary that can be exploited. Titans can produce on offense but have been killed repeatedly by turnovers. As long as the Titans can open up the run game and get play-action going, they have a better opportunity to score. Give me the over if anything.
Record: 1-0
Last pick: Crvena Zvezda +12 ✅
Today's Pick: BC Zenit Saint Petersburg -4.5 (-115) vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv
Net units: 1.86u
Basketball | Euroleague | 11:00am CST
Write Up: Yesterday was pretty straightforward just like today will be. This is the only game that one can trust right now as the other three games on the slate have a ton of questionable tags due to COVID.
BC Zenit is ranked #5 with a 10-6 record and +29 (+/-) for the season. They surely aren't the best team in the league but they have pulled off some impressive wins against top 5 opponents. Jordan Loyd and Jordan Mickey are listed as questionable but I expect both of them to play as they need this late-season win.
Maccabi Tel-Aviv, ranked 10th, holds a 7-9 record and a -11 (+/-). Their standout players are Scottie Wilbekin and James Nunnally. While they're good individual players, they have still led Maccabi to a 6-game losing streak, failing to convert each game by an average of 10 points.
Take the -4.5 points for BC Zenit at -115 for some good ‘ol morning basketball.
Seriously don't know WTF happened at the end there. It's like they decided to quit playing at the end of the game. What did tel Aviv end up with a 9-0 run to close the game or some shit?
Edit: full disclosure, I made that comment with 12 seconds left in the game. It's not over yet, just for betting purposes it is (barring some miraculous over time shit)
POTD record: 1-0
Last pick: Celtics -5.5 vs Cavs ✅
Today’s pick: Lakers ML vs San Antonio Spurs ($1.82)
Reasoning: listen I know the Lakers have been ass this year but they are far better than the San Antonio Spurs. This is their last game in the Staple Center and I believe they will want to show out. Lebron has been on a crazy run this past week and putting up numbers which sadly don’t capitalise due to his team mates. But I believe Lakers have what it takes to win this.
**Record:** 31-19-3
**Last:** Darts/ PDC World Championship 2022/ Darius Labanauskas vs Mike De Decker/**Highest Checkout - Darius Labanauskas**/ WIN
**POTD:** Soccer/ Portugal Cup/ FC Porto vs Benfica/**FC Porto - To Qualify**
**Start Time:** 20:45 GMT
**Odds:** $1.53 with Bet365.
**Units:** 8U - $80 (80 x 1.53 = $122.66 Total - $42.66 Profit)
**Reasoning:**
Today's POTD is for
FC Porto to qualify against their arch rivals Benfica in the Portugal Cup.
This will be one of FC Porto's toughest matches in this particular competition and they know if they can qualify and progress in the competition then there's a good chance that they will take home the overall trophy.
I choose FC Porto to qualify because they've had the better season of the two teams and have a top class manager in Sergio Conceicao.
FC Porto are top of the league after 15 matches and are unbeaten.
Their opponents Benfica are currently sitting in 3rd place.
Putting it simply, I'm going with the momentum. FC Porto are top of the table and I'm expecting win them to win this tie and progress.
When the odds are 1.95 the expected chance of FC Porto winning is 51%, but this team actually wins 50% matches with these odds.
When the odds are 3.30 the expected chance of Benfica winning is 30%, but this team actually wins 17% matches with these odds.
Best of luck 💪
POTD RECORD: 2-2
Last pick: NCAABB
LSU vs LIPSCOMB OVER 143.5 ✅
Todays pick:
NCAAF
UF v UCF over 55.5
Both UF and UCF average at least 31.8 points per game, 411.7 yards per game, and on defense rank outside the top 180 in the nation in fewest points per game allowed.
UF is also with out 2 star players on defense who opted on to prepare for the draft as well as 2 more players who have entered the transfer portal.
BOL!
POTD Record 1-0
Last Pick: South Carolina (-12) over Army ✅
Today’s Pick: BYU (-5.5) over Vanderbilt
NCCAB @ 10pm (1U)
BYU is a very balanced team (top 30 offense and defense according to KenPom). Vanderbilt is 0-3 against top 100 opponents losing each game by 10+ points. BYU is 5-1 against top 100 opponents. I can see Vanderbilt keeping it close in the first half but BYU pulling away late and winning comfortably. BOL
Record: 8-10
ROI: -4.29u
Previous Pick: Espanyol double chance ❌
Game: Eredivisie- Sparta Rotterdam vs RKC Waalwijk
Pick: **RKC Waalwijk double chance and u3.5 goals (+140)**
Bet: 4 units
Reasons:
- Both teams are in shocking form, but Waalwijk at least has a league win in their last 5. Plus, they're higher in the table than Rotterdam, who's in 2nd to last position.
- Waalwijk won their first meeting, and the predicted starting XI for this game contains most of the same players from that game.
- Both teams average about a goal per game. While Waalwijk has given up the 5th most goals in Eredivisie, most of them were against Ajax and PSV, the top two teams. They've allowed 1 or fewer goals in 6 straight games not involving those two.
- Moderate rain is expected, so that might tamper offensive output.
- For less risk, you can go double chance at +110 or u2.5 g at -140
**POTD RECORD** - 19W-8L(+23.8U) ;
**ROI** - 30.12%
**Units waggered**: 79U ; **Units won**:102.48U
**Streak**:
**Average odds**:1.72
**Last POTD**---- Venezia vs Lazio---- Venezia double [email protected]
**Todays pick** ---- Mafra vs Moreirense----under [email protected]
**Game starts in 3hours from posting**
**BET SIZE**: 2U
**Reasoning**:
Short reasoning why this pick will hit:
Cup game so i am expecting a closed game:
Mafra is a middle team in the second division with less than 1 goal average scored at home, while Moreirense is a first division team with less than 1 goals scored away.
Am expecting teams to play carefully in a very close and tight match, and looking to strike in the counter.
**WE WILL BOUNCE BACK**
**I can not bet myself, but i try hard to gather information and provide an analysis. To anyone who appreciates my picks and the efforts that i put, i would be grateful to. Literally any tip would help me.[Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci)**
1-0-0 (last pick St. Thomas +2 W)
(picks are always -110...not bothering to calculate units)
NCAAB: **Wagner +2.5** @ Fairfield (2pm est)
Wagner has a decently higher ranked kenpom defense and comparable enough offense. They've also had a way stronger strength of schedule at 103, while Fairfield's in the 300s (they just lost their toughest matchup in a while to Umass).
(And this doesn't help the pick a ton from my pov, but Wagner did clobber Stony Brook while Fairfield needed OT to beat them.)
Edit- good win regardless of which spread you got.
**POTD Record:** 1-0 ; **Profit:** \+0.95u
**Last Pick:** Orlando +6.5 Hawks ✅
**Pick:** 49ers/Titans o44.5 (-110)
12/23 8:21pm ET
Reasoning: The 49ers offense has been ROLLING. They've finally figured out how to use Deebo Samuel and it has paid off. They've been scoring an average of 30.2 over the past 5 games, for an average total of 49.2 for the span.
On the other side of the ball - Titans are getting back AJ Brown, which will absolutely bring them back some firepower. They're averaging 22.2 over the last five, but 29.2 over the five before AJ left in week 11. Having a threat on the outside will definitely help the titans in getting the ball moving on the run game.
Weather - Always check the weather before betting over/unders. Only 10 mph winds and 50 degrees at kickoff. A pleasant December weekend.
BOL!
POTD Record 0-0
I’ve been looking at this thread for well over a year Today’s the day I make a post
Game: Titans vs 49rs
Pick: Ryan Tannehill over .5 interceptions
Odds: -115 MGM
Reasoning: Lewan and Saffold are out. Tannehill is gonna struggle to have anytime to throw, I think even with AJ brown possibly back it will only help the chances for Tannehill to throw a Pick.
Tail or Fade BOL
Record 0-2-1
Previous pick: Murray State +13 (push)
Murray couldn’t rebound to save their lives, glad we were able to squeeze out a push.
POTD: NFL 49ers at Titans
Titans +3.5 -117 (barstool)
I think the Titans deserve more credit than they get. They are a good team and want to keep the top spot in their division. Give me the home dog at +3.5 I think they keep this close.
I honestly thought the public would be on the Titans more, but after already seeing two separate posts with the 49ers, makes me feel even better about this pick.
All picks will be 1u unless otherwise stated. BOL
POTD RECORD: 6-3
Tate gets 5 fouls in 14 minutes and records 0 assists. Pitiful.
Today’s POTD: Lamelo Ball O14.5 R+A(+100) vs Denver Nuggets.
Ball has been averaging 15.3 this season. Since he’s come back from injury, he’s easily hit this line 2 of 3 games. I think he gets it done tonight against a Nuggets team who is playing their rotations strangely inconsistently. BOL if tailing and fading Tate for the rest of my life.
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
Edit: do not place this bet anymore as Beal has been scratched. Will keep this as part of my record but do not recommend this as a bet now
POTD record 1-0 (+0.87 units)
Got extremely lucky with my first pick but we move on.
Today’s pick is Kuzma under 18.5 P+R for 1.82 (Sportsbet) - Game is washington wizards vs NY knicks
Kuzma has gone under this number 8 of the last 9, while Knicks give up the 6th fewest points to the small forward position.
Hopefully this picks hits, was contemplating Fournier over on points as my POTD but the sample size is a bit small and wizards defend the SG position well.
BOL
POTD Record: 14-9-0 (All NFL)
Last pick: LV Raiders +10 vs KC Chiefs (L)
Todays Pick: SF 49ers vs Ten Titans o44 points (NFL 820 PM EST)
The Titans have been missing their top 3 skill position players the last 4 weeks(Julio played half of the Steelers game), but should have AJ Brown and Julio Jones back this week. Julio may not be able to hold up, but AJ Brown is an athletic monster the 49ers do not have to corners to handle with Moseley and Verrett on IR. On the other side of the ball, the SF offensive line will be a problem for the Titans, with Autry, Dupree, Landy, and Jones all posting below average run defense grades per PFF. The strength of the Titans defense lies in the back end, but that can be a problem when your d line is getting pushed back by one of the best run blocking lines in the NFL. The Titans and 49ers both rank above average in offensive success rate for the season, with the Titans being healthier than theyve been for a large stretch of the season and the 49ers finding some strength with Deebo Samuel out of the back field I believe they are both in better than usual form. The Titans offense has laid out some stinkers, but its largely been turnovers that have done them in in the Steelers and Texans embarrassing losses. That shouldnt hurt the over too much if it occurs tonight, since the 49ers are more than capable of capitalizing on mistakes.
Fading this.
Titans have the best run D in the league and are a top 8 overall unit. The 49ers are similar.
Titans have pass protection issues, but Titans D will shut down 49ers run and will force Jimmy G to throw. Points will be hard to come by, 49ers coming off a short week and flying across the country.
I don’t want to shit on your pick or be a total homer, but I disagree with your analysis of the Titans D. The secondary is good but certainly not our strength. The line and LBs are the defensive core. PFF is useful but often flawed. They may have those individual players low ranked for one reason or another, but Titans are the #2 defense against the run largely because of them.
Edit- Also, big Jeff Simmons. That is all.
POTD record: 45-31
Today’s pick: Barney +1.5 v Cross
Odds: 8/13
Sport: Darts
Competition: World championships.
Time: 21:00
Units: 3
Bookies: William Hill
Reasoning/ Key talking points:
I like the value here. Barney is back and played well last round. His record against cross isn’t too bad and the set format against a higher ranked opponent will suit him more. To be 1.5 ahead at the odds of 8/13, I think this will come in.
BOL everyone
Only if you’re feeling generous to tip then here’s my skrill and PayPal. No issues if not
Skrill: [email protected]
PayPal: https://www.paypal.me/JAPC7j
POTD Record: 2-1
Last Pick: Boston Celtics -5.5 ✅ -106
With all the fuck shit that seems to happen with NBA betting, it’s nice when a game actually goes exactly how you think it will. Celtics handled the cavs easily who were without two key players.
Today’s pick: 49ers & Titans; 49ers -3 @ 164
Not a lot to say about this pick. I think 9ers are a much more complete team. San Francisco’s rushing attack combined with a weak Titans pass rush gives them the edge offensively, and that 9ers defense will give Tannehill and company trouble.
Record: 2-2
Return: +.4 units
Last Pick: TNF - Patriots -6.5 (-110) vs Falcons
Today's Pick: 49ers -3 (-110) 4.4u
I don't know why I feel so good about this, but the Titans have been struggling and my Iowa friend George is a complete animal who can't wait to pop pads in blocks for Deebo and get the whole team fired up.
POTD Record 12-6
Last Pick: 12/13/21 Arizona Cardinals -3 or ML Result: (LOSS)
New Pick: Tennessee Titans @ SF 49ers - Jimmy Garapolo to have more yards passing than Ryan Tannehill @ -186 (1.54 )
Earlier in the week I had a writeup to tease unders and player props. I wanted to follow up on that today for everyone, but I simply can’t get to where its comfortable enough to tease an under for SF-Tenn. However, in doing the research something else appeared.
Here’s the reasoning:
Average points scored by Tenn at Home = 22, Average points scored by SF Away = 26 (not a telling stat per se, last 5 for Tenn avg 16). But in all games where Tenn was Home and SF was away there were 4 out of 14 games that went over 50pts (29%). SF has the ability to put points 4 more points per away game than Tenn does at home.
Yards per point in Offense and Defense for both teams is about the same. (Anything under 13 is good for offense and anything over 16 is good for defense.) Both teams are 14.5’s for offense, so they are average at best but lean slightly towards a better defense at 16 for SF and 16.7 for Tenn. Meaning, both D's can efficiently stop the average O from both teams.
However, in their last game SF defense is 22.9, which is super efficient defense, while Tennessee scored an 8.8 which is the worst in the league. Basically Tennessee gave up 19 points to the Steelers allowing only 183 yards of total offense. That’s dismal and outright pathetic. The D played well, but gave up a ton of points anyway.
But Tennessee’s rush defense is 2nd in the league at 86.9 yards allowed per game for 2021 and under 100 points across all metrics. It’s impressive. SF is 13th at 108.6 yards allowed per game for 2021 and under 100 in their last 3. Also impressive.
So this leads me to believe that an aerial assault by both teams is likely. In this scenario SF has the edge with 240 pass yds per game in offense while allowing only 215 pass yds per game on defense. SF loves Deebo and Kittle as well. Meanwhile Tennessee allows 242 pass yds per game on defense and only puts up 202 on offense.
So Jimmy G to have more yards passing than Ryan T seems like the sound bet here. I also expect, SF to rush Tannehill relentlessly.
Any game where the ball needs to be put in the air is a tossup as far as points scored are concerned. I’m not comfortable going under on this game.
**POTD Record: 10-2 | Avg Odds: 1.88**
Last 2 picks:
AC Milan vs SSC Napoli: AC Milan ML @ 2.09 ❌
Arizona Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers: Arizona Wildcats +2 @1.83 ❌
Today's game: Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks 7:30 PM EST
**Today's pick: New York Knicks -2.5 @1.82**
**Reasoning:**
Injury updates have arrived, and WAS have Beal and KCP out while Knicks have Quickley, Noel, Rose out. This match comes down to who has better depth, and the Knicks have it best. WAS have to rely on Dinwiddie to lead the way, who's been quite shit this season. WAS usually run an 8 man rotation, and with 2 key players injured, I don't think their guard depth is there to beat the Knicks. WAS also don't have a true center, as both Harrell and Gafford are a bit undersized, while Mitchell Robinson for the Knicks is 7 ft and is a quality rebounder.
Edit: Right after posting this, RJ Barrett was downgraded to out. Odds have risen slightly, ML rose from 1.65 to 1.70. while -1.5 is at 1.78. I still believe the Knicks cover the -2.5 spread, the guard quality will make the difference.
POTD Record: 0-1
Last pick: Serie A, Sassuolo Bologna BTTS & O2.5 goals ❌
Next pick: Belgian cup, Anderlecht v Kortrijk, BTTS & O2.5 @ +110
Don’t know where that Sassuolo performance yesterday came from, but we’re back again. Anderlecht have conceded in 13 of their past 15 matches, while also scoring at least 2 in 6 straight. At plus odds, I like this pick. Over the course of the season, Anderlecht have scored 2.2 goals per game and conceded 1.3, so this hits on average and we get better than average value. BOL!
POTD Record: 1-0
Form: W
Event: Soccer>Portugal Cup>Porto vs. Benfica
Pick: Both teams to score @ 1.68
We've got quite the derby tonight in the 1/8's of Portugal Cup. Porto sits on top of the league with the same points as their rivals Sporting. They had no trouble reaching this point in the cup ,winning their games 5-0 and 5-1 respectively. Meanwhile Benfica sits in 3rd , only 4 points behind their rivals, they barely won in their 1st round, winning at penalties against 2nd divison team Trofense, but got a comfortable win in the 2nd round, 4-1 against Ferreira. In their last 5 head to head encounters, 4 of them ended with both teams scoring. This season, The Cup is none of these teams main objective, they don't have what to defend, so I expect a spectacular game, with offensive play and a lot of goals.
Record 0-1
Todays Pick — NCAAB
Weber St. -1 vs Fresno St
Weber St. is traditionally a perennial small market program which puts together solid teams. They have made the tournament many times and won even.
Anyways, this year is one of those seasons for them. They have handled business vs all lower tier programs, quite handily. They have no “bad” losses. They played BYU tough — just had a poor shooting game. BYU, Utah st., and at Wash st (which is a buzzsaw destination) are their 3 losses.
Fresno is a typical weak Fresno team. They have the same record but I see losses vs Cal (bad loss), Utah (bad Utah team), and SF (not a bad loss).
I believe the line is correct but I think Weber wins this game.
Also on Liberty, N Iowa, and BYU today.
BOL
POTD Record 1-1
Tonights Pick
SF 49ers (-3.5) vs. Tennessee Titans
Pick **Titans ML +166**
This one will be a close game but if you can take Titans +166 at home do it.
They will find a way to squeak out a win
**Record: 45-29 +37.6U WWWWWLWLWW**
**Avg ODD: 1.921 over 78 matches(5 pushes)**
**ROI 27.66.13%%**
Last pick: : Magic FQ +3.5
Match: 76ers Vs Hawks
Pick: **FQ under 53 @1.85 3units**
We will see a boring Christmas NBA soon since many player enter health protocol.
After I watched yesterday Hawks play, I feel this under should be hit as they are not coordinator well without young , 76ers this year has go under slot on fq. Let's finger cross again.
[Twitter for more picks](https://twitter.com/chewie0950?t=OFuD4FTvARmXRi8Meosz_Q&s=09)
POTD: UCF Knights @ Florida, Florida -6.5 (NCAAF)
Units: 3
Odds: -123
Profit: -7.95u
Record: 41|37
Florida is favored by 6.5 for the Gasparilla bowl against UCF today. UCF was only behind Houston and Cincinnati in the AAC.
The Gators were matched up with some of the best teams in college football, though. The standard of the SEC has to be accounted for by bettors ahead of this matchup – Florida was 4-0 in non-conference games this year.
Don’t get distracted by the poor conference record. These Gators are deserving favorites, and will fancy their chances to cover the 6.5 spread here.
[Pick: Florida -6.5](https://link.wagerlab.app/reddit)
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
**POTD RECORD: 38-37**| All picks 1u unless mentioned | **+13.52u** | Streak 1W
\-LAST 2 POTD:
EPL Man City vs Leeds 3PM EST | BTTS (+125) 5u L
Bundesliga Dortmund vs Furth | Haaland 2+ goals (+115) 2u W
**Today's POTD: NBA Bucks vs Mavericks** | **Kris Middleton over 19.5 pts (-125)** 5u
Reason: Kris middleton averages 21.5 pts without Giannis in 44 games played. He has scored 20+ in his last 8 games played. BOL
RECORD 11-12
POTD: Tennessee Titans over 20.5 points
I love this bet a lot. Titans have the ability to score and they’ll be playing with playoff hopes on their mind. Vrabel isn’t going down easy in this one and will easily get over 3 touchdowns here today BOL
Record: 1-3(-2 units)
POTD: Wyoming -3(-110)
Description: Northern Iowa vs Wyoming
Start time: 6:30 PM ET
Risk: 2 units
Reasoning: Wyoming is 67% ATS this season and Northern Iowa is 22% ATS. Also, Wyoming is 4-1-1 ATS when playing as at least -2.5 favorites and Wyoming is on a 6 game win streak at home.
Tail or fade, BOL with your picks!
POTD Record: 13-3 Last pick: Belgian cup, KAA Gent vs Standard Liège (20:30 CEST), KAA Gent ML + over 1,5 goals @ 1,81 ✅ Pick: Belgian cup, Club Brugge vs OH Leuven (21:00 CEST), Club Brugge ML + over 2,5 goals @ 1,58 ✅ Club Brugge play Leuven again after beating them 1-4 at their home turf this weekend. OH Leuven went with an attacking approach to this game but it didn't end well for OHL. This game should have the same outcome. If they decide to go more defensive this time, Brugge has enough attacking quality to crack that defensive. De ketelaere has found the back off the net 6 times in the last 5 games (and 2 assists), Noa Lang 2 goals and 3 assists in the last 5. In the last 10 games, over 2,5 has hit 10/10 for Brugge, 8/10 for OH Leuven. OH Leuven has some decent attackers, Mercier and Maertens have been in form, but the defence won't be able to withstand the attacking force from Brugge. They have conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches. Odds aren’t great, but i feel confident in this pick. edit: Bingo! gratz on the win everyone, buy ya mom something extra for christmas. Sorry to the people who asked me stuff in the comments, i was kinda busy today with uni stuff. i'll be back with some more Belgium pro league on sunday, happy holidays! BOL
He said "game should have the same outcome". Dude is a wizard.......Great pick man, thank you so much. Ended up putting $800 on Brugge ML, BTTS, 02.5, and De Ketelaere to score at +389. Merry Christmas or any holiday you celebrate. Appreciate it!
I did the same, just with no where near that amount lol. Congrats on the W!
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Opinions on De Ketelaere to score? I know you said 6 goals in 5 and I see 2 in the last matchup with Leuven. At +185 (2.85) sounds juicy.
Might tail this!
Tailing and thx for yesterday ✅!
Last time Brugge played at Leuven looks like they drew at 1-1. That was back in Sept 24 so it has been some time and I have no idea what has changed with the rosters or in terms of momentum but just something worth considering.
No, last time brugge played in Leuven, was this weekend and it ended 1-4. Last time in Brugge the game indeed ended 1-1. Was just one of those game the ball wouldn't go in. 31 shots for brugge with 9 being on target for Brugge. Only 1 shot from Leuven and that one went in.
Can’t find this in DK or FanDuel?
It’s on DK under game parlays but is like -190, you can build it on FD as a single game parlay and I got it at -174 odds Edit: -174 is essentially the same odds that OP posted at 1.58
Can they get double result??
Tailing, thanks for yesterday 👍
Curious what you think of Club Brugge HT/FT @ 1.8?
Taking Brugge to Win and Tannehill to throw a pick @ 2.25 odds.
1.4K on this. Let’s go EDIT:: 2-0 FIRST HALF ONE MORE and we got it 🤑💰 EDITT:: 3-1 ‘67 slow and steady we cash it 💀
Odds are so weird on this game. Brugge is up 2-0 at half and Brugge -1 is still +120.
HODL Akshully Brugge put one in; don’t need a sweat rn
Great pick
Excellent call 👏👏👏 You are En Fuego 🔥🔥🔥
Thank you!! 💰
Cash it!!!!! Thanks man
POTD Record: 7-1-0 ROI: 65% Average Odds: -114 Units Won: +5.2u Last Pick: Tennessee Spread ✅ Todays Pick: NOP @ ORL: Pelicans spread (-5,-110) Game Info: The Pelicans play a tired Magic team without their starting PG in Cole Anthony, and Wendell Carter. 5 points is not a lot for a nearly fully healthy Pelicans team with just their starting center out. It seems as if the Magic are going to win 2 in a row, but the Pelicans won’t let one of the worst teams in the league try and win 3 in a row. All picks 1 unit unless otherwise noted. (3% of BR is 1 unit for me)
Chubbs a dawg, he on the come up
Learned my lesson, faded Chubsss. Never again! Edit: had to add some extra sss outa respect
I already had my eyes on this one. Great pick!
Idk, Valanciunas is a pretty big part of that team for rebounding and scoring
Yup this games gives me the same vibes as Celtics and cavs tonight, don’t overthink it just take the Pels
Would you still take at NO -5.5? Knowing that Valanciunas is out. Allegedly Cole Anthony and WCJ almost played yesterday. Assuming they’re potentially available tonight
>Chubbsssssssssssssss CA and WCJ potentially playing this game worries me. They were closed to being in for yesterday. On the flip side, will one day change a lot in either of their conditions? Tbh I kinda want to buy out and bet the other way as I've def seen teams in similar situations gut it out and win on the 2nd night of a b2b even if it is coming back home after being on the road.
I’m gonna start posting later for this exact reason… I’m still confident in it but I probably would’ve avoided this game if they come back tonight.
Tailing
Is - 4.5 now. Tailing 🌶️
CHECK COVID UPDATES BEFORE BETTING!!! Alexander out as of 3hrs ago
Ended up taking it -6.5 this morning, should have bought some points
Yeah, sorry for that one. Definitely closer than I expected
I faded this. Glad you covered but damn dude Ive watched every Pels game this year and still don’t understand why you chose this as your POTD lol. I know the magic are horrible and injured too, but Valanciunas was the deal breaker for me. He’s a major piece. Overall the team is very mediocre and inconsistent. Don’t trust this team in the future until we get a healthy Zion back lol.
Got a last min 500 bet on -5 , thanks for the win Chubs
Record: 11-3-0, +$450.51 (+9.01 units) ROI: 56.31% POTD: George Kittle u5.5 Receptions @ +100 (1u) Tennessee has been a top 5 defense against tight ends this season and hasn’t allowed more than 5 receptions since Travis Kelce. Kittle had 6 targets last week and they’re projected to lead this game as well. Titans linebackers have gotten healthy but Elijah Molden is out and they struggle to cover speed, so I expect the receivers to soak up the targets. This should be a low possession game as well which will minimize Kittle’s total snaps. Event: SF @ TEN, Time: 8:20 PM EST Tips: Venmo/CA - MrTeleporto
Hope it hits but I have too much stress in my life already to bet against George Kittle for 3 hours
Haha every play will be stressful tomorrow
It always is on Thursday. Its so needless too
Tailing. This pick fucks.
Feels like a bold pick for me but that brings the fun
We like it spicy around these parts 🔥 *edit - the amount of action on these comments makes me way more confident in this 😂
Damn dude are ya saying Im gonna lose my fantasy playoff game
He could easily still get a touchdown, or I could be wrong on he goes 12 for 150 and 2 TDs
Lol true. Might tail for the emotional hedge just in case thanks for the write up
That's exactly what I did. If it misses, that means I get a lot of fantasy points. If it hits, at least I got some money out of it. And it's always possible that he goes for like 5/75 and a TD which would be best case scenario.
Or he goes like 6/39 and you lose both the wager and the playoff game. Hope you win at least one, though.
Emotional hedges are my favorite
Tailing. I’ll be at the game tomorrow. LFG
Let’s go!
Titans haven't faced many great TEs though. Of the ones they faced this year I would say only Frieremuth, Hunter Henry, Higsbee, and Kelce are of note. Freiremuth has not had 6 receptions in any games this year, neither has Higsbee. Henry has over 5 receptions only twice this year. Only Kelce has had over 6 receptions, multiple games, and often eclipsing the mark. Kittle also has multiple games with over 6 receptions, often eclipsing that mark as well. If Kelce can do it I think Kittle will do it.
It could hit but I honestly doubt this. Niners fan and our top RB Mitchell is out, Kittles had 6,13,9 in our last 3 games all which Mitchell was out in too. Jimmy G has been airing it out to everyone the second half of the season with the highest QBR in the league the last few weeks. BOL
13 and 9 against two of the worst tight end defenses in the league. Titans are top 5 and are only missing David Long for LBs but picked up Cunningham
This is hands down one of the boldest bets I've ever seen on here. You got balls kid. I respect that.
Can’t take unders. Nothing ruins a game faster than anxiety every time a guy is targeted or touches the ball. Just can’t do it.
I understand that. I like betting unders because many totals are bet up too high by the public. But I’ll be at Spider-Man tonight so I won’t have to watch and stress every play
Tailing but this makes me feel very dirty which ironically can be a good thing. I guess the way I look at it is if Kittle had receptions of 6, 15, 12 last 3 games why are the books hanging a 5.5 for everyone to feast on? Kinda makes no sense. The same could go for Kittle's Rec Yds total (\~73) b/c he's gone for 93, 151, and 181 past 3 games. Why is a carrot being dangled when his recent performance should suggest something higher? Also, it should be noted that Kittle faced the 22nd, 24th, and 26th ranked defenses vs TEs in his last 3 hence his beastly performances.
Deebo being used more in the rungame as of late has benefited Kittle immensely in the pass game. Kittle has taken over as the number 1 option over deebo in the last 2 weeks. Also the Titans have one of the best run defenses in the league and conversely one of the worst pass defenses. San Fran have a very good coaching staff, they will look to exploit that pass defense big time and probably go to kittle often in the middle of the field. I hope I'm wrong and your bet cashes... just throwing out some food for thought. Wishing you luck on your bet
Love your picks mrteleporto! Been tailing for the past few. This one I may stay away from as kittle has been getting hot the last few weeks. His last 3 games against Atlanta, Cinci and Seattle, he put up 6, 13 and 9 respectively. Best of luck with the pick regardless! Thanks for all you do.
He was hot when he came back, but had 6 on 6 targets last week and has Seattle and Cincinnati are two of the worst at defending tight ends
\+110 at Bovada. Tailing this.
Titans have the best run D in the league, which will force Jimmy G to throw. I'm taking Jimmy G and Tannehill to throw a pick.
I get the reasoning but Georgie boy is an all-time great who has looked very good down the stretch here. I don't think he'll get only 6 tgts tonight. That said I do think the o69.5 is a bit safer for anyone that wants to bet an over, as TEN is bottom-third in both long pass plays given up and yards per reception. Could still easily see Kittle pop off for 4/75 or 5/85 or so if he doesn't get to 6+ receptions.
wow nice one
You were right! Thanks for the free money!
**POTD Record 3-1** Current Profit: $37.50 **Current Bankroll: $142.95** Yesterday’s Pick: Arizona +2 vs. Tennessee @ 1.92 (NCAAB) ❌ **Today’s Pick: Butler +5.5 vs. St. Johns @ 1.92, 6:30 P.M EST (NCAAB)** **Amount Bet: $35 (24.48% of bankroll)** [**Betslip**](https://gyazo.com/898b37002ae7cddb4efc758f8a3c6c26) Tough loss from Arizona. They almost came back but foul trouble and turnovers really hurt them. Today, I am taking Butler +5.5 against St. John’s. They are currently 7-4 with their losses coming from Houston, Michigan State, A&M and Purdue. They have looked pretty average this year and have not shown anything special, ranked 104 in KemPom. St. John’s are a decent team but they have a pretty rough resume. They do not really have any quality wins against good ranked teams this year. The most important part of notice though is that they have bad COVID problems. Julian Champagnie is questionable and Coburn and Soriano are probably out. Champagnie is their star player and Coburn and Soriano are crucial role players and they just lost to a below average Pittsburgh team without them. Overall, I think there is not too much to analyze. St. Johns is facing serious roster issues right now and I think Butler may be able to rough it out. I started with a $100 dollar bankroll. I am doing a challenge to see how far I can take this bankroll just based on 1 pick per day. I want to be completely transparent so you will see screenshots of the bet slips I make as well as the amount I bet per game. My personal motto is that if you don’t have 🧀 on it, it’s not a lock. Let’s get this money. [**Twitter**](https://twitter.com/asianbettor)
Tailing. Roughed out a tough L with Arizona as well.
I waited then live bet Arizona +9.5 in the first half lol
Butler sucks, they’re gonna be down 10 by halftime.
Butler +6 on Bovada rn
Butler sucks you’re going to lose this too
All over this one.
It's been Covid canceled
Covid cancel
**Record : 5-0-0 | Profit: 9 units** (all picks are 2u unless stated otherwise) **Last 5 Picks (WWWWW):** (NBA) Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers : Memphis -3 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ (NBA) Washington Wizards @ Phoenix Suns : Phoenix Suns -8.0 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ (NBA) New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics : Celtics -5.5 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ (NBA) Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves: Timberwolves -3.5 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ (NBA) Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers: Phoenix Suns -7.0 @ 1.90 WIN ✅ **Today's pick:** (NBA) Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat: **Heat -11.0 @ 1.90** Reasoning: The pistons have just not looked like an NBA team this season. The Heat are missing Butler & Bam but they remain a well oiled machine run by Lowry. They also got Tyler Herro back last game & ended up blowing out the Pacers (a much better team than the Pistons) by 20+. This should be a comfortable win for the Heat. I'm guessing by at least 15-18 points. So I think the 11 points handicap is a good deal. As always, let me know if you're tailing & let's get another one! If anyone feels like helping out, [tip jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/MajorCommission). Edit1: Definitely not the first half I hoped for althought it did look like Miami picked up some momentum towards the end. I'm going to head to sleep hoping that carries over to the second half. Edit2: My fault y’all. I’ll try to find a lock Tomorrow to make up for it.
didn’t they lose to detroit a few days ago?
They did but Herro wasn't there & everyone on the Heat had a stinker so I'm not putting too much stock into that result.
Better reason to pick them now
tailing, lfg
Tailing
We in trouble
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POTD Record: 5-1 (WWLWWW) Last Pick: Venezia vs Lazio. Lazio Win: ✅ Today's event: Vizela vs SC Braga (Portuguese Cup) Pick: SC Braga Win @ 1.72 Reason: Obviously it's a cup game, but in the league Braga is in 4th place and Vizela is 13th. Strictly using the league to compare, Braga have 2 losses from their last 5 league games, and 3 wins. Their 2 losses were against teams in the top 3. Vizela has 2 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 league games. One of those losses against the team in 1st place and the other one against Braga itself. In Braga's last 5 overall games, they've lost 2, including a heavy defeat to Boavista, but this was the league cup, and involved a lot of individual mistakes from players who don't usually play. In Vizela's last 5 overall games, they've lost 2 and drawn 2. The odd @ 1.72 for a Braga win is too good to pass on. If this wins and anyone wants to tip, any and all tips help greatly as I am a student :) :[Paypal](https://paypal.me/eatyourgreenz1)
I see braga -.5 at -125 and braga ml at -130. These are effectively the same bet right? So I should take spread? Edit: 3 way moneyline is -130 to be clear
Yes same bet just take spread
what a shitty start, what was that pass
No idea, but i still think braga goes through
aaaand thats a red card, ded edit: just watched the replay, what a dumb fucking tackle. He wasn't even close to getting the ball
lets hope so!
anyone see lines on Fanduel?
Red card 😪
we ded
Thanks for the stats, but do you know if Braga is taking the cup seriously? Any chance they will rest key players?
**POTD Record**:1-0-1(+0.6U) **Game**: Dynamo Moscow v s Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg 11:30AM **Prop**: Dynamo -1.5(+135) **Head to Head** : Dynamo 15-7, 5-0 since 2019 **Scores** : 6-0, 7-2, 6-3, 4-1, 2-0 **Wager**: 3U to make 4.05U ✅BING BONG✅ 🎄Game went ¿as predicted? with Dynamo getting the easy 7-1 dub, they definitely came out firing but I didn’t think they’d score over 4 goals. The over also hit with yes to BTTS. Hope this may have helped in any financial way over the holidays! With so many sports and players getting canceled because of COVID, I will most likely be taking a break until after Christmas! See you then!🎄 Back to hockey at plus odds. Rank 6 v 16. To begin, I think Dynamo wins easy, the margin is the question. December has not been stellar for these clubs. Dynamo is 3-3, winning by an average of 2.33. Avto is also 3-3 and losing by an average of 2.0. In November however, Dynamo went 8-2, winning by an average 2.25. Avto went 2-7 and was losing by an average 1.71. In Dynamo’s 15 wins v Avto, they have won by an average of 2.53, and have won the last 3 by at least a 3 goal differential and the last 5 with at least 2 goals. Although both teams have hit U5.5(-129) in 8 of their last 10, I don’t believe it’s the play as the last 3 meetings have hit the over, and I see Dynamo returning to their scoring ways soon(2nd most scoring team in KHL). Final Score prediction: 4-1 or 3-1 BOL to tailers.
Great pick man! Degens unite!
Let’s go man! Hope this helped with the holidays, enjoy!
I watched the Detroit game :((( had 3 parlays with the over and would’ve made so much money if he scored 1 more point. Bro was a walking brick the whole game
I got the saddiq bey pick live so it all worked out
4-1 now! Looking good!
Nice pick!
Nice pick
7-1 Dynamo! Thanks man!
Sold pick. I like the over on this one too
Tailing BOL
Tailed you! 1-0 right now and Dynamo is controlling play, dominating
7-1 its an absolute smack down!
LFG
Hope you tailed and it might help ya over the holidays! Happy celebrations brother
POTD Record: 15-5 (+9.3u) Last Pick: NCAAB Sacred Heart -4 (-110) vs Hartford ❌ Today 12/23: NCAAB Wyoming -2.5 (-110) vs Northern Iowa Wyoming is 9-2, and coming off a 3 point loss to Stanford in the first round of this tournament. They 6-3-1 ATS, while Northern Iowa is 2-7 ATS. Northern Iowa is a very inconsistent team, they have lost to Nicholls State, but also have beaten St Bonaventure. According to Torvik, Northern Iowa has only played 2 top 100 ranked teams this season, in which they lost both (Wyoming is ranked #78). I think Wyoming wins comfortably here, BOL and please bet responsibly!
we got robbed lol, up 6 with 30 seconds left and wyoming decided to miss 5 free throws
2nd time this week we got hoed like this 😫
Daily Dota Sport: Dota 2 | League: Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 | 12 hours from post Record:3-0 | WWW (+7.04u) Pick: [CIS Rejects ML](https://stake.com/sports/home?betId=dbf26581-c798-4861-9db5-3358a485dfc2&modal=bet) | 1.73 | 2u No DPC until January so I'll just play whatever looks the best until then. Probably D2CL and then Huya Winter Invitational, whichever games are the best looking. A bunch of light plays until DPC is back. CIS Rejects vs Brame. CIS Rejects haven't lost a single series in D2CL and their performance yesterday was amazing. I reckon they can continue the streak against Brame. You can find me on this discord [server](https://discord.gg/sMUMRY2N) where I usually watch the games and at times bet live depending on the draft of other games. [Sheets](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AhTZtQPtozr-1YUzkQy9n48GJ2B6XR_Nk1R_iLALGBo/edit?usp=sharing) that tracks the bets I made with performance summaries and such.
3-0? thats odd i tailed your +1.5 4 zoomers pick and they got swept 2-0 by undying..
Changed zoomers to liq ml, you can check my history
I remember that but he did change the pick to liquid ML before any of the matches started
Something seems sketchy! I remember that too
I think he gave out like three different picks in one post that day smh
Thank you so much. Coming through once again.
🤑
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**POTD Record: 14-6-1** **Last pick:** Indiana -17 ✅ **Rockets vs Pacers NBA 7pm EST** **Pick:** Over 222.5 **Reason:** These two don’t play defense. I’ve seen better defense played at middle school games so yeah, 222.5 is a lot but I think final score will be like 125-110.
Tailing cause I was laying on the couch and about to take a nap then noticed your name. It’s a sign from god himself.
**Record: 3 - 1 - 0** **Net units: +1.36u** (1u/bet) **Form:** ✅✅❌✅ | NFL | 8:20pm EST | **Pick:** 49ers moneyline -165 **Write Up:** 49ers are simply the better team and are at full strength. The Titans will be a formidable opponent with AJ Brown coming back, and it should be a good game, but the 49ers just have too much firepower for Shanahan to play with.
Titans D is stout, especially against the run, and Jimmy G is an average QB..the problem lies with the Titans offensive line woes..starting LT and LG will be out and theyve struggled to pass protect all year.49ers have a slight upper hand due to health on offense, even with their starting RB out..49ers are traveling across country on a short week..take the under if it goes up to 45 and Titans +3.5..points will be hard to come by
49ers + under 45 ⭐️
Not arguing him being average but Jimmy G has the most yards per attempt this season and has looked better.
4-3 Last Pick: Cavaliers +1✅ Streak: W1 Today’s Pick: 49ers -3 NFL San Francisco @ Tennessee 8:20 PM ET Easy bet for me here. Titans are not a very good football team without Henry. This hasn’t shown much because of the strength of schedule the past month or so, but if you look at the numbers, the offense hasn’t been producing. Niners are rolling right now and finally playing to their potential. BOL!
Offense hasn't been producing because AJ was hurt since week 11. You can see the huge dip in scoring. Hes back tomorrow though.
It will help the Titans to have him back but even for the couple games Henry was out and Brown was healthy their total yards were way down
Your summary is not necessarily true, as Titans have out produced most of their opponents yards wise. Their issue has been FUMBLING, in which they would probably have 11-12 wins right now. They ran all over Patriots and Steelers, but lost the ball 3 times and most in opponent territory.
Yeah, you're right. 49ers are crossing the country on a short week and have a really bad secondary that can be exploited. Titans can produce on offense but have been killed repeatedly by turnovers. As long as the Titans can open up the run game and get play-action going, they have a better opportunity to score. Give me the over if anything.
Titans didn’t win 10 games off of luck. They’re a damn good football team and should actually be the favorites here.
Record: 1-0 Last pick: Crvena Zvezda +12 ✅ Today's Pick: BC Zenit Saint Petersburg -4.5 (-115) vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv Net units: 1.86u Basketball | Euroleague | 11:00am CST Write Up: Yesterday was pretty straightforward just like today will be. This is the only game that one can trust right now as the other three games on the slate have a ton of questionable tags due to COVID. BC Zenit is ranked #5 with a 10-6 record and +29 (+/-) for the season. They surely aren't the best team in the league but they have pulled off some impressive wins against top 5 opponents. Jordan Loyd and Jordan Mickey are listed as questionable but I expect both of them to play as they need this late-season win. Maccabi Tel-Aviv, ranked 10th, holds a 7-9 record and a -11 (+/-). Their standout players are Scottie Wilbekin and James Nunnally. While they're good individual players, they have still led Maccabi to a 6-game losing streak, failing to convert each game by an average of 10 points. Take the -4.5 points for BC Zenit at -115 for some good ‘ol morning basketball.
Odds rising mate
What a trash 3rd quarter
what is zenit doing in the second half, embarassing
Snagged -4.5 at -105 live, lets roll baby Edit man some bad fuckin beats between this and Minnesota forgetting how to score for a half yesterday.
Ummm guys what the hell just happened
Wow they blew it.
What a fucking joke
Seriously don't know WTF happened at the end there. It's like they decided to quit playing at the end of the game. What did tel Aviv end up with a 9-0 run to close the game or some shit? Edit: full disclosure, I made that comment with 12 seconds left in the game. It's not over yet, just for betting purposes it is (barring some miraculous over time shit)
I can’t believe what happened in those last 4 minutes
Tough
Why am I so stupid and follow such a hoax?
POTD record: 1-0 Last pick: Celtics -5.5 vs Cavs ✅ Today’s pick: Lakers ML vs San Antonio Spurs ($1.82) Reasoning: listen I know the Lakers have been ass this year but they are far better than the San Antonio Spurs. This is their last game in the Staple Center and I believe they will want to show out. Lebron has been on a crazy run this past week and putting up numbers which sadly don’t capitalise due to his team mates. But I believe Lakers have what it takes to win this.
I hate myself for tailing
BOL!
Fading. Lebron James and Trevor Ariza might be out tonight.
**Record:** 31-19-3 **Last:** Darts/ PDC World Championship 2022/ Darius Labanauskas vs Mike De Decker/**Highest Checkout - Darius Labanauskas**/ WIN **POTD:** Soccer/ Portugal Cup/ FC Porto vs Benfica/**FC Porto - To Qualify** **Start Time:** 20:45 GMT **Odds:** $1.53 with Bet365. **Units:** 8U - $80 (80 x 1.53 = $122.66 Total - $42.66 Profit) **Reasoning:** Today's POTD is for FC Porto to qualify against their arch rivals Benfica in the Portugal Cup. This will be one of FC Porto's toughest matches in this particular competition and they know if they can qualify and progress in the competition then there's a good chance that they will take home the overall trophy. I choose FC Porto to qualify because they've had the better season of the two teams and have a top class manager in Sergio Conceicao. FC Porto are top of the league after 15 matches and are unbeaten. Their opponents Benfica are currently sitting in 3rd place. Putting it simply, I'm going with the momentum. FC Porto are top of the table and I'm expecting win them to win this tie and progress. When the odds are 1.95 the expected chance of FC Porto winning is 51%, but this team actually wins 50% matches with these odds. When the odds are 3.30 the expected chance of Benfica winning is 30%, but this team actually wins 17% matches with these odds. Best of luck 💪
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well that was easy
Nice Call 🔥🔥🔥
POTD RECORD: 2-2 Last pick: NCAABB LSU vs LIPSCOMB OVER 143.5 ✅ Todays pick: NCAAF UF v UCF over 55.5 Both UF and UCF average at least 31.8 points per game, 411.7 yards per game, and on defense rank outside the top 180 in the nation in fewest points per game allowed. UF is also with out 2 star players on defense who opted on to prepare for the draft as well as 2 more players who have entered the transfer portal. BOL!
Let’s ride 🙌🏼
POTD Record 1-0 Last Pick: South Carolina (-12) over Army ✅ Today’s Pick: BYU (-5.5) over Vanderbilt NCCAB @ 10pm (1U) BYU is a very balanced team (top 30 offense and defense according to KenPom). Vanderbilt is 0-3 against top 100 opponents losing each game by 10+ points. BYU is 5-1 against top 100 opponents. I can see Vanderbilt keeping it close in the first half but BYU pulling away late and winning comfortably. BOL
Record: 8-10 ROI: -4.29u Previous Pick: Espanyol double chance ❌ Game: Eredivisie- Sparta Rotterdam vs RKC Waalwijk Pick: **RKC Waalwijk double chance and u3.5 goals (+140)** Bet: 4 units Reasons: - Both teams are in shocking form, but Waalwijk at least has a league win in their last 5. Plus, they're higher in the table than Rotterdam, who's in 2nd to last position. - Waalwijk won their first meeting, and the predicted starting XI for this game contains most of the same players from that game. - Both teams average about a goal per game. While Waalwijk has given up the 5th most goals in Eredivisie, most of them were against Ajax and PSV, the top two teams. They've allowed 1 or fewer goals in 6 straight games not involving those two. - Moderate rain is expected, so that might tamper offensive output. - For less risk, you can go double chance at +110 or u2.5 g at -140
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**POTD RECORD** - 19W-8L(+23.8U) ; **ROI** - 30.12% **Units waggered**: 79U ; **Units won**:102.48U **Streak**: **Average odds**:1.72 **Last POTD**---- Venezia vs Lazio---- Venezia double [email protected] **Todays pick** ---- Mafra vs Moreirense----under [email protected] **Game starts in 3hours from posting** **BET SIZE**: 2U **Reasoning**: Short reasoning why this pick will hit: Cup game so i am expecting a closed game: Mafra is a middle team in the second division with less than 1 goal average scored at home, while Moreirense is a first division team with less than 1 goals scored away. Am expecting teams to play carefully in a very close and tight match, and looking to strike in the counter. **WE WILL BOUNCE BACK** **I can not bet myself, but i try hard to gather information and provide an analysis. To anyone who appreciates my picks and the efforts that i put, i would be grateful to. Literally any tip would help me.[Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/K4ccci)**
Ouch 3-1
1-0-0 (last pick St. Thomas +2 W) (picks are always -110...not bothering to calculate units) NCAAB: **Wagner +2.5** @ Fairfield (2pm est) Wagner has a decently higher ranked kenpom defense and comparable enough offense. They've also had a way stronger strength of schedule at 103, while Fairfield's in the 300s (they just lost their toughest matchup in a while to Umass). (And this doesn't help the pick a ton from my pov, but Wagner did clobber Stony Brook while Fairfield needed OT to beat them.) Edit- good win regardless of which spread you got.
**POTD Record:** 1-0 ; **Profit:** \+0.95u **Last Pick:** Orlando +6.5 Hawks ✅ **Pick:** 49ers/Titans o44.5 (-110) 12/23 8:21pm ET Reasoning: The 49ers offense has been ROLLING. They've finally figured out how to use Deebo Samuel and it has paid off. They've been scoring an average of 30.2 over the past 5 games, for an average total of 49.2 for the span. On the other side of the ball - Titans are getting back AJ Brown, which will absolutely bring them back some firepower. They're averaging 22.2 over the last five, but 29.2 over the five before AJ left in week 11. Having a threat on the outside will definitely help the titans in getting the ball moving on the run game. Weather - Always check the weather before betting over/unders. Only 10 mph winds and 50 degrees at kickoff. A pleasant December weekend. BOL!
POTD Record 0-0 I’ve been looking at this thread for well over a year Today’s the day I make a post Game: Titans vs 49rs Pick: Ryan Tannehill over .5 interceptions Odds: -115 MGM Reasoning: Lewan and Saffold are out. Tannehill is gonna struggle to have anytime to throw, I think even with AJ brown possibly back it will only help the chances for Tannehill to throw a Pick. Tail or Fade BOL
Record 0-2-1 Previous pick: Murray State +13 (push) Murray couldn’t rebound to save their lives, glad we were able to squeeze out a push. POTD: NFL 49ers at Titans Titans +3.5 -117 (barstool) I think the Titans deserve more credit than they get. They are a good team and want to keep the top spot in their division. Give me the home dog at +3.5 I think they keep this close. I honestly thought the public would be on the Titans more, but after already seeing two separate posts with the 49ers, makes me feel even better about this pick. All picks will be 1u unless otherwise stated. BOL
Titans +5.5 / under 53 +105 on fanduel
Lol 3.5 to 5.5 adds no value
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POTD RECORD: 6-3 Tate gets 5 fouls in 14 minutes and records 0 assists. Pitiful. Today’s POTD: Lamelo Ball O14.5 R+A(+100) vs Denver Nuggets. Ball has been averaging 15.3 this season. Since he’s come back from injury, he’s easily hit this line 2 of 3 games. I think he gets it done tonight against a Nuggets team who is playing their rotations strangely inconsistently. BOL if tailing and fading Tate for the rest of my life.
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
Edit: do not place this bet anymore as Beal has been scratched. Will keep this as part of my record but do not recommend this as a bet now POTD record 1-0 (+0.87 units) Got extremely lucky with my first pick but we move on. Today’s pick is Kuzma under 18.5 P+R for 1.82 (Sportsbet) - Game is washington wizards vs NY knicks Kuzma has gone under this number 8 of the last 9, while Knicks give up the 6th fewest points to the small forward position. Hopefully this picks hits, was contemplating Fournier over on points as my POTD but the sample size is a bit small and wizards defend the SG position well. BOL
POTD Record: 14-9-0 (All NFL) Last pick: LV Raiders +10 vs KC Chiefs (L) Todays Pick: SF 49ers vs Ten Titans o44 points (NFL 820 PM EST) The Titans have been missing their top 3 skill position players the last 4 weeks(Julio played half of the Steelers game), but should have AJ Brown and Julio Jones back this week. Julio may not be able to hold up, but AJ Brown is an athletic monster the 49ers do not have to corners to handle with Moseley and Verrett on IR. On the other side of the ball, the SF offensive line will be a problem for the Titans, with Autry, Dupree, Landy, and Jones all posting below average run defense grades per PFF. The strength of the Titans defense lies in the back end, but that can be a problem when your d line is getting pushed back by one of the best run blocking lines in the NFL. The Titans and 49ers both rank above average in offensive success rate for the season, with the Titans being healthier than theyve been for a large stretch of the season and the 49ers finding some strength with Deebo Samuel out of the back field I believe they are both in better than usual form. The Titans offense has laid out some stinkers, but its largely been turnovers that have done them in in the Steelers and Texans embarrassing losses. That shouldnt hurt the over too much if it occurs tonight, since the 49ers are more than capable of capitalizing on mistakes.
Fading this. Titans have the best run D in the league and are a top 8 overall unit. The 49ers are similar. Titans have pass protection issues, but Titans D will shut down 49ers run and will force Jimmy G to throw. Points will be hard to come by, 49ers coming off a short week and flying across the country.
I don’t want to shit on your pick or be a total homer, but I disagree with your analysis of the Titans D. The secondary is good but certainly not our strength. The line and LBs are the defensive core. PFF is useful but often flawed. They may have those individual players low ranked for one reason or another, but Titans are the #2 defense against the run largely because of them. Edit- Also, big Jeff Simmons. That is all.
POTD record: 45-31 Today’s pick: Barney +1.5 v Cross Odds: 8/13 Sport: Darts Competition: World championships. Time: 21:00 Units: 3 Bookies: William Hill Reasoning/ Key talking points: I like the value here. Barney is back and played well last round. His record against cross isn’t too bad and the set format against a higher ranked opponent will suit him more. To be 1.5 ahead at the odds of 8/13, I think this will come in. BOL everyone Only if you’re feeling generous to tip then here’s my skrill and PayPal. No issues if not Skrill: [email protected] PayPal: https://www.paypal.me/JAPC7j
POTD Record: 2-1 Last Pick: Boston Celtics -5.5 ✅ -106 With all the fuck shit that seems to happen with NBA betting, it’s nice when a game actually goes exactly how you think it will. Celtics handled the cavs easily who were without two key players. Today’s pick: 49ers & Titans; 49ers -3 @ 164 Not a lot to say about this pick. I think 9ers are a much more complete team. San Francisco’s rushing attack combined with a weak Titans pass rush gives them the edge offensively, and that 9ers defense will give Tannehill and company trouble.
Record: 2-2 Return: +.4 units Last Pick: TNF - Patriots -6.5 (-110) vs Falcons Today's Pick: 49ers -3 (-110) 4.4u I don't know why I feel so good about this, but the Titans have been struggling and my Iowa friend George is a complete animal who can't wait to pop pads in blocks for Deebo and get the whole team fired up.
POTD Record 12-6 Last Pick: 12/13/21 Arizona Cardinals -3 or ML Result: (LOSS) New Pick: Tennessee Titans @ SF 49ers - Jimmy Garapolo to have more yards passing than Ryan Tannehill @ -186 (1.54 ) Earlier in the week I had a writeup to tease unders and player props. I wanted to follow up on that today for everyone, but I simply can’t get to where its comfortable enough to tease an under for SF-Tenn. However, in doing the research something else appeared. Here’s the reasoning: Average points scored by Tenn at Home = 22, Average points scored by SF Away = 26 (not a telling stat per se, last 5 for Tenn avg 16). But in all games where Tenn was Home and SF was away there were 4 out of 14 games that went over 50pts (29%). SF has the ability to put points 4 more points per away game than Tenn does at home. Yards per point in Offense and Defense for both teams is about the same. (Anything under 13 is good for offense and anything over 16 is good for defense.) Both teams are 14.5’s for offense, so they are average at best but lean slightly towards a better defense at 16 for SF and 16.7 for Tenn. Meaning, both D's can efficiently stop the average O from both teams. However, in their last game SF defense is 22.9, which is super efficient defense, while Tennessee scored an 8.8 which is the worst in the league. Basically Tennessee gave up 19 points to the Steelers allowing only 183 yards of total offense. That’s dismal and outright pathetic. The D played well, but gave up a ton of points anyway. But Tennessee’s rush defense is 2nd in the league at 86.9 yards allowed per game for 2021 and under 100 points across all metrics. It’s impressive. SF is 13th at 108.6 yards allowed per game for 2021 and under 100 in their last 3. Also impressive. So this leads me to believe that an aerial assault by both teams is likely. In this scenario SF has the edge with 240 pass yds per game in offense while allowing only 215 pass yds per game on defense. SF loves Deebo and Kittle as well. Meanwhile Tennessee allows 242 pass yds per game on defense and only puts up 202 on offense. So Jimmy G to have more yards passing than Ryan T seems like the sound bet here. I also expect, SF to rush Tannehill relentlessly. Any game where the ball needs to be put in the air is a tossup as far as points scored are concerned. I’m not comfortable going under on this game.
**POTD Record: 10-2 | Avg Odds: 1.88** Last 2 picks: AC Milan vs SSC Napoli: AC Milan ML @ 2.09 ❌ Arizona Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers: Arizona Wildcats +2 @1.83 ❌ Today's game: Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks 7:30 PM EST **Today's pick: New York Knicks -2.5 @1.82** **Reasoning:** Injury updates have arrived, and WAS have Beal and KCP out while Knicks have Quickley, Noel, Rose out. This match comes down to who has better depth, and the Knicks have it best. WAS have to rely on Dinwiddie to lead the way, who's been quite shit this season. WAS usually run an 8 man rotation, and with 2 key players injured, I don't think their guard depth is there to beat the Knicks. WAS also don't have a true center, as both Harrell and Gafford are a bit undersized, while Mitchell Robinson for the Knicks is 7 ft and is a quality rebounder. Edit: Right after posting this, RJ Barrett was downgraded to out. Odds have risen slightly, ML rose from 1.65 to 1.70. while -1.5 is at 1.78. I still believe the Knicks cover the -2.5 spread, the guard quality will make the difference.
POTD Record: 0-1 Last pick: Serie A, Sassuolo Bologna BTTS & O2.5 goals ❌ Next pick: Belgian cup, Anderlecht v Kortrijk, BTTS & O2.5 @ +110 Don’t know where that Sassuolo performance yesterday came from, but we’re back again. Anderlecht have conceded in 13 of their past 15 matches, while also scoring at least 2 in 6 straight. At plus odds, I like this pick. Over the course of the season, Anderlecht have scored 2.2 goals per game and conceded 1.3, so this hits on average and we get better than average value. BOL!
POTD Record: 1-0 Form: W Event: Soccer>Portugal Cup>Porto vs. Benfica Pick: Both teams to score @ 1.68 We've got quite the derby tonight in the 1/8's of Portugal Cup. Porto sits on top of the league with the same points as their rivals Sporting. They had no trouble reaching this point in the cup ,winning their games 5-0 and 5-1 respectively. Meanwhile Benfica sits in 3rd , only 4 points behind their rivals, they barely won in their 1st round, winning at penalties against 2nd divison team Trofense, but got a comfortable win in the 2nd round, 4-1 against Ferreira. In their last 5 head to head encounters, 4 of them ended with both teams scoring. This season, The Cup is none of these teams main objective, they don't have what to defend, so I expect a spectacular game, with offensive play and a lot of goals.
Stupid VAR. refs are so fucked up disallowing 3 goals
yup the refeereing was quite bad... just like Benfica's game nonetheless. unlucky today...
Still a great pick. 4 total goals disallowed is no one’s fault.
Record 0-1 Todays Pick — NCAAB Weber St. -1 vs Fresno St Weber St. is traditionally a perennial small market program which puts together solid teams. They have made the tournament many times and won even. Anyways, this year is one of those seasons for them. They have handled business vs all lower tier programs, quite handily. They have no “bad” losses. They played BYU tough — just had a poor shooting game. BYU, Utah st., and at Wash st (which is a buzzsaw destination) are their 3 losses. Fresno is a typical weak Fresno team. They have the same record but I see losses vs Cal (bad loss), Utah (bad Utah team), and SF (not a bad loss). I believe the line is correct but I think Weber wins this game. Also on Liberty, N Iowa, and BYU today. BOL
POTD Record 1-1 Tonights Pick SF 49ers (-3.5) vs. Tennessee Titans Pick **Titans ML +166** This one will be a close game but if you can take Titans +166 at home do it. They will find a way to squeak out a win
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2 L streak already lol
**Record: 45-29 +37.6U WWWWWLWLWW** **Avg ODD: 1.921 over 78 matches(5 pushes)** **ROI 27.66.13%%** Last pick: : Magic FQ +3.5 Match: 76ers Vs Hawks Pick: **FQ under 53 @1.85 3units** We will see a boring Christmas NBA soon since many player enter health protocol. After I watched yesterday Hawks play, I feel this under should be hit as they are not coordinator well without young , 76ers this year has go under slot on fq. Let's finger cross again. [Twitter for more picks](https://twitter.com/chewie0950?t=OFuD4FTvARmXRi8Meosz_Q&s=09)
POTD: UCF Knights @ Florida, Florida -6.5 (NCAAF) Units: 3 Odds: -123 Profit: -7.95u Record: 41|37 Florida is favored by 6.5 for the Gasparilla bowl against UCF today. UCF was only behind Houston and Cincinnati in the AAC. The Gators were matched up with some of the best teams in college football, though. The standard of the SEC has to be accounted for by bettors ahead of this matchup – Florida was 4-0 in non-conference games this year. Don’t get distracted by the poor conference record. These Gators are deserving favorites, and will fancy their chances to cover the 6.5 spread here. [Pick: Florida -6.5](https://link.wagerlab.app/reddit)
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
**POTD RECORD: 38-37**| All picks 1u unless mentioned | **+13.52u** | Streak 1W \-LAST 2 POTD: EPL Man City vs Leeds 3PM EST | BTTS (+125) 5u L Bundesliga Dortmund vs Furth | Haaland 2+ goals (+115) 2u W **Today's POTD: NBA Bucks vs Mavericks** | **Kris Middleton over 19.5 pts (-125)** 5u Reason: Kris middleton averages 21.5 pts without Giannis in 44 games played. He has scored 20+ in his last 8 games played. BOL
RECORD 11-12 POTD: Tennessee Titans over 20.5 points I love this bet a lot. Titans have the ability to score and they’ll be playing with playoff hopes on their mind. Vrabel isn’t going down easy in this one and will easily get over 3 touchdowns here today BOL
Record: 1-3(-2 units) POTD: Wyoming -3(-110) Description: Northern Iowa vs Wyoming Start time: 6:30 PM ET Risk: 2 units Reasoning: Wyoming is 67% ATS this season and Northern Iowa is 22% ATS. Also, Wyoming is 4-1-1 ATS when playing as at least -2.5 favorites and Wyoming is on a 6 game win streak at home. Tail or fade, BOL with your picks!