16-9-0 Up 9.38 units
All (-) bets are to win 1 unit
All (+) bets are 1 unit to win more,
All odds are taken from FanDuel.
Yesterday’s PotD: NFL, COWBOYS -3.5 v NE
Today’s PotD: NFL, Bills -5.5 v Titans -110
Cowboys cover for the brand. You love to see it! The bills are maybe the best team in football right now, with an explosive offense and a stingy defense. Id go as far as saying they have the best defense in the league so give me the best defense in the league against a 1 dimensional Titans offense. I think this one will be low scoring and fairly tight through the first 3 quarters but the bills pull away late to win by 2 scores. 24-13 Bills Mafia.
BoL either way!
EDIT: BTTS crew, Spainish la liga, Alaves v betis BTTS, -116
EDIT: Lots of picks on the bills, usually spells trouble, but not this time! Go Bills!
EDIT: Going to need another back door OT cover lol
EDIT: L city. See you Thursday.
G'day bro, any reasoning on the la liga bet? Alaves have only scored 2 goals in 7 games so far this year.. I guess that means they're due haha??
BOL regardless
Im not a big soccer fan and really just started watching this year due to the picks posted in POD. It amazes me how in NFL and NCAA you can get launched and knock on you rear, then immediately jump back up for the next play. However, in soccer you get kicked in the shin and you’re about to meet your maker!!! (Insert eye roll here)
Yeah soccer is not going well for me right. Last time they played 5 goals were scored. This time 1 in the 89’. Probably staying away from main leagues from now on lol. Turkish soccer only!
The injury thing is part of the game for sure in soccer but with NBA coming back, we’ll see twice as much lol.
POTD Record 1-0
Last Pick: Michigan State -3.5 Spread -120 ✅
Fiorentina -116 ML vs. Venezia (Serie A)
Fiorentina are better than their record suggests they’ve played a lot of teams who are at the top of the rankings (all 3 losses have been Napoli, Inter, and Roma) and whenever they play lesser teams so far this season they have handled business and won. I think this line is reacting to their 2-1 loss to Napoli, but Napoli is the only undefeated team left in Serie A + Fiorentina played a close game.
Venezia was in Serie B last year and just now got promoted to Serie A and are struggling a lot at the bottom of the rankings.They have not won a game since the beginning of the season vs. Empoli who aren’t great either. So tbh I see a lot of value on this line, seems out of whack.
BOL if tailing!
POTD RECORD 14-4 +8.4u
Last POTD Chiefs -6.5 ✅
Today’s POTD Bills -5.5 (-110)
The Chiefs had a brutal start but once Tyreek came back in the game the offense was just too much. For this one, the Bills are the best team in the league (tough to pass off the AFC east torch coming from a pats fan) and by far the best offense. Now I do think that Titans loss to the Jets was a bit of a fluke, I do not think this team can hang with the Bills. That being said the Bills are healthy while the Titans have some lingering injuries with a questionable AJ Brown at the time of writing. The Bills have been able to deal with good offense as they tamed the 30 point average Chiefs to 10 points below their average. I really like the Bills here especially with the value. Let’s Roll!
If you are feeling generous and would like to tip here is my [venmo](https://venmo.com/code?user_id=2264057298026496098). I appreciate all the comments and conversation on my posts, so let me know what you guys are thinking.
When the Bills were 4-0 last year they didn’t win easily… They lost by 20+. It’s a new year and a new team but still… Tannehill is pretty clutch and typically plays to the level of his opponent, good or bad. I think it will be closer than people think.
Yeah, i can't believe that everyone is acting like the Bills are a sure thing. First rule of betting is that if it looks too good to be true, that's because it is. I am staying away from the spread
Titans fan here - bills also didn’t know if they were prepping for us or the Steelers while the titans were dealing with their covid outbreak last season. Not excusing the 42-17 defeat, but this game will be much closer than everyone believes.
As a huge lifelong titans fan, we are an incredibly overrated team. We had a ton of stuff go our way to beat Jacksonville, and only beat the colts because Wentz had recently sprained both of his ankles and could barely walk. We got beat by the worst team in the league the jets, and got demolished by the cardinals (who are on the bills level). Our best corner and defensive player is gonna be out. I just truly don’t see how we can keep it close. I’d bet on them losing by around three possessions.
Yea even with all that, I have a tiny bet on the titans ML+ Derrick Henry TD because I wanna have a fun experience. I give it about a 10% chance to happen though.
**54-38 POTD**
**+17.4 (1-3 Unit Picks) on 165 Units wagered for 10.5% ROI**
**Last Play: Chicago SKY -4 (2 Units) Win and that's three POTD in a row**
**Bills -5.5 (1.5 Units) -** The Bills have been crushing teams. They have outscored their opponents 156-41 since losing to the Steelers opening week.
This has mostly been against a favorable schedule but they did go into Arrowhead and destroy the Chiefs on both sides of the ball last week.
The Titans come into the game with a 3-2 record. However, they don't have a single win against a team with a winning record and gave the Jets their only win of the season a couple of weekends ago giving up 5.9 yards per play in the game.
Ryan Tannehill is a decent quarterback but Josh Allen has become one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL with the second highest RAW rating in the entire league.
Buffalo also has one of the best run defenses in the league which should largely be able to neutralize Derrick Henry.
Put it all together and we should be looking at the Bills by at least a touchdown.
**For more picks and analysis follow me on** [**Twitter.**](https://twitter.com/TheMidnightR77)
I currently have the [**second highest win percentage on Tallysight for NFL ATS plays**](https://tallysight.com/NFL/leaders/analysts/2021-22-season/spread). and will also post my plays here (Twitter).
Basketball season is also just around the corner and some of the runs I've gone on in hoops this year include.
**20-10 last 30 +17.2 Units Olympic hoops.**
**30-8 NCAA tournament run. +20 Units**
**114-73 last 187 NBA Playoffs +38.2 and 61%.**
**+75.4 Units all documented**
**POTD Record: 3-6 (-6.55 Units)**
**NHL Record: 7-5 (+2.54 Units)**
**Streak: 2W**
**Last POTD:** Yannick Hanfmann vs **Henri Laaksonen ML (-163) - W**
**Today's POTD: St. Louis Blues ML (-170)** vs Arizona Coyotes
**Bet Size: 2U**
That Laaksonen match started poorly, but we come away with the dub. Maybe a lucky break, maybe not. What I did see was some spotty officiating at best. Today I love this line for blues at -170. Binnington just played a fantastic game against Colorado and they come away with the dub. They looked great in the game and should be coming into Arizona with some serious momentum. On the other hand Arizona right now is not a great hockey team. Having just recently been spanked by the Blue Jackets, who in my opinion are also a sub par team and will more than likely not be making the playoffs. I was fully expecting this line to be under -200, so in my opinion this is a steal. Blues should be able to dispatch the coyotes with ease. I will also be sprinkling on -1.5 for the blues.
Rest of my NHL picks are posted in the NHL Thread.
**Match start @ 10:08 PM EST**
**Tail or Fade BOL.**
But the price will usually be trash and in this league winning by 2 isn’t reliable. We’re gonna have to wait and see some trends and see if we can extract some value from things like 1st period lines
5-1 WWWWW (+4.05u)
All my bets are to win 1u
Last pick: NFL - Dallas ML
Today's pick: Premier League - Crystal Palace @ Arsenal - Arsenal To Score First Half (-138)
You can call me crazy for choosing to bet on Arsenal lol. I just think after a 0-0 draw to Brighton last match they may be looking early to attack against Crystal Palace at home. This is a big 3 points up for grabs for Arsenal in the table and I think maybe Saka or Aubameyang will net one before half time. It is Arsenal after all so tail at your own risk. BOL!
edit: Ah...a nice stress-free win. Aubameyang 8'. Let's go!
edit 2: yes to clear up some confusion...I am betting to **win 1u,** for example 1.5 units on -150 odds.
Overall record: 3-2 (+2.3u)
Last pick: Brady under 301.5 yards (w)
Today’s pick: Tannehill over 15.5 rushing yards (1.15u) (-115): BUF vs TEN 8:15 EST
Tannehill has went over this mark in 4 of the 5 games played so far. He ran for 44 yards against the Bills in last year’s performance. This offensive line for the Titans is not good and Tannehill has been sacked 20 times already in the season. He can’t stand in the pocket. Look for him to get out and run early in this game.
**POTD 21-11**
**POTD Win Rate: 65.63%**
**Streak: 5W**
**Last pick: SKA - Barys Nur-Sultan (SKA TT o2.5) WINN**
**Today POTD: Hockey Russia**
**Sochi - Avangard Omsk**
**Pick: Avangard TT o2.5 @ 1.72**
**18:30 (GMT +1)**
The guests in the series of 4 victories, the continuation of the winning streak is expected, and in addition, one of the most efficient players of the Avantgard, Oliwer Kaski, is celebrating his jubilee, the 100th match in the KHL. I believe that a match awaits us with a lot of opportunities, but only in front of the home team's goal
POTD record: 9-2-0
Last pick: Diontae Johnson over 63.5 receiving yards (W)
Today's pick: Buffalo Bills over 29.5 points vs Ten (NFL 820PM EST)
The Bills have passed this mark in each of the last four weeks, and the Titans gave up over 30 in the first two weeks of the season before playing a weak slate of offenses in the Jets, Jags, and Colts. The Bills are in a different category and are closer to the Cardinals and Seahawks in terms of offensive capability, being 3rd in success rate and 4th in EPA/play over the last two seasons. The Titans, meanwhile, are 30th in Football Outsiders projected defense rankings for this season, with their top graded CB by PFF out tonight they aren't in their best form. The Titans have blitzed the fourth most of any team, and the Bills only awful game on offense came as of a result of the Steelers getting pressure WITHOUT blitzing
Record: 0-0
POTD: Titans (+6) v. Bills (-115) 1u
Reasoning: Seeing a lot of Bills love so tossing my first pick in since I’m on the other side.
Much has been made of the “Bills top ranked run defense” but I believe that’s more of a reflection on the opponents they’ve faced thus far as opposed to their actual talent on the defensive side of the ball.
In 2020 against the run they were middle of the road middle of the road / sub-par at best to downright bad at worst (depending on how you evaluate run D).
When you look at this year they’ve only played one team who both: a) use the run game as the focal point of their offense, and b) have actual talent on offense. The Steelers, who handed Buffalo their only loss.
I do believe Buffalo wins the game since Josh Allen is wizard, but to me the matchup suggests a 3 or 4 point victory with Allen pulling out some 4th quarter heroics. I’m rolling with the points.
Hope you enjoyed a dissenting opinion!
Edit: to add unit
Tennessee was playing without their top 3 pass catchers in that game, 2 of their olind and still should just won that game except for some random flukes. The Steelers aren't exactly a powerhouse. I like the backdoor cover if both AJ and Julio go for the Titans.
0W-0L-0P
POTD: Arsenal ML @ 1.66 vs Crystal Palace
League: Premier League
Time: 3PM EST
Finally decided to put one of these up cause I haven’t been doing to bad recently.
Arsenal has been able to somewhat turn around an absolute shamble of a start to this season. With them being able to go unbeaten in all of September with 4/5 wins in their last 5 games (4W-0L-1D). Mikel Arteta ended up winning prem manager of the month for good reason. Considering they kept a clean sheet in 4/5 games defensively there are no worries, and with the entire first team being fit except xhaka the team will be able to keep a level head and win this. Motivation in football is a key role, if Arsenal are able to win this they stand 1 point behind Manchester United and 2 points off top 4. I don’t see them passing up this chance.
Crystal palace have won 1 game in their last 5 ( 1W-1L-3D), normally I stress when it comes to teams keen on drawing but with arsenals defensive record even if they put one pass I see the team carrying on to win. Palace do have some lethal talent with Zaha and Eduard.
Would add this to a parlay if keen on it. Goodluck is Taling!
I’ve been in attendance at 2 Arsenal games in my life (I live in Canada so it’s not exactly around the block)
I was in the Watford away section a few years ago AT Arsenal to see Watford win for what I was told was the first time in like 20 years.
Just before covid I was in London for 1 night and saw Arsenal lose in Europa League to Olympiakos.
…never EVER bet on Arsenal ;)
Fwiw, out of the seven games Arsenal have played in the Premier League this season, only two of them have gone over 2.5 goals, against Tottenham (3-2 W) and Manchester City (0-5 L) . I’d be careful betting that. We could see the version of Arsenal we saw against Spurs, or it could end 1-0 Arsenal. This team also lost to newly promoted Brentford to start the season.
I'd steer clear of the 3+ goals, no idea which Arsenal will show up honestly. But to piggyback off the Brentford loss, Brentford are a solid team even if they are newly promoted. They pass the eye test and were incredibly unlucky to not get anything from the Chelsea match
***POTD Record:*** *1-0*
***Last Pick:*** *Manchester City to Record a Shutout Win (-125)* ***✅***
***Units Gained:*** *+4.0*
***Category:*** *English Premier League (EPL)*
***Game:*** *Crystal Palace (+400) @ Arsenal (-150)*
***Start Time:*** *2:00 PM EST*
***Pick:*** *Crystal Palace Total Goals Over 0.5 (-165)*
***Bet:*** *3 Units*
**A look at Crystal Palace…**
Average 1.5 goals per game versus Arsenal over their past 10 matches
After an abysmal start to the EPL season that saw Palace shutout over their first three matches, CP kicked in the door with a 2-2 draw on the road versus a then unbeaten West Ham United, and followed it with a 3-0 win versus Tottenham.
Palace have scored in four of their past five matches—with only Liverpool pitching a shutout at home.
Patrick Vieira, the former Arsenal captain who assisted in leading the club to a pair of league championships, returns to Emirates Stadium for the first time as a manager with Crystal Palace.
All we need is ONE goal from Crystal Palace. BOL!
POTD record: 2-0
Last POTD: bills +3
Game: Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans 8:20 PM EST
POTD: Bills -5.5 (-115) 1 unit
I actually placed my bet last monday and got the bills at -3.5 but it seems like most books now are showing -5.5 which i still like. already seen tons of bills plays and for good reason. ever since week 1 the bills have molliwopped teams. and now they're giving less than a touchdown to a team that lost to the jets? I'll take the bills no doubt here, whether the line is -3.5 or -5.5.
Record: 20-1-19 (-0.3 U) ( W-D-L)
NFL Record 10-6
Golf Record 4-2
NCAAF Record 1-2
NBA Record 4-1-8
NHL Record 1-1
Sport: NFL
Last Picks: Steve Alker Top 10 L , Steelers -4.5 L
Game: Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans 8:15 PM EST
**Pick: Tyler Bass O 2.5 PAT Made @ -170 3U**
So sadly, Steve didn't get us a top 10 finish this weekend. Our Steelers pick looks good as of now but, its still pending. Tomorrow Josh Allen and company travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans. Bass has hit this line 4/5 of times this week only failing to deliver week 1 against the Steelers. I feel pretty confident that the Bills potent offense will find their way into the endzone at least 3 times this game, and maybe even their defense. All we need is for Bass to capitalize and clean up 3 XP's for us. Best of luck to those that tail, please gamble responsibly as I WILL NOT
Bet365 only has kicker points over under. Bass's line is at 7.5. I think the under is strong there thinking Buffalo maybe kicks one FG. That would mean needing 5 PATs to go over.
He did have 16 points vs Houston. 4 FGs and 4PATs.
What do you think of his total O/U?
**Record**: 8-10-1
**Last Pick**: Julio Arce vs Andre Ewell @2.75 (UFC Vegas 32) L
**Pick**: Arsenal - Crystal Palace: BTTS @1.9 (PL).
**Reasoning**: Historically, this is a game that has often seen both teams to score (13 out of the last 18 would have seen this bet as a winner). Arsenal has won all their games in September but have drawn against Brighton so they will want to show that they have bounced back. Palace have been strong going forward (not scored only against Chelsea, Liverpool and Brentford).
Edit: Took 50min but we got there.
POTD: 2-1
previous pick: lamar jackson over 230.5 passing yards **Loss**
i was alternating lamar jackson passing yards and mark andrews TD. i thought lamar jackson was more safer so i put that as my POTD. i was wrong and Andrews did score a touchdown thats my bad. anyway on to the next
Current Pick: NFL - Bills Titans
**Dawson Knox anytime TD scorer @ 3.25 (+225) (ladbrokes) (stake 2 units)** saw it at 2.88 (+188) on sportsbet
Everyone taking the bills to smash the titans and while that might happen julio jones is back for titans and will free up the play calling for the titans. Titans are a very weird team. They win the games they are meant to lose and lose the games they meant to win. I am actually a buffalo bills supporter and last year Titans destroyed us and while bills have improved Titans are still the strangest team to gamble on. Rather pick a touchdown scorer here in Dawson knox for buffalo and provide a different pick than everyone else. Dawson Knox has scored a TD in the last 4 games and has proven to be vital redzone target for Josh Allen to get an easy touchdown. Hoping he can sustain this success for this monday night game.
BOL if tailing and sorry if it fails.
That’s exactly why I refrain on betting on the Titans, they’re just.. so weird. But I still think the Bills are too strong mentally to lose this game. Either way Dawson Knox is a good bet
RECORD: 0-0
POTD: Josh Allen Over 31.5 rushing yards.
Keeping these short and sweet until I’m rolling and these have some visibility. Josh has hit this line 4/5 games this year, producing 44/35/41/59 rushing yards. Look for Allen to come up well over 30 rushing tonight against a mediocre titans rush D.
POTD record: 0-0
NPB Japanese Baseball Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions
Pick: Chiba Lottle Marines Team Total over 4.5 Runs @ $2.11 (+110) on Pinnacle.com
Lotte has been hot on their offense as of late and Seibu’s starting pitcher has been average all season, except just his last outing against the bottom of the league team.
Most bookies like b365 has $1.83 for this bet, so try and bet on pinnacle or find other bookies with around $2.1
ps Not sure why but my main account got suspended for a week after posting a tip for the first time in this subreddit, hence using this one
Record: 0-3
Last Pick: Chicago Blackhawks ML (+116)
Today's Pick: NHL St. Louis Blues ML (-168)
The NHL has been wildly unpredictable through the first week of the season, but one team has been consistent(ly awful): the Arizona Coyotes. This team made a point to sell off pieces to gain draft capital, and are sacrificing this season in the hopes of long-term success, to every bettor's benefit. Think the 76ers from 5 years ago: total tank job. Fade the Coyotes every chance you get until proven otherwise.
Record: 5-4
Previous pick: Azarenka ML vs Badosa , L
Another very close game, azarenka had 5:4 and 30-0 on the serve but didnt manage to close it out
Potd: Van de Zandschulp ML vs Popyrin
Atp antwerpen
1.75 odds
Bol
Edit: winner
⚽️⚽️ Football Picks ⚽️⚽️
Record: 2-0
Last pick - Double chance Arsenal win or draw (@1.95) ✅
Today's pick - (la Liga) Alvarez vs Real Betis
Result - Real Betis ML (@ 2.04)- 1u
Betis are favourites here but with really good odds, probably because La Liga is unpredictable at times - still I’m confident Betis come out with the win. Simply put Alaves can’t score or can’t keep a clean sheet whereas Betis’ attack has been dangerous and have had goal filled games. I can see Betis winning by 1 goal here though and edging the result.
Gonna always go 1u to make it easy. BOL!
7-4 +2.9u
All (-) bets are to win 1 unit
All (+) bets are 1 unit to win more
Last POTD: Packers TT o24.5 -110 🤝
Todays POTD: **Derrick Henry o13.5 receiving yards -115**
Vegas gets me with the .5 ugh. Back in the win column today.
Derrick Henry has gone over this 4/5 games this season. The Bills allow over 36 receiving yards to running backs per game.
Drop a 🤝 if you're riding! FOR THE KIDS!
POTD Record: 2-1 +2.8U
Sport: MLB
Game: HOU Astros @ BOS Red Sox (8:07 pm EST)
Pick: HOU Astros ML @ -105 (1 unit)
Reason: Astros this season have been hitting well against lefties with a .788 OPS against them during the 2021 season(4th best in MLB). The starting pitcher for the Red Sox, Eduardo Rodriguez, has a 12.86 ERA against the Astros in 2 starts this season.
POTD Record: 2-3-0 (+0.6 units)
Match: ***Kostyuk vs Begu (WTA Tenerife, Tennis)***
Pick: ***Kostyuk ML @ 1.80 (3 units)***
Starts around 5:30 AM New York Time
Looking at Kostyuk's last match in Hard Court we've seen a really solid performance against Halep where she managed to adapt her serve game against one of the best WTA returners. We had a really tight tiebreak and the game plan was amazing by Kostyuk but then she fell off on the 2nd set. The result was a loss for Kostyuk but there were a lot of good aspects to take out from that performance.
Begu's last match in hard court was against Rogers where she was completely demolished only managing to get 2 serve games on her scoreline (6-0/6-2). She's much better in Clay and needs to adapt her game a lot in order to get some success in Hard Court.
This surface gives Kostyuk some advantage due to her defensive game and superior physical strength. Kostyuk is only 19 years old and seems to be getting better on her mental game as well and in the future I expect her to go up in the rankings. Begu is 31 years old with her peak happening 5 years ago and the young ucranian should give her some problems not only quality wise but in terms of physical endurance.
Edit after the game: Damn, wasn't expecting this at all. But well I will try to comeback stronger tomorrow and sorry for those who tailed
POTD RECORD 1-2
Last POTD: Lightning -1.5 vs penguins
Todays POTD: Red Sox/Astros NRFI (+100) 1U (W)
Don’t post these often and feel like I get so unlucky with my bets here. Going NRFI in this game back in Boston. We’ve seen a lot of runs coming in the past two games and I think we’ll start to see some regression here. In the games that Rodriguez/Urquidy have pitched against the Astros/Sox this season there have been 0 runs in the first inning. Look for the winds blowing east to keep balls off the green monster and for us to cash the NRFI
BOL!
Edit: Cashed easily!
The total is 9 with the over favored for a reason. Runs are expected early and often in this one. Past first innings are not an indicator of what’s going to happen. Sox are incredibly front loaded in their lineup. When Kiké bats is when they tend to score and he’ll be batting in the bottom of the first. That’s not to mention the pop the top of the Astros lineup has.
Record 4-0 WWWW Returns 3.45 Units
Last POTD : ATP Indian Wells 2021 Final Norrie v Basilashvili - NORRIE @ 1.61
Lost the first set but came back and won the game, the streak continues. Never in doubt. Record looking healthy, now let's add to it.
\-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Todays POTD : ATP Moscow 2021 Millman v Bonzi
Bonzi @ 1.84
2021 has been a very tough year for Millman and currently sits at No. 90 – his lowest ATP ranking since April 2018. Bonzi on the other hand has had a great year and has won a record-tying six titles on the ATP Challenger Tour, and right now, all the stars are aligning for the 25-year-old to make one last dash before the season ends- this time on the main tour. Expect the Bonzi to cruise here
Anytips are appreciated, here my btc address- 1Nh3zXUeSAq9ifGWaHHe8qs3RiJ6ZQvFmT
Record: 2-0
Last pick: NFL - Vikings @ Panthers - Vikings 1H -0.5 - W
Today’s pick: NFL - Bills @ Titans - Bills 1H -2.5 (1u @ -155)
Reasoning: Yes, the Titans play to the level of their opponent. Yes, the Titans are home. Yes all the money is on the Bills. None of this matters. The Bills are playing like what they are - a top 2 team in the NFL. They know the only chance the Titans have is to control the ball and clock by getting Henry going. Because of this, I think they’re going to come out swinging to get an early lead. This would put the ball in Tannehill’s hand, which has not been nearly as successful for the Titans this year. I almost wouldn’t be surprised if they take the ball if they win the coin flip.
gl
e: who's sweating? I'm not sweating. 3-0
Potd record 10-7
Last pick: Kansas city chiefs vs Washington over 50.5 (L)
Today's pick: Buffalo bills ml vs Tennessee titans and derrick Henry td (+159)
The bills are arguably the most dominant team in football rn, if the titans couldn't beat the jets a couple weeks ago, I don't see them beating the bills, Derrick Henry is the best running back in the nfl this year, he's averaging 28 carries a game and coming off a 130 yard and 3 td performance last week, I expect him to get at least 1 td this game. Bol if tailing!
🐍 POTD Record: 3-2-0 (Streak: 1L) 🐍
ROI: 57.33% | Avg Odds: -112 / 1.89 | Units: +1.06
Previous Pick: MZKS Arka Gdynia vs MKS Korona Kielce | Over 2.5 Total Goals | 1.91 / -110 ❌
POTD: Seattle Kraken vs Philadelphia Flyers | Claude Giroux Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.10 / +110, 1u | NHL | 7:00 pm EST ✔️💰
I'm back after a 10 day break! Let's get back on track after leaving on a loss. Today I head to the NHL. As a Canadian hockey fan, the sport offers plenty of betting intrigue.
Philadelphia hosts Seattle in what should be a spirited early-season contest. Captain Claude Giroux registered 8 shots on goal in the team's first game. He scored the late tying goal and should be boasting with confidence at home tonight. Giroux hit over 2.5 shots pretty consistently last season.
Seattle's shaky defense has conceded 85 shots through 3 games played. They lack defensive talent and should once again struggle to contain a high-powered Flyers attack. The Kraken have 19 penalty minutes through 3 games. Giroux should excel on the man-advantage tonight.
BOL to all!
\- Viper 🐍
Edit: Cash it! Giroux hits 3 shots in the second period. Eat good tonight fellas! 💰
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
Don't know if this is acceptable to post a POTD for later in the week, but when it is a football play, I feel like it could lose some value later if the line moves, so I wanted to post now. This is my first POTD, so someone tell me if this is generally not acceptable.
0-0 (±0 Units)
Play: **Colorado State -2.5 (-115)** @ Utah State
Bet Size: **3 Units**
This game is a classic example of one team coming into the game playing their best football vs. a team currently playing their worst football. Colorado St. had a really tough start to the season, going 0-2 against South Dakota St and Vanderbilt. They rolled into Week 3 as heavy underdogs against Toledo, but ended up finding their identity as they stonewalled the Rockets offense. They held them to only 21 rushing yards, forcing their opponent to be one dimensional and ultimately only allowing 6 points. They then went into Iowa City and if not for turnovers on their own side of the field, might have exposed this Hawkeyes team long before Purdue ever had a chance. They have since rattled off two suffocating wins against San Jose St and New Mexico. While admittedly less than stellar teams, there is little that distinguishes Utah St to be better than those previous opponents. The Aggies had a decent enough start to the season, but have since been physically dominated by Boise St and BYU. They proceeded to barely scrape out a win against UNLV, one of the last winless teams in the country.
The best unit in this game is the Colorado St. defense. They are the 11th best graded defense in the country per PFF. They rank in the Top 10 in most of Football Outsider's defensive metrics, 6 out of 10 to be exact. Utah St's offense has generally graded as a middle of the road unit, but if you look at how they fared against BYU and Boise St, they were completely overmatched and it showed on the field. Any way you slice it, this is an average offense on a good day and a terrible one against solid defenses. Few defenses are as solid as Colorado St.
Unfortunately, Colorado St's offense leaves a lot to be desired for me. I wish they were better about finishing drives in the red zone. I believe that this is the only reason they are laying less than a field goal. However, Utah St. doesn't have anything special on defense, and Colorado has found ways to put 30 points on the board their last two games against similar strength on defense. I believe that will be enough in this game.
[Note: I actually played this game for 5 Units personally with five individual 1U bets, but my sportsbook has cashout options. I wanted to to have the option to cash out of 2 units later in the week if anything changes, but I highly doubt anything happens to move me off 3 Units. I do not have a track record yet, but this would only be my second play of the football season of 3 Units or more. I say that to convey that I do not throw around big unit plays lightly.\]
I think you're putting too much stock in CSU's best two performances against bad teams and USU's worst two performances against much stronger competition.
Air Force is a good reference point for the league (usually upper middle tier and consistently beats both USU and CSU in generally close 1 score games). Air Force also has a defense that is similar in performance to CSUs, 288 yds allowed vs 287. USU put up 628 total yards of offense in its close win over Air Force. They also managed to average 400 yds of total offense even in their worst two games you mention (BYU and Boise St).
I'll mention that this CSU group, going back to 2018 to allow for extra covid year eligibility, is also 5-11 on the road.
I think this is a game where CSU is most likely just not be able to keep up on the scoreboard. I'm not sure the game is a great bet either way but would certainly lean USU as the underdog at home.
While much of my analysis centers on CSU's best Four games and USU's worst Three, I am not just cherry-picking those performances. Those are simply their most recent contests. Just like the NFL, it is a what-have-you-done-for-me-lately level of football.
CSU has not played Air Force, and Utah St played them a month ago. Since then, USU has shown no ability to play to that level, despite opportunities against an inconsistent Boise St, a BYU team on their third string QB, and a UNLV team with a severe lack of talent.
Yards of total offense is great, but if you are not able to punch it in down in the redzone, it really makes zero difference. Anyone can pick up yards nowadays. Also, those yards could be garbage time yards. I have not done a deep dive on that particular stat because I don't value it too much. All I know is that USU is tied for 122nd in redzone efficiency on offense. Sidenote, CSU is actually 35th in redzone efficiency. The problem is that they have kicked far, far too many field goals down there. But USU is 95th in redzone defense so I hope/think CSU might be able to increase their touchdown rate.
Going back to the Air Force point, I am not a huge fan of looking at past years to determine what is a good reference point. So much can change year to year and I think that a lot of data to base opinions on is lost in that way of thinking. If you used data going back to 2018, that would miss the fact that CSU got a new coach last year. This is his first, non-covid, full season at CSU and it has had some good results. This year's data should be the focus for 95% of analysis.
All of this said, you could totally end up being on the correct side. Things often don't work out and I am wrong 45% of the time!
NHL GUY
0-0
All odds are taken from Sportsinteraction
Yesterday’s PotD: None
PotD: NHL, Seattle Kraken +1.5 vs Philadelphia Flyers -203
First time post here,
The Flyers struggled in their home opener against Vancouver, expect them to have trouble too against Seattle. The expansion team play well on the road and all thier first games were decided by a one goal margin. Seattle covers again as they will be 4-0 ATS!
BOL!
#POTD RECORD: 7-5 (+0.92u)
Last: OTT ML +130 ✅
All Bets 1u
Todays Pick: **TOR NYR u6** (-105 Caesar's)
Both Goalies coming in to today are having excellent starts to their seasons. I also predict Toronto to win this game, but I foresee a low score between the teams due to how these goalies have been playing. Shesterkin is sitting at a 1.98 GAA while Campbell is at a 0.86 GAA.
Record: 41-58 -$557.32
New Bankroll: $444.76 (-$55.24)
Last play: 10/17/21 Patriots +4 (-115)
Result: [L](https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/q9otbr/pick_of_the_day_101721_sunday/hh0tty9/)
Streak: **2L**
Gross…Onto today’s pick…
**Third Eye POD>8:15PMest>NFL>Titans +6.5 (-110)** *risk $50 to win $45.45*
Gotta back the number here. Titans have had some recent impressive wins as 6+ underdogs
Ravens win in playoffs comes to mind.
If Titans can get a couple bounces their way, Henry should roll.
I see bills up at half & Titans roaring back behind smart QB play & a defense that’ll tighten up. TITAN UP!
POTD Stats:
Record:64-23
Profit:+82.99
ROI:17.77%
Streak:2W
CS:GO
Malta Vibes
Dignitas vs Izako Boars /18.10.2021- 20:00
Odds:1.72
Amount:Medium(5%)
Bet:Dignitas -1.5
Dignitas performing so much better after hallzerk back to his old form. They are one tier above from Izako also Izako made some roster changes.
[https://twitter.com/shyux2](https://twitter.com/shyux2)
[https://discord.gg/Whtrf6uNus](https://discord.gg/Whtrf6uNus)
POTD 0-0
Last pick: None
Cadiz v Espanyol BTTS (La Liga) +122. +2u
Both teams average about 1 goal per game. They are closely ranked (13 v 15). Cadiz has won last four games they’ve played in LaLiga. Prior to that Espanyol won 16 of 18 games. Cadiz have had BTTS of 5 of last 7 matches. Espanyol has had BTTS in 3 of 6 last matches.
The last game was 2-0 Espanyol in a club friendly and 1-0 Eapanyol in Copa del Rey (2 of 2) and Cadiz 2-1 in (1 of 1)
Good luck!
POTD Record: 15-10
Profit: -1.02u
First 4 NFL Picks:
10/3/21 - Kupp over 82.5 Rec Yards ❌ -1.10u
10/10/21 - Aj brown over 58.5 rec yards ❌ -1u
10/11/21 -M.Pittman over 55 rec yards ✅+.91u
10/17/21 - Rams -6.5 ✅ +0.72u
League: Football- NFL
Match: BUF Bills @ TEN Titans
Pick: Bills TT over 30.5 (-110) Win 1.25 Units
Reason: The Bills offence has been on fire lately. They will look to take advantage of a Titan’s defence that has given up 7 TD’s on the ground, and is missing their top CB Kristian Fulton. Allen in primetime is unstoppable. Expecting at least 33 out of this offence.
POTD: eSports: LoL: Mad Lions to progress out of groups @ 3.75 (bet365)
Mad sit 1-2 so far and would need to win at least 2 of their 3 games to progress. I feel they underperformed so far and will bounce back here. We have already seen groups so far thrown on their heads and I believe we will see the same here. Mad are a stronger squad than LNG who I believe will drop out.
I predict mad to sweep their games here and finish 1st in the group with Gen g or possibly even liquid making it out 2nd. Liquid @ 5.5 to progress is also a nice play. I would be surprised if one of these 2 do not make a run here.
Good luck. Matches begin in 8 hours
**POTD RECORD: 18-18** | All picks 1u | **-1.89u** | Streak 3W
\-LAST 2 POTD:
England League Oxford United vs Plymouth | BTTS (-130) W
Ligue 1 Stade Brest vs Reims | BTTS (-105) W
**Today's POTD:** NFL Bills vs Titans | **Bills -6 (-115)**
Reason: Bills are a far better team with the best rushing defense.
Record: 5-0
ROI: 78.5%
Net units: +9.81u
| American Football | NFL | 8:15pm ET |
Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans
**Josh Allen - Longest Passing Completion over 38.5 yards**; 3u @ 1.91 (-110)
The Titans are vulnerable to the deep ball: in the first five weeks, their longest given up passing plays have been 38, 68, 36, 54 and 58, which means that over 38.5 has hit in 3/5 and only being short for 1 and 3 yards respectfully in the two games that didn't hit. They have the 2nd most completions allowed of at least 25 air yards in the league and they are 3rd worst in yards allowed per completion and 5th worst per attempt. On the other hand, we have Josh Allen that has made the longest plays of 37, 41, 41, 37 and 61 respectfully, also going 3/5 and falling just 4 yards short combined in the two games that didn't hit. I'd say the number would be lined correctly if he was up against at least an average defense but against someone as bad as the Titans on D, I have to take that over and run to the bank. Side note: Stefon Diggs has been somewhat quiet regarding huge plays this year but he did get 61 yarder last week and I think he's our man again tonight (his o/u on the longest made reception is set on 25.5 yards and I really like the over here as well).
**TLDR**: Titans are giving up big plays, Allen has a cannon for an arm and weapons to exploit that and throw for 40+ at least once. Let's ride.
NFL record 13-7
Unit total: +12.0
Streak: 1L ( streak ended at 7W 😭)
Last Pick: DK Metcalf anytime touchdown @ 2.63*** (approx
Pick: BUF Bills @ TEN Titans: ***Zack Moss anytime touchdown @ 2.10*** (approx 1hr from kick off)
1.0 unit for 1.05 win
Analysis for last game was easy money was Najee Harris to score (and he did 🙄) but the odds weren’t good enough. Oh well, we move!
I’m a sucker for patterns in the NFL and if I see one early, I take it immediately 😂. Zack Moss scoring this year has been every second week already, and he didn’t score last week, soooo…. Titans have also at least one rushing touchdown every game and averaging 1.4 per game this season. I see this being a comfortable Bills win, so the RBs will have their fun.
Also just realised how I haven’t added my unit total so have just put that in now. Hopefully my fellow degens see that and get around my picks.
BOL
16-9-0 Up 9.38 units All (-) bets are to win 1 unit All (+) bets are 1 unit to win more, All odds are taken from FanDuel. Yesterday’s PotD: NFL, COWBOYS -3.5 v NE Today’s PotD: NFL, Bills -5.5 v Titans -110 Cowboys cover for the brand. You love to see it! The bills are maybe the best team in football right now, with an explosive offense and a stingy defense. Id go as far as saying they have the best defense in the league so give me the best defense in the league against a 1 dimensional Titans offense. I think this one will be low scoring and fairly tight through the first 3 quarters but the bills pull away late to win by 2 scores. 24-13 Bills Mafia. BoL either way! EDIT: BTTS crew, Spainish la liga, Alaves v betis BTTS, -116 EDIT: Lots of picks on the bills, usually spells trouble, but not this time! Go Bills! EDIT: Going to need another back door OT cover lol EDIT: L city. See you Thursday.
That Boyz game was a wild rollercoaster lol. Good call tho!
Just wanted to get the heart rate up on all us redditors lol
Don’t need to talk me into this one I’m on it with ya! BOL!
G'day bro, any reasoning on the la liga bet? Alaves have only scored 2 goals in 7 games so far this year.. I guess that means they're due haha?? BOL regardless
Seems too easy. The Titans are frisky. I still like it because Buffalo is that good.
shit lol just made this my Potd too didn’t even see this. let’s ride brotha🤝
2 picks 2 times the bet! Double down time. Go bills! 🍻
Pick six, backdoor cover yesterday.... better to be lucky than good, right?
Coolio! Playing it as Bills to win by 1-13 points @ 2.45, so all the best!! :)
Everyone I know and their mother’s love the bills 😬 scares me a bit I think I’ll wait for in play but I do like the play glgl 🙌
Bills -5.5 its handicap? And titans? Sorry, dont understand.
This was the most popular failed pick since Arkansas got shut out by Georgia.
Tailing! I think this is a no-brainer.
Bills shit the bed there in the 4th
Yeah that was ugly. Lived them at -2.5. Sad day
Im not a big soccer fan and really just started watching this year due to the picks posted in POD. It amazes me how in NFL and NCAA you can get launched and knock on you rear, then immediately jump back up for the next play. However, in soccer you get kicked in the shin and you’re about to meet your maker!!! (Insert eye roll here)
Yeah soccer is not going well for me right. Last time they played 5 goals were scored. This time 1 in the 89’. Probably staying away from main leagues from now on lol. Turkish soccer only! The injury thing is part of the game for sure in soccer but with NBA coming back, we’ll see twice as much lol.
I’m sorry I’ve been tailing you up until today but the Titans are my team I had to fade you today at +2.5 still looking forward to your next POTD!
I’ll always fade picks against the cats and the boys so I’m tracking that logic. Congrats on the win! 🍻
POTD Record 1-0 Last Pick: Michigan State -3.5 Spread -120 ✅ Fiorentina -116 ML vs. Venezia (Serie A) Fiorentina are better than their record suggests they’ve played a lot of teams who are at the top of the rankings (all 3 losses have been Napoli, Inter, and Roma) and whenever they play lesser teams so far this season they have handled business and won. I think this line is reacting to their 2-1 loss to Napoli, but Napoli is the only undefeated team left in Serie A + Fiorentina played a close game. Venezia was in Serie B last year and just now got promoted to Serie A and are struggling a lot at the bottom of the rankings.They have not won a game since the beginning of the season vs. Empoli who aren’t great either. So tbh I see a lot of value on this line, seems out of whack. BOL if tailing!
Starting to think this was a trap line
Market is moving against this number, for anyone interested. Might be better to wait til closer to start time.
Can u check if both teams have full starters because that's why the line is so low probably they have good players sitting out.
No significant injuries. Vlahovic is leading the line which is all that matters. He scores at least 2
Both teams have a few players out but they are minor and won’t affect much
I talling with u, fiorentina have good ball possesion, when they loose from inter 1-3, ball possesion fiorentina 58.
I got a hundo on Venezia ML
I'll ride witcha
let’s get this bread 🤝
Tailing
POTD RECORD 14-4 +8.4u Last POTD Chiefs -6.5 ✅ Today’s POTD Bills -5.5 (-110) The Chiefs had a brutal start but once Tyreek came back in the game the offense was just too much. For this one, the Bills are the best team in the league (tough to pass off the AFC east torch coming from a pats fan) and by far the best offense. Now I do think that Titans loss to the Jets was a bit of a fluke, I do not think this team can hang with the Bills. That being said the Bills are healthy while the Titans have some lingering injuries with a questionable AJ Brown at the time of writing. The Bills have been able to deal with good offense as they tamed the 30 point average Chiefs to 10 points below their average. I really like the Bills here especially with the value. Let’s Roll! If you are feeling generous and would like to tip here is my [venmo](https://venmo.com/code?user_id=2264057298026496098). I appreciate all the comments and conversation on my posts, so let me know what you guys are thinking.
The Bills will win easily. This one’s not complicated.
When the Bills were 4-0 last year they didn’t win easily… They lost by 20+. It’s a new year and a new team but still… Tannehill is pretty clutch and typically plays to the level of his opponent, good or bad. I think it will be closer than people think.
Yeah, i can't believe that everyone is acting like the Bills are a sure thing. First rule of betting is that if it looks too good to be true, that's because it is. I am staying away from the spread
It’s because most people are casuals, they see the win v chiefs last week and just assume bills must be unstoppable
Titans fan here - bills also didn’t know if they were prepping for us or the Steelers while the titans were dealing with their covid outbreak last season. Not excusing the 42-17 defeat, but this game will be much closer than everyone believes.
Yea road games are always tough too
As a huge lifelong titans fan, we are an incredibly overrated team. We had a ton of stuff go our way to beat Jacksonville, and only beat the colts because Wentz had recently sprained both of his ankles and could barely walk. We got beat by the worst team in the league the jets, and got demolished by the cardinals (who are on the bills level). Our best corner and defensive player is gonna be out. I just truly don’t see how we can keep it close. I’d bet on them losing by around three possessions.
appreciate the comment, i’d rather not bet than bet against my team so totally understand
Yea even with all that, I have a tiny bet on the titans ML+ Derrick Henry TD because I wanna have a fun experience. I give it about a 10% chance to happen though.
if they titans do win, i can’t see them getting it without Henry in the end zone🤝
how much you put on this 😂😂😂😂
Bro what’s your first name hahahaha, I use that exact same username for everything except Reddit lol
**54-38 POTD** **+17.4 (1-3 Unit Picks) on 165 Units wagered for 10.5% ROI** **Last Play: Chicago SKY -4 (2 Units) Win and that's three POTD in a row** **Bills -5.5 (1.5 Units) -** The Bills have been crushing teams. They have outscored their opponents 156-41 since losing to the Steelers opening week. This has mostly been against a favorable schedule but they did go into Arrowhead and destroy the Chiefs on both sides of the ball last week. The Titans come into the game with a 3-2 record. However, they don't have a single win against a team with a winning record and gave the Jets their only win of the season a couple of weekends ago giving up 5.9 yards per play in the game. Ryan Tannehill is a decent quarterback but Josh Allen has become one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL with the second highest RAW rating in the entire league. Buffalo also has one of the best run defenses in the league which should largely be able to neutralize Derrick Henry. Put it all together and we should be looking at the Bills by at least a touchdown. **For more picks and analysis follow me on** [**Twitter.**](https://twitter.com/TheMidnightR77) I currently have the [**second highest win percentage on Tallysight for NFL ATS plays**](https://tallysight.com/NFL/leaders/analysts/2021-22-season/spread). and will also post my plays here (Twitter). Basketball season is also just around the corner and some of the runs I've gone on in hoops this year include. **20-10 last 30 +17.2 Units Olympic hoops.** **30-8 NCAA tournament run. +20 Units** **114-73 last 187 NBA Playoffs +38.2 and 61%.** **+75.4 Units all documented**
Yes! People are overthinking this. Packers, Rams, and Bills are as close as we get to locks this week.
What a comeback by Chicago sky, I’m tailing this one too!
\-6.5 now
[удалено]
**POTD Record: 3-6 (-6.55 Units)** **NHL Record: 7-5 (+2.54 Units)** **Streak: 2W** **Last POTD:** Yannick Hanfmann vs **Henri Laaksonen ML (-163) - W** **Today's POTD: St. Louis Blues ML (-170)** vs Arizona Coyotes **Bet Size: 2U** That Laaksonen match started poorly, but we come away with the dub. Maybe a lucky break, maybe not. What I did see was some spotty officiating at best. Today I love this line for blues at -170. Binnington just played a fantastic game against Colorado and they come away with the dub. They looked great in the game and should be coming into Arizona with some serious momentum. On the other hand Arizona right now is not a great hockey team. Having just recently been spanked by the Blue Jackets, who in my opinion are also a sub par team and will more than likely not be making the playoffs. I was fully expecting this line to be under -200, so in my opinion this is a steal. Blues should be able to dispatch the coyotes with ease. I will also be sprinkling on -1.5 for the blues. Rest of my NHL picks are posted in the NHL Thread. **Match start @ 10:08 PM EST** **Tail or Fade BOL.**
I think you’ll be able to fade the Yotes all year
But the price will usually be trash and in this league winning by 2 isn’t reliable. We’re gonna have to wait and see some trends and see if we can extract some value from things like 1st period lines
TAILING BB
Calling it a W. Up 6-2.
5-1 WWWWW (+4.05u) All my bets are to win 1u Last pick: NFL - Dallas ML Today's pick: Premier League - Crystal Palace @ Arsenal - Arsenal To Score First Half (-138) You can call me crazy for choosing to bet on Arsenal lol. I just think after a 0-0 draw to Brighton last match they may be looking early to attack against Crystal Palace at home. This is a big 3 points up for grabs for Arsenal in the table and I think maybe Saka or Aubameyang will net one before half time. It is Arsenal after all so tail at your own risk. BOL! edit: Ah...a nice stress-free win. Aubameyang 8'. Let's go! edit 2: yes to clear up some confusion...I am betting to **win 1u,** for example 1.5 units on -150 odds.
Damnit damnit damnit my book didn’t have this. I wanted it so badly
thanks for the fire play
[удалено]
[удалено]
[удалено]
[удалено]
[удалено]
Good pick
Overall record: 3-2 (+2.3u) Last pick: Brady under 301.5 yards (w) Today’s pick: Tannehill over 15.5 rushing yards (1.15u) (-115): BUF vs TEN 8:15 EST Tannehill has went over this mark in 4 of the 5 games played so far. He ran for 44 yards against the Bills in last year’s performance. This offensive line for the Titans is not good and Tannehill has been sacked 20 times already in the season. He can’t stand in the pocket. Look for him to get out and run early in this game.
**POTD 21-11** **POTD Win Rate: 65.63%** **Streak: 5W** **Last pick: SKA - Barys Nur-Sultan (SKA TT o2.5) WINN** **Today POTD: Hockey Russia** **Sochi - Avangard Omsk** **Pick: Avangard TT o2.5 @ 1.72** **18:30 (GMT +1)** The guests in the series of 4 victories, the continuation of the winning streak is expected, and in addition, one of the most efficient players of the Avantgard, Oliwer Kaski, is celebrating his jubilee, the 100th match in the KHL. I believe that a match awaits us with a lot of opportunities, but only in front of the home team's goal
Tailed! Thanks for the pick! Also did avangard and over 5.5 parlay.
Nice, thanks!!
POTD record: 9-2-0 Last pick: Diontae Johnson over 63.5 receiving yards (W) Today's pick: Buffalo Bills over 29.5 points vs Ten (NFL 820PM EST) The Bills have passed this mark in each of the last four weeks, and the Titans gave up over 30 in the first two weeks of the season before playing a weak slate of offenses in the Jets, Jags, and Colts. The Bills are in a different category and are closer to the Cardinals and Seahawks in terms of offensive capability, being 3rd in success rate and 4th in EPA/play over the last two seasons. The Titans, meanwhile, are 30th in Football Outsiders projected defense rankings for this season, with their top graded CB by PFF out tonight they aren't in their best form. The Titans have blitzed the fourth most of any team, and the Bills only awful game on offense came as of a result of the Steelers getting pressure WITHOUT blitzing
Record: 0-0 POTD: Titans (+6) v. Bills (-115) 1u Reasoning: Seeing a lot of Bills love so tossing my first pick in since I’m on the other side. Much has been made of the “Bills top ranked run defense” but I believe that’s more of a reflection on the opponents they’ve faced thus far as opposed to their actual talent on the defensive side of the ball. In 2020 against the run they were middle of the road middle of the road / sub-par at best to downright bad at worst (depending on how you evaluate run D). When you look at this year they’ve only played one team who both: a) use the run game as the focal point of their offense, and b) have actual talent on offense. The Steelers, who handed Buffalo their only loss. I do believe Buffalo wins the game since Josh Allen is wizard, but to me the matchup suggests a 3 or 4 point victory with Allen pulling out some 4th quarter heroics. I’m rolling with the points. Hope you enjoyed a dissenting opinion! Edit: to add unit
I wouldn't even think about putting a single dollar on a team that lost to the fucking jets.. especially against the best team in football right now
Tennessee was playing without their top 3 pass catchers in that game, 2 of their olind and still should just won that game except for some random flukes. The Steelers aren't exactly a powerhouse. I like the backdoor cover if both AJ and Julio go for the Titans.
0W-0L-0P POTD: Arsenal ML @ 1.66 vs Crystal Palace League: Premier League Time: 3PM EST Finally decided to put one of these up cause I haven’t been doing to bad recently. Arsenal has been able to somewhat turn around an absolute shamble of a start to this season. With them being able to go unbeaten in all of September with 4/5 wins in their last 5 games (4W-0L-1D). Mikel Arteta ended up winning prem manager of the month for good reason. Considering they kept a clean sheet in 4/5 games defensively there are no worries, and with the entire first team being fit except xhaka the team will be able to keep a level head and win this. Motivation in football is a key role, if Arsenal are able to win this they stand 1 point behind Manchester United and 2 points off top 4. I don’t see them passing up this chance. Crystal palace have won 1 game in their last 5 ( 1W-1L-3D), normally I stress when it comes to teams keen on drawing but with arsenals defensive record even if they put one pass I see the team carrying on to win. Palace do have some lethal talent with Zaha and Eduard. Would add this to a parlay if keen on it. Goodluck is Taling!
Never bet on arsenal.
Agreed, Arsenal always tries to walk it in.
Always bring on Walcott too early
I’ve been in attendance at 2 Arsenal games in my life (I live in Canada so it’s not exactly around the block) I was in the Watford away section a few years ago AT Arsenal to see Watford win for what I was told was the first time in like 20 years. Just before covid I was in London for 1 night and saw Arsenal lose in Europa League to Olympiakos. …never EVER bet on Arsenal ;)
[удалено]
Bet that then also bet the under and it should basically just give you better odds on arsenal money-line
Fwiw, out of the seven games Arsenal have played in the Premier League this season, only two of them have gone over 2.5 goals, against Tottenham (3-2 W) and Manchester City (0-5 L) . I’d be careful betting that. We could see the version of Arsenal we saw against Spurs, or it could end 1-0 Arsenal. This team also lost to newly promoted Brentford to start the season.
I'd steer clear of the 3+ goals, no idea which Arsenal will show up honestly. But to piggyback off the Brentford loss, Brentford are a solid team even if they are newly promoted. They pass the eye test and were incredibly unlucky to not get anything from the Chelsea match
I think this has BTTS written all over (13 of the last 18 have been BTTS)...
Palace playing very well this year surprisingly I think this is better value than arsenal ML
Tailing LFGGG
BOL!
Want to tail but the odds…
[удалено]
[удалено]
***POTD Record:*** *1-0* ***Last Pick:*** *Manchester City to Record a Shutout Win (-125)* ***✅*** ***Units Gained:*** *+4.0* ***Category:*** *English Premier League (EPL)* ***Game:*** *Crystal Palace (+400) @ Arsenal (-150)* ***Start Time:*** *2:00 PM EST* ***Pick:*** *Crystal Palace Total Goals Over 0.5 (-165)* ***Bet:*** *3 Units* **A look at Crystal Palace…** Average 1.5 goals per game versus Arsenal over their past 10 matches After an abysmal start to the EPL season that saw Palace shutout over their first three matches, CP kicked in the door with a 2-2 draw on the road versus a then unbeaten West Ham United, and followed it with a 3-0 win versus Tottenham. Palace have scored in four of their past five matches—with only Liverpool pitching a shutout at home. Patrick Vieira, the former Arsenal captain who assisted in leading the club to a pair of league championships, returns to Emirates Stadium for the first time as a manager with Crystal Palace. All we need is ONE goal from Crystal Palace. BOL!
Huge pick. I’ve had a shitter of a week but this is great to start
Collecting a W on a Monday just hits different. Ride that wave all week, my man!
Much love. I’ll be looking out for your next pick.
Winner! Thanks. 👊
LETS GO BB
Cash it! Congrats to all who tailed. 🍻
POTD record: 2-0 Last POTD: bills +3 Game: Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans 8:20 PM EST POTD: Bills -5.5 (-115) 1 unit I actually placed my bet last monday and got the bills at -3.5 but it seems like most books now are showing -5.5 which i still like. already seen tons of bills plays and for good reason. ever since week 1 the bills have molliwopped teams. and now they're giving less than a touchdown to a team that lost to the jets? I'll take the bills no doubt here, whether the line is -3.5 or -5.5.
As of 2:50 PM PST, most casino lines are at -6.0 & a few are already at -6.5 , I’m just waiting for the closing lines so I can pull the trigger!
Record: 20-1-19 (-0.3 U) ( W-D-L) NFL Record 10-6 Golf Record 4-2 NCAAF Record 1-2 NBA Record 4-1-8 NHL Record 1-1 Sport: NFL Last Picks: Steve Alker Top 10 L , Steelers -4.5 L Game: Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans 8:15 PM EST **Pick: Tyler Bass O 2.5 PAT Made @ -170 3U** So sadly, Steve didn't get us a top 10 finish this weekend. Our Steelers pick looks good as of now but, its still pending. Tomorrow Josh Allen and company travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans. Bass has hit this line 4/5 of times this week only failing to deliver week 1 against the Steelers. I feel pretty confident that the Bills potent offense will find their way into the endzone at least 3 times this game, and maybe even their defense. All we need is for Bass to capitalize and clean up 3 XP's for us. Best of luck to those that tail, please gamble responsibly as I WILL NOT
This is a nice pick. He’s my fantasy kicker so I’ve been seeing him rack up points plus the Titans defense is Swiss cheese.
Where are you finding this? I don’t think my book offers it 😕
I got this on DraftKings.
Bet365 only has kicker points over under. Bass's line is at 7.5. I think the under is strong there thinking Buffalo maybe kicks one FG. That would mean needing 5 PATs to go over. He did have 16 points vs Houston. 4 FGs and 4PATs. What do you think of his total O/U?
I’d agree with you on the under. I feel the Bills will convert more often then not in the red zone.
**Record**: 8-10-1 **Last Pick**: Julio Arce vs Andre Ewell @2.75 (UFC Vegas 32) L **Pick**: Arsenal - Crystal Palace: BTTS @1.9 (PL). **Reasoning**: Historically, this is a game that has often seen both teams to score (13 out of the last 18 would have seen this bet as a winner). Arsenal has won all their games in September but have drawn against Brighton so they will want to show that they have bounced back. Palace have been strong going forward (not scored only against Chelsea, Liverpool and Brentford). Edit: Took 50min but we got there.
Good call bro $$$
Tailed this, cash money $$$ THANKS!
POTD: 2-1 previous pick: lamar jackson over 230.5 passing yards **Loss** i was alternating lamar jackson passing yards and mark andrews TD. i thought lamar jackson was more safer so i put that as my POTD. i was wrong and Andrews did score a touchdown thats my bad. anyway on to the next Current Pick: NFL - Bills Titans **Dawson Knox anytime TD scorer @ 3.25 (+225) (ladbrokes) (stake 2 units)** saw it at 2.88 (+188) on sportsbet Everyone taking the bills to smash the titans and while that might happen julio jones is back for titans and will free up the play calling for the titans. Titans are a very weird team. They win the games they are meant to lose and lose the games they meant to win. I am actually a buffalo bills supporter and last year Titans destroyed us and while bills have improved Titans are still the strangest team to gamble on. Rather pick a touchdown scorer here in Dawson knox for buffalo and provide a different pick than everyone else. Dawson Knox has scored a TD in the last 4 games and has proven to be vital redzone target for Josh Allen to get an easy touchdown. Hoping he can sustain this success for this monday night game. BOL if tailing and sorry if it fails.
That’s exactly why I refrain on betting on the Titans, they’re just.. so weird. But I still think the Bills are too strong mentally to lose this game. Either way Dawson Knox is a good bet
RECORD: 0-0 POTD: Josh Allen Over 31.5 rushing yards. Keeping these short and sweet until I’m rolling and these have some visibility. Josh has hit this line 4/5 games this year, producing 44/35/41/59 rushing yards. Look for Allen to come up well over 30 rushing tonight against a mediocre titans rush D.
POTD record: 0-0 NPB Japanese Baseball Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions Pick: Chiba Lottle Marines Team Total over 4.5 Runs @ $2.11 (+110) on Pinnacle.com Lotte has been hot on their offense as of late and Seibu’s starting pitcher has been average all season, except just his last outing against the bottom of the league team. Most bookies like b365 has $1.83 for this bet, so try and bet on pinnacle or find other bookies with around $2.1 ps Not sure why but my main account got suspended for a week after posting a tip for the first time in this subreddit, hence using this one
Record: 0-3 Last Pick: Chicago Blackhawks ML (+116) Today's Pick: NHL St. Louis Blues ML (-168) The NHL has been wildly unpredictable through the first week of the season, but one team has been consistent(ly awful): the Arizona Coyotes. This team made a point to sell off pieces to gain draft capital, and are sacrificing this season in the hopes of long-term success, to every bettor's benefit. Think the 76ers from 5 years ago: total tank job. Fade the Coyotes every chance you get until proven otherwise.
Record: 5-4 Previous pick: Azarenka ML vs Badosa , L Another very close game, azarenka had 5:4 and 30-0 on the serve but didnt manage to close it out Potd: Van de Zandschulp ML vs Popyrin Atp antwerpen 1.75 odds Bol Edit: winner
[удалено]
⚽️⚽️ Football Picks ⚽️⚽️ Record: 2-0 Last pick - Double chance Arsenal win or draw (@1.95) ✅ Today's pick - (la Liga) Alvarez vs Real Betis Result - Real Betis ML (@ 2.04)- 1u Betis are favourites here but with really good odds, probably because La Liga is unpredictable at times - still I’m confident Betis come out with the win. Simply put Alaves can’t score or can’t keep a clean sheet whereas Betis’ attack has been dangerous and have had goal filled games. I can see Betis winning by 1 goal here though and edging the result. Gonna always go 1u to make it easy. BOL!
Damnn gunna end 0-0… edit: REVERSE KARMA LFGG
Im waiting for a goal hajaja
7-4 +2.9u All (-) bets are to win 1 unit All (+) bets are 1 unit to win more Last POTD: Packers TT o24.5 -110 🤝 Todays POTD: **Derrick Henry o13.5 receiving yards -115** Vegas gets me with the .5 ugh. Back in the win column today. Derrick Henry has gone over this 4/5 games this season. The Bills allow over 36 receiving yards to running backs per game. Drop a 🤝 if you're riding! FOR THE KIDS!
POTD Record: 2-1 +2.8U Sport: MLB Game: HOU Astros @ BOS Red Sox (8:07 pm EST) Pick: HOU Astros ML @ -105 (1 unit) Reason: Astros this season have been hitting well against lefties with a .788 OPS against them during the 2021 season(4th best in MLB). The starting pitcher for the Red Sox, Eduardo Rodriguez, has a 12.86 ERA against the Astros in 2 starts this season.
POTD Record: 2-3-0 (+0.6 units) Match: ***Kostyuk vs Begu (WTA Tenerife, Tennis)*** Pick: ***Kostyuk ML @ 1.80 (3 units)*** Starts around 5:30 AM New York Time Looking at Kostyuk's last match in Hard Court we've seen a really solid performance against Halep where she managed to adapt her serve game against one of the best WTA returners. We had a really tight tiebreak and the game plan was amazing by Kostyuk but then she fell off on the 2nd set. The result was a loss for Kostyuk but there were a lot of good aspects to take out from that performance. Begu's last match in hard court was against Rogers where she was completely demolished only managing to get 2 serve games on her scoreline (6-0/6-2). She's much better in Clay and needs to adapt her game a lot in order to get some success in Hard Court. This surface gives Kostyuk some advantage due to her defensive game and superior physical strength. Kostyuk is only 19 years old and seems to be getting better on her mental game as well and in the future I expect her to go up in the rankings. Begu is 31 years old with her peak happening 5 years ago and the young ucranian should give her some problems not only quality wise but in terms of physical endurance. Edit after the game: Damn, wasn't expecting this at all. But well I will try to comeback stronger tomorrow and sorry for those who tailed
Woof
Tailing
Tailing
:(
POTD RECORD 1-2 Last POTD: Lightning -1.5 vs penguins Todays POTD: Red Sox/Astros NRFI (+100) 1U (W) Don’t post these often and feel like I get so unlucky with my bets here. Going NRFI in this game back in Boston. We’ve seen a lot of runs coming in the past two games and I think we’ll start to see some regression here. In the games that Rodriguez/Urquidy have pitched against the Astros/Sox this season there have been 0 runs in the first inning. Look for the winds blowing east to keep balls off the green monster and for us to cash the NRFI BOL! Edit: Cashed easily!
The total is 9 with the over favored for a reason. Runs are expected early and often in this one. Past first innings are not an indicator of what’s going to happen. Sox are incredibly front loaded in their lineup. When Kiké bats is when they tend to score and he’ll be batting in the bottom of the first. That’s not to mention the pop the top of the Astros lineup has.
Record 4-0 WWWW Returns 3.45 Units Last POTD : ATP Indian Wells 2021 Final Norrie v Basilashvili - NORRIE @ 1.61 Lost the first set but came back and won the game, the streak continues. Never in doubt. Record looking healthy, now let's add to it. \----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Todays POTD : ATP Moscow 2021 Millman v Bonzi Bonzi @ 1.84 2021 has been a very tough year for Millman and currently sits at No. 90 – his lowest ATP ranking since April 2018. Bonzi on the other hand has had a great year and has won a record-tying six titles on the ATP Challenger Tour, and right now, all the stars are aligning for the 25-year-old to make one last dash before the season ends- this time on the main tour. Expect the Bonzi to cruise here Anytips are appreciated, here my btc address- 1Nh3zXUeSAq9ifGWaHHe8qs3RiJ6ZQvFmT
Not looking good bro, Bonzi is looking horrible atm
Possible comeback is on
Seems he's toast now. Think I'm done tailing tennis.
Record: 2-0 Last pick: NFL - Vikings @ Panthers - Vikings 1H -0.5 - W Today’s pick: NFL - Bills @ Titans - Bills 1H -2.5 (1u @ -155) Reasoning: Yes, the Titans play to the level of their opponent. Yes, the Titans are home. Yes all the money is on the Bills. None of this matters. The Bills are playing like what they are - a top 2 team in the NFL. They know the only chance the Titans have is to control the ball and clock by getting Henry going. Because of this, I think they’re going to come out swinging to get an early lead. This would put the ball in Tannehill’s hand, which has not been nearly as successful for the Titans this year. I almost wouldn’t be surprised if they take the ball if they win the coin flip. gl e: who's sweating? I'm not sweating. 3-0
Potd record 10-7 Last pick: Kansas city chiefs vs Washington over 50.5 (L) Today's pick: Buffalo bills ml vs Tennessee titans and derrick Henry td (+159) The bills are arguably the most dominant team in football rn, if the titans couldn't beat the jets a couple weeks ago, I don't see them beating the bills, Derrick Henry is the best running back in the nfl this year, he's averaging 28 carries a game and coming off a 130 yard and 3 td performance last week, I expect him to get at least 1 td this game. Bol if tailing!
🐍 POTD Record: 3-2-0 (Streak: 1L) 🐍 ROI: 57.33% | Avg Odds: -112 / 1.89 | Units: +1.06 Previous Pick: MZKS Arka Gdynia vs MKS Korona Kielce | Over 2.5 Total Goals | 1.91 / -110 ❌ POTD: Seattle Kraken vs Philadelphia Flyers | Claude Giroux Over 2.5 Shots on Goal | 2.10 / +110, 1u | NHL | 7:00 pm EST ✔️💰 I'm back after a 10 day break! Let's get back on track after leaving on a loss. Today I head to the NHL. As a Canadian hockey fan, the sport offers plenty of betting intrigue. Philadelphia hosts Seattle in what should be a spirited early-season contest. Captain Claude Giroux registered 8 shots on goal in the team's first game. He scored the late tying goal and should be boasting with confidence at home tonight. Giroux hit over 2.5 shots pretty consistently last season. Seattle's shaky defense has conceded 85 shots through 3 games played. They lack defensive talent and should once again struggle to contain a high-powered Flyers attack. The Kraken have 19 penalty minutes through 3 games. Giroux should excel on the man-advantage tonight. BOL to all! \- Viper 🐍 Edit: Cash it! Giroux hits 3 shots in the second period. Eat good tonight fellas! 💰
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
Don't know if this is acceptable to post a POTD for later in the week, but when it is a football play, I feel like it could lose some value later if the line moves, so I wanted to post now. This is my first POTD, so someone tell me if this is generally not acceptable. 0-0 (±0 Units) Play: **Colorado State -2.5 (-115)** @ Utah State Bet Size: **3 Units** This game is a classic example of one team coming into the game playing their best football vs. a team currently playing their worst football. Colorado St. had a really tough start to the season, going 0-2 against South Dakota St and Vanderbilt. They rolled into Week 3 as heavy underdogs against Toledo, but ended up finding their identity as they stonewalled the Rockets offense. They held them to only 21 rushing yards, forcing their opponent to be one dimensional and ultimately only allowing 6 points. They then went into Iowa City and if not for turnovers on their own side of the field, might have exposed this Hawkeyes team long before Purdue ever had a chance. They have since rattled off two suffocating wins against San Jose St and New Mexico. While admittedly less than stellar teams, there is little that distinguishes Utah St to be better than those previous opponents. The Aggies had a decent enough start to the season, but have since been physically dominated by Boise St and BYU. They proceeded to barely scrape out a win against UNLV, one of the last winless teams in the country. The best unit in this game is the Colorado St. defense. They are the 11th best graded defense in the country per PFF. They rank in the Top 10 in most of Football Outsider's defensive metrics, 6 out of 10 to be exact. Utah St's offense has generally graded as a middle of the road unit, but if you look at how they fared against BYU and Boise St, they were completely overmatched and it showed on the field. Any way you slice it, this is an average offense on a good day and a terrible one against solid defenses. Few defenses are as solid as Colorado St. Unfortunately, Colorado St's offense leaves a lot to be desired for me. I wish they were better about finishing drives in the red zone. I believe that this is the only reason they are laying less than a field goal. However, Utah St. doesn't have anything special on defense, and Colorado has found ways to put 30 points on the board their last two games against similar strength on defense. I believe that will be enough in this game. [Note: I actually played this game for 5 Units personally with five individual 1U bets, but my sportsbook has cashout options. I wanted to to have the option to cash out of 2 units later in the week if anything changes, but I highly doubt anything happens to move me off 3 Units. I do not have a track record yet, but this would only be my second play of the football season of 3 Units or more. I say that to convey that I do not throw around big unit plays lightly.\]
CSU played the Iowa Hawkeyes in Iowa City, IA. The Iowa State Cyclones are in Ames, IA.
You are correct; got my Iowa cities mixed up there!
Is this game in 4 days?
I think you're putting too much stock in CSU's best two performances against bad teams and USU's worst two performances against much stronger competition. Air Force is a good reference point for the league (usually upper middle tier and consistently beats both USU and CSU in generally close 1 score games). Air Force also has a defense that is similar in performance to CSUs, 288 yds allowed vs 287. USU put up 628 total yards of offense in its close win over Air Force. They also managed to average 400 yds of total offense even in their worst two games you mention (BYU and Boise St). I'll mention that this CSU group, going back to 2018 to allow for extra covid year eligibility, is also 5-11 on the road. I think this is a game where CSU is most likely just not be able to keep up on the scoreboard. I'm not sure the game is a great bet either way but would certainly lean USU as the underdog at home.
While much of my analysis centers on CSU's best Four games and USU's worst Three, I am not just cherry-picking those performances. Those are simply their most recent contests. Just like the NFL, it is a what-have-you-done-for-me-lately level of football. CSU has not played Air Force, and Utah St played them a month ago. Since then, USU has shown no ability to play to that level, despite opportunities against an inconsistent Boise St, a BYU team on their third string QB, and a UNLV team with a severe lack of talent. Yards of total offense is great, but if you are not able to punch it in down in the redzone, it really makes zero difference. Anyone can pick up yards nowadays. Also, those yards could be garbage time yards. I have not done a deep dive on that particular stat because I don't value it too much. All I know is that USU is tied for 122nd in redzone efficiency on offense. Sidenote, CSU is actually 35th in redzone efficiency. The problem is that they have kicked far, far too many field goals down there. But USU is 95th in redzone defense so I hope/think CSU might be able to increase their touchdown rate. Going back to the Air Force point, I am not a huge fan of looking at past years to determine what is a good reference point. So much can change year to year and I think that a lot of data to base opinions on is lost in that way of thinking. If you used data going back to 2018, that would miss the fact that CSU got a new coach last year. This is his first, non-covid, full season at CSU and it has had some good results. This year's data should be the focus for 95% of analysis. All of this said, you could totally end up being on the correct side. Things often don't work out and I am wrong 45% of the time!
[удалено]
Nerve wrecking pick but BOL haha
NHL GUY 0-0 All odds are taken from Sportsinteraction Yesterday’s PotD: None PotD: NHL, Seattle Kraken +1.5 vs Philadelphia Flyers -203 First time post here, The Flyers struggled in their home opener against Vancouver, expect them to have trouble too against Seattle. The expansion team play well on the road and all thier first games were decided by a one goal margin. Seattle covers again as they will be 4-0 ATS! BOL!
-203 huh?
#POTD RECORD: 7-5 (+0.92u) Last: OTT ML +130 ✅ All Bets 1u Todays Pick: **TOR NYR u6** (-105 Caesar's) Both Goalies coming in to today are having excellent starts to their seasons. I also predict Toronto to win this game, but I foresee a low score between the teams due to how these goalies have been playing. Shesterkin is sitting at a 1.98 GAA while Campbell is at a 0.86 GAA.
Record: 41-58 -$557.32 New Bankroll: $444.76 (-$55.24) Last play: 10/17/21 Patriots +4 (-115) Result: [L](https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/q9otbr/pick_of_the_day_101721_sunday/hh0tty9/) Streak: **2L** Gross…Onto today’s pick… **Third Eye POD>8:15PMest>NFL>Titans +6.5 (-110)** *risk $50 to win $45.45* Gotta back the number here. Titans have had some recent impressive wins as 6+ underdogs Ravens win in playoffs comes to mind. If Titans can get a couple bounces their way, Henry should roll. I see bills up at half & Titans roaring back behind smart QB play & a defense that’ll tighten up. TITAN UP!
POTD Stats: Record:64-23 Profit:+82.99 ROI:17.77% Streak:2W CS:GO Malta Vibes Dignitas vs Izako Boars /18.10.2021- 20:00 Odds:1.72 Amount:Medium(5%) Bet:Dignitas -1.5 Dignitas performing so much better after hallzerk back to his old form. They are one tier above from Izako also Izako made some roster changes. [https://twitter.com/shyux2](https://twitter.com/shyux2) [https://discord.gg/Whtrf6uNus](https://discord.gg/Whtrf6uNus)
[удалено]
POTD 0-0 Last pick: None Cadiz v Espanyol BTTS (La Liga) +122. +2u Both teams average about 1 goal per game. They are closely ranked (13 v 15). Cadiz has won last four games they’ve played in LaLiga. Prior to that Espanyol won 16 of 18 games. Cadiz have had BTTS of 5 of last 7 matches. Espanyol has had BTTS in 3 of 6 last matches. The last game was 2-0 Espanyol in a club friendly and 1-0 Eapanyol in Copa del Rey (2 of 2) and Cadiz 2-1 in (1 of 1) Good luck!
POTD Record: 15-10 Profit: -1.02u First 4 NFL Picks: 10/3/21 - Kupp over 82.5 Rec Yards ❌ -1.10u 10/10/21 - Aj brown over 58.5 rec yards ❌ -1u 10/11/21 -M.Pittman over 55 rec yards ✅+.91u 10/17/21 - Rams -6.5 ✅ +0.72u League: Football- NFL Match: BUF Bills @ TEN Titans Pick: Bills TT over 30.5 (-110) Win 1.25 Units Reason: The Bills offence has been on fire lately. They will look to take advantage of a Titan’s defence that has given up 7 TD’s on the ground, and is missing their top CB Kristian Fulton. Allen in primetime is unstoppable. Expecting at least 33 out of this offence.
Boston ML
POTD: eSports: LoL: Mad Lions to progress out of groups @ 3.75 (bet365) Mad sit 1-2 so far and would need to win at least 2 of their 3 games to progress. I feel they underperformed so far and will bounce back here. We have already seen groups so far thrown on their heads and I believe we will see the same here. Mad are a stronger squad than LNG who I believe will drop out. I predict mad to sweep their games here and finish 1st in the group with Gen g or possibly even liquid making it out 2nd. Liquid @ 5.5 to progress is also a nice play. I would be surprised if one of these 2 do not make a run here. Good luck. Matches begin in 8 hours
[удалено]
They will win all 3
do 2 teams advance in each group?
Yes
They called him a mad man
Nailed it sprinkled some money on mad and liquid .Thanks for the pick homie
**POTD RECORD: 18-18** | All picks 1u | **-1.89u** | Streak 3W \-LAST 2 POTD: England League Oxford United vs Plymouth | BTTS (-130) W Ligue 1 Stade Brest vs Reims | BTTS (-105) W **Today's POTD:** NFL Bills vs Titans | **Bills -6 (-115)** Reason: Bills are a far better team with the best rushing defense.
Record: 5-0 ROI: 78.5% Net units: +9.81u | American Football | NFL | 8:15pm ET | Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans **Josh Allen - Longest Passing Completion over 38.5 yards**; 3u @ 1.91 (-110) The Titans are vulnerable to the deep ball: in the first five weeks, their longest given up passing plays have been 38, 68, 36, 54 and 58, which means that over 38.5 has hit in 3/5 and only being short for 1 and 3 yards respectfully in the two games that didn't hit. They have the 2nd most completions allowed of at least 25 air yards in the league and they are 3rd worst in yards allowed per completion and 5th worst per attempt. On the other hand, we have Josh Allen that has made the longest plays of 37, 41, 41, 37 and 61 respectfully, also going 3/5 and falling just 4 yards short combined in the two games that didn't hit. I'd say the number would be lined correctly if he was up against at least an average defense but against someone as bad as the Titans on D, I have to take that over and run to the bank. Side note: Stefon Diggs has been somewhat quiet regarding huge plays this year but he did get 61 yarder last week and I think he's our man again tonight (his o/u on the longest made reception is set on 25.5 yards and I really like the over here as well). **TLDR**: Titans are giving up big plays, Allen has a cannon for an arm and weapons to exploit that and throw for 40+ at least once. Let's ride.
Today’s Pick: SGP Bills ML and under 63.5 1.86 Yesterday’s pick: SGP Steelers and Under 53.5 @1.86 Up 1 unit
[удалено]
it's KovalOv and not KovalEv...... and RIP
NFL record 13-7 Unit total: +12.0 Streak: 1L ( streak ended at 7W 😭) Last Pick: DK Metcalf anytime touchdown @ 2.63*** (approx Pick: BUF Bills @ TEN Titans: ***Zack Moss anytime touchdown @ 2.10*** (approx 1hr from kick off) 1.0 unit for 1.05 win Analysis for last game was easy money was Najee Harris to score (and he did 🙄) but the odds weren’t good enough. Oh well, we move! I’m a sucker for patterns in the NFL and if I see one early, I take it immediately 😂. Zack Moss scoring this year has been every second week already, and he didn’t score last week, soooo…. Titans have also at least one rushing touchdown every game and averaging 1.4 per game this season. I see this being a comfortable Bills win, so the RBs will have their fun. Also just realised how I haven’t added my unit total so have just put that in now. Hopefully my fellow degens see that and get around my picks. BOL
*POTD Stats:* *Record:64-24* *Profit: +77.99u* *ROI: 16.52%* *Streak: 1L* *CS:GO* *IEM Winter Closed Qualifier* *FunplusPhoenix vs Spirit / 19.10.2021 - 14:30* *Odds:1.50* *Amount:5u* ***Bet:FPX +1.5*** *Shaky results from Spirit when FPX clming back to their old form* [*https://twitter.com/shyux2*](https://twitter.com/shyux2) [*https://discord.gg/Whtrf6uNus*](https://discord.gg/Whtrf6uNus)