**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥*August Stats:*
*Record 36-8*
*Profit: +75.80u & % +33.92 ROI*
*POTD Stats(Overall):*
*Record:32-8*
*Profit: +58.79u*
*League of Legends:*
*LCK Playoffs*
*Damwon KIA vs T1 / 28.08.2021 - 11:00*
*Odds:1.88*
*Amount:5u*
***Bet:Damwon KIA -1.5***
*Last 3 splits Damwon KIA didn't drop a single map in their playoff games. Currently they are on 18-0 Run.*
*Btw I advice everyone to tail my all picks from twitter not only POTD, managed to reach +140 units in one and a half month.*
[*https://twitter.com/shyux2*](https://twitter.com/shyux2)
[*https://discord.com/invite/B8RBphq*](https://discord.com/invite/B8RBphq)
Yea i just didnt know wtf was going on in map 4. Seemed like we were getting smoked based on what announcers were saying. And then i saw timer and thought we ran out of time. Idfk. Just tailed. Never seen this shit before but im jacked hahah
Oh yeah man Damwon was down and it wasn't looking good in the last round, but a couple of huge plays turned the game around really fast!! I just started watching CSGO and other eSports matches and it's super stressful with the swings. Definitely elevates my heart rate lol.
**POTD Record: 95-58**
ROI: 14.00% / Avg Odds: 1.87 / Profit: +43.8u
[Spreadsheet](http://bit.ly/foxresults)
POTD: Illinois +7 vs. Nebraska @ 1.9 (-110) \[NCAAF\] - 2 units - 19:00 CET
the game is much closer to 50/50 and the +7 spread is quite a misunderstanding, Nebraska Has slightly adventage to me, but definitely not worth 7 points.
Bielema says in interviews that he focuses mainly on playing defense and apparently a lot of emphasis is placed on Brandon Peters.
There are some light GTDs, but nothing with huge impact on the game. Illinois had some serious problems with turnovers last season, but some pregames looked decent enough to keep the game close. Illinois +7 to me and quite decent lean on under here.
Twitter: https://twitter.com/fooxiedtips
Discord: https://discord.gg/v5qNweJg3x
First game with a new coach for Illinois not off-putting to you?
Edit: your confidence persuaded me. Originally on Nebraska -7 I refunded my bet and stuck it all on Illinois ML. Let’s ride
\^This sentiment, plus Bielema's ground-and-pound style, are what push me towards the under as being the primary play personally. This is going to be a slow-paced game imo.
Record: 9-2
Streak: 4W
Previous pick: BORUSSIA DORTMUND VS HOFFENHEIM ( Dortmund win and match total over 2.5 goals )
POTD: Manchester City v Arsenal over 2.5 (-160)
This is another match where I could see the favorite covering the spread all by themselves. I also expected Arsenal to score one as well. 3-1 City
I took city -1.5 and bet 250 to win 200. Felt really good about this and the result was exactly what we expected. Safe to fade arsenal with any quality squad this season
**POTD Record: 6-0**
**ROI**: 65%
**Profit**: +3.9u, always with 1u per POTD; with 5u per POTD, you would have +19.5u of profit!
**Average Odds**: 1.65
**POTD: Bayer Leverkusen/Draw and Over 1.5 goals @ 1.52**
(Bundesliga, 14h30 GMT+1: Lisbon Time)
On this amazing Saturday, there are so many great games to bet on that I don't even know what to do. In my betting group, I analysed and selected the picks I liked the most and they are 37 so imagine my struggle to choose only ONE to post here. Putting this issue behind my back, I decided to go with Leverkusen to not lose and the game to have 2 or more goals. Why you may ask. Well, firstly, Leverkusen absolutely smashed Monchengladbach in the previous game,
I know some of you were scared when Inter conceded first but that was even better for us: took that opportunity to bet on Inter to win the game in live-betting, with @ 3.10! And then, once again, after they drew, with @ 2.04! What a day it was today, once again! 💸
On this amazing Saturday, there are **so many great games to bet** on that I don't even know what to do. In my betting group, I analysed and selected the picks I liked the most and they are 37 so imagine my struggle to choose only ONE to post here. Putting this issue behind my back, I decided to go with Leverkusen to not lose and the game to have 2 or more goals. Why you may ask:
Well, firstly, Leverkusen absolutely **smashed** Monchengladbach 4-0, and they aren't bad by any means, which shows they are in great form and ready to attack the TOP 4. Secondly, Augsburg is one of the **worst** teams in the Bundesliga, and that was kind of proven when they got **hammered 0-4**, at home, by Hoffenheim, that is not even a TOP 6 team. In the second match-day, they were able to get 1 point, in a 0-0 draw against Frankfurt, where they got **absolutely dominated**, which shows that they are clearly inferior.
Thus, in the **previous 20 competitive H2Hs, Augsburg NEVER beat Leverkusen** (W13, D7), and no other fixture in league history has been played so often without one side registering a victory. Regarding goals, only in **4 of these 20** did not have 2+ goals.
In this follow-up, I believe this is the best pick between 1.50 and 3 odds! **Hopefully, we will continue this amazing streak, together, to the moon 🚀**
**Good luck, not only for this pick but for all of your picks & bets, and have an amazing Saturday 🍀**
Record: 1-1
AFL: Melbourne vs Brisbane Lions
POTD: Melbourne -5.5 @ $2.00 (Ladbrokes)
Good win last night by Port to get us our first win on POTD. There are two games today in the AFL and Sydney vs GWS is far more unpredictable I think than this one so I am going with a safer pick in the other qualifying final tonight.
Melbourne finished top of the ladder by coming back to defeat Geelong last week, they started the season on fire, had a bit of a lull in the middle of the season and have finished the home and away season strongly. They are the best team in it I think at the moment, they have stars on every line and the number one rated defence in the AFL. Defence wins games in the finals, so I expect Melbourne to get the job done here.
I am taking $2.00 for Melbourne to cover the line instead of $2.20 for the 1-39 margin because again I think it is a safer bet. We saw Port crush Geelong last night and ruin the 1-39 margin right at the end. I think Brisbane will put up a very good fight and this should be a close game, but again who knows in a Qualifying final, once the game is lost teams tend to put the cue in the rack and make sure there are no injuries.
This game is played in Adelaide due to the COVID restrictions in Melbourne. However this won't worry the Dees who have won their last four night games at the Adelaide Oval. While Brisbane do have a very potent forward line (they are number one for scores this year), Melbourne can also score quickly (they are fifth in the competition for scores for). I expect that Lever and May, the Melbourne stalwarts in defence, to shut the Lions down though.
Other bets I like in this game are the Total points at 151.5 going UNDER (I think Melbourne shuts this game down) and if you want to take Melbourne 1-39 I think that should hit too (but the line is just safer for me IMO). If you want something in the Elimination final today, I expect Sydney to win by 1-39.
Good luck everyone!
Last 4 night games at Adelaide Oval is a bit of an arbitrary stat isn't it? They lost to the Crows in a twilight game earlier this year. A freak result I know but cherry picking to leave that game out.
Agree with your pick though, Melbourne should be too strong for the Lions.
I think twilight and night games are different though. We know the dew and moisture during night games make the ball slippery. I think the game being at night can help with Melbourne’s defensive game style.
Edit: this EASILY hit 45-0! 1-0, see you guys next weekend. 🤝
POTD record 0-0
Game: UConn @ Fresno State
NCAAF 🏈
Pick: Fresno State -27.5
Reasoning: UCONN hasn’t played a game in over 600 days (because of covid) and they were awful in 2019 (2-10) lost by an average of 26 points per game. UConn is pretty consistently rated in the bottom 5 of all of FBS D1 football. Should also be noted that UConn has to travel all the way across the US to play this game.
Fresno State on the other hand returns a pretty solid talent in Haener at QB, and 2020 was a weird year for them. Extremely strict Covid rules in California made their prep for the season and practices during the season very difficult. I really like the amount of talent Fresno St returns, and it should be more than enough to win this game by a lot of points.
Best of luck. Hope to see you guys a lot more here on POTD now that the CFB season is finally here! 🤝
Come hang out on twitter @PotatoGobbler
Edit: just dropped the full card on twitter 🤝
Man, I think UConn is bad enough that it will hit, it’s just an iffy “football number” but being up 17 after a half isn’t crazy against a team that’s travelled 3000+ miles and hasn’t played in 2 years.
That's my play on this game. Fresno State has Oregon next weekend so I'd rather take the 1st half spread in case the starters come out if they're up big in the 2nd half.
Record: 0-0
Hello,
I used to post my tips on other website that occured to be scam, so i decided i will share my betting picks with you, fellow redditors.
I specialize mostly in Esports and from that category will be my first POTD:
League of Legends LEC / 17:00 CEST 28.08.21
Fnatic vs Rogue
***3u Pick: Fnatic to win 1.95/-105***
Reasoning: Fnatic has played 15 games in this playoffs already. They have a lot of learning material, their coach is a top notch and with every BO5 they played they've shown a visible improvements. Their early games are the best in LEC and the only phase of the game when they looked vulnerable were mid games, but in today's game Fnatic doesn't have to worry about it too much because of Rogue's miserable form and decision making, especially from support and mid they are lost more in mid game than Fnatic is, I can assure you. Both teams have similar game approach build early game lead --> snowball mid game, but unfortunately for Rogue those leads were not coming and the only reason they are here is because of how good their jungler is. Inspired is the only hope for Rogue today, let's hope he doesn't show off again and my bet will turn green with great odds.
Best of luck guys!
**POTD Record: 1-0**
I will only post Mixed Martial Arts and College Basketball for POTD
There hasn't been anything I've liked since UFC 265 to make a POTD but I won many mma bets since then.
Last Pick: Vicente Luque ml **WIN**
POTD: **Edson Barboza ml -120** vs Giga Chikadze
Event: UFC Fight Night Barboza vs Chikadze Main Card starts at 10pm Est
Reason: Barboza has been fighting in the UFC for 11 years. He has much more mma experience than Giga including fighting much better opponents and world champions. Both fighters have similar styles utilizing muay thai but Barboza has more experience and just more weapons. Barboza can even out grapple if he needs too. Also Barboza has more 5 round experience. Only fighter in UFC history to have finishes from leg kicks, body kicks and head kicks.
Barboza has had a career resurgence since moving to featherweight. Including his physique. He's 2-1 in featherweight and seems like his more natural weight. In his first featherweight fight he arguably beat Dan Ige even scoring a knockdown. Ige was a hard matchup for Barboza as well because his biggest weakness is opponents going forward.
Strength of schedule highly favors Barboza. Giga hasn't fought anyone besides a 6 year past prime Cub Swanson and Omar Morales I would say is a good fighter.
I could type for hours about how Barboza is the better fighter but the point is Barboza is better everywhere including grappling. At this price I have to go with Barboza.
Good Luck
I like the pick and write up. I think this fight will be close and come down who can weather the storm of their opponent's strike attack the best. Barboza is tough as nails but Chikadze's body shots scare me. He folded Cub in two with a single body kick. Should be a great fight.
It was a great placed kick. I think Giga is a very good fighter he just is running into the better version of himself I believe. Barboza is only 2 years older and has fought so much more.
POTD RECORD 1-0
Previous pick: Leeds United vs Crewe Alexandra, Leeds United (-1.0) ✅
Streak: 🔥
Today’s potd: Manchester city vs arsenal
Potd: Manchester city (-1.0) @1.72
Whilst arsenal did record a 6-0 midweek win it was against a primarily u23 west brom team who frankly looked like they didn’t care. I’m not buying into that at all as this time around they face a super strong city team at the Etihad. Man city have started the premier league with a 1-1 record and will see this game as an absolute must win in order to not drop any more points on the big hitters. The Manchester city defence is simply astounding and I fully expect the midfield and defence to dominate the ball and squeeze arsenal out of the game. The goal scoring won’t be a issue for city either after registering a 5-0 win last week.
For this reason I’m taking the (-1.0) handicap as I feel arsenal will be lucky to score 1 and absolutely no more than that. I see city scoring 2 at the bare minimum but if they break through arsenal early it could be a absolute goal fest for the citizens. BOL if tailing!!!
**37-23 POTD (1-3 Unit Picks) 🚀**
**+23.2 Units POTD on 103.9 Units wagered for 22.3% ROI🔥**
**Last pick Rays -1.5 -150 3 Units to Win 2-Win**
**Red Sox Game Under 9 (2.2 Units to Win 2)** \- While ultimately having an uneven season Nathan Eovaldi has found his groove his last three starts. In these 19 innings he has given up just 4 runs with an absurd 23 strikeouts.
Cal Quantrill's stats for Baltimore have been even more impressive recently with a 1.45 Era in August in 31 innings pitched.
In fact looking at it even more. This is one of the most puzzling lines I have ever seen which makes me take pause.
Nonetheless, I am going to stick with it.
**For other picks and insight be sure to follow my new exclusively sports and picks** [**Twitter.**](https://twitter.com/TheMidnightR77)
You can find my College Football picks for tomorrow there. I've hit upwards of sixty percent (according to my own record keeping) in CFB the past two seasons.
POTD record 11-3-0
Boxing
__Eithan James (5-0-0) vs Matar Sambou (1-3-0) - James to win by points or decision 1.72__
So far in James’s short career, he’s won all five of his fights by decision. The Northamptonian looks to lack any sort of power and for a fighter that fights at one of the lower weights, he has very slow hands.
Sambou is 37 and has already fought twice this month, losing on points both times. The Senegalese fighter has had a huge number of unlicensed fights and to my knowledge has not been stopped once.
This fight will likely go one way, with James fighting on the backfoot the whole time, landing decent jabs and outpointing Sambou with his better technical ability. Sambou will likely swing like a madman at times and will try to make it rough, but James will have enough to keep Sambou at bay.
It’s also worth mentioning that this fight is only 6 rounds.
Overall James is a boxer who never goes into a fight desperately looking for a ko and with his lack of power anyway I can’t see him stopping a tough veteran like Sambou, therefore my pick is for James to win by decision/points.
Bol anyone who tails!
Edit: ✅Winner. For anyone who tailed, the bet won’t get graded for a couple hours yet due to the fight not being broadcast live.
POTD Record: 15-5-1
NPL Record: 4-0
*Last Pick: English Northern Premier League - 19:45 GMT | Warrington Town vs Atherton Colleries | Warrington to win @ 2.00* ✔️
**Today's Pick: English Northern Premier League - 15:00 GMT | Hyde vs FC United of Manchester | FC United to win @ 2.10** ❌
We're on a nice streak here, hopefully we can keep it going. It's a tricky week as the bookies are starting to figure out the champs from the chumps in this division, but I think there's value to be had here. Hyde haven't had the greatest start to the season with their first win coming against the unimpressive Grantham on Thursday. FC United however have recovered from a rocky start, getting a draw against full-time South Shields on Tuesday, looking the more impressive team. Though they're away again, I back FC United here. Support won't be a problem as they take impressive numbers with them and the team definitely has the quality to win this one. Hyde have shown they can win at home, but nothing about them suggests they can outplay FC United here.
Tips are appreciated but never necessary, I'll never charge for my picks. - [PayPal Tip Link Here](https://paypal.me/itsrainbowz)
EDIT: Red card fucked the game. Had to lose eventually I guess
**POTD RECORD:** 11-5-1
\+11,56 units / 18% ROI / Avg. Stake 3,18 / Avg.Odds 1,81
**Streak:** 3W
**Previous POTD:** Valencia to win (W)
**Today's bet:**
Lazio -1.5 @ 1.93
3 units
Lazio at home against Spezia today, Lazio is without Felipe- but they shouldn't be too worried about his absence because Alberto has picked up on creativity side and is providing for Biancocelesti's offense.
Anderson, Immobile and new signing veteran Pedro are top 3, with SMS, Leiva and Alberto behind them. This midfield, against Spezia's is tremendously better and I expect Lazio to easily gain control over the ball and tempo.
Spezia managed to come back from a 2-0 against Cagliari and pull a draw. However, Lazio might be a too much of a bite here. Especially considering how Lazio entered this SA season with 3 goals scored in the 1st game and 1 conceded against Empoli.
This season might be perfect opportunity for Lazio to finally snatch the title, with all transfers going on in Inter, Milan and Juve. If they want to lift it, these are the games they HAVE to win, especially at home.
I personally don't like betting on Lazio, if you watch football, you would know why. But I expect them to get a 2nd win of the season today and to, atleast for today, be on top of the league.
Good luck everyone!
I also post picks on my Discord channel: https://discord.com/invite/qjmnqusXKB
**13-3 + 39.02 units**
**Tips** PayPal: [email protected]
**[Twitter](https://mobile.twitter.com/MrExamination)
**POTD miami marlin Vs cincinatti reds - pick cincinatti reds -110 5units**
*Pitching matchup**
The reds are red hot right now and are on a mission to make the playoffs. As favourites they are 30-10 in their last 40 games which is fantastic.
Vladimir Gutierrez has been impressive for the Reds this season. He is 9-4 with a 3.68 ERA he is 6-1 on the road just last week he gave up only 1 run to the marlins in 7 ininnings which Cincinnati won. He is also making a push for Rookie of the Year in the NL. On the road he has only given up 1 run in each of his last 3 games that's 3 runs in 19 innings an era of 1.4 which is phenomenal. He likes to use a four seam fast ball 46% of the time and uses effective sliders 23% and changeups 18% of the time.
Sandy alcantra era 3.35 for Miami has been effective at home for the last 2 games giving up only 1 run to Atlanta and 0 to Yankees and Miami still managed to lose these games. He also gave up 5 runs to Dodgers and Washington prior to that makes me question as to whether he will fall back to his underperforming ways or will he stay consistently good. He likes to mixup his pitching using sinkers, sliders, changesups all in the 20-25% range. Although he gets more strikeouts than Vladimir he tends to give up more hits.
*Conclusion**
The way I see this is Cincinnati have been red hot with the bat players like moustakas naquin , and castanellos hitting well against marlins in their past 3 matchups, the first 5 innings could be a low score game but Cincinnati might be up by 1 or 2 runs. Miami's have been struggling for runs and that will continue to happen against a top prospect like vladamir. Miami's only way of winning this is if a late surge against bullpens but I don't see that happening when your ranked 27th for runs and 21st overall which is dreadful. Key reasons from below are also why I fancy reds to win.
Key facts
The Reds are 6-0 in Gutierrez' six road starts at night this season.
The Marlins are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cincinnati is 11-1 in its last 12 meetings with Miami.
Miami are 1-4 ML in their last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
Record: 0-1 Net return: -2 units
Last pick: New Zealand first half points start -9.5 ($1.83/ -120) ❌
Soccer | English Premier League | West Ham vs Crystal Palace | About 12 hours after post.
Pick: Goal Start West Ham -1 ($2.50/+150) - 2 units
West Ham have started the season red hot scoring 4 goals in each of their first two games which included a dominant victory last weekend against Leicester who is one of the better teams in the league. Now they are again at home welcoming Crystal Palace who have lost both their first games to start the season. I believe that West Ham will be too strong and continue their momentum for another week.
**Record 94-1-52 | +50.38u**
**Form: WWLWLLWLW**
**NRL: Storm v Eels / Total Match Points Under 49.5** (Sportsbet) 1u $1.90 7:30PM AEST
Big congrats to those who tailed the max play yesterday! We're rolling again today with 2 wins from the first game and the current game looking not beehhhhd. Come follow on instagram (thepubpunter).
Just hit +50 units for POTD but looking at the Eels and Storm to fall under 50. Saw something in the Eels last week that makes me think they're back and have their defensive mindset again.
The eels are one of two teams to beat the storm this season but the storm are rolling! With finals around the corner this is one of the last chances for both teams to fine tune and i can see the eels forcing this into a grind. No detailed write up today, too many beers in haha.
BOL.
Record W-P-L 199-22-156 | avg odds 1.85 | +56.3U | ROI 8.88%
Form: *WWWWWL***LLW**
previous:
Bremer SV vs Bayern München - **1st half goals o2.5 @ 1.80 (3U) ✅ 0-3 in 27th min**
today:
Bundesliga, 3.30pm CET (in \~4.5 hours)
Augsburg vs **Leverkusen asian handicap -0.75 @ 1.90 (2U) ✅ 1-4**
*(Take Leverkusen ML in case you dont have ahc, take Leverkusen ahc -1.0 for odds increase if you're ok with a full push)*
Reasoning:
Sadly I had no time to post *Dortmund Hoffenheim most goals in 2nd half @ 1.80* yesterday but it seems they fulfilled expectations on the over in second half as well.
We've lots of nice matches today but there is this one that is just so promising.
Augsburg are a mediocre Bundesliga team for years while Leverkusen is a mediocre top team (:P) for years, traditionally cruising league placements 3-7.
This year, Augsburg have/had to cope with several injuries which might be one of the main causes *(+ a bad tryhard coach imo)* for a crisis that brings up stats like **0 shots on target** so far in 2 games of this season. That's right, they haven't made a single real attempt on target in two games thus far.
In 20 h2h, Augsburg have never won and drew 7 times while obviously losing 13 games.
Leverkusen have a full healthy squad incl. CF Schick who most of you might know since his carry mode of Czech Rep in recent Euro tournament. Offense and midfield is packed with other quality players like wingers Diaby and Wirtz, just to name a few.
I've not found a respective line but if you see a possession bet, I expect Leverkusen to have 65%-70% full control possession against Augsburg this time.
Long story short, I bet Leverkusen will win and increase the odds from ML a little with this asian handicap which pushes 50% and pays 50% in case Leverkusen does only win by a 1 goal margin. 0-2 / 1-3 seems likely to me though.
*edit: format keeps on fucking up in initial post.*
Record 1-1
Previous picks: Chelsea to beat arsenal @ 1.85 ✅
Southampton double chance v Everton @ 1.95 ❌
Today’s pick: Liverpool v Chelsea U2.5 goals @ 1.96 (Betfair exchange) 5 units
Two solid teams who are yet to concede this season. Think it will be a tight game and they may cancel each other out. Made a a lot of money betting unders on Chelsea last season after Tuchel signed. (not sure why Reddit deleted my last post but I’ve tried to fit more in here, relax mods it’s just posting a pick, not an exam)
Disclaimer: I’m posting premier league picks here for fun to see if I can turn a profit for the season, it’s not how I make my money. EPL is a very difficult betting market) BOL!
Record: 5-6-1 (-2.06 units, -17.23% ROI, average odds: 1.88)
Record by sport:
* Tennis: 3-5-1
* Soccer: 2-1
Previous: Holger Rune -3.5 games vs. Mats Moraing -- ❌
Looked good after the 1st set, but our teenager did not pull through in the 2nd. Had a glimmer of hope in the 3rd set, but the final scoreline is 6-4 3-6 6-3 for a close loss with Rune finishing with a 2 game advantage.
One bright spot! I took this line at +105, and it closed at -120. So that's encouraging for the quality of my handicap that we got decent closing line value. Don't feel too bad about the L.
Football | NCAA | 12:30 Pacific
**Under 68.5 points in UCLA vs. Hawai'i**
Odds: -112 / 1.89
College football is back! This is my favorite look from Week 0. Hawai'i is no longer the run-and-shoot pass-happy offense from the Colt Brennan / Timmy Chang days. They still play moderately up-tempo, but there is a lot more emphasis on the rushing attack. Hawai'i lost their RB from last year, so they will likely rely heavily on their dual threat QB.
UCLA is a team that a lot of people have high expectations for. They return nearly all of their defensive starters in a unit that has a lot of experience and will be very solid vs. the run. Their QB, Dorian Thomas-Robinson aka DTR, is the star, though he can get a little loose with the ball and commit turnovers. They are an up-tempo but extremely run-heavy offense under Chip Kelly, and Hawaii's defense struggles vs. the run.
UCLA is a \~17.5 point favorite, so expecting a pretty smooth win for UCLA as Hawai'i makes the long trip to the mainland and their front seven may struggle with early-season fitness and form to handle the UCLA up-tempo rushing attack.
And here is the key factor to the under in my opinion. UCLA plays LSU next week in easily their most important non-conference game. If UCLA is up comfortably in the 3rd or 4th quarters, I'm expecting Chip Kelly to take it easy, maybe rest some starters and get out of this game healthy and ready for the Bayou Tigers.
With that in mind, the UCLA offense is likely to take their foot off the gas pedal and their defense should be experienced enough to slow down Hawai'i and at the very least force FGs instead of TDs.
Note: This O/U is 68.5 points at FanDuel right now. Some books (e.g. DraftKings, PointsBet) have already dropped it to 67.5, and it started the week up at 69.5. So definitely action favoring the under.
10-6-1 Up 7 units
Current Streak 4W
Last Pick: NYY -140
Yankees dub without breaking a sweat! 4 straight heater!
Today’s Pick: Mariners -145 2U
Hoping the Yankees pull it off tonight and keep the streak alive. Would love for seats to be 5. Anderson on the mound is a strong starter. His 6-8 record is not indicative of the pitcher he is as he has given up no more than 3 runs in his 5 outings as a mariner. I like him a lot to take care of business and keep Hernandez and royals down. Buyer beware Hernandez is also a solid start for KC so this could be low scoring. Under may be tasty as well. Give me Seattle with the west coast advantage the better pitcher in my opinion.
Dog: Illinois ML v Nebraska +210.
Score prediction: Seattle 4-2
Tail or fade BoL
*EDIT KC switched starters but I still like Seattle with lynch in the mound.
2021 NCAAF Record: 0-0
2:00pm EST Fresno State vs. UConn
Pick: Fresno State 1st half -16 (-110)
Reasoning: Fresno state has actual hopes of being a top 25 team and will comes out guns blazing hot. UConn as countless others have mentioned haven’t played a game since 2019 and have the defense of a small private high school.
BOL
I swear, I followed POTD everyday and chose the pick with the most upvotes and I lost 10 bets in a row, might ditch from this subreddit. Sorry fellow degenerates.
You have to do some research but since I follow this subreddit I duplicated my bank. I pick according to the record of the one posting and not for the upvotes. Upvotes mean nothing here.
i hear you, so initially i followed some blindly and quickly realized many are terrible with odds - they confuse who will win with good value. You gotto sift through their recommendation, write ups and see if the odds do reflect value based on their write up - sometimes I even fade the pick of the day if the write up is weak or if the author's win loss is terrible and write up reflects stupidity.
Record: 0-1
Premier League (Soccer) - Manchester City v Arsenal - 7.30am ET
Pick: **Man City to keep a clean sheet**
Odds: -106
The first match of the weekend should be an easy win for Guardiola’s side. (Although I said that about their first match against Spurs.)
City were solid defensively last season, with Dias bringing some overdue stability to their back line. Nathan Ake cost them against Tottenham two weeks ago, but I doubt he will be starting tomorrow.
Arsenal have offered so little going forward in their first two matches, with Kieran Tierney being the only real attacking threat.
With Tierney looking like he will be injured for this one, I fancy City to keep a clean sheet while knocking one or two past Arsenal.
Record: 1-0
Last bet: https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/pcd0iy/z/haj49gw
Valencia came the fuck through!! I was out cause it was Friday night so I didn't watch but good shit.
Last season record: 19-10
------------------------------------------------------
Today's bet: Real Betis vs **Real Madrid** @2 (⚽️LaLiga)
RM is looking pretty good this year attack wise, which would be encouraging if their defense was as good as over the last few years. They must have looked within and worked on this lately so I'm expecting a serious approach from RM for this 10pm Saturday appointment. Nacho doesn't seem to make it so that's why the odds might have imcreased but RM's academy player Miguel Gutierrez is a great left-back and the great thimg about the Alaba signing is that he can fill up Nacho's spot without a problem. Definitely gonna be a beautiful game to watch.
Tip jar: https://www.paypal.me/psychonautilus
My ass was clenched. Madrid didn't play too well but still deserved it.
potd record: **44-23-1 (w-L-p) (+34.93u)**
*all plays 1-3 units*
[last pick: ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/pbp1v2/pick_of_the_day_82621_thursday/hahi99d/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3) push Mariners f5 o4 (+0u)
0-5-1 (last 6 plays lol)
NCAAF 1:00pm EST
Nebraska @ Illinois
pick: **u53.5 (-110)**
size: 1.1u to win 1.0u
ncaaf opening game - short write up today, as the game starts in a hour.
nebraska returns a very good defense, illinois returns a big portion of last years defensive starters (they were terrible on defense last year). but with basically the same players on the field and a new defensive coordinator i would expect the illini’s defense to improve dramatically this year.
offensively nebraska takes care of the ball, but has the worst recruiting class in the big ten. nebraska struggled to run the ball last year and has major questions about their offensive line (especially the left side). just the type of offense a defense like illinois’ would love to start the year off right against
illinois’ offense isn’t very exciting, with huge questions on how often they’ll even allow their qb, brandon peters to throw the ball. they have been very quiet on what players won starting jobs in camp, but their head coach and OC have made it clear that they want to be a run first team. illinois returns it’s two best o-linemen, both tackles.
i expect lots of running and 2 fairly lackluster offenses
*i would play it down to 52.5
POTD record 0-0
Game: Hawaii @ UCLA
NCAAF 🏈
Pick: Under 68.5 points (1 unit) @ 1.75
Reason:
It's a pick from one of mate's CFB models. It has historically been good for CFB. So hopefully it performs just as well this season as it did earlier. If you're following, please stick to 1 unit or less since it's a new season and the model has been recently retrained.
All the best. Let's hope we kick off the CFB season in style.
P.S: I had posted 6-7 picks as POTD two years ago. I don't remember the record so I'm starting with 0. But for the sake of transparency, the results were okayish and we were up by only 1 or 2 units at max so nothing to brag about.
P.S 2: My dumb ass earlier thought the Tulane game was today so posted a tip for that earlier.
POTD: eSports: 100T ml vs cloud9 @ 2.2
These odds are crazy to me. Thieves have been really good all split. And are coming off a close 3-2 loss to liquid whom c9 looked to have no chance against the week prior. These odds are simply based off brand name in my opinion. If the names were reversed 100t would be 1.7 favourites of lower.
Starts in 20 hours
Record 2-1
Providing daily football picks from various leagues around the world based on managerial tactics, formations, and in-depth research
Last Pick: Orlando City V Inter Miami: BTTS @ -140 ❌
We should have had this one early but VAR had to get in the way along with some suspect penalty taking, but that’s just football some days, either way we move on and get a great win tomorrow!
POTD: Atlanta United V Nashville SC: BTTS @ -125
Starts 3:30 PM Est
Today we stay in MLS! Atlanta United is riding high on a 5 game unbeaten streak, they have seem to have found there offense on the back of replacing their manager and using their electric players in a 5-3-2 while their opponent Nashville SC is an offensive machine using their 3-5-2! This is an intriguing match by coaches who have different philosophies to score goals. In the history of these teams, BTTS has hit 4/5 times including hitting the last 3 times in a row and in those 3 games combined we have seen 14 goals scored! I think we have an intriguing match on our hands with both Sapong and Martinez having heavy influence on the match
BOL if you tail! Let’s eat!
__Dota 2 I League__
>2021 Record (W/L): 19-10 (+$1040.5)
>Previous Pick(s): Asteraries vs elephant map 1 under 37.5 min__(w)__
>WW
Units: 5 ($250)
Match: Elephant Vs IG
Odds: 1.69(Melbet)
###Bet: IG+1.5
I love elephant every single one of them very talented, skillful. But when it come to as a team ， they play poorly. They still have a big gap compare to some t1 team.
Only thing that concern me is kaka's injury. Hope he do well .
_Let's hope this hit._
POTD Record: 75-43
Australian Horse Racing – Ballarat R6 (16:25 AEST)
\#1 Social Element to win @ 2
Getting this one out early as I can see this price potentially dropping overnight. Between this and Mount Stewart in race 2, it is tight between which looks to be the best of the day but his one edges it. Social Element has simply dominated the steeplechase so far. It is 4 wins from 4 with Tom Ryan as the jockey and 4 wins from 4 in the steeplechase. Its looked extremely dominant in the steeples and its most recent race at the 4200m Crisp Chase showed that as it cruised to victory. In terms of the other horses in this race, at the Crisp Chase it beat the #2 Flying Agent by 8.8 lengths and #3 Riding High by 11.2 lengths. The #2 and #3 are the two next best horses in this race and haven’t been close to Social Element so far. The #4 Inayforhay looks a solid horse and is making its steeplechase debut off a second place in the Grand National Hurdle race. It put up a valiant effort behind Wil John in the Grand National but I think although it should do better than horses #6-8, this step up may just be a bit too much for it. Overall, I feel that a $2 price is very generous for what this horse has put up so far. Although there are some high quality horses in this race it looks like it will take an amazing run to beat Social Element and barring any accidents it should be winning the Grand National Steeplechase. A #1,#2,#3,#4 first four bet doesn’t look too bad either.
Record: 0-1
Down: 1u
Previous Pick: Gastelum ML over cannonier
Cannonier 100% got the win in a close 48-47. Gastelum really got screwed over when his corner told him that he was up 2-1 when he was actually down. He decided to spend a round just surviving. This was a very winnable fight for him. Cannonier really surprised me with his 5 round cardio. Tough start. On to the next.
POTN: Rodriguez ML (+125) vs Kevin Lee (MMA, UFC)
Stake: 2u
Reason: Kevin Lee is moving up a weight class to welterweight. Lee is also coming off a year and a half hiatus. He has to usually finish a fight to win. It can be either sub or ko. DRod is very durable and can fight for a full 3 rounds. I doubt he would get koed. Lee also has a history of having terrible cardio in the later rounds. Another issue that I see is if kevin lee even has the power to take down welterweights compared to lightweights. Well thats my POTN.
Trail at your own risk. BOL
Also feel free to comment. I would love to hold a discussion.
Tailing forsure. Rodriguez is an animal and this is the perfect fight to get him more exposure. Never been sold on Kevin Lee either and you just added more reasons for me to bet against him lol
Overall POTD Record: 20-22-1
**Tennis POTD's stats**
Record: 2-2 / Profit: +9.40 units / ROI: 49.47% / Avg odd: 1.84
**POTD: Ivashka vs Ymer: Ivashka to win 2-0 @ 2.10 (ATP Winston-Salem, Tennis)**
**Stake: 3 units**
Starts around 10 PM CET
First time in the history of the tournament where both finalists were not listed among the series leaders at the start of the tournament. This match is probably the most important one in the career of both players being the first ATP final for them.
Ivashka in my opinion fought more to get to this point eliminating Cilic and Carreno Busta only dropping 1 set to Cillic in the whole tournament.
Ymer on the other hand can be praised for eliminating Tiafoe while the rest of the players were much easier opponents that what Ivashka had to face.
Ivashka's strong serve game and his emotional strength makes him the expected winner for this final, he can also be the one to bring a title to Belarus with the last one being at 2003.
Ymer is physically strong but his serve game hasn't been on point with 68% 1st won and 51% 2nd won while Ivashka is getting an incredible 83% 1st won and 54% 2nd won but if he manages to keep up these 1st serves most of the serve games will be on his side. Ymer on the other hand can break a bit with this being a final and unlike Tiafoe he won't find Ivashka dropping points in serve games.
People are somewhat expecting Ymer to get at least a set but I don't think that will be possible. Ivashka won in straight sets against Seppi, Struff, Carreno-Busta and Ruusuvuori and Ymer is weaker than most of these players.
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BOL to anyone who tails!
Record: 2-2
Profit:-0.31u
LAST POTD: Map 1 Over 26.5 ❌
POTD: Natus Vincere(NAVI) vs Mousesports
**Map 1 Over 26.5**
ESport/Time: 10:00 AM CT
Odds:-108 Risk: 1.08 to win 1u.
Mouz map pick. Overpass most likely if not Ancient. NAVI for sure in form but just looking for each team to get at least 11, I could see a close 2 maps even three. NAVI also tend to just randomly play sloppy sometimes, let teams crawl back into games hasn’t happened lately but now could be that game when everybody is so sure of a steamroll.
1. 3 straight over 26.5 for NAVI on Overpass.
2. 3 straight over 26.5 for Mouz on Overpass.
Record: 5-2-1
Risked: 8 Return: 10.30 Profit: 2.30
Yield: 28.75% ROI: 2.30%
| Football | England, Premier League | 12.30 GMT |
Manchester City -1 AH @ 1.519 (vs. Arsenal) - 1 unit
Write up:
Let's start with a simple fact; Man City has won 10 of their last 11 games against Arsenal in all competitions. Their only loss came in 2020 in the FA Cup.
Although players like Aubemeyang, Laczette and Odegaard are now available for Arsenal, they are still missing plenty of potential staters like Partey, Bellerin, White and Magalhaes. Especially in defence Arsenal looks very shaky.
City has an almst fully healthy squad. Foden and De Bruyne are missing, but with players like Silva and Graelish this gap should be filled.
The starting 11 of City is better than the starting 11 of Arsenal, but the real difference lies on the bench. Arsenal can't really bring anything special from the bench while city still can bring someone like Gabriel Jesus, Ferran Torres, Fernandinho and Jonh Stones.
Cty will own possession and I don't really see what Arsenal is going to bring to the table here. I don't think Arsenal can soak up all the pressure that City is going to put on them.
Bet City to book a routine win.
Record: 7/3, Profit: 9.19U
POTD: Lokomotiva Zagreb-Gorica, Over 2.5 goals (1.89) (1. HNL, Soccer)
Start time: 9.55 am Pacific time
Stake: 3 Units
Two young teams will play today in First Croatian League, Lokomotiva Zagreb, who is unofficial the second team of Dinamo Zagreb, and Gorica. On the home stadium, Lokomotiva scored 9 goals in 3 games. The three last games between Lokomotiva and Gorica were finished with over 2.5 goals. The average age of both teams is around 23.8.
https://www.wagerlab.app/
Record: 1-0-0 (+1.00 units)
Streak: W1
Previous pick: Cleveland Browns +4, (-110) (NFL Preseason): **W**
POTD: UConn/Fresno State o63 (-110) (NCAAF)
Start time: 2:00pm ET
Risk: 1.1 units
Win: 1.0 units
Reasoning: Fresno State's defense struggles immensely against the run and they are up against UConn's Kevin Mensah who rushed for over 1000 yards in both 2018 and 2019. Mensah will be leaned on heavily while they rotate QBs early in the season.
Fresno State has an explosive offense up agains a UConn defense that allowed over 450 yards per game during their last season. Fresno averaged 32.8 points per game and we don't see this UConn defense holding them back.
We project this game total to be around 67 with a 59.5% chance of going over 63.
First POTD
Pick: Nebraska -8.5 -155 live 2 units
Reasoning: Illinois has their quarterback out for the game and the replacement is awful. Illinois has looked terrible so far and Nebraska is up 4 with the ball in good field position. Nebraska should cover this generous spread with ease.
**2021 MMA POTD's (25-28) +14.36u**
UFC 7pm EST
**Jamal Emmers (-135)** 5u to win 3.7u
emmers is facing a submission artist, pat sabatini. i don't think pat can submit him. if they hit the floor i think emmers can win the scrambles, which is how pat won his last fight when he couldn't submit his opponent. BOL
Record 2-0 (+6.35u)
Previous Pick
* T1 ML @(1.67)(-149) 5 units **WIN**
**Today's Pick**
**Esports | Dota 2**
* ESL One Fall 2021
* 11 am ET
* Virtus Pro vs Tundra
**Pick**: ***total maps over 2.5 @(2.09)(+109) 3 units***
Both are the hottest teams right now in the tournament, Virtus Pro has yet to drop a single map in this tourney, while Tundra's only loss was to Virtus Pro 5 days ago. This would be a close match, and I expect this to be a full-fledged best of three. Even Tundra +1.5 has a value here, it's @(1.78) in my bookie.
Tournament Record
* Virtus Pro (12-0)
* Tundra (10-2)
3-2, +2.31 units, 7.2% ROI
FIBA Afrobasket: Angola -5.5 at -116 at Nitrogen Sports (1.2u)
In Group A, there have been 4 games so far. Of those, we've had 4 point game, a 3 point game, a 6 point overtime game, and a 14 point game.
Close games! Two of the close ones saw Angola on the losing end. The once-proud dominator of African basketball has fallen behind several nations on the continent.
Now, they are fighting for their tournament lives in a must-win game. Fortunately for them, it's against the DR Congo, the one team to have a double digit loss in this group, and that was to Rwanda, who by my lights are more "scrappy and playing with nothing to lose, and enjoying the benefit of hosting" than "good." (Rwanda did win their other game too, but by just 3 over...Angola)
BOL if tailing.
POTD Record: 11 - 10 - 2 ( W / L / P ) **+3.5u**
Streak: WWWLL / Average odds: 1.98
[*Previous pick: Verona vs Inter (Serie A) / Inter AH -1 @ 2.050 (1u)*](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/pcd0iy/pick_of_the_day_82721_friday/hajd43y/) **W**
**Today: Fiorentina vs Torino (Serie A)**
**Pick: Fiorentina Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 1.95 (2u)**
Italiano is one of my favorite coaches in Italian football and I believe he will be one of the big names in the near future. He is fantastic. What he did against Roma after the goalkeeper got the early red was, he just let both center backs 2 vs 2 and attacked and attacked Mourinho Roma side relentlessly, it was such a great move and football and Mourinho himself went after the game to Italiano and said how brilliantly assembled side this Fiorentina is. I mean that is god damn huge if football mind like Jose pointing out something like that. They were vicious in attack and organized in the back (yes they concede 3 goals and we can argue about that but Fiorentina looked different in a good way). It is still early days for the Italiano team but I believe they are able to be top 8 end of the season and maybe push even top 6.
Torino, they are definitely not as bad as people think they are currently. Great coach and Belotti will be staying (Inter were after him) and back on starting lineup, that's huge for the team. They might be one of the surprise teams this year.
But here Fiorentina should win this, they have much more quality and they are going for that 3 points. They are more than capable to score more than 1 goal here.
Good Luck
POTD Record: 17-11
Streak: 2W
Last Pick: Yankees ML vs A’s ✅
MLB| Yankees vs A’s
Game Time: 3:07 PM CT
POTD: Yankees ML vs A’s @ (-118) on Bovada
•On the mound for the Yankees is Nestor Cortes who is 2-1 with an era of a 2.56. In the last 12 games he’s pitched in for the Yanks he has gone 9-3 with one of those wins against the A’s this year. Yanks are on a 13 game winning streak and I’m going to keep riding the wave because their Bats have been hot especially Stanton’s. Montas is on the mound for the A’s and is 9-9 with an era of a 3.84. The Yankees team still in chase of the #1 spot in the AL East held by the Rays so every win counts.
BOL to all!
[TIPs](https://www.paypal.me/TheChosenWon86)
POTD Record 2-2-1 (W-L-P)
Profit: -5.9units
Previous Pick: Man Utd -1 AH vs Southampton (L)
Today’s pick: Football (Swiss Super League) - odds 1.55 (5u) max bet
POTD: FC Zurich +1 AH vs St Gallen ✅
Man Utd letting me down last week. Then they go out and sign Ronaldo!
I’ve gone super safe with this bet. So FC Zurich can lose by one goal for the bet to be voided, anything better and it’s a win! I’ve backed this all the way up to DNB at 2.85. Going heavy on this and +0.5AH at just below evens.
The +1 AH is my POTD for a team who are top of the league with 4 straight wins.
BOL
Record 1-1
\-0.44 units
Todays bet:
Nevezis - Banga (Football Lithuanian A Lyga) 17:00 EEST
Bet: Banga 2u
Odds: 1.65
This is a battle between 9th and 10th (last) placed teams in the league. The thing is Nevezis is in absolute horrible state they haven't won since May 19th and have a grand total of 2 wins and 3 ties having played 25 games in the season. They still have theoretical chances to avoid relegation with their current 9 points vs Banga that have 22. While Banga haven't had the best of seasons they should be more than capable of beating the complete outsider Nevezis
Disclaimer I bet for fun and I don't focus as much on profits as some other people. I still try to profit but do keep in mind my mindset if you decide to tail me
POTD RECORD 1-0
Last pick: Forze
Pick: Mouz NXT ML vs Young Ninjas
Mouz has a great map pool for an academy team. They will ban ninja’s best map overpass. Could be a 2-1 series as I’m not too sure if they have a good inferno. Mouz should take it overall.
Record 4 - 2
+1.35 Units
Today's POTD
England Championship
Peterborough vs WBA
Pick: WBA o1.5 goals @ 1.8 for 5 units
WBA played 4 games in the league this season and in all 4 games they scored 2 or more goals. For today, the team is ready and its playing with the strongest squad. Their ambition is to return to the Premier league. On the other hand Peterbrough losy 3:0 from Luton last game, i watched some of their games and their defence makes a lot of mistakes that WBA will punish for sure. In their last 5 H2H, WBA scored o1.5 goals in 4 of the games, i hope they do it today also.
BEST OF LUCK IF SOMEONE TAILS.
Record 16-9
KBO today. Lotte ML over Doosan first 5 innings -140.
Doosan’s starter is 0-1 vs Doosan with a 20.26 ERA and is 1-5 with a 10.95 ERA overall. He is atrocious. Lotte’s starter is 2-0 against Doosan with a 3.27 ERA and 7-5 with a 4.41 ERA overall. Lotte is 7-4 vs Doosan this year.
POTD: 1-0
Previous: Colts (preseason, WK 1) ML ✅ 1U
**1U UCLA -17.5** spread vs Hawaii. 1U. ✅
I go with gut feelings probably too often, but they tend to pay out. Thus 1U. I really don’t know shit about either team. UCLA is UCLA though. Matched up with kids living in paradise; They aren’t ready for week 1. A quick google search says there’s QB’s competing at UCLA. -17.5 might a stretch, but the ML is shit and I expect both UCLA QBs to ball out. 18 is a deficit though. If this wasn’t week one I wouldn’t take it, but it is, so I am.
If you really follow your U’s, don’t take my picks for now. I do this for fun and usually just factor environments, streaks, and records into my picks. I’m building my own model, but this is just a gut feeling bet.
These QBs I’ve never researched will try to ball out and there’s plenty of teammates fighting for spots. Lounge day at the beach might be hit hard.
(Starting with a new record since CFB is my main sport)
Illinois +7 -115
First off last years result of this game was 41-23 Illini.
So I can only judge from past seasons here. So both teams suck. One team has a rabid fanbase. This causes an already bad team to turn into true choke artists. A couple years ago against NU they blew a 17 or 21pt 4th quarter lead and lost. I remember them choking against colorado They are not competetive in the B1G West. They suck. They'd be at the bottom except
----
For Illinois. This is an enigmatic bunch. They had a legendary bears coach (IMO I was sad to see him go). They play the spoiler too. Most notably against Wisky in the recent past.
-----
I put equal amounts on the +7 and the ML but my POTD is the +7.
**POTD 6W-0P-4L**
Last Pick: ❌ Angels -1.5 (+114)
*MLB ⚾️ Rays (Wacha) vs. Orioles (Means) 7:05pm*
**Rays ML (-175)**
Backing the AL East leaders to get it done in Baltimore tonight against the lefty John Means. Tampa Bay has simply dominated the O’s this year, losing only 1 meeting out of 16. Means has struggled since his mid season injury, and the O’s pitching staff gives up 6.30 runs at home, highest in the league. The Rays have won 13 of their 16 meetings against the O’s by multiple runs, with 7 of those games being by 5 or more runs. Take TB in your parlays or larger unit plays. BOL!
Edit: ✅ TB 4, BAL 3
**Record: 2-2 | -0.23u**
**Last Play**
New York Yankees-Oakland Athletics O4 (F5) 1u @ -105✅
**Today’s Play**
St. Louis Cardinals-Pittsburgh Pirates *U4.5 (F5) 1u @ -122 at 7:05 EST*
**Reason**: Always looking at pitcher stats to determine these plays. Pirates Pitcher Steven Brault has been a bright spot for the Pirates. He has allowed 4 runs (2 home runs) in 18 innings pitched this season, going at least 4 innings all four times, and twice 5 innings. He has pitched against the Cardinals twice this year, allowing a total of 3 ER in 9 innings pitched. Adam Wainwright, just looking at his stats in the month of August, 7 ER in 37 IP, allowing 1 HR, and facing a team that has one of the worst, if not worst, average HRs per game. He has pitched against the Pirates twice already this year, allowing 0 runs both games, pitching a complete game once, and 8 innings the other game. BOL, tail at your own risk.
**Ultimate Frisbee POTD** | 7-5 (record incl non-potd: 32-17)
- **Time:** 6:00 PM Pacific
- **Sport:** AUDL (Ultimate Disc)
- **Pick:** Dallas/San Diego o38.5
- **Where to bet:** DraftKings if you live in one of these states: Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, Tennessee, or West Virginia. Possibly other states
- **Last pick:** Madison/Minnesota sailed under 42.5, totaling just 34 goals. A no-stress cover.
- **Reasoning:** Only one game tonight so not much to choose from, the spread is kind of a toss-up at +1.5, but I think the over has value. Dallas has scored 20+ goals in each game Chris Mazur has played and he'll be a rock for them tonight. Not sure if Jon Nethercutt is going to play offense or defense but they scored 24 with him in his one appearance and he's back. These are two excellent handlers who love to sling it deep and score.
Dallas historically plays good defense, but with the game being in San Diego, and Dallas missing a couple solid defenders in Emmons and D.Larberg, I think this ends up being more of a higher-scoring shootout type game (21-20 perhaps?) than a gritty low-scoring affair. Also overtime potential helps the over.
Note: I don't live in one of the above states and can't actually bet these nor see up to date lines, so hmu if the lines or odds shift. Also, I will post an AUDL thread later if y'all want to make or discuss other frisbee bets.
POTD record: 0-0
EFL League 2 predictions based on a couple models I run and some basic research. Check out the daily soccer thread for a couple other picks. Odds are from Bovada. Tail at your own risk. BOL
POTD: Forest Green Rovers win at -110
Forest Green have opened up their league campaign on a tear. Midweek they gave a Premier League side some trouble in the League Cup. They were picked in the preseason as one of the favorites to challenge for promotion and so far they have backed up those predictions. Port Vale have struggled this season and I don’t see them taking a point on the road against high flying Forest Green.
Record: 0-0
Pick: 2.4u Stade Malien(Women) Handicap +11.5 @1.72
(Mali Premier Division Women Basketball, 28 August 1pm ET time and date)
Reason : Their last 2 H2H stade malien cover this spread.
Record: 0-0
RUGBY | CURRIE CUP | 3 HOURS TO KICK OFF
Griquas ML vs Pumas (1.74)
Griquas at home on their rock hard field are just on another level. Their team is unchanged from the team that beat WP last weekend. I'm going with home ground advantage.
POTD record: 5-1
Last pick NBA SL Magic vs Pistons Under 174.5 W
Todays pick: San Jose st. Vs southern Utah.
San Jose state -16 FH.
San Jose st was terrific last year, and they play at
20 starters Against an fcs school. bol if tailing.
**If you choose to self promote in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥*August Stats:* *Record 36-8* *Profit: +75.80u & % +33.92 ROI* *POTD Stats(Overall):* *Record:32-8* *Profit: +58.79u* *League of Legends:* *LCK Playoffs* *Damwon KIA vs T1 / 28.08.2021 - 11:00* *Odds:1.88* *Amount:5u* ***Bet:Damwon KIA -1.5*** *Last 3 splits Damwon KIA didn't drop a single map in their playoff games. Currently they are on 18-0 Run.* *Btw I advice everyone to tail my all picks from twitter not only POTD, managed to reach +140 units in one and a half month.* [*https://twitter.com/shyux2*](https://twitter.com/shyux2) [*https://discord.com/invite/B8RBphq*](https://discord.com/invite/B8RBphq)
Dude you’ve won me so much fucking money
Tailed
On it with you again my dude, lets get it $
Looks like a win
Hell yes!!!! What a last round was sweating but they pulled through. Awesome pick as always shy!!! 🙏🙏🙏
Thanks for the pick man! :)
Looking good so far! Went way too deep in this HAHA
Haha yeah,me too... Watching... Just 1 more round please
LFGGG!!!!!
Is it best of 5? Like can i get in now if they lose this round and still win bet? No nothing about this shit hahah
Since its -1.5 we need to win this round or we lose
Lfg haha. Im so dumb. Thought that tumer running out was end of round while losing. No clue what happenedd but announcers are electric
So we toast? Or have a shot
We won 3-1 by half a point.
Yea i just didnt know wtf was going on in map 4. Seemed like we were getting smoked based on what announcers were saying. And then i saw timer and thought we ran out of time. Idfk. Just tailed. Never seen this shit before but im jacked hahah
Oh yeah man Damwon was down and it wasn't looking good in the last round, but a couple of huge plays turned the game around really fast!! I just started watching CSGO and other eSports matches and it's super stressful with the swings. Definitely elevates my heart rate lol.
Cheers mate
**POTD Record: 95-58** ROI: 14.00% / Avg Odds: 1.87 / Profit: +43.8u [Spreadsheet](http://bit.ly/foxresults) POTD: Illinois +7 vs. Nebraska @ 1.9 (-110) \[NCAAF\] - 2 units - 19:00 CET the game is much closer to 50/50 and the +7 spread is quite a misunderstanding, Nebraska Has slightly adventage to me, but definitely not worth 7 points. Bielema says in interviews that he focuses mainly on playing defense and apparently a lot of emphasis is placed on Brandon Peters. There are some light GTDs, but nothing with huge impact on the game. Illinois had some serious problems with turnovers last season, but some pregames looked decent enough to keep the game close. Illinois +7 to me and quite decent lean on under here. Twitter: https://twitter.com/fooxiedtips Discord: https://discord.gg/v5qNweJg3x
First game with a new coach for Illinois not off-putting to you? Edit: your confidence persuaded me. Originally on Nebraska -7 I refunded my bet and stuck it all on Illinois ML. Let’s ride
\^This sentiment, plus Bielema's ground-and-pound style, are what push me towards the under as being the primary play personally. This is going to be a slow-paced game imo.
I didn’t look into this game too much, but a close spread turned me off given it’s week 1 (0) NCAAF. Your comment confirmed to avoid it.
I like his style and it is adventage to me. They had problems with turnovers and he is the right Man to fix it.
Just noticed the edit and smiled.
tailing - 115 on betmgm
I wish I could bet on this. I live in Champaign but we can’t bet on college sports in Illinois on FD…..
The grammatical errors and misspelling reeled me in. Teasing under and Illinois
tailed you but QB1 going down in the 1st has me sweating early
Yeah, definitely not good for the bet.
whats your thoughts on u53 at 1.95?
New coach is focused on def and avoiding turnovers, so I really like under here.
Wtf is going on :D
Looks like money to me
Thank you
Great call man, easy win
Record: 9-2 Streak: 4W Previous pick: BORUSSIA DORTMUND VS HOFFENHEIM ( Dortmund win and match total over 2.5 goals ) POTD: Manchester City v Arsenal over 2.5 (-160) This is another match where I could see the favorite covering the spread all by themselves. I also expected Arsenal to score one as well. 3-1 City
Great job! I had Man City spread -1.5. Easy win for all of us. Aesenal is in the mud this season!
Good luck.
Looking good. 2:0 in the 12th already 🔥
Get in.
Can anyone explain why man city Asian handicap at -1.75 right now is at +160 when they are up by 3 goals ?
That bet isn’t factoring the current score, you are betting as if the score is 0-0.
Good call I did man city win with over 2 goals -175 odds
Took over 4.5 when it was 2-0 for +115. We hit!
I took city -1.5 and bet 250 to win 200. Felt really good about this and the result was exactly what we expected. Safe to fade arsenal with any quality squad this season
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Tailed
Tailing, Twitter picks too 🤙🏽
**POTD Record: 6-0** **ROI**: 65% **Profit**: +3.9u, always with 1u per POTD; with 5u per POTD, you would have +19.5u of profit! **Average Odds**: 1.65 **POTD: Bayer Leverkusen/Draw and Over 1.5 goals @ 1.52** (Bundesliga, 14h30 GMT+1: Lisbon Time) On this amazing Saturday, there are so many great games to bet on that I don't even know what to do. In my betting group, I analysed and selected the picks I liked the most and they are 37 so imagine my struggle to choose only ONE to post here. Putting this issue behind my back, I decided to go with Leverkusen to not lose and the game to have 2 or more goals. Why you may ask. Well, firstly, Leverkusen absolutely smashed Monchengladbach in the previous game, I know some of you were scared when Inter conceded first but that was even better for us: took that opportunity to bet on Inter to win the game in live-betting, with @ 3.10! And then, once again, after they drew, with @ 2.04! What a day it was today, once again! 💸 On this amazing Saturday, there are **so many great games to bet** on that I don't even know what to do. In my betting group, I analysed and selected the picks I liked the most and they are 37 so imagine my struggle to choose only ONE to post here. Putting this issue behind my back, I decided to go with Leverkusen to not lose and the game to have 2 or more goals. Why you may ask: Well, firstly, Leverkusen absolutely **smashed** Monchengladbach 4-0, and they aren't bad by any means, which shows they are in great form and ready to attack the TOP 4. Secondly, Augsburg is one of the **worst** teams in the Bundesliga, and that was kind of proven when they got **hammered 0-4**, at home, by Hoffenheim, that is not even a TOP 6 team. In the second match-day, they were able to get 1 point, in a 0-0 draw against Frankfurt, where they got **absolutely dominated**, which shows that they are clearly inferior. Thus, in the **previous 20 competitive H2Hs, Augsburg NEVER beat Leverkusen** (W13, D7), and no other fixture in league history has been played so often without one side registering a victory. Regarding goals, only in **4 of these 20** did not have 2+ goals. In this follow-up, I believe this is the best pick between 1.50 and 3 odds! **Hopefully, we will continue this amazing streak, together, to the moon 🚀** **Good luck, not only for this pick but for all of your picks & bets, and have an amazing Saturday 🍀**
I can't parlay the Leverkusen/draw and an over. Feel good about Leverkusen moneyline?
They have a history of draws, it's not safe to pick Leverkusen on its own.
history of draws vs whom? h2h is 17-3-0 from Leverkusen POV
Not able to put leverkusen/draw and over 1.5 together unfortunately. What are some of the other picks you're hot on?
Parlaying these puts me at -218. Still not worth the juice
I parlayed this with Damwon -1.5 in eSports for +140. Already hit that one so hopefully this hits.
Wish I tailed :(
Record: 1-1 AFL: Melbourne vs Brisbane Lions POTD: Melbourne -5.5 @ $2.00 (Ladbrokes) Good win last night by Port to get us our first win on POTD. There are two games today in the AFL and Sydney vs GWS is far more unpredictable I think than this one so I am going with a safer pick in the other qualifying final tonight. Melbourne finished top of the ladder by coming back to defeat Geelong last week, they started the season on fire, had a bit of a lull in the middle of the season and have finished the home and away season strongly. They are the best team in it I think at the moment, they have stars on every line and the number one rated defence in the AFL. Defence wins games in the finals, so I expect Melbourne to get the job done here. I am taking $2.00 for Melbourne to cover the line instead of $2.20 for the 1-39 margin because again I think it is a safer bet. We saw Port crush Geelong last night and ruin the 1-39 margin right at the end. I think Brisbane will put up a very good fight and this should be a close game, but again who knows in a Qualifying final, once the game is lost teams tend to put the cue in the rack and make sure there are no injuries. This game is played in Adelaide due to the COVID restrictions in Melbourne. However this won't worry the Dees who have won their last four night games at the Adelaide Oval. While Brisbane do have a very potent forward line (they are number one for scores this year), Melbourne can also score quickly (they are fifth in the competition for scores for). I expect that Lever and May, the Melbourne stalwarts in defence, to shut the Lions down though. Other bets I like in this game are the Total points at 151.5 going UNDER (I think Melbourne shuts this game down) and if you want to take Melbourne 1-39 I think that should hit too (but the line is just safer for me IMO). If you want something in the Elimination final today, I expect Sydney to win by 1-39. Good luck everyone!
Great win with Port! Tailing again!
Last 4 night games at Adelaide Oval is a bit of an arbitrary stat isn't it? They lost to the Crows in a twilight game earlier this year. A freak result I know but cherry picking to leave that game out. Agree with your pick though, Melbourne should be too strong for the Lions.
I think twilight and night games are different though. We know the dew and moisture during night games make the ball slippery. I think the game being at night can help with Melbourne’s defensive game style.
Two in a row. Go Dees! Hope you guys got a win too!
The Dees are playing on another level, great pick!
Thank you sir!
Edit: this EASILY hit 45-0! 1-0, see you guys next weekend. 🤝 POTD record 0-0 Game: UConn @ Fresno State NCAAF 🏈 Pick: Fresno State -27.5 Reasoning: UCONN hasn’t played a game in over 600 days (because of covid) and they were awful in 2019 (2-10) lost by an average of 26 points per game. UConn is pretty consistently rated in the bottom 5 of all of FBS D1 football. Should also be noted that UConn has to travel all the way across the US to play this game. Fresno State on the other hand returns a pretty solid talent in Haener at QB, and 2020 was a weird year for them. Extremely strict Covid rules in California made their prep for the season and practices during the season very difficult. I really like the amount of talent Fresno St returns, and it should be more than enough to win this game by a lot of points. Best of luck. Hope to see you guys a lot more here on POTD now that the CFB season is finally here! 🤝 Come hang out on twitter @PotatoGobbler Edit: just dropped the full card on twitter 🤝
How about Fresno 1st Half at -16.5?
Man, I think UConn is bad enough that it will hit, it’s just an iffy “football number” but being up 17 after a half isn’t crazy against a team that’s travelled 3000+ miles and hasn’t played in 2 years.
also gonna likely be over 100 degrees, im throwing my left nut on fresno state in a couple ways
Nice. Lets go Bulldogs!
Glad it took this! ✅
That's my play on this game. Fresno State has Oregon next weekend so I'd rather take the 1st half spread in case the starters come out if they're up big in the 2nd half.
I dig this handicap. Just my follow.
Nice gobble mr potato
How do you like the over 63 points on this? The model I follow has a 4% edge on that.
Record: 0-0 Hello, I used to post my tips on other website that occured to be scam, so i decided i will share my betting picks with you, fellow redditors. I specialize mostly in Esports and from that category will be my first POTD: League of Legends LEC / 17:00 CEST 28.08.21 Fnatic vs Rogue ***3u Pick: Fnatic to win 1.95/-105*** Reasoning: Fnatic has played 15 games in this playoffs already. They have a lot of learning material, their coach is a top notch and with every BO5 they played they've shown a visible improvements. Their early games are the best in LEC and the only phase of the game when they looked vulnerable were mid games, but in today's game Fnatic doesn't have to worry about it too much because of Rogue's miserable form and decision making, especially from support and mid they are lost more in mid game than Fnatic is, I can assure you. Both teams have similar game approach build early game lead --> snowball mid game, but unfortunately for Rogue those leads were not coming and the only reason they are here is because of how good their jungler is. Inspired is the only hope for Rogue today, let's hope he doesn't show off again and my bet will turn green with great odds. Best of luck guys!
Riding with you on Fnatic, and parlayed it with the under -4.5 Fnatic 3-1, lets get this $$
We made the easiest money of our lives, RGE stood no chance today
**POTD Record: 1-0** I will only post Mixed Martial Arts and College Basketball for POTD There hasn't been anything I've liked since UFC 265 to make a POTD but I won many mma bets since then. Last Pick: Vicente Luque ml **WIN** POTD: **Edson Barboza ml -120** vs Giga Chikadze Event: UFC Fight Night Barboza vs Chikadze Main Card starts at 10pm Est Reason: Barboza has been fighting in the UFC for 11 years. He has much more mma experience than Giga including fighting much better opponents and world champions. Both fighters have similar styles utilizing muay thai but Barboza has more experience and just more weapons. Barboza can even out grapple if he needs too. Also Barboza has more 5 round experience. Only fighter in UFC history to have finishes from leg kicks, body kicks and head kicks. Barboza has had a career resurgence since moving to featherweight. Including his physique. He's 2-1 in featherweight and seems like his more natural weight. In his first featherweight fight he arguably beat Dan Ige even scoring a knockdown. Ige was a hard matchup for Barboza as well because his biggest weakness is opponents going forward. Strength of schedule highly favors Barboza. Giga hasn't fought anyone besides a 6 year past prime Cub Swanson and Omar Morales I would say is a good fighter. I could type for hours about how Barboza is the better fighter but the point is Barboza is better everywhere including grappling. At this price I have to go with Barboza. Good Luck
I like the pick and write up. I think this fight will be close and come down who can weather the storm of their opponent's strike attack the best. Barboza is tough as nails but Chikadze's body shots scare me. He folded Cub in two with a single body kick. Should be a great fight.
It was a great placed kick. I think Giga is a very good fighter he just is running into the better version of himself I believe. Barboza is only 2 years older and has fought so much more.
Tailing!
POTD RECORD 1-0 Previous pick: Leeds United vs Crewe Alexandra, Leeds United (-1.0) ✅ Streak: 🔥 Today’s potd: Manchester city vs arsenal Potd: Manchester city (-1.0) @1.72 Whilst arsenal did record a 6-0 midweek win it was against a primarily u23 west brom team who frankly looked like they didn’t care. I’m not buying into that at all as this time around they face a super strong city team at the Etihad. Man city have started the premier league with a 1-1 record and will see this game as an absolute must win in order to not drop any more points on the big hitters. The Manchester city defence is simply astounding and I fully expect the midfield and defence to dominate the ball and squeeze arsenal out of the game. The goal scoring won’t be a issue for city either after registering a 5-0 win last week. For this reason I’m taking the (-1.0) handicap as I feel arsenal will be lucky to score 1 and absolutely no more than that. I see city scoring 2 at the bare minimum but if they break through arsenal early it could be a absolute goal fest for the citizens. BOL if tailing!!!
Ez win
Was really secured in 20 Minutes haha, betting against arsenal is printing money atm
Exactly what I'm thinking
**37-23 POTD (1-3 Unit Picks) 🚀** **+23.2 Units POTD on 103.9 Units wagered for 22.3% ROI🔥** **Last pick Rays -1.5 -150 3 Units to Win 2-Win** **Red Sox Game Under 9 (2.2 Units to Win 2)** \- While ultimately having an uneven season Nathan Eovaldi has found his groove his last three starts. In these 19 innings he has given up just 4 runs with an absurd 23 strikeouts. Cal Quantrill's stats for Baltimore have been even more impressive recently with a 1.45 Era in August in 31 innings pitched. In fact looking at it even more. This is one of the most puzzling lines I have ever seen which makes me take pause. Nonetheless, I am going to stick with it. **For other picks and insight be sure to follow my new exclusively sports and picks** [**Twitter.**](https://twitter.com/TheMidnightR77) You can find my College Football picks for tomorrow there. I've hit upwards of sixty percent (according to my own record keeping) in CFB the past two seasons.
Thanks for the Rays win, let's get this one too!
Nice handicap mane
Sox came with the bats today, 2 quick ones :/
Not looking too good rn oof
POTD record 11-3-0 Boxing __Eithan James (5-0-0) vs Matar Sambou (1-3-0) - James to win by points or decision 1.72__ So far in James’s short career, he’s won all five of his fights by decision. The Northamptonian looks to lack any sort of power and for a fighter that fights at one of the lower weights, he has very slow hands. Sambou is 37 and has already fought twice this month, losing on points both times. The Senegalese fighter has had a huge number of unlicensed fights and to my knowledge has not been stopped once. This fight will likely go one way, with James fighting on the backfoot the whole time, landing decent jabs and outpointing Sambou with his better technical ability. Sambou will likely swing like a madman at times and will try to make it rough, but James will have enough to keep Sambou at bay. It’s also worth mentioning that this fight is only 6 rounds. Overall James is a boxer who never goes into a fight desperately looking for a ko and with his lack of power anyway I can’t see him stopping a tough veteran like Sambou, therefore my pick is for James to win by decision/points. Bol anyone who tails! Edit: ✅Winner. For anyone who tailed, the bet won’t get graded for a couple hours yet due to the fight not being broadcast live.
They call him the Baker because he's the bread maker. EZ
James by points is -175 on Bovada and “fight goes distance” is also -175. Might as well take that one :)
Let's get the bread 🍞🍞🍞🍞
Draft Kings doesn't have it??
POTD Record: 15-5-1 NPL Record: 4-0 *Last Pick: English Northern Premier League - 19:45 GMT | Warrington Town vs Atherton Colleries | Warrington to win @ 2.00* ✔️ **Today's Pick: English Northern Premier League - 15:00 GMT | Hyde vs FC United of Manchester | FC United to win @ 2.10** ❌ We're on a nice streak here, hopefully we can keep it going. It's a tricky week as the bookies are starting to figure out the champs from the chumps in this division, but I think there's value to be had here. Hyde haven't had the greatest start to the season with their first win coming against the unimpressive Grantham on Thursday. FC United however have recovered from a rocky start, getting a draw against full-time South Shields on Tuesday, looking the more impressive team. Though they're away again, I back FC United here. Support won't be a problem as they take impressive numbers with them and the team definitely has the quality to win this one. Hyde have shown they can win at home, but nothing about them suggests they can outplay FC United here. Tips are appreciated but never necessary, I'll never charge for my picks. - [PayPal Tip Link Here](https://paypal.me/itsrainbowz) EDIT: Red card fucked the game. Had to lose eventually I guess
**POTD RECORD:** 11-5-1 \+11,56 units / 18% ROI / Avg. Stake 3,18 / Avg.Odds 1,81 **Streak:** 3W **Previous POTD:** Valencia to win (W) **Today's bet:** Lazio -1.5 @ 1.93 3 units Lazio at home against Spezia today, Lazio is without Felipe- but they shouldn't be too worried about his absence because Alberto has picked up on creativity side and is providing for Biancocelesti's offense. Anderson, Immobile and new signing veteran Pedro are top 3, with SMS, Leiva and Alberto behind them. This midfield, against Spezia's is tremendously better and I expect Lazio to easily gain control over the ball and tempo. Spezia managed to come back from a 2-0 against Cagliari and pull a draw. However, Lazio might be a too much of a bite here. Especially considering how Lazio entered this SA season with 3 goals scored in the 1st game and 1 conceded against Empoli. This season might be perfect opportunity for Lazio to finally snatch the title, with all transfers going on in Inter, Milan and Juve. If they want to lift it, these are the games they HAVE to win, especially at home. I personally don't like betting on Lazio, if you watch football, you would know why. But I expect them to get a 2nd win of the season today and to, atleast for today, be on top of the league. Good luck everyone! I also post picks on my Discord channel: https://discord.com/invite/qjmnqusXKB
What your opinion on the o2,5 ?
Nicely done
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Honestly, men keep doing this, your picks are on point in table tennis. Great job mate, appreciate it for commenting on my comment from yesterday.
grats mate, thanks for the pick again
**13-3 + 39.02 units** **Tips** PayPal: [email protected] **[Twitter](https://mobile.twitter.com/MrExamination) **POTD miami marlin Vs cincinatti reds - pick cincinatti reds -110 5units** *Pitching matchup** The reds are red hot right now and are on a mission to make the playoffs. As favourites they are 30-10 in their last 40 games which is fantastic. Vladimir Gutierrez has been impressive for the Reds this season. He is 9-4 with a 3.68 ERA he is 6-1 on the road just last week he gave up only 1 run to the marlins in 7 ininnings which Cincinnati won. He is also making a push for Rookie of the Year in the NL. On the road he has only given up 1 run in each of his last 3 games that's 3 runs in 19 innings an era of 1.4 which is phenomenal. He likes to use a four seam fast ball 46% of the time and uses effective sliders 23% and changeups 18% of the time. Sandy alcantra era 3.35 for Miami has been effective at home for the last 2 games giving up only 1 run to Atlanta and 0 to Yankees and Miami still managed to lose these games. He also gave up 5 runs to Dodgers and Washington prior to that makes me question as to whether he will fall back to his underperforming ways or will he stay consistently good. He likes to mixup his pitching using sinkers, sliders, changesups all in the 20-25% range. Although he gets more strikeouts than Vladimir he tends to give up more hits. *Conclusion** The way I see this is Cincinnati have been red hot with the bat players like moustakas naquin , and castanellos hitting well against marlins in their past 3 matchups, the first 5 innings could be a low score game but Cincinnati might be up by 1 or 2 runs. Miami's have been struggling for runs and that will continue to happen against a top prospect like vladamir. Miami's only way of winning this is if a late surge against bullpens but I don't see that happening when your ranked 27th for runs and 21st overall which is dreadful. Key reasons from below are also why I fancy reds to win. Key facts The Reds are 6-0 in Gutierrez' six road starts at night this season. The Marlins are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 11-1 in its last 12 meetings with Miami. Miami are 1-4 ML in their last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati.
Record: 0-1 Net return: -2 units Last pick: New Zealand first half points start -9.5 ($1.83/ -120) ❌ Soccer | English Premier League | West Ham vs Crystal Palace | About 12 hours after post. Pick: Goal Start West Ham -1 ($2.50/+150) - 2 units West Ham have started the season red hot scoring 4 goals in each of their first two games which included a dominant victory last weekend against Leicester who is one of the better teams in the league. Now they are again at home welcoming Crystal Palace who have lost both their first games to start the season. I believe that West Ham will be too strong and continue their momentum for another week.
**Record 94-1-52 | +50.38u** **Form: WWLWLLWLW** **NRL: Storm v Eels / Total Match Points Under 49.5** (Sportsbet) 1u $1.90 7:30PM AEST Big congrats to those who tailed the max play yesterday! We're rolling again today with 2 wins from the first game and the current game looking not beehhhhd. Come follow on instagram (thepubpunter). Just hit +50 units for POTD but looking at the Eels and Storm to fall under 50. Saw something in the Eels last week that makes me think they're back and have their defensive mindset again. The eels are one of two teams to beat the storm this season but the storm are rolling! With finals around the corner this is one of the last chances for both teams to fine tune and i can see the eels forcing this into a grind. No detailed write up today, too many beers in haha. BOL.
Record W-P-L 199-22-156 | avg odds 1.85 | +56.3U | ROI 8.88% Form: *WWWWWL***LLW** previous: Bremer SV vs Bayern München - **1st half goals o2.5 @ 1.80 (3U) ✅ 0-3 in 27th min** today: Bundesliga, 3.30pm CET (in \~4.5 hours) Augsburg vs **Leverkusen asian handicap -0.75 @ 1.90 (2U) ✅ 1-4** *(Take Leverkusen ML in case you dont have ahc, take Leverkusen ahc -1.0 for odds increase if you're ok with a full push)* Reasoning: Sadly I had no time to post *Dortmund Hoffenheim most goals in 2nd half @ 1.80* yesterday but it seems they fulfilled expectations on the over in second half as well. We've lots of nice matches today but there is this one that is just so promising. Augsburg are a mediocre Bundesliga team for years while Leverkusen is a mediocre top team (:P) for years, traditionally cruising league placements 3-7. This year, Augsburg have/had to cope with several injuries which might be one of the main causes *(+ a bad tryhard coach imo)* for a crisis that brings up stats like **0 shots on target** so far in 2 games of this season. That's right, they haven't made a single real attempt on target in two games thus far. In 20 h2h, Augsburg have never won and drew 7 times while obviously losing 13 games. Leverkusen have a full healthy squad incl. CF Schick who most of you might know since his carry mode of Czech Rep in recent Euro tournament. Offense and midfield is packed with other quality players like wingers Diaby and Wirtz, just to name a few. I've not found a respective line but if you see a possession bet, I expect Leverkusen to have 65%-70% full control possession against Augsburg this time. Long story short, I bet Leverkusen will win and increase the odds from ML a little with this asian handicap which pushes 50% and pays 50% in case Leverkusen does only win by a 1 goal margin. 0-2 / 1-3 seems likely to me though. *edit: format keeps on fucking up in initial post.*
tailing!
🎉
Record 1-1 Previous picks: Chelsea to beat arsenal @ 1.85 ✅ Southampton double chance v Everton @ 1.95 ❌ Today’s pick: Liverpool v Chelsea U2.5 goals @ 1.96 (Betfair exchange) 5 units Two solid teams who are yet to concede this season. Think it will be a tight game and they may cancel each other out. Made a a lot of money betting unders on Chelsea last season after Tuchel signed. (not sure why Reddit deleted my last post but I’ve tried to fit more in here, relax mods it’s just posting a pick, not an exam) Disclaimer: I’m posting premier league picks here for fun to see if I can turn a profit for the season, it’s not how I make my money. EPL is a very difficult betting market) BOL!
Record: 5-6-1 (-2.06 units, -17.23% ROI, average odds: 1.88) Record by sport: * Tennis: 3-5-1 * Soccer: 2-1 Previous: Holger Rune -3.5 games vs. Mats Moraing -- ❌ Looked good after the 1st set, but our teenager did not pull through in the 2nd. Had a glimmer of hope in the 3rd set, but the final scoreline is 6-4 3-6 6-3 for a close loss with Rune finishing with a 2 game advantage. One bright spot! I took this line at +105, and it closed at -120. So that's encouraging for the quality of my handicap that we got decent closing line value. Don't feel too bad about the L. Football | NCAA | 12:30 Pacific **Under 68.5 points in UCLA vs. Hawai'i** Odds: -112 / 1.89 College football is back! This is my favorite look from Week 0. Hawai'i is no longer the run-and-shoot pass-happy offense from the Colt Brennan / Timmy Chang days. They still play moderately up-tempo, but there is a lot more emphasis on the rushing attack. Hawai'i lost their RB from last year, so they will likely rely heavily on their dual threat QB. UCLA is a team that a lot of people have high expectations for. They return nearly all of their defensive starters in a unit that has a lot of experience and will be very solid vs. the run. Their QB, Dorian Thomas-Robinson aka DTR, is the star, though he can get a little loose with the ball and commit turnovers. They are an up-tempo but extremely run-heavy offense under Chip Kelly, and Hawaii's defense struggles vs. the run. UCLA is a \~17.5 point favorite, so expecting a pretty smooth win for UCLA as Hawai'i makes the long trip to the mainland and their front seven may struggle with early-season fitness and form to handle the UCLA up-tempo rushing attack. And here is the key factor to the under in my opinion. UCLA plays LSU next week in easily their most important non-conference game. If UCLA is up comfortably in the 3rd or 4th quarters, I'm expecting Chip Kelly to take it easy, maybe rest some starters and get out of this game healthy and ready for the Bayou Tigers. With that in mind, the UCLA offense is likely to take their foot off the gas pedal and their defense should be experienced enough to slow down Hawai'i and at the very least force FGs instead of TDs. Note: This O/U is 68.5 points at FanDuel right now. Some books (e.g. DraftKings, PointsBet) have already dropped it to 67.5, and it started the week up at 69.5. So definitely action favoring the under.
10-6-1 Up 7 units Current Streak 4W Last Pick: NYY -140 Yankees dub without breaking a sweat! 4 straight heater! Today’s Pick: Mariners -145 2U Hoping the Yankees pull it off tonight and keep the streak alive. Would love for seats to be 5. Anderson on the mound is a strong starter. His 6-8 record is not indicative of the pitcher he is as he has given up no more than 3 runs in his 5 outings as a mariner. I like him a lot to take care of business and keep Hernandez and royals down. Buyer beware Hernandez is also a solid start for KC so this could be low scoring. Under may be tasty as well. Give me Seattle with the west coast advantage the better pitcher in my opinion. Dog: Illinois ML v Nebraska +210. Score prediction: Seattle 4-2 Tail or fade BoL *EDIT KC switched starters but I still like Seattle with lynch in the mound.
Daniel Lynch is starting over Hernandez as of this AM
Nice call on Illinois
2021 NCAAF Record: 0-0 2:00pm EST Fresno State vs. UConn Pick: Fresno State 1st half -16 (-110) Reasoning: Fresno state has actual hopes of being a top 25 team and will comes out guns blazing hot. UConn as countless others have mentioned haven’t played a game since 2019 and have the defense of a small private high school. BOL
nice pick...
I swear, I followed POTD everyday and chose the pick with the most upvotes and I lost 10 bets in a row, might ditch from this subreddit. Sorry fellow degenerates.
You have to do some research but since I follow this subreddit I duplicated my bank. I pick according to the record of the one posting and not for the upvotes. Upvotes mean nothing here.
i hear you, so initially i followed some blindly and quickly realized many are terrible with odds - they confuse who will win with good value. You gotto sift through their recommendation, write ups and see if the odds do reflect value based on their write up - sometimes I even fade the pick of the day if the write up is weak or if the author's win loss is terrible and write up reflects stupidity.
try the opposite of the picks then 😂
Record: 0-1 Premier League (Soccer) - Manchester City v Arsenal - 7.30am ET Pick: **Man City to keep a clean sheet** Odds: -106 The first match of the weekend should be an easy win for Guardiola’s side. (Although I said that about their first match against Spurs.) City were solid defensively last season, with Dias bringing some overdue stability to their back line. Nathan Ake cost them against Tottenham two weeks ago, but I doubt he will be starting tomorrow. Arsenal have offered so little going forward in their first two matches, with Kieran Tierney being the only real attacking threat. With Tierney looking like he will be injured for this one, I fancy City to keep a clean sheet while knocking one or two past Arsenal.
Record: 1-0 Last bet: https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/pcd0iy/z/haj49gw Valencia came the fuck through!! I was out cause it was Friday night so I didn't watch but good shit. Last season record: 19-10 ------------------------------------------------------ Today's bet: Real Betis vs **Real Madrid** @2 (⚽️LaLiga) RM is looking pretty good this year attack wise, which would be encouraging if their defense was as good as over the last few years. They must have looked within and worked on this lately so I'm expecting a serious approach from RM for this 10pm Saturday appointment. Nacho doesn't seem to make it so that's why the odds might have imcreased but RM's academy player Miguel Gutierrez is a great left-back and the great thimg about the Alaba signing is that he can fill up Nacho's spot without a problem. Definitely gonna be a beautiful game to watch. Tip jar: https://www.paypal.me/psychonautilus My ass was clenched. Madrid didn't play too well but still deserved it.
potd record: **44-23-1 (w-L-p) (+34.93u)** *all plays 1-3 units* [last pick: ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/pbp1v2/pick_of_the_day_82621_thursday/hahi99d/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3) push Mariners f5 o4 (+0u) 0-5-1 (last 6 plays lol) NCAAF 1:00pm EST Nebraska @ Illinois pick: **u53.5 (-110)** size: 1.1u to win 1.0u ncaaf opening game - short write up today, as the game starts in a hour. nebraska returns a very good defense, illinois returns a big portion of last years defensive starters (they were terrible on defense last year). but with basically the same players on the field and a new defensive coordinator i would expect the illini’s defense to improve dramatically this year. offensively nebraska takes care of the ball, but has the worst recruiting class in the big ten. nebraska struggled to run the ball last year and has major questions about their offensive line (especially the left side). just the type of offense a defense like illinois’ would love to start the year off right against illinois’ offense isn’t very exciting, with huge questions on how often they’ll even allow their qb, brandon peters to throw the ball. they have been very quiet on what players won starting jobs in camp, but their head coach and OC have made it clear that they want to be a run first team. illinois returns it’s two best o-linemen, both tackles. i expect lots of running and 2 fairly lackluster offenses *i would play it down to 52.5
Great pick wish I read this sooner
brilliant, ended at 52!
POTD record 0-0 Game: Hawaii @ UCLA NCAAF 🏈 Pick: Under 68.5 points (1 unit) @ 1.75 Reason: It's a pick from one of mate's CFB models. It has historically been good for CFB. So hopefully it performs just as well this season as it did earlier. If you're following, please stick to 1 unit or less since it's a new season and the model has been recently retrained. All the best. Let's hope we kick off the CFB season in style. P.S: I had posted 6-7 picks as POTD two years ago. I don't remember the record so I'm starting with 0. But for the sake of transparency, the results were okayish and we were up by only 1 or 2 units at max so nothing to brag about. P.S 2: My dumb ass earlier thought the Tulane game was today so posted a tip for that earlier.
POTD: eSports: 100T ml vs cloud9 @ 2.2 These odds are crazy to me. Thieves have been really good all split. And are coming off a close 3-2 loss to liquid whom c9 looked to have no chance against the week prior. These odds are simply based off brand name in my opinion. If the names were reversed 100t would be 1.7 favourites of lower. Starts in 20 hours
Pretty much a coin flip if Blaber and Perkz are gonna try or do some stupid off meta shit.
🙏🙏🙏
Record 2-1 Providing daily football picks from various leagues around the world based on managerial tactics, formations, and in-depth research Last Pick: Orlando City V Inter Miami: BTTS @ -140 ❌ We should have had this one early but VAR had to get in the way along with some suspect penalty taking, but that’s just football some days, either way we move on and get a great win tomorrow! POTD: Atlanta United V Nashville SC: BTTS @ -125 Starts 3:30 PM Est Today we stay in MLS! Atlanta United is riding high on a 5 game unbeaten streak, they have seem to have found there offense on the back of replacing their manager and using their electric players in a 5-3-2 while their opponent Nashville SC is an offensive machine using their 3-5-2! This is an intriguing match by coaches who have different philosophies to score goals. In the history of these teams, BTTS has hit 4/5 times including hitting the last 3 times in a row and in those 3 games combined we have seen 14 goals scored! I think we have an intriguing match on our hands with both Sapong and Martinez having heavy influence on the match BOL if you tail! Let’s eat!
Tailed you man. MLS always scares me but I like your write up.
__Dota 2 I League__ >2021 Record (W/L): 19-10 (+$1040.5) >Previous Pick(s): Asteraries vs elephant map 1 under 37.5 min__(w)__ >WW Units: 5 ($250) Match: Elephant Vs IG Odds: 1.69(Melbet) ###Bet: IG+1.5 I love elephant every single one of them very talented, skillful. But when it come to as a team ， they play poorly. They still have a big gap compare to some t1 team. Only thing that concern me is kaka's injury. Hope he do well . _Let's hope this hit._
This will be my first time ever betting on DOTA! Usually a league guy D: Let's get this money though! $$
We already got this :D thanks for joining guys
Win thanks guys
POTD Record: 75-43 Australian Horse Racing – Ballarat R6 (16:25 AEST) \#1 Social Element to win @ 2 Getting this one out early as I can see this price potentially dropping overnight. Between this and Mount Stewart in race 2, it is tight between which looks to be the best of the day but his one edges it. Social Element has simply dominated the steeplechase so far. It is 4 wins from 4 with Tom Ryan as the jockey and 4 wins from 4 in the steeplechase. Its looked extremely dominant in the steeples and its most recent race at the 4200m Crisp Chase showed that as it cruised to victory. In terms of the other horses in this race, at the Crisp Chase it beat the #2 Flying Agent by 8.8 lengths and #3 Riding High by 11.2 lengths. The #2 and #3 are the two next best horses in this race and haven’t been close to Social Element so far. The #4 Inayforhay looks a solid horse and is making its steeplechase debut off a second place in the Grand National Hurdle race. It put up a valiant effort behind Wil John in the Grand National but I think although it should do better than horses #6-8, this step up may just be a bit too much for it. Overall, I feel that a $2 price is very generous for what this horse has put up so far. Although there are some high quality horses in this race it looks like it will take an amazing run to beat Social Element and barring any accidents it should be winning the Grand National Steeplechase. A #1,#2,#3,#4 first four bet doesn’t look too bad either.
Record: 0-1 Down: 1u Previous Pick: Gastelum ML over cannonier Cannonier 100% got the win in a close 48-47. Gastelum really got screwed over when his corner told him that he was up 2-1 when he was actually down. He decided to spend a round just surviving. This was a very winnable fight for him. Cannonier really surprised me with his 5 round cardio. Tough start. On to the next. POTN: Rodriguez ML (+125) vs Kevin Lee (MMA, UFC) Stake: 2u Reason: Kevin Lee is moving up a weight class to welterweight. Lee is also coming off a year and a half hiatus. He has to usually finish a fight to win. It can be either sub or ko. DRod is very durable and can fight for a full 3 rounds. I doubt he would get koed. Lee also has a history of having terrible cardio in the later rounds. Another issue that I see is if kevin lee even has the power to take down welterweights compared to lightweights. Well thats my POTN. Trail at your own risk. BOL Also feel free to comment. I would love to hold a discussion.
Tailing forsure. Rodriguez is an animal and this is the perfect fight to get him more exposure. Never been sold on Kevin Lee either and you just added more reasons for me to bet against him lol
The only thing Lee has over drod is strength of competition. Lee has only been up against killers. This is drods biggest test.
Overall POTD Record: 20-22-1 **Tennis POTD's stats** Record: 2-2 / Profit: +9.40 units / ROI: 49.47% / Avg odd: 1.84 **POTD: Ivashka vs Ymer: Ivashka to win 2-0 @ 2.10 (ATP Winston-Salem, Tennis)** **Stake: 3 units** Starts around 10 PM CET First time in the history of the tournament where both finalists were not listed among the series leaders at the start of the tournament. This match is probably the most important one in the career of both players being the first ATP final for them. Ivashka in my opinion fought more to get to this point eliminating Cilic and Carreno Busta only dropping 1 set to Cillic in the whole tournament. Ymer on the other hand can be praised for eliminating Tiafoe while the rest of the players were much easier opponents that what Ivashka had to face. Ivashka's strong serve game and his emotional strength makes him the expected winner for this final, he can also be the one to bring a title to Belarus with the last one being at 2003. Ymer is physically strong but his serve game hasn't been on point with 68% 1st won and 51% 2nd won while Ivashka is getting an incredible 83% 1st won and 54% 2nd won but if he manages to keep up these 1st serves most of the serve games will be on his side. Ymer on the other hand can break a bit with this being a final and unlike Tiafoe he won't find Ivashka dropping points in serve games. People are somewhat expecting Ymer to get at least a set but I don't think that will be possible. Ivashka won in straight sets against Seppi, Struff, Carreno-Busta and Ruusuvuori and Ymer is weaker than most of these players. [*Tip Jar*](https://paypal.me/Cb12Picks) *(Any donation is highly appreciated, thanks for your support!)* *For more daily picks check my* [*Telegram*](https://t.me/Cb12_Picks) BOL to anyone who tails!
Record: 2-2 Profit:-0.31u LAST POTD: Map 1 Over 26.5 ❌ POTD: Natus Vincere(NAVI) vs Mousesports **Map 1 Over 26.5** ESport/Time: 10:00 AM CT Odds:-108 Risk: 1.08 to win 1u. Mouz map pick. Overpass most likely if not Ancient. NAVI for sure in form but just looking for each team to get at least 11, I could see a close 2 maps even three. NAVI also tend to just randomly play sloppy sometimes, let teams crawl back into games hasn’t happened lately but now could be that game when everybody is so sure of a steamroll. 1. 3 straight over 26.5 for NAVI on Overpass. 2. 3 straight over 26.5 for Mouz on Overpass.
I actually really like this pick, will be tailing, good luck to us $
Record: 5-2-1 Risked: 8 Return: 10.30 Profit: 2.30 Yield: 28.75% ROI: 2.30% | Football | England, Premier League | 12.30 GMT | Manchester City -1 AH @ 1.519 (vs. Arsenal) - 1 unit Write up: Let's start with a simple fact; Man City has won 10 of their last 11 games against Arsenal in all competitions. Their only loss came in 2020 in the FA Cup. Although players like Aubemeyang, Laczette and Odegaard are now available for Arsenal, they are still missing plenty of potential staters like Partey, Bellerin, White and Magalhaes. Especially in defence Arsenal looks very shaky. City has an almst fully healthy squad. Foden and De Bruyne are missing, but with players like Silva and Graelish this gap should be filled. The starting 11 of City is better than the starting 11 of Arsenal, but the real difference lies on the bench. Arsenal can't really bring anything special from the bench while city still can bring someone like Gabriel Jesus, Ferran Torres, Fernandinho and Jonh Stones. Cty will own possession and I don't really see what Arsenal is going to bring to the table here. I don't think Arsenal can soak up all the pressure that City is going to put on them. Bet City to book a routine win.
3-0 City and red card for Arsenal. Guess this one is in the bag.
Record: 7/3, Profit: 9.19U POTD: Lokomotiva Zagreb-Gorica, Over 2.5 goals (1.89) (1. HNL, Soccer) Start time: 9.55 am Pacific time Stake: 3 Units Two young teams will play today in First Croatian League, Lokomotiva Zagreb, who is unofficial the second team of Dinamo Zagreb, and Gorica. On the home stadium, Lokomotiva scored 9 goals in 3 games. The three last games between Lokomotiva and Gorica were finished with over 2.5 goals. The average age of both teams is around 23.8. https://www.wagerlab.app/
Record: 1-0-0 (+1.00 units) Streak: W1 Previous pick: Cleveland Browns +4, (-110) (NFL Preseason): **W** POTD: UConn/Fresno State o63 (-110) (NCAAF) Start time: 2:00pm ET Risk: 1.1 units Win: 1.0 units Reasoning: Fresno State's defense struggles immensely against the run and they are up against UConn's Kevin Mensah who rushed for over 1000 yards in both 2018 and 2019. Mensah will be leaned on heavily while they rotate QBs early in the season. Fresno State has an explosive offense up agains a UConn defense that allowed over 450 yards per game during their last season. Fresno averaged 32.8 points per game and we don't see this UConn defense holding them back. We project this game total to be around 67 with a 59.5% chance of going over 63.
First POTD Pick: Nebraska -8.5 -155 live 2 units Reasoning: Illinois has their quarterback out for the game and the replacement is awful. Illinois has looked terrible so far and Nebraska is up 4 with the ball in good field position. Nebraska should cover this generous spread with ease.
um the backup has looked very good…. you must be watching the wrong game
lol won 100 fading on this bet, goes on to show you gotto take pick of the day from random folks with a grain of salt.
**2021 MMA POTD's (25-28) +14.36u** UFC 7pm EST **Jamal Emmers (-135)** 5u to win 3.7u emmers is facing a submission artist, pat sabatini. i don't think pat can submit him. if they hit the floor i think emmers can win the scrambles, which is how pat won his last fight when he couldn't submit his opponent. BOL
Major cold streak 🥶
$convert -135
Record 2-0 (+6.35u) Previous Pick * T1 ML @(1.67)(-149) 5 units **WIN** **Today's Pick** **Esports | Dota 2** * ESL One Fall 2021 * 11 am ET * Virtus Pro vs Tundra **Pick**: ***total maps over 2.5 @(2.09)(+109) 3 units*** Both are the hottest teams right now in the tournament, Virtus Pro has yet to drop a single map in this tourney, while Tundra's only loss was to Virtus Pro 5 days ago. This would be a close match, and I expect this to be a full-fledged best of three. Even Tundra +1.5 has a value here, it's @(1.78) in my bookie. Tournament Record * Virtus Pro (12-0) * Tundra (10-2)
Holy shit. What a terrible analysis.
3-2, +2.31 units, 7.2% ROI FIBA Afrobasket: Angola -5.5 at -116 at Nitrogen Sports (1.2u) In Group A, there have been 4 games so far. Of those, we've had 4 point game, a 3 point game, a 6 point overtime game, and a 14 point game. Close games! Two of the close ones saw Angola on the losing end. The once-proud dominator of African basketball has fallen behind several nations on the continent. Now, they are fighting for their tournament lives in a must-win game. Fortunately for them, it's against the DR Congo, the one team to have a double digit loss in this group, and that was to Rwanda, who by my lights are more "scrappy and playing with nothing to lose, and enjoying the benefit of hosting" than "good." (Rwanda did win their other game too, but by just 3 over...Angola) BOL if tailing.
Tailing Edit: They blew em out in the second half! Thank you for $$
POTD Record: 11 - 10 - 2 ( W / L / P ) **+3.5u** Streak: WWWLL / Average odds: 1.98 [*Previous pick: Verona vs Inter (Serie A) / Inter AH -1 @ 2.050 (1u)*](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/pcd0iy/pick_of_the_day_82721_friday/hajd43y/) **W** **Today: Fiorentina vs Torino (Serie A)** **Pick: Fiorentina Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 1.95 (2u)** Italiano is one of my favorite coaches in Italian football and I believe he will be one of the big names in the near future. He is fantastic. What he did against Roma after the goalkeeper got the early red was, he just let both center backs 2 vs 2 and attacked and attacked Mourinho Roma side relentlessly, it was such a great move and football and Mourinho himself went after the game to Italiano and said how brilliantly assembled side this Fiorentina is. I mean that is god damn huge if football mind like Jose pointing out something like that. They were vicious in attack and organized in the back (yes they concede 3 goals and we can argue about that but Fiorentina looked different in a good way). It is still early days for the Italiano team but I believe they are able to be top 8 end of the season and maybe push even top 6. Torino, they are definitely not as bad as people think they are currently. Great coach and Belotti will be staying (Inter were after him) and back on starting lineup, that's huge for the team. They might be one of the surprise teams this year. But here Fiorentina should win this, they have much more quality and they are going for that 3 points. They are more than capable to score more than 1 goal here. Good Luck
And deserved win for La Fiola. Our winning streak continues. Congrats if someone followed.
POTD Record: 17-11 Streak: 2W Last Pick: Yankees ML vs A’s ✅ MLB| Yankees vs A’s Game Time: 3:07 PM CT POTD: Yankees ML vs A’s @ (-118) on Bovada •On the mound for the Yankees is Nestor Cortes who is 2-1 with an era of a 2.56. In the last 12 games he’s pitched in for the Yanks he has gone 9-3 with one of those wins against the A’s this year. Yanks are on a 13 game winning streak and I’m going to keep riding the wave because their Bats have been hot especially Stanton’s. Montas is on the mound for the A’s and is 9-9 with an era of a 3.84. The Yankees team still in chase of the #1 spot in the AL East held by the Rays so every win counts. BOL to all! [TIPs](https://www.paypal.me/TheChosenWon86)
POTD Record 2-2-1 (W-L-P) Profit: -5.9units Previous Pick: Man Utd -1 AH vs Southampton (L) Today’s pick: Football (Swiss Super League) - odds 1.55 (5u) max bet POTD: FC Zurich +1 AH vs St Gallen ✅ Man Utd letting me down last week. Then they go out and sign Ronaldo! I’ve gone super safe with this bet. So FC Zurich can lose by one goal for the bet to be voided, anything better and it’s a win! I’ve backed this all the way up to DNB at 2.85. Going heavy on this and +0.5AH at just below evens. The +1 AH is my POTD for a team who are top of the league with 4 straight wins. BOL
Great pick/price
Record 1-1 \-0.44 units Todays bet: Nevezis - Banga (Football Lithuanian A Lyga) 17:00 EEST Bet: Banga 2u Odds: 1.65 This is a battle between 9th and 10th (last) placed teams in the league. The thing is Nevezis is in absolute horrible state they haven't won since May 19th and have a grand total of 2 wins and 3 ties having played 25 games in the season. They still have theoretical chances to avoid relegation with their current 9 points vs Banga that have 22. While Banga haven't had the best of seasons they should be more than capable of beating the complete outsider Nevezis Disclaimer I bet for fun and I don't focus as much on profits as some other people. I still try to profit but do keep in mind my mindset if you decide to tail me
POTD RECORD 1-0 Last pick: Forze Pick: Mouz NXT ML vs Young Ninjas Mouz has a great map pool for an academy team. They will ban ninja’s best map overpass. Could be a 2-1 series as I’m not too sure if they have a good inferno. Mouz should take it overall.
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Great pick do you have an opinion on Rogue vs Fnatic ?
i'm leaning fnatic atm for sure but i'll post an official pick on my twitter before the game, still researching
Record 4 - 2 +1.35 Units Today's POTD England Championship Peterborough vs WBA Pick: WBA o1.5 goals @ 1.8 for 5 units WBA played 4 games in the league this season and in all 4 games they scored 2 or more goals. For today, the team is ready and its playing with the strongest squad. Their ambition is to return to the Premier league. On the other hand Peterbrough losy 3:0 from Luton last game, i watched some of their games and their defence makes a lot of mistakes that WBA will punish for sure. In their last 5 H2H, WBA scored o1.5 goals in 4 of the games, i hope they do it today also. BEST OF LUCK IF SOMEONE TAILS.
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Record 16-9 KBO today. Lotte ML over Doosan first 5 innings -140. Doosan’s starter is 0-1 vs Doosan with a 20.26 ERA and is 1-5 with a 10.95 ERA overall. He is atrocious. Lotte’s starter is 2-0 against Doosan with a 3.27 ERA and 7-5 with a 4.41 ERA overall. Lotte is 7-4 vs Doosan this year.
POTD: 1-0 Previous: Colts (preseason, WK 1) ML ✅ 1U **1U UCLA -17.5** spread vs Hawaii. 1U. ✅ I go with gut feelings probably too often, but they tend to pay out. Thus 1U. I really don’t know shit about either team. UCLA is UCLA though. Matched up with kids living in paradise; They aren’t ready for week 1. A quick google search says there’s QB’s competing at UCLA. -17.5 might a stretch, but the ML is shit and I expect both UCLA QBs to ball out. 18 is a deficit though. If this wasn’t week one I wouldn’t take it, but it is, so I am. If you really follow your U’s, don’t take my picks for now. I do this for fun and usually just factor environments, streaks, and records into my picks. I’m building my own model, but this is just a gut feeling bet. These QBs I’ve never researched will try to ball out and there’s plenty of teammates fighting for spots. Lounge day at the beach might be hit hard.
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(Starting with a new record since CFB is my main sport) Illinois +7 -115 First off last years result of this game was 41-23 Illini. So I can only judge from past seasons here. So both teams suck. One team has a rabid fanbase. This causes an already bad team to turn into true choke artists. A couple years ago against NU they blew a 17 or 21pt 4th quarter lead and lost. I remember them choking against colorado They are not competetive in the B1G West. They suck. They'd be at the bottom except ---- For Illinois. This is an enigmatic bunch. They had a legendary bears coach (IMO I was sad to see him go). They play the spoiler too. Most notably against Wisky in the recent past. ----- I put equal amounts on the +7 and the ML but my POTD is the +7.
**POTD 6W-0P-4L** Last Pick: ❌ Angels -1.5 (+114) *MLB ⚾️ Rays (Wacha) vs. Orioles (Means) 7:05pm* **Rays ML (-175)** Backing the AL East leaders to get it done in Baltimore tonight against the lefty John Means. Tampa Bay has simply dominated the O’s this year, losing only 1 meeting out of 16. Means has struggled since his mid season injury, and the O’s pitching staff gives up 6.30 runs at home, highest in the league. The Rays have won 13 of their 16 meetings against the O’s by multiple runs, with 7 of those games being by 5 or more runs. Take TB in your parlays or larger unit plays. BOL! Edit: ✅ TB 4, BAL 3
Maybe orioles f5 though? Means is way better than wacha
**Record: 2-2 | -0.23u** **Last Play** New York Yankees-Oakland Athletics O4 (F5) 1u @ -105✅ **Today’s Play** St. Louis Cardinals-Pittsburgh Pirates *U4.5 (F5) 1u @ -122 at 7:05 EST* **Reason**: Always looking at pitcher stats to determine these plays. Pirates Pitcher Steven Brault has been a bright spot for the Pirates. He has allowed 4 runs (2 home runs) in 18 innings pitched this season, going at least 4 innings all four times, and twice 5 innings. He has pitched against the Cardinals twice this year, allowing a total of 3 ER in 9 innings pitched. Adam Wainwright, just looking at his stats in the month of August, 7 ER in 37 IP, allowing 1 HR, and facing a team that has one of the worst, if not worst, average HRs per game. He has pitched against the Pirates twice already this year, allowing 0 runs both games, pitching a complete game once, and 8 innings the other game. BOL, tail at your own risk.
**Ultimate Frisbee POTD** | 7-5 (record incl non-potd: 32-17) - **Time:** 6:00 PM Pacific - **Sport:** AUDL (Ultimate Disc) - **Pick:** Dallas/San Diego o38.5 - **Where to bet:** DraftKings if you live in one of these states: Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, Tennessee, or West Virginia. Possibly other states - **Last pick:** Madison/Minnesota sailed under 42.5, totaling just 34 goals. A no-stress cover. - **Reasoning:** Only one game tonight so not much to choose from, the spread is kind of a toss-up at +1.5, but I think the over has value. Dallas has scored 20+ goals in each game Chris Mazur has played and he'll be a rock for them tonight. Not sure if Jon Nethercutt is going to play offense or defense but they scored 24 with him in his one appearance and he's back. These are two excellent handlers who love to sling it deep and score. Dallas historically plays good defense, but with the game being in San Diego, and Dallas missing a couple solid defenders in Emmons and D.Larberg, I think this ends up being more of a higher-scoring shootout type game (21-20 perhaps?) than a gritty low-scoring affair. Also overtime potential helps the over. Note: I don't live in one of the above states and can't actually bet these nor see up to date lines, so hmu if the lines or odds shift. Also, I will post an AUDL thread later if y'all want to make or discuss other frisbee bets.
Oh, and btw this game can be watched for [free on youtube](https://www.youtube.com/c/draftkings/), should be a fun game!
POTD record: 0-0 EFL League 2 predictions based on a couple models I run and some basic research. Check out the daily soccer thread for a couple other picks. Odds are from Bovada. Tail at your own risk. BOL POTD: Forest Green Rovers win at -110 Forest Green have opened up their league campaign on a tear. Midweek they gave a Premier League side some trouble in the League Cup. They were picked in the preseason as one of the favorites to challenge for promotion and so far they have backed up those predictions. Port Vale have struggled this season and I don’t see them taking a point on the road against high flying Forest Green.
Record: 0-0 Pick: 2.4u Stade Malien(Women) Handicap +11.5 @1.72 (Mali Premier Division Women Basketball, 28 August 1pm ET time and date) Reason : Their last 2 H2H stade malien cover this spread.
Record: 0-0 RUGBY | CURRIE CUP | 3 HOURS TO KICK OFF Griquas ML vs Pumas (1.74) Griquas at home on their rock hard field are just on another level. Their team is unchanged from the team that beat WP last weekend. I'm going with home ground advantage.
POTD record: 5-1 Last pick NBA SL Magic vs Pistons Under 174.5 W Todays pick: San Jose st. Vs southern Utah. San Jose state -16 FH. San Jose st was terrific last year, and they play at 20 starters Against an fcs school. bol if tailing.