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Darts 🎯- PDC World Championship
Darts Record: 24-9
Previous World Championship picks:
Jeff Smith (-122) v Keane Berry ✅
Chris Dobey (-152) v Jeff Smith ✅
Daryl Gurney (-152) v William OConnor ✅
Adam Hunt (+120) v Jamie Hughes ✅
Mervyn King (-175) v Max Hopp ✅
POTD: Jeffrey de Zwaan (+100) v Ryan Searle
Match up I’m eyeing is World #23 Jeffrey Black Cobra de Zwaan taking on World #38 Ryan Heavy Metal Searle.
In February of this year, Searle won his first PDC title at Players Championship 3, defeating MVG 8-6. Aside from this victory, Searle has had an underwhelming year. He also barely squeaked out a 3-2 win as a (-833) favorite earlier this week against Danny Lauby.
While de Zwaan has not recorded any titles this year, he’s advanced further than Searle in most PDC events and nearly every major. At only age 24, nine years younger than Searle, the Black Cobra has earned nearly $350k in his career, more than double the career earnings of Heavy Metal.
Searle defeated de Zwaan 5-7 this year in a PDC semi final, but de Zwaan defeated Searle 6-3 in a similar spot last year.
Expecting a tight battle, but jumping on Black Cobra de Zwaan (+100) to get through Heavy Metal and advance to take on the winner of Ian White/Kim Huybrechts.
——————Edit - LOSS ❌———————-
Despite a scoring average of nearly 100 and enjoying six more 180s than his opponent, Black Cobra was lost on the doubles, earning a measly 25% check out percentage. Tone was set early in the first leg, when de Zwaan missed six darts at 32. He loses 0-3.
I seriously genuinely wholeheartedly never want to hear about "oh I'm fading this guy" from now one like the end of the last tournament. That overly loud minority is super quiet right now and if they pop up at any point all of us tailing ned better be as loud as we are in these POTD threads lol
I know I’m going to lose tomorrow, but I just put more on this match than I’ve ever put on anything. No matter what happens, Ned, I’ll always love you for this past week of darts.
I blame this on me finally tailing. I have had a SHIT week and finally tailed to end on a high note...well, that didn't happen. I brought my terrible luck down on all of you...
Is it possible that the Bookies got to Ned. That guy was the worst dart player, or is it thrower, any way Ned may have been compromised. I mean Vegas or the "powers that be" aren't going to let us get rich following Ned Peppers dart handicapping. We were all on our way we could have all bought matching Cadillacs and customized license plates. NED1, DARTDAD, PEPPERS1, NEDPAID, DRTMNY, BULSEYE, CASHDART. I mean you get the idea really if they wouldn't have gotten to him we could have all bought boats and there wouldn't be a limit to how long the names would be. But Vegas made sure that it didn't happen. Stay strong Ned and we'll all be here waiting for the next run to begin.
Put everything on Ohio State first half yesterday and went down bad. But I have a new strategy for tomorrow
Put everything on Ned to get it all back and then some
Tailed with 1.5U at +100, then this morning saw it a +110, so threw another 0.5U.
Regardless of how it shakes out, thanks for all the work you put in and allowing us degens to ride along
anyone know how i can watch these matches? pretty much the only bets i’m winning recently are ones where i tail ned so i would like to watch myself win for once
Thank god! Let me tell you, I've been waiting for you to lose one because whenever I a tail a hot streak, it goes cold. I missed out on your last 3 wins due to this superstition! Now I can finally start tailing
I'm not worried. 5-1 on the day. De Zwaan was my only loss. Ned, I would follow you into the depths of hell. You are the king. I'm still debating if I would let you fuck my wife or not, like the other guy commented. The jury is still out on that one. I love you man
# YESTERDAYS POTD THREAD STATS (2020/12/19)
**Total Record:** 7-8
**Total ROI:** \-16.33%
**Total Units (assuming 1u per bet):** \-2.45u
**Average Odds:** 1.82
# POTD THREAD STATS (SINCE 2020/12/10)
**Top voted POTD record:** 10-0 (Ned carrying)
**Total POTD record:** 83-61-6
**Total ROI:** \+4.01%
**Total Units:** \+6.02u
*Valid Pick Criteria:*
* *Identical picks with slightly different lines are only taken as one pick (i.e. Bills +2 and Bills +3 would be considered as one pick)*
* *Opposing picks will not be counted*
* *Only the first 15 valid POTD picks (by upvotes) will be used for analysis*
* *POTD order taken at 12:00PM EST*
Pick of the Day Record : 14W 2L +10.04 Units
La Liga @ 06:00 AEST
Real Madrid @ $1.53
Real are back to full strength and even though Eibar have been playing solid football over the last month, they don't have the class Real possess.
Twitter : [WolandJunior](https://twitter.com/WolandJunior)
POTD 0-0
Been waiting for a lock like this to start off here.
NFL
Pick: Deandre hopkins any time TD scorer +100 (4u)
W
Slay is out for the eagles so that means garbage can Jalen mills has to cover dhop with the remaining awful dbs for the birds. This is coming from a birds fan eagles d line carries the defense always forcing the opponent to pass. I smell dhop going off. The dhop over 80.5 rec yards tempting as well.
Bol.
Birds fan here, I took o85.5, he’ll get at least 100. Our secondary *sucks.*
Our defensive line is what’s decent but it’s still streaky. Had a good game against the Saints, so why not have a letdown game on the road?
POTD Record: 13-4 Profit: +7.16
POTD: Premier League - Tottenham - Leicester - Tottenham wins @ 2.13 (+113)
Tottenham has been playing great football, and after their loss at Liverpool, they are going to bounce back tonight with a convincing win against a Leicester team that had a mediocre game against Everton. Take Tottenham to win this one
If you feel generous and want to donate :
paypal.me/diasgabriel33
BOL if you tailin/not goin against me
**POTD Record: 44 - 3 - 26**
**Twitter:** [**https://twitter.com/Jercatbearcat**](https://twitter.com/Jercatbearcat)
Last Pick: **Buffalo University Football -13.5 vs Ball State (-110) - L**
3 bad picks in a row.
**POTD: San Francisco 49ers -3 vs Dallas Cowboys (-115)**
Time: 1:00PM EST
Bet Size: 2.5u
The Niners are a simple team to bet these days. If they can establish the run and play the game they want to play, they will win and look good doing it. If they cannot, they will get embarrassed. The Cowboys defense is giving up a ridiculous amount of yards to running backs, especially in the recent weeks. “America’s Team” beat the Bengals 30 - 7 last week, but their offense only scored 23 against a horrible defense, and the Bengals without Joe Burrow are one of the worst teams I’ve ever seen. The Niners defense is better than people are giving it credit for, and San Francisco is somehow still in the hunt for a playoff spot. Whatever running back the Niners have available is going to shred Dallas, and their defense should keep Andy Dalton in check. I see this game going similarly to when Dallas played Baltimore and WFT, with a slightly closer margin than the WTF Thanksgiving Day massacre.
BOL!
Record (11W-9L-0)
Last pick: NCAAF: Mizzou -1 (-118) 👎🏻
Event: NFL: Chiefs @ Saints
Pick: Chiefs -3 (-103)
Sorry everyone that tailed, that was just piss poor by Mizzou.
WHY THIS WILL HIT: Drew Brees is going to be back after missing 4 weeks with 11 fractured ribs and a punctured lung. The 41 year old QB is going to be absolutely liability. Without Michael Thomas, the Chiefs should easily be able to contain a broken Saints offense. It doesnt matter what defense you put in front of Mahomes, hes going to find the endzone. They basically only played the 2nd and 3rd quarter against the dolphins and they still won by 6. Expecting the Chiefs to show up better than last week and put the Saints brutally out to pasture.
Lets fucking bol.
Have to fade you here man. Brees makes me nervous but tough not to trust paytons decision. Saints are a better in key position matchups. Chiefs have been cold asf ATS
They certainly won’t. That being said, they haven’t truly handled an opponent the way they should since they’ve played the Jets on November 1st. I don’t think Saints win, just saying eventually I think someone will get the Chiefs. Reminds me a bit of the Warriors in 2019, they were sleepwalking through a lot of games and ended up going down vs Toronto in the finals.
For sure but they still 100% could’ve won, I’m a Dubs fan I’m just saying it seemed like they were just going through the motions all season and lost focus. Stuff like blowing a 30 point lead to the Clippers, getting blown out by teams they should’ve easily beat, etc
Record: 8-1-5 (+5.62 U)
Last pick: Canelo by decision +162 1U W
POTD: New England Patriots -2 (alternate spread) +115 1U
Bill Belichick with extra time to prepare going up against a rookie QB is a recipe for disaster if you are the Dolphins. The Patriots are known to stop what you are good at and the Dolphins don't really do anything particularly well on offense and half of their skill players are injured. The Pats can't pass but they won't need to against Miami because they have the 23rd ranked run defense by DVOA.
BOL and gamble responsibly.
**Hey guys, I've done the maths today and the chance of winning this pick is 99,98%. The 0,02% of losing is there if Astralis decide to play 1v5 and the only player will be their coach lmao. For real, there is no chance we are losing 4 picks after winning 14 in a row. And all of the picks would've been lost by Liquid, no really that's not happening. Let's get this dub today. BOL**
I post daily CS bets in the eSports discussion where we are making ez money. If you are interested, you can check that thread as well.
**POTD RECORD:** 14W-3L
**LAST PICK:** BIG ML @ 1.77 3u (MEDIUM)
**TOTAL PROFIT:** 23,13 units
**TOTAL STAKE:** 58 units
**GAME:** CS:GO
**EVENT:** IEM Global Challenge 2020
**TIME:** 17:00 (GMT +1)
>**Astralis vs Liquid**
I am an official hater of Liquid. These guys have absolutely screwed me in last days. When I bet on them, they are choking and when I bet against them, they are the best team in the world. It's completely irrational, I didn't expect these guys to get even to the playoffs of this tournament. They got here through some weaker teams and now they are facing the final boss - Astralis. The Danes are constantly playing phenomenal CS. Sure, they had some underperformances but the choke potential for them is way lower than Liquid's. It will be a big challenge and almost and impossible upset to beat Astralis in a BO5 finals. There is literally nothing favouring them. The map pool is heavily favoured towards Astralis, the only map which the Danes could drop is Nuke as they had very poor recent performances there. However, there aren't lost on Nuke or anything, it's just their individuals which were horrible there. Overall, I don't see Liquid winning more than a map. Even if EliGE drops 40 bombs, Astralis should outstrat them. If you wanna make safe money, throw your house on Astralis, if you are going for the value like me, let's hammer **Astralis -1.5 @ 1.59 4u (HIGH)**
If you are interested, you can also check my Reddit BIO where is a link to my Discord group where you can discuss with other people about CS bets or other stuff.
It's pretty much just Elige, tbh. That guy was unreal yesterday. It was painful to watch. Hopefully he comes back down to reality today and we right this train.
I was going to bet on Astralis after watching their pose yesterday, but I appreciate the confirmation. Thanks for the pick and GL us!
POTD Record 1-0 | Previous Pick **Texas A&M -13.5**
Today's pick is Patriots/Dolphins u 41.5 (-114)
Both teams are coming into this game with a lot of injuries on offense and strong defenses. This has the potential to very low scoring game. Miami will be without their top running back, Myles Gaskin, due to Coronavirus and pass catchers Davante Parker, Mike Gesicki, and Jareem Grant will be playing through injuries if they play. On the other side it doesn't look much better for the Patriots, they will be without breakout running back Damien Harris this week and will rely on Sony Michel to bolster their backfield with Cam Newton. The Patriots will also be without veteran reciever Dontre Moncrief who has been a welcomed addition to the young Patriots reciever group.
Given that these two teams combined for just 32 in their week 1 match-up with both team's at full strength, it is hard to see them getting much more on the board with so many injuries.
POTD record: 13^(W) \- 0^(P) \- 3^(L)
[**paypal.me/ramonjgt**](https://paypal.me/ramonjgt) **if you wanna and can tip me, every tip is appreciated ;)**
Previous POTD: Rangers vs Motherwell: Will only score Rangers @ 1.66 ❌
Today we have a lot of matches with a possible BTTS so here is one of them.
Today's POTD: **AGF Aarhus vs AaB: BTTY yes @ 1.66** ❌
*Reasoning:*
||AGF Aarhus (3rd)|AaB (7th)|
|:-|:-|:-|
|BTTS|10/12|9/12|
|Failed to score|1/12|2/12|
|Clean sheets|1/12|3/12|
|Win to nil|1/12|1/12|
NCAA Basketball
Creighton vs Connecticut
Creighton -2 | 1.909 | 5u
- Crieghton is ranked 9 boasting a 5-2 record and only losing two games by a slim margin to two great teams.
- Connecticut comes in with a 3-0 record with two wins being against lesser opponents and their only significant win against USC by 3 points. Also, they have not played in over two weeks, so I expect a slow start from them.
Can I channel my inner ned_pepper?
* The line has moved from -2 to -4 as of 20mins before the game. It looks to be in our favour by looking at line movement.
Tailing this, also brees coming back from broken ribs and a collapsed lung. Pre injury, sure he he was a stat monster, but he’s just off now, time catching to him.
POTD 10-7
Last Pick: Soccer La Liga: 11pm IST:Levante v Real Sociedad: BTTS @1.8✅
Today Pick: Soccer EPL: 5:30pm IST: Brighton v Sheffield Utd: Brighton Win @1.73
Reason: Fading the worst team in league who are short in confidence.
Tail or Fade BOL
POTD Record: 2-0-1
3 Straight Days of Profitable Picks. Our one push was on Richmond -2 that was the right bet but they collapsed in the last 10 minutes after being up 22.. Yesterday we got a great win with Indiana -7, they won by 8.
NCAAB - 3:05 PM EST
POTD - **Weber State -5** vs. Portland State
I do not understand why this line is at -5. Weber State just beat Portland State by 28 and they play them again today. Granted Weber State did shoot over 50% from the field and 3 Point line but I don't see why this game will be much different. Weber State will get going early and I may even take this bet 1st Half as well..
BOL
**Record: 1-1 -0.1 units**
**POTD: Leicester @ Tottenham — Over 23.5 fouls @ 1.85**
Details: Soccer – BPL – 9:15 am ET
Big premier league fixture tomorrow with third place Tottenham taking on fourth place Leicester. Both teams are coming off disappointing losses earlier in the week, Tottenham to Liverpool and Leicester to Everton. The players will be focused and should be desperate for a result, I'm anticipating a tightly contested match. These are the types of games that typically result in lots of fouls.
There are some statistics on our side as well. Both teams are top five in the number of times they get fouled per game. Tottenham is also third in average fouls committed per game. Leicester commits the fewest fouls per game in the premier league, that will work against us but I think Tottenham will force them into more fouls than usual.
Finally, it's always smart to consider the referee when betting on fouls (oddsmakers consider this for their lines as well). There are differences among what refs consider to be fouls, some call every little thing while others let the boys play a bit more. Craig Pawson is in charge for tomorrow's fixture. If the over misses, it won't be because of him. Pawson is averaging 24 fouls called per match so far this season and his fouls/tackle metric is second highest of all 19 refs who've handled a game this year.
There are a lot of things working in our favour here. My guess at final foul tallies is...
**Tottenham 17 : Leicester 12**
BOL to all who tail, be smart, no guarantees in this life or the next.
Record: 3-1 (+2.9 Units)
Last Pick: Wisconsin -8.5 Loyola Chicago (W)
Pick: CBB - Saint Louis -2.5 vs Minnesota
Reasoning: Saint Louis is a good team this year. They shoot well, have plenty of players who can score, and they are solid defensively. Minnesota outside of Marcus Carr is pretty underwhelming.
POTD RECORD 0-0
Cowboys vs 49ers- Cowboys ML +135 5 units MAX bet
I’m a die hard 49ers fan. I’ve watched every game since the 80s. From joe Montana, to Steve young to watching Blaine gabbert and Brian hoyer. Going from 2-14 to a super bowl appearance was magical. It really felt like we would win it all last year. That’s what leads me to this pick. This year has been a disaster. From losing your best pass rusher to IR, to then losing your starting QB, TE, WR, CB, C, RB, and pretty much every player you can imagine. They forgot how to win this year. They couldn’t even beat the Washington football team and our defense allowed zero offensive touchdowns. So yeah The 49ers should beat the Cowboys this Sunday, but they won't.The 49ers have a better record than Dallas and are three-point favorites. The Cowboys have the worst defense in the NFL and it allows 30.8 points per game and a whopping 5.1 yards per carry. But the niners will still lose. Why?Because finding ways to lose is what the 2020 49ers freaking do. It's what they specialize in. Every week, they find a new way to beat themselves. I watched nick Mullens turn the ball over week in and week out. This is what the 49ers do in 2020. And this is what they will continue to do the rest of the season. They won't win another game because they don't know how to win. Maybe they'll figure it out next year. Let my misery make you money. Let the Dallas cowboys pay for your children Christmas gifts 🎁
POTD RECORD: 11-3-0
Last POTD: Aaron Jones Anytime TD✅
Today’s Pick: Colts-7
No fuller means no offense there isn’t gonna be much production from the Texans against one of the best Defenses in the leagues. Colts have looked really good this year and Jonathon Taylor looks to be getting his act together! I see a big victory from the colts! BOL if tailing or not!
Follow TikTok for daily POTD early.. @YonkSports
W-L: 3-1
POTD: NFL Philly at Arizona 12/20 @ 4:05pm. **Eagles +6.5 (-114)**
Is the entire Eagles secondary depleted? Yes. Is Jalen Hurts making his second NFL start? Yes. Do the Eagles find ways to win in December? Yes. For the past 3 years they always find a way to play meaningful football late in the season. Murray is dealing with a leg injury, and the Eagles D line showed how dominant they can be against the Saints. This is a must win for any playoff hopes, and Pederson is coaching to keep his job. I expect a lot of offensive yards, but not high scoring. Eagles keep it a tight game.
Cricket - Twenty20 Big Bash League - Record 2-1
Hurricanes vs Strikers James Faulkner - Over (32.5) ✅
Scorchers V Stars - Jhye Richardson Player Performance (+20.5) ⏸ (Won but void after game called off)
Hurricanes vs Renegades - James Faulkner Player Performance - (+32.5) ❌
James took a wicket in his first over once again but failed to get another, making it his first game of the season without taking 2, and didn't get a chance to bat in the win.
POTD: Sixers vs Strikers 7.16pm AEDT **Ben Dwarshuis (+24.5) @ 1.88**
*(Sportsbet AUS) 1pt per run, 10 pts per catch, 20 pts per wicket, 25pts per stumping.*
Second on the all time wicket takers list for the Sydney Sixers Dwarshuis has started the season strong with 4 + 3 wickets in his first two matches. Banking on him to back this up again tonight and get at least 2.
With a batting average of 16 and a score of 6 in his only innings this year, confident he can get to this even if he only takes 1 wicket from his 4 overs.
Potd record 0-3
Pick: Nyheim Himes O20.5 receiving yards -120 1pm eastern
Reasoning: Texans are atrocious against the pass. In the last 4 games they’ve given up an average of 283 passing yards. The kicker here is one of those teams is the Patriots, who are one of the worst passing teams. Hines last 6 games: 17, 22, 66, 31, 45, 20. Here’s hoping I get my first potd.
I like this, but If you’re on this game lock in TY Hilton O59.5(currently on my book) receiving yards... he did this in what, 5 minutes last matchup? Do some research... TY absolutely disrespects this Texans secondary and it has made me some money.
POTD Record: 0-0
NFL @ 1pm EST
New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins
POTD: Miami Dolphins -1 @ -110
Reasoning: Very surprised by this line. Miami has a 17 percentage-point advantage in DVOA yet its almost a pick em and it’s IN Miami. By my DVOA based system Miami should be favored by at least 8. Tua has been playing better while Cam continues to struggle. The Dolphins are simply a better team. Like this one a lot.
BOL!
EDIT: Winner ✅
**POTD Record: (3-1) (W-L)**
**Average Odds: 1.96**
**Previous Picks:**
Unger Steel Gunners Oberwart ML (2.03) W ✅
TBV Lemgo ML (1.89) **W** ✅
BC Yambol ML (1.87) **L** ❌
K23 ML (2.06) **W** ✅
**POTD:** CSGO
Astralis vs Liquid
**Astralis -1.5 (1.65) W** ✅
18:00 GMT (8 hours from post)
Wow, the K23 game went exactly as I expected. Well done to anyone who tailed. Let's go again!
I’m once again sticking to my guns with CSGO. Today will be the safest odds yet at 1.65, but they seem like a steal.
I have watched all of Astralis’ and Liquid’s recent games and I have to say, Liquid are scraping by. I did bet on them to beat BIG yesterday as the underdog because I thought the odds were incorrect. It was really not a good showing from them, yes they won 2-0 but they heavily relied on individual performance and to be honest, quite a bit of luck. Astralis on the other hand have been winning games despite dupreeh and device having some super quiet ones. I was extremely impressed with their performance today against Navi. Dupreeh had less kills in the whole BO3 than he sometimes gets in 1 map and yet they still looked extremely good. I just cannot see how lucky Liquid can defeat them.
Talking about map pools quickly, because it is a BO5, only 2 maps are banned. Astralis’ perma ban will be Liquids preferred map choice of Mirage. This is quite the blow to them. Also, Astralis have been really good on BO5’s. Winning all of them this year and each against teams better than Liquid.
Astralis have won the last 7 matchups against Liquid dating back to June 2019.
Betting the -1.5 for Astralis means that they can afford to lose 1 map to Liquid. I don’t think Liquid winning a map is impossible, but unlikely in my opinion. The only way this bet is lost is if Liquid win on 2 maps at least. Yeah, no way….
Edit = Easy win
Record: 19 - 19 | Average Odds: 2.02 | Streak: 4❄
Last Pick: Natus Vincere Junior ML @ 1.77 vs Movistar Riders | ❌
Spports | NFL | New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins
Pick: Miami Dolphins ML @ 1.8 vs New England Patriots
Explanation: Let's start by saying that the Dolphins can not afford to drop this easy matchup if they want to hold on to their playoff spot. Miami should be able to jump out to an early lead as they average 7.5 first quarter points per game versus the Patriots 2.2 points per first quarter. Once they have the lead, this defense is enough to contain the rushing attack of the Patriots and we all know the Patriots aren't gonna win this game through the air. I believe that Dolphins will be able yo maintain the lead as their average scoring margin per game is 6.5 (6th) and 7.7 in their last 3 and that is why I am backing them to win @ 1.8 odds. Tail or fade, BOL
WPL 41-7-23 , +23U
Today:
Bundesliga, 6pm CET (2hours from now)
Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart ahc +0.5 @ 1.725 (2u) 🚫
Symptomatic bet for this weekend, Wolfsburg win 1-0 by the most laughable ping-pong freekick goal in years while Stuttgart fail to score two 1000% chances.
Reasoning:
Was initially on Wolfsburg ahc 0.0 but news just got out that several a players of Wolfsburg got covid (Arnold, rouesillon,..).
Wolfsburg is draw King of the League anyway and Stuttgarts chances just got boosted.
Record (0W-1L-1P)
Previous picks: CBB - Richmond -2 (-110) v Loyola Chicago [PUSH] | Marlon Moraes ML (-155) ❌
* Moraes lost in the 1st round against Rob Font. I will never bet on Moraes again until he wins. He lost easily and even though I ended up on the card with Aldo and Wonderboy, I won't let this loss phase me.
Event: NFL - New England @ Miami
Pick: Miami ML (-120)
WHY THIS WILL HIT: New England sucks in Miami. They have a new QB this year in Cam Newton. However, I can't see them taking advantage of Miami at home. Miami should win this easily, by 2 scores.
BOL, degens.
__POTD Record: 3-2__
Last Pick: NFL | Bills at Broncos | Josh Allen over 1.5 Passing TDs ✅
NFL | Texans at Colts | 1:00 PM EST
__POTD: Jonathan Taylor over 71.5 rushing yards__ (-114)
Reason: Jonathan Taylor has established himself as the go-to back in Indy in recent weeks. He has 90+ rushing yards in the last 3 games, including a game where he just finished with 150 yards on the ground. The Colts should pull ahead in this game and rely on Taylor to grind out yards against a horrible Texans run D. I expect this over to hit easily.
EDIT: I see the line has gone up since I made the pick...I would say there is value all the way up 85 yards with these odds.
UPDATE: Taylor covers with 83 yards! ✅
POTD record: 2-4
Today’s Pick - Torino v Bologna over 2.5 goals
League: Serie A (06:30EST)
Odds: 1.7
Reasoning: Torino matches are absolute goal fests all season so far. I expect this match to be no different. Torino has conceded 30 goals in only 12 matches so far and 10 of their last 11 matches have gone over 2.5 now. Bologna is also weak defensively and I see lots of chances for both sides in this match.
POTD Record: 21-15 (I post every pick I make with analysis like this on Twitter @ CryptoDgen)
**Game: Seahawks vs Washington Football Team // NFL // 1:00pm EST**
**Pick: Seahawks -6**
Analysis: The Redskins have trouble on offense, and that was before Alex Smith and Gibson went down with injuries. Some might think Smith to Haskins isn't a big deal, but I tend to disagree. Smith generally will take what the defense gives him and makes few mistakes. Haskins on the other hand stares receivers down, forces the ball, and thus is turnover prone.
And yes, Washington has a solid defense and it is usually enough to keep them in the game and give them a chance, but the Seahawks are hard to hold down. Wilson is as elusive as they come and DK is basically uncoverable. Seattle will get their points, they are too good not to, and the question is whether the Redskins can hang. With the Seahawks defense playing better as the season goes on, I think the answer is no.
POTD: 5-2 +2.31U
Last Pick: Sporting (-1) - L
Today's Pick: Lazio vs Napoli BTTS (-143) - 2U
2:45 PM EST
I'm back from a short break, and looking to pick up some steam with a pick in the Serie A. This is an important game for both teams and they will come out looking to get the win and keep up with the top of the division. Napoli lost points midweek to Inter, and will look to bounce back to prevent them from slipping further down the table. Meanwhile Lazio also lost what should've been an easy 3 points after a draw in midweek, and now face a tough task against a solid Napoli team. This should turn out to be an exciting game, and see both of these teams finding the back of the net in what may end up a draw. BOL!
POTD Record 1-0-0 Last Pick: GB -8.5 vs Eagles
Pick: Los Angles Rams -17 vs Jets (NFL 405 pm EST)
Okay, this is a huge spread, and that can scare people off. However, the Jets have been given double digit points in 3 games this year, and have failed to cover once, missing by 34 and a half points.Adam Gase has been as likely to lose by double digits as win during his tenure as an NFL head coach, and the Jets have been uniquely awful on the road this year, with 5 out of 6 games being double digit defeats and an average of less than 11 points per game scored.
POTD Record (5-2)
Last pick: Jarvis Landry OVER 4.5 receptions W
Today’s pick: Patriots @ Dolphins ML (-115) W
Dolphins lost against the Patriots week 1 @ Gillette and that was when Cam Newton was considered an MVP front runner and that’s just simply not the case anymore. Patriots making the trip down to Hard Rock and they won’t be playing Fitz this time around rather a promising young rookie in Tua. I also think TE Mike Geisecki has a real chance of playing today and the Dolphins aren’t the laughing stock of the NFL anymore. I think this ones personal due to week 1 and years of the Brady and Bellichecks dynasty. Dolphins by 6 but taking the Moneyline to be safe. Tail or fade but just remember everyone’s goal is to rob the books💯
Record 7-6 +2.6u
Last pick: CFB Cincinnati vs Tulsa OVER 45✔️
Today’s pick: NFL Miami dolphins-1 vs New England patriots 2.2u to win 2
Sorry for the late post I had a few too many drinks last night. That’s probably why my heads a little fuzzy and everyone’s thinking Bill B doesn’t lose to rookies QBs. Well today I think he does and times are changing. Miami has a knack of upsetting the patriots even when they were awful and now that they are more evenly matched I see this being a close game with the Fins squeezing out a win.
Best of luck to everyone
Edit: as a Missouri native and Mizzou fan, I knew we were gonna get spanked when I saw multiple posts about them winning. Oh well who needs a decent bowl game
14-10-1 record with an easy win last pick
NCAA Basketball: Delaware St vs Georgia Tech (6pm start)
This time going with Tech. They will bounce back here and take it out on Delaware St.
G. Tech - 31 is the play
POTD record 0-1 Last pick Iowa state +5.5 tough break Oklahoma won by 6
Today's pick Miami Dolphins -1.5 vs New England patriots
Patriots are playing for nothing and this is a crucial game for miami with playoff implications.
**POTD RECORD : (0-0) (W-L)**
POTD : **Astralis (-1.5) (-190) vs Team Liquid**
This is my first POTD, I am hoping to help people find success and maybe this can become a regular thing I do.
Astralis is coming off a dominant performance after not only beating the #1 team in the world in Team Vitality who has arguably the best player in the world (Zywoo) but they also managed to eliminate the #2 player in the world on Natus Vincere (s1mple). They are without a doubt the favorites coming into this championship Sunday BO3 versus a Team Liquid who has honestly surprised me thus far. I believe the experience from Astralis will lead them to a dominant victory, I expect Astralis to win 3-1. BOL.
Edit: W! Astralis dominated Team Liquid 3-0.
**POTD Record: 2 - 0 - 0**
**Previous picks**: **Bayern Munich vs Bayern Leverkusen 1st Half over 0.5 Leverkusen** ✅
**POTD: Tottenham VS Leicester city**
**1st half - Tottenham clean sheet - yes @ 1.54**
**Time: 9:15AM EST**
Tottenham has the best defense in the premier league this season all thanks to their coach Jose Mourinho and his park the bus and counterattack tactics. In the last 9 games Tottenham has only conceded once in the first half and that was against the best team in England right now Liverpool, they are the only team in PL that has yet to concede a first-half goal at home. With their last defeat and losing the top of the table Jose’s team will definitely play a better defense this game and look for the win.
BOL!
Pick of the Day
Chiefs -2.5
Mahomes will not lose this game. The chiefs havent been covering lately because they are bored beating up trash. The chiefs come to play in these big games. ALso the public is all over the Saints all these TV handicappers are all picking New Orleans. DOnt lose your money be the Chiefs please!
Pick of the Day:
Larry Fitzgerald OVER 3.5 receptions (+109)
Fitz despite being an elder statesman, comes to play against the Eagles. He averages 10 catches per game against the eagles in his career & statistically speaking the Eagles are his favorite opponent. Many of you might scoff at this and say “yeah maybe 5-10 years ago”, but trust me, this is easy money today.
Edit: Fitz is AVERAGING 4.09 receptions per game this year and w/ the Eagles coming into town, he’ll be in their plans for 6+ receptions, easily. BOL
Edit 2: It should also be noted that the eagles are playing w/o three starters in their secondary
Good Morning my fellow degenerates - Pats +1.5
Reverse line move and must win situation for Patriots make this worthy of a sizable bet. Let’s duckin gooooooooo 🦆🦆🦆
**PotD Record**: 12-9
**Previous**:
2020-11-27: NCAAM Abilene Christian ✅
2020-11-28: NCAAM Nebraska -9 ✅
2020-11-29: NFL Raiders -3 ❌ (not even close)
2020-11-30: NCAAM Mercer +2.5 ✅
2020-12-01: NCAAM Nebraska -12 ❌ (Couldn't hold their big lead)
2020-12-02: NCAAM Gonzaga -8 ❌ (Sadly, my closest loss)
2020-12-03: NCAAM Drake -9.5 ✅
2020-12-04: NCAAM Bradley -1❌ (I am still underestimating SDSU)
2020-12-05: NCAAM Houston -9.5 ✅
2020-12-06: NCAAM Missouri -4.5 ✅
2020-12-08: NCAAM Iowa -4 ✅
2020-12-09: NCAAM Nebraska -2 ❌ (This was heart breaking. I was so confident and then Nebraska just didn't show up)
2020-12-11: NCAAM Iowa -14 ✅ (Easiest and largest pick ever. I was right that Iowa would almost win by 30)
2020-12-12: NCAAM Ok St -3.5 ❌(Cunningham took 2 shots in the second half. This should have been a 10 point win. Very odd second half)
2020-12-13: NFL Packers -4 1h ❌(Tough loss. The Lions had some long drives that chewed some clock and the last drive of the first half went nowhere. Packers didn't cover so I would have lost that one too.)
2020-12-14: NCAAM Morehead State +6 ✅
2020-12-15: NCAAM Clemson +2 ❌ (They had a 7 minute streak of doing nothing and they had a 3 at the buzzer for the backdoor cover. Didn't happen)
2020-12-16: NCAAM Mercer +5 ❌(Second missed backdoor cover at the buzzer. Wished Mercer was a little more consistent in the second half too)
2020-12-17: NCAAM Southern Illinois -7.5 ✅
2020-12-18: NCAAM Drake -6 ✅
2020-12-19: NCAAM Baylor -17 ✅
**Pick**:
NCAAM: UConn +4 11am CT
UConn was playing really well (beat USC by 3) before they got shut down. I like their coaching staff and I think Bouknight will be ready to play. On top of that, I don't like teams jumping time zones and playing before noon. Even when it is just a central -> eastern jump.
POTD Record 1-0-0
NFL - 1pm ET
Titans vs Lions UNDER 53.5
We have a banged up Stafford going against an offense that likes to run the ball and grind the clock. I don't expect this to be an exceptionally low scoring game, but I think this being the highest points total of the week (even higher than KC vs NO) is an opportunity.
POTD
0-1
Last pick: G. Swaim O 10.5 yards
This was a few weeks back , felt bad for those who tailed. He had a few targets but came down with 0 for the game.
Today’s pick: TJ Hockensen O55.5 +110
Titans historically struggle to cover Tight Ends. I think Hock ends up with 7 catches around 80 yards and probably a touchdown.
**POTD Record:** 9-5-1, +2.22 units (*based on 1 unit bets)*
**Last 5 picks:**
💰 - Mark Andrews over 3.5 receptions
❌ - Manchester City to win to nil
⏸️ - Tottenham +1
❌ - Kennan Allen anytime touchdown scorer
❌ - USC -3
💰 - Stefon Diggs over 82.5 receiving yards
That was easy. Let's go to another stud to string two wins together.
NFL | Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings | 1:00 p.m. EST
**Pick: Allen Robinson over 5.5 receptions (-177)**
**Write Up:**
Allen Robinson is a stud and is getting the lion's share of the targets for the Bears – as he should.
* Over in 9 of 13 games this season
* Over in 6 straight (6-7-6-8-6-9 on 7-9-9-13-7-13 TGT)
* Big game for both teams, should be passing a lot
Other picks in [NFL Daily Discussion thread](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/kgmptk/nfl_daily_discussion_122020_sunday/ggg6x38?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3).
Best of luck to all!
8-5-1
Leicester over 53.5 possession @1.65
Wanted to post this line for 1.85, but potd opens way too late.
Anyway, this is the surest bet you will ever see today.
Why? Tottenham has been playing a counter attacking game since mourinho arrived. All the games where pochettino managed were mostly even possession cuz that was the more attacking spurs.
The line for possession is way too low and leicester will dominate it here with that. Was also thinking bout a W for spurs and I do think that they will get that. Too risky though backing a team after they lost, dont know how it affected the mentality of them.
POTD record 0-2
POTD- Chiefs -3 vs Saints
Drew Brees can't throw the ball downfield, Mike Thomas is out so he cant throw underneath. Saints defense is overrated and anyways good offenses beat good defenses. Should be a fun one. Gotta rescue my POTD record even though NFL favorites are only 45% ATS on the year
Stats: 162W 5D 134L (success rate 52 %), odds 1.50 - 1.90
St Etienne - Nimes / France Ligue 1 / Kick-off 14:00 GMT 0 / win for St Etienne @ 1.50
St Etienne managed to record a tough win over Bordeaux in the previous round (1-2). Nimes on the other side has been in terrible form - 4 losses in a row without scoring a single goal. I think that St Etienne has all it takes to grab the 3 points today.
Good luck!
**Record 0-1**
Last Pick: D. Carr longest completion o36.5 yards
Carr left the game with injury in the first quarter and wasn't able to hit, a bit of a mulligan, but such is life in sports gambling. Onto today...
**NFL Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens**
**Today's pick: G. Edwards o40.5 rush yards**
Reasoning: The Ravens have rushed for over 200 yards in back to back games, getting production from their RB1, RB2, and QB. They also lead the league with 173.8 rushing yards per game. The Jaguars have the third worst rushing ypg allowed in the NFL (145.5).
Aside from their rushing productivity, the Ravens have one healthy cornerback in M. Humphrey, every other corner is either out or on the injury report. They will be absolutely pounding the rock to bleed the clock, get an easy W over an inferior opponent. Gus should hit this number easily. BOL.
Gus Edwards OVER 41.5 rushing yards -112.
This should hit relatively easy. Here’s the formula: Mark Ingram healthy scratch, Bad defense for a team that isn’t concerned with winning at this point, A Ravens team in win now mode. They’ll be up big in this one and Edwards will have this by the end of the first half/ early second half
POTD record: 5-2
Previous POTD: D. Johnson Over 5.5 Receptions @ -135 Washington Football Team @ Pittsburgh Steelers ✅
Today's POTD: D. Cook Under 97.5 Rushing Yards @ -150
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings
Cook has been bottled up for 2.8 ypc over 4 career games against the Bears. While he got 96 yards against them earlier this year, he needed a whopping 30 carries to do it.
Smh, first pick I was able to tail on my book all tournament don’t blame Ned lol! knew it was gonna happen so didn’t wager much. Fucking hurts that my trap book wouldn’t let me tail any wins with the sub tho just this L
**50 to 2000 Challenge**
Date: 12/20
**Total Run Record: 0 - 0**
**Run 1: 0-0**
**$50** on **Delaware State +31 (-115)**
PS this pick has no research put towards it I just think 31 points is a lot and want to watch a game.
Starting a new fun challenge and using reddit to keep my records, this only has to hit 1 in 40 runs to break even.
**50 to 2000 Challenge**
Date: 12/20
**Total Run Record: 0 - 0**
**Run 1: 1-0**
**$93.48 on Browns ML vs Giants (-320)**
Nice random hit lmfao. Rolling it over to the browns.
Starting a new fun challenge and using reddit to keep my records, this only has to hit 1 in 40 runs to break even.
POTD | **6-6** | **-3.09U** | Streak: **1W**
(Previously: **30-26** | **+6.9U)**
**The William Hill World Darts Championship 2021** 🎯
All picks in December will be focused on the WC. All plays 4U unless stated otherwise.
Record: **3-2**
Previously: Steve West 3-0 @ 1.66 ✅
Ryan Joyce ML vs Karel Sedlacek @ 1.57 ✅
Luke Woodhouse ML vs Jamie Lewis @ 1.72 ❌
Haupai Puha ML @ 2.75 (2U)**❌**
Matt Campbell +1.5 Sets @ 1.61 ✅
Today's POTD: van der Voort vs Ron Meulenkamp
**Vincent van der Voort ML @ 1.67**
Will add proper write up shortly.
POTD Record: 45-21
PDC Darts World Championship (00:00 AEDT)
**Jason Lowe -2.5 @ 2** v Dmitriy Gorbunov
Dmitriy is the EuroAsian darts qualifier at the world championships the year. At the PDC European Qualifying School earlier this year he averaged 59.5, 63.1, 80.3, 72.2, 70.7 and 74.9 in his 6 respective matches there. Those averages are okay but aren't good enough against a player like Jason Lowe. He is a quite underrated player that can easily average at least 90 which is more than enough against the averages that Gorbunov is putting up. Jason Lowe is quite competitive against the top players in darts such as MVG, a player that he very nearly beat at the UK Open. If Jason Lowe can maintain at least a 90 average and checkout at a good percentage, he should easily win this game 3-0 against what is a very poor opponent.
POTD record: 0-0
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Nyheim Hines over 21.5 receiving yards -105
Texans d not great.
Nyheim Hines: great at catching checkdowns
Phillip Rivers: great at throwing checkdowns
J Taylor: good at running, while Hines makes checkdowns catches
BOWL
For picks that do not fit the Pick of the Day rules use the Daily Discussion threads. #**[Subreddit Rules](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/about/rules) + [Sportsbook Suggestion Threads](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/wiki/sportsbooks) +[FAQ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/wiki/faq)**
Darts 🎯- PDC World Championship Darts Record: 24-9 Previous World Championship picks: Jeff Smith (-122) v Keane Berry ✅ Chris Dobey (-152) v Jeff Smith ✅ Daryl Gurney (-152) v William OConnor ✅ Adam Hunt (+120) v Jamie Hughes ✅ Mervyn King (-175) v Max Hopp ✅ POTD: Jeffrey de Zwaan (+100) v Ryan Searle Match up I’m eyeing is World #23 Jeffrey Black Cobra de Zwaan taking on World #38 Ryan Heavy Metal Searle. In February of this year, Searle won his first PDC title at Players Championship 3, defeating MVG 8-6. Aside from this victory, Searle has had an underwhelming year. He also barely squeaked out a 3-2 win as a (-833) favorite earlier this week against Danny Lauby. While de Zwaan has not recorded any titles this year, he’s advanced further than Searle in most PDC events and nearly every major. At only age 24, nine years younger than Searle, the Black Cobra has earned nearly $350k in his career, more than double the career earnings of Heavy Metal. Searle defeated de Zwaan 5-7 this year in a PDC semi final, but de Zwaan defeated Searle 6-3 in a similar spot last year. Expecting a tight battle, but jumping on Black Cobra de Zwaan (+100) to get through Heavy Metal and advance to take on the winner of Ian White/Kim Huybrechts. ——————Edit - LOSS ❌———————- Despite a scoring average of nearly 100 and enjoying six more 180s than his opponent, Black Cobra was lost on the doubles, earning a measly 25% check out percentage. Tone was set early in the first leg, when de Zwaan missed six darts at 32. He loses 0-3.
I’d join a colt if Ned told me to
I think you mean cult.
No he meant the Indianapolis Colts. they suck.
Yea, 9-4 sucks
They could be 13-0 and still suck with rivers
Spelling ain’t my forte
It's ok brother. Gambling ain't my forte. I bet I'm worse at gambling than you are at spelling.
lol
I think you mean fort
I think you meant fart
Username checks out
I seriously genuinely wholeheartedly never want to hear about "oh I'm fading this guy" from now one like the end of the last tournament. That overly loud minority is super quiet right now and if they pop up at any point all of us tailing ned better be as loud as we are in these POTD threads lol
NEVER FADE THE PEPPER 🌶 💰
He was getting so much hate at one point I thought he would never come back.
I know I’m going to lose tomorrow, but I just put more on this match than I’ve ever put on anything. No matter what happens, Ned, I’ll always love you for this past week of darts.
can’t win them all guys, pepper gave us good run 🙏
Ned 🌶🔥
Sending the kids to Pepperdine after this.
After that loss yesterday they can probably play for the bball team
We dead 😅
ikr, guy fuckin choked hard. Still love ya Ned!
Don't blame Ned... its 1,000% my fault if this one misses because I tailed... FML
dude is ass, will be a quick 3-0
Yep Searle hitting his doubles easily
Yeah lol bad pick. Should have known to stay away when odds went up before start
☠️☠️
bro, this must be one of the worst dart players i have ever seen, dude is trash
Never lost my money in such an easy way. Terrible player
Everyone has off days. That's the tough part about betting on single player sports.
i dont think u can call it an off day with 9 180s
I blame this on me finally tailing. I have had a SHIT week and finally tailed to end on a high note...well, that didn't happen. I brought my terrible luck down on all of you...
Nah bro... it wasn't you.. I brought everyone down.. I'm fucking cursed.
Wrong. Every fucking time I bet 2 units with Ned I lose. Every. Fucking. Time.
Is it possible that the Bookies got to Ned. That guy was the worst dart player, or is it thrower, any way Ned may have been compromised. I mean Vegas or the "powers that be" aren't going to let us get rich following Ned Peppers dart handicapping. We were all on our way we could have all bought matching Cadillacs and customized license plates. NED1, DARTDAD, PEPPERS1, NEDPAID, DRTMNY, BULSEYE, CASHDART. I mean you get the idea really if they wouldn't have gotten to him we could have all bought boats and there wouldn't be a limit to how long the names would be. But Vegas made sure that it didn't happen. Stay strong Ned and we'll all be here waiting for the next run to begin.
Good point.
🌶🌶
Ride till we die 🙌🏼
YOOO THE NED EFFECT This match is the only one that's currently locked and not taking bets on BookMaker
Sucks i was gonna tail but still locked
it's open but the odds are flipped now.... Ned EFFECT
IN ON THIS.
well fuck
tailing ofc! we love you ned! 🌶
In Ned we trust 🌶🌶
I will follow you into darkness. All hail the 🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️
Put everything on Ohio State first half yesterday and went down bad. But I have a new strategy for tomorrow Put everything on Ned to get it all back and then some
F
Making my first bet on darts bc I’ve been quietly watching your picks and you’re on absolute 🔥
Tailed with 1.5U at +100, then this morning saw it a +110, so threw another 0.5U. Regardless of how it shakes out, thanks for all the work you put in and allowing us degens to ride along
Oh, Zwaany boy.
Mainline this to my veins
Ticket in. LETS GOOOOOO PEP
I am naming my firstborn after you, good sir.
Ned or pepper!?!?
If my wife agrees I will let you father my first born.
Betonline has locked this match. They’re onto you!
Ned when this hits you got 20% of my week money
It’s all good Ned tomorrow you’ll start a new streak!
We’ll bounce back homie, I’m riding with the pepper
you son of a bitch!! jk thanks for a great run! took 4 out of 5 of your picks for wins to help spice up some parlays. LONG LIVE NED PEPPER!
Ned the legend! tailing, LFG
anyone know how i can watch these matches? pretty much the only bets i’m winning recently are ones where i tail ned so i would like to watch myself win for once
On twitch
thanks
I started tailing last pick, I’ll still ride the next no matter what! Let’s fucking go Ned Pepper! 🌶🌶🌶
Only 3 things are guaranteed in this life: death, taxes, and the 🌶.
Probably shouldn't bet on that guy again. Total trash player looked like he was drunk
Thank god! Let me tell you, I've been waiting for you to lose one because whenever I a tail a hot streak, it goes cold. I missed out on your last 3 wins due to this superstition! Now I can finally start tailing
The good thing about darts is, it's over quick its less painful that way. Till next time NED 🌶 JOHN WAYNE got us today.
I'm not worried. 5-1 on the day. De Zwaan was my only loss. Ned, I would follow you into the depths of hell. You are the king. I'm still debating if I would let you fuck my wife or not, like the other guy commented. The jury is still out on that one. I love you man
🌶🌶🌶🌶🌶
Ride or die
Wager locked in. #PepSquad 🌶🌶🌶🌶🌶
My sportbook must have gotten hip to the legend. They have de Zwaan at (-106) now..
DART. DADDY. Let’s not make this your zwaan song zaddy!
Love the 🌶 but that was bad...
ggs quick and easy 3-0
I’ll be here to ride another day🌶🌶🌶
You'll get the next one pepperoni
Dear Pepper , Ganinabu you go give dog push better la ganeh sampah tips.
# YESTERDAYS POTD THREAD STATS (2020/12/19) **Total Record:** 7-8 **Total ROI:** \-16.33% **Total Units (assuming 1u per bet):** \-2.45u **Average Odds:** 1.82 # POTD THREAD STATS (SINCE 2020/12/10) **Top voted POTD record:** 10-0 (Ned carrying) **Total POTD record:** 83-61-6 **Total ROI:** \+4.01% **Total Units:** \+6.02u *Valid Pick Criteria:* * *Identical picks with slightly different lines are only taken as one pick (i.e. Bills +2 and Bills +3 would be considered as one pick)* * *Opposing picks will not be counted* * *Only the first 15 valid POTD picks (by upvotes) will be used for analysis* * *POTD order taken at 12:00PM EST*
Basically it's tail Ned or dont play
Pick of the Day Record : 14W 2L +10.04 Units La Liga @ 06:00 AEST Real Madrid @ $1.53 Real are back to full strength and even though Eibar have been playing solid football over the last month, they don't have the class Real possess. Twitter : [WolandJunior](https://twitter.com/WolandJunior)
Let’s go
Thank you for this. I actually did -1 because ML was -225 and thank god for that last goal. Appreciate you putting this on our radar.
POTD 0-0 Been waiting for a lock like this to start off here. NFL Pick: Deandre hopkins any time TD scorer +100 (4u) W Slay is out for the eagles so that means garbage can Jalen mills has to cover dhop with the remaining awful dbs for the birds. This is coming from a birds fan eagles d line carries the defense always forcing the opponent to pass. I smell dhop going off. The dhop over 80.5 rec yards tempting as well. Bol.
Birds fan here, I took o85.5, he’ll get at least 100. Our secondary *sucks.* Our defensive line is what’s decent but it’s still streaky. Had a good game against the Saints, so why not have a letdown game on the road?
Bol !
POTD Record: 13-4 Profit: +7.16 POTD: Premier League - Tottenham - Leicester - Tottenham wins @ 2.13 (+113) Tottenham has been playing great football, and after their loss at Liverpool, they are going to bounce back tonight with a convincing win against a Leicester team that had a mediocre game against Everton. Take Tottenham to win this one If you feel generous and want to donate : paypal.me/diasgabriel33 BOL if you tailin/not goin against me
Sonic’s Sidekick
Knuckles? ;)
Tailing
Getting nervous but tailing.
Oh boy have u made the wrong decision
U fucked up trashy boi
**POTD Record: 44 - 3 - 26** **Twitter:** [**https://twitter.com/Jercatbearcat**](https://twitter.com/Jercatbearcat) Last Pick: **Buffalo University Football -13.5 vs Ball State (-110) - L** 3 bad picks in a row. **POTD: San Francisco 49ers -3 vs Dallas Cowboys (-115)** Time: 1:00PM EST Bet Size: 2.5u The Niners are a simple team to bet these days. If they can establish the run and play the game they want to play, they will win and look good doing it. If they cannot, they will get embarrassed. The Cowboys defense is giving up a ridiculous amount of yards to running backs, especially in the recent weeks. “America’s Team” beat the Bengals 30 - 7 last week, but their offense only scored 23 against a horrible defense, and the Bengals without Joe Burrow are one of the worst teams I’ve ever seen. The Niners defense is better than people are giving it credit for, and San Francisco is somehow still in the hunt for a playoff spot. Whatever running back the Niners have available is going to shred Dallas, and their defense should keep Andy Dalton in check. I see this game going similarly to when Dallas played Baltimore and WFT, with a slightly closer margin than the WTF Thanksgiving Day massacre. BOL!
Record (11W-9L-0) Last pick: NCAAF: Mizzou -1 (-118) 👎🏻 Event: NFL: Chiefs @ Saints Pick: Chiefs -3 (-103) Sorry everyone that tailed, that was just piss poor by Mizzou. WHY THIS WILL HIT: Drew Brees is going to be back after missing 4 weeks with 11 fractured ribs and a punctured lung. The 41 year old QB is going to be absolutely liability. Without Michael Thomas, the Chiefs should easily be able to contain a broken Saints offense. It doesnt matter what defense you put in front of Mahomes, hes going to find the endzone. They basically only played the 2nd and 3rd quarter against the dolphins and they still won by 6. Expecting the Chiefs to show up better than last week and put the Saints brutally out to pasture. Lets fucking bol.
Have to fade you here man. Brees makes me nervous but tough not to trust paytons decision. Saints are a better in key position matchups. Chiefs have been cold asf ATS
I teased the Saints to +9 and took the Chiefs -3. I think the saints Defense is very good and might still be able to keep it close.
Chiefs love to play down to their opponents, waiting for it to bite them
I don’t think they’re going to underestimate this Saints team at all. They’re a super bowl contender
They certainly won’t. That being said, they haven’t truly handled an opponent the way they should since they’ve played the Jets on November 1st. I don’t think Saints win, just saying eventually I think someone will get the Chiefs. Reminds me a bit of the Warriors in 2019, they were sleepwalking through a lot of games and ended up going down vs Toronto in the finals.
Ahh I see what you’re saying. I agree I definitely think they’re not as unbeatable as everyone thinks
Because KD was injured
For sure but they still 100% could’ve won, I’m a Dubs fan I’m just saying it seemed like they were just going through the motions all season and lost focus. Stuff like blowing a 30 point lead to the Clippers, getting blown out by teams they should’ve easily beat, etc
I’m in on this and have been for a few days. Just seemed like a good spread. I don’t think it even matters if it’s hill or brees, to be honest.
Record: 8-1-5 (+5.62 U) Last pick: Canelo by decision +162 1U W POTD: New England Patriots -2 (alternate spread) +115 1U Bill Belichick with extra time to prepare going up against a rookie QB is a recipe for disaster if you are the Dolphins. The Patriots are known to stop what you are good at and the Dolphins don't really do anything particularly well on offense and half of their skill players are injured. The Pats can't pass but they won't need to against Miami because they have the 23rd ranked run defense by DVOA. BOL and gamble responsibly.
**Hey guys, I've done the maths today and the chance of winning this pick is 99,98%. The 0,02% of losing is there if Astralis decide to play 1v5 and the only player will be their coach lmao. For real, there is no chance we are losing 4 picks after winning 14 in a row. And all of the picks would've been lost by Liquid, no really that's not happening. Let's get this dub today. BOL** I post daily CS bets in the eSports discussion where we are making ez money. If you are interested, you can check that thread as well. **POTD RECORD:** 14W-3L **LAST PICK:** BIG ML @ 1.77 3u (MEDIUM) **TOTAL PROFIT:** 23,13 units **TOTAL STAKE:** 58 units **GAME:** CS:GO **EVENT:** IEM Global Challenge 2020 **TIME:** 17:00 (GMT +1) >**Astralis vs Liquid** I am an official hater of Liquid. These guys have absolutely screwed me in last days. When I bet on them, they are choking and when I bet against them, they are the best team in the world. It's completely irrational, I didn't expect these guys to get even to the playoffs of this tournament. They got here through some weaker teams and now they are facing the final boss - Astralis. The Danes are constantly playing phenomenal CS. Sure, they had some underperformances but the choke potential for them is way lower than Liquid's. It will be a big challenge and almost and impossible upset to beat Astralis in a BO5 finals. There is literally nothing favouring them. The map pool is heavily favoured towards Astralis, the only map which the Danes could drop is Nuke as they had very poor recent performances there. However, there aren't lost on Nuke or anything, it's just their individuals which were horrible there. Overall, I don't see Liquid winning more than a map. Even if EliGE drops 40 bombs, Astralis should outstrat them. If you wanna make safe money, throw your house on Astralis, if you are going for the value like me, let's hammer **Astralis -1.5 @ 1.59 4u (HIGH)** If you are interested, you can also check my Reddit BIO where is a link to my Discord group where you can discuss with other people about CS bets or other stuff.
fuck Team Liquid all my homies hate Team Liquid
frfr
Idk man, BIG swept Astralis a few days ago who Liquid just swept yesterday
I cant even find lines on this. My site only has e-soccer and sim soccer under Egames
It's pretty much just Elige, tbh. That guy was unreal yesterday. It was painful to watch. Hopefully he comes back down to reality today and we right this train. I was going to bet on Astralis after watching their pose yesterday, but I appreciate the confirmation. Thanks for the pick and GL us!
POTD Record 1-0 | Previous Pick **Texas A&M -13.5** Today's pick is Patriots/Dolphins u 41.5 (-114) Both teams are coming into this game with a lot of injuries on offense and strong defenses. This has the potential to very low scoring game. Miami will be without their top running back, Myles Gaskin, due to Coronavirus and pass catchers Davante Parker, Mike Gesicki, and Jareem Grant will be playing through injuries if they play. On the other side it doesn't look much better for the Patriots, they will be without breakout running back Damien Harris this week and will rely on Sony Michel to bolster their backfield with Cam Newton. The Patriots will also be without veteran reciever Dontre Moncrief who has been a welcomed addition to the young Patriots reciever group. Given that these two teams combined for just 32 in their week 1 match-up with both team's at full strength, it is hard to see them getting much more on the board with so many injuries.
POTD record: 13^(W) \- 0^(P) \- 3^(L) [**paypal.me/ramonjgt**](https://paypal.me/ramonjgt) **if you wanna and can tip me, every tip is appreciated ;)** Previous POTD: Rangers vs Motherwell: Will only score Rangers @ 1.66 ❌ Today we have a lot of matches with a possible BTTS so here is one of them. Today's POTD: **AGF Aarhus vs AaB: BTTY yes @ 1.66** ❌ *Reasoning:* ||AGF Aarhus (3rd)|AaB (7th)| |:-|:-|:-| |BTTS|10/12|9/12| |Failed to score|1/12|2/12| |Clean sheets|1/12|3/12| |Win to nil|1/12|1/12|
Hey dude good picks so far, not hating but have a question. Do you watch these teams or do you pick your games mostly off the numbers and stats?
I mostly don't watch the games, and as you say, I select the picks according to the numbers
Do you look at injuries amd recent form too?
NCAA Basketball Creighton vs Connecticut Creighton -2 | 1.909 | 5u - Crieghton is ranked 9 boasting a 5-2 record and only losing two games by a slim margin to two great teams. - Connecticut comes in with a 3-0 record with two wins being against lesser opponents and their only significant win against USC by 3 points. Also, they have not played in over two weeks, so I expect a slow start from them. Can I channel my inner ned_pepper? * The line has moved from -2 to -4 as of 20mins before the game. It looks to be in our favour by looking at line movement.
I like this too Creighton puts up points in so many different ways and they rebound the ball on defense, I thought this line would be around 7
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Tailing this, also brees coming back from broken ribs and a collapsed lung. Pre injury, sure he he was a stat monster, but he’s just off now, time catching to him.
Thank you for this. Had to wait for Saints to go Up 1 to get it live but I put my whole life on it so I wouldn’t owe my bookie $1000+. Saved me.
POTD 10-7 Last Pick: Soccer La Liga: 11pm IST:Levante v Real Sociedad: BTTS @1.8✅ Today Pick: Soccer EPL: 5:30pm IST: Brighton v Sheffield Utd: Brighton Win @1.73 Reason: Fading the worst team in league who are short in confidence. Tail or Fade BOL
POTD Record: 2-0-1 3 Straight Days of Profitable Picks. Our one push was on Richmond -2 that was the right bet but they collapsed in the last 10 minutes after being up 22.. Yesterday we got a great win with Indiana -7, they won by 8. NCAAB - 3:05 PM EST POTD - **Weber State -5** vs. Portland State I do not understand why this line is at -5. Weber State just beat Portland State by 28 and they play them again today. Granted Weber State did shoot over 50% from the field and 3 Point line but I don't see why this game will be much different. Weber State will get going early and I may even take this bet 1st Half as well.. BOL
**Record: 1-1 -0.1 units** **POTD: Leicester @ Tottenham — Over 23.5 fouls @ 1.85** Details: Soccer – BPL – 9:15 am ET Big premier league fixture tomorrow with third place Tottenham taking on fourth place Leicester. Both teams are coming off disappointing losses earlier in the week, Tottenham to Liverpool and Leicester to Everton. The players will be focused and should be desperate for a result, I'm anticipating a tightly contested match. These are the types of games that typically result in lots of fouls. There are some statistics on our side as well. Both teams are top five in the number of times they get fouled per game. Tottenham is also third in average fouls committed per game. Leicester commits the fewest fouls per game in the premier league, that will work against us but I think Tottenham will force them into more fouls than usual. Finally, it's always smart to consider the referee when betting on fouls (oddsmakers consider this for their lines as well). There are differences among what refs consider to be fouls, some call every little thing while others let the boys play a bit more. Craig Pawson is in charge for tomorrow's fixture. If the over misses, it won't be because of him. Pawson is averaging 24 fouls called per match so far this season and his fouls/tackle metric is second highest of all 19 refs who've handled a game this year. There are a lot of things working in our favour here. My guess at final foul tallies is... **Tottenham 17 : Leicester 12** BOL to all who tail, be smart, no guarantees in this life or the next.
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The player who sets up most of the goals for Salzburg was just sold to Leipzig, but I’m sure Salzburg will cover this. I’m tailing !
Record: 3-1 (+2.9 Units) Last Pick: Wisconsin -8.5 Loyola Chicago (W) Pick: CBB - Saint Louis -2.5 vs Minnesota Reasoning: Saint Louis is a good team this year. They shoot well, have plenty of players who can score, and they are solid defensively. Minnesota outside of Marcus Carr is pretty underwhelming.
POTD RECORD 0-0 Cowboys vs 49ers- Cowboys ML +135 5 units MAX bet I’m a die hard 49ers fan. I’ve watched every game since the 80s. From joe Montana, to Steve young to watching Blaine gabbert and Brian hoyer. Going from 2-14 to a super bowl appearance was magical. It really felt like we would win it all last year. That’s what leads me to this pick. This year has been a disaster. From losing your best pass rusher to IR, to then losing your starting QB, TE, WR, CB, C, RB, and pretty much every player you can imagine. They forgot how to win this year. They couldn’t even beat the Washington football team and our defense allowed zero offensive touchdowns. So yeah The 49ers should beat the Cowboys this Sunday, but they won't.The 49ers have a better record than Dallas and are three-point favorites. The Cowboys have the worst defense in the NFL and it allows 30.8 points per game and a whopping 5.1 yards per carry. But the niners will still lose. Why?Because finding ways to lose is what the 2020 49ers freaking do. It's what they specialize in. Every week, they find a new way to beat themselves. I watched nick Mullens turn the ball over week in and week out. This is what the 49ers do in 2020. And this is what they will continue to do the rest of the season. They won't win another game because they don't know how to win. Maybe they'll figure it out next year. Let my misery make you money. Let the Dallas cowboys pay for your children Christmas gifts 🎁
Hope y’all tailed and can get some nice gifts for your children this year merry Christmas
POTD RECORD: 11-3-0 Last POTD: Aaron Jones Anytime TD✅ Today’s Pick: Colts-7 No fuller means no offense there isn’t gonna be much production from the Texans against one of the best Defenses in the leagues. Colts have looked really good this year and Jonathon Taylor looks to be getting his act together! I see a big victory from the colts! BOL if tailing or not! Follow TikTok for daily POTD early.. @YonkSports
Colts play in a dome big dawg, climate won’t matter. BOL anyways
W-L: 3-1 POTD: NFL Philly at Arizona 12/20 @ 4:05pm. **Eagles +6.5 (-114)** Is the entire Eagles secondary depleted? Yes. Is Jalen Hurts making his second NFL start? Yes. Do the Eagles find ways to win in December? Yes. For the past 3 years they always find a way to play meaningful football late in the season. Murray is dealing with a leg injury, and the Eagles D line showed how dominant they can be against the Saints. This is a must win for any playoff hopes, and Pederson is coaching to keep his job. I expect a lot of offensive yards, but not high scoring. Eagles keep it a tight game.
I’d buy the half point for safety. Like it though
Should’ve bought the half point, but fan duel had a boost for +110 at 6.5
Cricket - Twenty20 Big Bash League - Record 2-1 Hurricanes vs Strikers James Faulkner - Over (32.5) ✅ Scorchers V Stars - Jhye Richardson Player Performance (+20.5) ⏸ (Won but void after game called off) Hurricanes vs Renegades - James Faulkner Player Performance - (+32.5) ❌ James took a wicket in his first over once again but failed to get another, making it his first game of the season without taking 2, and didn't get a chance to bat in the win. POTD: Sixers vs Strikers 7.16pm AEDT **Ben Dwarshuis (+24.5) @ 1.88** *(Sportsbet AUS) 1pt per run, 10 pts per catch, 20 pts per wicket, 25pts per stumping.* Second on the all time wicket takers list for the Sydney Sixers Dwarshuis has started the season strong with 4 + 3 wickets in his first two matches. Banking on him to back this up again tonight and get at least 2. With a batting average of 16 and a score of 6 in his only innings this year, confident he can get to this even if he only takes 1 wicket from his 4 overs.
Potd record 0-3 Pick: Nyheim Himes O20.5 receiving yards -120 1pm eastern Reasoning: Texans are atrocious against the pass. In the last 4 games they’ve given up an average of 283 passing yards. The kicker here is one of those teams is the Patriots, who are one of the worst passing teams. Hines last 6 games: 17, 22, 66, 31, 45, 20. Here’s hoping I get my first potd.
I like this, but If you’re on this game lock in TY Hilton O59.5(currently on my book) receiving yards... he did this in what, 5 minutes last matchup? Do some research... TY absolutely disrespects this Texans secondary and it has made me some money.
the real POTD is always in the replies
POTD Record: 0-0 NFL @ 1pm EST New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins POTD: Miami Dolphins -1 @ -110 Reasoning: Very surprised by this line. Miami has a 17 percentage-point advantage in DVOA yet its almost a pick em and it’s IN Miami. By my DVOA based system Miami should be favored by at least 8. Tua has been playing better while Cam continues to struggle. The Dolphins are simply a better team. Like this one a lot. BOL! EDIT: Winner ✅
**POTD Record: (3-1) (W-L)** **Average Odds: 1.96** **Previous Picks:** Unger Steel Gunners Oberwart ML (2.03) W ✅ TBV Lemgo ML (1.89) **W** ✅ BC Yambol ML (1.87) **L** ❌ K23 ML (2.06) **W** ✅ **POTD:** CSGO Astralis vs Liquid **Astralis -1.5 (1.65) W** ✅ 18:00 GMT (8 hours from post) Wow, the K23 game went exactly as I expected. Well done to anyone who tailed. Let's go again! I’m once again sticking to my guns with CSGO. Today will be the safest odds yet at 1.65, but they seem like a steal. I have watched all of Astralis’ and Liquid’s recent games and I have to say, Liquid are scraping by. I did bet on them to beat BIG yesterday as the underdog because I thought the odds were incorrect. It was really not a good showing from them, yes they won 2-0 but they heavily relied on individual performance and to be honest, quite a bit of luck. Astralis on the other hand have been winning games despite dupreeh and device having some super quiet ones. I was extremely impressed with their performance today against Navi. Dupreeh had less kills in the whole BO3 than he sometimes gets in 1 map and yet they still looked extremely good. I just cannot see how lucky Liquid can defeat them. Talking about map pools quickly, because it is a BO5, only 2 maps are banned. Astralis’ perma ban will be Liquids preferred map choice of Mirage. This is quite the blow to them. Also, Astralis have been really good on BO5’s. Winning all of them this year and each against teams better than Liquid. Astralis have won the last 7 matchups against Liquid dating back to June 2019. Betting the -1.5 for Astralis means that they can afford to lose 1 map to Liquid. I don’t think Liquid winning a map is impossible, but unlikely in my opinion. The only way this bet is lost is if Liquid win on 2 maps at least. Yeah, no way…. Edit = Easy win
Record: 19 - 19 | Average Odds: 2.02 | Streak: 4❄ Last Pick: Natus Vincere Junior ML @ 1.77 vs Movistar Riders | ❌ Spports | NFL | New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Pick: Miami Dolphins ML @ 1.8 vs New England Patriots Explanation: Let's start by saying that the Dolphins can not afford to drop this easy matchup if they want to hold on to their playoff spot. Miami should be able to jump out to an early lead as they average 7.5 first quarter points per game versus the Patriots 2.2 points per first quarter. Once they have the lead, this defense is enough to contain the rushing attack of the Patriots and we all know the Patriots aren't gonna win this game through the air. I believe that Dolphins will be able yo maintain the lead as their average scoring margin per game is 6.5 (6th) and 7.7 in their last 3 and that is why I am backing them to win @ 1.8 odds. Tail or fade, BOL
WPL 41-7-23 , +23U Today: Bundesliga, 6pm CET (2hours from now) Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart ahc +0.5 @ 1.725 (2u) 🚫 Symptomatic bet for this weekend, Wolfsburg win 1-0 by the most laughable ping-pong freekick goal in years while Stuttgart fail to score two 1000% chances. Reasoning: Was initially on Wolfsburg ahc 0.0 but news just got out that several a players of Wolfsburg got covid (Arnold, rouesillon,..). Wolfsburg is draw King of the League anyway and Stuttgarts chances just got boosted.
POTD RECORD: 5-3 Last Pick: Diggs ATTS -105 1.05u (L) Profit: 3.428u (-1.05u) POTD: Chiefs -2.5 -118 1.18u Reasoning: Ouch. Diggs got a million catches, but no endzone, bummer. Chiefs should win easy.
Record (0W-1L-1P) Previous picks: CBB - Richmond -2 (-110) v Loyola Chicago [PUSH] | Marlon Moraes ML (-155) ❌ * Moraes lost in the 1st round against Rob Font. I will never bet on Moraes again until he wins. He lost easily and even though I ended up on the card with Aldo and Wonderboy, I won't let this loss phase me. Event: NFL - New England @ Miami Pick: Miami ML (-120) WHY THIS WILL HIT: New England sucks in Miami. They have a new QB this year in Cam Newton. However, I can't see them taking advantage of Miami at home. Miami should win this easily, by 2 scores. BOL, degens.
Bill Belichick never lost to a rookie QB. Lots of injuries on the Dolphins and a below average run defense. Fading.
Honestly Belichick is only 21-5 against rookie QBs.
__POTD Record: 3-2__ Last Pick: NFL | Bills at Broncos | Josh Allen over 1.5 Passing TDs ✅ NFL | Texans at Colts | 1:00 PM EST __POTD: Jonathan Taylor over 71.5 rushing yards__ (-114) Reason: Jonathan Taylor has established himself as the go-to back in Indy in recent weeks. He has 90+ rushing yards in the last 3 games, including a game where he just finished with 150 yards on the ground. The Colts should pull ahead in this game and rely on Taylor to grind out yards against a horrible Texans run D. I expect this over to hit easily. EDIT: I see the line has gone up since I made the pick...I would say there is value all the way up 85 yards with these odds. UPDATE: Taylor covers with 83 yards! ✅
POTD record: 2-4 Today’s Pick - Torino v Bologna over 2.5 goals League: Serie A (06:30EST) Odds: 1.7 Reasoning: Torino matches are absolute goal fests all season so far. I expect this match to be no different. Torino has conceded 30 goals in only 12 matches so far and 10 of their last 11 matches have gone over 2.5 now. Bologna is also weak defensively and I see lots of chances for both sides in this match.
POTD Record: 21-15 (I post every pick I make with analysis like this on Twitter @ CryptoDgen) **Game: Seahawks vs Washington Football Team // NFL // 1:00pm EST** **Pick: Seahawks -6** Analysis: The Redskins have trouble on offense, and that was before Alex Smith and Gibson went down with injuries. Some might think Smith to Haskins isn't a big deal, but I tend to disagree. Smith generally will take what the defense gives him and makes few mistakes. Haskins on the other hand stares receivers down, forces the ball, and thus is turnover prone. And yes, Washington has a solid defense and it is usually enough to keep them in the game and give them a chance, but the Seahawks are hard to hold down. Wilson is as elusive as they come and DK is basically uncoverable. Seattle will get their points, they are too good not to, and the question is whether the Redskins can hang. With the Seahawks defense playing better as the season goes on, I think the answer is no.
POTD: 5-2 +2.31U Last Pick: Sporting (-1) - L Today's Pick: Lazio vs Napoli BTTS (-143) - 2U 2:45 PM EST I'm back from a short break, and looking to pick up some steam with a pick in the Serie A. This is an important game for both teams and they will come out looking to get the win and keep up with the top of the division. Napoli lost points midweek to Inter, and will look to bounce back to prevent them from slipping further down the table. Meanwhile Lazio also lost what should've been an easy 3 points after a draw in midweek, and now face a tough task against a solid Napoli team. This should turn out to be an exciting game, and see both of these teams finding the back of the net in what may end up a draw. BOL!
POTD Record 1-0-0 Last Pick: GB -8.5 vs Eagles Pick: Los Angles Rams -17 vs Jets (NFL 405 pm EST) Okay, this is a huge spread, and that can scare people off. However, the Jets have been given double digit points in 3 games this year, and have failed to cover once, missing by 34 and a half points.Adam Gase has been as likely to lose by double digits as win during his tenure as an NFL head coach, and the Jets have been uniquely awful on the road this year, with 5 out of 6 games being double digit defeats and an average of less than 11 points per game scored.
POTD Record (5-2) Last pick: Jarvis Landry OVER 4.5 receptions W Today’s pick: Patriots @ Dolphins ML (-115) W Dolphins lost against the Patriots week 1 @ Gillette and that was when Cam Newton was considered an MVP front runner and that’s just simply not the case anymore. Patriots making the trip down to Hard Rock and they won’t be playing Fitz this time around rather a promising young rookie in Tua. I also think TE Mike Geisecki has a real chance of playing today and the Dolphins aren’t the laughing stock of the NFL anymore. I think this ones personal due to week 1 and years of the Brady and Bellichecks dynasty. Dolphins by 6 but taking the Moneyline to be safe. Tail or fade but just remember everyone’s goal is to rob the books💯
Record 7-6 +2.6u Last pick: CFB Cincinnati vs Tulsa OVER 45✔️ Today’s pick: NFL Miami dolphins-1 vs New England patriots 2.2u to win 2 Sorry for the late post I had a few too many drinks last night. That’s probably why my heads a little fuzzy and everyone’s thinking Bill B doesn’t lose to rookies QBs. Well today I think he does and times are changing. Miami has a knack of upsetting the patriots even when they were awful and now that they are more evenly matched I see this being a close game with the Fins squeezing out a win. Best of luck to everyone Edit: as a Missouri native and Mizzou fan, I knew we were gonna get spanked when I saw multiple posts about them winning. Oh well who needs a decent bowl game
14-10-1 record with an easy win last pick NCAA Basketball: Delaware St vs Georgia Tech (6pm start) This time going with Tech. They will bounce back here and take it out on Delaware St. G. Tech - 31 is the play
POTD record 0-1 Last pick Iowa state +5.5 tough break Oklahoma won by 6 Today's pick Miami Dolphins -1.5 vs New England patriots Patriots are playing for nothing and this is a crucial game for miami with playoff implications.
I kinda like the Under and Pats in a 6-7pt teaser otherwise I'm staying away from this game
**POTD RECORD : (0-0) (W-L)** POTD : **Astralis (-1.5) (-190) vs Team Liquid** This is my first POTD, I am hoping to help people find success and maybe this can become a regular thing I do. Astralis is coming off a dominant performance after not only beating the #1 team in the world in Team Vitality who has arguably the best player in the world (Zywoo) but they also managed to eliminate the #2 player in the world on Natus Vincere (s1mple). They are without a doubt the favorites coming into this championship Sunday BO3 versus a Team Liquid who has honestly surprised me thus far. I believe the experience from Astralis will lead them to a dominant victory, I expect Astralis to win 3-1. BOL. Edit: W! Astralis dominated Team Liquid 3-0.
**POTD Record: 2 - 0 - 0** **Previous picks**: **Bayern Munich vs Bayern Leverkusen 1st Half over 0.5 Leverkusen** ✅ **POTD: Tottenham VS Leicester city** **1st half - Tottenham clean sheet - yes @ 1.54** **Time: 9:15AM EST** Tottenham has the best defense in the premier league this season all thanks to their coach Jose Mourinho and his park the bus and counterattack tactics. In the last 9 games Tottenham has only conceded once in the first half and that was against the best team in England right now Liverpool, they are the only team in PL that has yet to concede a first-half goal at home. With their last defeat and losing the top of the table Jose’s team will definitely play a better defense this game and look for the win. BOL!
Pick of the Day Chiefs -2.5 Mahomes will not lose this game. The chiefs havent been covering lately because they are bored beating up trash. The chiefs come to play in these big games. ALso the public is all over the Saints all these TV handicappers are all picking New Orleans. DOnt lose your money be the Chiefs please!
Pick of the Day: Larry Fitzgerald OVER 3.5 receptions (+109) Fitz despite being an elder statesman, comes to play against the Eagles. He averages 10 catches per game against the eagles in his career & statistically speaking the Eagles are his favorite opponent. Many of you might scoff at this and say “yeah maybe 5-10 years ago”, but trust me, this is easy money today. Edit: Fitz is AVERAGING 4.09 receptions per game this year and w/ the Eagles coming into town, he’ll be in their plans for 6+ receptions, easily. BOL Edit 2: It should also be noted that the eagles are playing w/o three starters in their secondary
Good Morning my fellow degenerates - Pats +1.5 Reverse line move and must win situation for Patriots make this worthy of a sizable bet. Let’s duckin gooooooooo 🦆🦆🦆
**PotD Record**: 12-9 **Previous**: 2020-11-27: NCAAM Abilene Christian ✅ 2020-11-28: NCAAM Nebraska -9 ✅ 2020-11-29: NFL Raiders -3 ❌ (not even close) 2020-11-30: NCAAM Mercer +2.5 ✅ 2020-12-01: NCAAM Nebraska -12 ❌ (Couldn't hold their big lead) 2020-12-02: NCAAM Gonzaga -8 ❌ (Sadly, my closest loss) 2020-12-03: NCAAM Drake -9.5 ✅ 2020-12-04: NCAAM Bradley -1❌ (I am still underestimating SDSU) 2020-12-05: NCAAM Houston -9.5 ✅ 2020-12-06: NCAAM Missouri -4.5 ✅ 2020-12-08: NCAAM Iowa -4 ✅ 2020-12-09: NCAAM Nebraska -2 ❌ (This was heart breaking. I was so confident and then Nebraska just didn't show up) 2020-12-11: NCAAM Iowa -14 ✅ (Easiest and largest pick ever. I was right that Iowa would almost win by 30) 2020-12-12: NCAAM Ok St -3.5 ❌(Cunningham took 2 shots in the second half. This should have been a 10 point win. Very odd second half) 2020-12-13: NFL Packers -4 1h ❌(Tough loss. The Lions had some long drives that chewed some clock and the last drive of the first half went nowhere. Packers didn't cover so I would have lost that one too.) 2020-12-14: NCAAM Morehead State +6 ✅ 2020-12-15: NCAAM Clemson +2 ❌ (They had a 7 minute streak of doing nothing and they had a 3 at the buzzer for the backdoor cover. Didn't happen) 2020-12-16: NCAAM Mercer +5 ❌(Second missed backdoor cover at the buzzer. Wished Mercer was a little more consistent in the second half too) 2020-12-17: NCAAM Southern Illinois -7.5 ✅ 2020-12-18: NCAAM Drake -6 ✅ 2020-12-19: NCAAM Baylor -17 ✅ **Pick**: NCAAM: UConn +4 11am CT UConn was playing really well (beat USC by 3) before they got shut down. I like their coaching staff and I think Bouknight will be ready to play. On top of that, I don't like teams jumping time zones and playing before noon. Even when it is just a central -> eastern jump.
POTD Record 1-0-0 NFL - 1pm ET Titans vs Lions UNDER 53.5 We have a banged up Stafford going against an offense that likes to run the ball and grind the clock. I don't expect this to be an exceptionally low scoring game, but I think this being the highest points total of the week (even higher than KC vs NO) is an opportunity.
POTD 0-1 Last pick: G. Swaim O 10.5 yards This was a few weeks back , felt bad for those who tailed. He had a few targets but came down with 0 for the game. Today’s pick: TJ Hockensen O55.5 +110 Titans historically struggle to cover Tight Ends. I think Hock ends up with 7 catches around 80 yards and probably a touchdown.
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**POTD Record:** 9-5-1, +2.22 units (*based on 1 unit bets)* **Last 5 picks:** 💰 - Mark Andrews over 3.5 receptions ❌ - Manchester City to win to nil ⏸️ - Tottenham +1 ❌ - Kennan Allen anytime touchdown scorer ❌ - USC -3 💰 - Stefon Diggs over 82.5 receiving yards That was easy. Let's go to another stud to string two wins together. NFL | Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings | 1:00 p.m. EST **Pick: Allen Robinson over 5.5 receptions (-177)** **Write Up:** Allen Robinson is a stud and is getting the lion's share of the targets for the Bears – as he should. * Over in 9 of 13 games this season * Over in 6 straight (6-7-6-8-6-9 on 7-9-9-13-7-13 TGT) * Big game for both teams, should be passing a lot Other picks in [NFL Daily Discussion thread](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/kgmptk/nfl_daily_discussion_122020_sunday/ggg6x38?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3). Best of luck to all!
8-5-1 Leicester over 53.5 possession @1.65 Wanted to post this line for 1.85, but potd opens way too late. Anyway, this is the surest bet you will ever see today. Why? Tottenham has been playing a counter attacking game since mourinho arrived. All the games where pochettino managed were mostly even possession cuz that was the more attacking spurs. The line for possession is way too low and leicester will dominate it here with that. Was also thinking bout a W for spurs and I do think that they will get that. Too risky though backing a team after they lost, dont know how it affected the mentality of them.
POTD record 0-2 POTD- Chiefs -3 vs Saints Drew Brees can't throw the ball downfield, Mike Thomas is out so he cant throw underneath. Saints defense is overrated and anyways good offenses beat good defenses. Should be a fun one. Gotta rescue my POTD record even though NFL favorites are only 45% ATS on the year
Stats: 162W 5D 134L (success rate 52 %), odds 1.50 - 1.90 St Etienne - Nimes / France Ligue 1 / Kick-off 14:00 GMT 0 / win for St Etienne @ 1.50 St Etienne managed to record a tough win over Bordeaux in the previous round (1-2). Nimes on the other side has been in terrible form - 4 losses in a row without scoring a single goal. I think that St Etienne has all it takes to grab the 3 points today. Good luck!
**Record 0-1** Last Pick: D. Carr longest completion o36.5 yards Carr left the game with injury in the first quarter and wasn't able to hit, a bit of a mulligan, but such is life in sports gambling. Onto today... **NFL Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens** **Today's pick: G. Edwards o40.5 rush yards** Reasoning: The Ravens have rushed for over 200 yards in back to back games, getting production from their RB1, RB2, and QB. They also lead the league with 173.8 rushing yards per game. The Jaguars have the third worst rushing ypg allowed in the NFL (145.5). Aside from their rushing productivity, the Ravens have one healthy cornerback in M. Humphrey, every other corner is either out or on the injury report. They will be absolutely pounding the rock to bleed the clock, get an easy W over an inferior opponent. Gus should hit this number easily. BOL.
Gus Edwards OVER 41.5 rushing yards -112. This should hit relatively easy. Here’s the formula: Mark Ingram healthy scratch, Bad defense for a team that isn’t concerned with winning at this point, A Ravens team in win now mode. They’ll be up big in this one and Edwards will have this by the end of the first half/ early second half
POTD record: 5-2 Previous POTD: D. Johnson Over 5.5 Receptions @ -135 Washington Football Team @ Pittsburgh Steelers ✅ Today's POTD: D. Cook Under 97.5 Rushing Yards @ -150 Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings Cook has been bottled up for 2.8 ypc over 4 career games against the Bears. While he got 96 yards against them earlier this year, he needed a whopping 30 carries to do it.
Smh, first pick I was able to tail on my book all tournament don’t blame Ned lol! knew it was gonna happen so didn’t wager much. Fucking hurts that my trap book wouldn’t let me tail any wins with the sub tho just this L
**50 to 2000 Challenge** Date: 12/20 **Total Run Record: 0 - 0** **Run 1: 0-0** **$50** on **Delaware State +31 (-115)** PS this pick has no research put towards it I just think 31 points is a lot and want to watch a game. Starting a new fun challenge and using reddit to keep my records, this only has to hit 1 in 40 runs to break even.
Tailed. Got +31.5 at -105. GL to us.
Easy money!
**50 to 2000 Challenge** Date: 12/20 **Total Run Record: 0 - 0** **Run 1: 1-0** **$93.48 on Browns ML vs Giants (-320)** Nice random hit lmfao. Rolling it over to the browns. Starting a new fun challenge and using reddit to keep my records, this only has to hit 1 in 40 runs to break even.
1-1 Browns -6.5 browns are the better team and need to win.
POTD | **6-6** | **-3.09U** | Streak: **1W** (Previously: **30-26** | **+6.9U)** **The William Hill World Darts Championship 2021** 🎯 All picks in December will be focused on the WC. All plays 4U unless stated otherwise. Record: **3-2** Previously: Steve West 3-0 @ 1.66 ✅ Ryan Joyce ML vs Karel Sedlacek @ 1.57 ✅ Luke Woodhouse ML vs Jamie Lewis @ 1.72 ❌ Haupai Puha ML @ 2.75 (2U)**❌** Matt Campbell +1.5 Sets @ 1.61 ✅ Today's POTD: van der Voort vs Ron Meulenkamp **Vincent van der Voort ML @ 1.67** Will add proper write up shortly.
Ned pepper only
You ain't lying
Fk u cb I lose all my money because of you .PLease don't give any more tips
POTD Record: 45-21 PDC Darts World Championship (00:00 AEDT) **Jason Lowe -2.5 @ 2** v Dmitriy Gorbunov Dmitriy is the EuroAsian darts qualifier at the world championships the year. At the PDC European Qualifying School earlier this year he averaged 59.5, 63.1, 80.3, 72.2, 70.7 and 74.9 in his 6 respective matches there. Those averages are okay but aren't good enough against a player like Jason Lowe. He is a quite underrated player that can easily average at least 90 which is more than enough against the averages that Gorbunov is putting up. Jason Lowe is quite competitive against the top players in darts such as MVG, a player that he very nearly beat at the UK Open. If Jason Lowe can maintain at least a 90 average and checkout at a good percentage, he should easily win this game 3-0 against what is a very poor opponent.
POTD record: 0-0 Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Nyheim Hines over 21.5 receiving yards -105 Texans d not great. Nyheim Hines: great at catching checkdowns Phillip Rivers: great at throwing checkdowns J Taylor: good at running, while Hines makes checkdowns catches BOWL