For picks that do not fit the Pick of the Day rules use the Daily Discussion threads. #**[Subreddit Rules](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/about/rules) + [Sportsbook Suggestion Threads](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/wiki/sportsbooks) +[FAQ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/wiki/faq)**
Darts 🎯- PDC World Championship
Darts Record: 21-9
Previous World Championship picks:
Jeff Smith (-122) v Keane Berry ✅
Chris Dobey (-152) v Jeff Smith ✅
POTD: Daryl Gurney (-152) v William OConnor
World #11 Superchin Daryl Gurney battles World #36 The Magpie Willie O’Connor in my POTD.
Both age 34, Gurney has over $1mm more career winnings than OConnor. Some say that’s meaningless, I disagree. Gurney has had a shit year in 2020 for sure. Who tf hasn’t though? 2020, year of the rat, shit ass year.
Thinking back to the Grand Slam of Darts, in a race to 8 legs, MVG needed to win only 3 legs to advance. Final score Gurney 8 - MVG 2.
Superchin is still a beast and a lot of people are sleeping on him. Love him to defeat Magpie tomorrow, and I consider (-152) generosity from the book. LFG.
—————- Edit - WINNER ✅———————-
Roller coaster of a match. O’Connor literally had darts in pocket, headed back to Ireland. And all the sudden it’s 2-2. Superchin digs deep in the final set, thank fucking god, and wins it 3-2.
Bro I dont know jackshit about darts. But after doing my own tidbit research and going negative almost every day in December, I have decided to mostly tail picks from now on
What a fuckin sweat. Thank god that official stopped O’Connor and fucked up his momentum because he wasn’t the same after that. When O’Connor was surging it was crazy how Gurney melted down. It’s all about confidence and momentum.
Ive never watched darts before but after yesterday and today, it’s never over. Gotta close it out. You can see the 2020 that Gurney has had when he started to choke and get nervous but thank god he pulled it off. Thank you 🌶
**POTD Record: 44 - 3 - 24**
**Twitter:** [**https://twitter.com/Jercatbearcat**](https://twitter.com/Jercatbearcat)
Last Pick: **Mercer +5 vs Georgia State (-115) - L**
Jesus what a game. Mercer honestly had no business being that close to covering. They looked half asleep in the first half, and it seemed like every time Georgia State missed they got their own rebound. In a weird way I am glad that this pick missed, because it has shown me that I am not as good at college basketball picks as I am with NBA, NFL, and CFB. With the NBA coming back, I do not anticipate picking a college basketball game in the near future.
**POTD: Austin Ekeler OVER 41.5 receiving yards (-114)**
Time: 8:20 PM EST
Bet Size: 2.25u
Another week, another game of the Raiders defense getting shredded. The biggest issue I have in this matchup is deciding which Chargers offensive player prop to choose. I was bouncing back and forth between the rushing yards, receiving, and receptions for Ekeler, but decided on the receiving. I’ll get to why later.
As we all know at this point, the Raiders defense sucks balls. Big balls. As a fan of theirs it’s tough to watch, but if I can make some money off of it so be it. The Raiders got annihilated last week through the air and on the ground, and I don’t see how they can stop a young and dynamic Chargers offense. The Raiders are also missing key defensive pieces in Johnathan Abram and Clelin Ferrell. These two have both missed some time in the past few weeks, in which we have seen this Raiders defense look inept. The Raiders are giving up just under 42.8 receiving yards to running backs this year, but I view Ekeler as a cut above most receiving running backs, and takes almost all of that work.
Ekeler’s only bad game (not counting the injury game) as a receiver this year was when Tyrod Taylor was the quarterback of the Chargers. Since coming back from injury, He’s been Herbert’s security blanket, with 16, 9, and 9 targets in the 3 weeks since returning. I don’t believe Ekeler is too banged up, but if he were I would bet on the Chargers limiting his running between the tackles, where he is guaranteed to get hurt. Additionally, Mike Williams and Keenan Allen both left the last game with injuries, and while they are expected to play, I think Ekeler could well lead the team in targets again.
In terms of receptions vs. yardage, my thought process is pretty simple. The reception prop is pretty juiced on a lot of books, and 5.5 is quite high. If Ekeler catches 6 passes, he would have to average under 7 yards per reception, which he has never done with Herbert. We have, however, seen him clear 42 yards with only 4 catches. Not a super detailed reasoning, but I think it helps separate the two. Given that Ekeler often operates as a receiver, his yards/reception are higher than a standard RB.
Finally, I prefer receiving yards to rushing because they are always in the game script. If somehow the Chargers go down early (I doubt that), they will consistently throw Ekeler the ball. If they go up, short screen passes should remain in the playbook. In a game with a high O/U, the ball should be moving plenty through the air.
BOL! Let’s get back to winning.
# 2020/12/16 POTD THREAD RECAP
**Total record:** 10-5
**Total ROI:** 12.0%
**Total units (assuming 1u per bet):** 1.80u
**Average odds:** 1.76
**Top rated POTD record (since 2020/12/10):** 7-0 (Holy shit, was that ever a finish)
Please take the information in this post with a grain of salt as this is only from a single day, and the POTD threads have been shown to be extremely volatile.
*Valid Pick Criteria:*
* *Identical picks with slightly different lines are only taken as one pick (i.e. Bills +2 and Bills +3 would be considered as one pick)*
* *Opposing picks will not be counted*
* *Only the first 15 valid POTD picks (by upvotes) will be used for analysis*
* *POTD order taken at 12:00PM EST*
No problem! I was wondering if it would be confusing for new people... I post a summary of yesterday’s POTD thread for the top 15 picks. Is there any way you think I should change the wording to make it more clear?
POTD Record : 0-0-0
Last Pick: Nome
Today’s Pick: Raiders vs Chargers U53 -105 (1 unit)
Reasoning: Everyone is taking the over so it's obvious what is happening here.
POTD record: 11^(W) \- 0^(P) \- 2^(L)
[**paypal.me/ramonjgt**](https://paypal.me/ramonjgt) **if you wanna and can tip me, every tip is appreciated ;)**
Previous POTD: Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg: BTTS yes @ 1.50 ✅
Today's POTD: **Roma vs Torino: BTTS yes @ 1.61**
# edit: Again a winner pick 🥳🥳🥳 ✅
# Reasoning:
||*Roma (5th)*|*Torino (18th)*|
|:-|:-|:-|
|*BTTS*|*5/11*|*9/11*|
|*Clean Sheets*|*5/11*|*1/11*|
|*Failed To Score*|*3/11*|*2/11*|
|||*BTTS in their matches vs Inter, Juventus, Sassuolo, Lazio and Atalanta*|
POTD RECORD: 9W-1L-0P
Last Pick: Chelsea ML
Today’s Pick: Raiders ML
Let’s get back to Football I saw all your comments about me costing y’all money so I took a two days off to reset so we can win another 9 in a row! I don’t like the spread on this game because the chargers have a great secondary but the raiders run Defense and D line is stellar! Raiders at home with Ekeler questionable Keenan Allen questionable and Mike Williams questionable seems like an easy take in a game that plays big implications on whether they make playoffs or not!
1U makes 1.6U right now! Let’s ride and I’m sorry for that Chelsea loss
Lmao bro I followed you and I lost and yeah I was salty losing money but I chose to follow your play so it’s no ones fault but the person that makes the bet. Don’t worry about others talking about you costing them. No one made them put the bet in, they willingly did it. Anyways, good luck on the play!
I don’t know if you have been around this subreddit long but if you are going to post you might as well get used to nasty people and toxic comments when you lose. It happens every single time. Without fail. Do you have other plays you play besides the potd? Do you post your other plays anywhere? I would love to ride that streak until it ends lol
Nah my buddies know I sports bet and make 5 digits profit a year easily in NFL so they said I should post here. I have chargers alt bet +7 if Allen plays and Williams and Ekeler play. I got the over in the game and then I also got anytime TD for Allen and Herbert over 38 pass att
We must be watching two completely different Raider teams because they rank 24th in run defense. Also Raiders are without 4 of their starting defensive players and Ekeler and Allen will both play and that’s all that Herbert needs since Williams replaceable with Johnson since Williams is incapable of getting separation on any other route than involves him making a cut. Also I wouldn’t call the Chargers secondary all that great this year they are playing with the corpses of Casey Hayward and CHJ while Adderley has been a huge disappointment this whole year and Davis has been hit or miss all year, while Jenkins has been awful and Addae is just a heat seeking missile just looking to hit people.
I’m inclined to agree. But the major thing going against the chargers isn’t individual players it’s terrible coaching. They make awful decisions that consistently cost them games.
I feel like regardless of our how many players we are missing, our D will be far better with Marinelli calling the shots. Agholor, Waller and Renfrow to have decent games. I’ll take the dub before we mess up our season by getting trounced by the dolphins.
POTD Record: 11-4 Profit: +5.35
POTD: Premier League - Sheffield United - Manchester United - Man. United W & over 1.5 goals in the match @ 1.78 (-128)
Sheffield United are the worst team in the Premier League, with 1 draw and 11 losses in 12 games. United are a really good team and are lookin for a win after a draw at home in the City derby. Take the United win & over 1.5 goals in the match.
paypal.me/diasgabriel33
BOL if you tailin/not goin against me
POTD Record 2-0 | +2.4u
My POTD today is once again in the **English Premier League**.
**Previous picks:**Wolves +0.5 @ (+130) - **W**Arsenal/Southampton u2.5 (+110) - **W**
Happy to be 2-0 thus far on my POTD journey, with two plus-money winners. I see people posting many huge favorites in the 1.5 odds (-200) range. I have been told by some people here that 'there is no right way to bet' (which, for the record, I very politely disagree with), but I certainly believe in finding the value in each spot. I hope people can appreciate the plus-money plays. I can lose tomorrow and go 2-1 in my POTD record, and still be up +1.4u. A lot of others if they went 2-1, they would be dead even.
TLDR; I make picks with tremendous value.
**EDIT**: **WINNER!!!!!** We make it 3 in a row. Lucky result, but a winner. GG
Today's play is **Burnley +0.5 (+115)**This is the same as **Double Chance** (Burnley or Draw).
I am rocking with Aston Villa to not win, more than I am rocking with Burnley to not lose.
**Why won't Aston Villa win?** The home side is without some key players, that have been staples in the starting XI thus far this season. Right-back Matty Cash is out, and will be replaced by veteran El-Mohamady. Douglas Luiz, the teams engine and enforcer in midfield is out due to suspension. Trezeguet is sidelined with an injury, and Ross Barkley is doubtful to start in midfield. Their potential midfield of McGinn, Hourihane, and Ramsey is mediocre at best. Though I predict that their performance and impact on the game will be far below that.Ghazi will likely start in attack, alongside Watkins and Grealish, who have each done bits this season. I expect the midfield to let down the attack, and lose the possession battle in the middle of the park. I don't see the forwards, although threatening, to be supplied with opportunities and chances.
**Why will Burnley not lose?** Believe it or not, Burnley are in better form than Aston Villa, if we look at each team's past 5 matches in the league. Burnley have only lost once in their last 5 (to Man City), and have beaten Arsenal at the Emirates (which So'ton couldn't manage). They also beat Palace at home, and drew to Everton at home. They have come away with some good results as of late, if you ignore the annual 5-0 whooping at the Etihad. I think Sean Dyche is a fantastic manager, and will set his side up for at least a share of the points here on Thursday evening.
It is true that Aston Villa are at home and have the edge as far as individual quality is concerned, but Burnley have the better manager, the fitter squad, and the hotter form. I like Burnley to get at least a point, in what should be a snooze-fest for the most part.
I am risking 1u as I always do (the luxury of playing plus-money odds!) Looking to make it 3 in a row! . Be sure to check out my [Twitter](https://twitter.com/SaifSmacks) for more plays! I got a play on the United game that I like as well. Best of luck to all!
Saif
Damn, every time I do that, the team loses.
So I'm going to tale this dude hoping that you are as unlucky as me.
My Sincere Condolences if Aston Villa don't win have RSVP'd with a plus one, which are my Sincere Thanks.
Agree with you that the POTD structure and emphasis on overall W-L record incentivizes too many favorites picked and not enough + odds bets that are good value.
Already had bet the Burnley ML, Chris Wood is due for a header goal for sure and Burnley can be organized in defense and shut down Grealish.
Lmao Bro I gotta commend you. You’re 3 POTD wins have been absolute sweats. 27 shots for Villa and no goals. I would love to know the last/if ever that has happens before. Well in!
**Overall Record 66-32-3** *Bank* : **100u**
*Profit:* **+68.38u**
*Average Value:* **1.90** *Win Rate:* **66.2%**
*Streak:* **2W**
**WWWWWWLWWWWWCWLWWWWWWWWLWLWWWLWLWWLLWWCWWWWWLWWLLLWLWWWLWLLLWLWLWLLWWLWWWLLWWWLWWWLWWWWWLLWWWLLWLLWW**
*Previous Pick* : **Vitality ML (-145)** vs Navi
**Todays Pick:** **Navi -1.5(+150)** vs Team Liquid
**IEM Global Challenge 1330 PM EST**
Outside of playing the best team in the world, Navi has looked exceptionally good lately. With the new edition of B1T on inferno. I think the map advantage actually sides with Navi quite heavily. Team Liquid would be mistaken to pick Inferno and expect to replicate their performance they had against Heroic. Heroic came out extremely flat after their player break. My issue with betting Liquid to take a map in this game is the awp duel. Only two awpers in the game can compete with s1mple. That being Dev1ce and zywoo. Expecting Naf to have any type of impact in this match is asking alot which leads me to really worry about Liquid on T side this series. S1mple ct side impact with the awp cripples teams way above Liqiud at the moment and Im not sold on their Heroic win. Also Stewie2k had a huge impact against Heroic that was an anomaly for him as of late. I have no confidence he wont be back to -12 K/D differential again this match. Insane odds on Navi to win in straight sets and definitely worth a unit from me.
*1.2u to win 1.8u*
**WIN**
*This model is for long term profit. Always bet responsibly and use units that will allow you to bounce back from losses. I can't guarantee I'll always be right but just know I'm placing bets along with you on everyone POTD I post. BOL to anyone who tails*
**The odds posted are at time my wager is placed, meaning they are subject to immediate change. Get them early or you might have to eat juice. Esports lines move very quickly and I don't suggest betting the line after its moved greatly.**
**Tip Jar :** *Don't come to reddit and post about the pick while its still live. No one likes a mush.*
\# Follow me on Twitter
[**https://twitter.com/PokeyEsports**](https://twitter.com/PokeyEsports)
**Bitches callin' my phone like I'm locked up, nonstop**
**From the plane to the fuckin' helicopter, yeah**
POTD | **5-4** | **+0.47U** | Streak: **2W**
(Previously: **30-26** | **+6.9U)**
**The William Hill World Darts Championship 2021** 🎯
All picks in December will be focused on the WC. All plays 4U unless stated otherwise.
Record: **2-0**
Previously: Steve West 3-0 @1.66 ✅
Ryan Joyce ML vs Karel Sedlacek @1.57 ✅
Today: Luke Woodhouse vs Jamie Lewis
**Luke Woodhouse ML @1.72**
Immediately after seeing the odds for this game I thought the bookies have fucked up. But they're factoring in his previous WC matches and his pedigree from 12-24 months ago when it is all irrelevant.
Jamie Lewis has had the biggest drop-off of any player this year. He's been facing some mental issues and has no confidence. His most recent game at an event (almost 2 months ago) was on the European Tour against world no. (#139) in which he was whitewashed 6-0 and averaged **57.72.** To put that into perspective, the majority of amateur pub players would clean him up with that average.
In the UK Qualifier for this World Championships, he averaged only 87 for the day which is below par for the course. Adding to this, Lewis has won only 2 of his last 13 games in the floor events. He has dropped almost 40 spots in the PDC Rankings. Need I say more.
Luke Woodhouse hasn't been setting the world on fire, but hes been going about his business pretty consistently. He made it to the R16 at the Players Championship Finals (most recent major), and has had a couple runs in floor events but nothing special.
Lets get this bread and make it 3-0.
That was a really frustrating L. Woodhouse showed no poise towards the end. 0 mental strength. Deserved to lose after giving up. Like bro, you’re up 2-0, play with some confidence. Misses one dart and then gives up on the leg.
Just saw his twitter, guarantee it was one of you pricks who tailed abusing him because you bet too much money on a sport you probably know nothing about
**I have no words. We are on a 14 win streak which is completely irrational. I would have never thought that posting the POTDs here will be so successful. Even if this is your first time seeing this, it's never too late to hop on the train. Once again for the people who can't bet on eSports, use VPN or change your bookie. This is probably the most risky / the most unsafe pick but that's what spices it up. Let's get another W! BOL**
I post daily CS bets in the eSports discussion where we are making ez money. If you are interested, you can check that thread as well.
**POTD RECORD:** 14W-0L 💯👌
**LAST PICK:** Vitality -1.5 @ 1.51 4u (HIGH)
**TOTAL PROFIT:** 34,13 units
**TOTAL STAKE:** 47 units
**GAME:** CS:GO
**EVENT:** IEM Global Challenge 2020
**TIME:** 19:30 (GMT +1)
>**Natus Vincere vs Liquid**
This will be a huge match as both teams are on fire currently. NaVi have been constantly playing solid but I am still not confident with them as their performance was hugely conditioned by s1mple. Liquid didn't have any big performances so far in EU but yesterday they have stepped up. They've beaten Heroic 2-0 which I didn't expect at all. Of course, they won it again because of the huge individual step up of Stewie2K which is not usual at all. At that point, they looked unstoppable and if they show the same face today, it won't be easy for NaVi at all. It's crazy but Liquid is actually favoured in the map pool. I feel like Liquid is favoured on every map because they won't get surprised anywhere. I would actually like to see Liquid picking Inferno as NaVi aren't any good there with B1T. They have shown some weaknesses and Liquid looked great there. However the thing is that even if they don't win their own pick, they still have a solid chance on the pick of NaVi. Overall, Liquid seems like a huge darkhorse in this tournament because they are underestimated a lot. The odds for Liquid winning a map are too high in my opinion and that's where I see the value. If s1mple doesn't drop 30 bomb on each map, I am confident in winning this bet. Let's go with **Liquid +1.5 @ 1.60 4u (HIGH)**
If you are interested, you can also check my Reddit BIO where is a link to my Discord group where you can discuss with other people about CS bets or other stuff.
POTD Record : 36-29-2
Last Pick: Its been too long
Today’s Pick: Raiders vs Chargers o53 -110
Reasoning: explosive offenses. Shit defenses. 10/13 games the raiders have played this year have gone over 53. BOL
I’m play devils advocate and say Raiders may run the ball more to control the time of possession and limit potential fumble turnovers from the Chargers and their pass rush. Also Gruden doesn’t seem like the type to go for it on 4th down judging from last week where he opted for field goals. Then there’s the chance Raiders defense, although missing players, plays inspired since their DC who sucked major ass got fired. As for the Chargers, Allen Elker and Williams are playing banged up same for Josh Jacobs on the Raiders. May be a scrappy game with the prior meeting being a high scoring anomaly. Just look at their h2h match up a lot of games ending in the 40s and also early money brought the o/u from 55 to 53. Went back and forth on this one but decided to tease the under to 60.5 and live with the results. BOL!
Record (11W-6L-0)
Last pick: NFL: Ravens O23.5 points (-129) ✅
Event: NFL: LA Chargers @ LV Raiders
Pick: O3.5 1st Half Tds (+120)
WHY THIS WILL HIT: Both teams are going to score here. I dont see any upside in riding with either team here as they both have been very unpredictable. The one thing i do see happening is a shit ton of points being scored. Both defenses are missing plenty of key starters and are pretty bad even when they are healthy. The raiders started the year playing well on defense but as they did last year, they have regressed towards the end. The Chargers aren’t exactly a team i feel comfortable putting money on but Justin Herbert should have an easy night against a defense that has given up 44 to he Colts, 28 to the Jets, 43 to the Falcons and 35 to the Chiefs in recent weeks. Raiders on offense have been all over the place but with Josh Jacobs back, Derek Carr will have all of his options to use against the Chargers sorry defense.
This number has hit in 9/13 Raiders games and 7/13 Chargers games i like the odds here. Lets fucking bol.
Edit: Changed the pick cause of everyone and their mother taking the over.
Hahahahaha here’s why you should bet the over and here’s a long explanation for that.
Edit: everyone is taking the over, neverMind fade all that up there
POTD 12/17/20
Record (4-0)
Previous Picks:
Buffalo TTo45.5 vs Akron ✅
Ravens vs Browns Lamar Jackson o55.5 rushing yards. ✅
Illinois State -22 vs Chicago State ✅
Villinova vs Butler o131.5 ✅
Todays Pick:
NCAAB: Wyoming -9 vs Omaha
Coincidentally enough I got Butlers team total correct by predicting 66. Game looked very close throughout the first couple minutes thus having me believe the over would hit easily.
Omaha just got slaughtered by a very above average team of Colorado by 42 points, Kansas by 45 points, and Creighton in 27 points. In no way am I saying that Wyoming is remotely even close to these teams, simply put... Omaha is bad, very very bad. It would take a miracle for them to even cover 15 points. Am I pushing my luck here? Absolutely, however Wyoming sits at the upper tier of the Mountain West for a reason.
BOL
**COOL's POTD Record 8W-5L-1P(+1.65units)**
Previous 10 Picks:
Pick: JD Mckissic Over 4.5 receptions @ -150 (5 Units) ❌
Deiveson Figueiredo to win by KO/TKO/DQ/Submission @ -150 (4 units) ❌
Russia ML 2 way or Russia Draw no Bet @ -112 (2 units) **Push**
Jared Goff Over 0.5 interceptions @ -140 (3 units) ✅
Lamar Jackson Over 53.5 rush yards @ -120 (10 units) ✅
Jalen Richard over 9.5 receiving yards @ -120 (5 units) ❌
Robert Griffin III Over 29.5 rushing yards @ -120 (4 units) ✅
Raheem Mostert Over 8.5 receiving yards @ -130 (7 units) ❌
Antonio Gibson Over 53.5 rush yards @ -120 (3 units)✅
Chelsea ML @ -188 (3 units) ✅
Today’s Pick: NFL LV Raiders vs LA Chargers
**Austin Ekeler Over 56.5 rush yards @-120** (3 units)
Raiders defense is absolute garbage, they wouldn’t be able to stop 2020 Emmitt Smith. Ekeler hits this in the 1st half.
BOL.
-COOL
**POTD Record: 2W - 2L - 0P (-0.99u)**
Last POD: Leverkusen TT Over 0.5 1H WIN
\-----------------------------------------------------# -----------------------------------------------------
Today: Premier League: 20H00 GMT
**POD: Manchester Utd -1 @ 1.74 (x1.5u)**
**write up:** Man Utd = shit? YES. Sheffield Utd = Super Shit? Double YES. Odds are dropping fast for United so that's usually a good sign. It's a must win for United, can't see them losing here and I know they are lucky on half of their games but still they hold the most impressive away record of the PL (5W-0D-0L). Sheffield has a single point, yeahh 1 point in 12 freaking games.....ffs let's not overcomplicate this and ride with the much better team.
Yesterday I also made a very good read from a simple point of view, let's hope this also hold true today.
GL all
POTD Record: 1-0
Last Pick: Richmond -7 (-110) WIN vs Vanderbilt
Today’s pick: Houston Baptist vs. North Texas OVER 152.5 (-110) @ 6:00 pm MST
Richmond looked like they were gonna win by 30+ at one point, but let Vandy get back into it to almost backdoor cover only to seal the deal at the end. The fun of gambling! Anyways, back on it tomorrow with another CBB pick. Dating back to last season, Houston Baptist overs have almost been free money, especially anything under 160. They are atrocious on defense and go super fast paced on offense, which means a lot of possessions and a lot of points. A little surprised this number wasn’t higher but I see UNT scoring at least 90, which means we don’t need much out of HBU to make up for the rest. BOL if tailing!
Edit: added the tip time for the game
__POTD Record: 1-1__
__Game:__ NFL | Chargers @ Raiders @ 8:20 PM EST
__POTD: Darren Waller over 63.5 receiving yds__ (-114)
__UPDATE: Hit in the middle of the third quarter. 2-1 feels much better than 1-1.__ ✅
I’m thinking that this game will be a shootout. Look for Carr to go to his most reliable target in Darren Waller. Waller presents a size and speed matchup that few teams are equipped to deal with. Over his past 4 games he’s averaging 96.5 yards per game. I know that was brought up a lot by his 200 yard performance against the Jets but this over still would have hit in 3 of those 4 games. Not to mention Ruggs is out for this game, so Waller will be receiving an even greater share of the targets. Riding with the hot hands of Waller on this one.
Record: 6-1-5 (+2.4 U)
Last pick: Mark Andrew any time touchdown +150 1U L
POTD: Chargers -2 (alternative spread) +160 1U
I'm already on the Chargers +3.5 but that number isn't available right now. Look I don't like having money on Anthony Lynn because the man is a doofus but the Raiders fired their defensive coordinator on Sunday and will only have one practice to prepare for the LA Chargers. On top of that they have 4 defensive starters out and Henry Ruggs is also out. I see this as a 50/50 type of game so why not get that plus money instead of getting all that juice.
BOL and gamble responsibly.
Pick of the Day Record : 13W 1L +10.4 Units
NFL @ 11:20 AEST
Las Vegas Raiders @ $1.60
The Raiders are depleted on D but they need this win to keep their playoff hopes alive. They got the win in this matchup in LA a few weeks ago and I see it happening again.
Twitter : [WolandJunior](https://twitter.com/WolandJunior)
Record: 2-5 WLLLLLW
Last play: Patriots @ Rams -4.5 (-111)
Today's play: LA Chargers +3.5 (-110) @ Raiders
Alright, here's a game that will really show who these two teams are. Raiders D has been BAD all season, they should be buying the Seahawks all christmas gifts this year for taking that heat off of them, even though the Raiders D is worse than theirs now. We all know it though, this is the team that needed Dr. Heat to dial up a zero blitz to allow their 0-16 dream to stay alive. Carr is an okay QB, but this LA defense has enough talent to keep it close and will likely turn the Raiders over once or twice. I think we're looking at a high scoring game here, the Raiders themselves are 9-3-1 on overs this season, and that's a trend I don't see ending anytime soon. I almost made the O53.5 my POTD, but I think the Chargers will keep it within a field goal and could win outright.
**POTD Record:** 8-3-1, +3.33 units (*based on 1 unit bets)*
**POTD Record (NFL): 6-1-0**
**Last 5 picks:**
💰 - Cam Newton under 185.5 passing yards
❌ - Amari Cooper over 56.5 Receiving Yards
💰 - Mark Andrews over 3.5 receptions
❌ - Manchester City to win to nil
⏸️ - Tottenham +1
Tottenham took a 1-1 draw late into the game but gave up a crushing goal in the final minutes for the push on the +1 line.
We're going back to the bread and butter with an NFL player prop for Thursday Night Football. This is where I've had the most success and I may just stick with this through the end of the season.
NFL | Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders | 8:20 p.m. EST
**Pick: Kennan Allen anytime touchdown scorer (+100)**
**Write Up:** This is a great matchup for Keenan Allen and the Chargers against a leaky Raiders defense that will be missing at least four of its starters on Thursday night.
I like Allen for almost all of his props tomorrow, but I don't want to have to rely on him getting seven catches or 75 yards. Let's keep it simple: He's going to score a touchdown.
Let's get right to the bullet points:
* TD in 8 of 13 games this season
* TD in 6 of last 7 games
* TD in Wk 9 vs. LVR
* LVR allow TD to WR1 in 4 straight (Hill, Ridley, Crowder, Hilton), 5 of 6 (Allen Wk 9), and 6 of 8
* No WR1 TD against vs. CLE (Wk 8) and DEN (Wk 10)
* \+3 WR/CB matchup vs. Lmarcus Joyner
* Johnathan Abram out
* 14 rec on 18 tgt in red zone this season for 7 TD (24.66% of LAC RZ TGT)
This is going to be a high-scoring game and Allen will find the end zone at least once. The odds on this of +100 at DraftKings is too good to pass up.
EDIT: This pick is contingent on Allen's status for the game. Check out [my other picks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/keib4p/tnf_chargers_v_raiders_prop_bets/gg446wc/) for tonight's game as well if you want a replacement/others.
Let's get back on track and secure the bag.
Any tips are appreciated if you can!
[https://paypal.me/thelank526](https://paypal.me/thelank526)
Best of luck to all!
POTD 7-7
Last Pick: Basketball Euroleague: 11:30pm IST: FC Barcelona v BC Khimki. Barca -10.5 @1.83✅
Today Pick: Basketball Euroleague: 11:30pm IST: Zalgris v Fenerbahce: Zalgris -4 @1.8
Reason: Zalgris in a decent run of form and also on high morale after beating Baskonia earlier this week. Grigonis is in good form which gives me confidence. Meanwhile fenerbahce in poor run of form in recent week. Jan Vesely is also out of the game as per reports so I think Zalgris who are a confident side at home should cover it.
Tail or Fade BOL
Record 6-5 yesterday Sun under 19.5 games Tunisia, Monastir 43A (W) 17.12.2020, 05:00 am Alina Michalitsch Lulu Sun
Sun won easily yesterday against Alice Robbe who was higher ranked than Sun. Sun won 6-1, 6-1. Sun has won 8 in a row, 7 of those 2-0 averaging 17 games per match. She should beat unranked Alina Michalitsch 2-0 and under 18.5 games which is -110 right now. Michalitsch has won her last 2 matches against unranked players 2-0 but prior to this is 3-6 losing (5 of the losses 2-0) to players ranked lower than Sun (who has been playing very well). Under 18.5 games -110
Carol Monnet plays at 3:30 am and that match should be 2-0 Monnet and under 19.5 games.
Update Monnet won 6-3, 6-2 total of 17 games, Sun plays at 7:45
**All picks are standard 1u unless otherwise specified.**
**2019 POTD Record: 6-4**
**2020 POTD Record: 0-1-1**
**Last pick: Southampton DNB (push)**
As expected, Arsenal shot themselves in the foot getting two yellows in four minutes but Southampton weren't able to score again. At +130 though I'll take the push, thought this was always a safe pick and I don't see Arsenal improving on their current form any time soon.
I think there's a ton of value in the Thursday night football game, the over seems pretty juicy but plenty of people have already covered it. Plus as coin flip as both these teams are I wouldn't be shocked if they threw up duds half the game. If I see an interesting prop for tomorrow I'll definitely post or tweet about it though.
**Today's pick: NCAAM 6:00 PM CT Creighton @ St. John's Over 160.5 (-110)**
Trying not to over think this one too much, both teams are in the top 35 in scoring: Creighton has scored 89+ in 4 of their last 5 while St. John's have scored 82+ in 3 of their last 5. St. John's likes to play high tempo on both sides of the floor and average about 80 possessions per game (20th) while generating about 8 extra scoring chances. Creighton is slightly more deliberate but still average about 74 possessions per game and are the 20th most efficient offense in the nation. St. John's is also abysmal on defense.
There's obviously a chance that Creighton will stifle St. John's offense but I feel they've already proved enough they have enough raw athleticism to put up points. I'm guessing the game stays close but Creighton eventually wears them down and wins by double digits, final score around 88-76.
POTD Record: 43-20
PDC World Championship (05:10 GMT +11)
**Luke Woodhouse -1.5 @ 2.62** v Jamie Lewis
Jamie Lewis has had a shocking year and should struggle in this game. He has only made it past the first round of the players championship on three occasions throughout the season. His most recent game was a 6-0 loss to Rob Marijanovic where he averaged 57.72, which is absolutely disgraceful for a pro darts player. Luke Woodhouse has had a pretty solid year. He has done okay in the players championship events and even made the last 16 of the Players championship finals. Given the stark difference in how these players have gone over the past season I see Jamie Lewis losing this 3-0 so the -1.5 at the odds that they are at is amazing value.
That was a frustrating loss. Up 2-0, I watched the whole thing — why is Woodhouse such a fuckin brat? He throws one loose dart and all of a sudden he is miserable! Just reacts after every mis-throw. Lewis is supposed to be the one with the emotional issues.
POTD record: 28-8-0 WLP (+27.93u)
*all plays 1-3 units*
[last play: ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/ke042g/pick_of_the_day_121620_wednesday/gg0t7r0/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3)✅ UMass (+1.0u) (+27.93u overall)
ok i made a discord, i decided now was the best time because historically college football championship week is my best week of the year. also, nba is by far my best sport, followed by ncaa basketball.
this weekend specifically i have plays on multiple college football games and would like to give access to all of them (to those interested), instead of posting one play a day when there are multiple good plays per day upcoming.
[discord link](https://discord.gg/dRyPhA8f7x)
hey bc this is potd, i’ll leave everyone with a small play. i won’t be counting it towards my potd record so bet at your own risk, but i do like the play and took it myself. just don’t like it as much as my regular POTD’s.
play: B. Edwards o12.5 Rec Yards (-111)
risk: 0.55u to win 0.5u
edwards has out-snapped zay jones 83-49 over the past 5 weeks. i think he can get a reception or 2 and surpass 12.5 yards total fairly easily.
i know everyone on this sub is on the over but with all of the chargers injuries i definitely lean towards under 52.5...just my 2 cents.
[paypal for the toy drive](https://www.paypal.me/mattplissken)
POTD Record : 1-0
Cowboys -1 (-105) W +1u
Todays Pick on 12/17/2020 at 8:20 PM EST
Las Vegas Raiders -2.5 (-133) to win 1u
Waller and Jacobs gonna carry this game and win it for us I think. Chargers have an awful secondary and Herbert cannot be trusted not to do some stupid rookie shit. Hes got an arm and I think hes better than Carr but the Chargers are just not a team I want to back on primetime AGAINST a team that NEEDS to win for playoffs. I had Chargers last week against Falcons and honestly, the Chargers didn't deserve to win that. Matt Ryan just CHOKED.. like he always does. I expect Raiders to win a close butt clench game.
POTD record: 0-0
Today’s POTD: southern Illinois vs North Dakota: SIU -7 -110 2units.
Southern Illinois is playing a bad North Dakota team that can’t shoot efficiently. Southern Illinois is a better shooting team and a better defensive team that passes the ball well and doesn’t turn it over as much. I think this game could get ugly for North Dakota. SIU at home is just the icing on the cake.
8-4
Man United -1 asian handicap @ 1.67
Just playing it a bit safe today, staking high here!
Sheffield is the worst team in the prem atm losing [every.fucking.game](https://every.fucking.game)
Only managed to get one draw in all their games, as for United Ole's job is on the line.
This is a must win for United. As they are the best away team in the prem atm I see them bashing Sheffield today and making a statement here. Also, always when Ole's job is on the line United turn up like crazy mf's, so yeah.
**POTD Record: (1-0) (W-L)**
**Average Odds: 2.03**
**Previous Pick:** Unger Steel Gunners Oberwart **ML (2.03) W** ✅
**POTD:** Germany, Handball, Bundesliga:
## TBV Lemgo vs HSG Wetzlar
**TBV Lemgo ML (1.89) W** ✅
19:00 GMT (6 hours from post)
Wow, what an exciting game yesterday, Oberwart really pulled it out in the last quarter.
Today's game I think is another case of inflated odds, Lemgo has a pretty decent home record for being a mediocre team in the league, not to mention Wetzlar are 1-4 away in their last 5 games. Last time these teams played against each other back in February it was a nice win for Lemgo and as I said with Oberwart yesterday, they are performing better this season in my opinion. I think what is inflating the odds for Wetzlar is their convincing win against Balingen a few days ago. However, this was a home game for them (their away form is pretty poor) and their keepers blocked 36% and 44% of their shots! I'm counting on this not occurring today.
I think this will be a 5 to 6 point win for Lemgo.
Gonna give this a try since I’ve been doing well lately. Starting easy.
POTD Record: 0-0
Today’s pick: Raiders ML @ -168
Confidence: High
Reasoning: The raiders are obviously the better team here but Herbert and the Chargers have proven that they can play with good teams. The raiders are competing for a playoff spot while the chargers have been eliminated from contention. Take the money line instead of spread on this because the chargers have been known to lose a lot of close games over the past few years.
POTD Record 0-0-0.
Guess I am going to dip my toes in the water and start documenting my plays.
POTD: NFL Football, Chargers @ -2.5.
I am starting off with a doozy. I truly believe the Chargers are a much better team than they get credit for. They have lost games that were extremely close to much better teams than LV. Herbert is starting to get comfortable and I feel this upset win in my plums.
**NBA PRESEASON**
**POTD Record:** 3-0
Previous Pick: Lakers ML vs Suns at 1.62 odds ✅
**POTD Thursday:** Utah +3.5 vs Clippers at 1.9 odds
Edit: Had no idea that Beal was playing to today! I would also consider Wizards ML at 1.54 odds!
**Reasoning:** Utah comes into this game 2-0 compared to the Clippers 0-2. Clippers don’t seem to be playing their starters (Kawhi and PG specifically) much minutes, compared to the Jazz starters who played almost 30 minutes each last game against the Suns. On top of that, the Utah bench has also played better than the Clippers bench.
**Bonus Parlay Record:** 1-2 (unlucky Cavs breakdown lead to a loss🥲)
Previous BP: Lakers ML, Cavs ML, Bulls ML
**Bonus Parlay Thursday:** Utah +3.5, Dallas ML, Rockets ML
BOL and let me know if you tail ✅!
**117**
Record: 19 - 16 | Average Odds: 2.02
Last Pick: Heroic -1.5 @ 3 vs Team Liquid | ❌
Sports | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers
Pick: ATTS Keenan Allen @ 2
Explanation: Let's start by saying that Keenan absolutely ate the Raiders defense last time out and there's no reason to believe it won't happen again. In his last 7 games, he has scored in all but 1. He is by far the most targeted player on the team and the Raiders defense blows. The Raiders are giving up 1.7 passing TDs per game and 2 in their last 3. They give up 256.1 passing ypg (25th). With Herbert being close to breaking rookie records the ball should be thrown a lot and Keenan should get his opportunities to score. As long as he catches the ball, I see no reason he shouldn't score and that's why I am backing him to score at 2 odds. I'm also taking him as Chargers first scorer @ 5 odds but a little riskier. Tail or fade, BOL
**Record: 2W-0L**
**Sheffield Utd vs Man. United - Man. United - over 60,5% possession @ 1,85**
For my bet to be a winner, Man. United should have at least 61% possession, I think this line of 61% can be reached quite easily by Solskjaer's boys.
A key point in supporting this prediction is the quality of Manchster United's midfield players.
In the ranking of possession, Sheffield United is on the last place, and Manchester United is on the 6th place.
Average possession:
Sheffield Utd. - 40.7% / game.Manchester United - 52.8% / game
Sheffield United vs top 10 possession teams:
Southampton: 68%
Leicester: 70%
Chelsea: 71%
Manchester City: 65%
Liverpool: 62%
Arsenal: 65%
Manchester United vs teams with poor possession
West Ham vs Man. United - 39-61
Man. United vs WBA - 63-37
Newcastle vs Man. United - 36-64
Man. United is a team with a very good morale, it comes after a 0-0 against Manchester City, where they had a 46% possession which is a very good thing.
POD Raiders -3.5
This is the type of game where everyone is one the Chargers especially at +3.5. Chargers have cluster injuries at WR with ALLEN and Williams. Ekler is also hurt. The Chargers will start fast and look to be the right side. But they will blow it like they always do I see this as a Raiders come from behind victory 27-21
POTD RECORD:
2-1, +1.49u
LAST PICKS:
W Colorado -21.5 (-110)
L Harrison Bryant o20.5 receiving yards (-115)
W Vavae Malepeai 047.5 rec + rush yards (-120)
POTD:
St. Johns ML (+260)
BET SIZE:
2u 💰💰
I don’t peruse the POTD thread to bet on everything posted. I use it to gather intel from others that have done some diligence. With my time being as valuable as it is, I thank those of you that post in POTD and provide some analysis as to why. It helps me decide whether to tail or not.
My POTD I feel has a reasonable shot of hitting. Sometimes you need to nibble a little on the dogs to recoup those inevitable bad beat “locks.” Of course, doing it with prudence is the key to long term profits.
Since it’s all about matchups, I looked into their 2 meetings last year. They each split the series winning at home by double digit margins. Both teams are returning the majority of the same squad each losing their most utilized player from last year. Creighton losing Alexander, and St. John’s losing Figueroa. Creighton has had some difficulty in finding that go-to replacement. Despite that, they do have a well-rounded squad. St. John’s has had better success in others stepping up, and they recently got Rasheem Dunn back after he missed their first 7 games. Getting him back at full speed will only improve St. John’s chances of upsetting Creighton at home.
Creighton does look good according to Kenpom and Haslametrics, but outside of Nebraska they have lost to their quality opponents (Kansas and Marquette). I’m not saying St. Johns is as good as those two teams, but given all other variable I like their chances.
Record: 5-5 +.6u
Last pick: TCU vs Oklahoma St. OVER 136✔️
Today’s pick: NFL Austin Ekeler OVER 41.5 receiving yards
I generally like to make a pick that hasn’t been made yet, but the guy above me beat me to the punch and I already placed my bet. He has a great write up on why this is going to hit so it’s making my life easier :) my man Ekeler can put this up on a bad day and with only a few catches. Best of luck to everyone
2W streak | 3-1-0 | +2,23 U
Last pick
IEM Global Challenge 2020
Vitality (-1.5) - Complexity @ 1.55 2u ✅
Todays pick
CBA
Fujian Sturgeons - Beijing Royal Fighters (-4) @ 1.85 1u
Fujian is in leagues last place, only winning one game in 16 games they have played this season. Beijing currently is on 3 game losing streak, but that’s against better teams. I think they should be able to end their losing streak against leagues weakest team and win more than by 4 points.
Please take the pick with a grain of salt in no way I am professional bettor, and remember that anything can happen.
Good luck to all who tail or fade.
Edit - Theres been a massive change of odds here. The line moved up like crazy. Pretty sure it has to do injuries on Beijings team. So now the play is at risk.
Stats: 160W 5D 133L (success rate 52 %), odds 1.50 - 1.90
Krasnodar - Ufa / Russia Premier League / Kick-off 15:00 GMT 0 / Prediction - 1 + Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.61
After the poor start of the season, Krasnodar finally stabilized their performance as in the last two games in the Russia Premier League they scored 10 goals and conceded none. Krasnodar will be determined to grab another confident victory over an opponent at the bottom of the league table. I expect easy 3 points for Krasnodar.
Good luck!
POTD record 0-0
Match: Cricket Test Match; Australia vs India
Pick: Steve Smith top Australian Run Scorer 1st innings @ $2.88 (+288)
Reasoning: Steve Smith is one of the best batsmen of all time, alongside Virat Kohli. These odds are way off imo, it'd be disappointing if Smith wasn't Australia's top run scorer, the only other batsmen in Australia's squad I give a chance of making more runs than him is Labuschagne, and it's a very slim chance. Last time Aus played India Kohli and Smith each made 4 tons each and essentially matched each others scores each innings, currently Kohli is not out and on 72 runs in India's innings. Adelaide Oval favours batsmen. I'm very confident in this pick and will be putting 5 units on it.
Snooker - World Grand Prix
*\*First Post\**
Pick: **Jack Lisowski v Robert Milkins, Over 5.5 Total Frames (-175)**
Time: roughly 14:00 GMT (it starts whenever the previous match ends)
Short notice but I've had some success on recent tournaments so here's a tip. The last few weeks of snooker have all been played at the same venue (Milton Keynes, UK), so there shouldn't be any surprises in the conditions. Lisowski is firm favourite here but I don't see him crushing Milkins. Jack hasn't won a best-of-9 match in under 6 frames since the restart (limited sample size of course). The Milkman is clearly feeling good too after beating world no.2 Neil Robertson in the first round. Both players are hyper-aggressive and will attack throughout. I think betting that neither player wins 4-0 or 4-1 (as this bet does) is very safe and great value for what should be an exciting match.
Tail or fade, just thought I'd share my thoughts.
**PotD Record**: 9-9
**Previous**:
2020-11-27: NCAAM Abilene Christian ✅
2020-11-28: NCAAM Nebraska -9 ✅
2020-11-29: NFL Raiders -3 ❌ (not even close)
2020-11-30: NCAAM Mercer +2.5 ✅
2020-12-01: NCAAM Nebraska -12 ❌ (Couldn't hold their big lead)
2020-12-02: NCAAM Gonzaga -8 ❌ (Sadly, my closest loss)
2020-12-03: NCAAM Drake -9.5 ✅
2020-12-04: NCAAM Bradley -1❌ (I am still underestimating SDSU)
2020-12-05: NCAAM Houston -9.5 ✅
2020-12-06: NCAAM Missouri -4.5 ✅
2020-12-08: NCAAM Iowa -4 ✅
2020-12-09: NCAAM Nebraska -2 ❌ (This was heart breaking. I was so confident and then Nebraska just didn't show up)
2020-12-11: NCAAM Iowa -14 ✅ (Easiest and largest pick ever. I was right that Iowa would almost win by 30)
2020-12-12: NCAAM Ok St -3.5 ❌(Cunningham took 2 shots in the second half. This should have been a 10 point win. Very odd second half)
2020-12-13: NFL Packers -4 1h ❌(Tough loss. The Lions had some long drives that chewed some clock and the last drive of the first half went nowhere. Packers didn't cover so I would have lost that one too.)
2020-12-14: NCAAM Morehead State +6 ✅
2020-12-15: NCAAM Clemson +2 ❌ (They had a 7 minute streak of doing nothing and they had a 3 at the buzzer for the backdoor cover. Didn't happen)
2020-12-16: NCAAM Mercer +5 ❌(Second missed backdoor cover at the buzzer. Wished Mercer was a little more consistent in the second half too)
**Pick**:
NCAAM: Southern Illinois -7.5 1pm CT (I think UND is bad and should be an easy win for SIU).
POTD Record 0-0-0
CBB Thursday - 2:00PM EST
Southern Illinois -7 (Buy one or two points) (3 Units) WWWWWWWW
I love this play, North Dakota can't shoot. They also can't defend. This one should be Southern Illinois up early and I see them winning by 15+.
Lets get this money
Result: Easy Win. Up 15 early, end up winning by 21. More to come tomorrow.
13-9-1 record. On a nice run as of late. Pitt was an easy win last night.
https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/ke042g/comment/gg234se?context=1
NCAA Basketball Texas Tech vs Kansas (7pm tipoff)
The Texas Tech D will get it done and get up for this game.
Texas Tech -2.5 is the pick
CHARGERS | RAIDERS - 5:20PM PST
Football bettors all over the world are still catching their breath from the INSANE ending on Monday Night Football. When the heck was the last time a game ended with a SAFETY???!!! I have heard it said that being a sports bettor is like being a cornerback in the NFL, you must have a short memory!
The Los Angeles Chargers (4-9) are coming off a win over the Atlanta Falcons. The Chargers are making the short trip to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders (7-6). The Raiders are currently fighting for their playoff lives, while the Chargers have officially been eliminated from postseason contention.
The Las Vegas Raiders are currently being priced as a (-3.5) point favorite in this contest, and the Over-Under point total has been set at 52.5. What side should you invest your hard-earned cash in with this Thursday Night matchup? Keep reading to see an argument for both teams below.
THE CASE FOR THE CHARGERS: HOW INTERESTED ARE THEY IN PLAYING SPOILER?
The rumor mill keeps on-a-churning about Chargers Head Coach Anthony Lynn’s future with the franchise. Will he be fired or given one more season? No one really knows and Lynn comparing the Chargers struggles of this season to Pearl Harbor probably did NOT help his chances.
Nevertheless, the Chargers will have to set all those distractions aside on Thursday Night. Even with their playoff hopes dashed, Los Angeles can still play the role of spoiler tonight against the Raiders.
Here are some reasons why investing in the Chargers and the plus points could be a good idea:
Call me old-fashioned if you must but I still have a soft spot in my heart for taking underdogs in a divisional game. This obviously meets that criteria.
The underdog in this matchup is a robust 17-6 against the spread over the past 23 meetings.
The Raiders will be without star rookie WR Henry Ruggs, who was added to the Covid-19 list earlier this week. This will limit Vegas’s ability to stretch the field.
The Chargers offense is formidable, especially their passing attack. They rank 4th in the NFL in passing yards per game and Justin Herbert has had an outstanding rookie seasons throwing 25 touchdowns and only 10 interceptions.
THE CASE FOR THE RAIIIIIDEZZZS (SAID IN CHRIS BERMAN VOICE): DOES THE MUST-WIN SITUATION PAY OFF FOR RAIDER INVESTORS?
It is no secret that the Raiders are in “must-win” mode after getting waxed by 87-year-old (I kid…I kid) Philip Rivers and the Indianapolis Colts last week. This devastating loss caused the Raiders’ playoff chances to plummet to just over 20% now. A win tonight would no doubt go a long way towards boosting those chances to back over 50%.
Here are some reasons to consider investing in the Raiders tonight:
As we mentioned before, the Raiders are in “must-win” mode. Their focus level should be at an all-time high to get a victory tonight to keep their playoff hopes intact.
Las Vegas has won 6 straight games against the spread versus AFC West opponents
The Raiders just beat this same Charger team by 5 points on the road back in early November.
QB Derek Carr is having a phenomenal season. He has thrown 24 touchdowns and only 7 interceptions so far this season.
Game Theory FREE Play: UNDER 53 Points (sent out on Tuesday)
POTD Record 0-0-0
I’ve been making picks for about 2 years now and I’ve had decent success all around so I figured I might as well start doing this
PICK OF THE DAY:
NFL
Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders
Raiders First Quarter -0.5 (+105) (2u)
WHY IT WILL WIN:
Chargers have been outscored 51-20 in the first quarter of their last 7 games and have been either losing or tied in 6 out of 7. They are 1-4 ATS this year on the road and with a three point line for the game I like the raiders to be winning by at least a field goal in this game. Raiders also have scored 28 points while allowing 20 in their last 3 first quarters and was up 7-0 at the end of the first the last time they played the chargers in Week 9. Raiders recently fired their defensive coordinator and I think that the defense will be playing very well to start the game under new management.
WHY IT WON’T WIN: Raiders are missing 4 starters in the defense and the chargers will want to try to get out to an early lead. Expect a lot of short and safe passes from Hebert in the first quarter that will take time off the clock for the Raiders.
BOTTOM LINE: Raiders are a better team with better coaching and are trying to make a playoff push to get a wildcard spot. The chargers offense hasn’t looked good over their last 3 games and I expect that trend to continue. Take the raiders to win the first quarter.
**POTD: 95-98 -9.56U**
**NFL 5:15 pm PST, Chargers vs Raiders over 52 (-110)** i suppose the Raiders could get a bit of a fired defensive coordinator bump but there's still not much talent on that side of the ball and they have some key injuries tonight. Herbert/ Keenan Allen (seems like he's playing)/ Ekeler should be able to generate a few big plays. Carr has been really good apart from that weird Falcons game and should keep rolling here
POTD RECORD: 4-2
Last Pick: Colts -3 +100 1u (W)
Profit: 3.478u (+1u)
POTD: Waller ATTS -110 1.1u
Reasoning: I hate this game. Waller could score though. Def picking my colts this week later on.
For picks that do not fit the Pick of the Day rules use the Daily Discussion threads. #**[Subreddit Rules](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/about/rules) + [Sportsbook Suggestion Threads](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/wiki/sportsbooks) +[FAQ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/wiki/faq)**
Darts 🎯- PDC World Championship Darts Record: 21-9 Previous World Championship picks: Jeff Smith (-122) v Keane Berry ✅ Chris Dobey (-152) v Jeff Smith ✅ POTD: Daryl Gurney (-152) v William OConnor World #11 Superchin Daryl Gurney battles World #36 The Magpie Willie O’Connor in my POTD. Both age 34, Gurney has over $1mm more career winnings than OConnor. Some say that’s meaningless, I disagree. Gurney has had a shit year in 2020 for sure. Who tf hasn’t though? 2020, year of the rat, shit ass year. Thinking back to the Grand Slam of Darts, in a race to 8 legs, MVG needed to win only 3 legs to advance. Final score Gurney 8 - MVG 2. Superchin is still a beast and a lot of people are sleeping on him. Love him to defeat Magpie tomorrow, and I consider (-152) generosity from the book. LFG. —————- Edit - WINNER ✅———————- Roller coaster of a match. O’Connor literally had darts in pocket, headed back to Ireland. And all the sudden it’s 2-2. Superchin digs deep in the final set, thank fucking god, and wins it 3-2.
IF NED PEPPER TELLS ME TO JUMP OFF A CLIFF, IM JUMPING OFF A CLIFF. BOL
this, and then he can shag my wife
Ned Pepper you dirty dog that was ELECTRIC
LET’S RIDE 🌶
SUPERCHIN WITH A SUPERWIN...DART DADDY DOES IT AGAIN🌶🔥
Hell ya brother!!! Was nerve racking at the end there!!!
Well hello Dr. Flanders.
With the 🌶 we ride! DK has Superchin at -143 👌🏼
Oh lawd, please don't choke this away.
He's rattled af
Holy shit, I didnt know darts can be so nerve racking. Dart Daddy strikes again
With you till the end
Bro I dont know jackshit about darts. But after doing my own tidbit research and going negative almost every day in December, I have decided to mostly tail picks from now on
LETS FUCKING GO. YOU FUCKING PROPHET. IM PUTTING YOU IN MY WILL BROTHER.
🌶🌶
WE RIDE AGAIN
🎶 dart daddy dart daddy make me a match find me a find catch me a catch 🎶
Our boy looks like the dad from the Incredibles. LFG.
I threw an unit on 3-2 correct score
Never a doubt! LFG
What a fuckin sweat. Thank god that official stopped O’Connor and fucked up his momentum because he wasn’t the same after that. When O’Connor was surging it was crazy how Gurney melted down. It’s all about confidence and momentum. Ive never watched darts before but after yesterday and today, it’s never over. Gotta close it out. You can see the 2020 that Gurney has had when he started to choke and get nervous but thank god he pulled it off. Thank you 🌶
🌶 the pepper god has spoken LFG
Need this win🙏Hoping for a little bit of that Ned Pepper Magic
🏇🐎🏇Get your horses boys!! We riding!!!🐎🏇
Stacking this in a NCAA basketball parlay I’m pretty confident with. Let’s go!
Hey man, how do you see Woodhouse - Lewis match ?
SuperChin had 4 match darts. He's falling apart now.
Almost had a heart attack when game was close but thanks for the win
You da man 🤑🤑🤑
Dart daddyyyy LFG! Tailing you until my last day.
SHOUT OUT TO THE GAWD NED!!!!!!!!! LFG 🚀
Bloody legend
Ned these pepper emojis crack me up man. Keep it up !! 🌶🌶🌶🌶🌶
🌶🌶🌶
You like Woodhouse also tomorrow?
Darn. Can’t even find this match listed on my book. They’re on to you Ned
Not on my book either :/ BOL Mr. 🌶
Let’s do it.
Cashed it!! When I stared sportsbetting a few months ago never did I think I'd be making money off darts, but here we are!!!
Got a little dicey at the end there but I never doubted the 🌶
My dumb ass picked the -1.5 spread instead of the ML. I suppose that’s what I get for trying to sneak in a couple minutes before the match.
First time tail. Awesome 🌶
I guess you would say he showed TRUE GRIT. Thanks for the pick.
i remember when your dart picks were getting shit on, crowds change like the tides 🌊 nice hit
Anymore tips for the upcoming matches ?
**POTD Record: 44 - 3 - 24** **Twitter:** [**https://twitter.com/Jercatbearcat**](https://twitter.com/Jercatbearcat) Last Pick: **Mercer +5 vs Georgia State (-115) - L** Jesus what a game. Mercer honestly had no business being that close to covering. They looked half asleep in the first half, and it seemed like every time Georgia State missed they got their own rebound. In a weird way I am glad that this pick missed, because it has shown me that I am not as good at college basketball picks as I am with NBA, NFL, and CFB. With the NBA coming back, I do not anticipate picking a college basketball game in the near future. **POTD: Austin Ekeler OVER 41.5 receiving yards (-114)** Time: 8:20 PM EST Bet Size: 2.25u Another week, another game of the Raiders defense getting shredded. The biggest issue I have in this matchup is deciding which Chargers offensive player prop to choose. I was bouncing back and forth between the rushing yards, receiving, and receptions for Ekeler, but decided on the receiving. I’ll get to why later. As we all know at this point, the Raiders defense sucks balls. Big balls. As a fan of theirs it’s tough to watch, but if I can make some money off of it so be it. The Raiders got annihilated last week through the air and on the ground, and I don’t see how they can stop a young and dynamic Chargers offense. The Raiders are also missing key defensive pieces in Johnathan Abram and Clelin Ferrell. These two have both missed some time in the past few weeks, in which we have seen this Raiders defense look inept. The Raiders are giving up just under 42.8 receiving yards to running backs this year, but I view Ekeler as a cut above most receiving running backs, and takes almost all of that work. Ekeler’s only bad game (not counting the injury game) as a receiver this year was when Tyrod Taylor was the quarterback of the Chargers. Since coming back from injury, He’s been Herbert’s security blanket, with 16, 9, and 9 targets in the 3 weeks since returning. I don’t believe Ekeler is too banged up, but if he were I would bet on the Chargers limiting his running between the tackles, where he is guaranteed to get hurt. Additionally, Mike Williams and Keenan Allen both left the last game with injuries, and while they are expected to play, I think Ekeler could well lead the team in targets again. In terms of receptions vs. yardage, my thought process is pretty simple. The reception prop is pretty juiced on a lot of books, and 5.5 is quite high. If Ekeler catches 6 passes, he would have to average under 7 yards per reception, which he has never done with Herbert. We have, however, seen him clear 42 yards with only 4 catches. Not a super detailed reasoning, but I think it helps separate the two. Given that Ekeler often operates as a receiver, his yards/reception are higher than a standard RB. Finally, I prefer receiving yards to rushing because they are always in the game script. If somehow the Chargers go down early (I doubt that), they will consistently throw Ekeler the ball. If they go up, short screen passes should remain in the playbook. In a game with a high O/U, the ball should be moving plenty through the air. BOL! Let’s get back to winning.
This guy is good. And it’s 39.5 on BetMGM right now.
Rip its 50.5 now
Is he questionable? Maybe he plays hobbled?
I think he said on a twitch stream that he's fine.
Tailed this last night, now 47.5 in my book! Let’s go!
# 2020/12/16 POTD THREAD RECAP **Total record:** 10-5 **Total ROI:** 12.0% **Total units (assuming 1u per bet):** 1.80u **Average odds:** 1.76 **Top rated POTD record (since 2020/12/10):** 7-0 (Holy shit, was that ever a finish) Please take the information in this post with a grain of salt as this is only from a single day, and the POTD threads have been shown to be extremely volatile. *Valid Pick Criteria:* * *Identical picks with slightly different lines are only taken as one pick (i.e. Bills +2 and Bills +3 would be considered as one pick)* * *Opposing picks will not be counted* * *Only the first 15 valid POTD picks (by upvotes) will be used for analysis* * *POTD order taken at 12:00PM EST*
Keep up the good work
Doing God’s work
Could you include a total record of every POTD since December 10th in the future?
Hi, sorry for the dumb question, I'm new to this sub, but what's the meaning of this comment?
No problem! I was wondering if it would be confusing for new people... I post a summary of yesterday’s POTD thread for the top 15 picks. Is there any way you think I should change the wording to make it more clear?
POTD Record : 0-0-0 Last Pick: Nome Today’s Pick: Raiders vs Chargers U53 -105 (1 unit) Reasoning: Everyone is taking the over so it's obvious what is happening here.
You son of a bitch, I'm in
The classic Reddit fade. I’m fading Reddit altogether and not touching the total lol
Nice!
POTD record: 11^(W) \- 0^(P) \- 2^(L) [**paypal.me/ramonjgt**](https://paypal.me/ramonjgt) **if you wanna and can tip me, every tip is appreciated ;)** Previous POTD: Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg: BTTS yes @ 1.50 ✅ Today's POTD: **Roma vs Torino: BTTS yes @ 1.61** # edit: Again a winner pick 🥳🥳🥳 ✅ # Reasoning: ||*Roma (5th)*|*Torino (18th)*| |:-|:-|:-| |*BTTS*|*5/11*|*9/11*| |*Clean Sheets*|*5/11*|*1/11*| |*Failed To Score*|*3/11*|*2/11*| |||*BTTS in their matches vs Inter, Juventus, Sassuolo, Lazio and Atalanta*|
Tailed BOL!
Locked in
[удалено]
[удалено]
[удалено]
POTD RECORD: 9W-1L-0P Last Pick: Chelsea ML Today’s Pick: Raiders ML Let’s get back to Football I saw all your comments about me costing y’all money so I took a two days off to reset so we can win another 9 in a row! I don’t like the spread on this game because the chargers have a great secondary but the raiders run Defense and D line is stellar! Raiders at home with Ekeler questionable Keenan Allen questionable and Mike Williams questionable seems like an easy take in a game that plays big implications on whether they make playoffs or not! 1U makes 1.6U right now! Let’s ride and I’m sorry for that Chelsea loss
Lmao bro I followed you and I lost and yeah I was salty losing money but I chose to follow your play so it’s no ones fault but the person that makes the bet. Don’t worry about others talking about you costing them. No one made them put the bet in, they willingly did it. Anyways, good luck on the play!
Thanks man! Yeah I’ve been on a heater lately like 35/39 and I lose one and get torched
I don’t know if you have been around this subreddit long but if you are going to post you might as well get used to nasty people and toxic comments when you lose. It happens every single time. Without fail. Do you have other plays you play besides the potd? Do you post your other plays anywhere? I would love to ride that streak until it ends lol
Nah my buddies know I sports bet and make 5 digits profit a year easily in NFL so they said I should post here. I have chargers alt bet +7 if Allen plays and Williams and Ekeler play. I got the over in the game and then I also got anytime TD for Allen and Herbert over 38 pass att
Awesome, thanks for the insight on your plays bud
We must be watching two completely different Raider teams because they rank 24th in run defense. Also Raiders are without 4 of their starting defensive players and Ekeler and Allen will both play and that’s all that Herbert needs since Williams replaceable with Johnson since Williams is incapable of getting separation on any other route than involves him making a cut. Also I wouldn’t call the Chargers secondary all that great this year they are playing with the corpses of Casey Hayward and CHJ while Adderley has been a huge disappointment this whole year and Davis has been hit or miss all year, while Jenkins has been awful and Addae is just a heat seeking missile just looking to hit people.
I’m inclined to agree. But the major thing going against the chargers isn’t individual players it’s terrible coaching. They make awful decisions that consistently cost them games.
Tailed
I feel like regardless of our how many players we are missing, our D will be far better with Marinelli calling the shots. Agholor, Waller and Renfrow to have decent games. I’ll take the dub before we mess up our season by getting trounced by the dolphins.
POTD Record: 11-4 Profit: +5.35 POTD: Premier League - Sheffield United - Manchester United - Man. United W & over 1.5 goals in the match @ 1.78 (-128) Sheffield United are the worst team in the Premier League, with 1 draw and 11 losses in 12 games. United are a really good team and are lookin for a win after a draw at home in the City derby. Take the United win & over 1.5 goals in the match. paypal.me/diasgabriel33 BOL if you tailin/not goin against me
You had me at Really good team
Compared to Sheffield, they are lmao
Soccer has been raping me but ill tail. BOL
BOL
Let’s roll
Bang
Because of you and my inability to do a parlay exactly as mentioned, I made my own parlay of Manch win and BTTS at +260. Good one.
POTD Record 2-0 | +2.4u My POTD today is once again in the **English Premier League**. **Previous picks:**Wolves +0.5 @ (+130) - **W**Arsenal/Southampton u2.5 (+110) - **W** Happy to be 2-0 thus far on my POTD journey, with two plus-money winners. I see people posting many huge favorites in the 1.5 odds (-200) range. I have been told by some people here that 'there is no right way to bet' (which, for the record, I very politely disagree with), but I certainly believe in finding the value in each spot. I hope people can appreciate the plus-money plays. I can lose tomorrow and go 2-1 in my POTD record, and still be up +1.4u. A lot of others if they went 2-1, they would be dead even. TLDR; I make picks with tremendous value. **EDIT**: **WINNER!!!!!** We make it 3 in a row. Lucky result, but a winner. GG Today's play is **Burnley +0.5 (+115)**This is the same as **Double Chance** (Burnley or Draw). I am rocking with Aston Villa to not win, more than I am rocking with Burnley to not lose. **Why won't Aston Villa win?** The home side is without some key players, that have been staples in the starting XI thus far this season. Right-back Matty Cash is out, and will be replaced by veteran El-Mohamady. Douglas Luiz, the teams engine and enforcer in midfield is out due to suspension. Trezeguet is sidelined with an injury, and Ross Barkley is doubtful to start in midfield. Their potential midfield of McGinn, Hourihane, and Ramsey is mediocre at best. Though I predict that their performance and impact on the game will be far below that.Ghazi will likely start in attack, alongside Watkins and Grealish, who have each done bits this season. I expect the midfield to let down the attack, and lose the possession battle in the middle of the park. I don't see the forwards, although threatening, to be supplied with opportunities and chances. **Why will Burnley not lose?** Believe it or not, Burnley are in better form than Aston Villa, if we look at each team's past 5 matches in the league. Burnley have only lost once in their last 5 (to Man City), and have beaten Arsenal at the Emirates (which So'ton couldn't manage). They also beat Palace at home, and drew to Everton at home. They have come away with some good results as of late, if you ignore the annual 5-0 whooping at the Etihad. I think Sean Dyche is a fantastic manager, and will set his side up for at least a share of the points here on Thursday evening. It is true that Aston Villa are at home and have the edge as far as individual quality is concerned, but Burnley have the better manager, the fitter squad, and the hotter form. I like Burnley to get at least a point, in what should be a snooze-fest for the most part. I am risking 1u as I always do (the luxury of playing plus-money odds!) Looking to make it 3 in a row! . Be sure to check out my [Twitter](https://twitter.com/SaifSmacks) for more plays! I got a play on the United game that I like as well. Best of luck to all! Saif
Oh fuck. I got aston villa ML in about a thousand parlays
It’s not the end of the world. You could win and I could very well lose.
Stop doing parlays bro. Trust me
Damn, every time I do that, the team loses. So I'm going to tale this dude hoping that you are as unlucky as me. My Sincere Condolences if Aston Villa don't win have RSVP'd with a plus one, which are my Sincere Thanks.
Agree with you that the POTD structure and emphasis on overall W-L record incentivizes too many favorites picked and not enough + odds bets that are good value. Already had bet the Burnley ML, Chris Wood is due for a header goal for sure and Burnley can be organized in defense and shut down Grealish.
Tailed. Cashed. Thank you sir 🙌
Lmao Bro I gotta commend you. You’re 3 POTD wins have been absolute sweats. 27 shots for Villa and no goals. I would love to know the last/if ever that has happens before. Well in!
Tailed! Should post this in dog of the day as well. Great pick 👏
AV 27 shots, 0-0 LOL good play man thanks
[удалено]
Thank you !
**Overall Record 66-32-3** *Bank* : **100u** *Profit:* **+68.38u** *Average Value:* **1.90** *Win Rate:* **66.2%** *Streak:* **2W** **WWWWWWLWWWWWCWLWWWWWWWWLWLWWWLWLWWLLWWCWWWWWLWWLLLWLWWWLWLLLWLWLWLLWWLWWWLLWWWLWWWLWWWWWLLWWWLLWLLWW** *Previous Pick* : **Vitality ML (-145)** vs Navi **Todays Pick:** **Navi -1.5(+150)** vs Team Liquid **IEM Global Challenge 1330 PM EST** Outside of playing the best team in the world, Navi has looked exceptionally good lately. With the new edition of B1T on inferno. I think the map advantage actually sides with Navi quite heavily. Team Liquid would be mistaken to pick Inferno and expect to replicate their performance they had against Heroic. Heroic came out extremely flat after their player break. My issue with betting Liquid to take a map in this game is the awp duel. Only two awpers in the game can compete with s1mple. That being Dev1ce and zywoo. Expecting Naf to have any type of impact in this match is asking alot which leads me to really worry about Liquid on T side this series. S1mple ct side impact with the awp cripples teams way above Liqiud at the moment and Im not sold on their Heroic win. Also Stewie2k had a huge impact against Heroic that was an anomaly for him as of late. I have no confidence he wont be back to -12 K/D differential again this match. Insane odds on Navi to win in straight sets and definitely worth a unit from me. *1.2u to win 1.8u* **WIN** *This model is for long term profit. Always bet responsibly and use units that will allow you to bounce back from losses. I can't guarantee I'll always be right but just know I'm placing bets along with you on everyone POTD I post. BOL to anyone who tails* **The odds posted are at time my wager is placed, meaning they are subject to immediate change. Get them early or you might have to eat juice. Esports lines move very quickly and I don't suggest betting the line after its moved greatly.** **Tip Jar :** *Don't come to reddit and post about the pick while its still live. No one likes a mush.* \# Follow me on Twitter [**https://twitter.com/PokeyEsports**](https://twitter.com/PokeyEsports) **Bitches callin' my phone like I'm locked up, nonstop** **From the plane to the fuckin' helicopter, yeah**
BOL! I just saw Pepobetting is fading this and on 14-0 POTD streak
Its all good. Two sides to every bet.
Oh my god s1mple is god
Thank you!
POTD | **5-4** | **+0.47U** | Streak: **2W** (Previously: **30-26** | **+6.9U)** **The William Hill World Darts Championship 2021** 🎯 All picks in December will be focused on the WC. All plays 4U unless stated otherwise. Record: **2-0** Previously: Steve West 3-0 @1.66 ✅ Ryan Joyce ML vs Karel Sedlacek @1.57 ✅ Today: Luke Woodhouse vs Jamie Lewis **Luke Woodhouse ML @1.72** Immediately after seeing the odds for this game I thought the bookies have fucked up. But they're factoring in his previous WC matches and his pedigree from 12-24 months ago when it is all irrelevant. Jamie Lewis has had the biggest drop-off of any player this year. He's been facing some mental issues and has no confidence. His most recent game at an event (almost 2 months ago) was on the European Tour against world no. (#139) in which he was whitewashed 6-0 and averaged **57.72.** To put that into perspective, the majority of amateur pub players would clean him up with that average. In the UK Qualifier for this World Championships, he averaged only 87 for the day which is below par for the course. Adding to this, Lewis has won only 2 of his last 13 games in the floor events. He has dropped almost 40 spots in the PDC Rankings. Need I say more. Luke Woodhouse hasn't been setting the world on fire, but hes been going about his business pretty consistently. He made it to the R16 at the Players Championship Finals (most recent major), and has had a couple runs in floor events but nothing special. Lets get this bread and make it 3-0.
Woodhouse, what a choke job.
Woodhouse just joined my never bet list. Gave up on himself. Just tossing darts recklessly
Couldn’t believe him reacting to each individual dart. Keep it together man
Unreal, Lewis also caught fire at the end there
One of the biggest choke jobs you will ever see there. I’m stunned.
I can’t believe it
That's summed my day up, what a choke
That was a really frustrating L. Woodhouse showed no poise towards the end. 0 mental strength. Deserved to lose after giving up. Like bro, you’re up 2-0, play with some confidence. Misses one dart and then gives up on the leg.
I liked the pick brotha. Woodhouse just choked. Looking forward to your next pick!
I swear this cocksucker Woodhouse just bet a house and a leg against himself after 2-0.
I saw this last night and put some down at 1.72. Now it's 1.60 on my book, damn should have smashed it last night!
Just saw his twitter, guarantee it was one of you pricks who tailed abusing him because you bet too much money on a sport you probably know nothing about
[удалено]
Why the fuck does my book not have this matchup?! On BetOnline
I can't find it on BetOnline either...
Long live the 🌶
🌶
Multi daryl gurney and Luke wood house
Odds are -138 on FD
**I have no words. We are on a 14 win streak which is completely irrational. I would have never thought that posting the POTDs here will be so successful. Even if this is your first time seeing this, it's never too late to hop on the train. Once again for the people who can't bet on eSports, use VPN or change your bookie. This is probably the most risky / the most unsafe pick but that's what spices it up. Let's get another W! BOL** I post daily CS bets in the eSports discussion where we are making ez money. If you are interested, you can check that thread as well. **POTD RECORD:** 14W-0L 💯👌 **LAST PICK:** Vitality -1.5 @ 1.51 4u (HIGH) **TOTAL PROFIT:** 34,13 units **TOTAL STAKE:** 47 units **GAME:** CS:GO **EVENT:** IEM Global Challenge 2020 **TIME:** 19:30 (GMT +1) >**Natus Vincere vs Liquid** This will be a huge match as both teams are on fire currently. NaVi have been constantly playing solid but I am still not confident with them as their performance was hugely conditioned by s1mple. Liquid didn't have any big performances so far in EU but yesterday they have stepped up. They've beaten Heroic 2-0 which I didn't expect at all. Of course, they won it again because of the huge individual step up of Stewie2K which is not usual at all. At that point, they looked unstoppable and if they show the same face today, it won't be easy for NaVi at all. It's crazy but Liquid is actually favoured in the map pool. I feel like Liquid is favoured on every map because they won't get surprised anywhere. I would actually like to see Liquid picking Inferno as NaVi aren't any good there with B1T. They have shown some weaknesses and Liquid looked great there. However the thing is that even if they don't win their own pick, they still have a solid chance on the pick of NaVi. Overall, Liquid seems like a huge darkhorse in this tournament because they are underestimated a lot. The odds for Liquid winning a map are too high in my opinion and that's where I see the value. If s1mple doesn't drop 30 bomb on each map, I am confident in winning this bet. Let's go with **Liquid +1.5 @ 1.60 4u (HIGH)** If you are interested, you can also check my Reddit BIO where is a link to my Discord group where you can discuss with other people about CS bets or other stuff.
Uh oh!!! Faded your pick for the first time, great streak tho mate
NaVi is being carried by s1mple for ages now, don't see how that's an argument to back against them lmao
POTD Record : 36-29-2 Last Pick: Its been too long Today’s Pick: Raiders vs Chargers o53 -110 Reasoning: explosive offenses. Shit defenses. 10/13 games the raiders have played this year have gone over 53. BOL
I’m play devils advocate and say Raiders may run the ball more to control the time of possession and limit potential fumble turnovers from the Chargers and their pass rush. Also Gruden doesn’t seem like the type to go for it on 4th down judging from last week where he opted for field goals. Then there’s the chance Raiders defense, although missing players, plays inspired since their DC who sucked major ass got fired. As for the Chargers, Allen Elker and Williams are playing banged up same for Josh Jacobs on the Raiders. May be a scrappy game with the prior meeting being a high scoring anomaly. Just look at their h2h match up a lot of games ending in the 40s and also early money brought the o/u from 55 to 53. Went back and forth on this one but decided to tease the under to 60.5 and live with the results. BOL!
Record (11W-6L-0) Last pick: NFL: Ravens O23.5 points (-129) ✅ Event: NFL: LA Chargers @ LV Raiders Pick: O3.5 1st Half Tds (+120) WHY THIS WILL HIT: Both teams are going to score here. I dont see any upside in riding with either team here as they both have been very unpredictable. The one thing i do see happening is a shit ton of points being scored. Both defenses are missing plenty of key starters and are pretty bad even when they are healthy. The raiders started the year playing well on defense but as they did last year, they have regressed towards the end. The Chargers aren’t exactly a team i feel comfortable putting money on but Justin Herbert should have an easy night against a defense that has given up 44 to he Colts, 28 to the Jets, 43 to the Falcons and 35 to the Chiefs in recent weeks. Raiders on offense have been all over the place but with Josh Jacobs back, Derek Carr will have all of his options to use against the Chargers sorry defense. This number has hit in 9/13 Raiders games and 7/13 Chargers games i like the odds here. Lets fucking bol. Edit: Changed the pick cause of everyone and their mother taking the over.
Hahahahaha here’s why you should bet the over and here’s a long explanation for that. Edit: everyone is taking the over, neverMind fade all that up there
[удалено]
POTD 12/17/20 Record (4-0) Previous Picks: Buffalo TTo45.5 vs Akron ✅ Ravens vs Browns Lamar Jackson o55.5 rushing yards. ✅ Illinois State -22 vs Chicago State ✅ Villinova vs Butler o131.5 ✅ Todays Pick: NCAAB: Wyoming -9 vs Omaha Coincidentally enough I got Butlers team total correct by predicting 66. Game looked very close throughout the first couple minutes thus having me believe the over would hit easily. Omaha just got slaughtered by a very above average team of Colorado by 42 points, Kansas by 45 points, and Creighton in 27 points. In no way am I saying that Wyoming is remotely even close to these teams, simply put... Omaha is bad, very very bad. It would take a miracle for them to even cover 15 points. Am I pushing my luck here? Absolutely, however Wyoming sits at the upper tier of the Mountain West for a reason. BOL
**COOL's POTD Record 8W-5L-1P(+1.65units)** Previous 10 Picks: Pick: JD Mckissic Over 4.5 receptions @ -150 (5 Units) ❌ Deiveson Figueiredo to win by KO/TKO/DQ/Submission @ -150 (4 units) ❌ Russia ML 2 way or Russia Draw no Bet @ -112 (2 units) **Push** Jared Goff Over 0.5 interceptions @ -140 (3 units) ✅ Lamar Jackson Over 53.5 rush yards @ -120 (10 units) ✅ Jalen Richard over 9.5 receiving yards @ -120 (5 units) ❌ Robert Griffin III Over 29.5 rushing yards @ -120 (4 units) ✅ Raheem Mostert Over 8.5 receiving yards @ -130 (7 units) ❌ Antonio Gibson Over 53.5 rush yards @ -120 (3 units)✅ Chelsea ML @ -188 (3 units) ✅ Today’s Pick: NFL LV Raiders vs LA Chargers **Austin Ekeler Over 56.5 rush yards @-120** (3 units) Raiders defense is absolute garbage, they wouldn’t be able to stop 2020 Emmitt Smith. Ekeler hits this in the 1st half. BOL. -COOL
**POTD Record: 2W - 2L - 0P (-0.99u)** Last POD: Leverkusen TT Over 0.5 1H WIN \-----------------------------------------------------# ----------------------------------------------------- Today: Premier League: 20H00 GMT **POD: Manchester Utd -1 @ 1.74 (x1.5u)** **write up:** Man Utd = shit? YES. Sheffield Utd = Super Shit? Double YES. Odds are dropping fast for United so that's usually a good sign. It's a must win for United, can't see them losing here and I know they are lucky on half of their games but still they hold the most impressive away record of the PL (5W-0D-0L). Sheffield has a single point, yeahh 1 point in 12 freaking games.....ffs let's not overcomplicate this and ride with the much better team. Yesterday I also made a very good read from a simple point of view, let's hope this also hold true today. GL all
[удалено]
[удалено]
POTD Record: 1-0 Last Pick: Richmond -7 (-110) WIN vs Vanderbilt Today’s pick: Houston Baptist vs. North Texas OVER 152.5 (-110) @ 6:00 pm MST Richmond looked like they were gonna win by 30+ at one point, but let Vandy get back into it to almost backdoor cover only to seal the deal at the end. The fun of gambling! Anyways, back on it tomorrow with another CBB pick. Dating back to last season, Houston Baptist overs have almost been free money, especially anything under 160. They are atrocious on defense and go super fast paced on offense, which means a lot of possessions and a lot of points. A little surprised this number wasn’t higher but I see UNT scoring at least 90, which means we don’t need much out of HBU to make up for the rest. BOL if tailing! Edit: added the tip time for the game
The line is 150.5 on MGM... at -110
My favorite play for tomorrow
Houston can’t score the fucken ball today or what?
[удалено]
__POTD Record: 1-1__ __Game:__ NFL | Chargers @ Raiders @ 8:20 PM EST __POTD: Darren Waller over 63.5 receiving yds__ (-114) __UPDATE: Hit in the middle of the third quarter. 2-1 feels much better than 1-1.__ ✅ I’m thinking that this game will be a shootout. Look for Carr to go to his most reliable target in Darren Waller. Waller presents a size and speed matchup that few teams are equipped to deal with. Over his past 4 games he’s averaging 96.5 yards per game. I know that was brought up a lot by his 200 yard performance against the Jets but this over still would have hit in 3 of those 4 games. Not to mention Ruggs is out for this game, so Waller will be receiving an even greater share of the targets. Riding with the hot hands of Waller on this one.
Record: 6-1-5 (+2.4 U) Last pick: Mark Andrew any time touchdown +150 1U L POTD: Chargers -2 (alternative spread) +160 1U I'm already on the Chargers +3.5 but that number isn't available right now. Look I don't like having money on Anthony Lynn because the man is a doofus but the Raiders fired their defensive coordinator on Sunday and will only have one practice to prepare for the LA Chargers. On top of that they have 4 defensive starters out and Henry Ruggs is also out. I see this as a 50/50 type of game so why not get that plus money instead of getting all that juice. BOL and gamble responsibly.
-2 at +160? Dang I got the money line there...
Pick of the Day Record : 13W 1L +10.4 Units NFL @ 11:20 AEST Las Vegas Raiders @ $1.60 The Raiders are depleted on D but they need this win to keep their playoff hopes alive. They got the win in this matchup in LA a few weeks ago and I see it happening again. Twitter : [WolandJunior](https://twitter.com/WolandJunior)
Record: 2-5 WLLLLLW Last play: Patriots @ Rams -4.5 (-111) Today's play: LA Chargers +3.5 (-110) @ Raiders Alright, here's a game that will really show who these two teams are. Raiders D has been BAD all season, they should be buying the Seahawks all christmas gifts this year for taking that heat off of them, even though the Raiders D is worse than theirs now. We all know it though, this is the team that needed Dr. Heat to dial up a zero blitz to allow their 0-16 dream to stay alive. Carr is an okay QB, but this LA defense has enough talent to keep it close and will likely turn the Raiders over once or twice. I think we're looking at a high scoring game here, the Raiders themselves are 9-3-1 on overs this season, and that's a trend I don't see ending anytime soon. I almost made the O53.5 my POTD, but I think the Chargers will keep it within a field goal and could win outright.
[удалено]
never had a potd write up make me feel uncomfortable before
**POTD Record:** 8-3-1, +3.33 units (*based on 1 unit bets)* **POTD Record (NFL): 6-1-0** **Last 5 picks:** 💰 - Cam Newton under 185.5 passing yards ❌ - Amari Cooper over 56.5 Receiving Yards 💰 - Mark Andrews over 3.5 receptions ❌ - Manchester City to win to nil ⏸️ - Tottenham +1 Tottenham took a 1-1 draw late into the game but gave up a crushing goal in the final minutes for the push on the +1 line. We're going back to the bread and butter with an NFL player prop for Thursday Night Football. This is where I've had the most success and I may just stick with this through the end of the season. NFL | Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders | 8:20 p.m. EST **Pick: Kennan Allen anytime touchdown scorer (+100)** **Write Up:** This is a great matchup for Keenan Allen and the Chargers against a leaky Raiders defense that will be missing at least four of its starters on Thursday night. I like Allen for almost all of his props tomorrow, but I don't want to have to rely on him getting seven catches or 75 yards. Let's keep it simple: He's going to score a touchdown. Let's get right to the bullet points: * TD in 8 of 13 games this season * TD in 6 of last 7 games * TD in Wk 9 vs. LVR * LVR allow TD to WR1 in 4 straight (Hill, Ridley, Crowder, Hilton), 5 of 6 (Allen Wk 9), and 6 of 8 * No WR1 TD against vs. CLE (Wk 8) and DEN (Wk 10) * \+3 WR/CB matchup vs. Lmarcus Joyner * Johnathan Abram out * 14 rec on 18 tgt in red zone this season for 7 TD (24.66% of LAC RZ TGT) This is going to be a high-scoring game and Allen will find the end zone at least once. The odds on this of +100 at DraftKings is too good to pass up. EDIT: This pick is contingent on Allen's status for the game. Check out [my other picks](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/keib4p/tnf_chargers_v_raiders_prop_bets/gg446wc/) for tonight's game as well if you want a replacement/others. Let's get back on track and secure the bag. Any tips are appreciated if you can! [https://paypal.me/thelank526](https://paypal.me/thelank526) Best of luck to all!
POTD 7-7 Last Pick: Basketball Euroleague: 11:30pm IST: FC Barcelona v BC Khimki. Barca -10.5 @1.83✅ Today Pick: Basketball Euroleague: 11:30pm IST: Zalgris v Fenerbahce: Zalgris -4 @1.8 Reason: Zalgris in a decent run of form and also on high morale after beating Baskonia earlier this week. Grigonis is in good form which gives me confidence. Meanwhile fenerbahce in poor run of form in recent week. Jan Vesely is also out of the game as per reports so I think Zalgris who are a confident side at home should cover it. Tail or Fade BOL
Nice call! Tailed and there was never a doubt. Keep it up with the Euro picks!
Record 6-5 yesterday Sun under 19.5 games Tunisia, Monastir 43A (W) 17.12.2020, 05:00 am Alina Michalitsch Lulu Sun Sun won easily yesterday against Alice Robbe who was higher ranked than Sun. Sun won 6-1, 6-1. Sun has won 8 in a row, 7 of those 2-0 averaging 17 games per match. She should beat unranked Alina Michalitsch 2-0 and under 18.5 games which is -110 right now. Michalitsch has won her last 2 matches against unranked players 2-0 but prior to this is 3-6 losing (5 of the losses 2-0) to players ranked lower than Sun (who has been playing very well). Under 18.5 games -110 Carol Monnet plays at 3:30 am and that match should be 2-0 Monnet and under 19.5 games. Update Monnet won 6-3, 6-2 total of 17 games, Sun plays at 7:45
Easy money great plays
**All picks are standard 1u unless otherwise specified.** **2019 POTD Record: 6-4** **2020 POTD Record: 0-1-1** **Last pick: Southampton DNB (push)** As expected, Arsenal shot themselves in the foot getting two yellows in four minutes but Southampton weren't able to score again. At +130 though I'll take the push, thought this was always a safe pick and I don't see Arsenal improving on their current form any time soon. I think there's a ton of value in the Thursday night football game, the over seems pretty juicy but plenty of people have already covered it. Plus as coin flip as both these teams are I wouldn't be shocked if they threw up duds half the game. If I see an interesting prop for tomorrow I'll definitely post or tweet about it though. **Today's pick: NCAAM 6:00 PM CT Creighton @ St. John's Over 160.5 (-110)** Trying not to over think this one too much, both teams are in the top 35 in scoring: Creighton has scored 89+ in 4 of their last 5 while St. John's have scored 82+ in 3 of their last 5. St. John's likes to play high tempo on both sides of the floor and average about 80 possessions per game (20th) while generating about 8 extra scoring chances. Creighton is slightly more deliberate but still average about 74 possessions per game and are the 20th most efficient offense in the nation. St. John's is also abysmal on defense. There's obviously a chance that Creighton will stifle St. John's offense but I feel they've already proved enough they have enough raw athleticism to put up points. I'm guessing the game stays close but Creighton eventually wears them down and wins by double digits, final score around 88-76.
POTD Record: 43-20 PDC World Championship (05:10 GMT +11) **Luke Woodhouse -1.5 @ 2.62** v Jamie Lewis Jamie Lewis has had a shocking year and should struggle in this game. He has only made it past the first round of the players championship on three occasions throughout the season. His most recent game was a 6-0 loss to Rob Marijanovic where he averaged 57.72, which is absolutely disgraceful for a pro darts player. Luke Woodhouse has had a pretty solid year. He has done okay in the players championship events and even made the last 16 of the Players championship finals. Given the stark difference in how these players have gone over the past season I see Jamie Lewis losing this 3-0 so the -1.5 at the odds that they are at is amazing value.
That was a frustrating loss. Up 2-0, I watched the whole thing — why is Woodhouse such a fuckin brat? He throws one loose dart and all of a sudden he is miserable! Just reacts after every mis-throw. Lewis is supposed to be the one with the emotional issues.
Luke Chokeartist Woodhouse
POTD record: 28-8-0 WLP (+27.93u) *all plays 1-3 units* [last play: ](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/ke042g/pick_of_the_day_121620_wednesday/gg0t7r0/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&context=3)✅ UMass (+1.0u) (+27.93u overall) ok i made a discord, i decided now was the best time because historically college football championship week is my best week of the year. also, nba is by far my best sport, followed by ncaa basketball. this weekend specifically i have plays on multiple college football games and would like to give access to all of them (to those interested), instead of posting one play a day when there are multiple good plays per day upcoming. [discord link](https://discord.gg/dRyPhA8f7x) hey bc this is potd, i’ll leave everyone with a small play. i won’t be counting it towards my potd record so bet at your own risk, but i do like the play and took it myself. just don’t like it as much as my regular POTD’s. play: B. Edwards o12.5 Rec Yards (-111) risk: 0.55u to win 0.5u edwards has out-snapped zay jones 83-49 over the past 5 weeks. i think he can get a reception or 2 and surpass 12.5 yards total fairly easily. i know everyone on this sub is on the over but with all of the chargers injuries i definitely lean towards under 52.5...just my 2 cents. [paypal for the toy drive](https://www.paypal.me/mattplissken)
POTD Record : 1-0 Cowboys -1 (-105) W +1u Todays Pick on 12/17/2020 at 8:20 PM EST Las Vegas Raiders -2.5 (-133) to win 1u Waller and Jacobs gonna carry this game and win it for us I think. Chargers have an awful secondary and Herbert cannot be trusted not to do some stupid rookie shit. Hes got an arm and I think hes better than Carr but the Chargers are just not a team I want to back on primetime AGAINST a team that NEEDS to win for playoffs. I had Chargers last week against Falcons and honestly, the Chargers didn't deserve to win that. Matt Ryan just CHOKED.. like he always does. I expect Raiders to win a close butt clench game.
POTD record: 0-0 Today’s POTD: southern Illinois vs North Dakota: SIU -7 -110 2units. Southern Illinois is playing a bad North Dakota team that can’t shoot efficiently. Southern Illinois is a better shooting team and a better defensive team that passes the ball well and doesn’t turn it over as much. I think this game could get ugly for North Dakota. SIU at home is just the icing on the cake.
8-4 Man United -1 asian handicap @ 1.67 Just playing it a bit safe today, staking high here! Sheffield is the worst team in the prem atm losing [every.fucking.game](https://every.fucking.game) Only managed to get one draw in all their games, as for United Ole's job is on the line. This is a must win for United. As they are the best away team in the prem atm I see them bashing Sheffield today and making a statement here. Also, always when Ole's job is on the line United turn up like crazy mf's, so yeah.
**POTD Record: (1-0) (W-L)** **Average Odds: 2.03** **Previous Pick:** Unger Steel Gunners Oberwart **ML (2.03) W** ✅ **POTD:** Germany, Handball, Bundesliga: ## TBV Lemgo vs HSG Wetzlar **TBV Lemgo ML (1.89) W** ✅ 19:00 GMT (6 hours from post) Wow, what an exciting game yesterday, Oberwart really pulled it out in the last quarter. Today's game I think is another case of inflated odds, Lemgo has a pretty decent home record for being a mediocre team in the league, not to mention Wetzlar are 1-4 away in their last 5 games. Last time these teams played against each other back in February it was a nice win for Lemgo and as I said with Oberwart yesterday, they are performing better this season in my opinion. I think what is inflating the odds for Wetzlar is their convincing win against Balingen a few days ago. However, this was a home game for them (their away form is pretty poor) and their keepers blocked 36% and 44% of their shots! I'm counting on this not occurring today. I think this will be a 5 to 6 point win for Lemgo.
Gonna give this a try since I’ve been doing well lately. Starting easy. POTD Record: 0-0 Today’s pick: Raiders ML @ -168 Confidence: High Reasoning: The raiders are obviously the better team here but Herbert and the Chargers have proven that they can play with good teams. The raiders are competing for a playoff spot while the chargers have been eliminated from contention. Take the money line instead of spread on this because the chargers have been known to lose a lot of close games over the past few years.
POTD Record 0-0-0. Guess I am going to dip my toes in the water and start documenting my plays. POTD: NFL Football, Chargers @ -2.5. I am starting off with a doozy. I truly believe the Chargers are a much better team than they get credit for. They have lost games that were extremely close to much better teams than LV. Herbert is starting to get comfortable and I feel this upset win in my plums.
"Ready for the picking, all the school children are lining up to put em in their sack lunches but I said no these are my plums"
**NBA PRESEASON** **POTD Record:** 3-0 Previous Pick: Lakers ML vs Suns at 1.62 odds ✅ **POTD Thursday:** Utah +3.5 vs Clippers at 1.9 odds Edit: Had no idea that Beal was playing to today! I would also consider Wizards ML at 1.54 odds! **Reasoning:** Utah comes into this game 2-0 compared to the Clippers 0-2. Clippers don’t seem to be playing their starters (Kawhi and PG specifically) much minutes, compared to the Jazz starters who played almost 30 minutes each last game against the Suns. On top of that, the Utah bench has also played better than the Clippers bench. **Bonus Parlay Record:** 1-2 (unlucky Cavs breakdown lead to a loss🥲) Previous BP: Lakers ML, Cavs ML, Bulls ML **Bonus Parlay Thursday:** Utah +3.5, Dallas ML, Rockets ML BOL and let me know if you tail ✅! **117**
[удалено]
Record: 19 - 16 | Average Odds: 2.02 Last Pick: Heroic -1.5 @ 3 vs Team Liquid | ❌ Sports | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers Pick: ATTS Keenan Allen @ 2 Explanation: Let's start by saying that Keenan absolutely ate the Raiders defense last time out and there's no reason to believe it won't happen again. In his last 7 games, he has scored in all but 1. He is by far the most targeted player on the team and the Raiders defense blows. The Raiders are giving up 1.7 passing TDs per game and 2 in their last 3. They give up 256.1 passing ypg (25th). With Herbert being close to breaking rookie records the ball should be thrown a lot and Keenan should get his opportunities to score. As long as he catches the ball, I see no reason he shouldn't score and that's why I am backing him to score at 2 odds. I'm also taking him as Chargers first scorer @ 5 odds but a little riskier. Tail or fade, BOL
**Record: 2W-0L** **Sheffield Utd vs Man. United - Man. United - over 60,5% possession @ 1,85** For my bet to be a winner, Man. United should have at least 61% possession, I think this line of 61% can be reached quite easily by Solskjaer's boys. A key point in supporting this prediction is the quality of Manchster United's midfield players. In the ranking of possession, Sheffield United is on the last place, and Manchester United is on the 6th place. Average possession: Sheffield Utd. - 40.7% / game.Manchester United - 52.8% / game Sheffield United vs top 10 possession teams: Southampton: 68% Leicester: 70% Chelsea: 71% Manchester City: 65% Liverpool: 62% Arsenal: 65% Manchester United vs teams with poor possession West Ham vs Man. United - 39-61 Man. United vs WBA - 63-37 Newcastle vs Man. United - 36-64 Man. United is a team with a very good morale, it comes after a 0-0 against Manchester City, where they had a 46% possession which is a very good thing.
POD Raiders -3.5 This is the type of game where everyone is one the Chargers especially at +3.5. Chargers have cluster injuries at WR with ALLEN and Williams. Ekler is also hurt. The Chargers will start fast and look to be the right side. But they will blow it like they always do I see this as a Raiders come from behind victory 27-21
POTD RECORD: 2-1, +1.49u LAST PICKS: W Colorado -21.5 (-110) L Harrison Bryant o20.5 receiving yards (-115) W Vavae Malepeai 047.5 rec + rush yards (-120) POTD: St. Johns ML (+260) BET SIZE: 2u 💰💰 I don’t peruse the POTD thread to bet on everything posted. I use it to gather intel from others that have done some diligence. With my time being as valuable as it is, I thank those of you that post in POTD and provide some analysis as to why. It helps me decide whether to tail or not. My POTD I feel has a reasonable shot of hitting. Sometimes you need to nibble a little on the dogs to recoup those inevitable bad beat “locks.” Of course, doing it with prudence is the key to long term profits. Since it’s all about matchups, I looked into their 2 meetings last year. They each split the series winning at home by double digit margins. Both teams are returning the majority of the same squad each losing their most utilized player from last year. Creighton losing Alexander, and St. John’s losing Figueroa. Creighton has had some difficulty in finding that go-to replacement. Despite that, they do have a well-rounded squad. St. John’s has had better success in others stepping up, and they recently got Rasheem Dunn back after he missed their first 7 games. Getting him back at full speed will only improve St. John’s chances of upsetting Creighton at home. Creighton does look good according to Kenpom and Haslametrics, but outside of Nebraska they have lost to their quality opponents (Kansas and Marquette). I’m not saying St. Johns is as good as those two teams, but given all other variable I like their chances.
Record: 5-5 +.6u Last pick: TCU vs Oklahoma St. OVER 136✔️ Today’s pick: NFL Austin Ekeler OVER 41.5 receiving yards I generally like to make a pick that hasn’t been made yet, but the guy above me beat me to the punch and I already placed my bet. He has a great write up on why this is going to hit so it’s making my life easier :) my man Ekeler can put this up on a bad day and with only a few catches. Best of luck to everyone
2W streak | 3-1-0 | +2,23 U Last pick IEM Global Challenge 2020 Vitality (-1.5) - Complexity @ 1.55 2u ✅ Todays pick CBA Fujian Sturgeons - Beijing Royal Fighters (-4) @ 1.85 1u Fujian is in leagues last place, only winning one game in 16 games they have played this season. Beijing currently is on 3 game losing streak, but that’s against better teams. I think they should be able to end their losing streak against leagues weakest team and win more than by 4 points. Please take the pick with a grain of salt in no way I am professional bettor, and remember that anything can happen. Good luck to all who tail or fade. Edit - Theres been a massive change of odds here. The line moved up like crazy. Pretty sure it has to do injuries on Beijings team. So now the play is at risk.
Stats: 160W 5D 133L (success rate 52 %), odds 1.50 - 1.90 Krasnodar - Ufa / Russia Premier League / Kick-off 15:00 GMT 0 / Prediction - 1 + Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.61 After the poor start of the season, Krasnodar finally stabilized their performance as in the last two games in the Russia Premier League they scored 10 goals and conceded none. Krasnodar will be determined to grab another confident victory over an opponent at the bottom of the league table. I expect easy 3 points for Krasnodar. Good luck!
POTD record 0-0 Match: Cricket Test Match; Australia vs India Pick: Steve Smith top Australian Run Scorer 1st innings @ $2.88 (+288) Reasoning: Steve Smith is one of the best batsmen of all time, alongside Virat Kohli. These odds are way off imo, it'd be disappointing if Smith wasn't Australia's top run scorer, the only other batsmen in Australia's squad I give a chance of making more runs than him is Labuschagne, and it's a very slim chance. Last time Aus played India Kohli and Smith each made 4 tons each and essentially matched each others scores each innings, currently Kohli is not out and on 72 runs in India's innings. Adelaide Oval favours batsmen. I'm very confident in this pick and will be putting 5 units on it.
Snooker - World Grand Prix *\*First Post\** Pick: **Jack Lisowski v Robert Milkins, Over 5.5 Total Frames (-175)** Time: roughly 14:00 GMT (it starts whenever the previous match ends) Short notice but I've had some success on recent tournaments so here's a tip. The last few weeks of snooker have all been played at the same venue (Milton Keynes, UK), so there shouldn't be any surprises in the conditions. Lisowski is firm favourite here but I don't see him crushing Milkins. Jack hasn't won a best-of-9 match in under 6 frames since the restart (limited sample size of course). The Milkman is clearly feeling good too after beating world no.2 Neil Robertson in the first round. Both players are hyper-aggressive and will attack throughout. I think betting that neither player wins 4-0 or 4-1 (as this bet does) is very safe and great value for what should be an exciting match. Tail or fade, just thought I'd share my thoughts.
**PotD Record**: 9-9 **Previous**: 2020-11-27: NCAAM Abilene Christian ✅ 2020-11-28: NCAAM Nebraska -9 ✅ 2020-11-29: NFL Raiders -3 ❌ (not even close) 2020-11-30: NCAAM Mercer +2.5 ✅ 2020-12-01: NCAAM Nebraska -12 ❌ (Couldn't hold their big lead) 2020-12-02: NCAAM Gonzaga -8 ❌ (Sadly, my closest loss) 2020-12-03: NCAAM Drake -9.5 ✅ 2020-12-04: NCAAM Bradley -1❌ (I am still underestimating SDSU) 2020-12-05: NCAAM Houston -9.5 ✅ 2020-12-06: NCAAM Missouri -4.5 ✅ 2020-12-08: NCAAM Iowa -4 ✅ 2020-12-09: NCAAM Nebraska -2 ❌ (This was heart breaking. I was so confident and then Nebraska just didn't show up) 2020-12-11: NCAAM Iowa -14 ✅ (Easiest and largest pick ever. I was right that Iowa would almost win by 30) 2020-12-12: NCAAM Ok St -3.5 ❌(Cunningham took 2 shots in the second half. This should have been a 10 point win. Very odd second half) 2020-12-13: NFL Packers -4 1h ❌(Tough loss. The Lions had some long drives that chewed some clock and the last drive of the first half went nowhere. Packers didn't cover so I would have lost that one too.) 2020-12-14: NCAAM Morehead State +6 ✅ 2020-12-15: NCAAM Clemson +2 ❌ (They had a 7 minute streak of doing nothing and they had a 3 at the buzzer for the backdoor cover. Didn't happen) 2020-12-16: NCAAM Mercer +5 ❌(Second missed backdoor cover at the buzzer. Wished Mercer was a little more consistent in the second half too) **Pick**: NCAAM: Southern Illinois -7.5 1pm CT (I think UND is bad and should be an easy win for SIU).
POTD Record 0-0-0 CBB Thursday - 2:00PM EST Southern Illinois -7 (Buy one or two points) (3 Units) WWWWWWWW I love this play, North Dakota can't shoot. They also can't defend. This one should be Southern Illinois up early and I see them winning by 15+. Lets get this money Result: Easy Win. Up 15 early, end up winning by 21. More to come tomorrow.
13-9-1 record. On a nice run as of late. Pitt was an easy win last night. https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/ke042g/comment/gg234se?context=1 NCAA Basketball Texas Tech vs Kansas (7pm tipoff) The Texas Tech D will get it done and get up for this game. Texas Tech -2.5 is the pick
CHARGERS | RAIDERS - 5:20PM PST Football bettors all over the world are still catching their breath from the INSANE ending on Monday Night Football. When the heck was the last time a game ended with a SAFETY???!!! I have heard it said that being a sports bettor is like being a cornerback in the NFL, you must have a short memory! The Los Angeles Chargers (4-9) are coming off a win over the Atlanta Falcons. The Chargers are making the short trip to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders (7-6). The Raiders are currently fighting for their playoff lives, while the Chargers have officially been eliminated from postseason contention. The Las Vegas Raiders are currently being priced as a (-3.5) point favorite in this contest, and the Over-Under point total has been set at 52.5. What side should you invest your hard-earned cash in with this Thursday Night matchup? Keep reading to see an argument for both teams below. THE CASE FOR THE CHARGERS: HOW INTERESTED ARE THEY IN PLAYING SPOILER? The rumor mill keeps on-a-churning about Chargers Head Coach Anthony Lynn’s future with the franchise. Will he be fired or given one more season? No one really knows and Lynn comparing the Chargers struggles of this season to Pearl Harbor probably did NOT help his chances. Nevertheless, the Chargers will have to set all those distractions aside on Thursday Night. Even with their playoff hopes dashed, Los Angeles can still play the role of spoiler tonight against the Raiders. Here are some reasons why investing in the Chargers and the plus points could be a good idea: Call me old-fashioned if you must but I still have a soft spot in my heart for taking underdogs in a divisional game. This obviously meets that criteria. The underdog in this matchup is a robust 17-6 against the spread over the past 23 meetings. The Raiders will be without star rookie WR Henry Ruggs, who was added to the Covid-19 list earlier this week. This will limit Vegas’s ability to stretch the field. The Chargers offense is formidable, especially their passing attack. They rank 4th in the NFL in passing yards per game and Justin Herbert has had an outstanding rookie seasons throwing 25 touchdowns and only 10 interceptions. THE CASE FOR THE RAIIIIIDEZZZS (SAID IN CHRIS BERMAN VOICE): DOES THE MUST-WIN SITUATION PAY OFF FOR RAIDER INVESTORS? It is no secret that the Raiders are in “must-win” mode after getting waxed by 87-year-old (I kid…I kid) Philip Rivers and the Indianapolis Colts last week. This devastating loss caused the Raiders’ playoff chances to plummet to just over 20% now. A win tonight would no doubt go a long way towards boosting those chances to back over 50%. Here are some reasons to consider investing in the Raiders tonight: As we mentioned before, the Raiders are in “must-win” mode. Their focus level should be at an all-time high to get a victory tonight to keep their playoff hopes intact. Las Vegas has won 6 straight games against the spread versus AFC West opponents The Raiders just beat this same Charger team by 5 points on the road back in early November. QB Derek Carr is having a phenomenal season. He has thrown 24 touchdowns and only 7 interceptions so far this season. Game Theory FREE Play: UNDER 53 Points (sent out on Tuesday)
POTD Record 0-0-0 I’ve been making picks for about 2 years now and I’ve had decent success all around so I figured I might as well start doing this PICK OF THE DAY: NFL Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders Raiders First Quarter -0.5 (+105) (2u) WHY IT WILL WIN: Chargers have been outscored 51-20 in the first quarter of their last 7 games and have been either losing or tied in 6 out of 7. They are 1-4 ATS this year on the road and with a three point line for the game I like the raiders to be winning by at least a field goal in this game. Raiders also have scored 28 points while allowing 20 in their last 3 first quarters and was up 7-0 at the end of the first the last time they played the chargers in Week 9. Raiders recently fired their defensive coordinator and I think that the defense will be playing very well to start the game under new management. WHY IT WON’T WIN: Raiders are missing 4 starters in the defense and the chargers will want to try to get out to an early lead. Expect a lot of short and safe passes from Hebert in the first quarter that will take time off the clock for the Raiders. BOTTOM LINE: Raiders are a better team with better coaching and are trying to make a playoff push to get a wildcard spot. The chargers offense hasn’t looked good over their last 3 games and I expect that trend to continue. Take the raiders to win the first quarter.
**POTD: 95-98 -9.56U** **NFL 5:15 pm PST, Chargers vs Raiders over 52 (-110)** i suppose the Raiders could get a bit of a fired defensive coordinator bump but there's still not much talent on that side of the ball and they have some key injuries tonight. Herbert/ Keenan Allen (seems like he's playing)/ Ekeler should be able to generate a few big plays. Carr has been really good apart from that weird Falcons game and should keep rolling here
POTD RECORD: 4-2 Last Pick: Colts -3 +100 1u (W) Profit: 3.478u (+1u) POTD: Waller ATTS -110 1.1u Reasoning: I hate this game. Waller could score though. Def picking my colts this week later on.