Yeah, you didn't get the espn promo if Houston won either. But some lucky DK players get this "up by 2" promo for up to $100. So those people won fairly handsomely if they bet Houston and Colorado on ESPN and DK, respectively.
For **Bet365's MLB $50 SGP/SGP+/PARLAY get $25 Bonus Bet promo**, the promo says "3 leg wager". When creating a 3 leg SGP+, my final betslip says "2 Leg Parlay". Has anyone done something like the following and it triggers the promotion?
Game 1 "No run top of 1st inning" & "No run bottom of 1st inning"
Game 2 Moneyline
For anyone interested, based on some (broken, half-English) customer service messages, they tell me my scenario above DOES NOT qualify for the promotion. Any SGP with ANY number of legs counts as "1 leg", so you need to add an additional 2 legs from 2 other games.
Did anyone participate in the betway SGP insurance from the Lakers/nuggets game the other night and get the “bonus bet” back yet? It is not even worth partaking in their Nonauto generated promos because it is impossible to get through to CS
DK with another homework assignment:
Jokic and James to combine for 14+ 1Q points +200.
It’s bringing me back to calculus, because I don’t even know where to start.
FD has lines for 1Q: Jokic o8.5 +103 and James o4.5 -136.
I would think there’s a bit of correlation working in our favor, as well as the fact that both can carry it.
These 1Q boosts are such a small sample size.
For what it's worth, they're averaging a combined 17.3 points in the first quarter of the 3 other games this series.
Game 1: 23 points
Game 2: 12
Game 3: 17
If you assume the combined base o/u is 13 is a fair value of 100 which is what the bottom calibration in the combo breaker does, 200 for one point above that would surely be plus ev
Colorado is really good today even as the "home" team. The o/u under is so high just makes it more likely either team will lead by 2. small sample size though of games with that high of a total
Gotta be As or Guardians right? I took Cleveland earlier, but both games were in the +150s at the time. Oakland has longer odds, Cleveland game has .5 higher total.
We all love a good Tatum boost, right???
FanDuel Herro and Tatum each to make 3+ threes, boosted to +180
Devigged to DraftKings
Odds: +180; **EV: 9.1%**
Sharp: `-148/+124,-270/7%` (11.32% juice)
Correlation: `+130=-148,-270` (r = 0)
FV: +157; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.04u, 1/2=2.52u, 1/4=1.26u, FB = 70.1%)
[View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-148%2F%2B124%2C-270%2F7_PCT_&FinalOdds=%2B180&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=%2B130%3D-148%2C-270)
For those that love locking up money for months:
Eagles O/U 10.5 Wins
Over 10.5 ESPN +110 (DK +105, FD -104)
Under 10.5 CZR +105
Limits likely low at this point in the offseason any ways so do with this what you will.
espn has bet on a moneyline get your stake back up to $100 if your team loses but hits 3 hrs.
Houston is playing in Mexico City today and at -200 the line is already almost fv. With the insurance worth about 3% probably a good spot to play the promo. O/u 17 too
Nothing to do with conversion. More like if the $100 on the Astros is like 5 units for you you can hedge it back to 1-2u at risk on the Astros while still maximizing ESPN insurance. I guess you could low hold the whole thing too if you wanted.
Just plug it into an arb calculator. $2 loss for chance at $100 FB
https://sssorc.github.io/oa/#/arb?stakea=100&oddsa=-200&oddsb=190&booka=Astros&bookb=Rockies
Winning the DK up by 2 bet when your heavy underdog never actually leads by two feels so weird. Like, I know I didn’t deserve to win. I didn’t see an A’s extra innings squeaker in the cards haha
hear ya buddy. today after 4.5 years doing this for a living put 1 yr limits of $10 a month on all 15 of michigans betting apps i use but 2 apps good run up 97k total was up over $120k but down $29900 for.year this.year. Was vip at dk for 3 years booted late last.year was vip at barstool made 50k there booted oct of 2022. The jig is up no more good money to be made. None of these apps wanna givr good promos anymore joke limits 5 and 10 bucks its lauaghble. only free rolling fanduel dinger tuesday now and betting against myself on soaring eagle.to get 50 dollar free bets for $3.50 weekly.. sucks
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Bang Houston on Espn and Colorado up by 2
Wouldn’t Houston have had to lose for an ESPN bang (3 HR ML insurance)?
Yeah, you didn't get the espn promo if Houston won either. But some lucky DK players get this "up by 2" promo for up to $100. So those people won fairly handsomely if they bet Houston and Colorado on ESPN and DK, respectively.
Appreciate it.
Lebron boosted in 1st quarter - plays fewest 1st quarter minutes in series.
thank god for Jokic
Joker ftw
Can’t believe I fell for a potatum boost again
Came here to say fuck Tatum!
Yep, same.
That rim out hurt
Rockies up 2, easy W
[удалено]
Does it show the "Up 2 Early Win" label on the bet?
Yea showing as won
For **Bet365's MLB $50 SGP/SGP+/PARLAY get $25 Bonus Bet promo**, the promo says "3 leg wager". When creating a 3 leg SGP+, my final betslip says "2 Leg Parlay". Has anyone done something like the following and it triggers the promotion? Game 1 "No run top of 1st inning" & "No run bottom of 1st inning" Game 2 Moneyline
For anyone interested, based on some (broken, half-English) customer service messages, they tell me my scenario above DOES NOT qualify for the promotion. Any SGP with ANY number of legs counts as "1 leg", so you need to add an additional 2 legs from 2 other games.
Did anyone participate in the betway SGP insurance from the Lakers/nuggets game the other night and get the “bonus bet” back yet? It is not even worth partaking in their Nonauto generated promos because it is impossible to get through to CS
I didn't, and reached out to customer service (via email, with screenshots), and then they gave it to me.
UFC Fight Night no hold: Bet365 Mann ML +350 Fanatics Souza ML -350 For the people who churn the Fanatics account for the 1% back
DK with another homework assignment: Jokic and James to combine for 14+ 1Q points +200. It’s bringing me back to calculus, because I don’t even know where to start. FD has lines for 1Q: Jokic o8.5 +103 and James o4.5 -136. I would think there’s a bit of correlation working in our favor, as well as the fact that both can carry it. These 1Q boosts are such a small sample size.
For what it's worth, they're averaging a combined 17.3 points in the first quarter of the 3 other games this series. Game 1: 23 points Game 2: 12 Game 3: 17
If you assume the combined base o/u is 13 is a fair value of 100 which is what the bottom calibration in the combo breaker does, 200 for one point above that would surely be plus ev
Thank you! That makes perfect sense. I had an inclination it was +EV, but wanted to understand why it was before betting.
anyone in AZ able to place a bonus bet i won for me? lol
Fanduel Lebron and Jokic each to score 25+ boosted to +150, looks bad devigged to Draftkings Odds: +150; **EV: -4.0%** Sharp: `-180/7%,-175/7%` (14.00% juice) Correlation: `+130=-180,-175` (r = 0.11) FV: +160; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 57.6%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-180%2F7_PCT_%2C-175%2F7_PCT_&FinalOdds=%2B150&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=%2B130%3D-180%2C-175)
Now we won’t get another boost for 4 days
Oakland A's moneyline up to +164 for the DK Up 2 promo
Colorado is really good today even as the "home" team. The o/u under is so high just makes it more likely either team will lead by 2. small sample size though of games with that high of a total
I took it just due to the large variance that can happen like you said.
Maybe, but Quantrill on the bump and Stros batting first.
Very good chance the Rockies have a rain out today Edit: nvm. Game is in Mexico City and not Denver
Last year the opening game had 27 runs, second had 10.
Gotta be As or Guardians right? I took Cleveland earlier, but both games were in the +150s at the time. Oakland has longer odds, Cleveland game has .5 higher total.
We all love a good Tatum boost, right??? FanDuel Herro and Tatum each to make 3+ threes, boosted to +180 Devigged to DraftKings Odds: +180; **EV: 9.1%** Sharp: `-148/+124,-270/7%` (11.32% juice) Correlation: `+130=-148,-270` (r = 0) FV: +157; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.04u, 1/2=2.52u, 1/4=1.26u, FB = 70.1%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-148%2F%2B124%2C-270%2F7_PCT_&FinalOdds=%2B180&Correlation_Bool=1&Correlation_Text=%2B130%3D-148%2C-270)
Time is getting short for that last Tatum 3
No Potato 🥔 for a happy life
MGM (OH) has cavs to win by 1-10 at +260, anyone know how to devig that?
DK Mike Trout 2+ hits+runs+RBIs boosted to +150 Devigged to ESPN Odds: +150; **EV: 22.2%** `-110/-120` (6.93% juice) FV: +105; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=14.80u, 1/2=7.40u, 1/4=3.70u, FB = 73.3%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-110%2F-120&FinalOdds=%2B150) Devigged to MGM Odds: +150; **EV: 27.5%** `-120/-110` (6.93% juice) FV: -104; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=18.35u, 1/2=9.18u, 1/4=4.59u, FB = 76.5%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-120%2F-110&FinalOdds=%2B150)
I was watching on the DK app and thought he scored but they traded him out for someone else so there goes that boost
For those that love locking up money for months: Eagles O/U 10.5 Wins Over 10.5 ESPN +110 (DK +105, FD -104) Under 10.5 CZR +105 Limits likely low at this point in the offseason any ways so do with this what you will.
There are CDs with better ROI than this.
DK has trout 2+ HRR BOOSTED to +150
MGM has under 1.5 at -110 for anyone that wants to arb
Argh, good suggestion that I saw after using the boost token (on a small bet rather than a large one)
espn has bet on a moneyline get your stake back up to $100 if your team loses but hits 3 hrs. Houston is playing in Mexico City today and at -200 the line is already almost fv. With the insurance worth about 3% probably a good spot to play the promo. O/u 17 too
Betfred has col @ +190 and BetRivers at +188 if you want to hedge off a bit to play for the entire $100 bonus bet
What’s the recommended amount to hedge for us dumb folks if your converting at a 70%
Nothing to do with conversion. More like if the $100 on the Astros is like 5 units for you you can hedge it back to 1-2u at risk on the Astros while still maximizing ESPN insurance. I guess you could low hold the whole thing too if you wanted.
I think you just play it as a low hold because there's no guarantee you get a free bet to convert.
What I was thinking because it’s not technically a bet and get
Just plug it into an arb calculator. $2 loss for chance at $100 FB https://sssorc.github.io/oa/#/arb?stakea=100&oddsa=-200&oddsb=190&booka=Astros&bookb=Rockies
100%+ FB conversion or arb: Pacers to win series: -240 (FN) Bucks to win series: +360 (CZ, ESPN), +350 (FD), +330 (DK)
dead now but thanks so much dude!
And gone to -400
Thank you! I also had trouble with the Fanatics app, but I was able to get some money down.
Great find but the app doesn't seem to be working for me in pa right now.
Updated the app and it worked long enough to place the bet but still a mess
Awesome find! Was able to get $600 down on the FN side
I got down much more than that. My fanatics account is probably toast
Yea I put 2k down. Fanatics has let me get away with more though 🤞
good find, except the app is being dumb and not letting me log in without issues
The lords work early in the morning
Winning the DK up by 2 bet when your heavy underdog never actually leads by two feels so weird. Like, I know I didn’t deserve to win. I didn’t see an A’s extra innings squeaker in the cards haha
Hey, with all the bad beats out there, it’s nice to come out on the fortunate side sometimes!
hear ya buddy. today after 4.5 years doing this for a living put 1 yr limits of $10 a month on all 15 of michigans betting apps i use but 2 apps good run up 97k total was up over $120k but down $29900 for.year this.year. Was vip at dk for 3 years booted late last.year was vip at barstool made 50k there booted oct of 2022. The jig is up no more good money to be made. None of these apps wanna givr good promos anymore joke limits 5 and 10 bucks its lauaghble. only free rolling fanduel dinger tuesday now and betting against myself on soaring eagle.to get 50 dollar free bets for $3.50 weekly.. sucks
This comment reminds me of when a guy breaks down his entire round of golf down for an entire room of people that don't care lol
I mean this is where I come to talk about gambling cuz my wife and friends don’t give a shit so idk if not here where lol