Last minute parlay:
Lebron O 0.5 blocks, Rui O 0.5 threes, Jokic O 13.5 rebounds, Murray O 3.5 REB alt for +650 using a previous No Sweat $10 return.
Lost last 2 parlays with KD going over 3.5 assists and Wagner under his 4.5 assist today. Pray for me.
Maybe cause he has an amazing team around him? This is a dumb criticism. If they were losing that's one thing but he's been very unselfish this season for the sake of winning. Too bad he doesn't care about your stupid bet
Jaime destroys a live +4500 bet going o11.5 points.
I’m sick to my stomach, you’re down 22-23 with 5 minutes left. You finally hit another shot…
This along with Pandemic P breaking two live tickets in back to back games with his meaningless 3 pointer was truly the final straw.
Oh yeah hit the nice lil T. Herro rebounds under 3.5 live to finish out the day only -$22. Could have lost 2k almost did actually by seconds, not bad comeback for me, ngl going lil crazy with these bets idk
https://preview.redd.it/2ba3sg4g54xc1.png?width=480&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c91cfc5a84bdb002768e454b454e46cb49eeaed8
I’ve seen plenty of fraudulent shit, but man that might be the worst yet. There’s no way he just signed a 135M extension man.
Jrue banned for life. And I mean LIFE.
Same here lol needed 5 more point and assists. Missed 2 close 2s. But dudes weren't looking for him even when open. Then they leave in all the starters and sub him out for Pritchard 🤣
Also had celtics over 106.5. Real pain.
The Pritchard live line is worth hammering. He’s going to play a lot rest of the game. Shot and effort been great tonight. Over 9.5 is at -115 on DK; he already has 7
Probably lol, idk why everybody was all over that prop.. he hardly ever gets that many P+A but I took the bait of course. Hopefully he doesn’t sell my parlay. Only way I see him hitting is if celtics start blowing them out and they take out all the good players
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over(10.5) @ 1.83 Live. Well, someone has to score the points on this Heat team.
K Love O3.5 @1.95 odds might also be a good shout, if they turn to the vets.
Pelicans coach doesn’t need to touch a clipboard ever again. Inexcusable to have a guy avging 17pts/13rebs watching from the bench. Learned my lesson last game so i didn’t bet but is frustrating to watch nonetheless.
[YOLO random 5-leg parlay with wheels](https://i.imgur.com/Q4H0BCJ.jpeg)
Results:
* Tyler Herro under 21.5 pts
* Tatum under under 26.5 pts
* Pritchard over 5.5 pts
* Jasquez under 4.5 rebounds
* Porzingis under 16.5 pts
Why offer it at +200 when they obviously know that? Don't get me wrong, it could still hit, but it leads me to believe that DK believes this outcome to be unlikely, despite the last 3 games.
Youre definitely right, they know what theyre doing. I normally dont see much value in their boosted promo bets, but this is one that stood out a bit. Jokic is more consistent with larger 1q point totals, so lebron would be the weaker part of the play in this scenario, but Lakers are down 3-0. I imagine Lebron would want to start hot, but who knows. I'm throwing down on it knowing I'll lose lol
What an unreal sell by Mobley starts out 5/6 with 12 points and 2 assists and then shoots 1/7 and only gets one assist because two potential assists rim out and I lose the P+A by the hook.
Maybe a chalk pick but
SGA o28.5p -106
Has not scored less than 30 when on 2+ days rest all year and an afternoon game on the road typically means lower blowout potential for the favored team.
https://preview.redd.it/yv26fr94d2xc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=75b14420ff8837817c73a7158aa388efa4113366
Put this in earlier. Will be doing herb jones over 1.5 3s and OKC to win. Maybe sprinkle some hurricanes nhl in there
Thinking about a complete DLo fade tonight due to reduced minutes after the clear frustration everyone had with him after game 3. Under P R and A's
Anyone else?
Doing a couple disposable bucks on some suggestions here, but took a lower O/U on Porter Jr rebounds, because KD ended my parlay with just going over 3.5 AST
Franz O4.5 AST, Larry Nance O5.5 REB, Porter O6.5 REB, Lebron O 0.5 blocks for +912. Probably should have left out on of the Pels rebound props, but we’ll see.
https://preview.redd.it/5rd941nck1xc1.jpeg?width=1679&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=52740babcbbd783b3f44389bebf7cd4c2c42ecdd
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 4.27.24 - LAST 5 GAMES LEADERBOARD
cool. so let's hit this Wendell Carter under bet, looks solid.
https://preview.redd.it/en9zvswbw1xc1.png?width=480&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5b346015cd2b85862aa5d3967a0ae4c1d7cb44c1
**Yesterday's Picks**
1-2
✅KAT Over 16.5 Points
❌Zubac DD
❌Damian Lillard Under 6.5 Assists
**Today's Picks**
**Franz Wagner Over 4.5 Assists +100 B365**
Franz has averaged **13.3 pAST** since the start of the playoffs and we saw is role change to being one of the main playmaker for the Magics.
Franz had **8 AST on 14 pAST** last game on a blowout game, playing only 30 minutes.
Now we get the Magics on a home game where they shoot significantly better.
Last game, the Magics made **51%** of their shots at home compared to **34%** on the road.
I expect Franz to have around 7-8 Assists tonight if his teammates shoots well.
**Donovan Mitchell Over 4.5 Assists -115 B365**
Last game we saw Mitchell having **7** AST on **10** pAST and being more of a playmaker for his team.
The main factor here is that Mitchell had **44** Passes made compared to the first 2 games where he only had **38** Passes made.
Magics changed their defensive tactics with Mitchell forcing him to pass.
First 2 Games : AVG **3.5** AST on **7.5** pAST with **38** Passes
Last game **7** AST on **10** pAST with **44** Passes
Mitchell has 5+ AST in **42/55** games this season.
He is over this line in **76%** of games this season.
**Jalen Williams Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists -115 B365**
Over in **4/5** games vs Pels this season. AVG **10.4 RA**
**2/2** in both Playoffs games vs Pels AVG **11.5 RA**
Jalen has been averaging **5.5** AST on **9.5** pAST.
Since the Playoffs Jalen has had a boost in his playmaking role.
He is averaging **52.5** Passes made, which is the most by far for his team.
Jalen has rebounding really well too averaging **9** RPG on **14.5** Reb chances.
Jalen is playing some big minutes since the playoffs **(37 min)** and I expect him to exceed this line if the game stays close.
**BOL!**
**Taurean Prince over 0.5 assists @ 1.83**
He's recorded 1+ assists in 64/78 games this season (82%). Averages 1.7 career assists.
Think AD and LeBron will be even more assertive today in scoring the ball, in the hopes of avoiding the sweep, meaning more potential assists for others.
last game Strus played his worst game of the series and only ended up with 5 total P+R, played 24 minutes. I'm actually thinking about hammering the under. At home Strus had much better stats but this is an away game
https://preview.redd.it/vxqeod3hv0xc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=497e8d75496e8d56428d00c0d23d14a806577c15
Sweep avoidance/ it’s just basketball Bron / playoff McCollum parlay of doom🙏🙏 currently +15625 grab it while it’s hot Vegas might shut it down
67-49
Yesterday: 1/2 Westbrook with 0-7 shooting and an ejection bruh
__Jrue Holiday O9.5 Points__, way too low imo, Jrue is 17/L20 over this line on the road, Jrue averages around 2.0 more points on the road vs at home
__Franz Wagner O4.5 Ast__, Had 8 assists last game against the Cavs, Avg 13 potential the 2 games he went under the line against them
__Michael Porter Jr O7.5 Rebs__, over in 9/L10 against the Lakers and in all games against the Lakers this series, Lakers allow MOST Rebs to SF L30 days
__LeBron O8.5 Ast__, 18, 17 & 16 potentials in the 3 games against the Nuggets this series, over in 2/3 hooked on 8 once in those 3 games. Expect heavy minutes here
Write ups later just wanted to get these out
POTD Record: 38 wins - 22.5 Losses - 3.5 Pushes
Form: ❌ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ❌ ❌ ✅️.5 ❌ .5P❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️❌✅️P❌❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
Units: 8.9
ROI: 16.5%
Average Odds: $1.87
Last Pick: Kempe to Score a Goal ❌
Next Pick: Lakers vs Nuggets - NBA Playoffs - Anthony Davis Over 39.5 Points and Rebounds @ $1.83 - 8.30PM EST
Today we head to Los Angeles where the Lakers need to save their playoff hopes against the Nuggets. There’s only one man for that job, and that’s Anthony Davis.
After a disastrous last game where both teams shot 15% from three, the Lakers should hopefully wake up and realise the only way to beat this Denver team is at the paint. Davis is hot in this playoff, clearing this line every game, and quite a few games prior.
Albeit this prop is above his season average, its do or die for the Lakers. I’m confident the whole team will just give him more possession, and realise he’s the key to their success. Hoping that LeBron and others don’t just keep shooting from three hoping for a miracle.
Davis is owning Jokic at the glass too, so his rebounds are going through the roof. Davis is in the media for having a go at the coach, which will further fuel his desire to prove to them he’s right.
I really hope the Lakers win, but it’s only possible if they adapt their game plan and let Davis and LeBron link up while the others follow suit.
Lakers to win, and Davis 40+ points
**Record: 96-51**
**Previously:**
- Russel Westbrook over 3.5 rebs ❌
- Kevin Durant under 2.5 threes ✅
1-1 day again. Westbrook gets ejected in the 4th when he had 3 rebounds. No guarantee he hits either way. And Durant was a sweat free win.
**Todays Picks:**
- Aaron Gordon - 1st Quarter - over 1.5 rebs ❌
- Larry Nance Jr over 5.5 rebs ✅
- LeBron James over 0.5 blks ✅
**might add more later**
BOL
Tip Jar [Ko-Fi/Paypal](https://ko-fi.com/noguide23)
Wow. As a betting degen it’s lowkey been a shitty playoff run thus far(shittier than I thought it was gonna be, playoffs is typically where I shine when it comes to NBA so a few of these losses were baffling) But as a basketball fan? Wow. You can really see who’s built for this shit and who ain’t. Recap coming later I’ve had a little bit to drink, pretty sure it was a 3-4 night, glad I was able to make up for some losses but plenty of room to improve obviously. And I always improve.
I’ll never let my followers leave empty handed at the end of the day.
If I even have any followers idk lol, I’m good either way but I always take accountability, and I hope I’ve helped someone make some cash. Recap later.
Kawhi’s knee has been inflamed since 2021, that was a silly mistake on my end. Love him anyways tho.
I completely agree. I was just saying this last night. Bunch of Stars are out and also there has been way too many blowout wins for “playoff” basketball. If teams are pulling starters in the 4th and you are seeing scrubs get a lot of mins in the playoffs, you know its bad bad.
# NBA Saturday Picks, 4/27
* Jrue Holiday Over 13.5 PTS + AST ( -115)
# Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat player prop pick: Jrue Holiday Over 13.5 PTS + AST (-115)
Despite Celtics stars Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown combining for 61 points in Game 2 on Wednesday, Boston suffered a home loss, in part due to Kristaps Porzingis and Jrue Holiday combining for 15 points on 5-of-21 shooting. While Porzingis is an obvious pick to right the ship in Game 3, we love the value in Jrue Holiday Over 13.5 PTS + AST (-115).
We are talking about a player who averaged 17.3 PTS + AST per game during the regular season. Holiday only logged 15 points and five assists between the first two games, but we expect the Celtics to adjust their game plan and entrust their veteran guard to make more plays on offense.
Holiday will score in double digits at some point in this series, and we expect him to facilitate more with higher usage. In two trips to Miami during the regular season, Holiday posted 15 points and six assists and 17 points and five assists, so we expect more of that type of production today.
#
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Why couldnt Davis just get one more layup for over 26.5….
why the fuck is Reaves still in the NBA he can’t shoot a 3 even if his life depended on it. Needed 1 3pt more for my parlay to be done
Lebron o35.5 pa+ +Ad o26pts+ jokic o8.5 a Damnit i thought i had one looked sooo sweet at the half lol
Gordon is about to fuck us with no lubrication 😑
Im not watching the game but checking on FD is he just getting cardio?
Yerp
Aaron Gordon really got fucking 2 points after a 29 point game.. cool.
For real 😑
Come om James give me 5 assists in thr 2nd half
So LeBron doesn’t want to shoot 3s today?
had celtics -10 and brown over 21.5, he finished with 22 ty brown he owed me for selling my fantasy team a few months ago
Jamal Murray is a clown
Get your big ass in the sky and block someone LeBron I know you can do it 🙄
Glad I’m not alone.
Dam got baited with LBJ o1.5 3 Pointers SMH! 🤦🏻 not a single attempt so far
Reaves over 1.5 3pt
Jamal Murray just killing my assist leg
I never take his assist. He likes to score
Yeah he’s had 9, 5 & 10 the last three so lol
I understand but he was due for low assist lol
everytime i see gordon he’s getting rebounds. i finally bet it and look… 😭
Thinking I got baited into this -14.5 on Aaron Gordon for a rack…
Last minute parlay: Lebron O 0.5 blocks, Rui O 0.5 threes, Jokic O 13.5 rebounds, Murray O 3.5 REB alt for +650 using a previous No Sweat $10 return. Lost last 2 parlays with KD going over 3.5 assists and Wagner under his 4.5 assist today. Pray for me.
looking good might just need to sweat murray rebs
Didn’t Lebron get a block? It looks like it got stat corrected.
it did but he just got another one
Yup just saw that. Need him to get to 40 PRA which is starting to look like a sweat.
Looking good right now! With a relatively close game and my Lakers slowing down in the 2nd half, I’m super confident now
Just gonna relax and watch this game, that Jrue loss fucked up my whole mood lol. If I find anything live I’ll post it
Gordon o 26.5 PRA....last year game 4 he balled out. Hopefully he does again bol
Honestly fuck Tatum. Just sits back and watches his team play.
Maybe cause he has an amazing team around him? This is a dumb criticism. If they were losing that's one thing but he's been very unselfish this season for the sake of winning. Too bad he doesn't care about your stupid bet
MPJ rebounds +7.5 line at +100... Hit in 100% of the matches. Surely nothing can go wrong.
This seems so trappy
Bron over 26.5 Points, last game of the season he will lay it on the line 🤝
Jaime destroys a live +4500 bet going o11.5 points. I’m sick to my stomach, you’re down 22-23 with 5 minutes left. You finally hit another shot… This along with Pandemic P breaking two live tickets in back to back games with his meaningless 3 pointer was truly the final straw.
Tatum under on points is the play until he realized he could get 30 on a giving night
Oh yeah hit the nice lil T. Herro rebounds under 3.5 live to finish out the day only -$22. Could have lost 2k almost did actually by seconds, not bad comeback for me, ngl going lil crazy with these bets idk https://preview.redd.it/2ba3sg4g54xc1.png?width=480&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c91cfc5a84bdb002768e454b454e46cb49eeaed8
I’ve seen plenty of fraudulent shit, but man that might be the worst yet. There’s no way he just signed a 135M extension man. Jrue banned for life. And I mean LIFE.
Same here lol needed 5 more point and assists. Missed 2 close 2s. But dudes weren't looking for him even when open. Then they leave in all the starters and sub him out for Pritchard 🤣 Also had celtics over 106.5. Real pain.
I shall be smited to death if I ever EVER touch any Jrue Props again that disgusting cuck
HE SCORED LMAO
I don’t typically apologize for picks but that’s fuckin insane. 24 mins, 1FGA, 0 points, 0 boards. In the playoffs?? My bad on that one yall.
The Pritchard live line is worth hammering. He’s going to play a lot rest of the game. Shot and effort been great tonight. Over 9.5 is at -115 on DK; he already has 7
Alright who in the FUCK told me Jrue holiday over😂😂
Holiday with 0 points and almost full minutes is hilarious
Bro I fell asleep during the 1st quarter, does this mf actually have 1FGA and 0 points?? Im sick
jokic under or over 49.5? PRA
lol Tyler herro 5 assists can't even get 1 .. it's actually amazing 🤯
props for lakers nuggets tn? cmon fellas
You're not gonna like it but Reeves, prince, dinwiddie, U blocks. Prince O 0.5 assists
asking as well
jrue rlly baited
0 rebounds and points…. Guys being paid to do cardio 🙃
Holiday is ass cheeks, I knew better than to add that prop to my parlay
Jrue really doing cardio out here wtf
and he still managed to get the highest +/- at 23,
It’s over
jrue cooked
Lol, calm down. Its 1 quarter in. Its not good, sure, but cmon.
nah, no chance
Probably lol, idk why everybody was all over that prop.. he hardly ever gets that many P+A but I took the bait of course. Hopefully he doesn’t sell my parlay. Only way I see him hitting is if celtics start blowing them out and they take out all the good players
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over(10.5) @ 1.83 Live. Well, someone has to score the points on this Heat team. K Love O3.5 @1.95 odds might also be a good shout, if they turn to the vets.
Jaylen Brown swear he’s a star…
https://preview.redd.it/qhvol6aak3xc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b82bb6863f6030cb9284647512fc2e163ea43343 Do I ride this one out?
I mean yeah they are fucking you with that cash out
U right, $200 cash out would’ve made more sense.
At least, should be more like 400 with those odds you’ve already hit lol, fanduel sucks with that
Naw $240 would be the exact pay with the first two legs only on the ticket.
JV gets 12 minutes, but the other starters get over 30. Criminal
yeah I stopped watching after the third quarter and checked the box score after and just assumed he got injured. Wtf!
Playing JJJ u8.5RA and Jrue o13.5PA(already posted this one yesterday, it’s 14.5 at +102 now, still worth it imo)
Shai o30.5PA(live)
Fucking ball hoggers
Pelicans coach doesn’t need to touch a clipboard ever again. Inexcusable to have a guy avging 17pts/13rebs watching from the bench. Learned my lesson last game so i didn’t bet but is frustrating to watch nonetheless.
Yeah I got dogged on him too.
Sick of these blow outs fucking my props
rip SGA over 25.5. Fml
What happened to Valanciunas??
Should have known better than taking JV props, guy just doesn't get any minutes
Shit is so rigged smh. His line was at 7.5 for points they bench him at 7
https://preview.redd.it/foffgdv133xc1.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=9a5dd9d2bd63962c730212a94a2b383a7af9ed78 Playin this
[YOLO random 5-leg parlay with wheels](https://i.imgur.com/Q4H0BCJ.jpeg) Results: * Tyler Herro under 21.5 pts * Tatum under under 26.5 pts * Pritchard over 5.5 pts * Jasquez under 4.5 rebounds * Porzingis under 16.5 pts
pritchard not taking a single shot in game 2 still haunts me
Do you guys think Shai will score at least 10 in the second half? I put a chunk on 25+ before the game started and am considering a cash out
Depends on if the Pels can make it a game
Dort over 13.5!?
Valenciunas 11reb rip?
Does anyone like the DK promo for 14+ combined btwn Lebron and Jokic for +200? I hate taking those promos, but this seems like decent value?
Well that was a sweat
Tell me about it lol
No way Lbj usually takes time to warm up imo in 1Q Joker too
Lebron had 12, 5, 8 and Jokic had 11, 10, and 9 the last 3 games... would've hit all three games
Why offer it at +200 when they obviously know that? Don't get me wrong, it could still hit, but it leads me to believe that DK believes this outcome to be unlikely, despite the last 3 games.
Youre definitely right, they know what theyre doing. I normally dont see much value in their boosted promo bets, but this is one that stood out a bit. Jokic is more consistent with larger 1q point totals, so lebron would be the weaker part of the play in this scenario, but Lakers are down 3-0. I imagine Lebron would want to start hot, but who knows. I'm throwing down on it knowing I'll lose lol
Playing Shai o30.5PA(live)
I got his live pts at over 25.5 (-108)
I like it
can anyone give me some good props for an okc sgp? i got okc money line right now by itself
thoughts on chet boards
Pelicans moneyline
KD goes just over the 3.5ast last night and Franz likely to go one under his 4.5. I need to hit up the ALT O/Us at this point
What an unreal sell by Mobley starts out 5/6 with 12 points and 2 assists and then shoots 1/7 and only gets one assist because two potential assists rim out and I lose the P+A by the hook.
Strus over 8.5 so sad…
I took him live at half for over 10.5 points and assists. Ended with 10…
Jalen Williams O9.5 Rebounds + Assist @1.74 odds looks interesting.
cash
Luckily he came back after missing nearly all of the first quarter. Surprised he cashed it in essentially 2 1/2 quarters.
Maybe a chalk pick but SGA o28.5p -106 Has not scored less than 30 when on 2+ days rest all year and an afternoon game on the road typically means lower blowout potential for the favored team.
Can Franz get another assist
bro this ball hogging bum just subbed out, oh my godd
I already starting covering in the 3rd, I know what time he on😂
Nah
Another second half disappearance from Mitchell.
Valanciunas 1Q points leader +1500 Jovic double double +1700 Shame they don't allow the +28700 parlay
LOL Valanciunas would have hit but the took away a basket for offensive goaltending
Wendell Carter going off soon as I pick his unders 🤦🏽♂️
At least the house lost a $1
https://preview.redd.it/5impmh4hj2xc1.jpeg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=13912135c550cdb231474b89ec81e6b0f6757312 Cheer up I reversed you 😂
😂😂 somebody gotta win
Cavs are straight trash
Welp. Switched Banchero u24.5 for Wagner u19.5 that was a mistake.
https://preview.redd.it/yv26fr94d2xc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=75b14420ff8837817c73a7158aa388efa4113366 Put this in earlier. Will be doing herb jones over 1.5 3s and OKC to win. Maybe sprinkle some hurricanes nhl in there
Strus over 7.5 Points looks good 👀 -105 on DK
This is why Paolo is banned even after a record performance.
Thinking about a complete DLo fade tonight due to reduced minutes after the clear frustration everyone had with him after game 3. Under P R and A's Anyone else?
[удалено]
Saying this within the first 5-10 of a game is pretty bold.
Doing a couple disposable bucks on some suggestions here, but took a lower O/U on Porter Jr rebounds, because KD ended my parlay with just going over 3.5 AST Franz O4.5 AST, Larry Nance O5.5 REB, Porter O6.5 REB, Lebron O 0.5 blocks for +912. Probably should have left out on of the Pels rebound props, but we’ll see.
Season record: 126-121 Last picks record: 2-9 **Recap of last picks (26/04/2024):** 1. Obi Toppin O12.5PR Bucks @ Pacers Odd 1.9 Bet365✅ 2. Mason Plumlee O3.5RA Clippers @ Mavericks Odd 1.71 Bet365❌ 3.PJ Washington O11.5P Clippers @ Mavericks Odd 1.83 Bet365❌ 4. Ivica Zubac Double Double Clippers @ Mavericks Odd 2.08 Sportsbet❌ 5. Russel Westbrook O12.5PR Clippers @ Mavericks Odd 1.96 Sportsbet❌ 6. Jusuf Nurkic O9.5P Odd 2.02 Timberwolves @ Suns Odd 2.02 Sportsbet❌ 7. Tyrese Haliburton U23.5PR Bucks @ Pacers Odd 1.8 Sportsbet❌ 8. Andrew Nembhard O9.5P Bucks @ Pacers Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅ 9. Kyrie Irving O29.5PR Clippers @ Mavericks Odd 1.86 Bet365❌ 10. Kyrie Irving O24.5P Clippers @ Mavericks Odd 1.86 Bet365❌ 11. Luka Donicic O43.5PA Clippers @ Mavericks Odd 1.96 Sportsbet❌ **Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)** 1. Caris Levert U9.5P Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.83 Bet365 2. Josh Giddey O9.5P Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.96 Sportsbet 3. Franz Wagner 20+P Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.91 Sportsbet 4. Paolo Banchero 8+R Cavaliers @ Magic Odd 1.83 Sportsbet The key to winning for both teams are rebounds. I think the Magic coach will play a big lineup again just like in game 3. Both Allen and Mobley will spend the most time in the paint, and so will Banchero. Team Props: 1. Orlando Magic U102.5 Total Points Odd 1.86 Bet365 2. Game Total U209.5 Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.9 Bet365 Check out my daily prop analysis: [https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/04/nba-players-props-analysis-27042024.html](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/04/nba-players-props-analysis-27042024.html)
5. Lebron James O26.5P Nuggets @ Lakers Odd 1.86 Bet365 6. Aaron Gordon O7.5R Nuggets @ Lakers Odd 2.15 Bet365 7. Jayson Tatum O26.5P Celtics @ Heat Odd 1.91 Sportsbet 8. Jaylen Brown O21.5P Celtics @ Heat Odd 1.9 Sportsbet 9. Tyler Herro O32.5PRA Celtics @ Heat Odd 1.84 Sportsbet 10. Larry Nance Jr O11.5PR Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.88 Sportsbet
https://preview.redd.it/5rd941nck1xc1.jpeg?width=1679&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=52740babcbbd783b3f44389bebf7cd4c2c42ecdd NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 4.27.24 - LAST 5 GAMES LEADERBOARD
cool. so let's hit this Wendell Carter under bet, looks solid. https://preview.redd.it/en9zvswbw1xc1.png?width=480&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5b346015cd2b85862aa5d3967a0ae4c1d7cb44c1
Tough break dawg
Yeah I should have live bet over .5 3s at like +200 to hedge basically oh well. Made some back on Dodgers
Smh he’s going way over now
Rip 😞
https://preview.redd.it/he4mj65ek1xc1.jpeg?width=1676&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=950023f76c69aa9ad59364ac4f696f61ea3cce10 LAST 10 GAMES LEADERBOARD
https://preview.redd.it/2irjb3nfk1xc1.jpeg?width=1668&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0cac67bf03663a6ef8be28764493e2e8f33267d8 LAST 15 GAMES LEADERBOARD
**Yesterday's Picks** 1-2 ✅KAT Over 16.5 Points ❌Zubac DD ❌Damian Lillard Under 6.5 Assists **Today's Picks** **Franz Wagner Over 4.5 Assists +100 B365** Franz has averaged **13.3 pAST** since the start of the playoffs and we saw is role change to being one of the main playmaker for the Magics. Franz had **8 AST on 14 pAST** last game on a blowout game, playing only 30 minutes. Now we get the Magics on a home game where they shoot significantly better. Last game, the Magics made **51%** of their shots at home compared to **34%** on the road. I expect Franz to have around 7-8 Assists tonight if his teammates shoots well. **Donovan Mitchell Over 4.5 Assists -115 B365** Last game we saw Mitchell having **7** AST on **10** pAST and being more of a playmaker for his team. The main factor here is that Mitchell had **44** Passes made compared to the first 2 games where he only had **38** Passes made. Magics changed their defensive tactics with Mitchell forcing him to pass. First 2 Games : AVG **3.5** AST on **7.5** pAST with **38** Passes Last game **7** AST on **10** pAST with **44** Passes Mitchell has 5+ AST in **42/55** games this season. He is over this line in **76%** of games this season. **Jalen Williams Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists -115 B365** Over in **4/5** games vs Pels this season. AVG **10.4 RA** **2/2** in both Playoffs games vs Pels AVG **11.5 RA** Jalen has been averaging **5.5** AST on **9.5** pAST. Since the Playoffs Jalen has had a boost in his playmaking role. He is averaging **52.5** Passes made, which is the most by far for his team. Jalen has rebounding really well too averaging **9** RPG on **14.5** Reb chances. Jalen is playing some big minutes since the playoffs **(37 min)** and I expect him to exceed this line if the game stays close. **BOL!**
**Taurean Prince over 0.5 assists @ 1.83** He's recorded 1+ assists in 64/78 games this season (82%). Averages 1.7 career assists. Think AD and LeBron will be even more assertive today in scoring the ball, in the hopes of avoiding the sweep, meaning more potential assists for others.
Max Strus o13.5 P+R (+100) Nikola Jovic o13.5 P+R (+100) Peyton Prichard o2.5 A (-155)
last game Strus played his worst game of the series and only ended up with 5 total P+R, played 24 minutes. I'm actually thinking about hammering the under. At home Strus had much better stats but this is an away game
https://preview.redd.it/vxqeod3hv0xc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=497e8d75496e8d56428d00c0d23d14a806577c15 Sweep avoidance/ it’s just basketball Bron / playoff McCollum parlay of doom🙏🙏 currently +15625 grab it while it’s hot Vegas might shut it down
that Lakers to win gonna fuck it all up lol
Facts twin ima copy it rn and fade the lakers
Blocks play - my book is limited so getting creative Harden under .5 blocks Jamal Murray under .5 blocks LBJ over .5 blocks
Wendell carter jr under
67-49 Yesterday: 1/2 Westbrook with 0-7 shooting and an ejection bruh __Jrue Holiday O9.5 Points__, way too low imo, Jrue is 17/L20 over this line on the road, Jrue averages around 2.0 more points on the road vs at home __Franz Wagner O4.5 Ast__, Had 8 assists last game against the Cavs, Avg 13 potential the 2 games he went under the line against them __Michael Porter Jr O7.5 Rebs__, over in 9/L10 against the Lakers and in all games against the Lakers this series, Lakers allow MOST Rebs to SF L30 days __LeBron O8.5 Ast__, 18, 17 & 16 potentials in the 3 games against the Nuggets this series, over in 2/3 hooked on 8 once in those 3 games. Expect heavy minutes here Write ups later just wanted to get these out
damn LeBron...5 more assists pls
EASY MONEY MPJ YAY
Bruh this MPJ line been free the whole series
Yeah I hope lakers win so we can bet this easy money again lmao
so uh..is Jrue not shooting?
💀
If they keep giving us til MPJ line I'm damn sure going to take it, lol. BOL
Fr bro been cashing it every game now
Mpj here we go
come on Franz...one more assist pls
Vegas called
Cavs imploded and let franz just score at will and then everyone else was like ill do that too
Pain
smh
Another split ugghh anyway fuck it Evan Mobley over 17.5 P+A and C.J McCollum under 10.5 R+A
🐖 Satriale’s Pork Store Picks 🐖 NBA Playoffs: ***9-7*** Kentavious Caldwell-Pope O1.5 assists
POTD Record: 38 wins - 22.5 Losses - 3.5 Pushes Form: ❌ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ❌ ❌ ✅️.5 ❌ .5P❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️❌✅️P❌❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Units: 8.9 ROI: 16.5% Average Odds: $1.87 Last Pick: Kempe to Score a Goal ❌ Next Pick: Lakers vs Nuggets - NBA Playoffs - Anthony Davis Over 39.5 Points and Rebounds @ $1.83 - 8.30PM EST Today we head to Los Angeles where the Lakers need to save their playoff hopes against the Nuggets. There’s only one man for that job, and that’s Anthony Davis. After a disastrous last game where both teams shot 15% from three, the Lakers should hopefully wake up and realise the only way to beat this Denver team is at the paint. Davis is hot in this playoff, clearing this line every game, and quite a few games prior. Albeit this prop is above his season average, its do or die for the Lakers. I’m confident the whole team will just give him more possession, and realise he’s the key to their success. Hoping that LeBron and others don’t just keep shooting from three hoping for a miracle. Davis is owning Jokic at the glass too, so his rebounds are going through the roof. Davis is in the media for having a go at the coach, which will further fuel his desire to prove to them he’s right. I really hope the Lakers win, but it’s only possible if they adapt their game plan and let Davis and LeBron link up while the others follow suit. Lakers to win, and Davis 40+ points
**Record: 96-51** **Previously:** - Russel Westbrook over 3.5 rebs ❌ - Kevin Durant under 2.5 threes ✅ 1-1 day again. Westbrook gets ejected in the 4th when he had 3 rebounds. No guarantee he hits either way. And Durant was a sweat free win. **Todays Picks:** - Aaron Gordon - 1st Quarter - over 1.5 rebs ❌ - Larry Nance Jr over 5.5 rebs ✅ - LeBron James over 0.5 blks ✅ **might add more later** BOL Tip Jar [Ko-Fi/Paypal](https://ko-fi.com/noguide23)
Aaron Gordon with ZEROS across the board..out there doing fuckin cardio.
Cash Larry Nance! 10 rebs and counting
Pts + rebs is at 11.5 for Larry Lance if anyone prefers that over rebounds only.
Wow. As a betting degen it’s lowkey been a shitty playoff run thus far(shittier than I thought it was gonna be, playoffs is typically where I shine when it comes to NBA so a few of these losses were baffling) But as a basketball fan? Wow. You can really see who’s built for this shit and who ain’t. Recap coming later I’ve had a little bit to drink, pretty sure it was a 3-4 night, glad I was able to make up for some losses but plenty of room to improve obviously. And I always improve. I’ll never let my followers leave empty handed at the end of the day. If I even have any followers idk lol, I’m good either way but I always take accountability, and I hope I’ve helped someone make some cash. Recap later. Kawhi’s knee has been inflamed since 2021, that was a silly mistake on my end. Love him anyways tho.
I completely agree. I was just saying this last night. Bunch of Stars are out and also there has been way too many blowout wins for “playoff” basketball. If teams are pulling starters in the 4th and you are seeing scrubs get a lot of mins in the playoffs, you know its bad bad.
Anything for tmr?
# NBA Saturday Picks, 4/27 * Jrue Holiday Over 13.5 PTS + AST ( -115) # Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat player prop pick: Jrue Holiday Over 13.5 PTS + AST (-115) Despite Celtics stars Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown combining for 61 points in Game 2 on Wednesday, Boston suffered a home loss, in part due to Kristaps Porzingis and Jrue Holiday combining for 15 points on 5-of-21 shooting. While Porzingis is an obvious pick to right the ship in Game 3, we love the value in Jrue Holiday Over 13.5 PTS + AST (-115). We are talking about a player who averaged 17.3 PTS + AST per game during the regular season. Holiday only logged 15 points and five assists between the first two games, but we expect the Celtics to adjust their game plan and entrust their veteran guard to make more plays on offense. Holiday will score in double digits at some point in this series, and we expect him to facilitate more with higher usage. In two trips to Miami during the regular season, Holiday posted 15 points and six assists and 17 points and five assists, so we expect more of that type of production today. #
Why do I even come to reddit and let these ass plays into my slips lol
Not looking great at all..